USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Tuesday, 4 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 60 · price 1.40633
Higher highs and higher lows, capped at weekly high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh weekly high near 1.40798 as crude slid on US-Iran headlines, overriding firm Canadian data. Price now consolidates just below that high, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cycling around 60. The week's higher-low sequence off the 1.399 base remains intact.
Support: 1.40388, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.40728
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 weekly high opens continuation higher
Loss of 1.40388 prior low breaks the week's higher-low structure
ADP Wed and Friday's twin US/Canada jobs reports could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's reopen, climbing from ~1.4003 to a fresh weekly high at 1.40798 into the NY session as the oil slide on US-Iran talks kept the CAD a passenger despite firm domestic data. Price now consolidates just under that high, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back off the extreme. The higher-low sequence stays intact while 1.4040 holds.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4040 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
1.40798 weekly high is the area to watch for rejection or break
Friday's twin US NFP / Canada jobs (12:30 GMT) is the main risk to this read
USDCAD has ground higher off Monday's dip to 1.3990, building a sequence of higher lows into the NY session with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.4050 pivot that capped earlier in the week has flipped to support, though the advance stalled at 1.4080 and has since eased to 1.4064 — oil-led CAD weakness and a firm USD underpin the recovery. RSI(14) cycling in the upper-50s reflects the grind rather than an impulsive push.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4080 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.4050 breaks the rising support and higher-low sequence
Canada jobs + US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT (simultaneous) could reset this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.4064
Higher highs, higher lows into week high.
USDCAD has ground steadily higher through the back half of the week, holding above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding support near the reclaimed 1.4050 pivot. The grind reflects oil-led CAD weakness despite firm domestic data, with the tape stalling just under the 1.4080 week high on the latest push. RSI(14) mid-range at ~57 leaves the advance intact but without fresh momentum extension.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4039, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.4080 extends the week's higher-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.4050 pivot reopens 1.4000 and the 1.3991 weekly low
Canada jobs and US NFP land simultaneously Friday 12:30 GMT — cross-driver risk to this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing off week high · RSI 57 · price 1.40602
Higher lows off 1.3995, holding above pivot.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week off the 1.3995 low, with the NY session pushing to a fresh week high at 1.4080 before easing back to 1.4060. The grind reflects oil-led CAD softness despite firm Canadian data, keeping price above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-range. The 1.4080 area capped the latest push and demand stepped in repeatedly around the reclaimed 1.4050 pivot.
Support: 1.4044, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens the path higher; failure there keeps the week range intact
Loss of 1.4044 threatens the higher-low sequence toward 1.4000
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT land together — cross-driver risk for this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing near week high · RSI 56 · price 1.40602
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher through the NY session, printing a week high at 1.40798 before easing back to 1.4060 as oil-led CAD weakness kept the pair underpinned despite firm Canadian data. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with each pullback finding support at prior higher lows; RSI(14) has cooled off the highs into the mid-50s. The 1.4080 week high capped the latest push and 1.4050 remains the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40388, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.40672
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens continuation toward fresh week highs
Loss of 1.4050 pivot and 1.40388 higher low would break the uptrend structure
Canada jobs vs US NFP land together Fri 12:30 GMT — cross-driver risk for this read
Wed ADP + ISM Services could shift the USD leg materially
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, recovering off the low · RSI 61 · price 1.40675
Higher lows, grinding to week high.
Since the recovery off the ~1.3991 six-week low, USDCAD has carved a series of higher lows and pushed to a week high near 1.4080 in the latest NY session before easing to 1.4067. The grind higher fits the week's oil-led CAD weakness against a firm dollar; price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper-50s to low-60s. The 1.4050 pivot that capped earlier this week now sits below as near support.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40027, 1.3999
Resistance: 1.4080
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 opens room to extend the week's advance
Loss of 1.4050 pivot would break the higher-lows sequence
Friday Canada jobs and US NFP land together and could reset this read
20:01 UTC
Recovery uptrend, near week high · RSI 62 · price 1.40675
Higher lows off Thursday's base, testing week high.
