NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 9 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:48 UTC
Intraday uptrend off NY low, momentum modest · RSI 64 · price 0.56157
Higher-low chain since 0.5602, capped at the NY high.
London faded the 0.5627 Asia high, and the NY open extended the drop to a 0.5601 NY low. The bar carrying the Michigan miss then held 0.5602, and a higher-low chain along trendline support has since lifted price back to the 0.5617 NY high, which sits on the 61.8% retrace of the Asia high–NY low drop. RSI(14) is near 64 and ATR is about 2 pips in thin late-Friday trade.
Support: 0.56116, 0.56079, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56168, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.5617 NY high / 61.8% opens the 0.5619 London high, then the 0.5627 Asia high
A break of trendline support and the 0.5612 swing low ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 0.5608 London low and the 0.5601 NY low
Weekend gap risk on oil headlines (Trump diesel claim) as Friday liquidity thins into the close
20:33 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows off NY low · RSI 64 · price 0.56145
Higher-low chain from 0.5601, capped at 0.5617 swing high.
The Asia push to the 0.56265 day high faded through London, and early NY extended to a 0.56012 NY low around the Michigan release. Late NY has built higher lows along a rising trendline back to the 50% retracement near 0.5614, with the 0.5617 swing high capping three tests into the Friday close.
Support: 0.56116, 0.56079, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.5617, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 swing high and 61.8% retracement opens the path back toward the 0.56265 day high
Break of the trendline near 0.5612 puts the 0.56079 london low back in play; below that, the 0.56012 ny low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and weekend oil headlines (Trump diesel claim) carry gap risk for the Monday open
20:18 UTC
Intraday uptrend off NY low, pressing 61.8% fib · RSI 71 · price 0.5616
Higher lows since 0.5601 session low, capped below Asian high.
NZDUSD has carved a higher-low chain off the 0.5601 NY session low as US yields pulled back. It is now pressing the 61.8% fib of the Asian high-to-NY low drop near 0.5617, which matches the late-London bounce high. RSI(14) is around 71 in thin late-Friday trade, with the 0.5612 swing low and the 0.5607 higher low underpinning the rising trendline.
Support: 0.56123, 0.56069, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.5617, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 61.8% fib opens the 0.5627 Asian high
Break of the higher-low trendline and the 0.5612 swing low stalls the recovery; the 0.5607 higher low and the 0.5601 session low sit beneath
Thin liquidity into the weekly close; weekend oil and diesel-supply headlines could gap the open
HL chain off NY low, inside 0.5601–0.5627 day range.
Since the NY low at 0.5601, price has printed a chain of higher lows into the late-Friday close as US yields eased after the 30y auction. It has retraced about 55% of the Asian high-to-NY low drop and is now pressing the 0.5617 swing high near the 61.8% fib, with RSI(14) at 68 and ATR around 2.3 pips in thin post-NY trade.
Support: 0.56104, 0.56079, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 swing high and 61.8% fib opens the 0.5627 asian high
Loss of the 0.5610 higher low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.5608 london low, then the 0.5601 ny low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and the weekend close; Monday Asia open could gap away from this structure
19:48 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since NY low · RSI 63 · price 0.56134
HL chain off 0.5601 NY low, testing 50% of Asia-NY drop.
The Asia session rally topped at 0.56265. London faded it, and the NY open drove a dip to 0.56012 before buyers held the higher low near 0.5607 as US yields eased. Late NY broke out of the 0.5607–0.5611 prior range to a 0.56159 NY high, and price now holds just above that range at the 50% retracement of the Asia high-to-NY low drop.
Support: 0.5611, 0.56069, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56159, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.56171 london high (61.8% fib) puts the 0.56265 asia high back in view
Slip back into the prior range below 0.5611 and through the 0.5607 higher low breaks the recovery trendline and reopens the 0.56012 ny low
Thin Friday-close liquidity; Monday open gap risk with US CPI (Oct 14) and RBNZ's Breman (Oct 15) ahead
19:32 UTC
Late-NY recovery, higher lows inside day range · RSI 63 · price 0.56133
Day range 0.5601–0.5627, rising lows off NY low.
The Asian rally to the 0.5627 asian high faded through London, and the NY low printed at 0.5601. Since then, NY has built a rising trendline of higher lows, helped by easing US yields, and price has reclaimed the 50% fib of the drop. Price is pausing just under the 0.5616 ny high in thin late-Friday trade, with ATR(14) near 2 pips.
Support: 0.56104, 0.56069, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56159, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5616 ny high clears the 61.8% fib at 0.5617 and opens the 0.5627 asian high
Break of the 0.5610 higher low and the 0.5607 trendline returns price to the mid-range
Loss of the 0.5601 ny low breaks the day range to the downside
Weekend reopen and Hammack (Mon 16:50 UTC) could shift the read; nothing scheduled in the next 8h
19:18 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since NY low · RSI 63 · price 0.56141
HL chain off 0.5601, pushing into 61.8% of the Asian-high drop.
Late NY broke the 0.5613 afternoon cap and printed a 0.5616 session high. That extends a higher-low chain off the 0.5601 NY low, set around the UoM miss as US yields eased. Price now sits at the 50% retrace of the asian high-to-NY low drop, with the 0.5617 swing high (61.8%) directly overhead.
Support: 0.56104, 0.5607, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56159, 0.5617, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 swing high opens a run at the 0.5627 asian high
Loss of the 0.5610 higher low breaks the NY higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.5607 consol base
Break of the 0.5601 ny low reopens the 0.5596 overnight rollover low
Thin Friday-close liquidity; weekend oil/Iran or IMF headlines could gap the open
19:06 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since NY low · RSI 66 · price 0.56144
HL chain from 0.5601 within 0.5601–0.5627 day range.
The Asian session rally to the 0.5627 asian high was unwound through London. A firmer USD into early NY pushed price to the 0.5601 ny low after 12:30 UTC. Late NY has printed a higher-low chain along a rising trendline, and price now sits at the 50% retrace (0.5614), just under the 0.5617 london high.
Support: 0.56104, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 london high, the 61.8% retrace, opens a retest of the 0.5627 asian high
Break of the 0.5610 swing low and the rising trendline returns focus to the 0.5601 ny low
Thin late-Friday NY liquidity into the weekly close, with no scheduled data in the next 8h; US yield and oil headlines are the main swing factor
18:48 UTC
Intraday down from Asian high, recovering off lows · RSI 54 · price 0.5611
NY sweep of Asian low, rising lows into tight late-NY range.
Asia ran to the 0.5626 asian high. London faded the move, and the NY open dip swept the Asian low with a sweep low at 0.5601 before recovering as US yields eased after the 30-year auction. Late NY is compressing at 0.5607–0.5612 on rising lows, sitting on the 38.2% fib with a flat EMA20/50 near 0.5610 and ATR shrinking to about 2 pips.
Support: 0.5607, 0.5601
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5617, 0.5626
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 session high opens the 61.8% fib at 0.5617, then the 0.5626 asian high
Loss of the 0.5607 late ny low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.5601 sweep low
Friday late-NY liquidity is thin and no further scheduled data is due, so US yield and oil headlines are the main risk to this read
Asia ran to a 0.5627 asia high on softer yields. London faded it below the 0.5617 london high. The early NY drop to a 0.5601 ny low came as USD recovered on firmer UoM inflation expectations. Since then a rising-lows trendline has held, and price is pinned between the 0.5607 ny range low and the 0.5613 ny high, right at the 38.2% fib of the Asia high–NY low decline.
Support: 0.5607, 0.5601
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5617, 0.5627
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 ny high clears the 38.2% fib and opens the 0.5617 london high, the 50% fib zone
Loss of the 0.5607 ny range low and the rising-lows trendline exposes the 0.5601 ny low and 0.5600
Late-Friday NY hours with no scheduled data; thin liquidity into the weekly close keeps ranges compressed
18:18 UTC
Intraday recovery, grinding higher off NY low · RSI 61 · price 0.56113
Higher lows since 14:00 UTC, testing NY high.
Asia ran to the 0.56265 asian high, London faded it, and early NY dipped to the 0.56012 session low, just under the Asian range floor, before recovering after the soft UoM print and easing US yields. Late-NY price is pressing the 0.56126 ny high on a chain of higher lows, sitting at the 38.2% retrace of the day's decline.
