USDCAD ground higher off Monday's 1.4056 base to press two-week highs above 1.4110, with slumping oil and soft Canadian data underpinning the move. The 1.41284 week high has capped the advance and price is now consolidating just under EMA(20) with RSI(14) back near 50. Demand held at the 1.40857 swing low on the latest pullback, keeping the higher-low sequence intact into the FOMC.
Support: 1.40857, 1.40708, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
Close above 1.41284 week high opens the path to fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.40857 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
USDCAD recovered off Monday's low near 1.4056 to press week highs at 1.41284, driven by soft crude and weak Canadian data against a firm USD. Since Tuesday's NY session the pair has stalled and drifted into a 1.4086–1.4128 consolidation, with price now hugging EMA20 near 1.4105 and RSI(14) cooling back to neutral. The week's rally is holding above EMA50 but has lost upside pace into the FOMC event risk.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.41284
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this pair
H1 close above 1.41284 reopens the path higher; failure to hold 1.4086 confirms a lower-low
Fresh oil slide on US-Iran de-escalation could keep the pair supported
USDCAD extended its multi-day recovery to a week high at 1.41284 into Tuesday's NY session before easing back to 1.4090, with the pullback finding demand around the 1.4086 swing low. Price sits just under EMA20 but holds above EMA50, and RSI(14) has cooled back to the midline as the advance stalls below resistance. Soft oil and a dovish BoC lean underpinned the move higher this week.
Support: 1.40857, 1.4065
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward fresh week highs
Failure to hold 1.40857 opens the path to the 1.4060 range base
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USD/CAD climbed off Monday's ~1.4065 low to a week high at 1.41284 through Tuesday's NY session, tracking the broad USD bid near YTD highs while soft oil kept CAD heavy. Price has since stalled and is consolidating around 1.4104, pinned to EMA20 with RSI back near the 50 mid-line. Prior-day high at 1.41284 has capped the advance while the week's rising lows still hold.
Support: 1.40857, 1.40648, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can override this structure
Hourly close above 1.41284 opens continuation of the week's uptrend
Consolidation below two-week high after this-week's climb.
USDCAD climbed off early-week lows near 1.4056 to press two-week highs, tagging 1.4128 during the NY session before rejecting and settling into a range around 1.4107 — soft oil and a firm dollar into FOMC kept the Loonie on the back foot. Price is hovering on EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling mid-range, so upside momentum has cooled without breaking the week's rising structure. The 1.4125 area has capped attempts twice this week.
Support: 1.4090, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 reopens the week's-high extension
Failure to hold 1.4090 exposes 1.4060 support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, pressing two-week highs near 1.4128 as the USD firmed into FOMC and soft oil kept CAD on the back foot. The 1.4128 area capped two attempts this week and price has since drifted back to consolidate around 1.4107, dipping under EMA(20) while holding above the 1.4086 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as the pullback unwinds last leg's momentum.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40857, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reshape this read
H1 close above 1.4128 week high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.40857 swing low confirms a lower-low
Higher highs into 1.4128, now consolidating below.
USDCAD has trended up from Monday's ~1.4071 open to a week high at 1.4128, tracking the broadly bid dollar and softer oil-hit CAD ahead of the FOMC. The pair has since pulled back and is consolidating around 1.4110, holding above the H1 EMA(20) with RSI(14) reset back near neutral. Week-high supply at 1.4126 capped the last push, while dips into the 1.4086 area have found demand.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4145
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4126 week high extends the uptrend toward 1.4145
Loss of 1.4086 session low opens the path back to the 1.4060 support
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ground higher off Monday's 1.4071 swing low to press a two-week high at 1.4128, with soft oil and firm US data behind the bid ahead of FOMC. Price is now consolidating in the 1.4085–1.4128 band, holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) while RSI(14) cools back toward mid-50s. The week-high zone around 1.4125–1.4128 has capped the last two NY-session pushes.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC decision at 18:00 UTC Wed is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.4128 opens continuation of the week's uptrend
Loss of 1.4086 weekly open would break the higher-low sequence toward 1.4060
Fresh oil slide on US-Iran headlines keeps USDCAD supported
USDCAD climbed from Monday's open near 1.4085 to two-week highs at 1.4128 into Tuesday's NY session, where supply near 1.4125 capped the advance — consistent with soft oil and a firm broad USD. Price has since drifted back below EMA20 and is consolidating in a 1.4086–1.4125 band with RSI in the mid-40s reflecting fading momentum. FOMC tomorrow is the dominant catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 1.40857, 1.40788, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.40857 confirms a lower low
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD climbed steadily from the early-week 1.4056 low to press 1.4128 into Monday's NY session, where two attempts stalled and formed a double-top cluster. Price has since rolled over below EMA20 (~1.4115), with RSI cycling back toward 46 as the week's rally loses momentum; a soft-oil/dovish-BoC backdrop kept CAD offered but pre-FOMC hesitation is capping upside. Demand stepped in around 1.4086 on the latest dip, leaving spot mid-range near 1.4104.
