USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 15-minute chart, Tuesday, 3 November 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 15-minute chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
23:46 UTC
Post-CPI recovery stalled, rolling over late · RSI 34 · price 0.81982
0.8201–0.8211 consolidation broken lower in thin trade.
The hot Swiss CPI drove a London-open spike to 0.8149, fully retraced into a 0.8217 day high in the NY session, followed by a 0.8201–0.8211 consolidation into the NY close. The last two bars slipped through the range floor and the 23.6% level of the post-CPI rally fib at 0.8201 in thin trade as US midterm results start to land, with RSI(14) near 34 and the 38.2% fib at 0.8191 next below.
Support: 0.8191, 0.8180, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8201, 0.8211, 0.8217
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.8201 range floor marks a false break, with the 0.8211 range top overhead
Failure at the 38.2% fib at 0.8191 exposes the 0.8180 NY swing low and the 0.8176 Asian low
Clearing the 0.8217 day high resumes the post-CPI recovery
US midterm Senate results overnight could materially shift this read in thin Asia session liquidity
23:31 UTC
Recovery uptrend, now stalled in tight range · RSI 45 · price 0.82059
V-recovery from CPI low; higher low at 0.8201 holding below the late-NY cap.
The hot Swiss CPI drove a London-open drop to 0.8149. That move has fully reversed, with USD/CHF peaking at the 0.8217 day high in NY before compressing into a 0.8201–0.8211 band. Early Asia is quiet with ATR near 3 pips, and the pullback low at 0.8201 sits on the 23.6% fib of the day's rally.
Support: 0.82013, 0.8191, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8201 pullback low exposes the 38.2% fib near 0.8191 and the 0.8180 swing low
Close above the 0.8211 late-NY cap reopens the 0.8217 day high
US Senate results overnight could break the compressed Asian range in either direction
23:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend, stalled into a tight range · RSI 56 · price 0.82106
8h range 0.8201–0.8211 below the 0.8217 JOLTS high; CPI flush fully retraced.
The Swiss CPI flush to 0.8149 was fully retraced. The beat in US JOLTS during NY hours drove a spike to the 0.8217 JOLTS high, and price has since compressed between the 0.8201 range low, near the 23.6% fib, and the 0.8211 range top. A rollover dip to 0.8203 held, and price is pressing the range top again with RSI(14) at 56 and ATR(14) near 2.6 pips.
Support: 0.82013, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top opens a retest of the 0.8217 JOLTS high
Loss of the 0.8201 range low exposes the 0.8180 ny low and the 38.2% fib near 0.8191
US midterm Senate call from 23:00 UTC can break the range in thin Asia session liquidity
23:02 UTC
Recovery uptrend, now flat · RSI 48 · price 0.82086
Higher lows off CPI low; tight 10-pip range below session high.
The Swiss CPI beat flushed USDCHF to 0.8149 at 07:30 UTC, but the drop was fully retraced into NY. The rebound peaked at the 0.8217 session high, with higher lows at the 0.8180 NY pullback and 0.8201. Since late NY, price has compressed between the late-NY low at 0.8201 and the range top at 0.8211 into a quiet Asia session open, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR at under 3 pips.
Support: 0.8201, 0.8191, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8217
What it said to watch
US midterm Senate results from 23:00 UTC could break the 0.8201–0.8211 range abruptly
M15 close below the 0.8201 late-NY low also breaks rising support, exposing the 38.2% fib at 0.8191 and the 0.8180 NY pullback
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top reopens the 0.8217 session high
22:46 UTC
Post-CPI recovery, now flat · RSI 38 · price 0.82043
Tight post-NY range above broken Asian high.
The hot Swiss CPI print at 07:30 UTC sank USDCHF to 0.8149 below the Asian range. The low was fully reclaimed through London, and NY broke the 0.8200 Asian high to a session high at 0.8217. Since NY close, price has compressed in a 10-pip band between the ny low at 0.8201 and the range top at 0.8211, with RSI(14) near 38 and ATR(14) under 3 pips.
Support: 0.82013, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in the Asia session
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top reopens the 0.8217 session high
Failure to hold the ny low and 0.8200 asia high exposes the cpi rally fib 38.2% (0.8191) and the 0.8180 pullback low
ADP at 13:15 UTC Wed is the next scheduled USD catalyst
The Swiss CPI beat drove an early-London flush to 0.8149. US data, led by the JOLTS beat, then reversed it fully, lifting the pair to a 0.8217 day high during NY hours. Since then price has compressed in a 0.8201–0.8211 range, with the NY low sitting on the 23.6% fib of the CPI low–day high move. The Asia session is opening flat ahead of midterm results.
Support: 0.82013, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
Midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the 0.8201–0.8211 range during the Asian session
Failure to hold the NY low at 0.8201 (23.6% fib) exposes the 0.8180 swing low
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top puts the 0.8217 day high back in play
ADP (13:15 UTC) and ISM Services (15:00 UTC) Wednesday could reset the intraday read
London false break below Asian range, NY breakout above it, tight range since.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC pushed USD/CHF through the Asian range low to 0.8149. That move fully reversed through London, and the JOLTS beat during NY hours carried price above the Asian high at 0.8200 to a session high at 0.8217. Since then price has held a tight 0.8201–0.8211 consolidation into rollover, sitting on the 23.6% fib with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and ATR compressed to under 3 pips.
Support: 0.8201, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8217
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the quiet range and shift this read
M15 close below the 23.6% fib at 0.8201 (and the Asian high at 0.8200) puts the ny open low at 0.8180 in play
M15 close above the range top at 0.8211 reopens the session high at 0.8217
Post-NY compression in a 10-pip band below the NY high.
The Swiss CPI beat at London open drove a sweep to 0.8149, the window low. Strong US data led by the JOLTS beat then fully reversed the move, lifting the pair to an NY high of 0.8217. Since the NY close, price has compressed between the 0.8201 evening low and the 0.8211 evening cap. It is holding well above the 38.2% fib of the CPI-low-to-NY-high leg, with ATR down to about 3 pips.
Support: 0.82013, 0.8191, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8211 evening cap reopens the 0.8217 NY high
Break below the 0.8201 evening low exposes the 38.2% fib near 0.8191, then the 0.8180 swing low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the Asia-session compression with two-way volatility
V-recovery from the CPI low, now a tight range below the day high.
The 07:30 UTC hot Swiss CPI flush to 0.8149 in London was fully reversed. US data beats, led by JOLTS, lifted the pair to a 0.8217 day high in NY. Since then price has compressed into a roughly 10-pip band below the 0.8211 range top, holding above the 23.6% fib and the reclaimed 0.8200 asian high.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8217 day high extends the post-CPI recovery
Close back below the 0.8200 asian high and 23.6% fib exposes the 0.8180 ny low and rising support
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the quiet Asian range
21:31 UTC
Uptrend off the CPI low, now flat · RSI 59 · price 0.82099
Higher lows; tight range below session high.
The Swiss CPI beat drove a London-open flush to 0.8149, but the move fully reversed. A firmer USD and the JOLTS beat in NY lifted the pair through the Asian high at 0.8200 to a session high at 0.8217. Since then price has held a roughly 10-pip consolidation between the range low at 0.8201 and the range high at 0.8211 into late NY, with rising lows intact and RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.82013, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the late-NY consolidation either way
A close above the 0.8211 range high and the 0.8217 session high extends the higher-high sequence
A break below the 0.8201 range low and the 0.8200 Asian high breaks the rising lows line and exposes the 0.8180 swing low, near the 50% fib retracement
V-reversal from 0.8149 CPI low, now a tight range below the session high.
The Swiss CPI flush to 0.8149 below the Asian range failed in London. Price recovered all day, and the JOLTS beat lifted it to a 0.8217 session high in NY. Since then price has compressed into a 0.8201–0.8211 consolidation into post-NY quiet hours, with the recent high capping and the pullback low holding at the 23.6% fib of the CPI-low-to-session-high move.
Support: 0.82013, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8211 recent high, then the 0.8217 session high, resumes the NY uptrend
Failure to hold the 0.8201 pullback low exposes the 38.2% fib near 0.8191 and the 0.8180 swing low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could break the quiet-hours range
21:01 UTC
Intraday recovery, now flat-lining · RSI 60 · price 0.82098
Tight post-NY consolidation above Asian high, holding higher lows.
