USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Monday, 6 July 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Pullback from session high, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.42058
Consolidating near 1.4200 after rolling over from 1.4238.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.42383 session high and sold to 1.41955 before stabilising; price now churns in a tight 1.4200–1.4209 band during thin late-Asia hours. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 46 with price under both EMAs, no momentum in either direction.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.42186, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42090 reopens the 1.42186 swing
Loss of 1.41955 confirms a lower low
Canada jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the week's catalysts, outside this window
23:46 UTC
Pullback stalling, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.42058
Tight consolidation below session high after rejection.
USDCAD rejected the 1.42383 session high and drifted back, now ranging thinly between 1.4203 and 1.4208 through the quiet Asia session on very light volume. Price sits just under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 47 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.4203, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.42086, 1.42248, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42030 opens the path back to the 1.41955 session low
Reclaim of 1.42086 range top would target the 1.42248 prior high
Ivey PMI (Jul 7) and Fri Canada jobs are the near-term catalysts for this pair
23:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.42045
Consolidating after rejection off 1.42383.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.42383 through the NY session then faded back to 1.4200 as USD firmed only modestly. Thin Asian-session volume now, ranging 1.4200-1.4213 with price sitting under EMA20 and RSI(14) mid-range near 44.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42130 reopens the path toward the 1.42383 session high
Break below 1.41955 session low confirms a lower low
Canada Ivey PMI and FOMC Minutes later this week could shift this read
NY session pushed to a 1.42383 session high before fading through thin late-session trade, printing a 1.41955 low. Price now consolidates in a tight 1.42030-1.42090 band, capped under EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.4203, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.4220, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42090 reopens the 1.42200 swing
Break of 1.41955 confirms a lower-low into Asia
Ivey PMI later today could shift CAD tone
23:16 UTC
Pulled back from highs, now flat · RSI 47 · price 1.42058
Consolidation in low 1.4200s after NY leg down.
USD/CAD rolled off the 1.4238 session high made during NY hours and drifted back to 1.4205, now flat in thin Asian trade. RSI(14) sits neutral near 47; price is holding a tight range between the 1.41955 session low and 1.4213 swing high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41955 confirms a lower low
reclaim of 1.4213 reopens the 1.4238 day high
Ivey PMI and Canada jobs later this week could reprice the range
23:16 UTC
Downtrend off midday peak, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.42058
Lower highs into 1.41955 low, consolidating.
USDCAD slid from the midday peak at 1.42383 to a session low of 1.41955, and is now consolidating near 1.4206 in a thin, late-session tape. RSI(14) sits neutral around 46 and price holds below EMA20/50; a shallow 1.4200 hold has capped the downside for now.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.42248
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42090 minor resistance would ease the intraday downtrend read
Volume is thin late-session; a return of London liquidity could expand the range
23:02 UTC
Downtrend off NY high, now flat · RSI 46 · price 1.4205
Lower highs since 1.4238, chopping near session low.
USD/CAD peaked at 1.4238 around the NY morning then rolled over, grinding back to 1.4205 in thin Asian-hours trade. The session low at 1.41955 was swept and reclaimed; price now consolidates below the 1.4213 pivot with RSI mid-range.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4196 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4213 needed to challenge the lower-high structure
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset the USD read
23:02 UTC
Pullback, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.4205
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD faded from the 1.4238 session high and is now consolidating around 1.4205 in thin Asia-hours trade, price back below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range. A quick dip to 1.41955 was recovered, keeping the pair boxed between session low and the 1.4218 swing.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4218, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4218 swing high reopens the 1.4238 session high
Loss of 1.41955 session low confirms a lower-low
Canada Ivey PMI (Jul 7) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the next catalysts
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.4238 session high before fading back below both EMAs; Asia hours are consolidating around 1.4207 on thin volume. Price is holding above the 1.4196 low, with USD firm on the safe-haven bid and CAD soft near 15-month highs.
Support: 1.4196, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.4238
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4196 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.4213 negates the intraday pullback
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves ahead of London
NY session peaked at 1.42383 then rolled over to a 1.41955 session low before stabilising around 1.4207 into Asia on thin volume. USD/CAD holds near 15-month-high territory with CAD offered on trade/USMCA risk; price now caught between the 1.4200 psych level and the 1.42130 swing high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.4228
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42130 swing high reopens the path to 1.42280 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41955 session low confirms a lower low
Late-session liquidity is thin — moves may not sustain into Asia
22:31 UTC
Pullback from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.42064
Faded off 1.4238, consolidating near session lows.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.42383 session high and is consolidating just above 1.4200 in thin late-session trade, price under both EMAs. RSI(14) neutral-soft near 44; the 1.41955 low held on the last dip and price is grinding sideways.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42142, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Break of 1.41955 confirms a lower-low and reopens 1.4200 psych
Reclaim of 1.42142 lower high needed to challenge the 1.42383 session high
Liquidity is thin at the session turn — moves prone to whipsaw
Lower highs off session high, now consolidating near lows.
USDCAD drifted lower off the 1.42367 session high through NY hours, printing a chain of lower highs into a late low at 1.41955; price now consolidates around 1.4206 in thin Asia-hours flow with both EMAs overhead. CAD's soft undertone near 15-month highs keeps the pair bid-supported, but momentum has flattened as volume drains.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4203
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42367
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42130 needed to challenge the descending sequence of lower highs
Close below 1.41955 confirms a fresh lower low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
22:17 UTC
Faded from session high, now flat · RSI 44 · price 1.42052
Pullback into consolidation above 1.4200.
USD/CAD faded from the 1.4238 NY-session high and ground lower through the afternoon, now consolidating around 1.4205 just above the 1.4200 round level with price below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) is cooling in the mid-40s; thin late-session bars printed a 1.41955 low before recovering.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.4215, 1.42383
What it said to watch
close below 1.41955 session low opens the path toward 1.4185
reclaim of 1.4215 needed to threaten the 1.4238 session high
Ivey PMI (Jul 7) could shift the CAD read
22:16 UTC
Pulled back from highs, momentum flat · RSI 45 · price 1.42052
Faded off 1.4238 peak, now ranging above 1.4200.
USDCAD faded from the 1.42383 NY high back to 1.4205 through the late US session on thinning volume, holding above the 1.4200 handle near 15-month-high territory. RSI(14) cooled to the mid-40s and price is now ranging between 1.41955 and 1.4209 into the close.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4203
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41955 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4203 downside
Reclaim of 1.4216 prior high needed to challenge the 1.4238 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
22:02 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 41 · price 1.42026
Rolled off 1.4238, lower highs into 1.4200.
USD/CAD rejected the 1.42383 session high and drifted back through 1.4200 into the late-NY/Asia handover on thin volume, RSI(14) cooling near 41. Price is grinding along the session low at 1.41986 with the 1.4200 round number now capping.
Support: 1.41986, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42085, 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.42085 negates the pullback read
Failure to hold 1.41986 exposes further downside below 1.4200
Thin late-session liquidity can exaggerate moves into the Asia open
22:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, fading from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.42026
Lower highs off 1.4238, now basing near 1.4200.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.4238 through NY and is now basing near the 1.4200 round number in thin late-session trade, price below EMA20/50. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after cooling with the pullback; a brief dip tagged the session low at 1.41955 before recovering.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4210, 1.42186, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41955 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.42100 prior swing needed to negate the intraday downtrend
Thin late-session volume — moves prone to overshoot
21:46 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY high · RSI 43 · price 1.42066
Lower highs off 1.4238, ranging near session lows.
USD/CAD topped at 1.4238 during the NY session then rolled over into a steady decline, printing lower highs down to 1.4204. Price is now consolidating near the session lows in thin Asian trade, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range around 43.
Support: 1.42035, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4213 invalidates the lower-high pullback read
Break below 1.4194 extends the decline
Canada jobs (Fri) and FOMC minutes ahead as macro drivers
21:46 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 44 · price 1.42066
Lower highs off 1.4238, testing 1.4200 floor.
USDCAD topped near 1.4238 during the NY session and has since ground lower, printing a double top around 1.4235-1.4238 before rejecting. Buyers stepped in at 1.41955 and price reclaimed the 1.4200 handle; RSI(14) cooling near 44 as momentum flattens into thin late-session flow.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41955 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42130 needed to re-test the 1.4238 session high
FOMC minutes Wed could materially shift this read
21:31 UTC
Pulled back from session high, drifting lower · RSI 43 · price 1.42049
Intraday range, lower highs off 1.4238.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42383 before fading through the afternoon on modest USD strength; price now drifts near 1.4205 in thin Asia-open trade, holding below EMA20/50. RSI(14) around 43 with structure carving lower highs off the peak.
Support: 1.4203, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42215, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41935 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.4213 needed to re-challenge the 1.42383 session high
21:31 UTC
Pullback after topping near 1.4238 · RSI 43 · price 1.42049
Lower highs off session high, retracing prior up leg.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.4238 session high and printed a chain of lower highs through NY, now hovering at 1.4205 after a sweep of 1.41955 and a shallow bounce. Price trades below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) mid-40s — momentum has cooled from the earlier grind higher.
Support: 1.4195, 1.4155
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.4238
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4195 confirms a lower low and reopens 1.4155
Reclaim of 1.4225 negates the lower-high sequence
21:16 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.42024
Lower highs since 1.4238 peak, drifting toward session lows.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.42383 through late NY, printing lower highs and sliding back toward the 1.4200 round number on thinning volume into the session close. USD held a firm safe-haven bid this week, but this leg is a routine intraday retrace with RSI(14) cooling near 38.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41955
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.42186, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41955 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of 1.42090 pivot negates the current downside drift
Thin late-session volume can exaggerate moves into Asia open
21:16 UTC
Pullback from session high, near-term down · RSI 41 · price 1.42024
Lower highs off 1.4238, testing 1.4200.
