AUD/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 29 June 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the AUD/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:01 UTC

Sideways, mild downward drift · RSI 44 · price 0.68875

Range-bound below week's high, lower highs.

AUDUSD has churned in a 0.6880-0.6920 range all week, pinned near 0.6890 as a softer USD on month/quarter-end profit-taking offset a subdued Aussie despite a strong jobs beat. Price sits just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s, and the week's high at 0.69267 has not been challenged since. The range floor at 0.6880 is being tested into the Asia session.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6940, 0.69267

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC (~3h) could break the 0.6880-0.6920 range
  • Hourly close below 0.6880 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.68749 then 0.6835
  • Reclaim of 0.6920 range top, then 0.6940, signals stabilization

22:01 UTC

Range, drifting to lower edge · RSI 44 · price 0.68873

Consolidation pressing range floor.

AUDUSD has churned in a tight 0.6875-0.6920 band all week, capped by a sequence of lower highs since the 0.69267 print and now pinned to the lower edge near 0.6887. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the low-40s, reflecting a subdued Aussie against a still-firm USD into quarter-end. The 0.68749 week low has held twice; the range floor is the structure to watch.

Support: 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.69037, 0.6920

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Hourly close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835
  • Close above 0.6920 invalidates the range-floor read

21:03 UTC

Sideways, mild downward drift · RSI 46 · price 0.6886

Range-bound below EMAs.

AUDUSD has consolidated in a tight 0.6877–0.6904 band since the week opened, holding just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling around the mid-40s. The dominant move on the week was the decline from 0.6927 into 0.6875, after which price has gone flat — the broader read stays subdued with AUD pinned near 0.6890. Range top at 0.6904 has capped each NY-session push.

Support: 0.6877, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6904, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 0.6877 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6835
  • An H1 close above 0.6904, then 0.6940, would signal stabilization out of the range
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

20:01 UTC

Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 0.68893

Consolidation above 0.6877 floor.

AUDUSD has spent a second day pinned near 0.6890 after the week opened soft with a small gap down, the Aussie unable to lift even on last week's jobs beat as the hawkish-Fed/PCE narrative set the tone. Price sits just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) hovering mid-range; the 0.69267 high earlier in the window gave way to a clean leg down to 0.6877, and the 0.6880-0.6905 range has held since. Resistance through 0.6905-0.6920 has capped each bounce.

Support: 0.6877, 0.6880, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6905, 0.6920, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could shift this read
  • H1 close below 0.6877 confirms a lower-low, opening 0.6835
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 needed to signal stabilization out of the range

19:01 UTC

Range-bound, soft drift lower · RSI 47 · price 0.68902

Consolidation inside 0.6880-0.6920.

AUDUSD has spent the week balancing the 0.6880-0.6920 band, with the dominant leg lower into the week's 0.68749 low after the week high stalled at 0.69267. Price sits back at 0.6890, just under EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cycling around the midline — the consolidation noted in the macro digest as the Aussie failed to rally even on the strong jobs beat while a hawkish-Fed tone caps. The range floor at 0.6880 has been defended repeatedly through the latest sessions.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.69267

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close below 0.6880 confirms a lower-low toward 0.68749 and the wider 0.6835 area
  • Reclaim of 0.6920 reopens the week high at 0.69267
  • RBA Minutes (Tue 01:30 UTC) and US NFP later this week could break the range read

18:01 UTC

Range, mild downside drift · RSI 46 · price 0.68894

Consolidation under prior-week highs.

AUDUSD has been pinned in the 0.6880–0.6920 band for a second day, with price slipping back to a 0.6877 session low after the prior swing high near 0.6927 was rejected. A strong May jobs beat (40.3K vs 25K) failed to lift the Aussie as firm US data and Fed-hike pricing kept the dollar supported; H1 sits just under EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling around the 45–50 mark. The range top at 0.6920 has capped each push this week.