The hot Swiss CPI print at London open drove a false break of the Asian low to 0.8149. NY fully reversed it on the US JOLTS beat, lifting the pair to a 0.8217 day high. Since then price has compressed into a 0.8201–0.8211 consolidation above the Asian high, with the pullback low sitting on the 23.6% retracement of the CPI low to day high leg and rising support intact.
Support: 0.82013, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top reopens the 0.8217 day high
Loss of the 0.8201 pullback low and asian high breaks rising support and exposes the 0.8180 ny dip low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC land in a thin Asia session and could widen ranges sharply
Higher lows since CPI low; late-NY range 0.8201–0.8211.
The hot Swiss CPI drove an early-London drop to 0.8149. NY then reclaimed the Asian range, and the JOLTS beat lifted price to a day high at 0.8217, with the 0.8180 ny low holding the higher-lows line. Late NY is compressing in a 10-pip band between the 0.8201 range low and the 0.8211 range top, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and price hugging a flat EMA20.
Support: 0.8201, 0.8191, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8217
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top puts the 0.8217 day high back in play
Loss of the 0.8201 range low exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.8191, then the 0.8180 ny low
Break of the higher-lows line below 0.8180 undoes the post-CPI recovery read
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could widen ranges sharply in the Asia session
Post-CPI V-recovery, now a tight late-NY range 0.8201–0.8211.
USDCHF fully retraced the hot Swiss CPI drop to 0.8149, broke the Asian high at 0.8200 in London and set a session high at 0.8217 after the US JOLTS beat. Late NY has compressed into a 10-pip range between 0.8201 and 0.8211, with the range low sitting on the 23.6% fib of the CPI low to session high move. RSI(14) is neutral near 47.
Support: 0.82013, 0.8200
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
Midterm results from about 23:00 UTC (01:00 broker) could break the late-NY range in either direction
M15 close below the 0.8201 range low and the 0.8200 Asian high puts the 23.6% fib hold in doubt and exposes the 0.8180 NY dip low
Close above the 0.8211 range high reopens a test of the 0.8217 session high
20:16 UTC
Recovered from the CPI low, now flat near highs · RSI 51 · price 0.82081
Post-breakout consolidation above the Asian range high.
The hot Swiss CPI knocked the pair to 0.8149 at 07:30 UTC. That drop was fully reversed through London, and US data beats (JOLTS) carried NY through the 0.8200 Asian high to a 0.8217 session high. Since then price has compressed into a tight 0.8201–0.8211 band in late NY, with RSI(14) neutral near 51 and ATR down to about 3 pips. The 0.8201 range low and the 0.8211 range top define the band.
Support: 0.8201, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8211, 0.8217
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8201 range low reopens the 0.8180 swing low and the 38.2% fib near 0.8191
Break above the 0.8217 session high extends the NY breakout leg
US midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read, especially on a Senate surprise
V-reversal from London low, now consolidating above the Asian high.
The Swiss CPI beat pushed London through the Asian low to 0.8149, but strong US JOLTS and factory orders reversed the move, and NY broke the Asian high to a 0.8217 session high. Late NY has compressed into a 0.8201–0.8211 band just above the Asian high, which lines up with the 23.6% retracement of the CPI-low fib. RSI(14) is flat near 49 and ATR(14) is about 3 pips.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8200 Asian high exposes the 38.2% CPI-low fib at 0.8191 and the 0.8180 NY low
M15 close above the 0.8211 range top reopens the 0.8217 session high
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC could break the late-NY range during the Asia session
The hot Swiss CPI drove a false break below the Asian range to 0.8149 in early London, but the drop was fully retraced. The beats in JOLTS and Factory Orders then pushed NY above the Asian high to a 0.8217 session high. Price has held a shallow pullback low at 0.8201 and is pressing the 0.8211 minor high on rising lows as ATR(14) contracts to under 4 pips.
Support: 0.82013, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82109, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8217 session high extends the NY breakout; holding below 0.8211 minor high keeps the post-NY consolidation intact
Loss of the 0.8201 pullback low and rising-lows trendline would expose the 0.8180 ny low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, especially a Senate call, could materially shift this read in thin Asia liquidity
19:31 UTC
Recovered uptrend, compressing late NY · RSI 55 · price 0.82098
V-reversal from CPI low to session high, now a tight band above the 23.6% fib.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC drove a sweep to 0.8149. That move fully reversed after the 0.8180 ny-open low held, and the US data beats, led by JOLTS, lifted the pair to a 0.8217 session high. Late NY is compressing between the 0.8201 pullback low and the 0.8210 band top. That band sits just above the 23.6% fib of the CPI-low rally, with rising support intact and RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.82013, 0.8191, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.82169
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8210 band top reopens the 0.8217 session high
A failure to hold the 0.8201 pullback low exposes the 38.2% fib at 0.8191 and breaks rising support
Loss of the 0.8180 ny-open low would unwind most of the NY recovery
US midterm results from about 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; the Senate call is the swing factor
Higher lows since the CPI low; late-NY range 0.8201–0.8210.
The hot Swiss CPI drove a London flush to 0.8149, and USDCHF has since fully retraced it. The JOLTS beat in NY hours lifted price through the 0.8200 Asian high to a 0.8217 session high. Late NY is compressing in a 0.8201–0.8210 range just above the 23.6% fib and the EMA20, with RSI(14) neutral near 57 and ATR(14) contracting to about 5 pips.
Support: 0.82013, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82098, 0.82169
What it said to watch
A close below the 0.8201 range low and Asian high puts the 38.2% fib near 0.8191 in play
A break of the 0.8210 range top re-exposes the 0.8217 session high
Loss of the 0.8180 NY swing low breaks the higher-low sequence from the CPI low
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
18:46 UTC
Intraday recovery stalling below day high · RSI 43 · price 0.82054
Higher low at 0.8180, higher high at 0.8217; late-NY compression above the asian high.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC flushed price to 0.8149, and it then recovered fully. The JOLTS beat during NY hours carried it through the asian high at 0.8200 to a 0.8217 day high. Late NY is now compressing in a 0.8201–0.8210 band under the range top, with RSI(14) near 43 and price hugging EMA20 as momentum fades.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8191, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8217
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8200 asian high puts price back inside the Asian range and opens the fib 38.2 at 0.8191
Loss of the 0.8180 ny low breaks the higher-lows sequence off the CPI low
Close above the 0.8210 range top retests the 0.8217 day high
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-recovery from CPI low, lower highs since 0.8217.
The hot Swiss CPI print sank USD/CHF to a 0.8149 cpi low in early London, but the move fully reversed and the JOLTS beat lifted it through the Asian high to a 0.8217 session high in the NY session. Late-NY bars have since printed lower highs and drifted toward the 0.8201 pullback low, just above the 0.8200 Asian high. RSI is near 46 and ATR about 4.5 pips.
Support: 0.8201, 0.8180, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8217
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8201 pullback low and the 0.8200 Asian high exposes the 0.8180 swing low and the 38.2–50% fib zone (0.8191–0.8183)
Close above the lower-highs line and the 0.8210 lower high reopens the 0.8217 session high
Failure to hold the 0.8180 swing low puts the 0.8149 cpi low back in focus
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
18:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend from the CPI low, momentum fading · RSI 50 · price 0.8202
Lower highs below the session high, retesting the broken Asian high.
The Swiss CPI beat drove a London-open flush below the Asian range to 0.8149, but it fully reversed, and NY broke the 0.8200 Asian high. The JOLTS beat then extended the move to a 0.8217 session high. Since then the pair has printed lower highs near 0.8210 and is retesting 0.8200 with RSI(14) flat at 50 and price slipping under EMA20.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8210, 0.8217
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8200 asian high turns the breakout into a failed retest and exposes the 0.8180 ny low (50% fib zone)
Close above 0.8210 lower highs and the 0.8217 session high resumes the NY up-leg
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows from the CPI low; tight post-London box under 0.8217.
The hot Swiss CPI flushed USDCHF to 0.8149 at 07:30 UTC. Price then recovered through London, and beat-heavy US data (JOLTS) carried NY past the asian high at 0.8200 to a session high of 0.8217. Since London close it has compressed into a 0.8204–0.8210 box, sitting on the rising trendline from the CPI low, with RSI(14) neutral near 52 and ATR(14) around 5 pips.
