Lower highs off week high, holding above swing low.
EUR climbed from Monday's open near 1.1404 to a week high of 1.1482 into the NY session, powered by hawkish-ECB repricing and a soft US PPI print. Since that peak price has slipped into a low-1.1440s consolidation under EMA20, carving lower highs while holding above the 1.1431 swing low. RSI(14) is cycling around the midline, reflecting the loss of momentum rather than a clean reversal.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 range top reopens the path higher; Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC is the fuel
Loss of 1.1431 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.1404 weekly open
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst into next bars
EUR/USD ground higher from Tuesday's 1.1377 low through the NY session, topping at 1.1482 as a softer US PPI print and a hawkish-ECB drumbeat pressured the dollar. Price has since faded off the weekly high and is consolidating above 1.1434, sitting just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. The dominant move's 38.2% retracement aligns with current price — demand has stepped in twice around 1.1434.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14097, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1485
What it said to watch
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.1434 opens the path toward the 1.1410 swing low
H1 close above 1.1482 reopens the 1.1485 range top
Higher highs into 1.1485, now consolidating above 1.1434.
EUR/USD extended this week's advance off Monday's 1.1377 low to tag the monthly range top near 1.1482 after soft US PPI, before handing gains back toward 1.1440 as the USD bounced on energy/Iran inflation fears. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in a 1.1434–1.1470 band with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The rally structure holds while the higher-lows trendline off 1.1377 and the 1.1434 day low remain intact.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14058, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1434 day low confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-lows trendline
Reclaim of 1.1470 swing high reopens the path to the 1.1485 range top
Fri 09:00 UTC Eurozone final HICP and 14:00 UTC UoM inflation expectations could shift this read
EUR/USD ran to the week high at 1.1482 after soft US PPI, then handed back gains toward 1.1444 as the dollar bounced on energy and Iran-related inflation fears. Price has slipped below EMA20 and is consolidating just above the 1.1434 swing low with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The 1.1470-1.1490 zone capped repeated attempts through the NY session, keeping the pullback contained above the week's rising lows.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1405, 1.1394
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482, 1.1490
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1490 range top opens the path toward 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.1434 exposes 1.1405 strong support
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1377 week low to tag the 1.1482 range top after soft US PPI, then handed back gains as the dollar bounced on Middle East energy-inflation headlines. Price now trades at 1.1443, back below the H1 EMA(20) near 1.1452 with RSI(14) easing into the mid-40s. The 1.1485-1.1490 area has capped the advance while 1.1434 is holding as the current-day floor.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1482, 1.1490
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 at 1.1452 would reassert the intraday uptrend
H1 close below 1.1434 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1405 strong support
Eurozone final HICP (Fri) and US Michigan sentiment could shift this read
20:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14399
Lower highs off weekly high, testing support.
EUR/USD climbed through the week to a high near 1.1482 into Tuesday's NY session, supported by hawkish-ECB repricing and soft US PPI, then handed back gains as the USD bounced on energy-inflation headlines. Price has since carved lower highs off 1.1476 and slipped below EMA20 (~1.1455), with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The pullback is now testing the 1.1434 day low, holding above the 1.1405 strong-support pivot.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1405, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1476, 1.1485
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1476 swing high reopens the path to the 1.1485 range top
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405 strong support
Eurozone final HICP (Fri 09:00 UTC) and UoM sentiment (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.14386
Lower highs off week high, back below EMA20.
The week's rally from Monday's ~1.1377 lows peaked at 1.1482 on Wednesday after soft US PPI, but since then a run of lower highs has dragged price back below EMA(20) to 1.1438. USD steadied on strong Philly Fed and jobless-claims data while EUR handed back gains, and the last hours have compressed into a tight 1.1431–1.1439 range into the NY close. RSI(14) has cooled toward 42 as the pullback matures.
