Asia session opened Monday with a weekend gap up to 0.69953, extending to a false break of 0.70000 into 0.70063 before rejection on thin volume. Price has faded back to 0.6993 with RSI(14) neutral near 47; buyers held 0.69904 on the pullback.
Support: 0.69904, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70063 reopens the 0.7025 topside cap
Loss of 0.69807 fills the weekend gap
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 is the key catalyst that could shift this read
Sunday reopen probed above the figure then reversed, now ranging.
Thin Sunday reopen poked above the 0.70 figure to 0.70063 then rejected straight back under it, now drifting around 0.6993. Move stalled at the psychological level on light volume; price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6982
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70063 reopens the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
Loss of 0.69900 exposes the 0.69820 swing low
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Week reopened with a gap higher to 0.6995 and a spike to 0.70063 before rejection at the 0.70 psych level; price has since drifted back to 0.6991 on very thin liquidity. RSI cooling toward the mid-40s with the 0.69904 session low holding for now.
Support: 0.69904, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7027
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69904 session low opens 0.6980 prior range
Reclaim of 0.70000 psych needed to retarget 0.70063 session high
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst
23:32 UTC
Week-open pop fading · RSI 44 · price 0.6991
Gap up, rejected at 0.70, drifting back.
AUDUSD gapped higher into the Sunday open and probed 0.70063 before the 0.70 round number capped it; price has since faded to 0.6991 on thin liquidity. RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range as the week-open pop unwinds, with 0.699 the first floor.
Support: 0.69904, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
Sustained trade back above 0.70000 reopens the 0.70063 session high
Loss of 0.69904 exposes the 0.69807 gap base
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Weekly reopen gapped up ~15 pips and spiked to a session high of 0.70063 before rejection at the figure pulled price back through 0.70000 to 0.69927. RSI(14) neutral near 50 after the fade; still holding above Friday's 0.69807 close, so the weekend gap remains unfilled.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Sustained move below 0.69807 fills the weekend gap
Close above 0.70063 reopens the 0.7025 five-week high cluster
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
23:17 UTC
Up early, fading back below 0.70 · RSI 45 · price 0.69927
Post-gap pop rejected at round number, drifting lower.
Asia open gapped up and probed 0.70063 before the 0.70000 round number rejected the move, price now fading back to 0.69927 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Sunday liquidity is thin; the topside cap at 0.70 is holding.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70063 opens the path to the 0.7025 cluster
Loss of 0.69900 confirms the gap-fade extending lower
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into the Sunday open and pushed to a session high of 0.70063 before stalling at the 0.7000 round number. Price is now fading back toward 0.699 on thin liquidity, RSI cooling to the midline.
Support: 0.6990, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.699 exposes the 0.69807 swing low
Break and hold above 0.70063 opens the 0.7025 cap
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
23:02 UTC
Range, fading from highs · RSI 47 · price 0.69919
Weekend gap up, rejected at 0.70.
Weekend gap opened near 0.6995 and spiked to 0.70063, but the 0.70 handle capped price and it faded back to 0.69919 into the Asia open. RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range as the early session gives back its push.
Support: 0.6990, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063
What it said to watch
Close below 0.69900 confirms failure of the gap-open push
Reclaim of 0.70000 reopens 0.70063 session high
AU Q2 CPI (Jul 29 01:30 UTC) and FOMC (Jul 29) are the dominant catalysts ahead
New week opened with a gap higher, probing the 0.7000 round number and tagging a session high of 0.70063 before rejecting back to 0.6993. RSI(14) is cooling from the spike while price holds above the EMA20; the round-number cap is respected for now.
Support: 0.6992, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70063 opens the 0.7025 five-week cluster
Failure to hold 0.69920 exposes 0.69807
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
AUDUSD opened the week with a gap up to 0.6995 on thin reopen liquidity, spiked to 0.70063 and was rejected back under the 0.70 handle. Price is now consolidating around 0.6993 with no clear intraday direction; volumes remain light.
Support: 0.6992, 0.6980
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.70063 opens the 0.7025 five-week cap
Loss of 0.69920 fills the weekend gap back toward 0.6980
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
AUDUSD gapped up on the Monday open and tagged 0.70063 before sellers rejected it back under the 0.70000 psych level, where price now sits. RSI(14) around 57 with no extreme; the topside cap at 0.7026 remains untested this session.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70063 opens the path to the 0.7026 cap
Loss of 0.69800 exposes the 0.69749 swing low
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that will reset this read
Gap-up open holding above 0.6992, session high at 0.70063.
AUDUSD opened the week with a gap up from Friday's 0.69807 close, spiking to 0.70063 before rejecting back below the 0.70000 psych level. Price is now consolidating around 0.6995, holding above the 0.69920 session low with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.6992, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70063 opens the path to the 0.7025 5-wk cap
Failure to hold 0.69920 exposes the 0.69807 gap fill
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst
22:17 UTC
Uptrend, testing round number · RSI 61 · price 0.69972
Weekend gap up, consolidating below 0.7000.
AUDUSD gapped up over the weekend from the 0.69807 Friday close and printed a session high at 0.70063 before easing back to hover just under the 0.7000 psych level. Thin early-week liquidity is keeping price penned between the gap open at 0.69953 and the round number; RSI(14) around 61.
Support: 0.69953, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70063, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70063 opens the path to the 0.7025 cap
Loss of the 0.69953 gap open exposes the 0.69807 gap fill
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
Sunday open gapped up ~15 pips from Friday's 0.69807 close and pushed to a session high of 0.70063 before easing back to the 0.70 round number. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s; the 0.6995 shelf is the first support keeping the gap intact.