USDCAD recovered from Thursday's dip near 1.3990 and has ground back to the week high at 1.40798, holding above EMA20 and EMA50 through the NY session. The bid reflects oil-led CAD softness on US-Iran headlines, with domestic data beats shrugged off. Momentum has slowed just under 1.4080 after RSI cycled toward the low 60s.
Support: 1.40388, 1.4005, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.40728
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens the path higher; rejection there keeps the week's range capped
Failure to hold 1.40388 breaks the higher-low sequence
Friday 12:30 GMT Canada jobs and US NFP land together — cross-driver risk that could reset this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending into NY · RSI 65 · price 1.40653
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday low.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY transition, clearing the week-long 1.4040-1.4050 pivot and printing session highs near 1.4080 with RSI(14) holding the low-60s. The bid tracks firmer USD on September-hike positioning while softer oil caps the loonie despite strong Canadian PMI and trade beats. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50, with pullbacks this week finding buyers along a rising higher-low line off the 1.3990 base.
Support: 1.4051, 1.4040, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4100
What it said to watch
ADP (Aug 5) and ISM Services could shift the USD leg within the next bars
H1 close back below 1.4050 pivot would break the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above 1.4080 opens the path toward the 1.4100 psych level
Canada jobs + US NFP Friday is the week's decisive catalyst
19:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending off the week low · RSI 61 · price 1.40653
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-week reversal.
USDCAD reversed off the 1.3990 week low and has been grinding higher, reclaiming the 1.4050 pivot that capped price earlier in the week as the USD recovered on Fed tightening bets and oil slid on US-Iran talk hopes. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) around 60, and the latest NY push tagged 1.4080 before easing back to 1.4065. The week high at 1.40798 is the area to watch for rejection or a clean break.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40388, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40798
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens room toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.4050 pivot and 1.40388 swing low breaks the higher-low structure
US ADP/ISM Services tomorrow and Canada jobs Friday are decisive catalysts for this pair
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 66 · price 1.40726
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground higher off the 1.40027 week low, stair-stepping through the 1.4050 pivot and clearing the 1.4065 shelf into the NY session to tag a fresh week high at 1.40798. Price sits above EMA20 with RSI(14) around 66, pullbacks this week finding support near the moving average. CAD stayed soft as sliding oil offset the firmer GDP read, keeping the pair bid under the barrier.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4048, 1.40027
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens the path to the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold the 1.4050 pivot signals loss of upside momentum
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can override this intraday read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, pushing range top · RSI 66 · price 1.40726
Higher highs since Monday's dip, testing week high.
USDCAD has ground higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4050 pivot and printing a week high at 1.40798 as CAD stayed heavy on soft oil. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) around 66, and the prior high near 1.4057 now sits under price as a retest reference. The 1.4110 range top from earlier this week is the next area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4057, 1.4050, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40798 opens the path to the 1.4110 range top
Failure to hold 1.4050 pivot puts the EMA(20) near 1.4040 back in play
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can override this structure
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.40751
Higher highs, higher lows off the week's base.
USD/CAD pushed through the 1.4050 pivot during the NY session and extended a run of higher lows to print a session high at 1.4080. Price is holding above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) in the mid-60s as a broadly firm USD offsets the recovering-oil bid on CAD. The week's 1.3991 base and 1.4050 pivot both held on the way up, framing the current leg.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4039, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4080, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4080 session high opens the 1.4110 range top
Failure to hold the 1.4050 pivot returns price into the week's range
US ADP/ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum building · RSI 68 · price 1.40751
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday's base.
USDCAD has ground steadily higher through the NY session, clearing the 1.4050 pivot and printing a fresh session high at 1.40798 as sliding oil and a firm dollar leave CAD on the back foot. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) pushed toward 68, and each pullback this session has found demand near the rising higher-lows. The 1.4110 range top remains the capping barrier the pair has yet to test.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40388, 1.4010
Resistance: 1.40798, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 range top would extend the breakout
Loss of the 1.4050 pivot invalidates the higher-low sequence
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can override this intraday read
16:02 UTC
Recovery, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.40713
Higher lows off midweek low.
