EUR/USD stalled at 1.1430 during the NY session, rejected there, then drifted into a tight thin-liquidity coil around 1.1418 through the Asia handover. Price holds above the 1.1415 session low with the 1.1392 swing low the next reference below; the 1.1430 cap has held all day.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1392
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range cap
Loss of the 1.1415 session low exposes the 1.1392 swing low
German HICP Fri could shift this range read
23:46 UTC
Range-bound, drifting higher into Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.14208
Capped at 1.1430, holding above 1.1415.
EUR/USD chopped between 1.1391 and 1.1430 through the NY session, rejected twice near 1.1430 before settling into a tight, low-volume Asian range around 1.1420. RSI(14) neutral with no momentum extreme; 1.1430 remains the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path toward the 1.14500 range cap
Loss of the 1.14150 recent floor exposes the 1.13910 swing low
German HICP Fri could shift the EUR range read
23:32 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.1418
Consolidation below 1.1430 after NY rejection.
NY session pushed to 1.1430 around the FOMC minutes but was rejected there — the same cap flagged in the macro read — before fading back to 1.1416/1.1418. Price has flatlined on thin post-NY volume, RSI(14) neutral near 47, with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1391 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
Liquidity returns on Asia/London open — thin tail range unreliable
Consolidating mid-range after rejection at 1.1431.
EURUSD drifted off the 1.1431 session high through late NY and has flatlined near 1.1418 into the Asia session on thin volume. Two-way range holds between 1.1391 and 1.1431 with RSI neutral; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1431 opens the drift toward the 1.1430/1.1450 cap
Loss of 1.1391 session low confirms a lower low
Iran / oil headlines remain the overnight swing factor for the USD haven bid
23:17 UTC
Range-bound, drifting off highs · RSI 47 · price 1.14176
Intraday range, consolidating in thin conditions.
EURUSD is pinned in a thin post-NY, Asia-session range, drifting from the 1.1430 swing high back to a shelf around 1.1415 on collapsing volume. Earlier sharp flush to 1.1391 was bought back, but momentum has flattened with price sitting just under EMA20; broader EUR read is two-way into German HICP.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 swing high opens the path toward the 1.1450 range cap
Loss of the 1.1415 session low reopens 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT could break the range
23:16 UTC
Faded from highs, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14176
Tight Asian range under 1.1430.
EUR faded from the session high at 1.1431 during NY hours and is now flat around 1.1418 in a tight Asian range on thin volume, consistent with the repeated rejection at 1.1430 the digest flags. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; no setup in play into early Asia.
Support: 1.14146, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 session high reopens the 1.1430/1.1450 cap
Loss of the 1.14146 range floor exposes the 1.13910 swing low
German HICP (Fri) is the nearest event that could shift this range read
23:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14188
Pullback from session high, now flatlining.
NY session pushed up to 1.14301 then got rejected, fading back to the 1.14149 range floor before flatlining near 1.1418 on very thin Asian-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 51; no directional setup in play while price sits pinned between 1.14149 and the 1.14301 session high.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14149 opens 1.1400 psych and 1.1391 swing low
M15 close above 1.14301 reopens the 1.14430 macro cap
German HICP Fri could shift this range read
23:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.14188
Consolidation in low-1.14s after fade from session high.
EURUSD is ranging in the low-1.14s through a quiet Asia session, holding just above 1.14149 after London faded the 1.14300 session high. The sharp drop at the London open around the FOMC minutes was bought back to the range mid; RSI(14) neutral near 52 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 opens the path back toward the 1.14312 prior high
EUR/USD faded from a double top at 1.1430 tested through NY hours and is now drifting in a thin post-NY/Asia tape near 1.1418, volumes collapsing to single digits. RSI(14) neutral around 44; the 1.1415 area, the 38.2% retrace of the 1.1391–1.1430 leg, is the immediate floor holding the pullback.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1415 opens the 1.1391 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1430 negates the double-top read
Thin late-session liquidity — moves prone to distortion until London open
22:46 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14177
Rejected 1.1430, consolidating mid-range.
EURUSD was rejected at the session high near 1.14300 twice during NY hours, then faded to the 1.14150 session low before steadying around 1.1417 in thin late-session flows. RSI sits mid-40s and price is back below EMA20 — a stalled pullback rather than a fresh leg.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 reopens the upside toward 1.14312
EURUSD twice rejected the 1.14300 session high before easing back to 1.14168 in thin late-session liquidity, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Pair remains boxed between the 1.14140 recent low and 1.14300, no directional break in play.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14140 opens 1.14000 psych then 1.13910 swing low
Acceptance above 1.14300 needed to challenge the 1.14430 range top
German HICP (Fri) is the week's EUR catalyst and could break the range
22:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14168
Capped at 1.1430, holding above 1.1415.
Price rejected the 1.14300 session high twice and faded to 1.14168 through thin Asia hours, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Boxed between 1.14150 and 1.14300 with no fresh setup, EUR still pinned in its broader low-1.14s range after the 1.1430 rejection.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14150 opens the 1.13910 swing low
Acceptance above 1.14300 needed to extend the up leg
NY session pushed back to the 1.1430 session high and was rejected, price now easing to 1.1417 in thin late-session trade with RSI in the mid-40s. Pair stays boxed 1.1391–1.1430, the two-way range flagged around the 1.1400 pivot; no clean setup while volume thins into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 unlocks the 1.1480 upper range
Loss of 1.1400 pivot opens 1.1391 swing low then 1.1360
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's EUR catalyst
22:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 46 · price 1.14166
Capped at 1.1430, easing back into range.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1430 area twice through the NY session and has since drifted back to 1.1416, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. Thin Asia-session volume, no fresh direction — boxed between 1.1400 and the 1.1430 rejection.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path back toward the 1.1480 upper range
Loss of 1.1400 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
German HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the week's EUR catalyst — could reset this range
22:01 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14173
Capped at 1.1430, pulling back into mid-range.
EUR/USD rejected twice at the 1.1430 double top through NY hours and has retraced to the 1.14150 area, now hovering near 1.14173 in thin late-session trade. FOMC minutes and revived US-Iran risk kept the dollar firm, capping the single currency below range resistance. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14300 negates the double-top rejection and reopens 1.14312
Break below 1.14150 exposes the 1.14000 round number then 1.13910 swing low
German final HICP (Fri) is the week's catalyst that could shift this range read
Pullback from session high, low-volume consolidation.
EURUSD rallied off 1.1391 into the 1.1430 session high before fading to 1.1416; price now drifts sideways near 1.1417 on thin late-session volume. Rejection at 1.1430 held, keeping the pair inside the broader 1.1360-1.1480 box flagged in the macro read.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1430 reopens the range-top toward 1.1448
Loss of 1.1416 exposes the 1.1400 pivot then 1.1391 swing low
Thin Asia liquidity can distort moves until London reopens
21:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.1416
Rangebound 1.1390-1.1430, pulling off the top.
Rangebound 1.1390-1.1430 all session; EUR was rejected at the 1.1430 top and eased back to 1.1416 into late NY, coinciding with the FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC. RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with momentum flat, price slipping back under EMA20.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the range top toward 1.1448
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.1391 range low
Asia-session liquidity thinning after NY close
21:46 UTC
Ranging, pullback off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.1416
Range-bound low 1.14s, 1.1391-1.1430.
EUR rejected at the 1.1430 session high and has drifted back to 1.1416 on thin late-NY volume, staying boxed in the low 1.14s per the two-way ECB/USD read. Range floor sits at 1.1391 with the 1.1400 round number the near pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the range top toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1391 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1360
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this read
21:32 UTC
Range, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.14181
Capped at 1.1430, holding above 1.1415.
EUR was rejected twice at the 1.1430 session high and slid to the 1.14149 session low before a thin-volume tick back to 1.1418 into the NY-Asia handoff. Price remains boxed inside the digest's 1.1360-1.1480 range with the 1.14 pivot in focus; FOMC minutes released earlier gave no fresh directional trigger.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14301 session high opens the 1.1450/1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14149 session low exposes 1.13910 swing low
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could break the range
21:32 UTC
Pullback from intraday highs · RSI 42 · price 1.14181
Double top at 1.1430, drifting lower.
NY session pushed to 1.1430 twice and was rejected both times, leaving a double top; price has since faded to 1.1418 on very thin late/Asia-transition volume. FOMC minutes were the scheduled focus earlier, but follow-through has stalled with the pair boxed in the low-1.14s.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14150 swing low opens the path to the 1.13910 session low
Close back above 1.14300 double top needed to revive upside
German HICP (Fri) is the week's key catalyst and could break this range
21:17 UTC
Range, edging off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.14175
Ranging below session high after rejection.
NY session drifted back from the 1.14300 session high into the late-day lull, pulling into 1.14149 before steadying at 1.14175 as FOMC minutes were digested. Price is ranging roughly 1.1415–1.1430 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral; supply capped repeatedly at 1.1430, consistent with the broader 1.1360–1.1450 box.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1391, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14149 opens the path toward 1.14000/1.13910
Reclaim of 1.14300 needed to retest the 1.1430 cap
Thin late-session/Asia liquidity can distort the range read
21:16 UTC
Range, pulling back from highs · RSI 40 · price 1.14175
Boxed 1.1391–1.1431, rejected at session high.
NY session pushed to 1.1429 then rolled over into the close, price drifting back to 1.14175 as the safe-haven USD held firm on Iran headlines and post-FOMC-minutes positioning. Range 1.1391–1.1431 intact, RSI cooled into the low 40s on the pullback; last two bars are thin rollover prints.
