EUR/USD spiked off Monday's 1.1378 low into the 1.1482 range top mid-week, then settled into a tight consolidation with a run of lower highs capping rallies. In-line June eurozone HICP (2.8% YoY) gave no fresh impulse and price is drifting back toward the middle of the 1.1405-1.1482 band, sitting just above a flat EMA20 but below EMA50. RSI(14) is cycling near neutral, reflecting the balance.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 range top opens the path to 1.1520 resistance
Break below 1.1405 range low opens broader downside
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
20:01 UTC
Sideways, capped below range top · RSI 52 · price 1.14418
Consolidation after Monday impulse.
EURUSD gapped higher off Monday's 1.1379 open, spiking to 1.1482 during the NY session, then settled into a tight consolidation between 1.1426 and 1.1482 for the balance of the week. The 1.1482 range top has capped every attempt, with rejection on the mid-week retest, while in-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse. Price is holding just above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) hovering near 52, reflecting the balanced two-way tone into next week's ECB.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14058, 1.13791
Resistance: 1.1482, 1.14745, 1.14516
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 range top opens the path to 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.1426 range low exposes 1.1406 downside pivot
ECB rate decision Jul 23 is the dominant catalyst that could break this range
Consolidation below range top, lower highs into support.
EURUSD has held a tight consolidation since Monday's impulse off 1.1377, with the 1.1480 range top capping every attempt and price now drifting toward the 1.1424 range low. In-line June HICP gave no fresh impulse, while a late-week safe-haven USD bid on US-Iran tensions kept rallies contained below EMA(20). RSI(14) is cycling in the low-40s as lower highs build under resistance.
Support: 1.1424, 1.14105, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1448 reopens the path to the 1.1482 week high
Break below 1.1424 range low opens 1.1405 pivot
ECB decision Jul 23 could materially shift this range read
Consolidation between range floor and week high, lower highs since Tuesday peak.
EURUSD spiked to the 1.1482 week high on Tuesday's London session then has drifted lower for two sessions, printing lower highs and now sitting just below EMA20/EMA50 near 1.1436. Price holds inside the 1.1405-1.1480 consolidation flagged into next week's ECB hold; in-line eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse while a late-week safe-haven USD bid has capped rallies. RSI(14) is cycling in the low-40s, consistent with the range fade rather than a fresh trend.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1405 range floor opens broader range lower
Reclaim of 1.1448 prior high needed to re-approach the 1.1482 week high
ECB decision next week is the primary catalyst that could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower within range · RSI 44 · price 1.14336
EUR/USD spiked to the 1.1480 range top midweek before fading into confused sideways trade, with in-line Eurozone HICP offering no fresh impulse. Price has slipped back below EMA20 near 1.1440 and is drifting toward the 1.1426 swing low as a firmer USD, aided by beats in Michigan Sentiment and Housing Starts, caps the pair. Two attempts at the range top have been rejected this week; the 1.1420-1.1480 band still frames the action.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 range top would invalidate the range read
Failure to hold 1.1426 swing low opens the 1.1405 range pivot
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation within 1.1405-1.1480; sequence of lower highs off the week top.
EUR/USD faded from the midweek high at 1.1482 into a lower-high sequence and now trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 in the low-1.1430s. In-line Eurozone HICP offered no impulse while the USD firmed on safe-haven and oil-driven flows, keeping price pinned in the 1.1405-1.1480 range. The 1.1450 area has capped the latest bounce; range floor at 1.1405 remains untested.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1480 range cap opens the path to 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.1405 range floor confirms a broader range break lower
ECB decision Thu Jul 23 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk to this read
17:02 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower off midweek high · RSI 48 · price 1.14375
Consolidation between 1.1420 and 1.1480 after midweek surge.
EUR spiked to 1.1482 midweek then faded into a 1.1420-1.1480 consolidation, with the range top capping two attempts and a chain of lower highs forming since. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI mid-range; in-line eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse while USD firmed on safe-haven flows. The 1.1424 range floor has held into the NY session, keeping the weekly impulse only partially retraced.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1480
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1424 range floor exposes the 1.1405 pivot and broader range trade
Break and hold above 1.1480 range top needed to resume the weekly impulse
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst that could break this consolidation
17:01 UTC
Range after this-week's surge, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14375
Consolidation under midweek high.
