EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 15 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 1.14671
Higher highs since Tuesday low, breakout above range cap.
EUR/USD has ground higher off Tuesday's 1.1377 low and broke above the 1.1475 range cap into yesterday's NY session, tagging a 1.1482 week high before settling near 1.1467. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s, and the 1.1441 breakout base has yet to be retested. Soft US CPI and PPI prints kept the dollar offered this week while a vigilant ECB tone underpinned EUR.
Support: 1.14417, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1475
What it said to watch
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.1441 breakout base opens the 1.14100 higher low
A close above the 1.14820 week high extends the advance
A break of the 1.1400 psych level would signal a deeper unwind
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, at week highs · RSI 65 · price 1.14671
Higher lows, range cap broken.
EUR/USD pushed through the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap during the NY session, spiking to 1.1482 on the soft US CPI/PPI backdrop before fading to ~1.1467. Price holds above both EMAs with a clean series of higher lows off the mid-week 1.1377 low; the prior range top around 1.1442 now sits as first support. RSI(14) elevated but not extended, tracking the impulse higher.
Support: 1.14417, 1.14327, 1.14097
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could break the range read
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst
H1 close back below 1.1442 invalidates the breakout
Failure to reclaim 1.1475/1.1482 keeps price capped at the spike high
22:02 UTC
Uptrend, testing range cap · RSI 63 · price 1.14672
Higher lows since week low, into range top.
EUR/USD has built higher lows since the week's 1.1377 low and popped toward the 1.1475 range cap after cooler US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. The rally to 1.14820 met a rejection wick before settling back around 1.14670, holding above EMA20 near 1.1442. RSI cycling in the low-60s as price presses the top of the 1.1390–1.1475 band flagged this week.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14745 range cap opens the path beyond the 1.14820 week high
Failure to hold 1.1440 puts the ema20 and 1.1410 range base back in play
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could break the range either way
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 66 · price 1.14672
Range break above weekly cap, higher highs.
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1460-1.1475 range cap into the NY session, spiking to 1.14820 before settling near 1.1467, with the dollar staying heavy after this week's soft US CPI and PPI misses. Price sits well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated in the mid-60s; the prior range top around 1.14400 now acts as the breakout base. The move follows two-way EUR positioning around hawkish-ECB rhetoric versus a stretched-long dollar.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.14400 breakout base keeps the range break intact; loss returns price into the 1.1410 range base
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Acceptance above 1.14820 spike high opens the path toward the 1.15000 round number
Higher highs and higher lows since Tuesday's base.
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap into the NY session and printed a fresh weekly high at 1.14820 as soft US CPI/PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price has since drifted back to 1.14629 and is consolidating above the 1.14417 breakout base, holding over both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) has cooled from the spike but sits above 60, keeping the up-leg intact.
Support: 1.14417, 1.1420, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.14417 breakout base would neutralise the breakout read
Sustained move above 1.14820 session high opens fresh range extension
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this read
21:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum spiking into range top · RSI 62 · price 1.14629
Higher lows all week, testing weekly range cap.
EUR/USD spiked toward the weekly range cap in the last NY session, tagging 1.1482 as the soft US PPI print kept the dollar on the back foot, before fading back to 1.1463. Price has printed higher lows since Tuesday's base and holds above EMA(20), with RSI(14) up near 62 after the pop. The 1.1462/1.1475 zone that framed the week's highs is now the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1482 clears the weekly range cap and opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1435 EMA(20) reopens the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could reset this range read
20:02 UTC
Recovery, momentum picking up · RSI 62 · price 1.14637
Rally from week low into range top, rejected at 1.1482.
EUR/USD has climbed off the 1.1382 week low in stair-step higher lows, extending after soft US PPI added to Tuesday's cooler CPI and kept the dollar heavy into the NY session. Price spiked to 1.1482 before fading back to 1.1464, leaving a rejection at the range cap around 1.1475. Price holds above EMA(20) near 1.1440 with RSI cycling in the low-60s.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1475 range cap would confirm a break of the week's ceiling toward 1.1482
Loss of the higher-low structure below 1.1410 reopens the 1.1382 week low
EZ final CPI and US Retail Sales (Thu) could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 1.14637
Higher lows off mid-week low, testing range top.
