EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 10 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Downtrend, grinding to lows · RSI 40 · price 1.14127
Lower highs, lower lows; flat at lows.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session from the ~1.1460 session high, stacking lower highs and lower lows into session lows near 1.1411, with soft German/French inflation and firmer oil weighing on EUR. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) in the low 40s, now consolidating in a tight 1.1411–1.1416 band into late NY.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.1460
What it said to watch
A break below 1.1411 session low exposes the 1.1390 range floor
A close back above 1.1439 swing high breaks the lower-high chain
EUR faded from the London high at 1.14603 through NY, grinding to session lows near 1.14112 as USD firmed on an oil bounce. Late-session action is tight, coiling in a 1.1414-1.1416 band and now pressing the lows, RSI(14) subdued around 39.
Support: 1.14112, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14392, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1390 range floor reopens the broader downtrend toward 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.14180 minor swing needed to ease downside pressure
ECB Schnabel Mon and US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
EURUSD ground steadily lower from the early session high at 1.14603 to a session low of 1.14113, with EUR pinned near the range floor as a July ECB pause is priced. Last few hours have flattened into a tight 1.1413–1.1416 base below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-40s, no clear reclaim of momentum.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1435, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14113 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1400
Close back above 1.14160 consol top eases the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major driver for this pair
EUR sold off through the NY session from the 1.1460 session high to a 1.1411 low, in line with EUR pinned near range lows. Price is now flat around 1.1414 with RSI(14) at 39, holding just above the 1.1411 session low.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1411 opens the 1.1390 support floor
Recovery above 1.1440 negates the lower-high sequence
EURUSD sold off from an early high near 1.1460 through London and NY, printing lower highs into session lows around 1.1411, with EUR pinned near lows per the soft-CPI/ECB-pause backdrop. Price has flattened into a tight 1.1414-1.1418 band late in NY, RSI(14) recovering off its lows around 43.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1411 opens the 1.1390 support floor
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to challenge the descending highs
NY session drifted lower from the 1.1460 session high, printing a double touch of 1.1411 before flattening. Last two hours have coiled tight between 1.1414–1.1416 with RSI(14) mid-range, no directional push.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1411 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1440 negates the near-term downside read
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair
NY session ground steadily lower off the 1.1460 session high, printing a chain of lower highs and bottoming at 1.1411. Price is now coiling in a 5-pip range into the NY close, RSI(14) mid-40s off the lows, with the dollar firming marginally on an oil bounce.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1411 confirms a fresh lower low, exposing 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to break the descending sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next major driver for this pair
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session off the 1.14595 session high to print 1.14113, USD staying soft near three-week lows. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1411–1.1416 band, holding just above the low with RSI(14) recovering from its lows and price below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14595
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14113 revives the downtrend toward the 1.1390 pivot
Recovery above 1.1435 swing high needed to unwind the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 GMT is the next macro catalyst for this read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating at session low.
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session from the 1.14409 session high to a 1.14113 low, RSI(14) holding the low 40s. Late NY has stalled the slide, with price coiling in a tight 1.1411-1.1417 band as the broad USD softness noted in context loses momentum.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14166, 1.14409
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14113 session low opens the 1.1400 round number and 1.1390 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14166 minor high needed to challenge the descending highs and 1.14409 session high
Consolidation this tight typically resolves with a range break within a few bars
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating at session lows.
NY session sold EURUSD off the London high at 1.1460 down to 1.1411, and price is now consolidating in the low 1.1410s late in the session with RSI(14) around 41. Broad USD softness is capping the downside but the pair continues to leak beneath EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14343, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14113 opens the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14200 would ease the intraday downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs into session low, tentative double bottom.
EURUSD slid through the NY session from the 1.1460 session high to a 1.1411 low, printing a chain of lower highs on broad two-way EUR grind. Price is now basing near 1.1411, where buyers stepped in twice to form a tentative double bottom, RSI cooling near 41.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14113 confirms continuation and exposes 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of 1.1435 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Tue) is the next macro pivot for USD-led direction
Sequence of lower highs and lower lows since 1.1460.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs from the 1.1460 peak down to a 1.14113 session low, with price now stalling around 1.14158. RSI(14) near 37 reflects the fade but is not yet extended; the pair is capped below 1.14220 as the descending sequence stays intact.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14220 breaks the lower-high chain and challenges the read
Loss of 1.14113 session low extends the downtrend toward the 1.1400 round number
EURUSD trended lower through NY, printing a fresh session low at 1.14113 with RSI(14) near 31. Sellers kept a chain of lower highs off the 1.14603 session high; EUR remains the G10 laggard with broad USD tone capping the pair near 1.14.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.1439 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Break of 1.14113 session low exposes the 1.1390 pivot
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next material driver for this pair
Intraday leg lower off London high, pressing session low.
Steady grind lower through the NY session, carving lower highs and lower lows off the 1.1460 London high; price now pressing the session low at 1.1411 with RSI(14) in the mid-30s. Move is USD-led drift within EUR's broader 1.1360–1.1475 range rather than fresh EUR selling.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1411 opens the 1.1400 round number
reclaim of 1.1420 breaks the lower-high chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this USD-led read
Lower highs and lower lows off the 1.14603 session high.
EURUSD ground lower through the NY afternoon, sliding from the 1.14603 session high to a fresh session low at 1.14113 on broad USD firming as oil recovered. Price is pinned near the lows at 1.14159 with RSI(14) around 32, and every bounce has capped under the descending highs.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14213, 1.14392, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14113 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close back above 1.14213 breaks the descending highs and eases pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major driver for this pair
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14113 before a modest bounce to 1.14159. The slide off the 1.14603 high reflects the broad two-way USD-led drift the digest flags; RSI(14) near 37, sub-trend but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1426, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14113 opens the 1.1400 round number and the 1.1390 pivot
Reclaim of the 1.14260 swing needed to challenge the lower high at 1.1440
EURUSD drifted lower through late NY, printing a fresh session low at 1.1411 in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain off the 1.1441 pivot. Move sits inside the broader 1.1360–1.1475 range flagged in the digest; RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not extreme, ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14409
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1429 swing pivot neutralises the lower-high chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this range-bound read
EURUSD sold off through the NY afternoon, printing a fresh session low at 1.14113 with RSI(14) near 30 as broad USD tone firmed off its 3-week lows. Clean lower-high chain from 1.14409; price now pinned at the lows, closing the last bar right on 1.14132.
Support: 1.14113, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14409
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14290 breaks the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14113 opens the 1.14000 round number
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift USD tone
EURUSD slid through the late NY session, rejected at 1.14392 and grinding back toward the session low at 1.14119 with RSI(14) near 30. Move is USD-led as the digest flags DXY at 3-week lows, but on this TF price is pinning session lows into the close.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14392
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14119 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1400
Recovery above 1.14392 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue could reset this range read
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, making session lows · RSI 30 · price 1.14139
Lower highs and lower lows into NY session.
NY session bled lower off the 1.14409 session high in a clean lower-high, lower-low chain, price now resting at fresh lows near 1.1414 with RSI(14) around 29. USD-led drift is driving the move within EUR's broader 1.1360–1.1475 range; the prior 1.14119 swing low is the last floor before 1.1400.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14343, 1.14409
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14119 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1400
Recovery above 1.14343 pivot neutralises the downside pressure
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ground lower through the NY session, printing a fresh session low at 1.14154 with price below EMA20 and EMA50. The rally to 1.14409 was fully retraced and RSI(14) sits near 33 — soft but not stretched. Move is USD-led as DXY hovers near three-week lows.
NY afternoon has bled lower, price ground from the 1.14409 swing back toward the 1.14119 session low with RSI(14) sub-40. Broad USD softness earlier lifted EUR to 1.14595, but the Dollar clawed back into the US close, capping the pair and pressing it into the lower end of the day's range.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14595
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14119 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14409 needed to break the lower-high chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR faded from the 1.14603 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs and now pressing the session low near 1.14163 amid broad USD softness. RSI(14) around 34, not yet oversold, ATR near 6 pips keeps ranges compressed.
Support: 1.14163, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14400 breaks the descending highs
NY session ground lower off the 1.1441 high, slicing back through prior support and printing 1.14163 into the afternoon. RSI(14) near 34 and price below both EMAs; the intraday swing structure is a clean chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1441
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1412 confirms a fresh lower low and exposes 1.1400
Reclaim of 1.1434 would break the lower-high chain and negate the down-leg
Rolling over from 1.14392 rejection, probing session lows.
NY session faded the rebound off 1.14119, rejecting at 1.14392 and chaining lower highs back toward the session low at 1.14163. Price sits just under the 61.8% retrace of that up-leg with RSI(14) near 39; broad USD softness has not stopped the intraday roll-over.
