NZD/USD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Friday, 23 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the NZD/USD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
20:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend from London low, stalling at 0.5700 · RSI 51 · price 0.56984
NY broke the Asian high, higher low at 0.5695, now compressing under the day high.
NY broke the Asian high near 0.5699 and set a 0.5704 day high even as strong US flash PMIs firmed the dollar. The pullback stopped at the 0.5695 swing low, a higher low on rising support from the 0.5683 London low and near the 38.2–50% zone of the London-NY fib. Price is now pinned around 0.5700 below the 0.5702 late high in thin end-of-week NY trade, with RSI(14) near 51 and ATR(14) about 2 pips.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57023, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5695 swing low breaks rising support and the NY higher-low chain
Close above the 0.5704 day high, through the 0.5702 late high, extends the NY breakout
Loss of the 0.5683 London low would erase the whole NY leg
Weekend gap risk ahead of RBNZ (Oct 28 01:00 UTC) and FOMC (Oct 28 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
London low 0.5683 to NY high 0.5704, now a tight 0.5695–0.5704 band.
NZD rallied from the 0.5683 London low through the Asian high to a 0.5704 NY session high. Falling Treasury yields offset the US PMI beat. Price was rejected there and is now drifting at 0.5699 in late NY. The 0.5695 pullback low is holding near the 38.2% fib, and the 0.5700 round number caps a 0.5695–0.5704 band as ATR compresses into the weekly close.
Support: 0.56949, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5704 session high opens the 0.5710 one-month high
Failure to hold the 0.5695 pullback low exposes the 0.5683 London low
Thin late-Friday liquidity; RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
NY breakout above Asian high, late-session consolidation.
NY session lifted NZDUSD from the 0.5683 London low through the 0.5699 Asian high to a 0.5704 NY high, as slipping Treasury yields offset the US PMI beat. The pullback to the 0.5695 swing low held near the 38.2% fib retrace. Late NY has compressed around 0.5700 under a 0.5702 lower high into the weekly close.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57023, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5695 swing low breaks the NY higher-low sequence and exposes the deeper fib toward 0.5691
Break above 0.5702 lower high and the 0.5704 NY high extends the breakout
Loss of 0.5683 london low would erase the whole NY rally
RBNZ (Oct 28 01:00 UTC) and FOMC (Oct 28 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read; weekend gap risk at Monday open
20:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, momentum flat into Friday close · RSI 50 · price 0.57004
NY breakout above Asian high, shallow pullback, now coiling at 0.5700.
NY broke the Asian high at 0.5699 and set a session high at 0.5704 despite the US PMI beat. The pullback held a swing low at 0.5695, about a 44% retracement of the NY rally fib, and price is now coiling around 0.5700 into the Friday close. RSI(14) is flat near 50 and ATR is about 2.4 pips, so there is no momentum in late NY hours.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57023, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.5699 puts the breakout in doubt; losing the 0.5695 swing low exposes the 0.5683 london low
Clearing the 0.5702 late high and the 0.5704 session high extends the NY breakout
Weekend gap risk; RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Asian range broken higher, rising lows, retesting 0.5700.
NY shrugged off the US PMI beat. The dip held at the 0.5689 pmi low, then price broke the 0.5699 asian high and printed a 0.5704 session high. The pullback stalled at the 0.5695 swing low, about a 44% retrace of the London-NY leg, keeping rising lows intact. Late NY is now back on the asian high near 0.5700, with RSI(14) neutral around 54 as Friday liquidity thins.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56949, 0.56889
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5695 swing low breaks the rising lows and puts the 0.5689 pmi low back in focus
Acceptance above the 0.5704 session high opens the 0.5710 1m high from the digest
Weekend gap risk ahead of the RBNZ decision (Oct 28, 01:00 UTC) and next week's Fed could reset this read at the open
Higher lows above London low; Asian range high broken in NY.
NY broke above the 0.5699 Asian high and the 0.5700 round number despite the US PMI and Michigan beats, printing a 0.5704 session high. The pullback found demand at the 0.5695 NY low, near the 38.2% fib of the London low-to-high leg, and the rising support line from the London low held. Thin late-NY trade is holding just above 0.5700, with RSI(14) neutral near 54.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5699 Asian high returns price to the prior range
Break of the 0.5695 NY low breaks the higher-low chain and the rising support line
Close above the 0.5704 session high opens the 0.5710 month high
Weekend close and gap risk ahead of the RBNZ decision on Oct 28 01:00 UTC and the Fed on Oct 28 could reprice the 0.5700 area
Higher lows since London, Asian high broken in NY.
NY session lifted NZD/USD from 0.5684 through the Asian high near 0.5699 to a 0.5704 session high, as softer Treasury yields offset firm US PMIs. The pullback held a 0.5695 swing low near the 50% retrace, and price is back at the 0.5700 psych level late in NY.
Support: 0.5700, 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5695 swing low breaks the higher-low chain back toward the 0.5683 london low
Close above the 0.5704 session high opens the 0.5710 1m high
Friday close: weekend gap risk ahead of the RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC
Higher lows since London low; Asian range high broken, consolidating at round number.
NY shrugged off the dip to 0.5689 (pmi low) after the US PMI beat, broke the Asian range high at 0.5699 and printed a 0.5704 session high. The pullback held 0.5695 (pullback low), near the 38.2% of the London low–NY high leg and on rising support. Price is now pinned at the 0.5700 round number into the late-NY Friday close, with ATR compressing and RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56889, 0.56831
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5704 session high opens the path to the 0.5710 1-month high
Failure to hold the 0.5695 pullback low and rising support exposes the 0.5689 pmi low, then the 0.5683 london low
Repeated rejection at the 0.5700 round number would turn the breakout into a range below it
Thin late-Friday liquidity; RBNZ decision on Oct 28 is the next event that could materially shift this read
NY break of Asian high, shallow pullback held, now flat at psych.
NY session lifted the pair off the 0.5683 London low, cleared the Asian range high at 0.56992 despite firm US PMIs, and printed a session high at 0.57041. The pullback held 0.5695, between the 38.2% and 50% retracement of the NY rally (fib). Late Friday NY trade is now pinned at the 0.5700 psych level, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR(14) compressed to about 2.8 pips.
Support: 0.5695, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.57041 session high extends the NY breakout
Loss of the 0.5695 NY pullback low reopens the 0.5683 London low
Repeated failure at 0.5700 psych marks the break above the Asian high as stalling
Weekend gap risk ahead of the RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC
Higher lows from London low; Asian high broken in NY, pullback held 0.5695.
NY broke the 0.5699 Asian high through the US PMI/Michigan releases, with falling Treasury yields offsetting the USD beat, and topped at the 0.5704 session high. The pullback held a 0.5695 swing low, about 43% of the London low-to-high leg, and price is back at the 0.5700 round number late in NY. RSI(14) is neutral near 49.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5704 session high extends the higher-high chain toward the 0.5710 1-month high
Failure to hold the 0.5695 swing low breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.5683 London low
Late-Friday NY liquidity is thin into the weekend close. RBNZ on Oct 28 is the next major risk for this read
NY broke the Asian high, topped at 0.5704; lower highs since, pullback low 0.5695 holding.