USDCAD has ground higher since the midweek low near 1.3995, printing higher lows and clearing the 1.4050 pivot into the NY session with RSI(14) around 63. Price now sits just under the 1.40760 session high, with the 1.40974 week high the next reference above. The recovery fits the softer-oil, firm-USD backdrop keeping the pair pinned in the upper half of this week's range.
Support: 1.4050, 1.40388, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4076, 1.40974
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40760 opens the path to the 1.40974 week high
Loss of the 1.40500 pivot reopens the 1.40388 swing low
US ADP/ISM Services and Friday's dual US/Canada jobs could shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, extending into resistance · RSI 64 · price 1.40713
Higher lows, recovering off week low.
USDCAD carved a rounded bottom off the 1.4000 week low mid-week and has ground higher into the NY session, printing higher lows and clearing prior resistance with the latest push to 1.4076. Price holds above EMA20 (~1.4051) with RSI(14) around 64, reflecting oil-driven CAD softness as crude slid on US-Iran de-escalation. The session high at 1.4076 is the immediate cap ahead of the 1.4097 week high.
Support: 1.4051, 1.4039, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4076, 1.4097, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4076 opens the path toward the 1.4097 week high and 1.4110 barrier
Loss of 1.4051 ema20 and 1.4039 swing low would break the higher-low sequence
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can override this read
15:02 UTC
Recovery, higher lows · RSI 58 · price 1.40568
Rising off Sunday low, capped below week highs.
USDCAD has ground out a sequence of higher lows since the Sunday reopen, lifting from 1.4003 back toward the week's ceiling as sliding oil kept CAD on the back foot. Price sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, but the 1.40728 day high has capped the latest NY push. The broader week remains boxed between the 1.3991 low and the 1.4110 barrier.
Support: 1.4043, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40728, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40728 opens the path to the 1.4110 range top
Failure to hold 1.4043 exposes 1.4000 and the 1.3991 weekly low
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can override this intraday structure
15:02 UTC
Near-term uptrend within broader range · RSI 61 · price 1.40568
Recovering from week lows, higher lows into NY.
USDCAD has clawed back from the 1.3992/1.4000 June-low zone through the week, printing higher lows and grinding into the NY session with RSI(14) cycling mid-50s to low-60s on each pullback. The 1.40728 day high has capped the latest push, keeping price boxed under the 1.4110 range top; CAD remains an oil proxy after last week's GDP beat failed to lift the Loonie. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50, but the broader read stays range-bound below the weekly open at 1.40869.
Support: 1.40388, 1.40099, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40728, 1.40869, 1.4099
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40728 day high opens the path to the 1.40869 weekly open and 1.40990 week high
Failure to hold 1.40388 swing low exposes 1.40099 and the 1.4000 june low
Dual US/Canada jobs Friday can materially shift this range read
14:02 UTC
Range, upside grind late · RSI 61 · price 1.40632
Week-long range, price near top.
USDCAD has been boxed in a 1.4000-1.4110 range all week, with the 1.4050 pivot repeatedly recovered as the Loonie tracks oil tick-for-tick under a firm USD. Since the weekend reopen price has ground higher, printing a session high at 1.4073 and holding above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 61. The recovery is a roughly two-thirds retrace of Monday's drop from 1.4099 into the 1.3991 weekly low.
Support: 1.4050, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4073, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 opens the path toward this-week's upside barrier
Failure to hold 1.4050 pivot puts 1.4000/1.3991 back in play
Canada jobs + US NFP Friday 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst and could reset this range
14:02 UTC
Recovering, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.40632
Range, testing upper half.
USDCAD has ground back to the top of its weekly 1.4000-1.4110 range, basing near the 1.3991 six-week low earlier in the week before demand stepped in through the NY session. Price sits above both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) pushing into the low-60s as the latest leg cleared prior consolidation around 1.4045 toward a session high of 1.4073. Softer oil and a firm USD have underpinned the recovery, keeping the pair pinned to the upper end of its range.