Support: 1.40864, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4115, 1.41284
What it said to watch
Reclaim of EMA20 near 1.4115 would reopen the 1.4128 week high
Failure to hold 1.4086 swing low confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4060 support
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and can shift this read
Higher highs stalling below week high, pullback in progress.
USD/CAD climbed off Monday's 1.4085 open to press the 1.4128 week high by midweek, supported by soft oil and a firm USD ahead of FOMC. Two attempts at 1.4128 were capped and price has since pulled back to a 1.4086 day low, where demand stepped in for a bounce to 1.4105 — now hovering just under the EMA20 at 1.4111. RSI(14) has cooled to the mid-40s as the advance loses momentum.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4111, 1.4128
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4128 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.4086 confirms a lower-low and exposes 1.4060
USDCAD climbed off Monday's 1.4056 base to press two-week highs at 1.41284, with soft oil and a firm USD into FOMC keeping the Loonie on the back foot. The rally has since stalled: price rejected the 1.4125/1.41284 zone and slipped back under EMA20 to consolidate around 1.4105, holding above the 1.4088 swing low. RSI(14) has cooled toward the mid-40s as momentum flattens through the NY session.
Support: 1.4088, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst — could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4125 reopens the path to the 1.41284 week high
Rolled over from two-week highs, testing back below EMAs.
USDCAD recovered off Monday's ~1.4056 low to cap two-week highs at 1.4128 before rolling over into the NY session, now trading back below EMA(20) near 1.4110. RSI(14) has cooled from its overbought stretch as the pullback holds around the 61.8% retrace of the week's impulse. Soft oil and dovish BoC repricing underpinned the earlier climb; the 1.4060 support remains the week's structural floor.
Support: 1.4060, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4125, 1.4128
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4125 wk resistance reopens the path to the 1.4128 week high
Failure to hold 1.4060 support confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Rally to weekly high then rolling over toward support.
USDCAD climbed from Monday's 1.4071 open to a weekly high at 1.4128 on soft oil and weak Canadian PPI, but the last few NY hours have rolled the pair over and price now sits back below EMA20 near 1.4088. RSI(14) has cooled toward 41 as the advance stalls, with the 1.4113–1.4125 zone capping the recent top. FOMC on Wednesday is the dominant catalyst into the next sessions.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4113, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4060 confirms a lower-low and negates the week's uptrend
Reclaim of 1.4113 would put the 1.4125 weekly high back in play
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC can materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum cooling · RSI 42 · price 1.4091
Higher highs into 1.4128, rejected back below EMA20.
USDCAD climbed from Monday's ~1.4070 low to press 1.4128 two-week highs through the NY session, in line with the soft-oil, dovish-BoC backdrop weighing on CAD. The last few hours brought a rejection off the highs back to 1.4091, slipping below EMA20 as RSI(14) cooled toward 40. Weekly range top ~1.4125 has capped the advance.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4115, 1.4128
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close back above 1.4115 EMA20 would re-engage the week's uptrend
Failure to hold 1.4086 swing low opens the path toward 1.4060 wkly support
16:02 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back · RSI 43 · price 1.4091
Higher highs stalled at week high, retracing off 1.4128.
