M15 sold off through NY hours from 1.3869 to 1.3773, with the breakdown level at 1.3801 giving way on safe-haven flow tied to US-Iran headlines. Late NY into early Asia is now basing in a tight 1.3773–1.3787 range, RSI(14) recovering toward 41 with no impulse either way.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3801, 1.3819
What it said to watch
Asia session break below 1.37733 extends the downtrend toward the 1.3760 psych level
Reclaim of 1.3801 breakdown level neutralises the bearish read
Tokyo CPI in Asia session is a known catalyst that could shift this read via JPY-cross flow
USDCAD sold off sharply through NY hours, breaking the 1.3818 shelf and printing a session low at 1.37733 amid US-Iran headline whipsaw. Price has since stalled in a tight 1.3775–1.3787 range as Asia opens, RSI(14) recovering off oversold toward 42.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3758
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3799, 1.3818
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.37870 micro lh would break the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.37733 session low extends the leg toward 1.3758 round number
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could inject JPY-cross flow spillover
USDCAD broke down through 1.3820 during NY hours amid the US-Iran headline flare-up, printing a session low at 1.37733 before stalling. Price is now coiling in a tight 1.3782–1.3785 range into Asia open, with RSI lifting off oversold but EMA20/50 still capping overhead.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3757
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3799, 1.3818
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.37990 broken shelf would neutralise the downside read
Loss of 1.37733 session low extends the leg toward 1.3750 psych
Further Iran-related headlines could re-ignite volatility from this tight range
USDCAD sold off through London-NY hours from 1.3869 to a session low at 1.37733, breaking the 1.38050 shelf cleanly. Late-NY into Asia has compressed into a 1.3782–1.3786 micro range, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but no reclaim of broken structure.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3782
Resistance: 1.37867, 1.3805, 1.3818
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38050 breakdown lvl would neutralise the downtrend read
Break of 1.37733 session low extends the sequence of lower lows
Iran-US headlines remain a live risk; geopolitical tape can override structure
Sharp NY-session selloff drove price from 1.3870 through 1.3800, bottoming at 1.37733 before basing in a 1.3775–1.3787 range as risk-off tone built around Iran headlines. Momentum has flattened with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the high 30s; price coils below the 1.3787 micro pivot with the 1.3800 round number capping.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3800, 1.3818
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3800 round number weakens the downtrend read
Break of 1.37733 session low extends the leg toward 1.3760 psych
Further Iran/Hormuz escalation headlines could re-ignite USD bid
Lower highs, lower lows after NY-session breakdown.
USDCAD sold off through the NY session, breaking 1.3800 on the US-Iran ceasefire headlines and tagging a session low at 1.37733 before stabilising. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3775–1.3787 band into late NY, RSI(14) recovering off oversold near 38.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3801, 1.3818
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38010 breakdown lvl would neutralise the intraday downtrend
Loss of 1.37733 session low opens 1.3760 psych zone
Fresh Middle East / US-Iran headlines remain the dominant driver and could break this consolidation either way
USDCAD sold off sharply during NY hours from 1.3870 to a session low at 1.37733, triggered by USD weakness on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and dovish-leaning Treasury auction. Price is now basing in a tight 1.3775–1.3787 range as Asia opens, RSI lifting off oversold with a shallow bullish divergence on the latest low.
Support: 1.37733, 1.37741
Resistance: 1.37867, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.37733 session low extends the downtrend
Reclaim of 1.38011 psych 1.38 neutralises the bearish read
Geopolitical headlines on US-Iran could reprice USD on the next bar
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session, breaking 1.38000 on USD weakness tied to Iran ceasefire headlines and posting a session low at 1.37733. Price is now basing in a tight 1.37733–1.37867 range late in the NY session, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but no reclaim of 1.38011.
Support: 1.37733, 1.37957
Resistance: 1.37867, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38011 would neutralise the breakdown read
M15 close below 1.37733 extends the lower-low sequence
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could shift USD tone
USDCAD broke down through 1.3800 during the NY session after USD selling pressure tied to US-Iran ceasefire reports, printing a session low at 1.37733. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3775–1.3784 range late in NY, with RSI(14) lifting off oversold but still below 40 and price capped under EMA20.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3784, 1.3800, 1.38187
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38000 psych would weaken the downtrend read
Break below 1.37733 session low extends the leg lower
Headline risk from US-Iran ceasefire approval could materially shift this read
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could trigger USD repricing
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session from 1.3869 to 1.3773 on USD weakness around US-Iran ceasefire headlines, then stalled into the late NY hours. Last 6 bars consolidating in a tight 1.3775–1.3783 range with RSI(14) lifting off oversold — basing action, not a reversal yet.
Support: 1.37733, 1.37819
Resistance: 1.3783, 1.37911, 1.38011
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38011 psych 1.3800 invalidates the downtrend continuation read
Break of 1.37733 session low resumes the sell-off
Asia session open could thin liquidity around current
21:15 UTC
Downtrend, late NY pullback · RSI 38 · price 1.3783
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection at 1.3869.
USDCAD rejected 1.3869 during the NY session and broke down through 1.3801, printing a session low at 1.37733 amid USD selling on US-Iran ceasefire headlines. Price is now consolidating just under 1.3787, RSI(14) recovering from oversold but EMAs still capping above.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3782
Resistance: 1.37867, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38011 would neutralise the breakdown read
M15 close below 1.37733 extends the lower-low sequence
Headline risk around US-Iran ceasefire approval could shift USD tone
USD came under sustained selling through NY hours on the US-Iran ceasefire headlines, breaking down through 1.3800 and printing a fresh session low at 1.37733. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3781–1.3787 range just above that low, with RSI(14) recovering off oversold but no reclaim of the 1.38010 breakdown level.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3801, 1.3818
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38010 would neutralise the breakdown read
Break of 1.37733 session low extends the move toward the 1.3760 round number
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could inject USD volatility
20:45 UTC
Downtrend, sellers in control · RSI 32 · price 1.37834
Lower highs, lower lows since NY open.
USDCAD sold off sharply through the NY session after USD came under pressure on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, breaking 1.3820 and printing a session low at 1.37733. Last few bars are consolidating in a tight 1.3778–1.3784 range with RSI(14) recovering from oversold near 32.
Support: 1.37733, 1.37798
Resistance: 1.37911, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
Reclaim of round 1.3800 would neutralise the NY breakdown
Break of session low 1.37733 extends the downtrend
Tokyo CPI in Asia session could re-introduce USD volatility
20:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 31 · price 1.37821
Lower highs and lower lows post-NY.
