USDCAD gapped up into the week's open in thin liquidity, lifting from 1.41591 to 1.41747 and extending to a session high of 1.41784 before stalling. Price now consolidates just under that high with RSI cooling from extended levels; last bars print tight ranges around 1.4175.
Support: 1.4170, 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41784 opens path toward the 1.41827 prior high
Failure to hold 1.41700 fills the open gap back toward 1.41650
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD gapped higher on the new week's open and rallied back to 1.4178, now consolidating just under the session high. Loonie remains soft after weak retail sales, with price coiling ahead of Canada CPI; RSI(14) easing as the post-gap thrust fades.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars
M15 close above 1.41784 opens the path back to 1.41827
Failure to hold 1.41650 unwinds the post-gap advance
Consolidating below session high after reopen pop.
Thin Sunday reopen gapped up off 1.41588 and ran to a session high at 1.41784, now coiling in a tight 1.4174-1.4178 band with RSI(14) easing to ~60. Price holds above EMA20/50 but momentum has flattened into the new week, keeping the 1.41784 high in play as the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41784 opens the path to 1.41827
Failure to hold 1.41650 reopens the 1.41588 session low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD gapped higher to 1.41784 on the week's reopen and is consolidating in a tight 1.4170-1.4178 band in thin liquidity. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI cooling from the impulse; supply capping at the 1.41784 session high.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41784 opens the path to 1.41827
Failure to hold 1.4165 fills the open gap toward 1.41588
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.41765
USDCAD gapped higher on the weekly reopen, opening near 1.4160 and rallying to the 1.41784 session high before stalling. RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s with price consolidating just under the high; the weekend gap above 1.41650 remains unfilled. Canada CPI is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41650 gap level would fill the weekend gap
Break above 1.41784 session high opens path to the 1.41827 prior high
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:16 UTC
Uptrend, firm near highs · RSI 65 · price 1.41765
Higher highs after weekend gap up.
USDCAD reopened with a weekend gap up, jumping from 1.4159 to 1.4175 in thin holiday liquidity as CAD sits at 14-month lows. Price is holding firm just under the 1.41827 prior high; RSI(14) elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.4170, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41801
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 opens path toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.41700 fills back toward the 1.41588 gap zone
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, resuming after gap · RSI 66 · price 1.41765
Higher highs into session highs.
USDCAD gapped higher on the Sunday open and rallied from 1.41588 to 1.41784, pressing back toward Friday's 1.41827 high as USD held firm near multi-month peaks. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) around 66 — hot but not stretched on this TF.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41827 extends the prior-high break
Loss of 1.41650 gap base re-opens 1.41588
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (high impact) could shift this read sharply
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, holding near highs · RSI 63 · price 1.41765
Higher highs after weekend reopen gap.
Thin reopen gapped up from 1.41591 to 1.4165 and rallied to 1.41784, pair now consolidating just under the session high with USD still firm post hawkish-Fed. Holding above the 1.41650 gap fill; momentum cooling, RSI(14) easing back from the push.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41784, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41827 prior high opens path higher
Loss of 1.41650 gap fill exposes 1.41580 session low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, fresh reopen pop · RSI 67 · price 1.41755
Higher highs off session low.
Thin reopen trade: USDCAD gapped up and ran from the 1.41580 session low to 1.41761, now stalling just under that high with RSI(14) near 67. CAD on the back foot ahead of Monday's high-impact Canada CPI, but momentum has flattened into the 1.4175 area.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41761, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Sustained M15 close above 1.41761 opens the path to the 1.41827 prior high
Loss of 1.41650 gap base would unwind the reopen pop back toward 1.41580
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) could materially reset this read
22:46 UTC
Uptrend, momentum hot · RSI 68 · price 1.41755
Higher highs after weekend gap up.
USDCAD gapped higher into the new week and pushed from 1.41588 to 1.41755, extending the broad USD bid; the move cleared the 1.4159 14-month high zone. Price now probes toward the 1.41801–1.41827 prior-high shelf, with RSI elevated but not extreme.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41801, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
M15 close back below 1.41650 fills the gap and negates the breakout
Rejection at 1.41801 would cap the session push
22:31 UTC
Recovering after weekend gap · RSI 62 · price 1.41741
Gapped lower then reclaimed, back near prior-week high.
USDCAD dipped to a 1.41580 session low on the Sunday reopen before a sharp gap higher back to 1.41741, recovering the bulk of the late-Friday slide. Price is consolidating just under the 1.41773 session high with the prior-week 1.41827 peak still capping above.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41773, 1.41827
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the prior-week high
Loss of 1.41650 gap level exposes the 1.41580 session low
High-impact Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
22:31 UTC
Uptrend, gap-driven push · RSI 62 · price 1.41741
Gap higher into new week, stalling under session high.
USDCAD gapped higher into the new week, the 1.41650 open lifting price toward the pre-weekend high at 1.41827; last at 1.41741. Push stalled just under the 1.41761 session high with RSI(14) near 60 — momentum intact but not stretched.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41576
Resistance: 1.41761, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) is the key risk that could reshape this read
M15 close above 1.41827 reopens the path higher
Loss of the 1.41650 gap open fills back toward 1.41576
22:16 UTC
Uptrend, paused after weekend gap · RSI 56 · price 1.41725
Post-gap consolidation below Friday's range high.
Thin Sunday reopen: USDCAD gapped lower from Friday's close, consolidated near 1.4158-1.4162, then the latest bar pushed back to 1.41725, reclaiming 1.4165. The prior rally peaked at 1.41827; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) near 56 and holding above EMA20/50.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41801, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41801 reopens the 1.41827 range high
Failure to hold 1.41580 confirms a lower low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:16 UTC
Choppy, gapped higher · RSI 57 · price 1.41725
Weekend gap, range reclaim.
