EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Pulling back, momentum down · RSI 40 · price 1.13619
Lower highs off session high.
EUR pushed to a 1.13877 session high during the NY session after the in-line US PCE print, then faded through the afternoon to print lower highs into a thin late session. Price now sits at 1.13619, below EMA20/50, holding just above the 1.13606 session low with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.13606, 1.13485, 1.13369
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13606 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13485
Reclaim of 1.13740 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB speak (Nagel 08:30 UTC) could shift this read
23:46 UTC
Pulling back after session-high rejection · RSI 42 · price 1.13634
Rotating lower off the NY high, ~50% retrace.
NY session pushed EURUSD to 1.13877 — a short-covering bounce off Wednesday's 13-month low after in-line US PCE — then faded. Price has since drifted lower through thin Asia-session liquidity to 1.13634, roughly the 50% retrace of the London-NY advance, with RSI mid-range and ATR thin near 4 pips.
Reclaim of 1.13740 reopens the 1.13877 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel) and US Michigan sentiment on Friday could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.13634
Lower highs into thin Asian liquidity.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.1388 then faded; price has rolled over to print fresh session lows near 1.1363 in thin late-session liquidity. Trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-42, sitting around the 50% retrace of the 1.1333-1.1388 leg.
Support: 1.13632, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13788, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1363 opens the 1.1353 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1370 needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) Fri and US Michigan sentiment could shift this read
23:31 UTC
Pulled back from NY high, drifting lower · RSI 41 · price 1.1366
Consolidation under session high, lower highs into Asia.
NY session pushed EUR to a 1.1388 high before sellers capped it; the pair has since bled into the Asia session and is consolidating near 1.1366, just above the 1.13644 session low on thinning volume. Price sits around the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally with RSI in the low 40s and ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.13644, 1.1360, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.1378, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13644 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1360
Reclaim of 1.13780 needed to reopen the 1.1388 session high
ECB's Nagel (08:30 broker) could shift this read
23:16 UTC
Rally faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13695
Consolidation after NY high.
NY session pushed EURUSD to a 1.13876 high before fading back through the close as the soft-USD/in-line PCE read lost steam. Price has since drifted into a tight Asian range, holding a 1.13670 range floor on thin liquidity with ATR compressed to ~4 pips.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1352
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13876
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13670 opens the path toward the 1.13520 swing low
Reclaim of the 1.13800 intraday cap reopens the 1.13876 ny high
Thin Asia liquidity; ECB speakers Fri could inject volatility
Price spiked to the 1.1388 session high during NY hours after the in-line US core PCE, then drifted back and is now consolidating near 1.1366 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) soft around 41 with price holding below EMA20/50; 1.1360 recent low is the near pivot.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1333, 1.1345
Resistance: 1.1378, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1360 opens the 1.1333 day low
Reclaim of 1.1378 recent high reopens the 1.1388 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) Fri and US Michigan sentiment could shift this read
23:01 UTC
Pullback, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.13695
Consolidation under session high after rally fade.
London-NY hours drove a rally to 1.13877 before supply capped and price faded back; the late Asia session is now grinding a tight 1.1369-1.1379 range on thin volume. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46, no momentum impulse in play.
Support: 1.13686, 1.1354, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13790 reopens the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13686 exposes 1.13540 swing low
ECB speakers and US Michigan sentiment later could break the range
EUR spiked off the 1.1333 session low through London-NY hours, tagging 1.1388 before fading. Asia session has gone quiet — drifting around 1.1368, the 38.2% retrace of that rally, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.1366, 1.1352, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1380 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Loss of 1.1366 puts the 1.1352 swing back in play
ECB speakers and US Michigan sentiment Friday could shift this read
NY session pushed EUR to a 1.1388 session high after soft US sentiment knocked DXY off its tops, then supply capped the move and price has drifted back to 1.1368 in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) near 44, momentum cooling as the pair holds the 38% retracement of the NY rally.
Support: 1.13667, 1.1354, 1.13438
Resistance: 1.13795, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13667 opens a move toward 1.1354
Reclaim of 1.13795 reopens the 1.13877 session high
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) Fri could shift this read
22:46 UTC
Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13682
Tight consolidation under session high.
NY session spiked to a 1.13877 session high then faded, and EUR is now consolidating in a tight 1.1368-1.1375 band through thin Asia hours, drifting toward the 1.1367 swing low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) flat near 44; ATR has compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.13795, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1367 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.1363
Reclaim of 1.13795 swing high reopens the 1.13877 session high
Eurozone HICP Mon 07:00 UTC is the next material catalyst for this range
22:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.13709
Consolidating below NY session high.
EUR rallied off the 1.1333 dip through the NY session to a 1.13877 session high, then drifted back into a tight 1.1368-1.1380 range. Asia hours are quiet and low-volume, with price pinned near 1.1371 and RSI mid-range, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1368, 1.13624
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 reopens the upper range and extends the NY rally
Loss of 1.13680 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.13624
NY session ramped to a 1.1388 session high after US data left DXY slipping off its tops, then faded into a tight 1.1370-1.1380 range through the Asia handover on thin volume. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-40s as price sits just under EMA20.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.1388 session high reopens the path toward 1.1400
M15 close below 1.1370 consol floor exposes 1.1333 session low
ECB speakers (Nagel, Vujčić) Fri could shift this read
NY session rallied off the 1.13329 base to a 1.13877 session high before fading, capped on the rejection there. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.13667-1.13800 band on thin late-session liquidity, holding above the 38.2% retrace after yesterday's soft US PCE drew the dollar lower.
Support: 1.13667, 1.13603, 1.1354
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.13877 reopens the upside; loss of 1.13667 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.13540
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could break this consolidation
22:16 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13709
Consolidation below session high.
EUR/USD ran to a session high at 1.13877 during NY hours then faded, and is now consolidating around 1.1370 in thin late-session, post-PCE liquidity. Price is grinding just under EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 46 — no momentum either way into the Asia open.
Support: 1.13667, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13790 reopens the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13667 exposes the 1.13620 swing low
Thin Asia-open liquidity can exaggerate any break
22:01 UTC
Consolidation after NY rally, drifting lower · RSI 45 · price 1.13718
Ranging below session high, micro lower-highs.
NY session rallied to 1.13877 on a softer US PCE print then faded, and price is now consolidating 1.13667–1.13795 in thin late hours with RSI mid-range. Price has slipped just under the EMA20/EMA50 cluster, sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the day's advance.
Support: 1.13667, 1.13614
Resistance: 1.13795, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.13795 reopens the 1.13877 ny high
Loss of 1.13667 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.13614
Thin Asia liquidity; ECB speakers Friday could shift the read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend faded, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.13712
Consolidation under session high after lower highs.
NY session pushed to a 1.1388 session high then faded, leaving a chain of lower highs into a thin late-session consolidation around 1.1370-1.1380. Volume drained into the close with price idling just below EMA20; no setup in play.
Support: 1.1367, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 reopens upside momentum
Loss of 1.1367 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1353
US Michigan sentiment / UoM inflation expectations could shift USD on the next session
21:46 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 45 · price 1.13712
Consolidation below session high after NY push.
Pair rallied off the 1.1333 session low through NY hours to a 1.1388 session high, then faded into a tight consolidation around 1.1370-1.1378 in thin late-session trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 and price has slipped back below EMA20 as the move stalled below the session high.
NY session rallied off 1.1333 to a 1.1388 session high after the soft US PCE print, then faded and is consolidating near 1.1368, around the 38.2% retrace of that move. Price is capped below 1.1380 with thin late-session volume; rejection at the 1.1388 high holds.
EUR pushed to a session high at 1.13877 during NY hours on a softer US PCE print, then faded back into the low 1.1370s. Price now consolidates below EMA20 with RSI cooling toward 43; supply capped the 1.1388 high while 1.13682 has held the pullback.
Support: 1.13682, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13682 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.13620
Reclaim of 1.13800 puts the 1.13877 session high back in play
ECB speakers (Nagel ~08:30) Friday could shift this read
EUR ran up through the NY session to a session high of 1.1388 after the soft US PCE print, then faded and is now consolidating 1.1368-1.1380 into low-volume Asia hours. Price has slipped back under EMA20, RSI(14) cooling toward 43; 1.1380 is capping while buyers held 1.1368.
Support: 1.13682, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.1380 reopens the 1.1388 session high
Loss of 1.1368 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.1362
ECB speakers (Nagel) and US Michigan sentiment Fri could shift this read
EUR rallied through the US session to a 1.13877 high before stalling; PCE MoM softness (0.4% vs 0.5%) underpinned the move. Since then price has consolidated 1.13682–1.13800 and is drifting lower into the Asia handover, RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s and price slipping below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.13682, 1.13603
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13682 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13603
Reclaim of 1.13800 puts the 1.13877 session high back in play
US Michigan sentiment + inflation expectations later today could shift this read
21:16 UTC
NY uptrend fading, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.13711
Consolidating below session high.
NY session pushed EURUSD to a session high of 1.13877 after a soft US PCE print before fading back to 1.13711, with rejection capping the 1.13790 minor high. Price is now consolidating in thin late-session trade, holding above the 1.13682 session low with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.13682, 1.1362, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1379, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13682 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.13620
Reclaim of 1.13790 puts the 1.13877 session high back in play
ECB speakers Fri and US Michigan sentiment could shift this read
EUR/USD spiked to a session high of 1.13877 during NY hours after benign US PCE, then faded into a late-session drift and is now retracing ~38% of that move while probing 1.1370. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price has slipped back below EMA20 as post-NY volume thins.
Support: 1.13682, 1.13614
Resistance: 1.13802, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13682 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.13614
Reclaim of 1.13802 needed to retest the 1.13877 session high
Consolidating below session high after rally off lows.
EUR rebounded off the 1.1333 area after benign US PCE and pushed to a session high of 1.1388 before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 1.1371 into the late NY/Asia handover on thin volume, capped below 1.1381 with the 1.1368 base holding.
Support: 1.13682, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.13813
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13682 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1363 base
Reclaim of 1.13877 session high reopens the upside
UoM sentiment / inflation expectations and Fed-speak in the next session could shift this read
NY session ran a strong rally through 1.1383 to a session high of 1.1388 on the benign US PCE / firmer GDP mix, then faded back to consolidate 1.1372-1.1380 into the late session. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-40s and price is hugging EMA20/50 as the move flattens.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13800 reopens the path to the 1.13877 session high
Loss of 1.13680 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.13630
EURUSD ripped off the 1.1333 session low to 1.1388 during NY hours after benign US PCE collided with a hot GDP and income beat. The move has since faded into the late session, consolidating 1.1370-1.1380 with RSI(14) cooling back to mid-range.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1363, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1370 range floor reopens the 1.1363 swing low
Close above 1.1388 session high extends the breakout
Fri UoM inflation expectations and Fed-speak could shift this read
NY session rallied off the 13-month-low region to a session high of 1.13877 after a softer headline US PCE print, then stalled. Price has gone tight ~1.1372 into late NY, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range and ATR collapsing as the move digests.
