GBP/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 26 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:47 UTC
Down on the day, flat in late session · RSI 46 · price 1.33423
Lower high at 1.3359 after 1.3327 day low; tight post-NY drift.
London broke the asian low at 1.3367 and NY extended the drop to a 1.3327 day low as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The bounce stalled at the 1.3359 rebound high and price has faded back to the 50% retrace near 1.3342, holding the 1.3340 round number and the 1.3334 spike low in quiet post-NY trade.
Support: 1.3340, 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33588, 1.33671
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3340 round number and 1.3334 spike low exposes the 1.3327 day low
Close above the 1.3349 lower high reopens the 1.3359 rebound high
Retest of the 1.3367 asian low from below marks the upper edge of the post-break structure
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC; UK Budget and FOMC on Wed are the larger catalysts for this read
Lower high at 1.3359 after London/NY selloff; tight 1.3340–1.3343 coil in early Asia.
Cable slid from the 1.3387 Asian high through London as USD shorts were trimmed into FOMC, bottoming at the 1.3327 NY low; the NY bounce was rejected at 1.3359 near the 50% retracement, leaving a lower high. Price now coils at 1.3340–1.3343 in early Asia, just above the 1.3340 psych level and the 1.3333 rollover low, with ATR down to ~2.6 pips.
Support: 1.3340, 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33588, 1.33873
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3333 rollover low exposes the 1.3327 NY low
Reclaim of the 1.3350 pivot reopens the 1.3359 lower high; a break there invalidates the lower-high read
Thin Asian range likely until US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC); Wed UK Budget and FOMC are the larger structural risks
23:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, momentum fading into Asia · RSI 34 · price 1.3341
Lower highs from 1.3387 Asian high; holding above 1.3327 NY low.
Pre-FOMC USD short-covering broke GBPUSD below Monday's 1.3367 Asian low in London and down to a 1.3327 NY low. The rebound stalled at a 1.3359 lower high, near the 50% retrace of the move from the Asia high. Early Asia is now drifting around the 1.3340 pivot with ATR(14) near 3 pips, and the thin-liquidity late wick to 1.3334 was rejected.
Support: 1.3334, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3359, 1.3367
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3327 NY low extends the lower-low chain
Reclaim of the 1.3350 pivot needed to break the post-NY fade
M15 close above the 1.3359 lower high breaks the sequence and reopens the 1.3367 Asian low
UK Budget and FOMC on Wed Oct 28 are the main event risk; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled print
Lower highs from the Asian high; mid-range between NY low and equal highs.
London broke the Asian low at 1.3367 as USD short-covering built into the FOMC, and the NY open set the ny low at 1.3327. The bounce stalled at equal highs near 1.3359, extending the lower highs, and price has faded back into the 50–61.8% fib of that bounce near 1.3340. A thin rollover wick marks the late low at 1.3334.
Support: 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33588, 1.33671
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3334 late low exposes the 1.3327 ny low and breaks the NY bounce fib structure
M15 close above 1.3359 equal highs breaks the lower highs trendline and puts the 1.3367 asian low back in play
Tue US Durable Goods 12:30 UTC and Consumer Confidence 14:00 UTC; UK Budget and FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs under 1.3359 after the Asian range broke lower; holding above 1.3327.
GBP/USD broke the 1.3364 Asian low into London as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of FOMC. It printed a 1.3327 day low early in NY, then the bounce stalled at the 1.3359 NY high. Since then the pair has drifted under a descending line of lower highs, and a thin post-rollover dip to the 1.3334 rollover low was bought back. Price sits near the 50% fib of the NY bounce.
Support: 1.3334, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3359, 1.3364
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3349 lower high breaks the descending line and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.3334 rollover low exposes the 1.3327 day low and UOB's 1.3340 pivot zone
Reclaiming the 1.3359 NY high and the 1.3364 Asian low would negate the intraday downtrend read
Pre-FOMC USD positioning and Wednesday's UK Budget remain the drivers; the Asia session is likely thin
Lower highs below Asian range; NY rebound capped at 50% retrace.
London broke below the Asian low at 1.3364 and NY extended to a day low of 1.3327 as USD shorts were trimmed before FOMC. The NY rebound stalled at 1.3359, near the 50% retrace of the descending line move, and price has faded back below the 1.3346 ny pivot. The rollover low at 1.3334 sits just under the 1.3340 support flagged in the GBP digest.
Support: 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33465, 1.33588, 1.3364
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3327 day low extends the lower-low chain
Recovery above the 1.3359 ny high breaks the descending line and the lower-high sequence
Reclaiming the 1.3346 ny pivot is the first sign the post-NY drift is ending
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC; FOMC and the UK Budget on Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 1.3359 swing high; holding above 1.3327 NY low.
GBPUSD faded from the 1.3387 Asian range high through London, and the NY low at 1.3327 marked the day's trough as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed. The rebound stalled at the 1.3359 swing high and price has slipped back to the 61.8% fib near 1.3339, with the thin rollover low at 1.3334 holding above the NY low.
Support: 1.33393, 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.33588
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3334 rollover low exposes the 1.3327 NY low
Recovery through the 1.3350 breakdown level breaks the lower-high sequence from the 1.3359 swing high
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC could shift tone; UK Budget and Fed decision on Wed are the larger risk
Lower highs below the Asian range since London open.
London open broke below the Asian range, and NY extended to a 1.3327 day low. The rebound was capped at the 1.3359 NY high. Late NY faded on a lower-high trendline back to the 61.8% retrace near 1.3340, the digest's support zone, as USD shorts were trimmed into the Fed. A thin rollover spike printed 1.3334; ATR is compressed near 3.6 pips.
Support: 1.33335, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33588, 1.33873
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3327 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the 1.3359 NY high breaks the lower-high trendline and voids the fade read
Rollover low at 1.3334 is a thin-liquidity print; an Asia session test shows whether 1.3340 support holds
Asian high at 1.3387 is the top of the range London broke out of
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then UK Budget and FOMC Wed, could materially shift this read
Lower highs off the 1.3359 rebound high; price parked at the 61.8% retrace.
London broke the 1.3362 Asian low, and NY extended to a 1.3327 session low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The NY rebound met rejection at the 1.3359 rebound high. Thin post-NY trade has faded it to the fib 61.8 near 1.3340, with a lower high at 1.3349 capping.
Support: 1.33397, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33588, 1.33623
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the fib 61.8 at 1.3340 exposes the 1.3327 session low
M15 close above the 1.3349 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 1.3359 rebound high
Reclaiming the 1.3362 Asian low would negate the London breakdown
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) set the pre-Fed USD tone
Lower highs from Asian high; NY range 1.3327–1.3359.
GBPUSD bled lower from the 1.3387 Asian high through London as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed, with a NY-open flush printing the 1.3327 day low. The rebound was rejected twice at the 1.3359 NY high, near the 50% retrace, and price has faded back to the 1.3340 late NY low in thin post-close trade, RSI(14) at 41.
Support: 1.3340, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Break of 1.3340 late NY low exposes the 1.3327 day low and extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery through the 1.3350 fib 38.2 and a close above 1.3359 NY high breaks the lower-high chain from the asian high
ATR(14) compressed near 3.5 pips into the Asia session; next scheduled USD catalyst is Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC
Lower highs below the Asian range; post-NY drift onto the 61.8% retrace of the NY rebound.
London broke below the Asian range low at 1.3367. NY extended the drop to a 1.3327 day low as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed, and the rebound stalled at 1.3359 for a lower high. After the NY close, price has faded to 1.3341, sitting on the late NY low and the 61.8% retrace of the NY rebound, with ranges compressing into the Asia session.
Support: 1.3340, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33588, 1.33671
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3340 late NY low and the 61.8% retrace exposes the 1.3327 day low
Reclaiming the 1.3359 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 1.3367 Asian low back in play
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then the UK Budget and Fed decision on Wed, could materially shift this read
London broke the Asian low at 1.3367 and NY extended to a 1.3327 session low as USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The rebound met rejection at the 1.3359 bounce high, and price has drifted on lower highs back to the fib 61.8 near 1.3340 in thin after-NY-close trade.
Support: 1.3340, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3359, 1.3367
What it said to watch
M15 close below the fib 61.8 at 1.3340 exposes the 1.3327 session low
Reclaim of the 1.3350 breakdown level and the lower-highs trendline would turn this into a range read
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then UK Budget and FOMC Wed, could materially shift this read
Lower high at 1.3359 under the Asian range; drifting toward the fib 61.8 after the NY-open low.
London broke the Asian low at 1.3353. The NY open then swept to a 1.3327 day low as the USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The NY bounce stalled at 1.3359, its ny high, below the Asian range, and late-NY trade has faded through the 1.3349 minor high to sit on the fib 61.8 near 1.3339 with RSI(14) near 33.