Support: 0.82039, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8204 box low breaks the rising trendline and puts the 0.8200 asian high in play as support
A move back under the 0.8180 ny low would end the higher-low chain from the CPI flush
M15 close above the 0.8210 box high and then the 0.8217 session high would extend the intraday uptrend
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, especially the Senate call, could materially shift this read in the Asia session
V-reversal off CPI low, higher low in NY, tight late-NY consolidation.
The Swiss CPI beat knocked USD/CHF to a cpi low of 0.8149 at London open, but the drop was fully retraced. NY then broke the Asian high near 0.8200 and set a session high at 0.8217 as USD firmed on Iran/oil and the JOLTS beat. Late NY is compressing under a 0.8210 late-NY cap with RSI(14) near 54, sitting on the rising trendline from the CPI low.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81804, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the Asian high at 0.8200 and the rising trendline turns the breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8180 NY low breaks the higher-low sequence off the CPI low
Close above the 0.8217 session high extends the recovery leg
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read in thin Asia trade
17:31 UTC
Uptrend from CPI low, stalling below session high · RSI 53 · price 0.82045
HH/HL recovery off 0.8149; tight post-London coil 0.8205–0.8210.
The hot Swiss CPI print knocked USDCHF to 0.8149 at London open. The full drop was then unwound as USD firmed on Iran/oil headlines and the JOLTS beat, with NY breaking the asian high at 0.8200 and printing a session high at 0.8217. Since London close price has coiled between 0.8205 and 0.8210, and the last bar is pressing the consol low as ATR contracts to about 6 pips.
Support: 0.82048, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8205 consol low opens a retest of the 0.8200 asian high
M15 close above the 0.8210 consol top and then the 0.8217 session high extends the HH chain
Failure to hold the 0.8180 pullback low and the rising support line breaks the HL sequence; the 38.2–50% fib zone at 0.8191–0.8183 sits just above it
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read during the Asia session
V-recovery from the post-CPI low, Asian high broken, tight late-NY consolidation.
The Swiss CPI beat drove a London-open drop to 0.8149. A double bottom held there, and US data beats (JOLTS, factory orders) lifted price through the 0.8200 Asian high to a 0.8217 session high, with the 0.8180 NY swing low marking the last higher low. After London close, price is holding a tight 0.8205–0.8217 consolidation, with RSI(14) near 62, cooled from its peak.
Support: 0.8205, 0.8200, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8217, 0.8255
What it said to watch
Close below the 0.8205 consol low puts the 0.8200 asian high / round number under test as support
M15 close back below 0.8200 returns price inside the Asian range and weakens the breakout read
Close above the 0.8217 session high reopens the path toward the 0.8255 cap flagged by UOB
Loss of the 0.8180 ny swing low and the rally trendline breaks the higher-low chain from the CPI low; 61.8% of the rally fib sits near 0.8175
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are a two-way vol event that could materially shift this read
Higher lows off the 0.8149 CPI low; tight 0.8205–0.8210 band after London close.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC flushed the pair to 0.8149, but the drop was fully retraced into NY. The US data beats helped clear the 0.8200 Asian high and print a 0.8217 session high, with the 0.8180 higher low holding the higher-lows trendline on the way up. Since London close, price has compressed in a 0.8205–0.8210 band above the Asian high. RSI(14) is cooling to 60 and ATR is near 7 pips.
Support: 0.82052, 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8205 band low opens a retest of the 0.8200 Asian high and round number
Close above the 0.8210 band top and a break of the 0.8217 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8180 higher low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 61.8% fib of the CPI move near 0.8175
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:46 UTC
Uptrend, pulling back from NY high · RSI 58 · price 0.82057
Higher lows since the CPI low; lower highs off the 0.8217 peak.
The hot Swiss CPI swept price to 0.8149 at London open, but the dip fully reversed. The Asian high at 0.8200 gave way into early NY, and the JOLTS beat pushed the session high to 0.8217. A run of lower highs since then has eased price to 0.8206, with the Asian high the first retest level and the 0.8180 swing low below.
Support: 0.82001, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82105, 0.82169
What it said to watch
Hold of the Asian high at 0.8200 on the retest keeps the breakout read intact
Break of the 0.8180 swing low and rising support from the CPI low ends the higher-low chain; the CPI-low fib 38.2% sits at 0.8191
Close above the 0.8210 lower high, then the 0.8217 session high, resumes the HH sequence
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher highs and higher lows since the CPI low; consolidating above the Asian high.
Price has climbed back from the hot Swiss CPI low at 0.8149, with higher lows through London and NY. The firm JOLTS and Factory Orders prints at 15:00 UTC pushed it through the 0.8200 Asian high to a session high at 0.8217. Mid-NY, it is holding the 0.8206 pullback low with RSI(14) near 58, comfortably below overbought.
Support: 0.82061, 0.8200, 0.81974
Resistance: 0.82169
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8206 pullback low breaks the higher-low chain and exposes the 0.8200 Asian high
Loss of the 0.8197 swing low and rising support turns the post-CPI leg corrective toward its 38.2% near 0.8191
A close above the 0.8217 session high extends the HH chain
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-recovery from 0.8149 CPI low; higher-high/higher-low chain intact.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC flushed price to a 0.8149 day low. The London-NY recovery then built a higher low at 0.8180, and the firm JOLTS print lifted price through the Asian high at 0.8200 to a 0.8217 session high. Mid-NY, price is easing back toward the Asian high with RSI(14) near 57.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8217, 0.8255
What it said to watch
M15 close back below 0.8200 (asian high) puts price back inside the Asian range
Failure to hold the 0.8180 higher low breaks the higher-high/higher-low chain
M15 close above the 0.8217 session high opens the path toward the 0.8255 UOB cap
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
16:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend, pulling back from highs · RSI 56 · price 0.82078
V-recovery from CPI low, higher lows through NY, Asian range high broken.
The hot Swiss CPI at London open flushed the pair to 0.8149, but that move was fully retraced. NY then broke the 0.8200 Asian high on firm JOLTS and Factory Orders, setting a session high at 0.8217. Price is easing back toward 0.8200 as London closes, with RSI(14) cooled to around 56 and the rising support from the CPI low intact.
Support: 0.8200, 0.8193, 0.8180
Resistance: 0.8217, 0.8255
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8200 asian high would turn the NY breakout into a false break
Loss of the 0.8180 swing low and the rising supp line breaks the higher-low chain
Close above the 0.8217 session high opens the path toward the 0.8255 uob cap
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain from 0.8149; break above Asian high and prior high.
The hot Swiss CPI flushed price to 0.8149 at London open. That drop has fully reversed. Beats in US JOLTS and Factory Orders during NY hours lifted price through the 0.8200 Asian high and the 0.8203 prior high to a 0.8217 session high. The higher-low chain and the recovery trendline from the CPI low are intact, and RSI(14) near 67 is firm but not stretched.
Support: 0.82035, 0.81974, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82169, 0.8250
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8197 pullback low would mark the prior high break as a false break
Loss of the 0.8180 higher low and the recovery trendline ends the intraday HH/HL sequence; the CPI recovery fib 50% sits near 0.8183
Clearance of the 0.8217 session high leaves the 0.8250 round number as the next reference
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
15:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend, extending at session high · RSI 65 · price 0.82149
V-recovery from CPI low; higher lows, break above London high.
The Swiss CPI beat drove a London-open flush to the 0.8149 cpi low, now fully reversed. NY pushed through the 0.8204 london high and the Asian range top after the JOLTS beat, printing a session high at 0.8217. The 0.8180 ny low keeps the rising trendline intact, and RSI(14) near 65 is not stretched.
Support: 0.82037, 0.81804, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82169, 0.8255
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8204 london high on a closing basis turns the breakout into a false break
M15 close below the 0.8180 ny low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low sequence
Acceptance above the 0.8217 session high leaves the 0.8255 cap as the next reference
A move back toward the 0.8149 cpi low would put the full CPI-driven move back in play
US midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
HH/HL chain from the post-CPI low, above the Asian range.
The hot Swiss CPI sent USD/CHF to 0.8149 at London open. The pair has since retraced the drop with a HH/HL chain, breaking the Asian high and the 0.8204 prior high to a session high near 0.8210. The 13:30 UTC NY low at 0.8180 held near the 50% level of the post-CPI fib, and RSI(14) around 63 is not stretched.
