USDCAD ground higher through the session on a firm USD and soft CAD data, tagging a session high at 1.41827 before stalling. Price is now flat-lining around 1.4173 in thin late-NY/Juneteenth trade, RSI mid-range as the rally pauses.
Support: 1.41703, 1.41359
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41827 reopens the path toward the channel top
Failure to hold 1.41703 confirms a near-term lower-low
Canada CPI Monday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ran to a fresh session high at 1.4183 during NY hours on the firm USD bid and soft Canada retail sales, then settled into a tight 1.4170-1.4180 band as Juneteenth liquidity thinned. RSI has cooled to mid-range and price is hugging EMA20, momentum stalling after the impulsive leg up.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41645
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4178
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the path toward the 14-mo high zone
Loss of 1.41700 confirms a deeper pullback into the 1.4164 swing
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD rallied to a session high of 1.41827 on the firm USD / soft-CAD theme, then flattened into a tight 1.41700–1.41780 range through quiet Asia-session trade. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-zone and price is hugging the EMA20 after the impulse stalled.
Support: 1.4170
Resistance: 1.4178, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41780 reopens the path to the 1.41827 session high
Loss of 1.41700 range low breaks the consolidation lower
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD rallied through NY to a session high at 1.41827, then went flat between 1.41694 and 1.41801 in thin Juneteenth tape with US markets shut. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-50s as the move consolidates just under the highs.
Support: 1.41694
Resistance: 1.41801, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41827 extends the rally to fresh highs
Loss of 1.41694 swing low breaks the consolidation downside
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the next major catalyst for this read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours and tagged a session high at 1.41827 — fresh ground above the 14-month 1.4159 print — before settling into a tight 1.4170-1.4182 range in thin Juneteenth tape with US markets shut. RSI(14) has cooled from the highs into the mid-50s as the consolidation drifts sideways near 1.4174.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41525, 1.4159
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the rally; sustained loss of 1.41700 breaks the consolidation floor
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read given stretched positioning
Consolidating near session highs after impulsive NY leg up.
NY session drove USDCAD up to a session high of 1.41827 on broad USD strength with CAD pinned near 14-month lows, then stalled. Price is now consolidating 1.41700-1.41827 in thin Juneteenth tape, with RSI cooling off the impulsive leg and price slipping back below EMA20.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41525
Resistance: 1.41827
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.41827 session high opens fresh trend extension
Loss of 1.41700 range floor exposes 1.41525 swing low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Tight consolidation below session high after breakout.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.41827 through the NY session, clearing the 1.4159 prior peak as CAD stayed pressured by soft retail sales and a firm USD. Price has since coiled into a tight 1.4170-1.4178 range, with RSI cooling off the highs as momentum flattens.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165, 1.41525
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41827 resumes the uptrend toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.41650 breakout zone signals failed extension
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) is the next major catalyst for this pair
Rally then tight consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a session high at 1.4182, then stalled into a tight 1.4170-1.4182 range in thin Juneteenth trade. RSI(14) has cooled from the rally peak to mid-range as the climb flattens; CAD stays heavy near 14-month lows on soft retail sales and a firm USD.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41525, 1.41359
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4178
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4170 range floor opens a pullback toward 1.4150
Close above 1.4182 session high extends the rally
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally stalling, tight consolidation under session high.
USDCAD pushed through 1.4180 into the NY session, tagging a session high at 1.41827 before stalling — consistent with CAD pinned near 14-month lows on a firm USD and softer oil. Price now coiling in a tight 1.41700–1.41780 band on thin Juneteenth flow, RSI cooling off the highs.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165, 1.41471
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41700 range floor confirms a lower-low and breaks the consolidation
Break above 1.41827 session high reopens the upside
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high of 1.41827 — a fresh 14-month high zone — on the hawkish Fed afterglow and soft Canadian retail sales, then stalled. Price has consolidated between 1.41700 and 1.41800 since, RSI cooling off overbought into a thin Juneteenth tape; rejection capped the 1.41827 high.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41645
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close below the 1.41700 range floor opens the 1.41645 breakout retest
Close above 1.41827 session high resumes the uptrend
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session ran USDCAD from the 1.4147 breakout up to a session high of 1.41827 on the firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop, then stalled into thin Juneteenth tape. Price is now consolidating 1.4169-1.4180 with RSI(14) easing back to mid-range as the impulse fades.
Support: 1.41694, 1.41471
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 resumes the uptrend
Loss of 1.41694 swing low opens a deeper fade toward the 1.41471 breakout
NY session pushed through the prior 1.4159 ceiling with a breakout to a session high of 1.41827 mid-afternoon, backed by broad USD strength and soft Canadian retail sales. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4170-1.4180 band with RSI cooling from the highs in thin Juneteenth liquidity.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41525, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4180
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.4170 range floor opens 1.41525 breakout base
Reclaim and hold above 1.41827 session high resumes the leg
USDCAD broke through the 1.4165 level during NY hours and tagged a session high at 1.41827 before stalling, riding hawkish-Fed support and soft CAD data. RSI(14) has cooled back near 58 from earlier overbought stretch; price now consolidating in a tight 1.4170-1.4180 range into the thin Juneteenth close.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.41700 range low opens a deeper retrace toward the 1.41650 breakout
Reclaim of 1.41827 session high resumes the up-leg
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh 14-month/session high at 1.41827 on firm USD and soft Canadian retail sales; price now consolidating 1.41694-1.41827 into thin Juneteenth tape. RSI cooling off the highs while price holds above the 1.41650 breakout level.
Support: 1.41694, 1.4165, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the upside; failure to hold 1.41694 range floor signals deeper retrace toward 1.41650 breakout
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read after a 7-day USD/CAD run
NY session drove USDCAD off the 1.41344 base up to a session high 1.41827 on broad USD strength and soft Canadian retail sales, then stalled. Price is now consolidating 1.4170-1.4180 in thin Juneteenth tape with RSI cooling from the push.
Support: 1.41694, 1.41525, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41694 breaks the consolidation and exposes 1.41525
Close above 1.41827 resumes the uptrend
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the key risk to this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.41827, extending the multi-day run, and it is now consolidating just under it around 1.4174 as RSI(14) cools from the highs. Demand stepped in repeatedly near 1.41720 through the late session. Canada CPI Monday is the next major driver for the pair.
Support: 1.4172, 1.4165, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.41720 signals a deeper pullback toward 1.41650
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating below it.
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4165 breakout level to a session high of 1.41827, extending the broader CAD slide on hawkish Fed pricing and soft Canadian data. Price has since stalled into a tight 1.4172–1.4180 consolidation, RSI cooling from rally highs as the move loses pace just under the session high.
Support: 1.4172, 1.4165
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the path higher
Loss of the 1.41720 consol low signals deeper pullback toward 1.41650 breakout level
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session on broad USD strength, breaking the prior 1.4165 ceiling and tagging a session high of 1.41827. Price is now coiling around 1.4176 in thin Juneteenth-holiday volume, RSI(14) cooling from the push. Canada CPI Monday is the dominant near-term risk.
Support: 1.4172, 1.4165
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4180
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 extends the breakout toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.41720 puts the 1.41650 breakout level back in play
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.41827 during NY hours on broad USD strength and soft CAD data, breaking out from the 1.4165 zone before stalling. Price is now consolidating around 1.4176 with RSI cooling off, holding above the rising support that carried the last leg.
Support: 1.41724, 1.4165, 1.41471
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the path higher toward the 14-month high
Close below 1.4165 breaks the breakout retest and the rising support read
USDCAD ground higher through NY hours, breaking the 1.4159 prior high and tagging a 1.4182 session high as CAD stayed soft on sliding oil and a firm USD. Price is now consolidating around 1.4176 in thin Juneteenth trade, RSI(14) easing off the highs but holding above 60.
Support: 1.41724, 1.41471, 1.4159
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the path toward the 1.4200 psych level
Failure to hold 1.41724 exposes the 1.41471 swing low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD through 1.4165 in a clean breakout to a session high of 1.41827, in line with the broad USD bid at multi-month highs. Price has eased back to 1.41726 in thin Juneteenth-holiday trade, with RSI(14) cooling from the highs but holding above 60.
Support: 1.41645, 1.41525, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827
What it said to watch
Hold above the 1.41645 breakout keeps the intraday uptrend intact
Loss of 1.41525 swing low negates the breakout structure
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:30 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 70 · price 1.41765
Higher highs, breakout above prior range.
USDCAD broke the 1.4159 area on broad USD strength and a soft Canadian retail-sales print, tagging a session high of 1.41827 before stalling around 1.41770 in thin Juneteenth liquidity. Price holds well above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) hot near 70; momentum is intact but stretched after a clean run off the 1.41241 low.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41525, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4200
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41650 breakout level would signal momentum fading
Sustained close above 1.41827 session high opens the path to 1.42000
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
16:15 UTC
Uptrend, extending · RSI 71 · price 1.41767
HH/HL chain, breakout above prior high.
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh session high of 1.41827, clearing the prior 1.4159 high after soft Canadian retail sales and a firm post-Fed USD. Price holds the breakout above 1.4159 with RSI(14) hot near 70 but not extreme; momentum still pointing up into the late session.
Support: 1.4159, 1.4147
Resistance: 1.41827
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41590 invalidates the breakout read
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could spark a sharp CAD bounce and shift this read
Rejection at 1.41827 session high would mark a near-term cap
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum strong · RSI 74 · price 1.41767
HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
NY session drove a clean breakout above 1.4165 around 13:00 UTC, extending the seven-day USDCAD grind on a firm post-FOMC USD and soft Canadian retail sales. Price is printing fresh session highs at 1.4182 with RSI(14) hot near 73; the 1.4165 breakout shelf has held as the pivot since.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41525, 1.41471
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4165 negates the breakout and reopens 1.41525
A push through 1.4182 exposes the 1.4200 round number
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke out of the 1.41450–1.41560 range during NY hours and is pressing fresh session highs at 1.41827, extending the hawkish-Fed/soft-CAD theme into a thin Juneteenth holiday tape. RSI(14) near 79 flags the push as stretched, with the 1.41650 breakout zone now the immediate reference below.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41471, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41650 puts the breakout in question and exposes 1.41471
Acceptance above 1.41827 opens room toward the 1.4159 14-month high zone
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session breakout drove USD/CAD off the 1.4135 base to a fresh session high at 1.4180, extending the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft Canadian retail sales theme. RSI(14) near 74 is hot but typical in trend; the 1.4165 breakout level is the first prop on any pullback.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4153, 1.4136
Resistance: 1.41801
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.41650 negates the breakout and reopens 1.41530
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
RSI ~74 flags overbought conditions — fade risk into the session high
USDCAD pushed through the 1.4159 prior high during the NY session, extending the climb after the soft Canadian retail sales miss kept CAD heavy. RSI(14) near 77 flags a hot but trending tape; the 1.4200 round number is the next area to watch above, with the broken 1.4159 high now acting as the first reference below.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4159, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4159 negates the breakout read
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground out fresh session highs at 1.4177 through thin NY hours with the US shut for Juneteenth, extending a clean rising chain off the 1.4134 session low. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but not extreme; the 1.4165 breakout shelf is the nearest reference below.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41471, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41777, 1.4200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4165 breaks the rising structure
Acceptance above 1.4177 opens the path toward the 1.4200 psych level
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
NY session drove USDCAD through the prior 1.4159 14-month high to a fresh 1.4177 print, USD bid on the hawkish Fed read while CAD stayed heavy after the soft retail-sales miss. RSI(14) near 76 — hot but consistent with the trend; the breakout above 1.4165 has held on the pullbacks.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4153, 1.41344
What it said to watch
Loss of the 1.4165 breakout reopens 1.4153 swing low
A close back under 1.4153 breaks the HH/HL chain
Thin Juneteenth tape (US closed) can amplify spikes; Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the next read-shifter
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to a fresh session high at 1.41777, CAD pressured after the soft retail-sales miss and a broadly bid USD. The 1.41650 breakout drove the last leg and RSI(14) is hot near 78 in thin Juneteenth liquidity.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41525, 1.41471
Resistance: 1.41777
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41650 breaks the latest leg and reopens 1.41525
RSI near 78 flags short-term exhaustion into stretched highs
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke the 1.41591 prior high in the NY session and printed fresh 14-month highs at 1.41763, extending the dollar bid on a soft Canadian retail sales miss into thin Juneteenth liquidity. RSI(14) near 78 flags a hot but trending tape; the up leg off 1.41344 remains intact.
