Lower highs from 84,970; NY bounce rejected at 84,315, price back at 38.2% retrace.
Monday's selloff began in the Asia session from the 84,883 high and extended through London to an 82,566 Monday low early in NY hours. The drop came as the USD gapped firmer, with the 10y at 5.27% and October hike odds above 70%. The NY bounce stalled at the 84,315 NY high, which extends the lower-highs trendline below the 84,970 Sunday high, and price has slipped back under EMA(20) near 83,498 with RSI(14) flat around 49. Price is now sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the Sunday-to-Monday drop, with the 83,022 late low just beneath.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 84,315 NY high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 83,022 late low exposes a retest of the 82,566 Monday low
Sustained trade back above EMA(20) and the 50% retrace of the Sunday-to-Monday drop near 83,768 would weaken the downtrend read
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak into Waller at 19:00 UTC, could shift this read; ADP Wed 12:15 UTC is the larger risk
BTC rolled over from Sunday's 84970 week high. Monday's Asia-session selling carried into a 82566 week low during the first hour of NY, as the USD stayed bid on a 5.27% 10-year yield and rising Fed hike odds. The rebound overshot the 61.8% retracement of the Sunday–Monday drop but was rejected at 84315, a fresh lower high under the lower-highs trendline. Price is now back below the ema20 near 83465 with RSI(14) at 39, pressing the twin lows at 83060.
Support: 83,059.53, 82,566.07
Resistance: 83,465.00, 84,315.15, 84,970.42
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 83060 twin lows exposes the 82566 week low
Recovery above the ema20 at 83465 and then the 84315 lower high would break the lower-highs sequence
Holding above the 84970 week high would negate the Sunday–Monday drop entirely
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence (Tue 14:00 UTC) plus the Fed speaker slate, then ADP Wed 12:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
21:09 UTC
Downtrend since Monday's range break, two-way chop off the lows · RSI 47 · price 83,520.02
Lower highs from 84884 after the range break; higher low at 83060 above the 82566 double bottom.
BTC held an 83500–85000 range from Friday through Sunday, with Sunday's 84970 peak stopping short of the range top. It broke lower in Monday's Asia session as the USD gapped firmer and US 10y yields hit 5.274%, and the Monday drop found a floor twice at 82609 and the 82566 Monday low. The NY rebound cleared the double-bottom neckline near 83800 but was rejected at the 84315 rebound high, a fresh lower high. Price is now pinned at EMA(20) near 83545 with RSI(14) at 46, while the 83060 higher low sits below.
Support: 83,060.00, 82,566.00
Resistance: 83,545.00, 84,315.00, 84,970.00
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 84315 rebound high breaks the lower highs sequence and puts the range top at 84970 back in view
Failure to hold the 83060 higher low exposes the 82566 Monday low and the double bottom
Sustained trade above EMA(20) at 83545 would shift the read toward the 50–61.8% zone of the Monday drop (83725–84000)
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, plus Fedspeak through Waller at 19:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC (f/c 72K) is the week's main macro test for BTC via yields and the USD
20:05 UTC
Downtrend since the weekly open, lower highs intact · RSI 47 · price 83,350.21
Lower highs from 84,970 to 84,315; NY rebound rejected below weekly open, holding 83,060 swing low.
BTC opened the week at 84,347 and sold off through the Asia session to an 82,566 week low in the first hour of NY. The backdrop was a firm USD, with 10y yields at 2007 highs. The NY-session rebound retraced roughly 73% of the 84,970–82,566 leg to 84,315 but was rejected just under the weekly open, which extends the lower highs sequence since Sunday. Price now sits below EMA(20) near 83,530 with RSI(14) around 47, holding above the 83,060 swing low that also marked Friday's post-data trough.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower highs trendline (~84,200) and the 84,347 weekly open neutralises the downtrend read and opens the path toward the 85,076 prior high
Failure to hold the 83,060 swing low exposes the 82,566 week low; a break there confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 83,530 would mark the first higher close since the rejection
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC, Waller 19:00 UTC, then ADP Wed 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Double bottom near 82600 inside 82566–85076 window range; lower highs since Sunday.