Support: 0.82037, 0.81974, 0.81804
Resistance: 0.82099
What it said to watch
Holding above the 0.8204 prior high keeps the breakout intact; a slip back below it reframes the move as a false break
An M15 close below the 0.8197 higher low breaks the HH/HL chain and exposes the 0.8180 NY low and the rally trendline
Rejection at the 0.8210 session high would mark the first stall of the post-CPI recovery
Midterm results from about 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a contested count tends to draw haven flows into CHF
15:02 UTC
Uptrend off CPI low, testing prior high · RSI 58 · price 0.82028
HH/HL chain from 0.8149, pressing 0.8204–0.8208 cap.
The hot Swiss CPI flushed the pair to a 0.8149 CPI low at the London open. The drop then fully reversed in a higher-high/higher-low chain back through the Asian range and the 0.8204 prior high. NY session tagged a 0.8208 session high, eased to a 0.8197 pullback low, and is now retesting the prior high with RSI(14) near 58.
Support: 0.81974, 0.81804, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82037, 0.82078
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8208 session high extends the higher-high sequence
Loss of the 0.8197 pullback low returns price to the 0.8180 NY open low, near the 50% retrace
Break of the HL trendline and 0.8180 ends the post-CPI recovery structure
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC land on the current bar
Midterm results from 23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
V-reversal off CPI low; higher low at 0.8180 beneath 0.8204 cap.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC pushed USD/CHF through the asian low to a 0.8149 cpi low, but the drop fully unwound by early NY, ending in a rejection at the 0.8204 prior high, just above the 0.8200 asian high. The ny low at 0.8180 held near the 38.2–50% fib of that recovery leg. Price is back at 0.8197, with RSI(14) near 58 and price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81762, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82037, 0.82001
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 prior high clears both yesterday's and today's highs and the asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8180 ny low exposes the 0.8176 asian low and the 50% fib
A break below 0.8176 reopens the path toward the 0.8149 cpi low
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Higher lows from 0.8149, capped at the 0.8204 double high.
The hot Swiss CPI print knocked the pair to a 0.8149 cpi low at 07:30 UTC. Price then retraced the whole move through London and briefly cleared the 0.8200 asian high, but stalled at the 0.8204 day high, which matches yesterday's top. The early NY pullback held the 0.8180 ny low, between the 38.2% fib and the fib 50% at 0.8176, and price is now rebuilding toward 0.8200 on the rising trendline.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81764, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 day high breaks the double cap and the false-break read
Loss of the 0.8180 ny low and the fib 50% at 0.8176 breaks the higher-low chain off the rising trendline
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are due inside the next two bars
Midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could reopen the 0.8149 cpi low on haven CHF flows
CPI flush to 0.8149 fully retraced; NY-open dip held 0.8180, higher low forming.
The hot Swiss CPI flushed the pair to the cpi low at 0.8149 at 07:30 UTC, but London retraced the whole move into a rejection at the prior high of 0.8204. The NY open dip held 0.8180, the ny open low, between the 38.2% and fib 50% marks of that recovery, and price is rebuilding toward 0.8196 in the first hour of NY.
Support: 0.81804, 0.81764, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 prior high breaks the day's range top
Loss of the 0.8180 ny open low exposes the fib 50% at 0.8176 and puts the recovery trendline in play
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Midterm results from ~23:00 UTC are an overnight volatility risk; a contested count favours a revisit of the cpi low
14:02 UTC
Recovered CPI drop, capped at prior high · RSI 56 · price 0.8194
V-recovery from 0.8149 into double top at 0.8204, higher low at 0.8180.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC sent USD/CHF through the Asian low to the CPI low at 0.8149. London and the run into NY then fully retraced the drop. The rally was rejected at 0.8204, matching yesterday's prior high for a double top. The NY low at 0.8180 held near the 38.2% fib of the CPI rally, and price sits at 0.8194 with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 prior high negates the double top and breaks yesterday's range
Loss of the 0.8180 NY low and the rising trendline exposes the CPI low at 0.8149
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm results from ~23:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Double top at prior high, testing higher-low pivot.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC flushed price to the 0.8149 cpi low, below the Asian range. London then reversed the entire move into a double top at yesterday's 0.8204 high. The rejection there has pulled price back under the 0.8200 Asian high to the 38.2% fib near 0.8183. That puts it on the 0.8180 swing low into the London-NY transition, with RSI(14) near 47 and price below both EMAs.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81764, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8180 swing low breaks the post-CPI higher-low chain and exposes the 50% fib at 0.8176
Failure at the 50% fib reopens the 0.8149 cpi low
Reclaim of the 0.8200 Asian high puts the 0.8204 double top back in play
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, then midterm results from ~23:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC flushed USD/CHF to a 0.8149 cpi low, but London fully reversed the drop back through the Asian range. The first hour of NY rejected at the 0.8204 prior high, a double top with yesterday's session high, and price has slipped about 20 pips to 0.8184. It now sits at the 38.2% fib of the post-CPI rally, below both EMAs, with the 0.8200 asian high overhead.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81765, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8180 swing low exposes the 0.8176 asian low and 50% fib
Reclaim of the 0.8200 asian high reopens a test of the 0.8204 prior high
Break below 0.8176 puts the 0.8149 cpi low back in view
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Midterm results from ~23:00 UTC carry event risk into the Asia session
Higher-low chain from CPI low, rejected at prior high.
The Swiss CPI beat drove a London-open false break below the Asian range to 0.8149. That drop was fully reversed into the London-NY transition, with a run through the 0.8200 Asian high to the 0.8204 prior high. Rejection there has pulled price back to 0.8192, holding the pullback low and the rally trendline.
Support: 0.8191, 0.8180, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 prior high negates the rejection and puts price clear of the Asian high
Break of the 0.8191 pullback low and the rally trendline opens the 0.8180 swing low
Asian low at 0.8176 aligns with the 50% fib of the CPI-low rally; failure there exposes 0.8149
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
13:02 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the CPI low, stalling at prior high · RSI 61 · price 0.81984
HH/HL chain since the London low; capped at 0.8204, now back below 0.8200.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC drove a London low at the 0.8149 cpi low. That move has fully reversed in a steady higher-low climb back above the 0.8200 asian high. The first push met rejection at 0.8204, matching yesterday's NY prior high, and the bar closed back below 0.8200 into the London-NY transition; RSI(14) at 61 is not stretched.
Support: 0.8191, 0.8180, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 prior high clears the double cap and extends the HH chain
Holding below the 0.8200 asian high keeps the poke above it a false break
Loss of the 0.8191 swing low and the rally trendline breaks the HL sequence
Break of the 0.8180 pullback low opens the 50–61.8% fib zone at 0.8176–0.8170; the 0.8149 cpi low lies below that
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
12:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the CPI low · RSI 67 · price 0.82027
Higher lows since 0.8149, pressing prior high.
The hot Swiss CPI print at 07:30 UTC sent price through the Asian low to 0.8149, but London fully retraced the move with a steady higher-low chain. Price is back above the Asian range high at 0.8200 and testing yesterday's NY prior high at 0.8204 into the NY open, with RSI(14) near 67.
Support: 0.8200, 0.81913, 0.81762
Resistance: 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 prior high clears yesterday's NY session top
Break of rising support and the 0.8191 swing low ends the higher-low chain
Loss of the 0.8176 Asian low, near the 50% fib of the CPI move, brings 0.8149 back into view
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low chain since 07:30 UTC, testing Asian range top.
The 07:30 UTC Swiss CPI beat flushed price to a 0.8149 CPI low. London then unwound the entire drop on a steady higher-low chain. Price is pressing the 0.8200 Asian high late in the London session, with RSI(14) near 72 and the 0.8204 prior high just above.
Support: 0.81913, 0.81798, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82001, 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 prior high clears both the Asian high and yesterday's top
Break of the 0.8191 swing low and the rising trendline ends the higher-low chain, exposing the 38.2% fib at 0.8180
Rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high would leave the range top intact
A slide back toward the 0.8149 CPI low would revive the CHF-strength read
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read; midterm results due early Wed
12:16 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the CPI low, momentum cooling · RSI 60 · price 0.81937
Higher-low chain since 07:30 UTC, pressing session high.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC flushed USDCHF through the Asian range low to a 0.8149 cpi low, but London fully retraced it on a steady higher-low chain. Price now sits just under the 0.8198 session high and the 0.8200 asian high, with RSI(14) near 60 and bars compressing into the NY open.