Support: 1.13682, 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1380
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 opens the path higher
Loss of 1.13682 reopens downside toward 1.1354
Michigan inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
20:31 UTC
Uptrend off lows, stalling · RSI 46 · price 1.1372
Consolidating below session high after rally.
NY session rallied off the 1.1333 low to a 1.1388 session high after a softer US headline PCE print eased the dollar bid, then faded. EUR/USD is now consolidating 1.1370-1.1380 into late session with RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s as momentum drained.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1360, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1370 range low opens 1.1360 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1380 range top reopens the 1.1388 session high
Michigan inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
NY session lifted EUR off the 1.1333 low to a session high at 1.1388 after in-line US core PCE, then stalled. Price now drifting in a 1.1370-1.1388 range into the close, RSI(14) back to neutral around 46.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1363, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1370 range floor exposes the 1.1363 swing low
M15 close above 1.1388 session high reopens 1.1411
US Michigan inflation expectations (Fri 14:00 GMT) could shift this read
EUR rallied off the 1.1333 session low to 1.1388 through NY hours as US data (in-line core PCE, GDP beat) failed to extend the dollar bid, then stalled. Price is now ranging 1.1368-1.1380 in the late session, RSI back near neutral after rejection at the session high.
Support: 1.1368, 1.1354, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 session high reopens upside
Loss of 1.1368 swing low exposes 1.1354 then 1.1333 session low
UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could shift this read
EUR/USD rallied off 1.1333 into the NY session after a broadly USD-supportive PCE/GDP slate, tagging a session high of 1.13877 twice before stalling. Price now consolidates 1.1370–1.1380 with RSI(14) back near 50; the 1.13877 high capped two attempts and supply is showing there.
Support: 1.13682, 1.13614
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 reopens upside momentum
Failure to hold 1.13682 confirms a lower low
US Michigan inflation expectations + Fed-speak Fri could shift this read
EUR squeezed off the 1.1333 low through the London-NY session, peaking at the 1.13876 session high before fading; in-line core US PCE failed to extend the USD bid. Now consolidating around 1.1372 into late NY, RSI(14) cooled to mid-40s with price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13876
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1363 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.1380 swing high reopens the 1.13876 session high
US Michigan data and Fed-speak tomorrow could shift this read
EUR/USD rebounded through NY hours off the 1.1333 lows after an in-line core PCE print, peaking at 1.1388 before rejecting. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.1370-1.1380 range, RSI(14) flat near 50 with current bar sitting just above 1.1370.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.1380, 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1370 opens 1.1363 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1388 session high resumes the rebound
Higher lows since 1.1333, consolidating below session high.
EUR squeezed higher off the 1.1333 lows after a slightly soft US headline PCE, tagging a 1.1388 session high before stalling. Price now consolidating 1.1370-1.1388 with RSI cooling from the rally; demand held the 1.1370 swing low on the pullback.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1362, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 extends the recovery toward 1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1370 reopens the 1.1333 range low
Fed speakers Williams/Goolsbee in next hours could shift this read
Consolidating below NY session high after recovery off day low.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1333 day low to a 1.1388 session high after in-line core US PCE, then settled into a tight 1.1373-1.1385 band through late NY hours. RSI(14) back near neutral as the impulse cools; price hovers around EMA20.
Support: 1.1372, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 opens the path to 1.1400
Loss of 1.1372 reopens a move toward the 1.1333 day low
Fed's Williams remarks (~19:40 UTC) could shift this read
19:31 UTC
Recovered off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.1378
Rally then sideways below session high.
NY session lifted EUR/USD off the 1.1333 lows to a session high at 1.1388 after in-line US core PCE failed to extend the USD bid. Price has since drifted into a 1.1370-1.1380 consolidation below that high, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-50s.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1376
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 reopens the session high break
Failure to hold 1.1370 reasserts the prior downside toward 1.1333
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift USD tone and this read
Rallied off session low, now ranging below session high.
NY session ripped EUR off the 1.1333 day low to 1.1388 after a slightly soft US PCE headline, then stalled into a tight 1.1372–1.1380 consolidation. RSI(14) cooled back near 54 as price drifts just under EMA20; session high still capping.
Support: 1.1372, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1388 session high opens the path to the 1.1411 barrier
Loss of 1.1372 range low re-exposes the 1.1333 day low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee could shift this read
EUR/USD snapped off the 1.1333 session low after a softer headline US PCE (0.4% vs 0.5%) and spiked to a 1.1387 session high. Price now consolidates around 1.1373 in late NY, holding above EMA50 but capped by EMA20, RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.1376, 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1387 reopens the path toward 1.1411
Failure to hold the 1.1370 range base exposes the 1.1333 session low
Fed speakers (Williams, Goolsbee) due in coming hours could shift this read
NY session rallied off the 1.13329 day low to a session high of 1.13877 after the soft headline PCE print, then faded into a tight 1.1370–1.1380 consolidation. RSI(14) cooled back to neutral as price holds just under EMA20; the 1.13695 swing low is the near-term base.
Support: 1.13695, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.13695 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers in coming hours could shift this read
Higher highs off 1.1333, consolidating below session high.
NY session staged an oversold short-covering bounce off the 1.1333 yearly-low region to a session high of 1.13877 after in-line US PCE, then stalled. Price now consolidates 1.1370–1.1388, with EUR sitting just under EMA20 after rejection at the session high.
Support: 1.13695, 1.1354, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 session high opens the path to the 1.1411 barrier
Failure to hold 1.13695 swing low reopens the 1.1354 prior swing
Fed-speak (Williams, Goolsbee) in the next hours could shift this read
Rally off lows, now consolidating below session high.
EURUSD rebounded from the 1.1333 lows after in-line US PCE and ran into a session high at 1.1388 during NY hours. Price has since stalled, consolidating 1.1372–1.1385 with RSI(14) easing back to neutral around 54.
Support: 1.1372, 1.1362
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1385
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path toward the 1.1411 barrier
Close below 1.1372 negates the consolidation and exposes 1.1362
Fed speakers (Williams, Goolsbee) due in coming hours could shift this read
EURUSD rallied through NY hours off the 1.1333 dip to a session high of 1.13877 after in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel. Price is now consolidating around 1.1377, holding above the 1.1371 pullback low with RSI cooling from the rally.
Support: 1.13712, 1.1365, 1.13517
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Close back below 1.1371 breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.1388 opens the 1.1411 barrier
18:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 54 · price 1.13772
Higher lows after NY bounce, ranging near session high.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.13329 13-month low during early NY hours, an in-line US core PCE removing downside-surprise risk and sparking short-covering up to a session high of 1.13877. Price has since stalled, consolidating between 1.1373 and the session high with RSI cooling toward mid-range.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 opens the path to the 1.1411 barrier
Failure to hold 1.1373 reopens the 1.13329 day low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher lows off 1.1333, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1333 session low to a session high of 1.1388 after an in-line US PCE sparked a short-covering bounce. Price is now consolidating in the 1.1373–1.1385 zone, holding above EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.1373, 1.1364, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1373 breaks the higher-low chain
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path to 1.1411
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) speeches could shift this read
Rally off session low, now consolidating below session high.
NY session drove an EUR short-covering bounce off the 13-month low near 1.1333 after in-line US PCE, lifting price to a session high at 1.13876. Price has since stalled and is consolidating in a tight 1.1373–1.1378 band, RSI mid-range and ATR compressed to ~8 pips.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13876, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13876 session high opens the path toward the 1.1411 barrier
Failure to hold the 1.1373 range low reopens the move down toward the 1.13329 session low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Rally from session low, consolidating under session high.
EUR/USD rallied off the 1.1333 13-month low into the NY session, short-covering after in-line US PCE lifted price to a 1.1388 session high. Buyers stepped in, but the move stalled and price is now consolidating along the 1.1371 range floor with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.1371, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path toward the 1.1411 barrier
Break below 1.1371 puts the 1.1333 session low back in focus
Fed speakers (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Rally off session low, now consolidating below the high.
NY session staged a short-covering bounce off the 1.1333 session low after in-line US PCE removed the downside-surprise risk, peaking at 1.1388. Price has since stalled and is consolidating around 1.1374, just below EMA20 with RSI back near neutral.
Support: 1.1373, 1.1360, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 reopens the 1.1411 barrier
Failure to hold 1.1360 reopens the 1.1333 session low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later today could shift the USD read
NY session staged a short-covering bounce off the 1.1333 region after an in-line US PCE print, pushing to a session high of 1.1387 before fading. Price stalled at twin highs near 1.1387 and is now consolidating around 1.1373, slipping back under EMA20 with RSI cooled to ~51.
Support: 1.13712, 1.13532
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1376
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1371 swing low reopens the path toward 1.1333
Reclaim of 1.1387 session high targets the 1.1411 barrier
Fed speakers (Williams, Goolsbee) tonight could shift this read
NY rally to session high, now consolidating below it.
NY session ran a short-covering rally off 1.1333 to a session high at 1.13877 after in-line US PCE removed the upside inflation surprise. Price has since stalled and is consolidating around 1.1373, holding above the 1.1370 floor with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral.
Support: 1.1370, 1.13614
Resistance: 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13700 floor exposes the 1.13614 swing low
Reclaim of 1.13877 session high reopens the upside
Fed's Williams and Goolsbee speaking later today could materially shift this read
NY session drove a sharp recovery off the 1.1333 session low to a high of 1.13877, then stalled and is consolidating around 1.1374 with RSI(14) cooling back to the mid-50s. Price is hugging EMA20 after the run; session high still caps for now.
Support: 1.13716, 1.1362, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 reopens the path toward 1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1362 puts the 1.1333 session low back in play
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read intraday
Recovery off lows, consolidating below session high.
EUR/USD staged a sharp short-covering bounce off the 13-month low zone after in-line US PCE removed a fresh hawkish catalyst, rallying through the NY session to a high at 1.13877 before that level was rejected. Price has since cooled back to 1.13741 and is consolidating just under the highs, RSI(14) back near neutral.
Support: 1.13716
Resistance: 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13716 swing low signals the bounce is fading
Reclaim and close above 1.13877 session high reopens the upside
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
17:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 54 · price 1.13731
Higher highs into session top, now retracing.
NY session rallied off 1.1333 to a session high at 1.13877 as USD lost upside fuel after in-line core PCE. Price has since faded back to 1.13731, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral; the 1.13877 top capped two attempts.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13614, 1.13491
Resistance: 1.13877
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.13730 exposes 1.13614 swing low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee Fedspeak could shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows off 1.1333, pulling back from session high.