Support: 1.41591, 1.41468, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41763
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.41591 prior high would mark loss of breakout momentum
Failure to hold 1.41468 swing low confirms a lower-low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD broke above the 1.4159 prior high and channel top in the last two hours to print a fresh session high at 1.41724, with US desks thin on the Juneteenth holiday. RSI(14) elevated near 74 but not extreme; the move is clean with no retest yet.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4159, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.41724
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4165 breakout would put the channel-top retest at 1.4159 back in focus
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Stall below 1.41724 session high keeps range development capped
14:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh highs · RSI 76 · price 1.41687
Higher highs, breakout above prior range.
USDCAD broke to fresh session highs at 1.41712, clearing the prior 1.4159 ceiling on the back of a firm USD and a soft Canadian retail-sales print. Move is extended with RSI near 76 in thin Juneteenth liquidity; 1.41528 marks the breakout base.
Support: 1.41528, 1.41471, 1.41343
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.4175
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41528 breakout base would negate the upside break
NY session pushed USDCAD through the 1.4159 prior high to a session high of 1.41712, with the dollar bid at 13-month highs and CAD soft after weak Canadian retail sales. RSI(14) is hot near 73 after the impulsive leg; price is holding the breakout above 1.41525 into the close.
Support: 1.41525, 1.41471, 1.41359
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.4159
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.41525 negates the breakout read
NY session drove USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.41712, breaking clean above the 1.4159 prior high on a firm USD after the hawkish Fed. RSI(14) near 72 is hot but not extreme; the 1.4153 breakout shelf is the first level holding below.
Support: 1.4153, 1.41447, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41712, 1.41591
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.4153 negates the breakout and returns price into the prior range
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the first real CAD catalyst and could shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.41707 on broad USD strength and softer CAD after the weak Canadian retail sales miss, clearing the prior 1.41591 high. RSI(14) near 73 — short-term hot but consistent with the impulsive late-NY breakout. Price holding just under the high after the surge from 1.41528.
Support: 1.41528, 1.41471, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41707, 1.41591
What it said to watch
A close back below 1.41528 negates the breakout and signals a return into the prior range
Sustained acceptance above 1.41707 opens room for continuation
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next CAD catalyst and could reset this read
13:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh high printed · RSI 71 · price 1.41647
Higher highs, breakout above prior session high.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh window high at 1.4165, clearing the prior 1.4159 high in thin Juneteenth flows with US cash markets shut. The move follows the hawkish-Fed USD bid and soft Canadian retail sales; RSI(14) near 71 is hot but not extreme, ATR ~7 pips.
Support: 1.41591, 1.41471, 1.41359
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 1.41591 prior high turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of 1.41471 swing low confirms a lower high
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next material CAD catalyst
13:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.4154
Higher highs/higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session, holding a chain of rising lows and pressing back toward the 1.4159 14-month high after a firm USD post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) near 63 with room left; buyers stepped in repeatedly on dips into 1.4147.
Support: 1.41468, 1.41344, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41591
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4159 extends the 14-month high; rejection there caps the move
Loss of the 1.4147 swing low breaks the rising-low sequence
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the first CAD catalyst and could reshape this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.4154
Higher highs into 14mo high.
NY session pushing USDCAD back toward the 1.4159 14-month high after a dip to 1.4134, with USD firm post-hawkish Fed and soft Canadian retail sales weighing on CAD. Structure remains a chain of higher lows; RSI(14) mid-60s leaves room before stretched.
Support: 1.4147, 1.4134, 1.4118
Resistance: 1.4159
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4159 opens fresh 14-month highs
Failure to hold 1.4134 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next CAD catalyst that could reshape this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.4154
Higher highs/lows, pressing session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session on a firm USD (hawkish Fed) and soft Canadian data, now holding just below the 1.4159 14-month high. RSI(14) near 61 leaves room before stretched, and buyers stepped back in at 1.4134 on the midday dip.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41591
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4159 opens the path to fresh 14-month highs
Loss of 1.4134 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Canada CPI Mon and US PMIs Tue are the next material catalysts
USDCAD climbed through NY hours back toward the 14-month high at 1.4159, the third test after a dip to 1.4134 was bought up. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; CAD stays soft on the hawkish Fed hold and weaker oil per the macro read.
Support: 1.41344, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.4159
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4159 opens fresh 14-month highs
Failure to hold 1.4134 breaks the rising-low chain
12:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.41504
Higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD grinding higher through the NY session on the hawkish-Fed/soft-oil combo, printing higher lows back toward the 1.41591 session high. Retail Sales hitting the tape at 12:30 UTC is the immediate driver; price holding above the rising support off 1.41344 with RSI(14) near 61 — firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.4142, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41537, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41591 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Canada Retail Sales reaction could swing the read toward 1.41420 support
Loss of 1.41420 swing low breaks the rising support structure
12:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.41482
Higher lows, pullback held below session high.
USD/CAD ground higher through the London-NY hours on the hawkish-Fed USD bid, recovering from the 1.4134 pullback and pressing back toward the 1.4159 session high. RSI mid-60s with no extreme; structure holds a chain of higher lows but stays capped below the high.
Support: 1.4134, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4152, 1.4159
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4159 opens the path higher
Loss of 1.4134 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:01 UTC
Mild uptrend within range · RSI 60 · price 1.41482
Ranging, grinding off session low.
USDCAD ranging 1.4134–1.4159 through the session, with price grinding back up to 1.4148 after rejecting the 1.4159 session high. RSI(14) near 60, no extreme; Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT is the imminent driver into this read.
Support: 1.4144, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.4153, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 GMT could break the 1.4134–1.4159 range
Close above 1.41591 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.41344 confirms a lower-low
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 57 · price 1.41482
Higher lows into session-high retest.
USDCAD ground higher for a third session, tagging 1.41591 before pulling back to 1.41359 and now recovering toward the highs ahead of NY. RSI(14) neutral near 57, price holding above EMA20/50 with a chain of higher lows intact; soft crude and a hawkish-Fed bid still underpin the move. Canada Retail Sales drops at 12:30 UTC, ~30 minutes out.
Support: 1.41359, 1.41268, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4151
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.41591 extends the session-high break
Loss of 1.41359 breaks the higher-low chain, opening 1.41268
11:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.4147
Higher lows, holding above 1.4140.
USD/CAD grinds higher through the London-NY overlap near 1.4147, a third up-leg fed by soft oil and a hawkish Fed. Buyers held 1.4134 and reclaimed 1.4140; the 1.4159 session high still caps the move.
Support: 1.4134, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4159, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Close below 1.4134 breaks the higher-low chain
Break above 1.4159 opens path to fresh session highs
11:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing into range · RSI 56 · price 1.41459
Higher highs into consolidation below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the NY session to tag 1.4159 before pulling back, extending the three-day climb tied to soft oil and a firm post-FOMC dollar. Price now coils around 1.4146, holding above EMA20/50 with RSI mid-range; session high at 1.4159 remains the cap.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4159 opens continuation of the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4134 signals a lower-low and break of the rising structure
USDCAD ground higher through the London session toward 1.41591 before sellers rejected it, with the pair now chopping in a 1.41344–1.41490 band. RSI(14) is neutral near 54 and ATR is light at ~6 pips; loonie remains soft on weak oil and a firm post-FOMC dollar.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.4149, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break this range either way
Close above 1.41490 reopens the 1.41591 session high
Loss of 1.41344 swing low confirms a lower-low toward 1.41241
USDCAD climbed through London to a session high at 1.41591 before sellers capped it; price has since drifted into a tight 1.41344–1.41460 band and is grinding back toward 1.4144 on a soft-oil, firm-USD backdrop. RSI(14) is mid-range near 54, ATR around 5 pips — no extension in play.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4140
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read within the next bars
M15 close above 1.41591 reopens the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.41344 exposes the 1.4110 session low
11:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging near highs · RSI 53 · price 1.41439
Consolidation below session high.
USD/CAD extended a three-day climb to a session high at 1.4159 before easing back into a 1.4134–1.4159 range; RSI(14) is neutral near 53 and ATR sits around 7 pips. Price is chopping just under the high with no clean break in either direction.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4146
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4159 reopens the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4134 confirms a lower-low toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 1.41454
Rising series of higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session, extending a third day of gains on soft oil and a firm post-FOMC dollar; the move topped at 1.41591 before easing back toward 1.41450. Pullbacks held the rising sequence of higher lows around 1.41344, RSI(14) mid-range near 56 — no near-term extreme.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41248, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4153
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41344 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London-NY session pushed USDCAD up a third leg to 1.41591 before rejection trimmed the move; pair now consolidating near 1.414 around the 50% retrace of the 1.41102–1.41591 advance. RSI(14) back to neutral, momentum cooling into Canadian Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41268
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4153
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41344 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Reclaim of 1.41591 reopens the session-high extension
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could swing this read
10:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 1.4140
Range below session high after pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a high at 1.41591 then was rejected, pulling back into a 1.41344–1.41480 range as soft Canadian PPI added mild CAD pressure. Price now sits near 1.4140 with RSI flat around 49, no momentum edge intraday.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41268, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could break the 1.41344–1.41480 range
Close above 1.41591 reopens the session-high extension
Loss of 1.41344 swing low confirms deeper pullback toward 1.41268
10:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling into pullback · RSI 48 · price 1.4140
Consolidating below session high after climb.
USD/CAD ground higher through the window to a session high at 1.41591 before being rejected, now consolidating around 1.4140 with RSI(14) neutral near 48. The pair is stretched after a three-day climb on soft oil and a firm post-FOMC dollar; 1.4148 prior high caps the bounce while 1.4134 holds as near support.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41248, 1.41181
Resistance: 1.41487, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 session high resumes the climb
Loss of 1.41344 swing low opens 1.41181 window low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, now ranging · RSI 49 · price 1.4140
Consolidation under session high after rejection.
USDCAD is churning around 1.4140 after London pushed to a session high of 1.41591 and got rejected, in line with the overbought flag near this area. The pullback held 1.41344 — the midpoint of the 1.41102–1.41591 leg — leaving price boxed between the two. Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.41344, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4146
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could break the 1.41344–1.41591 range
Close below 1.41344 confirms a lower-low toward 1.41100 session low
USD/CAD pushed to a session high at 1.41591 during the NY session before rejecting, with the third-day rally tied to soft oil and a firm post-FOMC dollar. Price now consolidates 1.41344-1.41488, RSI(14) neutral near 47 after cooling from the peak.
Support: 1.41344, 1.41248, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41488, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 resumes the intraday uptrend
Close below 1.41344 confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift the read
USDCAD ground higher through the window to a session high of 1.4159 before sellers rejected the level and price slid back to 1.4134. It now hovers near 1.4139, just under EMA20/50, with RSI(14) flat around 50 as the three-day climb in the loonie pair stalls.
Support: 1.41344, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4151
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4159 reopens the session-high break
Loss of 1.41344 swing low confirms the pullback deeper toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:16 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 44 · price 1.41352
HH/HL chain broke after rejection at session high.
USDCAD climbed through the London session to a session high of 1.41591 before stalling and fading back under the 1.4140 pivot; RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s. Price now sits just above the 1.41344 session low after the soft Canadian producer prices kept mild pressure on CAD.
Support: 1.41344, 1.4130, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4140, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read sharply
Loss of 1.41344 session low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.4140 pivot reopens the path to 1.41591
London session pushed USD/CAD to a 1.41591 high before sellers rejected it, dragging price back to the 1.41344 base where it's now holding. The retrace has unwound nearly all of the rally off 1.41287; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s.
