EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 11 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Range broken to upside, momentum strong · RSI 66 · price 1.15795
Sweep of 1.1500 then breakout above week cap.
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1500–1.1575 range before a sharp NY-session rally swept the 1.1500 lows and broke above the 1.1565/75 cap that had held since Monday. The leg followed the soft US core PPI print working against the dollar, and price now sits just under the 1.1590 week high with RSI elevated after the impulse. EMA20 and EMA50 are both below price following the break.
Support: 1.1566, 1.1513, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15895, 1.1600
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1566 on a close puts the breakout back inside the prior range
Acceptance above 1.1590 week high opens the path toward 1.1600
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the dollar leg of this read
23:01 UTC
Recovering off range lows, momentum up · RSI 65 · price 1.15795
Range break above weekly cap.
Sharp recovery off the 1.1500 double bottom into the NY session, breaking above the 1.1565/75 cap that pinned price all week. EUR/USD now trades above EMA20 with RSI(14) pushing into the mid-60s after a multi-day grind. The April trough at 1.1500 held twice this week before this leg up, despite a hot US PPI print.
Support: 1.1550, 1.1503, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1575
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1575 puts price back inside the week's range
Failure to hold the 1.1550 EMA20 weakens the breakout read
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
22:01 UTC
Recovering, momentum up after low sweep · RSI 67 · price 1.15791
Breakout from this-week range, higher high printed.
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1500–1.1575 range before the late NY session swept the lows near 1.1500 and reversed hard, clearing the 1.1565/75 cap and tagging a week high at 1.15895. The leg came after soft US core PPI revived a dovish repricing, with price now holding above both EMAs and RSI(14) pushed up near 67. The broken 1.1550/65 cap is the immediate area to watch as it flips to support.
Support: 1.1545, 1.1550, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15895
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1550 would negate the breakout and re-open the range
Failure to hold 1.1500 reinstates the lower-low risk toward 1.1400
US Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.15791
Range break above weekly cap.
EURUSD spent most of the week ranging 1.1500–1.1575 before a sharp NY-session rally drove a clean break above the 1.1565/75 cap, printing a 1.1589 week high. Price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 68 after the impulse. The 1.1500 April trough that capped downside earlier in the week remains the structural floor below.
Support: 1.1575, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1589
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1575 would negate the breakout and restore the range
Holding above the 1.1565/75 prior cap on a pullback confirms the break
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Week range swept its low then reversed to a new high.
EURUSD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1500-1.1565 range, then swept the lows down to 1.1503 during the NY session before a sharp reversal drove price back through the 1.1565 cap to a fresh week high near 1.1590. The recovery runs against the EUR-soft, USD-firm digest tone, so it reads as a positioning unwind rather than a fundamental shift. Price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushed into the high-60s on the impulse.
Support: 1.1565, 1.15068, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15895
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.1565 range cap keeps the breakout intact; a close back below reasserts the week's range
Rejection at the 1.1590 week high would stall the rally
Failure to hold 1.1500 april trough opens a deeper leg lower per the bearish EUR context
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.15802
Range break above weekly cap.
Price spent the week pinned in a 1.1500-1.1565 band, then broke higher through the prior cap during the NY session, printing a session high at 1.15895 despite the soft ECB tone. The advance lifted price clear of both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushing into the upper 60s. The 1.15570 prior cap now sits beneath price as the first reference back into the range.
Support: 1.1557, 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15895
What it said to watch
H1 hold above 1.15570 keeps the range break intact
Slip back below 1.15570 reopens the 1.1500-1.1565 range
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
20:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 58 · price 1.15624
Range-bound, holding the 1.1500 floor.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1500–1.1578 range since Monday's open, pinned by the in-line ECB hike and hot US PPI keeping the dollar bid. The last few hours swept the 1.1500 area low to 1.15026 then snapped back to reclaim 1.1550, putting price back beneath the 1.1565/75 cap that has held twice this week. RSI(14) has cycled back above 50 on the bounce with price reclaiming both EMAs.
