USD/CAD AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Thursday, 25 June 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CAD 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolled over · RSI 41 · price 1.41896
Double top near 1.4247, breakdown below EMA20.
USD/CAD ground to 14-month highs near 1.4247 through midweek before rolling over, with the level capping twice this week. A sharp NY-session drop yesterday from 1.4242 to the 1.4177 swing low broke the rising structure and pushed price below EMA20 (~1.4212), where the slide stabilised as a softer USD met still-weak oil. Price now consolidates just under the 1.4200 psych level with RSI(14) hovering near 41.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150, 1.4130
Resistance: 1.4200, 1.4212, 1.42476
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4200 and EMA20 ~1.4212 would negate the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.4177 confirms a lower low and opens 1.4150
Fri Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari could shift the USD tone
USDCAD ground up since Monday's open to twin highs at 1.42476, the April-2025 high zone, before a sharp NY-session reversal dropped price ~80 pips and broke below EMA20/50. The slide tracked the broader USD easing off tops after an in-line core PCE print, with overbought CAD shorts stretched. Price is now consolidating near 1.419, holding the 1.41771 swing low into Friday's Michigan data.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4156, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4210, 1.42476
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.42100 reclaims the broken support and EMAs
Failure to hold 1.41771 opens the 1.4156 week low
Michigan sentiment + Fed Williams/Kashkari (Fri 14:00 UTC) could shift this read
Double top at week high, pulling back below EMA20.
USDCAD ground higher from Monday's open near 1.4174 to a 14-month high at 1.42476, a level that capped two attempts and now reads as a double top. A sharp pullback through the NY session — after the soft US PCE MoM print drew the dollar lower — knocked price below EMA20 toward the 1.4177 swing low before stabilising around 1.4197. RSI(14) has cycled down to the low 40s, unwinding the prior overbought stretch.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41437, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4220, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.4220 (EMA20) needed to re-engage the week high
Close below 1.4177 swing low confirms a lower low
Michigan sentiment + UoM inflation at 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
USD/CAD ground to 14-month highs near 1.42476 through midweek before a sharp NY-session reversal yesterday, triggered by the softer US PCE MoM print that pulled the dollar broadly lower. Price has since dropped below EMA20 and EMA50 and is holding around 1.4197, with RSI(14) cooling off into the high-30s after stretched conditions. Twin highs at 1.42476 capped the move, and demand is now being tested near the 1.41771 swing low.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4205, 1.42476
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.41771 confirms a lower low and a deeper pullback
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.4205 would re-engage the week's up move
Michigan Sentiment + UoM inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could reset the USD tone
Pullback from week highs, holding above week open.
USDCAD ground up to 14-month highs near 1.4248 through the week before a sharp two-bar reversal during NY hours, when the softer US headline PCE (MoM 0.4% vs 0.5%) trimmed stretched dollar longs and dragged price to 1.4177. Buyers since recovered to 1.4200 but price now sits below EMA20 with RSI cycling under 50, and the rejection at 1.4248 left a bearish divergence into the week high. Week open at 1.4159 remains the structural floor.
Support: 1.4177, 1.4159
Resistance: 1.4223, 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4248 reopens the path toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.4177 confirms a deeper pullback toward week open 1.4159
UoM inflation expectations and Fed speakers (Williams, Kashkari) Friday could shift the USD read
WTI stabilisation would remove a key CAD headwind
21:03 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from week highs · RSI 46 · price 1.42003
Rejection at week high, near-term lower highs.
USDCAD ground higher from Monday's open near 1.4159 to 14-month highs around 1.4248 on the hawkish-Fed bid and the oil rout, but 1.42476 capped two attempts and price has since faded. The US PCE print drove a sharp NY-session drop to 1.4177 — headline MoM came in soft — before a recovery to 1.42003. Price now sits below EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward neutral, the first real pause in the week's grind.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41591
Resistance: 1.42225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA(20) near 1.4222 would re-align with the week's uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4177 confirms a lower low and deeper pullback
Close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward 1.43
Fri UoM inflation expectations and Fed-speak (Williams, Kashkari) could shift the USD tone
14-month high rejected, retracing into the week's range.