Support: 1.41344, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4149
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41344 base opens a deeper retrace toward 1.41100
Reclaim of 1.41490 swing high re-engages the 1.41591 session high
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
09:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.41352
Rejected at session high, retracing into mid-range.
USDCAD ran to a session high at 1.41591 during early London then rolled over, with price now sitting around the 50% retrace of the 1.41102–1.41591 leg as RSI(14) cools to the mid-40s. Sellers capped the move below 1.4160; price is back below EMA20/50 after fading toward 1.4135.
Support: 1.41268, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.4141, 1.41591
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41268 confirms a lower low and breaks the intraday up-leg
Reclaim of 1.41591 reopens the prior advance
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally to session high rejected, holding above prior swing.
USDCAD climbed through London to a session high at 1.41591 before being rejected and selling back to 1.41352, with RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as the dollar held firm post-hawkish Fed. Price is recovering toward 1.41414, sitting just under EMA20 inside the upper half of the 24h range.
Support: 1.41352, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.4149, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 reopens the session-high break
Failure to hold 1.41352 confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Pullback from 1.4159, consolidating 1.4136-1.4148.
London session ground higher to a session high at 1.4159 before rejection knocked price back to 1.4136; now consolidating near 1.4144 just under the EMA20. Move tracks the firm USD post-hawkish-Fed against an oil-pressured CAD, but momentum has flattened with RSI back near 50.
Support: 1.41359, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41475, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41475 EMA20 would re-open the 1.4159 session high
Loss of 1.41359 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows, pulled back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a high of 1.41591 before sellers rejected and price slid to 1.41359, recovering to 1.41458 on the hawkish-Fed dollar bid. RSI(14) near 57 with momentum cooling; structure stays a chain of higher lows but the session high is unbroken.
Support: 1.41359, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4154
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 reopens the path to fresh session highs
Loss of 1.41359 breaks the higher-low chain
CAD Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.41591 before sellers capped it, dragging price back to 1.41359 where buyers stepped in; it now sits mid-range near 1.41458 with RSI(14) neutral. The post-FOMC hawkish USD tone and soft oil keep the pair bid above 1.4130.
Support: 1.41359, 1.4130, 1.4120
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 reopens the upside leg
Loss of 1.41359 swing low confirms a lower-low
CAD Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a high of 1.41591 before stalling, with the hawkish post-FOMC USD tone and soft oil keeping the pair bid. Price rejected the high and pulled back to 1.41359, now recovering to 1.41434 — back below EMA20 but holding the rising structure. RSI(14) cooled off from the highs to mid-range, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41359, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 extends the intraday uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41359 confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulled back · RSI 49 · price 1.41401
Rejected session high, ranging mid.
London morning pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.4159 before sellers rejected it, pulling price back to the 1.4136 swing low and now hovering near 1.4140 with RSI flat around 49. The broader bid holds USD firm post-hawkish-Fed, but intraday momentum has cooled and the pair is consolidating below EMA20.
Support: 1.41359, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4159 session high resumes the upside leg
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 45 · price 1.41389
Rejected at session high, retracing into prior range.
London session pushed to a session high at 1.41591 then sold off sharply, with buyers stepping in around 1.41359. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and price now sits below EMA20/50 near the 61.8% retrace of the prior leg up.
Support: 1.41359, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.41513
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41359 confirms a lower-low and opens 1.41241
Reclaim of 1.41513 puts the 1.41591 high back in play
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
07:01 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 46 · price 1.41389
Rally rejected at session high, retracing.
London session grind pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.41591 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.41359, with the pair holding above the 1.4100 pivot as the USD stays firmly bid. Now ranging near 1.41389 after a ~62% retrace of the 1.41248–1.41591 leg, RSI(14) cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.41359, 1.41248, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.41472
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
London session drove USD/CAD to a session high at 1.4159 before a sharp rejection dumped price to 1.4136, with the broadly bid post-FOMC USD underpinning the prior climb. Price is now consolidating near 1.4139, capped under 1.4148 and holding the pullback low; RSI(14) has cooled back to neutral.
Support: 1.4136, 1.4131, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4159, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Loss of 1.4136 pullback low opens the path to 1.4131
Reclaim of 1.4148 puts the 1.4159 session high back in play
HH/HL chain broken by sharp pullback off session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the European session to a session high at 1.41591 before a sharp three-bar rejection dumped price back to 1.41359, with RSI(14) cooling into the mid-40s. Pair now hovering at 1.41386, holding above the 1.41300 pivot but back below EMA20/50 after the fade.
Support: 1.41359, 1.4130, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4153, 1.41591
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41359 confirms a lower-low and breaks the intraday HL chain
Reclaim of 1.41460 reopens the path back to the 1.41591 session high
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
London session ground higher to a session high at 1.41591 before a sharp rejection dumped price ~13 pips back to 1.4136, with RSI(14) cooling from the highs to mid-range. USD/CAD holds above the 1.4133 swing low as the dollar stays firm post-hawkish Fed; chop within the recent rising structure.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4148
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41591 reopens the upside
Failure to hold 1.41330 confirms a lower low
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs/lows, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the session to a 1.41591 session high before a sharp rejection candle dragged it back to 1.41471, RSI cooling from the move. CAD stays heavy on softer oil and the hawkish Fed hold; price still holds above EMA20/50 with the rising structure intact.
Support: 1.4140, 1.4133, 1.4124
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4153
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41400 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Reclaim of 1.41591 session high reopens the upside
Higher highs into 1.4159, pullback off session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the London session to a 1.41591 session high before a sharp last-bar rejection back to 1.41471, the dip slipping price just under EMA20. The grind reflects a firm USD tone and soft oil weighing on CAD; structure stays constructive while 1.41330 holds.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4148
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41591 reopens the uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41330 swing low signals a deeper pullback
Cdn Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.41568
Chain of higher highs and higher lows into session highs.
USDCAD ground to fresh session highs near 1.41591 through the Asia-into-London hours, extending the broader CAD-soft drift on lower oil and the hawkish Fed hold. RSI(14) is hot but not extreme, and price holds a clean higher-low chain above 1.41497.
