EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 6 August 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:46 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling · RSI 49 · price 1.15233

Consolidation near session lows after leg down.

EUR/USD bled from 1.1557 through the London-NY session to a low of 1.15144, then based and recovered into a tight 1.1518-1.1525 band on thin late-Asia volume. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range from the down-leg; price sits just above EMA20 but under EMA50, with the recent high at 1.1525 capping.

Support: 1.1514, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1525 recent high reopens 1.1545 prior swing
  • Break of 1.1514 session low exposes the 1.1500 round number
  • US NFP 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this range

23:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, now basing · RSI 49 · price 1.15227

Sold off then ranging tightly.

EUR/USD sold from 1.1556 into a 1.15144 swing low during the London-NY session, then based and drifted back to 1.1522. Asia hours are thin and choppy, penning price into a 1.1519-1.1525 range as traders park ahead of US NFP.

Support: 1.1519, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
  • M15 close above 1.1525 range top opens 1.1545 swing high
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 swing low extends the intraday downtrend

23:31 UTC

Downtrend, stalled into range · RSI 51 · price 1.15227

Coiling above session low after selloff.

EUR bled from 1.1556 to a session low of 1.15144 through the London-NY stretch, then stabilised into a tight 1.1519-1.1525 range in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) back near neutral, ATR compressed to a few pips as the market parks ahead of US NFP.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1519, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could break this range either way
  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower-low
  • M15 close above 1.1525 reopens 1.1545

23:16 UTC

Downtrend from London, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.15233

Tight Asian consolidation after selloff.

EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY session from 1.1557 to a 1.1514 session low, then based and is now pinned in a 1.1518-1.1525 range on thin Asian volume. RSI(14) back to neutral around 51; ATR compressed to under 3 pips as the market parks ahead of US NFP.

Support: 1.15179, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1534

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — could break this range either way
  • M15 close above 1.15253 range top reopens 1.1534
  • Loss of 1.15179 range base exposes the 1.15144 session low

23:16 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling into a base · RSI 49 · price 1.15214

NY leg lower into 1.1514, basing around 1.1520.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1559 to a 1.1514 session low, then based and is drifting sideways around 1.1521 in thin Asian-hours trade. Price sits on the EMA20 but under the EMA50; RSI(14) neutral near 48 with no momentum extreme.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1530

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could reprice this read
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1495
  • Reclaim of 1.15253 swing high shifts the intraday base back to neutral

23:01 UTC

Intraday downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15214

Consolidating above session low after a grind lower.

EUR drifted down through the session from 1.1555 to a low of 1.15144, then flattened into a tight ~1.1520 coil during thin Asia hours. Volume has collapsed and RSI sits mid-range — traders parked ahead of US NFP with no fresh direction.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver — a hot print threatens the 1.1495 range base, a miss targets the 1.15253 range top
  • M15 close above 1.15253 reopens 1.1565 prior high
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend

22:46 UTC

Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.15218

Consolidation above session low ahead of NFP.

EURUSD slid from 1.1559 through the London-NY sessions to a swing low at 1.15144, then flattened into a tight 1.1518-1.1525 coil on thin Asian-hours volume. Price is pinned just below EMA50 as the market parks ahead of US NFP; RSI(14) mid-range near 47, ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1545, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • US NFP at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and can break this coil either way
  • Close above 1.15253 reopens the 1.1545 / 1.1565 resistance band
  • Break below 1.15144 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1495

22:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading into consolidation · RSI 48 · price 1.15216

NY down-leg then tight late-session range.

EUR/USD sold from ~1.1559 through NY down to a session low of 1.15144, then stalled into a tight 1.1515-1.1525 range in thin post-NY, early-Asia trade. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-40s off the lows; price is pinned to EMA20 but capped below EMA50.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15253 range top reopens 1.1545 prior high
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1500 psych
  • US NFP is the dominant swing factor and can void this range read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend easing, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15214

Consolidating near session low after chain of lower highs.

NY session ground lower into a 1.15144 session low, then stalled into a tight 1.15180–1.15253 consolidation on thinning late-session volume. Price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional development in play ahead of NFP.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1534

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 breaks the consolidation top
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US NFP could materially shift this read

22:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.15214

Consolidating near session lows after a decline.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1545 to a low of 1.15144, then based and is now grinding sideways in a thin 1.1519–1.1525 range during Asia hours. Momentum has flattened with RSI(14) mid-40s and volume drying up into the low-liquidity window.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1519

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 range top would break the consolidation higher
  • Break below 1.15144 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • German Industrial Production (06:00 UTC) could inject direction into the Asia range

22:02 UTC

Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 47 · price 1.15208

Session low at 1.1514, tight range forming in thin Asia hours.

EUR/USD leaked lower through the London-NY session from ~1.1557 to a session low of 1.1514, and has since gone flat, ranging 1.1514–1.1525 through thin, low-volume Asia hours. RSI(14) is mid-range near 47 and ATR is compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum in play right now, with US NFP the pending swing factor.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1535, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1525 opens the path back toward 1.1535
  • Loss of 1.1514 confirms a lower low toward 1.1495
  • US NFP (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and could break this range

22:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.15208

Consolidating near session lows after decline.

EURUSD ground lower through the window from ~1.1557 to a session low of 1.15144, then stalled into a tight 1.15170–1.15253 range in thin late trade. Price sits just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI neutral near 46, no directional impulse in play.

Support: 1.1517, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1530

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 extends the decline
  • Reclaim of 1.15253 range high needed to challenge higher

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 1.15184

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

EURUSD drifted lower through the London-NY session from 1.1559 to a session low at 1.15144, USD firm into NFP. Price is now consolidating 1.1518-1.1525 in thin late-session trade, RSI mid-range with no fresh momentum.

Support: 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15448

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15253 opens the path back toward the 1.15448 prior high
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low extends the decline
  • US NFP is the dominant swing factor and could materially shift this read

21:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 1.15184

Leg lower into 1.1514, now consolidating.

NY session drifted lower from 1.1560 to a session low at 1.1514, then bounced to 1.1525 before settling around 1.1518 on thin late-session flow. Price is boxed between 1.1514 and the 1.1525 bounce high, RSI(14) neutral near 45 with no directional edge into the close.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1517

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1530, 1.1544

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 opens the path back toward 1.1530
  • Break below 1.15144 confirms a lower low
  • German Industrial Production (06:00 UTC) could inject the next EUR move

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.15179

Leg lower into US session, now consolidating.

EUR/USD sold off through the US session from 1.1559 to a 1.15144 session low, USD firm into payrolls. Price has since stalled in a 1.1515–1.1525 band, RSI(14) mid-40s and price below EMA20/50; thin post-NY volume with no fresh direction.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15452, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.15253 swing high would ease the downside pressure
  • Close below the 1.15144 session low confirms continuation, exposing the 1.1500 psych level
  • US payroll fallout still driving USD — a shift here can override this range read

21:31 UTC

Downtrend, fading near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15179

Lower highs, holding above session low.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a session low at 1.15144 before a shallow bounce to 1.15253 that faded. Price is now drifting back toward the lows near 1.1518 on thin late volume, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs — no momentum in either direction.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1534

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15253 opens the path back to 1.15340
  • Break below 1.15144 confirms a lower low toward 1.15000
  • US payrolls is the dominant swing factor and could reset this range on release

21:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 46 · price 1.1522

Lower highs into a base near session lows.

NY session sold EUR from the 1.1559 high down to a 1.1515 session low, a chain of lower highs holding price below the 1.1545 3-week cap. Last few hours have base-built in a tight 1.1515–1.1525 range into the Asia handover, RSI(14) neutral near 46.

Support: 1.1515, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1545, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1515 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 3-wk high needed to challenge the 1.1565 key cap
  • Fed's Musalem (21:30 UTC) and pending US jobs risk could shift this read

21:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 1.15236

Consolidating above session low after NY leg down.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, bottoming at 1.15144 before stabilising in a tight 1.1519–1.1525 band as USD held firm. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-40s; price is pinned just under the 1.15253 recent high with the session low untested since.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1534, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15253 opens the path back toward 1.15340
  • Break below 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Fed's Musalem speaking 21:30 UTC could shift this read

21:01 UTC

Downtrend easing, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15236

Consolidating above session low after NY selloff.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session to a session low of 1.15144 before buyers stepped in; price now consolidating 1.1519-1.1525, holding a 38.2% retrace of the drop. RSI(14) has recovered to neutral around 47 as momentum flattens.