USDCAD ground higher all week to a 14-month high near 1.42476 before a sharp NY-session reversal after the US PCE slate, with headline PCE softening even as growth and income beat. Price has since dropped through EMA(20) and is consolidating around 1.4194 after defending the 1.41771 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled into the mid-40s, unwinding the stretched, overbought condition that built into the highs.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim and close above 1.42250 reopens the path toward the 1.42476 week high
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a lower low and exposes the 1.41437 week low
Michigan sentiment & inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT plus Fed-speak could shift this read
Rejection from 14-month highs, lower highs forming.
USDCAD ground higher all week to a 14-month high near 1.4248, where price was capped twice (double top), then reversed sharply during NY hours after the broadly USD-supportive US data slate — in-line core PCE, beats on GDP, income and spending. The drop pushed price back below the EMA20 cluster around 1.4210 and found support at the 1.4177 swing low, leaving RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s. Price now consolidates near 1.4194, mid-way between that support and the broken EMA.
Support: 1.4177, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4210, 1.4248
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4210 ema20 would repair the broken structure
Failure to hold the 1.4177 swing low opens the path to the 1.4144 week low
Michigan inflation expectations Fri 14:00 GMT could materially shift this read
Lower high after double-top rejection near 1.4248.
USD/CAD ground to 14-month highs near 1.4248 through midweek before a sharp reversal after the US PCE print trimmed stretched dollar longs. Price has lost EMA20 and is consolidating around 1.4196 after basing at 1.4177; the 1.4248 area capped two attempts — a double-top rejection. RSI(14) has cooled toward 42 from overbought territory.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.4225 would neutralise the reversal read
Failure to hold 1.4177 swing low opens 1.4150 nov peak
Fed-speak (Williams, Goolsbee) today could materially shift this read
USDCAD ground to a fresh week high at 1.42476 before a sharp NY-session reversal dragged price back to 1.41771, as stretched CAD shorts squared up against an in-line US PCE print. Price now sits below EMA20 (~1.42250) for the first time this week with RSI(14) back near 41 after the slide. The 1.42476 area capped three attempts and has flipped to overhead supply.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4156
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.42250 EMA20 re-engages the week uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41771 session low opens deeper pullback toward 1.41560
Fed-speak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend stalling, rolling over off highs · RSI 40 · price 1.41951
Double top at week high, neckline broken lower.
USDCAD ground to 14-month highs through the week on the hawkish-Fed/oil-rout story, but printed a clean double top at 1.42476 and rolled over into the NY session, slicing through the 1.42149 neckline and the EMA20. Price now sits near 1.4195, the 50% retrace of the week's impulse, with RSI(14) back below 40 after the sell-off. The 1.42280 EMA20 and 1.42476 week high cap the upside while sellers defended the double top.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41523
Resistance: 1.42149, 1.4228, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Hourly close back above 1.42280 EMA20 negates the rollover read
Holding below the 1.42149 neckline keeps the double top in play
Loss of 1.41771 session low opens 1.41523 swing low
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift this read
18:02 UTC
Uptrend, sharp pullback · RSI 38 · price 1.41951
Higher highs into 1.4248, late reversal back below EMA20.
The week was a near straight-line grind to 1.4248 (April-2025 highs) on the hawkish-Fed lean and June's oil rout. In the NY session price was rejected at the highs and reversed sharply back through EMA20 toward 1.4190, with RSI(14) rolling off overbought after a bearish divergence into the peak. In-line US PCE removed a downside surprise but failed to extend the move, and the pullback has stalled around the 0.5 retracement of the week's impulse.
Support: 1.4177, 1.4150, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4222, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.4222 and 1.4248 week high would revive the uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4177 session low opens 1.4150 nov peak support
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) and Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) Fedspeak could shift this read
USDCAD ground higher all week to 14-month highs on hawkish-Fed repricing and the crude rout, twice rejecting 1.42476 to leave a double top. Price reversed hard through the NY session as in-line US core PCE removed fresh dollar fuel, dropping below EMA20 to 1.419 with RSI(14) cooling off the highs. The 1.41771 session low is the first structural pivot after the reversal.