Support: 0.56069, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56126 ny high opens the 0.56171 swing high
Break of the rising trendline and the 0.56069 higher low exposes the 0.56012 session low again
Thin Friday late-NY trade into the weekend close can distort the last bars
18:05 UTC
Intraday pullback stalling, higher lows since NY low · RSI 58 · price 0.5611
Lower highs from 0.5627 against higher lows from 0.5601, compressing late NY.
Asia set the session high at the 0.5627 asia high before London faded it to 0.5608. Early NY extended the slide to the 0.5601 ny low, just above 0.5600, with modest support from softer US yields. Since then late-NY trade has printed higher lows into the 0.5607 higher low and is pressing the 38.2% fib near 0.5611, just under the 0.5613 swing high, with EMA20/50 flat underneath and ATR(14) compressed near 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.5607, 0.5601
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5617, 0.5627
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 swing high breaks the lower-high sequence and opens the 0.5617 fib 61.8
Loss of the 0.5607 higher low re-exposes the 0.5601 ny low and the 0.5600 handle
Thin late-Friday liquidity with no scheduled data before the weekly close; US yield swings remain the exogenous driver
Lower highs from 0.5627 asia high; higher low off 0.5601 ny low.
Asia ran to the 0.5627 asia high before London and NY sold it to the 0.5601 ny low at NY open. The selling came as firmer UoM inflation expectations kept USD supported. A higher low and bounce to 0.5613 have since faded into a tight 0.5607–0.5610 drift after London close, with the 0.5607 pullback low holding, RSI(14) neutral near 55 and the bounce sitting near the 38.2% retrace of asia high to ny low.
Support: 0.56069, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5607 pullback low breaks the higher-low line and puts the 0.5601 ny low back in play
Close above the 0.5613 bounce high exposes the 0.5617 lower high; only a move through the 0.5627 asia high undoes the lower-high sequence
Thin Friday liquidity into the weekly close can distort late-session prints
17:33 UTC
Lower highs since Asia peak, now flat · RSI 55 · price 0.56091
Descending highs into a tight 0.5607–0.5610 coil.
The Asia-session rally topped at 0.56265, the asia high. Every bounce since has formed a lower high under the descending trendline, the latest a rejection at the 0.56126 ny high near the 50% fib. Price has coiled between 0.5607 and 0.5610 after London close, with the 0.56012 ny low holding through the UoM miss and ATR near 3 pips in thin late-Friday trade.
Support: 0.56069, 0.56012, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and the 0.56126 ny high breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.56171 swing high next overhead
Loss of the 0.56069 late low exposes the 0.56012 ny low, and a break there opens the 0.55958 rollover low
No scheduled data in the next 8h; a renewed US yield move is the main risk to the coil
17:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend off Asia high, stalling · RSI 55 · price 0.5609
Lower highs since 0.5627; NY base at 0.5601 holding, tight 0.5607–0.5613 range.
The Asia rally to the 0.5627 asia high faded through London on a lower-high trendline, with the 0.5617 london high as the next cap. The NY low at 0.5601 was tested twice, including the dip on the Michigan miss, and held as a small double bottom. The bounce stalled at the 0.5613 ny high near the 38.2% fib, and price is now compressing above the 0.5607 range low late in the NY session.
Support: 0.5607, 0.5601, 0.5599
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5617, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 ny high and the lower-high trendline breaks the double bottom neckline and opens the 0.5617 london high
Loss of the 0.5607 range low puts the 0.5601 ny low back in play; failure there confirms a lower low toward the 0.5599 prior low
Thin late-Friday liquidity and weekend gap risk ahead of US CPI and the RBNZ Breman speech next week
17:06 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asia high, now flattening · RSI 54 · price 0.5608
Lower highs since Asia peak; late-NY compression 0.5601–0.5613.
Asia peaked at the 0.5627 asia high, then printed a chain of lower highs (0.5619, the 0.5617 swing high, 0.5613) into a 0.5601 ny low as USD firmed into the US session. The NY bounce met rejection at the 0.5613 lower high, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the Asia-high-to-NY-low drop. Late NY is compressing near 0.5608 with RSI(14) neutral around 54.
Support: 0.5601, 0.5596
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5617, 0.5627
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.5617 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.5601 ny low puts the 0.5596 window low (rollover print) back in play
Above 0.5617, the 0.5627 asia high and the 0.5622–0.5630 cap from the digest come into view
Friday late-NY liquidity is thinning into the weekend, so moves inside 0.5601–0.5613 carry little structural weight
16:48 UTC
Lower highs since Asia peak, flat in NY · RSI 52 · price 0.56079
0.5601–0.5613 NY range under a falling trendline.
The Asia rally to the 0.5627 asia high has been unwound, with lower highs at the 0.5617 london high and 0.5613 ny high, all capped by a falling trendline. Price is consolidating inside a 0.5601–0.5613 NY range just under EMA20. The UoM sentiment miss, paired with firmer inflation expectations, failed to break the 0.5601 ny low.
Support: 0.56015, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 ny high and the lower-highs trendline challenges the London high at 0.5617
Failure to hold the 0.5601 ny low exposes the 0.5596 rollover low
Late-NY Friday trade into the weekend close; ATR near 3 pips keeps ranges tight
16:33 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, flattening · RSI 53 · price 0.56085
Lower highs since the Asian high; tight range 0.56012–0.56126 after London close.
The Asian session rally to the 0.56265 asian high faded through London. The USD recovery into the NY session then spiked the pair to a 0.56012 NY low, and the UoM miss with firmer inflation expectations left it in a 0.56012–0.56126 band. Since London close the pair has stalled under the 0.56126 lower high, below the 38.2% fib of the Asian-high-to-NY-low move, and is sitting on the 0.5608 London low with RSI(14) flat near 53.
Support: 0.5608, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56126 lower high and the descending trendline opens the 0.56171 swing high
Failure to hold the 0.5608 London low returns focus to the 0.56012 NY low
A break of the 0.56012 NY low confirms a lower-low below the London–NY range
The 0.56265 Asian high stays the session ceiling unless the 50% fib near 0.5614 is reclaimed
Thin Friday liquidity after London close; no scheduled NZD/USD events in the next 8h
16:17 UTC
Downtrend from Asian high, NY consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.56078
Lower highs since Asian peak; NY range 0.5601–0.5613 with higher lows.
The Asian high at 0.56265 started a lower-high sequence through London (0.56171 london high), with the early-NY slide printing the ny low at 0.56012. Since then the pair has held a tight 0.5601–0.5613 consolidation: the UoM-miss dip held near 0.56018, then the bounce stalled at the 0.56126 lower high, just above the 38.2% fib and under the falling lower-highs trendline. RSI(14) sits neutral near 51 and ATR(14) is about 3.5 pips, so ranges are compressed into the Friday close.
Support: 0.56053, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56126 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the descending sequence and opens the 0.56171 london high
Failure to hold the 0.56053 higher low puts the 0.56012 ny low back in play; a break below it extends the lower-low chain
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekend close; next scheduled risk is US CPI on Wed Oct 14
16:05 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asia high, lower highs · RSI 55 · price 0.56093
Lower highs since 0.56265, NY base at 0.5601.
The Asia rally from the 0.5596 asian low stalled at the 0.56265 asian high on easing yields, a rejection near the 0.5626 cap. London and NY faded it through a chain of lower highs (0.56168 ny high, 0.56126 latest lower high), but the 0.5601 ny low held twice, including after the 14:00 UTC UoM miss. Price is consolidating near 0.5609, between the 50% and 61.8% retracement of the Asia rally and under the lower-highs trendline.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56168, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56126 lower high and the lower-highs trendline breaks the fade sequence and puts the 0.56168 ny high back in focus
Failure to hold the 0.56012 ny low exposes the 0.55958 asian low and the 0.5600 handle
No scheduled data in the next 8h. Thinning late-Friday NY liquidity leaves yield and Middle East headlines as the main swing risk
15:48 UTC
Intraday pullback, now flattening · RSI 45 · price 0.56089
Lower highs from Asia peak; NY range 0.5601–0.5613 with a higher low.