USD/CAD ground higher through the week to press two-week highs near 1.4128 into the NY session, backed by soft oil and firm US PMIs, before rolling over. Price has now slipped back under EMA(20) to 1.4091 with RSI(14) fading toward 42, and demand is being tested at the 1.4086 session low. The broader up-leg from 1.4056 remains intact while these higher-lows hold.
Support: 1.4086, 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4110, 1.4128
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant near-term catalyst for this read
H1 close above 1.4128 resumes the uptrend toward fresh highs
Loss of 1.4086 opens the path to 1.4060 support and breaks the week's higher-low sequence
Higher-highs stalling below weekly high, pullback in progress.
USDCAD graded higher through the week from the 1.4056 weekly low toward a 1.4128 weekly high, tracking a firm USD near YTD highs and softer oil weighing on CAD into the Fed decision. Price has since rolled over below EMA(20) around 1.4116, with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-40s as the 1.4128 high capped two probes. Holding above the 1.4099 session low keeps the broader up-structure intact; a slip through it would print the first lower-low this week.
Support: 1.4099, 1.4074, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4116, 1.4128
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 1.4128 reopens the weekly-high break
Failure to hold 1.4099 confirms a lower-low and cedes 1.4074
Pullback from week high, holding above prior base.
USDCAD ground higher through the week off Monday's 1.4056 low into a 1.4128 week high, with the advance backed by softer oil and a hawkish-Fed lean on the USD side. Price has since drifted back below EMA(20) and RSI(14) has cooled toward 44 as the 1.4125 resistance capped the last two pushes. The 1.4099 session low is the near-term pivot, with 1.4060 marking the deeper week support.
Support: 1.4099, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4099 opens a test of the 1.4060 wk support
reclaim above 1.4125 resistance re-engages the week high at 1.4128
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the gating catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD ran higher through this week's sessions from Monday's 1.40708 low to a 1.41284 print, with CAD pressured by soft oil and the dovish BoC vs hawkish-Fed divergence. Price has since been rejected at the highs and slipped back under EMA(20), losing the 1.4113 intraday shelf as RSI(14) cools toward the mid-40s. The rising-lows structure off Monday is still intact, but momentum has faded into the FOMC wait.
Support: 1.4085, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC + Powell presser is the dominant catalyst — a dovish tilt could unwind USD longs
H1 close below 1.40850 breaks the week's higher-low structure
Reclaim of 1.41284 reopens the path to fresh two-week highs
USDCAD ground higher through the week from Monday's ~1.4064 base to a peak near 1.4128, supported by the firm-USD, dovish-BoC divergence and soft oil. The late-week push stalled at the 1.4128 area and price has slipped back below EMA20 into the NY session, with RSI(14) cooling toward the mid-40s. Two-week high supply around 1.4125 has capped the tape.
Support: 1.40987, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.41125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 reopens the weekly high extension
Failure to hold 1.4071 confirms a lower low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC + Powell 18:30 UTC is the dominant catalyst for this read
USDCAD climbed steadily from the week's 1.4056 low toward a 1.41284 print during the NY session as soft oil and the Fed-BoC divergence pressured CAD. Since that peak price has drifted into a tight consolidation between 1.4107 and 1.4125, with RSI(14) flattening near 50 and price slipping just below EMA(20). The week high has capped the last push and buyers have defended 1.4107 on each dip.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100, 1.4073
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284
What it said to watch
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Close above 1.41284 week high opens the path to continuation
Failure to hold 1.4107 exposes the 1.4100 round number and 1.4073 swing low
USDCAD ground higher through Monday's session and into the NY hours, tagging a week high at 1.41284 before stalling. Price has since coiled in a 1.4107–1.4126 band above EMA(50), with a soft oil backdrop and the Fed-BoC divergence keeping the pair supported near two-week highs. RSI(14) has eased back toward the midline as the advance flattens ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4079, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 1.41284 reopens the week high extension
Loss of 1.41070 session low exposes the 1.40790 week low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reshape this read
USDCAD has climbed steadily since Monday's open, running from the 1.4056 low into a 1.4128 week high on the divergent Fed-BoC theme and soft oil. Price has since drifted into a tight consolidation near the top, slipping just below EMA(20) with RSI cycling back to the mid-40s as momentum cools. The 1.4106 area is holding as near-term support; 1.4125/1.4128 has capped the latest push.