NY session broke the 0.5699 Asian high and the 0.5700 round number, then faded from the 0.5704 session high as USD firmed on the PMI and Michigan beats. Price is consolidating at 0.5695–0.5700, near the 38.2% of the London low-to-high rally, with the rally trendline intact and RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.5695, 0.5689, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5704
What it said to watch
A break of the 0.5695 pullback low breaks the rally trendline and exposes the 0.5689 NY swing low, then the 0.5683 London low
An M15 close back above the 0.5700 round number reopens the 0.5704 session high
Late Friday NY hours into the weekend, so liquidity thins; the RBNZ decision on Oct 28 at 01:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
17:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, fading late NY · RSI 53 · price 0.56965
Higher lows from London low; NY break above Asian high pulled back under 0.5700.
NY lifted the pair off the 0.5683 London low and through the 0.5699 Asian high to a 0.5704 session high, with lower US yields offsetting the PMI beat, but late NY gave back the move under 0.5700. Price now sits on the 38.2% retrace of that leg and the rising support line, with the ny pullback low at 0.5695 and the 0.5689 pmi low below.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5699 Asian high reopens the 0.5704 session high
Break of the 0.5689 pmi low exposes the 0.5683 London low and ends the higher-low sequence
Thin Friday-close liquidity; RBNZ decision Oct 28 is the next major risk
Higher lows off London low; false break above Asian high.
NY session lifted NZDUSD from the London low at 0.5683 through the Asian high at 0.5699. The push stalled at the 0.5704 session high, the one-month cap flagged since the soft Q3 CPI, and price has slipped back under 0.5700 after London close. The pullback low at 0.5695 sits between the 38.2% and 50% of the London low-NY high fib, with RSI(14) near 55.
Support: 0.56949, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5699 Asian high puts the 0.5704 session high back in play
Failure to hold the 0.5695 pullback low exposes the 0.5689 NY swing low and the 50–61.8% fib zone
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekly close; RBNZ decision Oct 28 is the next major driver for NZD
17:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back late NY · RSI 56 · price 0.5698
Higher lows off London low; Asian high breakout now being retested.
NY broke the 0.5699 Asian high after the US PMI dip to 0.5689 was bought. The move tagged a 0.5704 session high before slipping back below 0.5700 after London close. Price at 0.5698 now sits on the 0.5698 pullback low, just above EMA20, and is testing the rising trendline off the London low, with the 38.2% fib at 0.5696 just beneath.
Support: 0.56976, 0.56889, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.57041
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5698 pullback low and the rising trendline breaks the NY higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5689 pmi low
Failure to hold the 0.5689 pmi low reopens the 0.5683 london low
Reclaiming 0.5699 asian high and a close above the 0.5704 session high resumes the breakout
Friday close into the weekend; RBNZ decision Wed Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next major risk for this read
HH/HL chain from London low; retesting broken Asian high.
NY took out the Asian high at 0.5699 and the 0.5700 handle after firm US PMIs and UoM. The PMI dip to 0.5689 was bought and the move printed a session high at 0.5704. After London close, price pulled back to a retest low at 0.5698 and held the breakout area.
Support: 0.56976, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the Asian high and the 0.5698 retest low turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.5689 pmi dip breaks the rising support and higher-low chain, exposing the 0.5683 london low
Acceptance above the 0.5704 session high opens the 0.5710 1m high
Late-Friday NY liquidity is thin; RBNZ (Oct 28) is the next major event risk for the pair
16:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 56 · price 0.56987
HH/HL chain from the London low; breakout above the Asian high now being retested.
Demand held the London low at 0.5683 four times, then the NY session pushed through the Asian high at 0.5699 to a 0.5704 session high, shrugging off firm US PMIs and sentiment as Treasury yields slipped. After the London close, price is back on the Asian high just under the round number at 0.5700, with RSI(14) cooled to 56 and the rising support line from the London lows intact.
Support: 0.5699, 0.5689, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.5700, 0.5704
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian high at 0.5699 would turn the breakout into a false break and expose the ny dip low at 0.5689 (50% fib of the london-ny leg).
A close above the 0.5704 session high would extend the HH chain. The round number at 0.5700 is the first friction.
Loss of the london low at 0.5683 and the rising support line would void the intraday HH/HL structure.
Liquidity thins into the Friday close. The RBNZ decision on Oct 28 is the next major event risk and could reset this structure.
Higher lows from London low, Asian range high broken in NY.
Higher lows have held since the London low at 0.5683. NY then broke the Asian range high near 0.5699 and cleared 0.5700 psych, printing a session high at 0.5704 despite firm US PMIs, as slipping Treasury yields limited the USD bid. Late in the Friday NY session price is holding just above 0.5700, with RSI(14) near 67 and ranges contracting.
Support: 0.5700, 0.56889, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.5700 psych would mark the breakout as a false break back into the Asian range
Failure below the 0.5689 NY swing low breaks the higher lows and puts the 50% retrace of the London-NY leg near 0.5694 in play
A push through the 0.5704 session high runs into the 0.5710 one-month high
Thin late-Friday liquidity into the weekend close; RBNZ decision on Oct 28 is the next major catalyst
NY breakout above Asian range; higher-high/higher-low chain since 12:00 UTC.
The NY session leg off 0.5684 cleared the Asian high at 0.5699 and printed a session high at 0.5704, despite the USD-supportive PMI and Michigan beats. Dips held at the 0.5689 pullback low on the PMI print. RSI(14) sits near 70, and price is now pressing the 0.5700/0.5710 cap that has stalled the pair this week, with the London low at 0.5683 as the base of the move.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
A close back below the 0.5699 Asian high would mark a false break of the Asian range
A break of the NY trendline (~0.5695) exposes the 0.5689 pullback low and the 61.8% of the NY leg at ~0.5691
Acceptance above the 0.5704 session high puts the 0.5710 1m high in play
Late-Friday NY liquidity thins; the RBNZ decision on Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next major risk to this read
15:31 UTC
Uptrend, pausing at session high · RSI 67 · price 0.57009
NY breakout above Asian high, higher lows since London.
London held the 0.5683 London low twice. NY then lifted through the 0.5699 Asian high despite the US PMI and Michigan beats, printing a 0.5704 session high. RSI(14) is near 67 and price is stalling just under the 0.5710 1-month high, with the rally trendline off the London low intact.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56889, 0.56831
Resistance: 0.57041, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5699 Asian high would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.5689 NY swing low breaks the rally trendline and puts the 0.5694 fib 50% back in play
Close above the 0.5710 1-month high extends the breakout; Friday late-NY liquidity may thin follow-through
No scheduled data in the next 8h; RBNZ (Oct 28) is the next major NZD risk
15:16 UTC
Uptrend, testing 0.5700 cap · RSI 72 · price 0.57016
Higher lows off the London low, Asian high broken in NY.