Support: 1.14309, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1456, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1456 EMA(20) would reassert the week's uptrend
Loss of 1.14309 day low exposes 1.1405 strong support and confirms lower lows
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the read
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's ~1.1390 base to a week high at 1.1482 after soft US PPI trimmed Fed hike bets. Since that peak the pair has carved lower highs, slipping back below EMA(20) to ~1.1439 as the USD steadied on Middle East energy-inflation fears. RSI(14) near 43 with price holding just above EMA(50), the pullback so far respecting the week's structure.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14189, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 week high
loss of the 1.1434 day low exposes 1.1405 support
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 41 · price 1.14356
Higher highs into week high, now correcting lower.
EUR/USD rallied from Monday's ~1.1382 lows to a week high at 1.1482 on Wednesday, capped at the 1.1485-90 range top after soft US PPI trimmed Fed bets. Since then price has slipped back to the ~1.1436 area (near the 50% retrace of the week's impulse) as the USD bounced on Middle East energy-inflation fears, dropping through EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Two attempts at the 1.1470 zone were rejected before the fade.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1458, 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1458 and 1.14685 needed to re-engage the week high
Failure to hold 1.1405 strong support invalidates the constructive read
Michigan Consumer Sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14356
Lower highs off week high, testing support.
EUR ran from the midweek low near 1.1377 to a week high of 1.1482 after soft US PPI trimmed Fed tightening bets, then handed gains back as the USD bounced on Iran/energy headlines. Price has since carved lower highs from ~1.1476 and slipped below EMA20, now testing the 1.1434 day-low support. Rejection at the 1.1482 range top has capped this week's advance.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14196, 1.14056
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14685 reopens the 1.14820 week high
Failure to hold 1.14339 confirms a lower low toward 1.14196
Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14345
Pullback from week high, testing mid-range.
EUR/USD climbed from Monday's ~1.1377 low to a week high near 1.1482 on hawkish-ECB tone and the soft US PPI print, but two attempts at the range top were rejected. Price has since faded through EMA(20) into the NY session, slipping to 1.14345 and retracing toward the 50% of the week's advance. RSI(14) has rolled back to the low-40s as the pullback deepens against the 1.14200 swing low.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.14200 swing low opens the 1.14050 range low
Close back above 1.14685 prior high needed to re-engage the week high at 1.14820
German final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could shift the EUR read
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 42 · price 1.14345
Pullback off week high, lower highs forming.
EURUSD rallied from Monday's 1.1377 low into a 1.1482 week high after the soft US PPI print cooled Fed tightening bets. Price has since rolled over into a series of lower highs and now sits below EMA(20) testing the 1.1434 session low, with the week's range top at 1.1485 having capped the advance. RSI(14) has cooled into the low-40s as the pullback extends.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1416, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1405 support
H1 close back above 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 week high
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD ran from Tuesday's 1.1382 low to a week high of 1.1482 on Wednesday's NY session after soft US PPI trimmed Fed hike bets. Since then the 1.1476-1.1482 zone has capped price on a series of lower highs and the pair has slipped back to the 1.1445 area, now sitting right on the 38.2% retracement of the week's advance. RSI(14) has cooled toward 44 as price lost EMA(20), a bearish divergence against the recent higher price highs.
Support: 1.1436, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14685 lower high would reassert the week's uptrend
Loss of 1.14360 day low confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Eurozone final HICP + Cipollone Fri 09:00 UTC could shift this read
US Michigan sentiment Fri 14:00 UTC is the key USD catalyst into the weekend
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling at range top · RSI 46 · price 1.14455
Higher highs into 1.1485, first lower highs forming.
EUR/USD rallied from the mid-week low near 1.1377 into the 1.1485 range top, which capped two attempts — a hawkish-ECB vs soft-US-inflation backdrop that stalled as the USD bounced on Middle East headlines. Price has since rolled over through EMA20 toward 1.1440, with successive lower highs at 1.1476 and 1.1470 marking the loss of upside momentum. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s, confirming the pullback from the range top.
