EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 9 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14326
Range-bound after fading session high.
EUR/USD fading in a tight Asian-session drift near 1.1432 after rejecting the session high at 1.1449 during earlier hours; pair now boxed in 1.1420-1.1449 as the Dollar reclaimed a late bid. Volume has thinned right out and RSI sits mid-range near 51 — no impulse in play.
Support: 1.1426, 1.14196, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 breaks the range top
Loss of 1.1420 confirms a lower session low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could break this range
23:46 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14326
Range-bound, tight late-session coil.
EURUSD is coiling around 1.1433 in a low-volume late session, boxed in the 1.1421–1.1446 range all day after two rejections at the 1.1446/1.1450 cap noted in the digest. RSI(14) flat near 51, no directional momentum in play.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 breaks the session range top
Loss of 1.14208 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 zone
German HICP ~6h away (06:00 UTC) could break this range
23:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14317
Consolidation after NY fade.
NY faded off the 1.1449 session high back into the 1.1427-1.1434 range, and the Asia session has since coiled tight around 1.1432 on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 and ATR is compressed to ~6 pips — no directional development in play.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1434 range top would reopen the 1.1449 session high
Failure to hold 1.1427 exposes the 1.1421 day low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could break this Asian consolidation
23:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14317
Consolidation after fade from session high.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1449 session high back toward 1.1430 and has gone quiet through the Asian session, chopping in a tight 1.1426–1.1434 band on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51, no directional impulse in play. The move retraced to roughly the 61.8% fib of the London push, with 1.14405 capping and 1.14245 propping.
Support: 1.14245, 1.14192
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14405 reopens the 1.1449 session high
Break of 1.14245 exposes the 1.14192 session low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~6h out) could break this range
23:16 UTC
Range, mild drift higher · RSI 54 · price 1.14335
Ranging 1.1420-1.1449, mid-range in thin Asia.
EUR spent the London/NY sessions ranging 1.1420-1.1449; the probe to 1.1449 faded back as the dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid. Now drifting mid-range near 1.1433 in thin early-Asia trade, RSI(14) neutral around 54 and volume collapsing.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14196, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the range top; failure below 1.14196 confirms a range break lower
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could break the range either way
23:16 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14335
Range-bound, late-session coil.
London probed the 1.1445-1.1450 range top with a spike to 1.14472 before fading back through NY; price has since drifted into a tight, low-volume coil around 1.1433 into the rollover. No setup in play — capped by the range cap above, holding the 1.1425 swing low below.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14472, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 range cap opens the 1.1447 session high
Failure to hold 1.14251 exposes the 1.1420 session low
German HICP (06:00 UTC) could shift this range read
23:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14331
Range after fade from session high.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1449 session high back into a 1.1427–1.1440 range, and has gone flat on thin volume through the Asian hours near 1.1433. RSI(14) is neutral and price is pinned around EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1421, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 reopens the 1.1449 session high
Break below 1.1421 confirms a lower low toward 1.1417
German final HICP 06:00 UTC could shift EUR tone
23:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14331
Range-bound, mid-range.
EURUSD is coiling around 1.1433 in thin Asia-session trade after the London-NY session capped at the 1.1449 high and held the 1.1421 swing low. RSI(14) neutral near 52, no setup in play — price is mid-range between 1.1417 and 1.1449.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14168, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14208 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 zone
Break above 1.14490 session high reopens the range top
German final HICP 06:00 UTC could shift this read on the London open
EURUSD is drifting sideways in thin early-Asia trade around 1.1432, sitting near the 50% retrace of the London push from 1.1417 to the 1.1449 session high. RSI is flat near 52 and ranges have collapsed to ~3 pips — no directional structure in play, holding between the 1.1425 range floor and 1.1440 range top.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14173
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 range top exposes the 1.1449 session high
Break below 1.1425 range floor exposes 1.14173 session low
Liquidity is thin into Asia; German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could reprice the range
EUR failed at the 1.1449 session high during London-NY and has coiled into a tight 1.1425-1.1433 band through the thin Asian hours, volume drying up on the last bars. Price sits back on EMA20 with RSI near 53 — no directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1417 session low opens the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone
Break above 1.1440 range top re-tests the 1.1449 session high
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could break the range
22:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14327
Consolidation mid-range after rejection at 1.1449.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1425–1.1449 with the 1.1449 high rejected during the prior session; price now sits on the 50% retrace near 1.14330 in thin late-session trade (volume drying up). RSI(14) flat around 52, no momentum edge — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14390 opens the 1.14457 range top
Loss of 1.14251 confirms a lower low toward 1.14210
German final HICP at 06:00 UTC could shift the range read
22:31 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower late · RSI 49 · price 1.14327
Consolidation inside 1.1417–1.1449 range.
EURUSD spent the last 24h boxed between 1.1417 and 1.1449, spiking to the session high on the German trade surplus before fading as the USD firmed. Price now hovers around 1.1433 in thin Asia hours, RSI(14) neutral near 49 with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 range top reopens 1.1449
Loss of 1.1426 swing low exposes the 1.1417 session low
German final HICP 06:00 UTC could shift this read
22:16 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14325
Consolidation mid-range after fading session high.
EUR faded from the London-NY session high at 1.1449 and has stalled around 1.1430 through thin late-Asia hours, RSI(14) flat near 51. Ranging 1.1425-1.1440 with volume collapsing into the session close; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1420 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1440 puts the 1.1449 session high back in play
Oil / US-Iran headlines the key near-term EUR driver
22:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 47 · price 1.14325
Intraday range, faded from session high.
EURUSD chopped between 1.1420 and 1.1440 through the session, with two rejections capping at the 1.1449 session high. Price sits at 1.14325 in thin Asian-hours trade, RSI near neutral and holding just under EMA20/50 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 range top reopens 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.14208 swing low exposes the 1.1408 support zone
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term driver and could reset this range
22:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14293
Consolidation between 1.1425 and 1.1440 after fading the NY high.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.1447 then faded, and price has since coiled in a 1.1425–1.1440 band through the low-liquidity late hours. Now hovering near the lower edge around 1.1429 with RSI mid-40s; energy-driven USD bid keeps EUR capped per the macro read.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1420/1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top needed to retest the 1.1447 session high
Thin Asian-hours liquidity can exaggerate moves at the range edges
Faded from twin highs, now Asian-range consolidation.
EURUSD faded twin highs at 1.1445-1.1449 during NY hours and has since coiled into a tight Asian-session range around 1.1428, price holding just under EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 45, ATR compressed to ~4.6 pips as liquidity thins.
Reclaim of 1.14320 EMA20 negates the drift and re-opens the 1.14457 double top
21:46 UTC
Mild pullback off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14293
Descending from 1.1449, holding 61.8% retrace.
EURUSD drifted off the 1.1449 session high through NY, easing to 1.1429 and stalling on the 61.8% retrace of the day's advance. Volumes thinned into the late session and RSI(14) sits neutral near 46; EUR remains capped by a firmer USD on US-Iran headlines.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.14208
Reclaim of 1.14405 needed to challenge the 1.1449 session high
German final HICP 06:00 UTC / French CPI 06:45 UTC could shift the read
EURUSD peaked at the 1.1447 session high during NY hours then bled off in a chain of lower highs, now stalling around the 1.1425 range floor in thin late-session/Asia liquidity. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI near 46 — no directional push, just quiet drift.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1415, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1415 session low confirms a lower low toward 1.1408
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top needed to negate the descending highs
Germany final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the read
21:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1428
Range, pinned below 1.1440.
London-NY push tagged a session high at 1.1449 before EUR gave back gains as the USD recovered, leaving price drifting into the lower half of the 1.1410–1.1440 range. Late NY volume is thin, RSI(14) mid-40s, price holding just under the 1.1440 range top.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1415, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 support zone confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1210 per macro read
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top would neutralise the drift lower
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could reprice EUR into next session
EURUSD rolled off the 1.1449 session high into a chain of lower highs, basing at 1.1427 before flattening near 1.1430 in thin post-NY trade. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; USD firmed on renewed US-Iran headlines, capping the euro.
Support: 1.1427, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14270 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14400 negates the lower-high sequence
Thin post-NY liquidity can exaggerate moves into the Asia session
21:16 UTC
Range topping, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.14296
Rounded top under 1.1449, lower highs into thin close.
EURUSD topped at the 1.1449 session high and rolled over into a rounded top, printing lower highs down to 1.14296 as NY handed off to a thin Asia open (volume collapsing). Price sits mid-range between 1.14251 and the 1.1440 top, RSI(14) neutral near 45, no setup in play into the illiquid close.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14146, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top negates the rounded-top read
German final HICP 06:00 UTC could inject direction on the next session open
21:01 UTC
Mild downtrend, drifting into Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.14297
Lower highs off session top, holding 1.1425.
NY session capped near 1.1446 and price bled lower into the London-NY close, printing lower highs and basing at the 1.1425 session low. Volume has thinned into the Asia handover with a shallow bounce to 1.1430; still boxed inside the 1.1425-1.1440 range with no fresh impulse.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 reopens the range top at 1.1446
Loss of 1.1425 session low extends the lower-high sequence toward 1.1421
US-Iran / oil headlines can drive the USD bid overnight and break this range
EUR rejected the 1.1449 session high through the NY session and faded to base around 1.1425–1.1430. Now into the late NY/Asia transition on thin volume, price is drifting flat below EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1421, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 range top reopens the 1.1449 high
Failure to hold 1.1425 exposes the 1.1410 support zone
US-Iran / oil headlines can shift the USD-driven read
Lower highs since 1.1449, consolidating near session low.