Support: 1.3339, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3353, 1.3359
What it said to watch
Close below the fib 61.8 at 1.3339 exposes the 1.3327 day low, which sits inside the 1.3340/1.3330 support zone flagged in the GBP digest
Recovery above the 1.3349 minor high and back above the 1.3353 asian low would neutralise the late-NY fade
M15 close above the 1.3359 ny high invalidates the lower-high read
Thin Asia session liquidity ahead; Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods is the next scheduled catalyst into Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget
20:31 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading late NY · RSI 36 · price 1.33423
Lower highs below Asian high; price back at London low.
London broke the Asian range under the 1.3387 asian high and NY extended to a 1.3327 ny low. The rebound stalled at a 1.3359 lower high near the 50% fib, and price has drifted back to the 1.3342 london low with RSI(14) near 36 as pre-FOMC USD short-covering persists.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3342 london low puts the 1.3327 ny low back in play
Recovery above the 1.3359 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 1.3387 asian high
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then FOMC and UK Budget Wed, could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Downtrend, bounce fading · RSI 43 · price 1.33431
Asian range broken lower; lower highs off the NY bounce.
London broke below the 1.3353 Asian range low, and the NY session extended to a 1.3327 session low as the USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The bounce to the 1.3359 bounce high has faded into a lower high at 1.3349, leaving price at the 50% retrace (1.3343) into the Asia open, just above the 61.8% fib near the 1.3340 support flagged in the context.
Support: 1.33393, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33491, 1.33588
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 61.8% fib at 1.3339 puts the 1.3327 session low back in play
Close above the 1.3349 lower high and the falling trendline breaks the lower-high sequence; 1.3359 bounce high is the next cap
Thin Asia liquidity until London open; FOMC and UK Budget on Wednesday could materially shift this read
Lower highs below 1.3359 rebound high after 1.3327 NY low.
London broke below the Asian range (1.3353–1.3387). NY extended the drop to a 1.3327 session low before a rejection at the 1.3359 rebound high, just over the London range top, and price has since drifted back to 1.3345 as USD firms on pre-FOMC short-covering. Price now sits between the 38.2% and 50% of the NY rebound fib, with RSI(14) near 42 and the late-session lower high at 1.3349 capping.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low exposes the 1.3327 session low and the 1.3340/1.3330 support zone flagged in GBP commentary
M15 close above the 1.3349 lower high breaks the late-NY lower-high trendline; above the 1.3359 rebound high reopens the Asian range toward the 1.3387 asian high
No scheduled data inside the next few hours; US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled US release, ahead of Wednesday's UK Budget and FOMC
Lower highs below Asian range; 1.3340–1.3359 range above 1.3327 session low.
London sold out of the 1.3367–1.3387 Asian range, and NY extended to a 1.3327 session low as USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The NY rebound met rejection at the 1.3359 ny high, matching the late-London cap. Price has slipped back to the 1.3344 late low, near the 50% fib of the rebound, with RSI(14) near 43 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 1.3344, 1.3340, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3367, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3344 late low and 1.3340 psych (61.8% fib) exposes the 1.3327 session low
M15 close above the 1.3359 ny high reopens the 1.3367 asian low; the 1.3387 asian high caps above
Thin Asia session likely holds the 1.3340–1.3359 range; US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
Lower highs from the Asian high; equal highs at 1.3359 capping, price back on the london base.
GBPUSD broke below the Asian range during London and extended to a 1.3327 ny low at the NY open as USD short-covering continued into Wednesday's FOMC. The rebound was rejected at 1.3359 equal highs under the descending highs line. Price has slipped back to the 38.2% of the NY rebound fib on the 1.3344 london base, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.3344, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3344 london base exposes the 1.3327 ny low and the 1.3330/1.3340 support zone
M15 close above the 1.3359 equal highs breaks the descending highs line and opens the path to the 1.3387 asian high
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then the UK Budget and FOMC on Wed, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asian high; NY bounce capped at 50% retracement.
London broke the Asian range low and the first hour of NY flushed to a 1.3327 day low as USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The recovery stalled at the 1.3359 bounce high, near the 50% retracement of the drop from the 1.3387 Asian high, and price has slipped back after London close to test the 1.3342 london low.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3342 london low reopens the 1.3327 day low and the 1.3330 support zone
Close above the 1.3359 bounce high breaks the lower highs sequence and points toward the 1.3387 asian high
US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Consumer Confidence (14:00 UTC) could shift this read ahead of Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget
Lower highs from Asian high; NY false break of London low reversed into 1.3342–1.3359 range.
London broke down from the Asian range, whose high was 1.3387, to a London low at 1.3342 as the dollar firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. Early NY briefly broke that low and reached a NY low of 1.3327, then reversed in a false break. The rebound stalled at the NY high of 1.3359, which capped twice, and late NY is drifting back toward the 38.2% fib near 1.3347 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below the london low at 1.3342 reopens the ny low at 1.3327 and the 1.3330/1.3340 support zone
Close above the ny high at 1.3359 breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the asia high at 1.3387 back in view
Holding the 38.2–50% fib zone at 1.3347–1.3343 keeps the NY false break intact
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then the FOMC and UK Budget on Wednesday, could materially shift this read
Lower highs below asian high, NY rebound capped at 1.3359.
GBPUSD slid from the 1.3387 asian high through London, and the NY open extended the drop to the 1.3327 ny low as USD short-covering continued ahead of Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget. The rebound stalled twice at the 1.3359 intraday cap, near the 50% fib. Late NY, price sits on EMA20 at the 38.2% fib near 1.3350 and is slipping under the NY trendline, with the london low at 1.3342 below.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3359 intraday cap would put the 1.3387 asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low reopens the 1.3327 ny low and the 1.3330/1.3340 support zone
Sustained trade below the NY trendline turns the afternoon rebound into a lower high
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence (12:15–14:00 UTC) are the next scheduled catalysts before Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget
Higher-low rebound off the NY-open low, capped at the 50% retrace.
GBPUSD sold off from the 1.3387 Asian high through London and into the NY open, briefly breaking below 1.3330 support to a 1.3327 session low as the USD firmed on pre-FOMC short-covering. The rebound since then has built higher lows but is stalling at the 1.3359 rebound high, near the 50% retrace of the selloff fib. Late in NY hours, price is sitting on the rebound line.
Support: 1.33447, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33588, 1.33644, 1.33873
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3345 higher low breaks the rebound line and the higher-low chain
Clearance of the 1.3359 rebound high exposes the 61.8% fib at 1.3364, with the 1.3387 asian high above
A return below the 1.3327 session low negates the false break of 1.3330
US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence Tue 12:15–14:00 UTC, then FOMC and the UK Budget Wed, could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 1.3327 NY low, capped at 1.3359.
London broke below the Asian low at 1.3367 as USD short-covering built ahead of Wednesday's Fed and UK Budget. Price then chopped above the london low near 1.3342. Early NY pierced the 1.3340/1.3330 zone to a session low at 1.3327 before reclaiming it, and late NY has built higher lows into a swing high at 1.3359 with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 1.33447, 1.33418, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33588, 1.33671
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3359 swing high extends the rebound toward the 1.3367 asian low
Break of the 1.3345 swing low and the rebound trendline puts the 1.3342 london low back in play
Loss of the 1.3327 session low would turn the NY false break into a lower-low
Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget keep pre-event positioning driving price into the Asia session
18:01 UTC
Intraday recovery off day low, higher lows · RSI 63 · price 1.3357
HH/HL chain from 1.3327, testing NY session high.
Pre-FOMC USD short-covering drove a NY-session break of the 1.3342 london low to a 1.3327 day low. The break was rejected, and late NY has since built higher lows to the 1.3359 session high, which sits on the 50% retrace of the asian high–day low drop.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3375, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3359 session high reopens the 1.3375 breakdown area, with the 1.3387 asian high beyond
Loss of the 1.3345 higher low breaks the recovery lows trendline and turns focus back to the london low at 1.3342
Revisit of the 1.3327 day low would test the 1.3330/1.3340 support zone flagged into Wednesday's UK Budget and FOMC
Higher lows since 1.3327 sweep, capped at 50% retrace.
GBPUSD broke below the Asian low at 1.3367 at London open, then swept under 1.3340/1.3330 at the NY open to a 1.3327 day low as pre-FOMC USD short-covering extended. A higher-low trendline has since lifted price after London close to the 50% fib of the day drop and the 1.3359 NY high, where it is stalling on the EMA50.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3359, 1.3367
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3359 NY high and 50% fib opens a retest of the 1.3367 Asian low
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 1.3345 swing low ends the rebound, exposing the 1.3342 London low and 1.3327 day low
Wed UK Budget (10:00 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) are the larger swing factors for this structure
17:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY recovery in progress · RSI 59 · price 1.33565
London broke the Asian range low; NY swept 1.3327 and is building higher lows.