USDCAD sold off sharply through NY hours after US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a softer USD tone, breaking 1.38011 and extending to a session low at 1.37733. Price is now consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) at 31 — pressured but not yet washed out.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3791, 1.38011, 1.3818
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38011 breakdown lvl would neutralise the downside read
Break of 1.37733 session low opens 1.37600 psych
Tokyo CPI in the Asia session could shift USD tone
20:15 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 1.37828
Lower highs, lower lows after London-NY break.
USDCAD broke down through 1.3800 during the NY session on USD selling tied to the US-Iran ceasefire headlines, extending a clean sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Price is consolidating just above the session low at 1.37733, with the 1.37870 micro pivot now capping bounces.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3780
Resistance: 1.3787, 1.3801, 1.3818
What it said to watch
loss of 1.37733 session low extends the downtrend
M15 close back above 1.38010 breakdown lvl neutralises the move
Musalem hawkish commentary and ongoing US-Iran headlines can shift USD tone intraday
USDCAD broke down through 1.3800 during NY hours after USD came under broad pressure on US-Iran ceasefire headlines, printing a session low at 1.37733. Price is grinding along the lows with RSI(14) near 28 and no meaningful bounce off the 1.3800 psych level, which has flipped to resistance.
Support: 1.37733, 1.3765
Resistance: 1.3784, 1.3794, 1.3801
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.37940 broken shelf would neutralise the downside read
Musalem hawkish Fed commentary remains a USD-supportive risk into late session
19:45 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows · RSI 28 · price 1.37776
Lower highs, lower lows after midday breakdown.
USDCAD broke down through 1.3818 during the NY session on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and dollar selling, extending to a fresh session low at 1.37772. Price is grinding lower below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) at 28, oversold but no rejection candle yet.
Support: 1.37772, 1.3770
Resistance: 1.37864, 1.37951, 1.38187
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.37951 would neutralise the downtrend read
Sustained break of 1.37700 round number opens further downside
Musalem hawkish commentary or Trump approval on Iran MOU could shift USD tone in the next session
19:30 UTC
Downtrend, fresh leg lower · RSI 32 · price 1.37813
Lower highs, lower lows after range break.
USDCAD broke down through 1.3850 during NY hours after USD came under sudden pressure on the reported US-Iran ceasefire MOU, extending to a 1.37798 session low. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.3781–1.3786 band just off the lows with RSI(14) near 32, no reclaim of the 1.3795 broken shelf yet.
Support: 1.37798, 1.3760
Resistance: 1.3795, 1.3818, 1.3850
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.37950 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
Break of 1.37798 session low extends the leg toward the 1.3760 psych area
Trump approval headline on the US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows after NY session break.
USDCAD broke down through 1.3820 during NY hours on USD selling tied to the reported US-Iran ceasefire MOU, sliding from 1.3869 to a session low at 1.3780. Price is consolidating just above the lows with RSI(14) at 31 — pressured but not extreme, and 1.3791 has capped two bounce attempts.
Support: 1.37798, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.37911, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3801 would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained acceptance below 1.3780 opens the path toward the 1.3775 psych area
Trump approval headline on the Iran MOU could materially shift USD across the board
19:00 UTC
Downtrend, acceleration into NY close · RSI 32 · price 1.37842
Lower highs, lower lows after London-session breakdown.
USDCAD broke down through 1.3820 during NY hours on US-Iran ceasefire headlines and a soft new-home-sales print, extending roughly 90 pips off session highs near 1.3869. Price is grinding along the 1.3780 session low with RSI(14) near 32; bounces into 1.3791 have been sold.
Support: 1.37798, 1.3770
Resistance: 1.37911, 1.38011, 1.38187
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3801 prior shelf would neutralise the downtrend read
USDCAD broke down through 1.3820 during NY hours on reports of a US-Iran ceasefire MOU, extending to a session low at 1.37798 with RSI(14) near 30. Price is consolidating just above the low with sellers capping rebounds at the 1.3794 micro pivot.
Support: 1.37798, 1.3770
Resistance: 1.3794, 1.3805, 1.3818
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38050 broken shelf would neutralise the breakdown read
USDCAD sold off through NY hours after the US-Iran ceasefire headlines, breaking the 1.3818 prior swing and the 1.3805 shelf to print a session low at 1.3780. RSI(14) at 27 shows the move is extended but price is still pressing lows with no rejection wick yet.
Support: 1.37798, 1.3775
Resistance: 1.3795, 1.3805, 1.3818
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3805 broken shelf would neutralise the downside extension
Sustained acceptance below 1.3780 session low opens the 1.3775 psych area
Trump approval headline on US-Iran MOU could materially shift this read
18:15 UTC
Intraday downtrend after rejection · RSI 32 · price 1.37851
Lower highs and lower lows from 1.3869 swing top.
USDCAD double-topped at 1.3869 during Asia/early Europe and has unwound sharply through NY, breaking the 1.3818 prior swing and printing a session low at 1.37819. Price is consolidating just above that low with RSI(14) near 32, momentum stretched to the downside but not yet at oversold extreme.
Support: 1.37819, 1.3775, 1.37957
Resistance: 1.3801, 1.3818, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38010 broken pivot would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Loss of 1.37819 session low opens the path toward the 1.3775 psych area
Headline risk from pending US/Iran ceasefire MOU approval could disrupt the structural read
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection at 1.3869.
Sharp NY-session decline from the 1.3869 ceiling, with a clean break of the 1.3800 round number and price now pressing the session low at 1.37819. RSI(14) at 24.6 shows extended downside; first reaction zone overhead is the broken shelf at 1.3805.
Support: 1.37819, 1.37957, 1.38003
Resistance: 1.38047, 1.38187, 1.38368
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38047 would neutralise the downside read
Break and acceptance below 1.37819 extends the leg lower
RSI sub-25 raises odds of a corrective bounce into 1.3805-1.3819
Trump approval on US/Iran ceasefire MOU is a headline risk that could shift USD broadly
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection at 1.3869.
Twin rejection at 1.3869 during Asia and early Europe set a double top, and NY hours have unwound the entire move with price now at 1.3786 after slicing the round number at 1.3800. RSI(14) sub-25 flags short-term oversold but momentum is one-directional with no basing yet.
Support: 1.37819, 1.3750
Resistance: 1.3800, 1.38187, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3800 round number would neutralise the downtrend
Break of 1.3782 session low extends the leg toward 1.3750 psych
RSI oversold without a higher low keeps sellers in control
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection of 1.3869.
Price double-topped at 1.3869 during the Asian/early European sessions and has unwound steadily through NY, breaking the 1.3820 shelf and the 1.3800 round number with momentum. RSI(14) at 22 flags short-term oversold but the structure is cleanly bearish with no reclaim of broken levels.
Support: 1.37819, 1.3750
Resistance: 1.3800, 1.38187, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3800 round number would weaken the downtrend read
Failure to hold 1.3782 session low extends the leg toward 1.3750 psych
RSI oversold reading raises odds of a corrective bounce into broken 1.3820 shelf
17:15 UTC
Downtrend, sharp NY leg lower · RSI 23 · price 1.37917
Lower highs, lower lows after rejection at 1.3869.
Double-top rejection at 1.3869 during Asia and early Europe gave way to a clean NY-session selloff, slicing through 1.3840, 1.3820 and the round number at 1.3800. Price now consolidating just above the session low at 1.37889 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 23 — momentum extended but no reversal structure yet.
Support: 1.37889, 1.3780, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3805, 1.38187, 1.38386
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38050 broken support would relieve the downside pressure
Loss of 1.37889 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3780 psych
Trump approval headline on US/Iran MOU could trigger a USD reaction
USDCAD rejected hard from the 1.3869 session high during NY hours and has unwound the entire London-Asia rally, breaking through 1.3820 and 1.3800 in a straight-line move. RSI(14) at 22 flags short-term oversold but the structure is intact lower with sellers stepping in on every bounce; current bar probing the 1.37889 session low.
Support: 1.37889, 1.37957, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3818, 1.38368, 1.38691
What it said to watch
Hold of 1.37889 session low needed or downside extends toward 1.3770s
Reclaim of broken 1.38180 pivot would neutralise the breakdown
Fed Musalem hawkish comments and US/Iran ceasefire MOU headlines remain live USD drivers
Lower highs and lower lows after rejection at 1.3869.
NY session double-topped at 1.3869 and broke down hard, slicing through 1.3818 and the 1.3800 psych level on a ceasefire-headline bid for risk. Price now pressing the session low at 1.37916 with RSI(14) deeply oversold near 22, ATR expanded to ~20 pips.
Support: 1.37916, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3805, 1.38187, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.38187 would neutralise the breakdown read
Sustained acceptance below 1.37900 extends the lower-low sequence
US/Iran ceasefire headlines remain a live driver and can shift this read intrabar
16:30 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp leg down · RSI 25 · price 1.37993
Broke session range low, lower-lows accelerating.
Pair printed a double top at the 1.3869 session high during early European hours and has unwound aggressively through NY, breaking the session range and the 1.3820 prior swing low. RSI(14) at 25 after the leg to 1.3796 — stretched but consistent with the impulse following hawkish Musalem comments.
Support: 1.37957, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.38187, 1.38368, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38187 prior swing would neutralise the breakdown
Failure to hold 1.3800 round number opens continuation lower
Further Fed speakers could extend the USD-driven move
NY session has reversed hard after a double top at 1.3869 — the session high held on two tests during Asia and early European hours, then sellers stepped in through 1.3818 and accelerated into 1.3800. RSI(14) at 22 flags stretched short-term but is consistent with the impulsive leg, and price is now pressing the session low at 1.37984.
Support: 1.37984, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3818, 1.3847, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Hold or reclaim of 1.38180 broken shelf would stall the reversal
Sustained break of 1.38000 psych opens further downside
Hawkish Fed Musalem commentary still circulating, headline risk elevated
16:00 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp drop from session high · RSI 25 · price 1.38048
Rally to 1.3869 rejected twice, lower-low printed at 1.3800.
Double top at 1.3869 during Asia and early London capped the rally, and NY hours delivered a sharp leg down through 1.3847 broken shelf and into 1.3800 session low. RSI(14) at 25 is stretched after Musalem's hawkish-leaning remarks failed to lift the dollar, with price now consolidating just above the low.
Support: 1.38003, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.38187, 1.3847, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38187 micro lower-high would soften the downside read
M15 close below 1.38003 session low extends the lower-low sequence toward 1.3795 psych
Asia open in a few hours may set fresh range against today's session low
15:45 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp selloff from session high · RSI 25 · price 1.38033
Double top at 1.3869 then break of NY range low.
NY session printed a clean double top at 1.3869, then collapsed through the day's range floor with the largest M15 bars of the window — bottoming at 1.38003 before stabilising. RSI(14) at ~25 is oversold and price is well below EMA20/50; current bar is a small consolidation just above the psych 1.3800 handle.
Support: 1.38003, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3818, 1.3847, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Bounce that stalls under broken pivot 1.3818 keeps the reversal read intact
Reclaim of 1.3818 with M15 close would neutralise the breakdown
Loss of 1.3800 session low opens 1.3795 psych level
15:30 UTC
Intraday reversal, sharp selloff from session high · RSI 22 · price 1.38026
Lower high printed, breaking recent demand.
Pair tagged 1.3869 twice during Asia and early Europe, then NY session sold it hard to 1.3800 — a near 70 pip leg in five bars. RSI(14) at 22 is deeply oversold on M15 and price is sitting on the 1.3800 psych handle with sellers still in control.
Support: 1.3800, 1.3795
Resistance: 1.3818, 1.3838, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.3818 broken shelf would neutralise the selloff read
Clean break of 1.3800 psych opens 1.3795 fig support
Fed speakers (Musalem hawkish tone) still in the tape — headline risk into NY close
Twin rejection at 1.3869 during Asia and early Europe stalled the rally and NY hours have driven a clean leg down through the 1.3847 shelf to a session low at 1.38148. RSI(14) sub-25 flags short-term oversold into the psych 1.3800 area, with the broken shelf at 1.3847 now the first overhead test.
Support: 1.38148, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3826, 1.3847, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38260 micro pivot would neutralise the down-leg
Break of 1.3800 psych level extends the reversal
Rejection back into 1.38470 broken shelf confirms supply
Twin rejections at 1.3869 during Asia and early Europe formed a double top into the 1.3868–1.3877 swing area, with NY-session sellers driving a clean break of the 1.3847 shelf. RSI(14) at 22 is stretched after the impulsive leg lower; session low 1.38177 is the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.38177, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3847, 1.3869, 1.3877
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3847 broken shelf neutralises the breakdown
Loss of 1.38177 session low opens path toward 1.3800 psych
RSI sub-25 raises odds of a mean-revert bounce before continuation
Swept 1.3869 twice, sharp rejection back through prior range.
Double top at 1.3869 during Asia and early Europe was rejected hard into NY hours, with price slicing through the 1.3850 shelf and the 1.3851 broken shelf in three impulsive bars. RSI(14) at 24.8 is oversold on M15 and the last bar printed a fresh session low at 1.3821 — momentum is firmly with the downside but extension risk is rising.