Support: 1.1515, 1.1519

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1535

What it said to watch

  • Fed's Musalem (21:30 UTC) could shift this read
  • Close above 1.1525 targets the descending highs; loss of 1.1515 confirms a fresh lower-low

20:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 48 · price 1.15216

Ground to session low, now consolidating.

EURUSD ground steadily lower through the NY session from ~1.1555 to a session low at 1.15144, then stabilised into a tight 1.1518–1.1525 consolidation. RSI(14) has recovered to mid-range as the sell-off flattens; price now sits back on EMA20 but under EMA50.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15184

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15355, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15253 session high would end the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms downside continuation
  • US NFP is the dominant swing factor and could invalidate this consolidation read

20:32 UTC

Downtrend, momentum fading into a base · RSI 45 · price 1.15205

Lower highs into 1.1515 low, now consolidating.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1545 into a 1.15144 low, then stabilised, now basing between 1.1515 and 1.1525 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to mid-range. Descending highs still cap; price is pinned to EMA20 while below EMA50.

Support: 1.1517, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 breaks the descending-highs cap and opens 1.1544
  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US NFP flagged in the digest as the swing factor could materially shift this read

20:31 UTC

Downtrend, now stalling near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.15205

Lower highs into consolidation above session low.

EUR slid through the NY session from 1.1555 to a session low at 1.15144 as the dollar firmed into the NFP swing factor. Price has since stabilised, coiling in a tight 1.1515–1.1525 band with RSI back near neutral; the string of lower highs off 1.1557 remains intact.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1534, 1.15448

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15253 breaks the lower-high chain
  • Loss of session low 1.15144 opens 1.1500 psych level
  • US NFP is the dominant swing factor and could reset this range

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.15201

Lower highs into a base around 1.1520.

EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session from 1.1555 to a session low at 1.1514, then based between 1.1518 and 1.1525 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold. Price sits just under EMA20 with the day's structure a chain of lower highs into US NFP.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1525 challenges the lower-high sequence and opens 1.1545
  • Loss of 1.15144 resumes the downtrend toward 1.1495
  • US NFP is the dominant near-term driver and could invalidate this range read

20:16 UTC

Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15201

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

EURUSD slid through the NY session from 1.1559 to a 1.1514 low, then stabilised in a tight 1.1518-1.1525 band with RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward mid-40s. Price is pinned just under EMA20/EMA50 as the market coils into the NFP print.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • US NFP (upcoming) is the dominant driver and can override this consolidation
  • M15 close above 1.15253 shifts the near-term lower-high structure
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 opens the path to 1.1495

20:02 UTC

Downtrend, now basing · RSI 50 · price 1.15227

Lower highs into session low, consolidating.

EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session from 1.1555 to a session low at 1.15144, then based in a tight 1.1515-1.1525 range as volatility dried up late. Price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50, RSI(14) flat near 50 — no momentum in play.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15187

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15253 session high, then 1.1545, needed to break the downtrend
  • US NFP is the dominant upcoming risk and can shift this read sharply

20:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 45 · price 1.15227

Lower highs into a base near session lows.

EUR leaked lower through the NY session as the dollar firmed into NFP, printing a session low at 1.15144 before basing in a tight 1.15187–1.15253 band. RSI(14) has lifted off the lows toward mid-40s; the descending sequence of highs is still intact.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15187

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Close above 1.15253 breaks the recent cap and opens 1.15446
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 confirms a lower low
  • US NFP is the dominant near-term catalyst and can void this range read

19:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum flattening · RSI 44 · price 1.15193

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

EUR drifted lower through the NY session, printing a run of lower highs from 1.1559 down to a session low at 1.15144 as USD firmed into NFP. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.15184–1.15253 band, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1510

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15342, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 breaks the consolidation and reopens 1.15342
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 confirms a lower-low continuation
  • US NFP is the dominant swing factor and could materially shift this read

19:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.15192

Lower highs into a tight base.

EURUSD sold through the NY session from 1.1545 to a low of 1.15144 as the dollar firmed pre-NFP, then based in a tight 1.1519–1.1525 range. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI recovering off the lows; supply is capping bounces at 1.15253.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15187

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • M15 close above 1.15253 invalidates the descending-high read
  • US NFP (Aug 7 12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and could reset this range

19:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, stabilising · RSI 46 · price 1.15228

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

EUR sold steadily through the NY session from the 1.1557 highs down to a session low at 1.15144, USD firm pre-payroll. Buyers stepped in near 1.1514 and price is now consolidating 1.1519–1.1525, capped by the descending highs.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15253 challenges the lower-high sequence and opens 1.15355
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US payroll reaction is the dominant driver and could override this range read

19:16 UTC

Downtrend stalling, basing · RSI 50 · price 1.15228

NY selloff, now consolidating above session low.

NY session sold EUR from the 1.1545 area down to a session low at 1.15144, RSI cooling off oversold. Price has since carved a tight base around 1.1520, capped under 1.1525 with the shallow recovery stalling below EMA50 near 1.1535.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15187, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15253, 1.1535, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 1.15253 and 1.1535 (ema50) would negate the downtrend read
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms a fresh lower low
  • US NFP tomorrow is the dominant catalyst; range likely holds into it

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.15234

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

NY session sold EUR from 1.1535 down to a session low at 1.15144 as the dollar firmed on safe-haven flows, before a shallow recovery. Price is now consolidating 1.1517–1.15245, RSI(14) lifting off the lows but the sequence of lower highs is still intact.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15245 range top would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms continuation lower toward 1.1500
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant driver and could materially shift this read
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could add near-term volatility

19:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 43 · price 1.15234

Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating above session low.

NY session dragged EUR from 1.1559 down to a 1.15144 session low as the dollar found a safe-haven bid, printing a clean chain of lower highs. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1518-1.1524 band with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 1.1537 swing high caps the bounce.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1510

Resistance: 1.1537, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15370 swing high would break the descending structure
  • Fed's Musalem speaks 21:30 UTC — could shift the dollar read

18:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 43 · price 1.15224

Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.

NY session dragged EURUSD off 1.1558 to a session low at 1.1514 as the dollar firmed into tomorrow's NFP. Last two hours have flattened into a 1.1517-1.1524 band, RSI(14) recovering off the lows but price still pinned below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1525, 1.1535, 1.1548

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1535 would negate the NY slide
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate this read

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stabilizing · RSI 44 · price 1.15225

Lower highs, lower lows; basing after session low.

EUR slid through the NY session to a low of 1.15144 as the dollar firmed pre-NFP, then based near 1.1520 in a tight 1.15144–1.15245 range. RSI(14) recovering off the lows around 43; price still trades under EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15355, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15245 would break the recent basing range
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could shift the USD read this session

18:31 UTC

Downtrend, basing · RSI 45 · price 1.15225

Lower highs into NY, stabilising above session low.

EURUSD sold off through the NY session, cutting from 1.1546 to a session low of 1.15144 as the dollar firmed pre-NFP. Price has since based in a tight 1.15187–1.15245 range and ticked back to 1.15225, RSI(14) recovering off its lows but still below EMA20/50.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.15245, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15245 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low confirms downtrend continuation
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can override this intraday read

18:17 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 45 · price 1.15235

Lower lows into NY, stabilizing above session low.

NY session drifted lower, slicing 1.1535 prior range and printing a session low at 1.15144 as the dollar firmed pre-NFP. Price is now stabilizing 1.1519-1.1524 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows; the 1.1535 prior range caps the immediate upside.

Support: 1.15144, 1.15187

Resistance: 1.15245, 1.1535, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.1535 prior range needed to neutralize the downtrend read
  • US NFP tomorrow (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for this pair

18:16 UTC

Downtrend, bounce off session low · RSI 43 · price 1.15235

Lower highs / lower lows, broke 1.1540 support.