Support: 1.14163, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14264, 1.14392
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14163 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.14119
Reclaim of 1.14392 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
EUR/USD faded from the 1.1460 session high through NY hours, carving lower highs down to 1.14217 on broad USD softness; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no divergence. The 1.1420 area held twice but the bounce to the 1.1440 swing high was rejected, leaving price pinned near session lows.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14119 confirms a lower low and extends the down-leg
Reclaim of 1.1440 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major driver for this pair
17:31 UTC
Range, rolling off session highs · RSI 42 · price 1.14241
Lower highs inside day's range.
NY session drifting lower after a rejection at 1.14409, unwinding the London push toward the 1.14603 session high; DXY near three-week lows keeps the day's 1.14119–1.14603 range intact. Price sits in the lower half with RSI(14) cooling near 42, no fresh break yet.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14119 confirms a lower low and breaks the day's range floor
Reclaim of 1.14409 needed to reopen the upper range toward 1.14603
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone within the next bars
17:31 UTC
Intraday pullback off recent high · RSI 41 · price 1.14241
Rally from session low fading, lower highs forming.
NY afternoon has faded the bounce off the 1.14119 session low, price rolling back from 1.14409 to 1.14241 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. USD sitting near 3-week lows keeps the wider range in play, but the intraday leg is corrective, with supply capping at 1.14340/1.14409.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14343, 1.14409
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14409 reopens the 1.14475 cap
Loss of 1.14190 exposes the 1.14119 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report (18:00 UTC) could shift this read
17:16 UTC
Range, no momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.1427
Ranging inside session bounds, bounce fading.
EURUSD ranged the session; the spike low to 1.1412 was swept and bought back to 1.1441 before fading to 1.1427 near the NY close. RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum, price sitting just under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1412 exposes 1.1405 support
Reclaim of 1.1441 reopens the 1.1460 session high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this pair
17:16 UTC
Range, fading from highs · RSI 45 · price 1.1427
London high rejected, NY lower highs into range.
London pushed to a 1.1460 session high before NY sold it off to 1.1412, aided by a soft USD sitting at 3-week lows. Bounce to 1.1440 was rejected and price is fading back to 1.1427, holding inside a 1.1412-1.1460 range with lower highs building.
Support: 1.1412, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1412 exposes the 1.1405 range floor
Reclaim above 1.1440 bounce high reopens the 1.1460 session high
EUR/USD rebounded off the 1.1412 session low through the NY session and tagged 1.1441 before fading back to 1.1430, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. USD stayed soft on Iran de-escalation, but the recovery is stalling below the 1.1441 ny high.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14409 reopens the path to the 1.1460 session high
Loss of 1.14190 swing low exposes the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue could reset this range
17:01 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.14296
Intraday range, faded off recovery high.
Ranging roughly 1.1412-1.1441 through the NY session after a sweep of the 1.1412 low mid-session, then a grind back up to 1.1441 that has since faded to 1.1430. USD sits soft on Iran de-escalation but no clean break of the range; RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.14203, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14409 session high opens the path back toward 1.1460 range top
Failure to hold 1.14203 support exposes the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the main catalyst that could break this range
16:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, choppy · RSI 54 · price 1.14337
Range, mid-range after bounce.
NY session bounced off a 1.14119 low back through the mid-range, twice basing near 1.1420 before pushing to 1.14409 and stalling. Price now sits mid-range at 1.14337 with RSI(14) neutral around 54; the earlier London 1.14603 high remains untested.
Support: 1.14203, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14409 opens the path back toward 1.14603
Failure to hold 1.14203 exposes the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue and ECB Schnabel Mon could reset this range
16:46 UTC
Recovery off day low, momentum cooling · RSI 52 · price 1.14337
Bounce from double bottom, pulling back after NY rally.
NY session bounced off a double bottom near 1.14119/1.14163 and rallied to 1.14409 before fading, aided by USD sitting at three-week lows. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as price retraces roughly a quarter of the recovery leg; 1.14200 swing low is the pivot below.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14409, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14409 opens the path to 1.14475 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14200 swing low exposes the 1.14119 day low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
16:31 UTC
Recovering off session low, short-term up · RSI 58 · price 1.14384
Higher lows building after bounce.
NY session bounced off the 1.14119 session low and reclaimed the mid-range, trading back to 1.1439 into the ~55% retrace of the 1.14603–1.14119 drop. RSI(14) recovered near 58, no extreme; range top 1.1440–1.1460 remains the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14440 opens the session high at 1.14603
Failure to hold 1.14200 reopens the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst and could shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the London-NY transition to a 1.1412 session low, then recovered to 1.1438 during NY hours as a soft USD (DXY at 3-week lows) supported the pair. Price is mid-range, having stalled below the earlier 1.1460 session high; RSI(14) back near 57 after basing.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14410 opens the path back to the 1.14603 session high
Failure to hold 1.14119 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1410 downside
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst; range likely holds until then
16:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 1.14398
24h range, bounce from lows.
EURUSD sold off through NY morning to a 1.14119 session low then rounded higher, now back at 1.14398 with RSI(14) near 60. Move fits the softer-USD tone (DXY at 3-week lows); price sits mid-range between the 1.14119 floor and the 1.14475/1.14603 highs.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14475, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14475 opens the session-high 1.14603 retest
Failure to hold 1.14200 re-exposes the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst — outside this window but frames the range
16:16 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 1.14398
Range 1.1412-1.1460, bouncing from base.
EURUSD rejected the session high near 1.1460 mid-NY then sold to a 1.14119 base before buyers stepped in through the late session, lifting price back to 1.1440 with RSI(14) recovering from oversold to mid-50s. Still boxed inside the 1.1412-1.1460 range on a soft-USD backdrop (DXY at three-week lows), no clean break yet.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1412
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1460 opens the path to the 1.1475 range top
Failure to hold 1.1412 confirms a lower low toward the 1.140 area
Weekend US-Iran headlines could gap this read on the next open
EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.14119 during NY hours then reclaimed 1.1430, trading back to 1.1437 with USD pinned near three-week lows. Two-way and range-bound below the 1.1447 prior high; no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14386, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1447 opens the path back toward the 1.14603 session high
Failure to hold 1.1419 re-exposes the 1.14119 session low
US CPI Tue is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
16:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 53 · price 1.14365
Session low swept, mid-range bounce.
EUR/USD set the session high at 1.1460 overnight, then sold through NY hours to sweep 1.14163 before buyers stepped in and drove a recovery to 1.14365, roughly the 50% retrace of the decline. Move fits the soft-USD, two-way tone with the pair pinned inside the 1.1416–1.1460 band.
Support: 1.14163, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 opens a retest of the 1.14603 session high
Failure to hold 1.14163 confirms a lower-low and reopens downside
15:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14324
Lower highs / lower lows, recent bounce from session low.
M15 in a downtrend off the 1.1460 session high, grinding to a low at 1.1412 during NY hours as the soft USD failed to lift EUR through its cap. Buyers pushed the bounce back to 1.1435 but rejection there held; price now hovers at 1.1432 inside a 1.1412–1.1435 band with RSI(14) recovering to the high-40s.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.1447, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 opens a retest of 1.1447
Break below 1.1412 extends the intraday lower-low sequence
Fresh USD catalyst needed to resolve the 1.1412–1.1435 band
NY session sold EUR/USD off the session high at 1.14603 down to a spike low of 1.14119, which was swept and bounced back to 1.1432 as USD held near 3-week lows. Price now sits just above EMA20 but under a chain of lower highs; 1.1435 swing caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14119, 1.14194
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 breaks the lower-high chain and opens 1.1460
Failure to hold 1.14194 exposes the 1.14119 session low again
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14603 high down to a 1.14119 session low, with the pair capped all week below the 1.1475 range top on a two-way, low-conviction tape. Price has since recovered to 1.1432, pushing back above EMA20 and into the 38.2-50% fib of the down move; RSI(14) has lifted off its lows to mid-range.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14350 swing high tilts the intraday read back to balance
Failure below 1.14190 swing low reopens the 1.14119 session low
Break under 1.14119 exposes ING's 1.140 retest
US CPI Tue is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair
15:32 UTC
Downtrend, recovery leg underway · RSI 50 · price 1.14324
Lower highs into 1.1412 low, now bouncing.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1460 session high in a chain of lower highs down to 1.1412, where it was rejected and has since recovered to 1.1432 on a softer dollar. RSI(14) has climbed back near 50 off the lows; the bounce is testing the 1.1434 area under the descending highs.