EUR drifted off the session high at 1.1449 through the NY afternoon, printing lower highs down to a tight consolidation around 1.1428, with price below EMA20/50. The pullback fits the range-bound, USD-capped read; buyers held the 1.1425 session low into the close but momentum stays soft, RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1421, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1421 swing low confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top negates the pullback read
Thin late-session/Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves off the 1.1425 session low
Lower highs into 1.1425 support, late-session thinning.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1445/1.1449 session high through the NY session, printing lower highs and settling near 1.1428 on very thin late-session volume. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s; range holding between 1.1421 support and the 1.1440 swing high.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1421 confirms a lower low and pressures the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.1440 negates the intraday downdrift
German final HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) could shift the EUR read next session
Lower highs off the 1.1449 day high, drifting into NY close.
EURUSD faded from the 1.1449 day high through the NY session and is grinding lower highs into the close, now hovering at 1.14286 on thin late-session volume. Sellers capped rebounds near 1.1440 while 1.14268 marks the session floor; RSI mid-40s, no extreme. Move fits the digest's capped-EUR read as the firmer USD keeps rallies limited.
Support: 1.14268, 1.14208, 1.14155
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14457
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14208 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1415 day low
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to negate the lower-highs sequence
Thin liquidity into NY close can distort these levels; Asia open re-tests them
Lower highs off session high, consolidating late-NY.
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY session off the 1.1449 session high, capped as the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran headlines. Price now consolidating around 1.1428 into thin late-NY liquidity, with the 1.1425 swing low holding on the last dip.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14457
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14251 opens the 1.1421 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14340 needed to shift the intraday drift lower
Thin late-NY liquidity distorting the last few bars
20:16 UTC
Faded from highs, lower highs late NY · RSI 43 · price 1.14288
Range with lower highs off 1.1449.
EUR spiked to the 1.1449 session high on the strong German trade surplus, then faded as the USD recovered, printing lower highs into late NY. Price now drifts at 1.1429 below both EMAs, holding the 1.1425 swing low; RSI(14) cooling near 43.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens the 1.1416 session low
Reclaim of 1.1440 negates the lower-high sequence
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the tone
20:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower into close · RSI 41 · price 1.14288
Lower highs off session high, still range-bound.
EUR clawed to a 1.1449 session high during NY hours then rolled over, printing lower highs and slipping back to 1.14288 into the late-session lull. RSI(14) cooling near 40 and price sits below EMA20/50; the 1.1440 range top capped the last two attempts.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low and opens the range low at 1.1416
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top negates the current pullback
20:01 UTC
Choppy, drifting lower into NY close · RSI 43 · price 1.14282
Range 1.1415–1.1449, easing toward lows.
EUR/USD drifted lower into the NY close, easing off the 1.1440 lower-highs shelf toward recent lows near 1.1425; RSI(14) sits mid-40s. The 1.1449 session high was rejected earlier — move fits a firmer USD capping EUR at the range top per the macro read.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1420 swing low opens 1.14149 session low
Reclaim of 1.1440 lower highs needed to retest 1.1449 session high
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the read
20:01 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14282
Lower highs into NY close.
EURUSD drifted lower through the NY afternoon, fading from the 1.1449 session high and slipping back under 1.1430 as the USD held its bid. Series of lower highs into the close with RSI(14) around 40; price sits just above the 1.1425 session low.
Support: 1.1425, 1.14208, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.14208
Reclaim of 1.14405 negates the lower-high sequence
German final HICP (06:00 UTC) and thin end-of-day liquidity could shift this read
Retracing after peak at 1.1449, drifting to range lows.
EUR spiked to 1.1449 mid-window then faded through the NY session, now drifting to 1.14271 with price below EMA20/50 and RSI(14) cooling to ~40. Supply capped repeatedly at 1.1440; the 1.1420 swing low is the next test into the late-NY tape.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.14149 session low
Reclaim of 1.14400 needed to negate the pullback
German final HICP 06:00 UTC and US CPI Mon could shift this read
19:46 UTC
Downdrift off session highs · RSI 39 · price 1.14271
Range, grinding toward lower bound.
Late NY session sees EUR fading from the 1.1445 range top back toward 1.1425, printing lower highs since the 1.14457 peak. Price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; the digest flags EUR capped as USD stays bid on renewed US-Iran tension.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1420 swing low confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1416 session low
Reclaim of 1.14405 would negate the current downdrift
EURUSD is grinding lower off the 1.1440 swing high during late NY hours, holding inside a 1.1420–1.1447 range as the USD firmed. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s, price back below EMA20/50 after tagging the 61.8% retrace of the intraday leg near 1.14272.
Support: 1.14245, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.14472
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14210 range low opens the wider 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.14405 negates the lower-high sequence
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
19:31 UTC
Uptrend fading, rolling over late NY · RSI 41 · price 1.14282
Session high posted, lower highs forming.
EUR pushed through London into a session high near 1.14472 during NY hours, then rolled into a lower-high sequence as the USD stayed firm on renewed US-Iran headlines. Price is now retracing to the 61.8% fib around 1.1428, RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.14245, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.14472
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14245 opens the session low at 1.1416
Reclaim of 1.14405 needed to challenge the 1.14472 session high
19:16 UTC
Range-bound, drifting lower into late NY · RSI 42 · price 1.14312
Consolidation below session high, 50% retrace of London up-leg.
Range-bound roughly 1.1416–1.1447 across the London-NY sessions; price rejected the 1.1447 session high and drifted back to the 50% retrace near 1.1431 into late NY. RSI(14) mid-range near 42 and ATR(14) compressed to ~4 pips — no momentum in play, holding above the 1.1429 swing low.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1416 session low opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1440 range top puts the 1.1447 session high back in play
US CPI Jul 14 the next macro test for the pair
19:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14312
Lower highs into late NY, testing session lows.
EURUSD rejected the 1.1445 session high during NY hours and has ground out lower highs into the late session, now probing session lows near 1.1431. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; price below both EMAs with the 1.1410 support zone the next reference below.
Support: 1.14305, 1.14208, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14305 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14400 lower-high line negates the drift lower
Range stays capped by 1.1445–1.1449 while it holds
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14472 during NY hours on hawkish ECB accounts and a soft dollar, then handed the move back and is drifting into late NY around 1.14338. Price is fading under a descending series of lower highs, holding above the 1.14315 recent low; RSI sits mid-range near 47.
Support: 1.14315, 1.14222, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14472
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14315 recent low exposes the 1.14222 swing low
Close back above the 1.14400 descending cap reopens the 1.14472 session high
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst for this range
Late NY session: EUR faded from the 1.1449 session high back into the middle of the 1.1415-1.1449 range, now drifting near 1.1434 with RSI(14) cooling toward 44. Pair remains trapped in the 1.1395-1.1440 range flagged in the macro read, no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14415, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14415 range cap reopens 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.1431 swing low exposes 1.1415 range low
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break this range
18:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower into NY close · RSI 44 · price 1.14322
Intraday range 1.1415-1.1449, price mid-range slipping toward the lower half.
EUR popped to the 1.1449 session high on the strong German trade surplus and hawkish ECB accounts, then handed the move back as the USD firmed; price now drifting into the 1.1431 lower half of the intraday range near the 50% fib. RSI(14) around 43, no momentum extreme, structure choppy with buyers absorbing near 1.1431 and supply capping at 1.1440-1.1449.
Support: 1.14312, 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14312 exposes the 1.1421 swing low and session low at 1.1415
Reclaim of 1.14405 puts the 1.1449 range cap back in play
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could break this range
18:46 UTC
Mild downtrend within range · RSI 42 · price 1.14322
Consolidation, drifting off session high.
EUR/USD drifting lower into late NY, easing from the 1.1440 area toward 1.1431 after rejection at the 1.1447 session high. Pair boxed in a 1.1431-1.1441 range with RSI(14) cooling near 42; EUR handed back the German trade-surplus pop as the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran headlines.
Support: 1.14312, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14312 recent low opens the 1.1420 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14410 swing high needed to retest the 1.1447 session high
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over · RSI 44 · price 1.14317
Post-spike consolidation, lower highs.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.1449 during NY hours on the strong German trade surplus and hawkish ECB accounts, then handed the move back and has drifted to 1.1432 late in the session. Price is sitting on the 50% retrace of that leg with RSI mid-range; the 1.14400 prior high is now capping and buyers thinning into 1.14300.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1422
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14300 round exposes the 1.14220 swing low
M15 close back above 1.14400 reopens the 1.14490 session high
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this intraday range
18:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14317
Intraday range, mid-lower.
EUR faded off the session high at 1.14457 during late NY, handing back most of the pop toward 1.1425 flagged in the macro read as the USD firmed. Price now 1.14317, retracing the 1.1421-1.14457 leg and sitting mid-range with RSI(14) cooling near 44.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1410 support zone confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 1.14457 session high needed to re-test the range cap
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the key EUR catalyst and could shift this read
18:16 UTC
Sideways, mild pullback into close · RSI 47 · price 1.14351
Range-bound, holding mid-range after failed push to session high.
EUR/USD probed the session high near 1.1449 during NY hours then gave it back, now ranging 1.1430-1.1440 as the USD firmed on renewed US-Iran headlines. Price is drifting under EMA20 into the close with RSI(14) mid-range near 47; no momentum in play.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1430 opens a slide toward the asian low at 1.1415
Close above 1.1440 range top clears the way back to the 1.1449 session high
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4%) could break this range
18:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 51 · price 1.14351
Range-bound below session high.
