Consolidation near 1.4020 after new-week open pop.
New-week Asia open gapped slightly lower to 1.40065 then popped to a session high of 1.40231 on thin volume, now consolidating around 1.4020. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) mid-range; the 1.40 psych level sits just below as the near-term pivot.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40408
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40231 session high extends the recovery toward 1.40408
Failure to hold 1.40065 / 1.40 psych reopens 1.3981 fib pivot
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Thin Sunday reopen gapped down to 1.40065 then popped to a session high at 1.40231, USD holding firm on the crude/geopolitics backdrop. Price now consolidating around 1.4018, RSI(14) neutral in low-volume Asia trade — no setup in play.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000, 1.3981
Resistance: 1.40231
What it said to watch
Close below 1.40065 opens 1.4000 psych and the 1.3981 pivot
Close above 1.40231 extends the reopen rally
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this pair
23:32 UTC
Range at one-month low, minor bounce · RSI 58 · price 1.40194
Recovered off 1.4006, consolidating near 1.4019.
Fresh week opened thin near the one-month low around 1.4006, bounced to 1.40231 then settled ~1.40190 in low-liquidity Asia hours (ATR ~4 pips). CAD tone stays firm on the ~12% weekly oil surge; price is coiling just above the 1.4006 base.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4013
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40348
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40231 opens the path to 1.40348
Failure to hold 1.40065 confirms a lower low toward the 1.3981 area
Canada CPI Tue 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst for this read
23:31 UTC
Recovery off lows, consolidating · RSI 56 · price 1.40194
Post-gap pop, settling below session high.
Thin new-week open gapped and popped from 1.40065 to a session high at 1.40231 before settling around 1.40190. Range holding between the 1.40065 low and session high, ATR compressed near 3 pips in low-vol Asia hours.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.4029
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40231 opens continuation toward 1.40290
Failure to hold 1.40065 exposes the 1.40000 psych level
Canada CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Gapped lower on session open, rallied then stalled below session high.
USDCAD gapped ~11 pips lower into the new session open at 1.40065, then spiked to 1.40231 before easing back to 1.4019 in thin Sunday liquidity. The prior 24h leg was a steady downtrend from 1.40404 to a 1.4005 base near the 1.40 psych level, with CAD underpinned by this week's oil surge.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40404
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40231 extends the post-gap bounce toward the 1.40404 prior high
Loss of 1.40065 session low reopens the 1.40000 psych level
Canada CPI Tue 12:30 UTC (high impact) could materially shift this read
Thin Sunday reopen gapped USDCAD below Friday's 1.40174 close to 1.40065, then a quick push tagged 1.40231 before price settled back near 1.4019. Move fits the oil-driven CAD bid keeping the pair pinned around the 1.40 one-month-low area; RSI(14) mid-range, no extreme.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4010
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40174
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40231 reopens the upside toward the mid-1.40s
Loss of 1.40065 reasserts the downside grind toward the 1.3981 area
Canada CPI Tue 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:02 UTC
Recovering off week open low, choppy · RSI 56 · price 1.4019
Gap down at open then bounce, holding a tight range.
New week gapped down to the 1.40065 open low then popped to 1.40231 before easing to 1.4019, RSI(14) neutral near 56. Price is coiling just above the 1.4000 psych level with USD/CAD sitting near one-month lows on the oil bid.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000, 1.3974
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.4045
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reset this read
Close below 1.4000 psych opens the path toward 1.3974 fair value
Break above 1.40231 sess high extends the Monday bounce
Gapped down then reclaimed range, now consolidating.
USDCAD gapped down to 1.40065 at the Sunday open, then spiked to a 1.40231 session high before easing back to 1.4019 in thin liquidity. Move is oil- and USD-driven; RSI mid-range with no momentum extreme, and price hovers just below prior Friday close.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40174
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and could redefine this read
A hold above 1.40174 keeps the gap-fill recovery intact
Loss of 1.40065 exposes the 1.4000 psych mark
22:47 UTC
Recovering off gap low, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 1.40184
Gap down then Asia-open pop, consolidating below spike high.