Support: 0.81804, 0.81733, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81975, 0.82001, 0.82037
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8200 asian high exposes the 0.8204 prior high
Failure to hold the 0.8180 swing low breaks the higher-low chain and opens the fib 50% at 0.8173
Break of the rebound trendline would signal the CPI recovery is stalling
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read
US midterm results early Wed carry gap risk for the USD leg
Higher-low chain from 0.8149, pressing the Asian high.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC flushed USD/CHF below the Asian range to 0.8149 (cpi low). London then fully reclaimed the move with a clean higher-low chain, and price is now just under the 0.8200 asian high, with RSI(14) near 72. The rally trendline is being tested around 0.8193 into the London-NY transition, and the 0.8180 swing low sits on the 38.2% fib.
Support: 0.8193, 0.8180, 0.8169
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 prior high clears yesterday's range top
Rejection at the 0.8200 asian high, plus a close below the rally trendline, flattens the higher-low chain
Failure to hold the 0.8180 swing low (38.2% fib) breaks the intraday higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.8169 pre-cpi low exposes the 0.8149 cpi low
JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could shift this read
11:46 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the CPI low, extended · RSI 64 · price 0.81959
V-shaped recovery, HH/HL chain into the Asian high.
The hot Swiss CPI print drove a 07:30 UTC spike to a 0.8149 cpi low. That break below the Asian range low failed, and London has since retraced the entire move in a clean HH/HL chain along a rising trendline. Price is now pressing the 0.8200 Asian high, with the 0.8204 yday high just above and RSI(14) near 64, not stretched.
Support: 0.8188, 0.8180, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204
What it said to watch
An M15 close above the 0.8204 yday high breaks the prior-day range top.
Rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high with a close back below the 0.8188 prior high would break the rising trendline.
Failure to hold the 0.8180 swing low reopens the 0.8149 CPI low.
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, during NY hours, could materially shift this read.
11:31 UTC
Intraday uptrend off the CPI low · RSI 62 · price 0.81935
HH/HL chain from 0.8149, back inside Asian range.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC drove a break of the asian low to the cpi low at 0.8149. That move was fully reversed through London with a steady HH/HL chain. Price is now 0.8193, about 87% back up the fib of the decline and just under the asian high at 0.8200, with RSI(14) near 62.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81762, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.82001, 0.82051
What it said to watch
A close above the 0.8200 asian high clears the Asian range and exposes the prior high at 0.8205
A break below the 0.8180 swing low ends the HL chain and reopens the asian low at 0.8176
Failure back toward the 0.8149 cpi low would revive the post-CPI downside read
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, during NY hours, could materially shift this read
Early US midterm tallies are a further risk into Wednesday
11:16 UTC
Intraday recovery, higher lows since London low · RSI 62 · price 0.81892
False break of Asian low; HH/HL chain back inside Asian range.
The hot Swiss CPI print drove a 51-pip flush from the 0.8200 Asian high to a 0.8149 London low. That break below the Asian low failed, with a twin base at 0.8149–0.8152 followed by a steady HH/HL climb back to the 0.8190 session high, about 80% of the CPI drop retraced. Late London, price is pressing that session high with the 0.8180 swing low underneath and the recovery line intact.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8176, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8190 session high puts the 0.8200 Asian high back in play and fully erases the CPI drop
Break of the recovery line and 0.8180 swing low would end the HH/HL chain; failure to hold the 0.8176 Asian low re-exposes the 0.8149 London low
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
Higher-low chain from 0.8149, back inside Asian range.
The hot Swiss CPI at London open drove the cpi drop through the Asian low to 0.8149, and a double bottom formed there with 0.8152. A higher-low chain has since carried price back inside the Asian range and above the 61.8% fib at 0.8181. The 0.8188 recovery high is capping mid-London, with RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.8181, 0.8176, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the 0.8176 asian low turns the break into a failed recovery and reopens the 0.8149 cpi low
M15 close above the 0.8188 recovery hi exposes the 0.8200 asian high
A break of the recovery line ends the higher-low chain
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC (f/c 7.13M) could shift this read during NY hours
False break below Asian range, HH/HL back toward session high.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC broke the Asian range low and printed a 0.8149 cpi low, retested at 0.8152, before a London-session recovery of higher highs and higher lows lifted price back inside the Asian range. Price is now stalling just under the 0.8188 session high, with the rising trendline and the 0.8179 swing low underneath and RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.81791, 0.81762, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81881, 0.82001
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8188 session high puts the 0.8200 Asian high back in play
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.8179 swing low exposes the 0.8176 Asian low and the 0.8173 38.2% recovery fib
Failure to hold the 0.8149 cpi low would resume the post-CPI decline
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC in the NY session and midterm results Wednesday morning could materially shift this read
10:31 UTC
V-shaped recovery from CPI spike low, back inside Asian range · RSI 55 · price 0.81838
Higher lows since 0.8149 CPI low; failed break below Asian low reclaimed.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC broke the asian low and spiked price to the 0.8149 cpi low. London has since retraced the entire drop on a chain of rising lows to a 0.8188 recovery hi, putting price back inside the 0.8176–0.8200 Asian range with RSI(14) neutral near 55.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8164, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8188, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back below the asian low at 0.8176 revives the CPI break and exposes the fib 61.8 near 0.8164
Rejection at the 0.8188 recovery hi keeps price below the 0.8200 asian high; a close above 0.8200 marks a range break higher
A break of the rising lows trendline signals the cpi recovery is fading
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC in the NY session could materially shift this read
V-shaped rebound, higher-low chain back into Asian range.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC flushed USD/CHF 27 pips to the 0.8149 CPI low, below the Asian range low. London has since reclaimed most of the move through a chain of higher lows at 0.8152, 0.8160 and 0.8175. Price at 0.8187 sits near the 78.6% retracement of the Asian high-to-CPI-low drop, just under the 0.8191 lower high, with RSI(14) at 57 and ATR around 8 pips.
Support: 0.81748, 0.81603, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8191 lower high opens the 0.8200 Asian high, with the prior high at 0.8218 beyond
Break of the recovery trendline and the 0.8175 swing low would put the 0.8160 higher low back in play
Loss of the 0.8149 CPI low would turn the false break into a fresh lower low
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC, followed by overnight midterm results, could materially shift this read
HL chain from 0.8149 cpi low, testing pre-CPI breakdown zone.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC drove a 27-pip flush to the 0.8149 cpi low, through the Asian range low and the prior-day low. London has since built higher lows along a rising trendline. Price is now back at the 61.8% fib of the asian high to cpi low drop, just under the 0.8184 pre-cpi high, with RSI(14) mid-50s and price above both EMAs.
Support: 0.81746, 0.81603, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81843, 0.82001, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8184 pre-cpi high exposes the 0.8200 asian high, then the 0.8218 prior high
A break of the rising trendline and the 0.8175 50% fib shifts focus to the 0.8160 swing low
Failure to hold the 0.8149 cpi low resumes the CHF-led leg lower and voids the false-break read
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
Higher lows off 0.8149 cpi low, capped at 61.8% fib.
The hot Swiss CPI print at 07:30 UTC drove a 27-pip flush through the asian low to the 0.8149 cpi low in early London. Price has since printed higher lows and recovered the asian low at 0.8176. It is now testing the 61.8% fib of the CPI drop at 0.8181, alongside EMA50, with RSI(14) neutral near 50.
Support: 0.8176, 0.8170, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8181, 0.8184, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8184 pre-cpi high opens the path back to the 0.8200 asian high
Rejection at the 61.8% fib that loses the asian low at 0.8176 and the 0.8170 higher low puts the 0.8149 cpi low back in focus
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours could materially shift this read
09:31 UTC
Downtrend, bounce stalling at broken support · RSI 48 · price 0.81731
Asian range break lower, rebound retesting the asian low.
The hot Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC broke the 0.8176–0.8200 Asian range lower and printed a cpi low near 0.8150, with a second probe holding just above it. Early London has retraced about 50% of the drop back to the broken asian low at 0.8176, where supply is capping the bounce so far.
Support: 0.8160, 0.8150
Resistance: 0.8176, 0.8190, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8176 (asian low) opens the path to the 0.8190 swing high and the 0.8200 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8160 pullback low exposes the 0.8150 cpi low again
Rejection at the 50% fib near 0.8175 keeps the post-CPI lower-high sequence intact
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC could materially shift this read during NY hours
Lower highs from 0.8218; CPI flush to 0.8149 now half retraced, retesting broken Asian low.