NY session cleared the 0.5699 Asian high and the 0.5700 psych cap to a 0.5702 session high, extending higher lows off the 0.5683 London low. The US PMI beat produced only a brief dip to the 0.5689 pmi low before buyers stepped back in along the NY uptrend line. RSI(14) near 72 is hot but not stretched, and the 0.5710 month high sits just above.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57022, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5699 Asian high would mark the breakout as a false break
Close above the 0.5710 month high clears the one-month cap
Break of the NY uptrend line and the 0.5689 pmi low ends the higher-low chain
Late-Friday NY hours, no scheduled data in next 8h; RBNZ decision on Oct 28 is the next major risk
Higher lows through NY session, Asian high cleared.
NY session lifted the pair off the 0.5683 London low and through the 0.5699 Asian high despite USD-supportive PMI and Michigan beats, tagging a 0.5701 session high at the 0.5700 psych cap. RSI(14) near 68 is firm but not stretched, and the higher-low chain from the 0.5689 NY swing low remains intact.
Support: 0.56992, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57008, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.5699 Asian high would turn the push into a false break
Loss of the 0.5689 NY swing low breaks the NY higher-low chain
Acceptance above the 0.5701 session high brings the 0.5710 month high into view
Late-Friday NY trade into the weekend; RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC is the next major risk for the pair
NY broke the London range, now testing the session high.
NY lifted the pair out of the 0.5683–0.5689 London range and through the 0.5699 Asian high despite the US PMI and Michigan beats. A first poke at the 0.5700 session high was rejected at 14:15 UTC, but price is back pressing it, while NY lows near 0.5692 sit at the 50% retrace of the London-NY leg and the PMI low at 0.5689 rests on the rising trendline.
Support: 0.5692, 0.56889, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.57003, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5700 session high confirms the break and opens the 0.5710 month high
Loss of the 0.5689 PMI low and rising trendline puts price back into the London range toward the 0.5683 London low
Late Friday NY trade thins out ahead of RBNZ (Oct 28 01:00 UTC) and next week's FOMC
Higher lows through NY; Asian high break above 0.5699 rejected.
NY lifted the pair out of the London range, and the dip to the 0.5689 pmi low after the US PMI beat was bought. The 14:15 UTC push through the Asian high to a 0.5700 session high failed to hold and closed back below it. RSI(14) sits near 63 and ATR is about 4 pips.
Support: 0.56889, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.57003
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.5700 session high invalidates the false break read
A break below the 0.5689 pmi low snaps the rising support of NY higher lows
A move back under the 0.5683 london low returns price to the prior range
14:17 UTC
Intraday higher lows, pressing day high · RSI 66 · price 0.56958
Higher lows off the 0.5683 London base, testing the 0.5698-0.5700 cap.
The Asia session rallied from the 0.5679 asian low to a 0.5699 asian high. London faded that move to a 0.5683 london base. NY reclaimed it to 0.5698, and a dip on the US PMI release held 0.5689, near the 61.8% retrace, leaving price at 0.5696 pressing the day's cap just under the 0.5700 psych level with RSI(14) near 66.
Support: 0.56889, 0.5683, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5699 asian high and 0.5700 psych breaks the day's cap; the 0.5710 month high is the next reference
Failure to hold the 0.5689 pmi low and the higher-lows trendline puts the 0.5683 london base back in play
A break below the 0.5683 london base reopens the 0.5679 asian low and turns the day into a full range round-trip
Post-UoM inflation-expectations moves in US yields could materially shift this read during NY hours
Higher lows off 0.5683 London base, capped below 0.5698–0.5700.
The Asia session took out the prior-day high to a 0.56992 Asian high, then London faded the move to a 0.5683 London base. NY rebuilt to a 0.56975 NY high, and the 13:45 UTC PMI bar wicked to 0.56889 (near the 61.8% retracement) before closing back near the highs, just under the 0.5700 psych cap flagged in the NZD digest.
Support: 0.56889, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.56975, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56992 Asian high and 0.5700 psych breaks the 24h range to the upside
Repeated rejection at the 0.56975 NY high keeps price inside the 0.5683–0.5699 range
Failure to hold the 0.56889 PMI low exposes the 0.5683 London base
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:46 UTC
Range, NY rally faded · RSI 51 · price 0.56889
Lower high at 0.56975 under the 0.56992 Asian high; London range 0.5683–0.5689 below.
Early NY lifted price off the 0.5683 London low, but the move was rejected at 0.56975. That is a lower high under the 0.56992 Asian high, with the 0.5700 cap flagged in the digest still intact. Price has slipped back to 0.5689, near the 61.8% of the NY leg and just above the 0.5687 NY base, with RSI(14) neutral at 51 and price sitting on EMA20/EMA50 as US flash PMIs land.
Support: 0.5687, 0.5683
Resistance: 0.56975, 0.56992
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs (13:45 UTC) and UoM inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) are hitting now and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.5687 NY base exposes the 0.5683 London low
M15 close above the 0.56975 NY high and the 0.56992 Asian high breaks the lower-highs line and the 0.5700 cap
Asian high capping; higher low at 0.5692 after pre-NY rally.
The Asian rally to the 0.5699 asia high still caps the day. London ranged 0.5683–0.5692 inside it, with the 0.5683 london low holding three times. The pre-NY rally stalled at 0.5698 (ny high) and the ny pullback held 0.5692 near the 38.2% fib, leaving price pinned under the 0.5700 cap flagged in the NZD digest, 15 minutes before US flash PMIs.
Support: 0.5692, 0.5683, 0.5679
Resistance: 0.56975, 0.56992
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read; ATR of ~3 pips is likely to expand
M15 close above the 0.5699 asia high / 0.5700 cap breaks the 24h range
Failure to hold the 0.5692 ny pullback exposes the 0.5683 london low, then the 0.5679 asia low
London double low at 0.5683, lower high at 0.56975 under Asian high.
Pair rallied from the 0.5683 London low double bottom into the London-NY transition. The move printed a session high at 0.56975, a lower high under the 0.56992 Asian high. Pullback held the 38.2% fib at 0.5692, and price is still inside the Asian range with the 0.5700 round number capping, as the digest notes.
Support: 0.5692, 0.5683, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56975, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above the 0.56992 Asian high and 0.5700 round number breaks the falling lower-high line
Loss of the fib 38.2 at 0.5692 reopens the 0.5683 London low
Break of 0.56788 Asian low would take price out of the Asian range to the downside
13:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing the day's high · RSI 67 · price 0.56942
Break above London range, stalling below Asian high.
NY open lifted NZDUSD out of the 0.5683–0.5688 London range to a 0.56975 session high on a soft USD. Price is stalling just under the 0.56992 Asian high and the 0.5700 round number. RSI(14) sits near 67 with ATR(14) only ~3.3 pips ahead of the US flash PMIs.
Support: 0.5688, 0.56831, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56975, 0.56992, 0.5710
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejection at the 0.56975 session high or 0.56992 Asian high keeps the day capped below 0.5700
An M15 close above the Asian high clears the day's range and opens the 0.5710 month high
A slip back below the 0.5688 range top (61.8% of the NY rally fib) returns price to the London range, exposing the 0.56831 london low and then the 0.56788 asian low
12:46 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, bouncing in first hour of NY · RSI 64 · price 0.56924
Lower highs off 0.56992, base at 0.5683; price broke above the London range top.