EUR/USD gapped higher off 1.1404 into Monday's session and stretched to 1.1482 midweek before fading into a tight consolidation with in-line eurozone HICP offering no fresh impulse. Price now drifts just under EMA20 near 1.1438, with the 1.1482 high capping and repeated dips holding above 1.1424. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the two-way, rangebound tone.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14058, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14519, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 range top opens the path toward 1.1520
Failure to hold 1.1405 downside pivot opens broader range trading
ECB decision Thu Jul 23 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14386
Consolidation after Monday impulse, lower highs.
EURUSD spiked to the week high near 1.1482 during Monday's NY session, then drifted into a tight consolidation as oil-driven Fed-hike bets and safe-haven flows firmed the dollar back below 1.1450. Since then price has ground sideways between 1.14259 and 1.14520 with RSI hovering near the mid-line and price pinned around EMA20. June HICP landed exactly in line, giving no fresh EUR impulse into the July 23 ECB.
Support: 1.14259, 1.14105
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14745
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14259 opens the path toward the 1.14105 swing low
Reclaim of 1.14520 range top would expose the 1.14745 week high
ECB rate decision Thu Jul 23 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Range-bound below week high, drifting to range mid.
EURUSD spiked to the 1.1482 week high on Monday's session but has since chopped sideways in a 1.1424-1.1465 range, now sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 near range mid. June HICP landed exactly in line, giving no fresh EUR impulse, while firmer oil and a safe-haven USD bid have kept price pressing the lower half of the range. Two attempts back toward the range top have been capped this week.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1405 confirms a range return lower
Reclaim of 1.1465 range top reopens the path toward 1.1482 week high
ECB decision Jul 23 could materially shift this read
15:02 UTC
Sideways after early-week rally · RSI 47 · price 1.14388
Consolidation within weekly range.
EUR/USD has churned in a 1.1420–1.1465 band since Wednesday's peak near 1.1482 failed, with price pinned by a firmer USD on oil-driven Fed-hike bets. In-line June HICP (2.8% YoY) gave no fresh impetus, leaving RSI(14) mid-40s and price hugging EMA20 while sitting below EMA50. Two attempts at the range top have been capped, and the lower-high sequence off the mid-week high keeps momentum flat.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14105
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1465 reopens the path to the 1.1482 week high
Break below 1.14105 confirms a lower-low and exits the range
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul is the dominant catalyst for this read
EUR/USD has consolidated in a 1.1420–1.1465 band since Tuesday's spike to the 1.1482 week high, with price now tracking just under EMA20 and EMA50 capping overhead. In-line June HICP gave no fresh EUR impetus and rallies have stalled in the mid-1.1400s. RSI(14) is hovering near 48 as the pair grinds off the 1.1424 swing low into the NY session.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1405 confirms a range break lower toward 1.1405 trigger zone
Reclaim of 1.1465 reopens the path to the 1.1520 resistance
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this range read
EUR/USD has been pinned in a 1.1420-1.1465 band since the mid-week pop toward 1.1482, with in-line June HICP removing any near-term catalyst. Price has drifted back below EMA20 and EMA50 in the mid-1.1430s as a firm USD keeps the pair defensive; two attempts on the 1.1452 pivot have been capped. RSI(14) sits mid-40s, reflecting the sideways grind rather than a directional impulse.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1476
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14240 signals a lower low and range return
Close above 1.14520 reopens the 1.1476/1.1482 week high
ECB decision Jul 23 is the dominant catalyst into next week
EUR/USD spiked off 1.1377 on Monday into a 1.1420-1.1465 band and has traded sideways since, capped by rejection near 1.1482 twice this week. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 around the mid-band as June HICP printed exactly in line and a firm USD (strong US claims) keeps the pair defensive. RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s reflects the fade off the highs without a clean lower-low yet.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1482, 1.1520
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1465 range top opens the path to 1.1520
Close below 1.1405 signals a return to broader range trade
ECB decision Jul 23 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this band
EURUSD rallied to a 1.1482 week high Wednesday on the soft US CPI print, then faded back into the 1.1420-1.1465 band and is now pressing the lower edge near 1.1429. Price sits below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 41 as a sequence of lower highs builds since Wednesday. In-line Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse, leaving the pair heavy against range support.
