AUDUSD is grinding inside the 0.6890-0.6920 oversold band, drifting back to 0.6894 after the NY-session push to 0.69168 faded. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 43; supply capped attempts above 0.6906 while 0.68906 has so far held.
Support: 0.68906, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.68906 opens the path toward 0.68749
M15 close above 0.6906 would re-test the 0.69168 session high
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is grinding in a 0.6890–0.6915 band after the push to the swing high at 0.69168 was rejected, with price drifting back toward the session low near 0.68906. RSI in the mid-40s and ATR around 9 pips reflect a quiet, range-bound tape, consistent with the broader oversold consolidation noted into the weekend.
Support: 0.68906, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6885 confirms momentum lower, opening 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.6913 reopens the swing high at 0.69168
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Mild downdrift inside range · RSI 44 · price 0.68973
Consolidation, capped highs.
AUDUSD is grinding lower inside a 0.6890–0.6920 band after the NY-session push to 0.69168 was rejected, consistent with the broader sub-0.6920 AUD weakness as USD stays firm on Fed pricing. Late-session bars are tight (ATR ~4 pips), with price hugging 0.6897 just under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.68930 opens the path toward the 0.68749 session low
M15 close above 0.69130 invalidates the capped-range read
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) and Asia-session liquidity could reset this range
20:31 UTC
Range, mild drift lower · RSI 45 · price 0.68973
Consolidation off the NY high.
AUDUSD is ranging in the oversold 0.6880–0.6920 band, drifting back from the 0.69168 NY high to the 0.50 retracement near 0.6896 with RSI in the mid-40s. Price holds just under the 0.6900 psych level after twice basing around the 0.6893 session low.
Support: 0.68934, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6880 confirms momentum lower, re-targets 0.6835
Close above 0.69000 reopens the 0.69168 NY high
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 0.69168, consolidating at range lows.
AUDUSD rolled off the 0.69168 session high and is grinding lower, now pinned in the 0.6893–0.6906 band near fresh April lows after the soft CPI and firm US PCE kept USD bid. RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme; price tucked under EMA20/50 with rejections capping each push toward 0.6906.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69168, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.6893 confirms continuation toward 0.6885
Close back above 0.6906 neutralises the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) is the next material catalyst for this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend within consolidation · RSI 43 · price 0.68976
Lower highs off session peak, drifting to band lows.
NY session faded from the London-NY high at 0.69168 back toward the lower end of the 0.6880-0.6920 band, price now slipping under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Sellers kept rejecting the 0.69010 round level while buyers held the 0.68930 session low into the close.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6901, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68930 confirms a lower-low toward 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.69010 round level negates the lower-high drift
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could gap this read on the open
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, fading off session high · RSI 44 · price 0.6898
Lower highs after rejection at 0.6917.
AUDUSD rallied through NY hours to 0.6917 before fading back below the 0.6900 round number, with lower highs now stacking. ATR is thin near 4 pips in a quiet late session; price hovers just above the recent session low at 0.6893.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6917 invalidates the fade
Failure to hold 0.6893 opens the 0.6875 day low and 0.6835 major support
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD drifted lower into late NY after rejection at the 0.6917 session high, now near 0.6898 and holding above the 0.6893 swing low. Price is consolidating inside the 0.6880–0.6920 band flagged post-PCE, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6905, 0.6917
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6893 exposes the 0.6875 day low
reclaim of 0.6905 needed to retest the 0.6917 session high
AUDUSD faded from the session high at 0.69168 and is grinding lower through late NY hours, now pressing the 0.6893 session low with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Broad USD strength and risk-off keep the Aussie heavy near 7-month lows; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6893 confirms a lower-low toward 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.6906 needed to ease the downside grind
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 28 Jun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD drifted off the session high at 0.69168 through NY hours and is now probing the 0.6893 swing low, RSI(14) in the mid-40s. AUD stays heavy near 7-month lows on broad USD strength; price sits back below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.68932, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6908, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6893 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.68749 session low
Reclaim of the 0.6900 round number needed to ease downside pressure
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off intraday high · RSI 42 · price 0.68937
Lower highs after rejection near 0.6917.
AUDUSD rejected the 0.6917 session high during NY hours and has drifted back to 0.6894 with AUD heavy near multi-month lows on broad USD strength. RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s as price slips below both EMAs; pair grinding toward the 0.6893 session low.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6905, 0.69131, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68930 exposes the 0.68749 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69131 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
19:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower into close · RSI 42 · price 0.68937
Broad range, fading off NY high.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.69168 session high back to 0.6893 into the NY close, RSI cooling toward mid-40s as broad USD strength keeps the Aussie pinned near 7-month lows. Price is ranging roughly 0.68749–0.69168, now testing the lower half.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 exposes the 0.68749 session low, then 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6913 needed to re-test the session high
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.6895
Intraday range, lower highs late session.
AUDUSD spent the NY session fading from the 0.6917 swing high back into the middle of the 0.6875–0.6917 range, now sitting near 0.6895 with RSI mid-40s and price below both EMAs. Late-session liquidity is thin into the Friday close; no clean setup in play, AUD pinned near 7-month lows on broad USD strength.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6917
What it said to watch
Break below 0.6875 session low extends the lower-high sequence and opens toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6917 needed to signal stabilisation within the range
Weekend gap risk into RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun) could reset this read
19:16 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 40 · price 0.6895
Lower highs off 0.6917, range floor at session low.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6917 swing high through the NY session and is drifting back toward 0.6895, with a chain of lower highs and price holding just above the session low at 0.6875. RSI(14) near 40, no extreme; AUD remains heavy near 7-month lows on broad USD strength.
Support: 0.68749, 0.68909
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6875 confirms a lower low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 0.6917 needed to break the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could reset this read into next week
19:03 UTC
Rangebound, drifting lower late NY · RSI 43 · price 0.6894
Consolidation under 0.6916 after recovery off 0.6875.
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6875 sweep into a 0.6890–0.6916 range through NY hours, with supply capping at 0.69168. Price is drifting back toward the range floor near 0.6893 into late NY on Friday, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 0.6893, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69131, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6893 reopens the 0.68749 swing low
Reclaim of 0.69168 invalidates the rangebound read
RBA Gov Bullock Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read on the open
NY session pushed to 0.6917 then faded, with AUD heavy near 7-month lows on broad USD strength; price has slipped back below EMA20/50 toward the 0.6885 range floor. Lower highs since the 0.6917 peak, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s — ranging 0.6885–0.6917 with no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 opens a probe of the 0.6875 swing low
Reclaim of 0.6917 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
18:47 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.68961
Intraday range, holding near day lows.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6875–0.6917 through the session with broad USD strength post-PCE keeping the Aussie heavy near day lows. Price was rejected at 0.69168 and has drifted back to the 50% retrace of the day's bounce around 0.6896; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.6891, 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6901, 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68910 reopens the swing low at 0.68845 and day low 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.69010 range top needed to challenge the 0.69130 pivot high
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rejected the session high at 0.69168 mid-window and faded back toward the 0.6890 range floor, with broad USD strength keeping the Aussie heavy near multi-month lows. Price now coils tightly between 0.6896 and 0.6906, RSI(14) mid-40s and flat — no momentum in either direction.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68900 range floor confirms a lower-low and opens 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.69060 pivot needed to challenge the 0.69130 prior high
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.68749 intraday low during London and pushed to 0.69168 in the NY session before fading back toward 0.6897, near the 50% retrace of that bounce. Now consolidating in the 0.6890-0.6917 band with RSI(14) mid-range; broad USD strength keeps rallies capped.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 swing low and the digest's 0.6835 target
Reclaim of 0.69168 needed to signal renewed upside attempt
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 28 Jun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6894–0.6913 in late NY hours, fading from the session high at 0.6913 back toward the 0.6894 floor with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair sits pinned near 7-month lows as broad USD strength caps recovery attempts.
Support: 0.6894, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6913
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68940 opens 0.68850 then 0.68749 session low
Reclaim of 0.69130 needed to break the intraday range top
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
18:17 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.68974
Intraday range, fading off NY high.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.68750–0.69130 with AUD heavy near multi-month lows; NY morning pushed to 0.69130 then faded, price now slipping to 0.68974 below EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 43, no momentum extreme — pair sitting mid-range after rejection at the NY high.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6913, 0.69199
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68749 session low opens deeper downside toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.69130 ny high needed to signal stabilisation
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) and US ADP/ISM (Jul 1) are nearest catalysts to shift this read
18:16 UTC
Pulled back from intraday high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 0.68974
Lower highs after rejection, tight consolidation near lows.
NY session faded the push to the 0.69168 session high and AUDUSD slid back to 0.68974 on broad USD strength. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.6896-0.6901 band with RSI(14) mid-range and trade below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.6895, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6895 session low opens a probe toward 0.6885
Reclaim of 0.6913 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read into the new week
18:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.68974
Intraday range after recovery off lows.
