EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 22 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.14081
Consolidation above five-week low after week-long drift.
EURUSD drifted lower through the week from Monday's ~1.1447 open into five-week lows near 1.1396, pressured by safe-haven USD demand as ECB-hawkish support failed to lift it out of its low-1.14 range. Price has since stabilised in a tight 1.1400–1.1413 band with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and EMA(20) flattening just overhead. The 1.1420 cap has held the recent bounce and 1.1400 psych remains the pivot.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 cap breaks the lower-highs and opens 1.1445 wk open
Loss of 1.1396 wk low confirms a lower low toward the 1.1360 range floor
Fri PMIs (07:15 UTC) could shift this range read
23:01 UTC
Downtrend faded, now flat · RSI 50 · price 1.14081
Consolidation above week low.
EURUSD drifted off Monday's 1.1447 week high through the week's sessions, tagging a five-week low near 1.1397 before basing. Price now coils around 1.1408, pinned just under EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) flat near 50 — a stalled decline rather than a fresh leg. The low-1.14s grind reflects hawkish ECB pricing offset by a safe-haven USD bid; the 1.1420 area has capped every bounce this week.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397
Resistance: 1.1413, 1.1420, 1.1447
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 opens the path back toward the 1.1447 week high
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a lower low and extends the week's decline
ECB decision (12:15 UTC) and Lagarde press conf could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Downtrend fading into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.14089
Range in low-1.14s after week-long drift lower.
EURUSD has drifted lower all week from Tuesday's 1.1449 session high, printing a base near 1.13969 before recovering into a tight low-1.14 range as the pair pins ahead of Thursday's ECB. Price is sitting right on the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50, and the 1.1420 cap flagged by the safe-haven USD bid has held repeated attempts this week. Strong ZEW beats drew no meaningful EUR follow-through, keeping the tape stuck between 1.1400 and 1.1420.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13969
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1449
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus 12:45 presser is the dominant catalyst and could reprice this range entirely
H1 close above 1.1420 cap opens the path back to the 1.1449 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 round number exposes the 1.13969 week low
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 47 · price 1.14089
Consolidation above five-week lows.
EUR/USD drifted lower through the week from Monday's 1.1444 open into five-week lows near 1.1397, with the 1.1420 cap holding as an oil-driven USD safe-haven bid dominated. Since the low, price has stabilised into a tight low-1.14 consolidation with RSI cycling mid-range and price pinned around a flattening EMA20. Momentum has stalled but the broader lean off the week's highs remains lower.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1444
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 1.1420 cap opens the path back toward the 1.1444 weekly open
Loss of the 1.1400 psych level and 1.1397 weekly low confirms continuation lower
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has bled lower through the week from the 1.1450 area, printing a fresh low at 1.1397 during the last NY session before stabilising. Price is now churning in a tight low-1.14 band as safe-haven USD demand caps rallies below the 1.1420 weekly cap, with RSI(14) recovering to a neutral 52 and price pinned around EMA20. The stepped lower-highs keep the broader tone heavy despite the near-term consolidation.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1446
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 1.1420 weekly cap would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of the 1.1397 swing low confirms continuation toward 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
Consolidation after a lower low, holding above 1.1400.
EURUSD carved a lower low near 1.1396 mid-week then recovered, and has since churned in a tight 1.1400–1.1420 band with RSI(14) cycling around the midline. Price is hugging EMA(20), with the 1.1420 cap flagged in the digest turning back the latest push; the pair remains pinned in the low-1.14s as safe-haven USD demand offsets a hawkish ECB. The move is basing rather than trending on this timeframe.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14516
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser ~13h out could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.1420 cap opens the path toward 1.14516 week high
Loss of 1.1400 pivot puts 1.13962 week low back in focus
20:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.14103
Lower highs from Monday, now ranging low-1.14s.