EUR/USD has recovered from the mid-week low near 1.1382, grinding higher into the NY session with soft US CPI and PPI misses keeping the dollar on the back foot. Price spiked to a 1.1482 week high before fading back toward 1.1464, leaving a rejection wick right at the 1.1475 range cap. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s and price holds above EMA(20) near 1.1435, keeping the recovery structure intact.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1417, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1475 range cap opens path to 1.1482 week high and beyond
Loss of 1.1435 ema20 would signal the recovery stalling toward the 1.1417 swing low
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.14655
Range break, testing week highs.
EUR/USD spent most of the week pinned in a 1.1390–1.1475 band before a NY-session surge broke the 1.1442 range top, tagging 1.1475 as soft US CPI and PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price now holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushed toward 68, its highest of the week. The move sits just under the 1.1475 spike high and the 1.1482 wk high, the cap on this week's advance.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1442 range top negates the breakout and returns price to the range
Sustained move above 1.1475 spike high opens the 1.1482 wk high
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 68 · price 1.14655
Range break above weekly cap, higher lows.
EUR/USD broke above the week's 1.1390–1.1475 band into the NY session, spiking to 1.1482 as soft US CPI and PPI kept the dollar heavy. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pushed into the high 60s after a two-day grind of higher lows off 1.1377. The old range cap around 1.1462 now flips to first support on any pullback.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1440, 1.1425
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.14745
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.1462 range cap negates the range break and returns price into the 1.1390–1.1475 band
Sustained hold above 1.1470 confirms the breakout with 1.1482 session high as the next test
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, fresh breakout · RSI 70 · price 1.14744
Range break above week's cap.
EURUSD broke the week's 1.1460-1.1470 range cap in the NY session, surging to 1.1475 on the final two bars as soft US PPI kept the dollar offered. Price is holding well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI stretched near 70 after a run of higher lows off the 1.1377 week low. The 1.1460 former cap now sits as the immediate retest reference.
Support: 1.1460, 1.14417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14745
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1460 confirms the range break; slip back under 1.14417 breakout base flags a false break
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, testing range cap · RSI 72 · price 1.14744
Rally into weekly range top.
EUR/USD surged through the NY session to 1.1474 as a second day of soft US data (PPI -0.3%) kept the dollar pressured, and price is now probing the 1.1475 range cap that has capped this week. Holding well above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) pushing into the low 70s after the impulsive leg off Monday's 1.1377 low. The 1.1390–1.1475 band that has framed the week is being tested at its ceiling.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1475 confirms range break, opens 1.1500
Rejection at 1.1475 keeps the weekly range intact toward 1.1420
EZ final CPI and US Retail Sales Thursday could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Recovery within range · RSI 61 · price 1.14459
Range-bound, testing upper band.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print then faded toward 1.14, with today's weak PPI keeping the dollar heavy and price grinding back up to 1.14459. The pair remains inside its 1.1390–1.1475 weekly band, holding above the EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s on each push higher. The range cap at 1.1462 is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 range cap opens the path to the 1.1475 week high
Loss of the EMA20 near 1.1428 shifts focus back to the 1.1410 range low and 1.1390 week low
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 and US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 could materially shift this read
Range-bound, holding higher lows off the week low.
EUR/USD swept the 1.1377 week low then ripped to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print before fading back into the range. Price has since carved higher lows and is pressing the upper band near 1.1446, with RSI cycling in the 55–62 zone. The 1.1390–1.1475 range flagged all week remains intact, capped by the 1.1462 spike high.
Support: 1.14058, 1.1410, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 opens the 1.1470 range cap
EZ final CPI Thu 08:00 UTC could break the range either way
Failure to hold 1.1410 support zone reopens the 1.1377 week low
16:01 UTC
Range-bound, recovering off range base · RSI 58 · price 1.14357
Rotating inside 1.1390-1.1470 weekly band.
