Kiwi faded from the 0.5788 session high and sold through 0.5770 to a 0.5740 base during thin Monday-Asia liquidity, then recovered to 0.5764. RSI(14) has lifted off its lows into the mid-50s as buyers stepped in twice at 0.5740; 0.5770 (former support) is the level to watch overhead.
Support: 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5770 reopens the 0.5788 session high
loss of the 0.5740 base confirms a lower low
US CPI Tuesday is the dominant near-term USD driver for this pair
23:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 55 · price 0.57636
24h range, mid-range bounce.
NZDUSD faded from the session high at 0.57885 down to 0.574 in thin late-session trade, then recovered to 0.5764 as early Asia opened — roughly the 50% retrace of that leg. Price is holding above the 0.5752 swing low with RSI(14) back near 55; the broader 0.574–0.5788 range still contains the action.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5772, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5772 prior pivot reopens the 0.5788 session high
Failure to hold 0.5752 swing low exposes the 0.574 session low
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony dominate the USD leg
23:32 UTC
Pulled back off highs, consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.57568
Range after rejection from 0.5789.
NZDUSD was rejected at the 0.5789 session high and bled back to 0.574 in thin Asia-session liquidity before recovering into a tight 0.5754–0.5757 band. Price sits back above EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 51; no setup in play, market coiled ahead of US CPI Tuesday.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 reopens the 0.57885 session high
Loss of 0.5748 exposes the 0.574 session low
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony are the near-term USD driver for this pair
Kiwi topped at the 0.5788 session high during NY then bled back, with a thin-liquidity sweep of 0.5740 into the Asia session before recovering to 0.5757. RSI(14) back to neutral around 51; price sits above EMA20 but under EMA50, chopping mid-range.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5773, 0.5788, 0.5800
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 reopens the path to 0.5800
Failure to hold 0.5748 confirms a lower low toward 0.5740
US CPI Tuesday is the dominant near-term USD driver for this cross
NZDUSD slid from the session high at 0.5788 through thin Asian-hours liquidity, bottoming twice around 0.5740 before recovering to 0.5757. Price is now basing above the 0.5744 low with RSI back near neutral; the leg down has stalled but 0.5762 swing resistance still caps.
Support: 0.5744, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5762, 0.5773, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5773 reopens the 0.5788 session high
Failure to hold 0.5744 resumes the down leg toward the 0.574 asia low
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the near-term USD driver for this cross
23:17 UTC
Range, recovering off lows · RSI 51 · price 0.57571
Swept lows near 0.5740, back into mid-range.
NZDUSD dipped to 0.5740 on thin late-NY/Asia liquidity, then recovered to 0.5757; the move looks like a sweep of the lows rather than a directional break. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) back to neutral, sitting above EMA20 but capped below EMA50.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5773, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5773 reopens the 0.5788 session high
Failure to hold 0.5748 exposes the 0.5740 swing low again
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony dominate the near-term USD leg
NZDUSD rejected the 0.5788 session high during NY hours and bled back to 0.5740 in thin overnight/rollover liquidity, then based twice around 0.5740 and recovered to 0.5754. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; the 0.5770 prior-support shelf is now the nearest overhead cap.
Support: 0.5750, 0.5740, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 reopens the 0.5788 session high
Failure to hold 0.5740 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tuesday is the near-term USD swing factor for the pair
NZDUSD rejected the 0.5788 session high through NY and faded into the Asia open, bottoming near 0.5740 on thin liquidity before a modest bounce to 0.5754. RSI(14) is recovering off the lows around 45; price is hugging EMA20 but still capped below the 0.5770 prior swing.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5770 negates the intraday fade
Failure to hold 0.5740 opens the path to 0.5720
US CPI Tuesday dominates the USD leg of this cross
22:47 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing · RSI 53 · price 0.57565
Lower highs into 0.5740 low, recovery underway.
M15 sold off from the 0.5788 session high down to 0.5740 through NY hours, then recovered into thin Asia liquidity to 0.5757. RSI(14) back near neutral off the oversold dip; the descending lower-highs line and USD safe-haven bid still cap overhead.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5748 reopens the 0.5740 low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony are the dominant USD catalysts and would reshape this read
Lower highs off 0.5788, recovering off 0.5740 low.
NZDUSD faded from the session high at 0.57885 down to 0.5740 through the thin late-NY hours, then bounced back to 0.5757 as Asia opened. RSI(14) is recovering from oversold toward neutral; buyers stepped in at 0.5740 and the pair is retracing roughly a third of the down leg.
Support: 0.57485, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5762, 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5762 opens the path back toward the 0.5770 pivot
Failure to hold 0.57485 re-exposes the 0.5740 session low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC are the dominant USD-side catalysts
22:32 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 49 · price 0.57551
Lower highs from 0.5788, bounce off 0.5740.
NZDUSD was rejected at the 0.5788 session high and bled lower through the NY-Asia transition, sliding to 0.5740 in thin liquidity with RSI cooling to the mid-40s. Buyers stepped back in around 0.5740 and price has recovered to 0.5755, with the Kiwi holding firm near 3-week highs on the hawkish-RBNZ backdrop.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
close above the 0.5770 pivot reopens the 0.5788 session high
failure to hold 0.5740 session low extends the pullback
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term USD driver
22:32 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 49 · price 0.57551
Lower highs into 0.574 sweep, corrective recovery.
NZDUSD sold off from the session high at 0.57885 through NY, sweeping down to 0.574 in thin late-session liquidity before recovering to 0.5755. Kiwi holds a firm underlying tone on the hawkish-RBNZ tailwind, but the intraday structure is corrective and capped below 0.5760.
Support: 0.5744, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5760 would negate the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5744 reopens the 0.574 session low
US CPI 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC Tuesday could materially shift this read
Lower highs/lows from 0.5788, recovering off 0.5740.
NZDUSD faded from a 0.5788 session high (double-top region) through the NY-to-late session, printing lower highs and lows into a 0.5740 low. Price has since recovered to 0.5754 on thin late-session volume, RSI(14) back near 51 from oversold.
Support: 0.5740, 0.57485
Resistance: 0.57575, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim and hold above 0.57575 negates the intraday lower-high chain
Break below 0.5740 extends the sequence of lower lows
US CPI + Warsh testimony Tuesday is the dominant USD catalyst
22:17 UTC
Downtrend, bouncing off lows · RSI 46 · price 0.57543
Lower highs into 0.5740, recovery attempt.
Thin late-NY/Asia trade: NZDUSD sold from the 0.5788 session high down to 0.5740 in a chain of lower highs, then bounced back to 0.5754. RSI(14) recovering from the mid-40s; price still sits below EMA20/EMA50 after the fade.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5770 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5740 opens the 0.5720 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony are the dominant near-term USD drivers
22:02 UTC
Downtrend into Asia open · RSI 41 · price 0.5748
Lower highs, lower lows off 0.5788.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high through the late NY-Asia transition, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows down to 0.5740 on thinning volume. A small bounce back to 0.5748 into the Asia open, but price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5740 session low confirms continuation to the 0.5720 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5770 prior swing negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence (~22:00 UTC) could inject volatility into thin Asia liquidity
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5788 day high through the NY-Asia transition, printing a lower-low at 0.5740 on thin rollover liquidity before a small bounce to 0.5748. RSI(14) near 39, price under EMA20 and EMA50; the intraday sequence of lower highs stays intact below 0.5770.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5750, 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 reclaim above 0.5770 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5740 confirms continuation toward 0.5720
US CPI Tuesday is the main USD driver for the next sessions
M15 rolled over from the 0.5789 session high into a lower-high, lower-low sequence, sliding through 0.5754 support to 0.5740 before a thin late-session bounce to 0.5749. RSI cooling in the low 40s; volume evaporated into the session rollover, so the bounce is on light flow.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5754, 0.5789
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5754 invalidates the downtrend read
Failure to hold 0.5740 session low confirms a fresh lower-low toward 0.5720
US CPI Tuesday + Warsh testimony are the main USD drivers that could reset this read
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, rolled over from session high · RSI 39 · price 0.57491
Lower highs since 0.5788, pressing session low.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high in a chain of lower highs, sliding to the 0.5740 session low before a thin, low-volume bounce to 0.5749 into the Asia open. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 39; the recent rally toward 0.5800 three-week highs has stalled ahead of US CPI.
Support: 0.57399, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.57575, 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Sustained break below 0.5740 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 0.57575 swing high needed to stall the down-leg
US CPI Tuesday is the main USD catalyst and could reshape this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, momentum fading into thin close · RSI 34 · price 0.57424
Lower highs, lower lows since mid-session peak.
NZDUSD slid off the 0.57885 session high through the NY afternoon, printing a chain of lower highs and lows into a 0.57399 session low, price now sitting at 0.57424 below both EMAs. Volume has all but dried up in the last few bars, typical of the late NY/early Asia handover; RSI(14) near 33 reflects the fade but is not yet extreme.
Support: 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57485
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57485 swing pivot would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.57399 session low extends the downtrend
NZIER Business Confidence ~22:00 UTC and US CPI Tuesday can reset this read
NZDUSD slid through the NY afternoon from the 0.5788 session high, breaking the 0.5772 support and grinding to a session low at 0.5740 on thin rollover volume. RSI(14) is cooling toward oversold as price stalls at the round number; the earlier push toward 0.5800 three-week highs has fully unwound.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5750, 0.5772, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5750 negates the lower-low sequence
Loss of 0.5740 opens the path to 0.5720
NZIER Business Confidence ~22:00 UTC could inject volatility into thin Asia liquidity
US CPI Tuesday is the main cross-catalyst for the next leg
NZDUSD topped at 0.57885 mid-window and drifted lower through the NY session in a chain of lower highs, breaking the 0.5750 support to print a session low at 0.5740. Move fades into thin late-session liquidity with USD holding firm ahead of US CPI; RSI(14) near 33, short-term stretched but not extreme.
Support: 0.5740, 0.57464
Resistance: 0.5750
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5750 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5740 confirms continuation of the intraday downtrend
NZIER Business Confidence ~22:00 UTC and US CPI Tuesday could shift this read
NZDUSD faded from the 0.57885 session high through NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows into 0.57400. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33; the last bars are thin as liquidity drops into the Asia handover.