NY session drove EUR/USD lower, breaking the 1.1540 support to a session low of 1.15144, a USD-driven leg around US data. Price has since ticked back to 1.15235 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold, but the move sits below broken support.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1540

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.1540 would negate the breakdown read
  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms lower-low, opens 1.1500 psych
  • Fed's Musalem at 21:30 UTC could reprice the dollar

18:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum stalling · RSI 44 · price 1.15224

Lower highs into a base above session low.

NY session drove a slide from 1.1557 to a session low of 1.15144, USD-driven ahead of NFP. Price is now basing between 1.15187 and the 1.15240 recent high, RSI(14) recovering off oversold but still sub-50; the broader lower-high sequence remains intact.

Support: 1.15187, 1.15144

Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15355, 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15240 would break the descending lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can invalidate this range read

17:46 UTC

Downtrend, stair-step lower · RSI 35 · price 1.15187

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session sold EUR through a stair-step decline from 1.1560, with the dollar firm pre-NFP; price now basing just above the 1.15144 session low. RSI(14) near 35 and last few bars stalling around 1.1519, but no reclaim of 1.15223 yet.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15223, 1.15342, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Sustained close above 1.15223 breaks the descending sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 confirms continuation toward 1.1500
  • Fed's Musalem (21:30 UTC) could shift the USD-driven read

17:31 UTC

Downtrend, extended · RSI 34 · price 1.15188

Lower highs, lower lows.

NY session sold EUR through the 1.1535 pivot in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain as the dollar firmed, printing a session low at 1.15144. RSI(14) near 33 shows momentum stretched but not extreme; price is coiling just under 1.1520 into the 1.1495 support zone flagged pre-NFP.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15355, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15000 opens the 1.1495 pivot zone
  • Reclaim of 1.15240 micro high needed to stall the downtrend
  • Residual NFP-driven USD flows remain the dominant driver into the close

17:16 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing · RSI 35 · price 1.15186

Lower highs and lower lows into NY session.

EUR/USD sold off through the NY session as the USD firmed post-NFP, breaking the 1.1540 base and printing a session low at 1.15144. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 35; a shallow bounce is holding under the 1.15240 swing.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1524, 1.15355, 1.15465

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15240 swing would ease the lower-low sequence
  • Break of 1.15144 session low extends the move toward the 1.1500 psych level
  • German Industrial Production Fri 06:00 UTC is next EUR catalyst

17:01 UTC

Downtrend, NY session leg lower · RSI 35 · price 1.1521

Lower highs, lower lows below EMAs.

NY session sold EUR/USD ~30 pips to a session low of 1.15144, a USD-driven slide into tomorrow's NFP with price carving lower highs and lower lows beneath EMA20/50. A small bounce off 1.15144 into the close lifted price to 1.15210, RSI(14) near 35.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1535, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.1535 swing would break the lower-high chain
  • Loss of 1.15144 session low opens the 1.1500 round number
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and could reshape this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 29 · price 1.15178

Lower highs, lower lows through NY session.

NY session drove a clean sell-off from 1.15446, breaking the prior 1.1535 base and printing a session low at 1.15144 with RSI(14) oversold near 28. Slide is USD-side led into Friday's NFP; price now hugging the lows with no reclaim of 1.15279.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15279, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15144 extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim above 1.15279 needed to stall the downtrend
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

16:46 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session low · RSI 31 · price 1.15178

Lower highs, lower lows into NY session.

NY session sold EUR/USD out of the 1.1538–1.1545 range, printing a fresh session low at 1.15144 with RSI(14) near 31. The lower-high chain stays intact and the last bar is stalling just above the low, no bounce structure yet.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1510

Resistance: 1.1528, 1.15355

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1528 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Loss of 1.15144 opens the 1.1510 round number
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 30 · price 1.15188

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session drove EUR/USD through the day's range and printed successive lower lows into 1.15144, RSI(14) near 30 on the sell-off. USD firmed on safe-haven flows; the grind-higher structure has broken with price now capped under 1.15240.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1524, 1.1535, 1.15465

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15240 needed to stall the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.15144 opens the 1.15000 psych level
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

16:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extended · RSI 32 · price 1.15188

Lower highs, lower lows into session low.

NY session sold the pair off the 1.1544 area, breaking the intraday range and printing a low at 1.15144, now hovering 1.15188. RSI(14) near 31 after the flush; price holds below EMA20/50 as the downdraft matures into the London-NY close.

Support: 1.15144, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1528, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 1.15280 would ease the downside pressure
  • Break of 1.15144 session low opens the 1.15000 psych level
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

16:16 UTC

Downtrend, accelerating into session low · RSI 29 · price 1.15187

Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.

NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1559 high in a clean lower-high chain down to a fresh session low at 1.15186, RSI(14) around 28 on USD safe-haven demand. No base yet — the drop is still extending with each bar printing new lows.

Support: 1.15186, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1528, 1.15355, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15280 swing pivot needed to ease downside pressure
  • Break and hold below 1.15186 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst

16:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum accelerating · RSI 29 · price 1.1520

Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown to session low.

NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1545 swing, accelerating through 1.1530 into a fresh session low at 1.1519, with RSI(14) near 29 and approaching oversold. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with no demand response yet — the intraday grind-higher structure has broken.

Support: 1.15187, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • Failure to hold 1.15187 opens a run toward the 1.1500 psych level
  • Reclaim of 1.15446 swing high would negate the breakdown
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read

15:46 UTC

Downtrend, momentum extending · RSI 28 · price 1.1523

Range break to the downside, fresh lower low.

NY session broke the day's 1.1535-1.1559 range to the downside, price sliding to a session low at 1.1520 with RSI(14) pressed into oversold near 28. The move is USD-led — safe-haven dollar bid capping euro despite firm German Factory Orders — and prior support at 1.1535 now caps as resistance.

Support: 1.1520, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1535, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 reclaim of 1.1535 would negate the range break
  • Loss of 1.1520 session low opens 1.1500 psych
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term catalyst for the USD leg

15:31 UTC

Downtrend, fresh session lows · RSI 28 · price 1.15234

Range break lower, chain of lower highs and lows.

EUR/USD spent most of the window ranging 1.1540-1.1560, then broke down through 1.15446 into the NY afternoon, printing fresh lows at 1.15210 with RSI(14) near 27. Sellers extended the leg as USD firmed on a safe-haven bid; price is stalling just above the 1.15200 psych level.

Support: 1.1521, 1.1520

Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15355 would reclaim the broken range floor and negate the lower-low read
  • Failure to hold 1.15200 opens further downside
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and could reset this read

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, extending lows · RSI 33 · price 1.15276

Lower highs, lower lows into NY session.

NY session pressed EUR/USD to a fresh session low at 1.15273, extending a chain of lower highs off the 1.15592 session high, RSI(14) near 33. Selling accelerated into the last hour with the pair leaning on the figure ahead of Friday's US payrolls.

Support: 1.15273, 1.1520

Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15446, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15355 invalidates the lower-low read
  • Loss of 1.15273 exposes the 1.15200 psych level
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver for the next session

15:16 UTC

Downtrend, extending into NY afternoon · RSI 34 · price 1.15276

Range break lower, printing new session low.

EURUSD leaked lower through NY afternoon, breaking below the 1.1535–1.1560 intraday range and printing a fresh session low at 1.15273, RSI(14) near 34. Move is USD-side softness into Friday NFP rather than euro strength; prior range floor at 1.1535 now caps.

Support: 1.15273, 1.1520

Resistance: 1.15355, 1.15446

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15355 invalidates the breakdown read
  • Failure to hold 1.15273 confirms a lower low toward 1.1520
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and could reset this read

15:01 UTC

Downtrend, drifting to session low · RSI 41 · price 1.1534

Lower highs, lower lows; probing 1.1530.

EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours, printing a session low at 1.1530 as a firmer USD on Mideast safe-haven flows offset the softer-ADP backdrop. Price is below EMA20/50 with a chain of lower highs; last handful of bars are consolidating just above 1.1530 with RSI(14) near 40, not yet oversold.

Support: 1.1530, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1545

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1530 opens the path toward 1.1495 support
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and can override this read

14:46 UTC

Intraday drift lower, momentum picking up · RSI 39 · price 1.15337

Range broke lower, printing lower highs.

