BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout above day high · RSI 67 · price 78,251.82
Higher low at 78,027 after a sharp spike from the 77,573 swing low; old 78,207 high now under test from above.
A late-Sunday spike from the 77,573 swing low cleared the day's 78,207 prior high and printed a 78,377 session high on thin weekend liquidity. The floor held as the Binance withdrawal shock looked absorbed. RSI(14) is cooling from near 70, and price is retesting the old high, with the 78,027 pullback low as the most recent higher low.
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 78,207 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 78,027 pullback low breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 78,377 session high opens the 78,500 round number
Break of the 77,573 swing low reverts the window to its 77,570–78,200 range
Asia session liquidity is thin, and Monday's ISM Manufacturing at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A dip to the 77,572 swing low undercut the 77,598 evening low. The reversal off it completed a small double bottom, and the 22:00 UTC bar reclaimed the 77,930 break level and the 78,000 round number. Price is now stalling under the 78,167 spike high and the 78,207 session high, which form a line of lower highs. The backdrop is a shallow post-Binance stabilisation, with ETF outflows capping bounces.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 78,207 session high breaks the lower highs line and the day's range top
Loss of the 78,000 round number and the 77,930 break level puts the ~77,870 50% of the spike leg fib in play
Close below the 77,572 swing low negates the double bottom
ISM Manufacturing / Prices Paid, Mon 15:00 UTC: a hot print is the main macro risk to this read
23:17 UTC
Range resolving higher, momentum picking up · RSI 66 · price 78,121.97
Sweep of range low, then breakout probe at range top.
Sunday's 77,570–78,120 range broke higher into the early Asia session. Price swept the 18:30 UTC low at 77,598 down to 77,573, then a ~400-dollar bar spiked to 78,167 and is now probing the range top, with RSI(14) near 66. The 78,207 day high from the morning push is the next cap, and BTC is steadying after the Binance-related flush.
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 77,929 prior high turns the spike into a false break inside the range
Acceptance above the 78,207 day high extends the breakout from the Sunday range
A 38.2–50% retrace of the late spike (~77,940–77,870) overlaps the prior high and tests whether the break holds
Loss of the 77,573 sweep low confirms a lower low
ISM Manufacturing (Mon 15:00 UTC) is the next macro catalyst; ETF-flow or wallet-movement headlines could hit before it
Lower highs from 78,207; false break below 77,598 reversed.
Late Sunday trade dipped below the 77,598 evening low to a 77,572 sweep low and snapped back to 77,880. Price now sits at the 50% retrace of the 78,207 day high-to-low move and presses the lower-highs line from 78,119, with the 77,929 swing high just above. The digest frames the bounce as tentative: Binance withdrawals are restarting, but spot ETF outflows are weighing.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,929 swing high breaks the lower-highs sequence and exposes 78,119
Slip back below the 77,708 midday low puts the 77,572 sweep low back in play
Asia open liquidity and Monday ISM Manufacturing (15:00 UTC) could reset the intraday range
Lower highs from 78,207; swing low swept and reclaimed.
Lower highs since the 78,207 Sunday high, with the 78,119 prior high and 77,929 lower high marking a fading bounce, as ETF outflows keep the post-Binance recovery tentative. The late-session dip swept the 77,598 low to a 77,573 swing low and was reclaimed. Price is back at the 38.2% fib near 77,780 with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,929 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts 78,119 prior high back in view
Failure to hold the 77,573 swing low confirms a lower low and exposes the 77,376 window low
Rejection at the 50–61.8% fib zone (77,846–77,910) keeps the downtrend read intact
ISM Manufacturing PMI and Prices Paid Mon 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower-high/lower-low sequence from 78,207; fresh swing low at 77,573.
The Sunday-morning gap higher to the 78,207 session high came as Binance reopened withdrawals. It has since unwound into steady lower highs and lower lows. The latest leg printed a fresh swing low at 77,573 late Sunday ahead of the Asia session, with price below both EMAs, RSI(14) near 42 and the descending trendline from the 78,119 and 77,929 lower highs capping bounces.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 77,573 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 77,500 round number and the 77,376 Saturday low
Reclaim of the 77,929 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the sequence; the 78,207 session high sits above
Bounces stalling inside the 38.2–50% fib zone (77,815–77,890) keep the lower-high structure intact
Monday's ISM Manufacturing (15:00 UTC) or on-chain moves in the stolen-BTC wallets could materially shift this read
Lower-high chain from 78,207; bounce rejected at 61.8% retrace.