The first hour of NY lifted NZDUSD out of the 0.5683–0.5688 London range, breaking the falling line from the 0.56992 Asian high. Price is stalling near 0.5693, the 61.8% of the Asia-London drop, just under the 0.56945 swing high. Supply has capped the pair below the 0.5700 round number since the soft NZ CPI.
Support: 0.5688, 0.56829
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above the 0.56945 swing high ends the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.56992 asian high
Slip back below the 0.5688 range top marks the breakout as a false break, with the 0.5683 london low back in focus
Rejection under the 0.5700 round number keeps the capped-range read intact
12:31 UTC
Sideways inside Asian range, bid into NY open · RSI 61 · price 0.56904
Lower highs off Asian high, London range top now broken.
NY open lifted price out of the 0.5683–0.5688 London range. The move reached a spike high of 0.56927 and reclaimed both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 61. The pair is still inside the Asian range of 0.56788–0.56992: the London low held near the 78.6% fib of the Asia advance, and the Asian high below 0.5700 has capped since the soft NZ CPI dented the rally.
Support: 0.5688, 0.5683, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56927, 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 0.5688 london cap returns price to the London range
Close above the 0.56945 lower high opens the 0.56992 asian high / 0.5700 cap
Loss of the 0.5683 london low exposes the 0.56788 asian low
12:16 UTC
Range after Asian rally faded, compressing · RSI 57 · price 0.56876
Lower highs off the Asia high, London range 0.5683–0.5688 inside the Asian range.
The Asian rally stalled at the 0.5699 Asia high just under the 0.5700 cap, with soft NZ CPI and firmer US yields limiting follow-through. London has since held a tight 0.5683–0.5688 range near the 78.6% retrace of that Asian rally, and price is pressing the London high into the London-NY transition with RSI(14) neutral at 57.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5688 London high reopens the 0.5699 Asia high and the 0.5700 cap
Loss of the 0.5683 London low exposes the 0.5679 Asia low, then the 0.5668 prior low from Thursday's NY session
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Sideways, faded after Asia rally · RSI 45 · price 0.56845
Lower highs from 0.5699, compressed 0.5683–0.5688 range.
The Asian rally met rejection at the 0.5699 session high, just under the 0.5700 cap flagged in the NZD digest. London printed a lower high at 0.5693 and has since compressed into a 0.5683–0.5688 range. The london low is holding near the 78.6% retrace of the Asia move, with RSI(14) neutral at 45, ATR around 3 pips and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.5683, 0.5679, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5688, 0.5693, 0.5699
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could break the 0.5683–0.5688 range in the first hours of NY
A close below the 0.5683 london low exposes the 0.5679 asia low, then the 0.5668 prior low
A close above the 0.5688 range top reopens the 0.5693 lower high and the 0.5699 session high
11:46 UTC
Sideways after an Asian rally faded · RSI 46 · price 0.56868
London compressing 0.5683–0.5690 inside the Asian range.
The Asian rally stalled at the asia high of 0.5699, just under the 0.5700 cap, and printed lower highs into London. Late London is pinned at EMA20 in a tight 0.5683–0.5690 box, with the london low at the 78.6% retracement of the Asian leg. Firmer US yields and oil-driven risk-off are keeping a lid on NZD.
Support: 0.5683, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.5690, 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could break the London box in early NY
M15 close below the 0.5683 london low exposes the 0.5679 asia low
Reclaim of the 0.5690 london high reopens the 0.56945 lower high and the 0.5699 asia high
Another rejection at 0.5699/0.5700 keeps the Asian range intact
11:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia · RSI 39 · price 0.5684
Lower highs from 0.5699 Asia high; tight London range 0.5683–0.5688.
NZDUSD has faded from the 0.5699 Asia high in a chain of lower highs, and since the 0.5693 London high it has compressed into a 0.5683 range low to 0.5688 lower high band, near the 78.6% retrace of the Asia rally fib. Price sits below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 39, as oil-led risk-off and firmer US yields cap NZD below 0.5700.
Support: 0.5683, 0.5679
Resistance: 0.5688, 0.5693, 0.5699
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5683 range low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5679 Asia low
Close above the 0.5688 lower high and the lower highs trendline ends the pullback sequence and puts the 0.5693 London high back in view
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the London range
A full retrace of the Asia rally fib below the 0.5679 Asia low would undo the Asia session move
11:16 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 37 · price 0.56839
Lower highs pressing onto flat 0.5683 base, late London.
The Asia rally from the 0.5679 asia low stalled at the 0.5699 asia high, just under the 0.5700 cap, as oil-led risk-off and firmer US yields weighed on NZD. London has printed lower highs from the 0.5692 london high and retraced about 75% of that Asia rally, toward the 78.6% fib. The 0.5683 london low has held three times, with RSI(14) near 37 and ATR around 3 pips, so the range is compressed ahead of NY.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5683 london low breaks the flat base and exposes the 0.5679 asia low, then Thursday's prior low at 0.5668
M15 close above the 0.5688 lower highs line ends the London pullback structure and reopens the 0.5692 london high
Rejection at the 0.5699 asia high keeps the 0.5700 cap intact
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asian peak · RSI 37 · price 0.56839
Lower highs from 0.5699; lows basing 0.5683-0.5684 at 78.6% retrace.
The Asian rally stalled at the 0.5699 asian high just under the 0.5700 cap. London has unwound most of that move in a lower-high sequence, with the 0.5683 london low now sitting on the 78.6% retrace of the Asian range. Oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields are keeping NZD capped, with price below both EMAs and RSI(14) near 37.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5683 london low breaks the 78.6% retrace and exposes the 0.5679 asian low
Loss of the asian low reopens the 0.5668 prior low from Thursday's NY open
Recovery above the 0.5688 lower high interrupts the fade, with the 0.5695 swing high next
Repeated failure below the 0.5699 asian high keeps the 0.5700 cap intact
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:46 UTC
Pullback from Asia high, momentum soft · RSI 41 · price 0.56866
Lower highs since 0.5699, London holding a 0.5683 base.
The Asian session rally from the 0.5679 asia low stalled at 0.5699 (asia high), a rejection just under the 0.5700 cap the digest ties to oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields. London has since slipped to the 61.8% retracement of the asian rally, with the london low at 0.5683 holding and a lower high at 0.5688 capping a tight 5-pip consolidation below both EMAs.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
An M15 close below the 0.5683 london low exposes the 0.5679 asia low and breaks the London base
A close above the 0.5688 lower high, then the 0.5693 london high, would end the lower-high sequence
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, early in the NY session, could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia · RSI 41 · price 0.56864
Asian rally rejected under 0.5700; London printing lower highs, now basing above 0.5683.