Support: 0.5740, 0.5735
Resistance: 0.5754, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57540 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 0.57400 opens the 0.57350 round level
NZIER Business Confidence ~22:00 UTC could inject volatility into thin conditions
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5788 session high and has ground steadily lower through the NY-Asia transition, printing a fresh low at 0.57439 before stabilising near 0.5748. Chain of lower highs and lower lows intact; a soft dollar theme has kept the pair supported this week, but intraday momentum is currently offered.
Support: 0.57439, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57567
What it said to watch
A close back above 0.57567 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57439 opens continuation toward 0.5740
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 NY high and set a chain of lower highs into the late session, now grinding toward the 0.5744 session low on thinning volume. RSI(14) sits soft near 36, price under EMA20/50 — the Kiwi's four-day rally is stalling well below the flagged 0.5825 overhead cap.
Support: 0.57439, 0.57464
Resistance: 0.57567, 0.5772
What it said to watch
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
M15 close above 0.57567 breaks the lower-high chain
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high through NY hours in a stepwise decline, printing fresh session lows at 0.57439 with RSI(14) around 33 and volume thinning into the close. Price sits at 0.57476 below both EMAs, no sign of a base yet.
Support: 0.57439, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57512, 0.57567
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57439 confirms another lower low
Reclaim of 0.57567 needed to break the descending sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony are the key USD swing risks
NZD/USD drifted lower through the NY session after rejection near the 0.5788 session high, printing a clean chain of lower highs and lower lows into 0.5744. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the slide but is not yet stretched; price stalling at 0.5748 just off the session low ahead of tomorrow's US CPI.
Support: 0.57439, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57567, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57567 would break the lower-high chain
Loss of 0.57439 extends the intraday downtrend toward 0.5740
US CPI + Warsh testimony Tuesday is the key USD swing risk
NZDUSD has bled lower through the NY afternoon, sliding from the 0.5788 session high to a fresh 0.57439 swing low before the closing bar printed 0.57475. RSI(14) near 33 shows momentum stretched but not yet capitulating; the chain of lower highs and lower lows remains intact under a soft-dollar backdrop into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.57439, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57541, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57541 pivot would break the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.57439 swing low extends the decline toward 0.5740
NZIER Business Confidence tonight (22:00 UTC) and US CPI Tuesday are near-term swing risks
20:32 UTC
Downtrend, rolling off session high · RSI 33 · price 0.57475
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.5788.
NZD/USD rolled over from the 0.5788 NY session high and has printed a steady chain of lower highs and lows into 0.5744, price trading below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 33. Late-session selling, no bounce yet at the lows despite the broader firm-Kiwi tone into US CPI.
Support: 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5744 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim above 0.5770 would negate the intraday downtrend
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
20:17 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 32 · price 0.57468
Lower highs, lower lows since 0.5788.
NZDUSD rolled over from the session high at 0.5788 and ground down through 0.5757 into late-NY lows near 0.5747, USD staying firm ahead of Tuesday's US CPI. Downtrend intact on falling volume; RSI(14) cooling toward oversold but no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.57464, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5757, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5757 breaks the lower-high sequence
Sustained loss of 0.5745 confirms downside continuation
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
NZDUSD sold off through the NY session from the 0.5788 high, printing a fresh session low at 0.5746 into the close with RSI(14) near 33 but not yet oversold. Kiwi stays underpinned multi-week on the RBNZ story, but the near-term tape is drifting lower ahead of the US CPI swing risk.
Support: 0.57464, 0.5752
Resistance: 0.5754, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5754 breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57464 confirms continuation lower
NZIER Business Confidence tonight 22:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
US CPI + Warsh testimony Tuesday is the key USD risk
20:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend from session high · RSI 37 · price 0.57503
Lower highs, lower lows off 0.5788.
NZD/USD faded steadily through NY from the 0.5788 session high, printing lower highs and now pressing the 0.5748 swing low, RSI(14) near 37. Price sits below EMA20/EMA50 with the 0.5770 prior high acting as a cap on bounces; the Kiwi's broader firm tone did not extend intraday.
Support: 0.57483, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5748 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.5770 prior high would break the descending structure
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZDUSD faded through the NY session from the 0.5788 high, printing a clean chain of lower highs down to 0.5748 with RSI(14) around 34. Kiwi is off its three-week highs into the close, holding just above session-low support at 0.57480.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5745
Resistance: 0.5757
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57480 confirms a lower-low and extends the intraday down leg
Reclaim of 0.57570 breaks the lower-high sequence
US CPI + Warsh testimony Tuesday is the key USD swing risk into next sessions
NZDUSD has rolled over from the 0.5788 session high through the NY afternoon, printing a clean chain of lower highs into 0.57489 and pressing the 0.57474 session low, RSI(14) oversold near 29. Kiwi backdrop stays firm on the RBNZ story but price is heavy short-term, capped well below overhead SMA resistance.
Support: 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57567
What it said to watch
Close below 0.57474 confirms a fresh lower low and opens downside continuation
Reclaim of 0.57567 breaks the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session sold off from the 0.57885 high in a clean stair-step, breaking the 0.5770 support pivot and printing a fresh session low at 0.57480. RSI(14) near 31 as the Kiwi gives back gains on a firmer USD into Tuesday's CPI; price sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5745
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.57700 negates the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.57480 confirms continuation lower
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Stair-stepping lower off session high, broke consolidation floor.
NZD/USD rolled over from the 0.5789 session high through NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs and slicing below the 0.5752-0.5756 consolidation floor. Price now sits at the session low near 0.5749 with RSI(14) around 33; the soft-USD Kiwi rally into 0.5800 has faded on the day ahead of Tuesday's US CPI. ATR is compressed at ~5 pips.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5756, 0.5762, 0.5770
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5756 broken floor would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.57474 session low confirms continuation lower
NZIER Business Confidence tonight 22:00 UTC could reprice the Kiwi
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5789 session high through late NY, printing a chain of lower highs and breaking the 0.5752 support to press session lows at 0.5748. Momentum is soft with RSI(14) near 34, price under both EMAs; the earlier hawkish-RBNZ bid has given back as a firm dollar caps the week.
Support: 0.57483, 0.5750, 0.5752
Resistance: 0.57545
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.57545 would break the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.5748 confirms continuation lower toward 0.5720
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
19:17 UTC
Intraday downtrend, pullback from session high · RSI 36 · price 0.57505
Lower highs into late NY, testing session low.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high through the NY afternoon, carving lower highs down to a 0.5750 session low. RSI(14) near 36 with price under EMA20 and EMA50; 0.5750 is holding into the close, and 0.5770 is the reclaim level to stall the lower-high sequence.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5750 exposes the 0.57474 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5770 needed to break the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
19:17 UTC
Downtrend, pullback from highs · RSI 36 · price 0.57505
Lower highs, lower lows.
NZD/USD faded off the 0.5789 session high through NY hours and is grinding lower toward the 0.5750 psych level, a soft-USD Kiwi rally stalling below overhead SMA resistance. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI in the mid-30s and ATR near 4 pips; chain of lower highs from 0.5771 remains intact.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57575, 0.5771
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5750 psych opens 0.57474 prior low
Reclaim of 0.57575 bounce hi needed to break the lower-high chain
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift the read
19:02 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 40 · price 0.57533
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
NZD/USD faded from the 0.5788 session high through NY hours, stringing lower highs down to 0.5750 with RSI(14) pinned near 40. Price is now coiling tightly at 0.5753 just above the 0.57501 session low; a soft dollar into Tuesday's US CPI kept broader Kiwi support intact.
Support: 0.57501, 0.5752
Resistance: 0.57575
What it said to watch
Close below 0.57501 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.57575 stalls the intraday downtrend
NZIER Business Confidence tonight 22:00 UTC could shift this read
19:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 40 · price 0.57533
Lower highs, testing session lows.
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5789 session high through late NY hours, stacking lower highs and now grinding at 0.5753 near session lows with RSI(14) sub-40. The Kiwi sits capped by heavy overhead SMA resistance around 0.5825 while a firm safe-haven USD keeps intraday pressure on ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5757, 0.5769, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57500 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.57474
Reclaim of 0.57570 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI + Warsh testimony Tuesday is the key USD swing risk
NZD/USD faded from the 0.5788 session high in a chain of lower highs and is now grinding along 0.5750 support into late NY hours, RSI(14) near 39. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the last several bars coiling in a tight 0.5750–0.5757 band; kiwi stays broadly firm on the RBNZ story but capped ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.5750, 0.5730
Resistance: 0.5757, 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5750 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.5730
Reclaim of 0.5770 negates the intraday downtrend read
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift the near-term read
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 NY high back through the EMAs, then dropped sharply to 0.5752 before basing. Price now consolidates in a tight 0.5752-0.5758 band into the NY afternoon, RSI(14) mid-40s, capped by the 0.57630 swing.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57585, 0.5763
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57500 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 0.57630 negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
18:32 UTC
Downtrend, at session lows · RSI 41 · price 0.57526
Lower highs into 0.5750 support cluster.
Late NY session grinding lower off the 0.5788 session high, a chain of lower highs pulling price down to a 0.5750-0.5752 support cluster tested repeatedly. Buyers stepped in at 0.57501 to hold the floor; 0.5770 prior support now caps from above with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.5750, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5750 exposes the 0.5725 rejection zone
Reclaim of 0.5770 prior support negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC today could shift this read
18:32 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 39 · price 0.57526
Lower highs, lower lows off 0.5788.
NY session rolled over from the 0.5788 session high and sliced through 0.5770 prior support, pinning price at the 0.5750 session low as USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran strikes weighs. RSI depressed near the lower band, price below both EMAs — sellers in control of the intraday leg.
Support: 0.5750, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5750 opens the path to 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.5770 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
US CPI tomorrow 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5788 session high through NY hours, printing lower highs as a firmer USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines dragged the Kiwi back. Price is grinding at the 0.5752 session low with RSI(14) near 41, capped below the 0.5757 minor bounce.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5757, 0.5772, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5752 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.5720
Reclaim of 0.5772 prior high would neutralise the downtrend read
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
18:17 UTC
Downtrend, recent leg lower · RSI 39 · price 0.57531
Lower highs and lower lows off session high.