USDCAD gapped down to 1.40065 at the Sunday reopen, then popped to 1.40231 on the Asia open before easing to 1.40184. Thin holiday-open liquidity behind the spike; pair holding above the Friday close at 1.40174 with the 1.40231 high yet to be retested.
Support: 1.40174, 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.40065 reopens the gap-low as session support
Close above 1.40231 extends the Asia-open pop
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next material catalyst for this pair
USDCAD gapped down to 1.40065 on the Sunday open, then buyers reclaimed the gap and pushed to a session high of 1.40231. Price is now consolidating near 1.40184; Canada CPI Monday is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.40174, 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40397
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
M15 close above 1.40231 opens the path toward the fri high 1.40397
Failure to hold the 1.40065 gap low reopens the 1.4000 psych mark
Gap-down reopen, recovery pop through consolidation.
Sunday reopen gapped lower to 1.40065 then popped back through the 1.4011 consolidation to a session high at 1.40231, closing at 1.40196. Move is thin, low-volume Asia flow; the 1.4000 one-month-low zone still frames the downside.
Support: 1.4010, 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.4032
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next HIGH-impact catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 1.40100 reopens the 1.40000 psych zone
Close above 1.40231 session high extends the recovery
22:17 UTC
Recovering off session low, momentum building · RSI 63 · price 1.40213
Gap-down open, reclaimed with higher lows.
New week opened with a gap down near 1.4007, but the latest bar broke back up to the session high at 1.40231 on a volume spike, RSI mid-60s. The 1.40000 psych level and session low held on the open, with the prior high at 1.40408 the next upside marker.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40231, 1.40408
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.40000 psych re-opens the one-month low zone
Acceptance above 1.40231 session high extends the recovery toward 1.40408 prior high
Canada CPI Monday 12:30 GMT is the next HIGH-impact catalyst and can reset this read
22:16 UTC
Recovering off weekend gap-down · RSI 58 · price 1.40213
Gap down then higher lows into Asia open.
USDCAD gapped down to 1.40065 at the weekly open and has clawed back to 1.40213 in thin early-Asia trade, the last bar printing a firm session high at 1.40231. The 1.4000 psych level held into the gap; price is now filling back toward the prior close at 1.40174. CAD remains firm on the oil surge, but Canada CPI Monday is the immediate catalyst.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40231
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Reclaim above 1.40174 fills the weekend gap
M15 close below 1.4000 reopens the one-month-low zone
Fresh week opened with a small gap-down to 1.40065 on thin Asia liquidity, then a steady recovery pushing the last bar to 1.40203 near the recent 1.40217 high. Loonie strength stems from the week's ~12% oil surge; price hugs the 1.4000 psychological zone flagged as the one-month low.
Support: 1.40065, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40217, 1.40426
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and can reset this read
Failure to hold 1.40000 opens the one-month-low zone toward 1.3974
Close above 1.40217 extends the week-open recovery
22:02 UTC
Downtrend, gap being retraced · RSI 63 · price 1.40203
Weekend gap down, recovering toward Friday close.
USDCAD gapped down to 1.40065 on the Sunday reopen but thin early-Asia flow has filled it, printing 1.40203 above Friday's 1.40174 close. Move is liquidity-driven; buyers so far holding the 1.4005 Friday-low shelf near the 1.4000 psych mark.
Support: 1.40065, 1.40052, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.4034
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and can materially shift this read
Loss of 1.40065 reopens the 1.4000 psychological zone
Sustained trade above 1.40174 confirms the gap is fully closed
21:47 UTC
Downtrend, momentum flat · RSI 46 · price 1.40101
Drifting lower, holding above 1.4000.
USDCAD ground lower through the prior session from 1.4043 to a 1.4005 swing low, then reopened with a small gap near 1.4007 and is hovering just above the 1.4000 psych mark on very thin early-week liquidity. CAD stays firm on this week's ~12% crude surge; volume is negligible so structure is undeveloped until Asia builds out.
