EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 20 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14127
Tight consolidation after selloff.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.14023 session low as the dollar clawed back ground, then stalled into a dead, low-volume late-session drift around 1.1412. Recovery has capped near the 23.6% retracement of the decline; price idling just under EMA20/50 with no directional push.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14168, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1409 range floor reopens the 1.14023 session low
Reclaim of 1.14168 swing high needed to signal any recovery
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's structural catalyst
23:46 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14127
Post-selloff consolidation above 1.1402 low.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 low, then stabilised. Asian hours are thin and directionless, drifting 1.1411–1.1413 with RSI(14) flat near 46; price holds below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14200 would negate the lower-high sequence and open 1.1447
Loss of 1.14023 session low extends the downtrend
Thin Asian liquidity — moves may not hold into London open
23:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 1.14128
Consolidating after NY sell-off.
NY session sold EUR from 1.1449 down to 1.1402 as the dollar clawed back ground; Asia has since gone flat, consolidating 1.1409–1.1419 with RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 2.6 pips. No setup in play into the thin late-Asia hours.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1419 breaks the Asia range
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low
ECB decision Thu is the week's real catalyst for this pair
23:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14128
Range after intraday sell-off.
NY session drove a clean sell-off from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 swing low, then a bounce back to 1.1417. Price is now pinned in a tight 1.1408–1.1417 range on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) neutral near 44 and ATR compressed to ~3 pips.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14170 reopens 1.14275
Failure to hold 1.14085 exposes the 1.14023 swing low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's catalyst
23:16 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14132
Sharp NY leg down, then consolidation off the low.
NY session drove a sharp leg down from 1.1445 to a session low at 1.1402, retracing roughly 38% back to 1.1417 before stalling. Price is now flat around 1.1413 in thin late-session/Asia trade, EUR staying capped below its 100-day SMA per the broader range; RSI(14) neutral, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14445
What it said to watch
Break of 1.14023 session low reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14170 needed to shift the near-term read
Thin liquidity — first moves on London open may be noisy
23:16 UTC
Downtrend stalled, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.14132
Consolidation after NY sell-off.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 swing low, then recovered and has gone flat in thin Asian trade, coiling 1.1409–1.1417 with RSI(14) back at neutral. ATR has collapsed to a few pips as volume dries up ahead of the Asian range build.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14275
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14085 session low reopens the 1.1402 swing low
M15 close above 1.14170 range top would end the consolidation
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's catalyst and could reset this read
23:02 UTC
Down leg stalled, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.14125
Consolidating above session low after NY selloff.
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.14491 to a 1.14023 session low, soft German PPI keeping the pair capped below the 100DMA. Price recovered to 1.14186 and has since gone flat in dead late-Asia hours, drifting at 1.14125 on collapsing volume with no setup in play.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14254
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 recent high reopens 1.14254 prior high
London-NY hours sold EURUSD from 1.1449 to a 1.14023 session low as a firmer USD and soft German PPI kept price capped below the 100DMA. Thin Asia trade has since settled into a 1.14085-1.14170 range, RSI(14) neutral near 47.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14170 puts the 1.14290 swing high back in range
Volume returns on London open; ECB Thu is the week's key catalyst
Sold off to session low, now consolidating near lows.
NY session drove EUR/USD off ~1.1449 down to a session low at 1.14023 as a firmer USD and soft German PPI kept price capped below the 100DMA. The bounce stalled at 1.14186 and price is now grinding sideways around 1.1411 on thin post-NY volume, holding above 1.14085 but pinned under the EMA20.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.1426
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 breaks the recent lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.14124
Range-bound after NY sell-off, thin Asian hours.
NY session sold EUR from 1.1449 down to a 1.1402 session low, then price recovered into a tight 1.1409-1.14186 range through the thin Asian hours. RSI(14) is neutral near 46 and volumes are low; German soft PPI and a firm USD keep the pair capped sub-1.14 range top.
Support: 1.1409, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14257
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower low, opens toward 1.1390
Break above 1.14186 range top exposes 1.1425 prior high
Thin Asian liquidity; ECB Thu is the dominant nearer-term risk
22:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14117
Post-selloff consolidation.
EUR sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402 through the NY session on a firmer USD (DXY ~100.75), then stabilised into a tight 1.1408-1.1417 range during a very quiet late Asian session, RSI mid-40s and ATR compressed near 3 pips. Price is pinned just under EMA20 with no fresh directional impulse into thin liquidity.
Support: 1.14085, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14169 exits the consolidation range
Break below 1.14085 reopens the 1.14023 session low
Thursday's ECB decision is the dominant driver later this week
22:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling into consolidation · RSI 46 · price 1.14117
Range after leg lower, low-volume drift.
NY session sold off from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 swing low, then based and recovered into a tight 1.14085–1.14186 range. Now drifting flat near 1.1412 on thin late-session volume, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral around 46; EUR remains capped sub-100DMA after soft German PPI.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim above 1.14186 resets the intraday range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
Lower highs into a low-vol range near session lows.
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.1449 session high down to 1.1402 as the USD firmed (DXY ~100.75) and soft German PPI weighed. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1409-1.1417 range through thin Asian-hours flow, RSI(14) mid-40s and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 extends the lower-low sequence
reclaim of 1.1417 swing high neutralises the intraday downtrend
liquidity thin into Asia — ATR ~3 pips, moves may be exaggerated
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, now flat near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14117
Consolidation after breakdown.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking to 1.1402 as German PPI came in soft and the dollar held firm sub-1.14, keeping price below the 100-day cap. Since then it has gone flat between 1.1406 and 1.1417 on thin early-Asia volume, RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14449
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14062 reopens the 1.14023 swing low
M15 close above 1.14170 negates the consolidation-lower read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
EUR sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low, USD firmness and soft German PPI capping the earlier bounce. Price is now drifting in a tight 1.1409-1.1418 band on thin post-NY/Asia volume with RSI(14) mid-40s; still pinned below EMA20/50 and the sub-100DMA consolidation the digest flags.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14335, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1400 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward 1.1380
reclaim of 1.14186 needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.14103
Lower highs, now ranging near session lows.
EUR slid from 1.1449 through the London-NY drop to 1.1402, then stalled into a tight 1.1406-1.1419 range as Asia thinned out. Price sits below EMA20/50 and back near session lows on fading volume; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14275
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14023 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14186 negates the near-term downside drift
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves on any break
21:46 UTC
Downtrend cooling into consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.14099
Sold off then ranging near lows.
NY session drove EUR/USD from 1.1445 down to 1.14023 as the USD held a bid near DXY 100.77 and soft German PPI weighed. Price has since consolidated 1.1410-1.1418 through late NY into Asia; RSI cooling around 43, sitting below EMA20/50 near the lower end of the range.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14175, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1400 confirms a fresh lower low, opening 1.1380
Reclaim of 1.14175 range top needed to negate the downside bias
ECB Thursday looms further out — not a next-bar risk
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14099
Consolidating above session low after NY selloff.
EUR sold off from 1.14491 through the NY session into a 1.14023 low, then consolidated in a tight 1.14062-1.14170 band; German soft PPI and a firm USD (DXY ~100.75) kept it capped below the 100DMA. Price is drifting back toward the lows on thin late-session volume, sitting below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14062
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1420
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14170 opens the 38% fib at 1.14200
Thin late-session volume can exaggerate moves
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating near lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14106
Sold off then coiling above session low.
EUR sold from 1.1449 down to a session low of 1.14023 around midday as a soft German PPI print and a firm USD (DXY ~100.75) capped the pair below the 100DMA. The recovery stalled under the 1.14175 range top and price is now drifting into the Asia hours around 1.1410, holding just above the 1.1406 swing low.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14175, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 (session low) confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.14175 range top would shift the near-term read
21:31 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14106
Range after breakdown, holding above 1.1402 low.
EURUSD broke down through 1.1440 during NY hours to a 1.1402 low, then stalled into a tight 1.1407-1.1419 range as volume thinned into the late session. Price now sits at the range floor near 1.14106, RSI(14) mid-40s and price below both EMAs after the leg lower.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14186 range high needed to negate the breakdown
21:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 1.14147
Basing above session low after NY selloff.
NY session sold EUR/USD from ~1.1449 down to a session low of 1.14023, then based and recovered to ~1.1414 where it's grinding sideways in thin late-session, low-volume trade. RSI(14) is back to neutral near 51 after the drop; German PPI miss and a firm USD around DXY 100.75 have kept the pair capped below the 100-day SMA.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 1.14186 swing high opens a push back toward the 1.14330 prior swing
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
21:16 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 49 · price 1.14147
Range after NY sell-off, 1.1406-1.1417.
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to 1.1402, then stabilised into a tight 1.1406-1.1417 range as late-session flow thinned, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49. Soft German PPI and a firm USD (DXY ~100.75) kept price capped below the 100DMA and unable to reclaim 1.1417.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1420
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14170 reopens 1.14200
Failure to hold 1.14060 reopens the 1.14023 low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reshape this read
21:01 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 44 · price 1.14132
Consolidation after impulsive selloff.
London-NY session drove EURUSD from 1.14491 down to 1.14023 as the USD bounced (DXY ~100.75) and soft German PPI weighed on EUR. Price has since consolidated 1.14062-1.14186 through the NY afternoon, now drifting to the lower half at 1.14132 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 range top opens 1.14275
Close below 1.14062 reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reset this range
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.14132
Consolidating near session lows.