EUR/USD probed 1.1449 during NY hours on the stronger German trade print, then gave back gains as the USD firmed, settling into a tight 1.1428–1.1440 range. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR has compressed to ~5 pips into the late session — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1428, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 reopens the 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.1428 swing low exposes 1.1415 session low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could break this range
18:01 UTC
Sideways, capped near 1.1440 · RSI 54 · price 1.14376
Range after failed push to 1.1449.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high at 1.1449 during NY after the German trade beat, then gave it back and has coiled into a tight range below the 1.1440 range top into late NY hours. RSI(14) neutral near 54; buyers repeatedly defended the 1.1421 swing low while supply capped the 1.1440 area.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14149, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 session high extends the up-leg
Loss of 1.1421 swing low exposes the 1.1415 session low then the 1.1390 support zone
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, spiking to 1.1449 before settling into a tight 1.1435-1.1445 range into the close; the digest notes EUR remains capped near 1.1440 with hikes already priced. RSI(14) mid-range near 55 and ATR compressing to ~5 pips as the current bar tails off on thin late-session volume.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14457 session high extends the intraday advance
Loss of 1.14350 range floor opens 1.14208 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could reshape this read
17:46 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 53 · price 1.14367
Range-bound between 1.1415 and 1.1449.
EUR/USD chopped between 1.1415 and 1.1449 over the last 24h; it probed the 1.1440-1.1449 zone on the stronger German trade surplus but gave back gains as the USD firmed. Price now consolidating mid-range near 1.1437, RSI(14) flat around 53.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1415, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.1415/1.1409 support zone confirms a lower-low and opens further downside
M15 close above 1.1449 breaks the session high and range top
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1449 in the NY session on the strong German trade surplus, then gave back most gains and settled into a tight 1.1433-1.1440 range as the USD firmed. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53, the 1.1440 cap flagged in the macro read still holding.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14245, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14405 reopens the 1.1449 spike high
Loss of 1.14330 exposes 1.14245 and the 1.14149 session low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the range
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.14402
Higher lows into range top.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a chain of higher lows and now pressing the 1.14457 session high after a brief spike to 1.1449 was faded. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before overbought; the pair stays boxed in the 1.1420-1.1449 intraday range flagged in the macro digest as unresolved.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14289, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 breaks the range top and opens fresh session highs
Loss of 1.14289 breaks the rising-lows structure and reopens 1.14208
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD grinding back toward the NY session high near 1.1445 after a spike to 1.1449 was faded during the London-NY transition. Price boxed between 1.1420 and 1.1449, tracking the range-bound USD read as the market waits on next week's US CPI; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1429, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14449, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens a break of the session high
Loss of the 1.14340 rising support risks a rotation back to 1.14290
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.1449 session high before fading, with price now boxed between 1.1430 and 1.1440 as the dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) sits neutral near 53; the intraday rally leg has stalled without a clean break of the range top.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14222
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14409 reopens the 1.14490 session high
Failure to hold 1.14300 exposes the 1.14222 swing low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) could shift the EUR read
Grinding up under session high, now consolidating.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 1.1415 low, tagged 1.1449 then faded, and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1434-1.1442 band with RSI(14) mid-range. Move stalled around session highs; ATR near 5 pips signals a quiet, low-range tape into the close.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1422, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1442 reopens the 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.1431 breaks the rising intraday support and exposes 1.1422
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
Higher lows off London low, consolidating below session high.
NY afternoon: EURUSD grinding higher off the London low at 1.14208, now consolidating just under the 1.14450 session high on a softer dollar. RSI(14) mid-range at 56 with no extreme; higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14450 opens a retest of 1.14490
Loss of 1.14290 breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift the range read
17:01 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 56 · price 1.14372
Higher lows into range top.
NY afternoon grind higher off 1.14208, price stacking higher lows and pressing toward the session high at 1.14457. Move sits inside the broader 1.1395-1.1450 range the digest flagged; RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme, EUR still boxed as USD holds a firmer tone.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 clears the range top and opens a retest of 1.14500+
Loss of 1.14290 breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD spent the NY afternoon grinding off the 1.1429 swing low back toward the 1.1445 session high, with a chain of higher lows and RSI(14) around 61. Broadly still boxed in the 1.1421-1.1449 range flagged in the digest, price now pressing the upper edge.
Support: 1.14289, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 opens the 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.14289 negates the higher-low sequence
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
Late NY session grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, EUR/USD back near 1.1440 after the soft-USD pop toward 1.1449 earlier. Price is boxed under the 1.1445-1.1449 range top with RSI(14) mid-range; buyers stepped in at 1.1422 and 1.1429 on the way up.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1422, 1.1414
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens the range top
Loss of the 1.14290 higher low breaks the rising sequence
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 54 · price 1.14358
Higher lows into range top.
NY session has EUR grinding higher on a chain of higher lows, but the 1.1445-1.1449 session high capped the last push and price faded back to 1.1436. RSI(14) is mid-range near 54, consistent with the broader 1.1410-1.1449 range read; no fresh break in play.
Support: 1.14289, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 breaks the range top
Loss of rising support / 1.14289 opens the 1.14208 session low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) could shift the range read
16:31 UTC
Mild uptrend inside range · RSI 56 · price 1.14358
Higher lows into session-high cap.
NY session grinding higher off 1.1422 on a softer dollar as the safe-haven bid faded, price holding a chain of higher lows below the 1.1445-1.1450 cap. RSI(14) mid-range near 56, ATR ~5.5 pips; still boxed inside the broader 1.1410-1.1450 range.
Support: 1.14222, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14490 range top would open a range break
Failure to hold 1.14222 swing low breaks the rising support
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) and Vujčić could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 64 · price 1.14409
Higher lows grinding toward range top.
NY afternoon has EUR grinding a chain of higher lows off 1.14208 back toward the session high, price at 1.14409 with RSI(14) mid-60s. The 1.1400-1.1449 range that has framed the last 24h is still intact; USD stayed soft as markets faded the hawkish FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14208, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457/1.14490 opens the range-top break
Failure to hold 1.14290 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 61 · price 1.14409
Higher lows off 1.1420, capped near range top.
EUR/USD is grinding higher off the 1.1420 swing low, printing higher lows into the NY session while the 1.1440-1.1450 range cap holds. Pair sits at 1.14409 just under the session high at 1.14457; RSI(14) around 61, room before overbought. Move fits the digest's 1.1395-1.1450 range read as a firm-but-fading USD lets EUR recover.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 opens the 1.14490 prior high and 1.1450 cap
Failure to hold 1.14290 higher low reopens the 1.14200 swing low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) and Vujčić could shift this range read
EURUSD is pinned in a 1.1420-1.1449 range through NY hours, with price grinding off the 1.14285 swing low on a chain of higher lows toward the session high at 1.14450. RSI(14) mid-range near 58 leaves room either way; the 1.1440-1.1450 cap flagged by the hawkish-ECB vs firm-USD standoff is still intact.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14450 opens the 1.14490 range top
Failure to hold 1.14285 exposes the 1.14208 swing low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) could shift this range read
16:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14389
Intraday range with rising near-term lows.
EUR/USD boxed in the 1.1415-1.1450 range through London-NY, matching the hawkish-ECB vs firm-USD standoff. Price recovered off 1.1422 into late NY with a chain of higher lows; range top at 1.1447-1.1450 still capping, RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14472, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 clears the range top and session high
Loss of the 1.14208 swing low reopens the 1.14149 session low
German HICP (Fri 06:00 UTC) and ECB Vujčić could shift this range
NY session pushed to 1.1445 then faded back to 1.1435; the 1.1420-1.1449 range still holds with RSI neutral near 51. EUR stayed capped by the firm-USD narrative despite soft-dollar drift, keeping price boxed ahead of tomorrow's German HICP.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the range-top break
Failure to hold 1.14208 confirms a lower-low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC tomorrow could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 54 · price 1.14355
Ranging, higher lows into resistance.
EURUSD ranging 1.1422-1.1446 through the NY session, printing higher lows off 1.14222. Rejection capped the 1.14457 session high; RSI(14) mid-range near 54 with ATR sitting around 6 pips.
Support: 1.14289, 1.14222
Resistance: 1.14424, 1.14457
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 opens the path back toward the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.14289 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.14222
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
NY session rotating between 1.1421 and the 1.1446 session high, price back mid-range at 1.1433 after rejection at the highs. Move stalled at the 50% retrace of the last leg up; no setup in play, EUR still hemmed in by the dominant Fed narrative.
Support: 1.1429, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1446 reopens the 1.1449 prior high
Loss of 1.1421 confirms a lower low and opens the sub-1.14 zone
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range
15:31 UTC
Range-bound, slight NY drift up · RSI 52 · price 1.14332
Ranging inside 1.1420-1.1449.
NY session has EURUSD chopping between the 1.1420 swing low and the 1.1449 session high after a rejection there earlier. Price sits mid-range near 1.1433 with RSI neutral around 52; no clean break in play, consistent with the 1.1420-1.1450 range read the macro digest flags.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the range top and a retest of the session high
Loss of 1.1420 exposes the 1.1415 prior-low zone
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range
15:16 UTC
Range, capped at session high · RSI 49 · price 1.14322
Intraday range, rejection off 1.1446.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.1446 and was rejected, pulling back to 1.1432. Price holds inside the ~1.1422–1.1446 range with RSI(14) neutral near 49; no clean directional break in play.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1446 opens the 1.1449 day high
Loss of 1.1422 exposes the 1.1416 support shelf
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD spent the NY session boxed between 1.1420 and 1.1445, consistent with the low-conviction two-way EUR read post-FOMC minutes. Late NY pushed to the session high 1.14457 but was rejected, price cooling back to 1.14322 with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens a run at the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1420 range low exposes the 1.1410 support zone
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could break this range
15:01 UTC
Range, edging lower off session high · RSI 47 · price 1.14314
Intraday range 1.1420-1.1449, pullback in progress.
