EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 3 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15073
Tight consolidation after session slide.
EUR drifted from 1.1543 down to a 1.1502 session low as firm US ISM Manufacturing kept the pair capped sub-1.1565. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.1505-1.1513 range on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) balanced near 46.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.1514, 1.1527
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1500 psych confirms a fresh lower low
Break above 1.15140 bounce high reopens 1.15270 swing high
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC could break this quiet range
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 42 · price 1.15073
Lower highs into a tight low-liquidity range.
EURUSD drifted lower through the window from 1.1556 to a 1.1500 round-number low as the euro eased off 7-week highs on a firmer USD. Late-session liquidity is thin and price is coiling in a 1.1505–1.1514 range, holding just below EMA20.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 opens continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Thin late-session liquidity — ranges compressed near 1.1508
23:32 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.15092
Tight Asian range above the 1.15 floor.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session, basing at the 1.15000 round number before drifting into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1509. ATR compressed to ~18 pips and RSI is neutral near 47 — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.15055, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15277
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 reopens the downside continuation
Reclaim of 1.15143 swing high needed to break the range top
US ADP + ISM Services Wed are the next material drivers for this pair
23:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.15092
Based at 1.1500 after leg lower, tight range.
EUR/USD drifted off the 1.1556 London high down to the 1.1500 psych low through NY, then based in a tight 1.1505–1.1514 band into thin Asia hours. RSI(14) neutral near 51, price hugging EMA20 but capped under EMA50; 1.1500 held twice.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15227
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens a lower low toward 1.1455
reclaim of 1.15143 needed to re-engage the 1.15227 swing high
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1555 through the London-NY session before basing on a sweep of the 1.1500 psych level, and is now pinned in a 1.1505–1.1513 range on collapsing late-session volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 and ATR is compressed to ~3 pips — no momentum in play into thin Asian hours.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15135, 1.1516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15135 range top would break the consolidation upward
Loss of 1.1500 psych reopens the session low at 1.14999
US JOLTS/Factory Orders Tue and ADP/ISM Services Wed are the next volatility catalysts
23:16 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 53 · price 1.15097
Tight range near session lows after intraday decline.
EUR/USD ground down from 1.1558 through the London-NY session on a firmer USD after the ISM Manufacturing beat, printing a day low at 1.1500 before basing. Into the NY-Asia transition price is coiling in a thin 1.1505-1.1514 range on fading volume, with the 1.1500 round number holding as floor.
Support: 1.15055, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1514, 1.1533
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the 1.1495/1.1455 support band
Break above 1.1514 range top exposes 1.1533 swing high
US JOLTS (Tue) and ADP/ISM Services (Wed) are the next catalysts for this range
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1556 through the London-NY sessions to a session low at 1.15000, a leg driven by the firmer USD after the hot ISM Manufacturing beat. Price is now coiling tightly around 1.1508 in thin late/early-Asia trade, RSI(14) recovered off its lows near the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15271
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.15000 session low extends the downleg
M15 close above 1.15143 swing high opens 1.15271
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could reprice the USD leg driving this move
23:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15086
Basing above 1.1500 after decline.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1555 through the NY session to tag 1.1500 twice, then based; thin Asian-session volume has price pinned in a 1.1506–1.1514 coil. RSI(14) flat near 49 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips — no impulse in play right now.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15055
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15277
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.15143 range top needed to challenge 1.1527
US ADP/ISM Services Wed are the next real drivers for this pair
22:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15074
Consolidating above 1.1500 after sell-off.
EUR/USD faded through the NY session from 1.1555 to a 1.14999 low, with the 1.1500 round number holding twice before a shallow bounce stalled at 1.15143. Now flat-lining near 1.1507 in thin late-Asia trade; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1533
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 opens continuation of the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.15143 recent high needed to challenge 1.1533 swing
US ADP + ISM Services Wed could reprice the USD leg driving this pair
Lower highs into a low, now consolidating above 1.1500.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1556 high to a session low at 1.1500, in line with the USD-led move. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1505–1.1513 band on thin late-Asia volume, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressing.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1513, 1.1533, 1.1556
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.1513 would ease the intraday downside pressure
Wed ADP/ISM Services could reset the USD read
22:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.15066
Tight range after intraday selloff.
EUR shed ground from 1.1556 through the London-NY session, bottoming at 1.15000 before a modest bounce. Now coiling in a thin late-session range 1.1505-1.1513 on collapsing volume, RSI neutral near 44; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15227
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.1495-1.1455 downside pivot
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to challenge the 1.1516/1.1565 cap
M15 sold off steadily through London-NY from 1.1558 to a 1.1500 base, then managed only a shallow bounce to 1.15143. Price is now drifting 1.1505-1.1509 on very thin post-NY-close volume, holding just above the 1.1500 psych level with lower highs still capping.
Support: 1.1502, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1516 breaks the descending highs
NY session drove EUR/USD lower from 1.1558 to the 1.15000 round number as hawkish-Fed USD demand reasserted, and buyers defended that level into the Asia handover. Price is now consolidating 1.15055–1.15143 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15055
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15227
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 opens a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15143 swing high needed to unwind the downtrend read
Wed US ADP / ISM Services and EZ Services PMI are the next material drivers
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15084
Day decline into 1.1500, shallow bounce.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1546 to a 1.1500 low as the USD-weakness rally stalled below its highs. Price bounced to 1.1514 and is now consolidating near 1.1508 in thin post-NY-close trade, RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1514 needed to shift micro-structure higher
EURUSD faded from 1.1558 through the London-NY sessions to test the 1.1500 round number, where buyers stepped in twice to hold 1.14999. Price is now consolidating around 1.1508 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15187
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation of the lower-high chain
Reclaim of 1.15143 swing high needed to challenge the downtrend read
Thin post-NY liquidity keeps ranges compressed until Asia open
21:31 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.15075
Lower highs, basing above 1.1500.
NY session drifted lower to test the 1.1500 round number, printing a session low at 1.14999 before a shallow bounce to 1.15143 faded. Price now consolidating around 1.1508 into the Asia open on thin end-of-day liquidity, capped by a descending series of lower highs.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1504
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1529
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15143 swing high needed to break the lower-high structure
Thin late-session liquidity distorts moves ahead of Asia open
21:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.15075
Tight consolidation above session low.
EURUSD drifted lower through the session from 1.1558 to a 1.1500 low, then stalled — now ranging tight around 1.1507 in thin late-session trade. RSI in the mid-40s and ATR compressed; the 1.15143 session high caps while buyers held the 1.1500 round number.
Support: 1.1503, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15275
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1500 round number confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15143 session high needed to shift the near-term drift
US ADP / ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1558 down to a 1.15000 base, and price is now drifting sideways in thin early-Asia trade below EMA20. The 1.15000 psych floor held twice; 1.15143 caps the last bounce.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1490s
Reclaim of 1.15143 would break the sequence of lower highs
US-Iran/oil headlines could revive USD demand and pressure the 1.15 floor
NY session sold EUR/USD down to the 1.1500 psych level, tested twice before a bounce to 1.15143. Price has faded back to 1.1508 into the late-NY/Asia handover on thinning volume, RSI(14) mid-range at 46.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15276
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 psych confirms continuation lower
Reclaim of 1.15143 session high needed to shift the near-term downtrend
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, tagging 1.1500 twice before a shallow bounce. Price is now consolidating around 1.1509 into a low-volume close, RSI(14) recovering off intraday lows but still sub-50; the double tap at 1.1500 held.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15276
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to break the lower-high sequence
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves before Asia open
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 43 · price 1.15089
Lower highs into 1.1500 base.