EUR/USD is pinned in the 1.1390-1.1470 weekly range, spiking to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print before retreating and settling back near mid-range. Price has recovered off the 1.1410 range base into the NY session and sits above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI mid-band around 57. The 1.1460 shelf has repeatedly capped rallies this week.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1410, 1.13843
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 shelf opens the path toward the 1.14619 week high
Loss of the 1.1410 range base exposes 1.13843 swing low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could break the range read
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1462 week high on soft US CPI then follow-through soft PPI before fading back into the middle of the 1.1390–1.1462 band. Price is holding above EMA20 after buyers stepped in around the 1.1410 support zone, with RSI(14) cycling near mid-50s and no directional break. The week low at 1.1382 remains intact.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1382, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1440
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 1.1460–1.1462 shelf opens the path toward ~1.1475
Loss of the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone would break the multi-week range
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could set direction via the USD leg
15:01 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.14379
Range-bound, higher lows since midweek low.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI/PPI prints before fading straight back into the 1.1390–1.1470 range, leaving a failed break of the range top. Price has since carved higher lows off 1.14097 and reclaimed EMA20/EMA50, with RSI(14) back mid-range near 56. The prior high at 1.1443 is the immediate cap; the recovery keeps the pair pinned to the upper half of the week's band.
Support: 1.14097, 1.1390, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1443 reopens the 1.1462 spike high and 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.14097 puts the 1.1390 range base back in play
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and ECB Nagel ~16:00 UTC could shift this range read
Multi-day range 1.1390-1.1470, recovery off week lows.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 during Tuesday's NY session as soft US CPI and PPI cooled Fed-hike bets, then handed back most of the move to settle back inside the multi-day 1.1390-1.1470 range. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling near 55, and this week's higher lows off 1.1377 have carried price back toward 1.1440. The spike high at 1.1462 remains the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1470
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 1.1470 range top
Loss of 1.1410 range base exposes the 1.1390 week low
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift this range read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on yesterday's NY session after the soft US CPI miss, then rejected and drifted back into a 1.1410–1.1442 band. Price sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50, consistent with the two-way range the digest flags between 1.1390 support and the 1.1460/1.1470 cap. The dominant CPI impulse has stalled and this-week action is now consolidation.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1395, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14420 reopens the 1.14619 week high
Loss of 1.14100 confirms a lower low toward 1.1390
US Retail Sales tomorrow could break the current range
14:01 UTC
Range after impulsive spike, momentum cooling · RSI 53 · price 1.14309
Consolidation below faded spike high, holding above EMAs.
EUR/USD spiked to the week high at 1.14619 during NY hours on the soft US CPI/PPI prints, then faded back into the 1.1420-1.1430 zone and has consolidated there since. Price holds just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) back in the low-50s, a neutral read after the impulse. The 1.14460 area capped the pullback rally, while dips have found demand near 1.14100.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14460 reopens the 1.14619 week high
Break below 1.14100 exposes the 1.13900 swing low
Oil/Iran headlines remain the dominant swing factor for EUR terms of trade
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg
Consolidation inside weekly range after CPI/PPI spike.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI/PPI prints before fading back into the 1.1410–1.1446 band, where it has consolidated through the NY session. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI hovering near 51, reflecting a tired bounce rather than fresh momentum. The 1.1446 area has capped the pullback while demand has stepped in around 1.1410 twice.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1382, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1446, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14460 range top opens the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold 1.14100 exposes 1.13820 swing low
Fed Chair Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Thu 08:00 UTC eurozone CPI is the next material risk to the range
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print before fading back into the mid-range, and price has since coiled between the 1.1410 support zone and the 1.1440 week cap. The pair sits just above EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50, confirming the range read rather than a directional break. Two attempts at the 1.1440–1.1462 top have been rejected this week, keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 range top invalidates the range read and opens the 23.6% fibo hurdle
Break below the 1.1390/1.1410 support zone opens 1.1210
Warsh testimony and Thu Retail Sales could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI miss then faded back toward the 1.1410 support zone, keeping the 1.1390–1.1475 weekly range intact. Price has traced a series of lower highs since that peak and now sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) parked in the low-40s. The 1.1410 support zone is the pivot for the intraday read.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 support zone opens the weekly low at 1.1377
Reclaim of 1.1440 prior high needed to re-test the 1.1462 weekly high
ECB Nagel 16:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has held a 1.1390–1.1470 range all week, with the spike to 1.1462 on Monday's soft US CPI print quickly rejected and faded. Price has since ground back to the lower half of the range and now sits below EMA20 with RSI in the low 40s. The last two NY sessions capped attempts near 1.1440, leaving lower highs into current levels.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a push toward the 1.1390 wk low
Reclaim of 1.1425 EMA20 puts the range top back in play
US PPI and Warsh testimony today could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print before fading back under EMA20; a sequence of lower highs has since capped rallies into 1.1440. Price now sits mid the weekly 1.1390–1.1475 range with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Demand around the 1.1410 support zone has held the last two dips.