Support: 1.38214, 1.38143
Resistance: 1.38368, 1.38515, 1.3869
What it said to watch
Reclaim of 1.38368 minor pivot would neutralise the rejection
Loss of 1.38214 session low opens 1.3814 prior swing
Oversold RSI on M15 raises odds of a corrective bounce before continuation
14:30 UTC
Intraday uptrend, rejection at swing high · RSI 39 · price 1.38371
Rally to 1.3869 twice, sharp reversal off ceiling.
Pair printed a double top at 1.3869 across Asia and early European sessions and sold off sharply into NY, now trading 1.3837 after a 33-pip impulsive drop. RSI(14) cooling to the high-30s after the rejection; price has lost both EMA20 and EMA50 on this TF.
Support: 1.38356, 1.38271, 1.38237
Resistance: 1.3851, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close back above 1.3851 minor pivot would neutralise the rejection read
Break of 1.3836 session low opens path to 1.3827 prior swing
1.3869 double top remains the structural ceiling until reclaimed
Price tagged 1.3869 twice during Asian and early European hours and rejected, with the soft US Q1 GDP revision and weak new home sales accelerating the NY-session fade. M15 now pressing the 1.3838 session low after a clean lower-high sequence, RSI cooling to the low-40s.
Support: 1.38386, 1.38357, 1.38232
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38357 confirms a lower-low and extends the pullback
Reclaim of 1.38515 micro high neutralises the double top pressure
Re-test of 1.3869 double top remains the structural ceiling
14:00 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 38 · price 1.38378
Rejection at 1.3869 swing area, lower highs forming.
USDCAD double-topped at 1.3869 in Asia and again in early Europe, then rolled into NY after softer US Q1 GDP (1.6% vs 2%). Price now trading 1.3838 below EMA20/50 with a series of lower highs from the session top; bears probing the session low at 1.38364.
Support: 1.38364, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38511, 1.38695
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38364 opens path toward the Asia low at 1.38226
Reclaim of 1.38511 would neutralise the lower-high sequence
1.3868-1.3877 ceiling area remains the key supply zone noted by flow desks
NY session faded the 1.38695 session high after the soft US Q1 GDP revision, driving a clean leg down to 1.38398. Price is consolidating just above the session low with RSI(14) near 39 and trading below both EMA20 and EMA50 — a lower-high near 1.38511 is the level the bounce needs to clear.
Support: 1.38398, 1.38263
Resistance: 1.38511, 1.38695
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38398 session low extends the leg down toward 1.38263
Reclaim of 1.38511 recent high invalidates the lower-high read
Further USD-soft follow-through from the GDP miss could pressure the session low
13:30 UTC
Uptrend, fading into NY · RSI 38 · price 1.3847
Intraday HH/HL chain broken; pullback to range mid.
USDCAD pushed to a session high of 1.38693 during the London-NY transition then rolled over after the soft US Q1 GDP revision (1.6% vs 2%) and 215K jobless claims print. NY session has stair-stepped lower, sweeping the session low at 1.38398 before reclaiming the 1.3843 area; price now sits mid-range with RSI(14) near 38.
Support: 1.38398, 1.3829, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38398 confirms lower-low and opens 1.38290
Reclaim of broken pivot 1.38515 neutralises the rollover
Bessent Iran sanctions headlines keep CAD-side oil risk live
13:15 UTC
Intraday pullback from session high · RSI 33 · price 1.38415
Range top rejected, drifting lower into NY.
Price spiked to 1.38695 twice during the NY open after the strong US durable goods beat, then rolled over and is now testing the session low at 1.38397. RSI(14) at 33 and price below both EMAs shows momentum has flipped lower inside the broader 1.3840–1.3870 NY range.
Support: 1.38397, 1.38336, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.3851, 1.38695, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38397 opens path toward 1.38336
Reclaim of 1.38510 would neutralise the pullback
US core PCE print later today could materially shift this read
13:01 UTC
Intraday pullback after NY high · RSI 32 · price 1.38415
Lower-high forming below 1.3870 swing.
USDCAD rallied through NY hours to a 1.3870 session high after the strong US durable goods print, then rolled over to print a lower high near 1.38542 and sweep back below 1.38500. RSI(14) at 32 with price hugging the session low at 1.38398 — sellers in control late NY, but no break of structure yet.
Reclaim of 1.38500 round number neutralises the rejection read
US core PCE release in the next session window could materially shift this read
12:45 UTC
Intraday uptrend rolling over · RSI 38 · price 1.38466
Lower high printed after session top, retesting range mid.
NY session printed a double top around 1.3869–1.3870 then rejected, with price now slicing through EMA20/50 and the 1.3858 micro pivot. Durable goods beat (+7.9%) failed to extend the high, and the M15 is rolling back toward the 1.3843 session low with RSI at 38.
Support: 1.38432, 1.38335, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.38581, 1.38489
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.38432 session low confirms a lower-low and opens 1.38335
Reclaim of 1.38581 micro pivot neutralises the double top rejection
US core PCE release later today could materially shift this read
12:30 UTC
Uptrend, momentum fading · RSI 43 · price 1.38489
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
NY session pushed to a session high at 1.38695 before sellers rejected the level and dragged price back to 1.38489, with RSI(14) cooling into the low-40s as momentum fades. Buyers stepped in near 1.38478 on the last leg down; structure still holds higher lows from the London base at 1.38340.
Support: 1.38478, 1.38453, 1.3834
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38478 session low opens path to the London base at 1.38340
Reclaim of 1.38695 session high resumes the intraday uptrend
US core PCE print already passed during this window; residual flow could extend the pullback
12:15 UTC
Uptrend stalling near session high · RSI 41 · price 1.3850
Higher highs giving way to lower-high pullback.
M15 ran from 1.3822 to 1.3869 across the London-NY session before sellers stepped in twice at the 1.3869-1.3870 session high. Price has now rolled to 1.3850 with RSI(14) cooling into the low 40s, putting the swing low at 1.3846 directly in play.
Support: 1.38463, 1.38336, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.38566
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38463 swing low confirms a lower-low
Reclaim of 1.38566 micro pivot reopens session high
US PCE print at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
12:00 UTC
Intraday uptrend, late pullback · RSI 43 · price 1.3852
Higher highs into 1.3869, now retracing to mid-range.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.3869 before sellers rejected the level, dragging price back through the 1.3850 broken shelf with RSI cooling to 42. Pullback is unfolding inside the broader intraday uptrend off the London base near 1.3820.