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.68749 window low through the London-NY session to tag 0.69168, then faded back to the 0.6897 area where it's coiling into the late NY close. Sits inside the broader oversold 0.6880-0.6920 band near April lows, RSI(14) mid-40s with no directional drive.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 opens the path to the 0.68749 window low
Close above 0.6913 reasserts the recovery leg
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
NY session faded a push to the 0.69137 swing high and price has ground back toward the session low near 0.6896, with AUD heavy on broad USD strength post-PCE. ATR is tight at ~5.6 pips and RSI(14) sits in the low-40s — no momentum extreme, just slow drift into the lower edge of the 0.6896–0.6914 range.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.69137, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6896 opens the path to the 0.68749 day low
Reclaim of 0.69137 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 48 · price 0.68994
Range after recovery off the April-area low.
AUDUSD slipped to fresh April-area lows near 0.68749 during London on broad USD strength after benign US PCE, then recovered to 0.69137 before stalling. Price now consolidates just under the 0.6900 psych level with RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.69137, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 session low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.69137 swing high opens room back to the 0.69199 window high
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 0.68994
Consolidation around 0.6900 after recovery from session low.
AUDUSD is consolidating just below 0.6900 after recovering off the session low at 0.68749, with broad USD strength post-PCE keeping the Aussie pinned near April lows. Price has stalled mid-range between 0.68850 support and the 0.69100–0.69168 recent high, RSI flat near 46.
Support: 0.6895, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69130 reopens the range top at 0.69168
Loss of 0.68850 exposes the session low at 0.68749
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
17:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 0.69005
Range after sweep of lows.
AUDUSD swept the swing low at 0.68749 during the London-NY window then recovered toward the session high at 0.69131, and is now ranging just below 0.6900 with RSI mid-range. Broad USD strength after in-line PCE keeps the pair pinned near April lows; price hugging EMA20 with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69131, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 april lows confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 0.69168 prior high would extend the recovery
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun) is the next macro swing factor
17:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.69005
Consolidating below 0.6913 after bouncing from window low.
AUDUSD recovered off the early-April low region near 0.6875 through London-NY hours, with broad USD strength on in-line PCE capping the rally at 0.6913. Into late NY it is consolidating around the 0.6900 psych level, RSI(14) neutral near 48; supply capping at 0.6913, demand holding 0.6896.
Support: 0.6896, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6913 reopens the 0.69168 ny high
Failure to hold 0.6896 reopens the 0.6875 window low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.69001
Consolidating below recovery high after a session bounce.
AUDUSD bounced from a session low of 0.68749 to tag 0.69168 during NY hours, then faded back into a tight 0.6896–0.6913 range with broad USD strength capping the move. Price is coiling right around 0.6900 into the late session, RSI mid-range near 46.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69130 reopens the recovery high at 0.69168
Failure to hold 0.68960 exposes the session low at 0.68749
Consolidation around 0.6900 after bounce from 0.6875.
AUDUSD is consolidating around 0.6900 in late NY hours after recovering from the session low at 0.68749, with the broad USD bid post-PCE keeping rallies capped. Price stalled at the 0.69131 swing high and has drifted back to mid-range; RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.6899, 0.68875, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69131
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68990 reopens the path toward the session low at 0.68749
Close above 0.69131 swing high resumes the recovery
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered from the 0.68749 swing low through the London-NY window to tag a session high at 0.69168 before stalling. Rejection there has price drifting back to the 0.6900 round number into the NY close, now sitting just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6913
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 swing low
Close above 0.69168 negates the rejection and extends the recovery
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could gap this pair on the reopen
17:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 47 · price 0.6900
Consolidating below session high.
AUDUSD recovered from the session low at 0.68749 to tag 0.69168, then settled into a tight consolidation around 0.6900 as broad USD strength on revived Fed-hike pricing keeps the Aussie capped. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price sits between EMA20 and EMA50 with no directional push.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.6906
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6896 reopens the 0.68749 session low
Close above 0.6913 puts the session high back in play
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Range, fading from NY high · RSI 48 · price 0.69006
Intraday range, higher lows from session low.
NY session pushed to 0.69168 then was rejected, fading back to 0.6900 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Broad USD strength after in-line US PCE keeps AUD heavy; price sits mid-range between the 0.68749 swing low and the 0.6913 NY high.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 opens the 0.68749 swing low and April lows
Close above 0.6913 reopens the NY high at 0.69199
RBA Gov Bullock Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD bounced from the 0.68749 swing low through London-NY to tag 0.69168, then faded back to 0.6900 as broad USD strength capped the recovery. Now ranging just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; session high at 0.6913 has held twice into the NY afternoon.
Support: 0.6896, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6896 session low opens path back to 0.6885 april low
Reclaim of 0.6913 session high resumes the bounce toward 0.69168
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) could gap this read on the next open
AUDUSD bounced from the 0.68749 swing low back to the 0.69168 session high before sellers rejected it; price has since drifted to 0.69013, around the 0.382 retrace of the recovery. RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s as the pair stalls just under the round 0.6900 in line with the broad USD bid that pushed it to April lows.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 reopens the upside
Break below 0.68850 confirms continuation toward the April lows
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun) is upcoming risk for AUD
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.68749 during the London-NY transition then recovered to 0.69168 before stalling, now hovering at the 0.6900 round number on a broadly firm USD after in-line US PCE. Price is chopping below the NY high with RSI(14) flat near 48.
Support: 0.6898, 0.6890, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69131, 0.69168, 0.69199
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.69131 ny high reopens the path to 0.69199
Loss of 0.68980 recent low exposes the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 49 · price 0.6904
Consolidation under session high after bounce from session low.
AUDUSD sank to a session low of 0.6875 mid-window then recovered through the NY session toward 0.69168, fading thereafter to consolidate around 0.6904 just under EMA20. RSI is neutral near 48 with broad USD strength after in-line US PCE keeping the pair capped below 0.6917.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 reopens the upside; loss of 0.6900 puts the 0.6875 session low back in play
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
Higher lows after sweep of 0.6875, capped at 0.6916.
NY session: AUDUSD recovered from the 0.6875 swing low — fresh post-April lows on broad USD strength after in-line US PCE — and tagged 0.6916 before easing back to 0.6904. Price now sits mid-range between the 0.6890 base and the 0.6916 session high, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6916 reopens the path to 0.6924
Failure to hold 0.6890 reopens the 0.6875 session low
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.69044
Range after rebound from 0.6875 swing low.
AUDUSD rebounded off the 0.6875 swing low through the London session and is now ranging 0.6899-0.6917, with broad USD softening post-PCE easing pressure. NY hours saw a rejection at the 0.69168 session high before the pullback to 0.6904; RSI(14) sits neutral near 51.
Support: 0.68993, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 session high opens a push toward 0.6924 prior high
Loss of 0.68993 range low re-exposes the 0.6885 april low
RBA Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovered off lows, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.69044
Higher lows since session low, capped below 0.6917.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.68749 through the NY session, helped by a softer USD after in-line Core PCE. Price rejected 0.69168 and is now drifting back toward 0.6904; RSI cooling around 53 with the rising-low structure still intact.
Support: 0.68992, 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 reopens 0.6924 prior high
Failure to hold 0.68992 swing low exposes 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 0.6908
Intraday range, higher low printed.
AUDUSD swept the session low at 0.6875 during the London-NY transition then recovered to a session high of 0.6917, now consolidating around 0.6908. RSI(14) neutral near 53; pair sits mid-range with a higher low at 0.6899 holding. Digest notes the Aussie remains heavy near 7-month lows but oversold, with this 0.6880-0.6920 chop corrective in nature.
Support: 0.6899, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6917, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.6899 intraday low reopens the 0.6875 swing low
M15 close above 0.6917 session high targets the 0.6920 round number
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun) and Minutes (Tue) are the next material AUD catalysts
AUDUSD recovered off the London session low at 0.68749 to print a session high of 0.69168, where sellers rejected it back toward 0.6899 before stabilising near 0.6908. AUD remains heavy near 7-month lows after in-line US PCE kept the dollar bid; RSI(14) sits neutral mid-range with ATR around 6 pips.
Support: 0.6899, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 session high reopens the path toward 0.69267
Failure to hold 0.6899 swing low exposes 0.6885 and the 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday is the next AUD-side catalyst beyond this window
Higher lows since session low, capped near 0.6917.
AUDUSD carved a fresh multi-month low at 0.6875 during the London session, then recovered through the London-NY transition to retest 0.6917. Price now consolidating 0.6900-0.6917 with RSI(14) mid-range near 54; buyers stepped in twice around the 0.6900 round number.
Support: 0.6900, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6917 reopens the 0.6927 prior high
Failure to hold 0.6900 puts the 0.6875 session low back in play
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered ~40 pips off the 0.68749 window low and is now consolidating around 0.6902 after the NY push to 0.69168 was rejected. Price is hugging the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — corrective drift, no fresh impulse, consistent with the oversold-but-heavy Aussie holding the 0.6880–0.6920 zone.
Support: 0.6899, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 reopens the path to 0.69240
Failure to hold 0.68990 exposes 0.68850 then the 0.68749 low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Recovering off day lows, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 0.69022
Range after rejection at session high.