Support: 1.14194, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.14342, 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1441 breaks the descending highs and negates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.14119 exposes ING's 1.140 retest
Fed Monetary Policy Report ~18:00 UTC could shift the USD-side read
15:17 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 46 · price 1.14286
Lower highs / lower lows, bouncing from session low.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1460 session high and sold off through NY hours to 1.14119 as the softer USD failed to sustain the earlier bid. Price is now bouncing to 1.14286, RSI recovering from the low-40s, but the lower-high/lower-low chain is still intact.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1435 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 1.14119 session low opens the 1.1400 round number
US CPI Tue is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1460 session high down to a 1.14119 low, printing a clean lower-high chain as a softer USD failed to keep the pair bid. Buyers stepped in at 1.1412 and price recovered to 1.14286, RSI(14) at 44 off the lows.
Support: 1.1419, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14119 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot
EUR/USD topped at the 1.1460 session high during London before rolling over on a softer USD tape, printing a chain of lower highs down to the 1.14119 session low. Price is now stabilising near 1.1422, still below the 1.1435 prior swing that has capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14350 prior swing would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14119 session low opens the 1.1400 round number
US CPI (Tue) is the week's key USD catalyst and could reset this read
15:01 UTC
Downtrend, lows being probed · RSI 39 · price 1.14221
Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.
EUR/USD leaked lower through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs after failing to hold 1.1430; the 1.14119 low was swept and buyers stepped in to close the bar back near 1.1422. RSI(14) sits near 39 — soft but not extended — with price under both EMA20 and EMA50 despite a softer USD backdrop.
Support: 1.14163, 1.14119
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14290 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14119 confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1410 pivot
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove EUR/USD lower off the 1.1460 session high, breaking the 1.1420 support and printing a fresh session low at 1.14119 before a shallow bounce to 1.1420. RSI(14) mid-30s, extended but not yet oversold; move fits the USD-soft, range-floor probe read.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14119 exposes the 1.1390-1.1410 pivot zone
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.14603 session high in a chain of lower highs, breaking below the mid-range and printing a fresh session low at 1.14119, RSI(14) near 39. Price is trading below EMA20/50 with a shallow bounce back to 1.14196; the 1.14280 swing high is the nearest cap.
Support: 1.14119, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14280 swing high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.14119 session low extends the down leg
US CPI (Tue) is the key USD catalyst that could reset this range read
NY session extended the slide from the London high at 1.1460, printing lower highs into a 1.1416 base before a small bounce to 1.1426. RSI(14) recovering from mid-30s; broad USD softness keeps a floor but EUR remains capped well below the 1.1475 weekly top.
Support: 1.14163, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 needed to stall the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.1416 exposes the 1.1410 psych area
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1460 session high, printing a chain of lower highs into the 1.14163 session low before a shallow bounce to 1.1426. Price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI in the high 30s; the 1.1475 weekly cap kept a lid on the earlier rally.
Support: 1.14163, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14475, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14163 session low confirms downtrend extension toward the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of the 1.14350 recent pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI Jul 14 is the next major catalyst for this pair
14:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.14213
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
EUR peaked ~1.1460 during the London-NY transition then rolled over into a stair-step decline, printing a fresh session low at 1.14163 as the 1.1475 weekly cap held. Price is trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; a shallow bounce off 1.14163 has so far stalled under 1.14290.
Support: 1.14163, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1435, 1.1446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14163 exposes the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim above 1.14350 breaks the descending lower-highs sequence
NY session ground EUR lower off the London high near 1.1460, printing a fresh session low at 1.14163 before a shallow bounce to 1.14213. RSI(14) sits mid-30s and price holds below EMA20/50, chain of lower highs intact as the softer-USD backdrop fails to lift the pair back above 1.14290.
Support: 1.14163, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14413
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14163 exposes the 1.1410 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14290 negates the current down leg
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:02 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 33 · price 1.14176
Lower highs, lower lows.
M15 in a steady downtrend through the London-NY session, sliding from the 1.1460 session high to fresh lows at 1.1418. The break below the 1.1428 shelf extended the move and price is printing new session lows; RSI(14) near 33, soft but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 would break the sequence of lower highs
Loss of 1.1405 opens the ING-flagged 1.140 retest
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone within the next few hours
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14176
Lower highs, lower lows off 1.1460.
NY session grinding lower, printing lower highs and lower lows off the 1.1460 session high and breaking session lows into 1.1417. Despite a broadly soft USD backdrop, EUR/USD is slipping toward the 1.1400 psych level with RSI(14) in the mid-30s, not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1435, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Sustained trade below 1.1417 opens the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.1430 swing high would negate the lower-low sequence
US Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
EUR/USD faded from the session high at 1.14603 through the 1.1430s on a firmer USD tick, printing a fresh session low at 1.14194 before a shallow bounce to 1.14242. Chain of lower highs holds and RSI sits in the mid-30s; price trades below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14194, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1433, 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14194 opens the 1.1400 psych retest
Reclaim of 1.14330 needed to challenge the descending lower highs
US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, making session low · RSI 34 · price 1.14213
Lower highs, lower lows into fresh session low.
EUR/USD sliding through the NY session in a chain of lower highs from the 1.1460 session high, now printing a fresh session low at 1.14194 with RSI(14) around 33. A soft-USD backdrop hasn't stopped the intraday leg lower after the pair failed near last week's 1.1475 cap.
Support: 1.14194, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14194 opens the ING-flagged 1.1400 retest
M15 close back above 1.14350 breaks the descending high sequence
NY session drove EUR/USD to fresh intraday lows at 1.14194 as the dollar steadied off its 3-week low, breaking below the earlier 1.1425 base. Chain of lower highs from 1.14603 intact; RSI(14) near 31 but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.14194, 1.1405, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14471
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14350 swing high would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14194 session low opens the 1.1405 range supp and 1.1400 psych
US CPI (Jul 14) is the dominant near-term USD catalyst
EUR faded off the 1.14603 day high through the NY session, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows down to a fresh session low at 1.14194, RSI(14) near 33. The 1.140 retest flagged in the digest is in play while price holds beneath the 1.14350 swing high.
Support: 1.14194, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14475, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14350 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 1.14194 exposes the 1.1405 prior support
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downdrift into NY session · RSI 36 · price 1.14214
Lower highs, session low broken.
After ranging 1.1419–1.1460 for most of the last 24h, NY hours drove a clean break below the range floor, printing a fresh session low at 1.1419 with RSI cooling into the mid-30s. Sellers pressed through 1.1435 with a chain of lower highs; USD stayed heavy on de-escalation and softer FOMC minutes, but EUR failed to hold the upper band.
Lower highs since mid-session peak, testing session low.
EURUSD peaked at 1.14603 during the London-NY overlap then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, with the 1.14413 spike promptly rejected and price now grinding the session low at 1.14230. Move fits the digest read of a pair capped below 1.1475; USD stays soft but EUR lacks a fresh catalyst.
Support: 1.1423, 1.14265
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14230 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1420/1.1405
Reclaim of 1.14413 swing high negates the intraday downtrend read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into NY · RSI 41 · price 1.14279
Sequence of lower highs from session high 1.14603.
London pushed EUR to a session high at 1.14603 before it stalled, again capped below the 1.1475 range top flagged in the digest; NY hours have carved a chain of lower highs back to 1.14279. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price holds under EMA20/50, with the 1.14230 session low the immediate floor being tested.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1446, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14350 breaks the lower-high chain
M15 close below 1.14230 exposes the 1.1420 support
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 41 · price 1.14263
Declining from session high, near lows.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.1460 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs into 1.1426. The late spike to 1.14413 was rejected and price is back pressing the session low near 1.1425, RSI(14) around 40.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1420 pivot exposes 1.1405
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
Lower highs off session high, back at session lows.
London tagged the session high at 1.14603, then a steady chain of lower highs through NY dragged price back to the session low near 1.1425, fully unwinding the move. The 1.14413 spike was rejected and price now sits below EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to ~40; USD remains soft but choppy into the weekend.
Support: 1.14248, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14248 session low exposes the 1.1420 round number
Reclaim of 1.14350 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Jul 14) is the next major catalyst for this pair
The Asian-session push to 1.14603 faded through London and NY, fully retracing back to 1.1430 on a softer USD at 3-week lows. A late spike to 1.14413 was rejected at the spike high 1.1435, and price now sits pinned near the session low 1.14262. RSI(14) neutral at 44, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14262, 1.14222
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1442, 1.14475
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14262 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14222 prior low
Reclaim of the intraday pivot 1.14420 needed to challenge the 1.14475 range top
US Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read
12:31 UTC
Pullback after rally, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.14297
Lower highs off 1.1460 into low-1.143s consolidation.
EUR/USD rallied to a session high at 1.1460 on the softer USD then bled back into the low 1.143s, printing lower highs. Latest spike to 1.14413 was rejected and price closed back at 1.14297, holding above the 1.14262 session low.
Support: 1.14262, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14413 reopens the 1.1460 session high
Failure to hold 1.14262 exposes the 1.1420 support
Fed Monetary Policy Report ~6h out could shift the USD read
12:16 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 1.14341
Ranging inside NY session band.