Highs are stepping lower from the 78,207 day high through the 78,119 prior high. The late-Sunday flush to the 77,598 day low retraced to 77,929, near the 61.8% fib, and was rejected there, putting price back at 77,756 below both EMAs. The 77,666 swing low held on the bounce, and the digest's weak ETF demand keeps the post-hack rebound tentative into the Asia session.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,929 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and exposes the 78,119 prior high, then the 78,207 day high
Failure to hold the 77,666 swing low puts the 77,598 day low back in play
Supply headlines on hacker wallets or a corporate BTC sale could extend the downside move
ISM Manufacturing Mon 15:00 UTC: hot Prices Paid could materially shift this read toward 77K
22:10 UTC
Range after lower high, rebound stalling · RSI 48 · price 77,864.25
Lower high 78,119 under 78,207, sweep to 77,598, higher low 77,790.
BTC set a lower high at 78,119 below the 78,207 Sunday high, then swept under 77,708 to a 77,598 swing low before buyers reclaimed it. That fits the digest's picture of stabilisation near $78K after the Binance flush, with ETF outflows still weighing. The rebound is capped at the 77,930 recovery high near the 50% fib, with price pinned to EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral at 48 in thin weekend trade.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,930 recovery high clears the 50% fib and puts the 78,119 lower high back in play
Loss of the 77,790 higher low exposes the 77,598 swing low; a break there extends the lower-low sequence
Asia session open may lift volatility from thin weekend conditions; ISM Manufacturing Mon 15:00 UTC is the next scheduled driver
Higher lows off 77598 inside a 77600–78200 day range.
The early push to the 78207 day high faded into a 77600–78200 range. The 18:30 UTC drop to the 77598 swing low has since been reversed through a higher-low sequence, and price is now retesting the 61.8% fib of the 78119–77598 leg near 77920. RSI(14) sits mid-50s and ATR is near $92, as BTC steadies above Friday's lows while the Binance hack shock is absorbed, though US spot demand stays thin.
Support: 77,790.00, 77,598.00
Resistance: 78,000.00, 78,119.00, 78,207.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 78000 round number and the 78119 pm high reopens the 78207 day high
Loss of the 77790 higher low breaks the recovery trendline and puts the 77598 swing low back in focus
ISM Manufacturing (Mon 15:00 UTC) and the Monday ETF flow print could reset the range
21:32 UTC
Rebounding inside a sideways Sunday range · RSI 51 · price 77,903.21
Sweep of range lows reclaimed, higher-low chain into the range floor.
The Sunday 77,860–78,120 range gave way at 19:00 UTC in a sweep to the 77,598 swing low, below the 77,708 midday low, and was quickly bought back. Higher lows at 77,666 and 77,790 have lifted price into a retest of the old range floor near 77,930, which sits at the 61.8% fib of the 78,119 drop. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 in thin weekend trade, with BTC fragile near $78K after the Binance hack shock.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,930 range floor and 61.8% fib re-opens the 78,119 range top
Loss of the 77,790 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain, exposing the 77,666 higher low
Break back under the 77,598 swing low invalidates the sweep read
78,207 session high from 09:00 UTC caps the window; a close above extends beyond the Sunday range
Fresh Binance hack or hacker-wallet headlines could quickly undo the rebound in thin weekend liquidity
21:17 UTC
Range with lower highs, rebounding off sweep low · RSI 47 · price 77,864.25
Lower highs 78207→78119, sweep of 77708 to 77598, recovery to fib 61.8%.
Sunday's session high at 78207 was followed by a lower high at 78119. A sell-off at 19:00 UTC then set a sweep low at 77598, taking out the 77708 midday low. The rebound has carried to the 50% retracement and is stalling just under the fib 61.8% at 77920, with price pinned at EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral near 47 in thin weekend trade amid post-Binance-hack fragility.
Support: 77,666.00, 77,598.00
Resistance: 77,920.00, 78,119.00, 78,207.00
What it said to watch
Close above 77920 fib 61.8% opens a retest of the 78119 lower high and the lower-highs trendline
Break of the 77666 higher low exposes the 77598 sweep low, with the 77,000 area below
Close above the 78207 session high breaks the lower-high sequence
Binance flow or hacker-wallet headlines can move thin weekend liquidity; ISM Manufacturing Mon 15:00 UTC is the next scheduled risk
21:09 UTC
Intraday range, recovering from a flush · RSI 49 · price 77,885.23
False break below the Sunday range low, higher low at 77,666, price testing the breakdown level.
Sunday's 77,710–78,120 range broke at 19:00 UTC on a flush to the 77,599 swing low, but price reclaimed the range low quickly and printed a higher low at 77,666. Price is now pressing the 50–61.8% retrace of that flush at 77,860–77,920, just under the 77,931 breakdown level. Per the digest, the Binance withdrawal reopening was absorbed without fresh price damage.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 77,931 breakdown level reopens the 78,119 lower high and the 78,207 session high
Failure to hold the 77,666 higher low exposes the 77,599 swing low again
Hack-wallet movements are unscheduled headline risk; ISM Manufacturing Mon 15:00 UTC is the next macro catalyst