The Asia rally to the 0.5627 asia high, built on easing US yields, fully unwound through London and NY. The 12:30 UTC drop set a session low at 0.5601, and buyers stepped in again after the UoM miss to print a higher low at 0.5605. Price sits on ema20 near the 50% of that drop, with a rejection at the 0.5613 lower high in the last bar.
Support: 0.56053, 0.56012
Resistance: 0.56126, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 lower high breaks the NY range and exposes the 0.5617 london high
Loss of the 0.5605 higher low reopens the 0.5601 session low and 0.5600 psych
Asia high at 0.5627 only comes into play after a close above 0.5617; thin late-Friday liquidity
15:33 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asia high, stabilising · RSI 52 · price 0.56104
Lower highs from 0.5627 Asia high; double low at 0.5601–0.5602, rebound to 38.2% retrace.
Asia ran to a 0.5627 asian high on easing US bond-rout pressure, then London printed lower highs into a 0.5601 session low around the NY open. Two holds at 0.5601–0.5602, the second on the soft Michigan sentiment print at 14:00 UTC, lifted price back to the 38.2% retrace near 0.5611. A 0.5605 higher low is now in place, and RSI(14) is neutral near 52.
Support: 0.56053, 0.56012, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56171, 0.56265, 0.5630
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5617 london high breaks the lower-highs sequence and opens the 0.5627 asian high, with the 0.5630 weekly cap just above
Failure to hold the 0.5605 higher low returns focus to the 0.5601 session low; a break there exposes the 0.5590 prior low
Late-Friday NY liquidity is thin, and US yield moves remain the main driver of this read
15:18 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, NY base forming · RSI 48 · price 0.56103
London lower highs/lows into a 0.5601–0.5611 NY range, price testing range top.
London unwound the Asian rally off the 0.5627 asian high. NY printed a 0.5601 ny low that held twice, just above 0.5600 psych, around the UoM sentiment miss (46.3 vs 47.6). Price is now pressing the 0.5611 ny high, at the 38.2% of the asia-ny fib and the descending line off the Asian high; RSI(14) is neutral near 48.
Support: 0.56012, 0.5600, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56108, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5611 and the descending line opens the 0.5617 london high, near the 61.8% of the asia-ny fib
Failure at the descending line keeps the London lower-high sequence intact
Break below the 0.5601 ny low and 0.5600 psych exposes the 0.5590 prior low
Late-Friday NY liquidity thins after London close; moves in US yields remain the main swing factor
15:05 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian high, now basing · RSI 39 · price 0.56064
Lower highs and lower lows since 05:30 UTC; tight 0.5601–0.5609 box in NY.
The Asia bounce on easing US yields topped at the 0.5627 Asian high. London then printed lower highs at 0.5619 and 0.5617 into a 12:45 UTC drop to the 0.5601 session low. Mid-NY, price is boxed between that low and the 0.5609 range top, still below both EMAs. The soft Michigan print at 14:00 UTC barely moved the pair, and the decline from the Asian high remains only about 20% retraced.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56091, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5609 range top, and then the 0.5617 lower high, breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low exposes the 0.5596 Asian low left at the daily open
Lower-highs trendline sits near 0.5612; a break above it changes the intraday read
London close and thinning Friday NY liquidity may keep the range tight; US yield moves remain the swing factor
14:48 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian high, now basing · RSI 43 · price 0.56072
Lower highs 0.56265 → 0.56171; compressing 0.5601–0.5608 after NY open drop.
The Asian lift on easing US yields peaked at the 0.56265 asia high. London unwound it, its bounce was rejected at a 0.56171 lower high, and the NY open drop printed a 0.56012 ny low just above the 0.5600 round number. Price is now compressing below a 0.56082 range top under EMA20, with RSI(14) near 43 and ATR around 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55958, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56082, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56082 range top and the lower-high line (~0.5613) opens a retest of the 0.56171 lower high
Loss of the 0.56012 ny low and 0.5600 round number exposes the 0.55958 asia low, then the 0.55899 prior low
US yields after the 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment window remain the near-term driver; so far the NY range has held
14:33 UTC
Intraday downtrend from the Asia high, now basing · RSI 42 · price 0.56065
Lower highs from 0.5627; tight 0.5601–0.5608 range in NY session.
The Asia-session rally on US Treasury-auction relief peaked at the 0.5627 asia high, and London and NY have since printed lower highs along a falling trendline, with a drop during NY hours reaching the 0.5601 session low near the Asian range floor. Price is now compressing in a 0.5601–0.5608 band, capped at the range top, below both EMAs with RSI(14) at 42.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55958, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56075, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5608 range top opens the 0.5617 lower high and the lower-high trendline
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low exposes the 0.5596 rollover low, then the 0.5590 prior low
UoM 1-yr inflation expectations above the prior 4.6% could re-firm US yields and pressure the session low
Lower highs from 0.5627 Asia high; NY broke London low, now basing 0.5601–0.5608.
Asia's yield-relief bounce topped at the 0.5627 asia high. London then printed lower highs at 0.5619 and 0.5617 before the NY open broke the 0.5608 London low to a 0.5601 ny low, just above 0.5600 psych. Early NY is compressing between that low and the 0.5608 ny high below EMA20/50, RSI(14) 42, and the 14:00 UTC Michigan window produced only a shallow dip to 0.5602.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56075, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5608 ny high reclaims the London low and opens the 0.5614 50% retracement of the asia high–ny low drop
Close above the 0.5617 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence
Failure at the 0.5601 ny low and 0.5600 psych exposes the 0.5590 prior low
UoM 1-yr inflation expectations (prior 4.6%) and US yield follow-through in NY hours could shift this read
14:04 UTC
Downtrend from Asia high, momentum stalling · RSI 40 · price 0.56053
Lower highs from 0.56265, NY-open lower low at 0.56012, tight compression above it.
Asia rallied to the 0.56265 asia high as yields eased and USD softened, then London faded it. The NY open broke the 0.56083 london low from the 0.56171 lower high down to the 0.56012 ny low, and price is now compressing at 0.5603–0.5607 below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55958, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56083, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations print on the current bar and could break the 0.5603–0.5607 compression either way
Failure to hold the 0.56012 ny low exposes the 0.55958 rollover low and the 0.55899 prior low
M15 close back above the 0.56083 london low puts the 0.56171 lower high in play; a break there invalidates the lower-high sequence from the asia high
Price stuck below the falling trendline from the asia high keeps the downtrend read intact
13:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian high, stalling · RSI 40 · price 0.56066
Lower highs and lower lows since Asia; tight base above session low.
Easing yields and Waller's comments lifted the pair to an Asian high at 0.5626. London faded it with a lower high at 0.5617, and early NY broke the 0.5608 London low to a 0.5601 session low. Price is now basing in a 0.5603–0.5607 band below both EMAs ahead of Michigan sentiment, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56083, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reset the session range
Recovery back above the 0.5608 london low, which has flipped to resistance, eases downside pressure
M15 close above the 0.5617 lower high and the descending trendline breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low exposes the 0.5590 prior low
13:32 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian peak · RSI 39 · price 0.5606
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.5626; Asia gains largely unwound.
The Asia bounce to 0.5626 on easing US yields has been sold through London. Lower highs at 0.5619 and 0.5617 led into a NY-open drop to a 0.5601 session low, with price now pinned below both EMAs early in the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.5601, 0.5590
Resistance: 0.5617, 0.5626
What it said to watch
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above the 0.5617 lower high breaks the lower-high chain and the trendline
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low exposes yesterday's 0.5590 prior low
Retest of the 0.5626 asian high also tests the weekly cap zone
13:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend from Asian high, momentum flattening · RSI 40 · price 0.56058
Lower highs since Asia, London lows broken; basing just above 0.5600.
The Asia session rally on easing US yields topped at the 0.5627 asian high. London then printed lower highs at 0.5619 and 0.5617, and London-NY transition selling broke the 0.5608 London lows (now a broken low) for a 0.5601 session low. Price is holding just above the 0.5600 round number with RSI(14) near 40, below both EMAs, ahead of US Michigan sentiment.