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5788 session high and broke the 0.5770 support as a fresh US safe-haven bid firmed the USD. Price now consolidating a few pips above the 0.5752 session low, RSI(14) sub-40 but not yet oversold.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5750, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Break below 0.5750 exposes the 0.5720 zone
Reclaim of 0.5770 invalidates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Downtrend off session high · RSI 37 · price 0.57532
Lower highs, testing session low.
NY afternoon rolled over from the 0.5788 session high, breaking 0.5770 and grinding into the 0.5752 session low, RSI(14) sub-40. Price is pinned at the lows with sellers capping each bounce below 0.5758.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5772, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5752 exposes the 0.5700 area
Reclaim of 0.5772 invalidates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZDUSD faded from the 0.5788 session high back to the 0.5752 session low through NY hours, USD firmer on US-Iran safe-haven bid. Lower highs stacked since London, RSI(14) near 36 and price under both EMAs.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5752 exposes 0.5720
Reclaim of 0.5771 negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
17:47 UTC
Near-term downtrend off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.57577
Lower highs since 0.5788, holding 0.5752.
NY afternoon rolled over from the 0.5788 session high, printing lower highs and sweeping 0.5752 before a modest bounce to 0.5758 — USD holding firm on US-Iran safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 42, price below EMA20/50, no upside momentum in play.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5763 needed to challenge the 0.5788 session high
Close below 0.5752 confirms lower-low, exposes 0.5720
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
US-Iran headlines driving USD safe-haven bid
17:47 UTC
Pullback, momentum down · RSI 41 · price 0.57577
Lower highs after 0.5788 rejection.
NY session sold off from the 0.5788 session high, breaking the 0.5770 support during late US hours as a firmer USD safe-haven bid weighed. Price has since stalled around 0.5757, RSI(14) near 40 after the flush to 0.5752.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5770 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 0.5752 exposes the 0.5725 prior reject zone
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
17:32 UTC
Reversed lower off session high · RSI 38 · price 0.57566
Lower high, broke 0.5770 support.
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.57885 session high, breaking 0.5770 support and sweeping down to 0.5752 before a shallow bounce to 0.5757; RSI(14) cooling near 38. The prior USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is capping the Kiwi, with lower highs stacking through NY hours.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5750, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5770 invalidates the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.5750 exposes the 0.5725 reject zone
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift the read
NZDUSD rolled off the 0.57885 session high through NY hours and swept the 0.5752 session low before bouncing to 0.57566, USD firmer on safe-haven flows. RSI(14) near 39, price under EMA20/50 with lower highs stacked from 0.57625.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57885
What it said to watch
Break below 0.5752 session low exposes 0.5750 round and 0.5700
M15 close back above 0.57625 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
17:17 UTC
Downtrend, rolling over from session high · RSI 37 · price 0.57562
Lower highs after 0.5788 rejection, broke 0.5770.
NZDUSD rolled over from the 0.5788 session high through NY hours, breaking 0.5770 support and sweeping to 0.5752 before a shallow bounce to 0.5756. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 37; USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is the driver.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5720, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
reclaim of 0.5770 negates the breakdown
sustained break below 0.5752 exposes 0.5700
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Lower highs after rejection of 0.5788, probing session low.
NY session faded the push into the 0.5788 session high, then sold off through the London-NY range to a session low at 0.5752 before a shallow bounce to 0.5756. USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is capping the Kiwi while RSI cools into the mid-30s.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 0.5752 session low exposes 0.5700
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
17:03 UTC
Intraday downturn from session high · RSI 34 · price 0.57551
Lower highs, broke below 0.5770.
NZD rolled over from the 0.5788 session high and broke the 0.5770 support, printing a fresh session low at 0.5752 as a firmer USD on US-Iran headlines pressured the pair. RSI(14) near 34, momentum weak but not yet stretched; last bar closed 0.57551 just above the low.
Support: 0.5752, 0.57474, 0.5725
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.5770 negates the lower-high break
Loss of 0.5752 exposes the 0.57474 swing low and 0.5725 zone
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
17:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend off session high · RSI 35 · price 0.57551
Lower highs, broke 0.5766 support.
NY session sold NZDUSD from the 0.57885 session high down through 0.5766, printing a 0.5752 low as USD safe-haven bid on fresh US-Iran strikes weighed. Price now hugging 0.5755, RSI(14) cooling near 35, holding just above the 0.5750 psych level.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5750, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5752 opens the path to 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.57625 needed to unwind the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Intraday pullback after rejection at highs · RSI 41 · price 0.57584
Rejected 0.5788, broke below 0.5770.
NZD/USD twice rejected the 0.5788 three-week high through the NY session, then sold through 0.5770 to print a session low at 0.5752 before a shallow bounce to 0.5758. USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is capping the Kiwi; RSI(14) sits near 40 after the drop.
Support: 0.5752, 0.57479, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 would negate the downside break
Holding below 0.5752 exposes 0.5700
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:47 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 0.57584
Lower highs after topping at 0.5788.
NZD gave back its NY-session gains after topping at 0.5788, sliding to a session low of 0.5752 as a fresh US safe-haven bid on US-Iran strikes lifted the dollar. A small bounce to 0.5758 followed; RSI(14) near 39 shows momentum still soft with 0.5770 now capping.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5770, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.57708, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5752 confirms lower low and exposes 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.5770 needed to reverse the intraday down-leg
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:32 UTC
Rolling over, momentum down · RSI 37 · price 0.57589
Lower highs after double top rejection.
NY session sold off from the 0.5788 session high after a double-top rejection near 0.5786–0.5788, then broke the 0.5770 support with a sharp two-bar drop to 0.57589. RSI(14) cooled into the mid-30s and price is now under both EMA20 and EMA50; USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is the backdrop.
Support: 0.57589, 0.5750, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 0.5770 would negate the breakdown read
Failure to hold 0.57589 exposes 0.5750
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:32 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 35 · price 0.57589
Lower high after rejection, support broken.
NY session saw a double-top rejection at the 0.5788 session high, then a sharp two-bar sell-off through the 0.5770 support to 0.5759, RSI(14) sub-35. Move ties to the firmer USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines noted in the context; 0.5760 round level now being tested.
Support: 0.5760, 0.5750, 0.5747
Resistance: 0.5779, 0.5788
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5770 negates the downside break
Failure to hold 0.5760 exposes 0.5750/0.5747 swing low
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 43 · price 0.57702
Faded off session high, consolidating near 50% fib.
NY session rejected the 0.57885 session high and faded back to the 50% retracement near 0.5770, with USD safe-haven bid off US-Iran headlines capping the Kiwi. Price now consolidating in a tight 0.5768-0.5772 band, RSI(14) mid-40s, sitting on the fib midpoint.
Support: 0.57669, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.57807, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57669 session low exposes the 0.57505 swing low
Reclaim of 0.57807 prior high reopens the 0.57885 session high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:17 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 0.57702
Consolidation below session high after rejection.
NZD/USD rallied through the NY session to a 0.57885 session high then faded, with USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines capping the move. Price is now consolidating in a tight 0.5768-0.5772 band above the 0.57669 session low, RSI mid-40s after cooling from the highs.
Support: 0.57669, 0.5755
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.57845
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57669 session low exposes the 0.5755 swing low
Reclaim of 0.57885 session high reopens the upside
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday pullback from highs · RSI 42 · price 0.57692
Fading off session high, lower highs into NY afternoon.
NY session pushed NZD/USD up to 0.5789, just shy of the 0.5794 three-week high, before fading back to 0.5769 with RSI(14) cooling to ~42. Buyers stepped in at 0.5767 but the leg has since drifted lower, sitting mid-way through the 0.5747-0.5789 advance.
Support: 0.5767, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5789, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5767 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.5789 puts the 0.5794 three-week high back in play
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Pullback after session high · RSI 43 · price 0.57692
Lower highs off 0.57885 peak.
NZD/USD rallied to a session high at 0.57885 during NY hours then faded, printing lower highs and testing the 0.5770 support as the USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines dragged the Kiwi back. Price now sits mid-pullback near 0.5769, RSI(14) around 42 with momentum cooling.
Support: 0.57669, 0.5770, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Break below 0.57669 swing low exposes the 0.5750 psych area
Reclaim above 0.57885 session high re-opens the 0.5794 three-week high
US-Iran headlines and their USD safe-haven pass-through could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Short-term pullback off session high · RSI 43 · price 0.57695
Lower highs since 0.5788 rejection.
NY session rejected the 0.5788 three-week high and price has faded back through 0.5780 toward the 0.5767 swing low, now sitting near the 50% retrace of the leg up from 0.5748. RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s; a firmer USD on US-Iran safe-haven headlines is capping the Kiwi.
Support: 0.57669, 0.57483
Resistance: 0.57805, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5767 confirms a lower low, exposing 0.5748
Reclaim of 0.5780 puts the 0.5788 session high back in play
US-Iran headlines driving USD safe-haven demand could shift this read
15:47 UTC
Pulling back off session high · RSI 42 · price 0.57695
Lower highs after rejection at 0.57885.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.57885 then got rejected, fading back toward the 0.57669 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price now grinding under the EMA20 near 0.57795, holding just above the intraday low.
Support: 0.57669, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57795, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57669 opens the path toward 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.57795 ema20 would neutralise the pullback
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift the read
NY session drove to a session high at 0.5788 before rejecting, with price now grinding lower under EMA20 as the USD safe-haven bid caps the Kiwi. RSI(14) cooling near 42; buyers defending the 0.5767 session low so far.
Support: 0.57669, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5779, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57669 exposes 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.5788 needed to resume the upside
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
15:32 UTC
Pullback from session high, momentum down · RSI 42 · price 0.57691
Faded off 0.5789, drifting toward session low.
NZDUSD rejected the session high at 0.5789 and has faded back toward the 0.5767 session low, with USD firm on a safe-haven bid keeping the Kiwi capped short of its 0.5794 three-week high. RSI(14) cooling near 42 as price sits below EMA20/50; range top respected on the last attempt.
Support: 0.5767, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5789, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5767 exposes 0.5750 and opens path to 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.5789 needed to re-test the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
15:17 UTC
Rolling over from session high · RSI 42 · price 0.57699
Lower highs after rejection at 0.5788.