USDCAD rolled off the session high at 1.4238 through NY and into Asia, carving lower highs down to the 1.4196 session low. RSI(14) has cooled near 40 and price sits below EMA20/50, with the 1.4200 psych level now in play.
Support: 1.41955, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4209, 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.4216 negates the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.4196 session low opens room toward 1.4150
Canada jobs Jul 10 12:30 UTC the next major catalyst for the pair
USD/CAD rolled over from the 1.4238 session high, carving lower highs through NY hours and now breaking the 1.42085 shelf that held earlier to test session lows near 1.4204. RSI(14) sub-45 with no oversold signal; pair sits just below the 61.8% retrace of the day's advance despite the broadly firm-USD, soft-CAD backdrop.
Support: 1.42031, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42085, 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4200 psych extends the intraday leg lower
Reclaim of the 1.42085 shelf neutralizes the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs (Jul 10) remains the dominant CAD catalyst beyond this window
USDCAD rallied through the NY session to a high of 1.42383 before rolling over into a lower-high sequence, now drifting toward session lows near 1.42030 as NY winds down. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) around 39; the earlier bid near cycle highs has faded.
Support: 1.4203, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.4228, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42000 confirms the lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.42130 pivot would neutralise the down-leg
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this intraday read
20:46 UTC
Pulling back off session high, momentum soft · RSI 44 · price 1.42077
Lower highs since 1.4238 peak, basing near lows.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.42383 on USD firmness before rolling over into a chain of lower highs; price now bases around 1.4207 below both EMAs. RSI(14) mid-40s and flat — consolidation rather than a fresh impulse, holding just above the 1.42031 swing low.
Support: 1.42031, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42031 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4200 round number
Reclaim of 1.42160 recent pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.4238 and drifted lower through the NY session, printing lower highs into a 1.42031 session low. Price is now flat around 1.4208 below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s; holding just above the 1.42053 swing low.
Support: 1.42053, 1.42031, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42248, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42031 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.42248 prior high negates the fading momentum read
Canada jobs Fri 12:30 UTC is the dominant CAD catalyst
USDCAD faded from the 1.4238 session high through NY hours and is now consolidating around 1.4205-1.4210, holding the session low into the NY close. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits below both EMAs; CAD stays soft near 15-month highs with no fresh catalyst in this window.
Support: 1.42053, 1.42021
Resistance: 1.42177, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4205 exposes the 1.42021 prior low
Reclaim of 1.4216 needed to re-approach the 1.4238 session high
20:31 UTC
Pullback off session high, ranging near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.42088
Lower highs since 1.42383 peak, holding 1.4205 support.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.42383 during the London-NY overlap then rolled over, sliding back to test the 1.4205 zone near the 61.8% fib of the day's advance. Price now sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s, drifting sideways in the last hour of NY.
Support: 1.42053, 1.42031
Resistance: 1.42155, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42031 confirms a lower-low
reclaim of 1.42155 negates the pullback structure
FOMC Minutes Jul 8 and Canada jobs Jul 10 are the dominant catalysts ahead
20:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.42081
Lower highs off 1.4238 session peak.
USDCAD drifted off the 1.4238 session high through late NY hours, printing lower highs as RSI(14) cooled to the low-40s. Price now hovers 1.4208 after buyers stepped in twice around 1.4205; the 1.4216 pivot caps the immediate topside.
Support: 1.42053, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.4216, 1.42315, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42053 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4193
Reclaim of 1.4216 puts the 1.4238 session high back in play
Canada jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the dominant catalysts ahead
20:16 UTC
Intraday drift lower off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.42081
Lower highs since 1.4238, testing session lows.
USDCAD faded from the 1.42383 session high through NY hours and sits back at 1.42081 near session lows, RSI(14) cooling to the low 40s. Sellers pressed lower highs after the failed push above 1.4230; pair holding just above the 1.42050 base while parked near 15-month cycle highs.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4214, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42050 confirms a fresh lower-low and opens 1.4200
Reclaim of 1.42140 negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs Jul 10 is the dominant catalyst for this pair
Lower highs off session high, testing 1.4200 area.
USDCAD rolled over from the 1.42383 session high and printed a chain of lower highs into 1.42049 during late NY hours, RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price now sits just above the 1.42031 session low and the 1.4200 psych, below both EMAs.
Support: 1.42031, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42147, 1.42285, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42031 opens the 1.4200 psych level
Reclaim of 1.42147 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
Canada jobs (Fri) and FOMC minutes (Wed) are the dominant catalysts ahead
20:02 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 40 · price 1.42049
Lower highs after rejection at 1.4238.
NY session rejected the 1.4238 swing high and has ground steadily lower to 1.4205, printing a chain of lower highs with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. Sellers capping intraday bounces around 1.4216 while price sits just above the 1.4203 session low; CAD stayed soft near 15-month highs on dovish-BoC tone.
Support: 1.42031, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42031 session low confirms continuation of the lower-high sequence
Reclaim of 1.42160 pivot would neutralise the pullback read
Canada jobs (Jul 10) is the dominant catalyst but sits outside this bar window
19:46 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.42042
Lower highs into session low.
USDCAD stalled at the 1.42383 session high and has ground lower through the NY session, printing lower highs and now sitting on the session low at 1.42042. Price is below EMA20 and EMA50 on this TF with RSI near 40, marking a pullback from the earlier grind higher.
Support: 1.42042, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.42383
What it said to watch
A close back above 1.42130 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.42042 exposes the 1.42000 round number
Canada jobs (Fri 12:30 UTC) is the dominant upcoming catalyst for the pair
19:46 UTC
NY rally faded, rolling lower · RSI 41 · price 1.42042
Lower highs off 1.4238 session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.4238 high before fading, and price has since carved lower highs back to the session low at 1.4204. RSI(14) sits near 40 as the pair drifts off the top; USD held bid near 15-month highs but CAD couldn't capitalise on the oil bounce.
Support: 1.42042, 1.41985
Resistance: 1.4215, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4204 opens a move toward 1.41985
Lower highs off session high, testing session low.
NY session drifted lower after rejection at the 1.42383 session high, price now grinding on the 1.42069 session low with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s. Move has retraced ~62% of the London-NY leg up from 1.4193; sits below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.42069, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42186, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42069 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4193
Reclaim of 1.42186 negates the micro pullback
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's swing risk for USD
USDCAD rejected the 1.4238 session high and has drifted back to 1.4208, now grinding along the lows with RSI mid-range. USD stayed firm through the session on the Hormuz safe-haven bid, but the pair has stalled inside a tight range for the last several hours.
Support: 1.42069, 1.4200, 1.4185
Resistance: 1.42165, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42069 session low exposes the 1.4200 round number and 1.4185 prior low
Reclaim of 1.42383 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
Canada jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the swing risks for this pair
19:16 UTC
Pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.42072
Lower highs since 1.4238 peak.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.4238 and has ground out lower highs into the late NY session, now slipping to 1.4207 below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 40. Pair stays parked near 15-month highs on firm USD tone; no fresh momentum, just an orderly fade.
Support: 1.4207, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4215, 1.4238
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4200 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.4215 ema20 needed to threaten the session high again
Canada jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the swing risks for this pair
USDCAD faded from the 1.4238 session high through late NY, printing a chain of lower highs down to 1.42072, right at the session low, with RSI(14) cooling into the high-30s. Supply capped repeatedly near 1.4215; the pair is now testing whether the 1.42069 floor holds.
Support: 1.42069, 1.4204
Resistance: 1.4215, 1.4228, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42069 confirms a lower low and opens continuation
Reclaim of 1.4215 needed to re-challenge the 1.4238 session high
Canada jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the dominant swing catalysts
Late NY hours: USDCAD retraced roughly 50% of the London-NY push into the 1.4238 session high and is now hovering near 1.4210, in line with the firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop keeping the pair pinned near cycle highs. Descending highs from 1.4238 to 1.4197 cap the pullback while buyers held the 1.4207 swing low; RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s with ATR around 5 pips.
Support: 1.42073, 1.42061
Resistance: 1.42197, 1.42342, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42073 confirms a lower low toward the 61.8% fib at 1.42061
Reclaim above the 1.42197 lower high reopens the 1.42342 prior high and 1.42383 session high
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.42103
Lower highs since 1.4238 peak, holding above 1.4207.
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.4238 during NY hours then rejected, printing a chain of lower highs as it drifts back to 1.4210 — the 61.8% retrace of the day's rally. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.4207 swing low with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s.
Support: 1.42073, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42285, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42073 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4200
Reclaim of 1.42285 puts the 1.4238 session high back in play
FOMC minutes and Canada jobs later this week are the dominant catalysts
18:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.42096
Lower highs off session high, consolidating near lows.
NY session rejected the 1.42383 session high and rolled over into a chain of lower highs, USD/CAD now grinding down toward the 1.42085 swing low with RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. Price is holding below EMA20/50 with the pair pinned near cycle highs on firm USD; drift is corrective within the broader up-move.
Support: 1.42085, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4216, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42085 opens the path to the 1.42000 round number
Reclaim of the 1.42160 range top would neutralise the lower-high sequence
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 42 · price 1.42096
Lower highs off session high, sagging to session low.
USDCAD rejected the session high at 1.42383 during NY hours and drifted back to the session low near 1.42085, RSI(14) cooled into the low 40s. Price is now consolidating just above 1.42085 with firm USD tone keeping downside contained.
