BTC/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the BTC/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:47 UTC
Downtrend since NY spike, late bounce · RSI 45 · price 81,396.36
Lower highs from 81975 session high; bounce off 81170 swing low testing 38.2% fib.
The firm US PMI and Michigan prints whipsawed price in early NY hours. A false break above the Asian high ran to the 81975 session high, then a sweep tagged the 81012 ny low. Price then printed lower highs down to the 81170 swing low. The late-NY bounce is sitting on the 38.2% fib near 81397 and pressing EMA20 from below, with RSI(14) near 45.
Support: 81,170.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,483.00, 81,765.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81483 breakdown area, near the 50% fib, would undercut the lower-high sequence
Close above the 81765 lower high and the trendline would negate the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 81170 swing low reopens the 81012 ny low
Weekend liquidity is thin; the next US catalysts are Tue Durable Goods and the Wed Fed decision
Lower highs and lower lows since 14:45 UTC, testing the breakdown shelf.
The US PMI and Michigan beats around 13:45–14:00 UTC triggered a two-way sweep of the Asian range: a spike to 81975, then a flush to the 81012 session low. The afternoon decline then built lower highs, including 81613, down to the 81170 swing low. Price is now bouncing into the 81410 breakdown shelf just under EMA20, with RSI(14) at 43.
Support: 81,170.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,410.00, 81,613.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 81410 breakdown and EMA20, which aligns with the 38.2% retrace of the afternoon decline, would ease the lower-high sequence; the 81613 lower high sits above it
Failure to hold the 81170 swing low would extend the downtrend toward the 81012 session low
Late-Friday NY trade into the weekend with no US data until Tuesday's Durable Goods; Wednesday's Fed decision is the next major catalyst
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since 17:00 UTC · RSI 34 · price 81,279.49
Lower-high chain off pm high, basing above swing low.
Late NY session. BTC has carved a lower-high chain off the 81,765 pm high and is basing just above the 81,170 swing low, with RSI(14) near 34. Earlier, the firm US PMI and Michigan prints set off a whipsaw from the 81,975 day high to the 81,012 ny low, a false break of the Asian range low that was quickly reclaimed.
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 81,381 lower high breaks the descending sequence and opens the pm decline fib 38.2–61.8 zone (81,397–81,538)
Failure to hold the 81,170 swing low exposes the 81,012 ny low and Asian range low near 81,047
Thin weekend liquidity follows; the Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
20:04 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY open · RSI 39 · price 81,195.58
Post-sweep lower-high/lower-low chain into late NY.
Firm US PMI and Michigan prints around the NY open drove a two-way sweep, first above the Asian high to 81975, then through the Asian low to the 81012 day low. Since then a downleg of lower highs from 81819, including the 81765 lower high, has ground price to an 81170 swing low in late NY. RSI(14) is near 39 with price under both EMAs; the 81381 breakdown level and the downleg fib 50% at 81494 sit overhead.
Support: 81,169.61, 81,046.75, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,381.38, 81,494.25, 81,764.95
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81170 swing low extends the downleg toward the asian low at 81047 and the day low at 81012
Reclaim of the 81381 breakdown level, then the fib 50% at 81494, would stall the lower-high sequence
Recovery above the 81765 lower high negates the intraday downtrend read
No scheduled US data until Tue 27 Oct; the Fed decision Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst
LH/LL sequence below the London shelf, pressing the lower third of the 24h range.
Firm US PMIs and Michigan sentiment caused an early-NY whipsaw. Price swept the Asian high to the 81975 day high, then dropped to the 81012 day low. Since the 81765 lower high, late NY has ground down through the 81410 London shelf to an 81170 swing low, with RSI(14) near 41 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 81,169.61, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,410.35, 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 81410 london shelf (38.2% of the lower-high leg) negates the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold the 81170 swing low exposes the 81012 day low
No US data in the next 8h; Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
19:32 UTC
Intraday down-drift, lower highs since NY open · RSI 38 · price 81,239.53
Post-data spike reversed; 81410 shelf lost late NY.
The beats in the 14:00 UTC PMI and Michigan data spiked price to the day high at 81975, which then reversed to the 81012 NY low within two bars, sweeping both ends of the Asian range. NY afternoon then capped twice at the 81765 lower high, and late in the session price lost the 81410 broken shelf to print an 81189 late low. RSI(14) is near 38, with no oversold reading.
Support: 81,188.59, 81,110.68, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,410.35, 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 81189 late low exposes the 81111 prior low and the 81012 NY low
Recovery above the 81410 broken shelf neutralises the late-session breakdown
M15 close above the 81765 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline from the day high
Friday post-NY liquidity thins into the weekend; Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
19:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since NY spike · RSI 36 · price 81,240.53
Two-sided sweep of Asian range, then lower-high chain into late NY.
Firm US PMI and Michigan prints lifted price just through the Asian high to an 81975 ny high. It then reversed through the asian low to an 81012 ny low, sweeping both ends of the Asian range. The rebound capped at a double lower high at 81765, and late NY has broken the 81380–81410 prior floor to an 81216 intraday low, more than 61.8% back into the NY rebound fib, with RSI(14) near 36.
Support: 81,215.56, 81,046.75, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,410.35, 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
A close back above the 81410 prior floor would neutralise the late-NY breakdown
Loss of the 81216 intraday low exposes the 81047 asian low and 81012 ny low
Price reclaiming the 81765 lower high and the ny high trendline would break the lower-high chain
No further US data today; the Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct at 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled macro catalyst
Lower highs and lower lows since 17:15 UTC inside the 81012–81975 day range.
NY open ran to an 81975 session high, then the firm US PMI and Michigan beats triggered a sharp rejection. That move swept the Asian low to an 81012 day low, which was quickly reclaimed. After London close the 81765 repeat cap held three times, and a lower-highs trendline has walked price back toward the 81306 swing low with RSI(14) at 46.
Support: 81,306.46, 81,046.75, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,613.12, 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81306 swing low extends the lower-high sequence toward the 81047 asian low and 81012 day low
Close above the 81613 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 81765 repeat cap back in play
No US data before Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC; Fed decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the next catalyst that could reset this read
18:47 UTC
Sideways to soft, lower highs after the NY data spike · RSI 45 · price 81,420.33
Lower highs from 81819 pressing on a flat 81410 base.
The US PMI and Michigan releases produced a NY-session sweep of both Asian range extremes. Price spiked to the 81975 NY high, dropped to the 81012 NY low, then rebounded to 81819. Since then, a lower high at 81765, printed twice, has pushed price back to the 81410 base, which sits on the 50% of the rebound fib, with RSI(14) near 45 and price below EMA20/50.
Support: 81,410.00, 81,306.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,765.00, 81,819.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81410 base opens the 81306 swing low, then the 81012 ny low
Close above the 81765 lower high breaks the descending lower highs line, with the 81819 rebound high and 81975 ny high above
No US data in the next 8h; the Wed 28 Oct Fed decision is the next scheduled catalyst
18:32 UTC
Range after data spike, lower highs · RSI 45 · price 81,416.34
81306–81765 post-data range; rising lows broken, price on range floor.
The firm US PMI and Michigan prints at 13:45–14:00 UTC set off a two-way spike. It swept the Asian high of 81935 to a 81975 session high, then ran the Asian low to the 81012 spike low before settling into a range above the 81306 swing low. In late NY trade the rising lows have given way. Price is pressing the 81410 range floor below both EMAs, with a lower high capping at 81613 near the 61.8% retrace of the spike. RSI(14) is 45.