NY session staged a sharp short-covering rally off the 1.1333 low to a session high of 1.1388 after in-line US PCE removed the hawkish surprise, lifting EUR/USD against its broader bearish bias. Price has since cooled back to 1.1373 with RSI(14) easing from overbought; the 1.1373 zone is holding as support on the retest so far.
Support: 1.1373, 1.1362, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1373 opens the path back to the 1.1362 swing low
M15 close above 1.1388 extends the rally toward the 1.1411 barrier
Fed speakers (Williams, Goolsbee) due in coming hours could shift this read
Higher highs into NY, now pulling back from session high.
NY session ripped off 1.1333 after the in-line US PCE print and firmer risk, breaking the prior range and peaking at 1.13877. Price is now retracing toward 1.1373 as RSI cools from the highs; the breakout base near 1.13624 sits below.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13624, 1.13491
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1385
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.1373 keeps the pullback shallow; loss exposes the 1.13624 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.13877 reopens the path toward 1.1411
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
Higher highs off 1.1333, pulling back from session high.
EUR snapped back through the NY session in a short-cover bounce off the 13-month low region, tagging a 1.1388 session high before easing to 1.1374. The leg up came as the dollar trimmed gains after in-line US PCE; RSI(14) is cooling from the rally as price retests the 1.1370 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.1370 keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss exposes the 1.1353 breakout base
Close above 1.1388 session high opens the path toward the 1.1411 barrier
Fed speakers Williams and Goolsbee later today could shift the dollar tone
17:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 1.1377
Higher highs/lows off session low, pulling back from session high.
NY session staged a relief rally off the 1.1329 session low to a 1.1388 session high after in-line US core PCE, the oversold EUR snap-back the context flagged. Last two bars rejected the high and slipped to 1.1377, RSI(14) cooling from the upper band but still above the midline.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1374 reopens 1.1353 and the 1.1329 session low
Close above 1.1388 extends toward the 1.1411 barrier
Fed speakers (Williams, Goolsbee) later could shift this read
16:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the lows · RSI 62 · price 1.1377
Higher highs / higher lows since the 1.1333 base.
NY session staged a relief bounce off the 13-month low at 1.1333 after a soft-feared US PCE print, reclaiming the 1.1370 cap and tagging a session high at 1.1388. Price now consolidating around 1.1377, RSI(14) cooling from the rally high but holding above 60.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1370, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1388 opens the path toward the 1.1411 barrier
Failure to hold 1.1374 negates the higher-low chain and re-exposes 1.1370/1.1333
Fed speaker Williams (19:40 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, strong NY bounce · RSI 70 · price 1.1384
Higher highs, breakout above prior cap.
NY session staged a sharp short-cover bounce off the 1.1333 low, clearing the 1.1370 cap and tagging a session high at 1.1388. RSI(14) is elevated near 70 as price consolidates just under the high; the 1.1370 cap now acts as the first support shelf.
Support: 1.1373, 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1400, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path toward 1.1400/1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1373 reopens the move back toward 1.1333
Fedspeak (Williams, Goolsbee) later today could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Uptrend, intraday rebound · RSI 70 · price 1.1384
Higher highs since 1.1333 low, near session high.
EUR snapped off the 1.1333 session low and rallied through the 1.1370 cap into NY hours, an oversold short-cover bounce after in-line US core PCE (3.4% y/y) failed to add hawkish fuel. Price now presses the session high at 1.1388 with RSI(14) near 70 — hot but not extreme; the 1.1411 barrier is the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1388 opens the path toward 1.1400/1.1411 barrier
Loss of 1.1370 prior cap reasserts the down structure
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later today could shift this read
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 71 · price 1.13817
Higher highs and higher lows off the 1.1333 day low.
EUR snapped higher through the NY session, rallying from the 1.1333 day low to a 1.1388 session high after in-line US PCE sparked a short-cover bounce in an oversold market. The breakout above 1.1362 held on the pullback to 1.1374, with RSI(14) running hot near 71 into the 1.1385/1.1411 resistance band.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1362, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1388, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1374 swing low would break the rising intraday structure
Acceptance above the 1.1388 session high opens the 1.1411 barrier
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee commentary later today could shift USD tone
EUR snapped off the 1.1333 session low and broke the 1.1370 cap after in-line US core PCE and softer USD-corrective tone, rallying into NY hours to a 1.13877 session high. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; pullbacks have held above 1.1378 so far.
Support: 1.1378, 1.1362, 1.13334
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13877 extends the path toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13780 risks a deeper retrace into the 1.1362 breakout zone
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later could shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 69 · price 1.13831
HH/HL chain off the 13-month low.
EUR snapped back off the 13-month low at 1.1333 after in-line core US PCE denied fresh hawkish fuel, and the M15 has built a clean uptrend into the NY session, pressing the session high at 1.1388. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme — with price holding well above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.1378, 1.1365, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13877 opens the path toward the 1.1400 round number
Failure to hold 1.13780 breaks the rising-low chain
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) / Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) speakers could shift this read
NY session relief bounce after in-line core PCE: stretched EUR shorts covered off the 1.1333 low and pressed to a 1.13877 session high. RSI(14) hot near 70 but structure holds higher lows; price hovering just under the session high into the close.
Support: 1.1371, 1.13624, 1.1353
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 1.13877 opens the 1.1400/1.14110 cap
Failure to hold 1.13710 would break the higher-low chain
Fedspeak (Williams/Goolsbee) could shift this read into the next bars
16:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 72 · price 1.13806
Sharp recovery off session low, fresh HH.
NY afternoon saw EUR/USD ramp from the 1.1333 session low to a 1.1388 high after in-line core PCE denied the dollar fresh hawkish fuel and stretched EUR shorts covered. RSI(14) near 71 flags a hot move; price now pinned just below the 1.1388 session high after a minor pullback to 1.1380.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13877
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13700 prior swing would unwind the relief rally
Close above 1.13877 session high extends toward the 1.1411 area
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee comments later today could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 69 · price 1.13806
Higher highs off intraday low, breaking session highs.
EUR/USD ripped higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 1.13877 — a relief bounce as stretched EUR shorts covered after the in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel. RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme; price holding above the 1.13624 breakout shelf with a chain of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.1373, 1.13624, 1.13491
Resistance: 1.13877, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13730 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
Close above 1.13877 session high opens the path to 1.1400 round number
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later today could shift this read
15:46 UTC
Uptrend, NY relief rally · RSI 70 · price 1.13862
Higher highs off session low, holding near highs.
EUR/USD ripped off the 1.1333 session low during NY hours after an in-line US PCE triggered a short-covering relief bounce, now pressing the session high at 1.1388. RSI(14) near 70 — hot but not extreme — with price tracking a clean chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13876, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1388 opens the path to 1.1400
Loss of 1.1365 breaks the rising intraday structure
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches in coming hours could shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 74 · price 1.13862
Rising HH/HL recovery off 13-month low.
NY-session relief bounce extended EUR/USD off the 1.1333 low to a session high of 1.1387 after US Core PCE landed in line, capping fresh USD momentum. RSI(14) is hot near 74 and price is stretched above EMA20/50, with rising higher-lows intact through the afternoon.
Support: 1.13738, 1.13624, 1.13491
Resistance: 1.13876, 1.1400, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13738 swing low breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Push through 1.13876 session high opens 1.1400 psych then 1.1411 barrier
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee (22:30 GMT) speeches could reprice USD and shift this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, NY relief bounce · RSI 64 · price 1.1375
Higher highs off session low, near session high.
NY session staged a relief bounce off the 1.1333 session low toward the 1.1386 cap, lifting EUR/USD ~50 pips after the in-line US PCE took fresh fuel out of the dollar. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme; price now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 1.1374, 1.1340, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1386, 1.1411
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1386 opens the path to 1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1374 risks a fade back toward 1.1340
Fed Williams/Goolsbee speeches later today could shift the read
EUR/USD based around 1.1333 then ran a sharp NY-session relief bounce as stretched shorts covered, tagging 1.13856 before easing to 1.1375. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not yet stretched; the rally is holding above the broken 1.1362 shelf.
Support: 1.1362, 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13856, 1.1411
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13620 swing low would break the higher-low chain
Reclaim/clearance of 1.13856 session high opens 1.1411
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches in coming hours could shift this read
Higher highs off session low, pushing session high.
NY session staged a sharp relief rally off the 1.1333 session low, lifting EURUSD to a session high of 1.1383 after in-line US PCE removed fresh USD fuel. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI near 69 — hot but not extended; the 1.1365 breakout base has been respected on the pullback.
Support: 1.1365, 1.1353, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13831, 1.13789
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1383 extends the rally toward 1.1411
Loss of 1.1365 breakout base signals the bounce stalling
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches in coming hours could shift USD tone
Higher highs off session low, pressing session high.
EUR/USD relief bounce off the 1.13329 session low accelerated through the NY afternoon after in-line US PCE removed a hawkish USD catalyst, short covering driving a breakout to a fresh session high at 1.13831. Price holds near the highs with RSI(14) around 71 — hot but not extreme; 1.13624 is the nearest broken pivot now acting as support.
Support: 1.13624, 1.1353, 1.1337
Resistance: 1.13831
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.13624 swing low would stall the bounce and reopen 1.13530
Acceptance above 1.13831 session high extends the breakout
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) Fedspeak could shift this read
EUR/USD snapped higher off the 1.1333 session low after the in-line/soft US PCE print triggered the flagged short-covering relief bounce, tagging 1.1383 before easing to 1.1379. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; the move has cleared prior intraday swings and held above 1.1362 on the latest pullback.
Support: 1.13624, 1.13517, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13831
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.1362 would stall the recovery and reopen 1.1352
A push through 1.1383 extends the bounce toward the 1.1411 area
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later could shift this read
EUR/USD rebounded hard off the 1.1333 session low after in-line US PCE removed the hawkish catalyst, pushing through the 1.1370 cap to tag 1.1383. RSI(14) near 70 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive NY leg.
Support: 1.13638, 1.13491, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13831, 1.1400
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1383 session high opens the path toward 1.1400
Loss of 1.1364 would stall the rebound and reopen 1.1349
EUR/USD carved a double bottom near 1.1333 and snapped higher on the in-line US PCE print, breaking the 1.1370 cap and tagging a session high at 1.13831 before easing to 1.1370. RSI(14) near 64, hot but not extreme; price holds above both EMAs after the v-recovery.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.13831, 1.1374
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.1353 swing low would unwind the breakout
Loss of 1.1333 session low reopens the prior down-slide
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Rebound off session low, momentum up · RSI 64 · price 1.13734
V-recovery, higher lows since 1.1333.