Support: 1.42085, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42177, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42085 confirms a lower low toward the psych 1.42000
Reclaim of 1.42177 reopens the path to the 1.42383 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD retook 1.4200 and pushed to a session high of 1.42383 during NY hours before fading. Price now coils tightly around 1.4214 below EMA20, RSI(14) neutral near 44 with ATR compressed to ~6 pips — range-bound between 1.4210 and 1.4225 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42250 reopens the path to the 1.42383 session high
Loss of 1.42104 session low confirms a lower-low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next macro catalyst
NY session faded a push to the session high at 1.4238, USD/CAD now consolidating around 1.4211-1.4218 near the 50% retrace of the day's climb from 1.4186. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and price is below EMA20/50 as the intraday bid stalls above the 1.4200 handle.
Support: 1.4211, 1.4204
Resistance: 1.4218, 1.4238
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4211 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4204
Reclaim of 1.4218 puts session high 1.4238 back in play
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a session high near 1.4238 before rejection, with the pair holding above the reclaimed 1.4200 pivot on broad USD firmness. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4210–1.4165 band into late NY hours, RSI cooling near 41 and ATR compressed to ~6 pips.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42342, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4210 confirms a lower low and opens the 1.4200 round level
Reclaim of 1.4238 session high needed to resume the upside
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the next major catalyst for this read
Range near session low after failed push to 1.4238.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.4238 during NY hours and is now consolidating just above the 1.42104 session low, with the pair holding the reclaimed 1.4200 handle. RSI(14) sits mid-40s after cooling from the highs; price trades below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4175
Resistance: 1.4220, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.4175
Reclaim of 1.4220 puts the 1.4238 session high back in play
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
18:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.42136
Consolidating below session high after fade from 1.4238.
USDCAD ran the NY session up to 1.42383 before rejection faded it back into the mid-1.4210s, with the broad USD bid keeping the pair north of the 1.4200 pivot. Price now consolidates around the 50% retrace of the day's leg (~1.4212), RSI cooling to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42248, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 confirms a lower low and breaks the session-low support
Reclaim of 1.42248 reopens the run at session high 1.42383
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst for this read
18:02 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.42136
Lower highs since 1.42383, consolidating below EMAs.
USD/CAD retook 1.4200 and pushed a NY-session high at 1.42383 on broad USD firmness before fading ~25 pips into late NY. Price is now grinding sideways around 1.4213, below EMA20/50, with RSI(14) mid-range and no extreme in play — a string of lower highs capping the tape.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 opens the 1.4200 psych pivot
Reclaim of 1.42240 needed to re-test the 1.42383 session high
Consolidating below session high after failed push.
USDCAD rallied through the NY session to a 1.42383 session high before rejecting, and now sits mid-range around 1.4213 with RSI cooled to the low-40s. Price is pinned near the 50% retrace of the up-move as USD holds firm on Hormuz haven demand and CAD stays soft near cycle highs.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4202
Resistance: 1.42185, 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42185 reopens the 1.42383 session high
Loss of 1.42104 session low exposes 1.42020 downside
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.42128
Off session high, lower highs forming.
USDCAD extended its bounce to a session high at 1.42383 before fading back to 1.4213 as the USD bid broadened, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.42104 recent low after rejection at the highs.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4230, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the path toward the 1.4248 cycle high
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could shift this read
17:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.42139
Pullback into consolidation after swing high.
USDCAD pushed to a 15-month-high area at 1.42383 during NY hours, then faded and is now consolidating around 1.4213 below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs; buyers stepped in near the 1.42104 session low while supply capped rebounds at the 1.42185 minor high.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42185, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42185 minor high reopens the 1.42383 swing high
Loss of 1.42104 session low exposes 1.42060 swing low
FOMC minutes (Wed) and Canadian jobs (Fri) are the week's catalysts
USD/CAD pushed to a session high of 1.4238 during NY hours before rejecting and fading back toward 1.4213, in line with the broad USD bid keeping the pair near cycle highs. Price is now consolidating just above the 1.4210 session low with RSI(14) cooling to neutral.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42185, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4238 would resume the intraday uptrend
Break below 1.42104 opens the 1.4200 psych level
FOMC minutes tomorrow could materially shift this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.42124
Pullback from cycle high, ranging.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh cycle high at 1.42383 during NY hours before fading ~26 pips into the 1.42104 session low, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-40s. Now ranging 1.42104–1.42185 with price back under EMA20/50 as the second-day USD bounce loses steam.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42185, 1.42248, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42104 session low exposes 1.42060 swing low
Reclaim of 1.42248 15-mo high needed to retarget 1.42383 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could reset this read
17:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.42124
Lower high after 1.4238, consolidating below.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.4238 before fading back to the 1.4210 area, with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price is now consolidating below the 1.4218 recent high, holding just above the 1.42104 session low into late NY hours.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4218, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 opens the path toward the 1.4200 round level
Reclaim above 1.42180 reopens the 1.42383 session high
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC and Fri Canadian jobs are the near-term catalysts
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42383 before sellers stepped in, dragging price back into a 1.4210–1.4218 consolidation with USD supported by Hormuz haven demand. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral near 46 as the pullback holds above the 1.4210 shelf.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 resumes the uptrend toward the 1.4248 cycle high
Break below 1.42104 exposes the 1.4200 pivot
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.4238 during NY hours before rejection dragged it back to consolidate around 1.4215, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. The bid holds near cycle highs as Hormuz haven demand keeps USD firm; price is pinned between the 1.4210 swing low and the 1.4238 session high.
Support: 1.42104, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42245
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4238 session high reopens the path to cycle highs near 1.4248
Loss of the 1.42104 swing low exposes the 1.4186 session low
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 44 · price 1.42167
Pullback from session high after rejection.
USD/CAD extended its NY-session grind toward the 1.42383 session high before rejecting, keeping the pair pinned near 15-month highs on broad USD firmness. Price has since faded to 1.42167, printing a lower high at 1.42346 and slipping below the intraday EMAs; RSI(14) mid-40s reflects the cooling.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42346, 1.42383
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42104 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim above 1.42383 session high resumes the uptrend
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 45 · price 1.42167
Pullback from session high, consolidating.
USD/CAD extended its haven-driven bid into NY hours, tagging a session high at 1.42383 before rejection knocked it back to the 1.42104 session low. Price now consolidating near 1.4217 below EMA20, RSI(14) mid-range at 44 with the recent higher-low chain intact off 1.41935.
Support: 1.42104, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4234
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 breaks the session low and negates the higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the path to cycle highs near 1.4248
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.42383 during NY hours then rejected, unwinding toward the 61.8% fib of the 1.41935-1.42383 leg near 1.4210 where price is now consolidating. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s and price sits below EMA20/50; the broad USD firm/soft CAD backdrop keeps the pair pinned near cycle highs.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42315, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42104 opens the path toward 1.4200 and the 1.41935 swing low
Reclaim of 1.42383 session high resumes the advance
Canadian labour data Fri 12:30 UTC is the week's key CAD catalyst
16:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.42143
Pullback after session high rejection.
USDCAD ran up to a session high of 1.42383 during NY hours on broad USD firmness and a soft Loonie, then twin peaks near 1.4238 gave way to a pullback now testing 1.42104. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s and price sits back under both EMAs; the 1.4200 pivot is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.42104, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42342
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42000 pivot confirms deeper pullback
Reclaim of 1.42383 session high reopens the upside grind
BoC Business Outlook Survey today could shift the CAD read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.42153
HH/HL chain, pullback from session high.
USDCAD ran up through the NY session to 1.42383 before rejecting there and unwinding to 1.42112, now consolidating near 1.4215 in line with the broad USD firmness. Pullback has slipped price under EMA20 and EMA50; RSI(14) mid-40s after cooling from the high.
Support: 1.42112, 1.4204, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.42383 resumes the up-move toward the 1.4248 cycle high
Loss of 1.42112 opens 1.4204 then the 1.4200 pivot
Canadian jobs Fri and FOMC minutes Wed are the week's catalysts for this pair
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.42153
Pullback from session high after HH chain.
USDCAD climbed to a session high of 1.42383 during NY hours before rejecting and fading back to 1.4215, RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s as USD holds a firm haven bid. Price now sits below EMA20 with buyers defending the 1.42112 swing low.
Support: 1.42112, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42112 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
Reclaim of 1.42240 puts the 1.42383 session high back in play
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.42144
Higher highs into session top, now retracing.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.42383 before rejection, price retracing to 1.42144 with RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Broad USD firmness kept the pair back above the 1.42 pivot; pullback holding above the 1.42112 session low so far.
Support: 1.42112, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42112 opens the path to the 1.42000 pivot
Reclaim of 1.42383 puts the 1.42248 cycle high back in play
FOMC minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.42144
Retrace off session high after HH chain.
USD/CAD extended its NY grind to a session high at 1.42383 before rejecting, and price is now retracing to the 1.42112 area with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. The move fits the broad USD firmness that pushed the pair back above 1.4200; current bars sit below EMA20/50 as the pullback develops.
Support: 1.42112, 1.4203
Resistance: 1.4230, 1.42383
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42112 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the path toward session-high extension
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
NY session drove USD/CAD to a session high at 1.42383 before rejection, RSI(14) cooling back into the mid-40s as broad USD firmness (Hormuz safe-haven bid) kept the pair near 15-month highs. Price has since faded to the session low around 1.42112, slipping below EMA20; the round-number 1.42000 sits below.
