EURUSD spiked to a 1.1472 week high Thursday on the soft US NFP print that knocked the dollar, then drifted into a tightening 1.1428-1.1465 band through thin holiday liquidity. Price has slipped back under EMA20 while holding above EMA50, with RSI(14) mid-range as the impulse cools. Supply capped attempts at the 1.1455 prior high, keeping the pullback shallow against Thursday's low near 1.1361.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1420, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1472 week high opens the path to the 1.1500 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1428 range low exposes 1.1420 ema50 then 1.1361 weekly low
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (Mon 16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14723 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), which knocked the dollar and drove the dominant move of the week. Since then price has consolidated between 1.1430 and 1.1455, drifting to 1.1437 in thin holiday liquidity and slipping back below EMA(20) while EMA(50) still supports from below. Lower highs are building under the range top as the post-NFP rally digests.
Support: 1.1430, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1455 reopens the 1.14723 week high
Break below 1.1430 range floor exposes 1.1361 week low
ISM Services and Lagarde speech Mon could reset the range read
The rally off Thursday's 1.1361 low peaked at 1.1472 as the soft US NFP print knocked the dollar, then stalled into a tight 1.1432-1.1455 band through thin holiday trade. Price has slipped back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) drifting into the mid-40s, while the 1.1462/1.1472 area capped two attempts higher. The 1.1432 range floor is still holding above EMA(50).
Support: 1.14328, 1.1370
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could shift this read materially
H1 close below 1.1432 range floor opens the path toward 1.1370 support
H1 close above 1.1472 weekly high resumes the up leg
EUR spiked to a week high of 1.1472 on Thursday's soft US NFP miss, then drifted into a 1.1428-1.1455 consolidation through the holiday-thin session. Price now sits just below EMA(20) but holds above EMA(50), with RSI(14) mid-range as the post-NFP impulse cools. Lower highs since the 1.1462 print show supply capping the range top.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1420, 1.13613
Resistance: 1.1454, 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1455 range top reopens the 1.1472 week high
Failure to hold 1.1428 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1420
ISM Services + Lagarde/Retail Sales Mon could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14723 week high on Thursday's weak US NFP print, which knocked the dollar, then settled into a 1.1435-1.1455 range through the holiday-thinned Friday session. Price is now drifting toward the lower edge of that range and sits just below EMA(20), with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s. The broader lift off the 1.13613 low is holding, but recent lower highs at 1.14621/1.14545 have capped attempts back toward the week high.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14223, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14545, 1.14621, 1.14723
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14285 confirms a lower low and breaks the consolidation
Reclaim of 1.14545 session high reopens the path to the 1.14723 week high
ISM Services (Mon 14:00 UTC) and Lagarde (16:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14723 week high on Thursday's soft US NFP print (57K vs 110K), which knocked the dollar broadly. Price has since drifted into a 1.1430-1.1460 consolidation, slipping back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) fading to the mid-40s while holding above EMA(50). Rallies keep stalling into the 1.14621 day high, the euro's late-week gains being USD-driven rather than euro-led.
Support: 1.14285, 1.1400, 1.13687
Resistance: 1.14621, 1.14723, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14621 opens the 1.1470-1.1500 resistance zone
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.1400 round number
ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC could reshape the USD-driven read