EUR/USD reversed off the 1.1333 session low after an in-line US PCE print removed the dollar's upside fuel, rallying through 1.1370 to tag 1.1383 before the latest bar wicked back to 1.1373. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched; the post-PCE recovery is intact while price holds above the 1.1353 swing low.
Support: 1.13529, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13831, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1353 negates the post-PCE recovery
Break above 1.1383 session high opens the 1.1400 psych area
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers later today could shift this read
14:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.13734
V-recovery, breakout from intraday range.
NY session spiked off the 1.1333 session low after an in-line US PCE removed the dollar's upside fuel, EUR rallying to 1.1383 before settling at 1.1373. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling from the rally peak; session high at 1.1383 is the level to watch for break or rejection.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13831, 1.1372
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1383 extends the recovery toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.1333 session low
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) and ECB Cipollone (15:00) could shift this read
Double-bottom recovery within 1.1333–1.1374 range.
EUR/USD swept the session low at 1.1333 then snapped higher on the in-line US PCE print, which removed fresh hawkish-USD fuel. Price is back mid-range near 1.1364, capped under the 1.1369 session high with RSI(14) recovering to the high 50s.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1337, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13694, 1.13736
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13694 would extend the rebound toward the 1.13736 prior high
Failure to hold 1.13530 puts the 1.1337/1.1333 lows back in play
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers tonight could re-accelerate USD and shift this read
NY session swept the 1.1333 base then snapped back to 1.1364 on the in-line US PCE print, with the move stalling under the 1.1370 cap. RSI(14) mid-range near 56; price now consolidating between 1.1353 and the session high at 1.1369.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1337, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13694, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13694 session high opens scope toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13530 pullback low reopens the 1.13329 session low
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) / Goolsbee tone could shift this read
Bounced from 1.1333, consolidating below 1.1370 cap.
EUR/USD spiked off the 1.1333 swing low into NY hours as in-line US PCE removed fresh USD upside fuel, then stalled below the 1.1370 cap. Price is now chopping 1.1349–1.1365 with RSI back near mid-range after the impulse.
Support: 1.13491, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 opens the session high at 1.1374
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.1333 swing low
Fed's Williams (19:40 GMT) could shift the USD read this session
14:01 UTC
Recovering off lows, capped · RSI 55 · price 1.13605
Swept session low, ranging below resistance.
EUR/USD swept the 1.1333 session low then spiked to 1.1364 after in-line US PCE removed the USD upside fuel, prompting short-covering. Price has since settled near 1.1360, capped below the 1.1370 area into NY hours.
Support: 1.13491, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 opens a push toward 1.1385
Failure to hold 1.1333 confirms a fresh lower low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speakers tonight could shift the read
In-line core PCE (3.4% YoY) sparked a spike to 1.1364 on heavy volume, then a fade back to 1.1349 before price recovered to 1.1366 — still capped below the 1.1370 cap. Range between the 1.1333 swing low and 1.1374 prior high holds; RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.1349, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1374 invalidates the range read
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.1333 swing low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift this read via USD
Early NY session printed a sharp spike off the 1.13329 low on the in-line US PCE print, recovering ~25 pips before stalling. Price has consolidated and is retesting the 1.13705 session high; the 1.1370 cap noted into the data still holds for now.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1339, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13705, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13705 opens the 1.13736 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1353 reopens the 1.1339-1.13329 lows
Fed speakers (Williams 19:40 UTC) could shift this read intraday
13:31 UTC
Recovering off session lows · RSI 58 · price 1.13659
Double bottom then sharp rebound toward range cap.
Sweep of the 1.1333 session low was followed by a sharp recovery candle into 12:30 UTC as US PCE printed in line, lifting EUR/USD back toward the 1.1370 cap. RSI(14) near 58, price has reclaimed EMA20/50; the 1.1370 cap is so far untested from below.
Support: 1.13491, 1.1333
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 cap would invalidate the capped-range read
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.1333 session low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) could shift the USD leg and this read
13:31 UTC
Recovering off lows, capped · RSI 52 · price 1.13539
Swept session low, sharp snap-back into consolidation.
EUR/USD swept the 1.13329 session low then snapped back with a sharp recovery bar to 1.13642 as in-line US PCE failed to extend the Dollar bid. Price now consolidating near 1.1354, below the 1.1364 spike high, RSI(14) neutral around 52.
Support: 1.13393, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13642, 1.13736
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13642 opens the path toward the 1.13736 session high
Failure to hold 1.13393 reopens the 1.13329 session low
Fed Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee speeches could shift this read
13:16 UTC
Choppy, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 1.13539
Swept 1.1333 low, sharp snapback, now consolidating.
Price swept the 1.1333 swing low then ripped back to 1.13642 on the US PCE release (core in line, headline cooler), but the spike was rejected and faded to 1.1354. Now consolidating mid-move, RSI(14) back near 51.
Support: 1.13491, 1.13329
Resistance: 1.13642, 1.1370
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.13642 reopens the 1.1370 cap
Loss of 1.13491 puts the 1.1333 low back in play
Fed Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the read
NY session swept the session low at 1.13329 near the 13-month low before a single high-volume candle spiked price to 1.13642, retracing most of the prior downleg following in-line US PCE. Price has since faded back to 1.13546 and stalled below the spike high; the 1.1370 cap remains untested.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13642, 1.1370
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13642 spike high opens the path toward the 1.1370 cap
Failure to hold the 1.13329 session low confirms a lower low toward the 13-mo low
Price swept the 1.1333 session low then snapped 30 pips higher on the US PCE release, an in-line/soft read squeezing crowded EUR shorts back toward the 1.1370 cap. RSI(14) recovered to mid-range from oversold; the 1.1370 cap is the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.1333, 1.1342
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.1374
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1370 invalidates the cap and opens 1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1333 reasserts the lower-low and the 1.1280 path
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
13:01 UTC
Range-bound, choppy · RSI 52 · price 1.13546
Trapped 1.1333-1.1370, PCE spike faded.
US PCE at the NY session triggered a sharp spike to 1.13642 that was immediately rejected, price snapping back to 1.13546. EURUSD remains trapped between the 1.1333 session low and the 1.1370 cap, no follow-through on either side.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13642, 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1333 opens the 1.1280 path
Reclaim of 1.1370 needed to invalidate the range read
Fed Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
A PCE-driven spike at the NY open lifted EURUSD off the 1.1333 session low — fresh 13-month lows — back toward 1.1370 on a single 25-pip bar. RSI(14) snapped higher with the move; the 1.1370 psych cap and 1.1374 session high are the immediate barriers overhead.
Support: 1.13329, 1.13382
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 1.1370 cap needed to extend toward the 1.1374 session high
Failure to hold the 1.1333 session low reopens the 13-month-low extension
Fed speakers Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee later could reshape this read
EURUSD slid to fresh session lows at 1.13329 before the 12:30 UTC PCE print sparked a sharp recovery bar back to 1.13562 — a relief rebound consistent with a softer-than-feared US inflation read. Twin lows around 1.1333 held; price now testing back into the prior 1.1356–1.1364 zone with RSI snapping back to neutral.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13638, 1.13736
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.13638 swing high extends the rebound toward the 1.13736 session high
Failure to hold 1.13329 session low reopens the 1.1325 daily low
Continued PCE-driven volatility could whipsaw this read in the next bars
EUR/USD spiked ~17 pips into 1.1357 on the 12:30 GMT US PCE print after sliding to a session low of 1.1333, defended twice just above the 1.1325 13-month low. RSI(14) recovering off depressed levels; the 1.1370 cap and session high at 1.1374 are the upside barriers on this bounce.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13736
What it said to watch
Sustained move above 1.1374 session high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Loss of 1.1333 session low reopens the 1.1325 13-mo low
PCE follow-through over the next bars will define the reaction
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13416
Lower highs into session low, minor recovery.
EURUSD rolled over from the session high at 1.13736 through NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.13329 before stabilising at 1.13416 as US PCE crossed the wire. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 41, recovering off oversold-adjacent levels but capped under 1.13560.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1356, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US PCE release now is the dominant catalyst and can break the 1.13329–1.13560 range either way
M15 close below 1.13329 exposes the 1.13250 13-month low
Reclaim of 1.13560 would neutralise the lower-high structure
Lower highs into fresh session lows, small base at 1.1333.
EUR slid through the US session to retest 13-month-low territory near 1.1333, unwinding the move off the 1.1373 session high. Buyers stepped in twice at 1.1333 and price bounced to 1.1342, RSI(14) recovering from the high-30s. Drop comes as USD holds firm into today's core PCE.
Support: 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1373
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and lands within minutes
Loss of 1.1333 exposes the 1.1325 low
Close back above 1.1373 negates the intraday lower-high chain
EUR slid through the NY morning to fresh session lows at 1.1333, extending a clean lower-high chain off the 1.1374 peak as traders squared into US core PCE. RSI(14) near 30 — short-term stretched but not yet extreme; price sits just above the 13-month low at 1.1325.
Support: 1.13334, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13456, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT (minutes away) is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
EUR rolled over through NY hours, shedding the 1.1374 session high and breaking below the 1.1344 shelf to print fresh lows at 1.1333. RSI(14) near 34 and price pinned below EMA20/50, consistent with the dollar-led leg ahead of US core PCE due imminently.
Support: 1.13329, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1344, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US core PCE in ~30min is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.1344 would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.1333 confirms continuation toward the 1.1325 area
EUR rolled over from the 1.1374 swing high and printed five red M15 bars into 1.1336, back toward the 13-month low at 1.1325 — a dollar-led slide ahead of US PCE. RSI(14) near 32, not yet at extremes; price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.1333, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1356
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~30m) is the dominant catalyst for this read
Close below 1.1325 opens the 1.1280 path
Reclaim of 1.1356 would stall the lower-low sequence
Lower highs and lower lows, breaking toward 13-month low.
EUR rolled over from the 1.13736 session high into the NY hours, printing a steady chain of lower highs and now pressing a fresh session low at 1.13360, just above the 13-month low at 1.13325. RSI(14) near 31 reflects the stretched move; the leg is dollar-led with US Core PCE the dominant catalyst into the next bars.
Support: 1.13325, 1.1336
Resistance: 1.13615, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in under 1h could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13325 confirms continuation toward 1.1280
Reclaim of 1.13615 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
EURUSD rolled over from 1.1374 through the late session, printing a fresh session low at 1.1333 with EUR pinned near 13-month lows on the dollar bid. Price now hugs 1.1336 below EMA20/50, RSI(14) sub-32 but not yet at extremes.
