Week opened with a gap lower, price sliding to 0.5747 before stabilising in a tight 0.5750-0.5754 band on thin early-Asia volume. RSI mid-range near 42; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 as the gap-down bias holds.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5760 session high would negate the gap-down read
Break below 0.5748 session low extends the slide
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event for USD-side flow
23:47 UTC
Downside gap, recovering · RSI 45 · price 0.5754
Gapped lower at open, basing above session low.
Kiwi gapped lower into the thin Sunday Asia open, sliding from the 0.5763 Friday close to a 0.57486 session low before stabilising around 0.5754. Volume is negligible and the range is compressed — no clean structure yet as liquidity is absent.
Support: 0.57486, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57604, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57604 session high would repair the gap-down read
Loss of 0.57486 opens the 0.5750 psych area
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) is the first activity read to test the hawkish RBNZ path
23:32 UTC
Downtrend off gap, stabilising · RSI 44 · price 0.5753
Gap down, session low at 0.57474 then recovery.
Fresh week opened with a gap lower from 0.5763 into thin Asian trade; kiwi slid to a session low at 0.57474 before recovering to 0.5753. Volumes are minimal and RSI sits mid-range — no clean structure yet, price grinding under the gap fill.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.5763 fills the gap and negates the drop
Break below 0.57474 session low opens further downside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD reopened after the weekend with a small gap lower from Friday's 0.5763 close, then sold into a 0.5747 session low on thin Sunday volume before stabilising near 0.5753. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI subdued; the Kiwi is holding just under its faded three-week high as the softer USD tape and hawkish-RBNZ story remain in balance.
Support: 0.5747, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.576 reopen high would neutralise the gap-down read
Loss of 0.5747 session low extends the drift lower
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC could reset this read
23:17 UTC
New-week gap lower, stabilising · RSI 41 · price 0.57522
Gapped down, consolidating above session low.
NZDUSD opened the new week with a gap lower into thin Asia liquidity and sold off on a sharp candle to 0.57474 as the USD held a modest bounce on US-Iran ceasefire uncertainty. Price has since stabilised around 0.5750, unwinding little of the drop; the 0.576 gap area caps and RSI(14) sits mid-40s.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.57628
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.576 gap area would repair the new-week gap lower
Break of 0.57474 session low opens the path toward 0.5700
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) is the next NZD-specific risk
23:17 UTC
Downtrend, gap-driven · RSI 41 · price 0.57522
Gapped lower on the open, consolidating near session low.
Thin Monday Asia open gapped NZDUSD down from Friday's 0.5763 close, then sold off to a session low at 0.57474 as the USD held its US-Iran de-escalation bid. Price is now hugging 0.5752 on very light volume; 0.575 psych and the session low cap the downside for now.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57617 gap area would neutralise the gap-down read
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) could reset this read
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, weekly gap lower · RSI 39 · price 0.57496
Gapped down at open, pressing session low.
NZD/USD gapped lower at the weekly open from the ~0.5763 pre-weekend close and slid to a session low of 0.57485 in thin Sunday liquidity, now sitting at 0.57496. RSI(14) is soft near 39 with price below both EMAs; the early spike to 0.57617 was sold off immediately.
Support: 0.57485
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Break below 0.57485 extends the session low
Reclaim of 0.5763 fills the weekend gap and neutralises the drop
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for USD/risk
23:03 UTC
Downtrend, thin Sunday open · RSI 40 · price 0.57496
Gapped lower, pressing session lows.
Thin Sunday open gapped lower from Friday's 0.5763 and has drifted to session lows near 0.5749, with the Dollar firm near three-week lows and NZD holding a weekly gain. Price sits at the low of the range on light volume, RSI soft around 40 — no clean intraday setup in this liquidity.
Support: 0.57485, 0.5745
Resistance: 0.57548, 0.57568, 0.5760
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.57568 gap open would neutralise the soft open
Break below 0.57485 session low confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's main USD swing factor
Thin weekend reopen gapped and slid below the 0.5770 support that had capped the prior session, dropping to a 0.57485 session low with RSI(14) near 38. Price is pinned around 0.575 on very light volume, well under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.57485
Resistance: 0.5770
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 would neutralise the downside break
Break below 0.57485 extends the lower-low sequence
Thin weekend liquidity — moves prone to distortion until London
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset the USD read
22:47 UTC
Downtick on thin Sunday open · RSI 40 · price 0.57504
Gap-down reopen, drifting lower.