Support: 1.1415, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1431
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1429 session high needed to resume upside
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych opens the 1.1391 session low
Iran/Hormuz headlines could reprice USD before Asia builds a range
21:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.14159
Rally into session high, now retracing.
Late-NY rally stalled at the 1.14300 session high and rolled over, price now retracing to 1.14159 around the 38.2% fib of the 1.1391–1.14300 leg. Move fits the digest's 1.1430 cap; the 1.1390 floor has held twice on this window.
Support: 1.14149, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14149 swing low exposes the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.14300 session high needed to re-open 1.1430 range cap
US jobless claims Thu could shift the USD leg
21:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.14159
Session range 1.1391–1.1430, fading from highs.
NY session ground up to a session high near 1.1430 after FOMC minutes landed post-close, then rejected and faded back toward 1.1416 with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. EUR remains pinned near 1.1400 amid the Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid; price now sits below EMA20 as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 session high opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number exposes the 1.1391 session low
German final HICP Fri 06:00 GMT is the next EUR catalyst
20:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14159
Higher highs into 1.1430, now fading.
NY session pushed to a session high near 1.14300 after the FOMC minutes but stalled there twice, and price is now fading to 1.14159 into late NY hours. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the pullback tags the 38.2% retrace of the 1.13910–1.14300 leg.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14100 breaks rising support and exposes the 1.13910 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14300 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
20:46 UTC
Uptrend fading, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.14159
Rally into 1.1430 rejected, retracing.
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1391 low up to 1.1430 around the FOMC minutes, where price was rejected at the range cap flagged in context. Late-session fade has since pulled it back to 1.1416, RSI cooling to mid-40s and price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14100 opens a retest of the 1.13910 session low
Reclaim and close above 1.14300 reopens the 1.1443 range cap
Consolidating near session highs after rejection at 1.1430.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1391 session low into the FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT, tagging 1.14312 before stalling at the 1.1430 range cap. Price has since drifted back to 1.14192, RSI cooling toward neutral as the move loses steam.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.14300 opens the path toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.14160 swing low exposes the 1.1400 round number
Iran / oil headlines and FOMC minutes fallout still driving the USD leg
20:32 UTC
Up off session low, momentum fading · RSI 45 · price 1.14192
Double top at 1.1430 cap, pulling back.
EUR rallied into the 1.14300 cap after the FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT, then stalled with twin peaks at 1.14301/1.14312 forming a double top. Price is easing back to 1.14192 into the NY close, RSI cooling to the mid-40s; 1.14140 is the nearest swing support.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 invalidates the double top and opens 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.14140 exposes the 1.1391 session low
US jobless claims Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
Higher lows into 1.1430 cap, consolidating just below.
NY session drove EUR off the 1.1391 low up to the 1.1430 cap after the FOMC minutes, where price was rejected and is now consolidating around 1.1424 into late NY hours. RSI(14) mid-60s with room; 1.1430 remains the level supply keeps stepping in at.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450/1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1418 exposes the 1.1391 swing low
FOMC minutes fallout could still shift the USD leg into next bars
EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1391 session low after the FOMC minutes, tagging the 1.1430 range cap where price stalled and RSI is cooling from mid-60s. Late-session consolidation between 1.1424 and 1.1430; the range top from the digest remains intact.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 range cap opens the path toward 1.1450
Loss of 1.1416 swing low exposes the 1.1391 session low
Ongoing FOMC minutes digestion could shift the USD leg
Higher lows off 1.1391, stalling under 1.1430 cap.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1391 swing low through the NY session, running into the 1.1430 range cap flagged as the key resistance around the FOMC minutes. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1420–1.1430 band with RSI cooling from the highs; the 1.1430 cap remains unbroken.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes 1.1400 and the 1.1391 swing low
EUR/USD climbed off the 1.1391 swing low through the NY afternoon after the FOMC minutes, printing a session high at 1.1430 before stalling. Price is now grinding sideways just under the 1.1430 cap with RSI(14) cooling from the highs; the 1.14186 higher low holds the near-term structure intact.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14301, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14301 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.14186 higher low breaks the intraday sequence
Rally off session low into 1.1430 cap, consolidating.
Late NY session: EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1391 session low to test the 1.1430 cap flagged into the FOMC minutes, printing 1.1430 twice before easing to 1.1425. RSI(14) near 63, momentum flattening as price stalls under resistance.
Support: 1.1416, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the 1.1450 path
Failure to hold 1.14160 swing low reopens the range floor
Higher lows into session high, stalling below 1.1430.
EUR/USD recovered from the London-session low at 1.13910 and climbed through NY into and after the FOMC minutes, tagging 1.14300 — the 1.1430 cap desks are watching. Price is now grinding sideways just under that level with RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450/1.1500 path
Failure to hold 1.14186 breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes fallout still filtering through the USD leg
19:31 UTC
Recovery, pressing session high · RSI 64 · price 1.14289
Higher lows off 1.1391, testing 1.1430 cap.
NY session ground back to the session high at 1.14312 after the FOMC-minutes whipsaw that spiked into 1.1450 then dumped to 1.1391. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.1391; price now retesting the 1.1430 cap with RSI(14) in the low 60s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.14000 reopens the 1.13910 swing low
Higher-low chain off 1.1391, consolidating near highs.
EUR/USD stair-stepped higher through the NY session, the 18:00 GMT FOMC minutes bar clearing 1.14200 and extending toward 1.14292. Price is now consolidating 1.14250–1.14292 just under the 1.14312 prior high, RSI(14) around 64 with no extreme. Higher lows off the 1.1391 base remain intact.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1443
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the path toward the 1.14430 range cap
Loss of the 1.14186 trendline breaks the higher-low chain
Post-minutes USD reaction still developing — could shift the read into the next bars
19:16 UTC
Recovery uptrend into resistance · RSI 66 · price 1.14284
Higher lows off session low, capped near 1.1430.
Late NY hours recovered EURUSD from the 1.1391 session low back to 1.14284, retesting the 1.1430 range cap that rejected price earlier. Move follows the FOMC minutes and Iran-driven USD tone; RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 range cap opens the 1.1500 path
Failure to hold 1.14186 swing low reopens the 1.1400 psych level
Fresh FOMC minutes / Iran headlines could shift the USD leg into the next bars
19:16 UTC
Uptrend, testing session cap · RSI 66 · price 1.14284
Higher lows into 1.1430 resistance.
NY session ground higher off the 1.1391 swing low, printing a chain of higher lows into the 1.1430 range cap flagged in the EUR read. Price now stalling at 1.14284 just below resistance, RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not stretched.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14292
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.1400 psych breaks the higher-low chain
FOMC minutes fallout tonight could shift the USD leg and this read
19:01 UTC
Recovering, momentum easing near cap · RSI 61 · price 1.14271
Rally off swing low stalling at range top.
EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1391 swing low through the NY session, grinding back into the 1.1430 range cap as the FOMC minutes landed. Price is stalling just under the 1.14286 session high — a second look at the cap after the earlier 1.1431 rejection, RSI cooling from the high-60s.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14286
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 range cap opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1391 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1360
FOMC minutes fallout could shift the read into the next hours
EUR/USD ground higher through the NY session, buyers stepping in around 1.1391 and building a HH/HL chain up to the 1.1430 cap flagged in the digest. RSI(14) near 66 and cooling as price stalls just under the prior 1.14312 high; the move is testing supply, not breaking it.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14286, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.14186 higher low breaks the intraday uptrend
FOMC minutes fallout could reprice the USD leg into the next bars
NY session rallied EURUSD off the 1.1391 swing low to press the 1.1430 range cap, the move firming after the FOMC minutes as USD safe-haven bid eased. RSI(14) hot near 67 but no break of 1.1430 yet; buyers held each dip through the last two hours.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1419 pullback low resets the range read
FOMC minutes fallout still filtering through — could shift the USD leg
18:46 UTC
Uptrend into resistance · RSI 67 · price 1.1428
Higher lows, testing session high.
NY session ground higher from the 1.1392 swing low into the 1.1430 range cap, EUR firm as the USD safe-haven bid faded ahead of the FOMC minutes. Price is stalling just under 1.14285 session high with RSI(14) hot near 67 but not extreme.
Support: 1.14186, 1.1392, 1.1416
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 range cap opens the 1.1450 path
Failure to hold the 1.14186 swing low breaks the rising structure
FOMC minutes fallout could shift this read intraday
18:31 UTC
Short-term uptrend into resistance · RSI 63 · price 1.14251
Higher-lows off 1.1391, capped near 1.1430.
NY session recovered from the 1.1391 swing low back to the 1.1430 cap as FOMC minutes hit the wire at 18:00 GMT. Sellers rejected 1.14283 twice — the same zone that capped near 1.14312 earlier — leaving a double-top look while RSI(14) sits mid-60s.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14283, 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Clean M15 close above 1.1430 negates the double-top and opens the range top
Loss of 1.1400 shifts tone back toward the 1.1391 swing low
FOMC minutes reaction still developing — could shift this read within the next bars
NY session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1391 session low back toward the 1.1430 range cap, with the leg accelerating around the FOMC minutes release. Price stalls at 1.1425 just below the 1.1430 area; RSF still constructive but no break of the cap yet.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1391 session low reopens the 1.1360 range floor
FOMC minutes reaction still developing — could shift this read intraday
18:16 UTC
Short-term uptrend into resistance · RSI 65 · price 1.14275
Recovery off session low, testing 1.1430 cap.