Support: 1.42112, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42112 confirms a lower low and extends the pullback toward 1.42000
Reclaim of 1.42383 session high reopens the topside
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through the session to a 1.4238 high on broad USD firmness, then got rejected and is now retracing toward the 50% fib near 1.4213. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as price slipped back below EMA20/50; the 1.4200 psych pivot is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.42112, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4228
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.4200 keeps the intraday uptrend structure intact
Break of 1.42112 session low opens a deeper retrace toward 1.4200
FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.4238 before fading back under 1.4220 as the earlier uptrend lost steam. Price retook 1.4200 on broad USD firmness; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits just below EMA20 but on rising support.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42123 confirms a lower low and breaks rising support
Reclaim of 1.4238 reopens the path toward the 1.4248 cycle high
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the week's key catalyst and could reshape this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42383 on broad USD firmness after in-line ISM Services, then rejected and pulled back to 1.4217 with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-40s. Price now sits between the 1.42155 recent low and the 1.4238 high after retaking the 1.4200 handle.
Support: 1.42155, 1.4212
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4234
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42120 confirms a lower low and ends the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the path toward the 15-month high near 1.4248
FOMC minutes Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's key catalyst
Higher highs/lows, pulling back from session high.
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session on broad USD firmness, retaking 1.4200 and printing a session high at 1.42383 before rejection stalled the advance. Price has since pulled back to 1.42226 with RSI(14) cooling to ~47; the rising sequence of intraday lows still holds.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42346, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.42165 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the path to the 1.4248 cycle high
FOMC minutes (Wed) is the week's key catalyst and could shift this read
NY session ground higher to a session high at 1.4238 as USD firmed and USD/CAD held back above 1.4200, then rejected and pulled back to 1.42226 — roughly a 60% retrace of the 1.4212–1.4238 leg. RSI has cooled off toward neutral as the advance loses pace.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4238 opens the path to the 1.4248 cycle high
Loss of 1.4212 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
FOMC minutes Wed is the week's key catalyst and could reset this read
USD/CAD ground up through NY hours to a session high at 1.42383 before fading back to 1.4223 as broad USD firmness held the pair near cycle highs. RSI(14) cooling from the push, buyers stepped in around 1.4216 on the last dip; the rising intraday structure is intact while that low holds.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42346
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42165 breaks the rising intraday support
Close above 1.42383 reopens the path toward the 15-month high near 1.4248
Fed's Waller remarks (15:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 54 · price 1.42232
Higher highs and higher lows, near-term pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, retaking 1.4200 on broad USD firmness before rejecting the 1.42383 session high and slipping back to 1.4223. Micro structure still prints higher lows off 1.42123, with price now hovering around EMA20 after the pullback.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42342
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42123 breaks the rising higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the session high
FOMC Minutes (Wed 18:00 UTC) is the week's key USD catalyst
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 1.42325
Higher highs, higher lows into NY session.
USDCAD grinding higher through the NY session on firm USD, printing a session high at 1.42383 before easing to 1.42325. Rising swing lows at 1.42123 and 1.42165 remain intact; RSI(14) elevated but shy of extreme, 15-month high at 1.4248 the next upside test.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42165 breaks the rising sequence of higher lows
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could shift USD tone this session
14:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42325
Higher highs into session high 1.42383.
USD/CAD grinding higher through NY hours toward the 1.4248 15-month high, extending the CAD-soft, USD-firm theme. Price bounced off 1.42165 after a brief pullback and sits just under the session high at 1.42383, the near-term cap.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42165 signals a lower low
Fed's Waller at 15:00 UTC could shift the USD tone
NY session ground USD/CAD higher on modest USD strength and a heavy Loonie, tagging the session high at 1.42383 before a shallow pullback to 1.42165 and recovery to 1.42299. RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched; HH/HL chain remains intact into the session high retest.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42165 confirms a lower low and breaks the HL chain
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.42299
Higher highs and higher lows intact.
NY session ground USD/CAD higher to a session high at 1.42383 before a pullback to 1.42165 was bought back to 1.42299, with USD firm and CAD heavy on the dovish-BoC read. Higher-low chain intact; RSI(14) mid-60s, off its earlier hot readings.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42165 breaks the higher-low chain
Fed's Waller at 15:00 UTC could shift USD tone intraday
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday open, pullback in progress.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to 1.42383 before rejecting and easing back to 1.42268, still holding above EMA20/50 as USD stays firm. Price is riding a chain of higher lows off the Monday reopen; the 1.42480 15-month high remains the upside marker, with 1.42165 the last defended intraday swing low.
Support: 1.42165, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and Fed's Waller (15:00 UTC) due imminently — could reset intraday direction
M15 close above 1.42383 reopens the path to the 1.42480 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42165 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday HL chain
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback held.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.42383 before pulling back to 1.42165, where buyers stepped in; USD firmness near 101.00 keeps CAD offered. Price now back at 1.42268, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range, no exhaustion on this TF.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42318
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42165 confirms a lower low and breaks the HH chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could materially shift this read within the next bar
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, pausing after spike · RSI 57 · price 1.42238
Higher highs, pullback into rising support.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY morning to a session high at 1.42383 before rejecting and pulling back to 1.42165, now consolidating around 1.42238 on a rising support line. Loonie stays offered near 15-month highs on the dovish-BoC/USD-firm theme; RSI(14) mid-range after cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.42165, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
USDCAD ground to a session high at 1.42383 before rejection dragged it back to 1.42165; buyers stepped in there and price recovered to 1.42238. Trend structure stays constructive above the 1.42165 swing low, RSI(14) cooling from the highs.
Support: 1.42165, 1.4212, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) both imminent — can materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.42480 15-month high
Loss of 1.42165 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the uptrend structure
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.42383 rejection then flushed to 1.42155, holding above the 1.42123 swing low as USD firmness outweighs the Loonie. RSI(14) cooled back to the low-50s after the push; price now sits just under EMA20 while EMA50 supports below.
Support: 1.42155, 1.42123, 1.42077
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the 1.4248 15mo high
Loss of 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and deepens the pullback
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.42383 before a sharp rejection dumped it to 1.42165 as USD firmness kept CAD offered near 15-month highs. Price is recovering off 1.42165 with RSI(14) cooling from stretched levels; the 1.42383 session high caps for now.
Support: 1.42165, 1.42123, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
13:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 51 · price 1.42172
HH into session high 1.42383, sharp rejection.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.42383 on broad USD firmness before a sharp rejection dumped price back to 1.42155. Pair now sits mid-range with RSI(14) cooled to neutral; the rising sequence of higher lows off 1.42123 is still intact.
Support: 1.42155, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bar
Loss of 1.42123 swing low would break the intraday higher-low chain
Reclaim of session high 1.42383 opens the path toward the 15mo high at 1.4248
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.42383 session high before a sharp rejection dragged price back to 1.42172, dipping below the EMA20 as RSI cooled to the low 50s. The 15-month-high theme keeps 1.4248 in view, but the last two bars show supply capping the advance.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) due within the hour — could shift this read
M15 close back above 1.42383 reopens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session on renewed USD firmness, tagging a session high at 1.42383 before a sharp rejection back to 1.42272. RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s; the HH/HL chain holds while 1.42262 is respected.
Support: 1.42262, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services at 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Close below 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
Break and hold above 1.42383 opens the path toward the 15mo high at 1.42480
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.42383 on broad USD firmness, then rejected back toward 1.4227 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-70s. Structure stays a chain of higher lows; the 1.4220 psych area is the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42123
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 15-month high at 1.4248
Failure to hold 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 71 · price 1.42344
HH/HL chain into fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, reclaiming 1.4200 and printing a fresh session high at 1.42383 on broad USD firmness. Price stair-stepped up in a clean HH/HL chain; a brief dip to 1.42123 was bought back before the latest push. RSI(14) around 71 flags short-term heat but sits inside the trend.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42123, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42383 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15mo high
Failure to hold 1.42200 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read within the next hours
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 1.42344
Chain of higher highs into session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.42383 as the dollar held firm broadly, reclaiming and extending above 1.4230. Price paused at 1.42344 with RSI(14) around 71 — hot but consistent with the trend as the pair grinds toward the 15-month high at 1.4248.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4207
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4248
What it said to watch
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) within the hour could materially shift this read
Break of 1.42383 opens the path to 1.4248
Failure to hold 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 1.42379
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
NY session grinding higher on broad USD firmness; USDCAD reclaimed 1.4200 and is pressing a fresh session high at 1.42379, now within reach of the 15-month high near 1.4248. RSI(14) around 71 — hot but consistent with the trend, buyers stepped in at 1.42125 after the mid-session dip.
Support: 1.42203, 1.42125, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42379, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42480 opens the path toward the 1.45 objective
Failure to hold 1.42125 breaks the rising support and negates the breakout
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 75 · price 1.42379
Higher highs, higher lows into session highs.
NY session drove USDCAD to fresh session highs at 1.42379 on broad USD firmness, breaking the prior 1.42318 high with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Buyers reloaded at the 1.42123 swing after the midday dip; the 15-month high at 1.42480 is the next area overhead.
Support: 1.4220, 1.42123, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42480 opens the path to extend the breakout
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and stalls the run
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
12:31 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 65 · price 1.42288
Higher highs/higher lows into NY.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, retaking 1.4200 and now pressing the session high at 1.42318 as broad USD strength met a dovish-CAD backdrop. A dip to 1.42123 was bought back and RSI(14) sits elevated near 65 but short of exhaustion; structure remains a clean HH/HL chain.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC), BoC survey (14:30 UTC) and Waller (15:00 UTC) can shift this read within the next few bars
USD/CAD ground higher through the NY session, tagging 1.42318 before a fast dip to 1.42123 and a full recovery back to 1.4229. Higher-low structure holds and RSI(14) near 64 leaves headroom; broad USD firmness and dovish-BoC tone underpin the grind.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 1.42225
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD extended a second-day grind higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.42318 before a quick pullback to 1.42123 was bought back to 1.4222. Uptrend structure intact with price above EMA20/50; USD firm on hawkish year-end hike pricing while soft CAD keeps the pair bid above the 1.4200 pivot.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42123 would break the intraday higher-low chain
Close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read within the next bars
12:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42225
Higher highs, higher lows intact after shallow pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a 1.42318 session high on broad USD firmness, then pulled back to 1.42123 before buyers stepped back in toward 1.4222. RSI(14) near 60 leaves room; the sequence of higher lows is holding above the 1.4200 pivot.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday sequence
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session toward the 1.42318 session high near 15-month highs on renewed USD strength, before rejection dragged it back to 1.42191. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price has slipped just under EMA20; the 1.42120 swing low is the first support in play.
