EURUSD ground lower all week from Monday's 1.1528 high, pressing 11-month lows near 1.1375 as soft German services PMI met broad USD strength. Price has stalled into the NY-Asia transition, coiling in a tight band just above the 1.13755 week low and below EMA(20), with RSI(14) flattening near 39 after the sell-off. Supply at 1.1390 keeps capping the few attempts higher.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1430
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13755 week low opens the path toward 1.1350 psych and the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1390 supply needed to ease downside pressure toward 1.1430 pivot
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.1528 area to 11-month lows at 1.13755 as weak German services PMI (46.8 vs 48.7) and a firm Dollar weighed through the NY sessions. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) suppressed in the high-30s, and the last several bars have flattened into a tight base just above 1.1376. The 1.1390 SocGen support has flipped to near-term resistance the pair keeps stalling under.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13755 opens the path toward 1.1350 then the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1390 would ease the lower-high structure
German IFO Wed and US Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 38 · price 1.13824
Lower highs and lower lows, fresh week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's ~1.1525 open, accelerating through the 1.1400 round number during the NY session after Germany's services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7). Price now sits pinned just above the 1.13755 week low with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s and both EMAs capping above. The 1.1400 break has flipped that level to resistance, consistent with the broad USD bid into 13-month highs.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the downtrend continuation read
Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1350
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 38 · price 1.13824
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, piercing 1.1400 for the first time this year after the German services PMI miss reinforced broad USD strength. Price has stalled into a tight band around 1.1380 over the last several hours with RSI(14) holding in the high-30s and price pinned below both EMAs. The 1.1400 round number, now pierced, has flipped to capping resistance.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1425
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1400 would neutralise the breakout read
Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1350
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, piercing the 1.1400 round number after Germany's services PMI miss and broad USD strength held the dollar near 13-month highs. Price is pinned just above the week low at 1.13755, well below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI cycling near oversold. The last several hours show tight consolidation, momentum slowing rather than reversing.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14386
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low toward the 1.1350 socgen support
An H1 close back above 1.1400 flips the pierced round number and opens the 1.14386 swing high
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has bled lower all week, piercing 1.1400 for the first time this year after Germany's soft flash PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and a broadly bid USD. Price is now grinding sideways just above the 1.1375 week low into the Asia session, with RSI(14) basing in the high 30s while held well below EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.1400 psych level has flipped to overhead resistance after the breakdown.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13755 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 socgen support
Reclaim of 1.1400 psych would neutralise the breakdown and open 1.1430
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Successive lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week off the 1.1528 high, dragged by broad USD strength and a soft German services PMI (46.8 vs 48.7), pressing 11-month lows near 1.1375 into the NY session. Price is now flattening just above the 1.13755 week low with RSI(14) parked in the mid-30s and well below EMA20. The descending sequence of lower highs remains intact, capping every bounce below the 1.1400 round number.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1425, 1.1473
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower low, opening the 1.1350 psych zone
Recovery and close above 1.14000 round number needed to break the lower-high sequence
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Series of lower highs and lower lows; tight consolidation at week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week beneath EMA(20) and EMA(50), dragged toward 11-month lows by broad USD strength and yesterday's soft German services PMI miss (46.8 vs 48.7). The slide into the NY session yesterday tested 1.1375, where price has since coiled into a tight consolidation just above the week low. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, reflecting the persistent down-leg with no bullish divergence yet evident.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1389
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 1.1350 support cluster
Reclaim of 1.1389 would break the consolidation higher and challenge the descending lower-highs
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Persistent downtrend since Monday's open, with EUR sliding through the 1.1400 round number into yesterday's NY session on broad USD strength after upbeat US PMIs. Price now consolidating just above the 1.1375 week low, RSI(14) holding in the high-30s while EMA20 and EMA50 cap overhead. German services PMI miss (46.8) earlier in the week reinforced the downside.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418