Support: 1.3850, 1.3820, 1.3790
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.3850
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3820 breaks the London base and negates the intraday uptrend
Reclaim of 1.3850 reopens the session high at 1.3869
US PCE print at 12:30 GMT can materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows, current bar testing intraday support.
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.38695 during NY hours before sellers stepped in, with the current bar at 1.38538 retesting the session low near 1.38509. Momentum has cooled, RSI rolling off the highs while price made a marginally higher high — a bearish RSI divergence on M15.
Support: 1.38509, 1.38453, 1.38335
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38509 session low opens path to 1.38453 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.38600 negates the rejection read at session high
US PCE release at 12:30 GMT could materially shift this read
Higher highs into NY, pulling back from session high.
USDCAD pushed to a session high at 1.38695 during NY hours, then rejected back below 1.3860 with RSI(14) cooling from the mid-60s. Price is holding above the intraday HL at 1.38545; ahead of tomorrow's US core PCE print, structure remains constructive but the session high is capping.
Support: 1.38545, 1.38453, 1.38335
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38695 extends the uptrend leg
Loss of 1.38545 opens the NY swing low at 1.38453
US core PCE release tomorrow could materially shift this read
USDCAD pushed through the prior session high near 1.38690 during NY hours, with buyers stepping in cleanly on the dip back to 1.38545. Price now consolidating just under the session high at 1.38636, RSI(14) at 62 — extended but not stretched.
Support: 1.38545, 1.38453, 1.3833
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38545 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Sustained break above 1.38695 session high opens fresh range
Middle East headline risk could disrupt the read intraday
Higher highs and higher lows since 1.3820, capped at 1.3869.
USDCAD pushed through 1.3854 during NY hours and tagged 1.3869 twice, now consolidating just below the session high with RSI(14) cooling from the upper 60s. Price holding above the 1.3854 pivot keeps the intraday uptrend intact; ATR running ~4.3 pips suggests a tight, controlled tape.
Support: 1.38545, 1.38453, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.38695, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.3869 session high opens path higher
M15 close back below 1.3854 pivot signals loss of intraday uptrend
Failure of 1.3845 NY session low confirms a lower-low
USDCAD grinding higher through NY hours, breaking above 1.3860 and now testing the session high at 1.3869. RSI(14) at 67 — hot but not stretched, with buyers stepping in on each dip including the 1.38545 swing low retest.
Support: 1.38545, 1.38453, 1.38336
Resistance: 1.38691, 1.3870
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38700 extends the move toward fresh intraday highs
Failure to hold 1.38545 breaks the higher-low chain and invalidates the uptrend read
USDCAD has trended higher through London and NY, sweeping the 1.3869 session high twice with the last attempt rejected back to 1.3864. Pullback to 1.3845 during early NY held cleanly and buyers stepped back in, leaving the uptrend intact but momentum cooling at the highs.
Support: 1.3854, 1.3845, 1.3828
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3869 session high opens room to 1.3690 round number
Loss of 1.3854 session pivot exposes the 1.3845 NY swing low
Middle East headlines continue to drive risk flows and could disrupt structure
10:15 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 63 · price 1.38662
Higher highs and higher lows since London open.
USDCAD has ground higher through the NY session, breaking the 1.38542 cap with a clean impulse to 1.38693 before pulling back and reclaiming the level. Buyers stepped in at 1.38453 on the dip; RSI(14) at 63 leaves room without flagging exhaustion.
Support: 1.38545, 1.38453, 1.38313
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38542
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38545 weakens the breakout-retest read
Loss of 1.38453 NY swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday uptrend
Higher highs into 1.3869, pullback holding above 1.3845.
NY session pushed the pair to 1.3869 before fading back to 1.3845; price is now retesting the upper band at 1.3862 with RSI cooling from prior highs. Structure remains constructive — higher highs intact and EMAs stacked beneath — but momentum has flattened into the late session.
Support: 1.38453, 1.3835
Resistance: 1.38625, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3869 session high extends the uptrend
Loss of 1.3845 session low opens 1.3835 prior pivot
Middle East headline flow remains the dominant risk catalyst
NY session impulse drove price from 1.3853 to a 1.3869 high before fading into the London-NY close, with a lower high at 1.3862 as RSI cooled from overbought. Price now coils mid-range around 1.3856 after buyers defended 1.3845 on the dip.
Support: 1.38515, 1.38453, 1.3838
Resistance: 1.3862, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.3869 NY high resumes the uptrend leg
Break of 1.38453 swing low confirms a lower-low and ends the intraday push
Middle East headline flow remains a tape risk for USD
Higher highs into NY, mild pullback off session high.
USDCAD broke the 1.3850 ceiling during London with a sharp impulse to 1.3869, then faded back to retest 1.3853 where buyers stepped in. NY session has reclaimed mid-range with RSI(14) neutral at 56, leaving price compressed between the session high at 1.3862 and the breakout base near 1.3845.
Support: 1.3853, 1.3850, 1.3845
Resistance: 1.3862, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3850 invalidates the breakout-retest read
Sustained push above 1.3869 spike high opens room higher
Ongoing US-Iran Hormuz headlines remain a tail risk for USD flows
09:15 UTC
Uptrend, recent pullback off session high · RSI 56 · price 1.38596
Higher highs into 1.3869, holding above prior breakout shelf.
M15 extended through 1.3815 and ran to 1.38693 during NY hours on broad USD strength tied to Middle East risk-off flows, then pulled back to retest 1.3845 before reclaiming 1.3860. Price is consolidating just under the session high with RSI(14) cooled to mid-50s after the impulse.
Support: 1.38453, 1.3834
Resistance: 1.38621, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38453 swing low breaks the intraday higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.38693 day high opens continuation
Further Iran-US escalation headlines could re-ignite USD bid
USDCAD extended its rally into NY hours, printing a session high at 1.38693 before a shallow pullback to 1.38463 ny pullback area found buyers and price reclaimed 1.3860. Price holds above both EMAs with RSI mid-60s — momentum intact but not stretched.
Support: 1.38463, 1.38334, 1.38205
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.3862
What it said to watch
Close above 1.38693 session high opens continuation
Loss of 1.38463 ny pullback would break the higher-low chain
Ongoing US-Iran headlines could inject volatility into USD
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.3869 during the European session before pulling back to 1.3845 and recovering into the NY open. The 1.3845–1.3850 zone held as support on the dip, confirming the breakout above prior intraday range at 1.3835. RSI(14) reset from overbought near 75 to 60 after the pullback, leaving room for continuation.
