Higher-low structure intact since the early-month base, but the advance has stalled into a tight consolidation around the 0.7000 psych pivot, repeatedly capped near the 0.7026 50-DMA. ATR(14) has compressed as price coils between 0.6968 and 0.7008, with EMA20 and EMA50 flat beneath price — a breakout-pending posture. RBA CPI and this week's FOMC are the catalysts likely to resolve the range.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6942, 0.6920
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7008, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower low toward 0.6920
RBA Bullock speech (28 Jul) and Q2 CPI (29 Jul) could break the coil
FOMC this week could materially shift the USD leg
21:04 UTC
Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 52 · price 0.69917
Consolidation below 0.7025 cap, above 0.6968.
AUDUSD spent the last two weeks grinding higher off the 0.6913 base before stalling under the 0.7025 area, which capped rallies repeatedly and aligns with the 50-DMA. Price is now coiling around the 0.7000 pivot with ATR(14) compressed, a range read while buyers defend 0.6968. The pair remains pinned by a firmer USD into FOMC week and the near-fully-priced RBA hike.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 invalidates the range cap and opens higher
Failure to hold 0.6968 exposes 0.6913 and confirms a lower-low
RBA Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) could break the 0.7000 coil
FOMC Wed is the dominant USD-side catalyst this week
17:03 UTC
Uptrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.69919
Consolidation below 0.7028 cap.
The multi-week climb from 0.6886 stalled at the 0.7025-0.7028 zone, which has capped price on two attempts, and the pair is now grinding sideways around the 0.7000 pivot. ATR(14) is compressing near 14 pips, a range-bound signature with EMA20 and EMA50 flattening beneath price. AUD stayed boxed after the strong June jobs print revived RBA hike bets but a firmer USD kept a lid on it into this week's data double-header.
Support: 0.6960, 0.6941, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 opens the path higher and ends the range read
Loss of 0.6960 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6941
RBA Bullock (Tue) and Q2 CPI (Wed) plus FOMC could materially shift this read
The rally off the early-month 0.6865 low stalled at the 0.7025-0.7028 50-day cap, tested twice without a close through it, and price is now boxed just under the 0.7000 psych pivot. ATR(14) has compressed as the pair coils in a tight range between 0.6960 and 0.7025. AUD sits pinned into a heavy calendar — RBA Bullock, Q2 CPI and FOMC all land this week.
Support: 0.6960, 0.6910
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 (50-day cap) opens the path higher
Loss of 0.6960 swing low exposes the 0.6910 range low
Q2 CPI Wed and FOMC could materially shift this consolidation read
13:03 UTC
Uptrend flattening into range · RSI 51 · price 0.6999
Consolidation under 0.7025 cap, above 0.6968.
AUDUSD is consolidating around the 0.7000 psychological pivot after a multi-week grind higher, with the 0.7025 five-week high repeatedly capping since mid-window. Higher-low structure remains intact but momentum has flattened, and ATR(14) has compressed into the low-teens as price coils below the 0.7028 fibo cap flagged by the strong AUD jobs data. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the read balanced ahead of the week's catalysts.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6968
Resistance: 0.7025, 0.7028
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 opens the path back toward the five-week high extension
Loss of 0.6968 recent low confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Australian CPI Wed and FOMC this week could materially shift this read
AUDUSD ground higher through the window off the early-month 0.6867 base, but the advance has stalled into a tight consolidation around the 0.7000 psych pivot, repeatedly capped near the 0.7028 50-DMA/38.2% Fibo zone. Australia's blowout June jobs (76.3K vs 15K) revived RBA hike bets and underpin the bid, yet a hawkish move is largely priced. ATR(14) has compressed as price coils below the cap, with EMA20 and EMA50 flattening just beneath spot.