What it said to watch
Break below 1.1375 week low opens 1.1350 then the 1.13-handle
H1 close back above 1.1400 round number would ease the downside read
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs, lower lows; consolidating just above week low.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from 1.1540 toward multi-month lows, the leg accelerating into the NY session as broad USD strength and a soft German services PMI weighed. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in oversold territory, and the last several bars have flattened into a tight 1.1376–1.1390 consolidation just above the 1.13755 week low.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.14115, 1.14386
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.13755 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 1.1350 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.13900 then 1.14115 would ease the downside pressure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.159 open toward fresh lows at 1.1375 as soft German flash PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) and a firm dollar pressured the pair. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50), with each NY session pushing the low further and RSI(14) tracking oversold near 31. The 1.1390 SocGen support has flipped to immediate resistance and the 1.13 handle is now in focus.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1430, 1.1445
What it said to watch
Sustained close below 1.1375 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 and 1.13 handle
Recovery above 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower all week, sliding from Monday's 1.159 open and breaking the 1.1430 pivot decisively after soft German flash PMIs (services 46.8) added to a hawkish-Fed USD bid. Price prints fresh week lows at 1.13755 with RSI(14) near 31 and trading well below EMA20/EMA50 through the NY session. The 1.1390 former support has flipped to capping resistance on each minor bounce.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1390, 1.1430, 1.1462
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.13755 week low opens the 1.1350 then 1.13 handle
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from the 1.159 area, accelerating after soft German flash PMIs (services 46.8) and a firm USD bid near 13-month highs. Price trades well below EMA20 and EMA50 with each NY session pressing fresh lows; the 1.14 handle gave way and lows now sit at 1.13755. RSI(14) is sub-40 but not yet pinned at an extreme as the slide continues.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1425, 1.14386
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.13755 opens the 1.1350 / 1.13 handle
An H1 close back above 1.14000 would ease the downside pressure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended steadily lower since Monday's 1.1591 open, accelerating into the NY session yesterday as EUR sagged on the German services PMI miss (46.8) against a firm Dollar. Price broke the 1.1400 round number and is pressing the 1.13755 session low, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) parked near oversold. The 1.1430 pivot and 1.1400 now cap as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14315, 1.1443
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.13500 psych opens the path to the 1.13 handle
H1 close back above 1.14000 round number would ease the downside read
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 32 · price 1.13818
Lower highs, lower lows.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1596 open, with the slide accelerating into the NY session as the pair broke 1.1400 and printed fresh lows at 1.13755. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pressing oversold, after soft German services PMI and a firm USD on the higher-for-longer Fed read pressured the cross toward SocGen's 1.1390/1.1350 zone. The 1.1400 round number now caps as overhead resistance.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14294, 1.1390
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1400 would ease the downtrend read
Loss of 1.13755 opens the path toward 1.1350
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from the 1.1590s toward a fresh week low at 1.13755 as USD held 13-month highs and German services PMI missed at 46.8. The drop accelerated through the NY session with price stacked below EMA(20) and EMA(50), and a clean break of the 1.1420 shelf opened the move to the 1.13 handle. RSI(14) sits near 31, reflecting sustained selling but approaching stretched territory.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430, 1.14734
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13755 confirms continuation toward the 1.1350 socgen support
H1 close back above 1.1400 round number would ease the bearish read
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from the 1.1461 weekly open, accelerating through the NY session as the dollar holds 13-month highs and a soft German services PMI (46.8) caps the euro. Price broke the 1.1400 round number into fresh week lows at 1.1382, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout, with RSI(14) pressed into the mid-30s. The 1.1430 post-PMI pivot has capped every pullback.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430, 1.1461
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Loss of 1.1382 week low confirms continuation to the 1.1350 psych area
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift the EUR-side read
14:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.1390
Lower highs, lower lows since Monday.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, sliding from 1.1598 toward fresh lows at 1.1382 as a firm USD held near 13-month highs and Germany's services PMI miss (46.8) capped the euro. Price broke the 1.1430 pivot during the NY session and now sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) pressed into the low-30s. Lower highs through the week have stayed intact with no reclaim of the broken pivot.