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.1391 session low and pushed back to 1.14275 as FOMC minutes (18:00 GMT) crossed, stalling into the 1.1430 cap. RSI(14) near 64, momentum firm but not extended; prior intraday high at 1.14312 is the immediate hurdle.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the 1.1450 range top
Failure to hold 1.1400 shifts focus back to the 1.1391 session low
FOMC minutes reaction still developing — could reprice this leg fast
18:16 UTC
Recovering off range floor · RSI 62 · price 1.14275
Range, pushing back to top.
EUR/USD reclaimed the range top, rallying from the 1.1391 swing low back to 1.14275 into the FOMC minutes (18:00 GMT). Price sits just under the 1.1430 cap that rejected earlier NY highs; RSI(14) firm near 62, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the imminent driver and can shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1400 round number reopens the 1.1391 range floor
NY session rallied off the 1.1391 swing low to test the 1.1426-1.1430 range cap into the FOMC minutes, then pulled back to 1.1420 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Move stalled at the session high; the 1.1430 cap flagged in the digest still holds.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14268, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes just released (18:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1391 shifts near-term tone lower toward the 1.1360 floor
EURUSD swept the 1.1391 session low late NY then rallied to 1.14268 as the FOMC minutes hit, before easing back to 1.14202. RSI(14) around 60 with price holding above EMA20/50; session high at 1.14268 caps, 1.1430 the wider ceiling flagged into the minutes.
Support: 1.1414, 1.1400, 1.1391
Resistance: 1.14268, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14268 opens the 1.1430 cap
Loss of 1.14000 round number reopens the 1.13910 session low
FOMC minutes just released — reaction can reset this range
EURUSD held a 1.1391–1.1430 range through NY hours, twice defending 1.1391 before a sharp bounce lifted it back to the 1.14268 session high; RSI has recovered toward 60. The pair is pinned below the 1.1430 cap flagged in the wider read, with June FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT the immediate swing factor.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14268, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (minutes away) can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 range cap opens the 1.15 path
Loss of 1.1391 session low reopens the 1.1360 range floor
NY session bid EUR/USD off the 1.1391 low up to 1.14268 before a shallow pullback to 1.14215, RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is pressing the top of the 1.1360-1.1430 range with the June FOMC minutes due imminently at 18:00 GMT.
Support: 1.14005, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14268, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the immediate driver and can reshape this read
Close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.15
Loss of 1.13910 reasserts the range floor toward 1.1360
17:31 UTC
Recovering, approaching cap · RSI 65 · price 1.14253
Leg up off session low into 1.1430 resistance.
NY session rallied off the 1.1391 swing low back toward the 1.1430 cap, RSI(14) mid-60s and price above both EMAs. Pair sits pinned under the 1.1430 area that has repeatedly capped this week, with FOMC minutes (18:00 GMT) as the swing factor into the close.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1431 opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1391 reopens the 1.1360 range floor
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Short-term recovery, testing cap · RSI 66 · price 1.14253
Bounce off 1.1391 low back to session high.
NY session bought the 1.1391 low twice and ran the pair back to a session high at 1.1426, RSI near 66 and price back above both EMAs. Now pressing the 1.1430 cap that has rejected all week, with FOMC minutes imminent.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~30min) is the swing factor and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1391 reopens the 1.1360 range floor
EURUSD bounced from the 1.1391 session low back to session highs near 1.1423 in the last hour of NY trade, RSI(14) firming to ~64. Price is boxed between 1.1391 and the 1.1430 cap flagged all week; last leg is testing the top of that range.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (under ~45min) is the near-term arbiter and could break the 1.1391–1.1430 range either way
Close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450–1.1500 zone
Failure to hold 1.1391 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1360 range floor
17:16 UTC
Range, recovering into FOMC · RSI 61 · price 1.14215
Ranging 1.1391–1.1431, bounce off session low.
NY session chop: EUR rejected repeatedly near the 1.14312 swing high, then swept the session low at 1.1391 before recovering sharply to 1.14215. Pair remains boxed in the 1.1391–1.1431 range ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1450
What it said to watch
18:00 GMT FOMC minutes (~45m out) is the immediate catalyst and can break this range either way
Close above 1.14312 swing high opens the 1.1450 range top
Loss of 1.1391 session low exposes the 1.1360 range floor
17:01 UTC
Range, bouncing off floor · RSI 56 · price 1.14149
Range-bound 1.1390-1.1430, recent recovery off session low.
EURUSD bounced twice off 1.1391 during the NY session and has recovered to 1.1415, RSI(14) back to mid-range. The 1.1390-1.1430 range remains intact with 1.1430 still capping on safe-haven USD demand; FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT are the near-term arbiter.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 zone
Loss of 1.1391 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
17:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.14149
Range-bound, bounce from range floor.
EURUSD boxed 1.1391–1.1430 through the NY session, with two lows near 1.1391 holding and price now recovering to 1.1415. Earlier rejection at the 1.1430 range top still caps; RSI(14) mid-range at 58 with no extreme.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1450
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~1h out) could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 zone
Failure to hold 1.1391 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
NY afternoon: EURUSD stuck in a 1.1391-1.1430 box, capped repeatedly at 1.1430 by a safe-haven USD bid. Price swept the 1.1391 session low then bounced back to 1.1411, RSI mid-range with no extreme; nothing structural in play ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1418
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the near-term arbiter and can break this range either way
M15 close above 1.1430 range top opens the 1.1450-1.1500 zone
Loss of 1.1391 session low exposes the 1.1360 range floor
16:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower with late bounce · RSI 52 · price 1.14112
Boxed 1.1391-1.1430, lower highs into session low.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.1431 high, printing a session low at 1.1391 before buyers stepped in late, lifting price back to 1.1411. Pair remains boxed between 1.1391 and 1.1430 ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT (~75 min out) can break this range
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the 1.1450 zone
Failure to hold 1.1391 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
NY session ground lower, printing a double bottom at 1.1391 before a modest bounce back to 1.1402. Sellers capped the earlier push at 1.1430; price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 44, mid-range.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1391 opens the path toward 1.1360 range base
Reclaim of 1.1412 needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR drifted lower through the NY session under a chain of lower highs, but demand stepped in twice near 1.1391 to carve a double bottom; price now recovering to 1.14019. Rallies have been capped at the 1.14135 swing high.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1391 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1360
Close above 1.14135 negates the lower-high sequence
NY session grinding lower, EUR carving session lows near 1.1391 after being rejected at the 1.1430 cap earlier, with the dollar underpinned by Iran-driven safe-haven flows. Chain of lower highs intact and price holding below EMA20/50; RSI(14) around 41, no exhaustion signal yet.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1391 confirms fresh lower-low, opening 1.1360 range low
Reclaim of 1.1406 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into NY afternoon · RSI 39 · price 1.13965
Chain of lower highs, session low pressured.
EUR slipped through the 1.1400 psych handle in the NY afternoon, printing a session low at 1.1391 as safe-haven USD demand kept rallies capped. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39, no oversold extreme yet.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14135, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the primary near-term driver and could reset this read
A close back above 1.1400 negates the lower-low break
Loss of 1.1391 exposes the 1.1360 range base
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 37 · price 1.13959
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.13910 with price rejected repeatedly under 1.14130 — pressured as the safe-haven USD bid holds into the FOMC minutes. RSI(14) near 37, not yet stretched, and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1429
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the primary near-term driver and could shift this read
M15 close below 1.13910 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 range base
EUR ground down through the NY session to fresh session lows at 1.1391 after the 1.1430 rejection, holding just above the round 1.1400 that has now flipped to a ceiling. RSI(14) near 40, no oversold extreme yet, price pinned below EMA20/50 into the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1406, 1.14135, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~2h) is the primary near-term driver for this read
Close below 1.1391 confirms the lower-low and opens 1.1360 range support
Reclaim of 1.1406 would neutralise the intraday downtrend
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 33 · price 1.13924
Lower highs, breaking 1.1400 floor.
EUR ground lower through NY hours, breaking the 1.1400 psych level to print a fresh session low at 1.1391 as safe-haven USD demand held. Chain of lower highs from 1.1430 intact; RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet at extremes.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14135, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych would neutralise the lower-low sequence
Loss of 1.1391 session low opens the 1.1360 range support
EUR drifted lower through the session after rejection at 1.14312, now pressing the 1.1391 session lows into the FOMC minutes. RSI(14) sub-35 but not yet extreme; sellers have held a chain of lower highs since the 1.1430 rejection.
Support: 1.1391, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1430 invalidates the lower-highs structure
EURUSD drifting lower into the NY afternoon, rejected at the 1.14290 session high and now pinned near session lows around 1.1398, RSI(14) soft at 41. Price is grinding along the lower edge of the 1.1393–1.1413 intraday range ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1429
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~2.5h out) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.14130 swing high needed to shift the intraday drift
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1431 rejection through the session and is now grinding the 1.1393 swing low with RSI(14) soft near 42. Price holds below EMA20/50 inside a 1.1393–1.1431 range, buyers stepping in shallowly on each dip.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1410, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1393 opens the 1.1360 pivot
reclaim of 1.1410 needed to ease downside pressure
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
15:16 UTC
Sideways, drifting to range low · RSI 44 · price 1.14001
Range-bound, testing lower edge.
EURUSD is grinding along the lower edge of a 1.1393–1.1431 NY-session range, closing at the 1.1400 round number with RSI(14) mid-40s. The 1.14135 swing high capped the last bounce and price has slipped back toward session lows; no directional break in play.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1395, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
Reclaim of 1.14135 reopens the 1.14312 prior high
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~2.5h out) could materially shift this read
Ranging between session high and low, price in lower third.