EURUSD ground lower through the US session, breaking below 1.1520 and testing the 1.1500 round number where buyers stepped in twice. The bounce stalled at 1.1514 and price is fading into a low-volume late-session drift, RSI mid-range near 43.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15143 bounce high reopens 1.15270 swing high
Loss of 1.1500 round number confirms a fresh lower low
ADP/ISM Services Wed are the next dollar catalysts for this pair
EUR/USD slid off session highs through the NY afternoon, sweeping the 1.1500 round number before a shallow bounce to 1.15143 faded — a USD-weakness rally that keeps stalling. Price now hugs the lows in thin late-NY liquidity (final bar volume collapsed), consolidating between 1.1500 and 1.15143.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to shift the intraday downtrend read
Thin late-session liquidity ahead of Asia open can distort moves
Late NY session drifting lower, EUR fading from the 1.1513 bounce back toward the 1.1500 handle after buyers stepped in twice at the 1.14999 session low. Move is USD-led on the ISM beat; RSI(14) mid-range at ~42 with price pinned below EMA20/50.
EURUSD faded through NY hours, swept the 1.1500 psych level (low 1.14999) then bounced to 1.15143 before easing back toward the 1.15059 session low. Move tracks the firmer USD after the ISM beat; price sits below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15059
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1525
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 opens the path toward the 1.1455 pivot
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
20:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.15097
Sold off to 1.1500, basing in tight range.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1558 area down to the 1.1500 psych level, which held on two tests to form a double bottom near 1.14999. Price has since ground into a tight 1.1500–1.1514 range and is drifting into late-NY/Asia with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.1523
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and resumes the decline
Reclaim of 1.15143 opens the path back to 1.1523
Thin late-NY/Asia liquidity can exaggerate range breaks
Sold off to 1.1500, double bottom holding, consolidating.
NY session drove EUR from 1.1535 down to the 1.1500 round number, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. The bounce to 1.15143 faded and price is now consolidating around 1.1510 with RSI recovering from oversold — the pullback fits the USD-weakness-driven rally stalling below 1.1565.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15277, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.15143 needed to re-target the 1.15277 swing pivot
ADP and ISM Services Wed are the near-term USD drivers
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1558 to a 1.14999 low, then clawed back a fraction of the move and is now pinned in a tight 1.1505–1.1515 band into the late session on drying volume. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows toward the mid-50s but the sequence of lower highs keeps the intraday bias offered below 1.1533.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1533
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 reopens the 1.14999 session low
Reclaim of 1.1533 negates the intraday lower-high chain
ADP (Wed 12:15 GMT) and ISM Services could re-price this quickly
EUR/USD faded through NY hours from the 1.1535 area and tested 1.1500 twice, where buyers stepped in to build a base. Price is grinding back to 1.1512 with RSI recovering off lows; still capped below the 1.1516 swing high, range 1.1500-1.1516.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15275, 1.15348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1516 opens the path to 1.1527
Loss of 1.1500 session low resumes the down leg
US ADP and ISM Services (Wed) are the next major drivers
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1535 to the 1.1500 psych level, twice basing near 1.14999 before recovering to 1.1512 on broad USD softness. RSI(14) has lifted off oversold territory to mid-range as the pair grinds back toward the 1.15143 recent high.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15143, 1.15347
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15143 opens the path back to 1.15347 prior high
Loss of 1.15000 psych resumes the lower-low sequence toward 1.14999
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could reshape the USD-driven move
19:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off 1.1500 · RSI 50 · price 1.15128
Lower lows into 1.15000, recovering.
EURUSD sold off from 1.1535 through 1.1516 into the 1.15000 round number during NY hours, part of the broad pullback as the USD held its footing. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.14999/1.15020, and price has since recovered to 1.15128 with RSI(14) lifting off its lows.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15271
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15160 opens the path back to 1.15271
ADP/ISM Services Wed could reprice the USD leg driving this move
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1535 down to a 1.1500 base, with buyers stepping in twice around the round number to form a double bottom. Price is now recovering into the late-NY hours at 1.1513, RSI(14) lifting off the low-40s but still below EMA50.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and voids the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.1527 needed to challenge the 1.1535 session high
ADP + ISM Services Wed are the dominant USD risk into midweek
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.15128
Lower highs into a 1.1500 double bottom.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1558 down to a 1.1500 floor, which held twice to form a double bottom as USD firmed on the ISM Manufacturing beat. Late-NY recovery has lifted price back to 1.15128 with RSI(14) climbing off its lows; the 1.1516 minor high is the first cap.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1503
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low and breaks the double bottom
Reclaim above 1.1516 then 1.1527 needed to unwind the intraday downtrend
Tue JOLTS / Wed ADP + ISM Services are the next USD risk events for this read
18:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.15111
Lower highs into session low ~1.15000, basing.
EURUSD trended lower through the NY session, printing a session low near 1.15000 twice before a late bounce to 1.15111. The pair sits below the descending highs, USD-strength driven after the ISM Manufacturing beat; 1.15160 is the near resistance to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15016
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15271, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15160 breaks the descending-highs sequence
ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift this read on USD re-pricing
NY session sold EUR/USD from the 1.1556 session high down to the 1.1500 psych level, breaking prior support at 1.1516. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1500 into the close with RSI(14) recovering off its lows near 43.
Support: 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15347, 1.15558
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1516 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.1500 psych confirms a fresh lower-low
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could re-price the USD leg driving this move
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing near 1.1500 · RSI 44 · price 1.15097
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating above psych level.
NY session ground lower in a clean lower-high sequence from 1.1558 down to the 1.1500 psych level, USD firm on the hawkish ISM beat and September-hike pricing. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1500–1.1510 band with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the session low at 1.14999 held.
Support: 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1532
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15160 needed to break the lower-high sequence
NY session drifted lower off the 1.1556 session high in a chain of lower highs, USD holding firm on hawkish Fed pricing. Price is now basing on the 1.1500 round number with RSI(14) around 41; sub-20-pip candles into the close show momentum stalling.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1485
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527, 1.1556
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1516 breaks the descending-highs structure
ADP and ISM Services (Wed) are the next macro drivers for USD
Lower highs into 1.15, now consolidating above the low.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1535 area down to test the 1.15 handle, printing a session low of 1.14999 as the USD held firm on the ISM Manufacturing beat. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1501–1.1509 band into late NY, with the 1.15 psych level holding so far.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15091, 1.15271, 1.15348
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.15091 eases the downside pressure toward 1.1527
Wed EZ Services PMI and US ADP could reset this intraday read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1534 session high down to the 1.1500 psych level as the USD stayed firm on the ISM beat (55.6). Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1500-1.1509 band late in the NY session, RSI(14) cooling near 39 with the 1.1500 round number holding so far.