The hot Swiss CPI print at the London open flushed USDCHF through the Asian range low to a 0.8149 CPI low, but the drop has since retraced about 50% of the 0.8200–0.8149 leg on fib. Two hours into London, price is back at the broken 0.8176 Asia low, with RSI(14) neutral near 48 and buyers defending the 0.8160 pullback low on the rebound lows line.
Support: 0.8160, 0.8149
Resistance: 0.8176, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8176 Asia low reclaims the Asian range and neutralises the CPI breakdown, with the 0.8200 Asia high above
Rejection at 0.8176 and a break of the 0.8160 pullback low and rebound lows line puts the 0.8149 CPI low back in play
A close below the 0.8149 CPI low confirms a fresh lower-low in the downtrend
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC (NY session) and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower; lower highs from 0.8200, higher low at 0.8152.
The Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC broke the Asian range low (0.8178) and yesterday's low, sending price to the 0.8149 cpi low, with a higher low at 0.8152 into the London open. The rebound high at 0.8174 sits near the 50% fib of the 0.8200 Asian high to cpi low leg, and is capped by the lower-highs trendline. Price is holding just above the 0.8160 pivot low below EMA20/50, RSI(14) ~41.
Support: 0.81603, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81735, 0.81778, 0.82001
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8174 rebound high and the lower-highs trendline opens a retest of the 0.8178 asian low
Failure to hold the 0.8160 pivot low exposes the 0.8149 cpi low again
US JOLTS 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
Broke below Asian range and prior-day low; higher low at 0.8152 under a 0.8174 cap.
The hot Swiss CPI beat at 07:30 UTC drove a break below the Asian low, which coincides with the prior-day low near 0.8176, and printed a 0.8149 cpi low early in London. The rebound off a 0.8152 higher low stalled at the 0.8174 post-CPI high, just under the 50% fib of the Asian high-to-CPI low drop. Price is consolidating near 0.8165 with RSI(14) around 39.
Support: 0.81515, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81735, 0.81762, 0.82001
What it said to watch
An M15 close back above the 0.8176 asian low would turn the break into a false break
A break of the 0.8152 higher low and the 0.8149 cpi low extends the post-CPI leg
A close above the 0.8174 post-cpi high and the 50% fib shifts focus to the 0.8200 asian high
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC during NY hours and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
Asian range broken lower at London open; post-CPI base forming 0.8149–0.8165.
London opened by breaking the Asian range low at 0.8176. The hot Swiss CPI beat (1.5% y/y vs 1.3%) then flushed the pair to a CPI low at 0.8149, below the 0.8165 support. Early London has printed a higher low at 0.8152 and is pressing the post-CPI cap near 0.8165, which sits just under the 38.2% of the Asia-CPI leg fib.
Support: 0.81515, 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81654, 0.81693, 0.81762
What it said to watch
M15 close above the post-cpi cap at 0.8165 and the london low at 0.8169 puts the Asian low at 0.8176 (50% of the Asia-CPI leg) back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8152 higher low and the 0.8149 CPI low extends the leg toward 0.8140
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
08:16 UTC
Downtrend, extended after London open · RSI 24 · price 0.81533
Lower highs off the 0.8200 Asian high; Asian range broken lower.
London open broke the 0.8177–0.8200 Asian range lower. The 07:30 UTC Swiss CPI bar then extended the slide to a 0.8149 session low, through the 0.8165 level flagged in the CHF digest, as the USD stayed heavy on oil and Iran headlines. A rebound stalled at the 0.8164 bounce high and price is back near the lows, with RSI(14) around 24, stretched but not yet turning.
Support: 0.81491, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.81644, 0.81766, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8149 session low exposes 0.8140, the uob target
Recovery above the 0.8164 bounce high and the 38.2% fib near 0.8169 would mark a retracement within the drop
Reclaim of the 0.8177 asian low would turn the range break into a false break
The falling highs line from the 0.8200 asian high caps the structure; a break above it shifts the read to range
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results could materially shift USD direction
Lower highs from 0.8200 Asian high; Asian range broken below, first bounce capped at 0.8165.
Lower highs from the 0.8200 Asian high set up a slide, and the 07:30 UTC Swiss CPI release triggered a 27-pip flush to 0.8149. That move broke through the Asian low at 0.8178 and the 0.8165 support level, extending CHF's firm tone. Early London's bounce has been capped just under the broken support at 0.8165, and RSI(14) sits near 28 after the spike.
Support: 0.8149, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.8165, 0.8178, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Repeated closes below 0.8165 keep the broken support acting as a cap on the post-CPI breakdown
Reclaiming the 0.8178 Asian low would turn the CPI spike into a false break
A break of the 0.8149 CPI low opens the 0.8140 round number
The actual Swiss CPI print hitting the feed, then US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC, could materially shift this read
Lower highs from Asian high; Asian range and prior-day low broken lower.
Lower highs from the 0.8200 Asian high gave way early in the London session. A swing low at 0.8169 broke first, then the 07:30 UTC Swiss CPI release dragged price through the 0.8176 Asian low to a CPI low at 0.8149, the largest bar in the window at ~27 pips against ATR(14) near 6.6. The first post-release bar is holding near 0.8160 with RSI(14) at 29, adding to the broad USD softness flagged in the digest.
Support: 0.81491
Resistance: 0.81693, 0.81762, 0.82001
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8169 swing low and 0.8176 Asian low would mark the break as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8149 CPI low extends the lower-low sequence; the digest flags 0.8140 below
A close above the lower-highs trendline from 0.8200 would neutralise the intraday downtrend read
Swiss CPI actual is not yet in the feed; confirmation of a hot or soft print could reshape the post-release move
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC (f/c 7.13M) and overnight midterm results could materially shift this read
07:31 UTC
Downtrend, extending into oversold · RSI 27 · price 0.81654
Lower highs from Asian high, Asian range low broken.
The pair broke below the Asian range low and Monday's 0.8176 low ahead of London open, and the Swiss CPI bar extended the slide to a 0.8163 cpi low at the 0.8165 support area. RSI(14) is near 27. Lower highs from the 0.8200 Asian high frame a descending line, with broad USD softness on falling oil behind the leg.
Support: 0.8163, 0.8140
Resistance: 0.8176, 0.8184, 0.8200
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8176 monday low would mark the CPI break as a false break
Sustained trade below the 0.8163 cpi low opens next support at 0.8140
Break of the descending line through the 0.8184 swing high negates the lower-high sequence
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and US midterm results overnight could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.8200 Asian high; London open swept 0.8176 and reclaimed.
Lower highs since the 0.8200 Asian high, as Monday's broad USD softness keeps CHF firm. The London open swept below the 0.8176 Monday low to a 0.8169 London low, then closed back above it. Price now sits at the 38.2% fib of the Asian high-to-London low drop, below EMA20/50 with RSI(14) near 43.
Support: 0.81761, 0.81693
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% YoY, 0% MoM) could materially shift this read
A close back below the 0.8176 Monday low reopens the 0.8169 London low and 0.8165 support
A reclaim of the 0.8191 lower high breaks the lower-high chain, with the 0.8200 Asian high above
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines are the next USD-side risk
07:01 UTC
Downtrend, fresh lows into early Europe · RSI 31 · price 0.81734
Lower highs from 0.8200 Asian high; prior low 0.8176 broken.
Asia faded the bounce at the 0.8200 asian high. Price then slid through yesterday's 0.8176 prior low to a new session low at 0.8172 as soft USD and the oil unwind weighed. The lower-high sequence (0.8191, then a 0.8184 lower high) is intact, and RSI(14) near 31 is weak but not yet stretched.
Support: 0.81723, 0.8170
Resistance: 0.81761, 0.81843, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% YoY) could materially shift this read within the next few bars
An M15 close back above the 0.8176 prior low would mark the breakdown as a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8170 round number extends the lower-low chain
Reclaiming the 0.8184 lower high breaks the descending trendline from 0.8200
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and midterm headlines are the next USD-side risk
Lower highs from 0.8200 pressing on flat 0.8176 lows.
Rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high at 02:30 UTC set a chain of lower highs at 0.8191 and 0.8185. Late Asia is retesting the 0.8176 24h low with price under both EMAs and RSI(14) near 36. CHF firmness against an oil-driven soft USD has the pair already trading below the 0.8191–0.8200 monthly-low area.