Support: 1.1550, 1.15026, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1578 invalidates the range-top read
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower low toward 1.1400
Fri 06:00 UTC HICP and ECB Nagel could shift this read
20:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.15624
Two-week range, swept the floor and snapped back.
EUR/USD has been pinned in a 1.1500-1.1566 range all week as a fully-priced ECB hike and hot US PPI kept the pair defensive. The final NY hour swept the 1.1503 floor before snapping back above 1.1560, leaving a long-tailed bar back in mid-range. Price now sits above EMA20/50 with RSI near 56 after cycling off the lows.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15026
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1566 reopens the 1.1578 week high
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1400
Eurozone final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
19:01 UTC
Range-bound, slipping toward support · RSI 47 · price 1.15508
Lower highs into range floor, sharp recovery off 1.1500.
EUR/USD has held a 1.1500-1.1578 range all week, grinding off the week high under a string of lower highs into the NY session. The final bar swept to 1.15026 and recovered to close near 1.1551 — a sharp rejection at the April trough, with the bounce reclaiming EMA20. ECB's hike was fully priced and hot US PPI keeps the dollar firm, capping rallies near the 1.1566 session high.
Support: 1.1538, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1566, 1.1578
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a range break toward the 1.1400 zone
Reclaim of the 1.1566/1.1578 caps needed to negate the lower-high sequence
UoM Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read
EURUSD has been boxed between 1.1500 and the 1.1577 week high for most of the period, with the dollar kept firm by hot US PPI and Mideast risk-off. The latest bar swept down to 1.15026 — just holding the April trough at 1.1500 — before snapping back above 1.1550 in a single candle, demand stepping in at the level. Price now sits back above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling near the midline.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15026
Resistance: 1.1565
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1400 zone
H1 close above 1.15775 invalidates the range top
German final HICP and ECB speakers (Sleijpen, Nagel) Friday could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Downtrend accelerating into the lows · RSI 35 · price 1.15075
Lower highs, pressing weekly support.
EUR/USD rolled over through the NY session, sliding from the mid-1.1550s to the 1.1508 lows after a hot US PPI print (+6.5% YoY) underpinned the dollar. Price is back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 35, and the week's lower-high sequence off the 1.1578 high leaves the 1.1500 April trough as the line being tested.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15068
Resistance: 1.15565, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 1.15565 (ING cap) needed to neutralise the lower-high structure
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, broke below week range.
EUR/USD rolled over through the NY session, breaking the 1.1530-1.1578 range that held since midweek and grinding to two-month lows near 1.1508. The leg lower tracked a hot US PPI print (+6.5% YoY) and safe-haven dollar demand, with the fully-priced ECB hike leaving EUR no fresh upside. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressing toward the upper-30s.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15068
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 opens the path to a deeper decline
Reclaim of 1.15450 (EMA20) would neutralise the breakdown
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and ECB speakers could shift this read
17:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 38 · price 1.15147
Lower highs since week high, rolling toward 1.1500.
EURUSD rolled off the week high at 1.15778 and has carved a series of lower highs into the NY session, pressing the two-month low near the 1.1500 april trough after a hot US PPI print underpinned the dollar. Price trades below EMA20 (~1.1538) and EMA50 with RSI(14) sub-40, the twin peaks at 1.15778/1.1573 capping the upside. The session low at 1.15137 is the immediate floor ahead of 1.1500.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15137
Resistance: 1.1538, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens deeper decline
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1538 would ease the downside pressure
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
17:01 UTC
Range, tilting lower into the week's close · RSI 41 · price 1.15147
Range with lower-highs, pressing range floor.
EUR has churned in a 1.1500–1.1577 range all week and slid back toward the floor through the NY session, with price closing below EMA(20) and EMA(50) after the hot US PPI print (+6.5% YoY) firmed the dollar. The week high at 1.1577 capped the rally on Tuesday and lower-highs near 1.1555 have framed the decline since. RSI(14) near 40 confirms the loss of momentum as 1.1500 comes back into focus.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15137
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1577
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens deeper downside
Reclaim of 1.1555 lower-high negates the slide back to the range top
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
16:01 UTC
Range fading lower · RSI 39 · price 1.15194
Lower highs since Thursday peak, testing range floor.