Support: 81,410.00, 81,306.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,613.00, 81,765.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81410 range floor exposes the 81306 swing low, then the 81012 spike low
Recovery through the 81613 lower high and the 81765 twin highs reopens the 81975 session high
No US data in the next 8h. Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and the Fed (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts
18:17 UTC
Sideways after a two-sided NY spike, highs edging lower · RSI 47 · price 81,569.17
False breaks of both Asian range extremes, now compressing under lower highs.
The PMI and Michigan beats lifted the dollar in early NY, and BTC whipsawed. It printed a session high at 81975 just above the Asian high, then dropped to an NY low at 81012 below the Asian low before recovering into the 81306–81765 band. Late in the NY session, a lower high at 81765 has capped three attempts while the swing low at 81436 holds, with price flat around EMA20 and RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 81,436.32, 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81765 lower high breaks the compression and reopens the 81975 session high
Failure to hold the 81436 swing low exposes the 81306 pullback low, with the 81012 NY low behind it
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; no US data inside the next 8h
18:04 UTC
Sideways after a news-driven whipsaw, below both EMAs · RSI 44 · price 81,527.22
Contracting range: flat highs near 81765, higher lows since the 81012 sweep.
The US flash PMI and Michigan beats around 14:00 UTC set the session high at 81975, then rejection drove a sweep of the prior-day low to 81012 within two bars. Since then price has compressed into a tightening band. The range top at 81765 has capped three tests, while higher lows built from the 81306–81380 post-PMI low up to the 81495 higher low. Late NY session, RSI(14) is near 44 and price is slightly under EMA20, with no momentum extreme.
Support: 81,495.00, 81,380.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,765.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 81765 range top breaks the compression and reopens the 81975 session high
Failure to hold the 81495 higher low breaks the higher-low chain and puts the 81380 post-PMI low back in play
A loss of 81380 exposes the 81012 sweep low
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; the Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
17:47 UTC
Sideways after NY reversal, higher lows · RSI 50 · price 81,510.24
Higher lows under a flat 81765 range cap following the NY spike and reversal.
The US PMI and Michigan beats around the NY open pushed price through the 81935 Asian high to an 81975 session high. Price then reversed sharply to an 81012 NY low. Since then it has printed higher lows under an 81765 range cap and now sits on the 50% of the NY drop fib near 81495, with RSI(14) flat at ~50 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 81,410.35, 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81410 higher low breaks the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 81306 swing low
Loss of the 81306 swing low puts the 81012 NY low back in play
M15 close above the 81765 range cap reopens the 81975 session high
No scheduled US data in the next 8h; the Fed decision on Wed Oct 28 at 18:00 UTC is the next major risk event
NY whipsaw swept both Asian range ends; higher lows under a flat twin cap.
The US flash PMI beat around the NY open set off a whipsaw. Price spiked to the day high at 81,975, then flushed to the NY low at 81,012, sweeping both ends of the Asian range (81,047–81,935). Since then price has compressed between rising lows off the 81,306 swing low and a twin cap at 81,765, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price just under EMA20.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the rising lows near 81,425 breaks the post-flush higher-low chain and exposes the 81,306 swing low
A close above the 81,765 twin cap reopens the 81,975 day high
Failure to hold the 81,012 NY low marks a fresh lower low below the Asian range
No US data in the next 8h; Wednesday's FOMC is the next scheduled risk that could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Neutral, compressing after NY whipsaw · RSI 47 · price 81,685.04
Post-spike consolidation: lower highs from 81819, higher lows from 81306.
The NY open spiked to the 81975 ny high around the US PMI and Michigan beats, then reversed to the 81012 ny low, sweeping both ends of the Asian range. Since then price has compressed into a consolidation between a lower high at 81765 and a higher low at 81410, still capped below the 81819 london high. RSI(14) is neutral near 47, with price just above EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 81,410.35, 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,764.95, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 81765 lower high and the 81819 london high breaks the consolidation and exposes the 81975 ny high.
Loss of the 81410 higher low and the 81306 swing low reopens the 81012 ny low.
Liquidity thins into the late-Friday NY session. The next scheduled catalyst is the Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct at 18:00 UTC, and no US events fall in the next 8h.
17:05 UTC
Range-bound, compressing after NY spike · RSI 49 · price 81,641.09
Higher lows since the 81012 flush, capped under 81765–81819.
The firm US PMI and Michigan prints around 13:45–14:00 UTC pushed price above the Asian high to the 81975 NY high, then flushed it through the Asian low to the 81012 day low. Late NY session, price has recovered toward the 61.8% of the NY spike fib, printing higher lows at the 81306 swing low and 81410 higher low beneath the 81765 recent high. RSI(14) sits near 49 and price is fractionally above both EMAs.
Support: 81,410.00, 81,306.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,765.00, 81,819.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81765 recent high and 81819 rebound high takes out the post-flush cap and reopens the 81975 NY high
Break of the higher lows trendline below 81410 exposes the 81306 swing low, then the 81012 day low
Retest of the 81975 NY high or 81012 day low would revisit both extremes of the NY sweep
Fed decision Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst; no US events in the next 8h
16:47 UTC
Sideways, volatility contracting after NY swing · RSI 52 · price 81,687.04
Asian range swept both ways at NY open; higher lows forming under a lower high.
Around the US PMI and Michigan sentiment beats, the NY open spiked past the Asian high to a session high of 81974.72. Price then flushed through the Asian low to an 81011.78 sweep low and reclaimed it. After London close, price is compressing on higher lows from the 81306 swing low and 81410 under the 81818.9 lower high. It has retraced beyond the 61.8% of the NY flush, with RSI(14) neutral near 52.
Support: 81,410.35, 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,818.90, 81,934.77, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81818.9 lower high reopens the 81934.77 Asian high and the 81974.72 session high
Loss of the 81410 higher low and then the 81306 swing low breaks the compression and puts the 81011.78 sweep low back in view
Rejection at the 78.6% of the NY flush fib (~81768) would keep the range intact
No US data in the next 8h; thin Friday-evening trade, with Wed FOMC the next macro catalyst
16:32 UTC
Two-sided after NY volatility, lower highs compressing · RSI 49 · price 81,511.23
Post-sweep consolidation, lower highs against higher lows.
The NY open spiked through the Asian high to a session high at 81974.72, then flushed to a sweep low at 81011.78 beneath the Asian low, a two-sided false break that has left price coiling between the 81306 swing low and 81660. Lower highs off the 81818.9 post-NY high now press into a higher low at 81410, with price parked at the 50% of the NY flush fib and RSI(14) neutral near 49. Firm US PMI and sentiment beats offer a mild macro headwind but no fresh crypto driver.
Support: 81,410.35, 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,658.07, 81,818.90, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 81410 higher low exposes the 81306 swing low, then the 81011.78 sweep low
A close above the 81658 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 81818.9 post-NY high back in focus
Acceptance above the 81974.72 session high would invalidate the false break read
Thinner liquidity after the NY close could keep the range tight; there is no US data in the next 8h, and the Oct 28 FOMC is the next scheduled catalyst
16:18 UTC
Sideways, compressing after two-way NY sweep · RSI 47 · price 81,501.24
Lower highs vs higher lows inside the Asian range.