Support: 0.6995, 0.69807, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70063, 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.69807 fills the weekend gap and negates the upside break
Sustained trade above 0.70063 opens the 0.7025-0.7028 five-week cap
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
AUDUSD gapped higher into the week open and is grinding through the 0.70 round number on thin volume, session high at 0.70018. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s — firm but not stretched — capped below the 0.7025-0.7028 five-week high cluster flagged as topside resistance.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69923, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.70018, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 0.70018 opens the path toward the 0.7025 5-week high
Loss of 0.70000 round number exposes the 0.69923 session low
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 is the dominant catalyst and can override this early-week structure
New session opened bid, clearing the 0.70 psych and tagging a session high at 0.70017 with price now at 0.70009. RSI(14) firm near 64, not yet stretched; 0.7025-0.7028 five-week high cluster is the next topside cap.
Support: 0.7000, 0.69943, 0.6990
Resistance: 0.70017, 0.70027
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70027 opens the path to the 5-week high cluster
Loss of 0.70000 psych puts price back into the prior 0.698 range
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.70 · RSI 62 · price 0.69982
Higher lows, weekend gap higher into psych level.
AUDUSD gapped higher into the fresh week and tagged 0.70018, testing the 0.70 psych level before easing to 0.69982. RSI(14) firm but not extreme; the 0.7025 cap flagged into Tuesday's AU CPI still sits overhead.
Support: 0.6995, 0.6990, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.70018, 0.7000, 0.70025
What it said to watch
Close above 0.70018/0.7025 opens the topside
Failure to hold 0.699 exposes friday close at 0.69807
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
21:47 UTC
Uptrend, gapped into 0.70 · RSI 66 · price 0.69982
Weekend gap up, testing round number.
Thin Sunday Asia open gapped AUDUSD up through the 0.70 round number, tagging 0.70018 before easing to 0.69982. Momentum firm with RSI(14) mid-60s, but liquidity is minimal (volume single digits) so the print is unreliable until London.
Support: 0.69953, 0.69807
Resistance: 0.70018, 0.7026
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.70018 opens the 0.7025-0.7028 five-week high cluster
Failure to hold the 0.69953 gap open risks a gap fill back to 0.69807
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
21:32 UTC
Uptrend, thin weekend open · RSI 64 · price 0.69986
Gap up above Friday close, testing 0.70.
AUDUSD reopened with a weekend gap higher, pushing from the 0.6995 open into the 0.70 psych level on thin Sunday liquidity. Friday chopped in a 0.6963-0.6976 range as strong AU PMIs were offset by USD strength; the gap now has price probing the session high at 0.70018.
Support: 0.69953, 0.6988, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70018, 0.7025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70018 opens the 0.7025 cluster
Failure to hold 0.69953 fills the weekend gap
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
21:32 UTC
Uptrend, probing 0.70 · RSI 66 · price 0.69986
Higher highs into round number after weekend gap up.
New week opened with a gap higher, price probing the 0.70000 round number after Friday's grind from 0.69749 up through 0.6990. RSI(14) firm near 66 but not yet stretched; the 0.70018 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 0.6980, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.70018, 0.7025
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.70018 opens the path toward the 0.7025-0.7028 cap
Failure to hold 0.69800 unwinds the new-week gap move
AU Q2 CPI on Jul 29 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
AUDUSD opened the new session with a weekend gap up to 0.69978, pressing the round number and Friday's 0.70005 prior high. Price is holding just under the cap after chopping the prior day in a 0.6966-0.70005 range; the 0.69807 pre-gap close sits below as the gap fill.
Support: 0.69943, 0.69807, 0.69749
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.70005 opens the 0.7025 cap area
Failure to hold 0.69943 session low exposes the 0.69807 gap fill
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the next leg
21:17 UTC
Uptrend, gapped higher · RSI 65 · price 0.69972
Gap open above prior 0.698 consolidation, probing 0.70.
New session opened with a gap higher to 0.6997, clearing the prior 0.698 consolidation and pressing the 0.70 psych level and 0.70005 prior high. Gap bars are thin so the move is unconfirmed; AUD stays capped near 0.70 with next week's AU CPI the pivotal catalyst.
Support: 0.6980, 0.6976
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
A close back below 0.698 fills the gap and negates the gap-up read
Sustained break above 0.70005 opens the 0.7025 five-week cap
AU Q2 CPI (Jul 29) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
21:03 UTC
Up-leg faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 0.69807
Rejection at 0.7000, drifting lower highs.
AUDUSD tagged the 0.7000 handle at 0.70005 during NY hours then rejected, giving way to a slow drift back to 0.698 on thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 and price is back under EMA20/EMA50; series of lower highs since the 0.7000 test.
Support: 0.69787, 0.69739
Resistance: 0.70005, 0.6995
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.70005 needed to reopen the topside
Close below 0.69739 confirms a lower low
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead
21:03 UTC
Pullback after 0.70 rejection · RSI 44 · price 0.69807
Drifting off session high, consolidating near 50% retrace.
AUDUSD spiked to 0.70005 during NY hours then failed the round number, sliding back to 0.698 as US yields kept the Aussie capped. Price now sits at the 50% retrace of the rally with RSI cooling to the mid-40s and volume thinning into the session close.
Support: 0.69782, 0.6976, 0.69723
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.69965, 0.6989
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.69782 session low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.69760
Reclaim of 0.69965 session high reopens the 0.70000 round number
AU Q2 CPI Jul 29 01:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead