USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 24 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 62 · price 1.42344
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground to a fresh >1-year high at 1.42476 this week, riding broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed pricing while a hot Canadian CPI was shrugged off. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), with pullbacks into the NY sessions repeatedly finding demand near 1.4215-1.4220. RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 zone confirms momentum without yet flagging an extreme on this timeframe.
Support: 1.42183, 1.4205, 1.41865
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43-1.45 area
Failure to hold 1.42183 confirms a lower-low and threatens the channel
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week, with the dominant push through the NY session pinning the pair at a fresh >1-year high of 1.42476 as the USD rides a hawkish-Fed bid and oil stays heavy. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks shallow, though RSI(14) sits in stretched territory and the last few bars stalled just under the high. The 1.42150 swing low marks the nearest demand that has been respected on the latest dip.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250, 1.4300
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42476 opens the path toward 1.43000
Failure to hold 1.42150 signals a corrective pullback toward the 1.41500 November peak
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
22:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing · RSI 58 · price 1.4230
Higher highs, higher lows into week high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week as broad USD strength and the weakest-major Loonie drove price from Monday's 1.4133 base to a fresh 14-month high at 1.4248. Price holds above the EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the upper half but easing off its peak as the latest push to 1.4248 was rejected and faded back toward 1.4230. The 1.4215 higher-low line remains intact, keeping the rising structure in place.
Support: 1.4225, 1.4200, 1.4215
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu ~12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4248 opens the path toward the 1.4250 round number
Loss of 1.4200 breaks the rising higher-low sequence
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended steadily higher since Monday's open as the dollar prints fresh 13-month highs and the Loonie stays the week's weakest major on soft oil and BoC-Fed divergence. Price tagged a fresh 1-yr high at 1.4248 before easing to 1.4230, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the 50s on each pullback. The 1.4215 swing low is the nearest pivot, with the prior peak around 1.4150 as deeper support.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4239
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key catalyst for the USD leg and could shift this read
H1 close below 1.4215 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above 1.4248 week high opens continuation toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
21:02 UTC
Uptrend, consolidating near highs · RSI 59 · price 1.42317
Higher highs/higher lows since Monday's open.
USDCAD has trended higher all week as the Loonie stayed the weakest major — hot Canadian CPI was overridden by USD strength at 13-month highs and soft oil, lifting price from Monday's 1.4127 open to a fresh 14-month high at 1.4248 during yesterday's NY session. Price is now consolidating near 1.4232, holding above a rising EMA20 with RSI cycling in the upper half. The week's higher-low structure remains intact and the 1.4248 high is the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4200, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4300
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the marquee Fed input and could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4248 opens the path toward the 1.4300 psych level
Break below 1.4150 wk pivot would signal a deeper CAD recovery and break the higher-low sequence
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, posting a 14-month high at 1.42476 in the NY session as CAD stayed the weakest major on soft oil and a safe-haven USD bid. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s on each pullback, but momentum has flattened as the move stretches into Thursday's US Core PCE. The 1.42476 high capped the latest push and price is consolidating just beneath it.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4228, 1.41599
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.42149 swing low signals a lower-low and deeper pullback
20:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42321
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, the Loonie the weakest major as hawkish-Fed repricing and soft oil kept CAD offered, pushing price to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 before consolidating near 1.4232. Price holds well above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the upper half, and dips through the NY session found demand around 1.4215. The 1.42476 area has capped the latest push and is the level to watch for break or rejection.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4180, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.42149 would mark the first lower-low this week
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has trended steadily higher all week, with the Loonie the weakest major as USD strength and soft oil dominate; price is riding above EMA(20) on each pullback. The 1.42476 week high capped the latest push into the NY session, and price has eased back to 1.42321 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. Demand has held the rising sequence of higher lows intact.