Support: 1.14105, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1440, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1440 breaks the descending lower highs
Loss of the 1.1410 support zone opens the 1.1390 range low
Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC and Core PPI could reprice this read
11:02 UTC
Range-bound, faded from spike high · RSI 43 · price 1.14166
Spike-and-fade back inside week range.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 during yesterday's NY session on the soft US CPI miss, marginally clearing the week high before rejecting straight back inside the range. Since then price has bled lower through the EMA(20), now trading 1.1417 with RSI(14) sub-45 as the impulse retraces. The 1.1410 support zone is the near-term pivot; the 1.1442 prior high has capped the pullback bounce.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1442, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1410 support zone exposes the 1.1377 week low
Reclaim of 1.1442 prior high needed to re-open the 1.1462 week high
US PPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print before fading back into the 1.1390-1.1462 range, with price now slipping under EMA(20) into the NY session. The 1.1445-1.1462 cap rejected the CPI move and RSI(14) has cooled toward 44 as the pair drifts back toward the range mid. Demand around 1.1390-1.1400 has held every dip this week while the week low sits at 1.1377.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 needed to escape the week's range
Break below 1.1390 support zone opens 1.1325 then 1.1210
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) are the next USD catalysts and could reset this read
Range capped by CPI high, holding above support zone.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print yesterday's NY session, then faded straight back into the week's 1.1390-1.1470 range — a classic false break of the highs. Price has since slipped below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s, though the 1.1410 support zone and EMA(50) are so far holding.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1390, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1462, 1.1470
What it said to watch
US PPI (Wed 12:30 UTC) is the next USD catalyst that could shift this read
Hourly close below 1.1390/1.1410 support zone opens deeper downside toward 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1462 cpi high needed to escape the range top
Pullback after CPI-driven breakout, capped below range top.
EUR/USD surged off the 1.1377 week low into the 1.14619 spike on yesterday's soft US CPI miss, then drifted back to 1.1424 through the NY session and Asian range. Price is holding above EMA(50) but has slipped under EMA(20) as the rally stalls below the 1.1460-1.1470 range top that has capped this week's advances. RSI(14) has cooled back toward the mid-40s, reflecting the loss of upside momentum.
Support: 1.14171, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.14619, 1.1470
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst after the CPI miss and could reset this read
A close above 1.1462 opens the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14171 exposes the 1.1377 week low
09:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling below range cap · RSI 48 · price 1.14236
Consolidation after impulse rejection.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print before being rejected below the 1.1460-1.1470 range cap that has capped rallies all week. Price has since drifted back to consolidate around 1.1424, sitting just under the EMA20 but holding above EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Buyers defended 1.1420 through the Asia session while supply persists into the range ceiling.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1460 opens the path to the spike high at 1.14619
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes 1.1400 then the 1.1377 week low
Higher low off week low, now consolidating below day high.
EUR/USD spiked to a week high of 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print before fading back into a 1.142–1.144 range. Price now sits just under EMA(20) around 1.1424, holding above EMA(50) after basing at the 1.1377 week low. Two attempts at the 1.14435 day high have been capped and RSI(14) has cooled back toward the midline.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.14435, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14170 session low confirms a lower low and undermines the recovery
Reclaim of 1.14435 day high reopens the path to the 1.14619 week high
US PPI (Wed) is the nearest catalyst that could shift this range read
EUR/USD rebounded from last week's 1.1377 low and spiked to 1.14619 in the NY session as a soft US June CPI print (3.5% YoY) knocked the dollar. That spike has since faded into a 1.1420-1.1443 range, with price hovering around EMA(20) and RSI(14) cycling near midline — the impulse has stalled.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI Wednesday is the nearest catalyst and could shift this range read
H1 close above 1.1443 reopens the path toward the 1.14619 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1420 exposes 1.1400 and the 2wk low at 1.1377
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US CPI print before fading back into the well-worn 1.1360–1.1450 range, now sitting near EMA(20) around 1.1425. The pullback has held the 1.1417 swing low and RSI(14) is cycling around the midline, showing no clear momentum extension either way. Price is parked around the 38.2% retracement of the CPI impulse, keeping the week's range structure intact.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1445 range cap opens the path to the 1.14619 week high
Loss of 1.1417 swing low exposes the 1.1400 Monday open and range floor
US PPI Wednesday is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a week high of 1.14619 on the soft US CPI print before fading back into the 1.1360–1.1450 range that has framed this week. Price is now hovering on the H1 EMA(20) around 1.1420 with RSI(14) mid-range near 52, and the 1.1445–1.1450 cap has rejected the latest push. Higher-lows off Tuesday's 1.13772 base keep the near-term structure constructive within the range.
