Sideways range between 1.1391 and 1.1449, price mid-range.
EURUSD has chopped inside a 1.1391–1.1449 range all week, sitting mid-range near the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering around 50. The week low at 1.1391 was set mid-week when the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran tensions; the subsequent recovery peaked around 1.1449 during the NY session before fading back. Price is now balanced with the range top capping and the 1.1410 support zone holding.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 1.1391/1.1410 support zone would confirm a lower low and open 1.1210
H1 close above 1.1450 range top invalidates the range read
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and the dominant US CPI risk next week could shift this read
EURUSD has traded a defined range between 1.1390 and 1.1450 since Monday's open, with the midweek dip to 1.1393 bought back through the NY session and price then failing at 1.1449. RSI(14) is cycling around the 50 mark and price is pinned to EMA(20), consistent with the two-way, low-conviction tone as the Fed/CPI story keeps EUR capped. The 1.1440/1.1450 zone has capped rallies while 1.1410 has attracted demand on pullbacks.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range-top cap and opens fresh highs
Break of the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone opens the path toward 1.1210
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and US CPI next week are the near-term catalysts for this range
22:01 UTC
Range-bound, two-way · RSI 47 · price 1.14289
Week-long range, higher lows off week low.
EURUSD has held a 1.1391–1.1449 range all week, with the range top capping two attempts through the NY sessions Wednesday and Thursday. Price is now mid-range near 1.1429, hovering just under EMA(20) but above EMA(50), with RSI(14) neutral around 47. The bounce off Tuesday's 1.1391 week low has carved higher lows, though momentum has stalled beneath the 1.1445 cap.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 invalidates the range read and opens the week high at 1.1449
Break below the 1.1410 support zone exposes 1.1391 week low, with context flagging 1.1210 beyond
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR read at the range edges
22:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14289
Range, respecting 1.1390-1.1450.
EURUSD has been range-bound between the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone and the 1.1445/1.1450 top since Monday's open, with RSI(14) cycling near 50. Price dipped to a week low near 1.1393 midweek before recovering back into the middle of the range; the pair sits just under EMA(20) into the Asia session. EUR stayed capped by the dominant Fed narrative and an oil-driven energy drag even as ECB accounts read hawkish.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top opens a range break higher
Break of 1.1390/1.1410 support zone targets 1.1210
German final HICP and French CPI Friday 06:00-06:45 UTC could shift this read
21:01 UTC
Range, mild pullback · RSI 47 · price 1.14297
Week-long range, holding above EMA50.
EURUSD has traded a 1.1390–1.1450 range all week, with the dominant swing a Wednesday drop into 1.1391 followed by recovery back toward the highs. Price spiked to ~1.1449 into the NY session as the USD softened on split FOMC minutes, then eased to 1.1430 and now sits just below EMA20 while holding above EMA50. RSI(14) has cycled around the midline, consistent with the range rather than a directional break.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1391 breaks the week low and opens the 1.1210 path cited by the digest
H1 close above 1.1445 clears the week high and range top
German final HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) is the next scheduled EUR risk, though final prints rarely surprise
EURUSD has held a 1.1390–1.1450 range all week, with price oscillating around EMA(20) and RSI(14) cycling near 50. The recovery off Wednesday's 1.1391 dip carried into the NY session to tag 1.1445 — the EUR spike toward 1.1440 tracked the strong German trade surplus — before fading back to 1.14297 as the USD firmed on US-Iran headlines. The range top at 1.1445/1.1450 has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1450 range top invalidates the range read
Break of the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone opens 1.1210
German final HICP (Fri) and USD/oil flow could shift this range
20:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound near 1.1425 · RSI 47 · price 1.14281
Range between 1.1390 support and 1.1450 top.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1390–1.1450 range all week, with the dominant leg a mid-week slide from 1.1449 into the 1.1393 weekly low before demand stepped back in. The pair spiked toward 1.1440 on the strong German trade surplus but faded back to 1.1428 as the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran tensions and higher oil. Price now sits just below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around the 47 midline — no directional conviction on this timeframe.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 range top invalidates the range read
Break of the 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1393 weekly low
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the near-term tape
20:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14281
Consolidation between weekly high and support zone.
