NZD has led higher all week on hawkish RBNZ repricing, with the soft US CPI print adding fuel to the leg that spiked to a 0.58412 week high before pulling back. Price now holds above EMA20/EMA50 but is stalling into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence that has capped the advance. RSI(14) has cooled off its extremes as the last session drifts sideways near 0.5810 on thin Asian-hour volume.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5777, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the path to 0.5825 and the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.5800 shifts focus back to the 0.5777 prior-day low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of RBNZ tightening pricing; US PPI Wed could shift the USD leg
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
NZD has been the dominant driver all week, grinding up from Monday's 0.5715 open on hawkish RBNZ repricing while a soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar. The NY session pushed a sharp spike to 0.5841 before price settled back into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence, which has now capped follow-through. RSI(14) is holding the upper half around 59 as the advance flattens into the low-volume close.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5777
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the path to 0.5825 then 0.5841 week high
Failure to hold 0.5797 swing low would mark the first lower-low of the week
NZ CPI on Jul 20 is the decisive test of the RBNZ tightening story
NZDUSD has trended higher since Monday's open, running from 0.5740 to a spike high of 0.58412 during NY hours on hawkish RBNZ repricing before settling into a tight consolidation around 0.5810. The 0.5810-0.5820 confluence is capping, and the 0.58412 wick was rejected. RSI has cooled from the highs while price holds above EMA20, which tracked the week's pullbacks.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 opens the path to 0.58412
Failure to hold 0.58020 exposes 0.5770 wk support
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the decisive test of the RBNZ tightening story
NZD has led all week on hawkish RBNZ repricing, driving a steady grind higher and a spike to 0.58412 that was quickly rejected back into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price now sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing off overbought as the last several Asia-session bars coil in a tight range near the highs. The 0.5820 pivot has capped the advance so far.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 opens the path to 0.5825 and the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold EMA20 near 0.5797 exposes 0.5770 support
NZ CPI (Jul 20) and Warsh testimony are the decisive tests of the rally
NZDUSD has trended higher all week on hawkish RBNZ repricing and Monday's soft US CPI miss, spiking to a 0.58412 week high during the NY session before failing to hold. Price is now consolidating around 0.5810, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 0.5825 confluence and the 0.58412 high remain the levels capping continuation.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5798, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58412 week high reopens continuation
Failure to hold 0.5802 session low exposes 0.5770 prior support
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the key risk for crowded Kiwi longs
21:04 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 61 · price 0.58098
Higher highs, range under week high.
Kiwi has trended higher all week on the hawkish RBNZ repricing, accelerating in the NY session with a high-volume spike to 0.58412 before easing back. Price has since coiled into a tight range around 0.5810, holding comfortably above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half. The 0.5810-0.5829 zone has capped the last several bars.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5795, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 0.58290 reopens the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.58020 exposes the EMA20 and 0.5770 support
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) is the key event risk for crowded Kiwi longs
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
Kiwi has trended higher all week off hawkish RBNZ repricing, with the dominant leg an NY-session spike to 0.5841 as June US CPI printed soft across the board. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation around 0.5808, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back toward 60. The 0.5825 confluence capped the pullback's recovery, while the 0.5802 pullback low has held so far.
Support: 0.58022, 0.5770, 0.57505
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5825 confluence opens continuation toward the 0.5841 week high
Failure to hold 0.5802 pullback low exposes 0.5770 prior support
US PPI and Warsh testimony Wed could shift USD tone and this read
NZD/USD has run steadily higher since Monday's open, extending on hawkish RBNZ repricing while the soft US June CPI print knocked the greenback lower during NY hours. Price spiked to a week high of 0.58412 before fading into a tight consolidation around 0.5808, holding well above EMA20. Momentum has flattened, with the 0.5829 day high and 0.58412 week high capping the advance.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.5829 opens the path back to the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.5797 swing low threatens the higher-low structure
NZ Q2 CPI (Jul 20) and US PPI/Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
19:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.58102
Higher highs, higher lows into resistance.
Kiwi has trended steadily higher since Monday's open, riding hawkish RBNZ repricing and accelerating during NY hours today when the soft US CPI miss drove a spike to 0.58412 before a pullback to 0.5810. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks finding demand near the rising trendline, but the 0.5820-0.5825 confluence (200-day cap) is now the ceiling. RSI(14) sits mid-60s, elevated but not yet extreme.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5777, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 0.5820-0.5825 confluence opens the path to the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.5800 psych exposes 0.5777 day low then 0.5770 swing low
US PPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) could shift the USD leg of this read
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the catalyst for the stretched RBNZ pricing
19:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 62 · price 0.58102
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating post-spike.