Support: 1.38453, 1.3833, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.3875
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3845 breaks the higher-low chain and threatens the uptrend read
Break and hold above 1.3869 opens the path to 1.3875 round number
Middle East headline risk could inject volatility through NY session
08:30 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 46 · price 1.38552
Higher highs and higher lows, fading from session high.
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh swing high at 1.38693 on the Iran headlines bid, then faded back below 1.38610 with sellers stepping in twice. Price is consolidating around 1.3855 after tagging the session low at 1.38453; RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s and ATR sits near 4 pips.
Support: 1.38453, 1.3833, 1.3824
Resistance: 1.3861, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38453 session low opens a deeper pullback toward 1.38330
Reclaim of 1.38610 intraday s/r would put the 1.38693 session high back in play
Further Middle East / Hormuz headlines could re-ignite the USD bid and override the structural read
Higher highs into rejection, pullback in progress.
USDCAD extended the breakout above 1.3815 into a fresh session high at 1.3869 during NY hours, then rejected and bled back toward the mid-1.3840s where buyers stepped in twice. Range now compressing between the session low at 1.38453 and the 1.38580 micro pivot, RSI cooling to neutral.
Support: 1.38453, 1.3838, 1.3826
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.3858
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38580 reopens the session high at 1.38693
Break of 1.38453 session low exposes the 1.38380 prior swing
Iran/US headline risk could spike USD bid into NY close
USDCAD extended into a fresh multi-week high at 1.3869 during the London-NY transition before fading back to mid-1.3850s, with sellers stepping in twice above 1.3865. Price now consolidating above the prior breakout shelf at 1.3834, RSI(14) cooled from overbought to neutral.
Support: 1.38453, 1.38334, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38581
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3845 ny swing low opens path to 1.3834 prior breakout retest
Reclaim of 1.3858 minor pivot puts 1.3869 session high back in play
Iran-related headline risk could spike USD demand intraday
07:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 48 · price 1.3852
Higher highs into 1.3870, pullback in progress.
USDCAD extended to a fresh swing high at 1.3870 during the London session before fading back to 1.3852, with RSI(14) cooling from overbought into mid-range. The 1.3850 pivot is being tested after the breakout from the 1.3820 base; buyers stepped in late on the dip toward 1.3845.
Support: 1.3850, 1.3820, 1.3800
Resistance: 1.3870, 1.3890
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3820 breakout base would invalidate the uptrend read
Reclaim of 1.3870 session high reopens the path toward 1.3890 swing high
Thin liquidity ahead of NY open could exaggerate moves at the 1.3850 pivot
07:30 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 38 · price 1.38473
Higher highs and higher lows, retracing from session high.
Price spiked to a session high at 1.3869 during NY hours — fresh high since April 13 per the wires — then faded back through 1.3854 with sellers stepping in on the rejection. RSI(14) cooling from overbought to 38 as the pullback unfolds, with current price testing the session low at 1.3845.
Support: 1.38453, 1.38334, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38542, 1.3869
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38334 swing low weakens the uptrend read
Reclaim of 1.38542 intraday pivot puts the session high back in play
Iran-US headline risk could disrupt structure intrabar
NY session pushed USDCAD to a session high at 1.38693 — fresh ground since mid-April — before rejection drove price back to retest the 1.38488 session low. RSI(14) has cooled to mid-range as the leg unwinds; broader structure stays constructive while the breakout base around 1.38330 holds.
Support: 1.38488, 1.3844, 1.3833
Resistance: 1.38566, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38488 session low opens path to 1.38330 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.38566 micro pivot would re-engage the session high at 1.38693
Iran headline risk could inject volatility outside the technical read
Higher highs into session high, pullback in progress.
USDCAD ripped to a fresh session high at 1.3869 in early London hours then faded steadily back to 1.3849, retracing roughly half the breakout move. RSI(14) has cooled to neutral after the spike and price is now testing the 1.3849 session low with the breakout point at 1.3856 acting as the immediate pivot.
Support: 1.38488, 1.38334, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38566, 1.38693
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38488 session low opens room back to the 1.38334 prior swing
Reclaim of 1.38566 breakout pt would put the 1.38693 session high back in play
Iran-US headline risk remains a wildcard for USD bid
06:45 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from session high · RSI 52 · price 1.38533
USDCAD spiked to a session high of 1.3869 on the NY session push but has rolled back to 1.3853, with sellers fading the move toward 1.3851. Price still holds above the 1.3833 breakout base and structure remains higher-highs, but RSI has cooled to mid-50s as the move loses steam.
Support: 1.38513, 1.3844, 1.3833
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.3858
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.3851 session low opens path to 1.3833 breakout base
Reclaim of 1.3858 micro pivot would re-engage the 1.3869 session high
Iran-US headline risk could inject volatility outside the current 4-pip ATR
USDCAD extended its third-day rally during NY hours with a sharp impulse to 1.3869, fresh high since April 13, before pulling back to mid-1.3850s. RSI(14) has cooled from the spike with bearish divergence into the high; price now coiling above the 1.3853 breakout level.
Support: 1.38534, 1.38489, 1.3844
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.38581
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.38534 session low opens path back to the 1.38489 breakout lvl
Reclaim of 1.38690 session high resumes the impulse
Iran headline risk could spike USD demand intraday
06:15 UTC
Uptrend, pullback in progress · RSI 54 · price 1.38577
Higher highs and higher lows, recent rejection at session high.
Price extended to a fresh session high at 1.3869 on a sharp impulse during the late Asia-into-London window, then rejected and pulled back into the 1.3857 area. Structure remains constructive — higher lows intact from 1.3834 — but momentum is cooling with RSI near neutral.
Support: 1.38552, 1.38487, 1.3834
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.38552 recent low would break the near-term higher-low chain
Reclaim of 1.38693 session high would resume the impulse
Thin liquidity ahead of London open could exaggerate the next move
06:00 UTC
Uptrend extending into NY · RSI 60 · price 1.38577
Higher highs and higher lows, fresh session high posted.
USDCAD broke higher during NY hours, printing a session high at 1.38693 (highest since mid-April per overnight reporting) before rejection pulled price back toward 1.38577. Buyers stepping in near 1.3855 has so far held the post-breakout base, with RSI(14) cooling from the impulse but still above 60.
Support: 1.38552, 1.38489, 1.3833
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38489 spike base would invalidate the breakout read
Reclaim of 1.38693 session high opens continuation
Iran/US headline risk could drive an outsized move beyond the 22 pip ATR
NY session pushed USDCAD to a fresh session high at 1.38693, extending the grind off the 1.38340 swing low with a clean break above 1.38566. Pullback into 1.38598 is holding above the breakout shelf, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s without divergence.