EUR/USD has bled lower off Monday's 1.14519 into a tight low-1.14 range, with the 1.1420 cap holding every attempt this week as risk-off USD demand on US-Iran headlines limits rallies. The weekly low at 1.13962 was set overnight and buyers have since defended the 1.1400 pivot, dragging price back onto the EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Momentum has stalled rather than reversed — hawkish-ECB support is keeping the pair pinned rather than driving a recovery.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.14519
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1420 cap opens the path back toward 1.14519 week high
Failure to hold 1.1400 pivot exposes the 1.13962 week low
Fri HCOB flash PMIs are the next data catalyst
20:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 51 · price 1.14103
Consolidation above the week low.
EUR/USD has been pinned in the low-1.14s all week, capped below 1.1420 by a firm safe-haven USD bid on US-Iran risk. The dominant move was the slide from Monday's 1.1452 area into a 1.1397 week low, since when price has consolidated in a tight band and reclaimed EMA(20) while still sitting under EMA(50). RSI(14) is cycling near 50, reflecting the balance ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1380, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
H1 close above 1.1420 would break the week cap and open 1.1445
EURUSD has churned in a tight low-1.14 band all week, unable to sustain pops above the 1.1420 intraday cap as safe-haven USD demand off US-Iran headlines keeps rallies contained. Price slid to a week low near 1.1397 on Tuesday before a shallow grind back to 1.1411, keeping it pinned around EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 49. Consolidation is holding above the 1.1400 pivot into Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 opens the path to 1.1445/1.1465
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
EURUSD has churned in low-1.14s all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1445 area down to a 1.1397 base as US-Iran risk-off kept a safe-haven USD bid capping rallies below 1.1420. Price has since carved higher lows off that base and is now hugging EMA20 around 1.1408, with RSI(14) recovered to the mid-50s. The 1.1420 cap has held every intraday pop this week.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1424, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 cap would negate the range-top read
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
Consolidation near week lows after impulsive leg down.
EURUSD slid to a 5-week low at 1.1397 mid-week as safe-haven USD demand from US-Iran headlines pressured the pair, and has since churned in a tight 1.1400–1.1420 band into Thursday's ECB. Price is pinned to the H1 EMA(20) around 1.1408 with RSI hovering near 50, below the EMA(50), while 1.1420 has capped the recovery and the week high sits back at 1.1449. Below-market lows near 1.1397 remain the pivot toward the 1.1360 major support flagged in the range read.
Support: 1.1408, 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1449
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and press conference 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1397 confirms a lower low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1420 cap would challenge the 1.1449 week high
18:01 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.14092
Consolidation above week low after impulsive drop.
EUR/USD slid to 5-week lows this week, printing an impulsive leg from Monday's 1.1452 area down to 1.1397 before basing. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.1397–1.1418 range, reclaiming EMA(20) but capped below EMA(50) as the market consolidates into Thursday's ECB. Twin lows near 1.1397 mark the floor; range top at 1.1418 has capped the recovery.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1465
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde press conf are the dominant catalysts for this range
H1 close below 1.1397 week low confirms continuation toward 1.1360 major support
Reclaim of 1.1418 range top opens the path back to 1.1465 resistance
EUR/USD has drifted from Monday's 1.1452 highs to the 1.1397 week low and is now churning in the low-1.14s, pinned by a safe-haven USD bid from US-Iran/oil headlines despite the strong ZEW beats. Price is chopping around EMA20 with RSI back near 50, while 1.1421 has capped attempts through the NY session. The read is consolidation into Thursday's ECB rather than fresh directional flow.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde 12:45 — could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1397 confirms a lower-low toward 1.1360 major support
Reclaim of 1.1421 opens the path back to the 1.1445 week high
Range-bound, capped below 1.1420 above the week low.
EUR/USD has spent the week grinding sideways in the low 1.14s, marking a week low at 1.1397 before recovering back toward the EMA(20). Price sits right on EMA(20) with EMA(50) overhead near 1.1415, and RSI(14) hovering around 50 reflects the pre-ECB stall. The 1.1420 zone has capped rallies repeatedly this week while safe-haven USD demand keeps the floor near 1.1397 in play.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC is the main catalyst and could reshape this read
An H1 close above 1.1420 opens the path back toward 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1360
EUR/USD has bled lower since the weekend gap, printing five-week lows near 1.1396 before basing back above 1.1400 into the NY session. Price sits just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off its lows toward the mid-40s, while the 1.1420 cap has repelled every rally this week. Tomorrow's ECB decision is the dominant catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 cap opens a run at 1.1445 prior high
Loss of 1.1396 swing low confirms a lower-low, exposing 1.1380 support
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could reset this read
15:02 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.1409
Range low-1.14s after week's decline.