Support: 0.56012, 0.5560, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.5608, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
US Michigan Consumer Sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low and the 0.5600 round number exposes the 0.5590 prior low from yesterday's NY session
An M15 close back above the 0.5608 broken low would neutralise the London range break
A break of the 0.5617 lower high and the descending trendline would end the lower-high sequence
13:06 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asian high · RSI 41 · price 0.56062
Lower highs from 0.5626, London range low broken in early NY.
The yield-relief bounce peaked at the 0.5626 Asian high, the weekly cap in the digest. London then printed a lower high at 0.5617, and the 12:30 UTC drop broke the 0.5608 London low, setting a 0.5601 session low just above 0.5600. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 41 and ATR(14) about 3 pips, ahead of US Michigan sentiment.
Support: 0.56012, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.5608, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.5608 London low would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.5601 session low and the 0.5600 handle exposes the 0.5590 prior low
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
A reclaim of the 0.5617 lower high, the 61.8% retrace of the fade, breaks the lower-high sequence
12:47 UTC
Intraday downtrend from the Asia high · RSI 39 · price 0.56059
Lower highs since Asia peak, London low broken in early NY.
The Asia rally on easing US yields topped at the 0.56265 asia high, just under the digest's 0.5626/0.5630 weekly cap. London then printed a lower high at 0.56171, and in early NY price broke the 0.5608 london low to a 0.56047 session low. That move retraced roughly 80% of the Asia rally, with RSI(14) near 39 and no oversold extreme.
Support: 0.56047, 0.5600, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.5608, 0.56171, 0.56265
What it said to watch
UoM Sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~1h) could materially shift this read
A close back above the 0.5608 london low puts the break in question as a false break
A move through the 0.56171 lower high and the descending trendline negates the lower-highs sequence
Failure to hold the 0.56047 session low exposes the 0.5600 round number and the 0.55958 overnight low
12:33 UTC
Pullback from Asia high, lower highs forming · RSI 45 · price 0.56105
Lower highs above a flat 0.5608 base, inside the Asian range.
The Asia rally on easing US yields after the 30-year auction topped at the 0.5627 session high. London then faded it with lower highs at 0.5619 and 0.5617, and the latest bounce was rejected at 0.5617. Price sits back near the 61.8% retracement of the Asia rally, below both EMAs, with RSI(14) at 45, while the 0.5608 london low has held twice into the NY open.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5602, 0.5590
Resistance: 0.5617, 0.5627, 0.5630
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.5608 london low exposes the 0.5602 asian low, then the 0.5590 prior ny low
M15 close above the 0.5617 lower high ends the lower-highs sequence; 0.5627 session high and the 0.5630 weekly cap sit above
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (about 1.5h) could materially shift this read
12:18 UTC
Sideways after Asia rally, London pullback stalled · RSI 48 · price 0.56137
London range 0.5608–0.5619 inside the Asian range; double bottom at the London low with lower highs on top.
NZD rallied through Asia from the 0.5596 asian low to the 0.5627 asian high as US yields eased. London faded the move to the 61.8% fib of that Asia rally, where buyers stepped in twice at the 0.5608 london low. Price now sits mid-range, just above the EMAs, with lower highs below the 0.5619 london high and RSI(14) near 48.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5596
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265, 0.5630
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (first hours of NY session) could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.5619 london high breaks the lower highs and reopens the 0.5627 asian high, with the 0.5630 weekly cap just above
Failure to hold the 0.5608 london low voids the double bottom and exposes the 0.5596 asian low
Asian high 0.56265 faded to double low 0.5608, now higher low and neckline reclaim.
The Asian rally to 0.56265 came on bond-rout relief and a softer USD, then faded through London to a double low at 0.5608. Price has since reclaimed the 0.5613 neckline and is testing the 50% fib of that decline, just under the London high at 0.56192, with RSI(14) neutral near 55 heading into NY open.
Support: 0.56083, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london high at 0.56192 (61.8% fib) opens the asian high at 0.56265
Failure back below the double low at 0.5608 voids the double bottom and exposes the 0.5600 round number
US UoM Sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:48 UTC
Sideways, rebounding off London low · RSI 52 · price 0.56144
London trading inside the Asian range; lower highs from 0.5627 met by a double bottom at 0.5608.
Asia ran from 0.5602 to a 0.5627 asian high as softer US yields weighed on USD. London has stayed inside that range, faded to the 0.5608 london low where buyers stepped in twice, and is now lifting toward 0.5615, the 38.2% retracement on the London leg fib. RSI(14) sits neutral near 52 and ATR(14) is a tight ~2.8 pips.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265, 0.5630
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.5619 london high (61.8% of the London leg fib) breaks the lower-high sequence and puts the 0.5627 asian high and 0.5630 weekly cap back in play
Failure to hold the 0.5608 london low voids the double bottom and exposes the 0.5600 psych shelf
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (NY session) could materially shift this read
11:33 UTC
Pullback from Asian high, stabilising · RSI 50 · price 0.56136
Lower highs off 0.5626, flat base at 0.5608 through late London.
Easing US yields lifted NZD through Asia to a 0.5626 asian high, right at the weekly cap. London faded it to a london low at 0.5608, which held twice, and price is back at 0.5614 late in London. RSI(14) is neutral near 50, ATR about 2.7 pips, and the 38.2% fib at 0.5615 is just overhead.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.5626
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5619 london high (61.8% fib) reclaims most of the London fade and puts the 0.5626 asian high back in view
Loss of the 0.5608 london low voids the double bottom and exposes the 0.5600 psych level
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, early in NY hours, could materially shift this read via yields
Lower highs in London against flat 0.5608 base, compressing.
The Asia session rally from 0.5596 ran to the 0.5627 Asian high as easing US yields after the 30-year auction lifted NZD. London has faded that move with a run of lower highs from the 0.5619 London high, while the 0.5608 London low has held twice. Price sits at the 50% retracement of the overnight leg with ATR under 3 pips, compressing ahead of NY.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.5627
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5608 London low breaks the base and leaves the 61.8% fib and the 0.5600 round number exposed
Close above the London lower-highs trendline and 0.5619 London high reopens the 0.5627 Asian high
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The Asia session rallied from the 0.5602 asia low to a 0.5626 asia high as US yields eased, then rejected. London has faded the move through a lower-high trendline from the 0.5619 london high, with price now pressing the 0.5608 london low between the 61.8% and 78.6% fib of the Asian leg. RSI(14) is near 38 and ATR is about 3 pips, so the range is compressed heading into the London-NY transition.
Support: 0.5608, 0.56016, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.5608 london low extends the fade toward the 0.5602 asia low and 0.5600 psych
A break of the lower-high trendline and a close above the 0.5613 prior high negates the London fade and reopens the 0.5619 london high
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
10:47 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asia high, momentum soft · RSI 36 · price 0.56099
Lower highs since 0.5626 in London, basing above 0.5608.
The Asia rally on easing US yields was rejected at the 0.5626 asian high, just under the weekly cap. Mid-London, the pullback has printed lower highs from the 0.5619 london high down to 0.5613. Price is basing at the 0.5608 london low with RSI(14) near 36, and the 0.5602 asian low and the 0.5590 prior low sit below.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5602, 0.5590
Resistance: 0.5613, 0.5619, 0.5626
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 lower high breaks the London lower-highs line and puts the 0.5619 london high and the 0.5626 asian high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.5608 london low exposes the 0.5602 asian low, then the 0.5590 prior low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
Lower highs and lower lows through London, holding above 61.8% of the Asia leg.
The Asia leg ran about 30 pips off the 0.5596 rollover low as yields eased and USD softened. Price was then rejected at the 0.5627 asian high, right at the 0.5626 weekly cap. London has since printed a lower high at 0.5619 and a london low at 0.5608, near 61.8% of the Asia leg. Price is pinned below the 0.5613 prior high and both EMAs, with RSI(14) at 45.
Support: 0.56079, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56133, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5619 lower high reopens the 0.5627 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.5608 london low exposes the 0.5600 round number
A close back above the 0.5613 prior high would ease the London lower-high sequence
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, during NY hours, could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Intraday pullback after Asian rally, momentum soft · RSI 43 · price 0.56123
Lower highs from Asian high through London, holding inside Asian range.