EUR sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402 through the NY session as a firmer DXY capped the pair below its 100-day cap. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.1406-1.1418 range into the evening, RSI(14) neutral near 44, holding below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 opens the path toward 1.1390/1.1380
Reclaim above 1.14186 puts the 1.1449 prior high back in play
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1449 down to a session low of 1.1402, with soft German PPI adding a mild drag. Price has since recovered to 1.1418 and is now consolidating in a tight 1.1410–1.1418 band into the late-NY/Asia handover, RSI mid-range with no fresh extreme.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14275
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 1.14186 puts 1.14275 back in play
ECB decision Thu is the week's main risk sitting above this range
Lower highs off London peak, consolidating near session lows.
NY session sold EUR from the 1.1449 London high down to a 1.1402 swing low, then bounced into a tight 1.1406-1.1417 consolidation. Price is drifting back toward the lower edge at 1.14129 into the close, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14275, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14169 swing high would break the consolidation upward
20:32 UTC
Downtrend, now basing · RSI 47 · price 1.14144
Sold off then consolidating above 1.1402 low.
EUR sold off through the NY session from ~1.1435 to a 1.1402 low, then based and reclaimed 1.1411. Now ranging tight between 1.1411 and 1.1419 into late NY hours with ATR compressed to ~3 pips; soft German PPI added a mild drag. RSI neutral near 47, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.1411, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1419 breaks the consolidation range higher
Loss of 1.1402 swing low reopens the selloff continuation
ECB decision Thu is the week's main risk but sits outside this session
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.14144
Consolidating above session low after breakdown.
NY session broke down from 1.1440 to a low of 1.1402, then recovered into a tight 1.1410–1.1417 consolidation. Volume and ATR have collapsed into the late session; no setup in play, price dead-flat at 1.14144 on EMA20.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1417 range top opens a push back toward 1.1440
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms continuation of the NY breakdown
Thin liquidity into Asia open can distort this range
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 46 · price 1.14133
Range after NY sell-off, holding above 1.1400.
NY session sold EUR from 1.1440 down to 1.14023, pressured by a firm DXY and soft German PPI. Into the late-NY/Asia transition price is consolidating 1.1410–1.1418, RSI(14) mid-range near 46, with sellers capping each push toward 1.1418.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 reopens the path to 1.1435
Failure to hold 1.1400 confirms continuation of the down leg
NY session sold EURUSD from 1.1449 down to 1.14023, aided by a firm DXY and soft German PPI, before buyers stabilised the move. Price is now grinding sideways in a 1.1406–1.1418 band into the close, RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward mid-range.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1434
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14180 recent high opens the path to 1.14340 prior high
Break below 1.14023 swing low confirms a lower-low continuation
20:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, now stalling · RSI 51 · price 1.1416
Sold off to session low, base building 1.1406-1.1418.
NY session drove EUR down from 1.1445 to a 1.1402 session low as the USD held firm on Gulf/oil-driven inflation bets. Price is now consolidating between 1.1406 and 1.1418 into the close, RSI back to neutral around 51.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower low and reopens the drop
Close above 1.1418 range top puts 1.1440 supply back in view
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's key catalyst
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1435 to a 1.1402 session low as the USD held firm on Gulf/oil headlines, then buyers stepped in twice around 1.1402-1.1406. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.1410-1.1417 band into the NY close, RSI(14) recovered to mid-range.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower low
Close above 1.1417 range top opens 1.1425
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 session low, tracking a firmer USD on Iran-driven oil/inflation bets. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1410-1.1418 band late in the session, RSI(14) back to neutral near 49 with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.1420, 1.1435
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1402 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.1420 (38.2% fib) would unwind the NY decline read
ECB Bank Lending Survey + German ZEW Tue could reprice EUR intraday
NY session extended the third straight day of EUR softness, sweeping down to 1.1402 on the USD's oil-driven bid before buyers stepped in. Price has since consolidated 1.1406-1.1419 with RSI(14) recovering off the lows toward the midline.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1419 opens the path back to 1.1425 (ema50)
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower-low
ECB decision Thursday 12:15 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this pair
19:32 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 48 · price 1.14168
Consolidation above session low.
NY session sold EURUSD sharply from 1.1440 to a 1.14023 low as a firm dollar and soft German PPI weighed. Price has since based between 1.1406 and 1.1419, holding just under the 38.2% retracement of the drop; RSI(14) recovered to mid-range with ATR compressed to ~3.5 pips.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14196, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 range top / 38.2% fib opens 1.14340
Failure to hold 1.14060 reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu could reprice this range
19:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, base forming · RSI 49 · price 1.14168
Lower highs into 1.1402 low, now consolidating.
NY session sold off from 1.1442 to a 1.1402 low as the dollar stayed firm on oil/Iran inflation risk. Price has since based and recovered into 1.1417, ranging 1.1406–1.1418 with RSI(14) back to neutral near 49.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14109
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14276, 1.14399
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens a push toward 1.1428/1.1442
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reshape this range
19:17 UTC
Downtrend easing, now basing · RSI 48 · price 1.14139
Sharp NY selloff, consolidating above session low.
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours from 1.14491 to a 1.14023 session low as the dollar stayed firm on oil/Iran risk. Price has since based and is now consolidating 1.14060–1.14186, RSI(14) recovered back to neutral near 48.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower-low and reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.14186 session high needed to shift the intraday read higher
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
NY session drove EUR/USD off the 1.1448 area down to a 1.1402 session low as the dollar held firm on oil/Iran inflation risk. Price is now consolidating 1.1409-1.1419 into the late-NY close, RSI back to mid-range after the flush.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1409
Resistance: 1.1419, 1.1434, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 confirms a lower-low and extends the decline
Reclaim of 1.1434 negates the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into this range
19:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 50 · price 1.14157
Session low set, tight consolidation above it.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1449 down to a session low at 1.14023 before buyers stepped in and price based into a tight 1.1410-1.1417 range late in the session. Softer German PPI and a firm dollar on energy-inflation fears kept EUR heavy, though the recovery has retraced roughly a third of the drop with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14072
Resistance: 1.14186, 1.14276, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14186 opens the path back toward 1.14276
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising off lows · RSI 48 · price 1.14157
NY selloff then consolidation above session low.
NY session drove EUR from ~1.1449 down to 1.1402, twin lows at 1.1402/1.1404 where buyers stepped in. Price now consolidating 1.1410-1.1418 into late NY, RSI(14) recovered off the lows to mid-range with a shallow retrace of the drop.
Support: 1.1406, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1425
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back toward 1.1425
NY sell-off into session low, shallow recovery stalling.
NY session drove a sharp leg down from 1.1445 to a 1.1402 session low as the dollar stayed firm on oil/Iran risk with EUR heavy under its 100-day cap. Price has since ground back to 1.1417 and is now consolidating around 1.1413, retracing ~30% of the drop; RSI(14) recovered off oversold to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of 1.1417 bounce high needed to extend the recovery toward 1.1445
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for EUR
NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.1448 down to 1.1402 as the firm dollar and heavy tone under the 100-day SMA weighed. Price has since based between 1.1402 and 1.1418, RSI recovered off oversold and now sits mid-range with no directional resolution.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1435
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1418 opens the path back to 1.1435
Loss of 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low
ECB hold Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk
EUR sold off through the NY session from 1.1445 to a session low of 1.1402 as USD held firm on the energy/Iran premium. Price has since recovered to reclaim 1.1415 with RSI(14) back to neutral around 50; the descending resistance off 1.1449 still caps rebounds.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14233, 1.1429, 1.14346
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14233 challenges the descending resistance
Failure to hold 1.14060 reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
18:31 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 1.14166
Sold off from 1.1449 to 1.1402, now recovering.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1449 down to a session low of 1.14023, then price based around 1.1407-1.1410 before recovering to 1.14166. RSI(14) has lifted back to mid-range and price reclaimed the EMA20, but the move sits below the 38.2% retrace of the decline at 1.14200.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14200 (38.2% fib) opens the path back toward 1.14300
Loss of 1.14060 base reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB hold Thursday could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off from 1.1449 down to 1.1402 as the dollar stayed firm on Gulf energy-premium flows, then a shallow base formed and price recovered to 1.14165. RSI(14) has lifted back to ~51 off oversold; the 1.1420 fib retracement is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1409, 1.1402
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1436, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1436 opens path back toward 1.1449
Failure to hold 1.1409 re-exposes the 1.1402 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1448 down to 1.14023, breaking the London range as the firm dollar and heavy sub-100d-SMA tone weighed. Price is now basing with higher lows near 1.1409-1.1416, RSI(14) recovered from the sell-off low toward the midline.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14200 opens the path back toward the 1.14346 ny high
Failure to hold 1.14060 reopens the 1.14023 session low
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session from the 1.1449 session high to a 1.1402 low, with USD kept firm on the oil/Gulf risk premium. Price has since flattened into a tight consolidation around 1.1414, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44 but still capped below the falling EMA20 near 1.1425.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1425, 1.1449
What it said to watch
A 15m close back above 1.1425 (ema20) would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1390 prior support
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1449 down to a 1.1402 session low as the dollar stayed underpinned by the Gulf energy risk premium. Price has since consolidated 1.1409-1.1416, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 44 with the recent high at 1.1416 capping the bounce.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1416 would negate the immediate lower-high sequence
Break below 1.1400 opens the 1.1390 area flagged in context
Consolidation holds between 1.1400 and 1.1416, no fresh direction yet
NY session sold EURUSD off from 1.14476 to a 1.14023 session low, roughly 45 pips, with the dollar firm on the Gulf risk premium. Price has since clawed back into a 1.14060-1.14155 consolidation, RSI recovering off oversold as the decline stalls.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14155, 1.1420, 1.14399
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14155 bounce high opens 1.14200
Failure to hold 1.14060 reopens the 1.14023 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD broke through 1.1416 support into a 1.1402 session low during NY hours as the dollar stayed firm on the Gulf risk premium. Buyers stepped in near 1.1406, and price is now consolidating just below the broken level with RSI(14) recovering off oversold.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.1420, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1420 repairs the lower-low structure
Failure to hold 1.1406 reopens the 1.1402 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk for EUR
NY session sold EUR off from 1.1449 to a session low at 1.14023, keeping price heavy under the 100-day cap flagged in the macro read. Price now consolidating near 1.1414, capped by a descending resistance line and the EMA20 above.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14062
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.14275, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
M15 close above 1.14275 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into this range
EUR/USD sold off from the 1.1445 session high through 1.14 during NY morning, printing a 1.1402 low on the USD firming with the Gulf/oil risk premium. Price is now consolidating 1.1406–1.1416 with RSI(14) recovering off its lows; the 1.14 round number is holding on the retest.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14169 opens a retest of the 1.1445 session high
Failure to hold 1.14000 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours from 1.1449 to a 1.1402 low as the firm dollar and heavy tone under the 100d SMA weighed. Price is now basing between 1.1405 and the 1.1417 bounce high, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 42.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14172, 1.1435, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1390/1.1410 zone
Reclaim of 1.1435 would negate the intraday breakdown
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk for this pair
Lower highs and lower lows; recent low swept and bought.