EUR/USD faded through the NY session back toward the 1.1500 April trough after stalling at the 1.15778 week high on Thursday, with the fully-priced ECB hike to 2.25% giving little fresh lift. Price has dropped below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) easing to the high-30s as the week's lower-high sequence builds. The 1.1500 floor still holds for now after the late slide.
Support: 1.15144, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1540, 1.15778
What it said to watch
Final euro-area HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
Clean H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 area
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1540 negates the lower-high sequence
16:01 UTC
Range with downside pressure · RSI 43 · price 1.15194
Fading off week highs toward 1.1500 floor.
EURUSD spent most of the week ranging 1.1500–1.1577 before fading into the NY session as the priced-in 25bp ECB hike to 2.25% gave the euro no fresh lift and a US PPI/CPI-driven dollar bid pressed lower. Price has slipped below EMA20 and EMA50, with the latest bars rejecting from 1.1556 and probing back toward the 1.1500 April trough. RSI(14) has rolled into the low 40s, tracking the softer tone.
Support: 1.1500, 1.15144
Resistance: 1.1565
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 area
Reclaim of 1.1565 cap would negate the downside read
Euro-area final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD has chopped in a 1.1500-1.1578 range this week and is now pinned near the lower end around 1.1529 after the fully-priced ECB hike to 2.25% offered no fresh upside. Price sits below EMA20 (~1.1542) with RSI(14) sub-45, and the rejection from the 1.1556 lower-highs band into the NY session keeps sellers in control of the recent leg. The 1.1500 April trough is the pivotal floor underpinning the range.
Support: 1.1516, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1542, 1.1556, 1.1578
What it said to watch
Clean H1 close below 1.1500 april trough confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Reclaim of the 1.1556 lower-highs band would neutralise the downside drift
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC and Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the range read
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1500–1.1578 range all week, pinned near two-month lows as the fully-priced ECB hike to 2.25% offered no fresh lift and a firm dollar capped bounces. The 1.1575/78 cap rejected attempts twice into the NY session yesterday, and price has since slipped back below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low-40s. Sellers leaned on the 1.1543 mid-range area while the 1.1516 swing low has held the latest leg down.
Support: 1.1516, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1557, 1.1578
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1516 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1500
Reclaim of 1.1557 needed to revisit the 1.1578 week high
German final HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.15387
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1585.
EUR/USD has churned in a tight 1.1500–1.1585 band all week as the ECB delivered its fully-priced 25bp hike to 2.25% and hot US CPI kept the dollar firm. Price is hugging EMA(20) just under 1.1545 with RSI(14) oscillating around the midline, and rallies into the 1.1577 week high have been sold. The April floor at 1.1500 still caps the downside.
Support: 1.15162, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1585
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1585 negates the downside bias and the range read
Loss of 1.1500 floor opens 1.1445
UoM Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could break the range
14:01 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 1.15387
Consolidation inside weekly band.
EUR has been pinned in a 1.1500-1.1585 band all week, easing back into the NY session after the in-line ECB hike to 2.25%. Price sits just below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around the midline, and the week's early high at 1.1578 has capped attempts. Hot US CPI continues to underpin the dollar and weigh on the euro near the lower half of the range.
Support: 1.1516, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1578, 1.1585
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1585 negates the near-term downside read
Loss of the 1.1500 floor opens the path to 1.1445
German HICP Fri 06:00 UTC could shift this range read
EURUSD has chopped inside a 1.1500–1.1575 band all week, with the recovery off Monday's 1.1499 low capped twice near 1.1575 before fading. Price now sits below EMA20/50 around the 61.8% retrace of that recovery as EUR stays heavy into the ECB press conference, with firm USD on hot US CPI underpinning the down-drift. Last bar's rejection back from 1.1540 keeps the range floor at 1.1500 in focus.