EURUSD ground lower from Monday's 1.1452 down to a week low at 1.1396 during the NY session, then stabilised through the recovery into the low-1.14s. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s as price reclaimed EMA(20), but the pair remains capped below the 1.1421 session high with EMA(50) overhead. Two-way consolidation ahead of tomorrow's ECB decision, with a firm USD on safe-haven flows limiting upside attempts.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1452
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and press conference 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1421 opens the path back toward the 1.1452 week high
Failure to hold 1.1396 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1360
15:01 UTC
Downtrend easing into consolidation · RSI 50 · price 1.1409
Lower highs into a base above the week low.
EURUSD spent the week grinding lower, printing a swing low at 1.1397 before basing in the low-1.14s as hawkish-ECB pricing offset a war-driven USD bid. Price sits back on EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovered to mid-range after the sell-off; the sequence of lower highs from 1.1449 through 1.1421 still caps. Range top at 1.1465 remains untested this week.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1421, 1.1445, 1.1465
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and press conference 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1421 opens the path back toward 1.1445
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
EUR/USD carved out its week low near 1.1397 during Tuesday's NY hours before grinding back above EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. Price is holding a run of higher lows off 1.1397, but the 38.2% retrace of the week's decline near 1.1417 and today's session high at 1.1421 are capping the bounce. A firm USD on haven demand has kept the pair pinned in the low-1.14s ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13969, 1.1406
Resistance: 1.14212, 1.14445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser at 12:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.1421 session high opens the 50% retrace near 1.1424
Failure to hold 1.1400 psych re-exposes the 1.1397 week low
EUR/USD carved a base at 1.13969 midweek and has ground back up through EMA(20) on rising lows, with the last NY session tagging 1.14212 before easing to 1.14144. Move sits inside a low-1.14s consolidation pinned by USD haven demand from US-Iran headlines, capping the recovery below the week high. RSI(14) firmed off oversold as price held 1.1400.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13969
Resistance: 1.14212, 1.14282, 1.14519
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this range
H1 close above 1.14212 opens the path back toward 1.14282 and the 1.14519 week high
Failure to hold 1.14000 reopens the 1.13969 week low
EUR/USD ground lower through the week, pressing one-week lows near 1.1397 as USD safe-haven demand from US-Iran tensions capped the euro despite strong ZEW beats. Price is now consolidating in the low-1.14s, hovering around EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range after the bounce off the week low. The descending sequence of lower highs remains intact into Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.13969, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14178, 1.1429
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.13969 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.14178 challenges the descending lower highs
EUR/USD has drifted lower through the week in pre-ECB consolidation, printing lower highs and rejecting 1.1445 twice while dips toward 1.1396 found buyers. The pair carved a fresh week low near 1.1396 in the last NY session before edging back above 1.1400, with price now pinned around EMA(20) and RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 49. Hawkish ECB positioning has underpinned demand into the low 1.14s even as USD safe-haven flows cap upside.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1420 challenges the lower-highs structure
Loss of 1.1396 confirms continuation toward the 1.1360 range floor
12:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, consolidating near lows · RSI 49 · price 1.14073
Lower highs off Monday's peak, holding above week low.
EURUSD has drifted lower since Monday's 1.1449 high, printing successive lower highs and basing just above the 1.1397 week low into Wednesday's NY hours. The pair is coiling in the low-1.14s ahead of Thursday's ECB, sitting on the H1 EMA20 but capped below the EMA50 near 1.1418. RSI(14) is mid-range, reflecting the stalled, two-way tone flagged around the ECB positioning.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1397 week low exposes the 1.1360 range base
Reclaim of 1.1418 EMA50 area would ease the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser can materially shift this read
EUR has drifted lower since Monday's open, fading from the 1.1445 area into the low-1.14s as a firm USD haven bid capped upside. Price printed a week low at 1.1397 before a shallow bounce that stalled near 1.1418, and now sits back below EMA20 with RSI mid-40s. Range remains contained ahead of Thursday's ECB decision.