NY session drove EURUSD below the 1.1540-1.1559 range that held through London, tagging a session low at 1.15322 as the USD firmed on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 39 with price under both EMAs; supply has capped every bounce since the 1.15592 high.

Support: 1.15322, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15446, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim above 1.15446 invalidates the range break read
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant driver and could reset this structure

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, momentum easing off session highs · RSI 39 · price 1.15354

Lower highs, sliding off the 1.1559 session top toward the session low.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the NY session, rolling off the 1.1559 high and breaking the 1.1540 intraday floor to print a fresh session low at 1.1532. RSI(14) sits near 38 with ATR around 4.6 pips; the softer-USD tone stalled and price is grinding back toward the low end of its 3-week range ahead of Friday NFP.

Support: 1.15322, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15450 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.15322 confirms a lower low toward the 1.15300 psych area
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read

14:31 UTC

Downtrend, sliding to session lows · RSI 39 · price 1.15354

Lower highs, testing session low.

EUR/USD drifted off the 1.1559 session high through the NY morning and broke below the 1.1540 shelf into a fresh session low at 1.1532, RSI(14) near 39. Move is a passenger on the softer-USD story; euro-specific upside stays capped below 1.1565 with mixed EZ data.

Support: 1.15322, 1.15495

Resistance: 1.15448, 1.15565, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1532 confirms a lower low, opens 1.1495
  • Reclaim above 1.15448 negates the intraday slide
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this read

14:16 UTC

Downdrift, lower highs into session low · RSI 38 · price 1.15347

Lower highs, testing session low.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.15353 base on a sharp candle to a session low of 1.15322 as the USD firmed off its multi-week lows. Price sits pinned near that low with RSI(14) around 37; the day's cap at 1.15590 remains untested since London.

Support: 1.15322, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15446, 1.1553, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15322 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.15300
  • Reclaim of 1.15446 neutralises the intraday downdrift
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls (Fri) is the dominant near-term driver — could override this read

14:16 UTC

Downtrend, late-NY leg lower · RSI 39 · price 1.15347

Range broke lower, marking session low.

EUR/USD slipped to a session low of 1.15322 in the NY afternoon, breaking the 1.1540 floor that held through London as USD firmed off soft-ADP lows. RSI(14) near 38 with price under both EMAs; upside stays capped below 1.1565 into Friday's US payrolls.

Support: 1.15322, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15446, 1.15495, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15322 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.15446 swing high neutralises the late-session break
  • US Nonfarm Payrolls (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, basing off session low · RSI 47 · price 1.15432

Lower highs, bounce off 1.1535.

EURUSD drifted off the 1.1559 highs through the NY session to a low of 1.1535, then recovered to 1.1543 as the USD stayed soft post-ADP. Lower highs remain intact under the 1.1565 daily cap; price now sitting just above EMA20 but below EMA50.

Support: 1.15353, 1.15386

Resistance: 1.15452, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15452 targets the 1.15565 daily cap
  • Failure to hold 1.15353 confirms a lower low
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term driver

14:01 UTC

Downtrend, drifting, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15432

Lower highs into session low, minor bounce.

EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1560 area to a session low of 1.15353, now bouncing modestly to 1.15432 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47. The slide reflects a firmer USD on safe-haven flows despite the weak ADP print; upside stays capped below 1.1565.

Support: 1.15353, 1.1537

Resistance: 1.15448, 1.1549, 1.1556

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15448 needed to re-test the 1.1560 session high
  • Loss of 1.15353 confirms a lower low
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and can reset this read

13:46 UTC

Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.15402

Ranging, lower highs into range base.

EURUSD faded from the 1.1559 session high toward 1.1535 and is grinding in the lower half of the 1.1535–1.1559 range, price below EMA20/50. Modest bounce off 1.1535 into the close, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 — no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 1.15353, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1559 reopens the upside grind
  • Loss of 1.1535 session low confirms a lower low
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and can reset this range

13:31 UTC

Drifting lower, lower highs · RSI 42 · price 1.15387

Range fading toward session low.

EURUSD ground lower through the NY session off the 1.1559 session high, printing a chain of lower highs with price now pinned near the 1.1535 session low. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price holds below EMA20/50; the pair remains USD-led, sitting in its 1.1500–1.1560 band ahead of Friday NFP.

Support: 1.15353, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1535 session low confirms continuation lower
  • M15 close back above 1.1545 swing high neutralises the downward drift
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver and can reset this range

13:16 UTC

Mild downtrend, drifting off highs · RSI 41 · price 1.1538

Lower highs, testing session low.

EUR/USD grinding lower from the ~1.1559 range top into the NY session, capped below the 1.1565 cap flagged into NFP. Session low 1.1535 now being pressed with RSI(14) mid-40s; string of lower highs keeping the intraday tone soft.

Support: 1.1535, 1.1540

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1535 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.1545 minor needed to challenge the 1.1559 range top
  • US NFP tomorrow (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

13:01 UTC

Mild downtrend within range · RSI 41 · price 1.15398

Lower highs, drifting off session top.

Into the London-NY transition EUR/USD has drifted off the 1.1559 session top back toward the 1.1537 session low, printing lower highs with RSI(14) in the low 40s. Price stays boxed below the 1.1565 range cap flagged into Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.1537, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.15448, 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1537 confirms a lower low and extends the drift
  • Reclaim of 1.15448 needed to reverse the lower-high sequence; 1.1565 caps above
  • US NFP Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

12:46 UTC

Range, mild downward drift · RSI 47 · price 1.15416

Consolidation below session high, higher-lows fading.

EURUSD ranging in the mid-1.15s, capped below the 1.1559 session high and grinding around 1.1542 as the USD stays defensive post-soft-ADP. NY session dipped to 1.1537 then recovered; price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 47, no clean setup in play.

Support: 1.1537, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 / 1.1565 breakout level invalidates the capped range read
  • Break below 1.1537 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1495
  • US NFP (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

12:46 UTC

Sideways, mild intraday down-drift · RSI 46 · price 1.15416

Consolidating in lower half of 24h range after slide off 1.1559.

EURUSD ground down from the 1.1559 session high through London into a 1.15362 low, where buyers stepped in twice and lifted price back to 1.1541. Now consolidating mid-1.154s with RSI(14) neutral near 46; no setup in play ahead of Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.1539, 1.15362

Resistance: 1.15452, 1.1553, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15362 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1530
  • Reclaim of 1.15452 puts the 1.1559 session high back in play
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant driver; Fed's Musalem 21:30 UTC could nudge the read

12:31 UTC

Range, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 1.15423

Intraday range, lower-highs from session peak.

EURUSD is grinding in a tight 1.1537–1.1591 intraday range, slipping off the session high on soft US data and holding near fair value. Price bounced off 1.1537 into the NY session with RSI(14) neutral near 46; the swing high at 1.1559 has capped the recovery.

Support: 1.1537, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 reopens the session high at 1.1591
  • Loss of 1.1537 shifts the range base toward 1.1500
  • US Jobless Claims / NFP Friday could break this range decisively

12:31 UTC

Intraday drift lower, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.15423

Range near session lows after fade from 1.1559.

EUR faded from the session high at 1.1559 to a low of 1.1536 through the London-NY transition, then stabilised into a tight 1.1540 chop with RSI(14) neutral near 47. Pair is grinding just under 1.1550 fair value with USD soft after a weak ADP; no directional setup in play.

Support: 1.15362, 1.1540

Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15450 reopens the 1.15565 daily-close level
  • Break of 1.15362 session low extends the intraday down leg
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the decisive cross-market catalyst

12:16 UTC

Downtrend within intraday range · RSI 44 · price 1.15411

Lower highs, holding session low 1.1536.

EURUSD drifted off the session high near 1.1559 to a 1.1536 low, now hovering 1.1541 in the lower half of the intraday range as a soft US ADP keeps the dollar offered but EUR stays capped below 1.1560. Chain of lower highs into the London-NY transition; range floor still respected.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1536 opens the 1.1500 range floor
  • Reclaim of 1.1547 pivot needed to challenge the 1.1559 session high
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and NFP Friday are the near-term catalysts

12:01 UTC

Range, drifting lower into NY · RSI 48 · price 1.15436

Consolidation between 1.1536 and 1.1559.