Support: 1.1516, 1.1500, 1.1490
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB press conference (12:45 GMT) is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1500 confirms a break of the April-trough floor, opening 1.1445
H1 close above 1.1585 negates the bearish range read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, ranging near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.15272
Two-month lows, capped under 1.1577.
EURUSD has been defensive since Monday's open near 1.1586, grinding into the 1.1500–1.1577 range and sitting just above the April trough. The in-line ECB hike to 2.25% failed to extend any rally, and the last bar rejected from 1.1545/EMA20 back toward the lows as firm USD post-CPI keeps the euro heavy. Price now trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI in the low 40s.
Support: 1.15162, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.15778
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1577 negates the range-low read
Failure to hold 1.1500 opens the path to 1.1445
US PPI/jobless claims (12:30 GMT) could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear trend · RSI 45 · price 1.15381
Consolidation between 1.1500 floor and 1.1585 cap.
EUR/USD has chopped in a tight 1.1500–1.1585 band since the week opened near 1.1600, with the lone clean impulse the Monday drop into the 1.1500 floor. Price now sits mid-range just under EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) near 45, reflecting traders sitting on hands ahead of the ECB. Range compression is typical pre-event positioning with the soft US core CPI and hot headline print leaving the dollar bid into PPI.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
US PPI / jobless claims 12:30 GMT into the same window
Close above 1.1585 negates the near-term downside read
EUR/USD has chopped in a 1.1500–1.1578 band all week, coiling near 1.1540 into today's ECB decision as desks sat on hands. The midweek push to the 1.1578 week high has faded back to roughly the 50% retracement of that leg, with RSI(14) near neutral and price slipping just below EMA20/EMA50. The range remains intact ahead of the 12:15 GMT rate call and Lagarde presser.
Support: 1.15228, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15778
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT can break the range either way
US PPI 12:30 GMT also lands inside the next bar window
H1 close below the 1.1500 psych floor confirms a range break lower
Reclaim of 1.1585 negates the near-term downside read
EUR/USD has been pinned in a 1.1500–1.1577 range since the Monday gap lower from 1.1641, with the pair parked just above the two-month low into today's ECB. Price slid back under EMA20 after a rejection near 1.1555 in the prior session, and RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s with no fresh momentum. The 1.1500 floor remains the pivot the week has been built around.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1547, 1.1577, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bars
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1577 week high negates the range-bound read
EUR/USD has chopped in a 1.1500–1.1577 band all week, pinned just above two-month lows as traders sit tight ahead of today's ECB decision. Price recovered off Tuesday's 1.14994 low into the 1.1577 week high but has since rolled back under EMA20/50 toward 1.1531, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. A hot US CPI print and firm USD continue to cap rebound attempts.
Support: 1.1520, 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15778, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
US PPI ~2h away is a near-term volatility risk
H1 close below 1.1500 floor confirms a lower-low, opens 1.1445
Close above 1.1585 cap negates the near-term range-bound drift
10:01 UTC
Down early week, now ranging · RSI 44 · price 1.15356
Consolidation under range top after Monday's drop.
Monday's session drove a sharp leg lower from 1.1640 to sub-1.1500, and price has consolidated in a 1.1500-1.1575 band ever since. EUR sits just below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, capped under the range top near 1.1558 into the ECB decision. The week is two-way ahead of Lagarde, with a firm USD on hot US CPI keeping rallies in check.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1574, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below the 1.1500 floor opens the path to 1.1445
Close above 1.1585 negates the near-term downside structure
10:01 UTC
Range after early-week selloff · RSI 45 · price 1.15356
Balanced range, capped below 1.1577.