Monday's Asia session reversed from 84883 to 82724 as DXY gapped higher on October hike repricing. London retested 82609 and NY printed the 82566 Monday low, forming a double bottom. The late-NY rebound came as Iran sanctions-relief headlines trimmed the dollar bid. It reclaimed ema20 and ema50 and stalled at the 84315 rebound high, just under the 84347 weekly open. RSI(14) has recovered to ~53 from the high-20s, with price holding near the 61.8% retracement of Monday's drop.
Support: 83,810.00, 83,605.00, 82,566.07
Resistance: 84,315.15, 84,347.11, 84,970.42
What it said to watch
An H1 close above the 84347 weekly open breaks the lower-highs line and brings the 84970 weekend high back into view
Loss of ema50 near 83810 and ema20 near 83605 turns the double bottom into a failed rebound, exposing the 82566 Monday low
JOLTS and Consumer Confidence Tue 14:00 UTC plus Williams/Waller Fedspeak could materially shift this read
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC (f/c 72K) is the week's main macro test for BTC
Lower highs from 84,970; lows swept at 82,566, bounce to 50% retrace.
BTC opened the week at 84,347, and the Asia and London sessions ground it into a string of lower lows. The first hour of NY then swept to an 82,566 week low before a sharp rebound to 84,315, stalling just under the weekly open. Price now sits on EMA(50) near 83,800 and above EMA(20) at 83,565, holding the 50% retrace of Monday's drop with RSI(14) back at 50, while the descending trendline off the 84,883 week high still caps the bounce. The digest carries no BTC-specific driver, and the firm USD and yield backdrop is the only macro read available.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 84,315 rebound high and the 84,347 weekly open breaks the lower-high sequence and the descending trendline
Failure to hold ema20 at 83,565 exposes the 83,065 friday low and the 82,566 week low
Acceptance above the 84,883 week high brings the 85,076 friday high into view
JOLTS (Tue 14:00 UTC, f/c 7.23M) and Waller at 19:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields and USD
Lower highs since Friday, Monday lower low, now chopping 82,566–84,132.
Three descending highs capped the window: the Friday high at 85,076, Sunday's 84,970 and the Monday high at 84,883. The Asia-session breakdown from that last rejection took out the Friday low at 83,064 and bottomed at the Monday low of 82,566 in the first hours of NY. The rebound high at 84,132 stalled just above the 61.8% of the Monday selloff, and price has slipped back to sit on EMA(20) near 83,510, still below EMA(50) near 83,780, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. The feed carries no crypto-specific driver; firm US data and a hawkish-leaning Fed backdrop frame the tone.
What it said to watch
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC, inside the current bar, could materially shift this read; Tuesday's JOLTS (14:00 UTC, f/c 7.23M) and the Fed-speak cluster follow
An H1 close above the 84,132 rebound high reopens the Monday high at 84,883 and the lower-highs line
Failure to hold the Friday low at 83,064 exposes the Monday low at 82,566; a close below it extends the lower-low sequence
Pullbacks holding above EMA(20) would be the first break in the downtrend cycle; a clearance of the Friday high at 85,076 voids the lower-highs structure
Range break below Friday low; lower highs from 84,884, equal lows near 82,600.
After holding an 83,065–85,076 range from Friday through Sunday, BTC printed a lower high at 84,884 at Monday's open, just above the 84,347 weekly open, then broke the Friday low during the Asia session and slid to 82,609 in London. A first-hour-of-NY sweep to the 82,566 Monday low reversed to 83,335, with RSI(14) forming a higher low (~39 vs ~27) against the equal lows. Price still sits below EMA(20) near 83,470, which lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the Monday drop fib, and below the 83,800 lower high on the lower highs trendline. The feed carries no crypto-specific driver; the macro backdrop is a firm USD and elevated yields.
