USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Monday, 3 August 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:01 UTC
Recovering after sharp selloff · RSI 55 · price 0.81009
Based at 0.8039, rebuilding higher lows.
USDCHF was sold hard mid-week from the 0.8206 area down to 0.8039 as suspected intervention capped the dollar, but the pair has ground back above 0.810 over the last two sessions on soft Swiss CPI and firm ISM data. Price sits above both EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI cycling near 54, and the session high at 0.8115 has capped the latest push. Demand has stepped in repeatedly around 0.8080 to build higher lows off the 0.8039 base.
Support: 0.8079, 0.80396, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81153, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Hourly close above 0.8115 opens the path back to the 0.8127 prior high
Loss of 0.8080 reopens the 0.8039 week low
US ADP (Wed) and NFP (Fri) are the dominant catalysts for the dollar leg
Basing above weekly low after sharp mid-week drop.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8207 area down to the weekly low at 0.8039, with soft Swiss CPI and a six-month-low PMI keeping the Franc heavy against a firm dollar. Since then price has clawed back through a rising sequence of higher lows and is consolidating either side of 0.8100, capped by this-week high near 0.8115. A weekend gap lower opened Monday but was quickly filled during the Asia and London sessions.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8115 opens the path back toward the 0.8127 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8066 swing low reopens the 0.8039 weekly low
US NFP Friday is the dominant driver — likely to reprice the dollar leg materially
Bounce within a net-lower week, capped below 0.8115.
USDCHF recovered off the weekend low near 0.8056 and climbed through NY hours to stall at 0.8115, where the advance has paused. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) cycling in the mid-50s, though the broader week is still net lower after Monday's slide from 0.8205. The bounce lines up with a firm hawkish-Fed dollar against soft Swiss July CPI.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8056, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8115 opens the path toward the 0.8127 pivot
Failure to hold 0.8090 exposes the 0.8056 weekend low
ADP/ISM Services Wed and Friday NFP are the dominant USD/CHF drivers
USDCHF has clawed back from Wednesday's 0.8039 washout, reclaiming EMA20 and EMA50 as a sequence of higher lows built through the NY session and into the new week's open. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) and PMI keep CHF heavy while a firm US ISM print underpins the dollar, but the push stalled at 0.81153 with price now consolidating around 0.810. RSI is cycling mid-range near 56, consistent with a grinding recovery rather than an impulsive leg.
Support: 0.80788, 0.8039, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.81153, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81153 opens the path to 0.8127
Failure to hold 0.80788 threatens the higher-low sequence
US NFP Friday is the week's main catalyst for this pair
USDCHF recovered off Monday's 0.8056 open, printing higher lows and reclaiming EMA(20) as soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) kept CHF heavy against a hawkish-Fed USD. The advance stalled at the 0.8114 day high into the NY session, with the last bars consolidating just above the 0.8100 round number. RSI(14) sits mid-50s and momentum is easing while price holds above EMA(20).
Support: 0.8080, 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81145, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8127 prior high opens the path toward the 0.8200 area
Failure to hold the 0.8056 monday low threatens the 0.8039 swing low
US NFP Friday is the week's main driver and could reshape this read
USDCHF sold off to 0.8039 midweek on suspected FX intervention, then based and has ground higher through a string of higher lows since, holding above both EMA20 and EMA50. Price now sits around the 38.2% retrace of that drop, with the 0.81153 day high capping the latest push and the 0.8090 pivot underneath. CHF stays soft after the sub-forecast July CPI print, but direction from here is a USD story.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8039, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.81153, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81153 day high opens the 0.8127 prior swing
Failure to hold the 0.8090 pivot exposes the 0.8039 week low
US NFP is the next major driver and could reset this read
Higher lows since Monday's gap, capped near 0.8115.
USDCHF gapped lower into Monday's open near 0.8056 after Friday's slide, then ground back up through the week to tag 0.8115 before easing to 0.810. CHF stayed soft on the sub-forecast July CPI and PMI miss, but the recovery has stalled below the 0.8115 this-week high with RSI hovering near the mid-line. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50, and the 0.8090 pivot is now acting as the near-term floor.