The week opened near 1.1640 Monday and sold off hard through the European session to the 1.1500 floor, printing a low at 1.14994. Since then EURUSD has balanced in a 1.1500–1.1577 range, with the 1.1577 area capping repeated attempts and price now drifting back below EMA(20) into the ECB decision. RSI(14) has cycled in the 40–60 band, reflecting the range-bound, pre-event positioning flagged in the digest.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1520, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1558, 1.1578, 1.1585
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde at 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
Loss of the 1.1500 floor opens the path to 1.1445
H1 close above 1.1585 negates the downside scenario
EURUSD has chopped sideways since the Monday open, basing off the 1.1500 two-month low and capped repeatedly below 1.1575 ex-support. The recovery off Monday's low has stalled and price is now slipping back toward the 61.8% fib near 1.1529, slipping under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) easing into the low 40s. Gains stayed capped below 1.1575 as a firm USD held the bid after this week's hot CPI/NFP combo.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser 12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and breaks the week's range floor
An hourly close above 1.1575 clears the cap and opens the path toward 1.1600
09:01 UTC
Range, near lower edge · RSI 43 · price 1.15315
Consolidation between week low and lower-highs.
EURUSD has ranged 1.1500–1.1577 since Monday's sharp drop off 1.1644, with lower-highs capping each NY-session bounce. Price slipped back below the EMA20 (~1.1545) into the latest session and now sits near the lower third of the week's range, RSI mid-40s. The week's mixed EUR data and a firm USD post-CPI have kept gains capped under the 1.1577 week high.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1545, 1.1577
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close below 1.1505 confirms a break of the 2mo low toward 1.1445
Reclaim of EMA20 and a close above 1.1577 week high reopens the range top
08:02 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 49 · price 1.15438
Consolidation under week high.
After Monday opened near 1.1509, EUR/USD rallied through the NY session to a 1.1578 week high before settling into a 1.1530-1.1575 range as traders sat on hands into the ECB. Price is hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50, reflecting pre-ECB caution noted in the digest. The 1.1575 cap has held the upper edge while 1.1528 marks the floor of the recent consolidation.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15778
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could break this range either way
H1 close above 1.15575 reopens the 1.1578 week high
Loss of 1.15280 exposes the 1.1500 two-month low
08:01 UTC
Range-bound after early-week selloff · RSI 47 · price 1.15438
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1575.
EURUSD has churned in a 1.1500-1.1575 range since Monday's sharp drop from 1.1644, with price now pinned around 1.1544 just under EMA20 into the ECB. RSI(14) is cycling near 46, reflecting the pre-event drift after the in-line US CPI print yesterday kept the dollar underpinned. The 1.1575 range cap has held repeated attempts this week while 1.1500 marks the two-month floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1573, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT could break this range either way
US PPI at 12:30 GMT is a parallel risk to the read
H1 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range top; loss of 1.1500 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1445
07:01 UTC
Range after sharp drop, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.15452
Ranging 1.1500–1.1575 since Monday's slide.
EURUSD slid hard out of Monday's open from 1.1640 to a 1.1500 floor, then spent the rest of the week pinned in a 1.1500–1.1575 range as traders sat on hands into the ECB. The 1.1575 cap has held repeated attempts while demand has repeatedly stepped in at 1.1500, leaving price oscillating around the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Today's ECB decision (12:15 GMT) and Lagarde's press conference (12:45 GMT) are the dominant catalyst into this range.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1575 range cap opens the path to 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1500 two-month low exposes the 1.1445 UOB target
ECB decision and Lagarde presser within hours could materially shift this read
07:01 UTC
Range after early-week drop · RSI 52 · price 1.15452
Consolidation between 1.1500 and 1.1575.
EUR/USD sold off sharply from Monday's 1.1644 area to a 1.1499 low, then carved out a tight 1.1500–1.1575 range through the back half of the week as traders sat on hands into the ECB. Price is pinned around EMA(20) near 1.1545 with RSI(14) cycling near the midline; the 1.1575 cap has repelled multiple attempts while 1.1500 has held as a floor.