London opened with a break of the Asian range on pre-FOMC USD short-covering, holding a 1.3342–1.3358 range before NY swept below the london low to a 1.3327 ny low and reclaimed it. A higher-low chain since then has price back at the 1.3358 range top after London close, matching the 61.8% retracement of the drop from the london open area; RSI(14) is near 59.
Support: 1.3345, 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3373, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3358 range top opens the 1.3373 london open level, with the 1.3387 asian high beyond
Break of the 1.3345 higher low breaks the NY recovery trendline and puts the 1.3342 london low back in play
Failure to hold the 1.3327 ny low resumes the intraday downtrend
Rejection at the 61.8% fib keeps the move as a retracement within the London-NY decline
Lower highs from 1.3387 Asia high; NY low 1.3327 reclaimed.
London sold off from the 1.3373 open area through the Asian range as pre-FOMC USD short-covering built, and NY briefly broke the london low at 1.3342 to print the ny low at 1.3327 before reclaiming it, a false break. The late-NY rebound stalled at the ny high of 1.3353, near the 38.2% fib, and the lower highs line from the london high at 1.3358 still caps.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3358
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the london low at 1.3342 reopens the ny low at 1.3327
Close above the ny high at 1.3353 and the london high at 1.3358 breaks the lower highs line
Thin Asia session ahead; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled driver before Wednesday's FOMC and UK Budget
16:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY rebound in progress · RSI 59 · price 1.33518
Higher highs and higher lows off the NY low, pressing the London range top.
London open broke below the Asian range from 1.3375 and set a 1.3342–1.3357 range. The NY break of the range floor stalled at a 1.3327 session low as USD short-covering ran into Wednesday's FOMC. Since then a rising line of higher lows has lifted price back to the 1.3350s, testing the range top, the 50% of the London drop fib and the EMA50 near 1.3353.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3357, 1.3375
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3357 range top clears the 50% retrace and puts the 61.8% at 1.3364 and the 1.3375 london open high in play
Loss of the rising line and a close back under the 1.3342 range floor would turn the NY rebound into a lower high
Retest of the 1.3327 session low decides whether the NY false break holds
Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods is the next scheduled USD input before Wednesday's Fed and UK Budget
16:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, NY rebound in progress · RSI 55 · price 1.33501
Lower highs from the Asian high, then higher lows off the NY low.
London open broke below the Asian range. NY then dipped through the London low to a 1.3327 ny low on pre-FOMC USD short-covering, but the break failed and price reclaimed 1.3342. Higher lows near 1.3341 have lifted price to the 38.2% fib at 1.3350, just under the 1.3352 rebound high, with RSI(14) neutral at 55.
Support: 1.3341, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3352, 1.3357, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3357 london high (50% fib) extends the rebound toward the 1.3387 asian high
Loss of the 1.3341 higher low and the rising NY rebound line reopens the 1.3327 ny low
Rejection at the 1.3352 rebound high keeps the lower-high sequence from the asian high intact
Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) sits just beyond this window; Wed FOMC and UK Budget frame USD positioning
Lower highs from Asia; NY low reclaimed, higher lows forming.
London broke the Asian range lower and NY extended to a 1.3327 ny low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. That leaves a lower-high sequence running down from the 1.3387 asian high. Price has since reclaimed the 1.3341 london low and holds above the ema20 at the 38.2% fib near 1.3350. The ny rebound line is printing higher lows into London close, with the rebound high at 1.3352 and the lower high at 1.3358 capping.
Support: 1.3346, 1.3341, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3352, 1.3358, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3358 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 50% fib in play
Loss of the ny rebound line and the 1.3341 london low reopens the 1.3327 ny low and the 1.3330/1.3340 support zone
Failure at the 1.3352 rebound high keeps the bounce corrective within the downtrend
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled catalyst
UK Budget and FOMC on Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the Asian high; NY broke the London low and is retesting it from below.
Cable has bled from the 1.3387 Asian high through London. NY extended the leg with a break of the 1.3342 London low to 1.3327 as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed. The rebound stalled at a 1.3350 lower high, where the descending trendline and the 38.2% fib of the Asia high-NY low drop converge, and price is back testing the London low with RSI(14) near 44.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3358, 1.3367
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3342 London low exposes the 1.3327 NY low and the 1.3330 area flagged as support
Close above the 1.3350 lower high breaks the trendline and the lower-high sequence, opening the 1.3358 London high and then the 1.3367 Asian low
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC; UK Budget and Fed decision Wed could materially shift this read
15:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bouncing off NY low · RSI 44 · price 1.33435
Lower highs since Asia; NY dip below London low reclaimed.
Cable dropped out of the Asian range at London open as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. A NY sell-off then marked a 1.3327 ny low before price snapped back to the 1.3342 london low area. The 1.3350 rebound high sits on the lower highs line from 1.3376, with RSI(14) at 44 and price just under EMA20.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3350, 1.3358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3350 rebound high and the lower highs line opens the 1.3358 london high
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low reopens the 1.3327 ny low, close to UOB's 1.3330 support
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Tue 12:30 UTC durable goods is the next USD catalyst
Lower highs from Asia high; NY low 1.3327, bounce capped at 1.3349.
London broke below the Asian range and NY extended the slide to the 1.3327 ny low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The mid-NY bounce retraced about 72% of the 1.3358 ny high leg but showed rejection at the 1.3349 bounce high, under the lower-highs trendline, and price is now back on the 1.3342 london low.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3349, 1.3358
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3358 ny high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low reopens the 1.3327 ny low, near UOB's 1.3330 support
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next scheduled pre-Fed driver
Lower highs since Asia; NY low reclaimed toward London low.
London broke below the Asian range and Friday's 1.3360 area, then held a 1.3342–1.3358 box until the NY open extended the slide to the 1.3327 ny low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The rebound has carried back to the london low at 1.3342, which is now being retested. Price is stalling between the 50% and 61.8% of the ny drop fib, with the ema20 at 1.3346 overhead.
Support: 1.33418, 1.33273
Resistance: 1.33457, 1.33576
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 1.3342 london low reopens the 1.3327 ny low and UOB's 1.3330 support
Acceptance above the ema20 and the 61.8% ny drop fib near 1.3346 points to the 1.3358 pre-ny high
Close above the 1.3358 pre-ny high breaks the lower-high chain from Asia
Lower highs from the Asian high; London range broken lower at NY open, now retesting the broken base.
Cable has bled from the 1.3387 Asian high through London, and the NY open broke the 1.3342–1.3358 London range down to a 1.3327 session low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The bounce is now pressing the broken london base near 1.3345 from below, just above the 23.6% fib of the Asian high to session low leg, with EMA20 overhead and RSI(14) neutral near 45.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3327
Resistance: 1.3345, 1.3358, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.3345 london base and a break of the 1.3336 prior shelf would expose the 1.3327 session low again
A close below the 1.3327 session low extends the lower-low chain under the 1.3330 area
An M15 close above the 1.3358 london high, near the 50% fib, would break the lower-high sequence and put the 1.3387 asian high back in view
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then Wednesday's UK Budget and Fed decision, could materially shift this read
14:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, bouncing off NY low · RSI 41 · price 1.33393
Lower highs/lower lows since the Asian high; London range broken lower in NY.
Asia topped at 1.3387 (asian high). London broke the Asian range and stepped down into a 1.3342–1.3358 range. NY broke the range floor at 13:00 UTC to a 1.3327 NY low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's Fed. The 14:00 UTC bar rejected that low and reclaimed the 1.3330 area, and price is now pressing the old range floor near 1.3343 from below, with RSI(14) ~41 and both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.3327, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3343, 1.3358, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 acceptance back above the 1.3343 range floor puts the 1.3358 range top and the fib 38.2% (~1.3350) of the asian high–ny low leg in focus
Loss of the 1.3327 NY low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3300 round number
Rejection at the 1.3343 range floor keeps the 13:00 UTC range break intact
Tue 12:30 UTC US Durable Goods and the run-in to Wed's UK Budget/FOMC could reprice this read
Lower highs since London open; NY broke the London range low.
London open broke the Asian range and Friday's 1.3361 low. Price then held a 1.3342–1.3358 range into NY. In the first hour of NY the London low gave way, taking out the 1.3340/1.3330 zone flagged in the digest and printing a 1.3327 session low on a lower-highs sequence, with RSI(14) near 34 and not yet oversold.
Support: 1.33273, 1.3300
Resistance: 1.3342, 1.33576
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3342 london low returns price to the prior range
Failure to hold the 1.3327 session low exposes the 1.3300 psych level
Range top at 1.3358 lines up with the 61.8% retrace of the London selloff; a break above it ends the lower-highs read
Fed decision and UK Budget on Wed could materially shift this read
13:47 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 39 · price 1.3342
Lower highs and lower lows; Asian range broken lower, London low undercut in early NY.