The firm US PMI and Michigan prints hit early in the NY session. BTC poked to the 81975 NY high, just above the Asian high, then flushed to the 81012 NY low, just under the Asian low, and recovered. Since then lower highs from 81975 to 81658 along a descending trendline, against rising support through the 81380 twin lows, have squeezed price mid-range below both EMAs, with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 81,380.00, 81,306.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,658.00, 81,819.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81658 lower high breaks the descending trendline and reopens the 81819 London high
Loss of the 81380 twin lows and rising support exposes the 81306 swing low, then the 81012 NY low
No US data in the next 8h. Friday NY-afternoon trade into the weekend leaves Tue Durables and the Oct 28 FOMC as the next catalysts
16:04 UTC
Two-way range, lower highs since the NY spike · RSI 47 · price 81,558.18
Post-data spike and flush inside an 81,010–81,975 range; lower highs compressing price.
The US PMI and Michigan beats produced a false break above the Asian high to the 81,975 ny high. Price then swept to 81,012 below the london low and recovered quickly. Since then, lower highs at 81,820 and 81,620 have pressed price into the 50–61.8% retrace of the NY drop, with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and price just under EMA20 and EMA50 late in the NY session.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,620 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the london high at 81,820
Failure to hold the london low near 81,380 exposes the 81,012 ny low
Acceptance above the 81,975 ny high invalidates the range read
No US data in the next 8h; Fed decision on Oct 28 is the next major catalyst
15:47 UTC
Two-way chop, lower highs since NY spike · RSI 45 · price 81,380.38
Asian range swept both sides at NY open; lower highs above 81240–81300 floor.
The NY open and the US PMI beat drove a spike to the 81975 session high, just above the Asian range top near 81935. Michigan then flushed price to the 81012 NY low, just under the Asian low, so both sides of the range were swept. Since then the market has printed lower highs at 81819 (bounce high) and 81593 (lower high) against higher lows at 81242 (swing low) and 81306 (recent low), with price near 81380, below EMA20/50, and RSI(14) neutral at 45.
Support: 81,306.46, 81,011.78
Resistance: 81,593.14, 81,818.90, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81306 recent low and 81242 swing low confirms a lower-low and reopens the 81012 NY low
M15 close above the 81593 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and the 61.8% fib of the NY spike, putting the 81819 bounce high back in play
No US data in the next 8h; the Oct 28 FOMC is the next macro catalyst, so a range between 81240 and 81600 is the default read
15:32 UTC
Neutral, choppy after NY whipsaw · RSI 47 · price 81,515.23
Both sides of the Asian range taken in NY, lower high forming under 81975.
Around the US PMI and Michigan releases, NY spiked through the Asian high to an 81975 session high. It then reversed in a flush to an 81012 session low below the Asian low and snapped back. Price now sits near the 50% retrace of that flush around 81500, capped by a lower high at 81819, with a swing low at 81306 and RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 81,306.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,819.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81819 lower high reopens the 81975 session high
Failure to hold the 81306 swing low exposes the 81012 session low
Rejection at the 61.8% of the NY flush (~81607) keeps the lower-high sequence intact
No scheduled US risk in the next 8h; FOMC Oct 28 is the next macro catalyst
15:18 UTC
Two-way, volatile NY session range · RSI 46 · price 81,448.30
False break above Asian high, sweep below Asian low, lower high since.
Firm US PMI and Michigan prints around the NY open pushed price through the Asian high at 81935 to a day high of 81975. The move then reversed into a sweep of the Asian low down to the NY low at 81012. The snap-back stalled at a lower high near 81820, and price is back testing the London low around 81380–81450, below both EMAs.
Support: 81,380.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,820.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the london low at 81380 exposes the 81012 ny low
M15 close above the 81820 lower high reopens the 81975 day high
No US data in the next 8h; Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed are the next catalysts for this range
NY session swept both Asian range extremes, price back mid-range.
Mid-NY session turned two-way after the PMI and Michigan beats. A spike to the ny high at 81974 cleared the Asian high at 81934 and was rejected, then a flush to the ny low at 81011 broke the Asian low before a reclaim to the london high at 81819. Price is at 81624, the 0.236 of the ny recovery fib, sitting just under both EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 81,376.38
Resistance: 81,818.90
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london high at 81819 reopens the ny high at 81974
Failure to hold the london low at 81376 exposes the ny low at 81011 again
Slipping below the ny recovery fib 0.5 near 81415 would undo most of the post-data reclaim
No US data in the next 8h; the Fed decision on Wed Oct 28 is the next major catalyst
14:47 UTC
Sideways, volatility expanding in NY · RSI 51 · price 81,644.09
NY swept both ends of the Asian range, now mid-range.
NY hours took out both sides of the Asian range around the US PMI and Michigan sentiment beats. The spike to the 81975 ny high was rejected, the flush to the 81012 ny low below the asian low was bought back, and the rebound high at 81765 retraced about 76% of the drop on the ny drop fib. Price is flat at ema20 with RSI(14) near 51, and ATR has expanded to roughly $255.
Support: 81,376.00, 81,047.00, 81,012.00
Resistance: 81,765.00, 81,935.00, 81,975.00
What it said to watch
Close back above 81935 asian high and 81975 ny high would negate the false break and reopen session-high extension
Failure at the 81765 rebound high keeps price capped inside the 81012–81975 NY range
Loss of 81376 london low exposes 81047 asian low and the 81012 ny low
No scheduled US data in the next 8h. Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed Oct 28 are the next catalysts that could reset this range
False break above the Asian high at 81935 to a session high at 81975, then a ~960-point drop to the ny low at 81012; price now below the London low.
Early in the NY session, price pushed through the Asian high at 81935 to a session high at 81975 around the PMI and Michigan beats. It then reversed to a ny low at 81012 as firm US data weighed on risk. Price now sits below the London low at 81376, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the drop, with RSI(14) near 40 and ATR(14) about 225 points.
Support: 81,011.78, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,376.38, 81,607.00, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the london low at 81376 (38.2% of the NY drop) would neutralise the reversal read; the 61.8% fib at 81607 is the next cap
Failure to hold the ny low at 81012 exposes the 24h low at 80833
No US data is left today; next scheduled risk is Durable Goods on Tue, then FOMC on Wed
14:18 UTC
Range-bound, rejected at session high · RSI 49 · price 81,531.21
Intraday range 81376–81975; NY false break of Asian high.
Early NY session pushed through the Asian high at 81935 to a session high of 81975 into the 13:45–14:00 UTC PMI/UoM window. The 14:00 bar then reversed about $540 to a NY low at 81437. Price is back inside the range near 81530, roughly 74% into the 81376–81975 NY spike fib leg, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 81,437.32, 81,376.38, 81,046.75
Resistance: 81,819.89, 81,934.77, 81,974.72
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81376 london low breaks the intraday range floor and exposes the 81047 asian low
Reclaim of the 81820 london high puts the asian high and session high at 81935–81975 back in focus
Failure to hold the 81437 ny low completes a full retrace of the NY spike fib leg
PMI and UoM inflation-expectations actuals are not yet in the feed; USD/yield repricing could extend the 14:00 UTC swing in either direction
14:03 UTC
Range, pressing the top · RSI 62 · price 81,909.80
81380–81935 range since Asia; NY leg testing the high.
BTC has held an 81380–81935 range since the Asian rally. The NY leg from the 81380 range low tagged an 81960 session high into the PMI/UoM window, but there is no close above the 81935 Asian high yet. RSI(14) sits near 62, short of extremes.
Support: 81,750.00, 81,380.00
Resistance: 81,935.00, 81,960.00, 82,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81960 session high breaks the range top and opens 82000 round number
Slip back below 81750 prior highs returns price to the 81380–81935 range and puts the NY leg fib 50–61.8% in play
UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (f/c 4.7%) and PMI actuals at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Range, pressing range top · RSI 65 · price 81,933.77
Asian high retest, higher lows since 12:30 UTC.