EURUSD has churned in a 1.1393–1.1449 range all week, with price giving back gains toward 1.1425 as the USD recovered on renewed US-Iran tensions. The recovery off Wednesday's low stalled at the 1.1445 range top, which capped two NY-session attempts, and price is drifting back below EMA(20) into the close. RSI(14) is cycling around the mid-point, consistent with the range read.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 support zone confirms range break, opens 1.1210 path (UOB)
Reclaim above 1.1445 range top needed to re-test the week high
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
19:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14326
Week-long range between 1.1390 and 1.1449.
EURUSD has churned in a 1.1390–1.1449 range all week, with price now sitting on the H1 EMA(20) near 1.1433 and RSI(14) hovering around the 50 line. EUR popped toward the range cap on the strong German trade surplus and hawkish ECB accounts, but handed most gains back as the USD firmed on higher oil and US-Iran headlines. The recovery off Wednesday's 1.1390 low has stalled below 1.1449, keeping the pair boxed.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1473
What it said to watch
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range read
H1 close above 1.1449 opens the path back to the 1.1473 week high
Loss of 1.1410 support exposes the 1.1390 week low
19:01 UTC
Sideways, range-bound · RSI 50 · price 1.14326
Range between 1.1390 and 1.1449.
EUR/USD has traded a tight 1.1390-1.1449 range all week, with the mid-week dip to 1.1391 bought back and the 1.1449 area capping the recovery. Price popped toward 1.1449 on the strong German trade surplus and hawkish ECB accounts before handing gains back to sit right on EMA(20) near 1.1433 as the firm-Fed narrative dominates. RSI(14) is neutral around 50, consistent with the two-way, range-trapped tone.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.1410 support zone exposes 1.1393 week low and UOB's 1.1210 target
H1 close above 1.1449 range cap would end the range read
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break the range either way
18:01 UTC
Range-bound, drifting toward top · RSI 56 · price 1.14375
Range, price near range top.
EURUSD has been pinned in a 1.1393-1.1449 band all week, with the 1.1440 range top capping repeated attempts despite hawkish ECB repricing. Price is trading above EMA20 and EMA50 into the NY session, RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s with no momentum extreme. The recovery off Wednesday's 1.1393 low has stalled just under the range top rather than breaking it.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.1440 range top challenges 1.1449 week high
Break below the 1.1410 support zone opens the deeper 1.1393 week low
EUR/USD has churned in a narrow 1.1391–1.1449 band all week, recovering off Wednesday's 1.1391 low and now trading back above both EMAs into the NY session. Supply has capped every push into 1.1440–1.1449 this week — the pair probed 1.1449 yesterday and was rejected — while the 1.1390/1.1410 zone continues to attract demand. RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-50s, consistent with the ranging read rather than directional momentum.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 breaks the range top and negates the ceiling read
Break below 1.1410 support zone opens the deeper 1.1210 downside cited by the digest
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read materially
Week-long range, higher-lows since Wednesday's low.
EUR/USD has been boxed in a 1.1391-1.1450 range all week, with the dollar softer into next week's CPI helping EUR recover to session highs near 1.1440 today. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, tracing higher-lows off Wednesday's 1.1391 low. Range top at 1.1450 has capped the advance and remains the level to resolve.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top would break the week's ceiling
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone opens the 1.1391 week low; digest flags 1.1210 on a sustained break
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD has been pinned in a 1.1390-1.1450 range all week, with a double bottom near 1.1391 anchoring the recovery back above EMA20. Price popped to session highs near 1.1445 in the NY session on a softer dollar and the strong German trade surplus before fading toward 1.1437. Range top around 1.1445-1.1450 has capped every push, keeping structure unresolved.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range read and clears the range top
Failure to hold 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1391 week low
16:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14392
Week-long range, double bottom base.