Support: 1.42183, 1.4200, 1.41736
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42183 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
19:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 62 · price 1.4235
Rising series of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD has ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248, climbing steadily since Monday's open with pullbacks consistently finding the rising EMA(20). The advance reflects broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing alongside a soft Loonie weighed by low oil. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s, firm but not yet stretched, as price consolidates just under the week high into late NY.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4248 opens the path toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.4215 swing low would mark the first lower-low this week
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week, with the Loonie the weakest major on broad USD strength, soft oil and a patient-BoC read that overrode Monday's hot CPI. Price holds above EMA(20) on every pullback and tagged a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248 before easing to 1.4235; RSI(14) sits elevated near the low-60s. The 1.4215 region has absorbed intraday dips, keeping the rising channel intact.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4185, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4280
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4248 opens the path toward the 1.43 area
Loss of 1.4215 then 1.4185 would break the week's higher-low sequence
USD/CAD has ground higher all week into fresh 14-month-high territory above 1.4200, with hawkish-Fed repricing and soft oil keeping the Loonie pressured. Price has tracked a rising channel of higher lows, holding above EMA20 on each pullback, with RSI cycling in the upper half. The week high at 1.42476 capped the latest NY-session push and price is consolidating just beneath it.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.42000 round number questions the uptrend
US Core PCE this week is the immediate USD catalyst and could shift this read
18:01 UTC
Uptrend, pullback off highs · RSI 56 · price 1.42343
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has trended higher all week on broad USD demand and oil-driven CAD weakness, printing a fresh 14-month high near 1.42476 in the NY session before sellers faded the move back to 1.4218. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s on each pullback, keeping the climb intact. The day-low at 1.4218 has so far been defended after the rejection at the highs.
Support: 1.4218, 1.4200, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4238
What it said to watch
Sustained close back above 1.42476 reopens the path higher
Loss of 1.4200 round number would break the week's higher-low sequence
Friday US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the key USD catalyst into the next sessions
USDCAD has trended up since Monday's open near 1.4160, clearing the 1.42 handle through the NY session and tagging a week high at 1.42476 on broad USD strength and soft CAD. The last two bars rejected the high and price has slipped back to the EMA20, with RSI cooling toward the mid-50s. Demand has repeatedly stepped in around the rising-low sequence near 1.4206.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4160, 1.41472
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.4206 undercuts the higher-low sequence
Reclaim of 1.42383 reopens the 1.42476 week high
17:02 UTC
Uptrend, pullback off highs · RSI 53 · price 1.42179
Higher highs into weekly high, late rejection.
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, grinding from 1.4124 to a fresh weekly high at 1.42476 in the NY session as the dollar pressed 13-month highs on hawkish Fed bets and CAD lagged at multi-month lows. The latest bar rejected back to 1.4218, slipping below EMA(20) for the first time this week with RSI(14) cooling off back to the mid-50s. The broader sequence of higher lows remains intact above the 1.4205 prior range.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4205
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4225
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the main dollar catalyst and could materially shift this read
Acceptance back above 1.42250 prior high keeps the path toward the 1.42476 week high open
Loss of 1.42150 recent low exposes the 1.42050 prior range and threatens the higher-low sequence
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 62 · price 1.42373
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher in a steady channel since Monday's open, with the loonie the weakest major as a firm USD and soft oil kept the pair bid above the 1.4200 breakout level. Price tagged a fresh week high at 1.42476 in the NY session before easing back to 1.42373; pullbacks have repeatedly found the rising higher-low structure. RSI(14) is holding the mid-60s without diverging, consistent with the trend intact.
Support: 1.4223, 1.4168
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key near-term USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close back below 1.4220 intraday low would break the rising higher-low structure
Acceptance above 1.42476 week high opens the 1.4250 round number
16:01 UTC
Uptrend, steady grind · RSI 65 · price 1.42373
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, clearing 1.4200 into the NY session and tagging a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 as the USD sits at a 13-month peak and the CAD trades as the weakest major. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with pullbacks repeatedly bought at the rising higher-low line; RSI(14) cycling in the 55–70 band confirms momentum without yet flipping. The 1.42250 swing low is the nearest demand shelf, week high 1.42476 the immediate cap.
Support: 1.4225, 1.4206, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42476 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.42250 swing low breaks the week's higher-low sequence
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the key USD catalyst and could reshape this read
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 63 · price 1.4229
Higher highs, higher lows above EMAs.