EURUSD ranged 1.14262–1.14413 through the NY session, holding a soft USD backdrop after the less-hawkish FOMC minutes. The last bar spiked to 1.14413 and was rejected back to 1.14341; session high at 1.14603 remains untested since the London-NY push.
Support: 1.14262, 1.14222
Resistance: 1.14413, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14413 opens a retest of the 1.14603 session high
Break below 1.14262 exposes the 1.14222 asia low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
12:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bouncing off support · RSI 52 · price 1.14341
Lower highs off 1.1460, repeated tests of 1.1426.
EUR/USD rallied through London to 1.1460 before rejection dragged it back into 1.1426 support, which held on repeated tests during NY hours. Last bar swept the 1.1426 lows and closed back up near 1.1434, RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1460
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1426 confirms a lower low toward 1.1420
M15 close above 1.1447 reopens the 1.1460 day high
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
12:01 UTC
Range fading off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.1431
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, back at session lows.
London pushed EUR/USD to a 1.1460 session high before rejection, and the NY drift has faded price back toward the 1.1426 session low, now trading a touch below both EMAs. USD stays soft on Iran de-escalation but the pair remains capped, chopping inside 1.1426–1.1460.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1426 exposes the 1.1420 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1445 puts the 1.1460 session high back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that would reset this range
12:01 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1431
Capped at 1.1460, holding above 1.1420.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high of 1.1460 mid-window before rejecting and fading back to 1.1430, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s and price now below both EMAs. USD softness on Iran de-escalation supports the bid, but the 1.1475 two-week cap keeps the pair rangebound between 1.1420 and 1.1460.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1460, 1.1475
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 reopens the 1.1460 session high
Failure to hold 1.1420 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1405
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst that would break this range
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, testing session lows.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1460 session high during NY hours and has drifted lower in a chain of lower highs, now probing the 1.1426 swing low with RSI(14) around 43. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the intraday pullback nears full retrace of the earlier London-NY leg up.
Support: 1.14262, 1.14222
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14262 confirms a lower low and extends the drift toward 1.1422
Reclaim of 1.14420 minor high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst but sits outside the next-bar window
11:46 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14298
Pullback into range after failed push.
EUR pushed to a session high at 1.14603 during London before rolling back to consolidate near 1.1430, with the 1.14356 pivot now capping. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50, RSI(14) mid-40s, holding above the 1.14262 session low as the market grinds sideways.
Support: 1.14262, 1.14222, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14356, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14222 confirms a lower-low and opens the range base at 1.1405
Acceptance back above 1.14356 puts the 1.14603 session high back in play
US CPI Tue is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
11:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14288
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1460 peak.
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.1460 in the Asian hours then faded steadily through London back toward 1.1427, printing a chain of lower highs; the pair again failed to accept near the 1.1475 two-week cap. RSI(14) near 43 with price below EMA20/50, sitting on session lows.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1460
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1426 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1442 needed to challenge the descending resistance
US CPI Tue is the pivot for the USD leg of this range
The overnight push to 1.14603 was rejected and price has bled lower through the London session, printing a chain of lower highs and now testing session lows near 1.1426. USD is soft on Iran de-escalation but EUR can't hold above the 1.1450 cap; momentum is with the downside on M15 with RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1450, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14264 exposes 1.1420/1.1405
Reclaim of 1.1435 needed to challenge the 1.1450 range cap
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
11:17 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14303
Lower highs off 1.1460, holding 1.1426 floor.
EUR faded from the 1.1460 session high — stalling below last week's 1.1475 cap and the 23.6% fib near 1.1460 — back toward 1.1430 as a string of lower highs built out. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price sits below EMA20/50; the 1.1426 swing low is the near-term floor being tested.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14349, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14264 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1435 needed to stall the lower-high sequence
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
11:16 UTC
Range, drifting to lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14303
Faded off session high, testing range floor.
London pushed to a 1.14603 session high on the softer USD then faded through the NY hours, price now grinding at the range floor near 1.14300 (~78% retrace of the up-leg). RSI(14) mid-40s, sitting below EMA20/50 — no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1422
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14264 confirms a lower low toward 1.14220
Reclaim of 1.14350 reopens the path back toward 1.14470
Fed Monetary Policy Report ~7h out could shift the USD read
11:02 UTC
Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14331
Lower highs off 1.1460, consolidating near range base.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 overnight but stalled below the 1.1475 cap and the 23.6% fib near 1.1460 as the USD stayed soft on Iran de-escalation. London faded the move back to 1.1430; price now consolidates 1.1426–1.1435 with RSI neutral.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1422
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14264 session low confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14471 swing high reopens the 1.1460 top
Fed Monetary Policy Report (18:00 UTC) could shift the USD leg
11:01 UTC
Downside drift after London high · RSI 46 · price 1.14331
Range fading off session high, lower highs.
EURUSD peaked at 1.14603 during London, then faded through a lower-high sequence back to 1.14264, where it has stalled and bounced to 1.14330. RSI(14) mid-range near 46; USD softness on Iran de-escalation keeps the pair pinned below last week's 1.1475 cap.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1422
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14420 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14264 exposes a retest of 1.14220
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:46 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14316
Lower highs since 1.1460 rejection, consolidating low 1.143s.
London session pushed to 1.14603 then got rejected near the 23.6% fib cap flagged around 1.1460, fading back through 1.143 on a softer-USD backdrop that stalled short of last week's top. Price now consolidating just above 1.14264, printing lower highs with RSI mid-40s and holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14264, 1.14217
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14460 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14264 exposes the 1.14217 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:46 UTC
Pullback, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14316
Lower highs after rejection at range top.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1460 during London before stalling below last week's 1.1475 cap, then bled back through NY to sit near 1.1432. Price is now below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; buyers stepped in at 1.1426 on the latest dip.
Support: 1.14264, 1.14217
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 reopens the 1.1460 session high
Failure to hold 1.1426 exposes the 1.1421 session low
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:32 UTC
Downtrend off session high, minor bounce · RSI 44 · price 1.14334
Lower highs since 1.1460, holding above session low.
London pushed to a 1.14603 session high as USD slid on Iran de-escalation, then faded all afternoon to a 1.14264 session low, with a small bounce to 1.1433 now. Price sits below EMA20/50 in a chain of lower highs; the 1.1460 cap flagged in context held cleanly.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14264 session low exposes the 1.14210 range floor
Reclaim of 1.14470 swing high needed to re-target the 1.14603 session high
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:31 UTC
Downtrend, pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14334
Lower highs since 1.14603 peak, testing session low.
London session rolled over from the 1.14603 session high, printing lower highs into 1.14334 with RSI(14) mid-range near 43. Buyers stepped in at 1.14264 with a small bounce on the last bar; USD stays soft on Iran de-escalation but EUR remains capped below last week's 1.1475 top.
Support: 1.14264, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14264 opens 1.14208 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14400 negates the lower-high sequence
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:16 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.14282
Lower highs, lower lows since Asia peak.
EUR pushed to a session high at 1.14603 during Asia hours on a soft USD (Iran de-escalation), then ground steadily lower through London into a chain of lower highs, now testing the 1.1426 session low. RSI(14) sits near 39 with price below EMA20/50; momentum is heavy but not yet oversold.
Support: 1.1426, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1426 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.14208
Reclaim of 1.1435 needed to break the lower-high chain
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:16 UTC
Downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.14282
Lower highs since 1.1460 rejection.
EUR rallied through the London morning to a session high of 1.1460 — near last week's 1.1475 cap and the 23.6% fib — before rejecting and grinding out lower highs back to 1.1428. RSI(14) around 38 as the intraday pullback extends toward the 1.1426 session low.
Support: 1.14264, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14264 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14471 breaks the lower-high chain and reopens 1.1460
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from weekly high · RSI 35 · price 1.14265
Lower highs, lower lows since 1.1460.
London session has walked EUR/USD steadily lower from the Asian-session high at 1.1460, a full round-trip of that rally, with RSI(14) near 35. The move is USD-driven — German CPI printed in line — and price is now testing the session low at 1.1426 after a chain of lower highs off 1.1442.
Support: 1.1426, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1420 confirms the next lower low
Reclaim of 1.1442 swing high needed to stall the downtrend
US Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift the USD read
10:02 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 37 · price 1.14265
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1460.
EURUSD pushed to a session high at 1.1460 during London on the broad USD slide, then rejected and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, fully retracing the up-leg back to 1.14265. RSI(14) at 37 reflects the fade; buyers now being tested at the 1.1425 swing-low shelf.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14251 opens the path to the 1.14208 session low
Reclaim of 1.14400 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
US Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
09:46 UTC
Pulling back after intraday push to weekly high · RSI 42 · price 1.14303
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, near session low.