Support: 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1509, 1.1522, 1.1534
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 psych extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1522 prior low needed to negate the downtrend read
ADP and ISM Services Wed could shift the USD-driven move
NY session dragged EUR/USD off 1.1535 down through 1.15 as the dollar held firm on the ISM manufacturing beat, tagging a session low at 1.14999. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.1503–1.1509 band for the last two hours with RSI(14) around 41, holding just above the psych line.
Support: 1.14999, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15091, 1.1516, 1.15276
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14999 opens lower lows below the psych level
Reclaim of 1.15091 bounce high needed to ease downside pressure
US ADP/ISM Services Wed ahead of NFP could reshape this read
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1535 session high down to a fresh low at 1.15, a clean sweep of the round number, with the move USD-driven after the ISM Manufacturing beat. Price now stalling in a tight 1.1503-1.1509 consolidation just above 1.15, RSI recovering off intraday lows.
Support: 1.14999, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.15093, 1.1516, 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15 opens the path toward the next lower leg
Reclaim of 1.15093 swing high needed to stall the lower-high sequence
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1558 high in a clean chain of lower highs, breaking 1.1520 support and printing a low at 1.14999. Price is now stalling just above the 1.1500 psych line with RSI(14) near 38 — no bounce yet, capped under 1.1509.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15091, 1.1516, 1.15347
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.15000 confirms the next lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15091 would ease the downside pressure
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift the USD-driven read
NY afternoon saw EUR break below 1.1520 and slide to the 1.1500 psych level, where buyers stepped in at 1.14999. Price is now consolidating 1.1500–1.1510 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; the broader USD-weakness rally has stalled below 1.1565 after a firm ISM Manufacturing print supported the dollar.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1510, 1.15158, 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15158 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1500 psych/low confirms continuation lower
ADP/ISM Services Wed could reshape the USD-driven read
NY session drove EUR off ~1.1535 through the 1.15 handle to a session low at 1.14999, RSI(14) leaving oversold as buyers absorbed the break. Price now recovering to 1.15071 but capped under a chain of descending highs; downtrend structure intact.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15271, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15160 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15000 reopens the session low and extends the leg down
US data / Fed re-pricing next week is the dominant driver of this USD-led move
NY afternoon sold off, breaking below 1.15160 support and testing the 1.15 psych level with a session low at 1.14999 before a small bounce to 1.15091. RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 39; price sits capped under prior support now acting as resistance around 1.15160.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.15101, 1.1516, 1.15347
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15160 would negate the breakdown read
M15 close below 1.15000 confirms continuation lower
NY session sold off from the 1.15586 high, breaking the 1.1520 support and printing a session low at the 1.15000 round number where buyers stepped in twice. Price has since ticked up to 1.15059 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 41; the sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14999
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15271, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15160 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.15000 confirms a fresh lower low
US ADP/ISM Services Wed and Fed's Williams today are the external drivers
NY session extended the M15 downtrend, sweeping below the 1.1500 round number (low 1.14999) before a shallow recovery to 1.1509. RSI(14) near 35 with price under EMA20/50; the lower-high chain from 1.1548 stays intact.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1527, 1.1548
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1527 breaks the lower-high sequence
Sustained M15 close below 1.1500 opens continuation toward 1.1490
Williams Fed speak today could shift the USD-driven read
NY afternoon sold EUR/USD from 1.1535 down to a 1.1500 low, breaking prior support at 1.15160, with the firm US ISM print keeping the dollar bid. RSI(14) near 37 as price stabilises just above the 1.1500 round number after a small bounce to 1.1509.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15160 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.15000 opens the path toward 1.14950
NY session ground lower off the 1.1556 session high, breaking the 1.1516 shelf with a sharp drop to 1.1502 on the latest bar. RSI(14) near 30 as the move extends; broad USD firmness after the ISM Manufacturing beat is weighing.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1495, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527, 1.1555
What it said to watch
A reclaim of 1.1516 would neutralise the break-lower read
Loss of the 1.1500 psych level exposes 1.1495 pivot then 1.1470
Fed speak (Williams) today could shift the USD tone driving this leg
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1535 to a fresh session low at 1.1502, breaking the 1.1516 pivot as USD held firm on the ISM Manufacturing beat. RSI(14) near 30 marks a short-term oversold read after a clean run of lower highs.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1502
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.1527, 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1516 negates the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold the 1.1500 psych opens the 1.1495 downside pivot
US ISM Services / ADP Wed could reset the USD driver behind this leg
NY session drove a steady sell-off from the 1.1558 high, breaking below 1.1516 and pressing into the 1.1500 psych level with RSI(14) near 31. USD resilience after the ISM beat is capping EUR despite its 7-week highs; supply has held every intraday bounce.
Support: 1.1502, 1.1500, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1516, 1.15275, 1.15348
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward the 1.1470 range base
Reclaim of 1.1516 needed to ease the lower-low sequence
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
EURUSD faded through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs off 1.15347 and slicing the 1.1520 shelf to test the session low at 1.15098, RSI(14) near 33. The rally that stalled below 1.1558 earlier has fully unwound; price now pins the base of the day's range.
Support: 1.15098, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15277, 1.15347
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15098 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15277 swing high neutralises the intraday downtrend read
NY session sold EUR/USD off from ~1.1535 down through the 1.1520-1.1535 intraday range, printing a session low at 1.15098 with RSI(14) near 33. Rally remains USD-weakness driven, but this leg has stalled well below the 1.1565 cap and is now grinding lower.
Support: 1.15098, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15347, 1.15558
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15347 negates the downside range break
Loss of 1.15098 opens the path toward the 1.1500 round number
ADP and ISM Services on Wed could reset this intraday read
14:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum building · RSI 38 · price 1.15142
Lower highs off session high, fresh session low.
EUR/USD has bled lower through the NY session from the 1.1559 London high, printing a chain of lower highs and just breaking to a fresh session low at 1.15142, now pressing the 1.1500 psych. Downside is USD-supported after the strong ISM Manufacturing beat; RSI(14) near 37 is soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1470
Resistance: 1.1533, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1500 opens the path toward the 1.1470 support band
Reclaim of 1.15330 swing high would negate the lower-high sequence
US data flow this week is the dominant catalyst for the next leg
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1558 into a steady grind of lower highs, then broke the 1.1520-1.1535 range floor on the last bar to print 1.1516 — the day's low. Move coincides with the US ISM release; RSI(14) near 40, below both EMAs, momentum with the downside.
Support: 1.1516, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1535 restores the prior range
Loss of 1.1516 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
ISM Manufacturing print (14:00 UTC) can extend or reverse this leg
14:01 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 44 · price 1.15224
Ranging, lower highs into session low.
Monday's weekend gap-up to 1.1558 faded through the NY session, price grinding back down to the session low near 1.1520 in a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) mid-40s, no extreme; still boxed between 1.1520 support and the 1.1535 range top.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1517
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1558
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1517 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1535 opens the path back toward 1.1558
US ISM Manufacturing PMI due now could inject volatility into this range
13:46 UTC
Rangebound after early NY fade · RSI 51 · price 1.15281
Ranging 1.1517-1.1535 post pullback.