EURUSD ranging roughly 1.1393–1.1431 through the NY session, rejected at 1.1431 and drifting back to the 1.1400 round number. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, price under both EMAs; no clean setup, consolidation ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14135 needed to re-test the 1.1431 session high
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD is pinned just above 1.1400 through the NY session, oscillating in a tight 1.1393–1.1431 band with RSI hovering near 47. The 1.14312 session high was rejected early and price has since drifted, but demand stepped in repeatedly around 1.1393; no setup in play with FOMC minutes ahead.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1393
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1431 unlocks the 1.15 area
Loss of 1.1393 confirms a lower low and shifts tone lower
15:01 UTC
Rangebound, no clear bias · RSI 47 · price 1.14057
Consolidation just above 1.1400.
EURUSD pinned just above 1.1400 in a tight NY-session range after rejecting 1.1431 earlier in the window and dipping to a 1.1393 swing low. Price is coiling around EMA20 into the FOMC minutes, RSI(14) flat near midline with no momentum edge.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT (~3h out) could break this range in either direction
M15 close above 1.1413 puts the 1.1431 rejection zone back in play
Loss of 1.1393 opens a move toward the 1.1360 range base
14:46 UTC
Sideways, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14062
Range-bound, holding a tight intraday band.
EUR/USD ranging 1.1393–1.1414 through the NY session, pinned near 1.1406 as safe-haven USD demand offsets a hawkish-ECB lean. RSI(14) neutral around 49; no setup in play with FOMC minutes still ahead.
Support: 1.1395, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.1423
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 1.14135 clears the range top toward 1.1423
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
14:46 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.14062
Intraday range, mid-band chop.
EURUSD is churning in the NY session between the 1.13926 session low and 1.14135 swing high, price glued to its EMAs with RSI(14) flat near 48. The single currency stayed pinned around 1.1406 as the safe-haven USD bid from US-Iran headlines offset firm German IP; no directional structure in play ahead of the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could break this range in either direction
M15 close below 1.14000 exposes the 1.13926 session low
M15 close above 1.14135 opens the path back toward 1.14312
14:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.14072
Intraday range, mid-range.
EURUSD is grinding a tight intraday range roughly 1.1393–1.1425, currently mid-range near 1.1407 with RSI(14) flat around neutral. Two probes of the 1.1393 floor held during the NY session; the 1.1413 session high has capped bounces. Price is pinned into the 18:00 GMT FOMC minutes with no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.13952, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14236
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower-low out of the range
Close above 1.14135 reopens 1.1425 session structure
14:31 UTC
Rangebound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.14072
Choppy range around 1.1400 psych.
EURUSD is chopping either side of the 1.1400 psych level during NY hours, boxed between 1.1395 and 1.1414 with no directional follow-through. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 49 and ATR is compressed at ~9 pips; the earlier dip to 1.1393 was bought back but rallies keep stalling under 1.1414.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT can materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14140 opens the path back toward 1.14312
Loss of 1.13950 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.13900 range floor
14:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 50 · price 1.14058
Consolidation between 1.1393 and 1.1425.
EURUSD is chopping in a 1.1393–1.1425 range after the London-session slide off 1.1431, RSI(14) flat near 50. Buyers stepped in twice at the 1.1393/1.1395 session low; price has since crept back to sit on the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14236, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13926 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.14135 opens the path back toward 1.1423 range top
EUR/USD is coiling between 1.1393 and 1.1414 after the London-session slide from 1.1431, price pinned near the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat around 48. Buyers stepped in twice at the 1.1393 area while 1.14135 caps the bounces — a tight NY-session range ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.13952, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.14135, 1.14233, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower low
Close above 1.14135 opens the path toward 1.14233
14:01 UTC
Ranging, no directional momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.1409
Range-bound between 1.1393 and 1.1431.
EUR/USD is boxed in a 1.1393-1.1431 range through the NY session, dead mid-range at 1.1409 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1393 while supply capped the 1.1431 session high; no setup in play as the market sits on its hands into the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1450
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT (~4h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close below 1.1393 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
M15 close above 1.1431 opens the path toward the 1.1450 range top
14:01 UTC
Sideways, no directional momentum · RSI 51 · price 1.1409
Range-bound between 1.1390 and 1.1430.
EURUSD is chopping mid-range around 1.1409 through the NY session, holding the 1.1390-1.1430 band with RSI(14) flat near 51. Buyers defended 1.1392 twice into the London-NY transition, and the last bounce stalled near the 1.1414 recent high; positioning is compressed ahead of today's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1392, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1430
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a range break lower toward 1.1360
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path toward 1.1470
13:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 1.14102
Choppy range, holding session lows.
EURUSD is chopping inside a 1.1393-1.1430 range through the NY session. Buyers stepped in at the 1.1393 session low twice and price has recovered to 1.1410, but RSI(14) sits neutral near 53 with no setup in play into today's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1393 session low opens the 1.1360 range floor
Break above 1.1430 range top clears toward 1.1470
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term risk and could break this range
13:46 UTC
Range, no direction · RSI 53 · price 1.14102
Consolidation inside 1.1393-1.1431 band.
EURUSD is grinding sideways in a 1.1393-1.1431 band, coiling into today's FOMC Minutes (18:00 GMT) with traders sitting flat. Dips into the 1.1395 session low were bought back through the last hour and price recovered to 1.14102, RSI hovering near mid-range.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a range-floor break
M15 close above 1.1431 clears the range top and opens 1.1470
NY session has EUR/USD chopping between the 1.1393 swing low and the 1.1414 session high after sliding from 1.1431 through the London-NY transition. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with no momentum edge; price is pinned just under EMA20/50 as the market sits flat into FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1393 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1414 session high needed to neutralise the intraday slide
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst
13:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 46 · price 1.14041
Choppy range after leg down.
EUR/USD sold from 1.1431 to a 1.1393 session low during the London afternoon, then stalled and is chopping in a tight 1.1393-1.1414 band around 1.1404. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; no directional setup with traders parked ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT (~4.5h) is the dominant near-term catalyst
M15 close below 1.1393 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1414 puts the 1.1431 range top back in play
13:16 UTC
Mild downtrend within range · RSI 44 · price 1.13999
Range-bound, pressing lower edge.
EUR/USD ground lower through NY hours, holding a 1.1393-1.1435 range and now testing the session low near 1.1393 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Price is coiling below EMA20/50 as traders sit on their hands into the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1393 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could break this range
Reclaim of the 1.14312 swing high reopens the range top at 1.1435
13:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13999
Consolidation inside 1.1390-1.1450.
EUR/USD is grinding sideways through the NY session, capped under the 1.14312 session high and defending the 1.1393 low; price sits at 1.1400 with RSI(14) mid-range. Move is a quiet consolidation into today's FOMC Minutes (18:00 GMT), the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1450
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could break this range read
Close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low, exposes the 1.1360 range base
Close above 1.14312 puts the 1.1450 range top back in play
EUR/USD ground lower through the European session toward 1.1390 support, with a sweep to 1.13926 bought back but the bounce faded quickly. Lower highs remain intact and price is pinned near the session low ahead of the FOMC minutes catalyst.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 pivot support
Reclaim of 1.14143 needed to break the lower-highs chain
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the immediate catalyst and can reset this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY afternoon, printing a session low at 1.13926 before stabilising just above the 1.1390 support flagged in the macro read. Price is capped by a descending sequence of lower highs and sits below both intraday EMAs, RSI(14) mid-range near 42.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14066, 1.1415, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14150 negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14056
Ranging below intraday EMAs.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1393-1.1431 through the NY session, price at 1.1406 pinned below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 44. Rejection at 1.1431 earlier capped the upside and the session low at 1.1393 has held into the drift lower ahead of Fed minutes.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14235, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13926 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.1390 support
Reclaim of 1.14143 needed to challenge the 1.14235 area
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend easing into range · RSI 47 · price 1.14056
Consolidation after lower lows.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1437 through the London hours to tag 1.1393 before basing around 1.1405, with safe-haven USD and Iran/oil headlines capping any bounce. Price now grinds sideways below EMA20/50, RSI(14) neutral near 46; rejection at 1.1431 earlier still marks the session cap.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1393 session low opens 1.1360 pivot
Reclaim of 1.1431 session high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this range
12:31 UTC
Mild downtrend within range · RSI 45 · price 1.1405
Ranging, drifting lower highs.
EURUSD is ranging 1.1393–1.1413 after the London-session drop off 1.1431, price now sitting mid-range at 1.1405 with RSI(14) neutral near 44. Lower highs are stacking under 1.1413 while the 1.1393 session low has held; the pair is coiling ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1431
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 pivot
Reclaim above 1.1413 needed to break the lower-highs sequence
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD is stuck in a 1.1393–1.1430 range, drifting back to the 1.1405 mid after the 1.1393 low was swept and reclaimed. RSI(14) neutral near 46, ATR ~8 pips — no directional setup as traders park ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1390, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1440
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT — primary near-term catalyst for this range
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
M15 close above 1.1430 reasserts range top and eyes 1.1440
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to range floor · RSI 41 · price 1.14026
Lower highs, testing session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY session, printing lower highs after rejection at the 1.14312 session high and probing the session low at 1.13926. Price is pinned just above the 1.1390 support that has capped downside all week, RSI(14) mid-40s with no oversold signal yet.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13926
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 support opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14140 prior high would break the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC (~6h) could materially shift this read
12:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14026
Lower highs inside a 40-pip range.
EUR/USD ground lower through London inside a 1.1393–1.1431 range; a rejection off 1.1431 dumped price toward 1.1393 before a shallow bounce, with the pair now near 1.1403 capped under EMA20. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and safe-haven USD demand from Iran/oil headlines keeps upside contained.
