USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 9 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Recovery off session low, consolidating near highs · RSI 58 · price 1.39556
Tight range after intraday rally.
USDCAD recovered off the session low at 1.39186 during NY hours and peaked at 1.39688 before settling into a tight range between 1.39430 and 1.39566. Thin Asia-session volume now, RSI(14) mid-range near 58 with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3943, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39566 range top reopens the 1.39688 session high
Failure to hold 1.39430 range low exposes 1.39186 session low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could shift this read
USDCAD rallied through NY hours from 1.3919 to a 1.39688 session high, then eased into a tight 1.3947-1.3956 band in thin Asian trade. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range, both EMAs sloping up.
Support: 1.39468, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.39605
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39688 reopens the path toward the 1.3961/1.3966 highs
Failure to hold 1.39468 puts the 1.3919 swing low back in focus
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
23:32 UTC
Rangebound after NY rally faded · RSI 56 · price 1.39563
Consolidating below NY high, holding above session lows.
NY session drove a sharp rally off the 1.3919 day low into the 1.3968 two-month-high zone, then faded back to 1.3943. Asia hours are now consolidating thinly between 1.3943 and 1.3956, RSI(14) neutral near 56 with ATR compressed.
Support: 1.39429, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.3961
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3961/1.3968 reopens the upside toward the YTD peak
Loss of 1.3943 swing low reopens 1.3919 day low
BoC decision (13:45 UTC) and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
Late NY spike to 1.39688 was rejected, then thin Asia trade ground back up from the 1.39468 swing low to 1.39563. Rangebound below the session high; RSI mid-50s, ATR around 5 pips. BoC hold is fully priced Wednesday, so statement tone is the swing factor.
Support: 1.39468, 1.3932, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.3962, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the path to two-month highs
Loss of 1.39468 confirms a lower low
BoC statement Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
23:17 UTC
Rangebound after NY rally faded · RSI 53 · price 1.39525
Consolidation between 1.3943 and 1.3956.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to 1.39688 before fading toward 1.39430, and price is now consolidating around 1.39525 in thin Asia trade with RSI neutral. The 1.39560 swing high caps the recovery while 1.39430 holds the base; both EMAs sit just below price.
Support: 1.3943, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39430 exposes the 1.39186 session low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD driver and could break this range
23:16 UTC
Recovered off lows, now flat · RSI 53 · price 1.39525
Consolidating below rally high.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.39186 low during NY to tag 1.39688, then settled into a tight 1.39460-1.39550 band through the thin Asian session. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range near 53 — no setup in play ahead of the BoC.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39603, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD driver — likely to break this range
Close above 1.39603 reopens the 1.39688 rally high
Pair rallied from the 1.3919 session low to 1.3969 during NY hours, then faded back into a 1.3943–1.3960 range as Asia volumes thinned. Price now sits mid-range near 1.3953 with RSI(14) neutral; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's BoC decision.
Support: 1.39434, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3962, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this read
M15 close above 1.3962 swing high opens the path to the 1.3969 session high
Failure to hold 1.3943 swing low reopens the 1.3919 session low
23:02 UTC
Ranging after NY rally faded · RSI 53 · price 1.39533
Consolidation below session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.39688 session high before rejection trimmed it back toward 1.3947, and Asia hours have settled into a tight 1.3943–1.3955 consolidation. Price sits just above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 53 — no momentum in either direction into the BoC decision.
Support: 1.3947, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.39613 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.3947 exposes the 1.39187 session low
22:47 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 52 · price 1.39518
Range after NY spike pullback.
USDCAD spiked to 1.39688 during NY hours, was rejected at the 2-month high, then pulled back to 1.3943 and is now consolidating near 1.3950 in thin post-NY/Asia trade. Price holds mid-range between 1.3943 and the 1.39613 topside with RSI flat near 52.
Support: 1.39434, 1.39276, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39613 opens the path to the 1.39688 session high and YTD peak
Failure to hold 1.39434 confirms a lower-low back toward 1.39276
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could reset this read
22:46 UTC
Range after NY rally · RSI 52 · price 1.39518
Consolidation below session high.
NY session pushed USD/CAD to a session high of 1.39688 before fading into the thin Asian hours, now ranging around 1.3950 between 1.39430 and 1.39660. Price sits near the 38.2% retrace of the 1.39187–1.39688 leg; RSI(14) neutral near 52, no setup in play ahead of the BoC decision.
Support: 1.3943, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst — likely to reset this range
Close above 1.39613 opens the path back to the session high
Failure to hold 1.39430 exposes 1.39187 session low
Consolidation under session high after rejection at 1.3968.
USDCAD spiked to a two-month high at 1.39688 during NY hours after the BoC hold, then faded into a 1.3943–1.3956 consolidation; RSI(14) neutral near 47. Price is sitting on the 38.2–50% retrace of the BoC rally, with late-session volume thin into the close.
Support: 1.39429, 1.3932, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39613 reopens the 1.39688 ny high
Failure to hold the 1.39429 recent low exposes 1.39320 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
22:32 UTC
Uptrend faded, now ranging · RSI 47 · price 1.39495
Pullback after session-high rejection.
USDCAD spiked to a two-month-area high of 1.39688 around the BoC hold near 14:00 UTC, then faded as crude slipped, cutting CAD support. Price has since consolidated around 1.3950 in thin late-session/Asia conditions, sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the 1.39186-1.39688 advance with RSI back to neutral.
Support: 1.39429, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39613 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39429 swing low extends the pullback toward 1.39186
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this read
Consolidation below 1.3966 NY high, holding above 1.3943.
NY session printed a high at 1.39666 then faded into the close, with price now chopping 1.3943-1.3956 as the late session thins out. CAD failed to extend lower into the BoC-CPI gap despite the renewed USD haven bid; RSI(14) neutral near 46.
Support: 1.39429, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39666
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39666 ny high
Break below 1.39429 exposes the 1.39187 session low
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
22:17 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.39488
Consolidation below session high after intraday rally.
USDCAD rallied through NY hours to a two-month high near 1.3969 before fading, and is now consolidating in a 1.3943-1.3956 band with thinning late-session volume. RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral and price is hugging the EMA20 with no fresh directional break.
Support: 1.39429, 1.3932, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39556, 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39556 reopens the 1.39613-1.39688 highs
Close below 1.39429 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.39320
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this pair
22:02 UTC
Pulling back from session high · RSI 49 · price 1.39499
Lower high after rejection, consolidating.
USDCAD rallied through NY hours to a session high of 1.39688 then faded, printing a lower high and settling back near 1.3950 with RSI(14) neutral around 49. Price is consolidating between the 1.39429 recent low and the 1.39560 swing high after rejection near the YTD-area highs; late-session liquidity is thin.
Support: 1.39429, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39613 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39429 recent low exposes the 1.39186 swing low
BoC tone fallout and Wed US CPI risk could break this consolidation
22:02 UTC
Post-BoC pop fading, now flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39499
Rejected two-month high, consolidating mid-range.
USDCAD spiked to a two-month high at 1.39688 through the NY session after the BoC's dovish hold pressured CAD, then faded back to 1.395 as the move stalled. Price now coils between 1.39429 and the 1.39610 prior high with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 1.39429, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3961, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.39429 exposes the 1.39187 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
BoC decision around mid-session drove USDCAD to a two-month high at 1.39688, then the move faded and price has consolidated in a 1.3946-1.3956 band. Currently 1.39479, sitting near the 38-50% retrace of the post-BoC rally with RSI cooling into the mid-40s.
Support: 1.3946, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39460 reopens the 1.39187 session low
Reclaim of 1.39560 puts the 1.39688 high back in play
21:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.39479
Consolidating below session high after rejection.
USDCAD rallied off the 1.39186 swing low to a session high of 1.39688 during NY hours, then rejected and faded back to 1.3948. Now consolidating between 1.39460 support and 1.39560, RSI(14) neutral near 46 after cooling from the spike.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3932, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Close below 1.39460 session low exposes the 1.39320 pivot
BoC statement tone could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.39484
Rally to session high faded, consolidating above support.
NY session drove USDCAD to a 1.39688 two-month-high area before fading to ~1.3950 as easing Middle East haven demand softened the USD. Price now drifts just above 1.3946 in thin late-session trade, RSI(14) mid-range near 46 with EMA20 capping.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3956 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.3946 confirms a lower low toward 1.3932
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT and BoC Wed 13:45 GMT could materially shift this read
21:32 UTC
Pullback off session high, now flat · RSI 45 · price 1.39484
Consolidation under 1.3956 after rejection at 1.39688.
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.39688 during NY hours after the BoC hold left CAD pinned near two-month highs, then faded into a 1.3946-1.3956 range as the late risk-on tone eased oil. Price now drifts at 1.39484 in thin Asia-hour volume, below EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-40s; no setup in play while the range holds.
Support: 1.39468, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39468 swing low exposes the 1.39187 session low
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
21:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.39464
Rejected at 2mo high, lower highs into pullback.
USDCAD pushed to a two-month high at 1.39688 during the NY session before rejecting and drifting back toward 1.3946, now sitting on session support. Price is parked near the 1.3960 highs into tomorrow's BoC decision, with the latest legs printing lower highs.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3946 opens a retest of 1.3920
Reclaim of 1.3956 puts the 1.3966 high back in play
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the catalyst that could reset this read
21:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 47 · price 1.39464
Consolidating below session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD up to 1.39688 near the YTD-area high before stalling; price has since rolled back to 1.3946 and is consolidating into the Asia open. Rejection at 1.3956-1.3966 caps the move, RSI(14) cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3956 swing high reopens the path to the 1.39688 ytd area
Loss of 1.3928 swing low confirms deeper pullback toward 1.39186 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.39486
Consolidation below session high after impulse.
NY session ramped USDCAD off 1.3919 to a session high of 1.39688, then faded into a tight 1.3948–1.3956 consolidation late in the session with RSI(14) cooling toward 46. Price now sits just under EMA20, holding the 1.3948 session low.
Support: 1.39479, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39479 confirms a deeper retrace toward the 1.3940 pivot
Reclaim of 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
21:03 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 46 · price 1.39486
Consolidating after rally off 1.3919.
NY session rallied from 1.3919 to a 1.39688 high then faded, with USD/CAD now consolidating around 1.3950 as RSI(14) cools to the mid-40s. Loonie couldn't extend gains as crude slipped; price is holding the 1.3946 area after rejection at the session high.
Support: 1.3946, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3946 opens the path back toward 1.3919
Reclaim of 1.3956 puts the 1.39688 session high back in play
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Uptrend stalled, pulling back · RSI 47 · price 1.39491
Consolidating below session high after NY rally faded.
NY session drove USD/CAD up to 1.39688 before rejection faded it back to 1.3949, with CAD unable to capitalise on softer USD as crude slipped. Price now coiling 1.3947-1.3956, holding the swing low at 1.39468 and sitting on the 38.2% retrace of the rally.
Support: 1.39468, 1.3942, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.39561, 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39468 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3942
Reclaim of 1.39561 puts the 1.39613 two-month high back in play
BoC decision and US CPI on Wed could materially shift this read
20:46 UTC
Rally stalled, now ranging · RSI 46 · price 1.39491
Consolidation under 1.3960 after NY push to two-month high.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.3919 low to a 1.3969 two-month high before sellers capped it; price has since drifted back into a 1.3946–1.3956 range as easing Middle East risk softened the broad USD bid. RSI(14) near 46 confirms the loss of momentum after the rejection.
Support: 1.3946, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39565, 1.39613
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39565 range top reopens the 1.3961 two-month high
Loss of 1.3946 swing low exposes the 1.3919 session low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
20:31 UTC
Rally faded, now consolidating · RSI 50 · price 1.39508
Pullback after push to session high.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.39688 during NY hours then faded toward 1.3940, capped by softer USD as Mideast risk-off eased. Price now coils 1.39455–1.39560 around the 38.2% retrace of that rally, RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 1.39455, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39455 confirms a deeper fade toward 1.39186
BoC decision and US CPI Wed are the dominant upcoming risk for this pair
20:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling after high · RSI 47 · price 1.39508
Pullback into range after NY rally.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh two-month high at 1.39688 during NY hours then faded back to the 1.3950 area as the late-session bid eased. Now ranging 1.39468-1.39556, RSI(14) back to neutral around 47.
Support: 1.39468, 1.3932, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.39556, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39556 reopens the 1.39688 high
Loss of 1.39468 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.39320
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reset this read
20:16 UTC
NY rally rejected, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.3946
Lower highs off 1.3969, holding mid-retrace.
NY session drove USDCAD up to 1.39688, stalling just shy of the 1.3966 YTD-area high before rejecting back to 1.3946. Price is now sitting on the 50% retrace of that rally with RSI cooled into the mid-40s; momentum has faded into the Asia transition.
Support: 1.3944, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3944 50% fib opens the path back toward the 1.39186 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3956 minor high reopens the 1.39688 session high
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
20:16 UTC
Pullback after NY push to highs · RSI 44 · price 1.3946
Faded off two-month high, easing into range.
NY session drove USDCAD to a two-month high near 1.3969 before fading back to 1.3946, with the move rejected at the 1.3966 area. Price now sits below EMA20/EMA50, drifting within a 1.3920-1.3950 range as Middle East de-escalation softened the USD safe-haven bid.
Support: 1.3920, 1.3919
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3966, 1.3969
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3950 re-engages the 1.3966 two-month high
Loss of 1.3920 swing low confirms a deeper pullback
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially reset this read
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.39688 before fading back to the 1.3950 area, RSI(14) cooling toward mid-range. Price is now consolidating between 1.3946 and 1.3956 after rejection at the highs, holding above the rising line off the 1.3919 session low.
Support: 1.3946, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3946 opens a path back toward the 1.3919 session low
Reclaim of 1.3956 puts the 1.39688 session high back in play
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
20:02 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY rally · RSI 44 · price 1.39471
Faded from session high, consolidating near 50% retrace.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high at 1.39666 before sellers capped the move; price has since faded to 1.39471, sitting on the 50% retrace of the 1.39193–1.39688 leg. RSI(14) mid-range near 44, momentum cooled with price slipping below EMA20/50.
Support: 1.3944, 1.3932, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39666
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39440 opens the path to 1.39320
Reclaim of 1.39560 puts the 1.39666 session high back in play
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD rallied through the NY session to 1.3969 — just shy of the 1.3966 two-month high — then faded and is now consolidating 1.3948-1.3956 around 1.3952. RSI(14) mid-range near 47 after the rejection; price sits below EMA20 but holds above EMA50.
Support: 1.39475, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst — tone, not the held rate, drives the next move
Close above 1.3956 reopens the 1.3969 session high
Loss of 1.39475 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.3919
19:46 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.39517
Consolidating below session high after NY rally.
NY session rallied from 1.3920 to a 1.3969 session high then unwound, with price now consolidating between 1.39475 and 1.39560 — roughly the 38.2% retrace of the leg. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and price has slipped back below EMA20, momentum cooling into the BoC event.
Support: 1.39475, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the next catalyst for this read
Close below 1.39475 opens the path to 1.39187
Close above 1.39560 reopens the 1.39688 session high
19:31 UTC
NY rally stalling, consolidating near highs · RSI 54 · price 1.39536
Pullback from session high into tight range.
NY session rallied off the 1.39187 low to test the 1.39613-1.39688 two-month high before fading into a tight consolidation around 1.3952. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the push, with price hugging EMA20 while holding above EMA50.
Support: 1.39479, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.39479 confirms a lower-low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session pushed USDCAD to a 1.39688 session high then faded as easing Middle East risk-off softened the USD and slipping crude capped CAD gains. Price is now consolidating 1.39479–1.39560 below the 1.39610 rejection zone, RSI(14) flat near 52.
Support: 1.39479, 1.39438, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3961, 1.39688
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC — tone is the catalyst, can reset this read
M15 close above 1.39610 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Failure to hold 1.39479 confirms a lower low toward 1.39438
USDCAD rallied ~50 pips off the 1.39187 session low into a 1.39688 high during the NY session, in line with CAD weakness around two-month highs post-BoC. Price was rejected there and is now consolidating 1.39479–1.39560; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.39479, 1.3932, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3962, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39688 reopens the path higher and resumes the uptrend
Close below 1.39479 breaks the rising structure and exposes 1.39320
Consolidating below NY session high after rejection.
NY session rallied off the 1.39187 low to a 1.39688 session high before rejecting, with the dollar bid back on revived safe-haven flows. Price now consolidates 1.39479–1.39560, RSI(14) neutral near 51 after cooling from the rally peak.
Support: 1.39479, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the upside toward the two-month high
Loss of 1.39479 confirms a lower low and unwinds the NY rally
BoC rate decision in ~18h is the dominant catalyst for this pair
19:02 UTC
NY rally fading, pulling back · RSI 49 · price 1.39519
Pullback from session high after rejection.
USDCAD ran from the 1.39186 session low to 1.39688 through NY hours before rejection capped the move; price has since retraced to 1.39519, roughly a third of the rally. RSI(14) cooled back to mid-range as the impulse stalled below the session high.
Support: 1.39475, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39603, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the path toward the 1.3966 YTD-area high
Failure to hold 1.39475 exposes a deeper retrace toward 1.39186
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pullback in play · RSI 49 · price 1.39519
Rally to session high faded into consolidation.
NY session drove USDCAD to a two-month high at 1.39688 — extending the post-BoC bid — before fading to 1.3952 as crude steadied. Price is now consolidating below 1.3956 with RSI(14) back near neutral; the 1.39475 swing low is holding so far.
Support: 1.39475, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.3966, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3966 reopens the 1.39688 two-month high
Loss of 1.39475 confirms a lower low and deepens the pullback
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
18:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.39537
Rally to 2mo high then fade into range.
NY session drove USDCAD to a two-month high at 1.39688 after the dovish BoC hold extended CAD pressure, but the move was rejected and price has faded back to the 1.3948-1.3956 range. RSI(14) cooled off the highs to mid-40s as momentum stalled below the 1.3961 prior cap.
Support: 1.39479, 1.3932, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.39613, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the path toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.39479 confirms a lower-low toward 1.39320
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY rally stalled below session high, now consolidating.
USDCAD ran from the 1.3919 NY low to 1.39688 near the two-month high before sellers rejected it, with CAD unable to capitalize as crude slipped on Iran-Israel de-escalation. Price is now chopping around 1.3954 just below the 1.3958 cap, RSI(14) back near neutral after the rally.
Support: 1.39479, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 reopens the two-month high
Loss of 1.39479 breaks the rising intraday support and confirms a lower-low
18:31 UTC
NY uptrend, pullback underway · RSI 44 · price 1.39493
Rejection off session high, retracing.
NY session rallied from the 1.39187 swing low to a 1.39688 two-month-high area post-BoC, then met rejection and is drifting back toward 1.3947 with RSI cooling to mid-40s. Price has slipped under EMA20 but holds above the 1.3940 support shelf, keeping the intraday pullback shallow.
Support: 1.39475, 1.3940, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39603, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 session high opens the path to the YTD high
Loss of 1.3940 support exposes the 1.39187 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reset this read
18:31 UTC
Intraday up leg fading · RSI 44 · price 1.39493
Pullback after NY rally to session high.
USDCAD ran to a session high of 1.39688 through NY hours post-BoC before fading back to 1.39493, now sitting near the 38.2% retrace of the 1.39186-1.39688 leg. Price slipped below EMA20 as RSI(14) cooled into the mid-40s; the 1.39479 low is the near-term floor.
Support: 1.39479, 1.3940, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.39580 reopens the 1.39688 session high
Loss of 1.39479 exposes the 1.39400 fib 50% zone
18:16 UTC
Rally faded, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.39489
Rally to session high then 38% retrace.
USDCAD rallied to a 1.39688 session high through the European-NY window as a dovish BoC hold kept the Loonie pressured, then faded to 1.3949 over the last two hours with RSI cooling into the mid-40s. The 38.2% retracement of that rally is holding near 1.3950, with the EMA20 capping at 1.3956.
Support: 1.3944, 1.3919
Resistance: 1.3956, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39560 (ema20) reopens the 1.39660 session high
Break below 1.39440 (50% fib) opens the 1.39190 session low
18:16 UTC
Pullback after NY rally · RSI 43 · price 1.39489
Rejected at session high, retracing.
USDCAD rallied through the NY session off 1.39186 to a two-month-high print at 1.39688 before getting rejected, and is now retracing — last at 1.39489 below EMA20. RSI(14) has cooled to the low 40s as price drifts toward the 1.3942 swing low.
Support: 1.3942, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3942 opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.39186 session low
Reclaim of 1.39566 reopens the 1.39688 high
BoC rate decision/statement could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39187 low up to a session high of 1.39688, just shy of the 1.3966 two-month high flagged into the BoC, where price was rejected. Pullback now testing the 1.39506 swing low with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the rally's 38.2% fib sits in this zone.
Support: 1.39506, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.39506 swing low keeps the higher-low chain intact; loss of it opens 1.39187 session low
M15 close above 1.39688 session high reopens the 2mo high
BoC tone is the swing factor — a dovish hold extends the move, hawkish risks a squeeze
NY session rallied off the 1.39187 swing low to a session high at 1.39688, brushing the YTD-area high before fading back to 1.3952. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price has slipped below EMA20 as the late-session push stalls.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39416, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39688 reopens the ytd high test
Failure to hold 1.3950 exposes the 1.39416 rally low
US CPI and BoC decision Wed could materially shift this read
17:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 48 · price 1.39528
HH/HL chain, retracing off session high.
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39187 low up to a 1.39688 session high before stalling, easing back to 1.3953 as softer crude and de-escalating Middle East risk capped follow-through. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s on the pullback; price now hovering near the 38.2% retrace of the NY rally.
Support: 1.39511, 1.3940, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39603, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39688 opens the 1.40 zone flagged in context
Failure to hold 1.39400 confirms a deeper retrace of the NY rally
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean rally from 1.39187 to a session high of 1.39688, stalling just above the 1.3966 prior high before pulling back to 1.3953 as RSI cooled to neutral. Crude weakness has capped the Loonie even as USD eased off two-month highs; the leg up still holds above its rising lows.
Support: 1.39511, 1.39438, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.39438 (fib 50%) signals deeper retrace of the NY leg
Break and hold above 1.39688 opens the 1.40 psych zone
BoC rate decision/statement Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean rally off 1.39186 to a session high of 1.39688, stalling just shy of the 1.3966 YTD peak before easing back to 1.39545 as soft USD demand on Iran de-escalation met weak crude. RSI(14) cooled to mid-range; the pullback is shallow and the HL chain holds.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966, 1.4000
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.39688 opens the 1.40 psych zone
Failure to hold 1.3940 breaks the rising support and the HL chain
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39187 London low up to 1.39688, where it stalled and rejected near the YTD-peak zone. Price has since faded to 1.39545 with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range; the rising intraday support off the lows is still intact.
Support: 1.39511, 1.3943, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39511 would break the rising-low chain and confirm a deeper pullback
Close above 1.39688 opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating just below session high after NY rally.
NY session drove a clean rally from the 1.3919 base to 1.39688, stalling right at the 1.3966 two-month/YTD peak. Price now coils 1.3958-1.3962 with RSI cooling off, holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.39573, 1.39511, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39666, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 opens the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39573 signals the rally is rolling over
BoC rate decision Wed could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.39186 low up to a 1.39688 session high, retesting the 1.3966 two-month/YTD peak before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from the rally. USD stayed firm into Wed CPI while soft crude capped the Loonie; price now consolidating just under the YTD high.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3920, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3966, 1.39688
What it said to watch
A close above 1.3966 opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.3950 confirms a lower-high and pullback into 1.3920
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.3919 low to test the 1.3966 YTD peak, with a wick rejection at 1.39688 as easing Mideast tensions softened the safe-haven USD bid. Price is now consolidating near 1.3960, RSI cooling from session highs; the two-month peak remains the cap.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3942, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39666, 1.39688
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39688 opens path toward the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.39530 confirms a lower-low and pullback
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.3919 low up toward the 1.3966 YTD peak, tapping 1.39688 before stalling as easing Mideast tensions trimmed the safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs and price is hugging the 1.3960 area below the session high.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39416, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.39688 opens the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39530 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove a clean rally off the 1.39186 low to 1.39688, retesting the 1.3966 YTD peak before stalling, RSI(14) cooling from highs near 62. Easing Iran-Israel tension softened the safe-haven USD bid, capping the push just under the prior two-month high.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39416, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39661, 1.39688
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39661 opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.3950 would break the rising intraday structure
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the next material catalyst for the cross
Higher highs into YTD peak, pullback off session high.
NY session ran USDCAD from the 1.3919 session low up to 1.39688, stalling at the 1.3966 YTD/two-month peak with the last bar rejecting back to 1.39604. RSI(14) near 63 and cooling as the rally loses pace just under the cited cap.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39688 clears the ytd peak and opens the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39530 swing reopens the 1.39280 area
BoC statement Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD out of the 1.392–1.3955 range, printing a fresh high at 1.39688 just above the 1.3966 two-month peak before easing to 1.39617, RSI(14) hot near 71. The leg tracks broad USD firmness as desks square into Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.3953, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Failure to clear 1.39688 session high keeps the rally capped at the 2-month high
Loss of 1.39530 reopens the move back toward the 1.39186 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39193 session low and broke the 1.3966 two-month high to print 1.39688 before stalling, with CAD soft into Wednesday's BoC hold. The last bar rejected off 1.39688 and pulled back to 1.39617 — RSI(14) cooling near 63 after the run.
Support: 1.3953, 1.3943, 1.39193
Resistance: 1.39688, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.39530 breaks the rising intraday support
A close above 1.39688 extends the breakout toward the 1.40 zone
BoC statement Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, near session highs · RSI 71 · price 1.39653
Higher highs, breakout retesting YTD peak.
NY session drove a steady rally off the 1.3919 low up to a 1.39666 print, matching the YTD/two-month high, with RSI(14) holding near 71. Price stalled at the 1.3966 cap as USD stayed firm and weak crude kept CAD heavy; the four-day uptrend remains intact above the 1.3950 breakout shelf.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39666, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39666 opens the path toward the 1.40000 psych level
Loss of 1.3950 breakout shelf would stall the rally
BoC rate decision/statement Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
16:16 UTC
Uptrend, pushing into YTD high · RSI 71 · price 1.39653
Higher highs, breakout from intraday base.
NY session ramped USDCAD off the 1.39187 low to retest the 1.3966 YTD peak, RSI(14) running hot near 71. Buyers stepped in repeatedly through the 1.3928 base; the two-month high is capping price at the close.
Support: 1.3947, 1.3928, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3966 opens the path toward 1.4000
Loss of 1.3947 cools the breakout and reopens the 1.3928 base
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session rallied off the 1.39186 session low to retest the 1.39633 session high, just shy of the 1.3966 YTD peak before stalling. Pullback to 1.39572 holding above the EMAs; RSI cooling from the top after a ~45-pip recovery.
Support: 1.3947, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39633, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39633 session high opens the 1.3966 ytd peak
Failure to hold 1.39470 swing low signals the recovery losing momentum
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
16:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, climbing into prior high · RSI 64 · price 1.39572
Rally off session low, retesting upper range.
NY session reclaimed the day's losses, rallying from the 1.39187 session low to tag 1.39633 before easing to 1.39572, with RSI(14) holding mid-60s. Price is now pressing the prior two-month/YTD peak zone around 1.3966; sellers capped the 1.39633 spike on the last push.
Support: 1.3943, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39633, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39633 opens the 1.3966 ytd peak and 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.39430 reopens the 1.39187 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ground higher off the 1.39187 session low, printing 1.39633 before settling near 1.39558 with RSI(14) around 63. Buyers stepped in repeatedly through the London-NY transition; session-high zone 1.39633 is now the immediate cap.
Support: 1.3943, 1.39187, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39633, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39633 opens the path toward the 1.3966 ytd peak
Loss of 1.39430 swing low would break the higher-low chain
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
NY session drove USD/CAD off the 1.39186 low up to 1.39633, stalling just under the 1.3966 two-month high before easing to 1.39558. RSI(14) near 64 — hot but not extreme; the rally is holding above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened at the cap.
Support: 1.39416, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39633, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39633 opens the 1.3966 two-month high and 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.39416 swing low signals the NY push has stalled
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 57 · price 1.39517
Double bottom then rally, consolidating below session high.
NY session swept down to 1.3919 twice before buyers stepped in, driving a ~40 pip rally to the 1.39566 session high. Price pulled back but held above 1.394 and now consolidates near 1.3952, RSI(14) cooling from the rally high.
Support: 1.39416, 1.3919
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39566 opens the 1.39607 ytd peak
Failure to hold 1.39416 reopens the 1.3919 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back · RSI 58 · price 1.39517
Higher lows off 1.3919, capped at 1.3957.
NY session rallied off the 1.3919 swing low to a 1.39566 session high before fading to 1.3942, with price now recovering to 1.39517. USD/CAD sits near its two-month high with crude weakness and a firm USD underpinning dips; RSI(14) mid-range at ~58.
Support: 1.3942, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39613
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39566 opens the 1.39613 YTD peak
Loss of 1.39420 reopens the 1.39186 swing low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD rallied off the 1.39186 session low into the NY session, tagged a session high at 1.39566 and was rejected, now pulling back to 1.39429. Pair remains parked just below the 1.39613 two-month high with BoC ahead.
Support: 1.3932, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39613
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39320 breaks the rising support and exposes the 1.39186 session low
Break above 1.39566 session high reopens the 1.39613 two-month high
BoC rate decision/statement Wed 13:45 UTC is the near-term catalyst for this cross
15:16 UTC
Micro rally off lows, pulling back · RSI 53 · price 1.39429
Swing low then HH into NY, rejection at session high.
NY session rallied sharply from the 1.39187 session low to 1.39566, then got rejected and faded back to 1.39429 — roughly a third of the move retraced. RSI(14) cooled to the low 50s; pair sits between the 1.39320 swing low and the 1.39566 session high.
Support: 1.3932, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39613
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39566 reopens the path to the 1.39613 ytd peak
Failure to hold 1.39320 confirms a lower low and erases the NY rally
BoC rate decision/statement Wed could materially shift this read
Double bottom at 1.3919, rebound stalling near 1.3957.
NY session bought the double bottom at 1.3919 and ran USDCAD back to 1.39566 before the last bar rejected and pulled in to 1.3949. RSI(14) near 59, the rally is cooling but the 1.3940 round number is holding so far; pair sits below the 1.39607 prior high as CAD trades soft into the BoC hold.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39566 reopens the path to the 1.39607 prior high
Loss of 1.3940 and a break of 1.39187 negates the double bottom
BoC statement Wed could materially shift this read
Double bottom then rebound, capped at session high.
USDCAD swept down to 1.39187 through the NY morning then rebounded ~38 pips to a session high of 1.39566, where it was rejected back to 1.39492. RSI(14) cooling from the bounce; pair holding above EMA20/50 but stalling below the 1.39566 cap.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39187
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.39566 reopens the path to the 1.39607 prior high
Loss of 1.39400 round level puts the 1.39187 swing low back in play
BoC decision and US CPI Wed are the dominant near-term risks for this read
14:46 UTC
Rebound off intraday low, momentum building · RSI 66 · price 1.39537
V recovery toward range top after sweep of 1.3919.
USDCAD carved an intraday low at 1.39186 during NY hours then rallied ~38 pips back to the session high at 1.39566 before stalling, last 1.39537. RSI(14) near 66, hot but not extreme; the bounce fits the CAD-soft tone with crude weak and BoC due Wednesday.
Support: 1.3932, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39607, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39566 opens the 1.39607/1.39660 resistance band
Loss of 1.39320 rising support reopens the 1.39186 low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could reset this read
14:46 UTC
Rebound off lows, momentum up · RSI 68 · price 1.39537
Double bottom at 1.3919, sharp recovery toward session highs.
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.3919 through midday and rallied hard during the NY session back to 1.39566, with weak crude and soft CAD keeping the bounce supported. RSI(14) near 68 and rising; price reclaimed both EMAs but is now pressing into the 1.39566 session high.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3919, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39566 opens the path to 1.39607 and the 1.3966 YTD peak
Failure to hold 1.3945 questions the rebound and reopens 1.3919
BoC rate decision Wed could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Recovering off session low · RSI 64 · price 1.39491
Double bottom near 1.3919, sharp rally into NY.
USDCAD double-bottomed at 1.3919 and rallied ~30 pips during early NY hours, reclaiming both EMAs and pressing back toward the 1.3955 prior high. The four-day uptrend's pullback found demand at the lows; RSI(14) recovering to the low-60s with no extreme yet.
Support: 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3955, 1.39589, 1.3966
What it said to watch
A close above 1.3955 reopens the 1.3966 YTD high
Failure to hold 1.3928 reasserts the lower-low sequence
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
14:31 UTC
Intraday recovery off lows · RSI 64 · price 1.39491
Double bottom then sharp rally.
USDCAD carved a double bottom at 1.3919 in the NY morning and rallied sharply back to 1.3950 into the afternoon as easing safe-haven USD demand faded the prior dip. RSI(14) near 64 after the leg up; session high at 1.39585 is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.3940, 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.3966
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39585 session high opens the path to the 1.3966 ytd peak
Failure to hold 1.39400 round level re-exposes the double bottom at 1.39186
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground lower through the session to a double bottom at 1.3919, then snapped ~25 pips higher into NY hours as easing Middle East tensions softened the safe-haven USD bid. RSI(14) cooling off oversold supported the bounce; price now back above EMA20/50 and pressing toward the 1.39585 swing high.
Support: 1.3919, 1.39259
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.3966
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3919 invalidates the double bottom
Break above 1.39585 swing high opens the 2mo high at 1.39660
BoC decision Wed (13:45 UTC) is the primary CAD catalyst
USDCAD swept down to 1.39186 twice during NY hours then bounced ~25 pips to 1.39435 as the dollar held firm and crude weakness eased. The double bottom near 1.3919 has held; RSI(14) recovered to the low-60s with price back above the intraday EMAs.
Support: 1.39276, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39186 confirms a lower-low and negates the double bottom
Reclaim of 1.39535 reopens the path toward the 1.39607 session high
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD catalyst and could materially shift this read
USDCAD sold off through London into NY hours, printing a double bottom at 1.39186 before buyers stepped in and lifted price to 1.39388; it now sits near 1.39360, roughly mid-retrace of the down leg from 1.39610. RSI(14) has recovered off oversold and ATR is ~8 pips, a tight intraday range.
Support: 1.3928, 1.39186
Resistance: 1.39388, 1.3945, 1.3961
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39388 opens the path back to 1.39450
Failure to hold 1.39280 reopens the 1.39186 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC are imminent catalysts that could reset this read
Lower highs into 1.3919 double bottom, recovery leg in play.
USDCAD slid through NY hours from the 1.39607 session high to a 1.39187 double bottom before buyers stepped in twice and pushed price back to 1.39388. The bounce reclaimed EMA20 but stalled below the 1.39388 bounce high, with RSI(14) recovering to the high-50s.
Support: 1.39187, 1.39276
Resistance: 1.39388, 1.39523, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39388 opens the path back toward the 1.39523 mid pivot
Loss of 1.39187 confirms a lower low and negates the double-bottom read
BoC decision and US CPI Wed are the dominant catalysts and could reset this structure
NY session sold USDCAD down to a 1.3919 base that held twice, and price has since rebounded to 1.39354, retracing roughly 40% of the 1.39607-1.39186 down-leg. RSI(14) has climbed back to neutral ~52 as the sequence of lower highs is being tested.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39378, 1.3945, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39378 breaks the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.39186 resumes the intraday downtrend
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs into session low, double-bottom bounce.
USDCAD ground lower through NY, sweeping the session low at 1.39186 before snapping back to 1.39354 right into the BoC decision (13:45 UTC). Twin lows at 1.39186/1.39193 held and RSI(14) recovered off its trough toward 50; 1.39378 caps the bounce so far.
Support: 1.39186, 1.39276
Resistance: 1.39378, 1.39467
What it said to watch
BoC press conference 14:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.39378 negates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39186 reopens continuation lower
Lower highs into a swept session low at 1.3919, mild recovery.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, sweeping the session low at 1.3919 before buyers stepped in for a bounce to 1.3929, RSI(14) recovering off the dip to ~42. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the swing high at 1.3934 as the first cap; the broader 1.3959 session high remains untested.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3934, 1.3946, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Reclaim above 1.3934 swing high would ease the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.3919 session low confirms continuation lower
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI are imminent CAD/USD catalysts
13:31 UTC
Downtrend, intraday · RSI 43 · price 1.39286
Lower highs and lower lows, modest bounce off session low.
NY session pressed USDCAD lower, breaking the 1.3935 shelf to print a session low at 1.3919 before a shallow bounce to 1.3929; RSI(14) lifting off the lows but price holds below EMA20/50. BoC hold is fully priced for Wednesday — the statement tone is the live catalyst.
Support: 1.39186
Resistance: 1.3932, 1.3946
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39186 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.39320 bounce high softens the downside read
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 39 · price 1.39232
Lower highs, broke below intraday range.
USDCAD spent most of the window ranging 1.3935–1.3960 before breaking lower into the NY session, sweeping down to 1.39186 and bouncing modestly to 1.39232. The drop tracks softer Crude and a slip off the 1.3960 YTD-peak area; RSI(14) sits in the high-30s after the leg down.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39354
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.39186 opens a test of 1.3900
M15 close back above 1.39354 invalidates the breakdown read
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
13:16 UTC
Downtrend, near session low · RSI 38 · price 1.39232
Lower highs into a fresh session low.
NY session pressed USD/CAD lower, breaking the mid-session base and printing a fresh low at 1.39186 before a shallow bounce to 1.3923, RSI(14) near 38. Sellers have capped each rally below 1.3934 as the pair drifts off the 1.3960 YTD-peak area; momentum stays heavy ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39341
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39186 extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.39341 swing pivot would neutralise the downside push
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk for this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 37 · price 1.39206
Lower highs, lower lows into session low.
USDCAD sold off through NY morning, printing a fresh session low at 1.3919 after losing the mid-1.3930s, with RSI(14) near 37 but not yet stretched. Price is pinned just below 2-month highs as softer crude caps any Loonie recovery; consolidating in a tight 1.3919–1.3923 range at the lows.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3929, 1.39406
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39290 negates the lower-low sequence
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could shift this read
Failure to hold 1.39187 opens a test of the 1.3900 psych level
USDCAD slid off the mid-1.395 area through NY hours, printing a fresh session low at 1.3919 with RSI(14) near 33. The pair has rolled over from the 1.3960 two-month-high zone, lower highs intact and price below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39284, 1.39341
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39341 invalidates the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39186 opens a test of the 1.3900 round number
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Downtrend, accelerating into NY afternoon · RSI 31 · price 1.39203
Lower highs, lower lows; session low just printed.
USDCAD slid through NY hours, breaking the 1.39259 support and printing a session low at 1.39186 as the safe-haven USD bid softened on Middle East de-escalation. RSI(14) near 31, momentum stretched lower but not yet at extreme; price sits well below EMA20/EMA50.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3929, 1.3945
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39290 negates the lower-high sequence
Break below 1.39000 psych extends the down leg
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows, broke intraday range floor.
USDCAD ground lower through the London session, slipping from the mid-1.3950s as a softer dollar on Middle East de-escalation weighed; price broke the prior 1.3930 floor and printed a fresh session low at 1.39186. RSI(14) near 31 — short-term stretched but not extreme — with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39186, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3929, 1.3936, 1.39434
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39186 confirms a lower-low and extends the leg down
Reclaim of 1.39290 would challenge the downtrend structure
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.3940 floor and printing a session low at 1.39187 as a softer USD on Middle East de-escalation trimmed the pair from the mid-1.3950s. RSI(14) near 33 reflects the down-leg without yet reaching oversold; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3934, 1.3955
What it said to watch
Close back above 1.39340 negates the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.39187 opens the 1.39000 round number
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially reset this read
USDCAD ground out a chain of lower highs through the NY session and broke the 1.39259 shelf to print a fresh session low at 1.39187, with price sub-EMA20/50 and RSI(14) near 33. The softer dollar after Middle East de-escalation has trimmed the topside, but the slide stalled at the figure rather than reversing.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3940
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39187 extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3900
Reclaim of 1.39400 neutralises the intraday downtrend
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant near-term risk
Lower highs, lower lows; just broke 1.3930 support.
USDCAD ground lower through the NY session, breaking the 1.3930 floor on the last leg down to a fresh low at 1.3919 with RSI(14) near 33. Price hugging the lows below EMA20/50; no bounce confirmed yet.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3934
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3934 would negate the lower-low break
Loss of 1.3919 opens the 1.3900 psych area
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and BoC Wed 13:45 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCAD ground lower through the session, breaking the 1.3930 support and printing a fresh low at 1.3919 with RSI(14) near 31. A chain of lower highs has capped every bounce and price sits pinned at the lows into the BoC decision.
Support: 1.39187, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39335, 1.39434
What it said to watch
Reclaim of broken support at 1.39335 would ease the downside pressure
BoC rate decision at 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
12:02 UTC
Downtick, range floor broken · RSI 29 · price 1.39207
Range break lower, fresh session low.
USDCAD chopped between 1.3935 and 1.3956 through the NY session before the 1.3935 floor gave way late, pressing fresh lows at 1.39193 with RSI(14) into oversold near 29. The pullback from the 1.3960 YTD-peak area is now extending intraday.
Support: 1.39193, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3934, 1.3956
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39340 negates the downside range break
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoC decision later could materially shift this read
A hold under 1.39193 keeps the lower-low chain intact
USDCAD slid through the latter half of the session, breaking the 1.39320 support shelf and printing a fresh low at 1.39193 with RSI(14) near 30. Price sits well below EMA20/50 after rolling over from the mid-1.3950s; the pullback in the pair runs against the broader hold near YTD peaks ahead of the BoC.
Support: 1.39193, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.39341
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision at 13:45 UTC (~1.75h) is the primary CAD risk and could override this read
Reclaim of 1.39341 would neutralise the session breakdown
Failure to hold 1.39193 opens the 1.39000 round number
USDCAD has rolled over through NY hours, breaking below the 1.3934 intraday pivot and printing a fresh session low at 1.39258 with price below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) near 36 reflects the down leg but is not yet stretched; the slide sits against a firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop into Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.39258, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3934, 1.39434
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.39258 opens the path toward the 1.3920 round level
Reclaim of 1.39340 pivot would neutralise the lower-low read
BoC decision and US CPI (Wed) are the primary risk events and could materially shift this read
USDCAD has drifted lower through the European session off the 1.39607 high, printing a chain of lower highs and a fresh low at 1.39259 ahead of the BoC decision. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 37 — soft but not oversold; pair pinned just under mid-1.3900s as weak crude caps any Loonie recovery.
Support: 1.39259, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3934, 1.3940
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision in ~2h (13:45 UTC) is the primary risk and could reset this read
Close back above 1.39340 breaks the lower-high sequence
USDCAD has ground lower off the 1.3959 swing high, printing a chain of lower highs and lower lows into the 1.39285 area as the softer safe-haven USD trimmed the bid. Price is below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 38 — momentum down but not yet stretched; 1.39276 session low is the immediate floor.
Support: 1.39276, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39505, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.39400 stalls the lower-high sequence
US ADP 12:15 UTC and BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC are the near-term risks
11:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs · RSI 35 · price 1.39285
Lower highs/lows, pressing session low.
USDCAD has ground lower through the London session from the 1.39607 session high, printing a chain of lower highs and now breaking the 1.39293 prior low to sit at 1.39276. RSI(14) near 34 — soft but not yet stretched — and price trades below both EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39276, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.39400 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 1.39276 confirms continuation toward the 1.39250 psych area
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this read
11:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.39339
Lower highs, testing range floor.
USDCAD has bled lower from the 1.3960 session high through the London-NY hours, now pressing the 1.3929 session low with price below both EMAs. RSI(14) near 40 reflects the soft tone but is not yet oversold; pullback off the YTD-peak area lacks downside acceleration into Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.39293, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39575
What it said to watch
A close below 1.39293 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.3920 psych area
Reclaim of 1.39400 prior high would neutralise the downward drift
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk that could reset this read
11:16 UTC
Downtrend, drifting off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.39339
Lower highs, testing session low.
USDCAD rolled over from the session high at 1.39589 during NY hours, carving lower highs down to the current 1.3934 just above the 1.39293 session low. Price sits below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 40; pullback lacks follow-through with Loonie capped by softer crude into Wed BoC.
Support: 1.39293, 1.3919
Resistance: 1.39505, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39293 confirms continuation of the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.39505 negates the lower-high structure
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39329
Lower highs, grinding toward session low.
USDCAD has faded from the 1.3961 session high to coil just above 1.3930, with RSI(14) cooling near 42 and price holding below both EMAs. Last few bars are tight and low-volume, sitting right on session-low support ahead of Wednesday's BoC decision.
Support: 1.3930, 1.3920, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.3961
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low and opens 1.3900
Reclaim of 1.3958 negates the intraday pullback read
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
11:01 UTC
Downtrend, drifting to range low · RSI 41 · price 1.39329
Lower highs off 1.3960, testing session low.
USDCAD has stair-stepped lower from the 1.3960 session high, printing lower highs and now pressing the 1.3930 session low with RSI(14) near 41. The pullback off the YTD-peak area tracks a softer USD as the Iran-Israel halt trims the safe-haven bid; price sits below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39264, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.3947, 1.39585
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low toward 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.39470 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
USDCAD drifted lower through the session from the 1.39607 swing high, printing a chain of lower highs into current 1.39322 — just above the 1.39299 session low as the easing Iran-Israel risk premium trims the USD bid. Price sits below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cooled to the low 40s; no bounce traction yet.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39299 confirms a lower low and extends the down leg
Reclaim of 1.39470 breaks the lower-high chain
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
10:46 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 39 · price 1.39322
Lower highs, testing range low.
USDCAD has bled lower from the 1.3960 session high to retest the 1.3930 area, with a chain of lower highs through the London session and RSI(14) near 38. Price now sits on the session low at 1.39299; pullback intact below EMA20/50 ahead of tomorrow's BoC hold.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3940, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 opens the 1.3926 swing low
Reclaim of 1.39400 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk for this read
USDCAD has rolled off the 1.39585 session high in a steady chain of lower highs, sitting at 1.39333 just above the 1.39299 swing low as the dollar's safe-haven bid eases. Drift lower lacks follow-through with RSI(14) near 40 — softer oil is keeping the Loonie capped below mid-1.3900s.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39434, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 confirms a fresh lower low toward the 1.39258 session low
Reclaim of 1.39434 breaks the lower-high sequence
BoC rate decision tomorrow 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
10:31 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 42 · price 1.39333
Rangebound, fading off session high.
USDCAD has faded from the session high at 1.39607 toward 1.3930, now sitting below both EMAs with RSI(14) near 41. Price holds inside a 1.3929-1.3960 band just above the session low, with momentum tilting lower into Wednesday's BoC decision.
Support: 1.3929, 1.3920
Resistance: 1.39434, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39290 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.39434 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and can reset this read
USDCAD is drifting lower through the London session, fading from the session high at 1.3960 and supply near 1.3950 with RSI(14) around 40. Price holds just above the swing low at 1.3930, keeping the 24h range intact ahead of Wed BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 swing low opens the range low near 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3950 supply needed to retest the 1.3960 session high
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
10:16 UTC
Mild downdrift within range · RSI 42 · price 1.3934
Lower highs into session lows, holding 1.3930.
USDCAD faded from the 1.3960 session high through London, printing lower highs and drifting back to 1.3934 with RSI(14) cooling near 41. Pair holds just above the 1.3930 swing low, capped near 1.3950 as softer crude and easing safe-haven flows leave it sub-mid-1.3900s ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.3930, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3960
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3926 session low
Reclaim of 1.3950 negates the lower-high sequence
BoC decision and US CPI Wednesday could materially shift this read
Lower highs off 1.3960, holding above 1.3930 base.
USDCAD has carved a series of lower highs since the 1.3960 session high, now drifting toward the lower end of the 1.3930–1.3960 range as the London session develops. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with price below EMA20/50; rejection capped each push back toward 1.3950. Pair holds near 2-month highs ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
USDCAD is ranging between 1.3930 and 1.3960 through the London session, drifting back below 1.3950 after rejection from the 1.39585 session high. Price holds near 2-month highs with no setup in play; momentum flat, RSI mid-40s.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.39585 session high
Break of 1.3930 swing low exposes 1.39258 range low
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD is rangebound 1.3930-1.3960 and has drifted to the lower edge after repeated rejection near the 1.3958 session high during the London session. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s with price under both EMAs; no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3941, 1.39535, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low and opens 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3954 puts the range top back in play
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and can void this range read
USDCAD has ranged between 1.3930 and 1.3960 across the last 24h, with rejections capping near the 1.3960 session high and demand stepping in around 1.3930. Price is drifting toward the range floor during London hours, RSI(14) mid-range near 46, sitting below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
M15 close above 1.3960 invalidates the range read
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this structure
09:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 49 · price 1.39373
Ranging under session high, lower highs since the 1.39607 peak.
USDCAD is ranging 1.39290–1.39607, now mid-range and drifting lower in London hours after rejection at the 1.39585 session high. Lower highs are stacking under that cap with RSI(14) flat near 49; the Asian-range low at 1.39290 has held.
Support: 1.39307, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39434, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39434 reopens the 1.39585 session high
Loss of 1.39290 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range floor
US CPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) and BoC (Wed 13:45 GMT) are the next catalysts to reshape this read
09:31 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39373
Intraday range, rolling off highs.
USDCAD has been pinned in a 1.3930–1.3960 range through the Asia-into-London hours, rejecting the 1.3959 session high twice before sliding back toward the range mid. Current bar sits at 1.39373, below EMA20/50 with RSI near 44 — no setup in play ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold and US CPI.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3955, 1.3959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.39258 range low
Close above 1.39590 invalidates the range-top rejection read
BoC decision and US CPI tomorrow could materially shift this read
Consolidation between 1.3930 and 1.3960, recent lower highs.
USDCAD has rolled off the 1.39585/1.39607 session highs and is grinding back toward the 1.3930 range floor, RSI(14) mid-40s with price under EMA20/50. The pair is consolidating sub-1.3950 into tomorrow's BoC hold; soft crude is keeping CAD capped but follow-through selling has been absent.
Support: 1.3930, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 swing low opens 1.3926 session low and confirms a lower low
Reclaim of the 1.39585 session high needed to neutralise the lower-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Drifting lower within range · RSI 42 · price 1.39351
Ranging, recent lower highs.
USD/CAD is grinding back toward the 1.3935 area after rejection at the 1.3958 session high, holding near 2-month highs into Wednesday's BoC hold. Price has been boxed between 1.3930 and 1.3960 through the London session, RSI(14) soft near 42 with no momentum extreme.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39300 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.3926 range low
Reclaim of 1.39585 session high needed to reassert upside
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary catalyst for this read
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.3930–1.3959 through the London session with a string of lower highs capping rallies. Price has drifted back to 1.3936 after the recent low at 1.3930 held; no clean setup in play ahead of tomorrow's BoC decision.
Support: 1.39307, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39434, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39307 recent low exposes the 1.39258 early low
Reclaim of 1.39434 swing high needed to challenge the 1.39589 session high
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has chopped between 1.3930 and 1.3960 for the past session, with rejection at 1.39585/1.39607 capping every push higher and price now grinding back toward the lower edge at 1.39359. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 43, price holding below EMA20 and EMA50 — no momentum either way ahead of the BoC hold Wednesday.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3943, 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39300 confirms a lower-low and exits the range
Reclaim of 1.39430 (ema20) would neutralise the lower-third drift
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI are the week's catalysts and can void this range read
08:46 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 47 · price 1.39384
Consolidation under session high.
USDCAD ranging through the Asia session between 1.3930 and 1.3960, holding near 2-month highs into Wednesday's BoC. Price has slipped back under EMA20/50 to 1.3938, sitting mid-range with RSI neutral; no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 reopens the 1.3950s/1.40 area
Loss of 1.39300 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.3926 session low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC are the next catalysts
08:46 UTC
Sideways, no clear momentum · RSI 47 · price 1.39384
Range-bound between 1.3930 and 1.3960.
USDCAD is chopping between 1.3930 and 1.3960 near its highest since late March, holding the bid as soft crude caps the Loonie. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI neutral around 46 — no directional setup in play.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 reopens the 1.40 area
Loss of 1.3930 confirms a lower-low within the range
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could break this range
08:31 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 48 · price 1.39403
Range-bound between 1.3930 and 1.3960.
USDCAD is chopping in a tight 1.3930–1.3960 band through London hours, holding near 2-month highs with no follow-through either way. A dip to 1.3930 was bought back toward 1.3940, RSI(14) flat near the mid-line; price is pinned around EMA20 with EMA50 capping just overhead.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39264
Resistance: 1.39565, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 reopens the 1.40 area
Loss of 1.3930 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3926
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT are the next catalysts
USDCAD is chopping inside 1.3930-1.3960 near 2-month highs, recovering off the 1.3930 session low after the Asian-session dip. RSI hovers mid-range with no momentum extreme; pair sits just under EMA20/EMA50 with BoC tomorrow keeping flow cautious.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3952, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower low and opens 1.3926
Close above 1.3960 session high re-tests the 1.40 area
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary catalyst for the next leg
08:16 UTC
Range, no clear direction · RSI 49 · price 1.39407
Ranging ~1.3930–1.3960, mid-range.
USDCAD is ranging between 1.3930 and 1.3960 through the Asia session and into London, with price recovering from a 1.39299 dip back to 1.39407 — no setup in play. Pair holds near 2-month highs as soft crude caps the Loonie, but trade is muted ahead of tomorrow's BoC decision and US CPI.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 breaks the range top
Failure to hold 1.39299 opens 1.3926 range low
BoC rate decision and US CPI tomorrow could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session highs, lower highs into 1.3940.
USDCAD rejected the 1.3950 area twice through the NY-Asia transition and slid to a session low at 1.3930 before stabilising near 1.3941. Price holds below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) mid-range; pair is consolidating sub-1.3950 ahead of Wed's BoC hold.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.3958 swing high
Failure to hold 1.3930 confirms a lower-low toward 1.3926
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk for this read
08:02 UTC
Mild downdrift within range · RSI 44 · price 1.39386
Lower highs into Asia, range intact.
USDCAD has drifted off the 1.39585 session high through the Asia session, printing lower highs and a soft bounce off 1.39299. Price sits mid-range below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) neutral near 44 — no setup in play ahead of London open.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 confirms a lower low and opens 1.39258
Reclaim of 1.39500 negates the lower-high sequence
US CPI (Wed 12:30 GMT) and BoC (Wed 13:45 UTC) are the dominant near-term risks for this pair
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.3930-1.3960 through the London session, price below EMA20/50 after fading from the 1.3958 session high. Pair holds near late-March highs as soft crude caps the CAD, with no clean directional break in play ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the 1.39607 prior high
Failure to hold 1.39300 session low exposes 1.39258 swing low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and could break this range
USDCAD drifted lower through the London-into-Europe hours, printing lower highs from the 1.3958 session high and rejecting the 1.3950 zone repeatedly. The 1.3930 session low has held twice and price bounced to 1.3937, RSI(14) recovering off the mid-40s; sub-1.3950 grind persists with BoC and US CPI Wednesday the next catalysts.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39505
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower-low, opens swing low 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3950 negates the intraday downtrend
BoC hold and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
07:46 UTC
Ranging, recent leg lower · RSI 46 · price 1.39376
Consolidation between 1.3930 and 1.3960, lower highs forming.
USDCAD chopping sub-1.3960 through the London session, holding near two-month highs with CAD capped despite firmer crude headlines. The pair faded from the 1.3958 session high into a 1.3930 session low and is now mid-range around 1.3938 with RSI(14) neutral near 46; lower highs are the only directional tell.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39575, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 exposes the 1.3926 range low
Reclaim of 1.3947 pivot needed to re-test the 1.3958 session high
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and will reset this range
Rotating inside 1.3930–1.3960, recent lower highs into session low.
USDCAD slipped off the session high at 1.39585 through London open, printing lower highs into a 1.39300 session low before a modest bounce to 1.39377. RSI(14) mid-40s with price below EMA20/50; pair still boxed inside the 1.3930–1.3960 band, near two-month highs ahead of Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3944, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39300 opens the 1.39258 prior low
Reclaim of 1.39440 needed to challenge the 1.39585 session high
BoC and US CPI Wed are the primary risk events for this pair
USDCAD has spent the London morning ranging between 1.3930 and 1.3960 after rejection at the session high, pair drifting back toward mid-range at 1.39377 with RSI(14) neutral near 43. CAD stayed soft and crowded-short ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold, no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3926 range low
Close above 1.39585 reopens the 1.3960 range top
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower into Asia · RSI 44 · price 1.39393
USDCAD has chopped between 1.3930 and 1.3960 over the last 24h, with the session-high zone around 1.3958/1.3960 capping rallies. Price slid to a session low of 1.39299 in late NY hours and buyers stepped back in toward 1.39394; RSI(14) sits mid-range near 44. CAD stayed soft across G10 as Crude faded on ceasefire headlines, keeping the pair pinned near its two-month-high zone.
Support: 1.39335, 1.39299, 1.39264
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39470 reopens the 1.3958/1.3960 session-high zone
Loss of 1.39299 confirms a lower low toward 1.39264
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ranging roughly 1.3930–1.3960 through the session; price slid to 1.3930 in late NY hours then recovered to 1.3939 into the London morning. RSI(14) neutral near 46, sitting below EMA20/50; the 1.3950 psych pivot capped the move while buyers stepped in around 1.3930.
Support: 1.39299, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39607, 1.3950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3950 reopens the 1.39607 intraday high
Break of 1.3930 session low exposes 1.3926 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Mild downtrend off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.39361
Range 1.3930-1.3958, testing lower edge.
USDCAD rolled over from the session high at 1.3958 and is drifting toward the session low near 1.3930 in early London hours, RSI(14) easing to the low 40s. Price holds below EMA20 after the 1.3958 rejection; the 1.3930-1.3958 range still frames the last 24h with CAD soft and crowded-short into Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.3930, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3946, 1.39535
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3930 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3946 ema20 puts the range mid back in play
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk
07:01 UTC
Ranging, leg lower into session · RSI 40 · price 1.39361
Range, testing lower bound.
USDCAD has chopped between 1.3929 and 1.3960 for the last ~24h, with the Asia session high near 1.3959 capping the move and supply rejecting twice. Early London is fading the pair off 1.3947 back toward the session low at 1.3929, RSI(14) sub-40 but not oversold; the Loonie stays heavy ahead of Wednesday's BoC hold and US CPI.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.3959
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3929 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3947 puts the 1.3959 session high back in play
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
Lower highs into Asia close, testing range support.
USDCAD has held a 1.3926–1.3960 range for the session and is now drifting toward range support into the London handover, RSI(14) easing to ~42. Sellers capped repeated pushes at the 1.3950 two-month pivot and price slid to 1.39299 before a shallow bounce to 1.3937.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39299 confirms a lower low and exposes 1.3926
Reclaim of 1.3950 pivot reopens the 1.3960 session high
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could break this range
06:46 UTC
Downtrend developing off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.3937
Range broken lower, fresh lower-low.
London session sold the pair off the 1.3959 recent high down to 1.3930, slipping below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) cooling near 42. Buyers stepped in at 1.3930 for a small bounce to 1.3937; the 1.3950 zone now caps.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3953, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3953 negates the lower-low read
Loss of 1.3930 exposes the 1.3926 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC are the dominant risk events for this pair
06:31 UTC
Range, rolling over into London · RSI 40 · price 1.39344
Lower highs, testing range floor.
USDCAD slid off the 1.39607 session high through London morning, fading from the 1.39490 pivot to retest the 1.39299 range floor with RSI(14) cooling near 40. Price has held the 1.3930-1.3960 band for most of the window; the Loonie stayed soft into the BoC despite a softer USD.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3949, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39258 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.39490 pivot reasserts the range
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this read
06:31 UTC
Range rolling over, leg lower · RSI 38 · price 1.39344
Lower highs, breaking range floor.
USDCAD spent most of the window ranging 1.3930-1.3960, then slid out the bottom into the Asia-London handover, printing 1.39299 before the latest bar closed 1.39344. RSI(14) near 38 with price under EMA20/50; sellers carved lower highs off the 1.3958 session high as Crude pulled back. BoC hold Wed is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.39299, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39505, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39299 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.39258 window low
Reclaim of 1.39470 range mid neutralises the downside break
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
06:16 UTC
Downtrend developing off session high · RSI 36 · price 1.39331
Rolling over from 1.3959, pressing session lows.
USDCAD faded from the 1.3959 session high and slipped to fresh session lows near 1.3933, RSI(14) cooling toward 36. Price spent most of the 24h window ranging 1.3926–1.3961, but the late leg lower has it probing the lower edge; CAD soft into Wednesday's BoC hold.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3953, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39258 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.39460 negates the late-session slide and restores the range
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reshape this read
06:16 UTC
Rangebound, recent leg lower · RSI 40 · price 1.39331
Fading from session highs toward range base.
USDCAD has churned in a 1.3925–1.3960 band for most of the last 24h; the latest leg slid off the 1.39585 session high back toward the range base, price now under EMA20 with RSI(14) near 40. Loonie stayed soft into Asian hours as Crude faded, but no clean break of the range yet.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39585
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39258 confirms a lower-low and breaks the range base
Reclaim of 1.39470 ema20 puts the range top back in play
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Intraday pullback off session high · RSI 40 · price 1.39373
Rolling over from 1.3955-60 supply, testing range lows.
USD/CAD faded from the 1.3955-1.3960 session ceiling to 1.39373, RSI cooling to the high-30s with price now under EMA20/EMA50. Loonie staying soft and crowded-short into Wednesday's BoC hold, leaving the pair pinned just below two-month-high resistance.
Support: 1.39355, 1.3932, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3955, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39320 confirms a lower-low and exposes the 1.39258 asia low
Reclaim of 1.39550 negates the pullback toward the 1.3960 swing high
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and can reset this read
06:02 UTC
Short-term pullback within range · RSI 39 · price 1.39373
Lower highs off 1.3959, probing session lows.
USDCAD drifted lower through the Asia–London handover after rejection from the 1.3959 session high overnight, now probing session lows near 1.3937 with price below EMA20/50 and RSI cooling to ~39. Sellers have stepped on each bounce since the 1.3959 print; range holds between 1.3935 and 1.3959.
Support: 1.39355, 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3947, 1.39585, 1.3950
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39355 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3929
Reclaim of 1.39470 ema20 negates the pullback toward 1.3959
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk that could reset this read
USDCAD is grinding sideways near two-month highs, holding the 1.3925–1.3960 band through the Asia-into-London hours with price slipping back to 1.3940 after rejection at the 1.3950 pivot. Loonie remains soft as crude fades, but no momentum either way — RSI(14) mid-range, ATR thin around 4-5 pips.
Support: 1.3939, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3960
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3960 session high would extend toward the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.3925 swing low opens a deeper pullback
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially reset this range
05:46 UTC
Range, slight downtick · RSI 43 · price 1.3940
Ranging below session highs.