EUR/USD pushed to the 1.1460 weekly high in the Asia session on broad USD weakness, then rejected and bled lower through London, now near the session low at 1.1430 having retraced almost the entire up-leg. RSI(14) around 42 and price below both EMAs; the intraday bid has faded rather than reversed hard.
Support: 1.14251, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1425 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of the 1.1438 EMA20 area would stall the fade
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift the USD-driven read
09:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14303
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, retesting lows.
EUR peaked at the 1.1460 session high early in the European session then drifted lower on a chain of lower highs, now retesting session lows near 1.14290 having given back most of the intraday advance. Move is more a stalling of EUR upside at the weekly cap than fresh USD strength, with the dollar still on a three-day slide.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1437, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14290 opens the path to the 1.14208 range low
Reclaim of 1.14370 negates the lower-high sequence
Fed Monetary Policy Report at 18:00 UTC could shift USD tone
09:32 UTC
Pullback off weekly high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 1.14325
Lower highs since 1.1460, testing session low.
EUR/USD rejected the weekly high near 1.1460 overnight and has ground lower through the European morning, now hovering above the 1.14300 session low. RSI(14) around 42 with price beneath both EMA20 and EMA50; the pullback off the top remains in force while lower highs hold.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 session low confirms continuation toward the 1.14250 prior low
Reclaim of the 1.14420 swing high needed to stall the pullback
Failure back above 1.14603 weekly high keeps the rejection intact
09:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 1.14325
Lower highs off 1.1460, back below EMAs.
EUR/USD was rejected at the ~1.1460 weekly high during the NY session and has since slid to 1.1430 in a chain of lower highs, now trading below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s; sellers capping each bounce near 1.1440.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14245, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1440 breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.1430 confirms a lower low toward 1.1425
Lack of follow-through above the 1.1460 weekly high keeps the pullback intact
09:17 UTC
Pullback, lower highs into London · RSI 41 · price 1.14325
Rejection at weekly high, retracing the Asian rally.
EURUSD tagged a fresh weekly high at 1.14603 in Asian hours on the soft-USD, hawkish-ECB backdrop, then rejected and bled lower through the London session — now at 1.14325, having nearly fully retraced that up-leg. Price is printing lower highs below EMA20/50, RSI(14) around 41; the 1.14300 session low is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.14250
Reclaim of 1.14400 negates the pullback and re-tests the 1.14470 swing high
US CPI Jul 14 is the dominant two-sided catalyst for the pair
09:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, short-term down · RSI 42 · price 1.14325
Lower highs off the 1.1460 top.
EUR tagged the weekly top at 1.1460 during the London morning then drifted lower for the rest of the session, now back near 1.1432 having retraced almost all of that rally. RSI(14) around 42, price below both EMAs; a chain of lower highs is capping bounces near 1.1442.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14238
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence toward 1.14238
Reclaim of 1.14420 needed to re-challenge the 1.1460 session high
Thin EUR calendar near-term — direction likely set by USD headlines
09:01 UTC
Pullback after rally to weekly top · RSI 38 · price 1.14304
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak.
NY session drove EURUSD to a fresh weekly high at 1.14603 before rejection set in, and the pair has since carved lower highs back to 1.14300 into the London session on the softer-USD, hawkish-ECB backdrop. RSI(14) cooling near 37 as price sits at its recent low, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14420 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.14208 session low confirms a deeper leg down
Thin EUR/USD calendar near-term; direction hinges on USD headlines
09:01 UTC
Pullback after weekly-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.14304
Lower highs off 1.1460, retracing the London rally.
EURUSD tagged a fresh weekly high near 1.1460 during the London session on continued USD softness post-FOMC minutes, then got rejected and has slid back to the session low at 1.14300. Sequence of lower highs since the rejection; price now trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooling into the low 40s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14245
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14245
Reclaim of 1.14470 swing high needed to re-engage the 1.14603 weekly high
08:46 UTC
Pullback off session high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.14324
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, testing session lows.
London ran to a session high at 1.14603 midway through the window, then price faded steadily through NY hours and is now pressing session lows near 1.1432, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Move sits inside the digest's 1.1425-1.1444 rangebound read after in-line German HICP; supply capped each bounce below 1.1442.
Support: 1.14314, 1.14268, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14314 opens the path to 1.14268
Reclaim of 1.14420 needed to re-challenge the session high
1.1400 handle is the deeper pivot if the Fed narrative reasserts
Rolled over from session high, chain of lower highs into support.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 into the London-NY window on the softer USD, then faded through a chain of lower highs back to the 1.14312 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 40; recent high at 1.14368 caps the bounce.
Support: 1.14312, 1.14268
Resistance: 1.14368, 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14312 session low opens the path to 1.14268
Reclaim of 1.14368 recent high would break the lower-high sequence
Fed Monetary Policy Report 18:00 UTC could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14341
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak.
NY session peaked at 1.14603 then faded, printing a chain of lower highs back to 1.1434 with price now under EMA20/50. EUR held firm above 1.14 on hawkish ECB accounts but supply capped the move into the mid-1.145s; RSI(14) cooling near 43.
Support: 1.14318, 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14318 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1400 psych level
Reclaim of 1.14471 swing high needed to re-challenge the 1.14603 session high
US CPI Jul 14 is the week's catalyst — not near-term but frames the range
London pushed to a session high at 1.1460 on the softer USD tone, then faded through NY back to 1.14318 with RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Price now sits below EMA20/50, grinding along the lower end of the day's range.
Support: 1.14318, 1.14251, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14440 range top would reopen the 1.14603 session high
Loss of 1.14318 session low confirms the lower-high sequence toward the 1.14251 swing low
US CPI Jul 14 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and can reset this range
EUR rallied through the Asian session to a high of 1.14603, then faded through European hours to 1.14349 as the USD clawed back a safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines. Now consolidating near 1.1436 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) mid-range at ~45 with a chain of lower highs capping.
Support: 1.14349, 1.14309, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14349 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.14471 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reprice this range
EUR pushed into the London session to a session high at 1.14603 on the softer USD tone, then faded ~40 pips into lower highs. Price is now consolidating between 1.14349 and the 1.14470 swing high, sitting below both EMAs with RSI in the mid-40s.
Support: 1.14349, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14349 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14470 negates the pullback and reopens 1.14603
Thin EUR calendar near-term; US CPI Tue is the week's catalyst, outside this window
08:01 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14353
Lower highs off 1.1460, testing 61.8% retrace.
NY session peaked at 1.14603 then faded steadily through the Asian range and into the London morning, now drifting into the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1420-1.1460 rally near 1.1436. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; a string of lower highs caps the pullback under the mid-1.14s.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 opens the path toward the 1.1420 range low
Reclaim of 1.14443 mid-1.14s cap negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Jul-14 is the dominant near-term catalyst but sits outside this window
The push to 1.14603 in the Asian session faded, and EURUSD drifted lower into London hours, printing a swing low at 1.14352 before bouncing to 1.14388. Price sits below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; a lower-high chain from 1.14603 caps the recovery while the mid-1.14s holds, in line with the noted 1.1444 cap.
Support: 1.14352, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14470 negates the lower-high structure
1.1400 pivot — a sustained break below would confirm USD-led drift
US CPI (Mon 14 Jul) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
EUR rallied into the London session to a high of 1.14603 then rejected, printing lower highs and slipping below EMA20/50 to consolidate around 1.1440 with RSI(14) neutral near 44. The move fits the digest read — ECB hawkish repricing is largely priced, leaving the 1.14 handle capped as focus shifts to the USD side.
Support: 1.14369, 1.1430, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14471 opens the path back to the 1.14603 session high
Sustained break below 1.1400 confirms the ING sub-1.14 scenario
US CPI (Jul-14) is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Pullback from session high, consolidating near EMA20.
London pushed to a session high at 1.14603 then faded, printing lower highs into 1.14467 as EUR stays capped near the 1.1440 area flagged around ECB's Vujčić remarks. Price is now consolidating around 1.1440 just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49; no clean directional structure in play.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14312, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14467 prior high opens the path back to 1.14603 session high
Loss of 1.14352 swing low confirms a lower low and voids the consolidation
Consolidating below session high, lower highs since peak.
EURUSD ran into the session high at 1.14603 during the early-London push, then faded back to 1.14403 with successive lower highs — consistent with the 1.1440 area capping flagged by the digest. Now consolidating between 1.14350 and 1.14470 with RSI(14) neutral near 47 and ATR compressed at ~4.6 pips.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14470 reopens the 1.14603 session high
Loss of 1.14350 confirms a lower low
ECB Vujčić remarks could shift the near-term EUR tone
Lower highs off the session high, retracing the earlier rally.