Asia topped at the 1.3387 asian high. London broke the Asian low and held a 1.3342–1.3358 range. Early NY broke that range to a 1.3336 NY low as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed, and price is now back at 1.3342 with the lower high at 1.3358 still capping and RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 1.3336, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3330 round number extends the lower-low sequence beyond the NY low
Recovery above the 1.3358 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and neutralises the downtrend read
No scheduled GBP/USD data in the next 8h; Tue 12:30 UTC Durable Goods is the next US print
13:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 40 · price 1.33415
Lower-high/lower-low chain; London box 1.3342–1.3358 broken lower in early NY.
London broke the Asian low near 1.3367, then held a 1.3342–1.3358 box. Early NY broke the box floor to a 1.3336 session low, which sits in the 1.3330/40 support zone, as USD shorts get trimmed ahead of Wednesday's Fed and UK Budget. RSI(14) near 40 is not stretched, and supply has capped each bounce, keeping lower highs intact from the Asian high.
Support: 1.33359, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3342, 1.33576, 1.3367
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3342 range low would mark the break as a false break
Acceptance below the 1.3330 support zone extends the lower-low sequence beyond the session low
A rally failing at the 1.3358 range top keeps the lower-highs line from the Asian low area intact
Wed's UK Budget (10:00 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) remain the main event risk for this read
13:17 UTC
Downtrend, basing in a tight range · RSI 44 · price 1.33432
Asian range broken lower in London, sideways box 1.3342–1.3358 since.
London broke the Asian low at 1.3367 and price has since held a 1.3342–1.3358 box, with the range low tested six times. Into the NY session the 13:00 UTC bar showed a rejection from the range top and returned price to the range low. Pre-Fed USD short-trimming is behind the slide, and rebounds have stalled below the 38.2% retracement of the Asian high-to-London low leg.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3367, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3342 range low exposes the 1.3330 round number, the support zone flagged ahead of the Budget
Recovery above the 1.3358 range top reopens the 1.3367 Asian low; only a move back to the 1.3387 Asian high would erase the London leg
Wed UK Budget (10:00 UTC) and FOMC (18:00 UTC) sit beyond this window but frame the pre-event drift
Post-London range 1.3342–1.3358 below Asian range.
London broke the Asian range low and Friday's 1.3361 low, with the selloff bottoming at the 1.3342 london low as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Since then price has held a 1.3342–1.3358 range with a double bottom, and the range top near the 38.2% fib is being tested into the NY open with RSI(14) at 55.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3358, 1.3361, 1.3387
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3358 range top and the 1.3361 friday low completes the double bottom and opens the 1.3387 asian high
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3330 psych level
FOMC on Wed 28 Oct and USD short-covering into it could materially shift this read
12:47 UTC
Downtrend, stalling in a tight range · RSI 46 · price 1.33488
London broke the Asian range lower; lower-high sequence, now compressing 1.3342–1.3355.
London opened with a break below the Asian range and Friday's 1.3361 low, sliding to a 1.3342 session low as traders trimmed USD shorts ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Since mid-London, price has compressed in a 1.3342–1.3355 range under EMA20 into the NY open, with RSI(14) flat near 46. The range top, at the prior breakdown zone, has capped five rallies.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3361, 1.3365
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3355 range top reopens the 1.3361 Friday low and the fib 50% at 1.3365
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3330 next support
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US Durable Goods (Tue 12:30 UTC) and FOMC (Wed 18:00 UTC) are the next USD risk
12:31 UTC
Downtrend, stalled into consolidation · RSI 51 · price 1.3352
London broke the Asian range and Friday low; flat 1.3342–1.3355 box since mid-London.
London opened with a slide from the Asian high at 1.3387 through the Friday low at 1.3361 to a london low of 1.3342, as USD shorts were trimmed ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Since mid-London, price has held a tight 1.3342–1.3355 box. Early NY is pressing the range top, with RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3361, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3355 range top opens a retest of the friday low at 1.3361, then the 38.2% fib near 1.3359–1.3365
Failure at the london low of 1.3342 exposes the 1.3330 zone flagged as support
Wednesday's UK Autumn Forecast Statement and FOMC decision could materially shift this read
London broke the Asian range low; basing 1.3342–1.3354 below the broken level.
London open broke the Asian low at 1.3353 and Friday's low at 1.3361, extending to a 1.3342 session low as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's FOMC. Since mid-London, price has based between 1.3342 and 1.3354. The broken asian low and the 38.2% fib cap the bounces, and the descending trendline from the pre-ldn high is intact.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3354, 1.3361
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.3354 (asian low / 38.2% fib) breaks the descending trendline and opens a move toward the friday low at 1.3361
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low extends the London leg toward the 1.3330 round number zone
NY open within the hour may set the next session range; FOMC Wed 28 Oct could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in consolidation · RSI 43 · price 1.33473
Lower highs and lower lows from the Asian high; tight box under 1.3354.
London broke the Asian low near 1.3367 and extended the London drop to 1.3342 as USD shorts were trimmed into Wednesday's FOMC. Price has since compressed in a 12-pip box between the london low and the 1.3354 range top, below EMA20 with RSI(14) near 43, heading into the NY open.
Support: 1.33418, 1.3333
Resistance: 1.33544, 1.3367
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3354 range top breaks the consolidation and opens the 1.3359 38.2% retrace of the London drop, then the Asian low at 1.3367
Failure to hold the 1.3342 london low extends the lower-low sequence toward the UOB-flagged 1.3330 support
NY open could break the 1.3342–1.3354 box; Wednesday's FOMC is the larger event risk
London range break lower, now compressing above the session low.
London open broke the Asian low at 1.3367 and Friday's low at 1.3361, extending to a 1.3342 session low by 10:00 UTC as USD steadied ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Price has since compressed in a 1.3342–1.3353 band with RSI(14) near 37. The range top is capping at the 23.6% retracement of the London selloff.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3361, 1.3367
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.3342 session low exposes the 1.3330 support zone, the level flagged as the floor of the broader GBP range
Close above the 1.3353 range top reopens the 1.3361 friday low and the 1.3367 asian low
NY open in roughly 2h could break the London-session compression
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and the UK Autumn Forecast Statement are the next scheduled catalysts; nothing high-impact is due in the next 8h
Lower highs from the Asian range low; tight base 1.3342–1.3353 in mid-London.
London broke the Asian low at 1.3367 and Friday's low at 1.3361 as USD dip-buyers stepped in in early Europe. That sequence of lower highs printed a session low at 1.3342. Price has since compressed into a 1.3342–1.3353 base below EMA20, with RSI(14) near 34 and the base top capping just under the 38.2% retracement of the drop.
Support: 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3361, 1.3367
What it said to watch
A break of the 1.3342 session low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3340/1.3330 support area flagged in the macro digest
An M15 close above the 1.3353 base top, then a reclaim of the 1.3361 Friday low, would undercut the downtrend read
Acceptance back inside the Asian range, above the 1.3367 Asian low, would mark the morning break as a false break
FOMC (Wed) and the UK Autumn Forecast Statement keep the larger range in focus; no scheduled data in the next 8h
London broke below the Asian range and Friday low, then compressed in a tight 1.3342–1.3355 band.
London open broke below the Asian range and the Friday low at 1.3361, running to a 1.3342 session low as USD steadied ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Since then price has compressed between the session low and a 1.3355 range top, which lines up with the 38.2% fib of the London leg. Price sits below EMA20 and RSI(14) is at 41, so downside momentum has faded without a recovery.
Support: 1.3342, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3355, 1.3361, 1.3376
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3355 range top and back over the friday low at 1.3361 negates the London breakdown
Acceptance below the 1.3342 session low resumes the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3330 round number
Pre-ldn high at 1.3376 caps any recovery above the 61.8% fib of the London leg
No scheduled UK/US data in the next 8h. US durable goods Tuesday and FOMC Wednesday are the next catalysts
Asian range broken lower at London open; lower highs over flat lows near 1.3342.
London open broke the Asian low near 1.3367 and Friday's low at 1.3361 as the USD steadied ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. The London leg ran to a 1.3342 session low, which held on three tests. Price is now pressing the 1.3352 lower high, still under EMA20 near 1.3356 and below the 38.2% retracement of the move.
Support: 1.3342
Resistance: 1.3352, 1.3361, 1.3367
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3352 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and puts the 1.3361 friday low in play as a retest.
Rejection in the 1.3361–1.3367 band (friday low / asian low) keeps the London range break intact.
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low extends the London leg toward the 1.3330 support flagged in the digest.
Nothing is scheduled in the next 8h. The Fed decision on Wed 28 Oct at 18:00 UTC is the next major risk to this read.
Lower highs from the Asian high; break below Friday's low, now boxed 1.3342–1.3352.