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 83,800 lower high breaks the lower highs trendline and puts the 84,347 weekly open back in view
Rejection at ema20 / 38.2% of the Monday drop fib (~83,450–83,470) keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Loss of the 83,065 friday low and a break of the 82,566 monday low confirms a lower-low and negates the RSI divergence
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC today, then Tuesday's JOLTS (14:00 UTC, f/c 7.23M) and the Fed-speaker cluster, could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since Monday open; double top neckline broken.
BTC has printed lower highs since the rejection at 84,883 in Monday's Asia session. That rejection completed a double top with Sunday's 84,970 and led to a break of the 84,012 neckline. The bounce to the 83,800 lower high stalled near the 50% retracement of the double top leg. The first hour of NY then undercut the London low of 82,609 to set the 82,566 Monday low, with RSI(14) near 39 holding above its earlier trough. Price sits below the EMA20 (~83,445) and EMA50 as a firm USD and 2007-high Treasury yields weigh on risk appetite.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 83,800 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and brings the 84,012 neckline into view
H1 close below the 82,566 Monday low extends the downtrend toward the 82,000 round number and voids the bullish RSI divergence
Failure to reclaim the ema20 near 83,445 keeps pullbacks capped inside the lower-highs trendline
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC today could shift the USD and yield backdrop behind this move
JOLTS (f/c 7.23M) at 14:00 UTC Tuesday and the Tuesday Fed-speaker cluster are the next macro risk
14:05 UTC
Range with lower highs, rebounding off Monday low · RSI 41 · price 83,488.06
BTC has held a broad 83,060–85,080 range since Thursday. Friday's NY-session drop from the 85,076 high came alongside firm US data, and Sunday's 84,970 print marked a lower high. From the 84,347 weekly open, price slid through Asia into London to an 82,609 Monday low, then reclaimed the 83,064 Friday low into the London-NY transition and stalled at the 83,800 bounce high near the 50% fib of the Sunday–Monday drop. Price now sits just under EMA(20) near 83,540 and below EMA(50) around 83,840, with RSI(14) near 41.
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 83,064 friday low undoes the false break and puts the 82,609 monday low back in focus
H1 close above the 83,800 bounce high and 50% fib of the Sunday–Monday drop opens the path to the 84,347 weekly open
Lower highs trendline near the 84,970 sunday high caps the range top; a break above it ends the lower-high sequence
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC and Tuesday's JOLTS (f/c 7.23M) plus the Waller/Williams Fedspeak cluster could shift the USD and yields backdrop behind this read
Lower highs from 85076; weekend range broken lower.
Price was rejected near 84884 right after the 84347 weekly open, a third lower high after Friday's 85076 and Sunday's 84970. The Monday selloff through Asia hours broke Friday's 83065 low and the weekend range, reaching a swing low at 82609 around London open. Price is now retesting the Friday low from below, with EMA(20) near 83500 overhead and RSI(14) around 34, while a firm USD and yields at 2007 highs weigh on rate-sensitive risk.
Support: 82,609.03, 82,000.00
Resistance: 83,064.52, 83,500.00, 84,347.11
What it said to watch
An H1 close back above 83500 (ema20, near the 38.2% fib of the Monday selloff) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Holding under the friday low at 83065 keeps the range break intact; a loss of the 82609 swing low exposes the 82000 round number
Reclaiming the 84347 weekly open would negate Monday's breakdown
Fed's Cook at 17:15 UTC and JOLTS Tue 14:00 UTC (f/c 7.23M) could materially shift this read
Range break lower, retesting broken range floor from below.
BTCUSD held an 83,065–85,075 range from Thursday through Sunday. A rejection near 84,880 at Monday's weekly open started an Asia-session slide through the friday low, and London extended it to a session low at 82,609. Price is now retesting the broken friday low from beneath, with EMA(20) near 83,490 overlapping the 38.2% level of the monday drop fib, and RSI(14) near 33 after bottoming at the session low. The digest flags no crypto-specific driver, leaving firm US data and a firm dollar as the backdrop into today's Fedspeak.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 83,065 friday low would turn the range break into a false break
Rejection at ema20 near 83,490 (38.2% of the monday drop fib) keeps the lower-high sequence intact; a close above it opens the path to the 84,347 weekly open
Failure to hold the 82,724 swing low and 82,609 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Bowman at 12:15 UTC and Cook at 17:15 UTC, then JOLTS Tue 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
11:04 UTC
Downtrend, range floor broken · RSI 34 · price 83,019.57
Lower highs from Friday's 85,076 peak; range break to a lower low at 82,609.