NZDUSD faded off the 0.57885 session high as a fresh US safe-haven bid capped the Kiwi, and is now probing the 0.57669 session low with RSI cooling near 42. Lower highs since the NY peak leave price below EMA20/50.
Support: 0.57669, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.5778, 0.57885
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57669 opens 0.57505 then 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.57780 reopens the 0.57885 session high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift the read
15:17 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 41 · price 0.57699
Lower highs after rejection at 0.5789.
NZDUSD faded from the 0.57885 session high as a firmer safe-haven USD capped the move, now grinding near 0.577 below EMA20/50. Recent bars printed lower highs into the 0.57669 session low; RSI(14) sits mid-40s with no extreme.
Support: 0.57669, 0.57511
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5781
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57669 session low exposes 0.57511 swing low
Reclaim of 0.5781 needed to re-target the 0.57885 high
US-Iran headlines and USD safe-haven bid can shift this read intrasession
15:02 UTC
Pullback from session high · RSI 43 · price 0.57726
Retracing rally, testing 0.5770 support.
NY session faded from the 0.57885 session high, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s and price back below EMA20/50. Kiwi is now grinding on the 0.5770 initial support after giving back its safe-haven-USD-driven pullback; a hold keeps the 0.5770-0.5788 range intact.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57669
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Break of 0.5770 exposes the 0.57669 swing low and opens the path toward 0.5700
Reclaim of 0.57885 session high puts the 0.5794 three-week high back in play
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC and US-Iran headlines could shift the read
15:02 UTC
Pullback after session high · RSI 42 · price 0.57726
Lower high off 0.5788, testing support.
NY session rejected the 0.5788 high and pulled back, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s as the USD held a firm safe-haven bid. Price now probing the 0.5770 area with the 0.57669 swing low the last defence of the intraday uptrend off 0.57474.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57669, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57669 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 0.5788 reopens the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
14:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 0.57718
Rally rejected at session high, pulling back.
NY-session push into the 0.5788 session high was rejected, price rolling back to 0.5772 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. USD safe-haven bid on US-Iran headlines is capping the Kiwi despite the hawkish-RBNZ backdrop.
Support: 0.5767, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5782
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5767 swing low exposes 0.5750 session low
Reclaim of 0.5788 session high needed to resume the up leg
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
14:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.57718
Higher lows into session high, rejection at 0.5788.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.57885 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to 0.5772 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The rising sequence of higher lows off 0.57474 stays intact while 0.5770 holds; a firmer USD on US-Iran safe-haven flows is capping the topside.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5770 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.57885 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 0.57744
Rejection at session high, retracing.
NY session pushed to a session high at 0.57885, stalling just under the 0.5794 three-week high before rolling over as the USD safe-haven bid reasserted. Price now retracing toward 0.5770 session support with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s; last bar swept a swing low at 0.57669 and recovered.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57669, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5770 session support opens the range low at 0.5750
Reclaim of 0.57885 session high puts the 0.5794 three-week high back in play
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
14:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 0.57744
Rejection off session high, pullback in progress.
NY session ran up to 0.5788 twice and was capped, then a high-volume bar swept down to 0.57669 before closing back at 0.57744. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s as price slipped under EMA20; NZD stays hemmed below the 0.5794 three-week high on a firmer USD.
Support: 0.5777, 0.57669
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Break of 0.57669 session low exposes the 0.5770 support failure toward 0.5700
M15 close back above 0.5788 reopens the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove NZDUSD to a 0.5789 session high before rejection, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s as price fades back to 0.5777. Move stalls just under the 0.5794 three-week high with USD holding a firm safe-haven bid; day's up-leg from 0.5747 still holding higher lows.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5770, 0.57739
Resistance: 0.5789, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.5770 range support breaks the higher-low chain, exposing lower
Reclaim of 0.5789 session high opens the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session drove NZDUSD up to a 0.57885 session high before a USD safe-haven bid capped it, pulling price back to 0.5777. Now consolidating just under EMA20 while holding above the 0.57739 swing low; upmove intact but momentum has flattened at the highs.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57739
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57739 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Reclaim of 0.57885 session high reopens the 0.5794 three-week high
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC and US-Iran headlines could shift the read
NZDUSD recovered off the 0.57474 session low through London-NY, printing a chain of higher lows up to the 0.57885 session high before stalling. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as price consolidates just under 0.5788; the 0.5794 three-week high remains the cap.
Support: 0.57739, 0.5770, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57885 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.57739 breaks the higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into 0.5788, consolidating below session high.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a 0.57885 session high before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price now consolidating in a 0.5775–0.5788 band just under the 0.5794 three-week high, holding above rising intraday support.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5770, 0.57511
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.5775 breaks the higher-low chain toward 0.5770
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:47 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 0.57786
Higher highs, pullback from session high.
NY hours extended the climb off 0.5748, printing a session high at 0.57885 before easing back to 0.57786; the 0.5794 three-week high remains untested. RSI(14) near 58 as the push stalls, sellers capping the session high on the last attempt.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 cluster
Failure to hold 0.5770 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) and US-Iran headlines could shift this read
Rising lows into session high, pullback in progress.
NZDUSD rallied through NY hours off the 0.5748 base to a session high at 0.5788, then met rejection and eased back to 0.5779. Chain of rising lows still intact above 0.5774; the 0.5794 three-week high remains the cap into the NZIER print.
Support: 0.57739, 0.57511, 0.57479
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 cluster
Failure to hold 0.57739 breaks the rising-low sequence
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
13:32 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into session high · RSI 61 · price 0.5785
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.5749.
NZD ground steadily higher through the NY session, printing higher lows off 0.5749 and stalling into the 0.5788 session high with RSI(14) near 61. Hawkish-RBNZ support is offsetting the safe-haven USD bid, keeping price pinned just under the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5749, 0.5729
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.5775 breaks the higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a session high at 0.57885 off a 0.5751 base, with buyers stepping in repeatedly near 0.5775. RSI(14) elevated near 61 but not stretched; the 0.5794 three-week high sits just overhead as the immediate cap.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5774, 0.5751
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
A close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.5774 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could shift this read
13:17 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 62 · price 0.57847
HH/HL chain, testing session top.
NZDUSD ground higher through the session, printing a HH/HL chain off the 0.57474 low and stalling into the 0.57885 session high. RSI(14) around 62 — firm, not extreme — with price holding above EMA20/EMA50; the 0.5794 three-week high caps the immediate upside.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57624, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57885 opens a retest of the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5775 breaks the rising structure and exposes 0.57624
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
13:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 59 · price 0.57847
Higher lows into session high resistance.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a run of higher lows off 0.5749 and stalling just under the 0.5788 session high. Price is holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-50s, no extreme — consolidating tight below resistance as it eyes the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5749
Resistance: 0.5788, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5788 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.5775 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could shift this read
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session, printing a fresh session high at 0.57883 and closing in on the 0.5794 three-week high, RSI(14) hot near 67 but not extreme. Buyers stepped in on the dip to 0.57749 before the latest push.
Support: 0.57749, 0.57511
Resistance: 0.57883, 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5794 three-week high opens the path to the 0.5825 100d sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.57749 swing low puts the 0.57511 swing low back in play
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift the read
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 63 · price 0.57868
Higher highs / higher lows off 0.5747.
NZDUSD climbed through the NY session from the 0.5747 low to press session highs near 0.5788, RSI(14) firm around 63 but not stretched. Buyers stepped in repeatedly on the 0.5775 pullbacks; the 0.5794 three-week high is the next resistance cap.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57883, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5788 opens a retest of the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5775 breaks the higher-low chain
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZDUSD rallied off the 0.5747 low into NY hours to tag a session high at 0.5786, then stalled into a tight consolidation with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range. USD safe-haven bid on Mideast headlines is capping upside just below the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.57739, 0.5765
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 opens the path to the 0.5794 3-wk high
Failure to hold 0.57739 swing low exposes 0.5765 session low
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session off the 0.5747 low, tagging a 0.57864 session high before stalling. Price is consolidating just under that high near 0.5780, RSI(14) easing off from earlier peaks as the USD holds a safe-haven bid.
Support: 0.57739, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57739 swing low breaks the rising sequence
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift the read
NZDUSD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 0.57864 before rejecting and pulling back to 0.57739, now recovering to 0.5779. Higher lows still intact with RSI(14) mid-range; safe-haven USD bid caps the move short of the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.57739
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57739 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI (12:30 UTC) is the dominant near-term catalyst and can override this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NZDUSD rallied through the NY session from 0.5747 to a session high of 0.5786, then stalled and is now consolidating around 0.5779 with RSI(14) cooling from its peak. Safe-haven USD demand caps the upside near the 0.5794 three-week high while intraday structure holds higher lows.
Support: 0.57739, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57739 swing low confirms a lower high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst
NZDUSD ground higher off 0.5748, printing a session high at 0.5786 before rejecting and easing back to 0.5776. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as momentum slows, but the higher-low chain holds above 0.5774. Safe-haven USD demand from Mid-East headlines is the near-term cap.
Support: 0.57739, 0.5765
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5786 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5774 confirms a lower low toward 0.5765
US-Iran headlines / USD flows the dominant near-term driver
Consolidating below session high after rally off lows.
NZDUSD rallied through the NY session from 0.5747 lows to a session high of 0.57864, then stalled and pulled back to 0.5776 as USD held its safe-haven bid. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s and price is drifting back toward EMA20 after the rejection near the highs.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5773 exposes 0.5765 and the 0.5750 session low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
NZD clawed back from the 0.5748 session low to tag a session high at 0.57864 during NY hours, aided by an easing USD safe-haven bid. Price is now holding a tight 0.5778–0.5786 consolidation just under that high with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 0.5778, 0.57729
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
US CPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read within the next bar
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 3wk high
NZDUSD ground higher through the session, climbing from the 0.57474 low to a 0.57864 session high before stalling. Buyers held the 0.5777 swing low on the pullback; price now consolidates just under the session high with RSI cooling from the highs.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5777 breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 0.5750
US-Iran headlines / USD safe-haven flows remain the dominant driver and can override intraday structure
NZD/USD recovered off the post-gap session low at 0.5747, chaining higher lows through the session to a session high at 0.5786. The move stalled just below the 0.5794 three-week high with RSI(14) around 62; price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5747
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.5794 3wk high opens room toward the SMA cluster higher
Loss of the 0.5775 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller ~16:30 UTC could reset this read via USD safe-haven flows
NZD ground higher through the NY session, recovering from the 0.5747 session low to a 0.5786 high, and is now consolidating just below it. Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) around 63, cooling as the rally flattens beneath the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.57755, 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 resistance cluster
Loss of 0.5775 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read via USD flows
11:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 0.57843
Higher highs and higher lows, shallow pullback held.