EURUSD faded from the 1.15586 session high early in the NY session and has since coiled between 1.1517 and 1.1535, price now hugging EMA20 at 1.1528. RSI(14) mid-range at 51 — no momentum extreme, chop in play with soft EU PMIs offset by broad USD softness.
Support: 1.15207, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15347, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1535 range high reopens 1.15586 session high
Break below 1.15167 swing low confirms a lower-low
US ISM Manufacturing could inject volatility this NY session
13:31 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 53 · price 1.15314
Consolidation inside prior range, mid-1.1500s.
EUR/USD ranging tightly 1.1517-1.1536 after fading from the 1.1559 session high, RSI(14) flat near 53. Price sits mid-range just ahead of US ISM Manufacturing, no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.15196, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC (~30m) could break this consolidation
Close above 1.15355 opens the path back to 1.15586 session high
Ranging below session high after fade from 1.1559.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1559 session high and has been ranging 1.1517-1.1536 through NY hours, now nudging back up to 1.1529 near EMA20. Move is part of a broad USD-weakness squeeze; RSI(14) is neutral around 53 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15167, 1.15206
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could break this range
Close above 1.15355 swing high reopens 1.1559 session high
Loss of 1.15167 session low confirms a lower low
13:01 UTC
Range after pullback · RSI 49 · price 1.15284
Consolidating below session high.
EURUSD faded from the 1.15586 session high and is consolidating in a 1.1520-1.1535 range, RSI(14) neutral near 49. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1517-1.1520 during NY hours; the swing high at 1.15348 caps the upside.
Support: 1.15196, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15348, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15348 opens the path toward the 1.1558 session high
Failure to hold 1.15167 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Pullback, now ranging · RSI 45 · price 1.15248
Range after fade from session high.
NY session sees EURUSD consolidating 1.1520–1.1535 after fading from the session high at 1.15586, RSI(14) sitting mid-range near 44. Price is capped below EMA20/50 with the 5-day USD-weakness squeeze pausing ahead of US data.
Support: 1.15196, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15167 confirms a lower low toward 1.1500
Close above 1.15355 reopens the session high at 1.15586
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC (~75m) could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 45 · price 1.15246
Ranging 1.1517–1.1532 after fade from session high.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1559 to 1.1517 and is now ranging 1.1517–1.1532 through NY hours, price holding under EMA20 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s. Broad USD softness underpins the pair, but momentum has stalled intraday. US ISM at 14:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.15167, 1.15196
Resistance: 1.15322, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1517 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1532 reopens 1.1559
US ISM at 14:00 UTC could break the range
12:31 UTC
Sideways, drifting off highs · RSI 52 · price 1.15297
Range-bound after fade from 1.1558.
EURUSD is consolidating in the low-1.15s during London, holding a tight 1.1520–1.1535 range after fading from the 1.1558 session high. Move is a broad USD story on the post-Fed drift; RSI(14) neutral near 52, no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.15196, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15355
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read and break this range
M15 close above 1.15355 reopens the 1.1558 session high
Loss of 1.15167 confirms a lower low out of the range
12:16 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15316
Intraday range 1.1517–1.1559, price mid-range.
London printed a session high at 1.15586 then rejected, ceding into a 1.1517–1.1559 range through NY morning; price is now recovering off the 1.152 range low back toward mid-range at 1.15316. Move remains a dollar story on sub-100 DXY, with no meaningful euro reaction to soft German/EZ data.
Support: 1.1520, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC (~1.7h out) could break this range
Close above 1.15355 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Failure to hold 1.15167 confirms a lower-low
12:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 50 · price 1.15312
Range between 1.1520 and 1.1559, lows holding.
EURUSD stalled at the 1.1559 session high and drifted back into range, with demand stepping in twice near 1.1520 to form a double bottom. Price is recovering into the London-NY transition, back above EMA20 at ~1.1527; move remains a broad USD-driven grind.
Support: 1.15196, 1.15167
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15196 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.15167
Close above 1.15355 exposes 1.15466 prior high
12:01 UTC
Recovering after intraday pullback · RSI 57 · price 1.15326
Consolidation off session high.
EUR/USD ground lower off the 1.1558 session high to 1.1517 through NY hours, then recovered into a 1.1517–1.1535 consolidation; last bar pushed back to 1.1533. Move stays USD-led per the digest, with the pair capped under 1.1565 ahead of US ISM.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15355 opens the path to the 1.1558 session high
Failure to hold 1.15167 confirms a lower low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground lower off the 1.1558 session high in a chain of lower highs, bottoming at 1.1517 before a shallow bounce into 1.1526. Now coiling in a tight 1.1517–1.1537 range, RSI mid-40s, ahead of US ISM.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1558
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could break the 1.1517–1.1537 range
Close below 1.1517 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1495
Reclaim of 1.1537 would negate the intraday lower-high structure
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.15586 through NY hours and is now grinding just above the session low, holding a 1.1517–1.1535 band. RSI sits mid-40s with no extreme; price trades below EMA20/50 as the intraday drift stays lower, USD-led per the digest.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15167 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15355 swing pivot negates the downside grind
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:16 UTC
Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1525
Lower highs, consolidating low-1.1520s.
EUR opened the week firm on broad USD softness post-Fed, tagging 1.1558 before fading through the session into the low-1.1520s. Price now consolidates just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; sellers capped every push, printing a chain of lower highs from 1.1558.
Support: 1.1517, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read via USD flows
Reclaim of 1.1558 session high negates the lower-high drift
Loss of 1.1517 session low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1500
11:01 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15234
Lower highs, consolidating near lows.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.15586 in a chain of lower highs, pulling back on broad but stalling USD softness. Price now consolidating 1.15200–1.15240 just above the 1.15167 session low, RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.15167, 1.15196
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15477, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15167 confirms a lower-low and opens the path lower
Reclaim of 1.15355 minor high needed to challenge the descending lower highs
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15233
Lower highs, drifting into support.
M15 rejected the session high at 1.1559 and has ground lower through the London session on a chain of lower highs, now sitting on 1.1520. RSI(14) mid-40s with no extreme; ATR near 5 pips keeps ranges tight between 1.1517 and 1.1535.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1517 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1535 needed to challenge the 1.1559 session high
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Descending off post-gap high, testing session lows.
EURUSD gapped higher into the new week, tagged 1.15586 early then drifted lower through the session in a chain of lower highs, printing a session low at 1.15167. Price now hugs 1.15211 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41; broad USD softness has stalled and buyers are only slowly stepping in near 1.1520.
Support: 1.15167, 1.15196
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15167 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15355 swing high would break the down-drift
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
EUR/USD faded off the Monday session high at 1.15586 and has ground out a chain of lower highs into the London-NY transition, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price is hovering just above the session low near 1.1517, below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.15167, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15167 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15384 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift USD flows this session
EUR/USD faded from the London session high at 1.1558 and has ground lower toward 1.1520 on the broad post-Fed USD-soft theme, with sellers pressing a chain of lower highs. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — no washout, just a controlled pullback holding above the 1.1519 session low.
Support: 1.1519, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.1558
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1519 session low opens 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1537 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
Lower highs off session high, grinding at range low.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.15586 through London hours, printing a chain of lower highs and now grinding along the 1.1520 low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no oversold signal; the corrective drift comes despite the broader soft-USD backdrop.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 opens the path to 1.1495
Reclaim of 1.15355 needed to negate the intraday down-leg
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs off session high, basing near session low.