USDCAD has graded higher since Monday's open, clearing 1.4200 for the first time since April and tagging a fresh week high near 1.4248 — driven by the broad hawkish-Fed USD bid and a soft CAD that looked through hot headline CPI. Price sits above EMA20 with pullbacks finding the rising higher-low line; RSI(14) is cycling in the high-50s/low-60s without divergence. The 1.4200 round level has flipped to support on the latest retest.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4170, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD swing factor and could materially shift this read
Loss of 1.4200 would negate the breakout and expose 1.4170
H1 close above 1.4250 extends the impulse
15:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 65 · price 1.4229
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh 14-month highs.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, breaking above 1.4200 for the first time since April 2025 on broad USD strength and a soft Loonie after hot-but-energy-driven Canadian CPI was looked through. Price holds well above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band on each pullback, and the recent NY-session push tagged a fresh week high near 1.4248 before easing into the close. The advance is mature and stretched as the market positions for Thursday's US PCE.
Support: 1.4210, 1.4169, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4248 extends the uptrend toward 1.4250 psych
Loss of the 1.4210 EMA20 shelf would break the week's higher-low sequence
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 65 · price 1.4229
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher all week from Monday's 1.4144 low to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248, holding above EMA20 with pullbacks shallow into the NY sessions. Broad USD strength (fresh DXY highs) and a heavy CAD — soft oil and Fed-hike repricing override Monday's hot Canadian CPI — explain the persistent bid. RSI(14) sits elevated around 64 without diverging, consistent with the trend still being driven.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4144, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4248 extends the channel toward 1.4250+
Failure to hold 1.4205 breaks the week's rising support line
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next USD catalyst and could shift this read
14:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 64 · price 1.4229
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has trended steadily higher all week, riding broad USD strength to a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248 as Fed-hike repricing and soft oil kept the Loonie heavy. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s on each pullback; the latest bar wicked to 1.4248 before fading to 1.4229, leaving a rejection at the week high. Demand has stepped in repeatedly above 1.4210 on dips.
Support: 1.4210, 1.4200, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.4210 prior high opens the path back to the EMA20 around 1.4200
Hourly close above 1.4248 week high extends the trend toward 1.4250 round number
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week, clearing 1.4200 in the NY session and printing fresh 14-month highs at 1.4245. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI elevated near 68, and pullbacks have repeatedly found the rising support line. Broad USD strength at fresh DXY highs plus oil weakness keep the Loonie heavy.
Support: 1.4216, 1.4200, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4245, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4216 ema20 would break the higher-low sequence
Failure to clear the 1.4245 session high keeps price capped below 1.4250 psych
US Core PCE Thursday could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 1.42406
Rising series of higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, pushing fresh 14-month highs near the 1.4245 week high as broad USD strength and soft WTI kept the Loonie heavy. Price holds above EMA20 (~1.4218) with each pullback this week finding the rising channel support, RSI(14) cycling in the 55-70 band. The 1.4200 round level has flipped to near-term support after the breakout, with the 1.4150 November peak the deeper reference.
Support: 1.4218, 1.4200, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4245, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.4200 round would break the rising channel structure
A close above 1.4250 round extends the breakout toward Scotia's 1.43 zone
USDCAD pressed to fresh 14-month highs above 1.4200 this week on hawkish-Fed divergence and soft oil, with price riding a rising channel since Monday's open and holding above EMA(20) on each pullback. The yearly high near 1.4238 capped the latest NY push, while the 1.4200 round number now sits beneath as former resistance. RSI(14) is elevated in the low-60s but not yet stretched, consistent with the grind rather than a blow-off.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4185, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4238, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4238 opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of 1.4200 round number would signal the rising channel is breaking
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week, printing a fresh yearly high near 1.4238 in the NY session on broad USD strength from hawkish-Fed repricing and a soft Loonie weighed by weak oil. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks repeatedly bought back, and RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 band confirms steady momentum without an extreme. The 1.4170 prior-high zone has flipped to support beneath the advance.
Support: 1.4210, 1.4200, 1.4170
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42383 yearly high opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of the rising higher-low line and a close below 1.4200 round number would break the trend structure
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the dominant cross-driver and could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week as CAD sits as the weakest major against a USD at 13-month highs, the pair printing fresh highs at 1.42383 in the NY session. Price holds above EMA20 with each pullback into the 1.4215 area finding demand, RSI cycling in the 55-66 band. The 1.42383 session high is the immediate cap; a sustained push above it extends the grind toward 1.4250.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4180, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.4250 psych level
Loss of the 1.42150 EMA20 shelf would break the higher-low sequence toward 1.4180
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key catalyst and could materially shift this read
11:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 62 · price 1.42253
Higher highs and higher lows since mid-week.