Support: 1.13334, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1344, 1.1370
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in under 1h could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1325 daily line confirms continuation toward 1.1280
Reclaim of 1.1344 swing eases the downside pressure
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into lows · RSI 31 · price 1.13375
Lower highs, lower lows; fresh session low.
London session sold EUR/USD off the 1.13736 high down to a fresh session low at 1.1336, breaking the prior 1.1354 support and extending the slide toward the 13-month low at 1.1325 ahead of US Core PCE. RSI(14) near 31 and price below EMA20/50; prior support at 1.1354 now caps.
Support: 1.1336, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1354, 1.1370
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~1h could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1325 opens the path toward 1.1280
Reclaim of 1.1354 would ease the downside pressure
11:31 UTC
Short-term downtrend off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.13435
Lower highs into PCE, retracing prior up-leg.
EURUSD rolled over from the 1.13736 session high and is sliding into 1.13435, sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the 1.1325–1.13736 up-leg with RSI(14) near 38. Price holds just above the 1.13413 session low; soft German GfK gave no support and the move is USD-led into US Core PCE.
Support: 1.13413, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1354, 1.13675, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~80m (12:30 GMT) is the immediate catalyst — likely to set direction
Close below 1.13413 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.1325 13-mo low
Recapture of 1.13540 then 1.13675 would unwind the session-high rejection
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, late-session leg lower · RSI 34 · price 1.13435
Lower highs and lower lows off the 1.1373 swing.
EUR/USD rolled over from the 1.13736 session high through NY hours, printing successive lower lows back to 1.13413, with RSI(14) at ~33. The slide stalls just above the recent base ahead of US Core PCE, the session's key catalyst.
Support: 1.13413, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~75min could materially shift this read
Close below 1.1325 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.1280
Reclaim of 1.1370 invalidates the down-leg read
11:16 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 38 · price 1.13445
Lower highs after rejection at 1.1374.
EUR rejected the 1.1374 session high and sold off to retest the 1.1342 lows, RSI(14) cooling into the upper-30s. The intraday up-leg has been fully retraced ahead of the 12:30 GMT US PCE cluster.
Support: 1.13425, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.1356, 1.13675, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US PCE cluster at 12:30 GMT (~75 min out) could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13425 session low exposes the 1.1325 13-mo low
Reclaim of 1.13560 cap would neutralise the pullback
11:01 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection · RSI 39 · price 1.13445
Lower highs forming off session high.
EUR was capped at 1.1374 in late London and has slid back to 1.13445, erasing the morning rally as RSI(14) cools toward 39. Price now sits on the 1.13425 session low ahead of US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.13425, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.13736, 1.1370
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.13425 opens the path toward the 1.1324 low
Recapture of the 1.1370 cap would neutralise the pullback
11:01 UTC
Intraday rally fading · RSI 39 · price 1.13465
Pullback from session high toward support.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1374 session high twice and has unwound the entire London-NY rally, now pressing 1.1346 with RSI(14) near 39. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst into this pullback.
Support: 1.1344, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1370
What it said to watch
US PCE in ~1.5h could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1344 opens the path back toward the 1.1324 low
Reclaim of 1.1370 negates the rejection and reopens 1.1374
10:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.13465
Rotation lower after rejection at 1.1374.
EUR/USD rejected the 1.1374 session high and has slid back to 1.1346, slipping below the EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s. Price is grinding the lower half of the 1.1344–1.1374 intraday range ahead of US core PCE at 12:30 GMT.
Support: 1.13443, 1.1337
Resistance: 1.1356, 1.1370, 1.13736
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and can break this range either way
M15 close below 1.1344 confirms a lower low and opens the session low at 1.1337
Reclaim of the 1.1356 ema20 puts 1.1370 session high back in play
10:46 UTC
Intraday up leg stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.13524
Rejected 1.1374, retracing toward range mid.
London session drove EURUSD up to 1.13735 before twin rejections near 1.1372/1.1374 capped the move, with price now back to 1.1352 and below the EMA20. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as the up leg unwound; broader USD strength near 13-month EUR lows remains the backdrop.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.1370, 1.13735
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst, ~2h out
Close above 1.13735 re-engages the session high
Failure to hold 1.13443 confirms a lower-low for the session
10:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.13554
Rally to session high then retrace to 61.8% fib.
London session pushed EURUSD up to a session high at 1.1374 before sellers rejected it; price has eased back to the 61.8% retracement near 1.1355 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. The move stalls into the US Core PCE release, the session's main catalyst.
Support: 1.13443, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.13736, 1.13705
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h) could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.1374 session high resumes the upside leg
Failure to hold 1.1344 swing low opens the 1.1325 13-month low
10:31 UTC
Intraday up move rolling over · RSI 46 · price 1.13524
Rejected at session high, pulling back.
EURUSD pushed to a session high of 1.13736 during London hours, then was rejected and faded back to 1.13524, slipping under EMA20/EMA50. Move sits inside the 1.1350–1.1374 band with the broader 1.1325 13-month low still below; high-impact US Core PCE (12:30 GMT) is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13443, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13736, 1.1411
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT can break this read either way
Loss of 1.1350 exposes the 1.13443 intraday low then 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.13736 reopens the upside toward 1.1411
Higher highs into London, pulling back from session high.
EUR ground higher through the London session to a session high at 1.13736 before a sharp rejection wick faded the move back to 1.1355. Price is now sitting on the 0.618 retracement of the 1.13443-1.13736 leg, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13736, 1.13675
What it said to watch
US Core PCE in ~2h could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13736 reopens the session-high test
Loss of 1.13499 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.13443
EUR clawed off the 1.1325 13-month low and probed 1.1374 in the London-NY transition before being rejected, now back near 1.1361. Price is hovering on EMA20 inside a 1.1350-1.1374 band with RSI flat near 51 — no clear momentum.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1344, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1411
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2h out) is the immediate catalyst and can break this range
M15 close above 1.1374 opens the path toward 1.1411
Loss of 1.1350 puts the 1.1344 swing low back in play
10:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 52 · price 1.13608
HH/HL chain off 1.1344, rejected at 1.1374.
London session lifted EUR off 1.1344 to a session high of 1.1374, where it was rejected and price is now back near 1.1361. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the push stalled; US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the binary catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.1344
Resistance: 1.1374, 1.1370
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~2.5h) — key catalyst, can override this structure
Higher lows since London, rejection at session high.
EUR/USD ground higher through London into 1.13736 before a rejection pared the move back to 1.13632, RSI cooling from the highs. The rising sequence off 1.13443 still holds with price hovering around EMA20 ahead of US PCE.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13736
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.13443 breaks the rising intraday support
Close above 1.13736 reopens the path toward 1.1411
EUR/USD ground higher through the session off the 1.1324 day low, now pressing the 1.13720 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s — a stretched-oversold bounce in line with the digest's squeeze read into US PCE. Higher highs and higher lows intact; buyers stepped in at 1.13443 on the last pullback.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13675
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the swing catalyst and can override this read
Close above 1.13720 extends the intraday breakout toward the 1.1380s
Loss of 1.13499 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
09:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, steady · RSI 64 · price 1.13713
Higher highs and higher lows off 1.1344.
London session ground higher off the 1.1344 low into a fresh session high at 1.13720, EUR squeezing the oversold downtrend ahead of US PCE. RSI(14) near 64, not yet stretched; the 1.1363 higher low is holding.
Support: 1.1363, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.1372
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the swing catalyst and could materially shift this read
Higher highs since the 1.1344 swing low, shallow pullback.
London session ground higher off the 1.1344 low to a session high at 1.1372 before easing back to 1.1366; RSI(14) neutral near 56, no extreme. Move fits the corrective EUR rebound flagged into US data, not a trend change.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443, 1.1330
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1411
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1372 keeps the higher-high sequence intact toward 1.1411
Loss of 1.1350 reopens the 1.1344 session low
09:31 UTC
Minor uptrend, corrective bounce · RSI 58 · price 1.13663
HL chain off 1.1344, testing session high.
EUR rebounded off the 1.1344 swing low through the European session, posting a higher-low chain into the 1.1372 session high before easing to 1.1366. Context frames this as a corrective bounce within a broader EUR decline; RSI(14) near 58 with no extreme.
Support: 1.1344, 1.13255
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.1411
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT (~3h) is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
M15 close above 1.1372 extends the bounce toward the 1.1411 cap
Failure to hold 1.1344 reopens the 1.1325 range low
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, recovery leg · RSI 59 · price 1.13662
Higher highs/lows off 1.1344 intraday low.
EUR ground higher through the European morning, pushing off the 1.1344 intraday low to tag a session high at 1.1372 before easing to 1.1366; RSI(14) near 59, no extreme. The recovery is corrective within this week's broken-floor backdrop, with US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT the dominant catalyst into the next bars.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.1372
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close above 1.1372 extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.1350 / 1.13443 confirms a lower-low and ends the recovery leg
09:16 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 58 · price 1.13662
Higher highs since the 1.1344 swing low.
EUR clawed back from the 1.1344 swing low through London hours, tagging the session high at 1.1372 before easing to 1.1366; the move is corrective short-covering off deeply oversold conditions, not a trend change. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.1350 and the micro-structure holds higher lows. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the swing factor — the dominant catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13443, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.1372 opens room toward 1.1411
Loss of 1.1350 reopens the 1.1344 swing low
US Core PCE in ~3h could materially shift this read
09:01 UTC
Recovery off session low, momentum up · RSI 59 · price 1.13662
Higher lows since 1.1344, capped at 1.1372.
London session grinding higher off the 1.1344 low, posting higher lows into a 1.1372 day high where the last bar was rejected. EUR's bounce is corrective within a third-day slide; RSI(14) near 59, no extreme. US PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.1372, 1.13708
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1372 day high opens room toward 1.1411
Failure to hold 1.1350 round level reopens the 1.13443 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher lows off session dip, pressing session high.
EUR/USD recovered through the European session, pushing to a session high at 1.1372 after a dip to 1.1344, clearing the 1.137 highs from earlier in the window. The move is a corrective rebound against the broader EUR slide; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched. US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst into the next bars.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.1372
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read within ~3.5h
Close above 1.1372 opens the path to extension higher
Failure to hold 1.1344 confirms a lower low and breaks the bounce
Higher lows since the 1.1344 low, testing prior pivot.
London session rebounded off the 1.1344 low and climbed back toward the 1.1708 session high, a corrective bounce in an otherwise weak EUR per the broader Fed-repricing read. Higher lows are intact from 1.1344, with price stalling just under the prior pivot at 1.13708.