Monday opened near 1.1545, spiked to a session high 1.15586 then rolled over on lower highs through the session; price is now basing along the session low near 1.1520, with a modest bounce to 1.15283. Broad USD softness keeps EUR bid but the rally stays capped below 1.1565/100-day SMA.
Support: 1.15196, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15373, 1.15586
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read materially
Close below 1.15196 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1500 psych
Reclaim of 1.15373 swing high needed to challenge the session high
EUR/USD rejected the session high at 1.1558 and set a chain of lower highs, now consolidating 1.1520-1.1535 — part of the broader post-Fed USD-weakness story that remains capped below the 1.1565/100-day SMA. Price is holding just above the 1.1520 session low with RSI near neutral.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1558, 1.1565
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 opens the path toward 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1535 puts the 1.1558 session high back in play
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Pullback within broader uptrend · RSI 47 · price 1.15283
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
London session drifted lower after tagging the session high at 1.15586, then based out around 1.15200; now ranging 1.15200–1.15355 with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Move remains a USD-weakness story, but the rally is capped and price is grinding sideways below EMA20.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15355 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Break of 1.15200 confirms a lower-low and opens toward 1.15000
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
EURUSD faded from the 1.15586 session high in a chain of lower highs and now presses the 1.15196 session low, price below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Broad move is still a USD-weakness story capped below the 1.1565 area, but this window is a corrective slide within it.
Support: 1.15196, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.15355 negates the lower-high sequence
M15 close below 1.15196 opens a fresh lower low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD faded from a fresh 6-week high at 1.15586 after the weekend and is grinding lower through the London session, printing lower highs; last at 1.15226 near the session low. RSI(14) in the mid-40s and price below EMA20/50 — the broad USD-weakness bid has stalled below 1.15373.
Support: 1.15196, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15373, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15196 opens the path to the 1.15000 round number
Reclaim of 1.15373 swing high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Rolling over off weekend high, probing session lows.
London session has drifted lower off the weekend gap high near 1.1558, printing a chain of lower highs into 1.15370 and now probing the session low at 1.15196. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, price holding below EMA20/50; US ISM at 14:00 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.15196, 1.1500, 1.1495
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15196 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.15370 breaks the intraday lower-high chain
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15245
Lower highs since 1.15586 rejection.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.15586 session high and has bled lower through the London session, printing lower highs and now sitting on the 1.15203 session low. RSI(14) near 40 with price below both EMAs — momentum leans soft after the failed push toward the 1.1570 100-day SMA cap.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1515
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.1547, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15203 session low extends the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.15355 swing high neutralises the intraday slide
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session has faded EUR/USD off the 1.1558 session high in a steady chain of lower highs, now probing the 1.1520 support with RSI(14) around 40. Broader tone is USD-soft, but euro upside stays capped near 1.1570 and price is grinding lower intraday.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1524
Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1558
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 confirms a lower low and opens room lower
Reclaim of 1.1535 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.15586 session high through London hours, printing lower highs into the 1.1520s with RSI(14) hovering near 42. Price is sitting on the 1.15203 session low; USD tone stayed soft after Fed-week selloff and Iran de-escalation, but German retail-sales miss capped the euro's upside.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1504
Resistance: 1.1538, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15203 confirms a lower low toward 1.15040
Reclaim of 1.15380 needed to re-open 1.15586 session high
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, fading from gap high · RSI 43 · price 1.15242
Lower highs since post-gap peak, pressing session low.
EUR opened the week gapping up to 1.1558 then faded steadily through London hours, carving lower highs into the 1.1520 session low as USD found a modest footing. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under both EMAs; rejection off the 1.1538 swing high keeps the intraday tone offered.
Support: 1.15203, 1.15234
Resistance: 1.15384
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.1510
Reclaim of 1.1538 swing high negates the fade
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD side of this read
EURUSD rejected the London session high at 1.15586 and has bled back to 1.1526, printing a lower-high sequence with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price trades below EMA20/50 as the fifth-day USD-driven rally stalls near the top of the 1.1450-1.1550 range; 1.15203 is the session floor holding for now.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1515
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15355 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.15203 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1515
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.15586 through the London morning, printing lower highs with rejection at 1.15384; USD softness keeps the broader cross bid but momentum has cooled. RSI(14) mid-40s and price below EMA20, holding just above the 1.15203 swing low.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1510
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15203 confirms a lower-low toward 1.15100
Reclaim of 1.15384 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
European morning pushed to a session high at 1.15586 then faded on a broadly soft USD, and price has since drifted into a 1.1520–1.1535 consolidation. RSI(14) mid-40s, price back below EMA20/50; the session-low pivot at 1.15203 held on the last dip.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1513
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15203 extends the intraday fade toward 1.15130
M15 close above 1.15355 reopens the 1.15586 session high
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD leg of this read
08:01 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15258
Lower highs since 1.15586, holding above 1.1520.
Monday London session grinding lower off the 1.15586 high in a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed near 6 pips. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1520; that swing low is the near-term floor while sellers cap rallies below 1.1540.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1504
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 confirms a lower-low and opens the prior base near 1.1504
Reclaim of the 1.15384 pivot needed to break the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
London morning grinding lower after the session high at 1.15586 was rejected; a chain of lower highs has price back at the 1.1523 session low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Broad USD softness underpins the pair but the intraday tape is corrective, not impulsive.
Support: 1.15234, 1.15203
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15200 confirms a lower low and opens fresh downside
Reclaim of 1.15355 needed to challenge the 1.15548 swing high
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15259
Lower highs off 1.1558, testing session low.
London session faded from the 1.1558 session high on a broad USD-soft backdrop, printing lower highs into 1.1539 and now grinding on the 1.1520 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme; price holds below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15203, 1.15115
Resistance: 1.15386
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1520 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1512
Reclaim of 1.1539 swing high needed to re-engage the 1.1558 session top
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
London morning has EUR/USD ranging 1.1520-1.1558 after the session high at 1.15586 was rejected; a chain of lower highs (1.15586, 1.15548, 1.15384) is pushing price toward the range low. The broader tape is a USD-weakness story, but intraday momentum has cooled with price now sitting just below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.15203, 1.1524
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15203 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1555 range top reopens the 1.15586 session high
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Pulling back off session highs · RSI 42 · price 1.15296
Double top, neckline breakdown.
London session is drifting lower off a double top at 1.1556-1.1559; the ~1.1535 neckline gave way and price is now probing the 1.1520 session low. RSI(14) near 41 with ATR ~11 pips — momentum has cooled from the early-session push.
Support: 1.15203, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15558
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1538 negates the double-top breakdown
Loss of 1.1520 confirms a lower low toward the range floor
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
07:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15291
Lower highs since 1.1558, holding above 1.1522.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.15586 through London hours on broad USD softness, printing lower highs into 1.15384 and dipping to 1.15221 before the current bounce to 1.1529. RSI(14) near 42 reflects the cooling momentum; price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.15221, 1.1510
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15221 opens the 1.1510 breakout zone
Reclaim of 1.15384 negates the lower-high sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.15283
Lower highs, ranging under Monday high.