NY session bounced off the 0.68749 day low and pushed to 0.69168 before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 0.6899; now hovering at 0.6902, just under EMA20. AUD remains heavy near 7-month lows after firm US PCE revived USD demand, with the intraday move corrective rather than a turn.
Support: 0.6898, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6913, 0.69168
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68980 reopens the 0.68749 day low
Reclaim of 0.69168 needed to invalidate the rejection
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Range, recent rejection at top · RSI 46 · price 0.68997
Consolidation, capped near 0.6917.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.69168 then was rejected sharply back to 0.6900, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is back inside the 0.6890–0.6917 consolidation band flagged in the macro read, sitting on the 0.6890 floor after the failed test of the top.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 reopens the upper end of the range
Loss of 0.6890 exposes the 0.68749 session low and the 0.6835 zone below
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could reset this intraday read
15:01 UTC
Range, rolling over after rejection · RSI 45 · price 0.68997
Consolidation 0.6889-0.6917, rejected at top.
NY session pushed to 0.69168 then got rejected, sliding back to 0.68997 with RSI cooling toward mid-40s. AUD remains heavy near 7-month lows, consolidating in the 0.6889-0.6917 band the digest flags as corrective rather than a turn.
Support: 0.6895, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6895 reopens the 0.68749 session low
Close back above 0.69168 negates the rejection
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 0.6875, capped under session high.
AUDUSD carved a rounded recovery off the 0.6875 swing low through NY hours, building higher lows back to the 0.6917 session high before fading to 0.69085. The bounce is corrective — the digest flags AUD pinned near 7-month lows after a jobs beat failed to lift it; RSI(14) mid-range with ATR around 6.5 pips.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6895, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 extends the recovery toward 0.6927
Loss of 0.6900 round number re-exposes 0.68950 and the 0.6875 swing low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could reset this read
14:46 UTC
Intraday recovery off session low, momentum easing near top · RSI 54 · price 0.69085
Higher lows since 0.6875, capped under 0.6917.
AUDUSD ground back up off the 0.6875 session low through London and into NY, now holding above 0.6900 with EMA20/50 below price. Recovery stalled at 0.69168 on the latest probe and RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-50s; pair consolidating just under that cap.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.6924
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69168 opens the path to 0.6924
Loss of 0.6900 and the rising support line exposes 0.6885
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday is a weekend gap risk for the open
14:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.6913
Higher lows since session low, retracing prior drop.
AUDUSD recovered off the session low at 0.6875 and is grinding higher into the NY hours, retracing ~73% of the prior drop from 0.6927; RSI(14) firm near 64. Buyers stepped in repeatedly above 0.6885, building a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6917, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6920 extends the recovery toward the 0.6927 session high
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens the 0.6875 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun) is the next high-impact AUD risk
14:31 UTC
Intraday recovery, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 0.6913
Higher lows off window low, testing session highs.
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.68749 mid-window and ground higher through the NY session, now pressing the 0.69168 session high with RSI in the mid-60s. The recovery is corrective off 7-month lows; USD eased after in-line core PCE, letting the Aussie reclaim 0.6905 and build higher lows.
Support: 0.6905, 0.6895, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69168, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69168 opens the path toward the 0.69267 window high
Loss of 0.6905 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.6895
Higher lows off the 0.6875 base, reclaiming 0.6910.
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.68749 day low to 0.69124, building a higher-low chain through the NY session as the USD eased after an in-line core PCE print. Price has reclaimed the 0.69000 round number and is pressing the 0.69160 micro high, RSI(14) firm near 63 but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69160 opens the path back to the 0.69267 session high
Failure to hold 0.69000 reopens the 0.68870 swing low
Fed speakers Williams (14:30) and Kashkari (15:30) could shift USD tone within the next bars
Higher lows off session low, retracing prior drop.
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.68749 mid-window and has clawed back through NY hours, now testing 0.69124 with RSI(14) near 64. Price has cleared the 0.69050 pivot and is pressing the 0.69160 swing high, retracing roughly 70% of the earlier slide off 0.69267.
Support: 0.6905, 0.6895, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69200 opens the path back toward the 0.69267 window high
Loss of 0.69050 swing pivot would unwind the recovery toward 0.68950
US Michigan sentiment + Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) due — could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 0.69111
Higher lows since 0.6875, base built.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the 0.6875 session low and ground higher through the NY session, now pressing the 0.69124 recent high with RSI(14) near 60. Recovery is corrective after the 8-day slide — in-line US PCE took the heat off the dollar, letting the oversold Aussie lift.
Support: 0.6905, 0.68875, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69124, 0.69267, 0.6950
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69124 opens the path to the 0.69267 session high
Loss of 0.68875 rising low reopens the 0.6875 session low
RBA Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground down to a session low of 0.68749 during Asia, then carved a series of higher lows through London and into NY, reclaiming 0.6911. Price is pressing the 0.69124 session high with RSI(14) near 61, sitting back above both the EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69124, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6920 swing high opens the path to 0.69267
Failure to hold the 0.6890 consol base reopens 0.68749 and the 0.6835 major support
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
Higher lows since 0.68749, consolidating under session high.
AUDUSD carved a rounded bottom off the 0.68749 session low and ground higher through the NY session, now pressing the 0.69086 session high with RSI(14) near 58. Recovery follows in-line US PCE that pared the USD bid; price holding above the 0.69000 round level on a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69086, 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69086 opens the path to 0.69160
Failure to hold 0.69000 reopens 0.68850
Fed's Williams/Kashkari speakers could shift USD this session
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 swing low and has carved higher lows back to the 0.69086 session high through the NY session, with RSI(14) mid-range near 57. Price holds inside the 0.6880–0.6920 consolidation noted in the broader Aussie read; demand stepped in repeatedly around 0.6895.
Support: 0.6895, 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.69086, 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69086 opens the path back toward 0.6916
Loss of 0.6895 reopens the 0.68749 swing low
RBA Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, now flat · RSI 55 · price 0.69044
Range 0.6896-0.6906 after rebound from 0.6875.
AUDUSD bottomed at 0.68749 during London then ground back up through NY hours, now stalling under the 0.6906 session top. ATR has compressed to ~6 pips with RSI neutral near 55 — consolidation, no momentum either way.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6906 opens room back toward 0.69267
Failure to hold 0.6896 reopens the 0.68749 session low
13:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.69044
Ranging 0.6885–0.6906 after swing-low rebound.
AUDUSD swept down to 0.68749 in the European session, then carved a base around 0.6885–0.6896 and ground back to 0.6906, with price now above both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 56 — neutral, no extreme — as the pair holds the upper end of its intraday range; AUD remains heavy near 7-month lows despite the bounce.
Support: 0.6896, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69067, 0.6917, 0.69245
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69067 session high opens the path to 0.6917
Loss of 0.6896 range low re-exposes 0.6885 and the 0.68749 swing low
RBA Bullock speech Sunday is the next high-impact catalyst for AUD
AUDUSD carved a rounded bottom off the 0.68749 session low and ground higher through the London-NY transition, retracing roughly half the earlier slide from 0.69267. Now consolidating 0.6895-0.6906 with RSI(14) neutral; the 0.69060 cap is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 0.6895, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69107
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69060 opens the path back to 0.69107
Failure to hold 0.6895 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD recovered off the 0.68749 session low and is grinding a chain of higher lows back toward the 0.69062 session high during NY hours, RSI(14) mid-range. The bounce is corrective with the Aussie pinned near 7-month lows; demand has stepped in repeatedly around 0.6885-0.6895.
Support: 0.6895, 0.6880, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6912
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69062 extends the recovery toward 0.6912
Failure to hold 0.6895 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday is the next AUD catalyst
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 55 · price 0.69035
Consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD swept the session low at 0.68749 during NY hours then recovered to consolidate 0.6890-0.6906, with the Aussie clinging just off 7-month lows as in-line US core PCE capped USD demand. Price now sits at 0.69035 below the 0.69062 session high, RSI hovering mid-range; structure is corrective grind, not impulse.
Support: 0.6887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 opens the path back toward the 0.69200 prior high
Loss of 0.68870 swing low re-exposes the 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read on next open
13:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 54 · price 0.69035
Morning selloff base, climbing back into mid-range.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asia-London transition to a session low at 0.68749 near seven-month lows, then ground back to 0.6903 through NY as the USD bid cooled on in-line core PCE. Price now sits mid-range above the recovery base around 0.6895, RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.6895, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69267
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC, ~1h out, could shift this read
Loss of 0.6895 recovery base re-exposes the 0.68749 session low
M15 close above 0.6906 session high opens the path back toward 0.69267
12:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 46 · price 0.68959
Drift higher after session-low rejection, now consolidating.
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.68749 — fresh multi-month lows on USD strength after firm US PCE — then ground back to a 0.6885-0.6906 range. Price now hovers at 0.68959 below EMA20, RSI neutral near 46; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68844 swing low reopens 0.68749 session low and the 0.6835 zone
Close above 0.69062 recent high would extend the recovery toward the 0.69267 intraday high
RBA Bullock speech Sunday is the next material catalyst for this read
12:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 0.68959
Consolidation above 0.6875 low.