NY session drove a sharp leg down that swept the session low at 1.1402, RSI cooling into the low 40s before a bounce to 1.1415. Recovery is stalling under the 1.1417 recent high, price still pinned below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14062
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14346, 1.14446
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14169 opens the path back to 1.1435
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs / lower lows, basing near session low.
NY session drove EUR/USD off 1.1440 down to a 1.1402 session low, with USD underpinned by the oil/Gulf risk premium. Price is now consolidating 1.1410-1.1416 above the low, RSI(14) recovering off the low-40s.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1440
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1402 opens the 1.1390 trap door
Recovery above 1.1416 challenges the descending high chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1447 session high down to 1.1402, with USD firm on the oil/Gulf risk premium. Price is now basing 1.1406-1.1416, RSI(14) lifting off its lows; both EMAs still overhead.
Support: 1.14062, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14446
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14169 needed to challenge the descending resistance
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce off lows · RSI 43 · price 1.14099
Lower highs and lows, recovering from session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1449 high down to a session low at 1.14023, USD underpinned by the oil/Gulf risk premium. Price is bouncing back toward 1.14154 but sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) recovering from the mid-30s.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14062
Resistance: 1.14154, 1.14243, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 confirms a fresh lower-low, opening 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14154 swing high needed to ease the downside pressure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC will reset this intraday read
16:46 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.14099
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD off from ~1.1440 to a session low of 1.14023 after breaking the 1.1430-1.1449 range; the bounce stalled at 1.14169. Price now idles just above the 1.1400 psych level, RSI(14) recovering off its low but still sub-50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14169 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14000/1.14023 confirms range-break continuation
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1449 session high down to 1.1402, where buyers stepped in twice to form a double bottom. Price is recovering to 1.1414 but stays capped below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) lifting off oversold-ish levels near 43.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1420, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1420 breaks the lower-high sequence and invalidates the down leg
Break below 1.1402 confirms a fresh lower low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead
EURUSD sold off through the NY session from 1.1449, breaking 1.1420 and printing a session low at 1.1402 as the USD found a firmer footing. Price is now basing near 1.1414 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; a shallow bullish divergence into the 1.1402 low has stalled the slide for now.
Support: 1.14023, 1.14117
Resistance: 1.14169, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1402 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.1417 minor high would ease the intraday downside
Thin liquidity into the weekly close can widen ranges
16:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14155
Lower highs into session low, early recovery.
EUR sold off through the NY session from 1.1449 to a 1.14023 session low, softer German PPI and firm oil weighing, now bouncing to 1.14155. RSI(14) recovering from oversold near the low; price still capped under the swing high at 1.14195.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14195, 1.1429
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14195 swing high opens the path back toward 1.14290 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14023 session low / 1.14000 round number confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thursday is the dominant catalyst ahead
16:16 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14155
Lower highs and lower lows into NY session, recovering off session low.
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1449 down to a session low of 1.1402, with softer German PPI and an oil-driven USD floor weighing. RSI is lifting off oversold as price recovers to 1.1416, but it holds below EMA20/50 and under the broken 1.1420 shelf.
Support: 1.1406, 1.14023
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1433
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14200 would negate the lower-low structure
Loss of 1.14023 confirms continuation of the NY downleg
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst for this pair
NY session sold EUR/USD from the 1.14491 session high down to 1.14023, a clean downside break with price now consolidating near 1.1410 below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is recovering off the lows around 39; the leg lower fits the soft German PPI and capped tone under the 100-day SMA. Buyers held 1.1402 twice but the descending highs remain intact.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14349, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14023 session low opens the path toward 1.1390 psych
Reclaim of 1.14349 prior range would neutralise the downtrend read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean break below the 1.1434 prior swing, extending to a 1.1402 session low as the USD firmed. Price has since stalled and ticked back to 1.1411, RSI(14) recovering off the lows near 39 but still sub-50; 1.1416 recent high caps the bounce.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1434
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1416 recent high would neutralise the lower-high sequence
reclaim of 1.1434 prior swing invalidates the breakdown read
failure to hold 1.1402 session low opens further downside toward 1.1400 round number
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
NY session sold EUR/USD from 1.1440 down to a 1.1402 session low, extending the M15 downtrend with a clean lower-high sequence. Price is bouncing modestly but capped under 1.1416; RSI(14) recovering off oversold territory. Move fits the pre-ECB dovish-risk tone as EUR stays pinned below its intraday highs.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1442
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1416 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1402 opens further downside
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant upcoming catalyst
NY session sold EUR/USD off the 1.1449 session high down to 1.14023, slicing the 1.1415 support flagged in the ECB-week context. Price is basing near 1.1408 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold; 1.1416 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.1402, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1416 would ease the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1402 confirms continuation of the lower-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst
EUR/USD sold off through NY hours from 1.1449, breaking the 1.1415 support and printing a session low at 1.14023 before a shallow bounce to 1.1409. RSI(14) near 34 as the slide cools; price still under the falling swing highs at 1.1417.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14172, 1.1420
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.14172 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14023 confirms continuation lower toward 1.1390
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking below 1.1420 and 1.1410 to print a session low at 1.14023 as the dollar firmed off the Iran risk premium. Price is basing just above 1.1409 with RSI(14) near 31; the prior high at 1.14163 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14233
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14163 prior high would ease the downside pressure
Break of 1.14023 session low / 1.1400 round number opens further downside
ECB decision Thursday is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
NY session sold off hard through the 1.1405-1.1415 support after German PPI missed, dragging price to a 1.14023 session low, RSI(14) near 29. Price is stalling just above the 1.1400 psych level with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14163 would signal the down leg is losing steam
Sustained trade below 1.14000 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.1390
EUR/USD sold off through the 1.1415 support during NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.14023 with RSI(14) near 30. The soft German PPI print and a firm dollar backdrop underpin the leg lower; price now hugs the 1.1400 psych level.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14163 would ease the breakdown pressure
NY session drove a sharp break of the 1.1415 support, EUR sliding to 1.14023 on the USD bid and a soft German PPI miss (-0.3% MoM). RSI(14) near 27 flags short-term oversold, but no bounce structure yet with price pinned at session lows.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14275, 1.14346
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14163 would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.14000 opens the 1.1390 zone
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead
NY session sold off hard, EUR pressured after the German PPI miss with the pair slicing through 1.1420 support to a session low at 1.14023, RSI(14) near 25. Chain of lower highs from 1.14491 stays intact and price trades well below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14023, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14243, 1.1433
What it said to watch
A close below 1.1400 opens the path to 1.1390/1.1380
Reclaim of 1.14163 would ease the breakdown read
ECB decision Thu is the week's dominant catalyst for this pair
NY session sold off hard, slicing through the 1.1405-1.1415 support band flagged into Thursday's ECB and printing a fresh low at 1.1405. RSI(14) near 27 — short-term oversold as the down leg accelerates, no sign of demand stepping in yet.
Support: 1.1405, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1416, 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1416 would ease the breakdown pressure
Failure to hold 1.1405 opens 1.1400 psych then 1.1390
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst for this pair
EUR/USD sold off hard through the NY session, sliding from 1.14346 to a fresh low at 1.14054 with USD firm and German PPI missing (-0.3% MoM). RSI(14) near 22 is oversold but the drop is unbroken; 1.1400 round number is the immediate line into it.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14163, 1.14233, 1.14346
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14163 needed to stall the lower-low sequence
ECB Thursday is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NY afternoon session sold off from 1.1449 to a 1.14117 session low as the USD stayed bid on US-Iran/oil headlines and soft German PPI undercut EUR. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1414–1.1420 area with RSI(14) near 35; the descending sequence of lower highs remains intact.
Support: 1.14117, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14233, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.14233 questions the intraday lower-high chain
M15 close below 1.14117 confirms a fresh lower low toward 1.1400
ECB Thursday 12:15 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst, still days out
NY session sold EUR/USD off from 1.1440 to a fresh session low at 1.14117, RSI(14) near 32 as the move stretches. USD stayed bid on US-Iran/oil headlines while soft German PPI undercut the euro; price now hugging the lows with no bounce yet.