Support: 1.4106, 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.4128 opens continuation toward fresh highs
Failure to hold 1.4106 exposes the 1.4060 weekly low
USDCAD trended up through the week, running from Monday's lows near 1.4056 to a week high at 1.41284 as soft oil and the dovish BoC vs firmer-USD divergence pressured CAD. Price has since slipped under EMA(20) and is consolidating just above the 1.41072 swing low, with RSI(14) easing back to mid-range as momentum stalls below the highs. The 1.4125 area capped multiple attempts and remains the near-term ceiling.
Support: 1.41072, 1.4060, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4125, 1.41284
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Hourly close below 1.41072 opens the path toward 1.4060
Reclaim above 1.4125 reopens the 1.41284 week high
USDCAD has trended higher since Tuesday's low near 1.4056, printing a week high at 1.4128 during the NY session on the soft-oil, Fed-BoC divergence theme. Momentum is easing — price has faded back under the EMA20 with RSI(14) rolling off toward mid-40s after the rejection at 1.4128. The rise off 1.4075 is holding for now, keeping the constructive weekly structure intact ahead of Wednesday's FOMC.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4075, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.4128
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
Hourly close above 1.4128 reopens the path higher
Failure to hold the 1.4075 swing low confirms a lower-low
Higher highs from Monday low, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's session open near 1.4065, extending to a week high at 1.41284 during the NY session as softer oil and the tariff overhang kept CAD heavy. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4108–1.4128 band with RSI(14) flattening mid-range, and has slipped just under the H1 EMA(20) while holding above EMA(50). The 1.4108 area has absorbed two dips this week.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4108 exposes the 1.4060 support
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC are the week's dominant catalysts and could reset this read
USDCAD has ground higher since the post-weekend re-open, printing higher lows and topping out around 1.4128 where three attempts have been capped — the CAD staying heavy on tariff and softer-oil pressure. Price has since slipped back under the EMA(20) near 1.4118 with RSI(14) rolling off toward 50, and buyers stepped in around 1.4107 to hold the rising structure. Consolidation just below the week high into the FOMC event.
Support: 1.4107, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.4118, 1.41284
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the year high near 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.4107 confirms a lower-low and breaks the rising trendline
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary 17:30 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCAD has trended up since Monday's open, rallying off the 1.4071 low into a week high at 1.41284 as the Loonie stayed heavy on softer oil and Fed-BoC divergence. Price is now consolidating in the upper 1.410s with RSI(14) cooling back toward neutral and price slipping under EMA(20), while EMA(50) still sits below. The 1.4128 area has capped the advance twice and 1.4108 is holding as near-term support.
Support: 1.4108, 1.4095, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 resumes the uptrend toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4108 exposes 1.4095 weekly open then 1.4060
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and lows, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open near 1.4079, driven by a softer Loonie on fresh US tariffs and slipping oil, printing a week high at 1.4128 in the NY session before stalling. Price is holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, but the last several hours have coiled between 1.4110 and 1.4128 — momentum has flattened just under the highs. The 1.41284 week high is the pivot capping this-week's advance.
Support: 1.41096, 1.40708, 1.40788
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the year's high near 1.4250
Failure to hold 1.41096 exposes the 1.40708 higher low and threatens the uptrend structure
FOMC Wed and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since mid-week off the 1.4056 swing low, with CAD staying on the defensive under softer oil and the 50% US tariff overhang. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4110–1.4128 band, with the 1.4125 resistance capping upside and two attempts stalling at the 1.4128 week high. RSI(14) has cooled back to the low-50s as the advance flattens near EMA(20).
Support: 1.41096, 1.4100, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot exposes 1.4076
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher through the week off the 1.4056 low, printing a run of higher lows as CAD stayed soft on lower oil and the fresh US tariff round. Price is now consolidating just under the 1.4128 week high, holding above EMA20 with RSI cycling in the mid-50s to 60s on pullbacks. Two-way risk builds into Wednesday's FOMC as the pair sits pinned near its range top.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4076, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4107 breaks the week's higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, holding above the 1.4100 pivot with price above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) as CAD stays soft on lower oil and fresh US tariffs. The advance stalled into 1.41284 in the NY session, with the last several bars coiling in a tight 1.4110–1.4128 range and RSI(14) cooling from the highs. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 1.4110, keeping the higher-low sequence intact.