AUDUSD ranging 0.6885–0.6906 after the NY-hours drop to 0.68749, with the pair heavy near seven-month lows following firm US PCE. Price has slipped back to the 0.6896 area into the late session, RSI(14) neutral around 46 and 0.6900 psych level capping.
Support: 0.6887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6906, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69060 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 0.68870 reopens the 0.68749 window low
Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could reshape this read
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 session low set during London and has since ranged 0.6897-0.6906 into NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Pair pinned near seven-month lows as firm US PCE keeps USD bid; no setup in play inside the range.
Support: 0.68969, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6916, 0.69199
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 reclaims the range top toward 0.6916 swing high
Break of 0.68969 recent low opens a retest of 0.68749 session low
RBA Gov Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) is the nearest AUD catalyst
AUDUSD swept the Asian session low to 0.68749 and has since clawed back to 0.6900 on broad USD softness after in-line core PCE. Price now coils in a tight 0.6890-0.6906 range with RSI(14) flat near 51, no momentum either way into NY hours.
Support: 0.68887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.69199
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68887 reopens the 0.68749 session low
Break above 0.69062 session high needed to extend the recovery
Bullock speech this weekend is the next material catalyst
Rounded base, higher lows into consolidation sub-0.6906.
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the session low at 0.68749 and ground back to 0.6902, now consolidating just under 0.6906 with RSI mid-range. Recovery fits the oversold-bounce read, but the 0.6920 area flagged as a near-term cap is the level overhead.
Support: 0.6889, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920, 0.69206
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69062 then 0.6920 extends the recovery
Failure to hold 0.6889 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
Asian session printed the low at 0.6875, London recovered into a 0.6895–0.6906 band and price now consolidates just under 0.6906 ahead of NY, having retraced roughly half the 0.6927–0.6875 down-leg. AUD is on an 8-day skid to April lows on hawkish-Fed USD demand; RSI(14) has lifted to the mid-50s as selling paused.
Support: 0.6895, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6906, then through the 0.6920 range cap, would extend the recovery
Loss of the 0.6895 base re-opens the 0.6875 session low
Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC plus Fed speakers could shift the USD read within the next bars
Ranging 0.6885–0.6905, mid-range retest of 0.6900.
AUDUSD has clawed back to the 0.6900 psych level after the London-NY session swept the low at 0.68749, with AUD sitting on a multi-day skid near April lows. Price is mid-range between 0.6885 and 0.6905, RSI(14) neutral — no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 opens the path to the 0.6920 range cap
Loss of 0.6885 reopens the session low at 0.68749
US Michigan sentiment / Fed speakers today could shift USD demand
12:02 UTC
Recovering off lows, range-bound · RSI 51 · price 0.68987
Consolidation after bounce from session low.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 session low into the London-NY transition and is now consolidating either side of 0.6900, RSI(14) flat near 51. Recovery has stalled under the 0.6906 session high with the broader 0.6880–0.6920 band intact.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.68749
Reclaim of 0.692 range cap invalidates the range read
11:47 UTC
Recovery off lows, now flat · RSI 54 · price 0.69016
Consolidating above 0.6900 after basing at 0.68749.
AUDUSD based at the session low of 0.68749 and ground back during London hours, now coiling tight between 0.6900 and the 0.69062 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 54. No directional setup in play — price is balancing just above EMA20/50 after the soft NAB confidence print and broader USD bid kept rallies capped.
Support: 0.6891, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6916
What it said to watch
close above 0.69062 opens the path to the 0.69160 swing high
loss of 0.68910 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could shift the read materially
AUDUSD is consolidating in a tight 0.6894–0.6906 range after recovering from the 0.68749 swing low, sitting right on the 50% retrace of the earlier 0.6927–0.6875 leg as core PCE landed in line and the USD stalled. Buyers held the 0.6900 psych area into the late session; the session high at 0.69062 is still capping.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6894, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 breaks the range and exposes 0.69200 prior high
Loss of 0.68940 range low reopens the 0.68749 swing low and the broader 0.6835 zone
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.68749 session low along a chain of higher lows, now pressing 0.69037 just under the 0.69062 recent high. The recovery sits above EMA20/50 with RSI near 58 — momentum constructive but not stretched, and the broader skid to April lows keeps rallies toward 0.6920 in focus as a cap.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.69199, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 opens the path toward the 0.6920 cap
Failure to hold 0.68900 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 57 · price 0.69037
Higher lows since 0.6875 base.
AUDUSD based at 0.68749 during European hours and ground back to 0.69037, reclaiming EMA20/50 as the broader AUD slide near fresh April lows pauses. Recovery is stalling into the 0.69062 bounce high; RSI(14) mid-range at ~57 with no extreme. Macro tone keeps rallies toward 0.6920 prone to fading.
Support: 0.68887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.69199, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69062 opens the 0.69199 swing high
Loss of the 0.68887 higher low reopens the 0.68749 session low
AUDUSD rebounded from the 0.68749 session low and is now stalling around 0.6900, the 50% retrace of the prior 0.69267–0.68749 drop, as in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54; price is consolidating just under the 0.69044 session high with the 0.6920 zone flagged as the near-term cap.
Support: 0.68844, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69044, 0.69205, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69205 negates the range-cap read and opens 0.69267
Failure to hold 0.68749 confirms a fresh lower low
RBA Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has clawed back from the session low at 0.68749 to the 0.6900 handle through NY hours, a chain of higher lows lifting it into a 50% retrace of the prior drop. The recovery is oversold mean-reversion within the broader skid; 0.69044 session high and the 0.6920 range cap flagged by the digest sit just overhead.
Support: 0.6895, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69044, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69044 session high opens the path to the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold the 0.6895 recent base reopens 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
Recovered off 0.6875 low, back at 0.6900 round number.
AUDUSD carved a double bottom near 0.6875 during the London session and ground back up to the 0.6900 round number, now sitting above both EMAs with RSI(14) at 60. The recovery is shallow and contained below the 0.6906 swing high; the broader skid to April lows keeps rallies into 0.6920 vulnerable to fading.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.69199, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.6906 swing high opens path toward 0.6920
Loss of 0.6885 support reopens the 0.6875 low
US Michigan inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD demand
AUDUSD has clawed back to 0.69007 — right at the 50% retrace of the 0.69267-0.68749 down leg — after basing near the 0.6875 session low through European hours. Bounce stalling into the round 0.6900 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 0.69062 swing high caps for now.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69062 opens the path toward the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 session low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
Rounded base into 0.6900, higher lows since the dip.
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.68749 in early hours then ground back through the London-NY transition into the 0.6900 round number, where USD demand off in-line US PCE keeps rallies capped. Price is consolidating just under 0.6900 with RSI mid-range; the 0.6920 cap flagged on the broader read remains untested.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 invalidates the range-cap read
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the session low at 0.68749
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations ~14:00 UTC could shift USD demand
Higher lows since 0.68749 low, capped under 0.6906.
AUDUSD has clawed back from the 0.68749 session low to 0.69004, posting higher lows into the London-NY window and holding above the 0.6900 round number. The leg retraces roughly half of the earlier 0.69267-0.68749 sell-off; broader AUD tone stays bearish but M15 shows a corrective bounce, with 0.69062 the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6890, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6910
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69062 opens the path back to 0.69100
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens downside toward 0.68850 then 0.68749
Michigan inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD demand and this read
10:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows, stalling at 0.6900 · RSI 57 · price 0.69004
Rebound from 0.6875, grinding into 0.6900 psych.
AUDUSD rebounded off the 0.6875 session low and has retraced roughly half the prior decline back into the 0.6900 psych level, RSI(14) recovering to the mid-50s. Move tracks the broader oversold-bounce context after in-line US PCE took some fuel out of the dollar; 0.6906 recent high and the 0.6920 range cap are the levels overhead to watch.
Support: 0.68885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 0.6906 opens room toward the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.68885 reopens the 0.6875 session low
Bounce off the 0.68749 session low through London, reclaiming the 0.6900 round number with RSI(14) near 57. Price has retraced roughly half of the prior 0.6927-0.6875 decline on a chain of higher lows; broader AUD stays pressured on hawkish-Fed USD demand.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6906 recent high opens path toward the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 swing low reopens the 0.68749 session low
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations ~14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
AUDUSD carved a rounded base off the 0.6875 session low during NY hours and has reclaimed the 0.6900 psych level, RSI(14) firming near 59. Recovery is grinding into the 0.6920 range cap flagged into NY; demand stepped in repeatedly around 0.6880.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6926
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 invalidates the range-cap read, opens 0.6926
Failure to hold 0.6900 reopens 0.6875 session low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Recovery off intraday low · RSI 56 · price 0.69003
Higher lows since 0.68749, reclaiming 0.6900.
AUDUSD ground back up from the intraday low at 0.68749 in a chain of higher lows and has just reclaimed the 0.6900 round number into London-NY hours, retracing roughly half of the 0.69267-0.68749 drop. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, with the broader skid to fresh April lows still the backdrop.