London hours pared the early push to the 1.14603 session high, with price now retracing roughly 78% of that leg back to 1.14376 and printing lower highs. EUR capped near the 1.1440 handle flagged in the digest; RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s as the pullback presses the 1.14352 swing low.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14301
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.14301 rally base
Reclaim of 1.14471 lower high needed to re-challenge the 1.14603 session high
ECB Vujčić speaking now — tone could nudge the EUR read
07:17 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 41 · price 1.14376
Lower highs from 1.1460, drifting to support.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1460 into the London window then faded, printing lower highs and slipping back toward 1.14352 support — consistent with the fade-on-rallies tone near the 1.1440 pivot. Price now trades below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 41, no fresh momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.1440 needed to challenge the 1.14471 lower high
ECB Vujčić remarks (~07:15 UTC) could nudge tone near session highs
EUR ran to a session high of 1.14603 in early London before supply capped it and price faded to 1.14352, keeping the 1.14 handle theme intact. Now recovering to 1.1441 near the 61.8% retrace of that rally with RSI neutral around 49. ECB's Vujčić speaks 07:15 UTC — a factor into the next bars.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14285
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.14440 ema20 zone reopens the 1.14603 session high
Loss of the 1.14352 pullback low exposes the 1.14285 swing low
ECB Vujčić speech (07:15 UTC) could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Range after rejection, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14408
Faded off session high, basing mid-range.
Asian session pushed to a session high at 1.14603 before rejection dragged EUR back to a swing low at 1.14352. London open has it ranging near 1.14408 with RSI(14) neutral, capped around the 1.1440 pivot ING flagged; hawkish ECB repricing looks largely priced.
Support: 1.14352, 1.1429, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
ECB's Vujčić (07:15 UTC) could shift tone into the London session
M15 close above 1.14470 swing high reopens the 1.14603 session high
Loss of 1.14352 swing low exposes the 1.14208 range low
06:47 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 45 · price 1.14389
Lower highs off 1.14603, chopping mid-range.
EUR ran to a 1.14603 session high late in the Asian session before rejecting, unwinding the leg back toward the 1.14352 swing low as the dollar firmed. Price is now chopping near 1.14390 below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 45 — no clear direction into the London open. US NFP later today is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.14352, 1.1430, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of the 1.14440 pullback high needed to challenge the session high again
US NFP later today could materially shift this read
06:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14389
Lower highs off 1.1460, holding above 1.1437.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1460 in the Asian session then rejected, grinding lower highs down to 1.1437 through the London open. Price now chops between 1.14369 and the 1.14443 session high; RSI(14) mid-range at 43, price below both EMAs.
Support: 1.14369, 1.14285, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14369 confirms a lower low toward 1.1428
Reclaim of 1.14443 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US NFP later today is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
06:32 UTC
Recovered off lows, pulling back from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14416
Rally to 1.1460 rejected, retracing into 1.1440.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.1460 in early trade on the softer-USD backdrop, then was rejected and has retraced roughly 60% of the move back to 1.1440. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits below EMA20; the 1.14352 swing low is the near-term structural marker.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14285, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.14471, 1.14603
What it said to watch
EU CPI print ~06:45 UTC and ECB Vujcic ~07:15 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low toward the 1.14251 range low
Reclaim of 1.14471 reopens the 1.14603 session high
06:31 UTC
Range after London spike, momentum cooling · RSI 47 · price 1.14416
Pullback from session high, holding above 1.1435.
London session drove EURUSD to a session high of 1.14603 on the softer USD, then rejected and gave back ~25 pips into the 1.1435 swing low, where buyers stepped in. Price is consolidating mid-range near 1.1442 with RSI(14) neutral around 47.
Support: 1.14352, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14474, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14603 reopens the session-high test
US NFP later today is the dominant risk for this pair
06:17 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 47 · price 1.14426
Lower highs off session peak, holding above recent low.
EUR/USD rallied to a session high of 1.14603 in the Asian session then faded, RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Price pulled back to the recent low at 1.14352 and is now bouncing toward 1.14426, with lower highs capping since the peak. EU CPI (~06:45 UTC) and US NFP later today are the near-term swings.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14301
Resistance: 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14556 negates the lower-high sequence off the session high
Failure to hold 1.14352 opens the path to the 1.14301 swing low
EU CPI ~06:45 UTC and US NFP later today could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
London up-leg faded, consolidating · RSI 48 · price 1.14426
Lower highs off 1.14603 session peak.
London open spiked EUR/USD to 1.14603 before sellers rejected the move, dragging price back to 1.14352 and leaving a chain of lower highs. Now chopping around 1.1443, back at the 1.14440-1.14444 resistance flagged as the session pivot; RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14287, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14444, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14556 reopens the 1.14603 session high
Failure to hold 1.14352 confirms a lower low toward 1.1425
US NFP later today is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
06:02 UTC
Pullback after London rally · RSI 44 · price 1.14399
Retracing off session high, lower highs forming.
London open drove EUR to a session high of 1.14603 before rejection set in, and price has since bled back to 1.14399 into the German HICP print. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits back below EMA20, tracing lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14603
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14493 needed to re-challenge the 1.14603 session high
German HICP (06:00 UTC) just landed — could shift this read on the next bars
A close below 1.14 handle exposes the 1.14208 prior low
Faded from session high, lower highs into London open.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 in the late-Asia/early-London hours before rejecting and fading back to the 1.144 handle, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Move stalled into the German HICP release at 06:00 UTC; price now carving lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14352, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14485, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC and French CPI at 06:45 could shift this read
Loss of the 1.144 handle exposes 1.14352 swing low
M15 close back above 1.14485 negates the lower-high sequence
05:46 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 1.14382
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1460.
EURUSD faded a run to the session high at 1.14603 during early hours and has ground steadily lower into the London open, now testing 1.1435 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the pullback extends; the 1.14 handle stays the broader downside reference flagged by the digest.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could jolt this read
Close below 1.14350 opens the path toward the 1.14 handle
Reclaim of 1.14493 negates the current lower-high sequence
05:46 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14382
Lower highs since 1.14603 peak.
London open pushed EUR up to 1.14603 before rejection, and price has bled back to 1.14382 in a chain of lower highs, RSI(14) near 41. The 61.8% retrace of the 1.14268-1.14603 leg sits just overhead around 1.14406; recent lows at 1.14352 are the near-term floor.
Support: 1.14352, 1.14268
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14352 confirms a lower low and extends the fade toward 1.14268
Reclaim of 1.14443 negates the lower-high sequence
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.14368
Lower highs after peak, retracing rally.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 early in the London session before rolling over into a steady lower-high sequence, now back at 1.14368 near the 0.618 retrace of the rally. RSI(14) has cooled to the high-30s as the pullback matured.
Support: 1.14315, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~30m out) could break the pullback structure either way
Loss of 1.14315 swing low confirms deeper retrace toward 1.14208 session low
Reclaim of 1.14443 recent high stalls the lower-high sequence
05:31 UTC
Pullback after London spike · RSI 40 · price 1.14368
Retracing rejection off session high.
London pushed to a session high at 1.14603 then got rejected, price bleeding back ~78% of the up-move to 1.14368 with RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. Now below both EMAs and drifting toward the 1.14309 swing low.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14208, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.14309 opens the path to the 1.14 handle
Reclaim of 1.14467 negates the pullback
05:17 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 1.14404
Lower highs after rally, holding above swing low.
EUR pushed to a session high 1.14603 in late Asian trade then retraced ~20 pips to 1.14404, RSI(14) cooling toward 40 and price slipping below EMA20. It's now holding just above the 1.14391 swing low; German HICP at 06:00 UTC lands into the London handover and could shift this read.
Support: 1.14391, 1.14309, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.14467, 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14391 confirms a lower low, exposing the rally base at 1.14309
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially move the pair
Reclaim of the 1.14467 pivot needed to re-target session high 1.14603
05:16 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14404
Lower highs off 1.14603, retracing the London-open leg up.
EURUSD rejected the session high at 1.14603 on the London open and has since carved lower highs, now unwinding to 1.14404 near the 61.8% retrace of that leg. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s; price is back at EMA50 with EMA20 capping. German HICP is due in under an hour and can reprice this move.
Support: 1.14391, 1.1430, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back above 1.14443 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14391 exposes the 1.14300 range base and the 1.1400 handle
05:01 UTC
Pulling back after Asian rally · RSI 43 · price 1.14421
Retracing session high, lower highs since peak.
Asian session pushed EUR/USD to a session high at 1.14603 before fading, and price now sits near the 61.8% retrace of that rally around 1.14420 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Lower highs have printed since the 03:00 UTC peak; the 1.14390 support zone is the near-term line into the European open.