Support: 0.8090, 0.8056, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8115 opens the path to 0.8127
Failure to hold 0.8090 pivot exposes the 0.8040 week low
US ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
19:02 UTC
Recovery uptrend within a weekly decline · RSI 56 · price 0.81004
Higher lows since Friday's 0.8039 base.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8207 weekly high to 0.8039, then clawed back through this week's NY sessions toward 0.8115 on higher lows. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) and a firm US ISM Manufacturing print keep the rate-gap backdrop intact, with RSI cycling in the mid-50s. The 0.8080-0.8090 pivot has held as support on the pullbacks, though the latest bar stalled at 0.8115.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8057, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8115 opens the path back to the 0.8127 spike high
Loss of the 0.8080 pivot exposes 0.8057 and the 0.8039 week low
US ADP and ISM Services on Wed could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday, retracing the midweek drop.
USDCHF carved a rounded base near 0.8039 after the sharp midweek slide and has printed higher lows into the NY session, now trading ~38% back of that drop with CHF still soft after the July CPI miss (0.4% y/y) and a weak SVME PMI. Resistance at 0.81153 capped Monday's push and price pulled back into the current bar. Holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) mid-range around 54.
Support: 0.80788, 0.80664, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81153, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81153 opens the path to 0.8127
Failure to hold 0.80788 exposes 0.80664 and the 0.8039 weekly low
Wed ADP / ISM Services could materially shift this USD read
18:02 UTC
Recovering after midweek selloff · RSI 63 · price 0.81138
Higher lows off week low, basing under 0.8115.
USDCHF shed roughly 160 pips midweek from the 0.8204 week high down to 0.8039 as suspected US-Japan intervention and the oil crash sapped USD demand. Since the weekend gap-open near 0.8056 price has ground higher on a sequence of higher lows, reclaiming 0.810 into the NY session and now sitting above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI near 63. Resistance at 0.8115 is capping the current push, with the 0.8127 prior high and 0.8080 pivot bracketing the near-term structure.
Support: 0.8080, 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8115, 0.8127, 0.8204
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8127 opens the path back toward the 0.8204 week high
Failure to hold 0.8080 pivot re-exposes 0.8056 week open and 0.8039 week low
ADP (Wed) and Friday NFP are the next major USD drivers for this pair
18:02 UTC
Recovering, uptrend on the bounce · RSI 64 · price 0.81138
Higher lows off week's base, reclaiming EMAs.
USDCHF has ground back up from the mid-week flush into 0.8039/0.8066, basing through the weekend gap and climbing steadily into the NY session with price now holding above both EMA(20) and EMA(50). Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) plus a firm US ISM Manufacturing beat (55.6) underpin the recovery, with RSI(14) cycling into the low-60s on the advance. The 0.81269 prior high from the earlier spike is the first cap on this leg.
Support: 0.80788, 0.80664, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81269, 0.8153
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81269 opens the path to 0.81530
Failure to hold 0.80788 exposes the 0.80664 week low
US NFP later this week is the main driver for the pair
17:02 UTC
Recovery from week low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.81106
Higher lows off the 0.8039 base.
USDCHF has clawed back from the 0.8039 week low set during the mid-week safe-haven unwind, printing higher lows through the last two sessions and now testing the 0.8110 area. RSI(14) has cycled back above 60 with price holding above both EMAs, though the 0.81269 prior high has yet to be reclaimed. The recovery follows soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) that kept CHF on the back foot into the new week.
Support: 0.80728, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81269, 0.8153
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81269 opens the path toward the 0.8153 swing high
Failure to hold 0.80728 reopens the 0.8039 week low
ADP Wed and NFP later this week are the main catalysts for USD/CHF
USDCHF sold off midweek from the 0.8200 area to a 0.8039 low as suspected JPY-buying intervention dragged the dollar broadly lower, then based through the Asia-London sessions and has recovered back above EMA(20) into 0.8110. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) and a firm US ISM Manufacturing beat keep CHF on the back foot. RSI(14) has cycled back near 60 as higher lows build off the 0.8055-0.8080 base.
Support: 0.80788, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.81269, 0.8204
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.81269 reopens the path toward the 0.8200 1-yr high
Failure to hold the 0.8078 base risks a retest of the 0.8039 week low
ADP Wed and NFP Friday are the next major USD drivers for this pair
16:02 UTC
Recovery off week low, momentum building · RSI 61 · price 0.81063
Higher lows since mid-week base, back above EMAs.
USDCHF slid to a week low near 0.8039 mid-week as coordinated JPY intervention and the oil drop weighed, but has since carved higher lows and recovered back above both EMAs into the NY session. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% y/y) kept CHF on the back foot while firm ISM Manufacturing (55.6) supported the dollar. Price now presses the 0.8106 area, with the 0.8127 spike high the next cap and the 0.8080 pivot underpinning the base.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8039, 0.8010
Resistance: 0.8127, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8127 spike high opens the path toward the 0.8200 1yr-high band
Failure to hold the 0.8080 pivot exposes the 0.8039 week low and 0.8010
US ADP and ISM Services Wed could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Recovery off weekly low, momentum building · RSI 60 · price 0.81063
Higher lows since Friday's 0.8039 base.
USDCHF sold off into Friday's 0.8039 weekly low as the pair unwound from the 0.8207 area, then based and ground higher through Monday's London and NY sessions to 0.8106. CHF remains soft after the sub-forecast July CPI (0.4% y/y) and PMI miss, while a firm US ISM Manufacturing print kept the dollar bid. Price now sits above EMA20/EMA50 with RSI(14) recovering through 60, retracing roughly 38% of the prior drop.
Support: 0.8079, 0.8039, 0.8085
Resistance: 0.81153, 0.8127, 0.8204
What it said to watch
Close above 0.81153 opens the path to the 0.8127 prior high
Failure to hold 0.8079 reopens the 0.8039 weekly low
US ADP Wed and NFP Friday are the next major drivers of this read
USDCHF was slammed from the 0.8200 1yr high down to 0.8040 mid-week as suspected US-Japan intervention and Iran de-escalation sapped the dollar, then based and ground back up into the NY session with price now retaking the 0.8080 pivot. CHF stays soft after the sub-forecast July CPI and PMI miss, so the recovery has held its higher-lows off 0.8040. Price sits above EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling near 60.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8040
Resistance: 0.8127, 0.8200
What it said to watch
ADP/ISM Services Wed and NFP Friday are the key gates for this read
H1 close above 0.8127 prior high opens the path back to the 0.8200 1yr high
Loss of the 0.8080 pivot re-exposes the 0.8040 wk low
USDCHF has recovered off the 0.8039 week low, printing higher lows through the NY session and reclaiming the 0.8080 pivot. Price now sits at the 38.2% retracement of the week's 0.8204–0.8039 decline, with CHF soft after a sub-forecast July CPI print. RSI(14) near 60 confirms the recovery momentum, though the 0.8127 prior swing high still caps the topside.
Support: 0.8080, 0.8056, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8127, 0.8204
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8127 opens the path toward the 0.8200 year high
Failure to hold the 0.8080 pivot re-exposes 0.8056 and the 0.8039 week low
US ADP/ISM Services Wed and NFP Friday are the key risk for USDCHF direction
USDCHF sold off hard mid-window from the 0.8206 area to 0.8039 as the Mideast de-escalation and suspected US-Japan intervention drained the dollar bid, then recovered to consolidate. Since Monday's gap-down open the pair has coiled in a tight 0.8057-0.8096 band, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) idling near 53. The 0.8096 range top has capped bounces repeatedly through the NY sessions this week.
Support: 0.8079, 0.8057, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8096, 0.8127, 0.8170
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing due 14:00 UTC and Friday's NFP are the primary catalysts to break this range
H1 close above 0.8096 opens the path back toward 0.8127
Loss of 0.8057 exposes the 0.8039 week low and 50-day SMA near 0.8027
Consolidation above 0.8079 after prior-week slide.
Prior week slid from the 0.8204 one-year high to a 0.8039 low as suspected Japan/US intervention hit the dollar; USD/CHF has since based and this week opened near 0.8056, grinding back up to consolidate around 0.8090. Safe-haven CHF demand drained further on the Mideast ceasefire, keeping price pinned just under the 0.8096 session high with RSI(14) mid-range. Higher lows since Monday's open sit above a rising support line, but the 0.8096 cap has held.
Support: 0.80788, 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80961, 0.8127, 0.8170
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80961 opens the path to 0.8127
Failure to hold 0.80788 exposes the 0.80558 weekly open
US ISM Manufacturing today and NFP Friday are the near-term catalysts for this read
13:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 53 · price 0.80891
Basing after selloff, consolidation.