Support: 1.40052, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40217
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and could reset this read
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the path toward 1.3974
Reclaim of 1.40174 needed to unwind the down-leg
21:46 UTC
Downtrend, flattening near lows · RSI 44 · price 1.40101
Consolidation just above one-month low after gap-down open.
USDCAD trended lower through the window from 1.4043 to the 1.4010 area, then Sunday reopened with a small gap-down to 1.40065 before ticking back to 1.40101. Loonie strength is oil-driven per the digest; price sits just above the 1.4000 psychological mark with RSI recovering off intraday lows.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40052
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40217
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and could reset this read
Break below 1.4000 psych confirms fresh lows
Close above 1.40174 pre-gap high negates the downtrend read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, drifting into 1.4000 · RSI 42 · price 1.40069
Lower highs, testing psychological support.
Friday faded to 1.4017; the thin Sunday reopen gapped down to 1.4007, pressing the 1.4000 psychological mark. Price has drifted lower all session, holding below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) sub-45. Oil-driven CAD strength kept the pressure on into the close.
Support: 1.4000, 1.3981, 1.3974
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40261
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.3981 support and 1.3974 fair value zone
Reclaim of the 1.40174 gap fill would negate the reopen gap-down
Canada CPI Monday 12:30 GMT is the next catalyst and could shift this read
21:32 UTC
Downtrend, near one-month low · RSI 42 · price 1.40069
Lower highs, weekend gap down.
Friday's session ground lower from 1.4042 into the 1.4005 area on the oil-driven CAD bid, and the fresh Sunday open gapped down ~11 pips to 1.40069 on thin volume, parking price right on the 1.4000 psych mark. RSI(14) near 41, sub-EMA20/50; structure remains a chain of lower highs.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40052
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40217
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reprice this open
Sustained break of 1.4000 psych confirms the lower-low extension
Reclaim of 1.40174 session high needed to void the downtrend read
21:16 UTC
Downtrend, near one-month low · RSI 43 · price 1.40083
Lower highs into 1.4000 psych.
Friday's session ground steadily lower from 1.404 to the 1.4007 area, USDCAD pinned near one-month lows on oil-driven CAD strength. The new week opened with a small gap down to 1.40065 and price is holding just above the 1.4000 psychological mark, RSI(14) subdued mid-40s.
Support: 1.4000, 1.40052, 1.39974
Resistance: 1.40189, 1.4034
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.4000 opens the 1.39974 fair value zone
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 GMT) is the next high-impact catalyst
Reclaim of 1.40189 session high would break the lower-high sequence
USDCAD drifted from 1.4042 down to a 1.40052 low through the prior session, oil-driven CAD bid keeping pressure on. The latest two bars are a thin week-open print gapped near 1.4008 on minimal volume, so structure is unconfirmed until liquidity returns; sequence of lower highs still intact below 1.40174.
Support: 1.40052, 1.4000, 1.3974
Resistance: 1.40174, 1.40217
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst and could reset this read
Loss of 1.40052 opens the 1.4000 psych level
Reclaim of 1.40174 prior high breaks the lower-high sequence
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, basing near lows · RSI 54 · price 1.40174
Lower lows into 1.4005, now consolidating.
USDCAD slid to a session low of 1.4005 as CAD held oil-driven strength near one-month lows, then based and crept back to 1.40174. Price is grinding just above EMA20 but capped below the 1.40189 session high; ATR compressed to ~5 pips into the quiet close.
Support: 1.40081, 1.40052, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40189, 1.40217, 1.4025
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40189 opens the 1.40217 spike high
Loss of 1.40052 confirms a fresh lower-low toward 1.4000
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT is the next high-impact catalyst
21:03 UTC
Downtrend, stabilising near lows · RSI 52 · price 1.40174
Lower highs into session low, now consolidating.
USDCAD ground lower through the window, printing a session low at 1.40052 as crude's surge kept the loonie firm, before basing in a 1.4008-1.4017 range. Price is now nudging off the low with RSI(14) back to mid-range; the 1.40217 spike high caps recent recovery attempts.
Support: 1.40052, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.40217, 1.4034
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.40340 swing high would break the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 1.40000 psych opens the session low at 1.40052
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read