USD/CAD ranged 1.3926–1.3961 through the session, holding near two-month highs as the Loonie stayed soft ahead of Wednesday's BoC and US CPI. Last bars slipped from the 1.3955 session high back to 1.3940 with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral; range low at 1.3926 intact.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39558, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3961 range high opens the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.3926 confirms a lower low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
05:31 UTC
Sideways, no momentum · RSI 43 · price 1.39418
Range-bound between 1.3929 and 1.3960.
USDCAD is ranging roughly 1.3929–1.3960 through the Asian session, drifting back to mid-range at 1.39418 after rejection from the 1.3960 session high. RSI near 43 and thin pre-London liquidity; price sits just below EMA20/50 with no setup in play.
Support: 1.39394, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the 1.3960 range high
Loss of 1.39394 exposes the 1.3929 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk this week
USDCAD is ranging 1.3926-1.3961 just under two-month highs, now drifting to the lower third around 1.3942 with price below EMA20/50 and RSI near 43. CAD failed to capitalise on the softer USD as Crude faded, keeping the pair bid into Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.39417, 1.39349, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39417 exposes the 1.39349 swing low and range floor at 1.39258
M15 close above 1.39589 reopens the two-month-high zone toward 1.40
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this range read
05:16 UTC
Ranging, no clear direction · RSI 46 · price 1.39465
Rangebound between 1.3925 and 1.3960.
USDCAD chopping near 1.3946 in early London, holding the upper half of a 1.3925-1.3960 range built overnight. Price faded from the 1.3960 session high and is hovering around EMA20 with RSI(14) flat near 46 — no setup in play.
Support: 1.3942, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.3960
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3958 reopens the range high / 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.3942 exposes the 1.3925 range low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
05:16 UTC
Range-bound, no momentum · RSI 48 · price 1.39465
Ranging below 1.3960 session high.
USDCAD is ranging between 1.3926 and 1.3960 with no setup in play; the 1.3960 session high was rejected during NY hours and price has drifted back to 1.3946 in thin early-Asia trade. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 47, with price hugging just under EMA20/50 — Loonie soft into the BoC after firm Canadian jobs.
Support: 1.3942, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 reopens the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.39420 exposes the 1.39258 session low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Intraday range 1.3942-1.3960, holding near 2-month highs.
USDCAD coiled near 2-month highs, ranging 1.3942-1.3960 with the 1.3958 session high rejected twice and price now slipping to the range floor, RSI(14) mid-40s. Loonie stayed heavy despite strong jobs as crude faded on ceasefire headlines.
Support: 1.3942, 1.3929, 1.3905
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.3961
What it said to watch
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary risk and could break this range
M15 close below 1.3942 confirms a push toward the 1.3929 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3958 reopens the 1.3961 swing high
05:02 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39434
Intraday range, holding mid.
USDCAD ranged 1.3942–1.3960 through the Asia session and is drifting toward the range floor into the London open, price now sitting on the 50% retracement of the 1.39258–1.39607 leg. RSI(14) near 43, neutral; the Loonie stayed heavy near two-month highs ahead of Wednesday's BoC decision.
Support: 1.3942, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3942 swing low exposes the 1.39258 range low
Reclaim of 1.39585 session high reasserts the range top
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 42 · price 1.39433
Rangebound, recent lower highs into NY close.
USDCAD ranged 1.3926–1.3961 through the session and is now drifting lower off the 1.3958 session high, RSI(14) easing to the low-40s. Price sits below EMA20/50 with the pair pinned near two-month highs as the Loonie stays soft into the BoC.
Support: 1.3937, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the 1.3961 range high
Failure to hold 1.39370 confirms a lower-low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:46 UTC
Ranging, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.39433
Intraday range, drifting off highs.
USDCAD has chopped between 1.3929 and 1.3960 over the last 24h, with the NY session rejected at the 1.3959 session high before drifting back to 1.3943 — price now below both EMAs and RSI(14) cooling near 42. Loonie stayed soft into Wednesday's BoC hold as crude faded on Gulf ceasefire headlines.
Support: 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3929 opens the path to the 1.3926 swing low
Reclaim of 1.3959 reasserts the range top
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:31 UTC
Ranging, low momentum · RSI 49 · price 1.3946
Consolidation just below 2-month high.
USDCAD is coiling around 1.3946 in thin early-Asia trade, pinned below the 1.3950 pivot and the 1.3960 session high after the Loonie stayed soft near 2-month lows. Volatility has collapsed (ATR ~3 pips) with RSI flat near 49; no setup in play while the 1.3943–1.3960 band holds.
Support: 1.3943, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3960
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3960 reopens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.3943 exposes the 1.3926 swing low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and can break this range
04:31 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 47 · price 1.3946
Consolidation below 2-month-high pivot.
USDCAD is coiling just below the 1.3950 two-month-high pivot into the Asia session, range-bound 1.3943–1.3960 after the London-NY push stalled at the 1.3960 session high. RSI(14) is neutral near 47 and bars have compressed on thin volume, with the Loonie capped ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.3943, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3950, 1.3960
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 opens the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold the 1.3943 fib exposes the 1.3926 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Sideways, near 2-month highs · RSI 46 · price 1.39474
Range-bound after intraday rally faded.
USDCAD faded from the 1.39590 session high back to 1.39474, parking right on the 38.2% retrace of the rally off 1.39260. Price is consolidating in a tight 1.3945-1.3953 band, RSI neutral near 46, with the pair pinned near two-month highs ahead of BoC.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.3959
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39590 reopens the session high
Loss of 1.39450 exposes the 1.39260 range low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC and BoC decision 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
04:16 UTC
Ranging near two-month highs · RSI 49 · price 1.39474
Balanced between 1.3926 and 1.3960.
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.3947, mid-range between the 1.39258 swing low and the 1.3960 session high, with the Loonie unable to extend gains into the two-month-high pivot. RSI(14) is neutral near 48 and price is pinned to its EMAs — no intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.3945, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3959, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 reopens the 1.40 zone flagged into BoC
Loss of 1.3945 exposes the 1.39258 swing low
BoC decision and US CPI later this week are the primary risk events for this pair
04:02 UTC
Sideways, momentum flat · RSI 49 · price 1.39484
Range-bound, mid-range consolidation.
USDCAD is consolidating around 1.3948 after fading from the 1.39607 session high, holding near two-month highs into the BoC. Price has coiled into a tight 1.39443–1.39535 band on thin Asian-hours flow, RSI(14) flat near 48 with no momentum either way.
Support: 1.39443, 1.39349, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39535 reopens the 1.39589 session high and 1.39607 range top
Loss of 1.39443 exposes the 1.39349 swing low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Range, no clear bias · RSI 47 · price 1.39484
Ranging between session high and intraday support.
USDCAD is grinding sideways in Asia near 1.3948, holding below the 1.39585 session high after a rejection there last NY hours. Price coils around the 1.3950 pivot with RSI mid-range and ATR thin; no setup in play with the Loonie pinned ahead of the BoC.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39585 reopens the 1.39607 swing high
Loss of 1.39443 exposes the 1.39290 range low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD swing event
03:46 UTC
Ranging, no directional drive · RSI 46 · price 1.3949
Sideways range, mid-band drift.
USDCAD is grinding sideways through the Asia session, holding the 1.3945-1.3960 band near two-month highs with volume thinning out into 06:45 broker time. The 1.3958-1.3961 session high capped the prior push and price has eased back to the EMAs; no setup in play.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.3961
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3961 reopens the 1.40 zone
Break below 1.3945 exposes the 1.3925 swing low
BoC decision and US CPI later this week are the dominant risk events
03:46 UTC
Rangebound, no momentum · RSI 52 · price 1.3949
Consolidating mid-range after intraday swings.
Asia session has USDCAD ranging 1.3945–1.3960 after the London-NY drift, RSI(14) neutral near 50 and ATR compressed. Price holding mid-range around 1.3949, still pinned near the two-month-high zone as Crude faded on ceasefire headlines.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.3953, 1.3960
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 session high opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.3929 swing low confirms a lower low
US CPI 12:30 UTC and BoC 13:45 UTC Wed could materially shift this read
Consolidation under session high after fade from 1.3959.
USDCAD faded from the session high at 1.3959 and is now coiling in a tight 1.3945–1.3948 band into the Asia session, RSI(14) neutral near 46. Price is pinned just under the 2-month-high zone with sellers capping at 1.3959 and demand stepping in around 1.3945.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.3959, 1.3961
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3959 reopens the range high toward 1.3961
Failure to hold 1.3945 exposes the 1.3929 prior low
BoC Wed and US CPI Wed are the primary risk events that could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Range, drifting off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.39482
Consolidation after rejection at 1.3959.
USDCAD pinned near two-month highs, rolling off the 1.39589 session high into thin Asian-session liquidity and consolidating in a tight 1.3945–1.3950 band. RSI(14) is mid-range near 43 and price sits just under both EMAs — no momentum either way as the market parks ahead of Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.3945, 1.39357
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.3945 swing low opens 1.39357 prior low
Reclaim of 1.39535 intraday hi puts 1.39589 session high back in play
BoC decision and US CPI Wed are the dominant risk events for this pair
03:16 UTC
Range, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39451
Pullback within intraday range.
USDCAD drifted off the session high at 1.3959 through the Asia session, now easing into the 1.3945 zone — roughly the 38.2% retrace of the 1.3926–1.3961 leg. RSI(14) cooling near 44 with price slipping below EMA20/50, but still contained inside the broader 1.3929–1.3959 range.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3929 confirms a lower low and breaks the range floor
Reclaim of 1.3959 reopens the 1.3961 intraday high
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Ranging, drifting lower · RSI 44 · price 1.39451
Range-bound after retrace of intraday rally.
USDCAD held two-month-high territory, peaking at 1.39607 before fading back to 1.39451 as the Loonie stayed soft into the BoC. Asia hours are quiet — price coiling mid-range between 1.3944 support and the 1.3960 session high with RSI(14) neutral near 44.
Support: 1.39443, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 reopens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39443 exposes the 1.39258 swing low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
03:02 UTC
Ranging, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.39472
Consolidating below NY session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to 1.39607 then faded; price has drifted back to 1.3947 and is consolidating in a tight band through the Asia session. RSI(14) neutral near 46 with price holding two-month highs around 1.3950 — a quiet pre-BoC consolidation.
Support: 1.39451, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the ny high and the 1.40 zone
Loss of 1.39451 exposes the session low at 1.39290
BoC rate decision Wed could materially shift this read
03:01 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 46 · price 1.39472
Consolidation below session high, near 2-mo highs.
USDCAD is consolidating just under the session high at 1.39585 after rejection there, with price hugging 1.3947 near the 2-month-high zone flagged ~1.3950. RSI(14) is neutral around 46 and ATR is compressed near 4 pips, reflecting a quiet pre-BoC hold pattern.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607, 1.3950
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the window high at 1.39607
Loss of 1.39443 session low exposes 1.39290
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant risk for this read
02:46 UTC
Range, near session highs · RSI 46 · price 1.39468
Intraday range, pullback from high.