Support: 1.41771, 1.41535, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.42250 (EMA20) would neutralise the pullback
Failure to hold 1.41771 confirms a lower-low after the double top
Fedspeak (Williams 19:40 UTC, Goolsbee 22:30 UTC) could reshape this read
Double top at week high, breaking back below EMA20.
USDCAD ground to 14-month highs near 1.42476 twice this week before the level capped both attempts — a double top — with the dominant push coming through the NY sessions. Today's NY hours saw a sharp slide off that ceiling after the in-line US core PCE and pre-data squaring, dragging price back below EMA20 around 1.4230 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. The pullback is now testing the 1.41771 session low and the 50% retracement of the week's 1.41437–1.42476 advance.
Support: 1.41771, 1.4150, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4230, 1.42476
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4230 EMA20 would negate the pullback read
Failure to hold 1.41771 session low opens 1.41500 swing low
Fedspeak (Williams, Goolsbee) later today could shift USD tone
The four-day grind to the 1.4248 April-2025 high stalled twice before a sharp NY-session reversal dragged price back to 1.4187, now sitting below EMA20 with RSI(14) cooling toward 40. The leg lower followed an in-line US core PCE that denied the dollar fresh hawkish fuel after a stretched, overbought run. Price is testing the 61.8% retrace of this week's impulse around 1.4183.
Support: 1.4144, 1.4150, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.4225, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Close below 1.4144 swing low confirms a lower-low and deeper unwind
Reclaim of 1.4248 weekly high re-opens the prior trend
Fed's Williams (19:40 UTC) & Goolsbee (22:30 UTC) could shift the dollar tone this session
Week-long higher-highs broken by reversal off 14-month high.
USDCAD ground higher all week to a 14-month high near 1.42476 before a sharp NY-session reversal dragged price back through EMA(20) to 1.41873. The turn followed in-line US core PCE (3.4% y/y), which denied fresh USD fuel and saw stretched longs unwind. RSI rolled over from overbought as the new high failed to hold, leaving price testing the 1.4190 round level.
Support: 1.4190, 1.41686, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.4234, 1.42476
What it said to watch
Sustained move back above 1.42340 (EMA20) would re-engage the weekly uptrend
Failure to hold 1.41900 exposes 1.41686 swing low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches later today could shift the USD tone
15:02 UTC
Uptrend, sharp pullback into NY · RSI 43 · price 1.42019
Double top at week high, breaking back into range.
USDCAD climbed steadily from Monday's 1.4144 toward a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476, but two attempts at that level — Tuesday and again today — were capped, leaving a double top. The last three bars sold off sharply through the NY session toward 1.4194 after in-line core PCE (3.4% y/y) softened the hawkish USD edge, dropping price back below EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.41947, 1.41437, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42427
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.42476 reasserts the week's uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4194 opens the 1.4150 shelf
Friday UoM sentiment / inflation expectations could shift the USD read
USDCAD ran from Monday's ~1.4177 open to a 14-month high near 1.4248, but the NY session has rejected hard, shedding ~50 pips to 1.4202 and slipping back below EMA20 for the first time in days. The pullback lines up with in-line US PCE softening the hawkish-Fed edge while oil stays depressed. RSI has rolled off overbought, with twin failures at 1.4248 leaving a double-top look at the week's ceiling.
Support: 1.41947, 1.41771, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4243
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.41947 session low keeps this week's higher-low structure intact
Close back above 1.42430 negates the rejection read
Canada GDP (Jun 30) could shift this read
14:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum rolling over · RSI 46 · price 1.4209
Week-long higher highs, sharp pullback off the high.
