USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 10 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, near two-month lows · RSI 41 · price 1.3941
Lower highs, fresh session low.
USD/CAD stayed heavy after Friday's dual jobs shock (blowout Canada +75.1K, US NFP -23K) drove the sharp break through 1.40 to the 1.3925 two-month low. Monday's session recovered only to the 1.3963 day high before rolling over into NY, printing a fresh 1.3933 session low with price holding below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits near 41, tracking the grind lower with no reclaim of the 1.3970/80 prior support that has flipped overhead.
Support: 1.3933, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3963, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 two-month low reopens downside
Reclaim of 1.3980 prior supp needed to ease the bearish read
US CPI Wed 12 Aug 12:30 UTC is the swing factor for this pair
09:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.3941
Impulsive drop then range, lower highs into close.
USDCAD collapsed to a two-month low near 1.3925 on Friday's dual jobs shock — the -23K US payroll miss against Canada's 75.1K beat — and has held below the drop ever since. Monday's session recovered to 1.3963 but supply capped it there and price slid back toward the lows into the close, keeping it under both EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) sits in the low-40s, reflecting the softer tone without stretching oversold.
Support: 1.3932, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3963, 1.3980
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 1.398 pivot zone needed to neutralise the drop
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the swing factor and could reshape this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 42 · price 1.39415
Post-break consolidation below broken support.
USDCAD sold off sharply on Friday's dual jobs shock — a soft US NFP against a Canada beat — breaking to a two-month low near 1.3925. Price consolidated through Monday's session below broken support and both EMAs, with a bounce to 1.39636 rejected before retesting the week's lows into the close. RSI(14) sits in the low 40s, tracking the drift back toward 1.3925.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.39636, 1.4000, 1.40122
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a lower-low toward the two-month low
Reclaim of the 1.40 psych level needed to neutralise the NFP break
Friday's NFP/Canada jobs double shock drove a sharp NY-session breakdown from the 1.4020 shelf to a two-month low at 1.3925, and price has since ground sideways in the mid-1.3900s. The post-weekend recovery stalled at 1.3963 and has faded back toward 1.3940 through this morning, keeping price below both the H1 EMA(20) and EMA(50). RSI(14) sits near 42, reflecting the drift lower without a fresh momentum extreme.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39636, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a lower-low and reopens the downside
Reclaim of the 1.3963 week high would negate the lower-high sequence
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the next major catalyst for this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 55 · price 1.3955
Range-bound below broken support.
Friday's dual jobs shock — a negative US NFP against a strong Canadian print — drove the range break lower, dropping the pair from 1.4020 to a week low at 1.3925. Since then price has ground back up in a shallow recovery, reclaiming EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling near 55, but 1.3962 has capped the last attempt. The wider structure remains below the broken 1.4000 handle and EMA(50).
Support: 1.3940, 1.3925
Resistance: 1.3962, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3980 pivot would confirm the recovery leg
Failure to hold 1.3940 june low reopens the 1.3925 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 54 · price 1.3955
Sharp break lower, basing above 1.3925.
Friday's dual jobs shock — Canada +75K vs a negative US NFP — drove USD/CAD sharply through 1.40 to a June low near 1.3925. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 1.3925–1.3964 band, grinding back toward EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering into the mid-50s. The 1.3970/80 pivot has capped the bounce, while EMA(50) sits well overhead near the pre-drop 1.40 congestion.
Support: 1.3925, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3964, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Close above 1.3980 negates the consolidation and opens 1.4000
Failure to hold 1.3925 confirms a lower low toward June levels
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering off lows · RSI 57 · price 1.39581
Grinding higher after NFP flush.
Friday's dual jobs shock — Canada +75K vs a negative US NFP — flushed USDCAD roughly 700 pips to a week low at 1.3925. Since Monday's thin session opened, price has ground steadily higher, reclaiming EMA20 with RSI cycling into the mid-50s, but the session high near 1.3964 has capped the recovery and price remains below EMA50. The 1.3970/80 pivot and the 1.40 handle mark the overhead congestion.
Support: 1.39402, 1.39254
Resistance: 1.39636, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3970/80 pivot would extend the recovery toward 1.40
Failure to hold 1.3940 reopens the 1.3925 week low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for this read
06:02 UTC
Downtrend, recovering · RSI 61 · price 1.39581
Grinding higher off Friday's drop low.
USDCAD dropped ~70 pips Friday into 1.3925 on the CAD jobs beat and soft US NFP, breaking the 1.401 prior range. Monday's session has been a steady recovery off the 1.3944 session low, with RSI(14) back above 60 and price reclaiming EMA20 while still capped under EMA50. The 1.3963 session high has yet to give way; above it sits the 1.40 psych level and the prior range base near 1.4010.
Support: 1.3944, 1.39254
Resistance: 1.39636, 1.4000, 1.4010
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3963 opens the path toward the 1.40 psych level
Failure to hold 1.3944 reopens the 1.3925 friday low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 57 · price 1.39617
Range break lower, higher lows into recovery.
USDCAD collapsed through the 1.400 congestion on Friday's jobs double-surprise — a soft US NFP against a strong Canadian print dragged the pair to a June-low 1.39254 in a single impulsive bar. Since then price has carved a series of higher lows and reclaimed EMA(20), lifting back toward 1.3962, though it remains well below EMA(50) and the pre-drop 1.4028 high. The 1.3970 pivot flagged into US CPI is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3940
Resistance: 1.3970, 1.4000, 1.40287
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3970 pivot extends the recovery toward 1.400
Loss of 1.39254 swing low reopens the downside
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 54 · price 1.39617
Post-breakdown consolidation off week low.