Support: 1.14242, 1.1420, 1.14058
Resistance: 1.1465, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1420 range floor opens the path toward the 1.1406 weekly open
Reclaim of the 1.1465 range top needed to negate the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Jul 23 is the key catalyst that could reshape this range
EUR/USD spiked to a 1.1482 week high Wednesday on the soft US CPI print, then faded back into a 1.1420-1.1465 consolidation band as in-line HICP today offered no fresh impulse and a firmer USD (strong jobless claims) capped attempts. Price now sits below EMA20 near the range floor, having rejected off the 1.1465 range top and lower highs since Wednesday. RSI(14) around 42 reflects the loss of upside momentum within the band.
Support: 1.1426, 1.1420, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1439, 1.1465, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1420 range floor opens the 1.1405 breakdown level
Reclaim of EMA20 and a close above 1.1465 range top exposes the 1.1482 week high
ECB decision Jul 23 (12:15 UTC) is the key catalyst that could break this range
12:02 UTC
Range, momentum rolling over · RSI 43 · price 1.14312
Lower highs off week high, range holding.
EUR/USD spiked into the mid-1.1400s on Tuesday and printed a week high at 1.1482, but has drifted lower for a second day into 1.1431 as a firmer dollar and energy-driven inflation angst dominate. Price has slipped back below EMA(20) with a string of lower highs off the peak, though the 1.1424 day low still holds. In-line final Eurozone HICP gave no fresh impulse, leaving the 1.1440-1.1482 range the dominant structure.
Support: 1.14242, 1.14105, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14759, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14242 confirms a lower low and opens the range floor near 1.1410
Reclaim of 1.14759 prior high needed to negate the lower-high sequence
US UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read this session
12:02 UTC
Range after mid-week rally, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.14312
EUR/USD spiked to 1.1482 mid-week on the oil-inflation ECB-hike repricing, then rolled over and has drifted back below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-40s. Price is pinned between the 1.1424 floor and a series of lower highs off the week high; a firm USD bid on strong US jobless claims has capped rebounds. The read is corrective range, not fresh trend.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1406, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.1444, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14240 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1414-1.1406
Reclaim of the 1.14440 EMA20 zone reopens the mid-1.1400s
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.14276
Lower highs off week high, back below EMAs.
EUR/USD ran a sharp impulse Tuesday-Wednesday off the 1.1382 week low up to 1.1482, but rallies have since faded against the 1.1460 sma cap flagged in context, printing lower highs. Price has slipped back under EMA20 (~1.1441) with RSI cycling below 50 as a firmer USD on stronger jobless claims and safe-haven flows weighed. The pullback now sits mid-way on the week's move, near the 50% retrace around 1.1432.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1441, 1.1460, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 sma cap reopens the 1.1482 week high
Failure to hold 1.1410 swing low exposes 1.1382 week low
UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read this session
ECB decision next Thursday is the dominant multi-day risk
11:01 UTC
Sideways, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.14276
Range with lower highs, slipping through support.
Price rejected the 1.1482 week high on Tuesday and has printed successive lower highs (1.1470, 1.1452) since, with the mid-1.1400s range now giving way as a firmer USD on stronger US jobless claims weighs on EUR. The last bars slipped below the 1.1435-1.1445 shelf to 1.1428, parking right on the 50% retrace of the week's 1.1377-1.1482 impulse. RSI(14) has drifted into the low 40s and price sits under both EMA(20) and EMA(50).
Support: 1.14259, 1.14097, 1.14296
Resistance: 1.14516, 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1410 confirms a lower low and opens the 50% fib zone break
Reclaim of 1.1452 lower high negates the fade from the week high
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
10:02 UTC
Range, off the highs · RSI 44 · price 1.14385
Consolidation below weekly high after Monday's impulse.