Early NY push has carried price back to the Asian high near 81935, tagging a new session high at 81958 as US PMIs hit. London traded inside the Asian range, with dips holding at the 81440 london low and the 81376 swing low. RSI(14) near 65, firm but not stretched.
Support: 81,752.00, 81,440.00, 81,376.00
Resistance: 81,958.00, 82,000.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81958 session high breaks the Asian range and opens the 82000 round number
Rejection at the Asian high returns focus to the 81752 prior high, the 12:30-12:45 UTC ceiling
Loss of the higher-low line and the 81376 swing low turns the read back to range lows
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Sideways, recovering off range lows · RSI 55 · price 81,775.94
81,376–81,935 range since the Asian rally; NY open testing the upper half.
BTC has held an 81,376–81,935 range since the Asian rally. Lows repeatedly formed near the 81,440 range floor through London, and the dip to the 81,376 london low was a brief false break near the 61.8% retrace of that rally. The NY open is pressing the 81,830 session high ahead of US PMIs, with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
An M15 close above the 81,935 asian high breaks the range to the upside
Rejection at the 81,830 session high keeps price rotating inside the range
Failure to hold the 81,440 range floor and the 81,376 london low exposes the 81,047 asian low
London range 81376–81845 nested inside the Asian range, highs stepping lower.
London has traded a 81376–81845 range inside the Asian range of 81046–81935. Highs have stepped lower from 81820 to the 81752 lower high, and price is sitting just under EMA20 near 81610 heading into the US flash PMIs. RSI(14) near 47 is neutral, consistent with chop rather than a directional leg.
Support: 81,376.00, 81,046.00
Resistance: 81,752.00, 81,845.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range in either direction
An M15 close below the 81376 London low exposes the 81046 Asian low
A close above the 81752 lower high and the falling highs line reopens the 81845 London high, then the 81935 Asian high
London range 81,440–81,820 under Asian high, descending highs.
London has stayed inside 81,440–81,820 below the 81,935 asian high, and a trendline of lower highs now sits near the 81,752 lower high. The 12:15 UTC sweep low at 81,376, near the 61.8% of the asia leg, was reclaimed at once. Price is pinned just under flat EMAs with RSI(14) ~51 ahead of the NY open, with no BTC-specific driver in the feed.
What it said to watch
S&P flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the lower highs trendline and 81,820 london high breaks the compression
Failure to hold the 81,440 range floor, then the 81,376 sweep low, exposes the 81,047 asian low
81440–81935 range since Asia rally; lower highs; false break of range low reclaimed.
BTC has held an 81440–81935 range since the Asia rally off the 81047 asian low, with London printing a run of lower highs into 81752. A false break below the range low at 12:15 UTC tagged 81376, near the 61.8% retracement of the Asia rally. That sweep low was reclaimed within the bar, RSI(14) is neutral near 56, and there is no BTC-specific news, so the macro tape is two-way into the US data.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,376.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,752.00, 81,935.00, 81,990.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81752 lower high clears the lower-highs line and puts the 81935 range top, then the 81990 prior high, back in play
Loss of the 81440 range low and the 81376 sweep low turns the false break into a range break toward the 81047 asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (f/c 4.7%) could materially shift this read
Lower highs inside the Asian range; range floor swept and reclaimed.
London has stayed inside the Asian range (81047–81935), with lower highs stepping down from 81935 and a range floor near 81440. The 12:15 UTC bar broke that floor to an 81376 session low, near the 61.8% retrace of the Asian rally, then closed back above it. That false break leaves RSI(14) neutral near 51 heading into the NY open.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,376.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,766.00, 81,935.00, 81,990.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the lower highs trendline and the 81766 lower high breaks the London compression; the asian high at 81935 and prior high at 81990 sit above
Close back below the 81376 session low turns the false break into a lower-low and opens the asian low at 81047
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:03 UTC
Sideways, range compressing · RSI 44 · price 81,613.12
Lower highs from 81935 Asian high against flat to rising lows at 81440–81480.
Late London is coiling under a descending line from the 81935 Asian high, with lower highs at the 81820 London high, 81766 and the 81691 swing high. Rising lows hold the floor at the 81440 London low and the 81480 swing low. RSI(14) sits near 44, mid-range, with no BTC-specific driver as price waits on US flash PMIs and UoM inflation expectations.
Support: 81,480.00, 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,691.00, 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending line and the 81820 London high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 81440 London low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 81047 Asian low
S&P flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 57.9) and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (f/c 4.7%) could resolve the compression
11:47 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia · RSI 44 · price 81,606.13
Compression: lower highs against a flat 81440–81480 base.
Late London morning. Price has printed lower highs from the 81935 Asian high, through the 81820 London high, down to the 81690 lower high, while dips stay contained at the 81440 session low and the 81480 higher low, near the 50% retrace of the Asian rally. With no BTC-specific news, price is compressing around 81600 between EMA20 and EMA50, RSI(14) 44, ahead of US data.
Support: 81,480.00, 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,690.00, 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 session low breaks the base and the Asian rally fib, exposing the 81047 Asian low
M15 close above the 81690 lower high clears the descending trendline; the 81820 London high and 81935 Asian high sit above
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (f/c 4.7%) at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs inside the Asian range, flat floor near 81,440.
London session is holding inside the Asian range. Highs have stepped down from the 81,935 Asian high to an 81,766 lower high, while the 81,440 range floor held twice. Price is pinned at EMA50 near 81,590 with RSI(14) flat at 49, and with no BTC-specific driver in the feed the squeeze runs into the 13:45 UTC PMIs.
What it said to watch
A close above the lower-highs trendline (~81,730) and the 81,766 lower high ends the compression and puts the 81,935 Asian high and 81,990 NY high back in play
Failure at the 81,480 session low and 81,440 range floor exposes the 61.8% Asian rally fib at ~81,386, then the 81,047 Asian low
S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (f/c 4.7%) at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:17 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since the Asian peak · RSI 47 · price 81,517.23
81440–81935 Asian/London range compressing, lower highs into a flat base.
Asia session rallied from the 81047 asian low to the 81935 asian high; since then each push has stalled lower (81882, 81820, 81766) while the 81440 swing low has held three times. Late London now sits near the 50% fib of the Asian leg, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) neutral ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,766.00, 81,935.00, 81,990.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 swing low breaks the range base and puts the 81047 asian low in view
Close above the 81766 lower high and the falling lower-highs line invalidates the compression read; 81935 asian high and 81990 prior high above
S&P flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (early NY) could materially shift this read
Loss of the 61.8% fib near 81386 would retrace most of the Asian leg
11:04 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia · RSI 46 · price 81,550.19
Lower highs pressing into flat 81440 floor.
BTC is holding the upper half of the Asian range (81047–81935) through the London session, printing lower highs off the 81935 asian high against a flat london low near 81440, just under the fib 50% of the Asia rally. RSI(14) near 46 with price below both EMAs shows fading momentum, and mixed US data leaves little macro impulse ahead of today's PMIs.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,766.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 london low breaks the floor and exposes the 81047 asian low
M15 close above the 81766 lower high and the descending lower-high trendline negates the sequence, with the 81935 asian high next
S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:47 UTC
Sideways, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 49 · price 81,621.11
Compressing range: lower highs against a flat 81440 floor.