USDCAD climbed steadily since Monday's open from the 1.4144 area to a 1.4248 week high, but the last two NY-session bars reversed hard to 1.4209 after US core PCE landed in line, removing fresh hawkish fuel for the Dollar. Price has slipped back below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI(14) rolling over out of overbought after the rejection at the week high. The this-week trend is still up, but the impulse off the high is the sharpest pullback of the run.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4144
Resistance: 1.4232, 1.4248
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4232 EMA20 reasserts the week's uptrend
Loss of the 1.4200 round number opens 1.4144 week low
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee speeches tonight could shift the USD read
USDCAD ran a near-straight-line advance from Tuesday's 1.4144 low to a 14-month high at 1.4248, but the last two NY-session bars rejected that level and sliced back below EMA(20) to 1.4209 as the in-line US PCE removed fresh hawkish fuel. RSI(14) has rolled off overbought after the stretched, oil-driven CAD selloff. 1.4248 capped two attempts this week; first support sits at the 1.4180 shelf.
Support: 1.4180, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4232, 1.4248
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 1.4232 (EMA20) would restore upside momentum
Loss of the 1.4180 shelf opens the path toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Fed's Williams/Goolsbee tonight could reignite the USD bid
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below cap.
USD/CAD has ground higher all week on widening US-Canada yield spreads and a depressed oil tape, posting a string of higher lows from Monday's 1.4144 base into the 1.4248 area. Price is now consolidating just under that 14-month-high cap with RSI cycling near the mid-50s and pullbacks finding the EMA(20). The pair stalled into US Core PCE, due 12:30 UTC, the immediate catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.4221, 1.41437, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could reset this read
Hourly close above 1.42500 opens the path beyond the week high
Failure to hold 1.42210 turns the structure toward 1.4150
13:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding into resistance · RSI 57 · price 1.42336
Higher highs, consolidating below the cap.
USDCAD has ground higher all week on widening US-Canada yield spreads and the June oil rout, extending through Wednesday's NY session to a fresh week high at 1.42476. The 1.4250 14-month cap has rejected the last two pushes and price is now consolidating just under it, holding above EMA(20) on each pullback with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s. The 1.4221 swing low marks the near-term floor of the consolidation.
Support: 1.4221, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE (12:30 UTC) is the immediate catalyst and can decide the 1.4250 break-or-reject
Sustained H1 close above 1.4250 opens the path toward the 1.43 zone
Loss of 1.4221 then 1.42149 would mark the first lower-low and break the rising-low structure
12:01 UTC
Uptrend, pressing week high · RSI 62 · price 1.4242
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has ground higher all week off Monday's 1.4152 open, holding above EMA(20) on every pullback as CAD sits at 14-month lows on the oil slide and Fed-hike pricing. Price is now pressing the 1.4248 week high, just below the 1.4250 April-2025 high that has capped this leg. US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst into this level.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215, 1.4152
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4250 opens the 1.43 area
Failure to hold 1.4220 EMA20 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Rising series of higher highs/lows pressing range top.
USDCAD has ground higher all week, lifted by broad USD strength and a 20% June oil slump weighing on CAD, and now sits just under the 1.4250 April high. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding support along this week's rising lows; RSI(14) is cycling in the low-60s, leaving the move stretched but not yet diverging. The week high at 1.4248 has capped the latest push — area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4222, 1.4183, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4250 opens the path toward the 1.43 area
Failure to hold 1.4222 breaks the rising-lows structure
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open to 14-month highs, with CAD the week's weakest major after hotter Canadian CPI failed to lift it against a hawkish Fed repricing. Price is now coiling between EMA20 near 1.4230 and the 1.42476 week high, just short of the 1.4250 April high. RSI(14) sits mid-60s having cooled from the impulse, and pullbacks have held above the 1.42149 swing low.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42149, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
Hourly close above 1.4250 April high opens extension toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.42149 swing low signals a deeper correction toward the 1.4150 nov peak
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, pushing to 14-month highs as hawkish Fed repricing and soft oil kept CAD the weakest major; pullbacks into the NY sessions have repeatedly found EMA(20). Price sits at 1.42432 just under the 1.42476 week high, with RSI(14) cycling in the low-60s and no fresh acceleration. The 1.4250 April-2025 high caps the move directly above.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4190, 1.41487
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.42476 opens the path to the 1.4250 april high
Failure to hold 1.42150 swing low flags a deeper pullback toward 1.41900
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
USDCAD extended this week's climb to a 14-month high near 1.4248, riding broad USD strength and persistent CAD softness, and has been consolidating sub-1.4250 since the NY session yesterday. Price is hugging EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing back toward the mid-50s as the rally pauses just under the April-2025 cap. The 1.4250 area has capped attempts twice and is the immediate ceiling.