EUR/USD ground down through London from the 1.1559 session high to a 1.1536 low, then bounced into the NY session to reclaim 1.1544. Consolidating in a tight 1.1536–1.1559 band with USD softness after weak ADP the backdrop; no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 1.15362, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15451, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could jolt this range near-term
  • M15 close below 1.1536 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 reopens the upper band

11:46 UTC

Mild downtrend within range · RSI 43 · price 1.15388

Rangebound, drifting to session low.

EUR/USD is grinding lower within a 1.1536–1.1559 London-session range, printing lower highs and now testing the session low near 1.1536. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and price holds below EMA20/EMA50; ADP-driven USD softness keeps the tone supportive but conviction is capped ahead of US data.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15465, 1.1555, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 GMT (~45m out) can jolt this range
  • M15 close below 1.1536 session low confirms a lower-low
  • Reclaim of 1.15465 swing high needed to ease the downside drift
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term catalyst

11:31 UTC

Intraday pullback, bouncing off session low · RSI 51 · price 1.15452

Range 1.1536–1.1560, lower highs into the low then recovery.

EURUSD slid through London from ~1.1559 to a session low at 1.1536, then recovered to 1.1545 as the NY open approaches. Pair holding the well-defined 1.1536–1.1560 band with RSI back at neutral; move stays a weak-USD story ahead of Friday NFP.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1495

Resistance: 1.1560, 1.1565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1560 session high reopens the 1.1565 range top
  • Loss of 1.1536 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1495 range support
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant catalyst and could invalidate this range read

11:31 UTC

Intraday drift lower, bouncing off session low · RSI 48 · price 1.15452

Lower highs into 1.1536 base, recovery underway.

EURUSD drifted lower through the London session from 1.1557 to a 1.15362 session low, where a double bottom held and price recovered to 1.15452, back above EMA20. Move is more a soft-USD tell (ADP 44K miss) than fresh euro demand, with the pair boxed under the 1.1557 range top.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15407

Resistance: 1.15497, 1.15577

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15497 opens a retest of the 1.15577 range top
  • Failure to hold 1.15362 confirms a lower low
  • US jobless claims 12:30 GMT (~1h) as a pre-NFP tell could shift this read

11:16 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.15424

Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing from session low.

EUR/USD drifted lower through the London session from the 1.1559 session high, printing a session low at 1.15361 before a modest bounce back to 1.1542. Chain of lower highs still intact; the pair holds inside its wider 1.1500-1.1600 consolidation on a soft-USD backdrop, RSI(14) recovering from mid-40s.

Support: 1.15361, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15447, 1.1547, 1.15565

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15361 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.15470 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT and Friday NFP are the dominant near-term catalysts

11:16 UTC

Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.15424

Lower highs, held at 1.1536.

EUR/USD ground lower through the London session in a chain of lower highs, basing at the 1.1536 session low where buyers stepped in three times. Price has since recovered to 1.1542 with RSI(14) lifting off mid-40s; the swing pivot at 1.15495 and session high 1.1559 cap the upside.

Support: 1.1536

Resistance: 1.15495, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15495 breaks the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.15360 confirms a fresh lower low
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and can override this intraday read

11:01 UTC

Downtrend, near session low · RSI 44 · price 1.1542

Lower highs into 1.1536 low, small bounce.

EURUSD drifted off the 1.1592 session high through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1536 before a shallow bounce to 1.1542 as the USD found an intermittent safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; ATR compressed near 4 pips signals a slow grind, not impulsive selling.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1520

Resistance: 1.1557, 1.1592

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1536 session low confirms continuation lower
  • Reclaim of 1.1557 swing pivot neutralises the down leg
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

10:46 UTC

Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15406

Lower highs from 1.1559, holding above 1.1536.

EUR/USD ground down through NY hours off the 1.1559 session high, printing lower highs into a 1.15362 low before a shallow bounce to 1.1540. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41; move is a weak-USD range trade ahead of Friday NFP, not euro-specific selling.

Support: 1.15362, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1553, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of 1.15440 pivot would ease the lower-high sequence
  • Break below 1.15362 session low confirms continuation lower
  • US Jobless Claims at 12:30 GMT could shift this read

10:31 UTC

Downtrend off session high, bounce forming · RSI 43 · price 1.15414

Lower highs from 1.1592, double bottom at 1.1537.

EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1592 through the London session, printing a double bottom near 1.1537 before a modest recovery to 1.15414. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; move stays a weak-USD drift within the 1.1500-1.1600 band as the market waits on NFP.

Support: 1.1537, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1557, 1.1592

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim of the 1.1557 prior high needed to unwind the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold the 1.1537 swing low confirms continuation lower
  • US NFP tomorrow 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

10:31 UTC

Intraday downtrend, bouncing · RSI 44 · price 1.15414

Lower highs into a double-bottom at 1.1536.

EURUSD slid through the NY-to-Asia handover from 1.1559 to a double bottom at 1.1536, then bounced into the London session to 1.1541 with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s. Price sits below EMA20 (1.1546); the descending high chain caps the recovery while 1.1536 holds as demand.

Support: 1.1536, 1.1500

Resistance: 1.1546, 1.1557

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1557 invalidates the lower-high sequence
  • Failure to hold 1.1536 confirms a lower low toward 1.1500
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and can override this read

10:16 UTC

Downtrend, pulling off range mid · RSI 37 · price 1.15365

Lower highs, breaking below 1.1540 floor.

London session drifting lower, slicing through the 1.1540 floor that held through Asia and printing a session low at 1.15361. Move fits a firmer USD into Friday's NFP, with EUR capped below the 1.1560 range mid; RSI(14) cooling near 37.

Support: 1.15361, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15440 negates the lower-low read
  • Failure to hold 1.15361 opens the 1.1530 area
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

10:02 UTC

Pulling back, drifting lower · RSI 38 · price 1.15377

Lower highs, testing session low.

EUR faded from the 1.1557 session high through London hours and broke below the 1.1545 consolidation floor, printing lower highs into 1.1537. Move is USD-side, with EUR capped below 1.1560 after German orders beat failed to extend the earlier bounce; RSI(14) near 38 as price sits on the session low.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15386

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.15557

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15362 confirms a fresh lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.15440 negates the breakdown back into range
  • US NFP (Fri) is the dominant catalyst ahead and can reset this read

10:01 UTC

Downtrend, momentum slowing · RSI 39 · price 1.15377

Lower highs, drifting into session low.

EUR drifted lower through the London session to a session low at 1.1537, RSI cooling near 40 after repeatedly failing below the 1.1555 swing high and 1.1559 session high. Move is USD-led as the market braces into Friday's NFP; sellers have capped every bounce off the 1.1544 minor level.

Support: 1.1537

Resistance: 1.1544, 1.1555, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1537 session low extends the lower-low sequence
  • Reclaim of 1.1555 swing high would neutralise the drift lower
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 GMT could shift this intraday read

09:46 UTC

Short-term downtrend, drifting off highs · RSI 37 · price 1.15365

Lower highs into session low.

EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.1559 to test the session low near 1.1536, trading below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. The upside remains capped as the market holds the 1.15-1.16 band into US labour data, with lower highs printing through the London session.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15386

Resistance: 1.15475, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15475 negates the lower-high drift
  • Loss of 1.15362 confirms continuation lower
  • US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read

09:46 UTC

Drifting lower off session highs · RSI 38 · price 1.15365

Range floor under pressure, lower highs.

EUR/USD faded from the 1.1559 session high back to the 1.1537 range floor, the last bar breaking sharply lower to 1.1536 as the pair coils ahead of US labour data. RSI(14) near 37 after the slide; 1.1550 psych level now caps and the 1.1535–1.1559 range is being tested at its base.

Support: 1.15362, 1.15347

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15347 confirms a lower low and range break
  • Reclaim of 1.1550 negates the downside pressure
  • US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Friday NFP are the dominant near-term catalysts

09:31 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15424

Lower highs, holding 1.1539 floor.

EURUSD grinding lower through the London session after topping at 1.15591, now near 1.1542 with RSI(14) around 41. Sequence of lower highs into a 1.1539 floor that has held on repeated tests; broader 1.1539-1.1559 range still intact.