Support: 1.38566, 1.38489, 1.3834
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.3875
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38566 would invalidate the breakout and reopen 1.38489
Sustained acceptance above 1.38693 session high extends the move toward 1.38750 psych level
05:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 68 · price 1.38623
Stair-step higher highs with shallow pullbacks.
Asia session pushed through the prior NY spike high at 1.3851 and printed a fresh session high at 1.3869, with RSI(14) at 68 after a brief overbought poke. Price is now consolidating just below that session high after a shallow pullback to the 1.3860 breakout base.
Support: 1.38566, 1.38519, 1.38437
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38566 breakout base would neutralise the breakout read
Loss of 1.38519 prior swing would signal failed breakout
Iran-US headline risk could inject volatility outside structural levels
05:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh leg higher · RSI 68 · price 1.38615
Higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
NY session pushed through 1.3858 with a clean impulse to 1.3869, mirroring the earlier spike to 1.3851 that had been faded. Price is now pulling back into 1.3860 with RSI(14) cooling from the high 70s, holding well above both EMAs.
Support: 1.3860, 1.3853, 1.3844
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.3853 would invalidate the breakout and put 1.3844 NY swing low in play
Sustained acceptance above 1.3869 session high opens room toward the 1.3880s
Iran-US headline risk could inject volatility outside structural levels
05:01 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 64 · price 1.38615
Higher highs, higher lows on M15.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.38693 during NY hours, extending the grind off the 1.38280 session base. Last two bars have stalled with a small rejection wick, RSI(14) cooling from the high-60s while price held above prior structure.
Support: 1.3853, 1.3844, 1.3828
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38530 pullback low would break the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.38693 session high extends the breakout
Iran/US headline risk noted in news flow could move USD impulsively
04:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh leg higher · RSI 71 · price 1.38646
Higher highs, higher lows on intraday.
USDCAD pushed to 1.3869 on a clean impulse during the Asia session, breaking out of the 1.3850–1.3855 consolidation and tagging a fresh session high. RSI(14) near 71 reflects the heat of the move; current bar is pulling back into 1.3865 with the 1.3856 breakout shelf as first support.
Support: 1.38566, 1.3850, 1.3842
Resistance: 1.38693, 1.3875
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.3856 keeps the breakout structure intact
M15 close back below 1.3850 negates the latest leg
Acceptance above 1.3869 session high opens 1.3875 round number
04:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh impulse leg · RSI 78 · price 1.38658
Stair-step higher highs, late NY breakout.
USDCAD pushed through the 1.3850 ceiling on a late NY impulse, printing a fresh session high at 1.38690 with RSI(14) running hot near 78. The move extends the multi-hour uptrend, with Iran-risk headlines underpinning USD demand into the Asia handover.
Support: 1.38566, 1.38489, 1.3838
Resistance: 1.3869
What it said to watch
Hold above 1.38566 breakout base keeps the impulse intact
M15 close back under 1.38489 prior high would mark a false break
Geopolitical headlines around Iran could whip the session range
04:15 UTC
Uptrend, fresh leg higher · RSI 78 · price 1.38677
Stair-step higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD broke out of a tight 1.38500–1.38550 consolidation during late NY hours with a clean push to a session high at 1.38690, RSI(14) running hot near 78. Price has held above the 1.38566 breakout shelf and stair-stepped higher all session, with the move extending the run flagged in Asian-session commentary to fresh highs since April.
Support: 1.38566, 1.38502, 1.38442
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38566 breakout would invalidate the continuation read
Failure to hold 1.38502 prior swing confirms loss of momentum
Stretched RSI raises odds of consolidation before further extension
04:00 UTC
Uptrend extending into NY close · RSI 78 · price 1.38677
Higher highs, fresh session high.
USDCAD broke out of a tight 1.3850–1.3855 consolidation late session, pushing to a fresh session high at 1.3869 with RSI(14) stretched to 78. Iran-risk flows and weak CAD tone, flagged earlier today as USD/CAD traded to mid-1.3800s, are extending into the close.
Support: 1.3853, 1.3844, 1.3828
Resistance: 1.3869, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38530 would negate the breakout read
RSI stretched above 78 — pullback toward swing low at 1.38440 plausible if momentum cools
Loss of session pivot 1.38280 reopens the prior range
Higher highs / higher lows across NY-Asia handover.
USDCAD grinding higher through the Asia session, printing a fresh session high at 1.38581 and trading at the highs noted in the Reuters wrap (mid-1.3800s, highest since April 13). RSI(14) at 68 is hot but not stretched; price has carved a clean stepped channel of higher lows from 1.38366 with no rejection at the top yet.
Support: 1.38502, 1.38443, 1.38366
Resistance: 1.38581, 1.3860
What it said to watch
Break above 1.38600 psych level extends the uptrend toward the next round figure
M15 close back below 1.38443 breakout lvl invalidates the breakout read
Loss of 1.38366 Asia low confirms a lower-low on the session
USDCAD ground higher through Asia and into early London, breaking the prior NY-session high near 1.38489 and extending to a fresh session high at 1.38549. Price is consolidating just under the highs with RSI(14) near 68, holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.38483, 1.3840, 1.3828
Resistance: 1.38549, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Rejection at the 1.38549 session high would put 1.38400 minor pivot back in play
A clean break and hold above 1.38549 extends the uptrend
M15 close back below 1.38400 breaks the higher-low chain
USDCAD pushed to fresh session highs at 1.38549 during late Asia hours, extending the grind off the 1.38290 session base with a clean chain of higher lows. Momentum is firm but RSI(14) near 67 shows the move is stretched into the prior swing high; price stalling just under 1.38549 with the last bar printing inside.
Support: 1.38465, 1.3838, 1.3829
Resistance: 1.38549, 1.3860
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38549 opens path to the 1.38600 round number
Loss of 1.38465 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Iran/Strait of Hormuz risk headlines could amplify USD moves
NY session has driven USDCAD to fresh session highs at 1.3854 after a clean breakout above the 1.3840 ledge, extending the Iran-risk bid noted in news flow. RSI(14) at 68 is hot but not extreme; buyers stepping in cleanly at 1.3847 on each pullback.
Support: 1.3847, 1.3833, 1.3823
Resistance: 1.38549, 1.3860
What it said to watch
M15 close back under 1.3847 micro pivot weakens the breakout read
Failure at 1.3855 session high with a lower-high would flag exhaustion
Break above 1.3860 round number opens fresh range expansion
02:45 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 71 · price 1.38522
Stair-step higher highs, shallow pullbacks.