USDCAD has graded higher all week, with the pair holding above EMA(20) since Tuesday's session and pullbacks finding the rising higher-low line. The grind reflects broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing while CAD stays heavy at 14-month lows on soft oil. Price stalled into 1.42383 in the latest NY hours, with 1.4200 the prior shelf now acting as support.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.4200 breaks the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above 1.42383 opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych level
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
10:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum firm · RSI 67 · price 1.42323
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh range highs.
USDCAD has trended steadily higher since Monday's open, breaking above the 1.4200 psych level into 14-month highs as CAD stayed the week's weakest major — hot Canadian CPI failed to lift the Loonie while a broad USD bid pushed the pair up. Price holds above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with pullbacks finding the rising structure, and RSI(14) cycling in the mid-60s confirms momentum without yet stretching to extremes. The 1.4238 session high caps the latest leg, with 1.4200 now the immediate shelf below.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4205, 1.4163
Resistance: 1.4238, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4250 psych extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.4200 psych, then 1.4163 prior shelf, would break the higher-low sequence
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the next directional driver for this pair
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding to 14-month high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, with CAD the weakest major as a hawkish-Fed vs patient-BoC divergence and soft oil overrode Monday's hot Canadian CPI. Price prints fresh 14-month highs near 1.42383 with pullbacks consistently holding above EMA(20); RSI(14) sits in the high-60s, reflecting an extended but intact advance. The 1.42060 shelf has acted as support on the latest leg up.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4180, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the next directional driver for this pair
Loss of 1.42060 then 1.41800 would break the run of higher lows
H1 close above 1.42383 opens the path to the 1.42500 psych level
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 1.42275
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday open.
USDCAD has trended steadily higher since Monday's open, refreshing 14-month highs near 1.42383 as USD sits at 13-month highs and CAD stays pinned by Fed-BoC divergence and soft oil. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding support around the prior 1.4205 high; RSI(14) is elevated in the upper 60s, reflecting an extended but intact climb. The 1.42383 session high capped the latest push into the Asia session.
Support: 1.4205, 1.4190, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4205 breaks the week's rising-low structure
Loss of 1.41500 nov-peak support would deepen the pullback
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE is the week's key catalyst — could shift this read
Close above 1.42383 session high opens the path toward 1.4250
09:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 65 · price 1.42275
Higher highs and higher lows, grinding into week high.
USDCAD has ground higher all week on hawkish-Fed repricing and a soft Loonie, refreshing 14-month highs and clearing the 1.4200 round number into the NY session. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks repeatedly bought along an ascending support line; RSI(14) sits elevated near 64 without a fresh extreme. The latest bar stalled just under today's 1.42383 high.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4168
Resistance: 1.42383, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close back below 1.4200 would break the ascending support and stall the week's grind higher
A push through 1.42383 week high opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych level
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the week's key USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh 14-month highs.
USDCAD has ground higher all week, reclaiming 1.4200 and printing fresh 14-month highs into 1.4228 as USD strength and soft oil kept the Loonie the weakest major. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with pullbacks shallow and the round 1.4200 level now acting as support. RSI(14) near 66 reflects firm momentum without an extreme.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4156
Resistance: 1.4250, 1.4285
What it said to watch
Sustained acceptance above 1.4250 opens the path toward 1.4285
Loss of 1.4200 round number would mark the first lower low this week
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD leg of this move
08:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 68 · price 1.42274
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground to 14-month highs above 1.4200, driven by a firm USD at one-year highs and soft oil keeping CAD the weakest major. Price has held above EMA20 since Monday's session, with each NY-session push extending the channel and RSI(14) cycling in the 60s. The 1.4228 week high was tagged on the latest leg with momentum still constructive but stretched.