Support: 0.6900, 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6906, 0.6915
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69060 session high opens the path to 0.69150
Failure to hold 0.6900 round number puts 0.68850 swing low back in play
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
AUDUSD ground out higher lows off the 0.68749 session low and is now stalling at the 0.6900 area, the 50% retrace of the prior 0.69267-0.68749 decline. Broadly oversold AUD per the macro read, with bounces toward the 0.6920 range cap repeatedly faded. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.69062, 0.6920
What it said to watch
A close above 0.69062 session high opens the path to the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 swing low reopens 0.68749
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
09:47 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 61 · price 0.69007
Choppy range 0.6875–0.6927, mid-range.
AUDUSD sold from the 0.69267 day high down to 0.68749 through the London-NY session, then recovered back to the 0.6900 psych level, which lines up with the 50% retrace of that move. RSI(14) near 60 as buyers stepped in off the lows; price is mid-range with 0.69050 capping near term.
Support: 0.6890, 0.68749, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.6905, 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69050 reopens the 0.69160 swing high
Failure to hold 0.6890 reopens the 0.68749 day low
RBA Bullock speech (Sun) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 session low and ground back toward 0.6900 through London hours, now holding the 50% retrace of the earlier drop from 0.69267. RSI(14) is mid-range near 56 and price sits just above both EMAs; rising intraday lows but the 0.69040 recent high still caps.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6904, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close above 0.69040 opens the path to the 0.6920 range cap
Loss of 0.68850 reopens the 0.68749 session low
0.6920 flagged as a level where rallies have been fading
AUDUSD has clawed back to the 0.6900 round number after sweeping the session low at 0.6875, with the broad picture an 8-day skid to fresh April lows on firm USD demand. RSI(14) is mid-range near 54 and price sits at the midpoint of the 0.6927-0.6875 fall; the 0.6920 area has repeatedly capped bounces.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6927
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 invalidates the range-cap read
Failure to hold 0.6875 confirms a lower low
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 0.6900
Intraday range, higher lows building.
AUDUSD clawed back to the 0.6900 psych level after the London session swept a low at 0.6875, with higher lows building into NY hours. AUD sits near April lows and broadly oversold; this is a recovery within range rather than a trend leg, RSI cooling around mid-50s.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6875, 0.6850
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 breaks the range cap
Failure to hold 0.6875 confirms a lower low toward 0.6850
RBA Bullock speech (Sun) is a high-impact upcoming catalyst
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing on the day · RSI 54 · price 0.68951
Consolidation off session low, mild higher lows.
AUDUSD based at 0.68749 through the prior NY/Asia session and has ground back into a 0.6885–0.6898 consolidation, RSI(14) hovering near neutral after the slide from 0.6926. The broader USD-driven, eight-day skid keeps any push toward the 0.6920 cap on a short leash per the digest.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6898 opens the path toward the 0.6920 cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD is grinding near April lows around 0.6900 with the USD firm on hawkish-Fed pricing. After the dip to 0.68749 was bought back, price has spent the London session boxed between 0.6885 and 0.6898, stalling right at the 38.2% retrace of the 0.69267-0.68749 leg. RSI(14) is flat near 50 — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6910
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6898 range top opens the path to 0.6910
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 session low
AUDUSD carved a session low at 0.68749 in Asia, then recovered into the London session and is now ranging 0.68858–0.68996 just under the 0.6900 round number. Price sits near the 38.2% retrace of the prior 0.69267–0.68749 decline; the broader skid to April lows keeps capping rallies near 0.6900.
Support: 0.68858, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68996, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 reopens the path to 0.6912
Loss of 0.68858 puts the 0.68749 session low back in play
Move is well-discounted; fresh USD strength could pressure the lower band
AUDUSD ran the down-leg from 0.69267 into a 0.68749 day low during the Asia session, then recovered to retest 0.6898 session high before stalling. Price now consolidates near 0.6894 around the EMA20 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the recovery is holding above the recent low at 0.6887.
Support: 0.6887, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6898 session high opens the path back toward the 0.6920 uob cap
Failure to hold 0.6887 recent low re-exposes the 0.68749 day low
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
08:46 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.68979
Consolidation near multi-month lows after slide from 0.6926.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6926 to a session low at 0.68749 before basing and grinding back to 0.6898, hugging the 0.6900 pivot near multi-month lows. Price is now ranging 0.6885–0.6900 with RSI(14) neutral around 49; no directional setup in play.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6905, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 exposes 0.69050
Loss of 0.6885 reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun) and US Michigan inflation expectations today 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Spiked then sold to session low, now grinding back toward 0.6900.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.6927 then slid to a session low at 0.6875 through the London session, and is now grinding back toward the 0.6900 pivot it has been hugging. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with price back above EMA20 but capped under 0.6900; USD stays firm into Michigan inflation data.
Support: 0.68749, 0.68844
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69205
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.6875 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.6875 London low and has been grinding sideways in a 0.6885–0.6898 band, hugging the 0.6900 multi-month area as the firm USD into Michigan data caps recovery. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47 and price holds just above EMA20 but below EMA50 — basing, no clean break either way.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6900
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68850 reopens the 0.68749 session low
Close above 0.68980 challenges the 0.6900 psych cap
RBA Bullock (Sun) tone could reset this read
08:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 50 · price 0.68949
Higher lows since session low, capped under 0.6900.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 low into the London session and is now ranging 0.6885-0.6898 just below the 0.6900 pivot, with a chain of higher lows building. The Aussie stays heavy near multi-month lows as a firm USD caps recovery attempts; RSI(14) is neutral near 49.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6900, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens the path back to the 0.6920 range cap
Failure to hold 0.68850 reopens the 0.68749 session low
US Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
08:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 51 · price 0.68956
Recovering off session low, capped under 0.6900.
AUDUSD ran to 0.69267 in the NY session then unwound to 0.68749, and has since ground back to 0.6896 in the Asia-London transition, holding just above the 200-day/0.6900 base flagged in the macro read. Price is consolidating between 0.68850 and the 0.68993 session high, RSI(14) flat near 51 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68850 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.68749
Close above 0.68993 puts the 0.69170 prior swing back in play
RBA Bullock (Sun) and Minutes (Tue) ahead are the next directional catalysts
AUDUSD rebounded off the session low at 0.68749 and is now ranging 0.68850–0.68960 just below the 0.6900 psych level, with the broader picture heavy near 7-month lows after firm US PCE. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme; the round number caps the recovery for now.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 opens the path back to 0.69170
Loss of 0.68850 reopens the 0.68749 session low
US Michigan sentiment / Fed speak ~14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, now ranging near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.68911
Consolidation above session low.
AUDUSD is ranging 0.6885–0.6899 after bouncing off the session low at 0.68749, sitting heavy near 7-month lows as firm US PCE keeps the USD bid. Price hugs the EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range — no clean intraday structure in play.
Support: 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68993
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68845 reopens the 0.68749 session low
M15 close above 0.68993 challenges the range top
RBA Gov Bullock (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.68911
Lower highs into a tight base above session low.
AUDUSD ran to 0.69267 in the London window then sellers faded it through NY to a 0.68749 low, with the pair pinned near 7-month lows and unable to hold gains even after the firm AU jobs beat. Now consolidating 0.6885-0.6897 just under EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range at ~46.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6897, 0.6915
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 0.68970 breaks the consolidation and opens the 0.69150 area
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 0.68921
Ranging after recovery from session low.
AUDUSD slid through the Asia session to a low of 0.68749, then London hours clawed it back into a 0.68845-0.68993 range. RSI(14) is mid-band near 48 and the pair remains heavy below 0.6900, consistent with AUD failing to rally near 7-month lows while firm US PCE caps any USD pullback.
Support: 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.6900, 0.69105
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and reopens 0.6835
Close above 0.69000 needed to negate the range top
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Downtrend on the day, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.68921
Lower high off 0.69267, basing above 0.6885.
AUDUSD sold off from the 0.69267 daily high through the US session to 0.68749, then recovered into Asia and is now ranging 0.6885-0.6897 into the London open. The Aussie stays heavy near 7-month lows around 0.6900 as firm US PCE keeps a lid on bounces; no setup in play inside the range.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68993, 0.6910
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68850 reopens the day low at 0.68749
Close above 0.68993 challenges the 0.6900 round number
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.6892
Lower highs off 0.6927 peak, basing above 0.6875.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.6927 session high then sold off through the NY session to a 0.6875 low, with USD/Fed pricing capping the move despite the soft US PCE print. Price is now consolidating 0.6885–0.6897 around EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6897, 0.6900, 0.6926
What it said to watch
A close above 0.6900 reclaims the round number and opens 0.6926
Failure to hold 0.6875 confirms a lower low toward 0.6835 key support
RBA Bullock (Sun) and minutes (Tue) ahead — key catalysts for the next leg
AUD slid to a session low at 0.6875 in early London hours, then bounced to retest the 0.6900 round number before easing back; now ranging 0.6885–0.6900 with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR a tight ~5 pips. USD firmness keeps the Aussie heavy and the broader slide intact, no clean setup in play.