Support: 1.1420, 1.14006, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI (Wed) is the next USD catalyst and could shift this range read
H1 close above 1.1450 opens the path toward the 1.14619 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 weekly open exposes the 1.13772 week low
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.1441
Higher lows off the 1.1377 base.
EUR/USD spiked to a weekly high 1.1462 during NY hours yesterday after the soft US June CPI print knocked the Dollar, then eased back to 1.1417 before buyers stepped in again. Price has since carved out higher lows and now trades above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) mid-60s. The 1.1451 spike close is the level capping progress; 1.1417 marks the base of the recovery.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1451, 1.1462
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 GMT and US core PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1451 opens the path back to the 1.1462 spike high
Failure to hold 1.1417 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes 1.1400
06:01 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 58 · price 1.1441
Higher lows off week low, retesting range top.
EUR/USD snapped its two-day slide, rebounding from the 1.1377 week low and spiking to 1.1462 during yesterday's NY session on the soft US June CPI print. The move retraced back to the 1.1417 swing low but held, and price has since carved higher lows back above both EMAs. RSI cycling in the mid-50s as the recovery grinds toward the range top.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1455
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1462 week high opens the upper end of the 1.1360-1.1450 range
Failure to hold 1.14 round exposes the 1.1377 week low
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and US Core PPI (12:30 UTC) could reshape this read
05:01 UTC
Recovering after CPI spike · RSI 57 · price 1.14362
Higher lows off Monday low, below week high.
EUR/USD spiked to a week high 1.14619 in yesterday's NY session on the soft US June CPI print, then unwound to 1.14172 before grinding back above EMA(20). Price is building a series of higher lows off Monday's 1.13772 base, with the 1.1450 range top the immediate cap and RSI(14) mid-range around 57.
Support: 1.14172, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
German HICP at 07:00 UTC could shift EUR rate support and this read
H1 close above 1.1450 range top reopens the 1.14619 week high
Failure to hold the 1.14172 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Higher lows after CPI spike, capped below week high.
The soft US June CPI print drove a sharp spike into 1.14619 during the NY session yesterday before price gave back to 1.14159. EUR/USD has since carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA(20), now trading 1.1436 into the Asia session. The 1.1445 range top remains the immediate cap, with the 1.14619 week high above it.
Support: 1.14159, 1.1400, 1.13824
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14619
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.14450 reopens the 1.14619 week high
Loss of 1.14159 recent low breaks the higher-low sequence
German HICP 07:00 UTC and US PPI 12:30 UTC could reset this read
04:02 UTC
Recovering after CPI spike · RSI 59 · price 1.14387
Higher lows into resistance.
EUR/USD spiked to a week high of 1.14619 on the soft US June CPI print, then gave the bulk of it back to 1.14172 before grinding higher into the Asia session. Price now sits above EMA20 with a sequence of higher lows since that pullback, but the 1.1450 stall zone has capped the recovery so far. Rate-differential support and dollar softness are holding EUR bid, though the terms-of-trade drag flagged in the digest keeps upside contained.
Support: 1.14172, 1.1400, 1.13824
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14500 stall zone opens a retest of the 1.14619 week high
Failure to hold 1.14172 session low breaks the higher-low sequence
German HICP (07:00 GMT) and US PPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print, then unwound into the pullback low near 1.1417 before building a fresh series of higher lows back to 1.1439. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling near 58; the 1.1450 stall zone caps the recovery, matching the context's repeated fade near that level. The 1.1377 two-week low remains the base of this week's range.