NZD has trended up since Monday's 0.5707 open, with pullbacks holding EMA(20) on H1. The dominant leg came in the NY session as the US June CPI miss weighed on the dollar and hawkish RBNZ repricing lifted the kiwi, spiking to 0.5841 before settling back into the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price is now consolidating just under that overhead cluster with RSI cycling in the low 60s.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770, 0.57069
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the path toward the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.5770 support would unwind this week's rally toward the weekly open
NZ CPI on Jul 20 is the key catalyst to confirm or unwind the hawkish RBNZ read
NZD/USD has built a clean sequence of higher lows since Monday's open on hawkish RBNZ repricing, accelerating in the NY session yesterday with a volume-heavy breakout to a week high of 0.58412. Price has since eased back toward 0.5810 but holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s after the impulse. The 0.5810-0.5825 confluence has capped the advance, keeping price pinned just under resistance.
Support: 0.5802, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Clean break above 0.5825 confluence would extend toward the 0.58412 week high
H1 close below 0.5797 EMA20 breaks the higher-low structure
Warsh Fed testimony Jul 15 14:00 UTC could shift USD and this read
Higher highs, higher lows; consolidating after spike.
NZD/USD punched through 0.5800 into the NY session on the soft US June CPI miss, tagging a week high at 0.5841 before easing back. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half, and buyers have absorbed the pullback around 0.5805. The 0.5825 confluence has capped extension, keeping the pair consolidating just below it.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.5841
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5825 confluence opens the path to 0.5841 week high
Failure to hold 0.5797 prior high exposes 0.5770 support
NZ CPI (Jul 20) is the key catalyst that could reprice this rally
Higher highs, higher lows; pullback from week high.
NZD has led all week on hawkish RBNZ repricing, and price broke the prior 0.5794 three-week high before spiking to a 0.58412 week high on the highest-volume bar of the window. That leg was rejected and price has since pulled back to the 0.5806 session low, now holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling off overbought. Soft US June CPI has capped the USD, keeping the Kiwi bid into the pullback.
Support: 0.5806, 0.5794, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.5806 session low opens a deeper fade toward 0.5794 prior high
A clean H1 close above the 0.58412 week high extends the rally toward fresh multi-week ground
0.5825 resist zone is the repeated confluence cap ahead of NZ CPI on Jul 20
NZD/USD has trended higher all week on hawkish RBNZ repricing, with a high-volume spike into the NY session pushing to a fresh week high at 0.58412 before fading. Price sits back above EMA(20) near 0.5805 after the pullback, holding the prior 0.5795 high as support. The 0.5825 confluence has capped the follow-through, with rejection there stalling the advance.
Support: 0.5805, 0.5795, 0.5757
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.58250 confluence opens the path back to 0.58412
Failure to hold 0.57950 prior high threatens a lower-low toward the 0.5757 weekly open
US PPI tomorrow could shift USD tone and this read
NZD extended its RBNZ-driven rally to a fresh ~4-week high at 0.58412 on the NY session, aided by hawkish RBNZ repricing and upbeat China trade data, before slipping back to retest the 0.5800 breakout area. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half through each pullback. The 0.5810-0.5829 confluence has capped the advance, while the 0.57980 breakout level now sits as first support.