The dominant move this week was the sharp selloff from the 0.8207 high to a 0.8039 week low mid-window, as the Mideast ceasefire and suspected FX intervention drained the dollar's safe-haven leg. Since then price has based and is consolidating in a 0.8057–0.8095 range, with RSI(14) recovered back to neutral near 53. Price sits just above EMA20 and EMA50 as the range top at 0.80950 caps recent attempts.
Support: 0.8057, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127, 0.8170
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could shift this read within the next bar
H1 close above 0.80950 range top opens the path to 0.81270 prior high
Loss of 0.80570 range floor exposes the 0.80390 week low
US NFP Friday remains the week's main directional catalyst
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating at lows · RSI 46 · price 0.80797
Range after impulsive selloff.
USDCHF rolled over from the 13-month high near 0.8205 mid-week, with the sharpest leg coming on the drop through 0.8127 amid intervention chatter that drained the safe-haven-short bid. Since then price has based between the 0.8039 week low and 0.8095 session high, coiling just under EMA20 with RSI stuck near 46. Monday's session reopened inside that range and has held the 0.8056 swing low.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 opens a retest of 0.8127 prior high
Loss of 0.8056 swing low reopens the 0.8039 week low and 0.8027 area
US ISM at 14:00 UTC today and NFP Friday are the near-term catalysts for this range
12:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing · RSI 46 · price 0.80797
Lower highs into a range after week-low.
USDCHF has trended lower since Monday's open near 0.8196, with two sharp legs down driving price off the 13-month-high zone to a week low at 0.8039 as the Iran ceasefire drained the safe-haven bid. Since then price has based in a 0.8066–0.8095 range, and now sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) hovering near 46. The session high at 0.8095 has capped the recovery attempts this week.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 session high opens the path back toward the 0.8127 swing high
Failure to hold 0.8066 prior low exposes the 0.8039 week low
US ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read ahead of Friday NFP
11:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 51 · price 0.80894
Range above weekly low after impulsive drop.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.82068 week high into a 0.80390 low as USD softness and suspected JPY-intervention spillover hit the pair, then bounced to 0.81269 before settling into an 0.806–0.809 consolidation. Price is holding just above the EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50 after the sell-off, capped so far by the 0.80950 session high. Swiss July CPI at 0.4% YoY reinforced the soft-franc backdrop but did little to lift the pair off its lows.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.81269, 0.82068
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80950 opens the path back toward 0.81269
Failure to hold 0.80660 exposes the 0.80390 week low
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
11:02 UTC
Downtrend from week highs, now basing · RSI 56 · price 0.80894
Consolidation above 0.8039 swing low.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8205 13-month highs to a 0.8039 low as broad USD softness — hawkish-hold Fed plus suspected JPY-buying intervention spillover — dragged the pair lower; soft Swiss July CPI (0.4% YoY) offers no CHF fundamental support here. Since the weekend gap, price has consolidated in a tight 0.8056–0.8099 band, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering back toward the mid-50s. The 0.8039 pivot and the 50-day SMA at ~0.8027 remain the floor defending the broader structure.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8099, 0.8127, 0.8200
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8099 opens the path back toward 0.8127
Failure to hold 0.8039 exposes the 50-day sma at 0.8027
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD leg of this read
Price sits in a tight 0.8057–0.8095 range after the sharp mid-week slide from the 0.8200 area, driven by broad USD softness and suspected Yen-buying intervention spillover that bottomed near the 0.8039 week low. The rebound high at 0.8127 capped the recovery and price has since drifted sideways just above EMA(20), with RSI(14) hovering mid-range near 52. Demand has stepped in twice around 0.8057 while the 0.8095 day high has yet to give way.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.8095 opens the path back toward the 0.8127 recovery high
Failure to hold 0.8057 exposes the 0.8039 week low
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
10:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 54 · price 0.80879
Basing above weekly low after impulsive drop.