Support: 1.1393, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT the next catalyst for this range
Break below 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 area
M15 close above 1.1431 invalidates the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD ground lower through the London-NY transition, breaking the 1.1400 psych level and probing 1.1390 strong support as USD held a safe-haven bid. RSI(14) near 40, no oversold signal; sellers capping each bounce below 1.14140.
Support: 1.1390, 1.13926, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 confirms breakdown, exposes 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14140 invalidates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and now probing the session low at 1.1393 as USD holds a firm safe-haven bid. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41 — soft but not oversold.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14063, 1.14143
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 exposes the 1.1360 support
Reclaim of 1.14143 breaks the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Mild downtrend, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.14036
Consolidation after leg lower into session low.
EUR/USD drifted from 1.1433 down to a session low at 1.1393, then recovered as the late-London/NY hours swept the low and buyers stepped back in. Now ranging 1.1400–1.1415 with RSI(14) mid-range, price parked ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT (~6h) is the near-term catalyst and could shift this read
EUR/USD stuck in a 1.1390–1.1430 range, drifting into the lower half after the NY-session leg down from 1.1431 on safe-haven USD demand. Last bar swept to 1.13926 and closed back at 1.14037, holding just above the 1.1390 strong support with RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.13926, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 opens 1.1360
Close above 1.1430 reopens the 1.1450 range top
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:31 UTC
Mild downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.14059
Lower highs, holding above session low.
London session drove EUR/USD down to a session low of 1.13959 on the Iran/Hormuz safe-haven USD bid; buyers recovered into 1.14143 but price has stalled, consolidating around 1.1406 under EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) neutral near 44 — no momentum edge in play.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13959 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14143 shifts the read back toward the 1.1431 range top
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT (~6h out) is the near-term USD catalyst
EUR/USD rolled off the 1.14312 swing high on a sharp sell candle and printed a session low at 1.13959, and is now consolidating around 1.1406 below EMA20/50. Price stayed capped inside the 1.1400–1.1470 range as traders parked ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1414 EMA20 would neutralise the downward drift
Break of 1.13959 session low exposes 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst for this range
London session sold EUR from 1.14312 down to a 1.13959 spike low before buyers reclaimed 1.1405; price now pinned in a 1.1396–1.1414 band as NY opens, RSI(14) neutral near 46. No setup in play, structure flat ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13959
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13959 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.14143 shifts the range top back into play
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14079
Consolidation after London drop.
A sharp London-session drop swept the session low to 1.13959, then buyers stepped in and price is consolidating 1.1396–1.1414, currently 1.14079. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46; no clean setup with FOMC minutes ahead.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13959 exposes 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14143 needed to challenge the 1.14312 session high
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling into range · RSI 47 · price 1.14074
Range after sweep of session low.
London-morning drop from the 1.1425 swing high to a 1.1396 session low on renewed Iran-driven safe-haven USD bid, then a bounce that stalled at the 1.14143 recent high. Now boxed 1.1396–1.14143 with RSI(14) back near 47, price under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.1425
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC — first under Chair Warsh, can materially shift this read
Close below 1.1396 session low reopens the 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14143 recent high needed to negate the range-bound read
Swept session low then recovered into consolidation.
London session drove a sweep of the lows to 1.13959 on a high-volume drop near 08:30 GMT, but price was bought back to 1.1414 and now consolidates around 1.1407. Move sits within the broader 1.1396–1.1431 range with RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.13959, 1.14009
Resistance: 1.14143, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT — first under Chair Warsh, can materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13959 reopens the downside sweep
Reclaim of 1.14312 prior high needed to negate the range
10:46 UTC
Rangebound, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14123
Choppy range, retesting mid after session-low sweep.
EUR/USD boxed 1.1396–1.1431 across the London session, with a sharp flush to 1.13959 on high volume around 08:15 UTC that was quickly bought back to 1.1413. Move fits the safe-haven USD bid noted in the digest; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47 into the first Warsh-era FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1431
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.1431 invalidates the range-top cap
Failure to hold 1.1396 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
Lower lows into 1.1396 sweep, bounce back to mid-range.
London session drifted off the 1.14418 high, sweeping the range low at 1.13959 before buyers stepped in to reclaim 1.1410. Pair now boxed 1.1396–1.1423, RSI(14) back near neutral ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.13959, 1.14008
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.14312
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.14230 opens the path to 1.14312
Failure to hold 1.13959 confirms a lower-low continuation
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14108
Sold off to double bottom, bouncing.
London session drove EURUSD off the 1.14312 session high down through 1.1400 to a double bottom at 1.13959, with RSI(14) turning back up from the sell-off. Price has since reclaimed 1.1411 but sits below the EMA20 near 1.14150, keeping the intraday tone corrective.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14282, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14150 ema20 would ease the corrective read toward 1.14282 swing high
Loss of the 1.13959 double bottom confirms a lower low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Down then stabilising, ranging · RSI 48 · price 1.14108
Recovered off session low, mid-range.
EUR/USD sold off into the London open, tagging a session low of 1.13959 twice before buyers stepped in and lifted price back to 1.14108. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 48; pair is chopping inside 1.1396–1.1431 with USD firm on the Hormuz safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13959 exposes the 1.1390 range floor
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the 1.1443 range top
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the key USD catalyst into the next session
Lower highs into 1.1396 session low, bounce stalling.
London session sold EUR/USD from 1.1431 down through a sweep of the 1.1396 session low, printing 1.1396 before a shallow bounce to 1.1418 faded. Price now drifts back to 1.1402 with RSI in the low 40s; two-way risk into FOMC minutes tonight keeps this a relative-rates chop.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 bounce high breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1396 session low exposes the 1.1360 range floor
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 42 · price 1.1402
Lower highs, lower lows since London.
EUR/USD broke the intraday range low with a sharp drop from 1.1431 to 1.1396, then bounced to 1.1411 before drifting back to 1.1402 into the NY session. USD holding a safe-haven bid keeps price capped below 1.1425; RSI(14) mid-40s with no reversal signal yet.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1430
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1396 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1425 negates the breakdown and opens 1.1430 range top
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
London session reversed sharply off the 1.1431 session high down to 1.1396, RSI(14) near 38 with USD firm on Hormuz safe-haven flows. Price has bounced to 1.1405 and is consolidating just below the 1.1411 pivot, holding above the session low.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1396 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1411 reopens the 1.1431 session high
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the immediate USD catalyst and could shift this read
London session dragged EUR/USD off the 1.1428 swing high down through 1.1400 to sweep the session low at 1.1396, its weakest print of the window, before recovering to 1.1406. RSI(14) around 43 after cooling on the drop; price sits back above 1.1400 but under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1428 would negate the intraday breakdown
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the immediate USD catalyst and can shift this read
09:46 UTC
Choppy, recent leg down recovering · RSI 44 · price 1.14093
Range with sweep of round number.
London hours sold off from 1.1431 to a 1.1396 session low, sweeping the 1.1400 round number before buyers recovered price toward 1.1410. RSI(14) mid-range near 44 with ATR around 9 pips; pair boxed ahead of FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1431
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and opens a deeper fade
Reclaim of 1.1420 puts the 1.1431 session high back in play
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
09:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near pivot · RSI 44 · price 1.14093
Lower highs, fade off session high into 1.1400.
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14312 session high to 1.13959 through the late morning, then wicked back above the 1.1400 pivot — a false break lower with buyers stepping in at 1.13959. RSI(14) recovering off the low near 44; price parked just under the 1.14150 swing pivot with FOMC Minutes still ahead.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13959 reopens the 1.1390 psych support
Reclaim of 1.14150 pivot would neutralise the intraday downtrend
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14063
Range break lower, LH-LL chain into session low.
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14312 through the 1.1400 pivot to a session low of 1.13959 during London hours, then bounced to 1.14063. RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the pair is parked near the 1.1400 pivot with traders positioned ahead of FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14150 consol would neutralise the downside break
M15 close below 1.13959 session low opens the 1.1390 psych level
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the swing factor for the USD side
London session faded from the 1.14312 session high, sweeping down to 1.13959 on a burst of volume before buyers recovered price back to 1.1406. RSI(14) around 43 after cooling; price now trades below EMA20/EMA50 within a 1.1396–1.1431 band.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14183, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13959 opens the path toward the 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14183 bounce high needed to re-challenge the 1.14312 session high
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
London session sold off through the 1.1400 pivot, sweeping down to a session low of 1.13959 as the safe-haven USD bid held the euro capped. Price now sits just above the 1.1390 support with RSI(14) near 34; the 1.14003 pivot is the reclaim level.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14003, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13900 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Close back above 1.14003 pivot neutralises the downside break
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the 1.1400 pivot into the London session, printing a fresh session low at 1.13959 with RSI(14) near 33. The move extends a chain of lower highs from 1.14312; safe-haven USD bid keeps the euro capped ahead of FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.13959, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14312
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1390 strong support confirms a deeper leg lower
Reclaim of the 1.14000 round number would neutralise the breakout
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
London session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1431 session high down to 1.1400, where a second touch of the psych floor held, matching the earlier low. Price now hovers at 1.14085 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 39; pair defending 1.1400 into the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1431
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1390 shifts the near-term read lower
Reclaim of 1.14180 puts the 1.1431 session high back in play
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session rejected the 1.14312 session high and dumped EUR to test the 1.1400 floor, a 25-pip candle keeping the pair defending its weakest ground of the window. Buyers stepped in at 1.1400 and price has stalled just below the 1.1415 intraday pivot, RSI(14) mid-40s after the flush.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the 1.1398 swing low and shifts the read lower
Reclaim of 1.1415 pivot puts the 1.14312 session high back in play
FOMC minutes ~18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London session pushed to a 1.14312 session high then reversed hard, a single high-volume bar sweeping back toward the 1.1400 floor before stabilising at 1.14133. Price held a 1.1400-1.1431 range for most of the last 24h; RSI(14) cooling near 42 as the rejection unwinds the intraday rally.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1390 support
reclaim of 1.14230 negates the session-high rejection
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14133
Ranging above 1.1400 after sweep.