Support: 0.81765
Resistance: 0.81849, 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y, 0% m/m) lands at London open and could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.8176 24h low extends the lower-low sequence
An M15 close above the 0.8185 lower high and the 0.8191 swing high breaks the lower-highs trendline, with the 0.8200 Asian high next
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are the NY-session risk
Lower highs off the 0.8200 asia high pressing a 0.8176 swing low floor.
Late Asia, pre-London: the overnight rally faded after rejection at the 0.8200 asia high, which also capped Monday's NY session. The descending trendline of lower highs (0.8200, then 0.8191) now sits near 0.8182 and leans on the 0.8176 swing low, tested four times since Monday's NY session. The USD has stayed soft as oil and Iran headlines sap the dollar, and range compression has ATR at about 4 pips.
Support: 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8182, 0.8191, 0.8200
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% YoY) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8176 swing low confirms a lower-low and breaks the floor
M15 close above the trendline and the 0.8191 lower high invalidates the lower-high sequence
Lower highs at 0.8204, 0.8200 and 0.8191 compressing onto the 0.8176 base.
The Asia session rally was rejected at the 0.8200 Asian high. Price has since built lower highs, the latest at 0.8191, and is pressing Monday's 0.8176 low late in Asia ahead of the London open, with RSI(14) near 32. Broad USD softness on oil and US-Iran deal hopes keeps the pair below the 0.8190–0.8200 monthly-low zone.
Support: 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y, 0% m/m) lands early in London and could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8176 Monday low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the 0.8191 lower high breaks the descending-highs structure and reopens the 0.8200 Asian high
US JOLTS and Factory Orders at 15:00 UTC are the next USD-side risk
Lower highs from the 0.8200 Asian high, price at the base of the Asian range.
The Asia rally met rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high. It has since printed a lower high at 0.8191 and drifted back to the Asian low at 0.8178, just above the 0.8176 Monday low, ahead of London open. Dollar softness on falling oil keeps the pair heavy, with price below both EMAs and ATR(14) compressed near 4.5 pips ahead of Swiss CPI.
Support: 0.8178, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8191, 0.8200, 0.8218
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% YoY, 0% MoM) could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8176 monday low sets a fresh lower-low
Close above the 0.8191 lower high breaks the descending trendline, with the 0.8200 asian high as range top
Recovery through 0.8200 brings Monday's 0.8218 london high back into view
The Asian session rally stalled with a rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high, then printed a lower high at 0.8191 and slid back to the Asian low near 0.8178 in late Asia. RSI(14) sits near 33 with price below both EMAs. Monday's NY prior low at 0.8176 lies just underneath going into Swiss CPI.
Support: 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8176 prior low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of the 0.8191 lower high breaks the descending resistance line
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% YoY, 0% MoM): a hot print could move the pair sharply
US JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results are the next USD-side risks
05:31 UTC
Downtrend, lower highs from Asian peak · RSI 31 · price 0.81798
Lower highs off 0.8200 pressing a 0.8180 double low.
The Asian session rally met rejection at the 0.8200 asian high, followed by a lower high at 0.8191. Price is now pinned on a 0.8180 double low into pre-London trade, just above yesterday's 0.8176 swing low. The pair is holding below the 0.8190s monthly-low zone as softer USD tracks falling oil.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8191, 0.8200, 0.8218
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y, 0% m/m) in ~2h could materially shift this read
M15 close below the 0.8176 swing low confirms a lower-low and extends the post-monthly-low slide
Reclaim of the 0.8191 lower high breaks the descending trendline; acceptance above the 0.8200 asian high puts the 0.8218 prior high back in view
JOLTS at 15:00 UTC and overnight midterm results are the USD-side event risks
05:16 UTC
Down-drift, late-Asia range · RSI 37 · price 0.81836
Lower highs from 0.8200 asian high, double low at 0.8180.
The Asian rally from 0.8178 was rejected at the 0.8200 asian high and has retraced about 75%. A lower high at 0.8191 and a double low at 0.8180 now frame a tight late-Asia range just above the 0.8176 prior low, with softer USD on oil-led selling capping rebounds. ATR(14) has compressed to about 4 pips ahead of the London open.
Support: 0.8180, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could break the compressed range in either direction
M15 close below the 0.8176 prior low confirms a lower-low below the double low
Close above the 0.8191 lower high reopens the 0.8200 asian high
US midterm results through the session could shift USD tone
05:02 UTC
Downtrend, compressing near lows · RSI 37 · price 0.81828
Lower highs into a 0.8176–0.8200 range.
Late in the Asia session, USDCHF stalled at the Asian high of 0.8200, the 38.2% fib of Monday's London selloff, then printed a lower high at 0.8191 at the broken 0.8190 monthly-low zone. Price sits at 0.8183, below both EMAs, with the 0.8180 swing low and Monday's 0.8176 prior low beneath. The backdrop is a softer USD as oil slides on Iran-deal headlines.
Support: 0.81797, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read ahead of London open
M15 close below the 0.8176 prior low extends Monday's lower-low sequence
Close above the 0.8191 lower high brings the descending trendline near 0.8197 and the 0.8200 Asian high back into play
Midterm results through Asia/Europe hours add headline risk to USD
04:46 UTC
Down-sloping, compressing in Asian range · RSI 42 · price 0.81857
Lower highs since Monday London, flat lows 0.8176–0.8180.
Early Asia trades mid-range at 0.8186. The 02:30 UTC push to the 0.8200 Asian high was rejected and almost fully retraced to a 0.8180 swing low. The lower-high chain from Monday's 0.8218 London high holds under a descending resistance line. Price stays below the 0.8190s monthly low that broke Monday on oil-led USD softness, with RSI(14) near 42.
Support: 0.81797, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81908, 0.82001
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read
Failure to hold the 0.8176 prior low confirms a lower-low below the monthly-low zone
M15 close above the 0.8200 asian high and descending resistance line invalidates the lower-high read
Swing high at 0.8191 caps the immediate rebound; US midterm results through Asia add headline risk
04:31 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce faded · RSI 44 · price 0.81877
Lower highs, mid Asian range 0.8178–0.8200.
Late Asia session. The overnight rally was rejected at the 0.8200 asian high, near the 61.8% fib of Monday's slide from the 0.8218 swing high to the 0.8176 ny low. That slide ran on oil-led USD selling. Price has slipped back toward the 0.8178 asian low and sits just under the ema20 near 0.8190, with RSI(14) at 44.
Support: 0.8178, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8200, 0.8218
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could break the Asian range either way
An M15 close below the 0.8178 asian low and the 0.8176 ny low resumes the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the ema20 near 0.8190 and a close through the 0.8200 asian high would neutralise the rejection
The 0.8218 swing high caps the fib retrace; US midterm count headlines remain a volatility risk
04:16 UTC
Downtrend, flattening into a base near 0.8176-0.8180 · RSI 45 · price 0.81844
Lower highs intact; Asian rally fully retraced to the Asian low.
Monday's London selloff, driven by oil-led USD softness, broke the 0.8190 monthly low and NY extended it to a prior low at 0.81761. Late Asia's bounce was rejected at the 0.8200 Asian high and has fully retraced to the 0.8178 Asian low. The descending trendline of lower highs from the 0.82183 swing high remains intact.
Support: 0.8178, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
Failure to hold 0.8178 asian low and 0.81761 prior low confirms a fresh lower-low
Reclaim of 0.8190 monthly low turns the breakdown into a false break; 0.8200 asian high is the next cap
US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) lands at London open — main volatility risk for the session
Close above the lower-highs trendline and the 0.82183 swing high invalidates the downtrend read
04:02 UTC
Downtrend, Asia bounce faded · RSI 41 · price 0.81822
Lower highs from 0.8218; Asia rally capped at 0.8200, price back near Asian low.
The Asia session rally from the 0.8178 asian low stalled at the 0.8200 asian high, a lower high under Monday's 0.8218 swing high, and has retraced about 80% back to 0.8182. Price sits below the broken 0.8190 monthly low and both EMAs, with RSI(14) near 41. Monday's 0.8176 day low is the next reference beneath. The softer USD read on oil and Iran diplomacy fits the earlier slide.