USDCHF sold off hard from the 0.8200 area mid-week and printed a low at 0.8039 before basing in a tight 0.8066–0.8095 range. The tone stays USD-soft with the dollar at six-week lows and today's Swiss CPI cooling to 0.4% YoY, but price is holding above EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering back near 54. The weekend gap down to 0.80565 was quickly filled, and the 0.8095 recovery high has capped attempts since the NY session.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039, 0.8082
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
H1 close below 0.8066 swing low opens the path back to the 0.8039 weekly low
Close above 0.8095 recovery high needed to challenge 0.8127 prior high
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week, dropping from ~0.8206 toward the 0.8039 weekly low as suspected JPY-intervention spillover knocked the dollar off its 13-month highs. Since Monday's session opened with a weekend gap down, price has chopped in a tight 0.8056–0.8095 range, sitting just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) hovering near 50. Soft Swiss CPI this morning (0.4% YoY) reinforced the SNB-on-hold read but hasn't broken the range.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
US ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower-low and opens 0.8000
Close above 0.8095 session high, then 0.8127, needed to break the range top
Consolidating above week low after impulsive drop.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8204 area to a 0.8039 low on suspected US-Japan FX intervention and a soft-USD backdrop near six-week lows, then based through the NY session and into Monday's open. Price has chopped between 0.8066 and 0.8095 since, with soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) today reinforcing the SNB-on-hold read while intervention risk caps the topside. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s off oversold, and price is holding above EMA(20) but under a still-declining EMA(50).
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.81269, 0.8204
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Loss of 0.8039 confirms a lower low and opens 0.8000
H1 close above 0.8127 invalidates the consolidation-below-pivot read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend cooling into range · RSI 51 · price 0.80849
Consolidation above week low after sharp drop.
USDCHF reversed >1% from the 13-month high near 0.8204 into a 0.8039 week low mid-week on suspected Japanese FX-intervention spillover, and has since chopped in a 0.8039–0.8127 range around 0.808. This morning's soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) barely moved price; buyers keep defending the 0.8066/0.8039 base while 0.8095 has capped attempts. Price sits just above EMA(20) but below EMA(50), with RSI(14) flat near 50.
Support: 0.8066, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
H1 close above 0.80950 then 0.81270 reopens the upside
Loss of 0.80390 confirms a lower low and exposes 0.8000
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Downtrend, now consolidating · RSI 49 · price 0.80849
Range after Friday's sharp drop, higher lows building.
USDCHF sold off sharply Friday from the 0.8127 area down to 0.8039 as suspected FX intervention knocked the dollar off its 13-month highs near 0.82. Price gapped slightly lower on Monday's open then recovered, chopping in a 0.8057–0.8095 band and holding just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 50 on higher lows since Friday's low. Soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) this morning kept the franc a preferred funder but did not extend the move.
Support: 0.8057, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8095 session high opens the path back to 0.8127
Loss of 0.8039 week low confirms a fresh lower low
07:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 53 · price 0.80925
Consolidation above the week's low following a sharp drop.
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8200 and reversed over 1% into an intervention-driven flush that swept the week low at 0.8039 before basing. Price has since chopped back to 0.809, holding above EMA20 but capped under the 0.81 psych level and the 0.8127 swing high, with soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) and suspected JPY-complex intervention keeping the dollar heavy near six-week lows. RSI(14) has recovered to the low-50s off oversold as the range compresses.
Support: 0.8082, 0.8066, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8100, 0.8127
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8127 swing high would negate the downtrend read
USDCHF reversed more than 1% off the 13-month high near 0.8204 midweek after suspected Japanese FX intervention knocked the dollar broadly, printing a week low at 0.8039 before basing. Since Monday's open the pair has ground back to 0.809, holding above EMA(20) with RSI(14) recovering through 50, but capped under the 0.8095 session high; soft Swiss CPI (0.4% YoY) this morning reinforced the on-hold SNB backdrop without adding fresh CHF weakness. Price sits just under EMA(50), keeping the broader H1 tilt lower despite the two-day stabilisation.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127, 0.8204
What it said to watch
ISM Manufacturing PMI today 14:00 UTC could materially shift the USD read
H1 close above 0.8095 then 0.8127 would extend the recovery
Loss of 0.80558 reopens the 0.8039 week low
Any confirmation of further FX intervention risks sharp CHF short-covering
Consolidation near weekly lows after impulsive drop.
USDCHF fell hard off the 0.8206 area early-week to a 0.8039 weekly low on Friday's intervention-driven USD selloff, then based through Monday's session in a 0.8057-0.8095 range. Price sits just under EMA20 with RSI(14) recovering off oversold into the mid-40s, capping the bounce. The read stays heavy while the pair trades below EMA20/50 near the lows.
Support: 0.8057, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8085, 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC and ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close below 0.8039 confirms a lower low and reopens the downside
Close above 0.8095 session high opens the path back toward 0.8127
Consolidating above week low after impulsive drop.