NY session ran up to a session high at 1.1449 before rejecting back to 1.14314, keeping EURUSD boxed inside the 1.1420-1.1449 range that fits the ECB-vs-Fed standoff. RSI(14) cooling near 47 with price back under EMA20; no directional resolution intraday.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 confirms a lower low and opens the range floor
Reclaim of 1.1445 puts the 1.1449 day high back in play
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst that could break this range
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.14457 then got rejected, price easing back to 1.14314 at the EMA20. Trade stays range-bound 1.14220-1.14457, with EUR capped by the dominant hawkish-Fed story despite a soft USD.
Support: 1.14222, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14222 exposes 1.13900 support
Reclaim of 1.14457 session high needed to extend up
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst
Higher lows into 1.14457 session high, pullback in progress.
NY session ground higher off the 1.14222 swing low, tagging a 1.14457 session high before rejecting back to 1.14361 with RSI(14) cooling from the low 60s. Price holds above EMA20/50 but the 1.1440-1.14457 area is capping, matching the noted weekly-high resistance.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14222, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 opens the 1.14490 prior high and 1.1440-1.1450 cap
Failure to hold 1.14300 exposes the 1.14222 swing low
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could shift this read
14:46 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 57 · price 1.14361
Rangebound, tested top late NY.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.14457 before rejecting back to 1.14361, keeping the pair inside the 1.1420-1.1449 range that has held all day. Move lacks conviction, consistent with the EUR two-way, range-bound tone ahead of tomorrow's German HICP.
Support: 1.1428, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 breaks the range top
Loss of 1.14280 exposes the 1.14208 range low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Mild uptrend into range cap · RSI 62 · price 1.14384
Higher lows, testing range top.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.1420 swing low toward the range top; EUR firm after the German trade beat (€19.1B). Price stalled just under the 1.1445 session high with the 1.1450 range top still capping.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 range top opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1420 swing low reopens the 1.1410 range base
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Mild uptrend into range top · RSI 63 · price 1.14384
Higher lows, probing session high.
NY session ground higher off the 1.14208 swing low, tagging the session high at 1.14457 before easing to 1.14384; RSI mid-60s, not stretched. Move sits inside the broader 1.1390-1.1450 range with EUR underpinned by the strong German trade beat but capped near the range top.
Support: 1.14231, 1.14208, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14457 session high opens the 1.1450 range cap
Loss of 1.14231 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
14:16 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 61 · price 1.14391
Higher lows into range top.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.1423 swing low, pressing back toward the session high at 1.1449; RSI(14) mid-60s, room before hot. Range 1.1390-1.1450 still intact with price testing the top.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1408, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 breaks the range top and opens fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.1423 puts the 1.1408/1.1391 supports back in play
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC is the next catalyst for this range
NY session pushed EURUSD to a session high of 1.14457 before sellers capped it, printing a close back at 1.14391. Price remains boxed in the 1.1420-1.1450 band with RSI(14) mid-range; the German trade-surplus beat gave EUR a mild lift but conviction is limited.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 opens a range break higher
Failure to hold 1.1421 exposes the 1.1391 session low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing range top · RSI 64 · price 1.14405
Higher lows into session high.
NY session grinding higher off the 1.14208 swing low, price now at 1.1440 probing back toward the session high at 1.1449. RSI(14) in the mid-60s on a chain of higher lows; the 1.1450 range top still caps.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 range top opens extension beyond the session high
Loss of 1.14208 swing low breaks the rising-lows sequence back into the 1.1410 support zone
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could reset this range
14:01 UTC
Grinding higher toward range top · RSI 62 · price 1.14405
Range-bound, recent higher lows.
EUR/USD is grinding back toward the 1.1440-1.1450 range cap into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) around 62 with room before overbought. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1421 to build a chain of higher lows, but the session high at 1.14490 still caps.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14500 breaks the range cap and opens fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.1421 breaks the higher-low chain
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Range, recovering off floor · RSI 55 · price 1.14345
1.1421–1.1449 range after fade from session high.
EUR ran to a session high at 1.1449 during the London-NY overlap, then faded to 1.1421 before recovering to 1.1434; price is now mid-range with a strong German trade surplus offset by the hawkish-Fed cap. RSI(14) neutral near 55 and ATR ~5.4 pips — low intraday volatility, no clean setup with the pair boxed in 1.1421–1.1449.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.1421 exposes the 1.1416 session low
EUR/USD ranging in the low-1.14s, capped at the 1.14490 session high and holding above 1.14220 into the NY afternoon. Price recovered off 1.14208 and sits back near mid-range at 1.14345, RSI(14) neutral around 55 — no follow-through either way.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14366
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens a retest of the session high extension
Failure to hold 1.14220 exposes the 1.14160 range base
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:31 UTC
Range with mild upward drift · RSI 56 · price 1.14361
Ranging below session high, mid-range recovery.
EURUSD spiked to a 1.1449 session high mid-window then faded, and has spent NY hours ranging in the low-1.14s. Price has recovered from the 1.1422 swing low back to 1.1436, RSI(14) neutral near 56, still capped by the 1.1440-1.1449 zone.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1444
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 clears the session high and range cap
Loss of 1.1422 swing low reopens the 1.1410/1.1391 support zone
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could shift this range read
13:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 1.14361
Consolidation below session high.
EURUSD spiked to a session high at 1.1449 mid-window then faded, now chopping 1.1422-1.1436 into the NY session with RSI(14) neutral near 57. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1422; the 1.1449 high remains the intraday ceiling.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the path to the 1.1480 range cap
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone confirms a lower-low toward 1.1391
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could shift this range read
EURUSD ranging in the low-1.14s, capped by the 1.1449 London-session spike high and holding above a series of higher lows near 1.1420 into the NY session. RSI(14) mid-range at 54 with no momentum extreme; consolidation in play as the hawkish-Fed narrative keeps a lid on EUR.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14356 opens a retest of the 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.14208 exposes the 1.1416 prior low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 54 · price 1.14316
Range-bound after London high faded.
London printed the day high at 1.1449 and faded into NY, which has since ranged 1.1420–1.1436 with price now mid-range at 1.1432. RSI(14) neutral near 54, no momentum in play; the 1.1440-1.1480 upside cap noted in the macro read is holding.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14356 opens a retest of the 1.1449 day high
Failure to hold 1.14208 exposes the 1.1390 support zone
US Existing Home Sales 14:00 GMT could shake the NY range
13:01 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.14247
Ranging in low-1.14s after fade from session high.
NY session faded from the 1.1449 session high back into a tight 1.1420–1.1436 range, price sitting just under EMA20/50 near 1.1425. German trade-surplus beat gave only marginal support; RSI(14) mid at 47 with no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 exposes 1.1416 then 1.1391 day low
Reclaim of 1.1436 reopens the 1.1449 session high
German HICP tomorrow 06:00 UTC could reset this range
13:01 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 46 · price 1.14247
Ranging below 1.1449 session high.
EURUSD spiked to a session high of 1.1449 then rejected, drifting back into a low-1.14s range as the pair defers to the US Fed narrative. Price now ticks under EMA20/50 near 1.1425, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.1422, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1422 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1410 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1435 puts the 1.1449 session high back in play
Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could inject two-way volatility into this range
Rangebound low-1.14s after rejection at session high.
EURUSD chopping in the low-1.14s; the London push to 1.14490 was rejected and price has since drifted back to mid-range near 1.1428, RSI(14) flat around 49. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.14208, keeping the range floor intact.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14356 reopens the 1.14490 session high
Break below 1.14208 exposes the 1.14000 round number
Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could shift this range read
12:46 UTC
Range-bound, no clear momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.14276
Consolidation in low-1.14s below session high.
EURUSD spiked to a session high at 1.1449 during the London-NY window then rejected back into the 1.1420-1.1435 range where it now trades, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Price is drifting at its EMA20/50 cluster with no directional edge; the low-1.14s consolidation matches the conviction-less EUR read.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14472
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1420 range floor opens the 1.1391 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1449 session high needed to revive upside
Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC) could shift this read intraday
EURUSD ranging in the low-1.14s; the spike to the 1.1449 session high was rejected and price pulled back to 1.1420 before NY-hours buyers lifted it back toward the 1.1436 recent high. RSI(14) mid-range near 55 with ATR around 5 pips — no directional expansion in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 breaks the session high and opens 1.1480
Loss of 1.1420 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1410/1.1390 zone
Williams speech (13:00 UTC) and jobless claims could shift intraday flow
12:31 UTC
Mild recovery within range · RSI 55 · price 1.14325
Ranging, higher low off 1.14208.
EUR bounced off the 1.14208 swing low and recovered toward 1.14356, now consolidating in the low-1.143s with RSI(14) neutral near 55. Price stays pinned in the range flagged by the digest, session high at 1.14490 unchallenged.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams speech could shift the intraday read
M15 close above 1.14356 opens the path to the 1.14490 session high
EURUSD spiked to a session high at 1.1449 during the London-NY transition then faded, holding a range between 1.1420 and 1.1449. Price is grinding back toward the top of the range at 1.14341 with RSI(14) mid-50s; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1445
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams speech 13:00 UTC due imminently, can break this range
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range cap
Loss of 1.1420 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1415/1.1410 zone
12:16 UTC
Recovering within range · RSI 57 · price 1.14341
Ranging 1.1420-1.1449, higher low forming.