Price slid from the Asian high at 1.3387 into London, breaking below Friday's low at 1.3361 as the USD steadied ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. Since 08:45 UTC it has been boxed between the 1.3342 session low, near the 1.3340 support cited in the macro read, and a 1.3352 lower high. RSI(14) sits near 34 with both EMAs overhead.
Support: 1.33418, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.33525, 1.33608, 1.33873
What it said to watch
A close above the 1.3352 lower high breaks the box and brings the 38.2% of the London drop (1.3355) and the Friday low at 1.3361, now resistance, into play
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low exposes the 1.3330 zone; a break there would extend the lower-low sequence
A recovery back to the 1.3387 Asian high would put price back inside Friday's range and neutralise the break
No scheduled data before the NY session; Tue 12:30 UTC US durable goods is the next USD catalyst ahead of FOMC
Lower highs from 1.3376; London broke Asian range low and Friday low.
Pre-London selling off the 1.3387 Asian high broke the Asian range low and Friday low at 1.3361. London extended the slide to a 1.3342 session low, under the 1.3360 area the digest flags as dip-buying, as USD steadied ahead of FOMC. RSI(14) is near 25 and lows are compressing at 1.3342–1.3344, with the 1.3352 bounce high capping the descending highs line.
Support: 1.33418, 1.3333
Resistance: 1.33525, 1.33608, 1.33761
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3361 Friday low would mark the break below the Asian range as a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3342 session low exposes the 1.3330–1.3340 support zone
Close above the descending highs line and the 1.3352 bounce high eases the intraday downtrend; the 1.3376 lower high is the next structural pivot
US durable goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows since London open, below the Asian range.
London open broke the Asian low at 1.3353 and Friday's low at 1.3361, then built a lower-high chain under a descending trendline to a session low of 1.3342. Lows are clustering at 1.3342–1.3344 with RSI(14) near 24, just above the 1.3340 range floor flagged in the GBP digest as USD holds firm into Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.33424, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33534, 1.33608
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline (~1.3349) breaks the lower-high sequence
Recovery back above the 1.3353 asian low would turn the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3340 range floor extends the lower-low chain below the session low
NY open could test the session low; Wednesday's FOMC and Autumn Forecast Statement remain the larger risk to this read
London broke below Asian range; lower highs since open, double low at 1.3343.
London open broke the Asian low at 1.3353 and Friday's low near 1.3361, a 44-pip slide to a 1.3343 session low as the dollar firmed ahead of the FOMC. Two tests of the session low have held mid-London, with the bounce capped below the Asian low and RSI(14) near 24.
Support: 1.33434, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33534, 1.33608, 1.33705
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3343 session low exposes the 1.3340 round number, the floor of the broader 1.3340–1.3420 range
Recovery back above the 1.3353 asian low would turn the London break into a false break
Reclaim of the 1.3361 friday low (38.2% fib of the Asia-high-to-session-low drop) eases the lower-high sequence; the 61.8% fib sits at 1.3371
NY open liquidity could extend or reverse the London move; FOMC Wednesday is the larger event risk
Lower highs/lower lows through London; Asian range broken below.
London broke the 1.3367 Asian low and Friday's low at 1.3361 at the open, stepping down in lower highs to a 1.3343 session low as USD firmed modestly ahead of FOMC. Price is now basing just above the 1.3340 range floor, with RSI(14) near 32 and the 1.3355 lower high capping the bounce.
Support: 1.33434, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33552, 1.33608, 1.33671
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3355 lower high breaks the London lower-high chain; Friday low at 1.3361 (38.2% fib) is next
Failure to hold the 1.3343 session low exposes the 1.3340 range floor
Reclaim of the 1.3367 Asian low would mark the range break as a false break
No scheduled data in the next 8h; Wednesday's Autumn Forecast Statement and FOMC remain the larger event risk
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, early London bounce · RSI 29 · price 1.3351
Asian range low and Friday low broken at London open; lower highs since 1.3376.
London open took out the Asian range low and Friday's low near 1.3360. Price slid to a session low at 1.3343, just above the 1.3340/1.3330 range floor, as USD stayed firm into FOMC week. The first bounce is stalling at the 1.3353 bounce high with RSI(14) near 29, below both EMAs, and every high since the 1.3376 pre-London high has been lower.
Support: 1.3343, 1.3330
Resistance: 1.3353, 1.3360, 1.3376
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.3360 (Friday low, 38.2% fib) would turn the London break into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3343 session low exposes the 1.3330 range floor; a break there takes price out of the week's range
Lower highs below the 1.3353 bounce high keep the downtrend sequence intact into NY open
A recovery through the 1.3376 pre-London high would negate the breakdown
Pre-FOMC USD tone (Durable Goods Tue, FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Downtrend, extended into London · RSI 28 · price 1.33473
Lower highs through Asia, London broke the Asian range low.
Asia faded from 1.3387 in a series of lower highs. London open then broke the Asian low at 1.3353 and Friday's low at 1.3361, printing a session low at 1.3343 just above the 1.3340 range floor as USD found early-Europe dip buyers. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not extreme. Price is holding below both EMAs.
Support: 1.33434, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33534, 1.33608, 1.33705
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3340 range floor extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3330
M15 close back above the Asian low at 1.3353 and the Friday low at 1.3361 marks the London break as a false break
Recovery through the fib 61.8 at 1.3370 and the lower-high trendline negates the intraday downtrend read
FOMC on Wed 28 Oct is the broader driver for this 1.3340–1.3420 range
08:46 UTC
Downtrend, London extending the Asian-session fade · RSI 24 · price 1.33543
Lower highs from the Asian high, Friday low broken, price at session low.
Lower highs from the 1.3387 Asian high gave way to a London-open slide from 1.3373. That move broke the Friday low at 1.3361 and printed a session low at 1.3353, with RSI(14) near 24 as the dollar steadies ahead of FOMC. The last two bars are stalling just above the 1.3350 round number.
Support: 1.3353, 1.3350, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.3361, 1.3373, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 1.3361 Friday low turns the break into a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3353 session low and the 1.3350 round number exposes the 1.3340 range floor
A retrace into the 50–61.8% fib zone (1.3370–1.3374) near the London open level tests whether the lower-highs trendline still caps
No scheduled GBP or USD data in the next 8h; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC is the next calendar catalyst
08:31 UTC
Downtrend, extended into early London · RSI 26 · price 1.33571
Lower highs from the Asian high; London broke below the Asian low and Friday's low.
London open extended the fade from the 1.3387 Asian high. Price broke the 1.3367 Asian low and the 1.3361 Friday low, then printed a 1.3353 session low level with the Sunday-open wick. RSI(14) sits near 26, and the lower highs held as USD steadied ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.3353, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.3361, 1.3367, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Holding below the 1.3361 friday low keeps the London break intact; an M15 close back above the 1.3367 asian low marks a false break
Failure to hold the 1.3353 session low exposes the 1.3340 range floor
M15 close above the lower-highs trendline near 1.3372, the 61.8% fib area, breaks the intraday lower-high sequence
Wednesday's Autumn Forecast Statement and FOMC remain the main event risk; no scheduled GBP/USD data in the next 8h
08:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 28 · price 1.33573
Lower-high/lower-low chain from the 1.3387 Asia high; Friday low broken at London open.
London open broke through the Friday low at 1.3361 and set a session low at 1.3355, extending a lower-high chain from the 1.3387 Asia high as the dollar firmed modestly ahead of Wednesday's FOMC. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not extreme. Price is stalling just above the session low inside the first hour of London.
Support: 1.33549, 1.3350, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33608, 1.33761, 1.33873
What it said to watch
Quick reclaim of the 1.3361 Friday low would mark the London break as a false break
M15 close above the 1.3376 lower high breaks the lower-highs trendline and the downtrend read
Failure to hold the 1.3355 session low opens the 1.3350 round number, then the 1.3340 range floor
No scheduled GBP/USD data in the next 8h; Tue US durable goods and Wed FOMC/UK Autumn Forecast are the next event risks
08:01 UTC
Intraday downtrend, accelerating into London open · RSI 24 · price 1.33558
Lower highs from the 1.3387 Asian high; Friday low broken.
The early London session extended the Asian lower-high sequence from 1.3387. Price dropped about 20 pips through the friday low at 1.3361 to 1.3356, with RSI(14) near 24. That leaves the pair just above the asian low at 1.3353 (Sunday-open wick), in line with the digest's modest dollar recovery ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.33534, 1.3340
Resistance: 1.33608, 1.33678, 1.33761
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the asian low at 1.3353 extends the lower-low sequence toward the 1.3340 range floor
A recovery back above the friday low at 1.3361 would mark the break as a false break, with the fib 38.2% at 1.3368 next
An M15 close above the 1.3376 lower high and descending trendline invalidates the intraday downtrend read
No scheduled GBP/USD events in the next 8h. Tuesday's US data and Wednesday's FOMC and Autumn Forecast Statement are the next catalysts
07:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since the Asia high · RSI 28 · price 1.33619
London open broke below the Asian range floor and Friday's low.