Support: 1.4212, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4250 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42120 confirms a lower low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.42318 session high before rejecting and dipping to 1.42123, with buyers stepping back in toward 1.42216 — USD firm near 101.00 DXY on the reopened, post-NFP two-way tone. RSI(14) cooling from the highs; price now hovers just under EMA20 after the pullback.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.42268
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 reopens the session-high extension
Loss of 1.42123 swing low confirms a lower low
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session high, shallow pullback bought.
NY session extended USD gains to a 1.42318 session high, price sitting just under the 15-month high at 1.4250 as the USD holds firm across G10. The dip to 1.42123 was bought and price recovered to 1.4223; RSI cooling but still constructive above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4250 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday rising structure
BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:46 UTC
Uptrend, near 15-month highs · RSI 58 · price 1.42227
Higher highs and higher lows, pullback bought back.
USDCAD extended its second-day grind higher through the NY session, tagging 1.42318 before a shallow dip to 1.42123 was bought back to 1.42227, tracking firmer USD post-NFP digestion. Structure remains a clean chain of higher lows off the 1.41862 Asia low.
Support: 1.42123, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4250 15-month high
Loss of 1.42123 breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could reshape this read
11:31 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 55 · price 1.42162
HH/HL chain, pullback off session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London to a session high at 1.42318 on Fed-BoC divergence, then sold sharply back to 1.42123 before stabilising near 1.4216. Price now sits just under EMA20 while holding above EMA50, RSI(14) cooled to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.42123, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.42245
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 reopens the path toward last week's 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower low and stalls the uptrend
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 1.42318 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.42123, in line with the USD-firm, CAD-soft divergence read. Now consolidating near 1.4216 with RSI back to neutral; the 1.4200 pivot and 15-month high at 1.4250 bracket the near-term range.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4225
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42123 pullback low confirms a lower-low and pressures the 1.4200 pivot
Reclaim of 1.42318 session high reopens the 1.4250 15-month high
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a rejection at 1.42318, then dropped sharply to 1.42123 before recovering to 1.42175, now testing the 38.2% retrace of the up-move. RSI has cooled to neutral from earlier hot readings; price sits just under EMA20 but above EMA50 after the pullback.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4220
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.42200 keeps the up-move retest intact
Loss of 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and deeper retrace
BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY-session grind higher peaked at 1.42318 before a sharp two-bar drop to 1.42123, unwinding the earlier push as USD softened post-NFP. Price has bounced to 1.42175 and sits mid-range with RSI cooling back near 51.
Support: 1.42123, 1.42068, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 resumes the up-move toward the 1.42248 prior high area
Failure to hold 1.42123 opens the session low at 1.41862
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reshape this read
Higher highs / higher lows, pullback from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY window to a session high at 1.4232 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back to 1.4212 where demand stepped in. The pair holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 57 — still constructive structure but momentum has cooled off the high.
Support: 1.4212, 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4232, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4232 opens the path to the 15-mo high at 1.4248
Failure to hold 1.4212 exposes the 1.4193 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) within hours could shift this read
11:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 57 · price 1.4218
Higher highs into session high, pulling back.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a high of 1.42318 before rejecting and slipping to 1.42123, with buyers stepping back in at 1.4218 into the NY approach. RSI(14) cooling off the highs; the 1.4232 session cap still holds below the 15-month high at 1.4248.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 9d ema near 1.4177
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Session ground higher to 1.42318, just shy of the 1.4248 15-month high, before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.42123 and a shallow bounce to 1.42164. RSI(14) has cooled back near 48 as the pullback drops price under EMA20; USD stayed firm into renewed Fed-hike pricing despite the soft 57K NFP.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42123 confirms a lower low
Reclaim of 1.42318 reopens the 1.4248 15-mo high
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this read
USDCAD climbed through the London session to a session high at 1.42318 before sharp rejection dragged it back to 1.42123, now stabilising near 1.42164. Rally stalled just shy of the 1.42248 15-month high; USD firm on renewed Fed-hike pricing despite the soft NFP, with the pullback holding a rising intraday support base.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.42248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.42123 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
M15 close above 1.42318 reopens the 1.42248 high test
NY hours drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.42318 as the USD firmed on renewed Fed-hike repricing against a soft Loonie, before a sharp two-bar rejection dumped price to 1.42123 and a modest bounce to 1.42151. RSI has cooled back to neutral from the highs; price now sits just under EMA20.
Support: 1.42123, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42248, 1.42318
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.42248 reopens the 1.42318 session high
Failure to hold 1.42123 exposes the 1.42050 swing low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
HH/HL chain broken by sharp pullback off session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a fresh session high at 1.42318 before a two-bar rejection dumped it ~20 pips to 1.42123, USD firm on renewed Fed-hike pricing despite the soft NFP. RSI has cooled from overbought as price now hovers at 1.42151, back below the EMA20.
Support: 1.42123, 1.42021, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.42318 reopens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42123 confirms a lower-low and deeper unwind
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 58 · price 1.42207
Higher highs and higher lows off the Monday gap-open.
USDCAD climbed steadily through the session from the Monday gap-open at 1.41862 to a session high of 1.42318 before the last bar rejected back to 1.42207, with broad USD support the driver. The HH/HL chain holds but price has slipped under EMA20 on the pullback, keeping the 15-month high at 1.4248 the untested upside pivot.
Support: 1.4216, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 puts the 1.4248 15-mo high in play
Failure to hold 1.4216 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward the session low
BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
London session pushed a chain of higher highs into 1.42318 before the last bar rejected sharply back to 1.42200, RSI(14) cooling from the highs. USDCAD firmed for a second session near 15-month highs on renewed USD bid; the 1.42318 session high is the immediate cap and 1.42060 marks the last clean swing low.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
close above 1.42318 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
loss of 1.42060 swing low breaks the intraday rising structure
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
London-session grind higher, USDCAD stair-stepping to a session high at 1.42318 with RSI(14) running hot near 72. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.42050–1.42177; USD firming on renewed Fed-hike pricing has kept the loonie offered despite a modest oil bounce.
Support: 1.42177, 1.4205, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42177 breaks the rising structure
BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
NY session extended a steady grind higher to a session high of 1.42318, USDCAD firming for a second day on renewed Fed-hike repricing while a soft Loonie sits near YTD lows. Price holds just under the high with RSI(14) hot near 68 but not yet stretched; higher-low structure intact off 1.42060.
Support: 1.42144, 1.4206, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Break and hold above 1.42318 opens the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.42144 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.42275
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London session, tagging a session high at 1.42318 before easing to 1.42275, with USD firm on renewed Fed-hike pricing after last week's soft NFP. RSI(14) near 70 is hot but consistent with the trend; higher lows intact off 1.42144.
Support: 1.42144, 1.4205, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path toward the 15-mo high at 1.4248
Failure to hold 1.42144 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
09:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 68 · price 1.42275
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing successive higher lows off 1.42060 and pushing the session high to 1.42318 as the USD firmed on renewed Fed-hike pricing. Price holds near 1.42275 with RSI(14) around 68 — hot but not extreme; the 15-month high at 1.4248 is the next upside marker.
Support: 1.42144, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Loss of 1.42144 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.42267
Higher highs into multi-month high resistance.
USDCAD climbed through the London session, breaking the 1.4212 range top and printing a session high at 1.42318, RSI(14) running hot near 69 into the 1.4250 15-month high. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around the 1.4206 swing low during the rally, keeping the rising intraday structure intact.
Support: 1.4212, 1.4206
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4250 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.4206 breaks the rising intraday structure
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
09:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 71 · price 1.42267
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.42318 with a clean higher-high, higher-low chain intact. RSI(14) is elevated near 71 but not extreme, and price sits just below the 15-month high band at 1.4248-1.4250. USD stayed soft after the 57K NFP shock, but the Loonie has been unable to capitalise.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 opens the path to the 1.4248-1.4250 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Employment Fri 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 72 · price 1.42284
HH/HL chain into session highs.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a clean HH/HL chain to a session high at 1.42318 as USD stabilised and CAD stayed soft near 14-month highs. RSI(14) around 72 — hot but consistent with the trend; 1.42480 15-month high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.42097, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42318 keeps the path open toward the 1.42480 15-month high
Loss of 1.42097 swing low breaks the intraday HL chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 GMT could shift the read
USDCAD grinding higher through the London-NY transition, closing at 1.42284 just under the 1.42318 session high with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Steady chain of higher lows off 1.41862; USD stabilised and CAD stayed soft, keeping the pair pinned near 14-month highs.
Support: 1.42144, 1.4206, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42318, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.42318 opens the path toward the 1.42500 15-mo high
Loss of the 1.42144 swing pivot breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 GMT) could shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 74 · price 1.42282
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session in a clean HH/HL chain, printing a fresh session high at 1.42289 with RSI(14) running hot near 74. Price is stalling just under the 1.42480 15-month high as the soft-USD, soft-CAD tug-of-war keeps the pair pinned near cycle tops.