USDCAD pushed to a fresh session high at 1.38542 during the Asia session, extending the move that began on yesterday's London-NY transition spike to 1.38515. Price is consolidating just under the high with RSI(14) at 71 — short-term hot but consistent with the trend, and the Iran-strike risk headlines are keeping a bid in the dollar.
Support: 1.3844, 1.3833, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.38542
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38440 prior swing would break the stair-step structure
Failure to clear 1.38542 session high on next attempt sets up a double top
Loss of 1.38330 session pivot invalidates the breakout read
02:30 UTC
Uptrend, fresh session high · RSI 70 · price 1.38524
Stair-step higher highs and higher lows.
USDCAD grinding higher through the Asia session, printing a fresh session high at 1.3854 and reclaiming the 1.3849 spike from earlier London. RSI(14) tagging 70 as price stair-steps off the 1.3842 minor pivot; no rejection wick yet.
Support: 1.3842, 1.3833, 1.3823
Resistance: 1.38542, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Break and hold above 1.3854 session high extends the uptrend toward 1.3860
M15 close back under 1.3842 minor pivot stalls the breakout read
Iran-related headline risk could inject volatility outside structure
02:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum extending into Asia · RSI 68 · price 1.38528
Stair-step higher highs and higher lows over 24h.
USDCAD ground higher through the full 24h window, with the late-Asia session breaking above the prior 1.38515 spike high and printing a fresh session high at 1.38542. RSI(14) at 68 shows momentum stretched but not yet overbought; ATR has compressed to ~3.4 pips as the late-Asia drift takes over.
Support: 1.38468, 1.3840, 1.3829
Resistance: 1.38542, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Loss of 1.38468 session low would break the intraday higher-low chain
Failure to clear 1.38542 session high keeps price capped at the breakout edge
Thin late-Asia liquidity ahead of London open may exaggerate moves on either side
USDCAD is grinding higher into the Asia session, with the latest 15m breaking through the 1.38515 prior spike high to print a fresh session high at 1.38542. RSI(14) is pressing 70 — hot but consistent with the steady HH/HL chain off the 1.38200 session low.
Support: 1.3844, 1.3829, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.38542, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38440 minor pivot would stall the breakout
Loss of 1.38290 session pivot invalidates the uptrend read
Thin Asia liquidity can produce false break above 1.38542
01:45 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.38492
Higher highs, higher lows since Asia low.
USDCAD has ground higher through Asia hours after basing around 1.3829, reclaiming 1.3844 and pushing back toward the NY spike high at 1.38515. Price action is constructive but RSI sitting near 67 reflects the extension; the recent base at 1.3844 is the closest structural support.
Support: 1.3844, 1.3829, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.38515, 1.3840
What it said to watch
Sustained break above 1.38515 opens the path to fresh session highs
Loss of 1.38440 reopens 1.38290 swing low
Asia session thin liquidity exaggerates moves on PBOC fix and BoK headlines
01:30 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher into Asia · RSI 67 · price 1.38472
Higher highs and higher lows since London open.
USDCAD pushed through the prior swing at 1.38380 during late NY and extended into Asia to retest the NY spike high near 1.38515, RSI(14) at 67. Buyers stepped in repeatedly around 1.38290 through the NY-Asia handover, keeping the higher-low chain intact.
Support: 1.3838, 1.3829, 1.3823
Resistance: 1.3849, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38380 prior swing breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.38515 NY spike extends the move
PBOC fix set well above estimate — USD bid into Asia could persist
01:15 UTC
Uptrend, momentum steady · RSI 66 · price 1.3848
Higher highs, higher lows intraday.
USDCAD has ground higher through the Asia session, breaking out of a 1.38280–1.38360 consolidation and pressing the prior spike high at 1.38515. RSI(14) at 66 shows momentum intact without being overextended; price is holding above both EMAs.
Support: 1.3842, 1.3828, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.3849, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38515 spike high extends the breakout
Loss of 1.38420 minor pivot opens a retest of 1.38280 session pivot
BoK decision and Asia central banker speakers could inject volatility
Asian session grinding higher off the 1.3824 session low, with price breaking back above the 1.3844 pivot and pushing to a fresh session high at 1.3849. RSI(14) at 67 — hot but not extended — and price holding above both EMAs as the spike high at 1.3851 comes back into focus.
Support: 1.3842, 1.3833, 1.3824
Resistance: 1.38492, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38515 spike high opens room for continuation
Loss of 1.38420 swing low breaks the intraday HH/HL chain
BoK decision and Asia central banker speakers (Jefferson, Lane, Greene in Tokyo) could shift USD tone
00:45 UTC
Uptrend, momentum extending into Asia · RSI 68 · price 1.38466
Higher highs and higher lows since London open.
USDCAD spiked to 1.38515 during NY hours, pulled back to retest 1.38230 then resumed grinding higher into Asia. Price is now stacking higher lows above 1.38380 with RSI(14) at 68 — extended but not yet exhausted.
Support: 1.3838, 1.3828, 1.3823
Resistance: 1.38489, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close below 1.38380 breaks the micro pivot and questions the uptrend
Break above 1.38489 session high opens path to retest of the 1.38515 spike
Asia-session thin liquidity can exaggerate moves into Tokyo open
Price has ground higher through the Asia session, reclaiming the spike high zone near 1.3849 with buyers stepping in repeatedly around 1.3838. RSI(14) at 67 is firm but not stretched, and ATR is thin at ~5 pips reflecting low pre-London participation.
Support: 1.3838, 1.3827, 1.3820
Resistance: 1.38489, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 1.38380 micro pivot would break the intraday higher-low chain
Higher highs since Asia, holding above intraday support.
USDCAD has ground higher through the Asia session after a Tokyo-hours spike to 1.38515 was faded back into the 1.3830s. Price is now retesting the session high at 1.38447 with RSI(14) at 64, momentum firm but not stretched.
Support: 1.38366, 1.38293, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38447, 1.38515
What it said to watch
Close back below 1.38293 swing low breaks the higher-low chain
Acceptance above 1.38447 session high opens path to the 1.38515 spike high
Thin Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves on the BoJ/yen headlines
USDCAD has ground higher through the European/NY session from 1.3805 to a session high at 1.38437, with the late-NY spike to 1.38515 quickly faded. Price now consolidating in a tight 1.38370–1.38437 range into the late-NY/Asia handover, RSI(14) easing back to neutral after the earlier push.
Support: 1.3837, 1.3829, 1.38226
Resistance: 1.38437, 1.38515
What it said to watch
M15 close above 1.38437 session high reopens the 1.38515 spike high
Loss of 1.38370 micro pivot exposes 1.38290 session pivot
Thin late-NY/early-Asia liquidity can exaggerate moves on low volume