The Asian session ran to an asian high of 0.56992, just shy of 0.5700, and was rejected. London has since printed lower highs into a london low of 0.56829, about 80% of the Asian leg. Price is now holding near the 61.8% at 0.5686 with RSI(14) at 41, as oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields capped NZD.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56883 lower high breaks the London lower-high trendline
Failure to hold the 0.56829 london low exposes the 0.56788 asian low
0.56925 london high and the 0.56992 asian high cap; 0.5700 still unbroken
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:17 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 44 · price 0.56869
Lower-high sequence off 0.5699, London low 0.5683 holding.
The Asia rally was rejected at the 0.5699 asian high, just under the 0.5700 cap flagged in the NZD digest. London has printed lower highs off that peak and set a london low at 0.5683, near the 78.6% level of the asia leg fib. Price sits at 0.5687 against the descending trendline, with RSI(14) near 44 and ATR around 3 pips, compressed ahead of the NY session.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and the 0.5693 london high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.5683 london low exposes the 0.5679 asian low
Asian high at 0.5699 and the 0.5700 cap remain the upper boundary of the session range
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Intraday pullback inside Asian range · RSI 40 · price 0.56858
Lower highs in London off Asian high, London low holding.
The Asian rally from the 0.5679 Asian low stalled at 0.5699, a rejection just under the 0.5700 cap flagged in the NZD read as oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields weighed. London has printed lower highs from the 0.5693 London high to the 0.5688 lower high along a falling trendline. The 0.5683 London low, near the 78.6% fib of the Asian leg, is holding so far. RSI(14) sits near 40 and ATR is about 3 pips, so the range is compressed.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56883, 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.5683 London low exposes the 0.5679 Asian low; below that, the 0.5668 prior low is next
A close above the 0.5688 lower high breaks the falling trendline and reopens the 0.5693 London high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could break the compression; a renewed test of the 0.5699 Asian high would retest the 0.5700 cap
09:46 UTC
Intraday pullback, lower highs since Asia peak · RSI 40 · price 0.56876
Asia rally to 0.5699 being retraced; London printing lower highs and lower lows.
Asia leg ran from 0.5679 to a 0.5699 Asian high, with rejection just shy of the 0.5700 round number that has capped NZD all week. Mid-London, price has faded under a falling trendline of lower highs to a 0.5683 London low near the 78.6% retrace, now bouncing to 0.5688 with RSI(14) near 40 and price just under both EMAs.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56925, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5692 lower high breaks the falling trendline and the London lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.5683 London low exposes the 0.5679 Asian low, then Thu low at 0.5668
0.5699 Asian high and the 0.5700 round number remain the cap on this window
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment/inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:32 UTC
Intraday pullback from Asian high, lower highs · RSI 48 · price 0.56875
Lower highs and lower lows since 0.56992; London low 0.56829 holding.
Asia ran to an Asian high at 0.56992 but was rejected just under 0.5700, in line with the oil risk-off and US yields cap, and London has printed lower highs under a falling trendline. The London low at 0.56829 sits near the 78.6% retrace of the Asian leg; price has bounced to 0.5687 mid-London with RSI(14) neutral at 48 and ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the falling trendline and the 0.56925 london high breaks the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.56829 london low exposes the 0.56788 asian low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs from Asian high · RSI 40 · price 0.56863
LH/LL chain since 03:30 UTC, holding above Asian low.
NZD/USD has printed lower highs since the 0.56992 Asian high, with supply capping it just below 0.5700 as oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields weigh on NZD. London extended the slide to a 0.56829 london low near the 78.6% fib of the Asian rally. Price is back around 0.5686, below EMA20/50 and the descending trendline, with RSI(14) near 40.
Support: 0.56829, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the descending trendline and 0.56925 london high breaks the lower-high chain
Failure to hold 0.56829 london low exposes the 0.56788 asian low; a break there opens Thursday's 0.56678 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the NY session
09:03 UTC
Intraday downtrend off the Asian high · RSI 36 · price 0.5684
Lower highs and lower lows through London, Asian rally mostly retraced.
London has given back most of the Asian rally from the 0.5679 Asian low to the 0.5699 Asian high. Price is printing lower highs under a descending trendline, has broken the 0.5687 London low, and now sits near the 78.6% retracement at 0.5684 with RSI(14) at 36. The 0.5700 cap that held after the soft NZ CPI is still intact.
Support: 0.5682, 0.5679, 0.5668
Resistance: 0.5687, 0.5692, 0.5699
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.5682 swing low exposes the 0.5679 Asian low, then the 0.5668 Thu low
An M15 close back above the 0.5687 London low and the lower-highs trendline negates the London fade; 0.5692 London high is next
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
Rejection at the 0.5699 Asian high keeps the 0.5700 cap as the session ceiling
08:46 UTC
Intraday downtrend, lower highs since Asia · RSI 36 · price 0.56844
Lower highs from the 0.5699 Asia high; London has broken the 0.5687 shelf.
Asia stalled at the 0.5699 Asia high just under the 0.5700 cap. Price has carved lower highs along a descending trendline since, the lower high at 0.5695 among them, and early London broke the 0.5687 london shelf to test the 0.5682 asian base, with RSI(14) near 36 and ATR around 3 pips. Oil-driven risk-off and firmer US yields are keeping NZD capped after the soft Q3 CPI.
Support: 0.5682, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56871, 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.5687 london shelf negates the range break
Failure to hold the 0.5682 asian base exposes the 0.5679 asia low, then the 0.5668 thu low
Close above the descending trendline from the asia high reopens the 0.5695 lower high and the 0.5700 cap
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:31 UTC
Intraday range after Asia rally stalled below 0.5700 · RSI 47 · price 0.5690
London holding inside Asian range, higher lows intact above 0.5687.
The Asia rally from the 0.5679 asian low met rejection at 0.5699, just shy of 0.5700, with firmer US yields and the soft-CPI hangover capping NZD. Early London is coiling between the 0.5687 session low and 0.5693 session high, around the 50% retrace of the Asia rally fib, with RSI(14) near 47 and ATR around 2.8 pips.
Support: 0.56871, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56925, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5699 asian high and 0.5700 cap breaks the intraday range
Failure to hold the 0.5687 session low (61.8% of the Asia rally fib) exposes the 0.5679 asian low, then the 0.5668 prior low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC, during NY hours, could break the Asian range either way
08:16 UTC
Flat intraday, fading off the Asian high · RSI 49 · price 0.56899
Lower highs inside a tight 0.5687–0.5694 early-London range.
Asia ran from the 0.5679 Asian low to a 0.5699 Asian high as the Kiwi stayed steady on RBNZ hike pricing and a soft USD. That leg then faded into early London, which is holding a 0.5687–0.5694 band near the 50% fib. A line of lower highs off the Asian high is capping the London high, with RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.56871, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5687 london low puts the 61.8% fib and the 0.5679 asian low in play
Close above the lower-highs line and the 0.5694 london high reopens the 0.5699 asian high and the 0.5700 round number
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could break the London range
08:02 UTC
Pullback from Asian high, momentum soft · RSI 41 · price 0.56882
Lower highs off 0.5699 since 03:30 UTC, London open testing 0.5687 support.