Support: 1.1500, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15778, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde press conference 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1575 would break the week's range cap toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1500 reopens the 1.1499 swing low and the two-month-low zone
EUR/USD has churned inside a 1.1505-1.1575 band since Friday's sharp drop on weak EU data, with price now mid-range near 1.1545 and EMA(20)/EMA(50) flat and intertwined. The 1.1575 cap has rejected every push this week while demand has held the 1.1505 two-month low; RSI(14) is cycling around 50 with no momentum edge. ECB today is the binary catalyst into this compression.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1528, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1578
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT — terminal-rate language is the mover for this range
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1505 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1445 zone
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1505-1.1575 range since Friday's sharp drop off the 1.1644 week high, with the pair pinned near two-month lows ahead of today's ECB. Price is hugging the EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat around 50, and the 1.1575 zone has repeatedly capped recovery attempts this week. The move reflects soft EUR data and a firm USD after in-line US CPI.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.16441
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT — guidance is the catalyst with the 25bp hike priced
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path back toward the 1.1644 week high
Loss of 1.1505 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1445 area
05:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.1545
Consolidation under 1.1555 after Monday's slide.
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1615 and slid hard through Monday's session toward 1.1500 on the broad USD rally, then settled into a tight 1.1505-1.1555 consolidation for the rest of the week. Price now sits mid-range around 1.1545 with RSI(14) flat near 48 and EMA20 capping pullbacks; the 1.1555 range top has held repeatedly. Today's ECB decision and Lagarde press conference are the dominant catalysts into the next sessions.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1555 invalidates the range and opens 1.1575
Failure to hold 1.1500 reopens the 1.1445 downside
05:01 UTC
Sideways after Monday selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.1545
Range, flat EMAs.
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1505-1.1575 band since Monday's sharp selloff off 1.1644, with EMA20 and EMA50 flattened around 1.1546 and price pinned at the mid. RSI(14) is cycling near 48, offering no momentum edge as the pair holds 2-month lows into today's ECB. The 1.1555 range top has capped every push this week, while 1.1528-1.1499 has absorbed dips.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.1555 opens the 1.1575 zone; close below 1.1499 confirms a lower-low
Failure to hold 1.1528 exposes the week low at 1.1499
04:01 UTC
Range after Monday selloff · RSI 49 · price 1.15451
Consolidation, 1.1505-1.1575 box.
EURUSD slid from Monday's 1.1644 open down to 1.1499 after the broad USD rally, and has since coiled in a 1.1505-1.1575 box with RSI(14) cycling near 50. Price sits right on a flattening EMA(20); the 1.1555 pivot has capped repeated attempts and 1.1505 has held the floor. Two-way chop ahead of today's ECB decision, with the dollar firm after in-line US CPI.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.1555 opens the path to the 1.1575 prior-support zone
Failure to hold 1.1505 exposes the 1.1445 downside target
04:01 UTC
Range after early-week drop · RSI 49 · price 1.15451
Consolidation between 1.1505 and 1.1555.
EUR has chopped sideways since Monday after the early-week slide from 1.1644 to the 1.14994 week low, with the 1.1555 range top capping two NY-session attempts. Price is pinned near EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering around the midline, reflecting the pre-ECB stall noted in the macro digest. A series of higher lows off 1.14994 keeps the floor intact while the 1.1505 range floor holds.
Support: 1.1528, 1.1505, 1.14994
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.15747
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser 12:45 GMT are the dominant catalysts and could break this range
H1 close above the 1.1555 range top opens the path to the 1.15747 week high
Loss of the 1.1505 range floor exposes the 1.14994 week low
EUR opened the week near 1.1644 Monday but sold off hard into the 1.1500 weekly low as a broad dollar bid dominated, and has since coiled in a 1.1530-1.1556 range. The softer US core CPI print yesterday capped the dollar without breaking the EUR lower, leaving price pinned just under the 1.1556 ECB pivot. RSI is sitting near 52 with EMA20 flattening through the range.
Support: 1.1530, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1556, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde press conference 12:45 GMT are the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.1556 opens the 1.1575 prior-support zone
Failure to hold 1.1530 reopens the 1.1500 weekly low
03:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilising into range · RSI 52 · price 1.15485
Basing after Monday selloff, consolidating.
EUR sold off hard from 1.1615 to a 1.1499 week low Monday on the broad USD rally, then built a base and ground back toward 1.1550. Since then price has been pinned in a 1.1530-1.1555 consolidation with RSI(14) flat near the midline and EMAs flattening below price. The 1.1555 range top has capped attempts twice while demand has held the 1.1530 floor into today's ECB.