Asia lifted NZD from the 0.56016 asian low to the 0.56265 asian high as yields eased after strong US 30-year auction demand, tagging the 0.5626 weekly cap. London has faded it in a lower-high sequence from the 0.56192 london high to a 0.56079 london low near the 78.6% asian range fib, with price now bouncing modestly at 0.5612 and RSI(14) around 43.
Support: 0.56079, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.56079 london low extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.56016 asian low
Reclaim of the 0.56192 london high breaks the London lower-high sequence and puts the 0.56265 asian high back in play
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
London lower highs off the 0.56265 Asian high; compressing above 0.5608.
Asia carried the USD pullback on easing yields to an Asian high of 0.56265, just shy of the 0.5626–0.5630 cap, where it met rejection. London has faded the Asian leg with lower highs down to a 0.56079 london low. Price is now stalling near the 61.8% retracement around 0.5611, under EMA20 and flat on EMA50, with RSI(14) at about 45 and ATR at about 3 pips: compression mid-London, not trend.
Support: 0.56079, 0.56016, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56153, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56153 lower high and the 0.56192 london high invalidates the London fade
Failure to hold the 0.56079 london low exposes the 0.56016 asian low near 0.5600
A slide through the asian low opens Thursday's 0.55899 ny swing low
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, shortly after NY open, could materially shift this read
09:48 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia · RSI 34 · price 0.56103
Lower-high/lower-low chain off the 0.5626 Asian high.
Asia ran from the 0.5602 asian base to a 0.5626 asian high as easing US yields lifted NZD. London has since capped at lower highs of 0.5619 (london high) and 0.5615 and set a 0.5608 london low, leaving price between the 50% and 61.8% fib of the Asian move. Price is pressing the descending trendline off the Asian high, with RSI(14) near 34 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.56079, 0.5602
Resistance: 0.56153, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5615 lower high breaks the descending trendline and the lower-high chain
Reclaim of the 0.5619 london high puts the 0.5626 asian high back in view
Failure to hold the 0.5608 london low extends the lower-low sequence toward the 0.5602 asian base
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, mild downside momentum · RSI 31 · price 0.56103
Lower highs and lower lows through London after the Asian high rejection.
Asia lifted the pair from 0.5602 to an asian high at 0.5627 as yields eased, but the move stalled right at the 0.5626 weekly cap. Mid-London, price has stepped down along a falling trendline from the london high at 0.5619 to a session low at 0.5608, near the 61.8% fib of the Asian leg. RSI(14) is near 31 and price sits below both EMAs, with the ema20 around 0.5614.
Support: 0.56079, 0.56016, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5614, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline and ema20 near 0.5614 breaks the London lower-high chain and brings the london high at 0.5619 back into view
Failure to hold the session low at 0.5608 confirms a lower-low and exposes the asian low at 0.5602 and the 0.5600 round number
Asian high at 0.5627, at the weekly cap, remains the upper boundary of the read
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (NY session) could materially shift this read
09:18 UTC
Intraday downtrend through London, Asia gains fading · RSI 27 · price 0.56083
Lower highs and lower lows since the 0.5627 Asia high.
The Asia bounce to the 0.5627 asia high came as US yields eased after the 30-year auction. London has since faded it in a steady lower-high chain from the 0.5619 london high, and price is now retesting the fib 61.8 of the Asia rally at 0.5608, which matches yesterday's NY swing high. RSI(14) is near 27, stretched for M15 but not extreme, with ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.56079, 0.5602, 0.5590
Resistance: 0.56153, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5602 asia base extends the lower-low chain toward the 0.5590 ny low
Close above the 0.5615 lower high, then the 0.5619 london high, breaks the descending trendline read
Rejection versus acceptance at the 0.5608 fib 61.8 retest decides whether the Asia rally structure survives
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
09:05 UTC
Pullback from Asia high, lower highs through London · RSI 35 · price 0.56093
Asia HH/HL leg to 0.5627 reversed; London printing LH/LL below a descending line.
Asia extended the yield-relief bounce to a 0.5627 asia high, just under the 0.5630 weekly cap, where it met rejection. London has since faded it in a string of lower highs, slipping past the 61.8% of the asia leg fib to 0.5609, with RSI(14) near 35 and price below EMA20/50. The 0.5607 asia base is the first support.
Support: 0.56075, 0.56016, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56141, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close above the london lower highs line near 0.5612 and the 50% fib at 0.5614 neutralises the pullback read; 0.5619 london high is next
Failure to hold the 0.5607 asia base and the 0.5602 asia low exposes yesterday's 0.5590 ny low
Asia high at 0.5627 remains the session ceiling below the 0.5630 cap
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:48 UTC
Pullback after Asia rally, momentum fading · RSI 35 · price 0.56118
Lower highs and lower lows through London, still inside the Asian range.
Asia rallied about 30 pips from the 0.5596 Asia low to the 0.5626 Asia high as US yields eased after Waller. London has since printed a lower high at 0.5619 and steady lower lows, retracing to the 50% of the Asia rally fib near 0.5611, just under the 0.5613 prior high. Price sits below the EMA20, flat on the EMA50, with RSI(14) near 35.
Support: 0.56102, 0.56075, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56133, 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
Break below the 0.5610 London low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.5608, then the Asia low at 0.5596
M15 close back above the 0.5619 lower high breaks the London lower-high sequence. The Asia high at 0.5626 sits above that
Failure to reclaim the 0.5613 prior high keeps the retest read intact
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from Asia high · RSI 38 · price 0.56136
Lower highs from the Asia high, holding above the London low.
Asia extended the softer-yield, post-Waller bounce from the 0.5602 asia base to an asia high at 0.56265. London has pulled back, printing lower highs below 0.5619 (london high) and stalling near the 38.2% fib at 0.5613, just above the 0.5611 london low. Price sits below EMA20 and at EMA50, with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 0.5611, 0.5602
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5611 london low breaks the 38.2% fib and exposes the 0.5602 asia base
Reclaiming the 0.5619 london high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.56265 asia high
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could reprice yields and shift this read
08:18 UTC
Pullback after Asia rally, lower highs since 0.5626 · RSI 39 · price 0.5613
Lower highs and lower lows through early London, holding 61.8% fib.
Asia extended the post-Waller USD pullback to a 0.5626 asian high, where price stalled in the 0.5622–0.5628 resistance band. The first hour of London has printed lower highs from the 0.5619 london high. Price is holding the 61.8% fib of the Asia rally at the 0.5611 london low, sitting on EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.5611, 0.5602, 0.5582
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.5626
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5611 london low breaks the 61.8% fib and exposes the 0.5602 asian low
Loss of the 0.5602 asian low reopens the 0.5582 prior low
Close above the 0.5619 london high breaks the lower highs sequence and puts the 0.5626 asian high back in play
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:04 UTC
Intraday uptrend, London pullback · RSI 40 · price 0.56133
Asia HH/HL leg to 0.5626, London lower highs into 50% fib.
Asia session extended Thursday's recovery to the 0.5626 asian high as yields eased on Trump's no-strike pledge on Iran and Waller's no-rush tone. London open has faded the move to the 50% fib of the 0.5596–0.5626 leg. Price is testing the 0.5612 london low and EMA50 beneath a 0.5619 lower high, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.5612, 0.5608, 0.5602
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5612 london low exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.5608 and the asian base at 0.5602
Reclaim of the 0.5619 lower high breaks the London pullback line and puts the 0.5626 asian high back in play
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (17:00 broker) could materially shift this read
07:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, now pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.56139
Asia HH at 0.5626 rejected; London printing a lower high and lower low.
The Asia session rally, driven by softer USD and easing yields, topped at the 0.5626 asia high inside the 0.5622–0.5628 resistance zone. Since the London open, price has slipped to a london low at 0.5612, retesting yesterday's NY high and the 61.8% of the Asia leg. A lower high at 0.5619 now caps bounces; RSI(14) is near 42.
Support: 0.56117, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5612 london low exposes the asia low at 0.5602
M15 close above the 0.5619 lower high reopens the asia high at 0.5626
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 0.56148
Asia HH/HL chain; London correcting into prior high.