Asia lifted off the 81047 asian low to an 81935 asian high, and London has since printed a series of lower highs, the latest at 81766, while the 81440 range floor held three times. Price sits mid-range at 81621 late in the London session, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and no BTC-specific driver in the feed ahead of US data.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,766.00, 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 range floor breaks the London base and exposes the 81047 asian low
Close above the 81820 london high clears the lower-highs trendline and puts the 81935 asian high back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:32 UTC
Sideways, lower highs inside London range · RSI 46 · price 81,622.11
Asian rally capped; lower highs pressing a flat 81440 floor.
The Asian rally ran from the 81047 asian low to the 81935 asian high. Mid-London session has since held an 81440–81820 range, with the pullback holding between the 50% and 61.8% retrace and a lower-high sequence (latest 81766) compressing price toward the range floor. RSI(14) neutral at 46; the digest has no BTC-specific driver ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00, 80,833.00
Resistance: 81,766.00, 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 range floor breaks the London range and exposes the 81047 asian low, then the 80833 ny low
Close above the 81766 lower high and the 81820 london high negates the lower-high sequence; the 81935 asian high is next
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Sideways, lower highs into a flat floor · RSI 48 · price 81,727.00
Compression inside the Asian range, flat range floor near 81440.
Mid-London, BTC is still inside the Asian range (81047–81935). Rallies have printed lower highs at 81935, the 81820 london high and the 09:15 UTC lower high at 81744, while the 81440 range floor has held three times, near the 50% retrace of the Asian swing. The latest bounce from the floor puts price back above EMA20, RSI(14) is neutral near 48, and with no fresh BTC driver the macro tone is two-way into the US data.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,744.00, 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
A close above the lower-highs trendline and 81820 london high breaks the compression and exposes the 81935 asian high
A close below the 81440 range floor and the 50–61.8% retrace of the Asian swing (81491–81386) opens a return toward the 81047 asian low
S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (f/c 4.7%) could materially shift this read
10:04 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower inside Asian range · RSI 42 · price 81,570.17
Lower highs pressing a flat range floor near 81440.
Mid-London, BTC is still inside the Asian range (81047–81935). It is printing lower highs into a range floor near 81440 that has held three times since 04:45 UTC, around the 50% retrace of the Asian rally. Price sits under EMA20 and on EMA50, with no BTC-specific driver in the feed ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,820.00, 81,935.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 range floor opens the 61.8% Asian rally fib near 81386, then the asian low at 81047
Close above the lower-highs trendline and the 81820 london high returns focus to the 81935 asian high
S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the range either way
09:47 UTC
Sideways after Asian rally, highs fading · RSI 42 · price 81,550.19
Lower highs pressing on a flat 81,440 floor.
Mid-London, BTC is compressing below the 81,935 Asian high. Since 04:45 UTC it has printed lower highs at 81,883 and 81,820, while the 81,440 range floor has held three times. RSI(14) sits near 42 with price under both EMAs, and the US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 13:45–14:00 UTC are the next macro input on a mixed-data USD backdrop.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81,440 range floor breaks the base and exposes the 81,047 Asian low
M15 close above the 81,820 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence, with the 81,935 Asian high next above
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (f/c 4.7%) at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 81935 Asian high, testing 81440 swing low.
Mid-London, BTC is still inside the 81047–81935 Asian range. Lower highs have formed since the Asian high, and the 81820 session high saw rejection, putting price back near the 81440 swing low with RSI(14) near 37 and both EMAs overhead. There is no BTC-specific news; a mixed US data backdrop leaves the tape two-way into this afternoon's releases.
Support: 81,440.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,819.89, 81,934.77
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 swing low breaks the London double-low and exposes the 81047 Asian low, then the 80833 day low
M15 close above the lower-highs line and the 81820 session high reopens the 81935 Asian high and 82070 prior high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (f/c 4.7%) could materially shift this read
Range 81440–81935 since Asia; higher low vs Asian low held.
Asia rebuilt the drop from the 80833 NY low, rallying from the 81047 asian low to the 81935 asian high. London has stayed inside that range: buyers stepped in at the 81440 london low twice, and the bounce stalled at the 81820 london high. Price sits mid-range at 81677, flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 46, and no fresh crypto driver in the feed.
Support: 81,440.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,820.00, 81,935.00, 82,071.00
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 london low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 81047 asian low
Acceptance above the 81820 london high returns focus to the 81935 asian high, with the 82071 prior high from yesterday's London session beyond
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the Asian range either way via USD and yields
London low sits near the 50–61.8% zone of the asian rally fib; a close through 61.8% (~81386) negates the retracement read
09:05 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs since Asia · RSI 46 · price 81,622.11
Inside Asian range; lower highs pressing on flat lows at 81,440.
BTC is compressing inside the Asian range (81,047–81,935) after the overnight rebound from yesterday's NY low near 80,833. London has printed a lower high at 81,820, and the lower-highs line now caps price, while the 81,440 double low holds between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asia rally. RSI(14) is near 46 with price just under EMA20, and there is no BTC-specific driver ahead of the US PMIs.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81,440 double low breaks the London base and exposes the 61.8% fib near 81,386, then the 81,047 asian low
Close above the 81,820 london high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 81,935 asian high, with the 82,071 prior high beyond
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:47 UTC
Recovering intraday, higher lows since Asia · RSI 56 · price 81,740.98
Range 81,440–81,935 with higher lows off the 81,047 Asian low.
Asia rebuilt from the 81,047 asian low to an 81,935 asian high. London open dipped to 81,440, matching the 05:45 UTC low near the 50–61.8% retracement of the Asian leg, and bounced to an 81,820 london high. RSI(14) is neutral near 56 on rising support, with no BTC-specific driver ahead of the US PMIs.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,935 asian high breaks the range and opens the 82,070 prior high
Loss of the 81,440 london low breaks rising support and the higher-low chain, exposing the 81,047 asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, momentum neutral · RSI 49 · price 81,703.02
Lower highs pressing on flat 81,440 lows, inside the Asian range.
BTC is compressing inside the Asian range of 81,047–81,935. A falling line of lower highs at 81,935, 81,883 and 81,820 is pressing on twin lows near the 81,440 london low, which held between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the Asia rally. RSI(14) is neutral near 48, and London has not broken either side ahead of the US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations at 13:45–14:00 UTC.
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 81,440 london low breaks the twin lows and exposes the 81,047 asian low.
A close above the lower-highs line and the 81,820 london high reopens the 81,935 asian high, then the 82,070 prior high.
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (f/c 4.7%) at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
08:18 UTC
Sideways after Asian rally, two-way · RSI 55 · price 81,729.99
81,440–81,935 range, equal lows below, lower high above.
The Asian session rallied from the 81,047 asian low to 81,935, then rotated into an 81,440–81,935 range. Early London retested the 81,440 range low a second time and buyers stepped in, holding the 50–61.8% fib of the Asian leg, while the 81,883 lower high caps the topside. RSI(14) is neutral near 55, with no BTC-specific headlines and the macro digest two-way into today's US data.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81,440 range low breaks the double bottom and exposes the 81,047 asian low
M15 close above the 81,935 asian high clears the lower high and opens the 82,071 prior high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:04 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia · RSI 42 · price 81,453.30
Lower highs inside the Asian range, retesting the swing low.
Highs have stepped lower from the 81,935 Asian high, and London open faded from the 81,811 London high back to the 81,440 swing low. Price sits near the 50% retrace of the Asian rally, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 42. There is no BTC-specific news; the move sits in a macro-only, two-way tape ahead of the US data.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81,440 swing low marks a lower low and exposes the fib 61.8 at 81,386, then the 81,047 Asian low
Recovery above the 81,811 London high breaks the lower-highs trendline and puts the 81,935 Asian high back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Asian recovery fading, lower highs into London · RSI 47 · price 81,596.14
Lower highs below the 81935 Asian high, holding above the 81440 swing low.