Support: 1.1530, 1.14994, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1573, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde 12:45 GMT are the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.1555 opens the path to the 1.1573 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1445 downside target
02:01 UTC
Downtrend stabilising into range · RSI 53 · price 1.15533
Consolidation between 1.1505 and 1.1575.
EUR slid from 1.1640 in Monday's session toward the 1.1500 swing low, then steadied into a 1.1505–1.1575 consolidation as the USD eased after in-line US CPI. Price now sits just below the 1.1555 pivot with RSI(14) mid-range and holding marginally above EMA20/EMA50. The 1.1575 week cap has turned back two attempts; range remains intact ahead of today's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde 12:45 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1505 reopens the 1.1500 swing low
02:01 UTC
Range, base after selloff · RSI 56 · price 1.15533
Consolidation in 1.1500-1.1575 since Monday drop.
EURUSD gapped lower into Monday's session from ~1.1640 and has based in a 1.1505-1.1575 range since, mapping the two-month-low consolidation noted into today's ECB. Price is pressing the 1.1555 pivot with RSI(14) recovering through 56 and sitting above both EMAs after a string of higher lows off the 1.1499 Tuesday low. The 1.1555 cap has held repeatedly this week; the range top at 1.1575 remains the upper boundary.
Support: 1.1505, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT and Lagarde presser 12:45 GMT can override this range read
H1 close above 1.1575 opens the path toward 1.1600
Loss of 1.1505 confirms a lower low toward 1.1445
US PPI 12:30 UTC a secondary catalyst for the dollar leg
EURUSD has tracked sideways through this week's sessions, pinned between the 1.1575 support-turned-resistance cap and the 1.1500 two-month low after Friday's slide off 1.1644. Price sits just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 46, reflecting the tight pre-ECB consolidation noted in the macro read. The dominant move remains the prior decline; price is mid-range and indecisive ahead of today's catalyst.
Support: 1.1529, 1.1500, 1.15094
Resistance: 1.15575, 1.15728
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 GMT + Lagarde presser is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
H1 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range-top cap and opens 1.1600
Failure to hold 1.1500 exposes the 1.1445 downside
01:01 UTC
Range below 1.1575 cap · RSI 47 · price 1.15411
Consolidation after Monday selloff, grinding higher-lows.
EURUSD remains pinned in a two-day range after Monday's leg lower from 1.1644 into the 1.1500 two-month low, with the recovery repeatedly capped below the 1.1575 level. Price is hovering around EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s, reflecting the pre-ECB consolidation flagged in the macro read. Higher-lows have formed since the 1.1500 base, but supply keeps rejecting attempts toward 1.1575.
Support: 1.1525, 1.1500, 1.1445
Resistance: 1.1575, 1.1600
What it said to watch
ECB decision and Lagarde presser (12:15/12:45 GMT) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this range
H1 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range read and opens 1.1600
EUR fell out of Monday's 1.1640 zone in a single NY-session leg and has since consolidated in a 1.1500-1.1575 band near two-month lows. Price now sits at 1.1527 below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) drifting in the low-40s as the 1.1575 cap held two recent attempts. The fade reflects traders sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB, where the 25bp hike is fully priced and the move hinges on Lagarde's tone.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1519
Resistance: 1.1565, 1.1575, 1.1612
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1500 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1445
H1 close above 1.1575 invalidates the range-cap read
EUR/USD sold off sharply from 1.1644 early in the week and has since coiled in a 1.1500-1.1575 range, capped each test below the 1.1575 support-turned-resistance. Price slipped back below both EMAs through the latest sessions and is drifting toward the two-month low at 1.1500 with RSI(14) near 40. The whole range is sidelined ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1500, 1.1499
Resistance: 1.1555, 1.1575
What it said to watch
ECB decision 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this range
H1 close below 1.1500 confirms a lower low toward 1.1445
Reclaim of 1.1575 invalidates the lower-high sequence