Support: 1.14117, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14200 would ease the lower-low sequence
Failure to hold 1.14117 opens the 1.14000 psych level
NY session sold EUR off the 1.14491 high down to a fresh session low at 1.14117, price sitting below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 31. Soft German PPI and a dollar bid on US-Iran headlines kept the euro capped; the 1.14233 prior low has flipped to resistance on the way down.
Support: 1.14117, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14233, 1.14346
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14233 would neutralise the downtrend read
Break and hold below 1.14000 round number extends the lower-low sequence
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
NY session broke down from 1.14491, sliding steadily to fresh lows at 1.14117 with RSI(14) pressing into oversold near 27. Sellers dominated the last two hours; soft German PPI and USD firmness on the geopolitical bid weighed on the euro. Price now hovering just above the session low with no sign of a base yet.
Support: 1.14117, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14233, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14233 would neutralise the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 1.14117 opens 1.1400 psych level
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst for this pair
EURUSD sold off sharply through NY hours, breaking below the 1.1424 range floor and printing a session low at 1.1414 as the USD held a firm geopolitical/oil bid. RSI(14) near 31 shows momentum stretched but not extreme; price is consolidating just above the low with no rebound yet.
Support: 1.14141, 1.1405, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14243, 1.14346, 1.14399
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14141 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.1405 support
Reclaim of 1.14243 would neutralise the current downtrend read
ECB Thursday and Fri PMIs are the week's catalysts — not in this window but frame the range
NY session drove EURUSD off the 1.14491 high down to 1.14141, RSI(14) near oversold as the USD stayed bid on US-Iran/oil tensions. Price is grinding along the session low with no bounce of note yet.
Support: 1.14141, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14233, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14100 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.14233 needed to ease the intraday selling pressure
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
NY session sold off from 1.14399, breaking the 1.1430s and pressing the session low at 1.14141 with RSI(14) near 30. USD kept a firm bid on oil/geopolitical inflation fears while EUR stayed capped below its intraday highs; a brief bounce to 1.14275 was rejected.
Support: 1.14141, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14275, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14275 negates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14141 opens the 1.1400 psych level
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
EURUSD rolled over through the NY session, sliding from 1.14399 to a fresh low at 1.14141 as the USD held a firm oil/geopolitical bid. RSI(14) near 27 flags a stretched move, but structure is a clean chain of lower highs with no reclaim of 1.14300 yet.
Support: 1.14141, 1.14166, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.14399, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14346 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.14141 opens the path toward 1.14000
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant risk into this range
NY session sold off after rejection at the 1.1449 session high, breaking the 1.1435 support and printing a session low at 1.1417. RSI(14) near 32 with price below both EMAs — sellers in control on this TF, no rebound yet.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1435 broken support would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 1.1417 session low opens the path toward 1.1405 range floor
NY session broke down through the 1.1435 pivot and printed a fresh session low at 1.14166, RSI(14) near 33 with ATR ~6 pips. Sellers capped every push back toward 1.1435 through the London-NY transition; price now grinding just above the low.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 invalidates the down leg
Failure to hold 1.14166 opens the 1.1400 round number
ECB Thursday flagged as the week's risk event, not the next few bars
NY session sold off from the 1.14491 high, breaking the 1.14300 shelf and printing a low at 1.14166 before stabilising near 1.1419 as USD firmed on the geopolitical bid. RSI(14) cooling near 40 with price pinned under EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14290 negates the lower-high read
Break below 1.14166 opens the 1.1405/1.1415 support zone
ECB Bank Lending Survey and ZEW ahead this week could shift EUR flows
NY session sold EURUSD off the 1.1440 area down to a session low of 1.14166, a clean break of the prior intraday range with RSI(14) into the mid-30s. The euro underperformed after soft German PPI, and price is now hugging the lows with only a shallow bounce off 1.14166.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14166 opens the 1.1415/1.1405 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14346 needed to negate the downside break
NY session sold off from 1.1449, slicing through the 1.1435 range floor to a 1.1417 low, RSI(14) near 36. Euro underperformed after the soft German PPI print; price is now attempting a shallow bounce into the broken 1.1435 shelf.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
Reclaim and M15 close above 1.1435 invalidates the downside break read
Failure to hold 1.1417 opens the 1.1405 support
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Breakdown from 1.1430-1.1449 range, fresh lower low.
NY session broke the 1.1430-1.1449 range decisively, dumping to 1.1417 with RSI(14) near 32. Price is trying to base around 1.1423 after the sweep; 1.1435 is now the level to watch overhead as prior support turned resistance.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1449
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1435 negates the breakdown read
Break of 1.1417 opens the path to 1.1405 range base
ECB decision Thu is the dominant multi-day risk for EUR
EUR/USD sold off through the NY session, breaking the 1.1435 support and printing a session low at 1.14166 as a soft German PPI weighs on the euro and the USD firms. RSI(14) near 29 shows the move is stretched short-term, with price hugging the lows into the close.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14166 opens the 1.1405 macro support
Reclaim of 1.1435 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session sold off sharply from 1.1435, breaking the 1.1430 intraday range and printing a new low at 1.14166 as EUR underperformed on soft German PPI. RSI(14) near 29, short-term stretched but no bounce confirmed; price stalling just above the swing low.
Support: 1.14166, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14346 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14166 opens 1.1415/1.1405 support
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD sold off hard through NY hours, breaking the 1.1435 consolidation floor and printing a fresh session low at 1.1417 as the USD firmed on oil/Iran inflation fears and a softer German PPI. RSI(14) is stretched near 28, price now pressing the pivotal 1.1405-1.1415 support band.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1405 opens the path to 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1435 negates the downside break
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 25 · price 1.1419
Lower highs, fresh session low.
EURUSD sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking below prior support to print a fresh session low at 1.1417 with RSI(14) near 24. The move extends a third session of EUR softness on firmer USD and the soft German PPI print; rallies stayed capped under the 1.1447 session high.
Support: 1.1417, 1.1405, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.1415 support opens 1.1405 then 1.1390
Reclaim of 1.1435 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs since 1.14491, breaking below 1.14300 support.
EURUSD sold off through the last 90 minutes of NY hours, rejecting 1.14491 and breaking the 1.14346 pivot to test the 1.14200 psych low, RSI cooling into the low-30s. USD firmness on Iran/oil-driven inflation fears is weighing, keeping rallies capped below the 100-day SMA area.
Support: 1.1420, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.1440, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14200 psych low opens 1.14150 then the 1.1415 zone
Reclaim of 1.14346 pivot would neutralise the downside break
ECB decision Thursday is the week's swing factor for this pair
12:16 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating · RSI 30 · price 1.14206
Lower highs, breaking session low.
EURUSD sold off through the NY session, breaking the prior range and printing a fresh session low at 1.14204, RSI(14) near 30 after a steep drop. Move fits the firmer-USD, higher-oil tone weighing on EUR below the 100-day SMA.
Support: 1.14204, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14204 opens the 1.14150 pivot support
Reclaim of 1.14346 would neutralise the intraday breakdown
ECB Thursday is the main risk that could reshape this read
12:01 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14279
Lower highs since 1.14491 peak, retesting session lows.
NY session faded the run to 1.14491, price now grinding back to the session low near 1.14280 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Below both EMAs on this TF; two-way and capped under the 100-DMA at 1.14470.
Support: 1.14241, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491, 1.1447
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14241 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.14200 round number
Reclaim of 1.14446 needed to put the 1.14491 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's driver, outside the next bar window
12:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, momentum down · RSI 38 · price 1.14279
Faded off 1.1449 back to session low.
EURUSD rejected the 1.1449 session high during NY hours and unwound the full move back to the 1.1428 session low, RSI(14) cooling near 38. Price capped under the 100-DMA and slipping with the softer German PPI backdrop; supply has held every push toward 1.1440.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14243
Resistance: 1.14346, 1.14421, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Close below 1.14243 confirms a lower low, opening 1.1415
Reclaim of 1.14346 reopens the 1.1442-1.1449 highs
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / presser 12:45 UTC could reset this range
11:46 UTC
Sideways, no directional bias · RSI 47 · price 1.1434
Intraday range, price mid-range.
EURUSD chopping between 1.1428 and the 1.1449 session high through the London session, price now mid-range near the EMA20/50 cluster with RSI(14) flat around 46. A brief spike to 1.14491 was faded and demand stepped in twice near 1.1428.
Support: 1.1428, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the 1.1470 100-dma cap
Failure to hold 1.1428 exposes the 1.1405 pivot
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD ranging 1.1427-1.1449 through the London afternoon, drifting off the session high after a soft German PPI print and firmer pound weighed on the euro. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no directional impulse in play.
Support: 1.1427, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the path back to the 1.1470 100-dma cap
Failure to hold 1.1427 confirms a lower low toward 1.1405
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
Pullback within Monday range, ~50% retrace of the London push.
London pushed to a session high at 1.14491 then rejected, and price has since retraced roughly half the move to sit at 1.14355. RSI(14) is flat mid-range and ATR near 5 pips shows a quiet, capped tape — soft German PPI and the 100-DMA cap around 1.1470 keep upside contained.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14271, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14446/1.14491 reopens the session high
Loss of 1.14271 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
ZEW sentiment (Tue) as a pre-ECB tone-setter for EUR
11:31 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 50 · price 1.14355
Ranging after rejection at session high.