EUR/USD spiked off the 1.1377 low into Monday's session and again toward 1.1482 mid-week, but supply has capped every retest of the 1.1476–1.1482 zone and price is now grinding back toward the 1.1435 pivot. The pullback comes as the USD firms on Mideast/oil-driven Fed-hike bets, with price slipping under EMA20/EMA50 and RSI(14) rolling into the mid-40s. This-week structure is a range in the upper 1.14s, still respecting 1.1435 support.
Support: 1.1435, 1.1408
Resistance: 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1435 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1408 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1476 reopens the 1.1482 week high
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC today could shift the USD read
10:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14385
Two-day range under 1.1475 after early-week rally.
EUR/USD has spent two days ranging roughly 1.1435-1.1475 after Tuesday's rally off 1.1382 stalled near 1.1482. Price has drifted back toward the 1.1435 range floor with RSI(14) mid-40s, as the dollar firmed on Mideast oil/inflation fears and stronger US jobless claims capped euro upside near the H4 200-SMA. Both EMA20 and EMA50 now sit just above price, keeping the intraday read heavy inside the range.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14345, 1.13824
Resistance: 1.1475, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1435 opens a lower-low toward 1.1382
Reclaim of 1.1475 range top needed to re-test 1.1482 week high
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.14415
Consolidation under week high after impulse.
EURUSD rallied off Monday's ~1.1377 low and pushed through the NY session into a 1.1482 week high before stalling; since then price has coiled in a tight 1.1434–1.1452 range, holding the 38.2% retrace near 1.1442 with RSI hovering near 50. A firmer USD after strong US jobless claims (208K vs 217K) has capped upside while ECB hike repricing keeps a floor under the euro. Price is pinned at EMA(20) with the week's momentum flattening.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1404
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14340 range low opens the path toward the 1.14040 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.14520 session high needed to re-test the 1.14820 week high
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
ECB decision 23 Jul is the dominant risk into next week
09:02 UTC
Consolidation after this week's rally · RSI 47 · price 1.14415
Ranging in upper half of week's range.
EUR/USD spiked off the 1.1382 weekly low into Tuesday's NY session and stretched to 1.1482, but has since pinned around 1.1440 as the dollar firmed on the 208K jobless-claims beat. Price is now hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range, tracing lower highs from 1.1482 while the 1.1434 range floor holds. The 1.1440-1.1460 pivot noted into next week's ECB remains the pinch point.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1420, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1452, 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.1434 range low opens the path toward 1.1420
Close above 1.1452 challenges the 1.1474-1.1482 highs
08:02 UTC
Uptrend fading into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 1.1446
Range below week high, holding 1.1440 pivot.
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1382 week low into a 1.1482 high mid-week, then rolled into a tight consolidation in the low-1.14s as a firmer USD (jobless claims 208K) capped the move. Price is pinned around the 1.1440 pivot flagged in flow, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50; lower highs have formed off 1.1482. The week high has yet to be retested since the pullback.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1420, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1440 pivot opens the path to 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.1470 lower high would re-open 1.1482 week high
Eurozone final HICP 09:00 UTC and Cipollone 10:00 UTC could shift this read
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations 14:00 UTC is the next USD catalyst
08:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging near highs · RSI 51 · price 1.1446
Impulse then consolidation under week high.
EURUSD ran from the 1.13824 swing low to a 1.14820 week high on the mid-week impulse, then rolled into a tight 1.1440–1.1470 range as firm USD (jobless claims 208K) capped the advance. Price is coiling right on EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 50, and the 1.1440 area continues to act as the near-term pivot. The week high at 1.14820 has held since the leg up faded.
Support: 1.1440, 1.1434, 1.13824
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Hourly close below 1.1440 exposes the 1.14340 range low
Close above 1.14685 reopens the 1.14820 week high
07:01 UTC
Consolidating near weekly highs · RSI 55 · price 1.14504
Range below week high after mid-week impulse.
EURUSD rallied hard off the 1.1385 week low on Tuesday's session and has since consolidated near the highs, capped by the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone flagged into the ECB. Price holds just above EMA(20) with the 1.1434 range floor respected on the recent pullback, while a firmer dollar on strong US jobless claims keeps the 1.1482 week high out of reach. RSI is mid-range, reflecting the sideways drift after the impulse.