Monday opened with a gap-up run to 1.15586, a six-week high, then faded on the weak EZ retail sales miss and stretched positioning. Price now drifts under a chain of lower highs, RSI cooling near 43; a dip tested 1.15238 before buyers nudged it back toward 1.1528.
Support: 1.15238, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15238 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15384 reopens the 1.15586 session high
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15242
Lower highs, testing session low.
EURUSD gapped up over the weekend to a 1.15586 session high, then bled lower through the Asia-into-London hours to a fresh session low at 1.15238, with the soft EZ retail print and USD short-covering capping the topside. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price sits below both EMAs.
Support: 1.15238, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15384, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
German/EZ Manufacturing PMIs 07:15-07:55 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.15238 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15384 negates the drift lower
06:46 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 36 · price 1.15242
Lower highs since early London pop; consolidation floor broken lower.
Monday London opened with a pop to a session high near 1.15537, rejected, then bled lower through a string of lower highs. The last bar broke the 1.1530 consolidation floor to a session low of 1.15238, RSI(14) at 36, as soft EU retail sales weigh on EUR.
Support: 1.15238, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15537
What it said to watch
EU Manufacturing PMI 07:15-07:55 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above the 1.15355 swing high negates the breakdown
Loss of 1.15238 opens the path toward 1.1500 psych
06:32 UTC
Range after uptrend faded · RSI 49 · price 1.15321
Consolidation in mid-1.15s, coiling.
EURUSD pinned in the mid-1.15s, holding the 1.1527 range low after fading from the 1.1558 session high. Range has tightened into the London open with ATR around 4 pips; no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1516
Resistance: 1.15384
What it said to watch
Close below 1.15266 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1516
Reclaim of 1.15384 puts the 1.1558 session high back in play
German/EZ Manufacturing PMIs 07:15-07:55 UTC could break this range
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC a later risk to the read
06:31 UTC
Range after early spike faded · RSI 46 · price 1.15321
Consolidation in low 1.1530s below session high.
Gapped higher into the week and ran to a session high at 1.15586 in Asian hours before fading to 1.15266 as USD short-covering pared the move. Now pinned in the low 1.1530s into the London open, RSI(14) neutral near 46 and ATR just ~4 pips — a quiet, tight range with no setup in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15317
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15466 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Loss of 1.15266 confirms a lower low
EZ Manufacturing PMIs 07:15-07:55 UTC could break the range
06:16 UTC
Mild grind higher within range · RSI 57 · price 1.1537
Consolidation, higher lows into session high.
EUR/USD is grinding higher off 1.1527 in a tight mid-1.15s range during the London session, with RSI(14) neutral near 57 and price back above both EMAs. The 1.1558 session high caps for now after Friday's retail sales miss kept upside contained.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1513
Resistance: 1.15466
What it said to watch
EZ Manufacturing PMIs 07:15-07:55 UTC could break the range read
M15 close above 1.1558 opens path back toward the prior high
Loss of 1.1527 session low negates the higher-low grind
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC is the next major catalyst
Recovering toward six-week high after fade from session high.
EURUSD is grinding back up to retest the 1.1537 six-week high after fading from the 1.15586 session high, RSI(14) around 61. Buyers held the 1.15266 range low through the Asia-London stretch and price has stair-stepped higher into the level.
Support: 1.15317, 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1537 six-week high opens the path toward 1.15586 sess high
Failure to hold 1.15266 range low reopens the 1.1500 psych level
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and HCOB Manufacturing PMI (07:55 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD is grinding along the 1.1537 six-week high after Monday's Asia spike to 1.15586 was rejected and faded back to 1.15266. Price has since built a chain of higher lows into 09:00 broker time, but ranges are thin ahead of the London open and RSI(14) sits mid-band with no extreme.
Support: 1.15315, 1.15266
Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1537 opens the path back toward the 1.15586 monday high
Loss of the rising-lows support near 1.15315 exposes the 1.15266 swing low
HCOB Manufacturing PMI at 07:55 UTC could break this tight range
05:46 UTC
Consolidating after gap-up fade · RSI 53 · price 1.15356
Tight range inside post-gap fade.
Weekend gap opened higher and tagged 1.15586 before fading back through the Asian session to the 1.1530s. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1530-1.1355 band, RSI(14) neutral near 53, with EUR holding this week's firm inflation-driven gains.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and HCOB PMI 07:55 UTC could break the range
M15 close above 1.15586 session high reopens upside
Break below 1.15266 session low confirms deeper gap fade
05:32 UTC
Range, drifting after rejection · RSI 49 · price 1.15337
Asian session rejected the 1.15586 session high early and drifted back to 1.15266 before stalling; price now coils tightly near 1.1533 on thin volume, RSI(14) flat around 49. ATR is compressed at ~3 pips — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15537 opens a retest of the 6wk high at 1.15586
Failure to hold 1.15266 confirms a lower low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could break this range
05:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.15337
Consolidation after rejection at session high.
EURUSD is coiling around 1.1533 in the Asia-to-London handover after rejection at the 1.1558 session high, capped by the 1.1537 six-week high noted by the digest. RSI(14) is flat near 51 with ATR compressed to ~11 pips; price is holding above the 1.1527 session low.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15295
Resistance: 1.1537
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1537 6wk high opens a retest of 1.1558 session high
Loss of 1.1527 session low confirms a lower-low
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and Manufacturing PMI 07:55 UTC could break the range
05:16 UTC
Consolidation after gap-up rejection · RSI 49 · price 1.15328
Range-bound below session high.
EURUSD gapped up on the Monday open and spiked to a session high at 1.15586 before rejection dragged it back into a 1.15266–1.15468 consolidation. RSI(14) sits neutral near 49 as Asian-session flow keeps price coiled around 1.1533.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1513
Resistance: 1.15468, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Close above 1.15468 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Break below 1.15266 confirms a lower low
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could break the range
05:16 UTC
Pullback after Asia high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15328
Tight range under lower highs.
Asia session pushed to a 1.15558 session high before fading through the night; London morning is quiet, coiling in a tight 1.15266-1.15355 band with price pinned around EMA20. RSI(14) sits neutral near 46 with no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15477, 1.15558
What it said to watch
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and Manufacturing PMI 07:55 UTC could break this range shortly
M15 close below 1.15266 confirms a lower low toward 1.15200 round number
Reclaim of 1.15477 lower high reopens the 1.15558 session high
05:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.15347
Consolidation after fade from session high.
Price spiked to a session high of 1.15586 early in the Asian session then faded to 1.15266, and has since ground back into a tight consolidation near 1.15355 on thinning volume. RSI(14) neutral around 53; the mid-1.15s pinning matches USD short-covering capping EUR after Thursday's post-FOMC move.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1523
Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15355 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Loss of 1.15266 confirms a lower-low and extends the fade
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could break this range
05:01 UTC
Intraday fade, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.15342
Lower highs off session high, basing mid-1.15s.
Monday Asia opened bid and spiked to a session high of 1.15586 before fading steadily to 1.15266, printing a chain of lower highs. Price is now consolidating around 1.1534 into the London approach with RSI(14) mid-range and no setup in play; 1.15200 psych sits below the range floor.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
EZ Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break the mid-1.15s consolidation
M15 close below 1.15266 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15537 reopens the 1.15586 session high
04:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15342
Consolidation after rejection from session high.