Support: 0.5798, 0.5775, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.57980 breaks the near-term higher-low and reopens 0.57750
A clean break of 0.58290-0.58412 extends toward fresh highs
US PPI on Jul 15 12:30 UTC could shift the USD leg of this read
NZDUSD spiked to a week high of 0.58412 on heavy volume after the soft US June CPI print undercut the dollar, before easing back to 0.5805 into the close. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with higher lows intact since Monday's open, but the move stalled at the 0.5810-0.5825 confluence that has capped this week. RSI(14) has cooled from overbought as the spike faded.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Close above 0.5825 opens the path back to the 0.58412 week high
Failure to hold 0.5797 breaks the higher-low structure toward 0.5770
US PPI on Jul 15 could shift the USD side of this read
NZD/USD extended its RBNZ-driven weekly rally and broke cleanly above 0.5800, spiking to 0.58412 as the USD faded on the soft June US CPI miss before settling back near 0.5816. Price is holding well above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-60s, but the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence has capped follow-through so far. The last bar stalled just under that zone after the impulse.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5820, 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 confluence opens continuation toward the 0.58412 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5797 prior high risks a pullback toward the 0.5770 swing low
Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this session are the immediate USD-side swing factor
NZD/USD spiked to a fresh multi-week high at 0.5841 on the soft US CPI print during NY hours, clearing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence before fading back toward 0.5816. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 63; the impulse has since stalled with rejection off the 0.5829 session high. Higher lows off Monday's base keep the structure constructive on this timeframe.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5829, 0.58412
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5829 reopens the path toward the 0.5841 spike high
Failure to hold 0.5800 round level exposes the 0.5783 higher low
Fed Warsh testimony and Fed speakers this afternoon could reprice the USD leg
NZD/USD accelerated through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence that had capped the pair all week, a leg driven by the soft US CPI print undercutting the Dollar. Price holds well above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with the impulse bar into the NY session marking a fresh week high at 0.58412. RSI(14) is stretched near 71, showing the pace of the move rather than exhaustion so far.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5794, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5820
What it said to watch
Fed Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) is the immediate USD-side swing factor and could reshape this read
A close back below 0.5800 negates the breakout above the 0.5820 confluence
Failure to reclaim 0.58412 leaves the week high as capping resistance
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 72 · price 0.58224
Breakout above range top, fresh multi-week high.
NZD/USD cleared the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence into NY hours, spiking to a 0.58412 week high on the soft US CPI print before settling around 0.5822. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) stretched into overbought near 71, marking the strongest leg of the RBNZ-driven weekly advance.
Support: 0.5800, 0.5777, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5820
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 0.5800 round number would negate the breakout
Failure to hold 0.5777 prior high reopens 0.57399 week low
NZ CPI (Jul 20) and Warsh testimony are the near-term drivers that could reshape this read
NZD has ground higher all week on the RBNZ's hawkish 25bp hike, and the NY session just cleared the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence with a strong 40-pip bar to a near four-week high at 0.58412. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) now stretched into overbought territory near 72. The broken 0.5810 zone becomes the immediate breakout retest reference.
Support: 0.5810, 0.5790, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.58412, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI print and Warsh testimony today could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5810 puts price back inside the prior range
H1 close above 0.5825 keeps the path toward the 0.58412 session high open
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh multi-week high.
NZD/USD accelerated through the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence into the NY session after a soft/in-line US CPI print offered the dollar, printing a fresh multi-week high near 0.5841 on the spike bar. Price has held above EMA(20) throughout this week's grind higher and RSI(14) is now stretched above 70, reflecting the extension. Structure remains a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows off the 0.5740 base.
Support: 0.5797, 0.5783, 0.5770
Resistance: 0.5825, 0.58412
What it said to watch
Fed's Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could reprice the USD leg and shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence on a pullback would negate the breakout
A close back below 0.5797 prior high signals momentum fading
12:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 63 · price 0.58004
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
NZD has trended higher all week off the RBNZ hawkish hold and a strong NZIER confidence swing, tagging a near four-week high at the 0.58075 week high and now pressing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price holds above EMA20 with each pullback into ~0.5785 finding buyers, and RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s. The rally sits into overhead resistance ahead of the US CPI print.
Support: 0.5785, 0.5770, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5815, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC (in <30m) plus Warsh testimony dominate the USD leg and could reshape this read
An H1 close above the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence opens 0.5825 resistance and fresh multi-week highs
Failure to hold 0.5770 swing low breaks the week's higher-low structure toward 0.5700 psych
12:03 UTC
Uptrend, extended into resistance · RSI 64 · price 0.58004
Higher highs, higher lows.
NZD has ground higher since the new week opened near 0.5756, riding the hawkish RBNZ story with price holding above EMA20 on each pullback and RSI(14) cycling 55-65. Buyers pushed to a near four-week high at 0.58075 into the NY session, but the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence has yet to give way. US June CPI at 12:30 UTC sits right on top of this read and dominates the next USD leg.
Support: 0.5777, 0.5790, 0.5756
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.58100 confluence opens the path to 0.58250
Loss of 0.57770 swing low breaks the week's rising sequence
NZDUSD has ground higher through the week on the hawkish RBNZ hike and firm domestic data, printing a near four-week high at 0.58075 into the NY session. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding support, but the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence has capped this week's rallies and the last bar stalled just below it. US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony are the immediate USD-side drivers.
