AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, sliding ~2.5% over eight sessions to April lows near 0.6885 as broad USD strength outweighed a hot Aussie jobs print. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6875-0.6920 band beneath both EMAs, with ATR(14) compressing as the slide stalls. Buyers stepped in twice around 0.6875, but each bounce has capped below 0.6950.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6950 would signal near-term stabilisation and break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6875 opens the path toward 0.6835 major support
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT and RBA minutes Tue could materially shift this read
Sustained downtrend on H4 with lower highs and lower lows since early June, AUD unable to rally even on the +40.3K jobs beat as USD strength dominated. Price extended the slide into the April-low zone near 0.6875 and is now consolidating in a tight 0.6880-0.6920 band below both EMAs. ATR remains elevated from the impulse leg, with no confirmed higher-high yet to break the structure.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6950
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.6950 signals near-term stabilisation
Failure to hold 0.6875 opens the path toward 0.6835 major support
AUDUSD is in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the 0.7200 area and now grinding seven-month lows near 0.6900. The slide held despite a strong Aussie jobs beat and sticky trimmed-mean CPI, with USD strength and Fed-hike pricing dominating the move. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6880-0.6920 band below both EMAs, with ATR steady — compression after the impulsive leg down.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6835 confirms downswing continuation
Reclaim of 0.6950 needed to ease the bearish structure
RBA Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could shift this read
Persistent H4 downtrend: an eight-bar slide carried AUDUSD to fresh April lows near 0.6875, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50 throughout. The Aussie ignored a strong jobs beat as hawkish-Fed USD demand kept rallies capped, and the move now stalls in a tight 0.6880–0.6920 band — oversold but lacking a higher low to confirm reversal.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835, 0.6830
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6875 swing low opens the path to 0.6835 key support
Close above 0.6920 range cap would neutralise the down-leg
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could trigger a short-covering bounce and reshape this read
AUDUSD remains in a clean downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows through an eight-session skid to fresh lows near 0.6875 as hawkish-Fed USD demand swamped a strong AU jobs beat. Price is now basing in a tight 0.6875–0.6920 band with ATR(14) compressing, and the last several bars show buyers stepping in just above the 0.6875 swing low. Both EMA20 and EMA50 cap from above, keeping the structural bias to the downside until proven otherwise.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835, 0.6830
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6920 range cap would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.6875 swing low opens the path to 0.6835 key support, then 0.6830
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) and Minutes (Tue) are high-impact risk that could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, oversold and stalling · RSI 39 · price 0.68914
Lower highs and lower lows, near-term consolidation.
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows through an eight-day, ~2.5% slide driven by hawkish-Fed repricing and a softer Aussie CPI print. Price has stabilised into a tight 0.6875-0.6920 band after the latest leg, with RSI oversold but flattening — demand stepping in around the 0.6875 swing low while supply caps near 0.6920. EMA20 sits below EMA50, keeping the structure heavy.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6927
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6875 opens the path toward the 0.6835 key support
Close back above 0.6920 range top would neutralise the near-term downside read
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, extending an eight-day slide from above 0.7080 to multi-month lows as soft Aussie CPI met hawkish-Fed repricing. Price is now compressing in a 0.6880-0.6920 band just above the session low at 0.68749, with the descending lower-high line capping rebounds. ATR(14) is easing as the move stalls, leaving a tight range pressed against the 0.6835 key support shelf.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6995, 0.7008
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6835 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.6920 range top would relieve the downtrend pressure
RBA Bullock Sun 28 Jun 12:15 GMT (HIGH) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, sliding to 7-month lows near 0.6900 on a hawkish-Fed repricing and tech-led risk-off, with softer May CPI reinforcing the no-more-RBA-hikes view. Price has carved two lows around 0.6884 and bounced toward 0.6927, hinting at near-term absorption, but both EMAs cap overhead. ATR is steady, so the slide is mature rather than accelerating.
Support: 0.68837, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69267
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6835 confirms downtrend continuation
Reclaim above 0.6927 challenges the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows through an 8-session slide driven by softer May CPI and a hawkish-Fed repricing. Price has based around 0.6884 over the last several bars, consolidating in a 0.6884-0.6927 band after tagging 7-month lows. ATR has stayed elevated through the decline, with the latest bars showing only a shallow recovery off the low.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6927
What it said to watch
H4 close below 0.6884 opens the path to the 0.6835 mar-apr low
Reclaim of 0.6927 range high would challenge the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) and Minutes (Tue) could materially shift this read