EURUSD churning in the low-1.14s, holding a 1.1420-1.1449 range with the session high at 1.1449 rejected. Buyers stepped back in off 1.1421 during NY hours and price is grinding up toward the 1.1436 prior high, RSI(14) mid-range around 57. Move remains contained by the hawkish-USD backdrop.
Support: 1.14208, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could inject volatility within the next bar
Close above 1.14356 opens a retest of the 1.1449 session high
Failure to hold 1.14208 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1410 support zone
12:01 UTC
Sideways after pullback from session high · RSI 53 · price 1.14304
Consolidation inside 1.1420-1.1449 range.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1449 during the London-NY transition, then rejected back to 1.1425 and is now churning around 1.1430 as NY gets underway. Ranging between 1.1420 support and the 1.1449 high with RSI(14) mid-range — no clear directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1449 reopens the top of the 1.1440/1.1480 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4%) is the nearest catalyst to break the range
12:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.14304
Confined intraday range, mid-range churn.
EURUSD churning mid-range around 1.1430 after the 1.1449 session high faded during NY hours, RSI(14) neutral near 53. Buyers held the 1.1420/1.1416 zone repeatedly; no directional break in play, EUR pinned in the low-1.14s as noted in the digest.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens a break of the session high
Failure to hold 1.14160 confirms a lower low and range break
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
London push to 1.1449 was rejected and price has since drifted back into the 1.1420–1.1436 zone, now sitting near the 61.8% retracement of that leg. RSI(14) mid-range at 44, no directional conviction — EUR/USD ranging with a soft tilt as the pair holds above 1.1420.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1436, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 reopens the range top toward 1.1480
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes 1.1408 and the 1.1410 support zone
US Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14259
Consolidation after failed push to session high.
Spike to 1.14490 in the NY session was rejected and price faded back into the 1.1420–1.1434 band, RSI(14) idling mid-40s. No directional setup — sits mid-range with EUR pinned in the low-1.14s ahead of fresh catalysts.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could move USD and shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 1.14340 reopens the 1.14490 session high
Failure to hold 1.14200 exposes 1.14150 prior low
11:32 UTC
Downward drift after rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14227
Lower highs, pressing range low.
London high at 1.14490 was rejected mid-session and price has carved a series of lower highs, drifting back to the 1.14200 range low. RSI mid-40s, no extreme, ATR near 5.5 pips. Price sits under EMA20/50 with buyers so far holding the 1.14200 floor.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 opens 1.14150
Reclaim of 1.14340 negates the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1449 around the London morning then faded through the day, printing lower highs back to 1.1423 with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Softer USD after non-hawkish FOMC minutes underpins the low-1.14s, but the session-high rejection has price grinding toward the 1.1420 session low.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14149, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14472
What it said to watch
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read within the next hour
Close below 1.1420 confirms continuation of the lower-high chain toward 1.1415
Reclaim of 1.1434 negates the fade off the session high
11:17 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.1426
Consolidation under session high after rejection.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1449 during London hours then got rejected, drifting back to 1.1426 and now ranging 1.1420–1.1435 with RSI(14) flat near 47. USD stays firm on the hawkish FOMC minutes; price is holding just above its EMA50 with no directional impulse.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1408, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1435
What it said to watch
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC (f/c 218K) plus Williams at 13:00 UTC could break this range
Loss of the 1.1420 range low opens the 1.1408 swing low
A close above the 1.1449 session high re-engages the upside
11:16 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 49 · price 1.1426
Consolidation after London-NY spike faded.
EURUSD spiked to a session high of 1.1449 during the NY session then faded, now drifting around 1.1426 with USD firm after hawkish FOMC minutes. Price is coiling in the mid-1.14s between 1.1420 and 1.1435 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could break this consolidation
Close below 1.1410 opens a move toward 1.1391 window low
Reclaim of 1.1435 puts the 1.1449 session high back in play
11:01 UTC
Uptrend faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.14223
Rejection at session high, drifting lower highs.
London pushed to a session high of 1.1449 then rejected, and price has ground back to 1.1422 on a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44 with EUR two-way ahead of US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Fed's Williams (13:00 UTC).
Support: 1.1408, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1408 opens the session low at 1.1391
Reclaim of 1.1435 needed to re-test the 1.1449 session high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
London push to 1.1447 was rejected and price has carved lower highs back toward 1.1420, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Range intact between the 1.1420 floor and 1.1447 high, no clean break in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1420 exposes the 1.1415/1.1391 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1434 puts the 1.1447 session high back in range
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range
10:47 UTC
Range, pullback from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14266
Ranging below rejected 1.1449 high.
London session spiked to a session high of 1.1449 before rejection, and RSI(14) has cooled back under 50 as price drifts to 1.1427, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the intraday rise off the 1.1416 Asian range. Ranging between 1.1423 and 1.1449, no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1416, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the developing range
M15 close below 1.1423 exposes the 1.1416 asian range and 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1449 session high reopens the 1.1480 range cap
European session spiked to 1.1449 then faded, leaving a chain of lower highs into 1.14311. Price now consolidating around 1.1427 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.14235 session low is the pivot for the intraday base.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14196, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.14311, 1.14369, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14235 session low opens 1.14196 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14311 recent high needed to challenge 1.14490 session high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Session high rejected, consolidating in low 1.14s.
London push to the session high at 1.1449 was rejected and faded back to the 1.1425 range floor, with price now churning below EMA20. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47; no directional setup while price holds the 1.1425–1.1437 band.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14375, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1416 swing low exposes the 1.1390 key support zone
Reclaim of 1.14375 intraday high reopens 1.1449
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
10:31 UTC
Up early, now pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.14262
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
London session spiked to 1.14490 then got rejected, dragging price back into the low-1.14s where it's now consolidating around 1.14262 with RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is sitting just under EMA20/50 after the pullback, holding above the 1.14235 session low.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1420, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the consolidation
M15 close below 1.14235 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1434 reopens the 1.14490 session high
10:16 UTC
Consolidating after London spike faded · RSI 49 · price 1.14285
Pullback into 61.8% fib, higher low intact.
London session pushed EUR to a session high of 1.1449 before the move faded, and price is now consolidating in the low-1.1428s, parked on the 61.8% retrace of that London leg. German trade data beat but did little; the swing low at 1.14235 is holding as a higher low while 1.1449 caps the top.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14159, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14311
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 breaks the higher-low structure and reopens 1.14159
Reclaim of 1.14311 puts the 1.1449 session high back in play
US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams (13:00 UTC) land within the next few bars and could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Range after London spike faded · RSI 52 · price 1.14285
Consolidating mid-range below 1.1449 high.
London push to 1.1449 was rejected and price bled back into the 1.1424–1.1434 zone, RSI(14) neutral near 52. Now grinding back toward 1.1434 having held the 1.14235 swing low; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14340 reopens the 1.14490 session high
Loss of 1.14235 confirms a lower low toward 1.14160
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
London session pushed EUR/USD to 1.1449 before fading back to the 1.1430 pivot, aided earlier by Germany's trade beat. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1424-1.1449 band with RSI(14) neutral near 49, sitting just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1430 pivot / 1.1449 opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1424 exposes 1.1416 then 1.1391
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range within the next few hours
London open pushed EURUSD to a session high of 1.1449 before rejection dragged it back to 1.1423; price now recovering toward the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the ECB repricing context. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48, no extreme — EUR boxed ahead of German HICP.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path back to 1.1449 session high
Failure to hold 1.1423 exposes the 1.1416 asia base
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Rangebound after spike faded · RSI 47 · price 1.14266
Pullback into consolidation below session high.
London morning spiked to a session high at 1.1449 then faded back to 1.1426, now consolidating in a tight low-1.14 band. RSI(14) sits near neutral after cooling from the spike; 1.14235 has held as the pullback low twice.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14235 opens 1.1416/1.1391 support
Reclaim of 1.1434 needed to re-test the 1.1449 session high
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this range
09:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14266
Rejected 1.1449, consolidating near 1.1426.
London morning spiked to a session high at 1.1449 on the German trade beat, then rejected and pared back to 1.1426, slipping below EMA20/50. Price now coils in a tight 1.14235–1.14340 band with RSI(14) cooling near 43, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14340 puts the 1.1449 session high back in range
Loss of 1.14235 opens the 1.1416 prior support
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 1.14265
Session high rejected, holding above intraday support.
London session drove EUR/USD to a session high of 1.1449 before a clean rejection dragged price back to 1.1426, with the German trade beat offering only modest support. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and the pullback is holding above the 1.1424 intraday support.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 reopens 1.1449 and the 1.1450/1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1424 exposes 1.1415, then 1.1391 range low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and German HICP tomorrow could reset this read
09:31 UTC
Up-move stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14265
Session high rejected, retracing prior rally.
London session pushed to a high at 1.14490 before rejection, and price has since retraced most of the prior rally to 1.14265, back below EMA20/50. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s as the pullback probes the 1.14235 swing low.
Support: 1.14235, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14235 opens the 1.14149 asian low
Reclaim of 1.14340 needed to re-test the 1.14490 session high
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could break this range
09:17 UTC
Sideways, London rally faded · RSI 46 · price 1.14265
Rejected at session high, full retrace of the up-leg.
London open spiked to the 1.1449 session high then rejected, unwinding the entire up-leg back toward 1.1425 with RSI(14) cooling near 46. Price now hovers at 1.1426, below EMA20 and holding just above the 1.1421 swing low; US jobless claims and Fed's Williams shortly after are the near-term risks.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1421, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1421 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1391 session low
Reclaim of 1.1437 swing high needed to re-engage the 1.1449 session high
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
09:16 UTC
Short-term pullback after spike · RSI 43 · price 1.14265
Faded off session high, drifting to support.