Support: 1.13517, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13708
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read in the next bars
M15 close above 1.13708 would extend the recovery; failure to hold 1.13517 reopens the 1.1344 low
08:46 UTC
Corrective bounce off lows · RSI 59 · price 1.13681
EUR has clawed back through the London session, retracing the drop from the 1.13708 session high to 1.13443 and now retesting that high near 1.13681. The move is corrective off a stretched-oversold daily picture; US PCE later today (12:30 GMT) is the dominant catalyst.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1400
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT can override this intraday structure
M15 close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.13443 confirms a fresh lower low
London-session bounce off the 1.1344 low has carried EUR back to 1.1368, just under the 1.13708 session high, RSI(14) mid-60s. Demand stepped in twice near 1.1344-1.1350 to build a higher-low chain; this is the corrective rebound flagged in context, not a trend change.
Support: 1.13443, 1.13499, 1.1335
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13677
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward the 1.1411 cap
EURUSD is churning mid-range near 1.1361 after a corrective bounce off the 1.13443 session low, with the digest framing the move as a relief uptick within a deeper third-day slide. Session high at 1.13708 capped the last push; RSI(14) neutral around 54 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13675
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h out) is the dominant catalyst and could break this range either way
M15 close above 1.13708 opens a retest of the upper session range
EUR clawed back from the 1.13443 session low to 1.13611 in early European trade, a corrective bounce per the digest rather than a trend turn. Price holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; the 1.13708 session high still caps and 1.1344-1.1371 frames the day.
Support: 1.13443, 1.13499
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13636
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward 1.1380s
Failure to hold 1.13443 reopens the session low
US PCE at 12:30 UTC (~4h) is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
08:16 UTC
Recovering within range · RSI 53 · price 1.13611
Consolidation, retracing recent pullback.
EUR recovered to 1.13611 after the London-session pullback bottomed at 1.13443, retracing back toward the session high near 1.13708. RSI(14) is mid-range and price holds above EMA20/50, but the structure is corrective consolidation, not a fresh trend. US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and likely to break this range either way.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13676, 1.13708
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.13708 resumes the prior up-leg
Loss of 1.13443 session low confirms a lower low
08:01 UTC
Rangebound, edging lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13536
Intraday range, lower highs into pullback.
EUR/USD ground out the NY session high at 1.13708 and faded back toward 1.1350 in Asian hours, EUR pinned near one-year lows for a third day. Price now hovering at 1.13536 after defending 1.13443; RSI(14) mid-range, no momentum either way.
Support: 1.13443, 1.1338
Resistance: 1.13708
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close below 1.13443 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.13380
Reclaim of 1.13708 needed to negate the lower-high sequence
EUR recovered through London hours off the 1.1325 base toward 1.13708 before sellers rejected the session high, then dipped to 1.13499 and bounced back to 1.13611. Price is mid-range and chopping above the EMA20/EMA50 cluster, RSI near neutral — no clean direction with US PCE due at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.13499, 1.13443
Resistance: 1.13674, 1.13708
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13708 reopens the upside; failure to hold 1.13499 sets a lower low
Sustained move below 1.13443 wick low confirms range breakdown
07:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 45 · price 1.13536
Lower highs since 1.13708 peak.
EURUSD rejected 1.13708 during NY hours and sold off to 1.13443 before stabilising near 1.13536, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Sequence of lower highs intact ahead of the US PCE/Core PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.13443, 1.1338
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13708
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.13675 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.13443 confirms continuation toward 1.13380
07:46 UTC
Pullback within range · RSI 45 · price 1.13525
Rejected session high, lower highs forming.
London session faded the rally after a rejection at the 1.1371 session high, EUR slipping back to 1.1353 with RSI(14) mid-range. Price is rotating between 1.1344 and 1.1371 ahead of the US PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC, the dominant near-term driver.
Support: 1.13443, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13675
What it said to watch
US PCE / data cluster at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1344 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1371 reopens the session high
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.13475
Lower highs after full retrace of London push.
EUR/USD gave back the entire London push, sliding from the 1.13708 session high back to 1.13475 into the London open, with a chain of lower highs forming. RSI(14) cooling near 40 as price probes toward the 1.13380 prior low. US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst, with EUR pinned near a fresh 1yr low on hawkish-Fed repricing.
Support: 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1356, 1.13708
What it said to watch
Break of 1.13380 prior low opens the 1.13242 window low
Recovery above 1.13560 minor would ease the pullback
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.13475
Retracing the intraday up-leg into 50% fib.
EUR/USD ran to a session high of 1.13708 then faded to 1.13475, settling on the 50% retrace of the 1.13242–1.13708 up-leg as USD held firm. Price slipped under EMA20/50 with RSI cooling to the low-40s, the move stalling ahead of the US PCE cluster at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.13475, 1.1338, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1364
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver and will likely reset this read
Loss of 1.13380 prior swing exposes the 1.13242 day low
Reclaim of 1.13640 prior high reopens the 1.13708 session high
07:16 UTC
Intraday pullback after London push · RSI 43 · price 1.1355
Rejected at 1.1371, retracing the up-leg.
London session pushed EUR/USD to 1.1371 before rejection, and price has since retraced toward the 38.2% fib near 1.1353 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The pair sits below EMA20/50, holding above the 1.1352 swing low into the US PCE cluster.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1371
What it said to watch
US May PCE / GDP / claims cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant driver into the next bars
Close below 1.1352 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.1325
Reclaim of 1.1371 session high needed to resume the up-leg
07:16 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.1355
Rejected at 1.1371, drifting lower.
EUR/USD topped at 1.1371 late in the prior session and has bled back to 1.1355 through the London hours, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price slipped below EMA20/50 on the last few bars, fading the rally off the 1.1349 swing low; pair holds a fresh ~1yr low region pinned by broad USD strength.
Support: 1.1349, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1371
What it said to watch
US May Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
Close below 1.1349 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.1371 reopens the session high
07:01 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.13576
Rally off 1.1324 low rejected at 1.1371, retracing.
NY session lifted EUR/USD from the 1.1324 low to a session high of 1.1371, but the level rejected and price has eased back to 1.13576 through the London morning, slipping under the EMA20. RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s as the bounce stalled.
Support: 1.13542, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
Close below 1.13542 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.13708 needed to resume the intraday upside
07:01 UTC
Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.13576
Ranging after recovery off lows.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1324 swing low to tag a session high at 1.1371 before fading, with a sharp 13-pip drop dragging price back to ~1.1358. Rangebound between the 1.1354 session low and 1.1371 session high, RSI(14) neutral around 46.
Support: 1.13542, 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1345
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
M15 close below 1.1354 reopens the path toward the 1.1324 swing low
Reclaim of 1.1371 session high needed to resume the bounce
06:46 UTC
Asia rally fading, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.13608
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
Asian session bounced off the 1-year-low region and pushed to 1.1371 before getting rejected; price has since drifted back to 1.13608, slipping under EMA20 with RSI cooling toward neutral. Move stalled into the prior-high cluster around 1.1368-1.1371 and is now consolidating above the 1.1359 session low.
Support: 1.1359, 1.1347
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1371
What it said to watch
German GDP at 07:00 UTC could break this consolidation either way
US core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the session's key catalyst
M15 close below 1.1359 reopens the 1.1347 swing low
EUR rallied off the 1.13472 intraday low to a session high of 1.13708 before drifting back to 1.13608, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range after rejection at the highs. Price now sits between rising support near 1.13593 and the 1.13676-1.13708 supply zone, with EUR still pinned near one-year lows.
Support: 1.13593, 1.13524, 1.13472
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13676
What it said to watch
German GDP at 07:00 UTC is imminent and could break this range
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst
Loss of 1.13593 rising support opens 1.13524
Close above 1.13708 reasserts the intraday uptrend
EURUSD clawed off the 1.1325 low through NY and Asia to a session high of 1.1371, then met rejection and drifted to 1.1362 into early London. RSI(14) is mid-range and ranges have compressed; German GDP (07:00 UTC) and US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) are the catalysts set to decide the next leg.
Support: 1.1359, 1.13486, 1.1350
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13676
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 reopens the upside
German GDP at 07:00 UTC imminent — likely to break this consolidation
EUR clawed off the Asian lows near 1.1347 through the NY-Asia handover, tagging 1.13708 before sellers capped there and price drifted back to 1.13623. Now consolidating between 1.1359 support and the 1.1370 session high, with EUR still pinned near one-year lows on the hawkish-Fed repricing.
Support: 1.13588, 1.13524, 1.13472
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13675
What it said to watch
German GDP at 07:00 UTC (~30m) and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.1359 intraday low breaks the higher-low chain
EUR clawed off its one-year lows through the London session, rallying from 1.1347 to a 1.13708 session high before being rejected and slipping back to 1.1362. Momentum has cooled, RSI back near 47, with price now pinned between the session high and the 1.1356 intraday low.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.13472 invalidates the rising-low structure
Reclaim of 1.13708 reopens the session high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
EURUSD recovered off the 1.13472 swing low through the Asia-into-NY hours, peaking at the 1.13708 session high before drifting back to 1.13623. The bounce is corrective within a broader USD-led downtrend; RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range and the move is pausing just under the session high ahead of the US data block.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
Close above 1.13708 reopens the path toward 1.13750
Failure to hold 1.13560 puts the 1.13472 swing low back in play
EURUSD ground higher through the late session off the 1.13242 session low, tagging a session high at 1.13708 before fading to 1.13623 in quiet Asia hours. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral from the highs as price drifts under EMA20; higher-lows chain still intact above 1.13487.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13487 breaks the higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.13708 reopens 1.13750
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
Higher lows off Asian low, stalling under session high.
EURUSD recovered through the Asian session off the 1.13472 low, tagging a session high at 1.13708 before easing back to 1.1363. The bounce is corrective within a broader USD-driven downtrend; price now retesting the rising support line with RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday structure
Loss of 1.13472 reopens the 1.13242 range low
Close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward 1.1375
Higher highs/lows off 1.1324 low, now consolidating.
EURUSD ground higher through the NY-Asia stretch off the 1.1324 session low, tagging 1.1371 before stalling. Price now consolidates near 1.1363 below the session high, with the broader move still a USD-yield story keeping EUR oversold on higher timeframes.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 reopens the path toward 1.13750
Loss of 1.13486 confirms a lower-low and breaks the recovery chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EUR/USD has clawed back to the session high at 1.1370 after basing at the 1.1325 one-year-low area, a tentative short-cover bounce in a deeply oversold market. Price is stalling just under 1.1370 with RSI(14) easing from the low-60s; ATR is a thin ~4 pips into the London morning lull.
Support: 1.1353, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1371, 1.1375
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this intraday read
Close above 1.1371 opens the path toward 1.1375
Loss of 1.1353 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 1.13659
Higher lows off session low, capped near 1.1371.
EUR/USD ground higher through Asia hours off the 1.1324 session low, posting a chain of higher lows and tagging 1.1371 before easing to 1.1366. The bounce is a USD-driven short-cover relief in a deeply oversold market; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1339, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.1352 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Reclaim and hold above 1.1371 opens the 1.1375 prior high
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could override this read
Higher highs off 1.1348 swing low, near session high.