Support: 1.1442, 1.1434, 1.1385
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1482 opens the path back toward last week's range
Failure to hold 1.1434 range floor confirms a lower low
US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD has trended higher since Monday's open, with a sharp impulse candle in the NY session lifting price off the 1.1377 base and a follow-through to the 1.1482 week high. Price has since consolidated in the 1.1434-1.1470 band, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling around 55-60 on pullbacks. The 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone flagged into today's HICP is holding, and price is pressing back toward the upper range at 1.14504.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14249
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Eurozone final Core HICP at 09:00 UTC and US Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.14685 reopens the path to the 1.14820 week high
Failure to hold 1.14340 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
EURUSD rallied off the 1.1382 base to a week high at 1.1482 midweek, then rolled over and has been drifting back into the 1.1440-1.1460 pivot zone. The pullback follows a firmer USD after strong US jobless claims (208K) and a Philly Fed beat, offsetting this week's hawkish ECB repricing that kept EUR bid on the crosses. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s, showing momentum cooling as the market pins to range.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1440, 1.1401
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1434 swing low confirms a lower-low and deeper unwind of the week's impulse
H1 close back above 1.1460 pivot top reopens the 1.1482 week high
ECB (Jul 23) and today's Michigan sentiment are the dominant catalysts for this pivot zone
EURUSD ran from Monday's 1.1382 lows to a week high of 1.1482 mid-week, but has since drifted back to the 1.1440 area and is consolidating just below EMA20/EMA50. The pullback tracks the firmer USD after yesterday's jobless-claims beat and Philly Fed blowout, with the pair capped on the dollar side even as the ECB story keeps EUR bid on crosses. Price is holding the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse; a series of lower highs has capped since the 1.1482 rejection.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14322, 1.14164
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1434 confirms a lower low and opens the fib 50% at 1.14322
Reclaim of 1.14685 reopens the path to the 1.1482 week high
US Michigan sentiment 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 46 · price 1.14363
Higher highs into week top, now consolidating off the high.
EURUSD rallied from Monday's 1.1377 low through a sharp NY-session impulse, peaking at the 1.14820 week high before rejection set in. Price has since drifted into a tight upper-range consolidation and slipped back below EMA20, holding just above EMA50 as EUR stays capped near 1.1460 into the 23 Jul ECB and USD firms on strong US data. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s with the pullback.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14237
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14480 range top reopens the path toward the 1.14820 week high
Failure to hold 1.14339 session low exposes the 1.14237 swing low
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR climbed from Monday's ~1.1398 open through Tuesday's NY-session spike to the 1.1482 week high, then rolled over into a shallower, lower range as the USD steadied on strong US data (claims 208K, Philly Fed 41.4). Price now trades just under EMA20 (~1.1443) with RSI(14) mid-range, EUR capped near 1.1460 while the 1.1434 area has absorbed the pullback. Rejection at 1.1482 remains the dominant this-week structural marker.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1398
Resistance: 1.1443, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back above EMA20 (~1.1443) would reassert the this-week uptrend
Failure to hold 1.1434 opens the path toward the 1.1398 weekly open
US Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR ran up through the London-NY session mid-week on a hawkish ECB chorus, spiking from ~1.1406 to a week high at 1.1482 before stalling. Since then price has eased back below EMA20 toward the 1.1457-1.1460 pivot flagged as USD steadied on firm US jobless claims and Philly Fed. H1 is now consolidating around 1.1440, holding the 50% retrace of the week's impulse with RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1426, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1457, 1.1468, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1434 opens the path to the 61.8 fib at 1.1417
Reclaim of the 1.1457 pivot reopens 1.1468 and the 1.1482 week high
UoM sentiment/inflation expectations today 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg
EUR climbed from Monday's ~1.1377 low into Wednesday's 1.1482 week high on a hawkish ECB chorus, then stalled as the USD steadied following the soft US PPI print. Since Thursday's NY session price has ranged 1.1434-1.1470 and slipped just under the EMA20 in thin Asia hours, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The 1.1470 area has capped attempts while demand keeps stepping in near 1.1434.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1443, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1434 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
H1 close above 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 week high
UoM Michigan sentiment today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.14371
Pullback into range below week high.