Support: 1.42222, 1.42149, 1.4200
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the key catalyst this session and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4250 opens the path toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.4222 exposes the 1.4215 swing low and the 1.4200 pivot
Higher highs into resistance, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, extending to a 14-month high near 1.4248 as broad USD strength and weak oil kept the Loonie capped. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4225-1.4240 area below that high, with RSI rolling off the highs as momentum cools. The week's higher-low structure stays intact above the 1.4215 swing and EMA20.
Support: 1.4200, 1.4215, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 GMT is the session catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4250 opens the path toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold the 1.4200 pivot would break the week's higher-low sequence
USDCAD has ground to fresh 14-month highs through the week on broad USD strength and depressed oil, tagging a cycle high at 1.42476 before stalling. Price is now consolidating just under that level, slipping back to the EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-50s. The 1.42476 high has capped the advance twice; demand has so far held the 1.4215 area.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4196, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
Core PCE (YoY) today 12:30 GMT is the dominant near-term catalyst and could shift this read
Hourly close above 1.42476 opens the path toward 1.4250 and the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.4215 exposes the 1.4196 prior low and breaks the rising support
Higher highs into 14-month high, now consolidating below cycle top.
USDCAD has ground higher through the week to a 14-month high at 1.42476, riding broad USD strength on hawkish Fed repricing and depressed oil. Price has stalled and is consolidating just below that top, slipping back under EMA(20) with RSI(14) cooling to mid-50s after the run. The 1.4242–1.4248 zone has capped the last two NY-session attempts.
Support: 1.42222, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42427, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE today 12:30 GMT is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 reopens the path toward the 1.43 extension
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and deeper pullback toward week low
Higher highs into 14-month high, now consolidating near top.
USDCAD ground higher all week to a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 on wide US-Canada yield spreads and soft oil, then stalled into the NY-Asia transition as the USD eased modestly ahead of US PCE. Price is now coiling around 1.4230 just under EMA(20), with RSI(14) cooling back to neutral after the rally. The 1.4243-1.4248 range top has capped the latest push.
Support: 1.4218, 1.4168, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4243
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP cluster at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD leg
Hourly close above 1.42476 extends the uptrend toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Loss of 1.4218 opens the 1.4168 higher low, then 1.4150 former resistance
Higher highs into a consolidation just below the week high.
USDCAD ran a multi-session climb to a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248 this week on broad USD strength and depressed oil, and has since drifted into a tight 1.4220-1.4243 consolidation. Momentum has cooled with RSI back near the midline as price hugs EMA20, while EMA50 still sits below. The 1.4243-1.4248 ceiling has capped the latest attempts heading into the US PCE cluster.