Support: 1.14397, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.14685 lower high would re-open the 1.1482 week high / 1.1485 range top
Loss of the 1.14397 swing low exposes 1.1405 strong support
Eurozone final HICP Fri 09:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling at range top · RSI 47 · price 1.14497
Higher highs into 1.1482, pulling back below EMA20.
EUR climbed steadily since Monday's open to a week high of 1.1482 as the dollar stayed on the back foot after soft US PPI dampened Fed hike bets. The 1.1485 range top capped the advance and a sharp NY-session drop dragged price back below the H1 EMA20 to 1.1445 before stabilising near 1.1450. RSI has cooled off from overbought toward the mid-40s as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1462, 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
H1 reclaim of the 1.1462 EMA20 would signal the uptrend resuming
Sustained break above the 1.1482 range top opens the path to 1.1520 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1444 swing low exposes the 1.1405 range base
Final Eurozone HICP + Cipollone Fri could materially shift this read
EUR/USD climbed from Tuesday's 1.1377 low to a 1.1482 week high on USD softness after the soft PPI print gutted near-term Fed hike bets, with hawkish-ECB chatter underpinning the bid. The move stalled at the 1.1485-1.1490 range top and a sharp rejection off 1.1470 has dragged price back below the H1 EMA(20), with RSI cooling toward the mid-40s. Higher lows since Tuesday remain intact but momentum has flattened at range resistance.
Support: 1.1444, 1.1417, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1490
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1490 range top opens the path to 1.1520 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1444 session low exposes 1.1405 range support
Final Eurozone HICP + ECB Cipollone Fri 09:00-10:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR ground up to 4-week highs near 1.1482 through the week as the dollar stayed soft after Wednesday's cool US PPI miss, before the NY session sold the top back to 1.1447. The last hourly bar rejected 1.1470 and slipped under EMA(20), stalling the uptrend into the 1.1485/1.1490 range top flagged by the digest. Higher-lows structure off the 1.1377 base is still intact for now.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14703, 1.1482, 1.1485
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14850 range top opens the path toward 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.14166 swing low confirms a lower-low
Friday UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could reprice the USD leg driving this move
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling at range top · RSI 48 · price 1.14473
Higher-lows intact but capped near 1.1485; recent lower-highs.
EUR ground to the top of the monthly range near 1.1485 through Wednesday's NY session on the soft US PPI print, then stalled and turned lower into today. The last bar sold 21 pips to 1.14473, slipping under EMA(20) after a run of lower-highs below 1.1470; the week's higher-low trendline still holds. RSI(14) has cooled back near 47 as the range-top rejection plays out.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14202, 1.14164
Resistance: 1.14705, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14820 range top opens the path toward 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.14400 exposes weekly open at 1.14202
Fed speakers today (Logan/Schmid/Jefferson) could shift this dollar-led read
Higher highs since Tuesday's low, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD has climbed steadily since Tuesday's low near 1.1377, driven by broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI prints. Two NY-session impulses lifted price to the week high at 1.1482 before it stalled into tight Asian-hours consolidation just above 1.1465, with RSI cooling off elevated levels. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50, but the session low at 1.1459 marks the near-term floor of this range.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1440, 1.1428
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1459 session low breaks the consolidation floor and exposes 1.1440 prior high
Close above 1.1482 week high opens the path toward 1.1520
EUR/USD has climbed steadily since Monday on broad USD softness after the soft US CPI/PPI prints, with two NY-session impulses lifting it into the monthly range top around 1.1485. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1460-1.1476 band just under the week high at 1.1482, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The weekly open near 1.1420 sits well below as the broader support base.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1485, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC (~30m) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1485 range top opens the path toward 1.1500
Loss of 1.1460 range floor would break the near-term higher-low sequence
Consolidation below the week high after a dollar-led rally.
