USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Sunday, 9 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 43 · price 1.39452
Broke below week's range, ranging near June lows.
USDCAD held a 1.400–1.407 band for most of the week before breaking sharply lower Friday, dropping ~70 pips in one bar on the US payroll shock (-23K NFP) colliding with a strong Canadian jobs beat, printing 1.3925. Since then it has consolidated in a tight 1.3932–1.3953 band into the weekend, with RSI recovering off oversold but price still pinned below EMA20 and EMA50. The post-drop high at 1.3953 has capped attempts and remains the immediate cap.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39529, 1.4000, 1.40111
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a lower low and downside continuation
Reclaim of 1.3953 and 1.40000 needed to negate the range break
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
USDCAD gapped lower Friday after the shock -23K US NFP print collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat, driving a single-bar break from 1.4012 down to 1.3925 — the weakest since June. Price has since gone flat in a tight 1.3932–1.3958 band through the weekend lull on thin volume, holding below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits in the high-30s, off its lows but with no recovery momentum yet.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.4011
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a lower-low and downside continuation
H1 close above 1.3958 challenges the post-drop range top
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next material driver for this pair
22:02 UTC
Downtrend after sharp break, now flat · RSI 41 · price 1.39444
Impulse lower into tight consolidation.
USDCAD gapped through 1.4011 support on Friday's shock -23K US NFP print, dropping to the low-1.393s and June lows before stalling. Since then price has coiled in a tight 1.3925–1.3958 band through the weekend lull, holding well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but capped near 40. The move was payroll-driven; flow has been thin into the weekend.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.4011
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3958 range top invalidates the consolidation read
Break below 1.3925 swing low confirms a lower-low extension
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next material driver for this read
USDCAD collapsed through 1.4000 into Friday's NY session as the -23K US NFP miss collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat, printing the lowest since June near 1.3925. Since the drop price has coiled in a tight 1.3925-1.3953 band on thin weekend flow, holding below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) basing in the low 40s. The 1.4011 breakdown point now caps the topside as prior support flips.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39529, 1.4011
What it said to watch
Close below 1.3925 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 1.3953 challenges the post-drop range top
US CPI Wed Aug 12 is the next material driver for this read
USDCAD gapped sharply lower into Friday's NY session, dropping from ~1.4011 to June lows near 1.3925 as the -23K US payroll miss collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat (75.1K). Price has since stalled in a tight consolidation between 1.3925 and 1.3953, holding well below EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) basing in the high-30s. The prior 1.4011 breakdown shelf is now the nearest overhead reference.
Support: 1.39254, 1.39346
Resistance: 1.39529, 1.4011, 1.40426
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a lower low and downside continuation
Reclaim of 1.3953 then 1.4011 would neutralise the breakdown
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the key risk that could reshape this read
Sharp break lower, now consolidating above session low.
USDCAD ground sideways near 1.4020 for most of the week before Friday's dual jobs shock — a weak US NFP colliding with a strong Canadian print — drove a ~70-pip vertical drop into the June lows. Price has since consolidated in a tight band above the 1.3925 session low, with RSI recovering off oversold as the impulse stalls. The pre-drop shelf at 1.4011 now caps as overhead resistance well above current price.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.4011
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 session low extends the down-leg toward the 1.3900 psych level
Reclaim of the 1.3958 bounce high would ease the immediate downside pressure
US CPI Wed could materially reprice this pair and shift the read