EURUSD rallied from Monday's open near 1.1399 to a week high at 1.1482 during the NY session, helped by the softer US inflation theme and a hawkish ECB chorus. Since then price has eased and slipped under EMA20, coiling in a 1.1434-1.1476 range with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-40s. The move has stalled near the 38.2-50% retracement of the week's impulse.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1399
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1476, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1448 (EMA20) reopens the 1.1476 week high
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower low toward the weekly open at 1.1399
UoM Michigan sentiment / inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14371
Consolidation below week high after Wednesday impulse.
EURUSD ran from Monday's 1.1377 base to a 1.1482 week high through Wednesday's NY session, powered by softer US CPI/PPI and a hawkish ECB chorus. Since then the pair has consolidated below 1.1470, carving lower highs, and has now eased to 1.1437 in the Asia session with RSI(14) rolling back toward 42 and price slipping under EMA20. Rejection at 1.1470 has capped the last two attempts.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1420, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1434 confirms a lower low and breaks the week's higher-lows
Reclaim of 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 week high
UoM Michigan sentiment/inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
EURUSD rallied from Monday's 1.1382 dip to 1.1482 on hawkish-ECB rhetoric, but the move stalled and price has drifted back to 1.1440 after rejection near the 1.1460 pivot. The pair now sits just below EMA20 and around the 38.2% retracement of the week's impulse, with RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s through the Asian session. Two-way flow persists as a steadier dollar caps the topside while rising higher-lows keep the broader uptrend structure intact.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1420, 1.1382
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1482
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.1460 pivot reopens the 1.1482 week high
Failure to hold 1.1434 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
UoM sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend fading into pullback · RSI 44 · price 1.1440
Pullback off weekly high, consolidating.
EUR rallied from Monday's 1.1377 low into a weekly high at 1.1482 on hawkish-ECB rhetoric, but has since eased back below EMA20 to 1.1440 as the dollar steadied. The 1.1457-1.1460 pivot capped the topside twice this week and RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.1434 swing low with momentum flattening.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1417
Resistance: 1.1460, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1460 pivot reopens the path to 1.1482
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower low
UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EURUSD ran from Monday's 1.1382 base to a 1.1482 week high midweek, then eased back and has been coiling in a tight 1.1431–1.1468 band through the Asian session. The pullback stalled ahead of the digest's 1.1457 pivot as the dollar steadied post-soft-US-CPI, with price now pinned just under EMA(20) and RSI(14) flat near 48. Supply capped two attempts at the 1.1468 area while demand has held above 1.1431.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14189, 1.13824
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
H1 close above 1.14685 opens the path back to the 1.14820 week high
Failure to hold 1.14309 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.14189
EUR/USD has climbed since Monday's open near 1.1394, spiking to a week high of 1.1482 during Thursday's NY session before easing back. Price is now grinding back above EMA(20) off the 1.14339 swing low with RSI(14) mid-range around 54; the pair paused near this pivot as the dollar steadied post-soft-US-CPI. The 1.14745–1.1482 zone capped the last push and is the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14202, 1.13941
Resistance: 1.14745, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14745 opens the path back to the 1.1482 week high
Failure to hold 1.14339 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low sequence
UoM Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1377 base to a week high at 1.1482 through the mid-week sessions, powered by the revived hawkish-ECB narrative while USD steadied after soft US CPI/PPI. Price has since eased back to consolidate near 1.1444, slipping under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward 46 as the 1.1470–1.1482 area capped the last push. The 1.1434 swing low is holding for now, keeping the pullback contained within the week's rising structure.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14166, 1.1397
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1470 reopens the 1.1482 week high
Loss of 1.1434 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback toward 1.1416
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation expectations 14:00 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied off Monday's 1.1377 low to a weekly high at 1.1482 before easing back into consolidation near 1.1444, now sitting just under EMA(20). The pullback cooled the ECB-hawkish momentum as USD steadied post-CPI; RSI(14) has drifted toward the mid-40s. Prior high at 1.1469 caps the immediate upside while buyers held the 1.1434 swing low.
Support: 1.14339, 1.1400, 1.13772
Resistance: 1.14685, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.14685 reopens the weekly-high test
Failure to hold 1.14339 confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could shift this read