Support: 1.13969, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.14282, 1.14491
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde presser is the key vol event and could reset this read
H1 close below 1.1397 confirms a lower low, exposing 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1418 needed to challenge the 1.1428 prior high
Tight low-1.14s consolidation all week ahead of Thursday's ECB, with price drifting back toward the range floor after a bounce stalled at the 1.1417 swing high. Trading below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; the week low at 1.1396 has held on prior dips. USD's geopolitical bid has capped rallies through the range.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14178, 1.14449
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + press conference 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1396 week low confirms a lower low
Break above 1.14449 range top reopens the upper end of the range
11:02 UTC
Drift lower within consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.14026
Low-1.14s range, marking lower highs into support.
EURUSD has spent the week grinding sideways in the low-1.14s and is drifting toward the range floor into Thursday's ECB, with the pair now pinned just under EMA(20) after a soft NY session. The 1.1396 swing low was tested overnight and demand stepping in there produced a shallow bounce that stalled below 1.1420. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s, reflecting the lack of momentum rather than any decisive lower-low.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1396 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1360
EUR has ground lower since Monday's ~1.1468 open, sliding into a low-1.14 base ahead of Thursday's ECB with USD haven bid on US-Iran headlines capping every bounce. Price found a floor at the 1.1396 week low and recovered to 1.1418 before fading back to 1.1404, still tucked under both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) is mid-range near 47 after cycling off oversold at the lows.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.14178, 1.14282, 1.14491
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC + press conference 12:45 UTC — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14178 would break the string of lower highs
Loss of 1.14000 round number reopens the 1.1396 week low
EURUSD has ground lower since Monday's open near 1.1460, printing a run of lower highs into a 1.1396 week low before basing in the low-1.14s. The bounce off that low stalled at 1.14134 and price has faded back below EMA20/50, consistent with the pre-ECB consolidation described in the digest as USD haven flows cap the topside. RSI(14) is cycling mid-40s with no clear divergence.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.14134, 1.1423, 1.14491
What it said to watch
ECB rate decision Thu 12:15 UTC + press conference 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.13962 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14134 opens the path back toward 1.14230
09:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, base forming · RSI 53 · price 1.14108
One-week decline into a low-1.14 base.
EUR/USD reversed from last week's 1.1470 area to a one-week low near 1.1397 as the US-Iran haven bid firmed the USD through the week. Price has since based above 1.1400 and reclaimed EMA20, with RSI(14) recovering back toward neutral, though EMA50 near 1.1415 is still capping. The move is largely a wait for Thursday's ECB decision, the dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1445, 1.1470
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser 12:45 UTC could materially reset this range
Hourly close above 1.1445 swing high opens the path back toward the 1.1470 week high
Failure to hold 1.1397 weekly low confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1470 Monday and sold off through the following sessions to a one-week low around 1.1397 as a USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran tensions dominated flows. Price has since based twice near 1.1397-1.1400 and clawed back above EMA(20) into the low-1.14s, with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. The 1.1445 lower-high still caps, keeping the broader down structure intact below there.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445, 1.1470
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus press conference 12:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
H1 close above 1.1445 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms continuation of the weekly down-leg toward 1.1360
EURUSD has drifted lower since Monday's open near 1.1466, printing a weekly low at 1.1397 during Tuesday's NY hours as the safe-haven USD bid dominated. Price has since based and is grinding back toward EMA20, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold to the mid-40s and higher lows forming off the 1.1397 floor. The 1.1418 recent high is capping the bounce, keeping price boxed in the low-1.14s ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1418 opens the path to the 1.1430 resistance
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a lower low toward 1.1360
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 50 · price 1.14083
Lower highs, basing above 1.1400.