Support: 0.6877, 0.6880, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6940 signals stabilisation and lifts the range read
  • Failure to hold 0.6877 re-opens the 0.6835 major support
  • US NFP Thursday is the dominant catalyst and could break the range either way

17:02 UTC

Downtrend drift, ranging near lows · RSI 42 · price 0.68865

Range-bound, probing the floor.

AUDUSD has held the 0.6880–0.6920 range all week, with price pinned at the range floor after a slow drift lower below EMA20 and EMA50. The Aussie couldn't hold its bounce despite a strong May jobs beat, with firm US data and Fed-hike pricing keeping a lid near the 0.6900 psych and 0.6920 range top. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s as price probes the weekly low at 0.68749.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6835 confirms range break and trend extension
  • Reclaim of 0.6940 signals stabilisation, range top out of reach
  • RBA Minutes (Tue 01:30 UTC) and US NFP Thursday are the dominant catalysts

16:02 UTC

Downtrend, near weekly lows · RSI 43 · price 0.68836

Lower highs, lower lows.

AUDUSD has bled lower through the week under broad USD dominance, slipping from the 0.6917 open to fresh lows near 0.6877 despite firmer domestic data. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50, and the NY session pushed it back to the lower end of the 0.6880-0.6920 range with RSI(14) holding in the low-40s. The 0.6877 session low is the immediate floor ahead of the 0.6835 major support cited as this week's downside target.

Support: 0.6877, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6892, 0.6904, 0.6917

What it said to watch

  • Hourly close below 0.68770 opens the path toward 0.68350 major support
  • Reclaim of 0.68920 ema20 and 0.69040 prior high needed to stall the downtrend
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • US NFP Thursday is the dominant near-term catalyst

15:02 UTC

Downtrend, near 7-month lows · RSI 41 · price 0.68796

Lower highs, range top broken lower.

AUDUSD has ground lower all week toward fresh ~7-month lows near 0.6877 as USD dominance overrode firm domestic data, with price pinned below EMA20 and EMA50 since Friday. The 0.6880-0.6920 range has now given way on the downside, the latest leg accelerating into the close at 0.68796. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, tracking the slide without a clear divergence.

Support: 0.6877, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6898, 0.6920, 0.6940

What it said to watch

  • Sustained break of 0.6835 confirms a lower low and extends the slide
  • Reclaim of 0.6920 range top would signal stabilisation
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC and US NFP Thu are the dominant near-term catalysts

14:02 UTC

Range, weak base bias · RSI 45 · price 0.68879

Consolidation in 0.6880-0.6920 band.

AUDUSD has churned in a 0.6880-0.6920 band since the week opened, with price pinned just under EMA20 and EMA50 and RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The Aussie failed to capitalise on hot domestic jobs and trimmed-mean CPI as a firmer USD kept rallies capped at the 0.6920 range top. The 0.6880 base has absorbed repeated probes through the NY and Asia sessions.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6902, 0.69205, 0.69267

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 signals stabilisation and opens 0.6950
  • Failure to hold 0.6880 base opens 0.6835 major support
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC and US NFP Thursday could materially shift this read

13:02 UTC

Downtrend stalled, ranging · RSI 49 · price 0.68963

Consolidation above 0.6880 base after week's slide.

AUDUSD has flatlined in a 0.6880-0.6920 range since the week's slide off 0.6937, with price pinned around EMA(20) and RSI(14) cycling near 50. The dominant down move played out into Thursday's session, printing a 0.6875 week low before an oversold bounce stalled at the 0.6920 range top; a weekend gap reopened just under the prior base. AUD has failed to capitalise on hot domestic data as a firmer USD caps rallies.

Support: 0.6880, 0.6875, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 range top opens the 0.6950 stabilisation level
  • Loss of the 0.6880 base reopens 0.6875 week low and 0.6835 major support
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC and US NFP Thursday could materially shift this read

12:02 UTC

Range, slight recovery bias off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.68999

Consolidation base after week's slide.

AUDUSD has carved a tight 0.6875–0.6905 base since the weekend gap, recovering off the 0.68749 week low after the prior multi-day slide stalled. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline near 52 and price sits just above EMA20 but capped under EMA50, consistent with the digest's oversold consolidation read. Strong AU jobs and sticky CPI have failed to lift the pair as USD bets dominate.