Support: 0.5777, 0.57505, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5815, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read within the next bars
H1 close above 0.58150 confluence opens the 0.5825 resistance and fresh multi-week highs
Failure to hold 0.57770 prior high signals loss of upside momentum toward 0.57505 swing low
11:03 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 62 · price 0.57961
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
NZD/USD has ground higher since Monday's session open, the Kiwi carried by a hawkish RBNZ and firm domestic data, now testing the week's high near 0.58075 ahead of the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks into the 0.5786 area being bought, and RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 zone confirms sustained momentum without a clear divergence yet.
Support: 0.5786, 0.5770, 0.5756
Resistance: 0.58075, 0.5820, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read on the USD leg
H1 close above 0.58200 confluence opens 0.58250 resistance and fresh multi-week highs
Loss of 0.57700 wk support breaks the run of higher lows
10:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 0.58049
Higher highs into confluence.
NZD has ground higher since Monday's open, carried by the hawkish RBNZ hold and firm domestic data, and price is now pressing the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence at a near four-week high. Price sits above EMA(20) with pullbacks into it repeatedly bought through the NY sessions, and RSI(14) is elevated near 68 but not yet stretched. The 0.5810 area has capped this leg so far.
Support: 0.5795, 0.5770, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT are the immediate USD-side drivers and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5810 confluence opens the path to 0.5825 resistance
Failure to hold 0.5770 week support signals a lower-low
NZDUSD has ground higher since Tuesday's open, riding the hawkish RBNZ tone and a pausing dollar to press the 0.5810-0.5820 confluence and near four-week highs. Price holds well above EMA(20), with pullbacks into the NY session finding demand and RSI(14) sitting in the high-60s. The 0.5810-0.5820 zone has repeatedly capped this week's advance and remains the pivotal ceiling.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5764, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5810, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5820 confluence opens the 0.5825 resistance and fresh multi-week highs
Failure to hold 0.5770 support would break the week's higher-low structure
US CPI at 12:30 GMT and Warsh testimony at 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read via the USD leg
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.5800 cap · RSI 64 · price 0.57979
Higher lows into monthly resistance.
Kiwi has ground higher since Monday's open on the hawkish RBNZ hold, printing a run of higher lows and stalling right into the 0.5800 monthly peak / 200-day cap. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s, but the 0.5800 zone has capped the last two attempts into the current session. Momentum is intact yet the overhead level remains the deciding structure.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.58012, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path to 0.5825
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5770 confirms a lower-low
09:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing cap · RSI 66 · price 0.57979
Higher highs and higher lows into 0.5800.
NZD/USD has ground higher through the week, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 60s as pullbacks find demand near 0.5770. The advance stalled into 0.5800, the monthly peak and 200-day cap, after RBNZ's tightening bias and firm business surveys underpinned the Kiwi. Two-way risk stays elevated with USD firm on Fed-hike pricing and Iran headlines.
Support: 0.5779, 0.5770, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
Sustained H1 close above 0.5800 monthly peak opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5770 near-term support risks a slide toward the 0.5744 swing low
08:03 UTC
Uptrend, nearing cap · RSI 64 · price 0.57951
Higher highs and higher lows into 0.5800.
NZDUSD has ground higher since the week's open on the hawkish RBNZ read, printing a run of higher lows and pressing the week high at 0.57984, just under the 0.5800 monthly cap. Price holds above EMA20 (~0.5772) with pullbacks shallow and RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s, but the advance is stalling into the 0.5800/200-day resistance flagged in the macro digest. Near-term support sits at 0.5770 with the deeper swing low at 0.5744.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5772, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.57984
What it said to watch
US CPI 12:30 UTC and Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5800 cap opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5770 near-term support risks a slide back toward 0.5744 swing low
Higher highs since Monday's dip, coiling under 0.5800.
NZD has recovered steadily since Monday's dip to 0.5744, grinding back above EMA20 and EMA50 on RBNZ hawkishness and firm domestic surveys. Price now presses the 0.5800 monthly peak / 200-day cap, with the week high at 0.57984 marking the ceiling of this run. RSI(14) sits in the low-60s, momentum firm but not yet extended.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5772
Resistance: 0.5800, 0.57984
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5770 exposes the 0.5744 swing low
07:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing overhead cap · RSI 60 · price 0.5784
Higher lows this week into 0.5800 supply.
Since the week's gap open near 0.5757 the Kiwi has ground higher with a sequence of higher lows, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band. Hawkish RBNZ tone underpins the bid, but the 0.5794/0.5800 zone has capped the latest NY-session push and price stalled there before easing to 0.5784. Momentum is intact while pullbacks find the rising support line.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5768, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5800
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens room above three-week highs
Failure to hold 0.5770 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
US CPI 12:30 UTC today could shift the USD leg materially
NZ CPI 20 Jul is the dominant near-term catalyst
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 61 · price 0.5784
Higher highs, higher lows.