EUR/USD has consolidated its two-day, dollar-led rally near four-week highs after soft US CPI and PPI cut Fed-hawkish bets. Price is pinned around EMA(20) with the 1.1482 week high capping two attempts into the NY session, while EMA(50) sits well below after the mid-week impulse from the 1.138 base. RSI(14) has cooled back to the midline as the advance flattens.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path toward 1.1520 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1440 swing low negates the consolidation and exposes 1.1405
EURUSD has trended up since Monday's open, the leg driven by a soft US CPI/PPI dollar sell-off that lifted price from the 1.1380 area to a 1.1482 week high. Since the NY session peak the pair has stalled, consolidating in the mid-1.1400s and drifting back to the session low around 1.1458, now sitting just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to the low 50s. The 1.1476 recent high and 1.1482 week high have capped the last two attempts higher.
Support: 1.1458, 1.1440, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14820 week high opens the path toward 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.14400 swing low breaks the week's higher-low structure
EUR/USD ran from the mid-1.14s to a 1.1482 four-week high on the back of soft US CPI/PPI, then stalled into consolidation above 1.1460 through the NY session. The move is USD-weakness led rather than EUR demand; the 1.1482 week high has capped follow-through while pullbacks are holding near EMA20 around 1.1452. RSI(14) is cycling in the mid-50s, leaving momentum flat at the top of the week's range.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1452, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14820 opens the path to the 1.1520 uob cap
Failure to hold 1.14400 / EMA20 signals loss of upside momentum
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this USD-led read
EUR/USD ground higher all week on a USD-short story after back-to-back soft US CPI then PPI (-0.3% MoM), spiking into the NY session to a four-week high at 1.14820 before stalling. Price has since consolidated sideways around 1.1465, holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back from overbought toward the mid-50s. The week high at 1.14820 has capped the last two pushes, with the 1.15200 UOB cap the next resistance beyond it.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales today 12:30 UTC could shift the USD-led read
H1 close above 1.14820 opens the path to the 1.15200 cap
Loss of 1.14400 signals the week's uptrend structure breaking down
EUR/USD rallied off the mid-week low near 1.1377 into 4-week highs at 1.1482, the leg powered by the soft US PPI miss (-0.3% MoM) that unwound Fed hike bets. Price is now consolidating above EMA20 in the 1.1460-1.1476 band, with ING's 1.1460/70 cap keeping a lid on follow-through. RSI(14) has cooled off overbought into the mid-50s as the range tightens.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path toward 1.1500 psych
Failure to hold the 1.1460 range floor exposes 1.1440
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into 1.1470/82 supply, consolidating.
EUR/USD has ground higher since Monday's open on USD softness after back-to-back US CPI and PPI misses, tagging a 4-week high at 1.1482 in yesterday's NY session. Price is now consolidating around 1.1465, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 1.1470/82 area has capped the latest push and is aligned with the ING-flagged cap into 1.1500.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1417, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could shift the USD-driven read
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path toward the 1.1500 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1442 exposes the 1.1417 swing low
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD has ground higher since Monday on broad USD weakness after back-to-back US CPI and PPI misses, clearing the 1.1460/70 ceiling ING flagged and printing a week high at 1.1482 in yesterday's NY session. Price is now consolidating between 1.1460 and 1.1476 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s to low-60s and holding above EMA(20). The soft EZ Industrial Production print capped, rather than reversed, the advance.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1442, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
EZ CPI (YoY) at 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 1.1482 opens the path to 1.1542
Loss of 1.1460 back into the prior range exposes 1.1442 then 1.1410
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.1469
Higher highs off Wednesday low, consolidating below week high.