London session dipped to sweep the 1.1400 round number where buyers stepped in, price recovering to 1.1413; RSI(14) cooling near 44. Ranging 1.1400–1.1431 into the FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1390 shifts the near-term read lower
M15 close above 1.14312 reopens 1.1440
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Range-bound, pinned near 1.1400 · RSI 48 · price 1.14164
Intraday range, sweep of the floor.
Ranging 1.1400–1.1431 through the session; London printed a spike down through the 1.1400 psych floor to 1.14003 that was immediately bought back, RSI(14) neutral near 48. Tape stays pinned around 1.1400 into today's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms a break of the psych floor
Close above 1.1431 session high challenges the range top
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could break this range
08:31 UTC
Range, late downside sweep · RSI 48 · price 1.14164
Ranging 1.1400–1.1431, recent lower high.
EUR/USD held a 1.1400–1.1431 range through the Asia-London window, defending the 1.1400 round number repeatedly. London hours delivered a sharp sweep down to 1.1400 before buyers reclaimed 1.1416; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14255, 1.14312
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 exposes the 1.1398 session low and flips the range read lower
Reclaim of 1.14255 swing high reopens the 1.14312 session high
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
London recovery, momentum cooling · RSI 57 · price 1.14247
Higher lows off Asian low, session high rejected.
London session clawed back off the Asian defence of 1.1400, chaining higher lows up to a session high at 1.14312 before rejection pared the move back to 1.14247. RSI(14) cooling from the high, still above 50; ATR near 5 pips keeps ranges tight ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14167, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14312 opens the path to 1.14418
Failure to hold 1.14167 exposes the 1.1400 floor
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off double bottom, capped at session high.
London session recovered off a double bottom near 1.1400 and tagged the session high at 1.14312 before fading to 1.14247, RSI(14) cooling from mid-60s. Buyers defended the 1.1400 floor twice; move sits well within the range-bound sub-1.1470 tape.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14171
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 flips the recovery read and exposes lower levels
Break above 1.14312 session high opens the path toward 1.1440
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rounded bottom off 1.1400, higher lows into London.
EUR/USD defended the 1.1400 round number through the Asian session after safe-haven USD flows and rallied to a session high at 1.14312 into London. Price has since pulled back to 1.14243 on rising lows; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.14167, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14312 opens the path toward 1.14418
Loss of 1.1400 flips the intraday tone bearish
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD carved a double bottom at 1.1398-1.1400, the level defended overnight per the safe-haven USD bid, and buyers stepped in twice before a recovery to 1.14312. Price has since eased to 1.1424, holding above rising intraday support with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14312 opens the path toward 1.14418
Failure to hold 1.1400 confirms a lower low and flips the read bearish
FOMC Minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovery off session lows · RSI 66 · price 1.14281
Higher lows since 1.1400 base.
EUR based twice near the 1.1400 psych level through the quiet Asia session, then the London open pushed price up to a session high at 1.14312, RSI(14) around 66. Recovery holds above the rising swing lows but sits below the prior high at 1.14418 into today's FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.14167, 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14312, 1.14418, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14312 opens the 1.14418 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych revives the session-low break lower
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Recovery off lows, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.14281
Double bottom at 1.1400, higher lows into London.
EUR carved a double bottom at 1.1399-1.1400 through the Asian range and has climbed back through the London session to 1.1428, printing higher lows with RSI(14) near 63. Recovery is holding the 1.1400 pivot; the 1.1440 session high area is the next barrier to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.14167
Resistance: 1.14418, 1.1440, 1.1470
What it said to watch
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close above 1.1440 opens the path toward 1.1470
Failure to hold 1.1400 re-exposes 1.1390 strong support
07:32 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 1.14297
Higher lows off 1.1400 base, breaking range top.
EURUSD ground back up through the ~1.1423 range top in the London morning after a double-bottom base at 1.1400, RSI(14) near 64. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1400 overnight; the prior-day high at 1.1442 is the next area to watch. FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the session's catalyst.
Support: 1.1423, 1.14167, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1423 negates the range-top break
Failure to hold the 1.1400 base confirms a lower low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 1.14297
Higher lows since 1.1398, pushing session high.
EUR carved a session low at 1.1398 and has climbed a chain of higher lows through the London session, breaking the 1.1415-1.1420 consolidation to press the session high at 1.1430. RSI(14) near 66, firm but not yet stretched; price holding above both short EMAs.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1430 opens the path to 1.1437
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot confirms a lower-low and reverses the recovery
FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT is the key near-term catalyst and could reshape this read
Overnight slide bottomed at 1.13981, defending the 1.1400 pivot, before the London session lifted price to a 1.14236 session high; it has since eased back to 1.14171. RSI is mid-range and ATR near 5 pips — a tight, low-momentum recovery ahead of the FOMC Minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14236, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 pivot opens the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.14236 session high opens 1.1440 prior high
Double bottom near 1.1400, higher lows into London.
EUR carved a double bottom near 1.1400 after yesterday's slide from 1.1442, and London has lifted it back to 1.1417 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 53; the 1.14236 session high caps the bounce for now.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14236, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14236 opens the path back toward 1.14418
Loss of 1.14000 psych level reopens the 1.13980 session low
FOMC Minutes 18:00 GMT is the near-term catalyst and could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 58 · price 1.14223
Double-bottom base near 1.1400, higher lows since.
EURUSD carved a double bottom around 1.1400 into the NY close and has since ground higher, now testing the session high at 1.14236 during London hours with RSI(14) mid-range. Price holds above EMA20/50 as the recovery off the 1.13981 swing low extends.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14236, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14236 opens the path to the 1.14360 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.13981 swing low
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the dominant USD catalyst and could reset this read
EUR/USD carved a double bottom around 1.1400 through the Asia session and has ground back to 1.14223 into the London morning, retracing ~55% of the prior slide. Buyers stepped in twice at the 1.1400 psych level; the 1.14236 swing high caps the topside for now.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14236, 1.14415
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14236 opens the path back toward the 1.14415 prior high
Loss of 1.1400 psych level re-exposes the 1.13981 session low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 56 · price 1.14204
Rounded base after downswing, higher lows.
EUR/USD swept the Asian session low at 1.1398 early July 8 and recovered into the London open, now grinding at 1.1420 after the earlier slide from the 1.1441 prior high. A rounded base is forming off the low with RSI(14) back near mid-range. Fed minutes at 18:00 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1441
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 asian low confirms a lower low
Break above 1.1424 session high opens the path toward 1.1441 prior high
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Recovering off intraday base · RSI 60 · price 1.14204
Base built ~1.1400, grinding higher.
EURUSD sold off through London/NY yesterday to a base around 1.1398-1.1400, which held on repeated touches, and the Asia session has ground back up to 1.1420 with RSI near 60 and ATR compressed to ~4.5 pips. Buyers stepped in each time near the round number; session high at 1.1424 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1424, 1.1441
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1424 opens the path back toward the 1.1441 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1398 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1390 support
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT is the dominant USD catalyst and could reshape this read
06:32 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 60 · price 1.1422
Double bottom base, retracing prior selloff.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near the 1.1398 session low late in the Asian session and has recovered to 1.1422, retracing just over half of the prior selloff. RSI(14) near 60 with price back above EMA20/50; the 1.1440 prior high caps the upside.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1440, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1440 prior high opens the path toward 1.1470 resistance
Loss of 1.1400 session low reopens 1.1390 uob support
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT the near-term swing factor for USD
EUR/USD carved a double bottom around 1.1398 in the Asian session and has ground higher into the London open, now testing the 1.1423 session high with RSI(14) near 61. Recovery is orderly but capped so far below yesterday's 1.1442 supply; the whole window sits inside the broader 1.1400-1.1470 range flagged into FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1442, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1423 opens a run at 1.1442 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1398 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1390
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the near-term swing factor
06:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.1422
Double bottom near 1.1400, higher lows building.
EUR/USD carved a session low near 1.1400 through the NY session, printed a double bottom and consolidated across Asia before recovering to 1.1422 into the London open. RSI(14) around 61 as price grinds up off the recovery low; the 1.1428 prior swing is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1442
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1428 opens the path back to the 1.1442 session high
Failure to hold 1.1400 session low reopens the downside
FOMC minutes 18:00 GMT the near-term swing factor for USD
EUR/USD carved a rounded base around 1.1400 through the Asia session then reclaimed 1.1415, pushing to 1.1422 into London hours with RSI(14) near 60. The sub-1.1410 rangebound tone is giving way to a modest higher-low sequence, retracing roughly half of the earlier drop from 1.1440.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 opens the path toward 1.1470
Failure to hold 1.1400 confirms a lower low back toward 1.1398
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the near-term swing factor
06:01 UTC
Recovery off overnight lows · RSI 61 · price 1.1422
Double bottom near 1.1400, higher lows building.
EUR/USD ground lower through thin Asia to a double bottom at 1.1400, then recovered into early European hours to 1.1422 as the pair holds its 1.1400-1.1440 range. Buyers stepped in twice at the 1.1400 psych level; recovery so far shallow with RSI back near 61.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1440 opens the path back toward 1.1470
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the overnight lows
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT the near-term swing factor
06:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 1.1422
Double bottom at 1.1400, higher lows into London.