Support: 0.68749, 0.6888, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6905, 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 invalidates the range top and opens 0.6950
  • Loss of 0.6875 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.6835 major support
  • RBA Minutes (Tue 01:30 UTC) is the nearest catalyst that could shift this read

11:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 52 · price 0.69008

Consolidating just above week lows.

AUDUSD slid off Monday's 0.6937 week high into a 0.6875 swing low as hot US PCE kept the USD firm, and price has since coiled into a tight 0.6885-0.6920 band. Last close at 0.69008 sits just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the 50 line — momentum flat after the eight-day slide. The 0.6920 range top has capped the recovery while demand has held the 0.6885 consol low.

Support: 0.6885, 0.6875, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6937, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 range top opens the path toward 0.6950 stabilise level
  • Failure to hold 0.6875 week low exposes 0.6835 major support
  • RBA minutes Tue 01:30 GMT and US NFP Thursday are the primary drivers that could reshape this read

10:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now ranging near lows · RSI 51 · price 0.68981

Consolidation just above week's lows.

AUDUSD slid through midweek toward fresh lows near 0.6875 as the firm US PCE print kept the USD bid, then flattened into a tight 0.6880-0.6920 range across the back half of the week. Price is now pinned around EMA(20) with RSI(14) drifting back to neutral near 50; the 0.6920 cap has rejected each push higher while demand has repeatedly stepped in near 0.6883. Momentum has flattened rather than reversed, with the broader downtrend intact below 0.6950.

Support: 0.68826, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 range cap would open the path toward 0.6950 stabilisation
  • Failure to hold 0.6883 week low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC and US NFP Thursday could materially shift this read

09:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 0.68923

Consolidation after fresh lows.

AUDUSD remains in the weak phase that drove fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875 earlier in the window, with the dominant slide from 0.6960 fading into a tight 0.6880-0.6920 consolidation. Price is now pinned to EMA(20) and sits below EMA(50) as RSI(14) cycles in the mid-40s, reflecting stalled but still soft momentum. The Aussie has been unable to capitalise on firm jobs data while a high-for-longer USD caps recovery attempts.

Support: 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • RBA minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6875 confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835 major support
  • Reclaim of 0.6920 range top, then 0.6950, would signal stabilisation
  • US data slate (ADP/ISM Wed, payrolls Thu) the dominant external catalyst

08:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 47 · price 0.68949

Consolidation under prior swing highs.

AUDUSD has slid since Monday's open, logging seven-month lows near 0.6875 on broad USD strength after sticky PCE, before settling into a 0.6880-0.6920 band. Price is pinned to the EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the midline, and the strong jobs beat earlier in the week failed to lift the pair. Demand has stepped in repeatedly at the 0.6880 range floor while supply caps moves into 0.6920.

Support: 0.6880, 0.6875, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 0.6880 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6835
  • Close above 0.6920 invalidates the consolidation read and exposes 0.6950
  • RBA minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

07:02 UTC

Downtrend, corrective bounce · RSI 56 · price 0.69012

Lower highs into 0.6885-0.6920 consolidation.

AUDUSD slid from Monday's 0.6960 open to fresh seven-month lows at 0.6875 by mid-week, with USD/Fed-hike pricing overriding a strong AU jobs beat. Price has since carved a 0.6885-0.6920 consolidation band and is grinding back toward 0.6900 on a corrective bounce, reclaiming the EMA20 with RSI recovering off oversold. The 0.6920 band top has capped attempts so far.

Support: 0.6885, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950, 0.69469

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC is the nearest high-impact catalyst and could shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6920 then 0.6950 would signal stabilisation
  • Failure to hold 0.6885 reopens the path toward 0.6835 major support

06:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 49 · price 0.68944

Lower highs, basing near week low.