EURUSD drifted lower through the week from Monday's 1.1470 area, printing successive lower highs into an overnight low at 1.1397 before basing in the low 1.14s. Price has reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering toward 50, though it holds below EMA(50). Pre-ECB caution is pinning the pair in a tight range, consistent with the reported two-way stance into Thursday's decision.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445, 1.1465
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1420 then 1.1445 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1397 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.1390 range floor
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 52 · price 1.14113
Week-long slide into a low-1.14 base.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 1.147 area toward the 1.14 handle as war-driven USD safe-haven demand offset firm German/EZ ZEW beats. Price marked a week low at 1.1396 overnight and has since carved a series of higher lows back above EMA20, with RSI cycling back around 50. The low-1.14 base is holding, but EMA50 still caps the recovery from above and 1.1423 has yet to be reclaimed.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.14232, 1.1429
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + press conf 12:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Loss of 1.1396 week low confirms downtrend continuation toward the 1.1360 range floor
H1 close back above 1.1423 swing high would signal the base is turning
Since Monday's ~1.1470 open the pair has ground lower on war-driven USD safe-haven demand, tagging a 1.1397 swing low before basing back above the 1.1400 pivot. Lower highs are still intact from the 1.1465 week high, but the last dozen bars have reclaimed EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering back toward 50. Strong German/EZ ZEW beats produced no FX follow-through — the market is parked ahead of the ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1465
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.1397 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.1423 swing high needed to break the lower-high sequence
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + press conf 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD spent the week grinding lower from the 1.1476 area to a one-week low at 1.13969, with USD safe-haven demand on Gulf headlines capping every bounce. Price has since stabilised in the low-1.14s and is edging back above EMA(20) on thin Asian-session flow, though it remains below EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered off its lows toward the midline as the decline loses pace.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13969
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1429
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and press conference 12:45 UTC — could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13969 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.14200 breaks the week's lower-highs sequence
EUR/USD drifted from Monday's ~1.1470 open to a one-week low near 1.1397 in yesterday's NY session as safe-haven USD firmed on Gulf headlines; ZEW beats produced no lift. Price has since carved a rounded base and reclaimed EMA(20), with RSI(14) recovering back through 50. EMA(50) near 1.1415 still caps the bounce and the low-1.14s range persists into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1445, 1.1415
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and press conference 12:45 UTC can materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1423 swing high would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.1397 swing low opens the 1.1390 uob support
Lower highs into a one-week low, basing above 1.1400.
EURUSD has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from the mid-1.14s to a one-week low at 1.1397 into NY hours as a safe-haven USD bid on renewed US-Iran risk overrode strong German/Eurozone ZEW surveys. Price has since carved a base just above 1.1400 with RSI(14) lifting back toward 47, and now sits marginally above EMA(20) but below EMA(50). The recovery has yet to reclaim the 1.1420 swing area that capped the last bounce.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1420 would challenge the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.1397 opens the 1.1360 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through this week's sessions to a one-week low near 1.1397 as safe-haven USD demand on Iran risk overrode strong German/Eurozone ZEW prints. Price has since based between 1.1397 and 1.1420, twin lows around 1.1397-1.1398 holding while EMA20 caps recovery attempts. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold toward the mid-40s but momentum remains soft into Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + presser 12:45 UTC is the key volatility driver for this read
H1 close below 1.1397 confirms a lower-low, exposing 1.1390 then range floor
Reclaim of 1.1420 would put the descending lower-high line in play
EUR/USD has been grinding lower since the weekend gap down from the prior-Friday close, printing a fresh week low near 1.1396 as US-Iran risk-off keeps the USD bid and strong German/Eurozone ZEW beats drew no lift. Price is basing in the low 1.14s below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with rallies capped along a descending line of lower highs. RSI(14) sits in the mid-40s, reflecting the soft tone without an oversold extreme.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1396
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1445
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1422 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1396 confirms a lower low, opening the 1.1360 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD drifted lower through the week from 1.1491 into a 1.1397 low as US-Iran risk-off kept the USD bid, and price is now basing in the low-1.14s below EMA20 and EMA50. Buyers stepped in twice around 1.1397-1.1400 to produce a modest recovery to 1.1406, but each rally has stalled beneath the descending lower-highs. RSI(14) has lifted off the sub-40 lows without reclaiming 50, matching the flat consolidation.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1445, 1.1491
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1397 confirms a lower-low, opening 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1422 swing high challenges the 1.1445 prior high
EUR/USD trended lower through the week, sliding from Monday's ~1.1466 open to a week low at 1.1396 in the NY session as US-Iran risk-off kept the USD bid despite firm ZEW beats. Price has since stabilised in the low-1.14s, coiling around EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. Resistance at 1.1417 capped the latest bounce and the swing structure remains a series of lower highs.