EURUSD ground higher through the Asia session off the 1.1348 swing low, tagging a session high at 1.13708 before easing to 1.1366 into early London. RSI near 60 and cooling, price holding above EMA20/50; broader context keeps EUR a USD-yield passenger ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13488, 1.1338
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 extends the intraday up-leg toward 1.13750
Loss of 1.13560 then 1.13488 confirms a lower-low and ends the grind higher
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~7h) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1325 swing low through the Asian session, building a chain of higher lows into 1.13708 where price is now stalling. Last bars are coiling 1.1366-1.1370 with RSI(14) easing back from the move; the broader USD bid keeps this a corrective bounce within the down-leg.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 1.13708 opens 1.1375
Loss of 1.13472 breaks the higher-low chain
05:01 UTC
Recovery off lows, grinding up · RSI 61 · price 1.13662
Higher lows, testing session high.
EURUSD recovered from the one-year low at 1.1324 and ground higher through the Asia session to a session high at 1.13708, the bounce that the oversold EUR setup flagged. Last bar stalled at 1.1370 and ticked back to 1.13662, holding above EMA20/50. The 12:30 UTC US PCE/GDP block is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.13524, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
US Core PCE + GDP at 12:30 UTC could override this intraday read
EUR ground higher through the Asia session off the 1.1325 low, now pressing the session high near 1.13708 with RSI(14) around 60. The recovery sits against a broader USD bid, and the dominant catalyst is US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward 1.1375
Loss of 1.13487 reopens the 1.1325 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
EURUSD recovered through the Asian session off the 1.13242 day low, posting a steady HH/HL chain into the 1.13708 session high with RSI(14) near 63. Move sits inside the broader USD-driven slide to 1yr lows; the dominant catalyst is US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13708 extends the recovery toward 1.1375
Failure to hold 1.13472 breaks the rising-low sequence
Higher highs off 1.1324 low, grinding near session high.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.1324 swing low through the overnight session, posting a chain of higher highs into 1.13708 and now coiling just below it. The grind has tightened with ATR compressing near 5 pips and RSI cooling from the highs — sat above EMA20 and EMA50 but losing impulse into early London.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13708 opens the path to 1.1375
Failure to hold 1.1356 reopens the 1.13487 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asia session, recovering from the 1.1325 session low to press the session high near 1.1370 — an oversold short-cover bounce after three down days. RSI(14) near 68, not yet stretched; micro structure is a clean chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.1360, 1.1350, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1375 opens the path back toward 1.1400 range top
Failure to hold 1.1350 breaks the higher-low chain
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Thursday is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
EURUSD has clawed back from the 1.1324 session low in a steady chain of higher highs through the Asian hours into early London, now pressing the session high near 1.1371 with RSI(14) around 66. The bounce fits the oversold-USD-driven backdrop flagged in context; price still sits below the 1.1375 prior high that capped the window.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close above 1.1375 opens the path toward 1.1400 range top
Loss of 1.13487 breaks the rising structure off 1.1324
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
EURUSD carved a session low at 1.1325 and recovered through the Asia hours, a steady chain of higher lows now pressing the session high at 1.1370. Move is dollar-led, with EUR oversold below the broken 1.14 range; RSI(14) near 66, not yet stretched. Prior high at 1.1375 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1375 opens the path back toward the 1.1400 range top
Failure to hold 1.1356 reopens 1.1325 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
EURUSD ground higher through the Asia session, recovering from the 1.1324 range low to print a fresh session high at 1.13708, with RSI(14) near 68. Price is holding above EMA20/50 after a steady chain of higher lows; the 1.1356 base capped the last dip and supply is now being tested at 1.1370.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13708, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13708 opens the 1.1375 prior high
Loss of 1.1356 breaks the higher-low chain
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) due within the next bars
04:01 UTC
Recovering off intraday low · RSI 64 · price 1.13674
Higher lows since 1.1325 base.
EURUSD based around 1.1325-1.1347 through the Asian session and ground back up to session highs near 1.1368, with RSI(14) firm at ~63. The recovery sits within a broader USD-led down move; price has reclaimed both EMAs but stalls right at the 1.1368 session top.
Support: 1.13472, 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13679, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1368 opens the path to 1.1375 then 1.1400
Failure to hold 1.1347 reopens the 1.1325 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key dollar catalyst that could shift this read
04:01 UTC
Short-term recovery off lows · RSI 62 · price 1.13674
Higher lows since 1.1325, grinding up.
Asian session ground higher off the 1.1325 low, building higher lows and now testing the 1.1368 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s. The recovery sits within a broader EUR downtrend driven by USD strength; price must reclaim 1.1375 to extend toward the 1.1400 range top.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1347, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1368, 1.1375, 1.1400
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1375 opens the path toward the 1.1400 range top
Failure to hold 1.1350 reopens the 1.1325 session low
London open in ~3h plus German GfK/GDP prints could shift this read
EURUSD ground higher off the 1.1325 session low, building a chain of rising lows through the Asian session to retest the session high near 1.13674; this is an oversold bounce within a USD-driven down-move, not a trend turn. RSI(14) sits mid-50s with ATR around 5 pips, so moves are small and contained below the 1.1375 prior high.
Support: 1.1356, 1.13472, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13674, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13674 opens the path to the 1.1375 prior high
Failure to hold the 1.1356 rising low breaks the recovery structure toward 1.13472
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and final GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, near session high · RSI 63 · price 1.13658
Higher lows off 1.1325, retesting range top.
EUR/USD ground higher through the Asia session, lifting from the 1.1347 swing low to retest the prior high at 1.1367 with RSI(14) near 62. Price holds above EMA20/50 on a chain of higher lows, but the broader move sits at one-year lows on USD strength; 1.1375 spike high caps the recovery.
Support: 1.13472, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens the path back toward 1.1375
Loss of 1.13472 reasserts the lower-low sequence toward 1.1325
Core PCE later today (12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst for the next session
03:31 UTC
Micro uptrend off the lows · RSI 60 · price 1.13653
Higher lows since the 1.1324 base.
EURUSD ground higher through the Asia session, reclaiming the 1.1361 overnight pivot after basing twice near 1.1324–1.1347 during NY hours. Price is pressing the 1.13675 session high with RSI(14) around 60, the recovery part of a deeply oversold dollar-driven selloff into one-year lows.
Support: 1.13562, 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens the path back toward the 1.1375 prior high
Loss of 1.13562 reverts the read to range; below 1.13472 re-exposes the 1.1324 base
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
Higher lows off session low, retesting prior highs.
EUR ground higher through the Asia session off the 1.1324 low, posting higher lows and now retesting the 1.1367 prior high with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price is recovering within a one-year-low region; the move is USD-led, not an ECB story.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1336, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens room toward the 1.1375 range high
Failure to hold 1.13520 reopens the 1.1336–1.1324 lows
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this intraday read
03:16 UTC
Recovering off lows, short-term up · RSI 56 · price 1.13634
Higher lows after sweep of 1.1325.
Asian session: EUR/USD bounced off the 1.13487 session low and pushed to a 1.13672 high before stalling, now coiling tight near 1.1363 on thin overnight volume. RSI(14) mid-range at ~56; the broader move sits on EUR at one-year lows after the hawkish-Fed USD bid.
Support: 1.13487, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13672 opens the path toward 1.13750
Higher lows since 1.1324, consolidating under 1.1367.
EUR/USD clawed back from the 1.1324 swing low to retest the 1.1367 session high during Asia hours, a short-covering bounce off one-year lows in a stretched USD tape. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.1356–1.1367 band with RSI(14) cooling from the recovery push; the rising lows off 1.1324 remain intact.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1367, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1375 extends the recovery toward 1.1400
Loss of 1.1350 reopens the 1.1324 swing low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:01 UTC
Recovering off intraday lows, range upper half · RSI 62 · price 1.13628
Higher lows since London-NY low, capped at session high.
EURUSD recovered off the 1.13472 London-NY low to retest the session high at 1.13675 before easing to 1.13628 in thin Asia trade, RSI(14) near 62. Price holds the upper half of the recent range with EUR pinned near one-year lows per the broader USD-strength backdrop; minor demand stepped in around 1.13530.
Support: 1.1353, 1.13472, 1.13325
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 opens the path back toward 1.13750
Failure to hold 1.13530 reopens the 1.13472 low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this read
EURUSD recovered from the overnight low at 1.13242 during the Asia session, with EUR pinned near one-year lows on the broad USD bid. Price now consolidates between 1.13487 and the session high at 1.13672, RSI(14) mid-range around 58. No clean directional structure in play right now.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13672 opens the path back to the 1.13750 prior high
Loss of 1.13487 reopens the overnight low at 1.13242
German GfK and GDP (06:00/07:00 UTC) could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Ranging, modest Asia bid · RSI 61 · price 1.13637
Higher lows off 1.1325, capped near 1.1367.
Quiet Asia session: EUR/USD recovered off the 1.1325 swing low and is grinding higher into the session high near 1.1367, RSI(14) mid-60s. The backdrop stays heavy — EUR sits at one-year lows on hawkish-Fed USD strength — but the last few hours show a string of higher lows and a contained bid back toward 1.1364.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1373
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1367 opens the path to the 1.1373 prior high
Failure to hold 1.1347 reopens the 1.1325 swing low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and Q1 GDP (07:00 UTC) could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 56 · price 1.13637
Asian range after recovery from session low.
EUR/USD ranging ~1.1350–1.1367 through the Asian session after recovering from the 1.13242 session low; pair sits near one-year lows on hawkish-Fed repricing. RSI(14) neutral near 56 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips reflect the thin, rangebound conditions.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1375
What it said to watch
German GfK 06:00 UTC and German GDP 07:00 UTC could break the range
M15 close above 1.13672 extends the recovery toward 1.1375
Close below 1.1350 reopens the 1.13242 session low
EUR/USD recovered from the overnight one-year low at 1.13242 and is grinding sideways through the thin Asian session, last pinned near 1.1360. A push to the session high at 1.13672 faded, leaving price boxed between that cap and the 1.1350 range floor; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme in play.
Support: 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13672 reopens the path toward 1.1375
Loss of 1.1350 puts the 1.13242 overnight low back in focus
German GfK 06:00 UTC and GDP 07:00 UTC, then US Core PCE 12:30 UTC, can override this range
Bounce off session low, consolidating below session high.
Asia session lifted EURUSD off the 1.13470 swing low to a session high of 1.13672, with price now consolidating near 1.1360 after a third-day decline that touched 1.1325. RSI(14) has cooled back to the mid-50s as the bounce stalls below the session high.