Kiwi recovered off 0.5751 through the session, printing higher highs to the 0.57864 session high before a shallow pullback to 0.5774 held. RSI(14) mid-60s with price above EMA20/50; the 0.5794 three-week high caps overhead as USD keeps a safe-haven bid.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57511
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 area
Failure to hold 0.5774 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Waller speaks 16:30 UTC (~5h) — could shift USD tone
11:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling near session high · RSI 62 · price 0.57843
Higher highs / higher lows, capped below 0.5786.
NY session drove NZDUSD off the 0.57474 low to a session high at 0.57864, now consolidating just under it around 0.5784 with RSI(14) mid-60s. Kiwi remains off its three-week high at 0.5794 as a USD safe-haven bid caps upside; the last few bars have tightened into a small range below the session top.
Support: 0.57748, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57748 breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Fed's Waller speaking 16:30 UTC (~5h) could shift USD tone
NZD ground higher through the NY session, lifting off 0.5747 to a session high at 0.57864 before easing back. Price now consolidating around 0.5782 with RSI(14) cooling from the push; buyers stepped in at 0.57743 on the pullback.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.57743 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising sequence
Waller speaks ~16:30 UTC and US CPI tomorrow could shift this read
Higher highs/lows off 0.5748, consolidating near session high.
NY session drove NZDUSD up from the 0.5748 session low to a 0.57864 high as the earlier USD safe-haven bid eased, RSI(14) now cooling from its peak. Price is consolidating around 0.5782 just under the session high, still holding above the rising sequence of lows.
Support: 0.5776, 0.57729, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5776 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD recovered off 0.57474 through the London session, printing higher highs to a 0.57864 session high before easing to 0.57813, RSI(14) cooling from the low-70s. Move stalled just under the 0.5794 three-week high with a minor rejection at the session top.
Support: 0.57743, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.57743 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.5748, consolidating below session high.
London session lifted NZD/USD off 0.5748 to tag a 0.57864 session high on the safe-haven USD easing back, then stalled into a tight 0.5775-0.5782 consolidation with RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above EMA20/50 with 0.57745 acting as the near-term pullback floor.
Support: 0.57745
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.57745 confirms a lower-low and stalls the recovery
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZD/USD rallied off 0.5751 through London to a session high of 0.57864, then eased to 0.57777 as the safe-haven USD bid capped the move and RSI cooled from the highs. Rejection at 0.57864 leaves the session top intact for now.
Support: 0.57745, 0.57511
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57745 marks a lower high and shifts the intraday read
Fed's Waller speaks 16:30 UTC (~6h) — could move USD
NZD/USD ran from the 0.5748 range base up to a session high at 0.57864 before easing back to 0.5777, holding above EMA20. Move tracks a modest risk-on trim of the safe-haven USD bid; RSI(14) near 54 after cooling off the high, and price is now consolidating just under the session high.
Support: 0.57743, 0.5755, 0.57479
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57743 exposes 0.5755 and questions the higher-low chain
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller today 16:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher lows off session low, easing from session high.
NY session lifted NZD off the 0.5750 area to a session high at 0.5786 before rejection eased price back to 0.5776, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Uptrend structure intact above the 0.5773 swing low; USD safe-haven bid caps overhead.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5786 opens path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5773 confirms a lower-low and negates the intraday uptrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller 16:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
NZDUSD rallied off 0.57474 to a session high at 0.57864 during the London-NY window, riding a broader bounce as the USD safe-haven bid eased. Price is now consolidating around 0.5776 just under the high, RSI(14) cooling from the push into the mid-50s.
Support: 0.57729, 0.5765
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of the 0.57729 breakout base risks a slide back toward 0.5765
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Waller today 16:30 UTC could shift USD tone and this read
Higher highs off 0.5751, pulling back from session high.
Kiwi rallied off 0.5751 through the London session to a session high 0.57864, then eased to 0.5777 as a firm USD safe-haven bid capped the push. RSI(14) cooling from the run; 0.57864 rejected once and stands as the near-term cap.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5757, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5773 exposes 0.5757 and negates the higher-low chain
Fed's Waller (~16:30 UTC) and US CPI risk could shift USD tone
NZDUSD ran from the 0.5750 session low to a 0.57864 session high during London hours before rejecting and easing back to 0.5777, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Price holds above the 0.5773 breakout with EMA20/50 stacked beneath.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5773 breakout puts 0.5765 swing low back in play
Close above 0.5794 three-week high opens path to 0.5825 SMA cluster
US June CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and can reset this read
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 62 · price 0.5781
Higher lows into session high, now consolidating.
Kiwi climbed off the 0.5748 session low to tag 0.57864, now consolidating around 0.5781 as the USD safe-haven bid caps upside. RSI(14) cooling from the push higher; micro-structure holds a chain of higher lows.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5765, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5786 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.5779 range low breaks the higher-low sequence
Fed's Waller 16:30 UTC (~6h) could shift this read
10:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 0.5781
Higher highs into session high, consolidating.
Kiwi rallied off 0.5748 through 0.5773 to a session high at 0.5786 on the London-NY push, RSI(14) cooling from overbought into the low 60s. Price now consolidating just under the high near 0.5781, holding above the broken 0.5773 level.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5751, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.5786, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5786 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.5773 breakout level exposes 0.5751 swing low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and Fed's Waller today 16:30 UTC could shift USD flows
Kiwi broke out of the 0.5750-0.5765 London range and ran to a session high of 0.57864, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Price now consolidating around 0.5780 above EMA20/50; buyers held 0.5773 on the pullback.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765, 0.57532
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5773 breaks the intraday up-leg
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC, ~7h) could shift USD tone
London session drove NZDUSD off the 0.57474 low to a session high at 0.57864, clearing the 0.5765 consolidation as safe-haven USD demand eased. Price now consolidating around 0.5780 just below the high, RSI(14) backing off from stretched levels.
Support: 0.5775, 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5794 three-week high opens the path toward the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5775 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC today) could shift the USD read
London session drove NZDUSD off the 0.5750 low to a session high at 0.57864, printing a clean higher-high chain. Price is now consolidating around 0.5780 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s as momentum flattens just below the 0.5794 three-week high.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 resistance cluster
Failure to hold 0.5773 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Fed's Waller (16:30 UTC, ~7h) could shift the USD read
09:32 UTC
Uptrend, near session high · RSI 66 · price 0.57804
Higher highs and higher lows off 0.5747.
NZDUSD rallied through London hours from the 0.5751 session low to a 0.57864 session high, clearing the 0.5775 breakout shelf. Current bar is stalling just under the high with RSI(14) cooling near 66; buyers held 0.5779 on the last pullback.
Support: 0.5775, 0.5765, 0.5751
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.5775 breakout shelf would negate the intraday uptrend
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the primary near-term risk to this read
Kiwi ground higher through the London session, rallying from the 0.5747 base to a session high at 0.57864 and clearing the 0.5773 breakout level. RSI(14) near 69 is hot but not extreme; price now consolidating just under the high with the three-week high at 0.5794 overhead.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.5773 negates the breakout and reopens 0.5751
Break above 0.5794 exposes the 0.5825 area
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD rallied off the 0.5750 session low through 0.5773 into a session high at 0.57864, RSI(14) running hot near 71. The 0.5773 breakout zone now caps a rising sequence of intraday lows; the 0.5794 three-week high sits just overhead.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.5773 breaks the rising-low sequence and neutralises the uptrend read
Push through 0.57864 opens the 0.5794 three-week high
US-Iran headlines drive USD safe-haven flows and can shift this read intraday
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 72 · price 0.57814
Higher highs, breakout above intraday range.
NZDUSD pushed from 0.5765 to a session high of 0.57864 in the last hour, clearing the 0.5773 breakout as the Kiwi holds post-RBNZ gains. RSI(14) near 72 is short-term hot, and price sits just under the 0.5794 three-week high cap.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57647, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57864 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5773 negates the breakout back toward 0.57647
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 71 · price 0.57814
Higher highs, session breakout in play.
London session drove NZD/USD off 0.5751 to a session high 0.57864, clearing the prior consolidation with RSI(14) running hot near 71 — NZD staying firm on the post-RBNZ backdrop. Price now presses toward the 0.5794 three-week high cap flagged as overhead resistance.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765
Resistance: 0.57864, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Rejection or break at the 0.5794 3wk high defines the next leg
Loss of 0.5773 breakout level negates the session push
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC is the next NZ catalyst
Higher highs off session low, breakout above range.
London session rallied off the 0.57474 low, clearing the 0.5755-0.5773 range and printing a session high at 0.57848 as the USD softened ahead of Tuesday's CPI. RSI(14) near 73 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive push; price is holding just under the highs.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5755, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57848, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57730 breakout level reopens the 0.5755 swing low
Close above 0.57848 exposes the 0.5794 three-week high
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs off session low, breakout in progress.
London session drove NZDUSD off the 0.5747 low with a clean break above the 0.5773 pivot, printing a session high at 0.5848 and RSI(14) near 73. Move ties to firm post-RBNZ Kiwi tone; 0.5794 three-week high is the next cap overhead.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5765, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57848, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 0.57848 opens the path to the 0.5794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57730 breakout level would negate the impulse and put 0.57650 back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this pair
08:32 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 0.57794
Higher highs/higher lows into session high.
London morning pushed NZDUSD off the 0.57474 session low into a breakout above 0.5773, tagging the session high at 0.57846 with RSI(14) around 71. Chain of higher lows intact; the 0.5794 three-week high is the next area to watch for rejection or break, with the 0.5825 MA cluster as the ceiling the digest flags.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57846, 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Break above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 ma cluster
Loss of 0.5773 breakout level neutralises the intraday uptrend
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
NZD ripped from the 0.5755 base to a session high 0.57846 in early London, clearing the 0.5773 breakout level and pushing RSI(14) into the low 70s. Price is holding just under the high with the three-week peak at 0.5794 the next cap.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5755, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57846, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.5773 turns the breakout into a false break
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could reset the intraday read
NZDUSD accelerated into the session high 0.5783 over the last hour, clearing the 0.5765 congestion band on rising momentum. RSI(14) near 72, short-term hot; the RBNZ-driven bid is intact but the 0.5825 / 100-day SMA cluster remains the key overhead cap.