Support: 1.1382, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1460
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the downtrend continuation
Failure to hold 1.1382 confirms a lower low extension toward 1.1350
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could shift the EUR-side read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week off Monday's 1.1602 open, the rate-divergence theme (dovish Lagarde vs a hawkish Fed under Warsh) keeping rebounds capped. Price broke below the 1.1430 pivot and the prior 1.1420–1.1460 consolidation into the London-NY session, printing a fresh week low at 1.1384 with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the sustained pressure but is approaching oversold.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1430, 1.1456
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.1430 pivot would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1384 week low opens the path toward 1.1350
German IFO Wed and US core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY · RSI 30 · price 1.13862
Consistent lower highs and lower lows.
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1600 open, with the rate-divergence theme — dovish Lagarde versus a hawkish-Fed/restrictive-for-longer USD — keeping rebounds capped. Price broke the 1.1420 shelf and accelerated through the NY session to a fresh week low at 1.13841, holding below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) near 30 reflects stretched downside momentum but no divergence yet.
Support: 1.13841, 1.1380
Resistance: 1.14207, 1.14315
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.13800 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.14207 (EMA20) needed to ease downside pressure
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC and German IFO Wed could shift this read
12:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 35 · price 1.14008
Lower highs and lower lows, breakdown extending.
EUR/USD has trended lower since Monday's 1.1600 open, pressured by USD-EUR rate divergence and today's soft German PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7 f/c). Price broke below the 1.1425 pivot into NY hours and printed fresh lows at 1.1395, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout the move. RSI(14) sits near 35 as the breakdown extends, with the 1.1400 round number now the immediate floor.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1400, 1.1375
Resistance: 1.1425
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 1.1425 pivot would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.1395/1.1400 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1602 high, printing fresh weekly lows near 1.1395 in the latest NY session as rate-divergence (hawkish Fed vs dovish ECB) and soft German PMIs (services 46.8 vs 48.7) kept the euro offered. Price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the low-30s, and the 1.1425/1.1430 pivot has flipped from support to resistance after the break. Each bounce attempt has been capped at lower highs.
Support: 1.1395, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the lower-high structure
US S&P Global flash PMIs 13:45 UTC and German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.1395 confirms continuation of the weekly down leg
Lower highs, lower lows; breakdown from consolidation.
EUR has trended lower since Monday's open, sliding from the 1.160 area to fresh 3-month lows as the widening US-EUR rate spread and dovish Lagarde kept the pair heavy. Price broke below the 1.1425 consolidation shelf into NY hours and printed a new low at 1.14043, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout. RSI(14) sits in the mid-30s, reflecting sustained downside momentum without yet stretching into oversold.
Support: 1.14043, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1425
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.14250 would neutralise the breakdown read
Failure to hold 1.14043 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week on the widening US-EUR rate spread and dovish Lagarde tone, sliding from Monday's 1.1602 area to fresh 3-month lows near 1.1404. Price broke below the 1.1424 consolidation into NY hours and is trading under both EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) depressed and confirming downside momentum. Sellers have capped every bounce at descending lower highs.
Reclaim of 1.1429 breakdown and EMA20 ~1.1432 would ease downside pressure
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14073
Lower highs, lower lows; breaking below range.
EUR/USD has ground steadily lower all week off the 1.1604 open, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 throughout and printing a fresh three-month low at 1.1404 into the NY session. The slide reflects widening USD-EUR rate spreads after the hawkish Fed and dovish Lagarde, with today's better-than-feared EZ PMIs steadying but not reversing the move. RSI(14) sits near 33, reflecting the persistent downside pressure as the 1.140 area comes into focus.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14043
Resistance: 1.1426
What it said to watch
A clean break and hold below 1.1400 opens the path toward the next leg of the down move
Reclaim of the 1.1426 ema20 would be the first sign the downtrend is stalling
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US PCE Thu could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 34 · price 1.14073
Lower highs and lower lows, range break to downside.