Support: 1.42184, 1.4206, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42289, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42480 opens the path toward 1.45
Loss of 1.42184 breaks the intraday HL chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 GMT could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London hours to a fresh session high at 1.42289, holding a clean higher-high/higher-low sequence with RSI(14) hot near 74. The 15-month high at 1.4250 is the next resistance overhead; broader USD softness after the 57K NFP miss caps upside momentum but hasn't reversed the intraday climb.
Support: 1.42186, 1.4206, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42289, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42186 swing would break the higher-low sequence
Push into 1.4250 15mo high — area to watch for rejection or break
Fed's Waller 15:00 UTC could shift the USD read for the next bars
08:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 71 · price 1.42255
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
London session extended the grind higher, printing a fresh session high at 1.42268 with price now at 1.42255 en route to the 1.4248 15-month high. RSI(14) near 71 — hot but consistent with the steady HH/HL climb; CAD stays heavy on soft oil.
Support: 1.4212, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42268, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.42268 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.4212 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, printing fresh session highs at 1.42268 and closing at 1.42255 with RSI(14) near 71 — hot but not extreme. Price is tracking a clean rising sequence toward the 1.4248 15-month high, the next resistance overhead.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42268, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.42268 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of the 1.4206 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
08:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 72 · price 1.42239
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
London morning has grinded USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.42268, extending a clean chain of higher highs and higher lows with RSI(14) around 71 — hot but normal in trend. USD stayed heavy after Thursday's NFP miss, yet soft oil keeps CAD offered, leaving the pair pressing back toward the 15-month high at 1.4248.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42024
Resistance: 1.42268, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42268 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15m high
Failure to hold 1.4206 breaks the ascending structure
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.42268 and closing near 1.42239 with RSI(14) hot around 71. The Loonie stays heavy on weak oil despite the soft US NFP capping the USD; price is now within ~24 pips of the 1.4248 15-month high.
Support: 1.4213, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42268, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42480 opens continuation to fresh 15-month highs
Failure to hold 1.42130 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD grinding higher through the London session, printing fresh session highs at 1.42234 with RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme. Price holds well above EMA20/50 as the pair sits near YTD highs; the 1.4248 15-month high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42234, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42060 breaks the rising-low sequence
Rejection at 1.42234 caps the session-high push
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
08:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 1.42213
Higher highs, session grinding up.
USDCAD ground higher through the session in a tight rising channel, printing a fresh high at 1.42234 with RSI(14) around 68, hot but not extreme. CAD stays heavy on soft oil despite the post-NFP USD cap; price now presses toward the 1.4248 15-month high.
Support: 1.4202, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42234, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42234 opens the path to 1.4248
Failure to hold 1.42020 breaks the rising channel
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) + Waller (15:00 UTC) could shift the USD read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42182
Higher highs into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London hours, printing a fresh session high at 1.42194 with price holding just below it. Steady higher lows off 1.41862 keep the intraday structure constructive, CAD staying heavy on soft oil while the post-NFP USD wobble caps the pair short of the 1.4248 15-month high.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42194 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the rising-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
08:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.42182
HH/HL chain into session high.
London session extending the uptrend off the 1.4186 gap open, price stair-stepping into the session high at 1.42194 with RSI(14) around 68. Above that, the 15-month high at 1.4248 is the next reference; demand has held each dip near 1.4206.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4206 breaks the rising-low chain
Break and hold above 1.42194 opens the path to 1.4248
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.42157
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
London session grinding higher in a tight rising channel, pushing the session high to 1.42194 with price holding just below it. RSI(14) near 68 — hot but not extreme; the 15-month high at 1.42248 is the next area to watch. CAD stays heavy on soft oil while a post-NFP USD keeps upside stretched.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4202
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42194 opens the path to the 1.42248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the rising channel and confirms a lower low
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
07:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.42157
HH/HL chain into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY window, printing a session high at 1.42194 with a clean HH/HL chain; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme. Pair stays heavy-bid on soft oil while a weak US NFP caps the topside short of the 1.4248 15-month high.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42194 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.42060 breaks the rising support and the HL chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session into the London open, printing higher lows off 1.41862 and tagging a session high at 1.42194 — consistent with cheap crude keeping CAD heavy near YTD highs. RSI(14) around 66, elevated but not extreme; price is holding just above the 1.4205 pivot after breaking the earlier consolidation.
Support: 1.4205, 1.41862, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42194 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.4205 pivot breaks the higher-low chain and exposes 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 67 · price 1.42172
Higher highs and higher lows into session high.
USDCAD grinding higher through London hours toward the 1.42194 session high, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows off 1.41862. RSI(14) near 67, elevated but not extreme; USD is steadying after Thursday's NFP shock while soft crude keeps the pair supported above the 1.42050 prior range.
Support: 1.4205, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42194 opens the path toward the 15-month high at 1.42480
Failure to hold 1.42050 breaks the rising-low sequence
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a session high of 1.42186 before easing to 1.42139, holding above the rising support off the 1.4186 low. RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not extreme; the Loonie stays heavy near YTD lows with the 15-month high at 1.4248 as the next reference overhead.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42186, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42186 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold the 1.42050 swing low breaks the rising structure
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
07:16 UTC
Uptrend, pressing session high · RSI 66 · price 1.42139
Higher highs, breakout from consolidation.
London session grinding higher, breaking above the 1.4206-1.4212 consolidation to press the 1.42194 session high; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme. USD steadying after Thursday's NFP miss while soft crude keeps the CAD heavy near YTD lows.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42194, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42194 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.42186
Higher highs into fresh session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.4219 and holding above the 1.4205 shelf. USD is stabilising after Thursday's NFP miss while soft crude keeps CAD heavy. Momentum is firm but not stretched, RSI(14) mid-60s.
Support: 1.4205, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42188, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4219 session high opens the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of the 1.4205 range shelf points back to the 1.4186 session low
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
07:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.42186
Series of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD grinds higher into the NY session at 1.42186, printing fresh session highs and holding above EMA20/50 as thin holiday-affected trade keeps the pair pinned near YTD highs. RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not extended — with the 15-month high at 1.4248 the next overhead reference.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42188, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42188 extends the push toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.4205 rising support breaks the higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD gapped down at the week open then ground steadily back up through Asia into the London session, printing a fresh session high at 1.42155. RSI(14) near 63 leaves room before the 15-month-high resistance at 1.4248; the recent low chain holds above a rising support line off 1.41935.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42155, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Break of rising support at 1.4206 would end the higher-low sequence
Close above 1.42155 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
06:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.42121
Chain of higher highs into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the European morning to a fresh session high at 1.42155, holding above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 64 — hot but not extreme. Soft US NFP capped the pair off the mid-1.4200s last week, but demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.4206 to keep the up-slope intact.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4177, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42155, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Break above 1.42155 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the rising support line and the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 62 · price 1.42125
Consolidation just below session high.
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.41862 post-gap low and is coiling just under the 1.42133 session high in early London, RSI(14) around 62 with no extreme. Soft US NFP capped the pair last week, but the tape here is a slow HH/HL grind holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.42024, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42133, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42133 opens the path to the 1.4248 15-month high
Loss of 1.42024 session low breaks the intraday HL chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
06:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 63 · price 1.42125
Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the session to a fresh 1.42133 session high, with the soft US NFP that had earlier capped the pair now fading against a firm bid off the 1.41862 low. Price is coiling just below the 15-month high band, RSI mid-60s, holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42133, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42133 opens the path toward the 1.42248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the rising sequence of swing lows
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Early London Monday grinding higher in thin post-holiday trade, USD soft after Friday's NFP miss keeping USD/CAD capped. Price is consolidating just under the session high at 1.42131 after a steady climb off 1.41862; RSI mid-range and ATR near 3 pips signal quiet conditions.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15mo high
Loss of the 1.4206 swing low breaks the rising support
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services could shift this read
USDCAD ground up from the 1.41862 session low to the 1.42131 session high, then stalled into a tight 1.4206-1.4213 consolidation early in the London session. Move follows the soft US NFP that capped the pair off the mid-1.4200s; RSI(14) sits mid-range with ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.4206 exposes the 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher from the ~1.4186 weekend reopen and is now coiling in a tight 1.4205–1.4213 band near the session high, with RSI(14) around 57 and price holding above both EMAs. Move stalled after the soft US NFP capped upside; structure is flat, no fresh impulse in play.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4200, 1.4186
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4213 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.4200 exposes the 1.4186 swing low
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher off the 1.41862 session low into the 1.42131 session high, then stalled into a tight consolidation around 1.4209 as early London opened. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs toward neutral; price is pinned just under the session high with USD still soft after Thursday's weak NFP.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41862, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path back toward the 1.42480 15-month high
Loss of 1.42060 exposes the 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Grind higher off post-gap low, capped below 1.4213.
USDCAD ground higher through the thin Asia session off the 1.4186 post-gap low, tagging 1.4213 before easing back to 1.4206. Ranges are compressed (ATR ~5 pips) with USD soft after Thursday's weak NFP but CAD pinned near YTD lows; the pair sits mid-range awaiting today's BoC Business Outlook Survey and US ISM Services.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.4213, 1.4248
What it said to watch
close above 1.4213 opens the path back toward the 1.4248 high
loss of 1.4204 exposes the 1.4193 post-gap low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
Higher highs stalling under session high, consolidating.
Asian session ground higher off 1.41862 to a session high at 1.42131, then stalled and is now consolidating around 1.4206 as RSI(14) cools back toward the mid-50s. Price is pinned just under the 15-month high band; USD stayed soft after Thursday's weak NFP, capping USDCAD near the 1.42 highs.