Support: 0.6885, 0.6875
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6875 confirms a lower low, opens the path toward 0.6835
Close above 0.6900 round number needed to reclaim ground
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:17 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.68938
Bounce from 0.6875, capped below 0.6900.
AUDUSD slid from the NY session high at 0.69267 down to 0.68749 through the Asia session, then recovered to consolidate around 0.6890 in early London, with RSI(14) neutral near 53. The 0.6900 psych level is capping the bounce; the broader AUD-heavy theme keeps rebounds shallow per the digest.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6884
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917, 0.6927
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 then 0.6917 unwinds the recovery cap
Failure to hold 0.6875 session low reopens the slide toward 0.6835
RBA Bullock (Sun) and minutes (Tue) could shift the read
07:16 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.68938
Session low set, building higher lows.
AUD slid to a session low at 0.68749 during Asia hours, with the broader M15 sequence still lower-high/lower-low off the 0.69267 peak. Into the London session price has clawed back above EMA20 to 0.68938, carving higher lows around 0.6885; the 0.6900 round number now caps the recovery. RSI mid-range — no extreme.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6916
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 opens the path back toward the 0.69160 swing high
Loss of the 0.68850 higher low reopens the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun) and minutes (Tue) could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.6927, session low 0.6875 holding.
AUDUSD slid through the NY-Asia transition to a session low of 0.6875 before recovering ~20 pips, now testing 0.6896 below the 0.6900 round number. RSI(14) back near neutral after rejection at the 0.6920-0.6927 session highs; the broad slide reflects USD strength capping AUD despite firm domestic data.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6910, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens the path back toward 0.6920
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.6875 session low
RBA Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Recovering after intraday slide · RSI 54 · price 0.68957
Rising lows off session low, capped under 0.6900.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.68749 session low overnight then ground back up through Asia into the London open, now consolidating just under the 0.6900 round number with a chain of higher lows from 0.68845. RSI(14) near 54 and ATR around 6 pips — tight, directionless price ahead of the macro catalysts.
Support: 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens a retest of the 0.69267 day high
Loss of the 0.68845 higher low re-exposes the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun) and minutes (Tue) are the next material catalysts
AUDUSD sold off to a session low of 0.68749 during NY hours, then recovered into early London and is now consolidating between 0.68845 and 0.68976 just under the 0.6900 handle. RSI(14) sits neutral near 54; AUD stays heavy near 0.6900 with the strong jobs beat failing to lift it. Bounce structure intact while higher lows off 0.68749 hold.
Support: 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68976, 0.6900, 0.6910
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 psych extends the recovery toward 0.69100
Loss of 0.68845 reopens 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock (Sun) and minutes (Tue) are the next directional catalysts
06:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, ranging · RSI 54 · price 0.68956
Swept 0.6875 lows, basing under 0.6896.
AUDUSD swept the 0.6875 swing low during the NY session then recovered, now stalling at the 0.6896 session high near the 38.2% retrace of the 0.6927-0.6875 drop. Strong May jobs and an in-line US PCE failed to move the pair, leaving it idling near 0.6900; RSI(14) back to neutral around 54.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6896 then 0.6900 opens path back toward 0.6927
Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the 0.6875 swing low
Asian session still developing — range break either side sets the next leg
06:31 UTC
Recovery off lows within broader downtrend · RSI 54 · price 0.68957
Rebound from 0.6875 swing low, capped below 0.6914.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.68749 swing low and has clawed back to 0.6896 through the Asia session, in line with the oversold-consolidation read near 0.6900. RSI(14) is mid-range and price sits above EMA20 but below EMA50, leaving the recovery capped under the 0.6914 pivot.
Support: 0.68845, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68946, 0.6914, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69140 invalidates the lower-high read
Loss of 0.68749 swing low reopens the move lower
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
06:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, oversold bounce in play · RSI 51 · price 0.68957
Recovered off session low, consolidating sub-0.6900.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.69267 swing high to a session low at 0.68749, then bounced and is now consolidating just under the 0.6900 psych level with RSI back to neutral. Price sits above EMA20 but capped below EMA50, with the digest noting deeply oversold positioning near 7-month lows.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6900 psych opens the path back toward 0.69267 swing high
Failure to hold 0.68749 session low confirms a lower low
RBA Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, now consolidating · RSI 47 · price 0.68896
Lower highs from 0.6927, bounce off 0.6875 session low.
NY session topped at the 0.6927 session high before drifting into an Asian-session low of 0.6875, where buyers stepped in. Price is now consolidating near 0.6890 into early London, capped by the 38.2% fib at 0.68947 and the 0.6915 intraday pivot; RSI(14) is neutral around 47.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.68947, 0.6915, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.6915 intraday pivot would open the path back to the 0.6927 session high
Loss of the 0.6875 session low exposes the 0.6835 key support
US Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 0.68896
Range after leg lower off 0.6926.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6926 to a session low at 0.68749 then bounced, now consolidating 0.6885–0.6895 with RSI(14) back to neutral. AUD stays heavy near 0.6900 after firm US PCE reinforced Fed-hawkish bets; the recovery has stalled below the 0.6900 round number.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.68946, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 round number opens path back to 0.6917
Failure to hold 0.6885 swing low exposes the 0.68749 session low
RBA Bullock speech Sunday could shift the read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 0.68923
Bounce off 0.6875 low, ranging.
AUDUSD bounced off the 0.6875 swing low and is consolidating 0.6885-0.6896 into the London open, with AUD heavy near 0.6900 after a firm US PCE print. Price holds just above EMA20 but below EMA50, RSI(14) flat near midline — no momentum either way.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6896, 0.69191, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close above 0.6896 swing high opens the path toward the 0.6919 lower high
Failure to hold 0.6875 swing low confirms a fresh lower low
RBA Bullock speech (Sun) and US Michigan data 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.68923
Lower highs into a base above 0.6875.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6927 to a 0.68749 swing low during the European session as AUD stayed heavy after firm US PCE, then based and ground back toward 0.6892. Recovery is capped under the 0.68961 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 51 after the bounce.
Support: 0.68749, 0.68835
Resistance: 0.68961, 0.69199
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.68961 opens the path back toward 0.6920
Loss of 0.68749 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.6835
US Michigan inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:46 UTC
Pullback recovering within range · RSI 51 · price 0.68915
Range, holding 0.6880-0.6920.
AUDUSD slid to a 0.68749 session low before buyers stepped in, recovering to 0.68915 and holding the 0.6880-0.6920 range flagged into Asia hours. RSI(14) back at neutral ~50 after dipping with the late-session sell-off; price reclaimed EMA20 but sits below EMA50.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6895, 0.6900, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6920 escapes the range toward 0.6927
Loss of 0.68749 session low opens path toward 0.6835
US Michigan/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone
05:46 UTC
Ranging, recovering off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.68915
Range after pullback from 0.6926.
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6926 session high through London-Asia hours to a 0.68749 low, then clawed back to 0.6890 where it now coils. Price is back above EMA20 but below EMA50, RSI(14) neutral near 49 — no momentum either way, demand stepping in near 0.6885.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.68946, 0.6905
What it said to watch
Close above 0.68946 reopens the 0.6905 prior high
Loss of 0.68749 session low confirms a fresh lower-low
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.68944
Recovering after session-low sweep, rising lows building.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.69267 day high to a 0.68749 session low during early Asia, then recovered to 0.6894 on a chain of rising lows. RSI back near 49 from oversold; the 0.6900 round number caps the bounce while 0.68850 swing-low holds underneath.
Support: 0.6885, 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69000 round number opens the path back to the 0.69160 prior swing
Loss of 0.68749 session low confirms a fresh lower low
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 0.68944
Bounce from session low, higher lows building.
AUDUSD slid to a session low of 0.68749 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back toward 0.6895 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold. Pair now consolidating below the 0.6900 round number after the broader leg lower from 0.69267.
Support: 0.6875, 0.68845
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 opens the path back toward 0.69267
Loss of 0.6875 confirms a lower low and resumes the downtrend
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 47 · price 0.68914
Lower highs into a 0.6875-0.6894 base.
AUDUSD slid from 0.6920 to a 0.68749 session low before buyers stepped in twice around 0.6875, lifting price back to ~0.6890; the pair remains heavy near 0.6900 after its multi-day slide. Now consolidating in a tight 0.6875-0.6894 base with RSI(14) mid-range and price capped below the 0.6905 pivot.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6880
Resistance: 0.68936, 0.6905
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.68936 reopens the 0.69050 swing pivot
RBA Bullock speech Sunday could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 47 · price 0.68914
Lower highs into 0.6875 low, now consolidating.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6927 swing high through the NY session to a 0.68749 low, then stabilised and is now consolidating near 0.6890 below EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from oversold; the rebound off the session low is holding the 0.6884 area.
Support: 0.68749, 0.68835
Resistance: 0.68936, 0.69071, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68749 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.69071 lower high would challenge the downtrend structure
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 43 · price 0.68866
Lower highs into session low, modest recovery.