USDCHF sold off hard mid-week from the 0.8200 area to a week low at 0.8039 on broad USD softness tied to suspected FX intervention. Since Monday's weekly open at 0.80558 the pair has stabilised into a 0.8066–0.8095 range, with the 0.8095 day high capping and RSI(14) hovering mid-range. Price is pinned around EMA20 with no clear reclaim of the broken structure above.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039, 0.8066
Resistance: 0.8095
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC is a USD catalyst for the range
H1 close below 0.80558 weekly open reopens the 0.8039 week low
A close above 0.80950 day high would break the consolidation top
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after slide · RSI 53 · price 0.80858
Consolidation above the 0.8039 low, carving higher lows.
USD/CHF collapsed from the 0.8200 area Thursday toward 0.8039 as suspected JPY intervention left the dollar heavy, and has since consolidated in a 0.807-0.809 band into Monday's session. Price is carving higher lows off Friday's base and sits back above EMA20 but under a declining EMA50, with RSI(14) recovered to the low-50s. Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC is the next test for this range.
Support: 0.80565, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (~1.5h) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8095 opens the path back toward the 0.8127 Friday high
Failure to hold 0.80565 re-exposes the 0.8039 low
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, base building off lows · RSI 52 · price 0.80858
Sharp selloff then consolidation above weekly low.
USDCHF rolled over from Monday's 0.8207 area and sold off hard Thursday into 0.8039 as suspected JPY-intervention knocked the dollar broadly. The week reopened with a gap down to 0.80558 and price has since ground back toward the EMA20 near 0.8086, still capped below the EMA50. RSI(14) has recovered to the mid-50s as the market consolidates between the gap low and the 0.8095 session high.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC in ~3h could materially shift this read
ISM Manufacturing PMI at 14:00 UTC a further catalyst for USD
H1 close above 0.8095 session high opens the path back to 0.8127
Failure to hold the 0.80558 gap low exposes the 0.8039 weekly low
04:02 UTC
Downtrend this week, stabilising · RSI 55 · price 0.80907
0.8200 rejection, sharp drop, now basing.
USDCHF failed just above 0.8200 mid-week and dumped over 1% into 0.8039 as suspected JPY-intervention knocked the dollar broadly lower. Since the weekend gap down price has carved higher lows off 0.8056 and is pressing the 0.80994 session high, with RSI(14) recovering to mid-50s. The 0.81269 bounce high remains the next supply zone above.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.80994, 0.81269, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (MoM f/c -0.1%) is the next test
H1 close above 0.80994 opens the path back toward 0.81269
Failure to hold 0.80558 reopens the 0.8039 week low
US ISM Manufacturing 14:00 UTC could shift the USD read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating near lows · RSI 55 · price 0.80907
Sold off then basing above week low.
USDCHF opened the week near 0.8192 and dropped hard through Thursday's NY hours to 0.8039 as a suspected Japan-intervention wobble knocked the dollar off 13-month highs. Price gapped lower into Monday's open then recovered, now consolidating the 0.807–0.809 band with attempts capped near the 0.8095 session high. The week low at 0.8039 remains the pivot beneath the range.
Support: 0.8072, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.81062, 0.8127
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC (MoM f/c -0.1%) could shift this read
ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC a further USD-side risk
H1 close above 0.8106 prior high opens the path to 0.8127 spike high
Failure to hold the 0.8072 range floor exposes the 0.8039 week low
USDCHF sold off hard through Friday's NY session into a 0.8039 week low as suspected JPY-intervention dragged the dollar broadly, then gapped down into Monday's open before recovering through the Asia session to ~0.8089. Price is now testing the 38.2% retracement of the 0.82068–0.8039 decline, with the session high at 0.8095 capping the first attempt. RSI(14) has cycled back to the mid-50s and price sits just above EMA20 but below EMA50, keeping the broader week bearish.
Support: 0.8056, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127, 0.8170
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.8095 session high opens the path toward 0.8127 prior swing
Failure to hold 0.8056 monday low re-exposes the 0.8039 week low
03:02 UTC
Downtrend, basing after selloff · RSI 54 · price 0.8089
Sharp drop off 0.8200, higher lows off 0.8039.
USDCHF was knocked from its 13-month high near 0.8200 to a 0.8039 low mid-week as suspected Japanese intervention drove a broad Dollar wobble. Since then price has carved higher lows and reclaimed EMA20, basing around 0.8085-0.8090 with RSI(14) recovered back to the mid-50s, though it remains below EMA50. The 0.8095 session high has capped the latest push.