Asia session pushed to a 1.15586 session high early then faded, and price has since coiled flat in the mid-1.153s with ATR compressing to ~8 pips. Rejection off the 1.15558-1.15586 zone holds while 1.15266 marks the session low; no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15317
Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15558 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Break below 1.15266 confirms a lower low
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could break the range
Monday opened near 1.1545 and spiked to a session high at 1.15586 before fading to 1.15266, in line with the USD short-covering read capping the euro below the six-week 1.1537 area. Price is now grinding back to mid-1.1530s with RSI neutral near 56 and ATR compressing to ~4 pips — range-bound, no clean directional structure.
Support: 1.15266, 1.15317
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
EZ Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break this range
M15 close above 1.15586 opens path back toward the session high extension
Loss of 1.15266 confirms a lower-low and range break
EURUSD faded from the Monday session high at 1.15586 into a tight Asia-session range around 1.1530, RSI(14) flat near 45. Price is pinned between 1.15266 support and the 1.15360 pivot with sub-6 pip bars.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1516
Resistance: 1.1536, 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15466 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Failure to hold 1.15266 confirms a lower low
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could break the range
04:31 UTC
Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 43 · price 1.15328
Consolidation near session lows.
EURUSD pushed to a 1.15586 session high on the reopen then faded through London-Asia hours, and is now pinned in a tight 1.15266–1.15337 range on thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) near 43 and price sitting below EMA20/50 reflect the stalled drift, consistent with the mid-1.15s consolidation the digest flags into today's data.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1529
Resistance: 1.15437, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 confirms a lower low out of the range
Reclaim of 1.15437 reopens the path to the 1.15586 session high
EZ Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could break this range
04:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.15314
Lower highs, grinding down from 1.1559.
EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.1559 and has ground steadily lower through the Asian session, now pinned near 1.1531 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Lower highs stacked below 1.1554; buyers stepping in around 1.1527 for now.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1537 reopens the 1.1559 session high
Loss of 1.1527 exposes the 1.1500 round number
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and ISM 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Lower highs since 1.1558, drifting toward session low.
EUR/USD tagged a session high of 1.15586 in early London hours before rejecting, then grinding lower through a chain of lower highs to sit at 1.15295. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; buyers defended 1.15266 on the last dip, keeping a shallow floor.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15378, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.15378 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could break this range
Asia session has ground steadily lower from Monday's early high at 1.1558 back to 1.1527, printing a clean chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits near 38 with EUR consolidating in the mid-1.15s; supply keeps capping each bounce below 1.1534.
Support: 1.15266, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15337, 1.15477
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15266 opens the path toward 1.1520
Reclaim of 1.15337 breaks the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could shift this read
Monday opened with a modest gap up and pushed to the 1.15586 session high before a steady chain of lower highs unwound the move. The Asian session has ground down to 1.15268 with ATR compressed to single digits and RSI cooling near 38; EUR still pinned in the mid-1.15s range flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1523
Resistance: 1.1536, 1.1545, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15268 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15360 breaks the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session ground steadily lower off the Monday high at 1.15586, printing lower highs into 1.15284 with price below EMA20/50. Range has compressed to a few pips near the 1.15268 session low, RSI(14) sub-40 but not extended.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.1536, 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Eurozone Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could break this tight range
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC is the larger session risk
M15 close below 1.15268 confirms a lower-low continuation
Reclaim of 1.15360 would break the lower-highs sequence
Asian session pushed to a high of 1.15586 then faded, printing a lower high at 1.15548 before drifting back to the session low near 1.15268. EUR/USD stays hemmed inside the 1.1450–1.1550 context range with RSI cooling into the high-30s.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15268 confirms a lower low
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Monday Asian session drifting lower from the 1.15586 open-hour high, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.15268 session low. Last hour has coiled tight around 1.1530 with RSI(14) near 39; sub-1.15268 would extend the lower-low sequence.
Support: 1.15268, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.15378, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15268 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.15378 breaks the lower-high chain
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could shift this read
03:02 UTC
Downdrift off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15301
Lower highs, tight consolidation into Asia.
Week opened near 1.1545 and pushed to a session high of 1.15586 before fading through Asia to 1.15301, printing a chain of lower highs. Price now coiling tight between 1.1529 and 1.1534 with RSI(14) mid-range around 42; EUR held in the mid-1.15s per the two-way USD/EUR backdrop.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1520
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15290 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1520
M15 close above 1.15466 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could reset this read
Lower highs off session high, basing near range floor.
Session high at 1.15586 was rejected and price bled lower through Asian hours to base around 1.1530, RSI(14) cooling near 40. The 1.15283 floor has held on the last few bars while the drift flattens out.
Support: 1.15283, 1.1523
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15283 opens the path toward 1.1523
Reclaim of 1.15466 would negate the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Pullback after gap-up high · RSI 42 · price 1.15316
Lower highs into range floor.
Monday Asia opened with a gap higher and tagged 1.15586 before fading, printing lower highs back into the 1.1530s. Price now sits near the session low around 1.1529–1.1532, RSI(14) mid-40s and offered.
Support: 1.1529, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15466 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Loss of 1.15290 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap up, tagged the 1.15558 session high then rejected back into the low-1.15s. Price is now ranging tightly between the 1.15283 swing low and 1.15380, with volume thin and RSI hovering near 41 below the prior high at 1.15466.
Support: 1.15283, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.1538, 1.15466, 1.15558
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15283 confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.15380 reopens the 1.15466 prior high
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could shift this range read
02:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after gap-up · RSI 44 · price 1.1533
Lower highs off session high.
Monday Asia gapped up from Friday's 1.1539 close, tapped a session high of 1.1558 and rejected, rolling over to a session low of 1.1529 before steadying near 1.1533. Lower highs are stacking and RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s as price sits back below EMA20.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15537
What it said to watch
A close below 1.1529 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Reclaim of 1.15586 needed to revive the upside push
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
Lower highs after rejection, holding above session low.
Monday Asian session gapped up over the weekend and pushed to 1.15586 before rejection dragged price back toward the 1.15290 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 44. Now churning around 1.1533 below EMA20 with a chain of lower highs into 1.15537.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1518
Resistance: 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15290 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1518
Reclaim of 1.15537 needed to re-test the 1.15586 session high
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Near-term downtrend within range · RSI 37 · price 1.1529
Faded off session high, lower highs into Asia.
Post-weekend open ran to 1.15586 then faded steadily through thin Asian hours, printing lower highs down to the 1.1529 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37; the 1.1550–1.1450 weekly range still contains the move.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15466 swing high would ease the intraday selling
Break of 1.1529 session low opens room toward the 1.1500 psych level
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Short-term downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 39 · price 1.1529
Lower highs into Asia session, testing lows.
EUR/USD opened the week with a small gap up, spiked to the 1.15558 session high, then was rejected and ground lower through Asia hours to the 1.15290 session low. RSI(14) near 38 with price below both EMAs; sequence of lower highs from 1.15586 remains intact on thin early-Asia volume.