Support: 1.14171, 1.13772, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US Core PPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1450 stall zone opens the path to the 1.1462 spike high
Failure to hold the 1.1417 pullback low reopens the 1.1377 two-week low
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 during the NY session yesterday after the soft US June CPI print knocked the dollar, then pulled back to 1.1417 before grinding higher-lows back toward 1.1440. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s; the week high at 1.1462 caps the recovery and the 1.1472 three-week high stands just above.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14619, 1.1472
What it said to watch
German HICP (07:00) and US PPI plus Warsh testimony (14:00) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14619 opens the path to the 1.1472 three-week high
Failure to hold 1.1417 pullback low reopens the 1.1380 base
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1462 week high on the soft US CPI print yesterday, then pulled back and has been carving higher lows through the Asia session while holding above EMA(20). Price now grinds back toward the range top at 1.1441 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The 1.1379 week low remains the base of this week's range.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1417, 1.1379
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 opens the path to the 1.1472 3wk high
Failure to hold 1.1417 session low exposes 1.1379 week low
German HICP 07:00 GMT and US PPI/Warsh testimony 12:30-14:00 GMT could reset this read
Higher lows since 1.1377, consolidating below spike high.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1460 on yesterday's soft US CPI print before fading back into a tight consolidation above EMA20. Buyers have defended the 1.1417 session low and the 1.1400 weekly open, keeping a higher-low sequence intact off the 1.1377 base. The 3-week high at 1.1472 caps the topside; price now sits mid-range, holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1472
What it said to watch
Core PPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1460 reopens the path toward the 1.1472 3-week high
Failure to hold 1.1417 exposes the 1.1400 weekly open and 1.1382 swing low
Higher lows after CPI spike, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.14619 week high yesterday after the soft June US CPI print pared Fed hike bets, then eased into a tight consolidation and is grinding back up through the EMA20 near 1.1425. Higher lows have held since the 1.13772 swing low, with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s on each pullback. The 1.14512-1.14619 zone caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1417, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 opens the path to extending the CPI move
US PPI (12:30 GMT) and Warsh testimony (14:00 GMT) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1417 exposes the 1.13772 swing low
Higher lows since week low, consolidating below CPI spike high.
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14619 week high on the softer US June CPI print before supply capped and the pair pulled back, now consolidating around 1.1433 above a rising EMA(20) near 1.1420. Buyers held the 1.14172 swing low on the pullback, keeping the series of higher lows off the 1.13772 week low intact. RSI(14) has cycled back near midline after the CPI surge; the prior high at 1.14512 is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.14172, 1.1420, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14512, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14619 week high opens path to fresh weekly highs
Failure to hold 1.14172 swing low exposes 1.13772 week low
US PPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher lows since midweek, capped below week high.
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14619 week high after the softer US June CPI print knocked the Dollar, then gave back most of the move and has consolidated above the 1.1417 session low into the Asia session. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s; the 1.1450 pivot capped the pullback bounce, and demand has stepped in on each dip toward the weekly open at 1.1400.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1400, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1450 pivot re-opens the 1.14619 week high
Failure to hold 1.1417 session low exposes 1.1400 weekly open then 1.1382 swing low
US PPI and Warsh testimony today could materially shift the USD read
Impulse spike then ~50% retrace, consolidating above EMA20.
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.14619 week high during the NY session on the softer-than-forecast US June CPI print, then retraced roughly 50% of that move back to the 1.1425 area. Price is now consolidating above EMA20, with the recent lows near 1.1417 acting as the near-term floor and the 1.1450 spike top capping upside. RSI(14) has cooled from the CPI extreme back toward the mid-50s.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1383, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.14619
What it said to watch
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1450 spike top opens the path back to the 1.14619 week high
Failure to hold the 1.1417 recent lows exposes the 1.1383 swing low
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1462 on the soft US June CPI print, then handed back roughly half the move to consolidate near 1.1420 through the Asia session. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI back near neutral, and the range base around 1.1417 has capped the pullback. The 1.1462 spike high and the three-week high at 1.1472 remain the ceiling for the recovery.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1377, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1472
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1462 opens the path toward the 1.1472 three-week high
Failure to hold 1.1417 range base exposes the 1.1377 swing low
US PPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read