Softer US yields and Waller's no-rush tone carried NZD through Asia from the 0.56016 Asian low to a 0.56265 session high. That high stalled just under the 0.5622-0.5628 resistance zone. Early London is retesting yesterday's prior high at 0.56133, which coincides with the 50% retrace of the Asia leg and the rising support line; RSI(14) sits near 42, price is below EMA20 and above EMA50.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56192, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.56133 prior high and the rising support line exposes the 0.56016 Asian low
Recovery above the 0.56192 london high reopens the 0.56265 session high
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back at London open · RSI 46 · price 0.56163
Asia HH/HL chain capped at 0.5627, first lower high forming.
Asia ground higher from the 0.5596 rollover low to an Asia high of 0.5627 as Treasury yields eased after Waller's comments, then met rejection inside the 0.5622–0.5628 resistance band. The first hour of London has retraced to the 38.2% fib near 0.5615. The London low at 0.5613 is holding for now, under a 0.5621 lower high.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56112, 0.5608
Resistance: 0.56214, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the London low at 0.5613 exposes the 50% fib at 0.5611, the Asia rising line and the 0.5608 prior high from yesterday's NY session
A reclaim of the 0.5621 lower high reopens a test of the Asia high at 0.5627
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
07:04 UTC
Asia uptrend stalled, early London pullback · RSI 47 · price 0.56157
Asian HH/HL chain ended at 0.56265; lower highs since, price testing 50% retrace.
Asia session extended Thursday's NY bounce as US yields eased, grinding up to the 0.56265 asian high inside the 0.5622–0.5628 resistance band before a rejection. The early London pullback has slipped under ema20 and is sitting on the 0.56137 pullback low near the 50% retrace, with RSI(14) neutral at 47.
Support: 0.56137, 0.56111, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.5618, 0.56265
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.56137 pullback low exposes fib 61.8 at 0.56111, then the asian low at 0.56016
A reclaim of ema20 near 0.5618 and a close above the 0.56265 asian high would clear the rejection at resistance
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:47 UTC
Uptrend from 0.5582, pulling back off Asia high · RSI 46 · price 0.56154
HH/HL chain since Oct 8 London low; first lower high forming after 0.5626 rejection.
Asia extended Thursday's USD-led recovery on easing yields and Waller's no-rush tone. Price cleared the 0.5613 NY high and tagged an Asia high at 0.56265 inside the 0.5622-0.5628 resistance band before a sharp rejection. The pullback is sitting on the 0.5615 pullback low near the 50% fib of the Asia leg and on rising support, with price back under the ema20 into the London open.
Support: 0.56148, 0.56133, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.56265
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5613 NY high breaks rising support and exposes the 0.5602 Asia low / 0.5600 round number
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.5619 keeps the HH/HL chain intact; a break of the 0.56265 Asia high clears the 0.5622-0.5628 band
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
06:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 0.56157
Higher-low chain through Asia; pullback from Asian high testing prior-day high.
Softer USD and easing yields after Trump's Iran comments and Waller's remarks lifted NZD through the Asia session. It cleared yesterday's NY prior high at 0.5613 and printed an Asian high at 0.5627, testing the 0.5626 resistance flagged in news. The last hour gave back 10 pips into the 38.2% fib at 0.5615, just above the prior high, ahead of London open. Price has slipped under the ema20; the ema50 sits below.
Support: 0.56148, 0.56133, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.5619, 0.56265
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5613 prior high on a close turns the retest into a rejection and exposes the 0.5600 round number
Reclaim of the ema20 near 0.5619 and a close above the 0.5627 Asian high resumes the higher-high chain
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at resistance · RSI 57 · price 0.56197
HH/HL chain through Asia, first pullback off session high.
The Asia session extended the softer-USD/yield bounce from the 0.5602 asian low into a HH/HL chain. That run was rejected at the 0.5627 session high, right at the 0.5626 resistance area, and the 5-pip drop that followed held a 0.5618 pullback low near the 23.6% fib. Price sits at 0.5620 about 45 minutes before London open, with RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s and Thursday's prior high at 0.5613 the shelf below.
Support: 0.56183, 0.56135, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56265, 0.5630
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5627 session high reopens the 0.5630 psych level
Loss of the 0.5618 pullback low puts the 0.5613 prior high and 50% fib in play
Break below 0.5613 prior high would end the Asia HH/HL sequence
London open follow-through, or a fade of the Asian range
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:04 UTC
Uptrend, stalling at resistance · RSI 58 · price 0.56198
HH/HL Asian rally, first rejection at the asian high.
Asia extended Thursday's late bounce as US yields eased after Waller's comments. Price cleared the 0.5613 prior high and set an asian high at 0.56265, inside the 0.5622–0.5628 wed high cluster. The last full bar was rejected there, pulling price back to the 0.5618 swing low near the 23.6% of the asian rally, with RSI(14) cooling to ~58 ahead of London open.
Support: 0.56177, 0.56133, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56265, 0.5628
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56265 asian high and 0.5628 wed high would put the rejection read aside
Break of the 0.5618 swing low exposes the 0.5613 prior high, which sits near 38.2% of the asian rally
Failure to hold 0.5613 puts the 0.5600 round number and the rollover low back in play
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
05:47 UTC
Uptrend, stretched into resistance · RSI 77 · price 0.56255
Asia higher-high/higher-low chain above Thursday's NY high.
The Asia session extended Thursday's recovery from the 0.55958 rollover low as US yields eased after Waller's remarks. Price cleared Thursday's 0.5613 NY high and ground higher into the 0.5622–0.5628 cluster, printing the asia high at 0.56265 with RSI(14) near 77 on shrinking ranges. The 0.5614 asia base, which lines up with the 38.2% level of the Asia rally fib, is the first structural floor.
Support: 0.5614, 0.5602, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56265, 0.5628
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.5628 cluster top clears resistance and extends the higher-high chain
A rejection at the asia high with a break back below the 0.5614 asia base exposes the 0.5602 launch base
Losing the 0.5602 launch base puts the 0.55958 rollover low back in play and unwinds the Asia rally
London open in about 75 minutes, then US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
05:32 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 73 · price 0.56232
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia, NY high cleared.
Late Asia session: the pair has stepped higher from the 0.5602 asia low, cleared the 0.5613 ny high and the 0.5618 asia pivot, and is now testing the 0.5622–0.5628 res cluster at a fresh session high of 0.5624. Softer US yields and Waller's 'no immediate hike' remarks are behind the USD dip. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not extreme, and price is holding above rising support into the London open.
Support: 0.5618, 0.5613, 0.5602
Resistance: 0.56241, 0.5628, 0.5630
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5628 res cluster clears the zone and brings 0.5630 round number into play
Rejection at the 0.5624 session high followed by a break of rising support near 0.5619 (asia pivot) would mark the first lower-low of the session
A slip back below the 0.5613 ny high, near the 38.2% of the ny-asia leg, would turn the breakout into a false break
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via yields
Higher-low chain through Asia, NY high cleared, pressing resistance cluster.
Asia extended the late-NY recovery from the 0.5590 ny low in a steady higher-low chain. Price cleared the 0.5613 ny high and is now sitting at a fresh session high of 0.5623, inside the 0.5622–0.5628 wed high cluster, as softer US yields and Waller's no-immediate-hike message keep USD on the back foot. RSI(14) near 66 is firm but not stretched, and pullbacks have held above the ny high and the 38.2% fib of the rally.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56016, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56232, 0.5628
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5628 wed high clears the resistance cluster; rejection at the session high leaves a stall beneath it
Loss of the 0.5613 ny high, near the 38.2% fib, breaks the Asia higher-low chain
Break of the 0.5602 asia low (61.8% fib zone) unwinds the Asia advance and puts the 0.5590 ny low back in view
London open in under 2h; US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could move yields and materially shift this read
Asia HH/HL chain above the prior high, pressing into the resistance cluster.
The Asia rally from the 0.5596 rollover low cleared Thursday's NY prior high at 0.5613. It printed a session high at 0.5621, just beneath the 0.5622–0.5628 res cluster, as softer US yields and Waller's remarks kept the USD offered. RSI(14) is near 66 and ATR(14) about 2.6 pips: an orderly grind, not stretched.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5600, 0.5596
Resistance: 0.5622, 0.5628
What it said to watch
Rejection inside the 0.5622 res cluster, or an M15 close above the 0.5628 cluster top, decides whether the Asia rally extends
Failure to hold the 0.5613 prior high (Asia rally fib 38.2%) puts the 0.5600 round number and the 0.5596 rollover low back in play
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via yields
04:47 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 66 · price 0.5619
Asia higher lows; broke above Thursday's NY high.