EURUSD has been pinned in a 1.1390-1.1450 range all week, with a double bottom near the 1.1391 week low holding through Wednesday. Recovery into the NY session has lifted price back toward the 1.1449 range top, RSI cycling mid-range around 56. Hawkish ECB repricing is anchoring the downside while a firm USD caps the topside per the macro read.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top would confirm a range break
Failure to hold the 1.1391 week low opens a path toward 1.1210
EUR/USD has cycled inside a 1.1391-1.1490 band all week, recovering off the 1.1391 week low and reclaiming EMA20/EMA50 into the NY session. The push to 1.1449 was rejected, keeping the range top intact, and price now sits mid-band near 1.1439 as the hawkish-ECB versus firm-USD tug-of-war leaves the pair two-way.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1490 range top would open topside continuation
Loss of 1.1410 range floor exposes the 1.1391 week low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) and ECB Vujčić could shift this range read
EURUSD has been trapped in a 1.1390-1.1445 range all week as an ECB hawkish repricing story stands off against a hawkish-Fed backdrop, leaving no conviction either way. The NY session pushed to a fresh 1.1446 range top before rejecting back to 1.1432, and RSI(14) sits mid-range near 51 with price hugging EMA(20). The weekly low at 1.1393 was defended earlier in the week and remains the floor.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could break the range as the near-term catalyst
H1 close above 1.1445 range top would open a range break higher
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone exposes the 1.1393 weekly low
15:01 UTC
Range-bound, no dominant side · RSI 53 · price 1.14315
Week-long range, higher lows since midweek low.
EURUSD has churned inside a 1.1390–1.1450 band all week, with the dominant leg a midweek dip into 1.1391 during Wednesday's NY session before demand stepped in twice near that low. Price has since built higher lows and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50, but the 1.1445 weekly high has capped the recovery, keeping the range intact. RSI(14) is cycling mid-range around 53, reflecting the ECB-vs-Fed standoff flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1440
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 weekly high opens the range top break
Loss of 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1391 weekly low
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range
14:01 UTC
Range, recovering toward top · RSI 61 · price 1.14423
Range-bound, higher lows off week low.
EURUSD has clawed back from Wednesday's dip to the 1.1391 week low, printing higher lows through the NY session and pressing the 1.1449 range top for a third time this week. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 60, but the pair remains capped inside the same 1.1391-1.1449 band that has held since Monday. The soft-USD/hawkish-ECB tug keeps it two-way with German HICP as the next test.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.1449 range top opens the upper band
Failure to hold the 1.1410 support zone re-exposes the 1.1391 week low
14:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering to top · RSI 61 · price 1.14423
Sideways range, higher lows since mid-week trough.
EUR/USD has spent the week pinned in a 1.1391–1.1450 band, dual hawkish repricing of the ECB and Fed leaving the pair without direction. Price rebuilt off the week low near 1.1391 through the NY session and now sits back near the range top with RSI(14) around 60. The 1.1449/1.1450 area has capped every attempt this week and remains the level to watch.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 range top invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.1410 range base reopens the week low at 1.1391
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14249
Range-bound in low-1.14s, mean-reverting.
EUR/USD has churned in the low-1.14s all week, oscillating around EMA20 with RSI(14) stuck near 50. A dip to the 1.1391 swing low mid-window found demand and rallied into 1.1449, but that week high capped the move and price has since faded back below EMA20. German trade beat (€19.1B) offered only marginal support; the pair is defering to the Fed narrative.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1427, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4% YoY) is the near-term catalyst for this range
Loss of the 1.1410 pivot / 1.1391 swing low would confirm a lower-low and open 1.1210
Sustained close above 1.1449 week high needed to break the range top
13:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 48 · price 1.14249
Ranging in low-1.14s between week low and week high.
EUR/USD carved a week low near 1.1391 midweek before recovering back into the low-1.14s, where it has since churned pinned to the EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering around the 50 line. The 1.1449 week high has capped, while the 1.1391/1.1410 pivot has held on the downside — a well-defined range with no follow-through either way as the hawkish-Fed narrative offsets ECB Sep-hike repricing.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1440
What it said to watch
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range
H1 close below 1.1391 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1210
H1 close above 1.1449 breaks the week high and range top
This-week range, holding higher lows since Wed low.
EURUSD has traded a tight 1.1392–1.1449 range all week, pinned in the low-1.14s against a firm-but-capped USD after hawkish-but-priced FOMC minutes. Price rebounded off the 1.13926 week low during Wednesday's NY session and has since carved higher lows, now sitting mid-range just above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral around 53. The 1.14417/1.14490 zone has capped the topside twice while demand keeps stepping in near 1.1410.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1410, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14417, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri Jul 10 06:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst that could break this range
H1 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1210 zone flagged in the digest
Close above 1.14490 clears the week high and opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range cap
Sideways range 1.1391-1.1449, higher lows since midweek.