London session rejected the 1.14491 spike high and faded to 1.14271, now consolidating 1.14300-1.14360 with RSI(14) neutral near 50. German PPI came in soft, keeping EUR two-way and capped ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14271
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14446 reopens the 1.14491 session high
Failure to hold 1.14271 confirms a lower low
ECB decision Thursday 12:15 UTC could reshape this range
EUR/USD faded from the 1.14491 session high and is drifting lower into the London session, now hugging 1.1430 with RSI(14) below the midline. Price is chopping between 1.1427 and 1.1435 after the rejection, holding well inside this week's pre-ECB 1.1405–1.1470 range.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14234 opens the range low toward 1.1420
Reclaim of 1.14491 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
11:16 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.1430
Rejected at 1.1449, drifting to range mid.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.14491 session high during the London-NY window and has drifted back toward the range mid near 1.1430, RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price is holding a tight 1.14284–1.14491 band with soft momentum, consistent with the pre-ECB two-way tone.
Support: 1.14284, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14284 opens the range low at 1.14234
Reclaim of 1.14447 puts the 1.14491 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could break this range
11:02 UTC
Range, fading from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14327
Pullback off session high toward range base.
London open pushed to a session high of 1.14491 and was rejected, fading ~22 pips to 1.14271 before stabilising near 1.14327. Price sits below EMA20/50 inside the pre-ECB 1.1427–1.1449 range; RSI(14) mid-40s, no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.14271, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 opens the 1.14240 prior low
Reclaim of 1.14446 needed to re-test the session high
ECB Thursday 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk framing this range
Lower highs off 1.14491, holding above session low.
London session rejected the 1.14491 session high and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, EUR capped as higher oil feeds a USD safe-haven bid. Price now sits near the 62% retrace of the 1.14234-1.14491 leg around 1.1433, RSI(14) mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14446 negates the pullback read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant upcoming risk
10:46 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 47 · price 1.14346
Spike high rejected, pullback holding.
EURUSD spiked to 1.14491 during the London session then got rejected, sliding back to the 1.14271 session low before recovering to 1.14346. Price is range-bound and capped below the 1.1470 barrier flagged pre-ECB, RSI(14) mid-range near 46.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14302, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14491 opens the path toward the 1.1470 barrier
Failure to hold 1.14271 exposes 1.14200
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this pre-event range
London session rejected the 1.14491 high and rolled back to 1.14271 before buyers stepped in; price now hovers at 1.14346, just under EMA20. Choppy pre-ECB consolidation, no clean setup in play.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14446, 1.1470
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens the 1.1470 range top
Failure to hold 1.14271 exposes 1.1405 range base
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC dominates the multi-day read
10:32 UTC
Up leg stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.14315
Session high rejected, retracing.
London session pushed to a high of 1.14491 then got rejected, and price has since faded back to 1.14315, slipping below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Retracement has now reached the 61.8% zone of the 1.14234-1.14491 leg; 1.14271 swing low is the nearest floor.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14442
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.14234
Reclaim of 1.14442 puts the 1.14491 session high back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst into week
10:31 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14315
Lower highs after rejection at 1.14491.
London pushed to a session high at 1.14491 and was rejected, price fading back to 1.14315 with RSI(14) cooling toward 43. A chain of lower highs has formed since, but buyers held the 1.14271 swing low on the last dip.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.14234 gap low
Reclaim of 1.14446 puts the 1.14491 session high back in play
ECB Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst — headlines could override intraday structure
10:16 UTC
Short-term pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.14311
Lower highs since 1.14491 peak.
London session topped at 1.14491 then rolled over into a chain of lower highs, price now back at 1.14311 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Soft German PPI kept EUR capped; the earlier 1.14234 session low is the pivot below.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14271 confirms a lower low toward 1.14234
Reclaim of 1.14447 negates the pullback and reopens the session high
ECB Thursday is the dominant catalyst but sits days out from this window
10:16 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 1.14311
Rejection at 1.1449, lower highs forming.
London session pushed to a session high at 1.14491 then rejected, price now unwinding to 1.1431 with RSI cooling to the low 40s. Soft German PPI reinforced the disinflation-but-hold read, keeping EUR capped; pullback still holding above the 1.14271 recent low.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14234 swing low opens the 1.1405 pivot
Reclaim of 1.14446 prior high revives the push toward the 1.14491 session high
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
10:01 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.1430
Lower highs into 1.1430 after London push faded.
London session spiked to 1.14491 then faded, printing lower highs down to the 1.1430 psych level with RSI(14) cooling toward 42. Price sits below EMA20/50 as the up-leg unwinds; move stays capped under the 100-day SMA cap flagged in the wider EUR read.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.14446 swing high reopens the session high at 1.14491
Loss of 1.1430 psych exposes the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk once inside range
10:01 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.1430
Lower highs since 1.14491 rejection.
London open drove a spike to 1.14491 then rejected, and price has faded back to the 1.1430 round number with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Micro structure is a chain of lower highs; sellers capped the last two bounces below 1.14446.
Support: 1.14271, 1.14249
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Break below 1.14271 confirms a lower low and extends the fade
Reclaim of 1.14446 negates the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / press conference 12:45 UTC could reset this read
09:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after London-open pop · RSI 39 · price 1.14304
Faded off session high 1.14491, back inside Asian range.
London open pushed EURUSD to 1.14491 then the move was rejected, price fading back to 1.14304 and retracing roughly 78% of the pop. RSI(14) cooling near 38 as EUR consolidates ahead of Thursday's ECB, capped below the 1.14446/1.14491 session highs.
Support: 1.14289, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14289 exposes the 1.14241 session low
Reclaim of 1.14446 re-opens 1.14491 session high
ECB Thu 12:15 UTC — press-conference tone the real risk for direction
09:46 UTC
Pullback after session-high spike · RSI 42 · price 1.14304
Faded off 1.14491, lower highs into 1.14300.
London session spiked to a session high at 1.14491 then faded hard, price now back at 1.14300 with RSI(14) cooling below the midline. Softer German PPI passed with little FX impact; the spike above 1.14446 failed to hold and unwound the move.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14300 opens the 1.14251 early low
Reclaim of 1.14446 needed to retest the 1.14491 session high
09:32 UTC
Pullback after intraday spike · RSI 42 · price 1.1431
Lower highs off 1.1449 spike, back inside range.
London-session spike tagged 1.14491, a false break of the 1.14446 session high, then rejected straight back to 1.1431 with RSI cooling toward 42. Price now sits on the 0.618 retrace of the Asian-range advance; 1.1424 session low is the pivot below.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1415
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1424 opens 1.1415
Reclaim of 1.14446 puts the 1.14491 spike high back in play
09:31 UTC
Pullback after session-high spike · RSI 42 · price 1.1431
Retracing intraday up-leg, back near range mid.
London session spiked to 1.14491 then rejected, and price has since retraced roughly 70% of the up-leg back to 1.1431 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Momentum has flipped lower intraday; the 1.14302 recent low is being pressed.
Support: 1.14302, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1447
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.14234 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.14491 reopens the 1.1447 cap
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk for this pair
09:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14346
Higher lows into 1.1449, then rejection and pullback.
London session ground up from 1.1425 to a 1.1449 spike, which was rejected before the pair faded back to 1.1434, now below EMA20/50. RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; price consolidating below the 1.1480 range top as EUR stays pinned into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1433, 1.1425, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1433 opens the session low at 1.1425
Reclaim of 1.1449 puts the 1.1480 range top back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk for this range
09:16 UTC
Range, spike rejected · RSI 44 · price 1.14346
Consolidation below session high after failed push.
London session spiked to 1.14491 then was rejected, fading back to 1.14346 and closing below EMA20. EUR/USD stays pinned in a tight range as USD holds firm on US-Iran risk-off, with price idling below the pre-ECB 1.1480 ceiling.
Support: 1.1433, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 reopens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14234 confirms a lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.1439
Consolidation below session high after gap-down open.
EURUSD gapped lower into the new week and recovered to test the session high at 1.14491 before fading back to 1.1439, now consolidating with RSI(14) flat near 50. Price is pinned in mid-1.14 as a firm USD on US-Iran risk-off and a soft German PPI print keep the pair capped ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14339, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens the path back toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14339 exposes the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Sideways, drifting lower · RSI 52 · price 1.1439
Consolidation below 1.1449.
EURUSD ranging around 1.1439 in London hours; a spike to the 1.1449 session high was rejected and price faded back into the mid-1.14 band, in line with a third day of drift lower as a firm USD caps the pair. No clean intraday trend — price is coiling below range top ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1425, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1449, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1449 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1434 exposes the 1.1425 swing low
Thursday ECB decision could materially shift this read
Higher lows off Asia low, faded from session high.
London session ground higher off the Asia low at 1.14234, spiking to a session high 1.14491 before fading back to 1.14406. RSI(14) has cooled from the low-70s to mid-range as price consolidates just below the highs; the chain of higher lows is still intact.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14338 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14491 session high opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
08:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 51 · price 1.14406
Spike to session high rejected, back mid-range.
London session poked the session high at 1.14491 before fading straight back to 1.1440, leaving a rejection wick. EUR/USD is pinned mid-1.14, consolidating ahead of Thursday's ECB with RSI(14) neutral around 51.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14340 exposes 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
London morning spiked to 1.14491 then rejected hard, retracing to 1.14376 near the 50% mark of the day's up-move; RSI(14) back to neutral. Move fits the two-way tone with USD firm on the oil/geopolitics bid and EUR pinned below 1.1480 into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14447 reopens the 1.14491 session high
Loss of 1.1434 exposes 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
London session ground higher off the 1.14241 low then spiked to 1.14491 before being rejected sharply, price now back at 1.14376 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Move stalled below the 1.1480 range top flagged in the wider EUR read; USD firm on the Iran/oil bid.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14446, 1.14491
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14338 opens the path back toward the 1.14241 session low
Reclaim of 1.14491 needed to reassert the intraday high
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead
London session spiked through the 1.1445 range top to 1.14491 then rejected straight back to 1.14415, a false break with RSI(14) cooling near 57. Price now consolidating mid-range above the 1.1434 swing low; USD holding a firm safe-haven tone caps the upside.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14447
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14491 reopens the range top test
Failure to hold 1.1434 confirms a lower-low toward 1.14241
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 57 · price 1.14415
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
EUR/USD spiked to 1.14491 in the London session before the move was rejected back to 1.1440, keeping the pair range-bound near the top of its 24h range. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI neutral around 57; consolidation ahead of Thursday's ECB hold, with USD firm on the oil/haven bid.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.14447
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens a retest of the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14340 swing low shifts the read toward the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst into the week
London session drove EUR up off 1.14234 to a session high of 1.14491, which was rejected back to 1.14442 with RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price still capped below the 1.1480 pre-ECB range top flagged in the digest; a chain of higher lows holds above 1.14400.