EUR has trended lower since Monday's 1.1604 open, with the 1.1425-1.1430 consolidation that capped most of the week giving way during NY hours to fresh lows at 1.1404. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pinned in the mid-30s, reflecting the USD-EUR rate-spread divergence and only a mixed PMI set (German services missed) failing to spark a bounce. The 1.1400 round number, ING's flagged downside test, is now the immediate area in focus.
Support: 1.1400, 1.14043, 1.14175
Resistance: 1.1429, 1.14386
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.1400 confirms continuation of the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.14290 broken range would ease the downside pressure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US PMIs today 13:45 UTC could shift this read
09:01 UTC
Downtrend, pressing lows · RSI 39 · price 1.1411
Lower highs, lower lows; range floor broke.
EUR/USD has bled lower all week, breaking firmly below 1.15 and grinding toward the 1.140 psych zone as a hawkish Fed and US-Iran de-escalation kept the dollar firm. Today's Eurozone PMI beats failed to lift the pair; price held a tight 1.1419–1.1430 range through the Asia session then swept up to 1.1439 and closed back at 1.1411, a rejection that broke the range floor. Price sits below both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 39, no divergence yet.
Support: 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Hold below 1.1419 keeps the lower-low structure intact
Loss of 1.1400 psych opens fresh multi-month lows
Close back above 1.15 would negate the breakdown
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant catalyst that could shift this read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.160 open, sliding through 1.15 and pressing fresh lows near 1.1410 as a hawkish Fed and US-Iran de-escalation kept the dollar bid. Today's Eurozone PMI beats failed to lift the pair, and the last NY hour swept down to 1.14095 with RSI(14) parked in the lower half. The 1.140 psych zone is now in focus after the consolidation around 1.1425 gave way.
Support: 1.1400, 1.1419
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1475, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.140 psych opens path to fresh multi-month lows
Reclaim of 1.1430 range top needed to ease downside pressure
US Core PCE Thursday could materially shift this read
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.14241
Lower highs since last week's break, ranging above 1.1418 floor.
EUR/USD remains pinned near three-month lows after last week's firm break below 1.15, with price now hugging the 1.1420s under both the H1 EMA20 and EMA50. The German PMI miss this morning (Composite 48 vs 49.9) reinforced the soft-growth read following Monday's slide, and the bounce to 1.1480 has since faded into a series of lower highs. RSI(14) sits sub-50 with the 1.1418 floor holding through several tests.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1428, 1.1480, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1418 swing low opens the path toward 1.1400
Reclaim of the 1.1428 ema20 would ease the lower-high pressure
US S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC are a near-term catalyst
08:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 41 · price 1.14241
Lower highs and lower lows, basing near week low.
EURUSD has trended lower all week from 1.1608, with the dominant leg down through 1.15 and into the 1.142 zone as a hawkish Fed and dovish Lagarde drove the divergence. Price now sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, basing in a tight 1.142–1.143 range after a small weekend gap lower; today's German PMI misses (Composite 48 vs 49.9) reinforced the soft-growth read. RSI(14) holds in the low 40s, no bullish divergence yet against the week low.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1460, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14175 confirms a lower-low, opening the 1.1400 round number
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.1432 and 1.1460 needed to ease downside pressure
Eurozone flash PMIs (08:00 UTC) and US S&P Global PMIs (13:45 UTC) could shift this read
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 from Monday's 1.1614 open and ground to three-month lows, the hawkish-Fed-over-ECB narrative keeping the dollar bid all week. Price has since coiled tightly around 1.1420-1.1430 below EMA20, holding just above the 1.14175 swing low with RSI(14) flat in the low 40s. EZ flash PMIs are landing now and could break the consolidation either way.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1432, 1.1450, 1.14803
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.14175 opens the path toward the 1.140 test
Reclaim of 1.14500 range top would ease the downside pressure
EZ flash PMIs now and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
EUR/USD remains in a downtrend, having broken firmly below 1.15 earlier in the week on hawkish-Fed repricing and capped by a string of lower highs into the NY sessions. Price is now grinding sideways just above the 1.1419 swing low, pinned beneath the EMA20 near 1.1438 with RSI(14) flat in the low-40s. The 1.1410 psych zone is the floor of the current consolidation.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1463
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift this read
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and opens the path toward the 1.1210 area
Reclaim of the EMA20 at 1.1438 would ease near-term downside pressure
EUR/USD broke firmly below the 1.15 handle midweek on the hawkish-Fed repricing and slid to a week low at 1.1418, with the dominant impulse running from 1.1614 down to 1.1417. Price has since been pinned in a tight 1.1418–1.1430 band well below EMA20 and EMA50, with each bounce capped under the 1.1475 swing high. RSI(14) has cycled out of deep-oversold into the low-40s as the slide flattened into consolidation.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1475, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC today could break the 1.1418-1.1430 consolidation
A close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1390
Reclaiming 1.1475 swing high would challenge the lower-highs structure
Lower highs and lower lows, consolidating near week low.