AUDUSD slid through the week from 0.6962 to fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875, with a strong jobs beat unable to offset USD/Fed-hike pricing. Since the weekend reopen the pair has consolidated in a 0.6882-0.6905 band with RSI(14) cycling around 48, sitting on the EMA(20) but capped below the EMA(50). The 0.6900 psych level has limited each bounce while demand keeps stepping in around 0.6882.

Support: 0.6882, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6905, 0.6920

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6920 signals stabilisation and breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6835 major support
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

05:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 0.68874

Fresh lows then sideways band.

AUDUSD slid from Monday's 0.6965 open to fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875 as Fed-hike-driven USD strength overrode a strong jobs beat. Price has since gone sideways in a 0.6880-0.6920 band, with a corrective lift on month-end USD profit-taking that stalled below 0.6900. Price holds under EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s.

Support: 0.6880, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could shift this read
  • Loss of 0.6880 week low confirms continuation toward 0.6835 major support
  • H1 close above 0.6920 range top would challenge the downtrend read

04:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 47 · price 0.68888

Lower lows then base near seven-month lows.

AUDUSD slid from Monday's 0.6967 open to fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875, the CPI miss on Wednesday cementing the no-RBA-hike view against a firm USD. Price has since coiled in a 0.6880–0.6920 box, holding just below EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. Demand stepped in twice around 0.6875 while supply has capped rebounds under the 0.6900 psych level.

Support: 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read
  • Close above 0.6920 would break the consolidation box higher
  • Failure to hold 0.6875 opens the path toward 0.6835 major support

03:02 UTC

Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 46 · price 0.68914

Lower highs into a 0.6880-0.6920 base.

AUDUSD has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from 0.6978 to fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875 as a CPI miss undercut the strong jobs print and broad USD strength dominated. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, oscillating in a 0.6880-0.6920 consolidation box with RSI(14) hovering mid-range after the late-week stall. The 0.6920 top has capped recovery attempts while demand has repeatedly stepped in around 0.6880.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • RBA Meeting Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC is the primary near-term catalyst for this read
  • H1 close below 0.6880 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 0.6835
  • Close above 0.6920 range top would neutralise the consolidation read toward 0.6950

02:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 0.68848

Lower highs into a base near 0.6885.

AUDUSD slid from 0.6977 at Monday's open to fresh seven-month lows near 0.6875, the move driven by a hawkish Fed repricing and soft Australian CPI capping the Aussie despite a jobs beat. Price has since consolidated in a 0.6885–0.6920 box, sitting just below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low 40s. The new week opened soft, with 0.6900 acting as immediate resistance.

Support: 0.6875, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC is the primary near-term catalyst and could shift this read
  • H1 close above 0.6920 invalidates the consolidation range read
  • Break of 0.6835 confirms downswing continuation

01:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 43 · price 0.68842

Consolidation near range lows after extended slide.

AUDUSD extended its multi-day slide from the 0.6986 area down toward 0.6875, then settled into a tight 0.6883-0.6898 band below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). USD firmness on in-line PCE and Fed-hike pricing kept the Aussie capped despite last week's jobs beat. Price is holding just above the 0.68826 week low into thin early-week liquidity.

Support: 0.68826, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.68975, 0.69205

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.6900 / range top at 0.68975 would loosen the consolidation read
  • Break of 0.68826 week low confirms a lower-low toward 0.6835 major support
  • RBA Minutes Tue 01:30 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 46 · price 0.68926

Consolidation near 7-month lows after slide.

AUDUSD slid from Monday's ~0.6988 open through the week to fresh lows near 0.68749, with broad USD strength on revived Fed-hike bets overshadowing a strong Aussie jobs beat. Price has since coiled in a 0.6880-0.6920 band and is tracking just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI hovering mid-40s. A weekend gap left price churning near 0.6892 into the Asia session with no fresh follow-through.

Support: 0.6880, 0.68749, 0.6835

Resistance: 0.6900, 0.6920, 0.6950

What it said to watch

  • Close below 0.68749 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.6835 major support
  • Reclaim of 0.6920 range top would ease the downside pressure toward 0.6950
  • RBA Minutes (Tue 01:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

All markets that day · Today’s AUD/USD Live Scan in the terminal