EUR/USD AI Live Scan, 4-hour chart, Monday, 27 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the EUR/USD 4-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
21:02 UTC
Range-bound, recent leg lower · RSI 42 · price 1.13701
Choppy 1.14 range, probing lower edge.
EURUSD remains locked in a multi-day 1.1363-1.1482 range, with price now pressing the lower edge near the three-week low around 1.1370 after failing to hold the 1.1400 pivot. The hawkish-ECB vs USD safe-haven standoff keeps the pair pinned, and a soft US Durable Goods print did little to lift it back toward the 1.1418 range high. EMA20 and EMA50 both cap price overhead as the recent leg lower rolls the pair back to range support.
Support: 1.1370, 1.1363
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1363 swing low confirms a lower low and range break
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot reopens the 1.1418 range high
FOMC this week is the dominant driver and could break the range in either direction
21:01 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs into range floor · RSI 42 · price 1.13701
Rolling over below 1.1482, testing 3-week low.
Lower-high structure since the 1.1482 peak, with price grinding back to the three-week low near 1.1370 inside a broad 1.1370-1.1418 range. Price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50 as the recent bounce faded, consistent with the choppy 1.14 read where a firm USD safe-haven bid caps upside. FOMC this week is the dominant swing factor and the likely deadlock-breaker.
Support: 1.1369, 1.13636
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1418, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1369 confirms a fresh lower low
Close above 1.1418 range cap invalidates the range floor read
EURUSD remains pinned in the choppy ~1.14 range flagged by the hawkish-ECB-vs-firm-USD backdrop, with a sequence of lower highs since the 1.1482 peak dragging price back toward the 1.1369 range floor. ATR(14) is contained near 19 pips and price sits below both EMA20 and EMA50, keeping the near-term drift lower within the broader range. FOMC on Wednesday is the dominant catalyst framing the next leg.
Support: 1.1369, 1.1361
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1449, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1369 confirms a lower low and a range break
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot would ease downside pressure
FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Downtrend, pressing range floor · RSI 42 · price 1.13745
Lower highs since mid-July peak, testing 1.1369 base.
EURUSD is rolling over below the mid-July high at 1.1482, printing successive lower highs and now pressing the choppy 1.14 range floor near 1.1369. Price trades under both EMA20 and EMA50, with the hawkish-ECB-vs-firm-USD backdrop keeping the pair pinned; the 1.1400 pivot capped the latest bounce. ATR sits in a subdued ~21-pip regime, consistent with compression into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1369, 1.1364
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1440, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1369 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.1364 swing floor
Reclaim of the 1.1400 pivot needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Rolling over, lower highs · RSI 44 · price 1.13875
Range above 1.1364 base, lower highs capping.
EURUSD is carving lower highs from the 1.1482 window peak while a base holds around 1.1364, keeping price inside a broad range; the recovery back over 1.14 aligns with the risk-on/oil-pullback tone in EUR. Monday's gap-up open faded and rejected near 1.1418, leaving price back below both EMAs at 1.1388. ATR is moderate, and the setup stays coiled ahead of the week's key catalysts.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1418, 1.1445, 1.1476
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant cross-asset catalyst for this read
EZ Q2 GDP / German HICP Thu 30 Jul could shift the range read
H4 close above 1.1418 opens the path toward 1.1445
Failure to hold the 1.1364 base opens the 1.1324 ytd low
EURUSD has held a broad range roughly between 1.1475 and 1.1364 over the past two weeks, with last week's dip probing the 1.1364 swing low before a weekend-gap recovery back over the 1.1400 pivot. Price is now fading again to 1.1387, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50 which are capping the bounce. ATR is compressed, consistent with a market coiling ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1412, 1.1418, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1364 confirms a lower low and opens the path to the 1.1324 ytd low
Reclaim of the 1.1412 pivot needed to re-engage the range top
FOMC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range read
EURUSD has been boxed in a multi-week range between the 1.1364 floor and the 1.1475 range top, with price capped below the 1.1400 psych level as the USD stays firm into next week's FOMC. Demand stepped in twice around 1.1364 to form a rough double bottom, and the latest bounce has reclaimed EMA20, though price remains below EMA50. ATR is subdued, consistent with the ranging read.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1475
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1400 opens the path toward the 1.1475 range top
Failure to hold 1.1364 exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
Eurozone Q2 GDP Thu and FOMC next week could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Range-bound, lower highs · RSI 47 · price 1.13976
Range 1.1363-1.1482, capped below 1.1400.