Asia ran from the 0.5679 Asian low to 0.5699, rejected just shy of the 0.5700 handle as NZD steadied after the CPI miss. Since then lower highs have pressed price into the London open, and it is now sitting on the 0.5687 pullback low. That level also marks the 61.8% fib of the Asian leg. RSI(14) is near 41 and price is under both EMAs.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5687 pullback low confirms a lower-low and exposes the 0.5679 asian low
Loss of the asian low reopens yesterday's 0.5668 prior low
Reclaim of the 0.5695 lower high breaks the lower-high trendline and brings the 0.5699 asian high back into play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
The Asia session rally from the 0.5679 asian low hit a rejection at the 0.5699 asian high, just under 0.5700. Since then the pair has printed lower highs into a 0.5688 swing low that has held for three hours, and price now sits on the 50% Asia rally fib at the start of London. NZD has held up after the CPI miss on a softer USD, but momentum has cooled, with RSI(14) near 41 and price under EMA20.
Support: 0.56884, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5688 swing low breaks the floor and exposes the 0.5679 asian low
Close above the 0.5695 lower high reopens the 0.5699 asian high and the 0.5700 round number
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:32 UTC
Asia rally stalled, drifting sideways into London · RSI 49 · price 0.56915
Lower highs off 0.5699 Asia high, holding the 50% retracement.
Asia ran from the 0.5679 Asia low to a 0.5699 Asia high on a heavy USD, then stalled just under 0.5700. Since then lower highs have compressed price into 0.5688–0.5695, with the pullback low holding at the 50% retracement. Early London trades flat on EMA20 with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.56884, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992, 0.5710
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.5695 lower high breaks the lower-highs line and reopens the 0.5699 Asia high / 0.5700
Clearance of 0.5700 brings the 0.5710 1m high into view
Failure at the 0.5688 pullback low exposes the 0.5687 swing low at the 61.8% retracement
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs since the 0.5699 Asian high; base at 0.5688 near the fib 50%.
Asia ran from the 0.5679 Asian low to 0.5699 on a softer USD. It was rejected just under the 0.5700 psych handle, and the pullback has based twice at the 0.5688 pullback low, roughly the 50% retracement of the Asian leg. Early London sits in a tight 0.5688–0.5695 band capped by a lower high at 0.56945, with ATR near 3 pips.
Support: 0.56884, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992, 0.5700
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.5688 pullback low exposes the 0.5687 swing low and the 61.8% retracement. Failure there opens the Asian low at 0.5679.
A close above the 0.56945 lower high breaks the lower-highs sequence and puts the 0.5699 Asian high and 0.5700 psych back in play.
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC are the main USD risk for the NY session.
07:03 UTC
Asia rally fading, pullback in progress · RSI 48 · price 0.56897
Lower highs off the Asian high, price at the 50% retracement.
The Asian session rallied from the 0.5679 asian low to a 0.5699 asian high, with USD still soft. Since then price has printed a lower high at 0.5695 and is back at the 0.5688 pullback low into London open, sitting on the 50% retracement of the Asia move. Price is below EMA20 and holding just above EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral near 48.
Support: 0.56884, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5688 pullback low and the 50% fib would extend the retracement toward the 0.5679 asian low
Close above the 0.5695 lower high breaks the lower-high sequence and reopens the 0.5699 asian high and 0.5700 handle
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 0.5679 swing low; pullback compressing near 50% fib.
Asia ran from the 0.5679 swing low to a 0.5699 session high, just past yesterday's London-open high, then met rejection under 0.5700. The pullback held the 0.5689 pullback low at the 50% Asia leg fib, and price is now pinned in a 0.5690–0.5695 band on the rising trendline, below EMA20, with London open imminent. A soft USD has kept the CPI-miss dip shallow.
Support: 0.56892, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56945, 0.56992, 0.5710
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.5689 pullback low and rising trendline exposes the 0.5687 fib 61.8, then the 0.5679 swing low
M15 close above the 0.5695 range top reopens the 0.5699 session high and the 0.5710 1-month high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since the NY low at 0.5668; Asia capped at 0.5699, the window's opening high.
The Asia session rally from the 0.5679 Asian low stalled at 0.5699, matching yesterday's opening high to form a double top. The pullback held the 50% retrace at the 0.5689 swing low, and dips have stayed shallow on a soft USD. Price is pinned at 0.5693 into London open, RSI(14) neutral near 49 and ATR(14) about 2.7 pips.
Support: 0.56892, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5699 double top invalidates the rejection read and opens the 0.5710 1m high
Break of the 0.5689 swing low and the higher-low line exposes the 0.5679 Asian low, then the 0.5668 NY low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
06:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend from Asian low, pausing below prior high · RSI 45 · price 0.56918
Higher lows since 0.5679; rejection at 0.5699 with pullback holding 50% fib.
The Asia session lifted NZDUSD from the 0.5679 asian low to 0.5699, where price rejected at Thursday's prior high. The pullback held the 50% fib of that leg at 0.5689, and price is now consolidating just under EMA20 ahead of the London open. NZD has steadied after the CPI miss while USD stays soft; RSI(14) is near 45 and ATR(14) is about 2.7 pips.
Support: 0.56892, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
A break below the 50% fib at 0.5689 exposes the 61.8% fib at 0.5687, then the asian low at 0.5679
An M15 close above the 0.5699 prior high reopens the 0.5710 1-month high
London open is the first test of the 0.5689–0.5699 consolidation
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and Michigan sentiment at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
06:03 UTC
Asia rally stalled, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 0.56919
Higher low held at 50% fib after rejection at prior high.
Asia session lifted NZDUSD from the 0.5679 asian low to 0.5699 and was rejected a tick under the prior high, with NZD steadying after the CPI miss as USD stays soft. The pullback has stalled at the 50% fib near 0.5689, and price is coiling just under EMA20 with London open about an hour out.
Support: 0.5689, 0.56869, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 50% fib at 0.5689 and the 0.5687 swing low exposes the asian low at 0.5679
Acceptance above the 0.5699 prior high and 0.5700 opens the 0.5710 1m high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC (Services f/c 57.9) could materially shift this read during NY hours
Higher lows since Thursday NY low; Asia high capped, pullback holding the 50% fib.
Asia extended the recovery from Thursday's NY low at 0.5668 to the asia high at 0.5699. That level matched the Thursday London high, and the rejection just under the 0.5700 handle has sent price back to the 0.5689 swing low, the 50% fib of the Asia leg. Late in the Asia session, price sits on the EMA20 under a pullback line from the high, RSI(14) at 54, with NZD steady after the CPI miss and USD soft.
Support: 0.56892, 0.56869, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.5710
What it said to watch
Close above the pullback line and the 0.5699 asia high clears the 0.5700 cap and opens the 0.5710 month high
Break of the 0.5687 higher low (61.8% fib) ends the HL chain and exposes the 0.5679 asia low
London open (07:00 UTC) starts against a 20-pip Asian range of 0.5679–0.5699
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
05:04 UTC
Range-bound, Asia advance fading · RSI 46 · price 0.56895
Lower highs since Asia peak at 0.5699; price on 50% retrace of Asia leg, inside Thursday's 0.5668–0.5699 range.