Support: 1.4045, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4073, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4110 opens the range-top break; failure keeps the range intact
Loss of the 1.4045 pivot re-exposes the 1.4000 psych floor and 1.3991 low
JOLTS/Factory Orders today plus Friday's dual US/Canada jobs prints could reset this range
13:02 UTC
Grinding higher within week range · RSI 63 · price 1.40632
Recovery off week low, testing range top.
USDCAD has ground back off the 1.3990 week low toward the 1.4065 range top, with the pair holding above EMA20 through the current session as crude softness keeps the Loonie on the back foot. The move retraced most of Monday's drop, and RSI(14) sits mid-60s pressing into the week high. The 1.4000-1.4065 range that has framed this week is still intact, with 1.4065 capping the latest push.
Support: 1.4046, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 week low
Canada Manufacturing PMI 13:30 UTC and US JOLTS 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend into range top · RSI 62 · price 1.40632
Higher lows since Monday, pressing week resistance.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's reopen, building a series of higher lows off 1.4003 with RSI(14) holding in the upper half and price sitting above EMA(20). The pair is now pressing the 1.4065 session high, aided by a firm dollar after the strong US ISM print, though the 1.4099 week high and 1.4110 barrier still cap the range above. Pullbacks this week have found demand into the 1.4040 pivot.
Support: 1.4040, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4099, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 exposes the 1.4099 week high
Loss of 1.4040 pivot breaks the rising-low sequence
Canada Manufacturing PMI and US JOLTS today could shift the range read
USDCAD has held a tight 1.3990–1.4065 range all week, with the Loonie pressured by soft crude but the downside cushioned by firm Canadian GDP. Price has drifted back to the range top through the NY session, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range near 58 — the 1.4065 cap has contained rallies repeatedly. Higher-lows off the 1.3990 base give a mild upward tilt within the range.
Support: 1.4039, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4065 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Loss of 1.4000 psych re-exposes the 1.3990 week low
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC and Canada Manufacturing PMI 13:30 UTC could break the range
12:02 UTC
Range, mild upward drift · RSI 61 · price 1.40569
Range-bound, coiling near range top.
USDCAD has been glued to the 1.4040-1.4065 area since the reopen, with CAD kept soft by the oil slump while firmer Canadian data caps downside. Price is pressing the range top into the NY session as RSI(14) cycles in the upper-50s/low-60s, holding above EMA20 and EMA50. The 1.3991 weekly low remains the anchor of this week's base.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3991 weekly low
US JOLTS 14:00 UTC and Canada PMI 13:30 UTC could shift this range read
11:02 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.40426
Consolidating below 1.4050 pivot.
USDCAD has spent this week coiling under the 1.4050 pivot after Monday's slide from 1.4105 bottomed near 1.3990, with rebounding oil capping the topside and hawkish-Fed flows underpinning the buck. Price is pinned around EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50, and the NY session move stalled after a rejection at 1.4065. The 1.4000 support zone has held on every dip since Tuesday, keeping the range intact.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4050 pivot opens the path back toward the 1.4110 barrier
Loss of the 1.4000 support zone exposes the 1.3990 week low
JOLTS today and ADP/ISM Services Wed could shift the USD leg of this range
Friday's Canada jobs alongside US NFP is the dominant risk into week-end
11:02 UTC
Range-bound, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.40426
Consolidation below 1.4050 pivot after week-low recovery.
USDCAD sold from Monday's 1.4100 open to a 1.3992 week low before grinding back into a tight range beneath the 1.4050 pivot, with oil's bounce offsetting a firmer dollar. RSI(14) is cycling around 50 and price is pinned near EMA(20), with the 1.4065 week high capping and demand stepping in around 1.4039. Price is coiling into Friday's Canada jobs double-header.
Support: 1.4039, 1.4000, 1.3992
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path to the 1.4110 upside barrier
Loss of 1.4000 exposes the 1.3992 week low
Canada jobs and US NFP Friday could break this range
USDCAD has traded a 1.3990–1.4065 range all week, with the Loonie capped by soft crude while a firm USD held the downside. NY hours yesterday pushed price to the 1.40650 week high but it was rejected, and the pair has since slipped back below the 1.4050 pivot and EMA(20). RSI(14) sits mid-40s, consistent with the sideways read.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4050 pivot reopens the 1.40650 week high
Failure to hold 1.4000 round number exposes the 1.39904 week low
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC today could inject range volatility
10:01 UTC
Range, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.40377
Consolidation below 1.4050 pivot.