NZDUSD gapped down at the Sunday reopen from Friday's 0.5763 close, spiking to 0.57617 before sellers pushed it to a 0.57485 session low on very thin liquidity. Price now pins near 0.575, below both EMAs with RSI soft; USD had been heavy at three-week lows into the weekend.
Support: 0.57485, 0.5750, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57617 would fill the weekend gap toward 0.5763
Loss of 0.57485 opens the 0.5725 area seen earlier in the week
Thin Sunday liquidity — moves may not hold once Asia depth builds
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key near-term risk for the pair
Sunday reopen printed a thin gap lower and swept down to a session low at 0.57486 before a modest recovery to 0.57538. Liquidity is light; price trades below EMA20/50 with RSI in the low 40s. Friday's 0.5770 zone now sits well above, with 0.57600 the nearest cap.
Support: 0.57486, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57600 would negate the reopen downside
Failure to hold 0.57486 opens fresh lows
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key risk for this pair
22:32 UTC
Downtrend on session open, gap lower · RSI 41 · price 0.57538
Gapped below Friday range, swept lows then bounced.
New week opened with a gap lower from Friday's 0.5763 close; price swept to 0.57486 in thin Sunday liquidity before recovering to 0.5754. RSI(14) around 41, price below EMA20 and EMA50 — the open leg is corrective off Friday's range low.
Support: 0.57486, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57630 fills the open gap and negates the downside break
Loss of 0.57486 confirms a lower low toward the 0.5725 area
Thin Sunday liquidity — spreads and moves unreliable until London open
22:17 UTC
Downtick at Monday open, early Asia · RSI 33 · price 0.57489
Gap lower then sold off below prior session range.
Monday open gapped slightly lower and sold off from 0.5760 to a session low at 0.57486 in thin early-Asia trade, price now pinned under the 0.5750 round number. Move ties in with the USD firming off three-week lows and capping the NZD's weekly gain; RSI(14) is soft near 33.
Support: 0.57486, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5750, 0.57604, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.57500 round number would neutralise the downside break
Failure to hold 0.57486 session low opens the path toward the 0.5725 wk low
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Downtrend on thin open · RSI 36 · price 0.57489
Gapped down, lower lows.
Thin Sunday reopen gapped down from the 0.5763 pre-gap close and sold off to 0.57486, RSI(14) around 36. Price is pinned at the session low with volume light; the pre-gap 0.579 handle sits well above.
Support: 0.57486, 0.5750, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.576 negates the drop and reopens 0.5763
Sustained break below 0.57486 opens the 0.5725 area
Business NZ PSI (Sun 22:30 UTC) prints imminently and can move price on thin liquidity
Eased off 0.5794, weekend gap lower, sweep of session low.
Kiwi drifted off the 0.5794 three-week high through Friday and opened the fresh week with a thin weekend gap lower; the Sunday open spiked down to sweep 0.57505 before recovering to 0.5756. RSI(14) mid-range near 43 and price is below both EMAs — liquidity is light and moves here are unreliable.
Support: 0.57505, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 would repair the pullback structure toward the 0.5794 high
Loss of 0.57505 sun low opens the 0.5725 area seen earlier in the week
Business NZ PSI (Sun 22:30 UTC) prints imminently into a thin tape
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift the read
22:03 UTC
Downtrend off 0.5794, thin Sunday open · RSI 43 · price 0.57559
Lower highs, gap-down open with recovered wick.
Kiwi eased off the 0.5794 three-week high through Friday and opened the thin Sunday session with a small gap down, wicking to 0.57505 before recovering to 0.5756. Volume is negligible on these early bars; the pre-gap 0.5763 and prior support at 0.5770 now cap.