EURUSD has churned in the low-1.14s since Monday's open, sliding to a 1.1391 base midweek where demand stepped in twice before lifting price back toward the 1.1449 week high. That high rejected the latest NY-session push, leaving price hovering just above EMA(20/50) with RSI(14) cycling around 50. The 1.1391-1.1449 range still frames the week, with the soft-USD/hawkish-Fed standoff keeping the pair pinned.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could break the range
H1 close below 1.1391 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone break toward 1.1210
H1 close above 1.1449 clears the week high and range cap
EURUSD is grinding a low-1.14s range, supported by a softer USD after non-hawkish FOMC minutes but capped by firmer oil and US-Iran risk. Price bounced from the 1.1393 week low back through 1.1449 before fading to sit mid-range around 1.1422, now just below EMA20 with RSI cycling near 46. The 1.1449 high has capped the latest push and the 1.1410 support zone remains the pivot for the week's structure.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift the USD read within the next bars
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the next EUR catalyst
H1 close below 1.1410 support zone opens the 1.1393 week low and beyond
H1 close above 1.1449 week high exposes the 1.1480 range cap
11:01 UTC
Range, no directional conviction · RSI 49 · price 1.1422
Consolidation in the low-1.14s.
EURUSD has churned the low-1.14s all week, holding a 1.1393-1.1480 band with no follow-through either way after non-hawkish FOMC minutes softened the USD. Price bounced off the 1.1393 low into the NY session yesterday, tagged 1.1449 and faded back to sit right on the EMA20 near 1.1422. RSI(14) is pinned near 50, consistent with the two-way, catalyst-starved tone into German HICP.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1393 support
H1 close above 1.1449 puts the 1.1480 range cap back in play
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range within the next bars
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
Consolidation in low-1.14s, higher lows since week low.
EURUSD is boxed in the low-1.14s, bouncing off the 1.1393 week low midweek and grinding higher into the NY session to tag 1.1449 before rejection pulled it back to the 1.1430 pivot. Price sits marginally above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI hovering near 50, consistent with the two-day recovery stalling under range resistance. The digest frames this as a tug-of-war between ECB tightening repricing and an oil-supported USD, keeping the pair range-bound.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14300 pivot opens 1.14490; a break there exposes the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.13926 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1360 range base
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and German HICP Fri could shift the range read
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1393 mid-week and recovered for a second day back above EMA20 and EMA50, tagging 1.1449 before easing to 1.1429. The bounce lines up with a defensive USD after the hawkish-hold FOMC minutes and a firmer German trade print. Price now sits at the 1.1430 pivot with RSI cycling around the mid-50s and the prior high at 1.1449 the next hurdle.
Support: 1.14149, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14568
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1449 opens the path back to the 1.1568 week high
Loss of 1.14149 higher low re-exposes the 1.1393 week low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Germany HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's swing factor for EUR
Consolidating mid-range, higher lows off week low.
EUR/USD is holding the middle of this week's 1.1360-1.1480 range, capped by hawkish Fed minutes and oil-driven terms-of-trade drag while ECB repricing underpins the downside. A London-session pop to the 1.1449 week high was rejected and price has retraced roughly 40% back toward EMA(20), which is now acting as the pivot. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline with no directional break.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this range read
H1 close above 1.1449 opens the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1391 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
09:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 52 · price 1.14263
Consolidation in low-1.14s, capped highs.