Support: 1.1529, 1.15346
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15558
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15290 confirms continuation to the lower range
Reclaim of 1.15466 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
New week gapped up and pushed to a session high of 1.15586 — clearing the 1.1537 six-week high — before fading through Asia hours to 1.153. A lower high at 1.15548 and the slide back under 1.1544 leaves price testing the session low with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.15295, 1.15359
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15548, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15295 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range floor
Reclaim of 1.15466 puts the 1.15548 recent high back in play
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
02:01 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15317
Rejection at session high, LH chain.
Monday Asia open gapped up and tagged a session high at 1.15586 before fading; price has since carved lower highs and is pressing the 1.15295 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Sub-1.1550 consolidation persists after the post-Fed rally, matching the two-way EUR read.
Support: 1.15295, 1.1513
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15295 confirms a lower low and opens 1.15130
Reclaim of 1.15466 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
EUR Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and euro-area Mfg PMIs 07:15–07:55 UTC could reset this range
01:47 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.15323
Lower highs off 1.1559 into 1.1532.
Asia session gave back the early pop to the 1.1559 session high, printing lower highs and sliding to 1.1532 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price sits below EMA20 after fading the gap-up open; buyers have yet to reclaim the 1.1546 area.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1517
Resistance: 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1546 needed to re-challenge the 1.1559 session high
Loss of 1.1530 session low exposes 1.1517 prior swing
EUR Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could reset this intraday read
01:46 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15323
Lower highs off 1.1558, testing session low.
Asia session opened firm and pushed to a session high at 1.1558 before rejection dragged price back to the 1.1532 session low, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. A chain of lower highs is capping rallies; buyers have yet to defend anything cleaner than 1.1530.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15236
Resistance: 1.15477
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1530 opens the path to 1.1524
Reclaim of 1.1548 negates the lower-high sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could reshape this read
01:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.15318
Lower highs off session high, at session low.
Monday open gapped up from Friday's 1.1539 close, spiked to a session high of 1.15586 then rejected and sold off steadily through the day, now printing the session low at 1.1531. RSI(14) near 38 with price below both EMAs — momentum firmly down on this leg, EUR pinned in its mid-1.15s range.
Support: 1.15314, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15314 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1500 pivot
Reclaim of 1.15466 would neutralise the intraday sell-off
Eurozone Retail Sales 06:00 UTC and Manufacturing PMI 07:55 UTC, then US ISM 14:00 UTC could reset this read
01:31 UTC
Intraday pullback after gap-up · RSI 43 · price 1.15318
Lower highs off session high.
EURUSD opened the week with a weekend gap higher, ran to a session high at 1.15558/1.15586 in early Asia, then got rejected and printed a chain of lower highs back toward 1.1532. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as price presses the 1.1530 round number; sub-1.1500 remains the pivot per the mid-1.15s range.
Support: 1.1530, 1.15314
Resistance: 1.15537, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1530 opens the path toward the 1.1500 pivot
Reclaim of 1.15537 needed to re-test the 1.15586 gap high
EZ Retail Sales/Manufacturing PMI 06:00/07:55 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could shift this read
01:16 UTC
Range, pullback from session high · RSI 47 · price 1.15375
Rejected near 1.1558, retracing intraday leg.
EURUSD opened the new session higher after the weekend gap, pushed to 1.15586 then rejected twice near 1.1556, forming a double top before pulling back to 1.15375. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped back under EMA20; the 1.15346 session low is now the near-term floor being tested.
Support: 1.15346, 1.1545
Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15346 confirms a lower low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 1.15558 needed to re-challenge the 1.15586 gap high
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session spiked to 1.15586 then got rejected, RSI(14) cooling back toward 46 as price faded to the 1.15346 session low. Now pinned mid-range near 1.15375; range top capped repeatedly around the 1.1550 psych level.
Support: 1.15346, 1.1530
Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15346 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1530
Reclaim of 1.15500 puts the 1.15586 session high back in play
Eurozone Retail Sales/PMI (06:00/07:55 UTC) and US ISM (14:00 UTC) could break this range
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 52 · price 1.15406
Pullback from session high after spike rejection.
Asia session opened with a gap higher, poked 1.15586 then got rejected back under 1.15450, RSI(14) cooling to the low-50s. Price now hovering above the 1.15397 session low after fading the spike; move is corrective within the broader mid-1.15s range.
Support: 1.15397, 1.15346
Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15558 reopens the path to the spike high at 1.15586
Failure to hold 1.15346 confirms a lower-low
Eurozone Retail Sales (06:00 UTC) and Manufacturing PMI (07:55 UTC) could shift this read
00:46 UTC
Recovering after session dip · RSI 62 · price 1.15554
V-recovery back toward session high.
Fresh week opened with a weekend gap; price slid to a session low at 1.15346 before buyers pushed it straight back to 1.15554, just under the 1.15586 session high. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-60s as the V-shaped bounce holds; USD-side ISM Manufacturing (14:00 UTC) is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.15346, 1.15431
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.1560
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.15586 keeps the session capped; a close above opens 1.1560
Loss of 1.15431 re-exposes the 1.15346 session low
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could reset this read via USD
Sunday reopen on thin volume: EURUSD spiked to a session high of 1.15586 in early Asia hours, then faded to 1.15346 before recovering to 1.15495. Price is holding above the EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no clean setup in the low-liquidity tape.
Support: 1.15346, 1.15422
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15516
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.15586 extends the reopen bounce toward the 1.1537 prior six-week high zone
Failure to hold 1.15346 confirms a lower-low on the session
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:16 UTC
Fading after early spike · RSI 42 · price 1.15368
Rejected session high, lower highs.
Monday Asia opened with a small gap up and a push to 1.15586 that was rejected, price now fading toward the session low at 1.15346 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. A chain of lower highs has capped the pullback since the spike; sub-1.15500 keeps the fade in play.
Support: 1.15346, 1.15427
Resistance: 1.15516, 1.15586
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.15346 confirms a lower-low and opens the pullback zone
Reclaim of 1.15516 negates the lower-highs sequence
Eurozone Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could shift the intraday read
00:02 UTC
Up into weekend, fading in thin Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.15407
Post-gap spike then lower highs.
Thin Monday Asia open gapped modestly higher off Friday's 1.15393 close and spiked to a session high at 1.15586 before fading, part of the USD short-covering unwind after last week's post-Fed slide. Price has since printed lower highs back to 1.15407 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s; the pre-gap high at 1.15393 is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.15393, 1.1533
Resistance: 1.15466, 1.15586
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.15393 would confirm the gap fill and lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.15466 puts the 1.15586 session high back in play
ISM Manufacturing PMI (Mon 14:00 UTC) could materially shift USD direction
Thin post-weekend Asia open spiked to a session high of 1.15586 before fading back under 1.15450, printing lower highs into the current bar at 1.15407. RSI(14) around 44 as the pop was fully retraced; price sits just under EMA20 with the 1.15418 session low in view.
Support: 1.15418, 1.1532
Resistance: 1.15586, 1.15466
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.15500 reopens the 1.15586 session high
Failure to hold 1.15418 exposes the 1.15320 swing low
Eurozone Retail Sales at 06:00 UTC could inject volatility into thin Asia liquidity