Support: 0.57505, 0.5750, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5770 would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57505 opens the 0.5750 round number
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD opened the new week with a small gap down to 0.5756 on thin Sunday volume, extending Friday's fade from the 0.5794 three-week high. Price is ticking back toward the 0.5763 Friday range base after finding a floor near 0.5756; RSI(14) mid-range around 43.
Support: 0.57563, 0.57535
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5770, 0.57928
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5763 puts the 0.5770 prior-support zone back in play
Loss of 0.57535 fri low confirms downside continuation
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term driver for this pair
Session reopened after the weekend with a small gap lower from the 0.5763 pre-gap close, price now recovering toward 0.5760 on thin liquidity. Structure is consolidation below the 0.5770 prior support, well off the 0.5794 three-week high; nothing actionable until fuller volume returns.
Support: 0.57565, 0.57535
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57630 pre-gap level would close the gap and firm the reopen
Loss of 0.57535 swing low reopens downside
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key driver for USD and this read
21:32 UTC
Pullback after fade from 3wk high · RSI 44 · price 0.57573
Gapped lower at week open, below Friday floor.
NZDUSD opened the new week with a gap lower to ~0.5757, slipping under Friday's 0.57630 consolidation floor after the fade from the 0.5794 three-week high. Opening bars are thin and holding just above the 0.57563 session low; 0.57630 prior floor now sits as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.57563, 0.57535
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57700 support-flip level would negate the gap-down read
Failure to hold 0.57535 Fri low opens the 0.5725 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift USD tone and this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend off the 3-wk high, momentum flat · RSI 43 · price 0.57573
Lower highs into weekend, gap-down reopen.
NZD/USD peaked at the 0.5794 three-week high mid-window then bled lower through Friday to close near 0.5764, with a sharp bar down to 0.57535 on the US-Iran headline caution. Sunday reopen gapped lower to ~0.5756 on thin liquidity; price now sits below both EMAs with RSI mid-range.
Support: 0.57535, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5764, 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.577 prior support would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.57535 swing low opens the 0.575 psych area
US CPI Tue could materially shift this read
21:17 UTC
Downtrend off Friday high, thin open · RSI 43 · price 0.5757
Lower highs into weekend, gapped lower at Monday open.
NZDUSD gapped a few pips lower to 0.5757 at Monday's open after Friday's slide off the 0.5794 three-week high, with the 0.5763 area repeatedly rejected through the Friday afternoon fade. Opening bars are thin and pre-liquidity; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with price under EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.57535, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.5763 gap-fill area would neutralise the gap-down read
Range below 0.5794 high, gapped lower on the open.
NZDUSD gapped lower to 0.5757 on the thin open after fading from the 0.5794 three-week high and consolidating around 0.5763 late last week. Kiwi still holds a weekly gain on the hawkish RBNZ, but rejection at 0.5794 left it drifting; the gap zone at 0.5763 now caps.
Support: 0.57535, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of the 0.5763 gap zone needed to negate the lower open
Close below the 0.57535 swing low opens the path toward 0.5725
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key near-term risk for this pair
21:04 UTC
Downtrend off highs, now flat · RSI 42 · price 0.5763
Faded from 0.5794 high, consolidating at lows.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5794 three-week high through the session and is now pinned in a tight 0.5762-0.5765 range on thin Asian-session volume, price below EMA20/50. USD trimmed its losses on US-Iran headline caution, capping the kiwi's weekly bounce.
Support: 0.57616, 0.57535
Resistance: 0.57764, 0.57928
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57764 would break the chain of lower highs
Loss of 0.57616 exposes the 0.57535 spike low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major driver for USD
21:04 UTC
Downtrend from session high, now flat · RSI 42 · price 0.5763
Lower highs into tight consolidation.
NZD/USD faded from the 0.5794 three-week high as the USD trimmed losses on US-Iran caution, printing lower highs into a tight 0.5762-0.5771 consolidation late in the session. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 42 and ATR has compressed to ~7 pips as volume thins.
Support: 0.5762, 0.5754
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5771 breaks the sequence of lower highs
Break below 0.5762 range low opens the 0.5754 spike low
Business NZ PSI (Sun 22:30 UTC) could inject volatility into thin conditions