USDCAD dropped from 1.4105 early in the week to a low near 1.3990 before recovering into a two-day range roughly 1.4000-1.4065. Price is grinding just below the 1.4050 pivot with RSI(14) hovering near neutral, and sits back below EMA(20) after failing to hold Wednesday's push to 1.4065. Softer oil has kept CAD on the back foot, but crude's bounce is capping upside, leaving the pair rangebound into US JOLTS.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4050 pivot opens the path to 1.4065/1.4110
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3990 week low
US JOLTS at 14:00 UTC could shift this range read
09:02 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 1.40377
Sideways between 1.4000 and 1.4110.
USDCAD remains boxed between the 1.4000 psych floor and the 1.4110 range top, trading as an oil/USD proxy per the digest with BoC on hold. The 1.4050 pivot has capped repeated NY-session attempts this week, the latest a rejection off 1.4065 back toward the mid-range. Price sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50, RSI hovering near 46.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4050, 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4050 pivot opens 1.4065 then the 1.4110 range top
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.3991 2wk low
Canada jobs Fri and US ADP/ISM Services Wed could break this range
USDCAD sold off from Monday's 1.4106 toward the 1.3991 two-week low, then ground back up on higher lows to a 1.4065 session high before rejecting. Price now sits below EMA20 around 1.4038 as the pair consolidates in the 1.4000-1.4065 band, trading as an oil/USD proxy with BoC on extended hold. RSI(14) has cycled back to neutral after the failed push at 1.4065.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path to the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 reopens the 1.3991 two-week low
Canada jobs Fri and ISM Services Wed are the week's catalysts
USDCAD slid toward the 1.3991 week low early in the window as crude sold off on US-Iran talk hopes, then recovered and has ranged 1.4000–1.4065 since. Price is holding above the H1 EMA(20) with a series of higher lows, and the latest push tagged 1.4065 before easing back to 1.4050. RSI(14) cycling mid-range, no divergence.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39916
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3991 week low
Fri Canada + US jobs double-header is the week's key catalyst for this pair
Ascending off Monday's low, capped below week high.
Since the weekly open near the 1.4000 psych level, USDCAD has ground higher-lows through the London and NY sessions, with a stronger US ISM print and slumping crude keeping the CAD on the back foot. The 1.40650 week high capped the latest push before price eased back toward 1.4050; RSI(14) is cycling mid-range without divergence. Price holds above both EMA20 and EMA50, pullbacks so far finding the ascending support.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40650 week high opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold the 1.4000 psych level exposes the 1.39900 week low
Canada + US jobs Friday are the twin catalysts that could reset this range
07:02 UTC
Recovering off week low, range top break attempt · RSI 62 · price 1.40597
Range with rising lows, testing top.
USDCAD spent the last two sessions boxed between 1.4000 and the 1.4053 range top after mid-week selling bottomed near the 1.3990 June low. The pair pushed up to 1.4065 into the London session, clearing the range top as USD firmed on the ISM Manufacturing beat while CAD stayed heavy on the oil slump. Price now sits above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) around 61, holding the 61.8% retrace of the week's decline.
Support: 1.4043, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.4043 pulls price back into the prior range
Sustained hold above 1.4065 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Canada + US jobs Fri 12:30 GMT are the week's twin catalysts
USDCAD sold from Monday's ~1.4100 open down to 1.3995 mid-week as crude slumped on US-Iran talk hopes, then based and coiled 1.4000-1.4065. Price has reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50 with the latest NY push lifting it to 1.4065 before closing 1.40597. Range top is being tested but not yet broken.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991, 1.4040
Resistance: 1.4065, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4065 opens the path toward 1.4110
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3991 June low
Canada jobs and US NFP Fri 12:30 GMT are the twin catalysts for this range
06:02 UTC
Sideways, off last week's low · RSI 56 · price 1.40522
Range above 1.4000 after prior-week flush.