Support: 1.42062, 1.41686
Resistance: 1.4228, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.4228 opens the 1.4250 then 1.4285 area noted by desks
Loss of 1.42062 prior-high support shifts the near-term structure
Thu 12:30 UTC US Core PCE cluster could materially reprice the USD leg of this move
07:01 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 65 · price 1.42241
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh week highs.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, extending a four-day winning streak to fresh highs near 1.4224 as broad USD strength and soft oil kept CAD the weakest major. Price is holding above EMA(20) with pullbacks shallow and RSI(14) cycling in the 55–68 band; the 1.4150 Nov-peak pivot remains the structural floor for the breakout. The push accelerated through the NY session yesterday with no clean rejection at recent highs.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4196, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42243, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read — a cooler print risks a corrective USD pullback
Loss of 1.4150 nov peak would break the week's higher-low structure
Sustained close above 1.42243 week high opens the path toward 1.4250
USDCAD has ground higher all week off Monday's 1.4103 open, with CAD the weakest major at 14-month lows as Fed-hike bets and soft oil keep the bid intact. Price broke above the 1.4190 prior high during yesterday's NY session and is now probing fresh highs near 1.4224, holding well above EMA(20) on every pullback. RSI(14) sits in the mid-60s, firm but not yet stretched into divergence.
Support: 1.4213, 1.4170, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC (f/c 3.4%) is the week's catalyst — a cooler print risks unwinding the USD bid
A close above 1.4250 opens the path toward 1.4285
Loss of 1.4213 then 1.4170 would break the run of higher lows
06:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended at highs · RSI 63 · price 1.42168
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4220, riding broad USD strength after upbeat US PMIs and hawkish-Fed repricing while CAD stays the weakest major. Price has held above EMA(20) since Monday's session open, with each pullback bought back into the rising channel; RSI(14) sits stretched in the low-60s after the multi-day grind higher. The week high at 1.42237 caps the latest push, with the 1.4200 round number now acting as near support.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4180, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained close above 1.42237 week high opens 1.4250
Loss of 1.4180 ema20 would break the rising channel
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift the USD read
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open near 1.4103, lifted by broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing and soft oil, with the pair printing 14-month highs into the NY session yesterday. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks finding the rising support line, but momentum is flattening near the 1.42237 week high as RSI cycles in the low 60s. The 1.4190 former resistance now acts as the first support shelf.
Support: 1.4206, 1.4190, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250
Loss of 1.4190 breaks the rising support line and signals a deeper pullback
Thu Core PCE could materially shift this USD-driven read
USDCAD has climbed for four straight sessions to 14-month highs near 1.4224, driven by broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing and a dovish BoC after markets faded Monday's firm CPI. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks finding the rising trendline, and RSI(14) is elevated but not yet diverging. The 1.4200 round level now sits beneath price as the nearest support pivot.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4168, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Thursday's US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold the 1.4150 support shelf would break the higher-low sequence
05:02 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 64 · price 1.42145
Higher highs and higher lows.
USD/CAD ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4224 through the NY session, extending a multi-day climb on the hawkish-Fed/dovish-BoC divergence as oil stayed soft. Price has held above EMA20 on every pullback since the 1.4144 week low, with the prior peak at 1.4190 flipping to support after the breakout. RSI(14) sits in the low 60s — firm momentum but not yet stretched.
Support: 1.4190, 1.4160, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4224, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close below 1.4190 invalidates the breakout and reopens the 1.4160 swing
A push through 1.4224 exposes the 1.4250 area
Thursday's US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
04:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended into highs · RSI 68 · price 1.42145
Higher highs, higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4224, holding above EMA(20) through every pullback since Monday as broad USD strength and the hawkish-Fed/BoC-hold divergence kept CAD the weakest major. NY hours drove the latest leg from the 1.4180 base to the 1.4224 week high. RSI(14) sits elevated near 68 on this TF, with the move stretched into the 1.42 zone flagged by desks.
Support: 1.4195, 1.4168, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained break of 1.42237 week high opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.41950 breakout base would mark the first lower-low this week
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the next material USD risk for this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week on broad USD strength and the weakest-major CAD theme, with last week's hawkish FOMC and Monday's failed CAD CPI rally keeping the pair bid into fresh 14-month highs near 1.4224. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks shallow, RSI(14) cycling in the 55-65 zone on each dip. The 1.42237 week high caps the latest push, with the round 1.4250 the next reference above.