Support: 1.1539, 1.15347

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1539 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.15347
  • Reclaim of 1.1550 needed to challenge the 1.15591 session high
  • US NFP later today is the dominant near-term driver and can override this read

09:16 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15419

Lower highs from 1.1559, testing 1.1540 base.

EUR/USD has ground lower through the London session from the 1.1559 high, now hugging the 1.1540 base with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Buyers keep defending 1.15386-1.15400 but each bounce is capped lower; move follows soft-USD tone after the 44K ADP miss.

Support: 1.1540, 1.15386

Resistance: 1.1549

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15386 confirms a lower low and extends the drift
  • Reclaim of 1.15490 needed to negate the descending highs
  • US NFP is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this read

09:01 UTC

Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15421

Lower highs from 1.1559, testing 1.1539.

EUR/USD twice rejected 1.1559 (7-month high) during the London session and has since ground lower into 1.1540, printing lower highs. Buyers stepped in around the 1.15386 session low; RSI(14) near 41, no momentum extreme in play.

Support: 1.15386, 1.15347

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1555

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15386 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.15592 needed to reopen upside
  • EZ Retail Sales and US jobless claims ahead could shift this read; NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst

09:01 UTC

Range, drifting lower off highs · RSI 42 · price 1.15421

Consolidation below session high, recent lower highs.

EUR/USD topped at the 1.1559 seven-month high overnight — a weak-USD move after the soft US ADP miss — and has since drifted lower through Asia and early London. Price is consolidating in the low 1.1540s below EMA20/50, with the session high capping and demand near 1.1538.

Support: 1.15386, 1.1536

Resistance: 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could jolt EUR near-term
  • M15 close below 1.1538 confirms a lower low
  • NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst for the USD leg

08:46 UTC

Mild downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1543

Rolling over from 1.1559, fresh intraday low at 1.1539.

EUR/USD faded from the 1.1559 session high through London and printed a fresh intraday low at 1.1539, price now hugging 1.1543 below EMA20/50. The broader lift is a soft-USD story after the ADP miss, but the pair is consolidating in the 1.1539–1.1559 band ahead of key data.

Support: 1.1539, 1.1535

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1539 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1535
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 session high needed to resume the upside
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC and NFP Fri could reshape this read

08:31 UTC

Range, drifting lower late · RSI 42 · price 1.15422

Ranging 1.1539–1.1559, recent lower highs.

EURUSD spent the session pinned in a tight 1.1539–1.1559 band near the 7-week high, then faded through the Asian hours to print a 1.15386 swing low before ticking back to 1.15422. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no setup in play, the range floor near 1.1539 is the level under test.

Support: 1.15386, 1.1534

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • Close below 1.15386 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1534
  • Reclaim of 1.15500 range mid neutralises the late fade
  • Eurozone Retail Sales (09:00 UTC) could inject volatility into this range

08:17 UTC

Pullback off session highs · RSI 42 · price 1.15435

Lower highs after topping near 1.1559.

EUR pushed to a 7-wk high near 1.1559 on soft US ADP, then rolled over into the London session, printing lower highs back to 1.1543. Rejection capped price at 1.1558/1.1592; a shallow retrace of the earlier rise off the 1.1530 range floor is underway.

Support: 1.15386, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone Retail Sales due within ~1h could shift this read
  • M15 close below 1.15386 confirms a lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.15558 needed to re-threaten the session high

08:16 UTC

Range, recent drift lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15435

Ranged 1.1540–1.1559, fading off session high.

EUR/USD faded from the 1.1559 session high — near the 7-week high — back toward 1.1540, holding a broad 1.1540–1.1559 range through the London morning. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the last few bars printed lower highs and probed 1.15386.

Support: 1.15386, 1.15328

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15558, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Eurozone Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Loss of 1.15386 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1533
  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the 1.1600 range top

08:01 UTC

Intraday uptrend faded, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15437

Off session high, testing session low.

EUR pushed to a 1.15592 session high (near the seven-week high) after yesterday's ADP miss, but rejected there and has slid back toward the 1.15407 session low with RSI in the low 40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50, coiling in the lower half of the day's range.

Support: 1.15407, 1.1533

Resistance: 1.1549, 1.15592, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15407 confirms a lower low toward 1.15330
  • Reclaim of 1.15592 reopens the range top at 1.16000
  • Eurozone Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read

07:46 UTC

Faded from highs, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.15423

Double top ~1.1559, lower highs into London.

EURUSD twice rejected the 1.1559 seven-week high through the Asian session, forming a double top, and has ground lower into the London open toward 1.1542 with RSI(14) near 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the USD-led bid from yesterday's ADP miss stalls in the 1.15-1.16 band.

Support: 1.15418, 1.1540, 1.15355

Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.1558 negates the double top and reopens 1.1592
  • Loss of 1.1542 session low confirms continued lower lows toward 1.1540 round number
  • Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift the intraday read

07:46 UTC

Drifting lower off the highs · RSI 38 · price 1.15423

Lower highs into London, range floor being tested.

London session grinding lower off the 1.1558 seven-week high, now pressing the 1.15418 session low with RSI(14) around 38. The 24h range (1.1542–1.1559) built on soft USD tone after yesterday's ADP miss; recent micro-structure is lower highs.

Support: 1.15418, 1.15355

Resistance: 1.1549

What it said to watch

  • M15 close back above 1.15490 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Break of 1.15418 opens the 1.1535 prior low
  • Eurozone Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift the intraday read

07:31 UTC

Range, drifting to lower end · RSI 41 · price 1.15443

Consolidation under 1.1559, lower highs into London.

Twin rejections at the 1.1559 seven-week high left a double top, and EUR/USD has since rolled over toward the 1.1542-1.1543 session low in early London, RSI cooling into the low 40s. Range remains intact between 1.1542 and 1.1559 with the USD still soft after yesterday's ADP miss.

Support: 1.15418, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15505, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15591 negates the double top and reopens the 1.1600 range top
  • Loss of 1.15418 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1530 range floor
  • Eurozone Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read

07:31 UTC

Topped out, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15443

Lower highs off the session high.

EUR/USD stalled at the 1.15592 seven-week/session high after the soft US ADP print and rolled over through Asia into the London-NY handoff, now printing lower highs and sitting at 1.1544. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; the 1.15418 session low is the near-term pivot.

Support: 1.15418, 1.15328

Resistance: 1.15514, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.15418 confirms the next lower-low toward 1.15328
  • M15 close back above 1.15514 negates the lower-high sequence
  • Eurozone Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read intraday

07:16 UTC

Pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15448

Lower highs off 1.1559, drifting to session low.

London session has drifted off the 7-week-high zone at 1.1559, printing lower highs and pressing the session low at 1.15418 as USD firms slightly off yesterday's ADP-driven softness. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; range floor around 1.1540 is the near-term focus.

Support: 1.15418, 1.1540

Resistance: 1.1549, 1.1556, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15418 confirms a lower low and opens 1.15400
  • Reclaim of 1.15490 puts the range top at 1.15560 back in play
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range

07:01 UTC

Pullback, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15448

Lower highs off session high, testing 1.1543.

EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.1559 through the London morning, printing lower highs and now grinding into 1.1543. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price sits below EMA20/50; the broader 1.15-1.16 range holds ahead of Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.15428, 1.1540, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.1556, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • Loss of 1.1543 opens the 1.1540 round-number area
  • Reclaim above 1.1556 negates the lower-high sequence
  • EZ Retail Sales today 09:00 UTC and Friday US NFP are the near-term catalysts

07:01 UTC

Range, drifting to lows · RSI 41 · price 1.15448

Range 1.1543-1.1559, testing floor.

Twin rejections at 1.1559 through the NY session capped the move, and the London open is drifting back toward the 1.1543 range floor with RSI(14) around 41. USD stays soft after the ADP miss, but EURUSD is holding a tight 1.1543-1.1559 range ahead of Friday's NFP.

Support: 1.15428, 1.1540

Resistance: 1.15514, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15428 confirms a lower low out of the range
  • Break above the 1.15592 double top reopens the session high
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this range

06:46 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.15459

Consolidation below 1.1559 after failed push higher.