The Asian session rebounded from the 81047 asian low to an 81935 asian high. Price then rejected that level with lower highs at 81883 and 81845. The London open sold the market back to 81596, the 38.2% retracement of that rally, above EMA50 and below EMA20, with no BTC-specific news and the market waiting on US data.
Support: 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,844.87, 81,934.77, 82,204.47
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81440 swing low (04:45 UTC) breaks the Asian higher-low chain and exposes the 81047 asian low
Recovery through the 81845 lower high and the descending trendline reopens the 81935 asian high, then the 82204 24h high
Hold of 81440–81490 (50% fib) keeps the pullback a retracement inside the Asian rally
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A break of the 80833 24h low would put the low of yesterday's NY sell-off back in play
07:32 UTC
Sideways, compressing after Asian rally · RSI 50 · price 81,661.07
Lower high at 81883, higher low at 81439, inside the Asian range.
Early London session, price is mid-Asian range (81047–81935) after the Asia rally recovered from yesterday's slide toward 80833. A lower high at 81883 and a higher-low swing low at 81439, near the 56% retrace of the Asian rally, are compressing price around 81660, with RSI(14) flat near 50 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75
Resistance: 81,882.82, 81,934.77
What it said to watch
Break below the 81439 swing low and the higher-low line exposes the 81047 Asian low
A close above the 81883 lower high and the 81935 Asian high breaks the compression to the upside
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Intraday recovery stalling, early London fade · RSI 45 · price 81,640.09
Asia higher low at 81439, lower high at 81883 under the 81935 Asian high.
Asia rebuilt from the 81047 Asian low to an 81935 Asian high, then printed a swing low at 81439 and a lower high at 81883 that capped the pre-London push. Early London is fading toward the 38.2% of the Asia rally fib and the rising support near 81650. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price has slipped below EMA20, while macro flow is two-way ahead of the US PMIs.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75
Resistance: 81,882.82, 81,934.77
What it said to watch
A M15 close below the rising support near 81650 opens the 81439 swing low
Failure to hold 81439 confirms a lower-low and puts the 81047 Asian low back in play
A close above the 81883 lower high and the 81935 Asian high reopens the prior-day 82070–82260 area
S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 81047 Asian low, lower high at 81883 under Asian high.
Asia session rallied from the 81047 Asian low to a 81935 Asian high. The pullback printed a higher low at the 81439 swing low, and price now sits near 81790 at London open, with a lower high at 81883 capping and the 81657 minor low below. The backdrop is a soft USD, four days lower, though no BTC-specific driver is in play; RSI(14) is neutral near 52.
Support: 81,657.00, 81,439.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,935.00, 82,071.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 Asian high opens the path to the 82071 prior high from yesterday's London session
Loss of the 81657 minor low exposes the 81439 swing low and the higher-low line
Break below 81439 negates the higher-low sequence and puts the 81047 Asian low back in view
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia rebounded from an 81047 Asian low to an 81935 Asian high, extending the recovery off yesterday's 80833 NY-session low. The late-Asia dip held a higher low at 81439 and a pullback low at 81557, and price is now coiling near 81780 into London open with RSI(14) neutral around 55. With no BTC-specific news and a soft USD backdrop, the move reads as drift rather than a driven break.
Support: 81,557.00, 81,439.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,935.00, 82,070.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 Asian high breaks the Asian range and puts the 82070 prior high in view
Failure to hold the 81439 higher low breaks the HL chain and re-exposes the 81047 Asian low
Hold above the 81557 pullback low keeps the coil intact beneath the Asian high
S&P flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Recovery from NY low, capped below Asian high · RSI 55 · price 81,790.93
Higher lows 80833 → 81047 → 81439; lower high 81883 under 81935.
Yesterday's NY session low at 80833 has held. Asia then built higher lows at 81047 and 81439, the latter a near-56% retrace of the Asia rally, while the 81935 asian high caps and the 81883 lower high sits just below it. Price is in the upper half of the Asian range heading into the London open. RSI(14) is neutral near 55 and the USD tone is soft ahead of today's PMIs.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,882.82, 81,934.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 asian high breaks the Asian range and exposes the 82070 prior high
A break of the 81439 swing low snaps the higher-lows trendline, with the 81047 asian low and 80833 ny low below
Failure again at the 81883 lower high keeps price ranging inside the Asian range into London
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain off 80833; pressing Asian range top.
Late Asia session, price is back near the Asian high at 81935 after the 05:15 UTC pullback held a higher swing low at 81439, near the 50% fib of the 80833–81935 rebound. RSI(14) sits neutral around 53 and the higher-low trendline from the 81047 Asian low is intact. Macro tone stays two-way ahead of US PMIs, with no BTC-specific headlines.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,934.77, 82,070.62
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 Asian high breaks the session range top and brings the 82071 prior high into view
Failure to hold the 81439 swing low and the higher-low trendline exposes the 81047 Asian low, then the 80833 prior low
S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1-yr inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher low at 81439 inside yesterday's 80833–82070 range.
The Asian rally off the 81047 Asian low stalled at 81935, the Asian high, and the pullback held a higher low at the 81439 swing low, between the 50% and 61.8% retracement. Price is back near 81750, above both EMAs, late in the Asia session ahead of London open. RSI(14) near 51 is neutral, and yesterday's range between the 80833 NY low and the 82070 swing high is still intact.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,934.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 Asian high opens a test of the 82070 swing high and the range top
Failure at the 81439 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 81047 Asian low, then the 80833 NY low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range 81047–81935; pullback held 81439 between the 50% and 61.8% fib, lower high at 81773.
Asia retraced part of yesterday's London–NY slide to the 80833 prior low. Price rallied from the 81047 asian low to a rejection at the 81910–81935 asian high, then the pullback held the 81439 swing low between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asian leg. Late in the Asia session price sits at 81714 under the 81773 lower high, the higher-low chain is intact and RSI(14) is neutral near 56. There is no crypto-specific driver; the macro tape stays two-way ahead of US PMIs.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,772.95, 81,934.77
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 asian high reopens yesterday's 82070 london high
Lower high at 81773 capping the bounce keeps price rotating inside the Asian range
Loss of the 81439 swing low and the higher-low line breaks the recovery structure; asian low 81047 then prior low 80833 come into view
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
05:32 UTC
Asia bounce fading, micro lower high · RSI 53 · price 81,574.16
Pullback inside the 81,047–81,935 Asian range.
Asia rallied from the 81,047 asian low to a rejection at the 81,935 asian high. The pullback low at 81,439 sits near the 61.8% fib of that leg, and the bounce capped at a lower high of 81,756. Late Asia, ahead of London open, price is just under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 53, still above yesterday's NY day low at 80,833 with no BTC-specific driver in the feed.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81,439 pullback low exposes the 81,047 asian low
Close above the 81,756 lower high reopens the 81,935 asian high
Loss of the asian low puts the 80,833 NY day low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:17 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows through Asia · RSI 57 · price 81,745.98
Higher lows off 81047, capped below 81935 asian high.