BTC held a 83,060–85,080 range from Thursday through Sunday, printing lower highs at 85,076, 84,970 and 84,883. It rolled over from that last high at Monday's open, and the Asia-session slide broke Friday's low at 83,064 to reach 82,609. Price now sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 34, and the London-session bounce is stalling just under the broken friday low. The digest flags no crypto-specific driver, only a firm dollar and elevated Fed hike odds as the backdrop.
What it said to watch
Hourly closes back above the 83,064 friday low would neutralise the range break
A recovery through ema20 near 83,450 and the 50% fib of the selloff at 83,790 would challenge the lower highs sequence
Failure to hold the 82,609 monday low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 82,000 psych level
Fed's Bowman (12:15 UTC) and Cook (17:15 UTC) could shift this read via yields and USD
10:04 UTC
Downtrend, range broken lower · RSI 31 · price 82,773.84
Lower highs from Friday; Friday low cleared in Asia.
BTC held an 83,060–85,080 range from Thursday into Sunday, but the tops kept edging lower: 85,076 on Friday, 84,970 on Sunday and a rejected late-Sunday spike to the 84,885 lower high. Monday's Asia session sold through the 83,065 Friday low, and the move extended to an 82,609 Monday low into the London open, leaving price below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 31. There was no crypto-specific catalyst; a firm USD and hawkish Fed pricing into the weekly open frame the drop.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 83,065 friday low would turn the range break into a false break
A rebound stalling at the 38.2% fib near 83,480 keeps the lower-high sequence intact
Failure to hold the 82,609 monday low opens the path toward the 82,000 round number
H1 close above the 84,885 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline
Fed's Bowman 12:15 UTC and Cook 17:15 UTC today, then JOLTS Tue 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
09:07 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower from weekend range · RSI 30 · price 83,046.54
Double top 85076/84970, neckline 83065 broken in Monday Asia.
Sunday's rally stalled at 84970, just shy of Friday's 85076 week high. That lower high set up a double top. From the weekly open near 84025, Monday's Asia session broke the 83065 friday low neckline and printed 82724, the monday low, now below the 82970 thursday low. There was no BTC-specific catalyst and liquidity was thin into the week open, with firm US data offering no dovish backdrop. Price sits below the EMA20 near 83550 with RSI(14) around 30.
Support: 82,970.00, 82,724.00
Resistance: 83,065.00, 83,550.00, 84,025.00
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 83065 friday low would turn the neckline break into a false break
Failure to hold 82724 monday low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the ema20 near 83550, which aligns with the 38.2% fib, would ease downside momentum
Weekly open at 84025 caps the upside while price stays below it
Fed's Bowman 12:15 UTC and Cook 17:15 UTC today could materially shift this read
JOLTS Tue 14:00 UTC vs 7.23M forecast is the next macro test
08:05 UTC
Short-term downtrend after weekend range gave way · RSI 31 · price 83,071.52
Lower highs from Fri 85,076 peak; 83,500–85,000 range broken to the downside Monday.
The 83,500–85,000 range that held from Thursday through the weekend gave way in Monday's Asia session. Price slid from the 84,400 weekly open to an 82,724 swing low that briefly undercut Thursday's 82,802 low. The bounce has stalled below the 38.2% fib of that drop near 83,530, with price under EMA(20) near 83,770 and RSI(14) near 31, while lower highs from Friday's 85,076 peak cap the window. There is no crypto-specific driver; the digest points to thin weekend liquidity against a firm USD and hawkish-Fed backdrop.