Asia session lifted the pair off the 0.5602 asian low and through Thursday's 0.5613 ny high as US yields eased and Waller's softer tone weighed on USD. Price is now pressing the 0.5620 session high just under the 0.5622 wed high, with higher lows holding along the asia hl line. RSI(14) sits near 66 and ATR(14) is about 2.6 pips, so late-Asia ranges are compressed ahead of London open.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5602, 0.5590
Resistance: 0.5620, 0.5622, 0.5628
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.5628 cluster top clears the 0.5622 wed high resistance band.
Rejection at the 0.5620 session high followed by a break of the asia hl line shifts the read to a pullback.
A drop back below the 0.5613 ny high, which is also the 38.2% fib, returns price to Thursday's range; losing the 0.5602 asian low exposes the 0.5590 ny low.
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations plus Fed's Collins at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read.
04:32 UTC
Uptrend, pausing near session high · RSI 69 · price 0.56185
Higher lows since 0.5582; tight consolidation 0.5612–0.5620 in late Asia.
Asia session cleared Thursday's prior high at 0.5613 as softer US yields and Waller's 'no immediate hike' remarks weighed on USD. That extends the rally off Thursday's 0.5582 low into a chain of higher lows (NY low 0.5590, swing low 0.5602). Price has compressed beneath the 0.5620 session high for two hours, RSI(14) near 69 and ATR around 3 pips.
Support: 0.5613, 0.56016, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56199, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5613 prior high returns price to Thursday's range
Close above the 0.5620 session high exposes the 0.5622–0.5628 wed high cluster
Break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.5602 swing low ends the rally structure; 38.2% rally fib sits near 0.5605
London open in ~2.5h is the first test of the Asian range
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
04:17 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher in Asia · RSI 68 · price 0.56184
Higher lows since 0.5602 Asian base; prior high 0.5613 broken and retested.
Asia session extended the post-NY recovery as softer US yields and Waller's 'no immediate hike' line weighed on USD. Price cleared Thursday's 0.5613 prior high, held a retest at 0.56125 and is pressing the 0.5620 session high, just under the 0.5622–0.5628 res cluster. RSI(14) is near 68, warm but not stretched, and ATR(14) is about 3 pips ahead of London open.
Support: 0.56125, 0.56016, 0.55899
Resistance: 0.56199, 0.5625
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5613 prior high puts price back inside Thursday's range
Clean break of the rising trendline from the 0.5602 asian base would end the higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.5622–0.5628 res cluster extends the session high breakout
Asia leg fib: the 38.2% retracement sits at the 0.5613 prior high
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY low at 0.5590 is the reference if the Asia gains unwind
Asia breakout above Thursday high, tight HL consolidation under 0.5619.
Asia session lifted NZD/USD from the 0.5596 rollover low through Thursday's NY prior high at 0.5613 as US yields eased after Waller's comments. Price has held a tight 0.5613–0.5619 band for two hours just under the session high, with RSI(14) near 71 and ATR(14) around 3 pips into the London open.
Support: 0.5613, 0.5596
Resistance: 0.56188, 0.5625
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5613 prior high puts price back inside Thursday's range and exposes the Asia rally fib 50% near 0.5607
Close above the 0.5619 session high brings the 0.5622–0.5628 wed high cluster into play
Failure of the Asia rally fib 61.8% (~0.5605) would leave the 0.5596 rollover low as the next swing reference
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations in ~10h could materially shift this read
Higher lows off rollover low, prior-day high cleared, tight 0.5612–0.5618 coil.
The Asia session rally ran from the 0.5596 rollover low through the asia base near 0.5602 and cleared Thursday's 0.5613 prior high, helped by softer US yields and Waller's less hawkish line. Price is now coiling between 0.5612 and 0.5618 just under the 0.5618 session high. RSI(14) has cooled to ~65 and ATR is ~3 pips.
Support: 0.56133, 0.5602, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
An M15 close back below the 0.5613 prior high returns price to Thursday's range and puts the asia base at 0.5602 back in focus
Clearance of the 0.5618 session high exposes the 0.5622 wed high, the lower edge of the 0.5622–0.5628 cluster
A break of the rising trendline from the rollover low would end the Asia higher-low chain
US Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~10h) could materially shift the read via yields
Higher lows from 0.5582; Asia broke the NY high, now consolidating.
Asia session pushed through Thursday's 0.5613 NY high to a 0.5618 session high as US yields eased after Waller. Price is now compressing in a 0.5612–0.5617 band, holding above the pullback low, with RSI(14) near 64 and ATR(14) around 3 pips. The higher-low chain from the 0.5582 London low is intact.
Support: 0.56125, 0.56075, 0.5600
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5612 pullback low brings the 0.5607 fib 38.2 and the 0.5600 round number back into view
Break above the 0.5618 session high exposes the 0.5622 wed high cluster
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asia higher high above Thursday NY high, shallow consolidation.
Asia session pushed through Thursday's NY high at 0.5613 to a session high of 0.5618 as softer US yields and Waller's less hawkish tone weighed on USD. Price is now compressing in a 0.5613–0.5617 band, holding the 23.6–38.2% zone of the Asia rally fib from the 0.5602 Asia low, RSI(14) near 66 and off its highs.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5618 session high opens the 0.5622 Wed high, the base of the 0.5622–0.5628 cluster
Failure to hold the 0.5613 NY high breaks the consolidation and exposes the 0.5602 Asia low
A drop below the 50% of the Asia rally fib (~0.5610) would mark a deeper retracement of the Asia leg
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via yields
HH/HL chain off the Asian low, tight consolidation under 0.5618.
Mid-Asia session, NZD/USD cleared yesterday's NY high at 0.5613 and tagged a session high at 0.56182 as softer US yields and Waller's comments weighed on USD. Price is now consolidating just below that high, with the 0.56125 pullback low holding and RSI(14) near 67. The HH/HL chain from the 0.55958 Asian low is intact.
Support: 0.56125, 0.5608, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56182 session high opens the 0.5622–0.5628 res cluster
Loss of the 0.56125 pullback low and the Asian rally trendline puts the 0.5608 prior high / 38.2% fib in play
Break below the 0.55958 asian low negates the Asian rally structure
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read via US yields
NZD bounced from the 0.5582 London low as the dollar faded on Trump's no-strike pledge, and the Asia session has since extended the higher-low chain (0.5596 rollover low, 0.5602 higher low) through the NY high at 0.5613 to a 0.5618 session high. Price is consolidating above that broken NY high in a retest, with RSI(14) near 66 and the 0.5622 Wednesday high just overhead.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56016, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5622 wed high extends the breakout into the 0.5622–0.5628 cap
Failure to hold the 0.5613 ny high on the retest returns price to the prior range and exposes the 0.5602 higher low
A break of the 0.5596 rollover low would end the higher-low sequence
Follow-up Iran strike headlines or an oil rebound could revive USD demand and shift this read
Asia session pushed through the NY high at 0.56133 to a 0.56182 session high. The pullback held that level as a retest, extending the higher-low chain from the 0.55958 rollover low through 0.5602, with RSI(14) near 73 warm but not stretched. The bounce comes as the USD trades off its highs on cooler oil, though the NYT Iran-strike report has put safe-haven risk back in play.
Support: 0.56133, 0.56016, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.56133 NY high negates the breakout and retest
Clearance of the 0.56182 session high puts the 0.5622 Wed high in view
Loss of the 0.5602 higher low breaks the rising-lows structure toward the 0.55958 rollover low
Iran/oil headlines or a fresh US yield spike could reverse the Asian bid quickly
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
02:17 UTC
Uptrend, stalling below the session high · RSI 68 · price 0.56142
Higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5596 rollover low; broke the prior NY high.