After yesterday's NY low at 80833, the Asian session built higher lows from the 81047 asian low to an 81935 asian high. The pullback to the 81439 swing low held near the 50% fib of that Asia leg, and the latest bar recovered to 81746 ahead of London open, with RSI(14) neutral at 57 and a softer USD for a fourth day as backdrop.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,934.77, 82,070.62
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81935 asian high opens a test of the 82071 london high
Break of the 81439 swing low and the asia rising line returns focus to the 81047 asian low, then the 80833 ny low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:05 UTC
Recovering off NY low, pulling back · RSI 50 · price 81,550.19
Higher low at 81047, late-NY range top retested.
Late Asia session, two hours before London open. Asia broke out of the late-NY 81050–81480 range, forming a higher low at the asian low 81047 above yesterday's ny low at 80833, and stalled at the asian high 81935. The dip to the 81439 pullback low has retested the old range top near the 50% fib. Price is flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) near 50, and there is no BTC-specific driver against a soft USD.
Support: 81,439.31, 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,934.77, 82,070.62
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 81439 pullback low breaks the higher lows line and exposes the asian low at 81047
Close above the asian high at 81935 opens the 82071 swing high from London
Loss of the ny low at 80833 would resume the lower-low sequence
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since London; Asian higher low, now retracing.
The Asian rally ran from the 81,047 Asian low to an 81,935 Asian high. Price was rejected there twice and is now retracing to the 38.2% level near 81,596. That high sits below yesterday's 82,071 swing high, so the lower-high sequence from London is intact. RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and price is hovering just above EMA20, with no BTC-specific news and a softer USD backdrop.
What it said to watch
Close below the 81,561 pullback low extends the retrace toward the fib 50% at 81,491
Break above the 81,935 Asian high would challenge the 82,071 swing high and the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 81,047 Asian low reopens yesterday's 80,833 NY low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Recovery leg from 80,833 low, momentum fading · RSI 55 · price 81,613.12
Asian break of overnight range, stalling below 82,070 lower high.
The Asian session rallied off the 81,047 asian low, broke the 81,050–81,480 prior range and peaked at the 81,935 asian high. That high stalled short of Thursday's 82,070 lower high, and price is now easing to the 38.2% retracement of the Asian leg near 81,595, with RSI(14) cooling to ~55 into London open. There is no BTC-specific news, and USD is soft ahead of the US PMIs.
What it said to watch
A break of the 81,571 swing low and a close back inside the prior range below 81,480 would undo the Asian breakout
The 50% Asian leg fib at ~81,490 overlaps the prior range top; this is the area to watch for demand or a deeper retrace
A close above the 81,935 asian high, then the 82,070 lower high, breaks the lower-high sequence from 82,925
The rising lows trendline from 80,833 sits near 81,170; failure there exposes the 81,047 asian low
US S&P PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:17 UTC
Intraday recovery from Asia low, stalling below 81935 · RSI 55 · price 81,635.10
Asia higher low at 81622 under test after twice failing at 81910–81935.
Asia rallied from the 81047 asia low and broke the overnight range top at 81483, then stalled twice at 81910–81935 with the asia high capping. Price is back on the 81622 asia hl near the 38.2% fib of the Asian move, with RSI(14) cooling to about 55 and no BTC-specific news in the feed.
Support: 81,622.00, 81,483.00, 81,047.00
Resistance: 81,935.00, 82,070.00
What it said to watch
Close below the 81622 asia hl breaks the Asian HL chain and puts the 81483 range top back in play
Close above the 81935 asia high exposes the 82070 london high from yesterday
Failure of the 81483 range top as support reopens the 81047 asia low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asian low, stalling under session high · RSI 61 · price 81,758.96
HH/HL chain since 81,047; overnight cap at 81,480 broken, tight cluster of highs at 81,900–81,935.
The Asia session reversed the London and NY slide. Price bounced from the 81,047 Asian low, cleared the overnight cap near 81,480 and printed a session high at 81,935. It is now stalling just under that high with RSI(14) near 61, while the 81,622 swing low (near the 38.2% fib) and the rising trendline frame the pullback.
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 81,935 session high reopens the 82,070 London high
Loss of the 81,622 swing low and the rising trendline exposes the 81,480 overnight cap
A move back below the 81,480 overnight cap puts the 81,047 Asian low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend off Asian low · RSI 66 · price 81,847.86
Higher low at 81,622 after range break above 81,480.
Asia session lifted off the 81,047 asian low, cleared the 81,480 range top that capped late NY trade and set a session high at 81,910. The dip to the 81,622 pullback low held above the 38.2% of the Asia rally, a higher low on the rising line. RSI(14) is near 66 and not stretched, while the USD stays heavy into Friday's data.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,910 asian high opens the 81,990 ny high and the 82,070 swing high
Loss of the 81,622 pullback low and the rising line puts the 81,480 range top back in play; below that sits the 81,047 asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:32 UTC
Asia-session recovery, pausing below the session high · RSI 64 · price 81,750.97
Higher lows off 81,047, late-NY range top cleared, shallow pullback from 81,910.
Mid-Asia session, BTC has lifted from the 81,047 Asian low to an 81,910 Asian high on a chain of higher lows. That move cleared the late-NY range top near 81,480, which had capped price after Thursday's NY slide to 80,833 as the dollar briefly firmed on the 194K claims beat. The pullback low at 81,622 is holding for now, near the 38.2% fib of the Asian leg, with RSI(14) cooling to about 64.
What it said to watch
A close below the 81,622 pullback low brings the 50% fib and the range top near 81,480 into play
A break above the 81,910 Asian high exposes the 82,070 London high from Thursday
Losing the Asian higher-low trendline (~81,260) would negate the session recovery structure
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Short-term uptrend off NY low, pausing below session high · RSI 64 · price 81,781.94
Higher lows since 80833; Asian range broken to the upside.
Late in the Asia session BTC broke above the 81475 Asian high and the 81660 spike high, then printed an 81910 session high. It is holding just below that high, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-60s. The higher-low chain from yesterday's 80833 NY low remains intact, and with no crypto-specific news in the feed, price is drifting ahead of today's US data.
Support: 81,660.07, 81,046.75
Resistance: 81,909.80
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 81475 Asian high negates the range break and reopens the 81047 Asian low
Failure to hold the 81660 spike high on a retest weakens the breakout
Clearance of the 81910 session high exposes the 82070 prior swing from yesterday's London session
Loss of the higher-lows trendline near 81130 breaks the intraday HL chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
03:04 UTC
Short-term uptrend off the 80833 low · RSI 69 · price 81,856.85
Higher lows, Asia range break above 81480.
The Asia session broke above the 81110–81480 range that held through late NY and printed an Asian high at 81910. That move extends a higher-lows chain from the 80833 swing low, with RSI(14) near 69. Overhead, the NY open high at 81990 and the London high at 82070 sit just above. The 81480 range top lines up with the fib 38.2%. There is no BTC-specific driver in the feed, and USD has stayed heavy into today's PMIs.
Support: 81,480.00, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,909.80, 81,989.71
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 81910 asian high to 81990 ny open high cluster keeps price capped below the London high
Acceptance above the 82070 london high clears the pivot of yesterday's London selloff
An M15 close back below the 81480 range top returns price into the prior range
A break of the 81046 asian low ends the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 80833 swing low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, Asia rebound testing it · RSI 69 · price 81,830.88
Asia break above overnight range, higher lows off 80833.
Asia session broke the 81110–81480 overnight range top, with the rebound from the 80833 day low stalling at the 50% fib of the day decline near 81890 as USD softened. RSI(14) around 69. The 81990 lower high and 82070 london high from London hours still cap the move.