What it said to watch
Hourly close below the 82,724 swing low extends the lower-low sequence, with the 83,000 round number the first level being tested
Recovery above EMA(20) at 83,770 and the 38.2% fib would reopen the prior range toward the 84,400 weekly open
Break of the lower highs line from Friday's 85,076 peak would invalidate the downtrend read
Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers, then Wed ADP/PCE/GDP, could materially shift this read via USD and yields
07:05 UTC
Range, sharp Monday drop testing the floor · RSI 34 · price 83,238.33
Lower high Sunday, wick below range floor with closes holding above.
BTC held an 83,060–85,080 range from Thursday into Sunday. Sunday's 84,970 high stalled short of Friday's London-session peak, and the spike from the weekly open at 84,347 faded through Monday's Asia session. The Monday drop wicked through the friday low and Thursday's 82,800 base to the 82,724 monday low, but H1 closes are holding just above 83,060. That leaves price under a falling ema20 near 83,840 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, while the weekend oil gap and a firm USD backdrop line up with the risk-off tone.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 83,060 friday low confirms a range break and turns the Friday/Sunday highs into a double top
Failure to hold the 82,724 monday low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the ema20 near 83,840, which aligns with the 50% fib of the Monday drop, puts the 84,012 sunday low and the 84,347 weekly open back in play
Tue JOLTS and Fedspeak, then the Wed ADP/PCE/GDP cluster, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 85,076; range floor swept at 82,724 and reclaimed.
BTC has rotated inside an 82,800–85,080 range since Thursday. Friday's push to the friday high at 85,076 reversed in the NY session after the firm US durables and capex beats, and Monday's Asia session printed a lower high at 84,884. The Asia slide from the weekly open at 84,347 then wicked to the monday low at 82,724, just under the thursday low at 82,802, before closing back above 83,000, leaving price below the EMA(20) near 83,900 with RSI(14) around 33.
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 38.2% of the Asia slide at 83,549 and the ema20 near 83,900 would neutralise the Monday selloff
Acceptance below the monday low at 82,724 would turn the thursday low sweep into a range break
The lower highs line from the friday high stays intact while price holds under the weekly open at 84,347
Tue Fed speakers and JOLTS, then Wed ADP/PCE/GDP at 12:15–12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:07 UTC
Sideways, short-term down leg · RSI 38 · price 83,529.01
Contracting range: lower highs, higher lows.
BTC has rotated inside an 82,800–85,076 range since Thursday. The range top capped Friday's London push, and each rebound since has printed a lower high (84,970 Sunday, 84,884 mon high), while lows have stepped up from the 82,802 window low to the 83,065 fri low and 83,164 mon low. Monday's Asia-session drop from the mon high pushed price back below EMA(20) near 84,010 with RSI(14) near 38, on thin weekend-to-Monday liquidity against a backdrop of firm US data and 10y yields above 5%.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 83,164 mon low breaks the higher-lows sequence and exposes the 83,065 fri low and 82,802 window low
Recovery above EMA(20) near 84,010, which also marks the 50% retracement of the Monday drop, would neutralise the down leg
Close above the 85,076 range top breaks the lower-highs line and ends the contraction
Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers, then Wed ADP/PCE/GDP at 12:15–12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
04:04 UTC
Short-term down within a broader four-day range · RSI 31 · price 83,225.35
Lower highs at 85076, 84970 and 84884; Monday drop back toward range floor.
BTC has held an 82800–85076 range since Thursday. Sunday's rally stalled at the 84970 sunday high, and the Monday Asia spike to 84884 was rejected, printing a third lower high. The Monday drop took price back below the 84347 weekly open and both EMAs, with EMA(20) at 84035 now crossing under EMA(50) and RSI(14) near 31. There was no fresh driver on thin weekend liquidity, while last week's firm US data and 5%+ yields leave a mild macro headwind; price is now pressing the 83164 session low just above Friday's 83065 swing low.
Support: 83,164.41, 83,064.52, 82,801.81
Resistance: 84,035.00, 84,347.11, 84,970.42
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 83065 swing low opens a retest of the 82802 thu low and the range floor
Recovery above ema20 at 84035 and then the 84347 weekly open would neutralise the Monday drop
A break above the lower highs trendline and the 84970 sunday high invalidates the rollover read
Tue Fed speakers and JOLTS, then Wed ADP and PCE from 12:15 UTC, could materially shift this read
82.8k–85.1k range since Thursday; lower high at 84970, Monday selloff to mid-range.