Support: 1.41497, 1.41399, 1.41268
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4160
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.41497 breaks the higher-low chain and opens 1.41399
Acceptance above 1.41591 / 1.4160 round number extends the trend
Canadian Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD grinding higher in a clean HH/HL chain, last printing 1.41527 just under the 1.41591 session high as the broad USD bid persists post-hawkish Fed and softer oil. RSI(14) near 65 — firm, not stretched — and price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4142, 1.4130, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41591, 1.4160
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.41591 opens the path to 1.41600 round number
Loss of 1.41420 swing low breaks the rising structure
Cdn Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:31 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 69 · price 1.41575
Higher highs into window high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the Asian session into the window high at 1.41587, supported by soft oil and a hawkish-Fed-driven CAD drag. RSI(14) near 69 — hot but not extreme — with price holding above both EMAs on a chain of higher lows.
Support: 1.41486, 1.41399, 1.4133
Resistance: 1.41587, 1.4160
What it said to watch
Cdn Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.41587 session high opens 1.41600 round number
Failure to hold 1.41486 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
05:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.4157
Chain of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the Asia session into London open, printing a fresh session high at 1.4157 with RSI(14) hot near 68 but not extreme. CAD stayed soft on the oil slump and post-Fed rate divergence; price holds well above EMA20/50 with intact higher lows.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4160, 1.4157
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 1.4150 breaks the rising support and the higher-low chain
Close above 1.4160 round number extends the breakout
Cdn Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 73 · price 1.4157
HH/HL chain, fresh session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session and into the London handover, breaking above the 1.4150 prior peak (Nov-2025 high) to print a fresh session high at 1.41577 on the back of a firm USD and soft oil. RSI(14) near 73 is hot but normal in this kind of trend; the move is a clean chain of higher highs and higher lows with no rejection yet.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4133, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41577
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4150 prior peak would mark the first lower-low and stall the uptrend read
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Rejection at the 1.41577 session high vs a clean break opens the next leg
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum intact · RSI 71 · price 1.4157
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD ground higher through the session and broke above the 1.4150 prior high, printing a session high at 1.41577 with RSI(14) running hot near 71. The grind reflects a firm dollar post-hawkish Fed and soft oil weighing on CAD; old resistance at 1.4150 now sits as support on a pullback.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4130, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41577
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4150 reopens the 1.4130 swing low
Close above 1.41577 extends the breakout
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41501
Rising highs and lows into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the window on a firm USD post-hawkish Fed and soft oil, printing a fresh session high at 1.41551 before easing to 1.41501. Structure is a clean chain of higher lows; RSI(14) elevated near 64 but not stretched, with the 1.4150 psych/Nov-peak zone now the area to watch.
Support: 1.4146, 1.41399, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41551, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41551 extends the session high break
Loss of 1.41399 swing low breaks the rising-lows chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.4153
Higher highs and higher lows, breakout above 1.4150.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the window and broke above the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak into the current session, printing a fresh session high at 1.4155. USD stays firm post-hawkish Fed while soft oil keeps CAD on the back foot; RSI(14) elevated near 68 but not yet at an extreme.
Support: 1.4150, 1.4140, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4155
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC today could materially shift this read
Failure to hold 1.4150 negates the breakout and reopens the 1.4140 base
Loss of 1.4100 pivot would break the intraday uptrend structure
04:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 70 · price 1.41511
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through London-NY into the Asia session, printing a fresh session high at 1.41513 as the dollar held its post-hawkish-Fed bid and soft oil kept CAD heavy. Price is pressing the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak; RSI(14) near 70 is hot but consistent with the persistent uptrend.
Support: 1.41336, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41513, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Acceptance above 1.41500 opens room toward the next round figure
Loss of 1.41336 swing low breaks the rising structure
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (~8h out) could shift the read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 69 · price 1.41511
Higher highs, higher lows into session high.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the thin Asia session, posting a fresh session high at 1.41511 and pressing the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak on the firm post-FOMC dollar. RSI near 69 — hot but not extreme; ranges have compressed in low liquidity. Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41513, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4150 opens path toward the next upside objective
Failure to hold 1.41330 breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to highs · RSI 71 · price 1.41511
Higher highs, fresh session high.
USDCAD ground higher through Asia hours to a fresh session high at 1.41513, clearing the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak with CAD soft on the hawkish Fed and weak oil. RSI(14) near 71 is hot but consistent with the trend; volume thinned into the print so follow-through is unconfirmed.
Support: 1.41419, 1.41346, 1.41268
Resistance: 1.41513, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could pressure price back toward 1.41346
Sustained M15 close above 1.41513 extends the breakout
Loss of 1.41346 would break the recent higher-low chain
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.41482
Higher highs and higher lows, pressing session high.
USDCAD grinding higher through thin Asian-hours liquidity, posting a fresh session high at 1.41488 with the dollar firm post-hawkish Fed. RSI(14) elevated near 67 but not extreme; the HL chain off 1.41248 remains intact and 1.4150 Nov peak is the next overhead marker.
Support: 1.4134, 1.41248
Resistance: 1.41488, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 nov peak opens further upside
Loss of 1.41340 swing breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41482
Higher highs into session top.
Asia session grinding higher in a tight ascending channel, printing fresh session highs at 1.41488 just shy of the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak. USD/CAD stays bid above 1.4100 on the post-FOMC dollar firmness and soft oil; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not yet extreme.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41488, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 opens path toward fresh upside; rejection there caps the channel
Loss of 1.41330 swing low breaks the rising sequence
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41484
Higher highs into resistance.
USDCAD ground higher through Asia hours, printing fresh session highs near 1.41488 as the post-FOMC USD bid persisted and oil stayed soft. Price is pressing the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak with RSI(14) around 66 — elevated but not extreme. Rising lows have held since the NY dip to 1.41102.
Support: 1.4136, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41488, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 opens path beyond the Nov-2025 peak
Failure to hold 1.41360 breaks the rising session structure
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could shift this read
03:31 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41484
Higher highs into session high, near 1.4150.