NZD has ground higher all week off Monday's 0.5694 base, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-62 band on pullbacks. The latest NY-hours push tagged the week high near 0.5798 before easing back to 0.5784, keeping the topside capped below the 0.5800 handle. RBNZ's hawkish hold underpins the bid, but rallies keep stalling into overhead supply.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5717
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 resistance
Failure to hold 0.5770 breaks the week's rising-low structure
NZ CPI on 20 Jul is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing range top · RSI 65 · price 0.57938
Higher lows since post-weekend dip, pressing week highs.
Kiwi recovered from the post-weekend dip near the 0.5740 swing low and has climbed back to the week highs at 0.5798, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low-60s. The 0.5754 pivot has capped pullbacks on the way up, and price now retests the 0.5798/0.5800 area that has capped the pair all week ahead of the 200-day cap at 0.5825. US June CPI at 12:30 GMT is the decisive near-term USD driver into this test.
Support: 0.5754, 0.5740, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5798, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI at 12:30 GMT today could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5825 200-day cap
Loss of the 0.5754 pivot would break the higher-low sequence
06:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 0.57938
Higher highs into week high.
Kiwi has ground higher since Monday's open, pulling back to the H1 EMA20 near 0.5773 during the NY session before extending to a fresh week high at 0.57984. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI(14) cycling into the mid-60s, supported by the hawkish RBNZ backdrop even as broad USD demand caps gains below the 0.5800 handle. US June CPI is the near-term swing factor for the USD leg.
Support: 0.5773, 0.57722, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.57984, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.5800 opens the path to the 0.5825 200d cap
Failure to hold the 0.5773 EMA20 signals loss of upside momentum
US CPI today (12:30 GMT) could materially shift the USD leg of this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing week high · RSI 66 · price 0.57893
Higher highs into range top.
Kiwi has ground higher through the NY session to a fresh week high near 0.5796, retesting the three-week high at 0.5794 that capped the RBNZ-driven rally earlier. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 66, momentum firm but stretched into the overhead SMA cluster. USD stayed bid on hawkish Fed commentary, yet the pair has clawed back to the top of its range.
Support: 0.5772, 0.57447, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.57956 opens the path toward the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5772 signals rejection at the week high
US CPI and Fed speakers within 24h could shift USD flows and this read
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing week high · RSI 64 · price 0.57893
Higher highs/lows, pressing range top.
Kiwi has built a steady sequence of higher lows since Monday's dip to 0.57399, accelerating through the NY session yesterday to retest the week high near 0.57956. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-60s, and the move fits the firmer USD backdrop being offset by an intact hawkish-RBNZ tailwind. The 0.5794/0.5825 SMA cluster remains the ceiling that has capped every attempt this week.
Support: 0.5769, 0.57505, 0.57399
Resistance: 0.57956, 0.5825
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 0.57956 opens the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.57690 swing high shifts the read back toward the 0.57505 week low
US June CPI (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this USD-sensitive read
04:03 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 0.57909
Higher highs into 0.5800; fourth day of gains.
NZDUSD has ground higher all week on the hawkish RBNZ backdrop, now testing the 0.5796 week high with the 0.5800 psych level just above. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the 55-65 band on pullbacks, and the last NY session pushed the pair off 0.5744 back to the highs. The 0.5825 SMA cluster remains the overhead cap flagged into US CPI.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI today 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.5800 opens the path toward the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5770 prior support would break the week's higher-low sequence
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 64 · price 0.57909
Higher highs, higher lows into three-week highs.
NZD/USD has extended a fourth straight day of gains, pushing to a fresh three-week high at 0.5796 in the latest NY session as hawkish RBNZ pricing offset a firmer USD. Price sits above both EMAs with RSI(14) holding in the low-60s, and pullbacks toward EMA20 have been shallow all week. The prior 0.5794 cap has been cleared, leaving the 0.5825 100-day SMA cluster as the next overhead area to watch.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5745, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5796, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony (14:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 0.5770 support would break the week's higher-low sequence
A close above 0.5825 opens the path toward the moving-average cluster
03:03 UTC
Uptrend, retesting week high · RSI 63 · price 0.57882
Higher lows into range top.