AUDUSD slid from the 0.69267 swing high to a session low at 0.68749 through the Asian session, then recovered into the London open back to 0.68866, RSI(14) ~43 off the lows. Price sits near the lower edge of the broader 0.6880-0.6920 range with sellers having capped at the 0.68916 bounce high.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.68916, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6835 area
Recovery above 0.68916 needed to re-challenge the 0.6900 psych level
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, near session lows · RSI 42 · price 0.68866
Lower highs, lower lows since the 0.6927 peak.
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, sliding from the 0.6927 peak to a session low of 0.68749 in late NY before a shallow bounce to 0.68936 stalled. Price is fading back near 0.6887 with AUD heavy around 0.6900; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.68936, 0.6900
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 0.6835 area
Reclaim of 0.69000 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
RBA Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
AUD slid through Asian hours from the 0.69267 session high to a 0.68749 low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. The bounce stalled at 0.68915 and price sits back below 0.6900, holding the down-leg's lower-high structure.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.68915, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 confirms a lower low toward 0.6835 support
Close back above 0.6900 invalidates the lower-high read
AUDUSD slid from the 0.6920s to a session low at 0.68749 in late NY hours, then printed a double bottom near 0.6876 and bounced to 0.6892 before easing back toward 0.6887 in early Asia. RSI mid-40s, no momentum extreme; soft Aussie CPI and hawkish-Fed bets keep rallies capped under 0.6900.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.68936, 0.6900, 0.69191
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 0.68936 / 0.6900 needed to negate the downtrend read
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.68914
Lower highs, holding above session low.
NY session pressed AUD/USD down to a 0.68749 session low near 7-month lows on the hawkish-Fed PCE backdrop; price has since recovered ~16 pips into Asia and is ranging around 0.6890. RSI(14) back to neutral with momentum flat below the 0.6900 round level.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6835 range floor
Close above 0.6900 needed to challenge session high 0.69267
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT is a near-term catalyst
Lower highs into 0.68749 low, corrective bounce in play.
AUDUSD slid through the NY-Asia transition to a session low at 0.68749 as hot US PCE kept the Aussie pressured, then bounced back to 0.6891. Price is reclaiming the 0.6890 area but capped by a descending lower-high sequence from 0.69267; RSI(14) recovered to mid-40s, no extreme in play.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6883, 0.6830
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69199, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69199 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.68749 opens the 0.6835/0.6830 range floor
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD topped at 0.6926 then rolled over, breaking the 0.6910 consolidation and the 0.6900 round number into a session low of 0.68749. Buyers stepped in twice near 0.6876 and the pair has recovered to 0.6889; AUD stays heavy near 7-month lows on hawkish-Fed PCE.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6926
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6900 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.6875 opens the path toward 0.6835 march low
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a session low at 0.68749, modest recovery.
AUDUSD ground out a chain of lower highs through the session before tagging 0.68749, then bounced to 0.6890 as a hot US PCE keeps the dollar firm and pins the Aussie near 7-month lows. Price sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 0.6900 round number caps the rebound.
Support: 0.68749, 0.68802, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.68936, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 reopens the 0.69267 session high
Break of 0.68749 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.6835
RBA Bullock Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68919
Lower highs, session low swept and reclaimed.
AUDUSD swept the session low at 0.68749 during Asia hours then recovered to 0.6892, RSI(14) lifting off the lows. Pair stays pressured near 7-month lows after the hot US PCE print, with structure printing lower highs into the 0.6900 round number.
Support: 0.68749
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6916
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.6900 round number challenges the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.68749 session low opens continuation toward 0.6835
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68919
Lower highs into session low, early recovery.
Aussie sold from the session high 0.6927 through NY into 0.6875, then bounced to 0.6892 in early Asia with RSI(14) near 44 recovering. Soft AU CPI and hawkish Fed PCE keep the read heavy; buyers stepped in at the 0.6875 session low while the 0.6900 round number caps the recovery.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.6875 session low resumes the downleg toward 0.6835
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number eases the intraday pressure
RBA Bullock Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground lower through the Asia session, breaking the 0.6900 round number and printing a fresh session low at 0.68749 before a shallow bounce to 0.6883. Hot US PCE keeps the Aussie pressured, RSI(14) near 37 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6883, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.68749 opens the 0.6835 support zone
RBA Bullock speech later Sun could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over through the Asia session, breaking the 0.6900 consolidation and pressing a fresh session low at 0.68749 as soft AU CPI and a hot US PCE keep the Aussie pressured. RSI(14) near 34, momentum heavy but not yet at extreme; prior support at 0.6890 now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.69071, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6890 negates the breakdown read
Break of 0.68749 opens 0.6835 support
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could reshape this read
Aussie sold through the Asia session, breaking below 0.6900 and printing a session low at 0.6875 as soft CPI and a hawkish-Fed PCE print keep AUD pressured. Price hovers 0.6880, below EMA20 and EMA50, with the 0.6920 range top having capped earlier bounces.
Support: 0.6875, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 would ease the bearish read
Break of 0.6835 opens deeper support toward the March-April trough
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT a high-impact risk for this read
AUDUSD rolled over from the 0.69267 swing high, breaking the 0.6900 psych level and printing a fresh session low at 0.68749 as hawkish US PCE kept the Aussie pressured. Price bounced modestly to 0.68818 with RSI(14) near 37 off oversold; the 0.6890 prior swing now caps as resistance.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6870
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 psych invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.68749 session low extends toward 0.6835 context support
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD rolled over after the 0.69267 session high, grinding out lower highs and breaking the 0.6890 floor to print a fresh session low at 0.68749. The Aussie stays heavy near 7-month lows with hot US PCE underpinning the USD; RSI(14) near 37, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.69014, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68749 opens the 0.6835/0.6830 support zone
Reclaim of 0.6890 would unwind the lower-high structure
RBA Bullock speech Sun 28 Jun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD slid through the Asia session to a fresh session low at 0.68749 after stalling under the 0.6920 range top, with sellers leaning on the 0.6900 round number on the bounce. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) near 38, in step with the AUD-heavy tone after hot US PCE.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 eases the downside pressure
Break of 0.68749 opens the 0.6835 key support
RBA Bullock speech later Sunday (12:15 GMT) could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 0.68829
Lower highs, broke session range floor.
AUDUSD sold off through the Asian session, breaking the 0.6890 floor and sweeping to a session low at 0.68749 before a shallow bounce to 0.68829. The slide extends the broader Aussie weakness flagged after hot US PCE; RSI(14) near 36, not yet extreme. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with no reclaim attempt yet.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6890
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6890 would neutralise the breakdown read
Loss of 0.68749 opens the path toward 0.6835 support
RBA Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD sold off in late NY into Asia hours, breaking the 0.6900 floor and printing a fresh session low at 0.68749 before a modest bounce to 0.68829. Sequence of lower highs since the 0.69267 peak holds; soft Aussie CPI versus a hot US PCE keeps the pair pressured near 7-month lows.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6870, 0.6830
Resistance: 0.6890, 0.6900, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.68900 would ease the breakdown read
Loss of 0.68749 opens the path toward 0.68300 digest support
RBA Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) could materially shift this read
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6900 round number late in the Asia session and printed a fresh session low at 0.6875, RSI(14) sliding toward 33. The leg follows a hawkish-Fed PCE read that keeps the Aussie pressured near 7-month lows; price gave back the entire prior push to 0.6926.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6850, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69173, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68749 opens the 0.6835 key support
Reclaim of 0.6900 round number would neutralise the breakdown
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
AUDUSD broke below the 0.6907 consolidation floor during Asia hours and printed a fresh session low at 0.68749, holding near 7-month lows after the soft CPI and hawkish-Fed PCE backdrop. RSI(14) near 33, momentum firmly to the downside with price below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.68749, 0.6830
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6907, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.6900 would negate the breakdown
Break of 0.6835/0.6830 opens the March-April lows
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT is a high-impact risk for this read
02:16 UTC
Downtrend resuming, fading from NY highs · RSI 36 · price 0.6884
Lower highs, pressing window lows.
AUDUSD ran up to a session high of 0.6927 during NY hours, then bled lower through the session and is now pressing the window low at 0.6884 into Asia, with hawkish US PCE and soft AUD CPI keeping the Aussie heavy. Lower highs at 0.6920 and 0.6910 capped each bounce; RSI(14) near 36 with no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.6920, 0.6927
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6910 intraday pivot needed to ease downside pressure
Break of 0.6835 key support opens March-April lows
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 GMT could materially shift the read
AUDUSD faded from the 0.6926 NY swing high and rolled over through the 0.6907 consolidation, now printing fresh session lows at 0.6884 in late Asia hours. Aussie stays heavy after the hawkish-Fed PCE print, RSI(14) near 34 with no bounce yet.