Support: 81,480.00, 81,050.00, 80,833.00
Resistance: 81,890.00, 81,990.00, 82,070.00
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81990 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens 82070 london high
Slip back below the 81480 range top puts price back inside the overnight range, with the 81050 asian low next
Break of the rising lows line and the 80833 day low resumes the downtrend
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:32 UTC
Rebound off lows after London-led sell-off · RSI 63 · price 81,615.12
Higher lows from 80833 base, range top broken, testing Asian high.
Mid-Asia session, price has cleared the 81483 range top that capped the post-sell-off base for about eight hours. It is now pressing the 81660 Asian high, right at the 38.2% fib of the 82948–80833 drop, with rising lows building off the 80833 swing low. There is no BTC-specific driver in the feed, and a heavy USD in Asia is the only backdrop.
Support: 81,483.00, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,660.07, 81,890.00
What it said to watch
A close above the 81660 Asian high opens the 81890 fib 50% and the 82070 London high
A slip back below the 81483 range top returns price to the base and marks the move as a false break
Loss of the 81046 Asian low breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 80833 swing low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via USD and yields
Lower highs from London; 81,050–81,480 range since NY low.
London and NY selling took BTC to an 80,833 NY low. Price has since compressed in an 81,050–81,480 band, and the 01:45 UTC spike to the 81,660 Asian high was rejected at the lower-highs trendline. Early Asia trade sits on EMA20 at the 38.2% retrace of the London-NY drop, RSI(14) neutral near 52. There is no BTC-specific driver, and firm US claims are a mild headwind.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,480 range top opens a retest of the 81,660 Asian high and the lower-highs trendline
Failure to hold the 81,047 Asian low exposes the 80,833 NY low and resumes the lower-low sequence
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:04 UTC
Downtrend paused, basing in a range · RSI 48 · price 81,213.56
Post-selloff range 81,050–81,480 with lower highs capping.
After the London-to-NY slide from 83,260 to the 80,833 swing low, BTC has been basing between 81,050 and 81,480, with a mild USD-supportive claims beat as the only fresh macro input. The Asia session spiked to an 81,660 Asian high near the 38.2% retracement, but that was rejected straight back inside the range top. Price is now sitting just under both EMAs with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 81,480 range top and the 81,660 Asian high would break the lower-high trendline sequence
Failure to hold the 81,047 Asian low puts the 80,960 NY low and the 80,833 swing low back in play
A close above the 81,990 lower high would invalidate the downtrend read
US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations later Friday (13:45–14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows off NY low, compressing under 81,480 range top.
Thursday's slide from 83,400 bottomed at the 80,833 NY low. Since then price has carved higher lows, and buyers defended the 81,047 Asia low early Friday. The last bar is pressing the 81,480 range top, just above the 50% retrace of the London high–NY low leg, with RSI(14) near 58 and ATR(14) around $160; the claims beat left no visible imprint.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,480 range top opens the path to the 81,808 swing high, then the 82,070 London high
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 81,047 Asia low exposes the 80,833 NY low
Loss of the 81,134 higher low weakens the base read
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:32 UTC
Downtrend, now basing in a tight range · RSI 51 · price 81,380.38
Post-sell-off consolidation 81,047–81,480 with rising lows.
The slide from 83,710 hit a day low of 80,833 in the NY session. Since then BTC has held a 81,047–81,480 consolidation, stalling near the 50% retrace of the 82,070–80,833 leg, while the Asia session trades inside it with rising lows. RSI(14) is neutral near 51 and nothing crypto-specific is driving it, with the US PMIs and UoM inflation expectations still ahead later Friday.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,480 range high opens the 61.8% retrace near 81,600 and the 81,800 prior high
Loss of the 81,047 Asian low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 80,833 day low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM 1y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
81,050–81,480 range above the 80,833 low, higher lows forming.
The slide from 84,269 bottomed at the 24h low of 80,833 during NY hours, with firm US claims at 194K a mild headwind. BTC has since based in an 81,050–81,480 range with higher lows. Early Asia dipped to the 81,047 Asian low and bounced, then met rejection again at the range top, the 50% fib zone. RSI(14) sits near 44 with price just under both EMAs.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,480 range top opens the 61.8% fib and prior high near 81,600–81,808
Loss of the 81,047 Asian low breaks the higher lows line and exposes the 80,833 24h low
US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) Friday could reset this range
01:06 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 81,366.39
Lower highs from 84,296; higher low inside 81,047–81,483 box.
BTC slid from 84,296 through London and NY to an 80,833 session low. It has since compressed into an 81,047–81,483 box, with the early-Asia dip to 81,047 holding as a higher low and bought back in one bar. The range top caps near the 50% retrace of the 82,070–80,833 leg; RSI(14) is neutral near 50 and price sits just under EMA50.
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81,483 range top breaks the consolidation and exposes the 81,808 swing high
Failure to hold the 81,047 higher low breaks the higher-lows line and reopens the 80,833 session low
US PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read via USD and yields
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing in a range · RSI 52 · price 81,418.34
Lower highs from 84296; 81050–81480 range since NY lows.
The 24h slide from 84296 bottomed at the 80833 day low during NY hours. BTC has since held an 81050–81480 range, and the early Asia session dip to the 81047 range low was bought straight back to 81418. Price is now pressing the range top and the lower-high line, with RSI(14) neutral near 52, above EMA20 but just under EMA50, around the 50% fib of the 82070–80833 leg.
Support: 81,046.75, 80,832.98
Resistance: 81,807.91
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 81480 range top breaks the lower-high line and opens 81808 swing high
Failure to hold the 81047 range low exposes the 80833 day low
US PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:32 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a base · RSI 40 · price 81,181.60
Lower highs from 82,070; 80,833–81,483 range since NY low.
BTC sold off steadily from the 84,296 high early Thursday, through London and into a NY afternoon day low at 80,833. Since then it has held a 80,833–81,483 range, with the bounce capped at the swing high near the 50% fib of the 82,070–80,833 leg. Early Asia dipped to an Asian low at 81,047. RSI(14) is near 40, price is under both EMAs, and there is no BTC-specific driver beyond the firm claims print.
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 80,833 day low resumes the lower-low sequence
Close above the 81,483 swing high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the downtrend structure, with the 81,990 NY open high next
Failure to hold the 81,047 Asian low puts the range floor back in play
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC Friday could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 82,070; 80,833–81,483 range since late NY.
The 3,400-dollar slide from 84,296 found a session low at 80,833 in NY. The rebound stalled at the 81,483 range top, near the 50% retrace of the 82,070–80,833 leg and under the lower-highs line. Early Asia has opened with a drop from the 81,354 minor high toward the 80,960 higher low, with BTC trading as a USD-liquidity proxy and no crypto-specific catalyst.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 80,960 higher low exposes the 80,833 session low; a break there resumes the lower-low sequence
M15 close above the 81,483 range top and the lower-highs line invalidates the downtrend read
Reclaim of the 81,354 minor high returns price to mid-range
US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC Friday could materially shift this read via USD and yields
Lower highs intact; higher lows off 80,833 compressing into a tight range.
The Asia selloff from 84,296 ran through London and set a day low at 80,833 during NY hours, with no crypto-specific catalyst. The claims beat (194K) kept USD supported. Since then, higher lows at 80,960 and the 81,110 swing low have fed a tight 81,202–81,483 range into the new Asia open, still well below the 23.6% fib of the selloff at 81,650.
What it said to watch
Break below the 81,202 range low reopens the 81,110 swing low and the 80,833 day low
M15 close above the 81,483 range high puts the 23.6% fib at 81,650 in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC Friday could materially shift this read