EUR/USD stalled near the seven-week high after tagging 1.1559 in the Asia session, then drifted back to 1.1546 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Pair is consolidating in the 1.1543–1.1559 band, sitting below EMA20/50 as it awaits the 09:00 UTC EZ Retail Sales print.

Support: 1.15428, 1.15373

Resistance: 1.1553, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could break the range in either direction
  • M15 close below 1.1543 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1537
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 reopens the seven-week-high area

06:31 UTC

Range, drifting lower off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.15459

Capped below 1.1559, holding 1.1544 support.

EURUSD tapped a seven-week high at 1.1559 in the Asian session after yesterday's soft US ADP, then drifted back to 1.1546 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Price is now mid-range between 1.1544 support and the 1.1557-1.1559 supply cap as London opens; no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 1.15443, 1.1540, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.1557, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15440 opens the path toward 1.1540 psych area
  • Reclaim of 1.15570 supply reopens the 1.1559 seven-week high
  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could break this range read

06:16 UTC

Range, drifting lower off highs · RSI 43 · price 1.15453

Consolidation below 1.1559 high.

EUR sits at the lower end of a 1.1544-1.1559 band after being rejected at the 1.1559 seven-week high, RSI(14) cooling to ~42 as price slips below EMA20/50 into early London. The bid tone stems from yesterday's soft US ADP (44K) and firm EZ PMIs; no fresh setup in play while the range holds.

Support: 1.15443, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15558

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 seven-week high opens 1.1600
  • Loss of 1.15443 session low exposes 1.15309 swing low
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UTC could fade the range top

06:01 UTC

Sideways after run-up, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.15511

Consolidating below 1.1559 highs.

EUR/USD is grinding sideways in a tight 1.1545-1.1559 band through the Asia session after the soft-ADP-driven push to the 1.1558 seven-week high yesterday. RSI(14) sits neutral near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips, reflecting low-volume drift with the range top still respected.

Support: 1.1545, 1.1532

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1545 exposes the 1.1532 range floor
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UTC could break the consolidation

05:46 UTC

Range, drifting to lower end · RSI 44 · price 1.15483

Rangebound 1.1532–1.1559, Asia fading off highs.

EURUSD held a tight 1.1532–1.1559 range through the NY-to-Asia handover, with price now fading to the lower half and slipping below EMA20/50. EUR sits firm near seven-week highs after yesterday's soft US ADP (44K vs 70K), but momentum has cooled with RSI(14) back near 43.

Support: 1.15443, 1.1532

Resistance: 1.15559, 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • EZ Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UTC (f/c 1.0%) could jolt the range
  • M15 close above 1.1559 session high opens 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.15443 asia low exposes the 1.1532 range floor

05:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.15452

Consolidation below session high after rejection.

EUR/USD held near 7-week highs after the soft US ADP print, tagging a session high at 1.15592 before rejecting and drifting back to 1.15452 through thin Asian-session trade. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to ~42; the 1.1544–1.1556 band is holding.

Support: 1.15443, 1.1540, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15558, 1.15592, 1.1563

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15592 reopens the path to the 200-dma at 1.15630
  • Failure to hold 1.15443 confirms a lower-low and shifts focus to 1.1540
  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could inject volatility into the range

05:16 UTC

Range, drifting off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.15448

Capped at 1.1559, holding above 1.1544.

EUR/USD rejected the 1.1559 session high (seven-week area) and slid back to 1.1544 through late Asia, with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s and price slipping under the EMAs. Broadly ranging 1.1544-1.1559 after the soft US ADP-driven lift, no clean directional structure in play.

Support: 1.1544, 1.1542, 1.1509

Resistance: 1.1553, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read
  • Close below 1.1544 opens the 1.1509 prior low
  • Break above 1.1559 session high reopens the range top

05:01 UTC

Pullback after topping near 1.1559 · RSI 43 · price 1.15485

Lower highs off session high, holding above 1.15472.

EURUSD rolled off the 1.1559 seven-week high twice and drifted to 1.15472 through the Asia session, now hovering 1.15485 below EMA20 — a shallow pullback within the 1.15-1.16 band after the soft US ADP print. Momentum has cooled, RSI(14) mid-40s, with the twin peaks at 1.1559 capping.

Support: 1.15472, 1.1542, 1.1540

Resistance: 1.1556, 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15590 opens the path toward 1.1630 200-day area
  • Failure to hold 1.15472 confirms a lower low into the mid-1.15s
  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read

05:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.15485

Faded from double top, testing fib support.

EUR/USD climbed through the London-NY session to a 1.1559 double top on the soft US ADP print, then faded into Asia. Price is now sitting on the 38.2% retrace of that up-leg at 1.15485, holding just above 1.1547 support with RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s.

Support: 1.1547, 1.15485, 1.1534

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1550

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.1547 confirms a deeper pullback / lower low
  • Reclaim of 1.1559 needed to negate the double top
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could shift this read

04:46 UTC

Range, drifting lower · RSI 42 · price 1.15474

Consolidation under session high.

EURUSD held a 1.1547-1.1559 range through thin Asian hours after tagging the 1.1559 seven-week high, and is now drifting toward the session low into pre-London with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Move follows the soft US ADP (44K vs 70K) that pushed DXY toward 99.70; range floor 1.1547 still respected.

Support: 1.15465, 1.1542, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15592

What it said to watch

  • M15 close below 1.15465 opens the 1.1542 swing low
  • Reclaim of 1.15592 seven-week high needed to resume upside
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break the range

04:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, rolling over near range top · RSI 43 · price 1.15484

Double top near 1.1559, pulling back into range.

EURUSD stalled twice at 1.1559 (the 7-week high area) through the NY session and rolled over into Asia, sliding to a 1.15472 session low as the soft USD tone paused ahead of NFP. Early London has price at 1.1548 with RSI(14) around 42, back below EMA20/50 after the rejection.

Support: 1.15472, 1.1542

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.15558

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 1.15558 puts the 1.1559 7-wk high back in play
  • Loss of 1.15472 session low exposes 1.1542 swing low
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this read

04:16 UTC

Range, edging lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.15489

Consolidation below 1.1559, recent lower highs.

EURUSD faded from the 1.1559 session/7-week high and is drifting in a thin Asian range near 1.1549, back below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s as the pullback held above 1.1547; wider 1.1550-1.1559 band capped through the prior session on soft-USD tone after weak ADP/ISM.

Support: 1.1547, 1.15427, 1.1534

Resistance: 1.1550, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • Reclaim and hold above 1.1550 keeps the 1.1559 high in play
  • Loss of 1.1547 exposes the 1.1427 range low
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver for this pair

04:01 UTC

Consolidation near highs, tilting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.15484

Ranging below 1.1559 session high.

EUR/USD is consolidating just under the 1.1559 session high after a soft-USD grind (ADP miss, weak ISM Services) lifted it toward 7-week highs. Early-London bars are ticking lower to 1.15484, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the 1.1550 area caps.

Support: 1.15465, 1.1540, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15559, 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 1.15591 opens the path to 1.1600
  • Loss of 1.15465 swing low exposes 1.1540 and the 1.15309 session low
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver for the USD leg

03:46 UTC

Consolidation, edging lower · RSI 42 · price 1.1547

Range under session high, minor lower highs into Asia.

EURUSD consolidated just under the 1.15591 session high through the US session, buoyed by the soft US ADP miss keeping EUR near 7-week highs. Price has drifted to 1.1547 in Asia with RSI(14) cooling toward 41; 1.1531 swing low is the next reference below.

Support: 1.1547, 1.1531, 1.15095

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path back toward 1.1580/1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1531 swing low confirms a deeper leg lower
  • US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Friday NFP are the dominant near-term USD drivers

03:31 UTC

Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.15503

Consolidation below 7-week high, capped at 1.1559.

EURUSD stalled at the 1.1559 7-week high during NY hours and has drifted back to 1.1550 through the Asia session, price now below EMA20/50. Repeated rejections near 1.1559 mark the ceiling; buyers holding the 1.1549 area for now with RSI cooling to ~41.