The Asia leg ran from the 0.5679 Asian low to 0.5699 and met rejection at Thursday's prior high. It has since printed lower highs back to the 50% retracement and the 0.5687 swing low, with the ema20 near 0.5691 capping. NZD is still inside the 0.5668–0.5699 range set after Wednesday's CPI miss, with RSI(14) around 46 two hours before London open.
Support: 0.56869, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56914, 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.5687 swing low exposes the 0.5679 Asian low and a full retrace of the Asia leg
Reclaiming the ema20 near 0.5691 and a break of the 0.5699 prior high opens the 0.5710 month high
Failure to hold the 0.5668 prior low breaks Thursday's range to the downside
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the 0.5679 Asia low; double rejection at 0.5699, now pulling back.
Late Asia session: the rally from the 0.5679 Asia low retested Thursday's 0.5699 thu high and was rejected. Price is now testing the 38.2% fib at 0.5691, with RSI(14) back to ~51. NZD is holding up after the CPI miss as USD stays soft, and the 0.5687 asia hl is intact.
Support: 0.56914, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.5687 asia hl breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5679 asia low
Close above the 0.5699 thu high clears the 0.5700 cap and opens the 0.5710 1m high
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 56 · price 0.56945
Higher lows from 0.5668; Asian leg capped at 0.5699 retest.
The Asia session extended the NY recovery from Thursday's 0.5668 low. Price rose along rising support to 0.5699, a retest of Thursday's London prior high that drew a rejection, and the softer USD has kept dips shallow. Late in Asia the pair is at 0.5694, holding above EMA20 and the 0.5687 swing low, which sits at the 61.8% of the Asian leg from the 0.5679 Asian low.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56992, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5700 clears the prior high and exposes the 0.5710 1m high
Break below the 0.5687 swing low undoes the Asian higher-low chain and puts the 0.5679 Asian low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at prior high · RSI 60 · price 0.56949
Asia HH/HL chain from 0.5679, capped at yesterday's 0.5699 high.
Asia session lifted NZDUSD off the 0.5679 rally base in a clean higher-low chain, with soft USD outweighing Wednesday's NZ CPI miss. The push stalled at 0.5699, matching yesterday's early-London prior high, and has since slipped back toward the 0.5694 higher low with RSI(14) cooling to about 60.
Support: 0.56938, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.5699 prior high and 0.5700 opens the path to the 0.5710 month high
Loss of the 0.5694 higher low and the asia trendline turns the advance into a range below 0.5699
A break of the 0.5687 swing low, near the fib 61.8%, negates the Asia HH/HL chain
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-high/higher-low chain through Asia, testing 0.5699.
The Asia session rally from the 0.5679 Asian low has carried price about 20 pips into a retest of Thursday's 0.5699 prior high, with the 0.5687 higher low holding the chain. A soft USD has underpinned the recovery from the 0.5668 Thu low despite the NZ CPI miss. RSI(14) is near 66, firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5700 clears the prior high and exposes the 0.5710 month high
Failure to hold the 0.5687 higher low breaks the Asian rally structure and puts the 0.5679 Asian low back in play
A break back below 0.5679 reopens the 0.5668 Thu low
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain through Asia (0.56788, 0.56868, 0.56935) into the prior high.
Late in the Asia session, a stacked higher-low sequence has recovered the entire NY-hours slide to 0.56678. Price is now testing Thursday's 0.56994 prior high just under the 0.5700 round number, with USD softness behind the move. RSI(14) is near 72, hot but not extreme, and ATR is a narrow 3.5 pips.
Support: 0.56935, 0.56868
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5700, 0.5710
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.56994 prior high and the 0.5700 round number opens the 0.5710 1-month high cited as the cap in the digest
A break of the 0.56935 pullback low and then the 0.56868 swing low ends the Asia higher-low trendline sequence
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing prior high · RSI 69 · price 0.56968
Asian higher-low chain testing Thursday's high.
The late-Asia rally has built higher lows from 0.56788 to 0.56868 and is now retesting Thursday's 0.56994 prior high, with the 0.5700 round number just above. RSI(14) is near 69. NZD is recovering from the CPI miss as the USD stays soft.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.56994 prior high and 0.5700 opens the 0.5710 one-month high
Repeated rejection under 0.5700 alongside an RSI rollover would mark a stall at the prior high
Close below the Asian trendline and 0.56868 swing low breaks the Asian rally's higher-low chain; 0.56788 Asian low next
London open in ~3.5h; US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the read
Asia session built a higher-high/higher-low chain off the 0.5679 asian low, broke Thursday's 0.5688 NY high and is now stalling just under the 0.5699 prior high and 0.5700 psych level, RSI(14) near 66. NZD has absorbed the CPI miss as softer US yields keep USD heavy.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.5700 psych clears Thursday's prior high and extends the uptrend read
Break below the 0.5687 swing low snaps the higher-low trendline and puts the 0.5679 asian low back in play
US flash PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
03:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing the session high · RSI 65 · price 0.56949
Higher highs and higher lows through the Asia session.
Asia session has extended the recovery from yesterday's NY swing low at 0.5668, building higher lows at the 0.5679 pivot low and the 0.5687 higher low along a rising Asian trendline as USD stays heavy. Price is now testing the 0.5698 session high, just under yesterday's 0.5699 high and the 0.5700 round number, with RSI(14) near 65 and not stretched.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.5698, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5700 round number clears yesterday's high and extends the uptrend structure
Rejection at the 0.5698 session high with a break of the Asian trendline would point to a pullback toward the 0.5687 higher low, the 38.2% fib retracement
Loss of the 0.5679 pivot low ends the Asia session higher-low chain
US flash S&P Global PMIs at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD
02:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend, higher lows since NY · RSI 69 · price 0.56958
HH/HL chain off 0.5668 NY low; Asia break above 0.5694.
Asia session has pushed through the 0.5694 break level, extending a higher-low chain off yesterday's 0.5668 NY low as the soft USD offsets the post-CPI NZD drag. Price is pressing yesterday's 0.5699 prior high, just under the 0.5700 psych handle and the 0.5710 1m high. RSI(14) near 69, ATR about 3.7 pips.
Support: 0.56937, 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56994, 0.5710
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5699 prior high puts the 0.5710 1m high in play
Slip back below the 0.5694 break level would mark a false break at the prior high
Loss of the 0.5687 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain; 0.5679 asia low next
US Services/Mfg PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
02:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pressing Asian high · RSI 60 · price 0.56918
Higher lows off 0.5679 Asian low, capped at 0.5694.
Mid-Asia session: the pair has climbed from the 0.5679 Asian low to the 0.5694 Asian high, with a higher low at 0.5687 holding along a rising line, as the soft USD offsets the post-CPI NZD drag. The prior high at 0.5699 from yesterday's London open sits just under the 0.5700 cap flagged after the NZ CPI miss.