Support: 1.1400, 1.13962
Resistance: 1.1417, 1.14282, 1.14445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde presser could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1396 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1417 then 1.1428 would break the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD has ground out lower highs all week and printed a fresh week low at 1.1397 during the last NY session, with risk-off USD demand from US-Iran headlines keeping rallies capped. Price is now consolidating in the low-1.14s just under EMA20, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 43 as selling pressure eases. The 1.1400 round number is holding as near-term support after the drop from 1.1449.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1397
Resistance: 1.1422, 1.1445, 1.1449
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1422 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1400/1.1397 confirms a lower-low extension
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC + Lagarde presser could reset this read
EUR/USD has ground lower all week from Monday's low-1.14s, opening with a weekend gap down and printing a one-week low near 1.1396 during yesterday's NY session as US-Iran risk-off kept the USD bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with a shallow stabilization off the lows into Asia hours; lower highs remain intact and the 1.1423 session high has capped the bounce. RSI(14) is holding mid-40s after basing near oversold.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.14445
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower low toward the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1423 needed to challenge the week's lower-high structure
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC and Lagarde presser 12:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1470 area to a sub-1.1400 low near 1.1396 as US-Iran risk-off kept the USD bid and strong German/EZ ZEW beats drew no EUR lift. Price is now consolidating just above the round number with RSI(14) pinned in the low 40s and both EMAs capping. Bounces into the NY session stalled at 1.1423, keeping the sequence of lower highs intact.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1423, 1.1449
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC plus Lagarde presser is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.14230 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.13970 confirms continuation lower toward the 1.1360 range floor
EUR/USD has bled lower all week from Monday's 1.1465 area, and reopened with a weekend gap down toward the 1.1400 handle. Price is basing just above the 4-day low at 1.13962 after a shallow bounce, holding below the EMA20 near 1.1415 with RSI(14) stuck in the low-40s. The move fits the pre-ECB consolidation the digest flags, with the range floor at 1.1390 unbroken.
Support: 1.13962, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1415, 1.1430, 1.1444
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thursday 12:15 UTC is the dominant risk into this base
Hourly close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of the EMA20 near 1.1415 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
EUR/USD has ground lower since Monday's 1.1476 high, printing a fresh sub-1.1400 low at 1.1396 as a firm USD haven bid capped the pair ahead of Thursday's ECB. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-40s, and a small bounce off the lows shows momentum easing rather than reversing. The 1.1411 EMA20 has capped the recovery attempt while 1.1445 remains this week's resistance shelf.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1411, 1.1445
What it said to watch
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.1445 would break the week's lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1396 exposes the 1.1360 range floor
EURUSD has ground lower all week, sliding from the 1.1445 area through a weekend gap down and into fresh lows at 1.1396 during the latest sessions. Price sits pinned to the 1.1400 handle below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) parked in the mid-30s as the sell-off flattens. The move reflects a firmer USD safe-haven bid; the pair is consolidating just above the 1.1360-1.1465 range floor ahead of Thursday's ECB.
Support: 1.1396, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1420, 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1396 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1360 range floor
Reclaim of 1.1430 resistance would neutralise the down-leg
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has drifted lower since Monday's open, printing successive lower highs and a fresh week low at 1.1397 during the NY session, with price trading below both EMA20 and EMA50. The move fits the reversal off last week's 1.1480 highs that the digest notes, as EUR stalls versus a firm USD ahead of Thursday's ECB. Price is now basing in a tight 1.1397-1.1420 band with RSI(14) pinned in the low 40s.
Support: 1.1397, 1.1360
Resistance: 1.1414, 1.1435
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.1414 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.1397 (week low) confirms continuation toward the 1.1360 range floor
ECB decision Thu 12:15 UTC could materially shift this read