Kiwi has clawed back from the mid-window dip near 0.5740 and is retesting the week high at 0.5793, holding above both EMA20 and EMA50 as RBNZ tightening bets and pre-CPI USD caution underpin the bid. RSI(14) near 63 confirms the recovery momentum without stretching to extremes. Price capped twice around 0.5793 this week, keeping that level the immediate ceiling below the 0.5825 100-day SMA cluster.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5768, 0.5740
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5793 opens the path to 0.5825
Failure to hold 0.5770 support reopens the 0.5740 swing low
US CPI and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD driver and could shift this read
03:03 UTC
Uptrend, testing week high · RSI 64 · price 0.57882
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
NZD/USD is grinding a fourth straight up-leg toward the 0.5793 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback — RBNZ's hawkish hold and a softer pre-CPI USD are driving the bid. Demand stepped in at the 0.5744 session low after the weekend gap and the pair has since reclaimed the 0.5770 prior high. Overhead SMAs near the 0.5825 100d cluster remain the harder cap.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5766, 0.5744
Resistance: 0.5793, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5793 week high opens the path to the 0.5825 100d sma
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers and could shift this read
Loss of 0.5744 session low would break the sequence of higher lows
Kiwi has ground higher toward the 0.5794 three-week high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s on each dip. The NY session pushed back to 0.5780 after demand stepped in around 0.5744, but 0.5794 has capped attempts and price is now coiling below it. US CPI and Fed testimony are the near-term USD driver and can decide whether this range resolves.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5750
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5794 opens the path toward the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5770 support puts the 0.5744 swing low back in play
US CPI (12:30 UTC) and Warsh testimony could materially shift this read
02:03 UTC
Uptrend, near week high · RSI 56 · price 0.5779
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
NZD/USD extended its climb back toward the 0.5794 three-week high, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Demand stepped in around 0.5744 during NY hours, lifting price to 0.5780 on RBNZ tightening bets and a softer pre-CPI USD. Overhead the 0.5825 100-day SMA cluster remains the ceiling capping the weekly advance.
Support: 0.5770, 0.5744, 0.5700
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 100-day sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5770 support exposes the 0.5744 day low
US CPI 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into three-week high, holding above EMAs.
NZDUSD climbed all week from Monday's 0.5686 open to a three-week high near 0.5794 midweek on the hawkish RBNZ story and a soft USD. Price pulled back to 0.5744 before demand stepped in through the Asia session, lifting it back to 0.5779 and holding above EMA20/EMA50. RSI has cycled back above 60 with the 0.5794–0.5800 zone capping the prior advance.
Support: 0.5744, 0.5770, 0.5762
Resistance: 0.5794, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Loss of 0.5770 support reopens the 0.5744 swing low
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers for this pair
NZD/USD has trended up since Monday's open, tagging a week high near 0.5793 as the hawkish RBNZ read held and the USD stayed soft. Price pulled back to 0.5740 into the mid-week session then reclaimed EMA20, now pressing 0.5779 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s to low-60s. The 0.5793 week high has yet to give way and remains the pivot for the current range.
Support: 0.5750, 0.57399, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.57928, 0.5794, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5794 opens the path to the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5750 breaks the higher-low sequence
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD drivers
Kiwi built a steady four-day advance off Monday's 0.5682 open toward 0.5793 on the hawkish RBNZ story, with the weekend gap reopening near 0.5756 and posting a marginal higher high at 0.5788 before rolling back to 0.5740. Price has since recovered to reclaim the EMA20 at 0.5763, leaving it churning inside a 0.5740–0.5788 range with RSI back near midline. The 0.5788/0.5800 zone has capped the week; the next USD leg hinges on Tuesday's US CPI.
Support: 0.57399, 0.5744, 0.5720
Resistance: 0.57885, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
US CPI Tuesday 12:30 UTC + Warsh testimony 14:00 UTC dominate the USD leg near-term
H1 close above 0.5788 week high unlocks the 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5740 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
NZDUSD has climbed off Monday's 0.5682 open through the week on the hawkish RBNZ story, tagging a three-week high near 0.5789 before supply capped it there and price eased back to 0.5744. The pair reopened after the weekend around 0.5756 and is recovering toward EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling back to the mid-50s. Higher-lows remain intact but the 0.5789–0.5800 zone has stalled every advance this week.
Support: 0.5744, 0.5770, 0.5686
Resistance: 0.5789, 0.5800, 0.5825
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.5789 opens the path to the 0.5800 psych level and 0.5825 sma cluster
Failure to hold 0.5744 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
US CPI Tuesday and Warsh testimony are the near-term USD swing factor for this read