USDCAD has coiled in a tight 1.4000–1.4053 range since Monday's open, having stabilised after last week's flush toward the 1.3995 swing low on the crude slump. Price sits near the 50% retrace of that prior-week drop, holding just above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range around 56. The week high at 1.40531 has capped attempts twice, while the 1.4000 psych level continues to hold the base.
Support: 1.4000, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.40531, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40531 opens the path toward 1.4090/1.4110
Failure to hold 1.4000 exposes the 1.3995 swing low
Fri Canada jobs + US NFP are the twin catalysts that could break this range
06:02 UTC
Mild uptrend since Monday's open · RSI 61 · price 1.40522
Higher lows grinding into week high.
Since Monday's open near 1.4006, USDCAD has ground higher on a sequence of rising lows, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range and price holding above EMA20/EMA50. CAD stayed soft as crude slumped on US-Iran talk hopes, but the pair lacks conviction — the week high at 1.4053 has capped the latest push. Range remains contained between the weekly open and that resistance.
Support: 1.4006, 1.4000, 1.3995
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4058, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 opens the path to prior high 1.4058 and the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych exposes the 1.3995 week low
Friday's Canada jobs alongside US NFP is the twin catalyst that could break this range
USDCAD slid to a six-week low near 1.3991 mid-week on broad USD softness, then recovered and has traded a tight 1.402-1.405 range into Friday's NY session, coiling around EMA20 at ~1.4044. CAD stays soft with crude slumping on US-Iran talk hopes, but the pair lacks direction ahead of jobs data. The session high at 1.4051 has capped the last several attempts while the 1.4000 psych holds below.
Support: 1.40268, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.40583, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4051 session high opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold the friday low and 1.4000 psych reopens the june low at 1.3991
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this range read
USDCAD flushed from Monday's 1.4106 high to a 1.3990 low mid-week as crude slumped on US-Iran talk hopes, then recovered into a tight 1.404-1.405 consolidation through the last two sessions. Price is pinned at EMA(20) with RSI(14) flat near 50, and volatility has compressed sharply into the NY-Asia handover. The 1.4051 week high has capped rallies while 1.4000 psychological support has held.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4000 opens a retest of the 1.3991 week low
H1 close above 1.4051 exposes the 1.4110 barrier
ADP Wed 12:15 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could break this compression
Consolidation above 1.4000, higher lows off the week low.
USDCAD opened the week near 1.409 and slid through mid-week to a 1.3990 low as crude weakness pressured CAD, then recovered to consolidate around 1.404 into the current NY hours. Price is sitting on a 38–50% retrace of that decline with RSI(14) cycling near 50 and EMA20 flattening beneath it; the 1.4053 range top has capped the last two recovery attempts.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.3990
Resistance: 1.40531, 1.40583, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 opens the path toward 1.4110
Loss of 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3990 week low
ADP and ISM Services Wed could shift this range read
Canada jobs Friday is the primary CAD catalyst
04:02 UTC
Recovered off week low, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.40428
Tight consolidation after decline and bounce.
Price fell from the week high near 1.4106 to a low at 1.3990 mid-week before recovering to the mid-1.404s, where it has coiled in a tight range through the NY session with RSI(14) parked near neutral. CAD softness on the oil slide has been offset by the week's earlier USD-driven pullback, leaving the pair pinned around EMA(20) at 1.4043. The range top at 1.40531 has capped the last few attempts.
Support: 1.4039, 1.4000, 1.39904
Resistance: 1.40531, 1.4100
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40531 range top opens the path back toward 1.41000
Failure to hold 1.40000 psych re-exposes the 1.39904 week low
Canada & US jobs Friday 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this pair
USDCAD recovered from last week's low near 1.3995 and has ground higher through this week, printing a chain of higher lows since Monday's open around 1.4006 as softer crude kept CAD on the back foot. Price is now consolidating just below the 1.4051 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI mid-50s. Momentum has flattened into the tight 1.4042-1.4051 range this session.
Support: 1.40057, 1.39948
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4051 week high opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Loss of the 1.4006 weekly open reopens the 1.3995 week low
US JOLTS/Factory Orders today and Wed ADP + ISM Services could materially shift this read
Consolidation above Monday's low after mid-week flush.