The Asia session extended a higher-high, higher-low leg off the 0.5596 rollover low. It cleared yesterday's NY high near 0.5613 and printed an Asia high at 0.5618 before stalling. Price is now retesting the broken NY high, with RSI(14) cooling to about 68. The bounce builds on Thursday's USD fade after Trump's no-strike pledge, but the NYT Iran strike-plan report keeps oil and yield risk live.
Support: 0.56128, 0.5608, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
Holding the 0.5612–0.5613 ny high zone keeps the breakout read intact. An M15 close back below the asia base at 0.5608 would mark the move a false break.
Clearance of the 0.5618 asia high brings the Wed high at 0.5622 into range.
Failure below the 0.5596 rollover low would erase the Asia leg entirely; a break at that point would put the fib retracement out of play.
Iran/oil headlines and US yields can override intraday structure; UoM sentiment and inflation expectations land Fri 14:00 UTC.
Asia HH/HL chain, breakout above NY high now retesting.
The Asia session extended the London-NY rebound off the 0.5582 day low. Price broke yesterday's 0.5613 NY high and printed a 0.5618 session high as USD softened on Trump's Iran no-strike pledge. It is now retesting the NY high with RSI(14) easing from the mid-60s, while the 0.5608 breakout level lines up with the 61.8% of the Asia leg from the 0.5602 swing low.
Support: 0.56133, 0.5608, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5608 breakout level (61.8% of the Asia leg) turns the NY-high break into a false break and exposes the 0.5602 swing low
Close above the 0.5618 session high opens the 0.5622 Wed high and the 0.5622–0.5628 cap
Follow-through on the NYT Iran strike-plan report, or a jump in oil and US yields, could abruptly reverse the USD pullback driving this leg
Higher lows since rollover; yesterday's NY high cleared.
The Asia session has broken through yesterday's NY prior high at 0.5613 to a 0.5618 session high. The move extends a higher-low chain off the 0.5596 Asian low printed after rollover, and RSI(14) sits near 71. It follows the DXY slip toward 102.00 on Trump's Iran no-strike pledge, from a 0.5582 low set during yesterday's London session.
Support: 0.56133, 0.5602, 0.55958
Resistance: 0.56182, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5613 prior high would turn the breakout into a false break
Wed high at 0.5622 (start of the 0.5622–0.5628 cap) is the area to watch for rejection or break above the session high
Loss of the 0.5602 Asian base and the rising support line breaks the higher-low chain; the 0.5596 Asian low sits below
50% of the Asian rally fib sits near 0.5607; a deeper pullback would erase most of the Asia gain
Follow-up to the NYT Iran strike-plan report or a crude rebound could reverse the USD pullback driving this move
01:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending into Asia · RSI 73 · price 0.56141
Higher lows off the 0.5596 rollover low, testing the prior NY high.
Early Asia session is pushing through the 0.5613 ny high from yesterday's NY spike. Higher lows from the 0.5596 rollover low through the 0.5602 swing low back the move. RSI(14) is near 73, hot but not extreme, and the bounce runs against the heavy NZD tone and the NYT Iran strike-plan report, with the 0.5622 wed high next overhead.
Support: 0.56133, 0.5608, 0.56016
Resistance: 0.5622, 0.5628
What it said to watch
Slip back below 0.5613 ny high would mark a false break of yesterday's top
Loss of the 0.5608 asia high would put the breakout attempt back into the prior range
M15 close below 0.5602 swing low breaks the asia trendline and the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 0.5622 wed high exposes the 0.5628 cap top
Iran strike headlines or a crude spike could reverse this risk-sensitive bounce
01:17 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows in Asia · RSI 65 · price 0.56104
Higher lows since rollover, testing NY high.
Friday's Asia session has built higher lows off the 0.5596 rollover low and cleared the 0.5608 asia high, putting price 3 pips under Thursday's 0.5613 ny high, where the early-NY spike faded. RSI(14) at 64 is firm but not stretched, and ATR is under 3.5 pips in thin Asia trade.
Support: 0.5608, 0.5602, 0.5596
Resistance: 0.56133, 0.5622
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5613 ny high opens the 0.5622 wed high
Rejection at 0.5613 that sends price back below the 0.5608 asia high marks a false break
Loss of the 0.5602 swing low breaks the higher-lows chain
Follow-up to the NYT Iran strike-plan report that lifts oil and US yields could reverse the Asia session bid
01:05 UTC
Intraday range, mild upward drift in Asia · RSI 60 · price 0.56071
Higher lows off rollover low, pressing Asian high.
Early Asia session has lifted off the 0.5596 rollover low in a higher-low sequence and is now pressing the 0.5608–0.5609 asian high, with the 0.5613 ny high above. The prior day's yield-driven slide stalled at the 0.5582 day low just above the 0.5580 18-month low, and the pair has held a 0.5590–0.5613 range since.
Support: 0.56016, 0.55958, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56093, 0.56133
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5609 asian high exposes the 0.5613 ny high
Loss of the rising trendline and the 0.5602 asia dip low returns focus to the 0.5596 rollover low
A break back toward the 0.5582 day low reopens the 0.5580 18-month low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) plus Iran/oil headlines could materially shift this read
00:47 UTC
Intraday recovery, early Asia drifting higher · RSI 59 · price 0.56062
Higher lows off rollover low, capped below session high.
The pair rebounded from the 0.55815 London low to a 0.56133 NY day high as USD faded on Trump's no-strike pledge, then retraced and compressed around 0.5600–0.5605. Early Asia is printing higher lows from the 0.55958 rollover low, with the 00:30 UTC dip holding the 0.56016 swing low but the 0.56084 session high still capping.
Support: 0.56016, 0.55958, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56084, 0.56133
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56084 session high opens a retest of the 0.56133 day high
Break of the 0.56016 swing low and the rising support line ends the higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.55958 rollover low exposes the 0.55815 day low, about 50% of the London low to NY high move lies near 0.5597
Unscheduled Iran strike-plan headlines and US yield moves could swamp the thin Asia structure
00:32 UTC
Higher lows since London low, capped below 0.5609 · RSI 58 · price 0.56064
Early Asia pressing the top of a 0.5596–0.5609 range.
NY's 14:15 UTC spike to the 0.5613 day high, on the USD fade after Trump's no-strike pledge, met rejection and fully retraced. Since then a higher-low chain from the 0.5582 London low through the 0.5596 rollover low has price retesting the 0.5608–0.5609 Asia high cluster early in the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 58.
Support: 0.5600, 0.55958, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.5609, 0.56133
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5609 asia high opens a retest of the 0.5613 day high
Loss of the 0.5600 round number, then the 0.5596 rollover low, breaks the higher lows read
Escalation headlines following the NYT strike-plan report could reverse USD's fade and push price back toward the 0.5582 london low
Rising lows since London low, overnight range broken higher.
Early Asia session has lifted out of the quiet 0.5599–0.5605 overnight range and is pressing yesterday's Asia high at 0.5609, with RSI(14) near 61. The rollover low at 0.5596 held above the 0.5590 NY low, extending a rising-lows sequence off the 0.5582 London low as softer oil and a fading USD ease pressure on the kiwi.
Support: 0.5605, 0.55958, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56093, 0.56133
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5609 asia high exposes the 0.5613 ny high, the top of the 24h range
Slip back below the 0.5605 range top returns price to the overnight range
Break of the rising lows trendline and the 0.5596 rollover low reopens the 0.5582 london low
US UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC Friday could materially shift this read
00:03 UTC
Sideways, recovering off NY low · RSI 56 · price 0.56059
Tight post-NY range 0.5596–0.5606, price pressing the top in early Asia.
London sold the pair to the 0.5582 london low as oil-driven US yields weighed. NY then spiked through the Asian range to the 0.5613 session high, met rejection back to the 0.5590 ny low, and has since compressed into a 0.5596–0.5606 range. Early Asia is now pressing the range top just under the 0.5608 late ny high, above the 61.8% retrace of the NY drop.
Support: 0.55958, 0.55899, 0.55815
Resistance: 0.56079, 0.56133
What it said to watch
A 15m close above the 0.5608 late ny high reopens the 0.5613 session high
Losing the 0.5596 rollover low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.5590 ny low
Below 0.5590, the 0.5582 london low is the next reference
Oil and US yield headlines remain the unscheduled driver; UoM sentiment and inflation expectations land Fri 14:00 UTC