EUR/USD has climbed steadily since Wednesday's 1.1377 low, with two USD-driven impulses on the back of soft US CPI then PPI misses lifting price to a 1.1482 week high. Holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half; ING-flagged supply at 1.1460/70 has since been absorbed, and price is now consolidating just below the week high. Pullbacks have been finding demand near the EMA20 around 1.1445.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1418, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500, 1.1542
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path to the 1.1500 pivot then 1.1542
Failure to hold 1.1445 EMA20 exposes the 1.1418 swing low
EUR/USD extended to a week high at 1.1482 after soft US PPI (-0.3% MoM) followed the CPI miss and undercut the dollar, clearing the 1.1460/70 struggle zone that now acts as support. Price has held above EMA(20) since the US-session impulse and is consolidating just under the highs through the Asian session, with RSI(14) easing back from overbought toward the mid-50s. The 1.1460 prior cap has capped pullbacks so far this week.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1420, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path toward 1.1500 psych level
Failure to hold 1.1460 prior cap exposes the 1.1420 consolidation
EUR/USD has climbed steadily since Tuesday's 1.1377 low, with a sharp NY-session breakout after the soft US PPI miss extending the pair to a week high at 1.1482. Price now holds above both EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in a 1.1460–1.1482 range as RSI cools from stretched levels. Prior resistance around 1.1440 has flipped to a demand shelf on the way up.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1440, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500, 1.1542
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path to the 1.1500 psych level then 1.1542
Loss of 1.1460 range low would expose the 1.1440 prior high shelf
EUR/USD has climbed since Monday's 1.1400 open, popping toward the 1.1482 week high into the NY session after the soft US PPI print hit the dollar. Price now consolidates just below the 1.1460/70 cap, holding above EMA20 near 1.1445 with RSI cycling in the mid-to-high 50s. The this-week uptrend keeps stacking higher lows, but the cap has capped this attempt.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1417, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 cap opens the path toward the 1.1482 week high
Failure to hold 1.1445 ema20 exposes 1.1417 swing low and the 1.1400 weekly open
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has ground higher all week off the 1.1377 low, with a sharp NY-session impulse to a 1.1482 week high after the soft US PPI miss dragged the dollar. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.1460/1.1475 band, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling around 60. The 1.1475 cap flagged in the digest has capped the last several attempts.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1445, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1475 opens the path to the 1.1482 week high
Failure to hold 1.1460 exposes the 1.1445 EMA20 and 1.1410 week pivot
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 61 · price 1.1466
Higher highs into consolidation below week high.
EUR/USD has ground higher since Tuesday's 1.1377 low, with the dominant leg coming during the NY session on the soft US PPI (-0.3% MoM) that knocked the dollar. Price now consolidates just under the 1.1475 cap and Wednesday's 1.1482 week high, holding above a rising EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back from overbought toward 60.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1482 opens the path beyond the week high
Failure to hold the 1.1440 EMA(20) shifts focus to the 1.1410 support pivot
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near cap · RSI 61 · price 1.1466
Higher highs, stalling below range top.
EUR/USD ground higher through this week's sessions, accelerating after the soft US PPI (-0.3% MoM) knocked the dollar and printing a week high at 1.1482 in the prior NY session. Price now sits pinned just under the 1.1460/70 cap with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse peak. Pullbacks have been shallow, holding above the rising EMA20 near 1.1440.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.1482 opens the path beyond the range top
Failure to hold 1.1440 EMA20 exposes the 1.1410 support pivot
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD broke above the 1.1460/70 range cap after yesterday's softer US PPI print, tagging a week high at 1.1482 before easing into the Asia session around 1.1466. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with a clean higher-low sequence since Monday's dip to 1.1377, and RSI(14) is cycling in the upper half without stretching overbought. The former 1.1470 cap is now the immediate support to watch on any retest.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1447, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.14742
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 1.1460 puts price back inside the prior range
EUR/USD extended higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.1462/70 range cap flagged all week and printing 1.1482 before easing back to hold above the broken level. The move built on this week's soft US CPI/PPI misses that trimmed Fed hike bets, with price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) since Tuesday's 1.1377 low. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s — momentum firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.1462, 1.1442, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 1.1482 opens extension of the post-PPI rally
Failure to hold 1.1442 breaks the higher-low structure
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 1.14637
Higher highs, higher lows since Tuesday's low.
EUR/USD has climbed off Tuesday's 1.1377 low in two clear legs, the first sparked by soft US CPI/PPI misses and a second push through 1.1440 into the NY session that peaked at the 1.1482 week high. Price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-60s; the 1.1470 cap flagged in context is being tested and pullbacks have so far found buyers into the 1.1459 session low.