Support: 0.8039, 0.8027
Resistance: 0.8095, 0.8127, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Close above 0.8095 opens the path back toward 0.8127
Loss of 0.8039 exposes the 0.8027 50d sma pivot
02:02 UTC
Sharp reversal off highs, now consolidating · RSI 53 · price 0.80888
Range after intervention-driven flush.
USDCHF unwound its eight-day run to the 0.8207 13-month high with a sharp intervention-driven flush Thursday into Friday, bottoming near 0.8039. Price has since consolidated in a 0.806–0.809 band, gapping down to the 0.8056 weekly open on Monday before reclaiming the 0.809 area. RSI(14) sits mid-range near 53 with price back above EMA20 but still capped under EMA50.
Support: 0.80664, 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8110, 0.81269
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80900 round number opens path toward 0.81269
Failure to hold 0.80558 weekly open confirms a lower low toward 0.80390
Downtrend this week off the 0.8200 13-month high, with a sharp flush into 0.8039 tied to the intervention-driven Dollar wobble that dragged USDCHF broadly lower. Price has since based and reclaimed EMA20 near 0.8082 but is capped under EMA50 and the 0.80900 session high. RSI(14) sits mid-range around 52 as the recovery grinds sideways.
Support: 0.80728, 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.81269, 0.82068
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI 06:30 UTC and US ISM 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.81269 would end the sequence of lower highs
Failure to hold 0.80558 reopens the 0.8039 week low
USDCHF broke down hard through last week from the 0.82 highs, the dominant leg coming into Thursday-Friday as the intervention-speculation pullback deepened and unwound the SNB-hold rally. The new week gapped lower to a 0.80565 open and price is now basing around 0.807, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI stuck in the mid-40s. The 0.80835 range top has capped attempts while 0.80565 weekly open and the 0.80390 swing low mark the downside references.
Support: 0.80565, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.80835
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI 06:30 GMT (MoM f/c -0.1%) is the near-term test and could reset this read
Loss of 0.80565 weekly open exposes the 0.80390 swing low
H1 close back above 0.80835 range top would neutralise the downside pressure
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, consolidating after selloff · RSI 43 · price 0.80696
Lower highs, range-bound near lows.
USDCHF broke hard on Thursday from the 0.8205 week high down through 0.807, unwinding the SNB-on-hold rally after the weak Swiss retail sales miss and post-FOMC dollar softness. Price has since chopped in a 0.8040–0.8090 band and reopened with a small weekend gap lower, holding below EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI cycling in the low 40s. A bounce attempt to 0.8127 was rejected, leaving lower highs intact.
Support: 0.8055, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8090, 0.8127, 0.8205
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 GMT is the key near-term risk for this pair
H1 close below 0.8055 exposes the 0.8039 week low
Reclaim of the 0.8090 range top would challenge the lower-highs sequence
US ISM Manufacturing at 14:00 UTC could shift dollar tone
Consolidating near week lows after Friday's selloff.
USDCHF rolled over from the 0.8200 area into Friday's NY session, a sharp selloff that dumped price to a 0.8039 spike low as the post-FOMC dollar unwind bit. Since then price has consolidated in a 0.8055–0.8091 band and reopened Monday little changed near 0.8073, holding below both EMA20 and EMA50 with RSI mid-40s. Swiss CPI is the immediate catalyst for the next leg.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039, 0.8000
Resistance: 0.80907
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 06:30 GMT is the key catalyst; a soft MoM print could pressure this read
H1 close back above 0.80907 range top would ease the downside pressure
Failure to hold 0.80558 monday low exposes the 0.8039 spike low and 0.8000
USDCHF trended lower all week from the 0.8200 area, with the dominant leg a sharp mid-week slide into the 0.8039 week low as the dollar unwound post-FOMC. Friday's bounce to 0.81269 faded, and the pair gapped lower into Sunday's open at 0.80565, now holding near 0.807 below EMA20. Swiss CPI at 06:30 GMT is the immediate driver behind the SNB-on-hold read.
Support: 0.80558, 0.8039
Resistance: 0.8078, 0.81269
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI 06:30 GMT (MoM f/c -0.1%) could materially shift this read
H1 close above 0.80780 ema20 challenges the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold 0.80390 confirms a fresh lower-low