EURUSD remains boxed in a multi-week range between the 1.1363 swing low and the 1.1482 range high, with a sequence of lower highs since the early-month push to 1.1482 keeping the 1.1400 psych level as the active cap. Twin lows near 1.1363 formed a double bottom before a weekend gap higher back into the range, but price is sitting just under EMA20/EMA50 and struggling to reclaim 1.1400. The euro's inability to capitalise on strong PMI and IFO beats reflects the firmer USD lean into FOMC noted in the digest.
Support: 1.1363, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1447, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close above 1.1400 reopens the 1.1447 prior high and the 1.1482 range high
Loss of the 1.1363 swing low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.1324 ytd low
Eurozone Q2 GDP Thu 30 Jul and FOMC next week could materially shift this range read
05:02 UTC
Range with lower highs, mild downward drift · RSI 48 · price 1.1403
Capped under 1.1400, holding above 1.1364 swing low.
EUR/USD has churned in a broad range for three weeks, with a sequence of lower highs since the 1.1482 swing peak and repeated rejection under the 1.1400 pivot. Price dipped to 1.1364 before bouncing to sit near the 38.2% retrace of that leg — hawkish ECB pricing is largely in the tape, leaving oil and a firm USD to cap rallies. ATR is compressed, keeping the pair pinned above its 13-month low at 1.1324.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1470
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H4 close above 1.1470 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.1364 opens the 1.1324 13-mo low
05:02 UTC
Range with downside lean, lower highs · RSI 47 · price 1.1403
Capped under 1.1400, holding above 1.1364 base.
EURUSD has rolled over into a series of lower highs from the 1.1482 peak, with the 1.1400 handle repeatedly capping despite the ECB's hawkish hold and strong flash PMIs. Price is defending the 1.1364 base after last week's dip, but a firm USD and oil-driven terms-of-trade keep the tape pinned below the pivot. ATR is compressed near 19 pips, consistent with the sideways band.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1400, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1364 opens the path to the 1.1324 13-mo low
Reclaim and hold above 1.1400 needed to challenge the lower-highs structure
German IFO today and Wed FOMC could materially shift this read
EURUSD has rolled over from the mid-July 1.1482 swing high, printing successive lower highs and basing near the 1.1364 swing low as the pair stays capped sub-1.1400 with USD firm into Wednesday's FOMC. The break below the prior 1.1420-1.1470 congestion confirmed the downside shift, and the last bar's bounce off 1.1370 has price back at EMA20 but still below EMA50. ATR sits mid-regime, with the 1.1364 base the pivot ahead of the 1.1324 13-month low.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1364 opens the path toward the 1.1324 13-month low
Reclaim above 1.1435 lower-high would negate the downside read
FOMC Wed Jul 29 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 44 · price 1.13972
Lower highs, testing range floor.
EURUSD has rolled over from the 1.1482 july high into a sequence of lower highs, with the last clean rejection near 1.1435 capping the bounce. Price now presses the 1.1364 swing low that marks the range floor, with a soft recovery on the latest bar. USD firmness into Wednesday's FOMC keeps the euro pinned sub-1.1400 despite the fully-priced ECB path.
Support: 1.1364, 1.1324
Resistance: 1.1435, 1.1482
What it said to watch
H4 close below 1.1364 opens the path toward the 1.1324 13-mo low
Reclaim of 1.1435 lower high would break the descending sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read