Support: 1.42024, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4225
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4225 15-month high
Failure to hold 1.42024 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising structure
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the Monday open, extending a chain of higher lows off the 1.41862 post-gap low and tagging a session high at 1.42131 before stalling. Price is now coiling around 1.4208 just under that high with RSI cooling into the mid-50s; oil weakness and a sticky-above-1.42 tone keep the bid intact.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 session high opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42060 swing low exposes the 1.4200 round number
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and US ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Grind higher, momentum flat near session high · RSI 62 · price 1.42085
Higher highs / higher lows, now consolidating at the top.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session, tagging 1.42131 before stalling into a tight consolidation around 1.4208 on holiday-thin liquidity (ATR ~2.6 pips). RSI has cooled off the highs while price holds above rising EMA20/50; buyers defended 1.4206 on the last pullback.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4203, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42060 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could reset this thin-liquidity range
USDCAD ground higher through the session, printing a chain of higher lows and tagging 1.42131 before easing to 1.42091. Pair stays sticky above 1.42 — soft US NFP caps the USD, but weak oil and dovish BoC keep the Loonie heavy, leaving price coiled just under the session high.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Loss of 1.42040 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
USDCAD ground up through the Asian session to a 1.42131 session high and is now stalling around 1.4209 in thin holiday-thinned liquidity. Soft US NFP is capping the USD side, but weak crude keeps the pair sticky above 1.42; RSI(14) is mid-range with no extreme, ATR near 4 pips.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4196
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42060 opens the 1.41960 swing low
Close above 1.42131 extends toward the 1.42480 15-mo high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Thin holiday-liquidity Asian session ground higher off 1.41862 to a session high at 1.42131, USD/CAD sticky above 1.42 as weak crude offsets a soft-NFP dollar. Price now consolidating around 1.4207-1.4208 just below that high, RSI(14) cooling from the push.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.42248 15-mo high
Loss of 1.41935 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the thin overnight session, tagging a session high at 1.42131 before stalling around 1.4207. RSI(14) has cooled off the highs and price is consolidating just under resistance, holding above 1.42041.
Support: 1.42041, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42041 exposes 1.4193
US ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Asian-session Monday grind lifted USDCAD to a session high at 1.42131 before easing back to 1.4208, RSI(14) cooling off toward neutral. Price holds above the 1.4206 swing low with the 1.4200 round number the next shelf beneath — pair sticky above 1.42 as soft-NFP USD drag and weak-oil CAD drag offset.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4200, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42112
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4206 breaks the intraday rising structure toward 1.4200
Close above 1.42131 extends the session-high sequence
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) could reset this read
04:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 55 · price 1.42076
Higher highs stalling below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through Asian hours, tagging a session high at 1.42131 before easing back to 1.4207 — the pair remains sticky above 1.42 as weak crude offsets a soft-NFP dollar. Now consolidating just below the high with RSI(14) cooling to the mid-50s.
Support: 1.4206, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward 1.42248
Failure to hold 1.42060 exposes the 1.41935 swing low
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session, tagging 1.42131 before easing to 1.42076 as RSI cooled from the highs. Buyers held the 1.4203 area on the pullback, keeping the intraday higher-low chain intact above 1.42.
Support: 1.4203, 1.4197, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 15-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42030 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.42076
Higher highs into session top, pullback in progress.
Asia session ground higher off 1.41862 to a 1.42131 session high before rejecting, price now easing back to 1.42076 as RSI(14) cools from the mid-60s. USD stays broadly soft after Friday's weak NFP, but USD/CAD keeps its bid above 1.42 with the intraday HH/HL chain intact.
Support: 1.4206, 1.42024, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42112
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 extends the uptrend toward the 1.4248 high
Loss of 1.42024 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 1.41935
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
Asian session ground higher to a 1.42131 session high before stalling, with price pinned just below the 1.42248 YTD high as soft oil and a dovish BoC lean keep USDCAD supported. Rejection off 1.42131 has trimmed price back to 1.42065, RSI(14) easing from the mid-60s; rising lows off 1.41862 remain intact.
Support: 1.4203, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path to the 1.42248 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.42030 negates the near-term higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asian session, printing a session high at 1.42131 before slipping back to 1.42065 on the last two bars. Uptrend intact above the 1.42020 pivot with soft crude and a dovish BoC lean keeping the pair pinned just below the 1.42248 YTD high.
Support: 1.4202, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path back toward 1.42248 ytd high
Loss of 1.42020 pivot exposes 1.41935 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42101
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
Thin, holiday-tinged open has USDCAD grinding higher in a shallow channel, printing a session high at 1.42131 with RSI(14) in the mid-60s, not yet stretched. Price sits just under the 1.4247 YTD high after CAD stayed heavy on soft crude and a dovish BoC lean; demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.42030 on pullbacks.
Support: 1.4203, 1.41971, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Loss of 1.42030 breaks the rising channel and exposes 1.41971
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.42101
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD is grinding higher through the Asian session, printing a chain of higher lows into 1.42131 with RSI near 63, still shy of overbought. Price sits just below the 1.4247 YTD high, the overhead cap, with CAD kept heavy by soft crude despite last week's weak US payrolls.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Loss of 1.4206 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.42105
Higher highs into session high, holding above 1.4200.
USDCAD ground higher through thin Asian trade to a session high at 1.42131, holding above the 1.4200 consolidation base with the USD steadier post-NFP. RSI(14) mid-60s — firm but not extreme — as price stalls just under the level; the 1.4248 YTD high is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4202, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.4248 ytd high
Loss of 1.42020 consol base exposes the 1.41930 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42105
Higher highs into session top.
Asia session ground steadily higher off the 1.41862 low to a session high at 1.42131, pinned just below the 1.42247 YTD high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) elevated but not extreme; a soft-USD/heavy-CAD backdrop keeps the pair supported above 1.4204.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42131, 1.42247
What it said to watch
A close above 1.42131 opens the path toward the 1.42247 ytd high
Loss of 1.42040 shelf would break the intraday higher-low chain
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42119
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
Monday Asia session opened at 1.41862 and has ground steadily higher to a session high of 1.42119, holding a clean chain of higher lows. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; price sits just below the 1.4248 YTD high with buyers stepping in on each dip.
Support: 1.42041, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42041 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Approach to 1.4248 YTD high — area to watch for rejection or break
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.42119
Higher highs into session high.
Asia session grinding up in a stair-step from the 1.41862 low to a fresh session high at 1.42119, RSI(14) firm near 67 but not yet stretched. Price consolidating just below the 1.4212 top with the 1.4247/48 YTD high the next reference above.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41862, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42248
What it said to watch
Break above 1.42119 opens the path toward the 1.4247 YTD high
Loss of 1.42040 shifts the intraday tone back toward the 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could shift CAD read intraday
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.42104
Higher lows into session high.
USD/CAD gapped lower into the weekly reopen near 1.4186 then recovered through the Asian session, grinding back to the 1.42119 session high just shy of the 1.4248 YTD high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; a soft US NFP capped the USD but cheap crude and dovish BoC lean keep the loonie heavy.
Support: 1.42041, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens the path toward the 1.4248 ytd high
Loss of 1.42041 exposes 1.4193 and the 1.41862 gap open
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift the read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42104
Higher highs into session high.
Thin, holiday-affected Asia trade grinding higher, tagging the session high at 1.42119 with USD soft after Thursday's NFP miss. Micro-structure holding a chain of higher lows off 1.41862; price stalling just below the session high with RSI cooling from the mid-60s.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.4215
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42119 opens the path toward the 1.4247/48 YTD high
Loss of 1.42040 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs into session top, consolidating below 1.4212.
Asian session ground higher off 1.4186, tagging 1.42119 before stalling; USD/CAD now consolidating just below that session high with price hugging the 1.42040 area. USD stays soft after Thursday's NFP miss but CAD is capped by weak crude, keeping the pair pinned below the 1.42247 YTD high. RSI(14) cooling from the highs, no fresh extreme.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42247
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42119 opens the path back toward the 1.42247 ytd high
Loss of 1.42040 exposes the 1.4193 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift the CAD read
Thin Asia-session trade grinding higher, printing a session high at 1.42119 before easing to 1.42071 with RSI cooling from the low-70s. Price holds just below the 1.4247 YTD high as USD stays soft post-NFP while a heavy loonie caps the pullbacks; buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.4204.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41935, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.4247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens the path to the 1.4247 ytd high
Loss of 1.4204 intraday pivot exposes 1.41935 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift CAD read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42096
Higher highs into session high, consolidating below 1.4212.
Thin, holiday-shortened Asia trade has USDCAD grinding up to a session high at 1.42119, now consolidating just under it with RSI(14) mid-60s. Price holds above the 1.4204 pivot as a soft-USD/heavy-CAD backdrop keeps the pair pinned near YTD highs; no impulsive move in play.
Support: 1.4204, 1.42024, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42472
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens room toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Loss of 1.4204 pivot exposes the 1.4193 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could shift this read
02:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.42096
Higher highs into session high near 1.4212.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through thin Asian-session trade, printing a session high at 1.42119 just below the 1.4247 YTD peak, with price holding above EMA20/50. RSI(14) near 66 — elevated but not extreme — as the loonie stays heavy on soft crude and a dovish BoC lean. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.42041 on the pullbacks.
Support: 1.42041, 1.4200, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42247
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.42119 opens the path toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Loss of 1.42000 round number would break the rising sequence
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.42095
Higher highs/higher lows into 1.4212.
Thin holiday-thinned Asia trade ground USDCAD higher off the 1.41862 session low to a 1.42119 high, price now consolidating just below it near 1.4210. Move is more USD softness fading than fresh CAD selling; RSI(14) mid-60s, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4200, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens the path back toward the 1.42247 14-mo high
Loss of 1.4204 pivot exposes the 1.42 psych level
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend off session low · RSI 62 · price 1.42095
Higher highs and higher lows since Sunday reopen.