EUR/USD carved a double bottom at 1.1400 through the NY-Asia handover and is grinding higher into the London open, now 1.1422 above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 61. Recovery off the base is holding above the 1.1410 consol base after the earlier slide from the 1.1442 session high.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1442 session high extends the recovery toward 1.1470 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1410 consol base reopens the 1.1400 double bottom
FOMC minutes at 18:00 GMT is the near-term swing factor
Asian session carved a double bottom near 1.1400 and price has ground back to 1.1420, RSI(14) recovering to ~60. EUR remains pinned in its broader range with the USD side awaiting today's FOMC minutes; the 1.1436 range mid caps overhead.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1390 support reopens the downside probe flagged by the range
Close above 1.1436 range mid would extend the recovery
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver and can reset this read
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1400 through the thin Asian session and has ground back to the session high at 1.1420, RSI(14) recovering to the low-60s. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows into the London open; the 1.1400-1.1500 range remains intact.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981, 1.14109
Resistance: 1.14205, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14205 opens a retest of 1.1426
Failure to hold 1.1400 re-exposes the 1.1398 swing low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side driver into the next sessions
05:31 UTC
Downtrend stalled, recovery into range · RSI 51 · price 1.14142
Consolidation above 1.1400 after decline.
EUR/USD sold off from 1.1442 to a 1.1398 base yesterday, then recovered and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1410–1.1418 band in thin Asia trade ahead of London. Buyers defended the 1.1400 round level repeatedly; price is pinned near the 38.2% retrace of the decline with RSI(14) flat around 51.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14184, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14184 opens the path back to 1.14290
Loss of 1.1400 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.13981
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR slid through the NY session from 1.1442 to a 1.1398 base, then twice held ~1.1400 into the Asian session forming a double bottom, RSI(14) back to neutral near 52. Price is now grinding at 1.1414 inside a 1.1398-1.1418 range with the pair pinned ahead of today's FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1425
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could break this range
Base built at 1.1400, now ranging into London open.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session yesterday to a 1.13980 session low, then rounded off a base and recovered into the London open, now consolidating 1.1410–1.1418. Move ties to the two-way USD range read; nothing structural in play until the range resolves.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14184, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14184 opens the path back toward 1.1425
Loss of 1.1400 reopens the 1.13980 session low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC the dominant USD-side risk this session
05:16 UTC
Recovering off session lows, base building · RSI 55 · price 1.14157
Double bottom near 1.1400, micro higher lows into London.
Asian session bled lower into 1.1400 where buyers stepped in three times, forming a double bottom around the 1.1398-1.1400 zone. Early London recovered to 1.1415, roughly a 38.2% retrace of the prior decline; price now ranges 1.1410-1.1418 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14184, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14184 opens room toward the 1.1426 prior swing
Loss of 1.1400 session low reopens 1.1398 and confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could break this range
Range after intraday drop, lower highs above a bottoming zone.
EURUSD slid from the 1.14418 day high through the London-NY session to a 1.13981 low, where buyers stepped in twice to form a base. Price has since ground back to 1.14144 and is capped by the 1.14162 session high, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.14077, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.14285, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14162 opens the path back toward the 1.14285 prior swing
Loss of 1.14077 re-exposes the 1.13981 day low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could break this range
05:01 UTC
Sideways after NY selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.14144
Tight consolidation near session recovery high.
NY sold EUR/USD from 1.1440 down to a 1.13981 session low, then the Asian session ground into a tight 1.1410-1.1415 range with ATR compressing near 3 pips. Price is pinned at the range top into the London open, RSI mid-range, with EUR still boxed in its broader 1.1400-1.1500 band.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14418
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1415 range top would extend the recovery toward 1.1440 prior high
Loss of 1.1400 psych and the 1.13981 session low reopens the downside
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD driver and could break this range
04:46 UTC
Prior downtrend, now basing · RSI 52 · price 1.14144
Tight consolidation above 1.1400 after NY slide.
EUR/USD slid through NY hours to 1.1398 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.1400, forming a base. The Asian session has coiled into a tight 1.1410-1.1416 range with price glued to 1.1414, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range as the pair awaits FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1416 range top opens 1.1428 prior high
loss of 1.1410 range floor re-exposes the 1.1398 swing low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
Consolidation above 1.1410 after basing near 1.1400.
EURUSD based twice near 1.1400 during thin Asia hours and recovered to consolidate just above 1.1410, RSI(14) back to mid-range around 53. Price is holding a shallow retrace of the drop from 1.1442, capped so far by the 1.14162 session high.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.1420, 1.14418
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13980 confirms a lower low and breaks the double-bottom base
Reclaim of 1.14200 fib 50% opens the path back toward 1.14418
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC is the dominant USD-side driver for this range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14126
Recovered off lows, consolidating.
EUR/USD slid from 1.1437 to a 1.13981 low through the NY session, then based on a double bottom around 1.14000 and recovered into Asia. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1410-1.1415 band, RSI back to neutral near 51, ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14150 opens the path back toward 1.14225
Loss of 1.13981 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could break this range
04:31 UTC
Downtrend easing, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.14126
Double bottom off session low, shallow recovery.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session toward 1.14000 as the Dollar held firm, printing matching lows at 1.13999 and 1.13981 — a double bottom off the session low. Asian hours have seen a shallow recovery to 1.1413, capped so far by the 1.14165 asia high with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14165, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13980 confirms a lower low and negates the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.14165 asia high opens the 1.14260 prior swing
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
EUR/USD drifted lower through the window from 1.1437, bottoming twice near 1.1400 in Asia hours before basing into a 1.1400-1.1416 range. Buyers stepped in at the round number on both dips; RSI(14) back at neutral, momentum flat ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13981 confirms a lower low and breaks the base
Break above 1.14162 session high extends the recovery
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.14119
Recovered off swing low, consolidating near lows.
EURUSD slid through the NY session from 1.1442 into a 1.1398 swing low, then clawed back to 1.1416 before stalling; price now drifts around 1.1412 on thin late-session volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47 with no extreme, keeping the pair pinned in its 1.1350-1.1450 summer range ahead of FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1420, 1.1436
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1416 session high opens 1.1420 ema50 then 1.1436
Loss of 1.1398 swing low confirms fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could reprice the USD leg and shift this range read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, Asia bounce · RSI 59 · price 1.14135
Double bottom off session lows, recovering.
EUR slid through thin late-NY liquidity to a 1.1398 swing low, then printed a double bottom and the Asia session has recovered to the 1.1416 session high. RSI(14) back near 59 as buyers stepped in twice around 1.1400; a solid German IP beat failed to lift the euro yesterday, keeping it pinned in its summer range.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 confirms a lower low, exposing the 1.1390 range floor
Close above 1.1416 session high opens the path to 1.1428 prior high
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 52 · price 1.14135
Sold to 1.1398 low, recovered into range.
EUR sold from 1.1442 through the London-NY session to a 1.1398 low, then based twice around 1.1400 and recovered into 1.1415. Asian session now ranging 1.1410-1.1416 on thin volume; yesterday's German IP beat failed to lift the euro.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1416 session high opens 1.1420 then 1.1442
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1436 down through 1.1400, printing a session low at 1.13981. Asian session carved a double bottom there and recovered to 1.14142, back above EMA20 with RSI(14) near 57; the descending lower-highs sequence from 1.14418 has been chipped away but 1.14162 caps for now.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14162, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1398 negates the double bottom and exposes 1.1390 range support
Reclaim of 1.14162 session high opens the path to 1.1425
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
03:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.1415
Double bottom near 1.1398 after lower-low sequence.
Asia session ground lower through 1.1400 before a double bottom formed at 1.1398, and price has since recovered to 1.1415 with RSI(14) back to neutral. The intraday downtrend is stalling; buyers stepped in twice at the 1.1398 floor and 1.1420 is the next cap.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 opens the path back toward the 1.1442 range top
Failure to hold 1.1398 confirms a fresh lower-low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into a double bottom near 1.1400, mild recovery.
EURUSD ground lower through the London-NY session to a double bottom near 1.1398, then recovered to 1.1415 into early Asia; RSI(14) has lifted back to the mid-50s. Move keeps the pair pinned in its summer range with EUR unresponsive to yesterday's German IP beat.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1441
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1398 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the range floor
M15 close above 1.1420 recent high extends the recovery toward 1.1441
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.14156
Swept 1.1400 low, recovering.
Thin Asia session: price swept below the 1.1400 psych level to 1.13981 then recovered ~18 pips to 1.14156, clearing both EMAs. EUR stays pinned in its summer range as desks await Wednesday's FOMC minutes; the marginal lower low into 1.13981 was rejected and reclaimed.
Support: 1.13981, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14123, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.13981 resumes the downside leg
Reclaim above 1.14123 swing high extends the recovery toward 1.1429
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR slid through NY hours to 1.1398, where demand stepped in twice to form a double bottom around the 1.1400 round number. Thin Asia session has ground the pair back to 1.14156, RSI recovering to the mid-50s; still boxed under the 1.14164 prior low.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13981
Resistance: 1.14164, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14164 opens the path to the 1.1425 swing high
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.13981 session low
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base forming · RSI 51 · price 1.14125
Sold from 1.1440 into a 1.1398 base, Asia bouncing.