BTC has held an 82,800–85,076 range since Thursday. Friday's London-hours push to the 85,076 week high met rejection and unwound into the NY session, and Sunday's rally stalled at 84,970 for a lower high. The Asia session on Monday broke back below the weekly open and ema20, and the drop has now unwound the whole Sunday advance, with RSI(14) near 34 on thin weekend liquidity. There is no crypto-specific driver, and a firm, rate-sensitive USD backdrop sits in the background.
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 83,335 session low exposes the 83,065 friday low and then the 82,802 week low at the range floor
An H1 close back above the ema20 near 84,140 and the 84,399 weekly open would cancel the Monday breakdown read
A close above the lower-highs trendline and the 85,076 week high would invalidate the range read
Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers, then Wed ADP/PCE/GDP at 12:15–12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read via yields and the USD
Lower highs off Friday's peak, pressing Saturday low.
BTC has rotated inside an 82,800–85,080 range since Thursday. Friday's week high at 85,076 has been followed by lower highs at 84,970 and 84,883 on Sunday. The late-Sunday rejection near 84,880 became a roughly 1,360-point slide through the weekly open into Monday's Asia session, leaving price below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 34 and sitting on the Saturday low around 83,510. The digest shows no fresh macro driver, so thin weekend liquidity is the main backdrop for the move.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the sat low at 83,510 exposes the 78.6% fib of the Thu–Fri rally near 83,290 and the friday low at 83,064
Loss of the week low at 82,800 would break the range read to the downside
Reclaim of the weekly open at 84,025 and EMA20 would neutralise the Monday drop
A close above the lower highs trendline near 84,900 reopens the week high at 85,076
Tue Fed speakers and JOLTS, then Wed ADP at 12:15 UTC and PCE/GDP at 12:30 UTC, could materially shift this read
82,800–85,080 range with lower highs at the top; Sunday's higher-low sequence broken.
BTC has traded an 82,800–85,080 range since Thursday. Thursday's London-hours drop to the 82,801 week low was recovered the same day, and Friday's NY-session rejection from the 85,076 range top ran back to 83,064. Sunday's rally from the 83,700 sat low stalled at 84,970, a lower high, and the Asia-open spike to 84,883 reversed hard. That reversal broke the sunday trend line and retraced roughly 78.6% of the Sunday rally. Price now sits below the ema20 near 84,380 and EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 41, in thin weekend liquidity with no crypto-specific driver while the USD holds firm on 10y yields above 5%.
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 83,700 sat low exposes the friday low at 83,064 and then the 82,801 week low
Recovery above the ema20 near 84,380 and back over the broken sunday trend line would negate the breakdown read
H1 close above the 85,076 range top ends the lower-highs sequence off the sunday high
Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers, then Wed ADP (12:15 UTC) and PCE/GDP (12:30 UTC), could materially shift this read
82800–85076 range; weekend higher lows under a lower high.
Thursday and Friday saw wide two-way swings. The week high at 85076 printed in the London session Friday, then NY hours dragged price to the friday low near 83065 as US data beat and yields firmed. The weekend compressed above the saturday low at 83704 before a Sunday grind on rising lows, which stalled at the sunday high of 84970, a lower high under the week high. Price now sits just under EMA(20) near 84400 after the late-Sunday dip to the sunday low at 84012 was bought back, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 84,012.48, 83,703.82, 83,064.52
Resistance: 84,400.00, 84,970.42, 85,076.31
What it said to watch
H1 close below the sunday low at 84012 breaks the weekend higher-lows trendline
Failure to hold the saturday low at 83704 exposes the friday low at 83065 and the lower half of the range
Hourly acceptance back above ema20 near 84400, then a close through the sunday high at 84970 and the week high at 85076, would end the lower-high read
Thin weekend-to-Monday liquidity can exaggerate moves before Tue JOLTS and Fed speakers
Wed ADP (12:15 UTC) and the PCE/GDP releases (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read