Support: 0.5773, 0.5755, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.5783, 0.5825
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5825 needed to extend the move
Loss of 0.5773 breakout level re-opens 0.5755 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Kiwi pushed higher through the London session, breaking the 0.5773 swing and printing a session high at 0.5783 as the RBNZ-driven bid held. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but consistent with the impulse; 0.5794 three-week high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57516, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 cluster
Loss of 0.5773 negates the breakout and reopens the 0.57516 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift USD and this read
London session grinding higher off the 0.57511 session low, current bar pressing the 0.5773/0.5775 prior high as the RBNZ-driven kiwi bid holds. RSI(14) near 66, firm but short of overbought; a clear break of 0.5775 opens the 0.5794 3-week high.
Support: 0.5770, 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5775, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5775 opens the path to 0.5794
Failure to hold 0.5770 returns focus to the 0.57511 session low
US CPI Wed is the dominant catalyst that could shift this read
08:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum building · RSI 64 · price 0.57738
Higher lows off session low, testing session high.
NZDUSD ground higher through the London session, printing higher lows off the 0.57474 early low and breaking above the 0.57706 prior high into 0.57738. RSI(14) mid-60s with buyers stepping in on each dip; ATR ~5 pips keeps ranges tight.
Support: 0.5757, 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57738, 0.57706, 0.5779
What it said to watch
Sustained trade above 0.57738 opens the path to the 0.5779 3wk high
Failure to hold 0.5757 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst ahead
NZDUSD recovered from the session low at 0.5747 through the London session, printing higher lows into 0.5766 with RSI mid-range near 57. The 0.5770 session high is capping for a second time; digest flags kiwi stalling below the 0.5825 cluster after the in-line RBNZ hike.
Support: 0.5752, 0.5747
Resistance: 0.5770, 0.5794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5770 opens the path toward the 0.5794 3-week high
Failure to hold 0.5752 breaks the higher-low chain and reopens 0.5747
Fed speaker Bowman (09:25 UTC) could shift USD tone within the next bars
NZDUSD bounced off the 0.5747 session low and is grinding out higher lows through the London session, last 0.5766 with RSI(14) mid-range. The 0.5771 session high is the immediate cap; buyers stepped in twice around 0.5751 on pullbacks.
Support: 0.5751, 0.5747
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.5779
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5771 opens a retest of 0.5779
Failure to hold 0.5751 breaks the higher-low chain
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant upcoming catalyst
London session kiwi recovered from the session low at 0.57474 up to 0.57706, then eased back into a 0.5755–0.5766 consolidation; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 55. Move fits the broader NZD stall below 0.5825 as hawkish-RBNZ support looks near-exhausted.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57664, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 reopens the path toward the 0.5794 area
Loss of 0.57511 puts the 0.57474 session low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 53 · price 0.57631
Consolidation below session high.
Kiwi rallied off the 0.57474 session low to tag 0.57706 during the London session, then settled into a 0.5751–0.5766 range with RSI(14) hovering near neutral. Price is mid-range at 0.57631, holding above short EMAs but with no directional follow-through; the RBNZ-driven bid keeps a floor near 0.5751.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57664
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 reopens the path toward 0.5770+
Loss of 0.57511 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.57474
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin Monday Asia trade opened near 0.5756, swept down to 0.57474 before buyers recovered price to the 0.57706 session high, then consolidated 0.5751–0.5766. Latest bar pushed back up to 0.57688, RSI(14) mid-range around 58; kiwi holds its weekly RBNZ-driven bid but remains capped below the session high.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57706 opens a retest of the 3-week high near 0.5794
Failure to hold 0.57511 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this read
London hours have NZDUSD chopping between 0.5748 and 0.5771 after buyers absorbed a dip to the 0.57474 session low. The last bar pushed to 0.5769 but faded to close 0.57657, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — no directional setup, still range-bound.
Support: 0.5751, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens a retest of the 0.5770 area
Failure to hold 0.57510 puts the 0.57474 session low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next macro catalyst for this pair
Kiwi bounced off the 0.57474 swing low and ran to 0.57706 before sellers capped it, drifting back into a 0.5751–0.5771 range through the Asia–London transition. Price now sits mid-range at 0.57608 with RSI neutral; the 3-week high 0.5794 and 0.5825 cluster remain the broader overhead cap.
Support: 0.5751, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5763 puts the 0.57706 session high back in play
Asia session ranging 0.5747–0.5771; the rally to the session high at 0.57706 was rejected and price pulled back before buyers stepped in near 0.5751. Now recovering to 0.5761 with RSI(14) neutral around 53, no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57664
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens a retest of the 3-week high at 0.5794
Failure to hold 0.57474 confirms a lower low and reopens 0.5750
NZIER Business Confidence at 22:00 UTC could shift this read
06:47 UTC
Range, no directional bias · RSI 48 · price 0.57589
Recovered off session low, mid-range consolidation.
NZD/USD recovered off the Sunday-open low at 0.57474 to tag 0.57706 before fading, and now consolidates near 0.5759 with RSI(14) flat around 48. Price is sitting mid-range between 0.5750 support and the 0.57624/0.57706 supply band, kiwi bid still intact after the hawkish RBNZ hold.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens the path toward the 0.5794 three-week high
Failure to hold 0.5750 exposes the session low at 0.57474
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift the near-term read
06:47 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 50 · price 0.57589
Range-bound, mid-range.
NZDUSD is chopping between 0.57474 and 0.57706 through the Asia session, currently mid-range at 0.57589 with RSI(14) flat near 50. Kiwi eased from the 0.5794 area and buyers have stepped in around 0.5750 while supply caps rallies near 0.5770; no directional structure in play.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens a retest of the 0.5794 high
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower low and shifts the range lower
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could break this range
06:32 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 48 · price 0.57577
Range after fade from session high.
NZDUSD pushed to a session high at 0.57706 during the London open then faded back into a 0.5751–0.5762 range, price hugging EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 48. No directional setup in play; kiwi eased off its 3-week highs as USD trimmed losses.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 breaks the session range
Failure to hold 0.57511 opens 0.57474 day low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) is the next NZ catalyst
06:32 UTC
Range after fade from session high · RSI 49 · price 0.57577
Consolidation, lower highs since 0.5771.
NZD popped to a session high of 0.57706 in early hours then faded, now chopping in a 0.57511–0.57624 range with RSI(14) neutral near 48. Kiwi holds its RBNZ-driven bid but momentum has stalled below the overhead 0.5825 cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57486
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57624 reopens the session high at 0.57706
Loss of 0.57511 exposes the 0.57486 session low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and NZIER confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this range read
Monday Asia session opened with a gap and popped to 0.577 before fading in a chain of lower highs back to 0.5751. RSI(14) mid-40s and price sits below EMA20/50; kiwi held its weekly RBNZ-driven gain but momentum is stalling below the 0.5825 cap flagged in the macro read.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.5770
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5748 confirms continuation of the fade
Reclaim of 0.57624 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could reset this read
06:17 UTC
Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 0.57532
Ranging below session high after lower highs.
NZDUSD faded from the session high at 0.57706 and is chopping in a 0.57474–0.57624 band, price now hugging the lower half at 0.5753 with RSI(14) mid-40s. Rejections capped moves at 0.57624 while dips into 0.5750 have been bought back; no clean directional break in play.
Support: 0.57511, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57624 reopens the 0.57706 session high
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
US CPI is the dominant near-term catalyst and could override this intraday read
06:03 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 0.57551
Intraday range, price mid.
Kiwi is chopping in a 0.5748-0.5771 band through the Asia session, price back at 0.5755 after failing to hold the 0.57706 session high. RSI(14) neutral near 46, EMAs flat — no setup in play, NZD stalling below the 0.5794/0.5825 overhead cap flagged post-RBNZ.
Support: 0.5753, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.5762, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5762 swing high reopens the 0.57706 session high
Loss of 0.5748 session low confirms a lower-low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the dominant catalyst that could reshape this read
Consolidation after retrace of Monday's recovery leg.
Monday reopened with a recovery from the 0.57474 session low up to 0.57706, but the move stalled and price has since drifted back to ~0.5755, holding just below EMA20/50. RBNZ's hawkish hold keeps a background bid, yet momentum is flat and price is mid-range with RSI near neutral.
Support: 0.5753, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57624 reopens the 0.57706 session high
Loss of 0.57530 exposes 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) is the next domestic catalyst
05:47 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 0.57568
Choppy consolidation post Monday open.
Thin Asian-session open with NZD chopping between 0.5748 and 0.5771 after the weekend gap. A post-open push tagged 0.57706 and was rejected, price now sitting mid-range near 0.57568 with RSI flat around 47 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.57527, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57624 reopens the 0.57706 session high
Loss of 0.57527 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) are the near-term catalysts that could break this range
Session reopened with a small gap down and price is now ranging 0.5747–0.5771 after an intraday push to 0.57706 was rejected. Currently mid-band near 0.5757, RSI(14) neutral around 46 with price hugging EMA20.
Support: 0.5753, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close below 0.57474 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 0.57706 reopens the path toward 0.5770 digest support cluster
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst that can override this range read
NZD spiked to a session high 0.5771 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back toward 0.5750 as the USD stays soft into Tuesday's CPI. Lower highs at 0.5771 and 0.5762 keep the near-term drift heavy, with price now under EMA20/50.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57474 confirms a lower low and opens sub-0.575
Reclaim of 0.57624 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this read
05:32 UTC
Pulling back after intraday push · RSI 43 · price 0.57535
Lower highs off 0.57706, near session lows.
Kiwi rejected at 0.57706 and has carved a lower high at 0.57624, drifting back toward the 0.575 session floor with RSI(14) sub-45. USD softness capped by the pending US CPI keeps the pair rangebound between 0.57479 and 0.57624 in early London hours.