EURUSD has trended lower all week, breaking firmly below 1.15 on the hawkish-Fed repricing and stalling near three-month lows around 1.142. Price has sat under EMA(20) since the mid-week breakdown, with the last several bars compressing into a tight 1.1419-1.1430 band on fading range. RSI(14) is mid-40s, flat — momentum has paused rather than reversed.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1430, 1.1455, 1.1487
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC could break this consolidation either way
Loss of 1.14175 week low confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 psych area
H1 close back above the 1.14300 ema20 would ease the downside pressure
US S&P Global PMIs 13:45 UTC a second catalyst into the NY session
Consolidation above 3-month lows after impulse down.
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 into Friday's session and has stayed pinned near three-month lows on hawkish-Fed divergence, trading under both EMA(20) and EMA(50) all week. Since the 1.14175 low the pair has gone sideways in a tight 1.1419–1.1432 band, with EMA(20) around 1.1435 capping the bounce. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, flat as the range compresses.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.14502, 1.1476
What it said to watch
Eurozone & US flash PMIs today (07:30–13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
Break below 1.14175 confirms a fresh lower-low and exposes 1.1410/1.1390
H1 close above 1.14502 invalidates the consolidation-at-lows read
EUR/USD has trended lower all week from Monday's 1.1615 open, with the dominant legs lower coming on Friday's break below 1.15 and the subsequent slide into 3-month lows at 1.14175. Since then price has gone sideways in a tight 1.1419-1.1432 band, capped below EMA(20) near 1.1435 as the hawkish-Fed divergence theme keeps the bid in USD. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, flat — momentum has stalled rather than reversed.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1450, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone/German flash PMIs (07:30-08:00 UTC) could break this consolidation
H1 close above 1.1450 invalidates the lower-high structure
Failure to hold 1.14175 exposes the 1.1390 area flagged by UOB
US Services/Mfg PMI at 13:45 UTC is the larger USD-side risk today
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, with the dominant leg down triggered mid-window on hawkish-Fed divergence that sliced the pair below 1.15 toward three-month lows. After a weekend gap lower, price has gone flat near 1.1426, holding just above the 1.1419 swing low while RSI(14) sits subdued around 41 and price stays pinned below both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Lower highs keep capping bounces under the 1.1450 area.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:15-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1419 swing low confirms continuation toward the 1.1400 psych zone
H1 close above 1.1450 then 1.1495 needed to break the lower-high sequence
04:01 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.14261
Lower highs, basing above 1.1418 low.