London morning pushed to 1.14490 then got rejected, fading back to 1.14265 and sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the up-move near session support. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s as price now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14235, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14366, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14235 confirms a lower low and opens 1.14200
Reclaim of 1.14366 would negate the fade back toward the 1.14490 high
German HICP (Fri 06:00 GMT) is the near-term catalyst for the 1.1360-1.1480 range
09:01 UTC
Intraday up, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.14266
Faded off session high, holding above prior consolidation.
London pushed to a session high of 1.1449 early, was rejected, and price has faded back to 1.1425 with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. The move stalled below the 1.1430 range top flagged into German CPI, leaving price back inside the prior consolidation.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 opens a retest of the 1.1416 session low
Reclaim of 1.1430 puts the 1.1449 session high back in play
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
09:01 UTC
Range, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.14266
Consolidation below session high after spike rejection.
London session spiked to a 1.1449 session high then faded back into the 1.1420–1.1435 zone, printing lower highs since. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and price has slipped below EMA20/50, no setup in play while 1.14200 holds.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14200 opens the path to 1.14160
Reclaim of 1.14334 puts the 1.14490 session high back in play
London leg up rejected at session high, pullback in progress.
London session drove EURUSD to a 1.1449 session high before sellers capped it, price now easing back to the 1.1430 pivot flagged as range resistance. RSI(14) has cooled to ~50 as the leg lost steam; still holding above EMA20/50 with 1.1416 the first support below.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Hold or loss of 1.1430 pivot defines whether the London leg holds
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC (~4h) could shift this read
London session pushed to a 1.1449 session high before rejecting, price now unwinding to 1.1432 and sitting on the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the range read. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as the leg loses steam; move remains inside the broader 1.1360–1.1480 range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1466
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1449 reopens the path toward the 1.1466 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1420 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the London bounce
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
London pushed EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14490 before rejection dragged it back, and price is now consolidating around 1.14360 with a defensive USD after non-hawkish FOMC minutes. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and ATR ~6.5 pips; the intraday advance off 1.14196 stalled but rising lows hold above the 1.14320 session low.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14320 session low opens 1.14250 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.14490 session high needed to resume the advance
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
London session grinded higher and spiked to 1.14490 before fading back to consolidate the 1.14320-1.14380 band, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price is holding a shallow 38.2% pullback of the leg off 1.14149, with the session high still capping above.
Support: 1.14322, 1.14149
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14322 negates the higher-low sequence
London session pushed EUR/USD off the 1.1420 base to a session high of 1.1449 before rejection, price now consolidating around 1.1435 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s. The bounce fits the digest's read of demand stepping in near 1.1391 while ECB repricing underpins yields; session high 1.14490 caps for now.
Support: 1.14322, 1.14196
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14372
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14322 breaks the higher-low sequence, exposing 1.14196
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
London session pushed to a session high at 1.1449 then faded, EUR firm for a second session on a defensive USD; RSI(14) cooling back toward mid-range as price settles near 1.1435. Earlier Asian range held 1.1416–1.1430 before the London break higher.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1433 opens a retest of the 1.1416 prior low
Reclaim of 1.1449 session high would resume the intraday uptrend
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows into a session-high breakout, now pulling back.
London session spiked to 1.14490, clearing the overnight consolidation shelf around 1.1430 before fading. Price has since settled near 1.14340, holding above the broken shelf with RSI(14) back to neutral after the impulse.
Support: 1.1432, 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14320 puts the 1.14200 swing low in focus
Close above 1.14490 opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range top
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this intraday read
German HICP tomorrow is the near-term EUR catalyst
NY session pushed a spike to 1.14490 before sellers capped it, price fading back to 1.14343 as the safe-haven USD bid held. RSI(14) cooling off the high, but the chain of higher lows off 1.13910 keeps intraday structure intact above 1.14300.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14300 exposes the 1.14150 shelf
Reclaim above 1.14490 needed to resume the intraday advance
Early London extended the Asian-range grind, spiking to a session high of 1.14490 before a sharp rejection back to 1.14350, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price now hovers just above the 1.14344 swing low; the 1.14225 range base underpins the broader intraday advance.
Support: 1.14344, 1.14225
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14344 breaks the higher-low chain and puts 1.14225 range base in focus
Reclaim of 1.14490 session high opens the path back toward the 1.14500 round number
German HICP final Fri 06:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst that could shift this read
London morning pushed through the 1.1430 cap to a session high at 1.1449 before fading to 1.1435, RSI(14) cooling off the spike. Price is retesting the 1.1430 breakout level from above; the leg up off the 1.1391 session low remains intact.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1421, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1430 on a close reverts the breakout and reopens 1.14210
Close above 1.1449 exposes the 1.1450-1.1480 range cap
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read within the session
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.1438
Breakout above prior range, pulling back to retest.
London morning pushed EURUSD to a session high at 1.1449 after a clean break of the 1.1416-1.1430 range, RSI(14) cooling from the spike. Price has pulled back to retest the 1.1430 breakout level and is holding above it into 1.1438.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1466
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1430 negates the breakout and puts 1.1416 range low back in play
Acceptance above 1.1449 opens the 1.1450-1.1466 range cap
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this read
London session drove EURUSD off the 1.1416 base to a session high of 1.1449, tracking a firmer EUR into German HICP week, before fading back to 1.1438. RSI(14) cooling from the spike; price still holding above EMA20/50 with the recent low near 1.1435 the first pivot in focus.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.1449 opens the 1.1450-1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1435 then 1.1416 negates the intraday higher-low chain
London session drove EUR/USD through the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the range read, spiking to 1.1449 before easing back to 1.14364 as RSI cooled from the high. Breakout leg intact while the prior 1.1430 ceiling holds as support.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1430 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into London open, retesting breakout.
London open drove a clean break above the 1.1433 consolidation to a session high at 1.1449, RSI(14) cooling from the spike as price pulls back into the breakout level. Buyers stepped in through the Asian range and the 1.1433 zone is now being retested from above.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1420, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1433 negates the breakout and puts 1.1420 in play
German HICP (Jul 10 06:00 GMT) is the nearest high-impact print and could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.14416
HH/HL, broke above intraday range.
London session pushed EURUSD out of the 1.1420-1.1430 range and spiked to a session high of 1.1449 before easing to 1.1442, RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. Firm ECB Dec pricing keeps the pair supported; the breakout level at 1.1430 is the first pullback reference.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1420, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1430 would neutralise the breakout and return price to the prior range
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
A close above 1.1449 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 66 · price 1.14416
Range break to the upside, shallow pullback.
London session broke the 1.1421-1.1430 range with an impulsive push to 1.1449, then eased back to 1.14416. RSI(14) cooling from the breakout spike but still constructive; 1.1449 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1421, 1.14196
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 opens the path toward 1.1480
Failure to hold the 1.1430 breakout level puts price back inside the prior range
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Early European hours broke the 1.1420 Asian range and cleared 1.1433, driving a fast leg to a session high at 1.1449 with RSI(14) running hot above 70. Price now holds the low-1.1440s after tagging resistance; the 1.1433 breakout level is the immediate pivot below.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1433 puts price back inside the prior 1.1420 range
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 71 · price 1.1444
Higher highs since session low 1.1391.
London session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the range read, printing a session high at 1.1449 with RSI(14) hot near 71. The leg extends a grind higher off the 1.1391 session low; move is stretched short-term but the breakout level is so far holding on the pullback to 1.1444.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14228, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1430 negates the breakout and returns price into the range
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
London open drove a sharp break above the 1.1433 ceiling to a session high of 1.1447, with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Price had coiled inside the Asian 1.1416-1.1433 range overnight before the impulsive push; 1.1433 now flips to first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1433 negates the breakout and returns price to the Asian range
Failure to hold above 1.1430 aligns with the descending-channel rejection flagged in the wider bias
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could reshape this move
London session broke cleanly above the 1.1425-1.1433 consolidation, spiking to 1.14472 as EUR pressed the 1.1430 resistance flagged in the digest. RSI(14) near 76 is hot after the vertical last-bar push, but structure is a fresh higher high.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1426, 1.14196
Resistance: 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14330 invalidates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Holding above 1.14330 on a retest keeps the higher-high sequence intact
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
06:16 UTC
Recovery, momentum picking up · RSI 67 · price 1.14341
Breakout above Asian consolidation.
Ahead of the London open, price pushed clear of the 1.1420-1.1427 Asian consolidation and tagged a session high at 1.1437, through the 1.1430 context resistance. RSI(14) near 66 on thin pre-London volume; the up-leg builds off the 1.1391 swing low.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14366, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1425 negates the breakout and returns price into the Asian range
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
German final HICP tomorrow 06:00 GMT is the next EUR catalyst
EURUSD pushed off the London-session lows near 1.1391 and reclaimed the 1.1430 pivot cited in context, tagging a session high at 1.14366 with RSI(14) around 64. A chain of higher lows through the Asia-London transition keeps the micro-uptrend intact; 1.1430 is the immediate retest area.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14196, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14366
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1430 reopens the 1.1400 pivot and 1.1391 low
Rejection at 1.14366 caps the recovery and keeps the range intact
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher through the early European hours, breaking above the overnight 1.1430 cap to a fresh session high at 1.14337 with RSI(14) around 63. Buyers held 1.1425 on the pullbacks; the rally off the 1.1391 session low remains intact.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 opens the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1425 negates the breakout back into range
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst and could reshape this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 65 · price 1.14337
Higher lows since 1.1391, breaking above 1.1430.