Support: 1.1459, 1.1429
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 week high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.1459 session low exposes the 1.1429 prior range
US Retail Sales Thursday 12:30 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD carved out a higher low near 1.1377 midweek and rallied into 1.1474/1.1482 during the NY session, with soft back-to-back US CPI/PPI prints doing the heavy lifting on the dollar side. Price now consolidates just below that cap around 1.1464, holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) as RSI(14) cycles in the low-60s. The 1.1440 prior-high has been retested as support on the last pullback.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1417, 1.1377
Resistance: 1.1474, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.1482 extends the week's impulse
Loss of 1.1440 prior-high opens 1.1417 swing low
Fresh Brent leg higher could pressure EUR despite soft USD
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 64 · price 1.14649
Higher highs, breakout above range.
EUR/USD has ground higher all week off the 1.1377 low, first jumping after the soft US CPI/PPI misses and then clearing the 1.1450 range top into the NY session to print a 1.1482 week high. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.1460/70 cap with RSI(14) holding in the low 60s and EMA20 tracking beneath as pullback support. The move is a US-dollar story rather than Euro conviction, and the 1.1460/70 zone has repeatedly capped the tape.
Support: 1.1441, 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained close above 1.1482 extends the breakout
Loss of 1.1417 breakout level negates the range break
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 1.14649
Higher highs, higher lows.
EUR/USD has ground higher since the soft US CPI/PPI prints, extending through the NY session into the 1.1470 cap and printing a week high at 1.1482. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding the 1.1442 prior high, and RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s confirms the constructive tone. The 1.1460/70 area is where the advance has stalled twice.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1417, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 extends the uptrend beyond the week high
Failure to hold 1.1442 opens the 1.1417 swing low and the 1.1410 support zone
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, near week highs · RSI 64 · price 1.14736
Higher highs and higher lows since Tuesday low.
EUR/USD has trended up since Tuesday's 1.1382 low, with the dominant leg coming as back-to-back soft US CPI and PPI prints pressured the dollar. Price holds above EMA20 into the NY session's session highs, with the week high at 1.1482 capping the last push. RSI(14) mid-60s confirms momentum but sits shy of overbought.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1416, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path to 1.1500
Failure to hold 1.1440 (ema20) would break the higher-low sequence
US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC and German CPI at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 1.14736
Higher highs off week low, breakout to weekly high.
EUR/USD recovered from the week low near 1.1382 and accelerated through the NY session, clearing the 1.1462 cap to print a weekly high at 1.1482 after the soft US PPI miss pressured the dollar. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet at extremes. Pullbacks this week have been finding higher lows along a rising support line.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1410, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1462
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1462 invalidates the breakout read
German CPI at 08:00 UTC and US Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.1442 ema20 zone would signal loss of upside momentum
EUR/USD has climbed steadily off Tuesday's 1.1382 low, with the soft US CPI/PPI run keeping the dollar heavy and lifting the pair through the 1.1460/70 zone that capped earlier attempts this week. Price now trades near the week high at 1.1482 with RSI(14) elevated around 66 and holding above both EMAs. The 1.1460/70 area, having flipped from resistance, is the immediate breakout reference below.
Support: 1.1460, 1.1417, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1460 reopens the mid-range read
Failure to hold 1.1417 would break the higher-low sequence
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended near resistance · RSI 69 · price 1.1470
Higher highs, higher lows since week low.
EUR/USD pushed to a fresh week high at 1.1482 after soft US CPI and a broad PPI miss kept the dollar heavy, clearing the 1.1460/70 cap that held earlier in the week. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 69, stretched but not yet diverging. The rally has stalled into 1.1470/82, with the prior cap at 1.1462 now the first level in play on any fade.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1410, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1462
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 extends the breakout; failure to hold 1.1440 signals a pullback into the range
US Retail Sales Thu 12:30 UTC and French CPI Thu 08:00 GMT could materially shift this read
A break back below 1.1410 support reopens the week low at 1.1382