USDCAD ground steadily higher through the session and is now pressing the session high at 1.41488, just under the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak, with the move backed by a firm post-FOMC dollar and soft oil. RSI(14) near 66 is hot but consistent with the trend; demand has stepped in repeatedly above 1.41336.
Support: 1.41336, 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41488, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 opens the path to fresh upside beyond the Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41336 breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC (f/c 0.6%) could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, taking out the prior swing high and now pressing the session high near 1.4148 with RSI(14) in the low 60s — hot but not extreme. The pair sits just under the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak flagged by SocGen, in line with the soft-CAD, firm-USD tone.
Support: 1.41268, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4150 opens the path toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.41268 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:16 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 63 · price 1.41467
Higher highs/lows, grinding toward 24h high.
USDCAD grinding higher through the Asia session on thin volume, pressing the 24h high near 1.41480 after a hawkish-Fed-driven rally and soft Canadian data. Price holds a chain of higher lows off 1.41100; RSI(14) firm but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4128, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41480 opens the path toward 1.41500
Failure to hold 1.41280 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 61 · price 1.4142
Higher highs into session top.
USDCAD ground higher through the window, posting a fresh session high at 1.4148 and stalling just under the 1.4150 Nov-2025 peak as the USD held its post-FOMC bid and soft oil weighed on CAD. Price now consolidating around 1.4142 in thin early-Asia liquidity, RSI near 60 with no extreme.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4150 opens room toward the SocGen 1.4150+ objective
Failure to hold 1.4130 breaks the rising support and exposes 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 60 · price 1.4142
Rising HH/HL chain, grinding into session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY into Asia, USD bid post-hawkish Fed and soft oil keeping CAD heavy. Price stalling just under the 1.4148 session high, with a steady rising chain of higher lows; momentum cooling into the 1.4150 area.
Support: 1.4130, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4148 opens the path to the 1.4150 psych level
Failure to hold 1.4130 breaks the rising HL chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Higher highs/lows, consolidating near session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the window, holding bid above 1.4100 on the post-hawkish-Fed USD and soft oil/CAD tone, tagging a session high at 1.4148 before easing. Asia hours are quiet on thin volume, with price coiling in the upper 1.4130s just under the high.
Support: 1.4131, 1.4102
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.4148 opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of the 1.4131 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through Asia hours to a session high at 1.4148 before easing back to 1.41405, the pair staying bid above 1.4130 on the hawkish-Fed hold and soft oil. RSI(14) cooling near 59 after the push; price holds above EMA20/50 with the recent leg from 1.41241 still intact.
Support: 1.4131, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41480 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.41310 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 58 · price 1.4140
Higher highs into session top, shallow pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through a thin Asia session to a session high at 1.4148 before easing back to 1.4140, with USD bid post-hawkish-Fed and soft Canadian data keeping CAD heavy. RSI(14) near 58, no extreme; pullback so far holding above the 1.4136 pivot.
Support: 1.4136, 1.4124
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4148 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.4136 recent low exposes 1.4124 asian low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 59 · price 1.4140
Rising lows into session high, minor pullback.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session on a soft-CAD/firm-USD tone, tagging a session high at 1.4148 before the last bar pulled back to 1.414. Rising lows from 1.4110 keep structure constructive, but the wick at 1.4148 shows supply capping just under the 1.4150 Nov peak.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.4150 opens the path toward the SocGen 1.4150+ objective
Failure to hold 1.4133 breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41455
Higher highs into session highs.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, pressing the 1.41480 session high with USD bid post-hawkish-Fed and soft oil weighing on CAD. RSI(14) near 66, momentum intact but not yet extreme; demand stepped in repeatedly above 1.41280 as the rising low chain holds.
Support: 1.4140, 1.4128, 1.41248
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41500 nov peak opens path higher
Loss of 1.41280 swing low breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
02:16 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 65 · price 1.41455
Higher highs and higher lows through Asia.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session on the firm post-FOMC USD, pressing the session high at 1.4148 toward the 1.4150 Nov peak; RSI(14) elevated near 65 but not yet stretched. Demand held repeatedly above 1.41336 on the way up.
Support: 1.41336, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.4150 opens the path higher; rejection there caps the leg
Loss of 1.41336 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could shift this read
02:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding to new session highs · RSI 69 · price 1.41468
Higher highs / higher lows, breakout in progress.
USDCAD ground higher through the thin Asia session, printing fresh highs at 1.41480 with USD held firm post-hawkish-Fed and soft oil weighing on CAD. Low-volume drift above 1.4140; RSI(14) near 69, hot but not extreme.
Support: 1.41336, 1.41248, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41480 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.41336 base breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Higher highs/higher lows, breaking to new session high.
USDCAD ground higher through the Asia session, breaking the prior 1.4133 range to print a fresh session high at 1.4148, with USD staying broadly bid after the hawkish Fed and soft Canadian data. RSI(14) near 68 — elevated but not extreme as the grind continues.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4124, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.4148, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4150 opens the path toward SocGen's Nov-2025 peak target
Loss of 1.4133 prior range top would stall the breakout
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 66 · price 1.41466
Rising lows into fresh session high.
Asia session is grinding USD/CAD to a fresh session high at 1.41466 on thin volume, extending the post-hawkish-Fed bid and soft-CAD tone. Rising lows off 1.41248 stay intact; RSI(14) elevated near 66 but not extreme.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41248, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41466, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.41300 breaks the rising-low chain
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could reset this intraday read
1.41500 nov peak — area to watch for rejection or break
01:46 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 64 · price 1.41466
Higher highs / higher lows, pressing new highs.