USDCAD ranging 1.3926-1.3959 through the Asian session, rejected from the session high at 1.39589 and easing back to 1.3947 below EMA20. RSI(14) neutral near 46; CAD stays heavy after Friday's jobs beat with crowded shorts ahead of Wednesday's BoC.
Support: 1.3941, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39589 opens the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold the 1.3941 swing low exposes the 1.39258 session low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk
02:46 UTC
Range, pulling back from session highs · RSI 45 · price 1.39468
Ranging 1.3929–1.3960, mid-range pullback.
USDCAD ranging 1.3929–1.3960 near two-month highs into the BoC, with rejection off the 1.3958–1.3960 session top during NY hours and a drift back to 1.3947 in early Asia. RSI(14) mid-40s, price slipping under EMA20/50; no clean break of either range edge.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3932, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39585 reopens the prior 1.39607 high
Loss of 1.39443 swing low exposes the 1.39320/1.39258 range floor
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk that reshapes this read
USDCAD is ranging just under the 1.3960 two-month high after rejection at 1.39589 during late NY hours, RSI(14) cooling toward 41. Asia-session drift has price back at the 1.3944 swing low with the Loonie soft into Wednesday's BoC and US CPI.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3932, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.39443 opens the 1.3932 session low
Reclaim of 1.39535 puts the 1.39589 session high back in play
BoC hold and US CPI Wed are the primary risk events for this range
02:31 UTC
Consolidating near 2-month highs · RSI 45 · price 1.39463
Range-bound, lower high after 1.3960 rejection.
USDCAD failed to extend above the 1.3960 session high and eased back to 1.3946, RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. The pair holds near two-month highs in a tight 1.3944–1.3960 range as the Loonie stays soft into Wednesday's BoC; no clean intraday setup in play.
Support: 1.39443, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39535 reopens the 1.3960 session high
Loss of 1.39443 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.3926
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this read
Lower highs since session peak, holding above 1.3944.
USDCAD tagged a session high at 1.39589 then drifted back to 1.39452 through Asian hours, RSI(14) cooling near 39 and price slipping under both EMAs. Pullback is shallow so far, holding above the 1.3944 recent low after grinding to two-month highs.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.39443 opens the 1.39290 swing low
Reclaim of 1.39589 puts the 1.39607 range high back in play
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk into this week
02:16 UTC
Drifting lower off session high · RSI 43 · price 1.39452
Range, pullback within 24h band.
USDCAD rejected the 1.39585 session high and faded into the Asian session, now sitting at 1.39452 just above the 1.39443 session low. RSI(14) near 43, ATR ~5.5 pips; pair holding inside a 1.3944–1.3960 band with no clean break.
Support: 1.39443, 1.3932, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close below 1.39443 confirms a lower-low and opens the 1.39320 swing low
Reclaim of 1.39535 puts the 1.39585 session high back in play
BoC hold and US CPI Wed both sit just outside this window and could reset the range
02:01 UTC
Range, drifting off highs · RSI 44 · price 1.3945
Ranging 1.3925–1.3960, pullback from session high.
USDCAD is ranging 1.3925–1.3960 near two-month highs as the pair consolidates into BoC week with USD firm. Sellers capped the move at 1.3960 and price has slipped back to 1.3945, RSI(14) easing to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.3935, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39607 opens the path toward the 1.3970 area
Loss of 1.39258 confirms a lower low and breaks the range
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk into the next sessions
02:01 UTC
Range, rolling off session high · RSI 44 · price 1.3945
Intraday range, pullback from highs.
USDCAD ranging 1.3929-1.3961 near 2-month highs; rejection at the 1.3959 session high left price drifting back to the 50% fib of the up-leg around 1.3943, RSI(14) cooling to mid-40s. Price slipped below EMA20/50 on the late pullback after a quiet, thin Asia session.
Support: 1.3943, 1.3929, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3959, 1.3961
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3961 opens the path toward 1.40
Close below 1.3929 confirms a lower low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event
01:46 UTC
Range, momentum flat · RSI 44 · price 1.39464
Rotating below session high after pullback.
USDCAD is rotating around 1.3946 in the Asia session after rejection at the 1.39590 session high, with price slipping back below EMA20/EMA50. RSI(14) near 44 reflects flat momentum as the pair consolidates its multi-week highs into BoC week.
Support: 1.39455, 1.39349, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.3959, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39590 reopens the range high at 1.39607
Loss of 1.39455 pivot exposes the 1.39349 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this read
01:46 UTC
Range, pulled back from session high · RSI 46 · price 1.39464
Rotating mid-range after rejection at 1.3959.
USDCAD ground up to a 1.3959 session high during Asia hours, was rejected, and has since drifted back to mid-range near 1.3946 below EMA20. Loonie stays soft into BoC week, but momentum is flat with RSI(14) mid-40s — no clean directional setup in play.
Support: 1.3941, 1.39349, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39535, 1.39589
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3959 reopens the move toward 1.3960+
Failure to hold 1.3935 confirms a lower low and breaks the rising support
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk
Grinding higher off range low, capped near 1.3960.
USDCAD ground up to a session high of 1.3960 during NY hours before stalling and pulling back to 1.3950, RSI(14) flattening near 50. CAD stayed soft into BoC week despite firm jobs; price is holding the upper half of the 1.3929-1.3960 intraday range with no follow-through above resistance.
Support: 1.3946, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3960 opens the path toward 1.40
Failure to hold 1.3946 exposes the 1.3929 range low
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
01:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum flat · RSI 50 · price 1.39495
Consolidating below session high.
USDCAD ground up to a 1.39607 swing high in late NY before fading into the Asia session, now drifting around 1.39495 with RSI(14) near 50. Price is chopping inside a tight 1.39455–1.39585 band, holding its early-April high zone as BoC week begins.
Support: 1.39455, 1.3932, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39585, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39585 reopens the swing high at 1.39607
Loss of 1.39455 swing low exposes the 1.39320 range low
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant CAD risk and could break this range
Asia session grinding higher on thin volume, USDCAD pinned near the 1.3958/1.3961 window high as the broad USD bid holds into BoC/CPI week. RSI(14) mid-range around 56 after the push off the 1.3926 swing low; price above both EMAs but stalling under the session high.
Support: 1.39456, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39607 extends the intraday higher-high chain
Loss of 1.39456 breaks the rising structure
BoC decision and US CPI Wed could materially shift this read
01:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 58 · price 1.39524
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground to a fresh session high at 1.39589 through Asian hours, USD broadly bid into BoC week and CAD failing to gain from the oil rally. Price pulled back to 1.39524 but rising lows since the 1.39258 dip keep the up-leg intact.
Support: 1.3945, 1.39357, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39589 extends the up-leg toward prior 1.39607 high
Loss of 1.39450 breaks the rising support sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk event this week
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.3952
Higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through thin Asia hours, tagging the 1.3960 session high before easing back to the 1.3950 psych level — the ING-flagged resistance into BoC week. RSI(14) mid-range and ATR compressed near 5 pips; chain of higher lows still intact above 1.3936.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3936, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3960, 1.3959
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.3960 extends the uptrend toward the 1.40 area
Loss of 1.3950 then 1.3936 breaks the higher-low chain
BoC rate decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the primary CAD risk and could reset this read
01:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 56 · price 1.3952
Higher lows pressing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours to a session high at 1.3960, the best since early April, and is consolidating just below it into the Asia open. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 56 and ATR runs ~7 pips; price holds above EMA20/50 as it presses the 1.3950 round number ahead of BoC week.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.3960
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3960 opens the 1.40 risk flagged in context
Failure to hold 1.3950 exposes 1.3926 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC and US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the Asia session off the 1.39258 swing low, now stalling just under the 1.39589 session high — the same 1.3950 resistance band flagged ahead of Wednesday's BoC. RSI(14) mid-range with momentum easing as bars tighten near the highs.
Support: 1.3950, 1.39349, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39607 opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold 1.39500 risks a return to 1.39349
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
00:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into highs · RSI 60 · price 1.39543
Higher highs, holding above 1.3950.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session and into thin Asia trade, reclaiming and holding above 1.3950 as the USD stays bid into BoC week. Price is consolidating just under the 1.39589 session high; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39589, 1.39607
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.39589 session high opens the path toward 1.39607
Loss of 1.39450 swing low would break the intraday higher-high sequence
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.39574
Higher lows off mid-window dip, pressing session highs.
USDCAD drifted higher through the Asia session, retesting the 1.3960 session high with CAD soft into BoC week. Buyers defended the 1.3945 pullback and price chains higher lows; RSI(14) mid-60s, no extreme.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3926
Resistance: 1.39607, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 opens the path to the 1.40 psych zone
Failure to hold 1.39450 breaks the rising-low structure
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the window, recovering from the London dip to 1.39258 and now coiling just below the session high at 1.39607 in thin Asian trade. CAD stays heavy into BoC week, but momentum is flat — price stalling in a tight 1.39520–1.39607 band with RSI(14) mid-range.
Support: 1.3952, 1.3945, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39607, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 opens the path toward the 1.40000 round number
Loss of 1.39520 base reopens the 1.39450 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into session high · RSI 64 · price 1.39582
Higher lows, pressing range top.
Thin Asian session grinding higher, USDCAD reclaimed 1.3950 and is holding ~1.3958 just below the 1.39607 session high. CAD stays soft into BoC week with rate-spread concerns dominating; RSI(14) mid-60s, no exhaustion yet.
Support: 1.3952, 1.39454, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39607, 1.4000
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 opens the path to the 1.40 psych level
Loss of 1.39454 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
00:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.39582
Higher lows, pressing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session toward the 1.39607 session high, CAD on the back foot into Wednesday's BoC. Price reclaimed the 1.39500 base on thin Asia-hours flow, RSI(14) firm near 64 with room before extremes.
USDCAD ground back up through thin Asia trade and now sits at session highs around 1.3958, just under the 1.39607 cap. The pair has recovered the full move off the London swing low at 1.39290; RSI(14) near 65, not yet stretched.
Support: 1.3945, 1.3929
Resistance: 1.39607
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.39607 opens the path toward the 1.40 zone
Failure to hold the 1.39450 pivot reopens 1.39290
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this pair
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.39583
Rising lows, pressing session high.
Thin Asia-session tape grinding higher, with USDCAD now above the prior 1.3950 cap and probing the 1.39607 session high as CAD stays soft into BoC week. RSI(14) near 64 — firm but not stretched; rising lows off 1.39258 intact.
Support: 1.3950, 1.3929, 1.39258
Resistance: 1.39607, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.39607 opens the 1.40 test
Failure to hold 1.3950 reopens 1.3929 swing low
BoC decision Wed 13:45 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read