Lower highs have stepped down from the 1.3387 asia high under a falling trendline. The London open then broke the 1.3367 asia low and Friday's 1.3361 low, printing a 1.3359 london low as the dollar firmed slightly. RSI(14) near 28 is stretched but not extreme, and ATR is under 5 pips.
Support: 1.3359, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3367, 1.3376, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3367 asia low would turn the break into a false break
Failure to hold 1.3359 london low exposes the 1.3353 weekly open
Close above the falling trendline and the 1.3376 lower high would void the lower-high chain
No data scheduled in the next 8h; US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC and FOMC Wed are the next event risks
07:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 38 · price 1.33702
Asian range 1.3364–1.3387, price in lower half above twin lows.
The Asia rally from 1.3364 met rejection at the 1.3387 Asia high, a match for Friday's 1.3388 top. Lower highs since then have pulled price about 73% back to 1.3370 as the dollar firmed off its early dip. Price sits just above 1.3367 twin lows ahead of London open, with RSI(14) soft near 38 and ATR(14) around 4 pips.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3376, 1.3387
What it said to watch
Break below the 1.3367 twin lows exposes the 1.3361 Friday low, then the 1.3353 open spike
Close back above the 1.3376 lower high breaks the lower-highs chain and reopens the 1.3387 Asia high
London open (08:00 UTC, first session after the UK clock change) is likely to expand the tight Asian range
US Durable Goods Tue 12:30 UTC, then the UK Autumn Statement and FOMC on Wed, could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asian peak · RSI 41 · price 1.33745
Lower highs and lows from 1.3387, basing at 61.8% retrace.
Asian session ran from the 1.3353 asian low to a 1.3387 asian high, a rejection just under the 1.3388 friday high. Since then a lower-high chain has pulled price back to the 1.3367 session low, the 61.8% retracement of the Asian rally. Price is steadying near 1.3374 into London open, below both EMAs, as softer US yields ease the USD ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.33671, 1.33608, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33808, 1.33873, 1.33883
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3381 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 1.3367 session low exposes the 1.3361 friday low, then the 1.3353 asian low
A second rejection at the 1.3387 asian high / 1.3388 friday high keeps the cap intact
No scheduled data in the next 8h; US yields and DXY near 101.50 drive the tape ahead of Tue Durable Goods and Wed FOMC
07:01 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 40 · price 1.33733
Asian range 1.3353–1.3387, lower-high sequence into London open.
Asia session lifted from a thin open dip at the 1.3353 asian low to 1.3387. It stalled just under the 1.3388 friday high, then printed lower highs as USD recovered, in line with the digest's read. The pullback tagged the 61.8% fib near 1.3367 ahead of London open, with price below EMA20 and RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 1.3367, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3375, 1.3381, 1.3388
What it said to watch
London open: a break of the 61.8% fib at 1.3367 exposes the 1.3361 friday low and the 1.3360 area the digest flags
M15 close above the 1.3375 lower high and the falling trendline near 1.3381 ends the lower-high sequence
Second rejection near the 1.3388 friday high keeps price inside the Asian range
US yields and DXY 101.50 drift into Wednesday's FOMC are the main USD driver for this range
Lower highs and lower lows since the 1.3387 Asian high; holding the 61.8% retrace.
The Asia session rallied from the 1.3353 Asian low to a 1.3387 Asian high, where it met rejection at the same 1.3387–1.3390 cap as Friday's highs. It has since built a chain of lower highs under a falling trendline as the USD rebounded. Pre-London price is holding the 1.3367 swing low at the 61.8% retrace, with the 1.3376 lower high capping the latest bounce.
Support: 1.33671, 1.33608, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33756, 1.33808, 1.33873
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3381 trendline breaks the lower-high sequence and re-exposes the 1.3387 Asian high
Failure to hold the 1.3367 swing low extends the lower-low chain toward the 1.3361 Friday low, then the 1.3353 Asian low
London open is the first test of whether the 1.3367–1.3376 compression resolves
Reclaim of the 1.3376 lower high would neutralise the immediate fade
06:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 28 · price 1.3368
Lower-high chain inside the Asian range, now at 61.8% fib of the Monday-open rally.
Monday's open swept the friday low to 1.3353, then the Asia rally was rejected at 1.3387 (asian high, level with Friday's NY high). Lower highs have since retraced price into the 61.8% fib near 1.3366 ahead of London open. RSI(14) sits near 28 as early USD softness fades.
Support: 1.3366, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3381, 1.3387
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3361 friday low exposes the 1.3353 asian low
Reclaim of the 1.3374 minor high and the lower-highs trendline near 1.3381 neutralises the Asia pullback
London open at 08:00 UTC is the first test of the Asian range boundaries
US data Tuesday and FOMC Wednesday could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Short-term pullback after Asia rally · RSI 45 · price 1.3374
Lower highs from 1.3387 Asia high, pullback sitting at 61.8% fib.
Asia ran from the 1.3364 area to a 1.3387 Asia high on softer USD and lower yields, but stalled at the same zone that capped Friday's NY highs, printing a small double top. Price has since faded on lower highs back to the 61.8% fib near 1.3373, with the 1.3371 pullback low the nearest floor ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3362, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3381, 1.3387, 1.3394
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.3371 pullback low exposes the friday low at 1.3362, inside the 1.3360 dip-buying area, with the sunday low at 1.3353 below
M15 close above the lower highs line near 1.3381 reopens the 1.3387 asia high and the friday high at 1.3394
London open liquidity arrives within the next two hours; US yields and Iran headlines remain the main USD drivers ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
06:01 UTC
Pullback within Asian range, short-term lower highs · RSI 39 · price 1.33723
Asia rally from a sweep low faded into a double top; lower-high sequence since 1.3387.
Monday Asia swept below the Friday low at 1.3361 to an Asia low of 1.3353. Dip buyers then lifted price to an Asia high of 1.3387, as the USD softened on fading Iran-strike risk. A double top at 1.3387 has since given way to lower highs and a break of the 1.3380 shelf, leaving price near the 50% of the Asia rally fib ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3364, 1.33608, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.33873, 1.33942
What it said to watch
Hold of the 1.3364 swing low (61.8% of the Asia rally fib) keeps the pullback corrective; a break exposes the Friday low at 1.3361 and the Asia low at 1.3353
M15 close back above the 1.3380 shelf and the lower-highs trendline neutralises the double top
London open could extend the Asian range; acceptance above the 1.3387 Asia high puts the Friday high at 1.3394 in play
US Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed remain the larger event risk for this read
Asia bounced from the 1.3353 asian low at the open to a 1.3387 asian high, in line with the reported dip-buying as softer US yields weighed on USD. Price has since faded under a line of lower highs and is pressing the 38.2% fib of that rally near 1.3374 and EMA50, with RSI(14) at 34 and ATR around 3 pips into the London open.
Support: 1.33744, 1.3364, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33873, 1.33942, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 38.2% fib at 1.3374 exposes the 1.3364 higher low, then the 1.3353 asian low
Reclaim of the lower highs line and the 1.3387 asian high reopens the 1.3394 friday high and 1.3400 round number
London open is likely to expand the roughly 3-pip ATR and set the session range
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the main event risk for this read
Lower highs under 1.3387 since 01:15 UTC; holding above 38.2% of the Asian rally.
Asia bounced from the thin Sunday-open asian low at 1.3353 to the 1.3387 asian high on softer US yields. Since then it has printed lower highs and faded toward the 1.3373 breakout pt, near the 38.2% of that rally, ahead of London open. RSI(14) is near 39, price has slipped below EMA20 and sits on EMA50, and ATR is a quiet 3.4 pips.
Support: 1.3373, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3394, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3373 breakout pt exposes the 1.3364 asia pivot near the 61.8% retrace of the Asian rally
Failure to hold 1.3353 asian low erases the Asia rebound
Reclaim of the 1.3387 asian high breaks the lower-high sequence and brings the 1.3394 friday high and 1.3400 round number into view
London open liquidity is likely to expand the current 3-pip ATR and test either side of the Asian range
Lower highs below 1.3387 Asian high, tight consolidation 1.3377–1.3387.
Asia dipped below Friday's 1.3361 low to a 1.3353 Asian low on the open, then rebounded to a 1.3387 Asian high as softer US yields weighed on USD. Since then price has drifted under a lower-highs line into a 1.3377–1.3387 consolidation, sitting on EMA20 and the 23.6% fib with RSI(14) near 46 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 1.33774, 1.3364, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33873, 1.33942, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3377 intraday low exposes the 1.3364 pullback low near the 50% fib
Break of the lower-highs line and the 1.3387 asian high opens the 1.3394 friday high, then the 1.3400 round number
Loss of the 1.3353 asian low turns the opening dip into a lower-low rather than a sweep
London open in about 2h typically tests the Asian range
US data Tue and the FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:01 UTC
Intraday rebound, stalling below Asian high · RSI 45 · price 1.33798
Rally off weekly-open dip, now a tight range with lower highs under 1.3387.