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1391–1.1457 band all week, pinned by hawkish Fed minutes against firm Eurozone data. A NY-session pop to 1.1449 was rejected and price is back at the 1.1420 EMA20, holding the swing low at 1.1391. RSI(14) cycling near 50 confirms the two-way, directionless read the digest flags.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1430, 1.1457
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could break this range in either direction
H1 close above 1.1449 recent high opens the 1.1457/1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1420 EMA20 exposes the 1.1391 swing low and 1.1360 range floor
EURUSD carved a base around 1.1391 through the NY session and has recovered into today's Asia hours, tagging 1.1449 before easing to 1.1434. Price sits back above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) climbing off oversold toward the mid-50s as higher lows build off the week low. The 1.1430 area is the pivot the market is churning around, with 1.1449 capping the bounce so far.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.1449 week high opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1391 week low threatens the base and exposes 1.1360 channel sup
German HICP final Fri 06:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst for this read
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1391 through the NY session before recovering, and printed a spike to 1.1449 that was rejected back to 1.1434 — the safe-haven USD bid on Hormuz/oil headlines capping the bounce. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range around 57. The 1.1391–1.1400 support cluster has absorbed two tests this week while 1.1449 has capped the latest push.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14524
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 opens the path to the 1.14524 weekly open
Loss of 1.1391 confirms a lower low and threatens the consolidation
German HICP final (Fri 06:00 GMT) and US jobless claims are near-term catalysts for this read
07:01 UTC
Recovery leg, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.14407
Higher lows off a double bottom, breaking prior resistance.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1391 through Wednesday and pushed through the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the digest on the London open, printing a strong bar to 1.1449. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling into the low-60s, and the 1.1430 pivot has flipped to act as near support. The move fits the two-way range read — upside now testing the 1.1450-1.1480 band that has capped this week.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14572, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1430 negates the breakout and re-opens 1.1391
Acceptance above 1.1449 opens 1.1457 week high then 1.1480
US jobless claims 12:30 GMT and German HICP (Jul 10 06:00 GMT) could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.14407
Higher lows off week low, near resistance.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1392 on Wednesday's US session and has climbed since, breaking back above the 1.1430 cap that held earlier in the week. Price now sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-60s, and the last push tagged the week high at 1.1449 before easing. The recovery fits the digest read of EUR holding despite the firm-dollar backdrop from hawkish FOMC minutes and Middle East risk premium.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1392, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14572, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1449 opens the path to 1.1457 monday high
Loss of 1.1420 ema20 stalls the recovery back toward 1.1392
German HICP (Jul 10 06:00 GMT) is the nearest catalyst that could reset this read
EUR/USD spent the week grinding lower off Monday's 1.1454 open toward a 1.1393 double bottom as hawkish June FOMC minutes and a ~6% oil spike propped the USD. Price has since recovered through EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) lifting into the low-60s as buyers stepped in twice at 1.1393. The 1.1445/1.1450 prior-high zone remains the cap that defined the week's range.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the range-cap read and opens the upper band
Failure to hold 1.1393 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1360
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
EUR/USD carved a base near 1.1393 mid-week and has ground higher into the NY session, reclaiming EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling back toward 60. Hawkish June FOMC minutes and firmer oil have kept the 1.1445-1.1450 zone capping rallies, so this is recovery within a broader low-1.14s range rather than a clean trend. The 1.1393/1.1395 twin lows are holding as a double-bottom base.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1445, 1.14576
What it said to watch
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst and could shift this read
H1 close above 1.14450 opens the path back toward 1.14576
Failure to hold 1.14000 reopens the 1.13926 week low
Low-1.14s range, higher lows since mid-week trough.
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.13930 mid-week and has ground back toward the 50% retrace of the week's decline, now trading around 1.14271 above both EMA20 and EMA50. The recovery has stalled under the 1.14310 session-high band, with hawkish FOMC minutes and higher oil keeping rallies capped inside the 1.1360–1.1450 range flagged by the macro read. Price sits mid-range into the European morning with RSI cycling around the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1393, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.14485
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14310 opens the path to the 1.14485 weekly open
Failure to hold 1.14140 re-exposes the 1.13930 week low
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams later today could shift this read
EURUSD carved a double bottom near 1.1391 into the NY session and has recovered to sit around the 50% retracement of the week's 1.1462-1.1391 decline, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50). Price stalled through the Asia session in a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band as hawkish June FOMC minutes and an oil-driven USD bid kept the Euro pinned in the low-1.14s. Resistance at 1.1430 has capped the bounce; the week low near 1.1391 marks the pivot below.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1448
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path back toward 1.1448 weekly open
Loss of 1.1414 exposes a retest of the 1.1391 week low
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams today could shift the read
Midweek selloff based out, higher lows into consolidation.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1445 and sold off through Wednesday's NY session to a low near 1.1394, where a double bottom held and demand stepped in. Price has since recovered above EMA(20) and is consolidating just under 1.1430, the level that has repeatedly capped this week with rejection. RSI(14) is cycling mid-50s as the pair coils in a tightening range between the 1.1415 range base and the 1.1430 ceiling.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1394, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path back to the 1.1445 week open
Failure to hold 1.1415 range base re-exposes the 1.1394 week low
German HICP Friday 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst and could shift this read
Consolidation in low 1.14s, higher lows since Wed dip.