London-NY hours ground EUR steadily lower from 1.1440 to a 1.1398 base, where demand stepped in three times to build a floor. Asia has lifted price back to 1.14125 with RSI(14) recovering to mid-range; EUR remains pinned in its summer range awaiting the FOMC minutes catalyst.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.14165, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14165 confirms the recovery off the 1.1398 base
Failure to hold 1.1400 reopens the 1.13980 session low
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
03:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 55 · price 1.14125
Lower highs into a 1.1400 base.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the session from 1.1442 to a 1.13981 low, then found demand twice around the 1.1400 round number to carve a double bottom. Price has recovered to 1.14125 with RSI(14) back near 55; still capped below the 1.14164 swing.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14164, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14164 opens the path back to 1.1436 prior high
Loss of 1.13980 session low exposes 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg
02:47 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14117
Lower highs, double bottom at 1.1400.
EURUSD sold off from 1.14418 through NY into Asia, retracing the downleg only after basing twice near 1.1400 with lows at 1.13981; RSI(14) has recovered off the lows to ~53. Price is now creeping back toward the 1.14123 session high, with 1.1390 strong support marking the range floor beneath.
Support: 1.13981, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14123, 1.14171, 1.14285
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14171 prior pivot extends the recovery toward the 1.14285 swing high and descending resistance
Loss of 1.1400 psych and 1.13981 swing low exposes 1.1390 strong support
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read materially
EUR slid through the NY session from 1.1440 to a session low at 1.1398, then buyers stepped in twice around 1.1400 to carve a double bottom during Asia; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-range. Price is reclaiming EMA20 but still capped by the descending lower-highs line and EMA50 overhead.
Support: 1.13981, 1.13999, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.14123, 1.1418, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14123 breaks the lower-highs line and opens 1.14180
Loss of 1.13981 session low confirms downtrend continuation
Thin Asian-session volume — moves prone to reversal into London open
EUR/USD ground lower through NY into Asia and based near 1.1398, printing a double bottom on thin Asian volume. Price has reclaimed 1.1410 with RSI recovering off the lows; the intraday down move stalled at range lows and 1.1398 held twice.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1441
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.1428 intraday pivot needed to negate the intraday downtrend
FOMC minutes (~15h) could materially shift this range read
Lower highs into base at range low, now consolidating.
EUR ground lower through the session from 1.1441 to a 1.1398 base, with the German IP beat failing to lift the euro. Price now consolidating around 1.1410, RSI recovering off oversold after a small bounce to 1.14115.
Support: 1.13981, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14115, 1.1420, 1.1436
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 exposes the 1.1390 strong support
Reclaim of 1.14200 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
EUR bled lower through the NY afternoon from 1.1441 to a session low of 1.1398, then twice held the 1.1400 area to base around 1.1407 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) has recovered off its lows to mid-range as the decline stalls; the soft NFP-driven USD backdrop keeps this a range story.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1411, 1.1416
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1411 opens the path to 1.1416
Failure to hold 1.1398 exposes 1.1390 range support
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
EURUSD trended lower through the prior NY session, sliding to 1.1398 before buyers stepped in twice near 1.1400 during the quiet Asian session. Price has recovered to 1.14075 with RSI(14) back to neutral; the descending series of lower highs still caps rallies.
Support: 1.1398, 1.14008
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14164, 1.14296
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 confirms a lower low and breaks the double-bottom
Reclaim of 1.14113 session high opens the path to 1.14164
FOMC minutes later today (18:00 UTC) could reshape this read
EURUSD bled lower through NY hours into a 1.13981 session low, then based just under the 1.1400 round number; a mild bounce lifted price to 1.14055 with RSI(14) recovering off the low. Descending highs cap near the 1.14113 bounce high — no reversal confirmed while price sits below it.
Support: 1.13981, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14113 bounce high breaks the descending sequence
Loss of 1.13981 opens the 1.1390 range floor
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Steady M15 downtrend through the London-NY sessions dragged EURUSD from 1.1442 to a 1.1398 session low; price is now basing around 1.1405 in Asia hours with RSI(14) recovering off the lows. Descending highs cap rallies while demand holds just under 1.1400.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14164, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14113 breaks the descending-highs structure
Loss of 1.1398 exposes the 1.1390 range floor
FOMC minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from 1.1443 to test the 1.1400 psych level, printing a session low of 1.13981 before a small bounce. Early Asia has price pinned just above 1.1400 with RSI(14) mid-range near 42; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.1398, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14171
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1398 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim above 1.14113 breaks the run of lower highs
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through NY into thin Asia hours, printing a session low at 1.13981 and now hovering the 1.1400 psych level. A recovery attempt stalled at 1.14113, RSI(14) subdued in the low 40s with price pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13981, 1.1400, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14171, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14113 opens 1.14171 and unwinds the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13981 confirms a fresh lower-low, exposing the 1.1350 range floor
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Price drifted lower through the Asia session, printing a chain of lower highs before finding support twice at the 1.1400 round number. A bounce to the 1.14113 session high faded back to 1.14036; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13999
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14113 needed to challenge the descending highs
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift USD and this read
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session into Asia, printing a session low at 1.14008 before a shallow bounce to 1.14113 faded back to 1.14036. Price is basing just above the 1.1400 handle with RSI mid-range; supply capped the recovery near 1.14113.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14199
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14113 opens the path to 1.14199
Loss of 1.14008 extends the lower-low sequence
FOMC minutes later today (18:00 UTC) could shift USD tone materially
EUR/USD slid through the NY-Asia handoff from 1.1446 to the 1.1400 round number, where buyers stepped in twice (1.13999). Thin late-Asia bounce stalled at 1.14113 and price sits back at 1.14061, still below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13999
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.1420, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14200 needed to break the descending lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD leaked lower through the NY session, sliding from 1.1428 to a 1.1400 base as the firm-USD/hawkish-Fed narrative capped the euro. Twin lows near 1.1400 held into early Asia and price is grinding sideways at 1.1406, RSI(14) recovered to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13999
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14171, 1.1428
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1400 confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1390 range support
Close above 1.14113 opens the path back to 1.14171
FOMC minutes later today (18:00 UTC) is the near-term USD swing factor
NY session pushed EUR/USD down to a session low at 1.1400 with USD firm on a hawkish Fed tone; buyers stepped in twice near the figure, forming a double bottom. Early Asia has drifted price back to 1.1407, RSI(14) recovering out of oversold as the 1.14113 swing high caps.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13999
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.14171, 1.14286
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14113 needed to extend the recovery
FOMC minutes later today (18:00 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 49 · price 1.14074
Lower highs into 1.1400, twice-tested floor.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, sliding from 1.1440 to a 1.13999 session low that held twice. A modest bounce into thin Asian hours has lifted price back to 1.14074, RSI(14) recovering to neutral; the descending-highs cap remains intact.
Support: 1.13999, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14113, 1.1415, 1.14285
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13999 opens the path to the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.14150 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling near lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14097
Lower highs into 1.1400, now consolidating.
EUR/USD ground lower through NY from 1.1440, extending the range-fade toward the 1.1400 floor before basing on the 1.13999 low. Thin Asia session now consolidating 1.1400–1.1416, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 48 with a small bounce into 1.14097.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1416 would break the descending highs
Loss of 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 range floor
German HICP Fri is the next scheduled catalyst for the EUR leg
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, attempting to stabilise · RSI 46 · price 1.14097
Lower highs and lower lows, bouncing off session low.
EUR/USD broke below the 1.1428 shelf late in the NY session and sank to 1.1400 before demand stepped in during Asia, lifting price back to 1.14097. Move fits the range-fade read with USD firm; RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to mid-range as the down leg stalls at the round number.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14047
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.14286
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14150 challenges the current down leg
Break of 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 support flagged in the range
German HICP Fri could force a move out of the 1.1400–1.1430 band
NY afternoon drove a leg down from 1.1442 to a session low at 1.1400, with RSI(14) basing off the lows since. Asia session is thin and consolidating in a 1.1400–1.1417 band, price holding just above EMA20 but capped under the descending series of lower highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1428
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1417 needed to challenge the downtrend structure
FOMC minutes 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia session ground steadily lower from 1.1440, swept the 1.1400 psych/session low to 1.13999 and put in a shallow bounce, RSI(14) recovering off the low into the low-40s. USD stayed firm ahead of FOMC minutes; price now coiling just under 1.1415 in thin overnight liquidity.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
FOMC minutes today 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.1415 would ease the lower-high sequence
EURUSD slid through late NY into Asia, printing a session low at 1.14008 before stabilising around 1.1405 in thin liquidity. The pair sits in the lower half of its 1.1350–1.1450 summer range with momentum flat; RSI(14) has lifted off intraday lows but stays sub-50.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14150 pivot would ease the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14008 opens the 1.1390 range floor
German HICP Fri and FOMC minutes are the next macro catalysts
EUR/USD trended lower through the NY-to-Asia handover, printing a chain of lower highs and grinding to a 1.14008 session low on thinning volume. Price has since stalled flat around 1.14050, holding just above the low with RSI(14) recovering off oversold territory.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 opens the 1.1390 support
Reclaim of 1.14150 would challenge the lower-high sequence
Lower highs and lows, now consolidating above psych level.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY-Asia transition, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.1400 psych level as volume thinned; RSI(14) sits soft near 37 but not extreme. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1400–1.14075 band in early Asia, with the round number holding as a floor.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13999, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14075, 1.14135, 1.14286
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13999 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14135 consol top would break the lower-high chain
FOMC minutes later this week could force the move out of the 1.1350–1.1450 range
Chain of lower highs and lower lows, now flat at 1.1400.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from ~1.1447 into the 1.1400 round number, extending a clean lower-high, lower-low chain. Price is now flat-lining just above 1.14008 in thin post-NY/Asia hours, RSI(14) near 38 with no bid emerging; digest frames this as range-fade pending FOMC minutes.
Support: 1.14008, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1408, 1.14286, 1.14415
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14000 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14080 needed to break the lower-high sequence
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could force a move out of this range