Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Downtrend, near-term recovery · RSI 54 · price 1.14351
Higher lows off june low, capped at 1.1470.
EURUSD is recovering off the mid-June low at 1.1325 after the slide from 1.162; higher lows have carried price back to the 38.2% retracement near 1.1435. The 1.1470-1.1500 zone capped the latest push, with rejection near the 2-week swing high. USD weakness after the soft NFP miss drove the bounce, but rallies stall into that flagged resistance.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
- H4 close above 1.1470 swing high opens the path to the 1.1500 round number
- Failure to hold 1.1370 prior low reopens the 1.1325 june low
- ISM Services Mon and FOMC minutes Wed could shift the USD-driven read
21:01 UTC
Recovery, momentum flattening · RSI 53 · price 1.14351
Higher lows off 1.1325, capped below 1.1472.
Price has recovered off the 1.1325 low set mid-window, building higher lows and now consolidating below the 1.1472 swing high. The bounce is USD-driven after the soft June NFP miss rather than euro demand, and ATR(14) has compressed sharply into the 1.1420-1.1470 range, a coiling signal. EMA20/EMA50 sit below price, supporting the near-term recovery structure.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1381, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1472, 1.1500
What it said to watch
- H4 close above 1.1472 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych cap
- Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes 1.1381 then 1.1361
- ISM Services Mon 14:00 UTC and Eurozone Retail Sales could shift this read