Support: 0.6884, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6907, 0.6920, 0.6926
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.6907 would negate the breakdown
Sustained break of 0.6835 opens the March low region
RBA Bullock speech (Sun 12:15 GMT) is a HIGH-impact risk that can shift this read
AUDUSD remains pinned near 0.6900 and seven-month lows; the London-NY rally to 0.6926 faded and price has bled back to session lows at 0.6887 through Asia hours. Lower highs are stacking under 0.6917 with RSI(14) near 34, price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.6887, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6917, 0.6926
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6887 opens the path toward the 0.6835 trough
Reclaim of 0.6917 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend after NY peak fade · RSI 39 · price 0.6890
Lower highs off 0.69267, back at session lows.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high at 0.69267 during NY hours then faded steadily, printing lower highs and slipping back under the 0.6900 psych line to retest the session low near 0.6887. RSI(14) sits soft around 39 with price below both EMAs; the pair remains pinned near 7-month lows after the in-line US PCE failed to extend the Dollar bid.
Support: 0.68854, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.69175, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 session low opens the 0.6835/0.6833 March trough
Reclaim of the 0.6900 psych line would ease the lower-high pressure
RBA Bullock (Sun) could materially shift this read on the on-hold narrative
AUD's NY-session rally to 0.69267 has fully retraced; price drifted back to session lows near 0.6890 through quiet Asia hours, RSI(14) sub-35. The Aussie stays pinned near 7-month lows after the move higher was faded.
Support: 0.6889, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6889 opens the path toward the 0.6883 trough
Reclaim of 0.6920 would revive the faded bounce
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Intraday fade, back near session lows · RSI 40 · price 0.68901
NY rally fully retraced, lower highs.
AUDUSD spiked through 0.6900 to a 0.69267 session high during NY hours, then bled the entire move back through the Asian session to 0.6890, now sitting on the 0.68896 session low. RSI(14) near 40 and price below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the rally is fully unwound; ATR has compressed to ~4 pips in thin Asian trade.
Support: 0.68896, 0.68854, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68883 confirms a lower-low, exposing the 0.6835 march trough
Reclaim of 0.6900 negates the fade back toward 0.69170
RBA Bullock (Sun) is a weekend gap risk for this read
Rejected at 0.6927 session high, lower highs into 0.6898.
Prior session spiked AUDUSD off 0.6885 to a 0.6927 session high before the move faded back to 0.6898 through the Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Now grinding lower-highs near the session base at 0.6896 with no clear setup in play.
Support: 0.6896, 0.68854
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6896 opens the path to the 0.6885 pre-spike low
Reclaim of 0.6916 would re-engage the session high at 0.6927
RBA Bullock (Sun) and Minutes (Tue) are the key upcoming risk for this pair
01:31 UTC
Pulling back from session high, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 0.68976
Lower highs off 0.6926, fading toward range base.
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.6926 session high then faded steadily back to 0.6898, now sitting below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40. Price is grinding into the 0.6896 swing-low base; the deeper 0.6885/0.6883 region marks the next downside pivot per the on-hold-RBA narrative.
Support: 0.68957, 0.68854, 0.68835
Resistance: 0.69173, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.6885 opens the path to the 0.6835/0.6833 trough
Reclaim of 0.6917 prior high reopens 0.6926 session high
RBA Bullock (Sun) and Minutes (Tue) could materially shift this read
London-NY hours broke out of the Asian range and pushed to a session high at 0.69267, but the move was rejected and price has bled back to 0.6900 in a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) near 42 with price under EMA20/50 — momentum has rolled over after the spike.
Support: 0.68957, 0.68854
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.69100 reopens the 0.69267 session high
Failure to hold 0.68957 exposes the 0.68854 spike low
RBA Bullock speech Sun could reset this read on the open
Lower highs since 0.6927 peak, ranging near figure.
AUDUSD spiked to a session high of 0.69267 mid-window on a softer post-PCE USD, then faded steadily back to the 0.6900 figure with a chain of lower highs. Price now sits pinned near 7-month lows, RSI(14) cooling toward 43 and trading below both EMAs.
Support: 0.68957, 0.68854, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.69199, 0.69267, 0.6920
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68957 session low confirms a lower-low toward the 0.6883 trough
Reclaim of 0.69199 lower high needed to challenge the 0.69267 session high
AUDUSD rolled over from the NY session high at 0.69267 and has drifted back to 0.6900 through thin Asian-session hours, printing a chain of lower highs. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI near 42; the 0.68957 session low is the immediate floor with the 0.68854 swing low beneath, both near AUD's well-flagged 7-month-low zone.
Support: 0.68957, 0.68854
Resistance: 0.6916, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68957 confirms continuation toward the 0.68854 swing low
M15 close back above 0.69160 negates the lower-high sequence
RBA Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD spiked to a 0.69267 session high through the London-NY window then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, fading back under the 0.6900 round number in Asia. RSI(14) near 41 with price below EMA20/50; AUD stays pinned at 7-month lows as the hawkish-Fed/oversold-Aussie tug persists.
Support: 0.68957, 0.68868, 0.68854
Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68957 confirms a lower low and exposes the 0.68854 base
Reclaim of 0.69170 needed to re-challenge the 0.69267 session high
RBA Bullock (Sun) could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 0.6927, drifting toward session base.
London open spiked AUDUSD out of the Asian range and early NY pushed to a 0.6927 session high before sellers capped it; price has since bled back to 0.6898 with RSI cooling to the low 40s. The 0.6920 area is acting as a cap and the move is retesting the lower end of the day's range near the 0.6885/0.6896 base.
Support: 0.68957, 0.6885, 0.6835
Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close below 0.6885 7-month low opens 0.6835 key support
Reclaim of 0.6920 cap negates the lower-high read
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rally faded · RSI 41 · price 0.6898
Lower highs unwinding from session high.
NY session pushed AUDUSD to a session high of 0.69267 before the move faded, with price grinding back to 0.6898 through late NY and thin Asia hours. RSI(14) cooling near 40 and price has slipped below both EMAs; the rally retracement has unwound past the 78.6% fib, sitting just above the 0.68957 swing low.
Support: 0.68957, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68957 opens the 0.6885 7mo low
Reclaim of 0.6917 consol top negates the pullback read
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reset USD tone
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off highs · RSI 41 · price 0.68978
Lower highs since 0.69267 peak.
London/NY spiked to 0.69267 on the post-PCE move then faded through the NY session, and Asia is now grinding the gains back toward the 0.6895 session low on thin volume. RSI(14) sits near 40 with price below both EMAs, the rally fully unwound.
Support: 0.68955, 0.68854, 0.6883
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68855 reopens the 0.6883 7-month low
Reclaim of 0.69100 would stall the lower-high sequence
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could shift this read
London-NY session drove AUD up to 0.69267 before supply capped near the 0.6920 area and price faded back into the 0.6890s through thin Asian liquidity. Sub-EMA20/50 now with RSI(14) near 42; the session rally has been fully unwound.
Support: 0.6893, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.6920, 0.69267
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.68930 opens the 0.6885 7-month low
Reclaim of 0.69100 plateau negates the pullback read
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Short-term down, fading off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.68994
Lower highs since 0.6927, retesting session low.
AUDUSD rallied through the London-NY session to 0.69267 before fading on a firm USD post-PCE, printing a chain of lower highs back to the session low at 0.68975. Price is now grinding the bottom of the day's range around 0.6899 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, having retraced most of the prior leg up.
Support: 0.68975, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6907, 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68975 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6885 7mo low
Reclaim of 0.6907 / 0.6917 would negate the intraday decline
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC and US Michigan inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 38 · price 0.68994
Lower highs since 0.6927, back at session lows.
Rally to 0.6927 during London-NY hours has bled lower through Asia, with a clean chain of lower highs and price back at the session low near 0.6899. RSI(14) at 38 reflects the fade; ATR has compressed to a few pips in the quiet Asian hours.
Support: 0.68975, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.6917, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68975 session low opens the 0.6885 7mo low
Reclaim of 0.6917 swing would break the lower-high chain
RBA Gov Bullock speech Sun 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Rolled over from session high, pulling back to 0.6900.
AUDUSD spiked off 0.6885 into the London-NY window and tagged a session high at 0.69267 before sellers capped it near 0.6920, with the bounce coming as the dollar eased off recent tops. Price has since faded through quiet Asia hours back to the 0.6900 round number, sitting on the 0.618 retracement of that leg as RSI cools toward 42.
Support: 0.68983, 0.6885
Resistance: 0.69199, 0.69267
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.68983 swing low reopens the 0.6885 window low
Reclaim of 0.69199 prior cap revives the move toward the 0.69267 session high
NAB Business Confidence in ~2h could shake the thin Asian range
NY session pushed to a 0.69267 swing high before fading; the move has fully unwound back to the 0.69000 psych level into thin Asian hours. Price slipped under the 0.69100 prior cap and is now probing the 0.68983 session low, RSI(14) soft near 42.
Support: 0.68983, 0.6887
Resistance: 0.6910, 0.6920
What it said to watch
Close below 0.68983 confirms a lower-low and opens the 0.6835 magnet
Reclaim of 0.69100 negates the lower-high sequence
NAB Business Confidence (~2h) could shift this read