Support: 0.6968, 0.7000, 0.6931
Resistance: 0.7028, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 opens the path to the 5wk high and fresh upside
Loss of the 0.6968 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6931
AU Trimmed Mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this range read
Higher-low structure intact since the early-month base near 0.6865, with the rally stalling into the 0.7025-0.7028 50-DMA cap that has repeatedly rejected advances. Price is now coiling around the 0.7000 pivot and ATR(14) has compressed to ~18 pips, a tightening range into Wednesday's Australian CPI. Both EMAs sit below price, but the failure to clear 0.7026 keeps the pair boxed.
Support: 0.7000, 0.6968, 0.6961
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7021
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7028 clears the 50-dma cap and opens fresh upside
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6960
Australian trimmed-mean CPI Wed 01:30 UTC could break this range decisively
09:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 53 · price 0.70025
Range-bound below 0.7026 cap, holding 0.6968.
Price recovered off the 0.6968 swing low and is pinned around the 0.7000 psych pivot, but repeated pushes into the 0.7020-0.7026 zone (the 50-DMA cap) have been rejected, keeping AUDUSD range-bound. Momentum is neutral with RSI mid-range and ATR compressed, consistent with the pair marking time into Wednesday's Australian CPI. EMAs sit just below spot after the mid-month leg up from 0.689.
Support: 0.6968, 0.7000
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7020
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 (50-dma cap) opens fresh upside
Loss of 0.6968 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6900
AU CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could break the range
05:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling into range · RSI 51 · price 0.69978
Consolidation below 5-week high.
AUDUSD climbed from the 0.6887 base early in the window to a five-week high near 0.7026, then rolled into a tight consolidation between the 0.6968 range low and the 0.7005-0.7025 supply band, powered earlier by the blowout 76.3K jobs print that reignited RBA hike bets. ATR(14) has compressed as price coils just under the 50-day cap at 0.7028, with EMA20 and EMA50 flattening beneath current price. The read is a range near the highs pending catalyst.
Support: 0.6968, 0.6961, 0.6913
Resistance: 0.7005, 0.7025
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7025 clears the 5-week high and opens fresh range extension
Failure to hold 0.6968 range low exposes 0.6913 prior low
Wed AUD CPI (01:30 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) could materially shift this consolidation
AUDUSD extended a steady higher-low sequence off the early-April 0.6865 low up to the 0.7026 five-week high, and has since gone sideways in a tight 0.6968-0.7005 band. Momentum has flattened with ATR(14) compressing, price holding just above EMA20 and EMA50 which have converged near 0.6990. The blowout June jobs print reignited RBA hike bets underpinning the floor, but a firm USD is capping the topside into Wednesday's CPI.
Support: 0.6968, 0.69612, 0.6942
Resistance: 0.70263, 0.70207, 0.7005
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path toward the 50-day cap near 0.7028
Failure to hold 0.6968 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.6942
AUD CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and RBA Bullock Tue are the dominant catalysts for this range
AUDUSD has trended up off the early-month 0.6865 lows on the back of Thursday's blockbuster jobs beat, but the advance has stalled into a multi-day consolidation pinned below the 0.7025-0.7028 (50-day SMA) cap. Price is oscillating around the 0.7000 pivot with ATR(14) compressing, and higher-low structure remains intact above 0.6960. Both EMAs sit just beneath spot, keeping the near-term bias flat within the range.
Support: 0.6960, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7000, 0.7026
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens continuation of the uptrend
Break below 0.6960 breaks the higher-low structure
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
AUDUSD has ground higher since the early-month low near 0.6865, with the June jobs beat reviving RBA-hike bets and lifting price to a near five-week high around 0.7026. Price is now consolidating around the 0.70 pivot, capped repeatedly by the 0.7020-0.7026 (50-day SMA) zone, while ATR(14) compression points to a coiling market. Wednesday's Q2 CPI is the pivotal event for the next directional leg.
Support: 0.6960, 0.6920, 0.6865
Resistance: 0.7026, 0.7000
What it said to watch
H4 close above 0.7026 opens the path higher; repeated rejection there keeps the range intact
Failure to hold 0.6960 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6920
Q2 CPI Wed 01:30 UTC and RBA Bullock Tue could materially shift this read