Support: 1.1440, 1.14339, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14400 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14339
London session drove EURUSD up through the morning to spike 1.14491 before sellers rejected it back to 1.14440, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds a chain of higher lows off the 1.14234 gap low, consolidating below the 1.1480 pre-ECB range top.
Support: 1.14355, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14491 opens the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14355 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Short-term uptrend after range break · RSI 71 · price 1.14484
Breakout from tight range, printing higher highs.
London session pushed EURUSD out of the 1.1434-1.1445 range with a clean break to 1.14491, RSI(14) hot near 71. Move is quiet pre-ECB positioning; 1.1480 range top from the digest is the next area to watch.
Support: 1.1444, 1.14338, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.1444 breakout reopens the 1.14338 swing low
Push into 1.1480 range top — area to watch for rejection or break
ECB decision Thu is the dominant catalyst that could reset this range
Breakout from sub-1.1445 range, higher lows building.
London session pushed EURUSD out of the sub-1.1445 consolidation, tagging a session high at 1.14491 with RSI(14) near 71. Move sits in quiet pre-ECB trade; the 1.1480 range top remains the next upside reference.
Support: 1.1445, 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14491, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1480 opens the range top; rejection there caps the breakout
Loss of 1.1445 negates the breakout and re-enters the prior range
ECB decision Thursday could materially shift this read
Higher lows into session high, consolidating below 1.1446.
London morning saw EUR carve a chain of higher lows off 1.14249, reclaiming the session high at 1.14461 in quiet pre-ECB trade. Price is pinned below the 1.1448 range top with RSI(14) cooling near 60; softer EZ PPI kept any upside contained.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14249
Resistance: 1.14461, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14338 would break the rising higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.14480 opens the pre-ECB range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
07:31 UTC
Mild recovery within range · RSI 58 · price 1.14435
Consolidation, higher lows off session low.
Quiet pre-ECB trade, EUR/USD grinding higher off the 1.14234 session low toward the 1.14461 session high, RSI(14) mid-range. Buyers stepped in at 1.14338 on the latest dip; the 1.1480 range top still caps the broader picture.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14461, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14461 opens a retest of the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14338 breaks the higher-low chain toward the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this range
07:16 UTC
Range, minor pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.14343
Ranging 1.1424-1.1445, drifting off the top.
EUR/USD pushed to a session high of 1.14447 in early London then faded to 1.1434, back below the EMA20. Price is consolidating inside the 1.1424-1.1445 band with RSI cooling toward mid-range; ECB Thursday remains the week's dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14447 opens a test of the 1.1448 range top
M15 close below 1.14338 confirms a lower low within the range
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 1.14343
Intraday range, pullback from session high.
Asia session churning in a tight range; EUR rejected at the 1.14447 session high and drifted back to the mid-range around 1.14340, roughly the 50% retrace of the overnight bounce. RSI(14) flat near 43 with no momentum, consistent with pre-ECB consolidation noted in the digest.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path to the 1.14480 range top
Loss of 1.14340 mid-range exposes the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst ahead
07:02 UTC
Mild pullback within intraday range · RSI 45 · price 1.14358
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
European morning: EUR/USD rallied off the Monday session low at 1.14234 to a session high of 1.14447 before fading to 1.14358, RSI cooling back toward mid-range. Price now consolidating below the session high, with June PPI easing to 1.8% reinforcing disinflation ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 session high opens path toward the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14340 minor support exposes the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thursday is the dominant catalyst for this pair
07:01 UTC
Range, pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.14358
Intraday range, recent lower highs off 1.14447.
London session faded a push to the session high at 1.14447, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range as price slips back to 1.14358. Still boxed inside the broader 1.1400-1.1480 consolidation ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens a retest of the 1.14480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14340 exposes the 1.14234 prior low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this range
06:46 UTC
Range, minor pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.14358
Consolidation off session low.
London morning ground up from 1.14234 to a session high at 1.14447, then rejected and faded back to 1.14358, now sitting mid-range on the fib 50%. Broader tone stays capped under the 1.14480 range top with ECB Thursday the dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14243
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14340 fib exposes the 1.14243 session low
Reclaim of 1.14447 session high opens the 1.14480 range top
EUR ground higher through the Asian range into early London, peaking at 1.14447 before fading back to 1.14358 as the rally stalled. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price slipped below EMA20; the 1.14480 range top flagged by market context remains untested. Consolidation ahead of Thursday's ECB hold.
Support: 1.14338, 1.14248
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14338 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14447 session high reopens the 1.14480 range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the week's dominant catalyst
06:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.1436
Consolidation inside intraday range, minor pullback.
Asian session ground higher from 1.14234 to a session high at 1.14447, then rejected and faded back to 1.1436 into the London open. Pre-ECB consolidation; RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s with price slipping below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14447 opens the path back toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14234 session low exposes the 1.1405 support zone
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / press conference could reset this range
06:31 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1436
Consolidation, capped near 1.1445.
London hours climbed to a session high at 1.14447 before rejecting back to 1.1436, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Pre-ECB consolidation — pair drifting inside the broader 1.1405–1.1480 range with no fresh trend in play.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14234 swing low would confirm a lower-low and open the 1.1405 support zone
Reclaim of 1.14447 session high needed to threaten the 1.1480 range top
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC / presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 46 · price 1.14374
Consolidation inside 1.1423–1.1447 session range.
Asian session ground higher to 1.14447 before rejection, pulling back to 1.14374 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Pre-ECB consolidation — pair capped near the 1.1448 range top and holding above the 1.1423 session low.
Support: 1.14367, 1.1430, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14480 opens a retest of the wider range cap
Failure to hold 1.14234 confirms a lower-low
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.14374
HH/HL chain stalling below session high.
Asian session ground higher off 1.14234 to a session high at 1.14447, but the last few bars have rolled over to 1.14374, slipping back under the short EMAs. Move is pre-ECB consolidation; 1.14480 range cap still untested and the pullback holds above 1.14340.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path to the 1.14480 range cap
Failure to hold 1.14340 exposes the 1.14234 session low
ECB decision Thu could materially shift this read
06:01 UTC
Mild uptrend, flattening · RSI 53 · price 1.1440
Grind up off Sunday open, stalling below session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the Asian session off the Sunday open at 1.1424, tagging a session high at 1.14447 before easing to 1.1440. Volatility thin with ATR near 2.5 pips and RSI mid-range; the pair holds inside the broader 1.1400-1.1480 box in a quiet pre-ECB week.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of the 1.14300 swing low signals the intraday grind has failed
Asian grind higher, consolidating under session high.
Asia session ground steadily higher off 1.14234 to a session high at 1.14447, now consolidating around 1.1440 just below it with ATR barely 2 pips. Quiet, pre-London tape with EUR boxed under the 1.1480 range top ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1435, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14234 negates the intraday uptrend
Pre-ECB blackout keeping flows thin into London open
Grinding higher within tight box, HL chain intact.
EUR ground steadily higher off the 1.14234 session low to stall just under the 1.14447 session high, holding a shallow higher-low chain in a quiet pre-ECB-blackout tape. RSI(14) mid-range near 56 and sub-4-pip ATR confirm compressed intraday volatility; range top at 1.1480 remains untouched.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14310 breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14234
Weekend gap-down open at 1.14251 has been steadily bought back through the Asian/early-London session, stringing higher lows into the session high at 1.14447. Volatility is minimal (ATR ~3 pips) with RSI mid-60s and no extension; price boxed under the 1.1480 range top in pre-ECB conditions.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.14447 opens a run at the 1.14480 range top
Loss of 1.14340 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main risk into this range
Asian session drifted higher off 1.14240, printing higher lows and stalling just under the session high at 1.14447, RSI(14) near 61. EUR remains boxed in the broader 1.1400-1.1480 range with flows quiet in the pre-ECB backdrop.
Support: 1.1434, 1.1424
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14447 opens the path toward the 1.14800 range top
Failure to hold 1.14340 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's key catalyst
Asian session ground higher off the 1.14234 low in a chain of higher lows, stalling into 1.14447 as momentum flattens on thin, pre-ECB volume. Price is pinned just under the session high with RSI mid-range; conditions quiet with the 1.1480 range top still capping above.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14447 opens the path to the 1.14480 range top
Loss of the 1.14300 higher low breaks the intraday rising structure toward 1.14234
05:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.14432
Higher highs, higher lows off session low.
Monday Asia session ground steadily higher off 1.14234 to a session high 1.14447, now holding 1.14432 in thin, pre-ECB-blackout conditions. Steady HH/HL structure with RSI(14) mid-60s; ATR is compressed at ~4 pips.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14447 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of the 1.14234 session low negates the intraday uptrend
Asia session ground steadily higher off the 1.1425 low, printing a clean chain of higher lows into a session high near 1.1445. Move stays subdued below the 1.1480 range top in quiet pre-ECB conditions; RSI(14) firm around 67 but not extended.