USDCAD spent the week grinding lower from the 1.408 area and broke down hard into Friday's NY session after the twin jobs shock — a strong Canadian +75K print against a negative US payroll number dropped the pair to a fresh week low of 1.3925. Since the weekend gap the pair has ticked back to 1.3962 on a series of higher lows, holding above EMA(20) while staying capped under EMA(50). RSI(14) has recovered off oversold to the low 50s as the drop stabilises.
Support: 1.3925, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3980 pivot eases the downside read toward 1.40
Failure to hold 1.3925 confirms a lower low
US CPI Wed Aug 12 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can reset this read
USDCAD collapsed Friday from ~1.4020 to 1.3925 as a soft US NFP collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat, printing the lowest level since June. Price has since ground higher into Monday's Asia session, reclaiming 1.3957 but still sitting below the H1 EMA20/EMA50 stack. RSI(14) has recovered from oversold toward the mid-50s as the bounce develops, though the 1.3970/80 pivot has yet to be tested.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39254
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.3980, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.3980 pivot would neutralise the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.3940 reopens the 1.39254 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Friday's data double — a weak US NFP alongside a strong Canadian jobs beat — drove a sharp 70-pip breakdown through 1.40 to the 1.3925 friday low, the lowest since June. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.393–1.396 band through Asia, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI recovering off oversold but capped under 50. The 1.3957 session high has held back the bounce, well short of the 1.4011 pre-drop shelf.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39566, 1.40111
What it said to watch
Break of the 1.3925 friday low confirms a fresh lower low
H1 close back above the 1.4011 pre-drop shelf negates the breakdown
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst that could reset this read
02:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after breakdown · RSI 44 · price 1.39523
Post-breakdown range above the Friday low.
USDCAD collapsed Friday from ~1.4010 to a 1.3925 low as the -23K US payrolls shock collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat, breaking the week's 1.4010–1.4080 base. Since the weekend reopen price has coiled in a tight 1.3925–1.3956 band, holding well below EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering off its lows. Resistance at 1.3956 caps the bounce while the 1.3940 june floor is the near-term support being defended.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39254
Resistance: 1.39556, 1.40105, 1.4000
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a fresh lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.3956 opens room back toward the 1.40105 pre-drop base
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst and could shift this read
USDCAD gapped and dumped Friday, dropping ~70 pips in one bar as the -23K US payrolls miss collided with a 75.1K Canadian jobs beat, tagging the 1.3940 June low. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.3925–1.3956 band, now hovering just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering toward the midline. The pre-drop 1.40100 shelf remains a distant ceiling while 1.3940 defines the near-term floor.
Support: 1.3940, 1.39254
Resistance: 1.39556, 1.3970, 1.4010
What it said to watch
Hourly close above the 1.3970 pivot would extend the recovery off the session high
Failure to hold 1.3940 confirms a lower-low toward the 1.39254 swing low
US CPI Wed 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:03 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.39503
Tight range after impulsive drop.
USDCAD collapsed through the 1.402 shelf on Friday's NFP miss and a strong Canadian jobs beat, tagging June lows near the 1.3925 swing low. Since this week's gap-open price has held a tight range between 1.3940 and the 1.3953 range top, trading below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI stalled in the low 40s. The 1.3970/80 pivot caps any recovery attempt.
Support: 1.39254, 1.39438
Resistance: 1.3953, 1.3975, 1.4000
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close below 1.3925 swing low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of the 1.3970 pivot needed to unwind the Friday drop
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the dominant catalyst for this read
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after break · RSI 41 · price 1.39503
Lower highs, range-bound post-drop.
USDCAD lost the 1.4011 shelf on a sharp intraday flush to ~1.3925 June lows, the standout move of the week after the soft US payroll shock met a strong Canadian jobs beat. Price has since coiled in a tight 1.3925–1.3953 range below EMA(20), with a minor weekend gap higher into the new week. RSI(14) sits mid-40s and is not confirming any recovery attempt.
Support: 1.3925, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.3953, 1.3980, 1.4011
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.3925 confirms a fresh lower low
Reclaim of the 1.3970/80 pivot would ease the downside read
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after drop · RSI 44 · price 1.39509
Sharp break lower, basing near lows.
USDCAD gapped and dropped ~70 pips into Friday's NY session as the -23K US payroll miss met a strong Canadian jobs beat, pushing the pair to June lows near 1.3925. Since then price has consolidated in a tight 1.3925–1.3953 band through the weekend lull, holding below both EMAs. The post-NFP high at 1.39529 has capped the recovery, while demand has stepped in around 1.3925.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3932
Resistance: 1.39529, 1.4010
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.39529 opens the path back toward the 1.40100 pre-NFP zone
Failure to hold 1.39254 confirms a lower-low and extends the downtrend
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.39509
Post-breakdown consolidation below EMAs.
USDCAD broke sharply lower into Friday's NY session after the shock US payroll miss collided with a strong Canadian jobs beat, cutting through 1.400 down to the 1.3925 swing low. The weekend gap opened near 1.3945 and price has since coiled in a tight 1.3940–1.3958 range, holding below both EMAs. RSI sits mid-40s, reflecting the flat consolidation after the impulse rather than fresh momentum.
Support: 1.39254, 1.3900
Resistance: 1.3958, 1.40111
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.39254 confirms a lower low and extends the breakdown
Reclaim of 1.3980 would neutralise the post-NFP downside pressure
US CPI Wed 12:30 GMT is the pivotal risk for the next leg