EUR/USD has bled lower all week, slicing below 1.15 on the hawkish-Fed re-rating and probing 1.1418 at three-month lows. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.1420–1.1450 band below EMA20 and EMA50, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 43 as the slide pauses. Lower highs keep capping bounces into the NY-to-Asia transition.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15–08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could break this range
H1 close below 1.1410 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1390 area
Reclaim of 1.1450 then 1.1495 would unwind the consolidation read
EUR/USD has bled lower all week, slicing below 1.15 after the hawkish Fed re-rating and steadying near three-month lows around the 1.1419 base. Price trades below EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat in the low-40s as the move consolidates rather than extends. Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC are the next catalyst into this compressed range.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1466, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.1419 base opens the 1.1410/1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of 1.1466 swing high needed to challenge the 1.1495 range cap
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30 UTC could break the consolidation
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1461 and bled lower under post-Fed dollar strength, pinning the pair below EMA20 all week and printing a 1.1419 week low before steadying. Price has flatlined in a tight band just above that low through the Asia session, with RSI(14) basing in the low-40s. The hawkish-Fed vs cautious-ECB divergence keeps supply capping every bounce into the 1.1445 EMA20 area.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1445, 1.1473
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1419 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1390 support zone
Reclaim of the 1.1445 EMA20 would ease the bearish drift toward the week high at 1.1473
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 after the hawkish FOMC, accelerating to a 1.14175 week low before steadying. Price has spent the last sessions consolidating tight just above that low, capped below EMA20 around 1.1448 with RSI(14) basing near 41. The weekly open at 1.14613 and 1.14803 bounce high mark the lower-high structure overhead.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1448, 1.14613, 1.14803
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:30-08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.14175 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1410/1.1390
Reclaim of 1.14480 EMA20 and 1.14613 weekly open would neutralise the downtrend
EUR/USD broke firmly below 1.15 mid-week on post-Fed dollar momentum and policy divergence, sliding to test 1.14187 before flattening in the low 1.142s through the Asia session. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) hugging the low-40s, and successive lower highs near 1.1476 then 1.1461 have capped each bounce. The pair is coiling just above the 1.1410 round level into the European session.
Support: 1.14187, 1.1410, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.14546, 1.14761, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs at 07:30 UTC and US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1410 confirms continuation toward the 1.1390 support zone
H1 close back above 1.14546 would challenge the lower-high structure
EUR/USD opened the week near 1.1615 and broke below 1.15 mid-week on post-Fed USD momentum, extending to a week low at 1.1419. Price has since consolidated in a tight 1.1419-1.1450 band below EMA20, with the round number and ema20 around 1.1452 capping bounces. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s and is no longer making fresh lows alongside price, reflecting the slower grind into the week low.
Support: 1.14187, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1452, 1.1466
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the main near-term catalysts and could shift this read
Clean break of the 1.1410 support zone exposes the digest-flagged 1.1210
H1 close back above the 1.1466 prior high would challenge the downtrend
EUR/USD has trended lower all week, breaking below 1.15 during Thursday's NY session on post-Fed dollar strength and rolling to a 1.1418 week low. Price has since stalled in a tight 1.1418–1.1463 consolidation, holding below the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-40s. Supply has capped the consol top near 1.1456 while demand has so far defended the 1.1418 base.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1456, 1.1463
What it said to watch
EZ flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are the near-term catalysts
Clean H1 break of 1.1418/1.1400 exposes the 1.1210 zone
H1 close above 1.1463 invalidates the lower-high structure
EUR/USD has trended down since Monday's open, breaking firmly below 1.15 on post-Fed USD momentum and Iran risk-off flows. Price now grinds along weekly lows near 1.1419 with RSI(14) holding in the low-40s, while EMA(20) and EMA(50) cap rallies overhead. The 1.1450 area has held back recovery attempts into the NY session, leaving the 1.1419 base the pivot for the next leg.
Support: 1.1419, 1.1410, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1466, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.1419 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens the 1.1410 uob zone
Reclaim of 1.1450 would stall the slide and eye the 1.1495 range cap
Consolidating above week's low after the impulse leg lower.
EUR/USD has trended firmly lower since Monday's open, the dominant leg coming on the European-session break below 1.15 amid post-Fed dollar momentum and Iran risk. Price now grinds sideways in the 1.1420-1.1460 zone, capped under the EMA20 near 1.1438, with the 1.1417 area holding twice to form a double-bottom base. RSI(14) is mid-40s, off the lows but yet to reclaim 50.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1410
Resistance: 1.1438, 1.1476, 1.1495
What it said to watch
Eurozone flash PMIs 07:15-08:00 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1417 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.1410 support zone
An H1 close back above 1.1476 negates the consolidation-lower structure