EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the rejection near 1.1620, and price has now broken below the 1.1400 round number — pierced after the German services PMI miss and broad USD strength. Price is pressing the 1.13755 swing low with SocGen's 1.1350 support next in line. EMA20 and EMA50 both cap from above and RSI near 31 reflects stretched, oversold momentum rather than any structural turn.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.14386
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1350 opens the path toward the 1.13 handle
Reclaim of 1.1400 would challenge the lower-high structure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD remains in a clean downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the early-window 1.1685 peak and now printing fresh lows at 1.1375 after slicing through the 1.1400 psych level. The leg lower is driven by broad USD strength on the hawkish-Fed narrative and a German services PMI miss. ATR is expanding rather than compressing, consistent with a trend in extension, while RSI is pressing into oversold territory.
Support: 1.1375, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1400
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1400 would flip the pierced level read and ease downside pressure
Failure to hold 1.1350 confirms continuation toward the 1.13-handle
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows since the rejection near 1.1685; price has now slid through the 1.1430 pivot and is pressing the 1.13 handle. The leg is driven by hawkish-Fed repricing and a soft German services PMI (46.8) against firm US data. ATR(14) is expanding as the decline accelerates, with RSI in oversold territory but no bullish divergence yet.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could accelerate or stall the move toward the 1.13 handle
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
An H4 close back above the 1.1430 pivot would challenge the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.1350 socgen support exposes 1.1300
EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the early-month rejection near 1.1686; the breakdown below the 1.1430 pivot accelerated into fresh lows at 1.13755. The move tracks the higher-for-longer Fed narrative and a soft German services PMI (46.8) weighing on EUR. ATR(14) is expanding rather than compressing, consistent with a trending leg rather than a range.
Support: 1.13755, 1.1350, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1350 socgen support opens the path to the 1.13 handle
A reclaim of the 1.1430 pivot would challenge the lower-high structure
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC and US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD remains in a clear H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the mid-month roll-over from the 1.1685 area. Price has broken the 1.1430 pivot flagged in the rate-divergence narrative — dovish Lagarde versus a hawkish Fed under Warsh — and printed a fresh range low at 1.1384, with price below both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI near 31 shows momentum stretched but not yet diverging.
Support: 1.13841, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1430
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.1384 confirms the lower-low extension
H4 close back above the 1.1430 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
German IFO Wed 08:00 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, printing successive lower highs and lower lows with price now at a fresh swing low of 1.1384. The slide reflects rate divergence — dovish Lagarde versus a hawkish Fed — with today's EZ PMI beat not enough to reverse the heaviness. Price sits well below both EMA20 and EMA50, and the break under the 1.1417 prior low confirmed the continuation lower.
Support: 1.1384, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.1471
What it said to watch
H4 close back above 1.1471 would break the lower-high sequence
RSI near oversold but no bullish divergence yet to flag exhaustion
German IFO Wed and US core PCE Thu could materially shift this read
Clean downtrend since the firm break below 1.15 last week, with an unbroken sequence of lower highs and lower lows; price is now probing the 1.140 zone flagged in the macro read. The post-Fed USD bid dominated even as today's Eurozone PMIs beat, capping any recovery attempt. ATR holding firm around 22 pips keeps the bearish leg extending rather than compressing.
Support: 1.14095, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.14734, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.140 opens path to fresh multi-month lows
Reclaim of 1.15 needed to break the lower-high sequence
US Core PCE Thursday could materially shift this read
EUR/USD is in a clean H4 downtrend, carving fresh 3-month lows near 1.1410 after breaking firmly below 1.15 on post-Fed USD strength. Today's Eurozone PMI beats failed to lift the pair as the hawkish-Fed narrative dominates, with price pinned well below both EMA20 and EMA50. ATR remains elevated, consistent with a trend extending rather than compressing.
Support: 1.14095, 1.1400
Resistance: 1.1471, 1.1500
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1400 opens path toward fresh multi-month lows
Reclaim of 1.15 needed to neutralise the breakdown read
US Core PCE Thursday is the dominant catalyst that could shift this read
05:01 UTC
Downtrend, near 3-month lows · RSI 38 · price 1.14292
Lower highs, lower lows since mid-month.
EURUSD remains in a clear H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows after the firm break below 1.1500 and pinned near 3-month lows, with hawkish-Fed divergence the dominant driver. Price is sitting just above the 1.1418 swing low while capped under EMA20/EMA50, and ATR has compressed since the sharp impulse leg lower. A retest of the 1.140 area flagged by sell-side desks is the immediate structural focus.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1400, 1.1210
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Flash Eurozone/US PMIs today (08:00 & 13:45 UTC) could materially shift this read
H4 close below 1.1418/1.1400 opens the path toward 1.1210
Reclaim of 1.1480 would challenge the lower-high structure
Lower highs and lower lows, compressing near 3-month low.
EUR/USD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the firm break below 1.15, with Fed-ECB divergence and a broadly bid USD the driver. Price is now grinding along 3-month lows just above the 1.1418 swing low while ATR(14) compresses to ~22 pips, signalling momentum is fading rather than reversing. Both EMA20 and EMA50 cap price overhead, keeping the structure rolled over.
Support: 1.1418, 1.1390, 1.1210
Resistance: 1.1470, 1.1500
What it said to watch
Flash Eurozone PMIs 08:00 UTC and US PMIs 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Break below 1.1390 opens the path toward 1.1210
H4 close above 1.1470 would challenge the lower-high structure
EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, having broken below the 1.1435-1.1495 consolidation after the hawkish-Fed USD breakout drove price under 1.15. The pair is now grinding into the 1.14175 swing low with price held firmly below both EMAs and RSI in oversold territory. Sellers continue to cap rallies into 1.1480, with the 1.1390 support zone the next structural reference if the swing low gives way.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1480, 1.1495
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1390 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1210 area
Reclaim of 1.1495 would neutralise the downside range break
EZ flash PMIs 07:15 UTC and US flash PMIs 13:45 UTC are live catalysts that could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Downtrend, extended · RSI 35 · price 1.14248
Lower highs, lower lows since mid-window.
EURUSD remains in a clean H4 downtrend, carving lower highs and lower lows since the break below 1.1570 on post-Fed dollar strength. Price is pinned just above the 1.1418 swing low with RSI in oversold territory, and both EMA20 and EMA50 cap from above. The pair sits at the lower edge of the 1.1435-1.1495 consolidation noted ahead of Tuesday's EZ flash PMIs.
Support: 1.14175, 1.1400, 1.1390
Resistance: 1.1455, 1.1495, 1.1570
What it said to watch
Clean H4 close below 1.1390/1.1410 exposes the 1.1210 zone
Reclaim of 1.1455 would challenge the lower-high sequence
EZ flash PMIs (07:15-08:00 UTC) and US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) Tue could materially shift this read