Support: 1.1439, 1.14232
Resistance: 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (f/c 2.4%) could shift this read within the hour
Break of 1.14390 support opens the 1.14210 area cited by the digest
Close back above 1.14556 would reassert the Asian rally structure
05:01 UTC
Intraday up, retracing · RSI 44 · price 1.14421
Pullback off session high.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.14603 before rejecting, and price has since bled back to 1.14421 — roughly a 62% retrace of that leg — into quiet Asian hours. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as the move unwinds. German HICP is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.14391, 1.14304
Resistance: 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.14391 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.14304
Reclaim of 1.14556 puts the session high 1.14603 back in play
04:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 1.14413
Rolled over from 1.1460, testing 1.1441 support.
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 into the London open then rolled over, giving back most of the Asia-session rally and now testing 1.14410. Retracement has retraced ~75% of the 1.14344-1.14603 move; RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. German HICP at 06:00 UTC is the near catalyst.
Support: 1.1441, 1.14344, 1.1432
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.14344 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14490 negates the pullback
04:46 UTC
Pullback after Asian-session spike · RSI 43 · price 1.14413
Lower highs since 1.1460 peak, testing 1.1440.
EUR spiked to a session high of 1.1460 during Asian hours before fading back toward the 1.1440 round number, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. A chain of lower highs has printed since the peak and price now sits below EMA20; the 1.1440 level is the immediate test.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14301, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14556, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC is the nearest catalyst and could shift this read
A close below 1.1440 opens the 1.1410 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14556 would negate the lower-high sequence
04:31 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 44 · price 1.14452
Rally into 1.1460, retracing to 50% near 1.1445.
EUR/USD rallied through the pre-London session to tag 1.1460 before rejecting, and price is now sitting on the 50% retrace of that leg near 1.1445. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and micro-structure has turned lower since the rejection. German HICP at 06:00 UTC is the near catalyst.
Support: 1.14301, 1.1425, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.14603 negates the session-high rejection
Loss of 1.14301 swing low opens the 1.1425 pivot and 1.1410 support zone
04:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.14452
London broke Asian range, retracing off session high.
London session broke above the Asian range and tagged a session high at 1.14603 before rejecting, RSI cooling to the mid-40s as price retraced ~50% to 1.14452. Micro uptrend holds while 1.1432 base is intact.
Support: 1.14432, 1.1432, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC is the near catalyst and could shift this read
M15 close below 1.1432 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.14603 reopens the session high
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back off session high · RSI 54 · price 1.14485
HH/HL rally into 1.1460, shallow retrace.
Late-Asia rally pushed EURUSD to the session high at 1.14603 before rejection dragged price back to 1.14485, roughly a 38% retrace of the move. RSI(14) cooled from the low-70s to mid-range; range top still capping.
Support: 1.14465, 1.14452, 1.14301
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1459
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~1.75h) could break the 1.1440-1.1460 range read
Reclaim of 1.14603 reopens the high; loss of 1.14465 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.14301
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1432 base to a session high of 1.14603 before rejecting and easing back to 1.14485, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. Higher-high structure intact while the 1.14465 swing low holds.
Support: 1.14465, 1.1432
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.14556
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14465 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens the 1.14320 base
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EUR pushed to a session high of 1.14603 through the Asia-London transition before fading to 1.14486, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Rejection at 1.146 has stalled the leg, with price now hovering just under the 1.14500 round number.
Support: 1.1447, 1.1434, 1.14301
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
M15 close above 1.14603 resumes the intraday uptrend
Pullback from session high after impulsive leg up.
EUR pushed off 1.1430 through the Asian session into a session high at 1.14603, riding a softer USD, before rejecting there and fading to 1.1449 with RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s. Move now sits on the 38% retrace of the leg up; 1.14466 recent low is the first structural marker.
Support: 1.14466, 1.1433, 1.14265
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.14556
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14466 opens the prior range toward 1.14330
Reclaim of 1.14556 puts the 1.14603 session high back in play
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could reset this intraday read
Asian session rallied out of the 1.1440-1.1450 range top, tagging a session high at 1.14603 before easing back to 1.1453 as RSI(14) cools from the high 60s. The former range top around 1.1450 is now the level being retested from above.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1432
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1450 negates the breakout and puts price back inside the prior range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EUR/USD ran from the 1.1431 base up to a session high of 1.14603 through the late NY-Asia transition, RSI(14) cooling from overbought near 63. Price is now pulling back into 1.1453; the 1.1444 breakout base is the first area to watch for a hold.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14309
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.14556
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1444 breakout base puts the 1.14309 swing low back in play
M15 close above 1.14603 extends the uptrend toward the 1.1440-1.1450 range cap noted on higher TFs
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could shift this read
EURUSD ran from the 1.1430 base to a session high at 1.14603 through late Asia, clearing the prior 1.1440-1.1450 cap on a soft-dollar bid. Price is now consolidating around 1.1455 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the 1.1447 breakout level is the near retest zone.
Support: 1.1447, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14470 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.1430 base
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read
Sustained hold above 1.14603 extends the intraday uptrend
EUR/USD pushed ~30 pips higher through the Asian session, clearing the 1.1440-1.1450 range top and printing a session high at 1.14603 on broad USD softness. Price is now consolidating just under that high with RSI(14) elevated near 71; the breakout level at 1.14441 has flipped to support.
Support: 1.14532, 1.14441, 1.14304
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14532 session low puts the 1.14441 breakout back in play
Close above 1.14603 session high extends the intraday leg
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~2.5h) could shift this read
EUR/USD broke out of the 1.1425-1.1440 range in late session, running to a session high at 1.1460 as the USD softened broadly. RSI(14) is hot near 70 and the last two bars have stalled at 1.1456, momentum cooling into the highs.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1430, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1440 breakout retest reopens the 1.1430 swing low
M15 close above 1.14603 extends the leg higher
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
EUR/USD broke the 1.1425-1.1440 range top and ran to a 1.14603 session high through early Asia hours, RSI(14) hot near 71. Price stalled just under the high into the last two bars, holding above the 1.14465 breakout level.
Support: 1.14465, 1.1440, 1.14301
Resistance: 1.14603, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14465 puts the range cap at 1.1440 back in play
M15 close above 1.14603 extends the leg toward 1.1470
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3h) could shift this read
Asia session drove EURUSD up through the 1.1440-1.1450 cap into fresh highs at 1.14603, RSI(14) hot near 71. Clean higher-high/higher-low chain since 01:00 UTC with the breakout base at 1.1455 holding.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1432, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
German HICP (f/c 2.4% YoY) at 06:00 UTC in ~3h could shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.1455 breakout reopens the 1.1432 prior range
EURUSD broke out of a tight Asian range (1.1428-1.1434) on rising volume, pushing to a session high at 1.14603 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The 1.14550 breakout shelf is the immediate reference; move follows broad USD softening despite firm US data.
Support: 1.1455, 1.1443, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.14603
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14550 puts the breakout back inside the prior range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3h) could shift EUR near-term; a beat probes the highs, a miss pressures 1.1440
EUR/USD broke the 1.1432-1.1445 range in the last two hours of the Asian session, running to fresh highs at 1.1459 with RSI(14) hot near 74. The prior range cap at 1.1445 is now the breakout reference; USD softness post-FOMC minutes underpinned the push.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1432
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.14450 negates the breakout and returns price to the range base at 1.14320
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3h) could materially shift this read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, pushing session high · RSI 74 · price 1.1459
Rising highs and lows, at range top.
EURUSD broke out of the tight 1.1425-1.1435 Asian range and ran to a fresh session high at 1.1460 into early trade, RSI(14) running hot near 73. Move fits the softer-USD tone post-FOMC minutes; buyers stepped in on the rising-low sequence from 1.1430.
Support: 1.1443, 1.1431, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1443 breakout level flags a failed range break
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could shift EUR direction
Late Asian session broke cleanly above the 1.1440-1.1450 cap that had held all window, rallying to a session high at 1.14595 with RSI(14) running hot near 73. The prior cap at 1.14490 now acts as support; move is extended but structure intact.
Support: 1.1449, 1.1444, 1.1433
Resistance: 1.14595
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14490 puts the breakout in question and reopens the 1.1440-1.1450 range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3.5h) could shift this read
Sustained close above 1.14595 opens the path higher
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 78 · price 1.14574
Breakout above range top, fresh session high.
Price broke the 1.1440-1.1450 range cap late in the NY-Asia transition, printing a session high at 1.14595 with RSI(14) running hot near 78. The move accelerated off the 1.14304 base and closed at the highs; buyers cleared prior supply, but momentum is stretched short-term.
Support: 1.1447, 1.1433, 1.14304
Resistance: 1.14595, 1.1450
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.14500 would mark a false break of the range cap
Failure to hold 1.14470 on a pullback flags loss of breakout momentum
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~3.5h) could shift this read
Late Asia session broke cleanly above the 1.1449 range top that capped price for most of the window, tagging 1.14577 with RSI(14) stretched near 79. The impulse followed a tight low-volume consolidation around 1.1432; a soft USD post-FOMC-minutes remains the backdrop.