Support: 1.4195, 1.4185, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42237, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Sustained H1 close above 1.42237 opens the path toward 1.4250 psych
Loss of the EMA20 and 1.4185 prior pivot would mark the first lower-low this week
Thu Core PCE cluster could materially shift this USD-led read
03:01 UTC
Uptrend, extended · RSI 68 · price 1.42163
Higher highs and higher lows, near week top.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, grinding from Monday's 1.4097 open to a fresh week high at 1.42173 as broad USD strength near 13-month highs overrode hot Canadian May CPI. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks repeatedly bought into the NY session, though RSI(14) near 68 reflects a stretched, extended move. The 1.4200 round number has flipped to support after the latest break.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4185, 1.4153
Resistance: 1.42173, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42173 opens the path toward the 1.4250 round number
Failure to hold 1.41850 prior high would mark the first lower-low this week
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week off Monday's 1.4097 open, with price holding above EMA20 on every pullback as broad USD strength and a soft CAD backdrop keep the bid firm. The NY session drove the latest leg, printing a fresh week high at 1.4217, though RSI(14) sits stretched into overbought territory. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around the 1.4185 area, keeping the higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.4185, 1.4150, 1.41012
Resistance: 1.42173, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42173 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4185 breaks the higher-low sequence
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week off Monday's 1.40972 low, carried by broad USD strength and a soft, oil-led Loonie, printing a fresh week high at 1.42167 in the NY session. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50 with pullbacks shallow and the 1.41980 breakout shelf now acting as support. RSI cycling in the low-60s leaves momentum intact but stretched as price probes the range top.
Support: 1.4198, 1.4170, 1.40972
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42167 opens the path toward the 1.4250 psych area
Loss of 1.41980 breakout shelf would mark the first lower-high this week
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is a key catalyst that could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing weekly high · RSI 62 · price 1.42069
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground higher all week with CAD pinned near 14-month lows on hawkish-Fed pricing and soft oil. Price broke above the 1.4185 prior high into the NY session and is now stalling just under the 1.42167 week high, with RSI elevated near 62 and EMA20 tracking below as pullbacks hold. Each dip this week has found demand into the rising lows.
Support: 1.4185, 1.41507, 1.4100
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42167 opens the path toward the 1.4250 round number
Failure to hold 1.4185 reopens the 1.41507 swing low
Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Steady grind higher since Monday's open, with USD/CAD pressing fresh 14-month highs on the hawkish-Fed versus BoC-hold divergence and soft crude. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), each pullback into the rising higher-lows finding demand, while the 1.42167 session high has capped the latest push. RSI(14) near 64 reflects stretched momentum into the highs.
Support: 1.4200, 1.41686, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 1.41686 higher low breaks the rising-lows sequence
Break above 1.42167 opens the path toward the 1.4250 objective
Thu Jun 25 12:30 UTC Core PCE cluster could materially shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week off Monday's 1.4096 open, with the dominant leg accelerating through the NY session and clearing the 1.4200 round number to print fresh 14-month highs near 1.4217. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 60s on each pullback, consistent with the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold divergence and soft crude keeping CAD heavy. The advance is stretched but pullbacks have so far been shallow, finding higher lows above 1.4180.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4180, 1.4160
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.41800 breaks the higher-low structure
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Sustained move above 1.42167 week high opens the path toward 1.4250
USDCAD has ground to fresh 14-month highs, pressing 1.4217 into the NY session as the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold divergence keeps CAD the weakest major even after this week's hot Canadian CPI. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks finding the 1.4150 SocGen band, and RSI cycling in the mid-60s reflects a persistent but stretched climb. The dominant leg ran off Monday's 1.4144 low without a meaningful corrective dip.
Support: 1.4188, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4217, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Thursday's US Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 1.4150 SocGen support confirms a lower-low
H1 close above 1.4217 opens the path toward the 1.4250 SocGen objective
USDCAD has ground higher all week on the hawkish-Fed vs BoC-hold divergence, with USD broadly bid near 13-month highs and crude staying soft. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) holding the high-60s/70 zone; the rally extended through the NY session to a fresh week high at 1.42167 before stalling into Asia. Pullbacks have been shallow, each finding demand above the prior swing as the channel of higher lows holds.
Support: 1.4185, 1.4180, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42167, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42167 opens the path toward 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4185 breaks the higher-low sequence
Thu Core PCE (12:30 UTC) could materially shift the USD read
Stretched RSI leaves room for a corrective dip toward EMA20