Support: 1.41107, 1.4100, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year-high area
Loss of 1.41000 pivot breaks the higher-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, lifting from the 1.4056 week low toward 1.4128 as CAD stayed on the defensive on softer oil and Fed-BoC divergence. Price is now consolidating in a tight 1.4110–1.4128 band near the week high with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, momentum easing at the top. EMA(20) has caught each pullback, keeping the intraweek higher-low structure intact.
Support: 1.41107, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4107 breaks the higher-low structure
Break above 1.4128 opens the path toward the year's high near 1.4250
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC is the week's dominant catalyst and could reset this read
USDCAD has ground higher all week, lifting from the 1.4060 swing low toward the 1.4125-1.4128 resistance shelf as CAD stayed on the defensive on fresh US tariffs and softer oil. Price is now consolidating in a tight band just below the week high with RSI(14) mid-range around 55, holding above both EMAs since the NY push. The 1.4128 area has capped the last several attempts.
Support: 1.4110, 1.40708, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4110 exposes the 1.40708 swing low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC are the week's dominant catalysts
Higher lows since Wednesday, consolidating below week high.
USDCAD has ground higher off Wednesday's 1.4056 low, printing higher lows through the NY sessions and reclaiming the 1.4100 psych pivot as CAD stays capped on softer oil and Fed-BoC divergence. The 1.4125–1.4128 week high has stalled the advance, with price now consolidating just beneath it and RSI cycling mid-range. Price holds above EMA20 and EMA50.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the 1.4250 area
Failure to hold 1.4100 breaks the higher-low structure
05:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum stalling near week high · RSI 56 · price 1.4119
Higher lows into consolidation below 1.4128.
USDCAD has ground higher since midweek, lifting off the 1.4056 low toward the 1.4128 week high as softer oil kept the Loonie capped despite a broadly two-way USD. Price is holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, and the last dozen bars have coiled into a tight consolidation between 1.4110 and 1.4128. The 1.4125 area has capped repeated attempts this week.
Support: 1.4107, 1.4100, 1.4056
Resistance: 1.4128, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year-high area
Failure to hold 1.4107 exposes the 1.4100 psych pivot
FOMC statement/presser Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's reopen, climbing off the 1.4057 swing low toward a 1.41284 week high as soft oil, US tariffs and Fed-BoC divergence kept the Loonie on the defensive. Price is now consolidating just below that high with RSI(14) easing back to the mid-50s after the push, holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). The 1.41284 cap has held the latest NY-session attempt.
Support: 1.4110, 1.40564, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4250
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4110 session low exposes the 1.4057 swing low
FOMC decision Wed 18:00 UTC is the key catalyst and could reset this read
04:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 1.41174
Higher highs into range below week high.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open near 1.4085, extending off the 1.4056 basing area as softer oil kept the Loonie defensive despite a broadly two-way USD. Price now consolidates just under the 1.41284 week high with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s and pullbacks holding EMA(20). The week's structure remains a series of higher lows, with the 1.41284 cap the immediate area to watch for rejection or break.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4085, 1.4000
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4250
What it said to watch
FOMC statement/presser Wed 18:00 UTC is the dominant catalyst and could reset this read
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the 1.4250 year high
Failure to hold 1.4110 exposes the 1.4085 weekly open and undercuts the higher-low sequence
03:02 UTC
Uptrend, momentum easing · RSI 56 · price 1.41158
Higher highs/higher lows this week.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, extending through 1.4100 as the fresh 50% US tariff round and softer oil kept the loonie on the back foot. The advance stalled at 1.41284 into the NY session with RSI(14) rolling off 60s, and price is holding above EMA(20) on the pullback toward 1.4113. FOMC Wednesday is the dominant risk into the back half of the week.