Support: 0.56868, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56937, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5694 Asian high opens the 0.5699 prior high and the 0.5700 cap
Failure to hold the 0.5687 higher low and the rising line returns price to the Asian range toward the 0.5679 Asian low
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 0.5668 NY low; Asia leg capped at 0.5694, pulling back mid-range.
The Asia session lifted the pair from the 0.5679 asian low to a 0.5694 session high, short of yesterday's 0.5699 prior high. Price is now easing back toward the 0.5687 pullback low, with RSI(14) near 58. A softer USD has cushioned NZD since the Q3 CPI miss drove the London-session slide to 0.5668.
Support: 0.56869, 0.56788
Resistance: 0.56937, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5687 pullback low brings the 50–61.8% zone of the asian leg fib (0.5686–0.5685) into play
Failure to hold the 0.5679 asian low breaks the higher-low sequence from the NY low
Clearance of the 0.5694 session high exposes the 0.5699 prior high
No NZD/USD data in the next 8h; US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC are the next scheduled USD catalyst
02:03 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 60 · price 0.56892
Higher-low chain off Asia low, capped below prior high.
Mid-Asia session, NZDUSD has built a higher-low chain off the 0.5679 Asia low. The soft USD is cushioning NZD after the soft Q3 CPI, but three tests of the 0.5694 session high have stalled. The pullback is now probing the 0.5688 ny high, which lines up with the 38.2% fib, while the prior high at 0.5699 sits just under 0.5700.
Support: 0.56876, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56937, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.5688 ny high and the rising support line points to a deeper retrace toward the 0.5685 61.8% fib
Failure to hold the 0.5679 asia low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.5668 prior low
M15 close above the 0.5694 session high opens a retest of the 0.5699 prior high / 0.5700 round number
US S&P Global PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift the USD side of this read
01:47 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 71 · price 0.56926
Higher lows from 0.5668; overnight range broken higher.
Asia dipped to 0.5679, then reversed through the 0.5685 overnight range top and yesterday's NY high at 0.5688, printing a session high at 0.5694 as the softer USD offsets the soft Q3 CPI. RSI(14) is near 71 and ATR is about 3 pips. The prior high at 0.5699, just under 0.5700 where NZD stalled after the CPI miss, is the next reference.
Support: 0.5688, 0.5679
Resistance: 0.5694, 0.5699
What it said to watch
A close back below the NY high at 0.5688 (38.2% of the Asia leg) would turn the breakout into a false break
Loss of the Asia low at 0.5679 breaks the higher-low sequence from 0.5668
A rejection at the prior high at 0.5699/0.5700 keeps the post-CPI cap in place
US PMIs at 13:45 UTC could shift the USD side of this read later in the day
01:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending in Asia · RSI 73 · price 0.56924
Higher lows off a double bottom at 0.5668; Asia broke the prior NY swing high.
The Asia session held the 0.5679 asia low and lifted NZDUSD through yesterday's 0.5688 NY swing high (breakout lvl) to a 0.5694 session high. That extends the rally off the 0.5668 double btm, with RSI(14) near 73. A soft USD after DXY failed near 102.00 is offsetting the post-CPI NZD drag, and the 0.5699 prior high and 0.5700 psych sit just above.
Support: 0.56876, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56936, 0.56994, 0.5700
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.5699 prior high and 0.5700 psych opens the 0.5710 one-month high
Slip back below the 0.5688 breakout lvl would mark the push as a false break
Loss of the 0.5679 asia low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.5668 double btm
US PMIs and UoM later Friday could materially shift USD tone
Early in the Asia session the pair is pressing the 0.5691 Asia high after clearing the 0.5688 NY high from the post-CPI recovery off the 0.5668 window low. Price is sitting on the 61.8% fib of the 0.5703–0.5668 decline, with the soft USD offsetting the NZD CPI miss. RSI(14) is near 68 and Asia lows have stepped higher from the rollover gap to the 0.5679 Asia HL.
Support: 0.56876, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56909, 0.56962, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5691 Asia high and 61.8% fib opens 0.5696 swing high, then 0.5699 prior high
Slip back below the 0.5688 NY high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.5679 Asia HL breaks the rising lows and exposes the 0.5668 window low
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC and UoM at 14:00 UTC are the next scheduled USD risk
00:46 UTC
Intraday recovery, pressing range top · RSI 67 · price 0.56884
Higher low at 0.5679 above the 0.5668 NY low; testing the 0.5688 NY high.
Early Asia is pressing the 0.5688 NY high after demand at the 0.5679 Asia low. The recovery from the 0.5668 NY low has reclaimed the 61.8% fib of the London sell-off from 0.5699. Soft NZ CPI capped the London high, while the weaker USD has cushioned the dips.
Support: 0.56836, 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56887, 0.56994, 0.5700
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5688 NY high opens the 0.5699 London high and the 0.5700 psych level
Slip back under the 50% fib at 0.5684 returns price to the overnight range
Failure to hold the 0.5679 Asia low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the 0.5668 NY low
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Recovering from NY low, higher lows since 14:00 UTC · RSI 56 · price 0.56859
Higher lows off 0.5668; Asia session high 0.5688 capping at the 61.8% fib.
NZDUSD has climbed back from the 0.5668 NY low. The Asia session high at 0.5688 sits on the 61.8% retracement of the 0.5699–0.5668 London-NY slide. The dip to the 0.5679 asia low at the Tokyo open was absorbed quickly, with the soft NZ CPI capping upside while a weak USD cushions.
Support: 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56882, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5688 session high clears the 61.8% fib and opens the 0.5699 swing high / 0.5700 area
Failure to hold the 0.5679 asia low returns focus to the 0.5668 ny low
US PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD
00:16 UTC
Flat, recovering from NY lows · RSI 49 · price 0.5682
Tight Asian range under NY high.
A double bottom at the 0.5668 day low lifted price to the 0.5688 NY high. Early Asia is holding a 0.5679–0.5688 range, and the thin rollover dip to 0.5671 was fully reclaimed. The soft NZ CPI miss keeps the 0.5700 psych area out of reach for now.
Support: 0.56788, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56876, 0.56994
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5688 NY high breaks the Asian range and opens the 0.5700 psych area
Failure to hold the 0.5679 Asian low, near the 38.2–50% fib zone, exposes the 0.5668 day low
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via the USD
RBNZ decision Oct 28 01:00 UTC remains the dominant NZD catalyst
00:03 UTC
Rebound off day low, flattening · RSI 48 · price 0.56829
Double bottom at 0.5668, capped at 0.5688 NY high.
The soft NZ CPI slide from the 0.5710 Asia high bottomed twice at 0.5668-0.5669, the day low, during the London-NY transition. The rebound stalled at the 0.5688 NY high, between the 38.2% and 50% fib of the drop. Early Asia is compressing 0.5676-0.5685 above the rollover low, with RSI(14) near 48 and ATR(14) about 3 pips.
Support: 0.56761, 0.56678
Resistance: 0.56876, 0.56994, 0.57102
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.5688 NY high and 50% fib opens the 0.5699 early high
Failure to hold the 0.5676 rollover low puts the 0.5668 day low back in play
US flash PMIs Fri 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read via USD