Support: 1.4220, 1.4215, 1.4173
Resistance: 1.4243, 1.4248
What it said to watch
US Core PCE / GDP at 12:30 UTC is the key swing for the next USD leg
H1 close above 1.4248 extends the cycle high and opens the 1.43+ zone
Failure to hold 1.4220 exposes the 1.4215 higher low and a deeper pullback
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, driven by broad USD strength at 13-month highs and soft oil weighing on CAD. Price tagged a week high at 1.42476 in the NY session before easing into a tight consolidation around 1.4235, with RSU(14) cycling in the high-50s/low-60s rather than pressing fresh extremes. The 1.42476 area has capped the latest push and the rising trendline off Monday's lows is still holding.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4230, 1.4180
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250, 1.4300
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the week's key USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.4300 psych level
Failure to hold 1.42149 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
USD/CAD has climbed in a steady rising channel since Monday's open to fresh 14-month highs near 1.42476, driven by hawkish-Fed yield spreads and soft oil keeping the Loonie heavy. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks into the NY sessions repeatedly finding demand around 1.42150. RSI(14) is elevated near 62 with the broader move stretched into the 1.43-1.45 zone, leaving two-way risk into the data.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4206, 1.4179
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4300
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the dominant USD catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43000 psych level
Failure to hold 1.42150 would break the rising channel and confirm a lower-low
Higher highs/lows, consolidating near 14-month high.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, printing a fresh 14-month high near 1.42476 before stalling and consolidating just below into the Asia session. Price holds above EMA(20) with pullbacks finding the rising trendline off Monday's low, but RSI(14) has eased from its peak as momentum flattens near the highs. The grind reflects the hawkish-Fed yield-spread theme weighing on CAD; US PCE later today is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4232, 1.4213
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 1.42130 breaks the rising trendline and former-peak support
Acceptance above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43 zone
USDCAD has climbed in a near-straight line since Monday's open, printing a fresh 14-month high at 1.4248 on broad USD strength and soft oil. Price holds above EMA(20) but RSI(14) is rolling off overbought as the advance stalls just under the week high, and demand has stepped in around 1.4215 on the latest pullback. Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for the next bars.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4240
What it said to watch
Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4248 opens continuation higher
Failure to hold 1.4215 confirms a lower-high and softens the trend
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, with USD at YTD highs and a crowded CAD-short driving a fresh weekly high at 1.4248. Price has since stalled and is consolidating around 1.4230, sitting back on EMA(20) as RSI eases off the highs. The dominant move came in the NY session yesterday; price is now coiling just under resistance ahead of US Core PCE.
Support: 1.4218, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4248, 1.4239
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4248 extends the uptrend toward the 1.43 zone
Failure to hold 1.4218 opens a pullback toward the 1.4150 nov peak
Higher highs into 14-month high, now consolidating.
USDCAD has trended higher all week, printing a 14-month high at 1.42476 as hawkish-Fed vs on-hold-BoC spreads kept the Loonie the weakest major. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4228-1.4236 band just below that high, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought as momentum slows. EMA(20) has supported each pullback since Monday and price holds above both EMAs.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.42476
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 extends the trend to the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.42150 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the higher-low sequence
USDCAD has trended higher all week, the Loonie the weakest major on hawkish-Fed vs on-hold BoC spreads and soft oil, printing fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248 into the NY session. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.4239 week high with RSI(14) cooling from overbought as the advance loses pace, and the last few bars have slipped back to the EMA(20). The 1.4218 swing low marks the first shelf if the pullback extends.
Support: 1.4218, 1.4183, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4239, 1.4248
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.4248 keeps the uptrend intact toward the 1.43-1.45 zone
Failure to hold 1.4218 confirms a lower-high and opens 1.4183
US Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the primary catalyst that could reshape this read
Higher highs into week top, consolidating below 1.4248.
USDCAD has trended higher all week with CAD the weakest major, printing a fresh 14-month high near 1.4248 in the NY session before stalling. Price is now consolidating just under that high, slipping back to the rising EMA(20) as RSI(14) cools off overbought toward the mid-line. The hot Canadian CPI earlier in the week was shrugged off; wide Fed-BoC spreads kept the bid intact.
Support: 1.42183, 1.4232, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42476 extends the week's uptrend
Failure to hold the 1.42183 swing low / rising trendline signals a deeper pullback
Core PCE Thursday 12:30 UTC is the key dollar catalyst and could shift this read
USDCAD has trended higher all week, printing a fresh 14-month high near 1.42476 as a firm US dollar and a weak Loonie kept spreads wide. Price is consolidating in the 1.4230s into the Asia session, holding well above EMA20 with RSI(14) easing back from overbought after the run. The 1.4150 nov-peak zone remains the base of this leg.
Support: 1.42149, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476
What it said to watch
Fresh prints above 1.42476 keep the uptrend intact
Failure to hold 1.42149 swing low signals the first lower-low this week
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC is the key dollar catalyst for the next leg
USDCAD has trended higher all week, the Loonie pressured by hawkish-Fed USD strength and soft oil, with the NY session driving the push to a fresh 14-month high near 1.42476. Price now holds above EMA20 and EMA50, consolidating in a tight 1.4230–1.4236 band after the run. RSI(14) has cooled from earlier extremes toward the mid-50s as the advance loses pace into Thursday's data.