New week gapped higher to 1.41725 from Friday's 1.41591 close, pushing back into the prior session's range. RSI neutral near 57 with price holding above the 1.41650 gap open; the 1.41827 session high caps overhead.
Support: 1.4165, 1.4158
Resistance: 1.41773, 1.41827
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.41827 session high opens prior-week highs
Failure to hold the 1.41650 gap open exposes the 1.41580 session low
Canada CPI 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Thin early-week open gapped up off the 1.4159 area, the latest bar tagging 1.41738 as CAD stays soft after weak Retail Sales. Price holds above the gap level at 1.4165; the prior 1.41801 swing high caps overhead.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41588
Resistance: 1.41738, 1.41801
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
A close back below 1.4165 fills the gap and reopens 1.41588
A break above 1.41738 exposes the 1.41801 prior high
22:01 UTC
Recovering off sunday low · RSI 57 · price 1.41725
Weekend gap down, retracing higher.
Thin Sunday open gapped down to 1.4158 then snapped back, the latest bar jumping 88 pips to 1.41725 and filling Friday's gap. Price now sits mid-range between the 1.4158 sunday low and the 1.41827 session high carried over from late last week, RSI neutral near 57.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4177, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close above 1.41770 opens a retest of the 1.41827 session high
Loss of 1.41580 sunday low reopens downside toward 1.4150
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC, high impact) could materially shift this read
USDCAD gapped lower into a thin, holiday-light reopen, last at 1.41594 after fading from the 1.41827 session high. Price is ranging in a narrow sub-1.4163 band with RSI(14) mid-range near 42 — momentum well off the earlier highs. Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst.
Support: 1.41563, 1.41344, 1.41248
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Close below 1.41563 opens the path toward 1.41344
Reclaim of 1.41700 reopens the 1.41827 session high
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Eased below recent congestion after session-high rejection.
NY session pushed to a session high of 1.41827 before easing, and a thin weekend gap lower leaves price holding near 1.4159, back below recent congestion at 1.4170. Move is part of a multi-day USDCAD climb to 14-month highs on the hawkish Fed and soft Canadian data. Canada CPI at Mon 12:30 UTC is the key near-term risk.
Support: 1.4158, 1.4150, 1.4140
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could reset this read
M15 close below 1.4158 opens the path lower
Reclaim of 1.4170 re-engages the 1.4183 session high
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.41591
Rolling over from session high after 50% retrace.
USDCAD rejected twice near 1.41827 before fading, with a thin weekend gap reopening at 1.4159 — the 50% retrace of the prior rally off 1.41344. RSI(14) has cooled to the low-40s after the overbought push that printed the 14-month high.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41344, 1.4138
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.4170, 1.4159
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (high impact) can reset this read
Loss of 1.4150 confirms a deeper retrace toward 1.41344
Close back above 1.4170 re-opens the 1.41827 session high
21:31 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 44 · price 1.41591
Off session highs, gap-down open.
USDCAD ran to a 14-month-high session high at 1.41827 before fading, then opened the new session with a thin gap down from 1.41661 to 1.41599. Price now sits at 1.41591 holding the 14-month-high zone, RSI cooled back to the mid-40s after the stretched run higher.
Support: 1.4150, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41661, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close back above 1.41661 fills the gap and re-opens 1.41827
Loss of 1.41500 confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.41344
21:16 UTC
Uptrend stalling, pulling back · RSI 39 · price 1.41591
Post-rally fade, weekend gap lower.
Friday's rally tagged 1.41827 in fresh 14-month-high territory before fading back to 1.4166 into the close, and the Sunday reopen gapped lower to 1.4159 on thin volume. Price now sits below the 1.4170 swing pivot with the recent peak rejected; no fresh structure yet in the holiday-thin tape.
Support: 1.41525, 1.4136
Resistance: 1.4170, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (high impact) could materially shift this read
M15 close back above 1.41700 reopens the path to the 1.41827 high
Lower highs off 1.4183 peak after weekend gap down.
Friday's rally tagged 1.4183 — just above the 14-month high zone — before fading, and the new Sunday session opened with a thin gap down to 1.4159. Price trades below EMA20/50 in the early reopen, with the 1.4166 gap-fill capping and 1.4158 the immediate floor.
Support: 1.4158, 1.41344, 1.41248
Resistance: 1.41661, 1.41773, 1.41827
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.41661 fills the weekend gap and reopens 1.4177
Failure to hold 1.41580 exposes 1.4134 swing low
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC (high impact) could reset this read
USDCAD pushed to a session high 1.41827 during NY hours then stalled, consolidating 1.4170-1.4178 before slipping to 1.41661 as the move cooled. Price now sits near the 61.8% retrace of the latest leg up from 1.41471, with EMA20 capping just overhead.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41471, 1.41359
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41778
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.41778 reopens the path to the 1.41827 session high
Loss of 1.41650 confirms a deeper pullback toward the 1.41471 swing low
Canada CPI (Mon 12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read given stretched daily momentum
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.41827 before stalling into a tight 1.4170-1.4178 range as the Fed-driven CAD selloff lost steam. The last bar slipped to 1.4165, with price now back under the EMA20 after rejection at the highs.
Support: 1.4165, 1.41471, 1.41344
Resistance: 1.41827, 1.41778
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.41650 opens the path toward the 1.41471 swing low
Reclaim of 1.41827 reopens the session high
Canada CPI Mon 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read