EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 19 July 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:02 UTC

Range-bound, drifting to lower end · RSI 42 · price 1.14263

Consolidation within weekly range.

EUR/USD has been pinned in a 1.1420-1.1480 range all week, with the range top capping two attempts near 1.1475 and rallies subdued by the firm oil/safe-haven Dollar bid. Price now trades at the lower end below the H1 EMA20 (~1.1440) after a weekend gap lower into Sunday's open, RSI hovering in the low-40s. In-line June final HICP was a non-event; the tape is consolidating around the 50% retracement of the Monday-Tuesday impulse ahead of ECB week.

Support: 1.1420, 1.1405

Resistance: 1.1440, 1.1480

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1420 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1405 downside pivot
  • Reclaim of the 1.1440 ema20 needed to re-approach the 1.1480 range top
  • ECB decision Thu Jul 23 could materially shift this range read

23:01 UTC

Range-bound, drifting to range floor · RSI 43 · price 1.14263

Consolidation between 1.1420 and 1.1480.

EURUSD spent the week boxed between 1.1420 and 1.1480, with the 1.1480 range top rejecting a second attempt as oil-driven risk-off kept Euro rallies subdued. Price has since slid back below EMA(20) into the range floor near 1.1424, with June final HICP printing in line and adding nothing. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, reflecting the fade off the highs rather than any clear directional break.

Support: 1.1424, 1.1405

Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1480, 1.1520

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1405 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
  • Reclaim of 1.1480 range top opens the path to 1.1520
  • ECB decision Thu Jul 23 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Range-bound, drifting to range low · RSI 43 · price 1.14249

Consolidation after Monday's impulse; lower highs since peak.

EURUSD ripped from the week open near 1.1383 in Monday's impulse and has since consolidated in a 1.1425-1.1482 range, with the range top capping rallies twice on ECB positioning ahead of July 23. Price now sits at the range low below both the EMA20 and the 1.1445 ema50 zone, RSI(14) cooling to the low-40s. Thin weekend-open bars leave the drift lower unconfirmed.

Support: 1.1425, 1.1405, 1.1383

Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1482

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below 1.1405 pivot confirms a lower low out of the range
  • Reclaim of 1.1482 range top opens the path toward 1.1520
  • ECB decision Thu Jul 23 could materially shift this read

22:01 UTC

Uptrend stalled, consolidating · RSI 43 · price 1.14249

Range below week high after midweek impulse.

EURUSD rallied off Monday's 1.1383 open to a 1.1482 midweek high, which capped price twice before it settled into a 1.1425-1.1445 consolidation through the back half of the week. In-line June final HICP and the firmer USD safe-haven bid kept rallies subdued below the 1.1480 range top. The weekend reopen gapped slightly lower to 1.1425, leaving price under both EMA20 and EMA50.

Support: 1.14241, 1.1405, 1.1383

Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1482

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1480 range top opens the 1.1520 area
  • Failure to hold 1.1405 downside pivot confirms a lower-low
  • ECB decision Thu Jul 23 could materially shift this read

21:01 UTC

Range-bound after early-week surge · RSI 46 · price 1.14374

Consolidation below 1.1480 cap, mild lower highs.

EURUSD spiked off the 1.1378 area to 1.1482 early in the week, then stalled and has since ground sideways in a 1.1425-1.1480 band. The 1.1480 range top has capped rallies twice as US-Iran risk-off and firm oil keep Euro upside subdued; price now sits just below EMA20 with RSI cycling around neutral. In-line June HICP was a non-event, leaving structure flat into Thursday's ECB.

Support: 1.1425, 1.1440, 1.1405

Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1520

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1480 opens the path to 1.1520
  • failure to hold 1.1425 range floor exposes the 1.1405 pivot
  • ECB decision Thu Jul 23 12:15 UTC could reset this range

21:01 UTC

Range-bound, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14374

Consolidation under range top after spike.

EUR/USD spiked to 1.1482 mid-week then rolled into a tight consolidation, capped repeatedly near the 1.1480 range top as Iran/oil risk-off and firm USD kept rallies subdued. Price is drifting along the mid of the week's impulse, sitting just below EMA20/EMA50 with RSI cycling around 46. The 1.1420 range floor has held on each dip since the peak.

Support: 1.1420, 1.1405, 1.13779

Resistance: 1.1448, 1.1482, 1.1520

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 1.1480 range top would reopen the 1.1520 resistance
  • Loss of 1.1420 range support exposes the 1.1405 downside pivot
  • ECB decision Thu could materially shift this range read

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