Support: 0.57479, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close below 0.57479 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 0.57624 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Monday Asian open gapped modestly lower then swept the 0.5747 session low before recovering to 0.57706; price now consolidates mid-range near 0.5761 with RSI flat around 50. Kiwi is holding its post-RBNZ hawkish-hike gains but stalling well below the 0.5794/0.5825 overhead cluster.
Support: 0.57531, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 resumes the intraday recovery
Close below 0.57531 range low opens a retest of the 0.57474 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and NZIER confidence tonight could reset this range
05:17 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 51 · price 0.57615
Consolidating mid-range after recovery off session low.
Post-weekend open gapped lower and swept to 0.57474 before recovering to 0.57706, then faded back to consolidate around 0.57615. Price is pinned mid-range between 0.57532 and the 0.57706 swing high with RSI hovering near 50 — no setup in play.
Support: 0.57532, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57624, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens a push back toward pre-gap 0.5776 area
Break below 0.57532 puts the 0.57474 session low back in focus
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NZDUSD gapped lower into the weekly open, dipped to a session low at 0.5748 before recovering to the 0.5770 session high, then rejected and drifted back toward the middle of that range near 0.5758. RSI(14) mid-range with price back under EMA20/50 as the bounce fails below 0.5763 congestion; USD soft near three-week lows ahead of Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.57531, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5763, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close below 0.5753 opens a retest of the 0.5748 session low
Reclaim of 0.5770 session high needed to resume the recovery
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this read
05:04 UTC
Consolidation after gap-down, fade off Monday high · RSI 47 · price 0.57585
Range-bound, lower highs since 0.5771.
NZDUSD opened the week with a weekend gap-down, rebounded off 0.57474 to a Monday high of 0.57706, then faded back to 0.5758 with USD soft on US-Iran de-escalation. Now consolidating mid-range between 0.5753 and 0.5771, RSI(14) neutral near 47 with a chain of lower highs capping the upside.
Support: 0.5753, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57664
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 reopens the path toward 0.5794 3-week high
Failure to hold 0.57530 exposes the 0.57474 monday low
NZIER Business Confidence 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Kiwi ran to a session high of 0.57706 then faded to 0.5755, printing lower highs as RSI(14) cools toward 42. Move stalls well below the 0.5825 cap flagged in the wider read; price is now churning between 0.57474 and 0.57706 with no clean intraday direction.
Support: 0.5753, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57626
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57474 confirms a lower low and opens downside
Reclaim of 0.57706 needed to revive the intraday bid
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:47 UTC
Pullback lower after rejection at session high · RSI 43 · price 0.57551
Faded off 0.5771, printing lower highs into 0.5755.
NY session pushed to 0.5771 then faded, sliding back to session lows near 0.5755 with a chain of lower highs. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price sits below both EMAs; buyers earlier absorbed the post-gap dip at 0.5747.
Support: 0.57532, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5760
What it said to watch
Close back above 0.576 would negate the lower-highs sequence
Loss of 0.57532 opens a retest of the 0.57474 post-gap low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:32 UTC
Pullback after intraday rally · RSI 45 · price 0.57559
Faded off session high, retracing toward mid-range.
Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap down, kiwi dipped to 0.57474 then rallied to the session high at 0.57706 before fading back to 0.5756. Rejection at 0.57706 stalled the move; price now sits below EMA20 in a tight 0.5753–0.5763 range, RSI(14) mid-40s.
Support: 0.57532, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57631, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57631 reopens the 0.57706 session high
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift the NZD read
04:32 UTC
Pullback after session-high rejection · RSI 46 · price 0.57559
Faded off 0.5771, consolidating mid-range.
Kiwi ran up to a session high at 0.57706 before being rejected, fading to 0.57559 as the USD firmed modestly on US-Iran headlines. Price is now mid-range, holding above the 0.57505/0.57474 base carved earlier in the session with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57664
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57706 reopens the path toward the 0.5794 area
M15 close below 0.57474 confirms a lower low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift the NZD read
Asia session swept the 0.57474 low then rallied to a 0.57706 session high before fading back to 0.5755, RSI(14) cooling toward 43. Price is retracing roughly two-thirds of that intraday move and sits below both EMAs; kiwi still stalling under broader 0.5794/0.5825 overhead.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57664, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57505 swing low reopens the 0.57474 session low
Reclaim of 0.57664 pullback high puts 0.57706 session high back in play
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could reset this read
04:17 UTC
Downtrend fade after weekend gap · RSI 44 · price 0.57552
Gapped lower, intraday recovery rejected at 0.5770.
NZDUSD opened the week with a gap down toward 0.5750, then the Asian session recovered to 0.57706 before sellers capped the bounce. Price has since faded back to 0.5755, holding above the gap low as RSI(14) sits mid-range.
Support: 0.57474, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5770
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57474 opens fresh downside toward 0.5725
Reclaim of 0.5770 reopens the session-high test
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this read
Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap down; price bounced off the 0.57474 session low and pushed to a 0.57706 session high before sellers rejected it. Now back at 0.5757, mid-range, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s — NZD easing from last week's 3-week highs as the USD stays soft into CPI.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57625 pivot needed to re-target the 0.57706 session high
Loss of the 0.5750 round number exposes the 0.57474 session low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) and NZIER confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) can shift this read
NZDUSD rallied off the session low at 0.57474 to reject 0.57706, then faded back to 0.57573 in thin Asian-session trade, keeping NZD in the consolidation flagged after its stall below 3-week highs. Price is now mid-range and hugging EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57505 opens a retest of the 0.57474 session low
Reclaim of 0.57625 needed to re-challenge the 0.57706 session high
Liquidity thin in Asian hours — moves may overshoot
Asia session recovered off the 0.57474 low to tag 0.57706 before fading back to 0.57587, with sellers rejecting the session high. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the bounce stalls; price now sits between the rising support and the 0.577 supply cap.
Support: 0.57558, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57664
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57706 reopens the upside toward pre-gap 0.5763+ area
Loss of 0.57474 session low confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key swing factor for USD legs
03:47 UTC
Choppy, mild pullback after intraday pop · RSI 47 · price 0.57587
Rejection off session high, back into range.
Kiwi bounced off a 0.57474 session low and popped to 0.57706 before sellers rejected the level, slipping back toward 0.5758 as the USD firmed on US-Iran ceasefire uncertainty. Now consolidating mid-range between the session low and 0.57706 high with RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 reopens the path toward the recent 0.5794 area
Loss of 0.57474 session low confirms a lower low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) and US CPI tomorrow could reshape this read
03:32 UTC
Range, holding mid · RSI 48 · price 0.57606
Post-gap recovery, faded off 0.5771.
Monday Asia opened with a small weekend gap down; price bottomed at 0.57479, recovered and tapped 0.57706 before fading to 0.576 on thin holiday volume. Kiwi holds firm off the hawkish RBNZ story but the 0.577 rejection keeps it mid-range between 0.5748 and 0.5771.
Support: 0.57558, 0.57479, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57794
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 reopens the 0.57794 three-week high
Loss of 0.57558 exposes the 0.57479 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) and US CPI Tuesday are the key event risks ahead
NZDUSD gapped lower into the new week, based at 0.57474 and rallied through the Asia session to 0.57706 before rejecting there; price now sits mid-move at 0.57606 with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. The bounce came as the dollar sat near three-week lows, but the session high has capped the recovery.
Support: 0.57558, 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens a path to 0.5775
Failure to hold 0.575 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and Tue US CPI could shift this read
Kiwi gapped lower into the Asia open, dipped to 0.57474, then rallied to reject at 0.57706 before fading back to 0.5758. Price is mid-range with RSI(14) neutral near 47; move stalling after the 0.5771 rejection.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57706 reopens the path toward the 0.5794 area
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower-low and exposes 0.5750
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI tomorrow could reset this read
Gap-down open, retrace then rejection at session high.
Asian session opened with a gap down toward 0.57474, then recovered and pushed to a 0.57706 session high before fading back to 0.57578. Rejection at 0.57706 has stalled the bounce, with price now sitting on the 61.8% retrace of the intraday move.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57625, 0.57706
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57500 exposes the 0.57474 session low
Reclaim of 0.57625 reopens the 0.57706 high
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this read
Kiwi opened the week soft, dipping to the session low at 0.57474 before rallying to 0.57706 in early Asia hours, aided by a USD pinned near 3-week lows. Price has since eased back to 0.5763 as the move stalled below the session high; ATR(14) tight at ~5 pips.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57706 session high reopens the path toward the 0.57794 3wk high
Loss of 0.575 psych exposes the 0.57474 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for the USD leg
Recovery off session low, consolidating below session high.
Asia session dug to 0.57474 then rallied to a 0.57706 session high before stalling; price now consolidates near 0.5763 with RSI(14) mid-range. Kiwi firmer as USD sits near three-week lows on US-Iran de-escalation, but upside near 0.5775/0.5794 has repeatedly faded.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens the path to 0.5775
Failure to hold 0.57505 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
Monday Asia open rebounded from the 0.57474 session low up to 0.57706 before easing to ~0.5766, consolidating just under the session high. Kiwi is trading off its 3-week high with a softer USD backdrop; RSI(14) near 59, momentum flattening after the rally.
Support: 0.5763, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57748
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens the path back to 0.57748
Loss of 0.5763 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could shift the intraday read
Weekend gap down, bounce from demand into pullback.
NZD gapped ~65 pips lower into the weekly open, then buyers stepped in twice near 0.5748 (demand zone) and drove price back to a 0.57706 session high before easing to ~0.5765. RSI(14) cooling from the rally as price consolidates below the session high.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5777
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens the path toward 0.57770
Loss of the 0.5750 demand zone reopens the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) could shift the intraday read
Early Asian session Monday saw NZD carve a rounded base at 0.5748 then rally to 0.57706 before fading to 0.5765. Kiwi holding a firm tone as the hawkish RBNZ story keeps the bid, but the push stalled short of 0.5775.
Support: 0.5750, 0.5748
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57706 session high opens the path toward 0.5775
Loss of 0.5750 session low reopens the 0.5748 swing low
US CPI (Tue 12:30 UTC) is the week's key catalyst for USD-side moves
Recovery off session low, pulling back from session high.