Support: 1.4215, 1.4228, 1.4184
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42383
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.42476 reopens the 1.43-1.45 zone flagged in context
Failure to hold 1.42150 confirms a lower low and breaks the higher-low sequence
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC Thursday could materially shift this read
02:01 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 62 · price 1.42365
Rising higher-lows into 1yr high.
USDCAD has climbed steadily all week from the 1.4134 low to a fresh one-year high near 1.4247, riding broad USD strength and a soft, patient-BoC CAD. Price holds above EMA20 with each pullback into the rising higher-lows finding demand, though RSI sitting in the 60s and the digest's 'extremely overbought' flag point to stretched conditions. Last NY session capped attempts just under 1.4247 while the 1.4215 higher-low base held.
Support: 1.4225, 1.4215, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.4247, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC today is the key catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4247 week high opens the path toward 1.43-1.45
Loss of the 1.4215 higher low breaks the rising structure, exposing 1.4150 nov peak
USDCAD ground to a fresh one-year high at 1.42476 through the NY session yesterday as broad USD strength on hawkish-Fed repricing outweighed CAD support. Price has since coiled in a tight band above EMA(20), with RSI(14) easing from the mid-60s but holding above 50. The week-long climb has stayed above the rising higher-lows line since the Monday-area low at 1.41437.
Support: 1.42183, 1.4200, 1.41437
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC is the immediate catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward 1.43
Failure to hold 1.42183 breaks the rising support and signals a deeper pullback
Higher highs and higher lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has ground higher all week, with CAD leading major-currency losses on broad USD strength at 13-month highs and soft oil. Price tagged a fresh high at 1.42476 during yesterday's NY session before settling into a tight 1.4220-1.4243 range through the Asia hours, RSI(14) cycling in the low 60s and holding above EMA(20). Each pullback this week has found buyers, but progress above 1.4243 has stalled twice.
Support: 1.42195, 1.42149
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.42423
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
Sustained H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward 1.43
Loss of 1.42149 higher low breaks the week's rising structure
USDCAD has trended up since Monday's open, driven by broad USD strength at 13-month highs while CAD sits at 14-month lows on wide US-Canada spreads and soft oil. The week high at 1.42476 was tagged in the NY session before price eased to consolidate around 1.4236, holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling near 60 in stretched territory. The 1.42149 prior-day low has so far contained pullbacks.
Support: 1.42149, 1.41523, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE at 12:30 UTC (~12h) is the dominant near-term catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward the 1.43 area
Failure to hold 1.42149 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising support
00:01 UTC
Uptrend, near highs · RSI 61 · price 1.42375
Higher highs/lows, consolidating.
USD/CAD ground to fresh 14-month highs near 1.4248 through the week, extending an uptrend driven by broad USD strength and Fed-hike pricing while soft oil kept CAD heavy. Price is now consolidating just under that high into thin Asia hours, with pullbacks holding the rising support off Tuesday's lows. RSI sits elevated, reflecting a stretched, overbought condition into the high.
Support: 1.42195, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4239
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 week high opens the path toward 1.43
Close below 1.42195 swing low breaks the rising support off Tuesday's lows
USDCAD has ground higher all week from Monday's ~1.4138 open, posting a fresh 14-month high at 1.42476 on broad USD strength, Fed-hike pricing and soft oil keeping CAD heavy. Price holds above EMA20 (~1.4230) with pullbacks shallow, but RSI sits in overbought territory and the advance is extended. The 1.42476 week high has capped the latest push and is the area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4230, 1.42149, 1.4150
Resistance: 1.42476, 1.4250
What it said to watch
US Core PCE Thu 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.42476 opens the path toward 1.43-1.45
Failure to hold EMA20 ~1.4230 and 1.42149 confirms a lower-low