EUR steadied and clawed higher through the London session, pushing to a fresh session high at 1.14340 after digesting hawkish-leaning FOMC minutes. Price broke above the 1.14300 shelf that capped earlier, with a clean chain of higher lows off 1.13910; RSI(14) firm near 65, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14260 breaks the higher-low chain
Rejection at 1.14450 range cap would stall the breakout
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC + Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Asian session ground higher out of the 1.1416 low and broke the overnight ceiling, printing a session high at 1.1433. Momentum is quiet but constructive with RSI near 66; USD stayed firm this week on hawkish FOMC minutes, so gains have been incremental rather than impulsive.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14334 session high opens the path toward the 1.1445 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1425 micro pivot returns price into the Asian range
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the read into the London-NY session
05:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum building · RSI 65 · price 1.14318
Higher highs into London open after asian-range break.
Price broke the tight asian range around 1.1417 and pressed to a fresh session high at 1.14334 into the London open, holding near 1.1432. RSI(14) mid-60s with room to run; the 1.1391 swing low remains the structural floor for the intraday advance.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1417, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14334 opens the path to the 1.1448 range top
Loss of 1.1417 asian range voids the breakout read
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD broke above the 1.1425-1.1430 congestion into the pre-London hours, printing a session high at 1.14334 before easing to 1.14309. Move follows the reversal off the 1.1391 swing low; RSI(14) around 66, hot but not extended.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14160 returns price into the prior range
Sustained hold above 1.14334 opens the path toward 1.1450
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift the intraday read
Asia session ground higher off 1.14196, and the last bars broke above the 1.14290 cap to a fresh session high at 1.14334 before easing to 1.14309. EUR is nudging back after hawkish FOMC minutes capped it earlier in the window; RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14334 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14196 confirms the breakout as a false break
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Tight Asian consolidation, upside break on last bar.
Asian session coiled in a tight 1.1421-1.1428 band for hours before the last bar broke up to 1.14334, closing 1.14319 as early London gets going. Move fits EUR steadying in the low-1.14s after hawkish FOMC minutes capped the topside; RSI(14) around 63, ATR very compressed near 6 pips.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14210 negates the breakout and returns price to the Asian range
Rejection at 1.14334 / 1.14500 caps the upside per range-top structure
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ground sideways through Asian hours between 1.1416 and 1.1428, then the last bar pushed through to a fresh session high at 1.14334 as London approached. RSI(14) near 64 with price holding above EMA20/50; the soft US-driven bid keeps the pair steady in the low-1.14s.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14334, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14200 negates the range break
Sustained hold above 1.14334 opens 1.14450 upper-range resistance
German HICP later Fri is the session's key EUR catalyst
05:01 UTC
Recovered, now flat · RSI 56 · price 1.14266
Tight consolidation near session highs.
EURUSD is coiling in a thin 1.1420-1.1430 band through the Asian session after recovering from the 1.1391 session low; volume and ATR are minimal. Price sits just under the 1.1430 session high with RSI mid-range — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1420 reopens the 1.1391 session low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range
Quiet late-Asian session coiling just under the 1.14300 session high on thin volume, EURUSD boxed in a 1.14150–1.14300 range. Price recovered the earlier drop to 1.13910 and has ground sideways into the London open with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14149, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens a probe of 1.14312 prior high
Loss of 1.14149 reopens the 1.13910 swing low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could break the range
04:46 UTC
Sideways, low volatility · RSI 54 · price 1.14253
Tight range under 1.1430.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in the low 1.14s through the Asian session, capped repeatedly near the 1.1430 range top after a firm-USD FOMC-minutes read. The 1.1420 range floor is holding, RSI(14) is neutral and ATR is compressed — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 session low
German Trade Balance 06:00 GMT could break the range
04:46 UTC
Sideways, low volatility · RSI 55 · price 1.14253
Range-bound near session highs.
EURUSD grinding in a tight Asian range around 1.1425 after recovering from the 1.1391 dip; 1.1430 has capped the last several pushes with repeated rejection. RSI neutral near 55, ATR compressed to ~13 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path toward the 1.1430/1.1450 breakout zone
Loss of 1.14200 exposes the 1.13910 swing low
German Trade Balance 06:00 GMT could break the compression
04:31 UTC
Sideways, recovered off lows · RSI 54 · price 1.14253
Tight range under 1.1430 after basing at 1.1391.
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.1421-1.1429 band under the 1.1430 resistance, ATR compressed to a few pips. Price recovered off the 1.1391 swing low through the prior session and has since capped repeatedly at 1.1430, in line with the digest's downside-tilt range read.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Loss of the 1.1420 range base exposes 1.1391 swing low then 1.1360 floor
German Trade Balance 06:00 GMT could break the compression
EURUSD is grinding in the low-1.14s through the Asia session, hemmed between 1.1391 and the 1.1430 cap where sellers rejected twice. Price recovered the full 1.1431-to-1.1391 slide and is now flat around 1.1425 on thinning volume; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens 1.1450
Loss of 1.1420 reopens 1.1400 and 1.1391 session low
German Trade Balance 06:00 GMT could shift the range
EURUSD is coiling in a tight 1.1424–1.1430 band late in the Asian session, having recovered from the 1.1391 mid-window flush; 1.1430 keeps capping as context flags it a key resistance. RSI(14) neutral near 56, ATR compressed to ~14 pips — no directional impulse in play yet.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1420 reopens the 1.1391 session low
German Trade Balance 06:00 UTC (~2h out) could break the range
Consolidation under 1.1430 after reclaiming the range.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1391 London-NY low and is grinding sideways just under the 1.1430 session high into the Asia session, with rejections capping each push. RSI(14) neutral near 57, ATR ~7 pips; price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum is flat inside a tight 1.1416-1.1430 band.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450 range resistance
Loss of 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 session low again
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and German final HICP Fri could shift this read
Asia session grinding sideways in the 1.1420-1.1431 pocket, repeatedly capped at the 1.1430 level flagged in the wider EUR range read. ATR has compressed to a few pips into the London handover; the earlier 1.1391 dip has been fully recovered but momentum is flat.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1431 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could break this compression
04:01 UTC
Recovery, momentum flat · RSI 57 · price 1.14262
Consolidation below session high.
EURUSD is coiling in the low 1.142s in thin Asia-session trade, holding gains off the 1.1391 swing low but stalling under the 1.1430 band that capped price twice overnight. RSI(14) sits neutral near 57 with ATR compressed to ~19 pips as the range narrows into the London handover.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward the 1.1450 band
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this range
EURUSD grinding sideways in a tight 1.1420-1.1430 band during the Asia session, having recovered off the 1.1391 swing low. The 1.1430 area has capped every push higher; USD stays firm on Iran/oil safe-haven flows, keeping EUR pinned in its 1.1360-1.1480 broader range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14301 opens the path toward the 1.1450 band
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Recovering, capped at range top · RSI 57 · price 1.14264
Range 1.1420-1.1430 within wider 1.1391-1.1430.
Asia session ground EURUSD back to the 1.1430 cap that has rejected price repeatedly, last close 1.14264 with RSI(14) mid-range. Buyers held above 1.1420 through the overnight session but supply keeps capping at 1.1430, per the broader low-1.14s range read.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to 1.1445
Loss of 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 56 · price 1.14277
Consolidation off double bottom near 1.1391.
Asian session grinding at 1.14277 after recovering off a double bottom near 1.1391, capped repeatedly at the 1.1430 band flagged by the EUR/USD ECB-Fed standoff. RSI neutral around 56, ATR compressed to ~13 pips through the thin rollover hours into London open; range top still respected.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1391, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the range top and 1.14312 high
Failure to hold 1.14196 higher low re-exposes the 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Friday 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
Consolidation near session highs after recovery off 1.1391.
Asia session drifting higher on thin volume, coiling just under the 1.1430 cap that has been repeatedly rejected. RSI(14) around 60 and ATR compressed to ~5 pips — quiet range-top consolidation, no expansion yet.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes 1.1400 psych and the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could inject volatility into this quiet range
03:16 UTC
Range-bound, drifting up · RSI 54 · price 1.14241
Consolidating below 1.1430 range top.
EURUSD ranging 1.1391-1.1430 over the last 24h, currently coiling near 1.1424 in thin early-Asia trade. The 1.1430 top has capped repeatedly (session high 1.14312), matching the digest's noted resistance band; RSI(14) neutral around 54 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path back to prior session highs
Loss of 1.1410 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC could break the range
03:16 UTC
Range, drifting sideways · RSI 54 · price 1.14241
Consolidation below 1.1430 after NY rally faded.
Asian session is coiling in the low-1.14s just under the 1.1430 resistance that has capped repeated attempts, in line with the well-flagged range top. Price recovered off the 1.1391 day low through the NY session but momentum has stalled; RSI(14) sits near 54 with ATR compressing to ~22 pips.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1415 exposes the 1.1391 day low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
Consolidating below session high after recovery from 1.1391.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1391 swing low through the NY session and is now consolidating 1.1420-1.1430 into thin Asia hours, capped repeatedly at the 1.1430 resistance band flagged in the digest. RSI(14) mid-range near 55, ATR compressed to ~6 pips as price coils below the range top.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
03:01 UTC
Recovered off session low, consolidating near range top · RSI 56 · price 1.14244
Range 1.1391-1.1430, coiling below resistance.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in the low-volume Asian session, consolidating between 1.1416 and the 1.1430 cap after recovering from the 1.1391 session low. Price stalled twice at 1.1430 — the same band flagged in the broader range read — with RSI(14) neutral near 56.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 breaks the range top and opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 session low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this intraday read
Asia session grinding sideways in the low-1.142s after London/NY twice stalled at the 1.1430 rejection band. Structure holds a shallow higher-low chain off the 1.1391 swing low; range top still capping.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1415 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's key EUR catalyst
Thin Asian session with price coiling just under the 1.1430 range top, RSI(14) neutral near 57. EUR steadied above 1.1400 after repeated rejections at 1.1430 during London/NY, and the overnight drift has held the upper half of the day's range.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims later today could shift this read once liquidity returns
Recovered off NY low, grinding toward session-high resistance.