Kiwi recovered off the Asian-session low at 0.57474 and pushed to a session high of 0.57706 before easing back to 0.57655, RSI cooling from the rally. Move follows the softer-USD lean into Tuesday's US CPI; price now retesting the mid-range with the session high as the immediate cap.
Support: 0.57557, 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57706 opens the path back toward the 0.5775 prior high
Failure to hold 0.57557 exposes the 0.575 session base and 0.57474 low
NZIER Business Confidence (22:00 UTC) is the day's key NZD event risk
Asia session: kiwi swept the session low at 0.57474 then rallied to 0.57706 before easing to 0.57638, RSI(14) around 58. USD soft near three-week lows keeping the bid intact, but the last bar stalled just under the session high.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57706 opens the path toward 0.5775
Failure to hold 0.575 confirms a lower low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
Kiwi based twice near 0.5748 after the weekend gap opened soft, then rallied through 0.5760 to a session high at 0.57706 before fading to 0.57638. RSI(14) near 58 as the push cools; USD sits near three-week lows with CPI the week's catalyst.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.57577
What it said to watch
Close above 0.57706 extends the recovery toward 0.5775
Loss of 0.57500 reopens the 0.57474 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC ahead
02:03 UTC
Recovering off gap-down low · RSI 68 · price 0.5768
Weekend gap down, Asia session rally back into prior range.
NZDUSD gapped down at the weekly open toward 0.5748, then the Asia session ground back higher, printing a fresh session high at 0.5771 with RSI(14) near 68. Soft USD into Tuesday's CPI underpins the rebound; last push stalling just under the 0.5771 session high.
Support: 0.5748, 0.5730, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5771, 0.5794
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5771 session high opens the path to the 0.5794 3wk high
Loss of 0.5748 session low reopens 0.5730 friday low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and NZIER confidence Mon 22:00 UTC could reset this read
NZDUSD gapped down on the Asian re-open then based twice at 0.5747; a sharp last-hour rally cleared 0.5770, filling the weekend gap and tagging the session high. RSI(14) near 64, ATR compressed around 5 pips.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57706, 0.5775
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5771 opens the path toward 0.5775
Failure to hold 0.5750 reopens the 0.5747 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC risks a knee-jerk on the kiwi
01:47 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.57629
Double-bottom base, higher lows into Asia.
Monday Asian session: kiwi based twice around 0.5748 and has recovered to 0.57629, reclaiming EMA20/50 and clearing the 0.57577 intraday pivot. RSI(14) near 61, momentum firm but not extended; move fits the soft-USD lean into Tuesday's CPI.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57631, 0.57708
What it said to watch
Close back below 0.57505 puts the 0.57474 session low back in play
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC and NZIER confidence Mon 22:00 UTC are the next catalysts
Sustained trade above 0.57631 opens the path toward the 0.5770 prior swing
01:47 UTC
Recovery off session low · RSI 61 · price 0.57629
Double bottom, pressing back into recent high.
Asia session recovered off a double bottom near 0.5748, buyers stepping in twice at the session low before a clean push back to 0.57631. Current bar stalls right at that recent high with RSI(14) firming into the low-60s.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57631, 0.57687
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57631 extends the recovery toward 0.57687
Failure to hold 0.575 reopens the 0.5748 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
NZDUSD gapped lower into the Monday Asia open, sliding from Friday's ~0.5763 close to a session low of 0.57474 before recovering to 0.57555. Price is now mid-range with RSI near neutral; buyers stepped in twice around 0.5748 while the 0.5762 session high caps the rebound.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57630 would fill the weekend gap and reopen 0.5794
Loss of 0.57474 confirms a lower session low toward 0.5700
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI Tue could reset this range read
01:32 UTC
Downtick after weekend gap, now ranging · RSI 48 · price 0.57555
Consolidation between 0.5747 and 0.5760.
NZDUSD opened the week with a gap lower and probed 0.57474 in thin Asia trade before basing around the 0.5750 round number, now 0.57555. Price is ranging between 0.5747 and the 0.5760 session high with RSI near neutral; the pre-gap 0.5763 shelf remains the immediate cap.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5760 puts the 0.5763 gap area back in play
Failure to hold 0.57474 confirms a lower low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this read
Kiwi opened the week with a gap down and slid to a session low at 0.57479 before recovering into a 0.57480–0.57587 range. Price now sits mid-range at 0.57523, below the unfilled gap zone toward 0.5763, with USD soft near three-week lows into Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57479
Resistance: 0.57577, 0.5763
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57577 opens the path to the 0.5763 gap fill
Loss of 0.57479 confirms a fresh session lower-low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) could reset this range
01:17 UTC
Consolidating after weekend gap down · RSI 45 · price 0.57523
Thin Asian range, 0.5748-0.5758.
Kiwi gapped down from Friday's 0.5763 close on the Sunday reopen and is chopping in a thin Asian range between 0.5748 and 0.5758, price pinned just under EMA20. Move fits the soft NZD tone off the 0.5794 three-week high; RSI(14) mid-range with no momentum extreme.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57577, 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.57577 session high opens the path back toward 0.576
Close below 0.57474 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.575
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst for USD direction
Early Asia session grinding lower; Kiwi faded from the 0.57577 session high and is retesting the session low near 0.57474 after the broader pullback from the 0.5794 three-week high. RSI(14) soft in the low-40s, ATR compressed near 5 pips in thin pre-CPI trade.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.57577
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57474 confirms a fresh lower low toward 0.57400
Reclaim of 0.57577 negates the lower-high sequence
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI Tue could reset this read
Lower highs into session low after weekend gap down.
NZDUSD opened the Asia session with a weekend gap lower to ~0.5756, then bled to a session low at 0.57474 before stalling near 0.57489. Lower highs into 0.57577 keep the intraday tilt down, with RSI(14) mid-range and no reversal signal yet.
Support: 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57577
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 0.57577 negates the lower-high sequence
Break of 0.57474 confirms fresh session lows
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift the read
00:47 UTC
Downtrend, ranging after gap · RSI 44 · price 0.57516
Weekend gap down, tight consolidation.
Monday Asia session opened with a gap lower from Friday's 0.5763 close, sweeping down to a 0.57474 session low before recovering into a tight 0.5748–0.5759 range. Kiwi remains well off its 0.5794 three-week high; RSI(14) mid-40s and ATR compressed near 5 pips reflect thin pre-CPI holiday flow.
Support: 0.57474, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.57587, 0.5763
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57587 session high opens the path to the 0.5763 friday close gap fill
Loss of 0.57474 session low confirms continuation lower
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC and US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could reset this range
00:47 UTC
Range, thin Asia open · RSI 45 · price 0.57516
Post-weekend gap down, ranging 0.5747-0.5758.
Kiwi opened the week with a gap lower into thin Asia trade, printing a session low at 0.57474 before recovering to 0.57577 and stalling. Price now sits mid-range around 0.57516 with RSI(14) neutral near 44; no clean setup while 0.5747-0.5758 holds.
Support: 0.57474, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.57577
What it said to watch
M15 close below 0.57474 confirms a lower low and opens 0.5747 downside
Reclaim of 0.57577 session high needed to reassert the recovery
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC first NZD data risk
NZDUSD gapped lower into the fresh week and dipped to a 0.57474 session low before buyers steadied it back into the 0.5755–0.5759 band. Thin early-Asia volume; RSI(14) mid-range near 47 with price sitting on EMA20 but below EMA50.
Support: 0.57474, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.57587, 0.57617
What it said to watch
Loss of 0.57474 session low opens a deeper leg toward the 0.575 psych area
M15 close above 0.57587 session high targets the 0.57617 gap high
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) could reset this read
00:32 UTC
Sideways after gap-down, low-liquidity Asia · RSI 49 · price 0.57555
Ranging inside 0.5747-0.5762 post-gap.
Kiwi opened the week with a gap lower and spiked to 0.5747 before buyers stepped in twice around 0.5748-0.5750, recovering to mid-range near 0.5755. Thin Asia-session volume keeps price boxed between 0.5747 and 0.5762 with RSI(14) flat near 50; no clear intraday setup in play.
Support: 0.5747, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5758, 0.5762
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5762 opens the path back toward 0.5775
Loss of 0.5747 confirms a lower-low and resumes the down move
NZIER Business Confidence Mon 22:00 UTC could shift this read
Kiwi gapped lower into the Monday Asia open and swept down to 0.57474 before buyers stepped in, lifting price back to 0.5757. Now consolidating mid-range between the 0.57474 session low and 0.57617 gap high, RSI(14) neutral near 51.
Support: 0.57505, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5764
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57617 reclaims the gap high and reopens 0.57640
Failure to hold 0.57505 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) and US CPI (Tue) are the near-term risk events
00:17 UTC
Consolidating after weekend gap lower · RSI 53 · price 0.57576
Session low base holding, recovering into range.
NZDUSD opened the week with a gap lower and probed to a session low of 0.57474 before buyers stabilised the 0.575 area; price now consolidates near 0.5757, RSI(14) back near neutral. The Kiwi remains off last week's 0.5794 three-week high after the USD found a modest bounce on US-Iran uncertainty.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.5763
What it said to watch
Close above 0.576 opens a retest of 0.5763
Loss of 0.575 exposes the 0.57474 session low
NZIER Business Confidence (Mon 22:00 UTC) could shift this read
00:02 UTC
Recovering after gap-down open · RSI 48 · price 0.57574
Consolidation off session low, below prior range.
Kiwi opened the week with a gap lower into thin Asia liquidity, sliding to 0.57474 before buyers stepped in twice around the 0.5750 handle. Price has since clawed back to 0.57574 and is consolidating below the prior week's 0.576-0.5763 shelf, with the USD softer near three-week lows.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.5760, 0.57631
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 0.5760 session high opens the path back to the 0.57631 prior close
Failure to hold 0.5750 reopens 0.57474 session low
US CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the week's swing event and could reset this read
Gap-down open, swept low then reclaimed mid-range.
Weekend gap opened lower near 0.5756 and the thin Asia session swept the low at 0.57474 before buyers reclaimed 0.5757 into Monday morning hours. Price is range-bound below the session high at 0.57617, RSI mid-range with no extreme.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57474
Resistance: 0.57617, 0.5770
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.57617 opens the path toward the prior range at 0.5770
Failure to hold 0.575 exposes the 0.57474 session low