USDCAD reopened with a gap higher into thin holiday trade and has ground steadily up toward the 1.4212 session high, recovering ground lost on Thursday's soft US NFP. Price sits just under the session high with RSI(14) near 62 — climbing but not stretched.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens the path back toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.42040 exposes the 1.41930 swing low and the 1.41862 session low
Thin holiday liquidity can exaggerate moves in either direction
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42078
Higher highs post weekend gap, holding above 1.42.
Thin Monday-Asia trade after a weekend gap up from Friday's close, price grinding higher into 1.42119 and holding above the 1.42 pivot. RSI(14) mid-60s, no exhaustion signal; the move sits inside a shallow rising channel off the 1.41862 session low.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4200, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 opens the path toward the 1.42248 ytd high
Loss of 1.41930 session low negates the higher-high sequence
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) later could reset the USD leg
Higher highs/higher lows, coiling under session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session from 1.41862 to a session high at 1.42119, recovering some of the post-NFP unwind off the 14-month highs. Now consolidating around 1.4208 just under that high, RSI mid-60s in thin holiday-affected trade with ATR near 5 pips.
Support: 1.42041, 1.42017, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42119
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42119 extends the session uptrend toward the 1.4247 YTD high
Failure to hold 1.42041 breaks the rising support and confirms a lower-low
BoC Business Outlook Survey and US ISM Services later today could shift this read
Thin, holiday-affected Asia session grinding higher off 1.41862, USD steadying after Thursday's NFP miss. Price cleared the 1.4200 psych level and is pressing the 1.42119 session high with RSI(14) mid-60s — hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.42024, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.4220
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42024 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained trade above 1.42119 extends the session high
Liquidity picks up at London open; thin Asian ranges can whipsaw
02:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend · RSI 64 · price 1.42106
Higher highs, near session high.
After a weekend gap lower to 1.41862, the Monday Asian session ground steadily higher, printing higher lows into a 1.42119 session high. Move was more USD softness after Thursday's 57K NFP miss than CAD strength; RSI(14) mid-60s with room before extremes.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42119, 1.42248
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42119 opens the path back toward the 1.4248 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.42040 pivot breaks the rising sequence toward 1.41935
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) later today could reshape the USD leg
Thin Sunday reopen after a weekend gap; USDCAD ground up from the 1.41862 session low to a session high of 1.42112, now hovering at 1.42073. Move is USD-soft/CAD-torn post-NFP but liquidity is light — RSI(14) mid-60s, ATR barely 4-5 pips.
Support: 1.4202, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42248
What it said to watch
Close below 1.42020 breaks the ascending session structure
Break above 1.42112 opens the path toward the 1.42248 14-mo high
Liquidity thin into full session open — ranges can expand fast
01:46 UTC
Mild uptrend, thin trade · RSI 62 · price 1.42073
Grinding up from session low, holding above 1.4200.
Thin, holiday-affected trade grinding up from the 1.41862 session low toward the 1.42112 session high, with USD still soft but stabilizing after Thursday's NFP miss. Price is consolidating just under the session high, RSI(14) mid-60s and ATR barely 4 pips.
Support: 1.42024, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.4248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 opens the path back toward the 1.4248 14-mo high
Failure to hold 1.42024 exposes the 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook and ISM Services later today could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.42099
Higher highs into session high.
USDCAD gapped lower to 1.41862 on the Asian reopen after the soft US NFP drove a two-day unwind off the 14-month high, then recovered steadily to retest the 1.42112 session high. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-60s, no overbought stress yet.
Support: 1.42024, 1.41935
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 extends the recovery toward the 1.4225 area
Loss of 1.42024 breaks the rising intraday sequence
ISM Services PMI 14:00 UTC could shift the USD leg of the pair
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.42099
Higher highs since session open.
New week opened with a weekend gap and USDCAD has ground higher through early Asia hours, printing a session high at 1.42112 and holding just beneath it. RSI(14) mid-60s, price above both EMAs; higher lows into 1.4204 keep the intraday advance intact after Thursday's soft-NFP-driven unwind from the 1.4248 highs.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 opens the path back toward the 1.4248 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4204 threatens the higher-low chain, exposing 1.41935
US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook could reset this read later today
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.42047
Grinding higher, holding above 1.4200.
Thin Monday Asia session opened with a small gap down to 1.4186, then buyers recovered the pair to a 1.42112 session high before easing to 1.4205. Price is consolidating above the 1.4200 pivot; RSI(14) mid-range near 58, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.4204, 1.4194, 1.4186
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42247
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4194 breaks the session low and questions the recovery
A push through 1.42112 opens the path back toward the 1.42247 ytd high
ISM Services 14:00 UTC and BoC Business Outlook 14:30 UTC could reset this read
USDCAD rebased from the 1.41862 session low and pushed a spike to 1.42112 before fading; price now coils around 1.4204 with RSI(14) mid-range. Pair remains off its 14-month highs after Thursday's soft US NFP knocked the USD, but this Asian-session leg has clawed back toward the 1.42 pivot.
Support: 1.42017, 1.4193, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42072
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 extends the intraday recovery
Failure to hold 1.42017 reopens the 1.4193 area
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
01:02 UTC
Mild uptrend, stalling at session high · RSI 59 · price 1.4206
Higher lows into 1.4211 cap.
Thin post-weekend Asia trade lifted USDCAD off 1.41862 to a session high of 1.42112 before rejection dragged it back to 1.4206. Pair remains off its 14-month highs after Thursday's soft US NFP, holding above the 1.4177 EMA pivot with buyers stepping in on the pullback.
Support: 1.4193, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.4247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 opens the path back toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4193 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the session bid
ISM Services (14:00 UTC) and BoC Business Outlook could reset this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 61 · price 1.4206
Higher highs into session high, consolidating.
Thin Sunday-open trade lifted USDCAD off the 1.4186 session low to a session high at 1.4211, now stalling around 1.4206 with RSI mid-band. Move is more USD-driven — the dollar stayed heavy after Thursday's NFP miss — than fresh CAD strength; price is consolidating just below the session high.
Support: 1.4186, 1.4177, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4211, 1.4247
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4211 opens the path toward the 1.4247 ytd high
Failure to hold 1.4177 ema pivot exposes the 1.4150 recent low
ISM Services PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Mild uptrend, stalling · RSI 57 · price 1.42032
Higher lows into session high, now consolidating.
Thin holiday-Asian trade ground USDCAD up from 1.41862 to tag the session high at 1.42112 before fading back to 1.4203. CAD stayed firm on the soft-NFP-driven USD backdrop; move is grinding, not impulsive, with the high capping.
Support: 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42071
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 extends the intraday advance toward 1.4225
Failure to hold 1.41935 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD gapped lower into Monday's Asia open at 1.41862, then climbed a chain of higher lows to a session high of 1.42112 before easing to 1.42032; USD stays broadly heavy after Thursday's NFP miss. Price is holding above 1.42024 with RSI mid-range, momentum flattening near the session top.
Support: 1.42024, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42071
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 extends the session high
Loss of 1.42024 exposes the 1.41935 session low
BoC Business Outlook (14:30 UTC) and ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
USDCAD recovered a second thin, holiday-affected session toward 1.4211 as the soft US NFP-driven dollar weakness stalled and crude steadied. Price rejected the 1.42112 session high and eased back to 1.42046, holding a chain of higher lows off 1.41862.
Support: 1.42017, 1.4194, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42071
What it said to watch
Close above 1.42112 extends the intraday higher-high sequence
Loss of 1.42017 breaks the rising-low structure
BoC Business Outlook Survey at 14:30 UTC could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, lifting from 1.41862 to a session high of 1.42112 before easing to 1.42046 as momentum cooled. The 1.42000 round number is holding as near-term support; the soft US NFP that pinned this pair in the mid-1.41s remains the backdrop.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41862, 1.4177
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42071
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42112 extends the session uptrend
Failure to hold 1.42000 opens a retest of the 1.41862 session low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC could shift this read
Thin Sunday session opened with a down gap to 1.41862 then climbed steadily, now printing a session high at 1.42112 with USD broadly heavy after Thursday's NFP miss. RSI(14) near 67 is hot but normal in an intraday uptrend; the 1.42020 pivot held on each pullback.
Support: 1.4202, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42248
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.42020 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey (14:30 UTC) and US ISM Services (14:00 UTC) could reset this read
Thin Asian-session trade lifted USDCAD off 1.41862 to a fresh session high at 1.42112, with the dollar broadly heavy after Thursday's NFP miss but oil weakness cushioning CAD. Price is holding just under the high, RSI(14) elevated near 68 in low-volume conditions.
Support: 1.4204, 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42112, 1.42072
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.42040 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reset this thin-market read
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating at highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42054
Higher lows into session high, tight range near top.
Thin post-weekend trade ground USD/CAD up from 1.41862 to tag the 1.42071 session high, then coiled into a tight range near 1.4205 as the soft-NFP USD drag stays capped by weak oil. RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme, price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41935, 1.41862
Resistance: 1.42071
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.42071 extends the session high
Failure to hold 1.41935 confirms a lower-low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could shift this read
Thin Sunday reopen gapped lower then recovered, USDCAD grinding up to a session high at 1.42072 before stalling near 1.42050 with USD still heavy after Thursday's 57K NFP miss. RSI(14) around 64 and ATR barely 4 pips — ranges are compressed with US/bond desks light into the new week.
Support: 1.42017, 1.4193
Resistance: 1.42072
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.42072 extends the session high
Loss of the 1.42017 pivot exposes the 1.41930 swing low
BoC Business Outlook Survey 14:30 UTC and ISM Services 14:00 UTC could reprice this read