Support: 1.1347, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13672 extends the recovery toward 1.13750
Failure to hold 1.13470 reopens the 1.1325 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Ranging after down leg, momentum flat · RSI 52 · price 1.13565
Consolidating above session base.
Asia session ranging between 1.1350 and 1.1367 after the prior decline based near 1.1324; a thin push to 1.13672 was rejected and faded back to 1.13565. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52, no setup in play with the broader EUR/USD at one-year lows.
Support: 1.13487, 1.1350, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.13618
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.13672 opens path toward 1.1450
Failure to hold 1.1350 reopens the 1.13242 swing low
Asia session recovered off the 1.13242 swing low and tagged 1.13675 before fading back to 1.13565, RSI(14) cooling from the bounce. Price is now ranging between 1.1349 and the 1.13675 session high — no clean break either way.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.13618
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward 1.1380
Failure to hold 1.1349 reopens the 1.13242 session low
US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Downtrend, easing into range · RSI 56 · price 1.13595
Range after intraday selloff, higher lows building.
EURUSD chopped lower through the London-NY hours to a day low at 1.13242, then recovered as the broader USD bid stalled; a thin late-session bid lifted price off 1.13487 toward the session high at 1.13675 before easing back to 1.13595. RSI(14) sits neutral near 56 and ATR has compressed in the thin Asia hours, leaving a tight range in play.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1375
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13675 session high opens path toward 1.1375 prior high
Failure to hold 1.13487 confirms a lower low toward 1.13242 day low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidation inside 1.1349-1.1367 after bounce off lows.
EURUSD bounced off the 1.1349 session low into a 1.1367 session high during the late move before settling near 1.1360, with RSI(14) neutral around 55. Price is holding above EMA20/50 but the broader read is a tight Asian-hours range, no clean break in play.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.13766
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13672 opens the path back toward 1.13766
Failure to hold 1.13486 reopens the 1.13242 swing low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Recovering off lows, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 1.13624
Bounce from intraday low, pushing through overnight range.
EUR/USD bounced off the 1.13486 swing low during the quiet Asia session and pushed through the tight overnight range to tag a 1.13672 swing high before easing to 1.1362. RSI(14) near 60 with price holding above EMA20/50; broader tone stays heavy after the slide to a one-year low.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13374, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13672, 1.13766
What it said to watch
Close above 1.13672 swing high opens the path back toward 1.13766
Loss of 1.13486 reopens the 1.13374 intraday low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Quiet Asia session held a tight 1.1352–1.1357 band for hours before a low-volume pop lifted EURUSD off the 1.1347 recent low to a 1.1367 session high, now easing to 1.1362. Price sits above the EMA20/50 with RSI near 63 after the bounce, but the broader move remains a relief recovery within a bearish multi-day backdrop.
Support: 1.1347, 1.1335, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13675, 1.1376
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could override this intraday read
M15 close above 1.13675 session high extends the bounce toward 1.13760
Loss of 1.13470 recent low reopens the 1.13350 session low
01:31 UTC
Range, minor bid into Asia · RSI 56 · price 1.13601
Consolidation above one-year low, higher lows.
EURUSD is consolidating in thin Asia trade between 1.1347 and 1.1361 after stabilising off the 1.1324 swing low, the latest leg of the post-range break to one-year lows. The final bar popped to 1.13613 on light volume, RSI near 56 — no extreme — with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.13675 reopens the path higher; loss of 1.13472 puts the 1.1324 low back in play
01:31 UTC
Range, recent upside pop · RSI 61 · price 1.13601
Asian range, breaking session high.
EUR ground sideways through a thin 1.1350–1.1360 Asian range before a late pop to the session high at 1.13611, with price now above both EMAs and RSI(14) near 61. The bounce fits the oversold short-cover risk flagged after EUR's run to the 1.1350 one-year low.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.13611, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13675 extends the recovery toward the prior 1.1376 area
Failure to hold 1.13472 reopens the 1.1324 session low
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC and German GDP at 07:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Consolidation after decline · RSI 46 · price 1.13533
Tight Asia range, holding above session low.
EURUSD is grinding in a tight Asia-session range between 1.1349 and 1.1360 after Tuesday's slide to a one-year low near 1.1325 on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-ECB divergence. ATR has compressed to ~4 pips with RSI flat near 46; no directional structure in play during thin overnight liquidity.
Support: 1.1349, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1360, 1.1367
What it said to watch
Break of 1.1349 reopens the 1.1325 swing low
Close above 1.1367 would extend the session-high reclaim
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can break this range
German GfK/GDP (06:00/07:00 UTC) could swing the EUR side
01:16 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 45 · price 1.13533
Asia range after NY selloff to 1yr low.
EUR/USD is coiling in a tight 1.1347–1.1357 band through the Asia session after the NY drop to a one-year low at 1.1325 and the subsequent bounce to 1.1367 faded. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 45 and ATR has compressed to ~14 pips, reflecting the thin overnight tape.
Support: 1.13472, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Close below 1.1347 reopens the 1.1325 session low
Reclaim of 1.1361 puts the 1.1367 swing high back in play
German GDP at 07:00 UTC (~6h) and US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could break this range
01:01 UTC
Drifting lower, range slipping · RSI 40 · price 1.13491
Asian range losing its floor.
EURUSD spent the Asia session boxed between 1.1352 and 1.1359 on thin volume, then slipped below to test the 1.1347 session low as the third day of EUR weakness near the one-year low extends. RSI(14) sits near 40, below the EMA20/50 cluster with no momentum extreme yet.
Support: 1.13472, 1.13377, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1359
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13472 opens the path toward 1.1340/1.1338
Reclaim of 1.13590 puts price back inside the Asian range
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) due in ~5-6h could shift this read
01:01 UTC
Consolidating near one-year low · RSI 42 · price 1.13491
Range-bound, drifting lower in Asia.
EUR is grinding sideways just above the 1.1350 one-year low, with the late Asia session printing thin-volume bars and a slow drift toward 1.13487. The session is holding inside the 1.13442–1.13613 band after the London-NY rebound stalled; RSI(14) sits mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 1.13442, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.1355, 1.13613
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13442 confirms a lower-low and reopens the 1.13250 session low
Reclaim of 1.13613 needed to revive the prior bounce
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC), plus US Core PCE later, could break this range
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.13497
Asian-session range after recovery off 24h low.
EUR sits at 1-yr lows near 1.1350 on broad USD strength, consolidating in a tight 1.1349–1.1357 band through the quiet Asian session after recovering off the 1.1324 24h low. Recent bars are edging back toward the 1.1349 session low with RSI(14) in the mid-40s; ATR has compressed to ~5 pips on thin liquidity.
Support: 1.13487, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13573, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13487 session low opens the path to the 1.1324 24h low
Close above 1.13573 minor high reopens the 1.13675 swing high
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could break this consolidation
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, drifting at lows · RSI 42 · price 1.13497
Consolidation near 1-yr lows.
Quiet Asia session grinding lower toward 1.1349 after London-NY bounced off the 1.13242 session low and stalled below 1.1358. EUR sits at ~1-year lows on broad USD strength, RSI(14) mid-40s with no momentum extreme in play.
Support: 1.13325, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1358, 1.13675
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.13325 reopens the 1.13242 session low
M15 close back above 1.1358 needed to challenge 1.13675
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) plus US Core PCE later can reshape this read
EURUSD is pinned in a tight Asian-session range around 1.1351-1.1360 on thin volume after recovering off the 1.1325 session low; the broader bid is USD-led at EUR 1-year lows. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed near 4 pips — no momentum in play.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1325
Resistance: 1.13615, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.13615 reopens the path toward the 1.13675 swing high
Break below 1.13500 exposes a retest of the 1.13250 session low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could break this range
00:31 UTC
Downtrend, paused in consolidation · RSI 44 · price 1.13511
Range-bound after London/NY leg lower.
Asia session is consolidating in a tight 1.1349-1.1360 band after the London/NY leg lower bottomed at 1.1324, with EUR pinned near 1-year lows on broad USD strength. Price drifted off the 1.1360 area into the close, RSI mid-range and volume thin.
Support: 1.13486, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13604, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.13486 reopens the 1.1324 session low
Reclaim of 1.13604 would stretch the Asian range toward 1.13675
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) could break this consolidation
00:16 UTC
Range after recovery off lows · RSI 45 · price 1.13521
Consolidating mid-range in Asia.
EUR sits near 1-year lows after three days of USD-driven losses, then carved a recovery from the 1.1324 session low up to 1.1368 during NY hours. Price has since gone quiet in thin Asia trade, drifting between 1.1349 and 1.1359 with RSI(14) flat near 45 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.1349, 1.13242
Resistance: 1.1359
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1359 reopens the 1.1368 swing high
Loss of 1.1349 reasserts pressure toward the 1.1324 session low
German GfK (06:00 UTC) and GDP (07:00 UTC) due in ~6-7h could break this range
00:16 UTC
Downtrend pausing, Asia range · RSI 44 · price 1.13521
Tight consolidation near 1-yr lows.
Thin Asia session has EUR/USD coiling 1.1350-1.1360 after a 3rd day of losses pinned price near 1-yr lows. Demand stepped in around 1.1325 earlier; the 1.1360 range top continues to cap.
Support: 1.1350, 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.1360, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1350 reopens the 1.1325 session low and 1.1300 area
M15 close above 1.1360 targets the 1.13675 swing high
German GfK 06:00 UTC / GDP 07:00 UTC and US Core PCE 12:30 UTC could break this range
00:01 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.13557
Consolidation just above 1-yr lows.
EUR/USD is grinding sideways near 1.1355 in a thin Asia session, holding just above the 1.1325 session low after a USD-driven slide to fresh ~1-year lows. Micro-range capped at 1.1361 with a floor near 1.1352; volume and ATR have collapsed to ~4 pips, no setup in play.
Support: 1.1352, 1.1325, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13613, 1.13675
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.1361 opens a move toward 1.1378 swing high
Break below 1.1352 range floor exposes the 1.1325 session low
German GfK 06:00 UTC and GDP 07:00 UTC could break the consolidation
00:01 UTC
Downtrend, paused in tight range · RSI 52 · price 1.13557
Consolidation off overnight low after recovery.
EUR clawed back from the overnight low at 1.1324 toward 1.1368 before stalling into a tight Asian-session range between 1.1352 and 1.1360 on thin volume. Price sits just above EMA20/50 with RSI flat near 52; broader read remains pressured near 1-year lows on USD strength.
Support: 1.1352, 1.13242, 1.1300
Resistance: 1.13819
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.1324 confirms a fresh lower-low
M15 close above 1.1368 reopens the path toward 1.1382
German GfK 06:00 UTC and GDP 07:00 UTC could break this range