Support: 1.1549, 1.1544, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.15558, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path to 1.1600
  • Failure to hold 1.1549 exposes 1.1544 swing low
  • German Factory Orders 06:00 UTC and ECB Bulletin 08:00 UTC could shift this read

03:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 45 · price 1.15503

Consolidation below session high after pullback.

EURUSD stalled at the 1.15591 session high and rejected, drifting back to 1.1550 through thin Asian hours with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. EUR holds near 7-week highs on a soft USD after the weak ADP print, but price is now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 inside the 1.1545–1.1559 band.

Support: 1.1545, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 1.15591 session high opens the 1.1580/1.1600 area
  • Failure to hold 1.15450 swing low exposes the 1.15309 asian low
  • Friday US NFP is the dominant near-term driver for the USD leg

03:16 UTC

Sideways, near seven-week high · RSI 48 · price 1.15518

Consolidation capped below 1.1559.

EURUSD is coiling in a tight Asian-session range just under the 1.1558 seven-week high, price slipping back to 1.15518 into the EMAs on thin volume. RSI(14) neutral near 47; the 1.1559 session high has capped every push while 1.1549 has held on dips.

Support: 1.1549, 1.15473, 1.1542

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1558, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path to the 1.16 range cap
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation
  • Failure to hold 1.1549 exposes 1.15420

03:01 UTC

Uptrend stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 51 · price 1.1553

Tight range under session high after grind up.

London-NY lifted EUR from 1.1533 to the 1.1559 seven-week high on soft US labor data (ADP 44K, ISM services employment sub-50). Asia session is grinding sideways in a 1.1553-1.1559 band on thin volume — no setup in play.

Support: 1.1543, 1.1533

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path to the 1.16 range cap
  • Loss of 1.1543 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.1533
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break the current range

02:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.15569

Higher lows grinding into session high, tight consolidation.

Asia session ground higher through the London/NY highs, tagging 1.15592 before stalling into a tight low-volume drift around 1.1556. Momentum is flattening near the top of the range, RSI(14) mid-50s with no extreme in play.

Support: 1.15535, 1.1545, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15592 opens the 1.1600 range cap
  • Loss of 1.15535 range floor puts the 1.1545 swing low back in focus
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY 09:00 UTC could break this consolidation

02:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 56 · price 1.15547

Consolidating just below 7wk high.

EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, peaking at 1.1591 before settling into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1555, just under the 1.1558 seven-week high. Volatility has collapsed into the current low-volume bars with RSI(14) mid-range; no fresh push has broken the highs.

Support: 1.1548, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1558 opens the 1.16 range test
  • Failure to hold 1.1548 exposes the 1.1530 swing low
  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could break the Asian consolidation

02:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.15554

Consolidating just below session high.

EUR ground higher through the day and is now pinned in a tight Asian-session range around 1.1555, just under the 1.1558-1.1559 seven-week high, on thinning volume. RSI(14) is neutral-to-firm near 59 with ATR compressed to ~5 pips — no fresh momentum, price parked below resistance.

Support: 1.15495, 1.1542, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15591 opens the path to the 1.16 range cap
  • Failure to hold 1.15495 exposes the 1.1542 swing low
  • EZ Retail Sales YoY at 09:00 UTC could break the consolidation

02:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.15553

Higher lows, consolidating below 7-week high.

EURUSD ground higher through the NY session and into thin Asian trade, pressing the 1.1559 seven-week high after soft US ADP and ISM Services trimmed the dollar. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1553–1.1559 band on fading volume, RSI holding mid-60s with no fresh push.

Support: 1.15473, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1600

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens a test of the 1.1600 range cap
  • Loss of 1.15473 breaks the rising-low sequence
  • EZ Retail Sales at 09:00 UTC could shift this read

01:46 UTC

Grind higher, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 1.15553

Consolidation near session highs.

EURUSD is grinding sideways in the mid-1.1550s through the Asia session, pinned just under the 1.15592 session high and the 1.1558 seven-week high after the soft US ADP/ISM prints kept the dollar heavy. Ranges have compressed to ~18 pip ATR and RSI(14) is flat near 57 — no momentum extension, just consolidation at the top of the range.

Support: 1.15495, 1.1550, 1.15427

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.15558

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15592 opens the path toward the 1.1600 range cap
  • Failure to hold 1.15500 shifts the read back toward the 1.15427 session low
  • EZ Retail Sales 09:00 UTC could break the consolidation

01:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.15545

Grinding into 7-month high, consolidating.

EUR/USD ground higher through late NY into Asia, stalling a few pips below the 1.15591 seven-month high on soft US labor data (ADP 44K, ISM Services miss). Volume thinned into Asian hours and price is coiling in a tight 1.15530–1.15590 band, RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed.

Support: 1.1553, 1.15473, 1.15421

Resistance: 1.15591

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15591 opens the path to a clean break of the 7-month high
  • Loss of 1.15530 range base exposes 1.15473 swing low
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read

01:16 UTC

Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 63 · price 1.15537

Higher highs, higher lows into 1.1558 pivot.

Asia session grinding higher on thin volume, stalling just under the 1.1558 seven-month high after tagging 1.15592. Move is USD-driven off soft ADP/ISM; price is holding a chain of higher lows above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme yet.

Support: 1.15487, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • Sustained M15 close above 1.1558 opens continuation; repeated rejection there caps the range top
  • Loss of 1.15487 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.1530
  • US NFP Friday is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read

01:01 UTC

Grinding uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 1.15555

Higher lows into 7-month high.

EURUSD ground higher through thin Asia hours to 1.15555, pressing the 1.1558-1.1592 zone that caps the 7-month high, on a soft-dollar backdrop after the ADP and ISM Services misses. Momentum is fading — the last several bars are single-pip ranges holding just under the session high with RSI cooling in the low 60s.

Support: 1.1553, 1.15473, 1.15399

Resistance: 1.15592, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15592 opens continuation into fresh 7-month highs
  • Loss of 1.15473 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low chain
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read

00:46 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 62 · price 1.15568

Grinding to session highs, low-volume drift.

Asia session grinding higher on thin volume, pressing the 1.1558 seven-month high after the soft US ADP/ISM prints softened the dollar. Session high at 1.15591 caps for now; buyers held above 1.15473 through the drift.

Support: 1.15473, 1.1542, 1.15309

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15591 opens a breakout of the seven-month high
  • Failure to hold 1.15473 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.15420
  • US NFP Friday 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for direction

00:31 UTC

Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 63 · price 1.15562

Higher highs into 1.1558 cap, low-volume Asian grind.

EURUSD has ground higher through the quiet Asian session, stalling just under the 1.1558-1.1559 seven-week high with RSI(14) in the low-60s. Price is coiled tightly on thin volume, consolidating below the cap after a steady climb off the 1.1530 floor.

Support: 1.1547, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1559, 1.1560

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path toward the round 1.1560+ figure
  • Failure to hold 1.1547 exposes the 1.1530 consolidation floor
  • Eurozone Retail Sales (Wed 09:00 UTC) could shift this read on the London open

00:16 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 1.15553

HH/HL chain, consolidating below session high.

EURUSD ground higher through the London-NY sessions into the 1.1559 seven-week high on USD softness after the ADP miss, and is now coiling in a tight, thin Asian-session range just beneath it. RSI(14) mid-range, momentum flattening as the move stalls under resistance.

Support: 1.1542, 1.1530

Resistance: 1.1559

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.1559 opens the path higher through the seven-week high
  • Loss of 1.1530 range floor undermines the uptrend read
  • Eurozone Retail Sales Wed 09:00 UTC could shift this read

00:01 UTC

Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.15553

Higher highs into session top, now flat.

Asia session ground higher through the window, tagging a 1.15591 session high before stalling just under the 1.1558 seven-week high; price now coiling in a tight 1.1553-1.1557 band on thin overnight volume. EUR firmness follows soft US ADP/ISM employment prints, but RSI(14) near 58 shows momentum flattening at the ceiling.

Support: 1.1545, 1.15265

Resistance: 1.15591, 1.1558

What it said to watch

  • M15 close above 1.15591 opens the path toward the 1.1558 seven-week high break
  • Failure to hold 1.15450 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the grind
  • Eurozone Retail Sales (Wed 09:00 UTC) could re-price this range

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