EUR/USD steadied above EMA(20) after Wednesday's NY-session dip to 1.1391, with buyers stepping in twice around that level to form a double base. RSI(14) is cycling back toward mid-50s as price grinds up to the 1.1420s, but the 1.1430 band that capped rallies earlier in the week is still the ceiling. The recovery reflects EUR holding its 1.1360-1.1480 range as ECB repricing floors the downside against oil-driven USD strength.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path back toward the 1.1462 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 re-exposes the 1.1391 week low and range floor at 1.1360
German HICP Friday 06:00 GMT could materially shift this range read
EURUSD has clawed back from the week low near 1.1393 printed during Wednesday's NY session, and now trades back above EMA(20) into the Asia session with RSI(14) cycling around 55. The rebound tracks a firm USD off its 4-day DXY high on Iran/oil headlines, with the 1.1430 band capping upside on repeated attempts this week. Price sits near the 50% retrace of the 1.1462-1.1393 drop.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1396, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1447
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path back toward 1.1447
Failure to hold 1.1396 confirms a fresh lower-low
German HICP Friday 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
EUR/USD based twice near 1.1393 into Wednesday's session and has clawed back into mid-range, holding just above EMA(20) at 1.1417. The 1.1430 band has capped the recovery, consistent with the low-1.14s range noted this week as rising oil and hawkish Fed repricing neutralise ECB tightening bets. Price is compressed between 1.1400 psychological support and the 1.1430 rejection zone.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445, 1.1448
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward the 1.1445 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.1392 week low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and German HICP Friday could shift this read
EUR/USD steadied above the 1.1400 pivot after a four-day slide bottomed twice near the 1.1391 weekly low, forming a double base into the NY session. The recovery has reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50 but stalled at the 1.1430 rejection that has capped this week, with renewed US-Iran risk and higher oil keeping the USD bid. RSI(14) has cycled back to mid-50s off oversold, matching the grind rather than a breakout.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of the 1.1391 weekly low confirms a lower low toward 1.1360 range base
US jobless claims and Fed's Williams today, German HICP Fri could shift this read
EUR/USD carved a four-day low near 1.1393 mid-week as renewed US-Iran tension and a firmer USD pressed the pair, then rounded back toward the low-1.14s into the NY-Asia handover. Price is grinding above EMA(20) with a sequence of higher lows since the base, but 1.1430 has capped attempts twice this week and remains the near resistance. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s, in line with the range read.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.1360 range base
German final HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could shift the EUR leg
EUR/USD sold from the 1.1462 area early in the week down to a 1.1391 base, then steadied and clawed back to 1.1425 as hawkish ECB repricing offset the safe-haven USD bid from US-Iran tensions. Price now sits just above EMA20 with RSI cycling back near 56, but 1.1430 has repeatedly capped attempts. Structure is a low-1.14s range, with buyers stepping in twice near 1.1391.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1391 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
US jobless claims and Friday's German HICP could shift this range read
Compressed range in low-1.14s, higher lows since floor.
EURUSD has been pinned in the low-1.14s all week, with 1.1430 capping repeated attempts and the 1.1391 area twice defended into the NY session. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) and EMA(50) on the current recovery leg, with RSI(14) cycling back near 56 after basing near the week low. The compression reflects hawkish ECB repricing versus a safe-haven USD bid tied to US-Iran and oil headlines.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path to 1.1450/1.1480
Loss of 1.1391 confirms a lower low and flips the range read
German final HICP (Fri) and US Jobless Claims could shift this read
EUR/USD spent the week pinned in the low-1.14s, sliding from Monday's 1.1462 high into a 1.1393 base where demand stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price has since recovered above EMA20 and is consolidating just under the 1.1430 range top, which has capped every push this week. Two-way tone persists as the ECB hawkish repricing cushion offsets a firmer safe-haven USD.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1413, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450 then 1.15
Failure to hold 1.1360 range floor confirms a lower low
German HICP Fri and FOMC minutes could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Range-bound, basing after pullback · RSI 53 · price 1.14214
Lower highs into a 1.139 base, recovering.
EUR/USD has been pinned in the low-1.14s all week, capped by descending lower highs from Monday's 1.1462 print while demand stepped in twice near 1.1391 to form a base. Price is now recovering through EMA20/EMA50 into the Asia session with RSI back near 53, the ECB hawkish-repricing cushion offsetting the oil-driven USD haven bid. The 1.1430 cap and 1.1392 floor still frame the week.
Support: 1.1392, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14300 opens the path back toward the 1.14450 cap
Failure to hold 1.13920 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1360 range floor
German final HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could shift this range read