Dip-buying at 1.3353 after the weekly open lifted GBPUSD to an Asian high of 1.3387 as softer US yields capped the dollar. Since then the Asia session has compressed into a 1.3377–1.3387 band with lower highs, holding the rising support line and the 23.6% level of the Asia rally fib. RSI(14) is neutral near 45 and ATR is about 3 pips heading into London open.
Support: 1.33774, 1.33744, 1.33697
Resistance: 1.33873, 1.33942, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3387 asian high exposes the 1.3394 friday high and 1.3400 psych
Loss of the 1.3377 pullback low and the rising support line opens the 38.2% fib at 1.3374, then the 1.3370 weekly open
London open in ~2h is the likely catalyst to resolve the Asian range compression
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wed FOMC, could materially shift this read
Asian range 1.3353–1.3387; price drifting off the range top.
Asia session rebounded from the 1.3353 Asian low and a higher swing low at 1.3364, helped by softer US yields, but stalled at the 1.3387 session high, matching Friday's NY swing high. Price is now drifting to 1.3378 late in the Asian range, testing the 38.2% fib at 1.3374, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3394
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3387 session high exposes the 1.3394 friday high
A break below the 1.3364 swing low, near the 61.8% retracement, unwinds the Asian rebound toward the 1.3353 asian low
London open could set direction out of the Asian range
FOMC on Wed Oct 28 18:00 UTC is the main event risk for this read
Tight 1.3380–1.3387 Asian range, lower highs pressing the base.
Dip-buyers took the Sunday-open low at 1.3353 back to a 1.3387 Asia high as softer US yields kept the dollar capped. Price has since compressed into a 1.3380–1.3387 Asian range with lower highs and now sits on the asia low just under the EMA20. RSI(14) near 47 and a roughly 3-pip ATR show little momentum ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3394, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3380 asia low breaks the range base and exposes the 1.3364 swing low, near the 38.2% fib of the sunday low–asia high leg
Close above the 1.3387 asia high and the lower-highs line puts the 1.3394 friday high and 1.3400 round number in play
London open is likely to expand the compressed Asian range
Failure to hold the 1.3353 sunday low unwinds the Monday recovery
Tue US Durable Goods and Consumer Confidence, then Wed FOMC, could materially shift dollar tone
Tight range 1.3380–1.3387 after Asia rally, lower highs pressing the floor.
Thin early-Asia trade swept below the friday low to 1.3353 (asia low). Dip-buying on softer US yields then lifted GBPUSD to the 1.3387 asia high. Since then price has compressed into a 7-pip box with lower highs and is now sitting on the 1.3380 range floor ahead of London open, with ATR down near 4 pips.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3394
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 1.3380 range floor opens the 38.2% asia leg fib near 1.3374
Acceptance above the 1.3387 asia high exposes the 1.3394 friday high
Return under the 1.3361 friday low would undo the Asia recovery
London open volatility expansion from the current compressed range
Wed FOMC and UK Autumn Forecast Statement are the week's main catalysts beyond this window
04:01 UTC
Intraday up-leg, now stalling · RSI 55 · price 1.33813
Tight Asian range 1.3380–1.3387 below Friday high.
Asia session lifted GBPUSD off the 1.3353 Sunday low to 1.3387 as softer US yields capped the USD. Price has since compressed into a 7-pip range above the 1.3380 range low, with supply again capping at the 1.3388 Friday high, which held twice during Friday's NY session. RSI(14) is neutral near 55, and ATR(14) has shrunk to about 3.6 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3371, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.33971
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 Friday high opens the 1.3397 prior high and the 1.3400 handle
Loss of the 1.3380 range low exposes the 1.3371 breakout area near the 38.2% retrace of the Asia rally
Holding above the 1.3353 Sunday low keeps the Asia rally structure intact
London open is the likely trigger for this compressed range to resolve
Wed FOMC (18:00 UTC) remains the dominant risk for this read
03:46 UTC
Intraday rebound, stalling below the asia high · RSI 59 · price 1.33814
Higher lows off the 1.3353 open low, tight 1.3380–1.3387 range since 01:15 UTC.
The Sunday open dipped to the 1.3353 asia low, taking out Friday's 1.3361 low before dip-buying on softer US yields lifted GBPUSD to a 1.3387 asia high. Price has compressed between the 1.3380 range floor and that high for about two hours, with RSI(14) near 59 and ATR(14) around 4 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 1.3380, 1.33704, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33873, 1.3400, 1.3419
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3387 asia high, which aligns with Friday's 1.3388 high, opens the 1.3400 round number and then the 1.3419 monthly high
Loss of the 1.3380 range floor exposes the fib 50% retracement near 1.3370, the origin of the Asia breakout
A break back below the 1.3353 asia low would negate the post-open sweep and the rebound
Wed FOMC at 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst, and a pre-FOMC rebound in US yields would undercut the rebound read
Higher low after Sunday-open sweep; tight range under session high.
The Sunday open swept Friday's 1.3361 low to 1.3353, then Asia built a higher low at 1.3364 and pushed to a 1.3387 session high. That high matches Friday's London and NY highs, and the Asia leg has stalled there. Price is compressing on a 1.3380 asia shelf just above EMA20, RSI(14) is near 60, and softer US yields frame the Asia bid ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3387, 1.3397, 1.3400
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3387 session high exposes the 1.3397 friday high and 1.3400 psych
Loss of the 1.3380 asia shelf and rising support reopens the 1.3364 higher low; the 1.3353 sunday low sits below
38.2% of the Asia leg fib at ~1.3374 is the first pullback reference if the shelf gives way
London open is the first test of the 1.3353–1.3387 Asian range; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant risk
Higher lows from the 1.3353 Asia low, flat consolidation under 1.3388.
Monday's Asia session dipped to an Asia low of 1.3353 after the open, then recovered Friday's late losses as softer US yields capped USD. The rebound has stalled into an Asia shelf at 1.3380-1.3387, directly under the 1.3388 Friday cap that rejected price three times on Friday; the 1.3364 higher low anchors the intraday rise.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3397, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 Friday cap opens the 1.3397 Friday high and 1.3400 psych level
Loss of the 1.3380 Asia shelf puts the 1.3364 higher low and the 50% retracement near 1.3370 in play
Break below the 1.3353 Asia low invalidates the Asia rebound structure
London open is the first test of the Asia range; FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's main risk
HH/HL chain off the Asian low, testing Friday's prior high.
Monday's Asia session swept Friday's 1.3361 low to an asian low at 1.3353, then built a steady HH/HL chain along a rising trendline as softer US yields kept USD on the back foot. Price now sits just under Friday's NY prior high at 1.3388, with RSI(14) near 71 and the 1.3380 swing low the nearest intraday pivot.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3397, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 prior high opens the friday high at 1.3397 and the 1.3400 psych level
Break below the 1.3380 swing low and the rising trendline breaks the HH/HL chain, putting the 1.3364 higher low back in focus
London open in ~4h typically tests the Asian range; loss of the 1.3353 asian low would negate the Asia rebound
FOMC on Wednesday keeps 1.3400 a likely cap until the decision
02:46 UTC
Uptrend off the weekly open, stalling under resistance · RSI 69 · price 1.33849
Asian higher-low chain 1.3353 → 1.3364 → 1.3380, capped at the 1.3387-88 friday cap.
Early Asia session: the thin weekly open dipped below Friday's 1.3361 low to the 1.3353 open low, then buyers stepped in. A higher-low chain through the 1.3364 asia low carried the asia rally to 1.3387, in line with the softer-US-yields read. Price is now pinned under the 1.3388 friday cap, the level that held three times on Friday, with RSI(14) near 69 and ATR around 4 pips.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33883, 1.33987
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 friday cap opens the 1.3399 prior high and the 1.3400 round number
Break of the 1.3380 higher low ends the Asian HL chain and puts the 1.3364 asia low back in play
Loss of the 1.3353 open low unwinds the full asia rally
US ADP and Durable Goods on Tue 12:15/12:30 UTC, then FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Asia higher-low chain from the open low, testing Friday highs.
The Asia session rebounded from the 1.3353 open low, a sweep below Friday's 1.3361 low, and has built higher lows at the 1.3364 asian HL and the 1.3380 pullback low. Dip-buying lines up with the soft-yield USD tone. Price is now pressing the 1.3387–88 friday highs, a level capped three times, with RSI(14) near 67 and not stretched.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 friday highs opens the 1.3400 round number
Break of the 1.3380 pullback low and the asian HL line ends the higher-low chain; the Asia rally fib 50% sits near 1.3370
Loss of the 1.3353 open low would negate the Asia rebound entirely
US data Tue and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Asia low, pressing resistance · RSI 62 · price 1.33833
Higher-low chain from 1.3353 into a test of Friday's 1.3388 prior highs.