Since Monday's gap-lower open near 1.4006, USD/CAD has ground higher with a sequence of higher lows, but the week high at 1.4053 has capped the recovery. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.4040–1.4050 band into the Asia session, with CAD kept soft by this week's oil slump. RSI(14) is mid-range and momentum has flattened as the market waits on the data cluster.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.40531, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 week high opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4027 week low reopens 1.4000 psych and June low 1.3991
US ADP + ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read into Friday's jobs
02:02 UTC
Downtrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 1.40438
Range above a mid-week base.
USDCAD opened the week near 1.4097 and sold off through Monday-Tuesday to a base around 1.3990, where buyers stepped in twice as broad USD softness faded. Since Wednesday price has recovered and is consolidating in the 1.404 zone, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range; the 1.4051 swing high has capped the rebound while oil weakness keeps CAD soft. The 1.4000 psych level and 1.3990 week low remain the base under the range.
Support: 1.40385, 1.4000, 1.3999
Resistance: 1.40512, 1.40583, 1.40674
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.40512 opens the path to 1.40583/1.40674
Loss of 1.4000/1.3990 confirms a fresh lower low
Canada & US jobs Fri 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD carved a series of higher lows off this week's 1.3991 low, grinding back above 1.4040 as crude softened on US-Iran diplomacy headlines. Price is pinned around EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 and the last several hours coiling into a tight 1.4028-1.4051 range. The recovery has stalled just under the 1.4051 week high, with the NY session failing to force a clean break.
Support: 1.4028, 1.4006, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.4058, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4051 opens the path toward 1.4058 then the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4028 exposes the 1.4006 week open and 1.3991 low
Fri US & Canada jobs (12:30 GMT) is the key catalyst for this range
USDCAD washed down to a six-week low near 1.3991 earlier in the week before demand stepped in around the 1.4000 psych mark, and price has ground back up on a chain of higher lows. It now sits just under 1.4051, capped there after two attempts, with RSI(14) cycling mid-range as crude softness keeps CAD on the back foot. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50), which have shepherded the recovery.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4051, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4051 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3991 six-week low
Friday's Canada jobs + US NFP double-header could reset this read
Higher lows since Monday open, capped near 1.4053.
USD/CAD recovered off the 1.3991 six-week low and has ground higher since Monday's open, printing higher lows into the 1.4053 area where supply has capped this week. CAD stays pressured by the softer crude tape after US-Iran de-escalation, though a heavy USD keeps the topside contained. RSI(14) is cycling near 54 with price holding above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 opens the path toward the 1.4110 barrier
Failure to hold the 1.4000 psych level re-exposes the 1.3991 week low
Canada jobs and US NFP double-header Friday could materially shift this read
USDCAD based near the 1.3991 six-week low mid-week and has ground higher above EMA(20) since Monday's reopen, tracking the softer oil tape after US-Iran de-escalation. Price now sits into the 50% retracement of the prior selloff near 1.4048, with the wk high at 1.4053 capping the last two attempts. RSI(14) mid-range around 57 — the recovery lacks fresh momentum.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3991
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4110
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 opens the path toward the 1.4110 100-day sma
Failure to hold 1.4000 psych reopens the 1.3991 six-week low
Canada jobs + US NFP Friday 12:30 GMT could reset this read
Consolidating near week highs after recovery off 1.3992.
USDCAD recovered from the 1.3992 weekly low back above 1.4000 as crude slid on US-Iran de-escalation, easing the oil premium that had supported CAD. Since the weekend gap the pair has ground higher into 1.4053, but the last stretch of NY-into-Asia hours has flattened into a tight consolidation with RSI(14) mid-range and price hugging EMA(20). The 1.4053 week high has capped the topside twice.
Support: 1.4027, 1.4000, 1.3992
Resistance: 1.4053, 1.4099
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4053 opens the path toward the 1.4099 prior high
Failure to hold 1.4027 exposes the 1.4000 psych level and 1.3992 weekly low
ADP Wed and the Canada/US jobs double-header Fri could materially shift this read