Support: 1.41126, 1.4100, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 opens the path toward the mid-1.41s
Loss of 1.4100 pivot breaks the week's rising-low sequence
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC could materially reset this read
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, the loonie pressured by the fresh 50% US tariff round and softer oil while USD stays firm into Wednesday's FOMC. Price cleared 1.4100 and printed a 1.41284 week high before stalling, now consolidating just below with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. Pullbacks have held above the rising higher-low structure since the 1.4056 midweek base.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 week high opens the path higher
Failure to hold 1.4100 pivot exposes the 1.4060 40-day ma
FOMC Wednesday 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since the weekly gap, pinned above the 1.4100 pivot at two-week highs as fresh US tariff headlines and softer oil weigh on CAD. Price holds above EMA20 with pullbacks finding support along a rising line of higher lows, but two attempts at 1.41284 have stalled and RSI(14) is cooling off the recent push. FOMC guidance Wednesday is the dominant near-term catalyst.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4110, 1.40708
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4100 invalidates the higher-low sequence
Close above 1.41284 opens the path to the mid-1.41s
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Canada GDP could reset this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's session open, pinned above the 1.4100 pivot as softer oil and the 50% US tariff round weighed on CAD. The rally stalled at 1.41284 with the latest bars rejecting off the week high and easing back toward 1.4120, while price holds above EMA20 and EMA50. RSI(14) is cycling in the upper half without reaching overbought, consistent with a slowing but intact advance.
Support: 1.4110, 1.4100, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4128 opens the path toward the mid-1.41s
Failure to hold the 1.4100 pivot confirms a deeper pullback toward 1.4060
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and Canada GDP could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher through the week, building a sequence of higher lows off the 1.40564 swing low as CAD stayed pressured on soft oil and the 50% tariff overhang. The NY session pushed price to a week high at 1.41284 before a rejection trimmed the move back to 1.4116; price still sits above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling in the upper half. Momentum is easing near the highs but the higher-low structure is intact.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41284
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.41284 extends the uptrend toward the year-high area
Failure to hold 1.4100 breaks the higher-low sequence
BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed and FOMC Wed could materially shift this read
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's open, with CAD on the back foot as sub-$90 oil and the 50% US tariff overhang outweigh a softer broad USD. Price pushed to a fresh week high at 1.41284 before pulling back into the close, holding above EMA(20) and the 1.41000 psychological level. RSI(14) has cycled in the upper half without reaching extremes, consistent with a steady uptrend rather than an exhausted one.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4085, 1.4070
Resistance: 1.41284, 1.4125
What it said to watch
H1 close back below 1.41000 puts the weekly open at 1.40850 in focus
Break and hold above 1.41284 opens the path toward the ~1.4250 area
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Uptrend, grinding higher · RSI 67 · price 1.41256
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday.
USDCAD has trended higher since Monday's open, printing a chain of higher lows off 1.4071 and pushing into two-week highs at the 1.4126 area as CAD stays pressured by soft oil and tariff headlines against a broadly softer USD. Price holds above EMA20 with RSI(14) cycling in the 60s on each pullback, keeping momentum constructive. A sustained close above 1.4126 opens the path toward the 1.4150 psychological level.
Support: 1.4100, 1.4071, 1.4060
Resistance: 1.4126, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close above 1.4126 week high opens path toward 1.4150
Failure to hold 1.4100 psych risks a test of the 1.4071 monday low
FOMC Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary of Deliberations Wed 17:30 UTC could materially shift this read
00:02 UTC
Uptrend into week highs · RSI 66 · price 1.41256
Higher highs, higher lows.
USDCAD has ground higher since Monday's session, pushing to two-week highs above 1.4100 as soft oil and Fed-BoC divergence keep CAD on the back foot. Price sits just under the 1.41259 week high with RSI(14) elevated near 66 and holding above EMA20; pullbacks into the NY session found demand along a rising higher-low line. Late-Asia bars are thin and range-bound right beneath resistance.
Support: 1.4100, 1.40708, 1.40564
Resistance: 1.41259, 1.4150
What it said to watch
H1 close below 1.4100 breaks the higher-low structure
Sustained break above 1.41259 opens the path toward 1.4150
FOMC statement Wed 18:00 UTC and BoC Summary Wed 17:30 UTC could reset this read