EURUSD recovered from the 1.1391 NY-session dip and is grinding higher through a quiet Asian session, now pressing the 1.1428-1.1430 resistance where prior pushes stalled. RSI(14) is mid-range near 57 and price holds above EMA20/50; still boxed in the low-1.14s.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1443 resistance band
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 NY low
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Micro uptrend, grinding · RSI 57 · price 1.14259
Higher lows into 1.1430 cap.
Asia session grinding higher off the NY dip to 1.1391, printing higher lows back toward the 1.1430 range top where supply has capped repeatedly. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, no extreme; price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and German HICP Fri could shift this read
EUR steadied above 1.1400 after the four-day low and clawed back through the Asian session toward the 1.1430 range top, where it was rejected earlier. Quiet, low-volume grind higher with RSI(14) mid-60s; price parked just under resistance with a rising sequence of intraday lows.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.1420 puts the 1.1391 swing low back in view
US Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) and Williams could shift the read
Asia session grinding higher on thin volume, EUR/USD pressing the 1.1430 range top after buyers stepped in around 1.1416. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme; price steadied above 1.1400 following the four-day low, still capped near 1.1430 as the digest notes.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens path toward the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1400 pivot and 1.1391 swing low
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams could shift this read
02:01 UTC
Mild uptrend, grinding · RSI 57 · price 1.14256
Higher lows into session high.
NY pushed EURUSD to 1.14300 and Asia has been coiling just under it, capped repeatedly at that session high while holding above 1.14150. Structure is a shallow uptrend of higher lows, RSI(14) mid-range near 57 — no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path toward the 1.14450 range top
Failure to hold 1.14150 exposes the 1.13910 range base
Quiet Asia session grinding higher off 1.14196, EUR pinned in the low-1.14s per range-bound tone from Fed-minutes caution and firm oil-driven USD. Price capped repeatedly at the 1.14300 session high; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.14196, 1.1415, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the path back toward the range top near 1.14500
Failure to hold 1.14196 exposes the 1.14150 consolidation base
US jobless claims 12:30 UTC and Fed's Williams 13:00 UTC could shift this read
Asia session grinding around 1.1420 after London-NY lifted price off the 1.1391 base; supply capped twice near the 1.1430 session high. EUR steadied above 1.1400 with US-Iran headlines keeping the USD bid, price still boxed inside the intraday range.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens a retest of the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1391 range base
US Initial Jobless Claims (12:30 GMT) could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Mild uptrend, momentum stalling near range top · RSI 56 · price 1.14223
Recovering toward the 1.1430 range ceiling after a mid-window flush.
EURUSD ground back up through the Asia session to 1.1422 after a NY flush to 1.1396, pinned under the 1.1430 range top that has capped rallies twice. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; still boxed in the 1.1396-1.1430 band flagged by the desk range.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1396
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1416 reopens the 1.1396 swing low
US Jobless Claims later today could shift the USD leg
01:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 53 · price 1.14211
Range-bound, 1.1416-1.1430.
Asia session grinding in a tight 1.1416-1.1430 band after London-NY stalled at 1.1430, a level rejected twice. RSI(14) neutral near 53 and price holds above EMA20/50, but structure is flat with the 1.1391 swing low well below. No setup in play — range intact.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1448/1.1480 area
Range within 1.1391–1.1430, higher lows late session.
Asia session grinding in a 1.1391–1.1430 range; price recovered off the 1.1391 dip carved during London-NY hours and printed a session high near 1.14300 before easing to 1.14211. Repeated rejection at 1.1430 caps the top, with higher lows building underneath.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path to 1.1480
Loss of 1.14160 pivot reopens the 1.14000/1.13910 floor
US-Iran/oil headlines the key intraday USD driver
01:16 UTC
Grinding higher within range · RSI 57 · price 1.14234
Range, basing above 1.1416.
Asia session ground back up toward 1.1430 after basing around 1.1416, but the 1.1430 area capped again on repeated tests. RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips; still boxed inside the 1.1416-1.1430 intraday range.
EURUSD is grinding along its session high at 1.14300 in thin Asia-hours trade, having recovered off the 1.13910 swing low; RSI(14) mid-range near 57 with no extreme. Repeated stalls at 1.14300 cap the move while dips into 1.14150 have been bought, keeping price boxed in the low-1.14s.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the 1.1430/1.1480 zone flagged in the range
Loss of 1.14150 exposes the 1.14000 round number and 1.13910 swing low
Oil / US-Iran headlines the key USD driver into the session
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 62 · price 1.14254
Higher lows off session low, testing 1.1430 cap.
Asian session grinding higher off the 1.1391 session low, now pressing the 1.1430 area that capped price repeatedly through London-NY. RSI(14) firm near 62, not yet stretched; the 1.1430 cap flagged in the macro read is the level in play.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.14150 pivot exposes the 1.13910 session low
Asia session grinding back toward the 1.1430 cap that has rejected price repeatedly; the last push tagged 1.14298 before easing to 1.1425. Price holds a chain of higher lows off 1.1416 but the range top is still intact.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1480/1.1500 area
Loss of 1.1416 then 1.1400 flips the near-term read lower
00:46 UTC
Grinding higher into resistance · RSI 61 · price 1.14256
Range, recent higher lows.
EURUSD ground up through a low-volume overnight drift near 1.14160 and pushed to 1.14298 on picking-up Asian volume, now stalling just under the 1.1430 macro resistance the market has repeatedly rejected. RSI(14) mid-60s, hot but not extreme; the 1.1391-1.1431 window range remains intact.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path toward 1.1480
Loss of 1.14160 drift base exposes 1.13910 session low
German final HICP (Fri) is the next euro-area risk into the range
Thin Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1391 low, printing higher lows into the 1.1430 cap flagged repeatedly this week. RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR compressed — moves are small into the quiet hours. Broader tone stays two-way: hawkish ECB support versus an oil-driven safe-haven USD bid.
Support: 1.1421, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens 1.1450
Loss of 1.1400 pivot flips the near-term read lower
US Jobless Claims later today could inject volatility
Asian session ground back up to the 1.14300 prior high that capped the prior NY push, with price now at 1.14281 on thin volume. Two rejections sit near 1.14310 forming a double top; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet extended. Range floor at the 1.14160 asian low still holding.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 invalidates the double top and opens 1.14430
Loss of the 1.14160 asian low signals rotation back toward 1.14000
US Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Range, edging to top · RSI 63 · price 1.14281
Intraday range 1.1391-1.1430, higher lows building.
Asia session grinding back to the range top at 1.1430, which capped price twice during the prior NY hours. RSI(14) near 63 with a chain of higher lows off the 1.1391 session low; still inside the day's 1.1391-1.1430 range, no clean break yet.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1416 returns focus to the 1.1391 session low
German Trade Balance (06:00 GMT) and US jobless claims (12:30 GMT) later today
00:16 UTC
Recovery off intraday base, testing cap · RSI 68 · price 1.1428
Quiet range breaking higher into 1.1430.
Thin Asian session held a tight 1.1415–1.1418 range before the last candle pushed up to 1.1428, edging into the 1.1430 cap desks have flagged repeatedly. RSI(14) firm near 68 on the breakout; ATR is compressed at ~4 pips after hours of low-volume drift.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward the 1.1450 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1416 range floor reopens the 1.1391 swing low
German final HICP (Fri 06:00 GMT) could shift this read
00:16 UTC
Grinding higher, low-volume Asia · RSI 66 · price 1.1428
Consolidation break toward the 1.1430 cap.
EURUSD coiled 1.1416–1.1420 through thin Asia, then a low-volume breakout lifted price to 1.1428, retesting the 1.1430 cap that rejected earlier in the session. RSI(14) firm near 66; ATR compressed to ~3 pips in the quiet Asian window.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1431
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1430 opens the drift toward 1.1450
Failure at 1.1430 and loss of the 1.1416 asian floor reopens 1.1391
Thin Asia liquidity makes the breakout prone to a false break
00:01 UTC
Range, drifting up late-session · RSI 56 · price 1.14214
Consolidation near top of prior range.
London/NY rejected 1.14301 and price has since coiled into a tight Asia-session drift back up to 1.14214, holding the 38.2% retrace of the 1.1391–1.14301 leg near 1.14149. ATR has compressed to ~3 pips; no setup in play, just low-volume grind between session low and session high.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14301 reopens the 1.1450 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14149 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
Volatility likely to expand on London open out of this Asian compression
00:01 UTC
Sideways, low-vol drift · RSI 55 · price 1.14214
Range, consolidating in low 1.14s.
Thin early-Asia grind higher off 1.1415 back toward 1.1422 after the NY session capped at 1.1430; RSI(14) neutral near 55 with ATR compressed to ~7 pips. Two-way range from Iran-driven USD haven bid vs ECB repricing keeps 1.1415-1.1430 in control.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14300 session high opens the 1.1430 range cap
Loss of 1.14150 recent low exposes 1.13910 swing low
German final HICP later Fri could shift this range read