Support: 1.1425, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1447, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.1447 session high opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.1425 breaks the rising-low sequence and reopens 1.1405 support
ECB decision Thu is the week's dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.14442
Higher lows into range top.
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asia/early-London window off the 1.14234 session low, now stalling near 1.14442 just below the 1.1480 range top that has capped rallies. RSI(14) elevated but not extreme in quiet, pre-ECB blackout conditions.
Asian session grinding higher off 1.14234 in a tight rising channel, price now pressing the session high near 1.14446 with RSI(14) around 68. ATR is compressed to ~3 pips in thin, pre-ECB conditions; the 1.1480 range top still caps the broader move.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14480 range top would reopen the upside
Loss of 1.14234 session low breaks the rising-low sequence
Chain of higher highs and higher lows off session low.
Asian session grinding higher off the 1.14234 swing low into fresh session highs at 1.14446, RSI(14) firm near 68 but not yet stretched. Higher-low structure intact on thin Monday-open volume; 1.14480 range top from the prior weeks remains the cap to watch.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14248, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.14446
What it said to watch
Rejection at 1.14480 range top would keep price boxed in the recent range
Loss of 1.14340 pivot breaks the current higher-low chain
EURUSD ground higher through the thin Asian session, printing a steady HH/HL chain from 1.14234 to 1.14442, now testing toward the 1.1448 range top. RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not extreme; ATR barely 4 pips reflects the pre-London calm.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.1448
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.1448 range top would cap the advance
M15 close below 1.1434 breaks the rising-low sequence
London open could inject volatility absent in the Asian range
Thin early-Asian trade grinding up from the Sunday open low at 1.14234 into the session high at 1.14443, a steady chain of higher lows. EUR sits mid-range with the 1.1480 top intact; volumes are light and moves modest, RSI(14) around 66.
Support: 1.14397, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14443, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14443 opens room toward the 1.1480 range top
Loss of the 1.14397 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
EURUSD opened Monday's Asia session with a gap down to 1.14234 and has since ground steadily higher to 1.14426, building a clean chain of higher lows. RSI(14) around 63 — firm but not stretched — and price holds above both short EMAs as it edges toward the 1.14455 prior high in thin, low-ATR conditions.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1431
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.14455 prior high opens the 1.14480 range top
Loss of 1.14310 minor pivot breaks the higher-low chain
Liquidity thin in Asia — moves may not hold into London open
04:16 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 68 · price 1.14426
Higher highs and higher lows off session low.
Price gapped down over the weekend to open near 1.14234, then ground steadily higher through the Asian session in thin volume, printing a clean chain of higher lows into 1.14426. RSI(14) around 67 — hot but not extreme; prior high at 1.14450 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14450 opens the path to Friday's 1.14519 high
Failure to hold 1.14340 breaks the rising-low sequence
German PPI at 06:00 UTC (~2h) could inject volatility into this thin tape
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.1442
HH/HL chain off Monday session low.
Asian-session Monday grind higher off the 1.14234 low, printing HHs into 1.1442 with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extreme. Move fits the broader 1.1430-1.1445 consolidation capped near 1.1480 ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14405, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14455, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14455 opens the path toward the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14234 exposes 1.1405 range support
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
Thin early-week Asian trade grinding higher off the 1.14234 session low, now stalling at the 1.14426 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s and momentum flattening on shrinking candles. Move stays capped well below the 1.1480 range top ahead of a quiet macro slate into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1480
What it said to watch
Sustained hold above 1.14426 session high opens the path toward 1.1480 range top
Loss of the 1.1434 intraday hl reopens 1.14234 session low
Liquidity thin — London open likely sets the real session range
Early Monday Asia reopened around 1.1423 and ground higher in a stair-step of rising lows to the session high at 1.1442, now testing Friday's 1.1445 cap. Moves are small on thin holdover liquidity, RSI(14) firm near 68 without stretching.
Support: 1.1431, 1.1423
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Loss of the 1.1431 rising-low line would break the intraday sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst
03:46 UTC
Micro uptrend within range · RSI 67 · price 1.1442
Higher lows off session low, capped near 1.1442.
Asia session grinding higher off the 1.1423 low, a clean chain of higher lows lifting price back to the 1.1445 session high on thin holiday-open volume. Still inside the 1.1430-1.1445 range with the 1.1480 range top capping the wider consolidation; RSI(14) firm near 67 but not stretched.
Support: 1.1423, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1480
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1445 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.1423 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Thin Asian liquidity can exaggerate moves at the open
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, Asia recovery · RSI 63 · price 1.14405
Gap-down open then HH/HL recovery.
Monday Asia opened with a gap down to 1.14234, then a steady HH/HL grind reclaimed the Friday gap fill and pushed to the session high near 1.14426, now consolidating at 1.14405. RSI(14) around 63, ATR compressed near 3 pips — a slow, low-volatility recovery.
Support: 1.14374, 1.1431, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14426 opens the path to the 1.14480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14374 gap fill dulls the recovery, exposing 1.14310
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's key risk
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.14405
Higher lows into session high.
Asian session ground higher off the 1.14234 low into a fresh session high at 1.14426, RSI(14) mid-60s, not stretched. Price now consolidating just under 1.14410 with a chain of higher lows intact; mid-1.14 pivot at 1.14340 holding as support.
Support: 1.1434, 1.14234, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1450
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14426 opens the path toward the 1.14500 round number
Loss of 1.14340 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.14234
German PPI 06:00 UTC and thin pre-London liquidity could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
Monday Asia opened with a gap down to 1.14241 and has since ground higher, printing higher lows into the session high at 1.14426 where price now stalls. ATR thin at ~4 pips on light Asian volume, RSI mid-60s — orderly recovery, no extremes.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.14519
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14426 opens the path toward the 1.14519 Friday high
Failure to hold 1.1429 reopens the 1.14234 session low
German PPI at 06:00 UTC could nudge the pair before London
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 1.14403
Higher lows, testing session high.
Asia session has ground steadily higher off the 1.14234 low, printing a clean chain of higher lows into the 1.14426 session high. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme; price sits just under the session high with the 1.14480 range top still unchallenged above.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.14309 breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.14426 opens the path to the 1.14480 range top
German PPI 06:00 UTC could nudge the pair intraday
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, thin Asian grind · RSI 65 · price 1.14408
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1423.
Asian session grinding higher from the 1.14234 low, printing higher lows into the 1.14426 session high, RSI(14) ~65 with no overbought signal. Volume is thin and the move is orderly; the pair remains pinned in the 1.1430-1.1445 zone flagged into Thursday's ECB hold.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14426 opens the path toward 1.14455
Failure to hold 1.14310 puts the 1.14234 session low back in play
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher off gap low · RSI 64 · price 1.14408
Chain of higher lows recovering weekend gap.
EURUSD gapped down to 1.14234 at the Monday open, then ground steadily higher through early Asia to 1.14408, printing higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s as price presses the 1.14426 session high; the 1.1480 range top from last week caps above.
Support: 1.1430, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1448
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14426 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Failure to hold 1.14300 pivot would break the higher-low chain
EURUSD opened the week with a small gap-down to 1.14240 and the Asian session has ground steadily higher, printing higher lows toward the session high at 1.14426. Move is capped below Friday's territory with RSI(14) near 68; nothing structural until the 1.14480 range top or the gap low give way.
Support: 1.1424, 1.1430
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1448, 1.1452
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14480 range top would extend the recovery toward 1.14520 friday high
Break below 1.14240 gap low reopens downside
ECB Bank Lending Survey Tue 08:00 GMT could shift EUR tone
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.14406
Higher lows off session low.
Monday Asia open gapped down ~13 pips from Friday's close, then ground higher through the session from 1.14234 to 1.14406 on a chain of higher lows, RSI(14) around 67. Price now presses the session high at 1.14426, with the repeated 1.1480 cap above.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.14426, 1.1448
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14426 opens the path to the 1.1480 range top
Loss of 1.14310 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the week's key mover — irrelevant to next bar but frames the range
02:31 UTC
Recovering off weekend gap-down · RSI 62 · price 1.14383
Gap-down filled, higher lows into Asian session.
EURUSD opened Monday's Asian session with a ~13-pip gap down to 1.14234, since fully retraced back to 1.14383 on a clean chain of higher lows. Price now presses the prior-day high band around 1.14407 with RSI(14) mid-60s; the 1.1448 range top remains the repeated cap noted into the ECB week.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14407, 1.1448
What it said to watch
A close above 1.14407 opens the path back to the 1.1448 range top
Loss of 1.14310 higher low would stall the gap-recovery read
02:31 UTC
Recovering, grinding higher off weekend gap · RSI 65 · price 1.14383
Gap down then HH/HL climb, gap now filled.
EURUSD gapped down to 1.14241 on the weekend open then ground higher through the Asian session in a clean HH/HL chain, retesting and effectively filling Friday's 1.14374 gap now at 1.14383. RSI in the mid-60s and ATR compressed near 4 pips; 1.14387 session high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1431, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14387, 1.14455
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14387 opens the path toward 1.14455 prior high
Loss of 1.14310 rising support breaks the intraday HL chain
German PPI at 06:00 broker time could inject volatility into a quiet Asian tape
02:17 UTC
Mild uptrend within Asian session · RSI 61 · price 1.14361
Higher-low chain off session low, capping near session high.
Monday Asian session grinding up from the 1.14234 low to a session high of 1.14376, current price 1.14361 with the higher-low chain intact. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR thin at ~3 pips — typical Asian liquidity. Sellers have capped rallies at the 1.14376 session high.