The week opened with a false break below Friday's 1.3361 low to a 1.3353 Asia low. The Asia session then built higher lows at 1.3364 and the 1.3380 swing low along a rising trendline, into the 1.3388 prior highs that capped Friday's NY session twice. Softer US yields keeping USD on the back foot fit the dip-buying, and RSI(14) near 62 is not stretched.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3399
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 prior highs opens the 1.3399 Friday high and the 1.3400 round number
Break of the 1.3380 swing low and the rising trendline exposes the 50% Asia rally fib near 1.3370 and the 1.3364 higher low
Loss of the 1.3353 Asia low negates the false-break read
London open is the first test of the 1.3353–1.3387 Asian range; FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant event risk this week
02:01 UTC
Uptrend through Asia, stalling at Friday's NY high · RSI 65 · price 1.33834
Higher lows 1.3353 → 1.3364 → 1.3380 off the Sunday open; Asian range 1.3353–1.3387 still developing.
Asia session rebounded from the 1.3364 asia low, with dip-buying as softer US yields cap the USD. It is building higher lows up to Friday's NY high at 1.3388, where the 01:15 UTC bar stalled. RSI(14) near 65 is firm but not stretched, and the 1.3380 pullback low sits just above the 38.2% of the Asia rally.
Support: 1.3380, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3400, 1.3419
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 fri ny high opens the 1.3400 psych and Friday Asia high, then the 1.3419 monthly high
Break of the 1.3380 pullback low and the 50% fib at 1.3376 would break the higher-low chain
Loss of the 1.3364 asia low undoes the rebound and exposes the 1.3353 sunday low
London open in ~5h is likely to set the session range against the Asian range
FOMC on Wed 28 Oct 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain off the weekly open low, testing the Friday cap.
The thin weekly open briefly dipped under Friday's low to 1.3353 (open low). Early Asia session has since reclaimed it, putting a higher low in at 1.3364 (swing low) and lifting price into the 1.3387–1.3388 Friday highs. That zone capped three rallies during Friday's London and NY sessions, when US PMI strength and Iran tensions lifted USD. The latest push printed 1.3387 and was again held below it, with the higher low at 1.3381 and the Asia HL line underneath.
Support: 1.3381, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 Friday highs breaks the cap and opens the 1.3400 round number
Failure to hold the 1.3381 higher low and the Asia HL line puts the 38.2–50% zone of the open low rally (1.3374–1.3370) in play
Loss of the 1.3364 swing low would leave the weekend false break of the open low unresolved
London open liquidity is the first real test of the Asian range; Iran headlines remain a USD haven risk
01:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Monday open low · RSI 70 · price 1.33859
HH/HL chain from 1.3353, testing Friday PM highs.
The thin Monday open swept below the 1.3361 Friday low to a 1.3353 sweep low and reclaimed it. Asia has since built a higher-low chain to 1.3386. Price now sits under the 1.3388 Friday PM highs, which capped the London and NY rallies during Friday's chop between the UK PMI beat and the strong US PMI; RSI(14) is near 70.
Support: 1.3374, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3404
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 1.3388 fri pm high opens 1.3400 and the 1.3404 friday high.
A break of the 1.3374 higher low and the higher-low trendline ends the Asia HH/HL chain, with the 1.3361 friday low next.
Losing the 1.3353 sweep low would turn the open-gap false break into a fresh lower low.
Asia liquidity is thin; London open around 07:00 UTC is likely to set the real session range.
The FOMC on Wed 18:00 UTC is the next scheduled driver for USD.
01:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the Sunday-open low · RSI 67 · price 1.33822
Higher highs and higher lows through Monday Asia session.
The thin Sunday open swept below Friday's 1.3361 low to an asia low at 1.3353, before a higher-low chain lifted price through Friday's late-NY range to 1.3382, despite a mild USD haven floor from weekend Iran headlines. RSI(14) sits near 67 and is not stretched. Friday's ny high at 1.3388 is the next cap overhead.
Support: 1.3371, 1.3364, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 ny high opens the 1.3400 round number
Pullback holding the 38.2% fib near 1.3371 keeps the higher-low sequence intact
Break below the 1.3364 higher low undoes the Asia leg and puts the 1.3353 asia low back in play
Iran or China retaliation headlines in thin Asia trade could quickly lift USD
01:01 UTC
Friday downtrend, early Asia rebound · RSI 61 · price 1.33781
Sweep below Friday low, higher low in Asia.
The Asia open swept below the Friday low at 1.3361 to a sweep low of 1.3353, then reclaimed it. Price is now pressing the Asian session high near 1.3380 and has retraced above the 61.8% level of Friday's slide, which came as strong US PMIs and Iran tensions lifted USD. Friday's London high at 1.3388 sits just overhead, with Friday's high at 1.3405 beyond it.
Support: 1.3364, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3388, 1.3405
What it said to watch
M15 close above the asia high at 1.3380 opens a test of the Friday London high at 1.3388
Failure to hold the 1.3364 higher low exposes the friday low at 1.3361 and the 1.3353 sweep low
A break above 1.3388 brings the friday high at 1.3405 into view
Iran headlines could revive the USD safe-haven bid during thin Asia liquidity
The thin Asia session open swept below the 1.3361 Friday low to a 1.3353 sweep low and reversed. Price has since printed higher lows at 1.3364 and is pressing the 1.3380 session high, back inside Friday's NY range, as weekend Iran headlines trimmed immediate escalation risk. RSI(14) is near 60 and ATR(14) about 7 pips.
Support: 1.3364, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3380, 1.3388, 1.3400
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3380 session high opens the 1.3388 Fri NY high, then the 1.3400 round number
Loss of the 1.3364 higher low and the 1.3361 Friday low weakens the rebound read
Break below the 1.3353 sweep low turns the false break into a fresh lower low
London open later today is likely to expand the narrow Asian range
Iran/Middle East headlines remain the main USD driver ahead of Wednesday's FOMC
False break below Friday low, then higher low at 1.3364 in early Asia.
The thin Sunday open dipped through the 1.3361 Friday low to an open spike at 1.3353, and that dip was reclaimed within the hour. Early Asia has since printed a higher low at 1.3364 and an Asian high at 1.3380. Price sits mid-range below the 1.3387–1.3388 Friday highs, which capped three rallies as USD held firm on strong PMIs and Iran headlines.
Support: 1.3364, 1.33608, 1.33534
Resistance: 1.33798, 1.3388
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3380 Asian high puts the 1.3388 Friday highs back in play
Failure to hold the 1.3364 higher low breaks the micro HH/HL chain and exposes the 1.3361 Friday low and the 1.3353 open spike
Early-week liquidity is thin and Iran headlines can spike price; Tue US durables and Wed FOMC/UK Autumn Statement are the scheduled risk
The thin Sunday open dipped to the 1.3353 sunday low, a false break of the 1.3361 friday low, and early Asia has since lifted price to 1.3378. That is a higher low at the 1.3364 swing low and a retrace of more than 61.8% of the fib drop from Friday's high to Sunday's low. Price sits back inside Friday's NY range, below the 1.3388 friday cap that held three times after strong US PMIs lifted the USD; RSI(14) is near 63.
Support: 1.3364, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3388, 1.3407
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 1.3388 friday cap breaks Friday's range top and exposes the 1.3407 Friday asia high
Loss of the 1.3364 swing low and the higher-low trendline reopens the 1.3361 friday low and 1.3353 sunday low
London open is the first liquid test of the Asia rebound
US Durable Goods Tue and FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:01 UTC
Downtrend stalled, early-Asia range · RSI 53 · price 1.33721
False break below Friday low at the Sunday open, reclaimed; tight range 1.3364–1.3374.
Friday's London-open slide from 1.3407 settled into a 1.3361–1.3388 range, with the friday high at 1.3388 rejected twice as strong US PMIs capped GBP. The thin Sunday open dipped to a sunday low of 1.3353 below the friday low and was quickly reclaimed. Price now sits near the 50% fib of the 1.3388–1.3353 drop in early Asia, with RSI(14) neutral near 53.
Support: 1.3364, 1.3361, 1.3353
Resistance: 1.3374, 1.3388
What it said to watch
Close above the 1.3374 sunday high, which sits near the 61.8% fib, exposes the 1.3388 friday high
Loss of the 1.3364 asia pivot puts the 1.3361 friday low back in play
Close below the 1.3353 sunday low confirms a lower low and voids the false-break read
London open is the next liquidity test of the Asian range; no scheduled GBP/USD data in the next 8h