Support: 1.1449, 1.14317, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14577
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.1449 breakout level on a retest negates the range break
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could reprice EUR and shift this read
Asian session pushed EURUSD out of the 1.1425-1.1450 range, breaking the range cap and printing a session high at 1.14577 with RSI(14) hot near 74. Move is clean off the 1.14300 swing low; 1.1450 flips to first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.1450, 1.1430, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.14577
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1450 negates the breakout and returns price to range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could materially shift this read
Failure to reclaim 1.14577 leaves the session high as a rejection point
02:01 UTC
Grinding higher, testing range top · RSI 65 · price 1.14468
Range break attempt above 1.1445.
Asian session pushed EURUSD through the 1.1425-1.1445 range top, tapping a session high at 1.1449 before settling at 1.1447; RSI(14) firm near 65, not yet stretched. Move sits on the softer-USD tone; the 1.1440 former range top is the first flip level below.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1430, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1440 puts price back inside the range and negates the break
Broke above overnight consolidation to session high.
Asia session broke above the 1.1430-1.1440 consolidation that held for most of the window, pushing to a session high of 1.14493 with RSI(14) around 67. Price is holding the 1.1440 breakout level; a soft USD tone and hawkish ECB repricing frame the drift higher.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1430, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14493, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could shift this read
Loss of 1.1440 pulls price back into the prior consolidation
M15 close above 1.14493 extends the session high
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 64 · price 1.14425
Asia break above overnight consolidation.
Asia session pushed off the overnight 1.1430 consolidation and tagged 1.1447 before easing to 1.1443, with RSI(14) cooling from the pop. The 1.1447 session high and the 1.1444-1.1450 cap flagged in the range are the immediate ceiling; buyers held the 1.1430 base into the move.
Support: 1.14304, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14469, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1450 clears the range top and extends the break
Loss of 1.1430 base returns price to the overnight range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4h) could shift this read
01:46 UTC
Micro-uptrend off overnight base · RSI 66 · price 1.14425
Breakout from overnight consolidation, session high tagged.
Asia session pushed above the overnight consolidation around 1.1433, tagging a session high at 1.14469 before easing to 1.14425. RSI(14) elevated near 66 and ATR ~3.6 pips reflects thin overnight ranges; move fits the soft-USD tone from split Fed minutes.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14469, 1.1450
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could shift this range
Close back below 1.1433 negates the overnight breakout
Sustained hold above 1.14469 opens the 1.1450 range cap
01:31 UTC
Sideways, minor upside push · RSI 64 · price 1.14423
Range, testing top.
Thin Asia session pushed EUR/USD off 1.14310 up to 1.14469, stalling just under the prior 1.14490 high before easing to 1.14423. Still inside the day's 1.1420-1.1447 range; RSI(14) near 64, elevated but not extended.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14206
Resistance: 1.14469, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens room beyond the day's range
Loss of 1.14310 puts the 1.14206 session low back in play
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~4.5h) could shift this read
Low-volume Asian grind broke higher late in the window, tagging 1.14469 before easing to 1.14423 just under the 1.1444-1.1449 range cap. RSI(14) firm near 63, not yet hot; price holds above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1426, 1.14206
Resistance: 1.14469, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14490 opens continuation past the session high
Loss of 1.14300 reverts price into the prior consolidation
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could shift this EUR read
01:16 UTC
Micro uptrend, pushing range top · RSI 70 · price 1.14463
Breaking above the 1.1440 range top.
EUR/USD ground sideways through the Asian session then broke above the 1.1440 range top in the last hour, tagging 1.14463 with RSI(14) around 70. Prior high at 1.14490 is the immediate cap; the 1.1440 top now acts as first support on any retest.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14309, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.1449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14440 on a close would negate the breakout and put price back inside the Asian range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could materially shift this read
Breakout from tight range into prior session high.
Price broke the tight 1.1430-1.1435 Asia-session consolidation, adding ~15 pips into 1.1446 with RSI(14) pushing above 70 on thin overnight volume. The prior session high at 1.1449 is the immediate cap; buyers stepped in repeatedly at 1.1430 through the range.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14490 opens continuation toward the 1.1450 range cap
Loss of 1.14300 negates the breakout and returns price into range
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Sideways, minor late-Asia lift · RSI 63 · price 1.14388
Tight range, edging higher into session end.
Asian session chopped in a tight 1.1428-1.1435 band before a late lift pushed the intraday leg up to 1.1442 and back to 1.1439, RSI(14) near 63. EUR remains rangebound near 1.1425-1.1440 as flagged, with the session high at 1.1445 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 extends the intraday leg toward the 1.1449 prior high
Loss of the 1.1428 asian floor reopens the 1.1425 range low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could break this range read
01:01 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 1.14388
Consolidation inside 24h range.
EURUSD chopped in a tight 1.1427-1.1434 band through a quiet Asian session before a late push to 1.14417 lifted price to 1.14388, in line with the digest's 1.1425-1.1440 range read. RSI(14) mid-range near 57, ATR compressed to ~5 pips reflecting thin flow.
Support: 1.14261, 1.1421
Resistance: 1.14417, 1.14472
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14417 opens the session high at 1.14472
Failure to hold 1.14261 reopens the 1.1421 range floor
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h) could break this range
00:46 UTC
Sideways, low volatility · RSI 56 · price 1.14365
Tight consolidation inside daily range.
Quiet Asia session grinding sideways between 1.14285 and 1.14405, ATR compressed near 3 pips. Earlier London/NY rally into 1.14472 was rejected and faded; price now coiled just above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.14285, 1.14225
Resistance: 1.14405, 1.14472, 1.1450
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14472 range cap reopens 1.14500
Loss of 1.14285 exposes the 1.14225 session low
German HICP 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range
00:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14365
Consolidation inside session range.
EURUSD ranging between 1.1420 and 1.1449 all session, now coiled around 1.1432 on thin late-Asia volume with RSI(14) flat near 54. London push to 1.1449 faded back into the range; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1430, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 breaks the session range top
Failure to hold 1.1420 opens the session low
German HICP 06:00 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14309
Tight Asian-session range after fade from session high.
Asia session ultra-quiet, EUR/USD pinned near 1.1431 on sub-100 volume after fading from the 1.1449 session high rejection during NY hours. RSI(14) flat near 48, ATR just ~4 pips — no setup in play, ranging 1.1420-1.1440.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.1440, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1440 range cap reopens 1.1449
Break below 1.1420 confirms a lower low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could break the range
00:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower late · RSI 48 · price 1.14309
Tight consolidation after faded rally.
Thin Asia-hours consolidation coiling between the session low near 1.1428 and the recent cap at 1.1434, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the London-NY leg up. Earlier NY session probed 1.1449 then faded back toward 1.1425 as the dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.1428, 1.14196
Resistance: 1.1434, 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
German HICP at 06:00 UTC (~5h out) could break this coil
M15 close below 1.1428 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14196
Reclaim above 1.14340 reopens the 1.14457 swing high
Dead Asian session; EURUSD coiled in a tight 1.1431-1.1434 band on thin volume after fading from the session high at 1.1442. Range intact, RSI(14) flat near 52 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14424, 1.14472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14424 opens the 1.1447 range cap
Loss of 1.14251 confirms a lower low toward 1.14208
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could inject direction into the range
Asia session is grinding sideways around 1.1432 on thin volume after London/NY carved a 1.1421-1.1449 range. Price sits near the 50% retrace of the last clean leg up to 1.14457; no setup in play.
Support: 1.14251, 1.14208
Resistance: 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1446 range cap reopens the 1.1449 session high
Loss of 1.1425 session low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1421
German HICP 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range
00:01 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 53 · price 1.14327
Consolidation after faded rally.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1449 during earlier hours then faded back into a tight Asia-session coil around 1.1433, volumes thin. Price is pinned near the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1420-1.1449 leg with the 1.1445 range cap repeatedly rejecting rallies.
Support: 1.14208, 1.14245
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14450 range cap reopens the 1.14490 session high
Loss of 1.14208 swing low confirms a lower-low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could break the Asian coil
00:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 54 · price 1.14327
Tight consolidation mid-range.
EUR/USD is coiled in a tight 1.1428–1.1434 band through the quiet Asia session after fading from the 1.1449 session high, with liquidity thin and ATR compressed to ~7 pips. Price stalled back near 1.1425 as the dollar reclaimed a safe-haven bid; no setup in play with EMAs flat and RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.1428, 1.14231
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.14457, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Break above 1.1439 reopens the 1.14457/1.1449 range cap
Loss of 1.1428 exposes the 1.14231 swing low
German HICP at 06:00 UTC could break the Asian range