USDCAD held its post-FOMC gains and ground to a fresh session high at 1.41466 into Asia hours on thin volume. Higher lows are intact through the window; the 1.41330 area capped recent pullbacks while supply sits into the 1.41500 SocGen target.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41466, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41466 opens the path toward 1.41500
Failure to hold 1.41330 breaks the higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD grinding higher in thin Asia trade, holding above EMA20/50 as the USD stays bid post-hawkish Fed and soft Canadian data weighs on CAD. Price is creeping back toward the session high at 1.41461, RSI near 60 with room before stretched.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41241
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 Nov peak
Failure to hold 1.41330 reopens the 1.41241 swing low
Canada Retail Sales today 12:30 UTC could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY to a session high at 1.41461 on the firm post-FOMC dollar and soft oil, then chopped sideways in the thin Asia session. Price is creeping back toward that high at 1.41436, RSI(14) mid-60s; the 1.41300 swing-low area held on the pullback.
Support: 1.4130, 1.41241, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to 1.41500
Failure to hold 1.41300 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
01:17 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 58 · price 1.41421
Consolidating just below session high.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY from 1.4096 to a 1.4146 session high, supported by the firmer post-FOMC dollar and softer oil. Asia hours have been thin and rangebound between 1.4134 and 1.4142; price is pressing the upper edge again with RSI mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.41336, 1.41268, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
A close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the prior-session highs
Loss of the 1.41336 asia base would mark a lower-low and break the consolidation lower
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) is the next catalyst that could shift this read
USDCAD ground up to a session high at 1.41461 during NY hours, then went quiet in thin Asia trade, coiling 1.4131-1.4142. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 57 after the earlier push; the soft Canadian price data and firm post-FOMC dollar keep the pair pinned to the top of its range.
Support: 1.4131, 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 extends the intraday uptrend
Loss of 1.4131 swing low opens 1.41241 asia low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Consolidation in upper range after intraday rally.
London-NY pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.41461 before the Asian session compressed price into a tight 1.4133–1.4142 band on the firm-USD/soft-CAD backdrop. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 and ATR has collapsed to ~4 pips in thin Asian liquidity, with the higher-low chain off 1.4110 still intact.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41241, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4133 range floor exposes 1.4124 swing low
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Consolidating below session high after intraday rally.
USDCAD ground higher through London-NY before stalling under the 1.41461 session high, with the rally tracking a firm USD and soft oil. Asian session has gone thin (volume collapsing) and price is now coiling in a tight 1.4128-1.4142 band, RSI cooling toward neutral.
Support: 1.4128, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4140
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4128 confirms a lower-low and unwinds the consolidation
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could break the Asian range
USDCAD ran up through the London-NY hours to a session high at 1.4146 then stalled, with the thin Asia session grinding sideways between 1.4133 and 1.4142 — CAD soft on weak Canadian data and a firm post-FOMC dollar. RSI(14) is neutral near 57 after cooling off the highs; structure intact but momentum has flattened into the consolidation.
Support: 1.4133, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.4146, 1.4142, 1.4150
What it said to watch
A close above 1.4146 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Failure to hold the 1.4133 range floor confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4110
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now ranging near the top.
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a 1.41461 high, supported by a firm USD post-hawkish FOMC and soft oil weighing on CAD. Price has since coiled into the thin Asia session between 1.41280 and 1.41420, RSI(14) cooling to mid-range as momentum flattens near the highs.
Support: 1.4128, 1.4110, 1.4097
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.41280 breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, recovering after pullback · RSI 60 · price 1.41409
Grinding back toward NY session high.
USDCAD held the post-FOMC bid above 1.4100 and is grinding back toward the NY session high at 1.41461 during thin Asia hours. Price retraced to 1.41241 then recovered the bulk of the move; RSI(14) near 60, no extreme in play.
Support: 1.41241, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.41461
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 reopens the path toward the 1.4150 area
Loss of 1.41241 puts the prior low at 1.41102 back in focus
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
00:31 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling into Asia · RSI 60 · price 1.41409
Higher highs into 1.4146 then consolidation.
USDCAD climbed through the London-NY hours to a session high at 1.41461 as a firm USD and soft oil weighed on CAD, then settled into a tight Asian range around 1.4130-1.4141. Buyers stepped in twice near 1.4124; the rally is intact but momentum has flattened with RSI(14) around 60 and thin late-session volume.
Support: 1.41241, 1.4110, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41461 opens the path to the 1.4150 peak
Loss of 1.41241 swing low would mark a lower-low and break the rising support
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USD/CAD ground higher through a thin Asian session to 1.4140, holding below the 1.4146 session high set during NY hours, with ATR near 4 pips reflecting quiet liquidity. The move extends the post-FOMC USD bid against a soft CAD; RSI sits mid-range, leaving room before short-term exhaustion.
Support: 1.41268, 1.4111
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41461 opens the path toward the 1.4150 Nov peak
Loss of 1.41268 marks a lower low and breaks the rising structure
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs into session high, now consolidating.
USD/CAD ground higher through London/NY to a session high at 1.41461 before drifting into a tight Asia-session consolidation around 1.4140. Price holds above EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 60, momentum cooling but the swing-low ladder at 1.41285/1.41102 intact.
Support: 1.41285, 1.41102, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4142
What it said to watch
Canada Retail Sales 12:30 UTC could shift this read
Close above 1.41461 session high opens the path higher
Loss of 1.41285 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 57 · price 1.41403
Higher highs into NY, tight Asian consolidation.
USDCAD ground higher through NY into the 1.41461 session high, then settled into a tight 1.4133–1.4142 range through Asia on thin volume. CAD stays soft on the hawkish Fed and weak oil; RSI(14) is neutral near 57 with price holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.41335, 1.41248, 1.41102
Resistance: 1.4142, 1.41461
What it said to watch
Close above 1.4146 reopens the path toward 1.4150
Loss of the 1.4133 range floor flags a pullback toward 1.41248
Canada Retail Sales at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground higher through the London-NY session to a session high of 1.41461 before settling into a tight Asia-hours range around 1.4134-1.4141, helped by a firm USD post-hawkish FOMC and soft oil. RSI(14) near 60, cooling off the highs; structure remains a chain of higher lows with the consolidation base at 1.4133 holding.
Support: 1.4133, 1.41241, 1.4110
Resistance: 1.41461, 1.4150
What it said to watch
Break above 1.41461 session high opens path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Loss of 1.4133 consol base would break the higher-low sequence
Canada Retail Sales (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read