Support: 1.14309, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14376, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14376 opens the path toward 1.1445
Loss of 1.14309 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.14234
Thin Asian liquidity — ATR ~3 pips means moves can extend fast on London open
Monday open gapped down to 1.1424 from Friday's 1.1437, then ground higher through the Asia session to 1.1436 on a chain of higher lows. RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR compressed near 3 pips; session high at 1.14376 is the near-term cap.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14376, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14376 session high opens the path toward 1.14450 prior high
Failure to hold 1.14290 rising support exposes 1.14234 session low
ECB Bank Lending Survey (Tue 08:00 GMT) and German ZEW ahead could shift EUR tone
02:02 UTC
Recovering off Asia low, mild uptrend · RSI 61 · price 1.14346
Higher lows building post-gap.
Monday Asia opened with a ~13-pip weekend gap down to 1.14241; price has since ground higher, printing higher lows from 1.14234 toward the 1.14367 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Thin holiday-open volume, no fresh catalyst — ECB Thursday is the week's swing factor.
Support: 1.14312, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.1442
What it said to watch
Break above 1.14367 session high opens the pre-gap 1.14420 zone
Loss of the 1.14312 rising low breaks the higher-low chain toward 1.14234
ECB decision Thu 12:15 GMT is the dominant upcoming risk
02:01 UTC
Recovering, minor uptrend off session low · RSI 58 · price 1.14346
Higher lows into session high after Monday gap-down.
EURUSD gapped lower to 1.1424 at Monday's thin Asia open, then ground higher on a chain of higher lows to test the 1.14367 session high, where price now stalls. RSI(14) mid-range near 58; ranges are compressed with ATR around 4 pips in the pre-London quiet.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14309, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.14367, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14367 session high opens the path toward 1.1440
Loss of 1.14234 session low resumes the gap-driven downside
Liquidity thin in Monday Asia — moves may not hold into London
Thin Sunday/Monday Asia open; EUR/USD recovered from the 1.14234 session low to a 1.14353 session high, now consolidating near 1.1433. RSI mid-range and ATR barely 3 pips — no momentum in play on light liquidity.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14353, 1.14411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14353 session high extends the recovery toward 1.14411
Failure to hold 1.14234 reopens 1.14200 and the 1.1395/1.1405 zone
Liquidity thickens into London open; ECB later this week is the dominant EUR risk
01:46 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 1.14328
Gap down then higher lows.
EUR/USD opened the week with a weekend gap down from Friday's 1.14374 close to 1.14251, then ground higher through the thin Asian session on a chain of higher lows to 1.14328. RSI(14) neutral near 55; price holding above EMA20 but under EMA50, capped so far at the 1.14353 session high.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14251, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14353, 1.14374, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14353 session high extends the recovery toward the 1.14374 fri close
Loss of 1.14234 session low reopens the gap-open zone
Thin early-week liquidity can exaggerate moves until London arrives
01:32 UTC
Mild recovery off gap low · RSI 61 · price 1.14345
Higher lows post weekend gap.
Monday Asian open gapped down ~13 pips to 1.1424, and thin-volume Asia has since ground higher on a chain of higher lows, reclaiming toward session high 1.14352. Price stalls just under that high near 1.14345; move sits in the lower half of the 1.1430/1.1480 pre-ECB range.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1426
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14407, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14352 opens the path to 1.14407
Failure to hold 1.14234 gap low reopens the downside
Thin summer/pre-ECB liquidity can exaggerate moves
Asia session opened after a small weekend gap down to 1.14241 and has ground steadily higher toward the 1.14352 session high, RSI(14) around 61 in thin summer trade. Higher lows off 1.14234, but the pre-gap 1.14374 high still caps the recovery.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14251
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14374
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14374 gap high opens the path toward 1.1440
Loss of 1.14234 session low resets the recovery
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's swing catalyst
Asia session grinding higher within a tight range.
Monday Asia opened with a weekend gap down to 1.1424 and price has ground back up to the session high near 1.1435, RSI(14) mid-range. Buyers stepped in on a chain of higher lows; the Friday-close gap fill at 1.14374 caps the recovery for now.
Support: 1.1429, 1.14234
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14374 fills the weekend gap and opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.14290 rising-low support puts the 1.14234 session low back in play
Thin Asia liquidity keeps ATR near 3 pips; London open likely defines the day's range
EUR/USD gapped ~13 pips lower into the Monday Asia open near 1.1424, then buyers reclaimed toward 1.1435 on thin holiday-open volume. Price now sits mid-range at 1.1432 with RSI neutral; USD stayed firm on the resilient-data/oil narrative, capping the bounce.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14352, 1.14374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1435 opens the path back toward the 1.1437 pre-gap area
Failure to hold 1.1423 session low reopens gap-fill downside
Thin Asia liquidity — moves may not hold until London volume arrives
Thin Asia-session open; EUR/USD ground up from the session low at 1.14234 to the session high at 1.14350 on light volume. Micro higher-lows in place but price is capped at the session high and still boxed inside the broader 1.1395/1.1480 range into ECB week.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14248
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14395, 1.1448
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14350 extends toward 1.14395
Failure to hold 1.14234 confirms a lower-low
Low Sunday liquidity can distort this read into London open
Thin Sunday/Asia reopen after the weekend gap; EUR/USD ground up from 1.14234 to test the session high at 1.14350, RSI(14) near 63. Move sits inside the broader 1.1395-1.1480 weekly range with USD firm on oil-driven risk-off.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1445
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14350 opens room toward 1.14450
Failure to hold 1.14234 reopens the 1.1405 area
Liquidity normalises as London approaches — thin Asia moves may not hold
00:47 UTC
Recovering off Monday open low · RSI 58 · price 1.14319
Gap-down partly filled, basing above session low.
Monday Asia opened with a ~13 pip gap down from Friday's 1.14374 close, dipped to 1.14234 and has since ground back to 1.14319, filling most of the gap on thin early-session volume. Buyers held twice near 1.1424; the Friday close at 1.14374 caps the gap-fill path.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14325, 1.14374, 1.1440
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14374 completes the gap fill and opens 1.14400
Loss of 1.14234 exposes the 1.1420 psych area
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's swing factor for this pair
Rising lows off session low, grinding into session high.
Thin early-Asia trade after the weekend gap; EURUSD is grinding up off the 1.14234 session low toward the 1.14325 session high, ATR barely 4 pips. Chain of higher lows intact but volume is minimal — no real conviction until London.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14249
Resistance: 1.14325, 1.1437
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14325 opens the path back to Friday's 1.14370 base
Loss of 1.14234 breaks the rising-low chain
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main catalyst, not imminent
00:31 UTC
Gap-down, quiet recovery · RSI 58 · price 1.14312
Consolidating above session low after weekend gap.
EURUSD opened the week with a gap down to 1.1424 in thin Sunday/Asia liquidity, then ground back to 1.14312, reclaiming the session high area at 1.1432. Move is low-volume and boxed between the session low and the unfilled gap at 1.1437; USD firm on risk-off keeps rallies subdued.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14325, 1.14374
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14325 opens the path to the gap fill at 1.14374
Failure to hold 1.14234 resumes the gap-down decline
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the primary catalyst this week
Thin Sunday reopen gapped down from Friday's 1.1437 area to 1.1424, and price has since ground back to 1.1431 on very low volume. Holding above the 1.1424 session low with the gap fill at 1.1437 as the upside marker; no clean setup in this liquidity.
Support: 1.14234, 1.14241
Resistance: 1.14325, 1.14374
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1437 completes the weekend gap fill
Loss of 1.1423 reopens Sunday's lows
Liquidity remains thin until London open — moves unreliable
Thin Asian open after the weekend gap left EURUSD boxed 1.1423–1.1431, with price grinding back up toward the session high on light volume. EUR sits range-bound into next week's ECB hold, capped below the pre-gap 1.1438 supply and steadied above 1.1423.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.14375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.14310 session high opens the path to 1.14375
Failure to hold 1.14234 exposes 1.14200
Low liquidity early-week open can distort this read until London volume arrives
Monday Asia opened with a small gap down from Friday's ~1.1437 close, and price has drifted back up to 1.14308 in thin holiday-thin liquidity. Tight low-volume range between 1.1423 and 1.1431; RSI(14) neutral near 54, no setup in play.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1405
Resistance: 1.1431, 1.14374
What it said to watch
Recovery through 1.14374 fills the weekend gap and reopens the pre-gap zone
Loss of 1.14234 exposes the 1.1405 range base
Liquidity remains thin until London open; ranges likely stay compressed
00:01 UTC
Downtick after weekend gap, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.14264
Gapped lower, ranging near lows.
Thin Monday Asia open gapped down from Friday's ~1.1437 close to the mid-1.1420s, now ranging 1.1424–1.1431 on very light volume. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-40s; no setup in play in the quiet session.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14307, 1.14374
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 1.14374 pre-gap area would repair the weekend gap
Break below 1.14234 session low opens the 1.1420 psych level
ECB decision Thu 23 Jul is the week's main EUR/USD catalyst
00:01 UTC
Flat, thin early-week open · RSI 44 · price 1.14264
Tight range after weekend gap down.
Thin early-week Asia open gapped down from Friday's ~1.1437 close and is ranging 1.1423-1.1431 on minimal volume. No structural setup in play; price is pinned just below EMA20/50 with ATR compressed near 3 pips.
Support: 1.14234, 1.1420
Resistance: 1.14307, 1.14374, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Close above 1.14307 opens the gap fill toward 1.14374
Loss of 1.14234 extends the weekend gap lower
Liquidity/ATR remains thin until London open — moves unreliable
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC is the week's main EUR/USD catalyst