Support: 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.82001, 0.82183
What it said to watch
Break of the 0.8178 asian low and 0.8176 day low extends the lower-low sequence
Reclaim of 0.8190 monthly low and a close above the 0.8200 asian high breaks the lower-high line
Swiss CPI 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) and US midterm results from ~05:00 UTC could materially shift this read
London open ~07:00 UTC sets the next session range against the Asian range
03:46 UTC
Downtrend, Asian bounce faded · RSI 52 · price 0.81865
Lower highs below 0.8200; Asian rally rejected, retracing to 61.8%.
The Asian session rally from the 0.8178 asian low stalled at the 0.8200 asian high. The 03:30 UTC bar broke the asian trendline and pulled price back to the 61.8% fib near 0.8186, below the broken 0.8190 monthly low. Yesterday's London-NY slide set the 0.8176 day low as the USD softened on US-Iran diplomacy and lower oil.
Support: 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.82001, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8190 monthly low would undo the breakdown and reopen the 0.8200 asian high
Failure to hold the 0.8178 asian low and 0.8176 day low confirms a lower-low
A move through 0.8200 brings the 0.8218 swing high from London into view
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read
US midterm results flowing from ~05:00 UTC are a volatility risk for the USD leg
03:31 UTC
Intraday rebound within a broader down day · RSI 60 · price 0.81941
Higher lows off a double bottom, capped at Asian high.
Monday's London slide on a softer, oil-driven USD broke the 0.8190s monthly-low zone and printed a 0.8176 day low in late NY. Asia retested it at 0.8178 and built higher lows into a rejection at the 0.8200 Asian high. Late in Asia, the pullback is holding the 0.8193 swing low on the rising trendline, with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 0.81929, 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.82001, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close below the 0.8193 swing low breaks the Asia trendline and turns focus back to the 0.8178 Asian low
Acceptance above the 0.8200 Asian high opens the 0.8218 London high
Loss of the 0.8176 day low voids the double bottom read
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) and US midterm or Qeshm strike headlines could reset the session range
03:16 UTC
Intraday rebound inside a broader down day · RSI 63 · price 0.81969
Asia HH/HL chain off 0.8178, capped at 0.8200.
Late in the Asia session, USDCHF has retraced Monday's NY slide to 0.8176. It has printed a higher low chain from the 0.8178 Asian low up to the 0.8200 asian high, which matches Monday's London-NY range top and was rejected again. Monday's dollar weakness on US-Iran deal hopes drove the break below the 0.8190s monthly low. The Asia bounce sits within the 0.8178–0.8200 range, and ATR(14) is a compressed ~4.4 pips. The latest dip held at 0.8193, a pullback low near the 38.2% level of the Asia rally fib, with the 0.8186 higher low below it.
Support: 0.81929, 0.81858, 0.81778
Resistance: 0.82001, 0.82037, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8200 asian high and the 0.8204 ny high extends the Asia uptrend toward the 0.8218 swing high
Break of the 0.8193 pullback low and the Asia trendline shifts focus to the 0.8186 higher low
Loss of the 0.8178 asian low resumes Monday's lower-low sequence
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) lands into the London open and could materially shift this read
US midterms from 05:00 UTC and Qeshm strike headlines are event risk for the USD leg
Asian higher-low chain off 0.8178, capped at 0.8200.
London and NY drove a slide from 0.8245 to a 0.8176 day low as oil-led dollar softness pushed through the 0.8190s monthly-low zone. Late in the Asia session, the rebound from the 0.8178 Asian low printed higher lows but was rejected at the 0.8200 Asian high. Price is now easing toward the 38.2% Asia-leg fib at the 0.8192 higher low, with RSI(14) near 56.
Support: 0.8192, 0.8186, 0.8178
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.8204, 0.8218
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8186 swing low (61.8% of the Asia-leg fib) breaks the higher-low chain and re-exposes the 0.8178 Asian low
M15 close above the 0.8200 Asian high and 0.8204 NY range top would put the 0.8218 London high back in play
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) and US midterm headlines from 05:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Fresh Qeshm/Iran strike headlines moving oil could reprice USD before London open
Higher low at 0.8178 after 0.8176 swing low; price back at the NY range top.
London broke the 0.8190 monthly low as the softer USD weighed, with the slide bottoming at the 0.8176 swing low late in NY. Late Asia session built a higher low at 0.8178 and lifted on a rising trendline back to the 0.8200 round number. That level is the 50% fib of the 0.8218 swing high to 0.8176 drop and the top of the NY range.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
A close above 0.8204 clears the NY range top and round number, opening the 0.8218 swing high
Failure back below the 0.8190 monthly low and the Asia trendline puts the 0.8176 swing low back in play
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) lands at London open and could materially shift this read
US midterm headlines through the day are a USD-side risk to the rebound
Asian-session rally from a 0.8178 higher low testing the 0.8200 NY cap.
Asia session has climbed from a 0.8178 higher low back above the 0.8189 monthly low and is now testing the 0.8200–0.8204 ny cap that capped every bounce during NY hours. The late-NY break of the monthly low to a 0.8176 day low, on the softer USD as oil fell, did not extend. RSI(14) is near 64 and not stretched.
Support: 0.8189, 0.8186, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8202, 0.8218
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8204 ny cap opens the 0.8218 london high
Rejection at 0.8200 and a slip back under the 0.8186 61.8% fib puts the 0.8176 day low back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8189 monthly low on a close would revive the false-break failure
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read
US midterm and Qeshm/Hormuz headlines from 05:00 UTC are a two-way risk for the USD leg
Higher low at 0.8178, Asian high broken, testing 0.8200.
Asia set a higher low at 0.8178 (asian low) above Monday's 0.8176 NY low, completing a small double bottom, then broke the 0.8190 asian high. Price is now pressing the 0.8200 psych cap, which sits at the 50% retracement of the London-NY decline. RSI(14) ~61 and the rising trendline from the asian low is intact, tracking the oil-led USD softness.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8200, 0.82037, 0.82183
What it said to watch
Close above the 0.8204 ny high opens the 0.8218 london high (61.8% of the London-NY decline sits near 0.8202); rejection at 0.8200 psych keeps Monday's range cap intact
Slip back below the 0.8190 asian high and the rising trendline undoes the breakout; loss of the 0.8178 asian low and 0.8176 ny low resumes the lower-low sequence
Swiss CPI 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) and US midterm headlines could materially shift this read
02:02 UTC
Intraday downtrend, Asian rebound in progress · RSI 60 · price 0.81952
Lower highs from 0.8218 swing high; Asian higher low at 0.8178 now testing broken NY range.
USD/CHF broke through the 0.8190s monthly-low zone in London and NY as oil-led USD softness extended, bottoming at the 0.8176 session low. Asia has built a higher low at 0.8178 and is now retesting 0.8197–0.8204, the 50% fib of the 0.8218–0.8176 drop and the base of yesterday's NY range. The asian high sits at 0.8197 with RSI(14) near 60.
Support: 0.8186, 0.8178, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8197, 0.8204, 0.8218
What it said to watch
M15 close above 0.8204 ny range top (61.8% fib) opens the 0.8218 swing high
Failure below the 0.8186 higher low breaks the Asian trendline; a move under 0.8178 asian low and 0.8176 session low resumes the downtrend
Swiss CPI 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read; US midterms and JOLTS 15:00 UTC add USD headline risk
Double bottom 0.8176–0.8178, Asian range break higher.
London and NY extended the oil-led USD slide on Iran-diplomacy hopes, from the 0.8218 london high to a 0.8176 day low. Asia printed a double bottom at the 0.8178 asian low and is now pressing the 0.8194 asian high, also the 38.2% fib of that decline. RSI(14) is near 58 and ATR(14) about 4 pips.
Support: 0.81858, 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81941, 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8186 pullback low puts the 0.8178 asian low and 0.8176 day low back in play
Close above the 0.8194 asian high and 0.8200 round number opens the 50–61.8% fib zone toward 0.8202
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read
US midterm vote today and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC are two-way USD risk
01:31 UTC
Intraday downtrend, early Asia rebound · RSI 59 · price 0.81922
Lower highs from 0.8218; Asia higher low at 0.8178, retesting broken 0.8190.
Monday's London session broke USDCHF through the 0.8190 monthly low, with USD soft on Iran diplomacy and CHF firm after the Swiss PMI beat. NY capped at the 0.8204 ny high and the slide bottomed at the 0.8176 ny low. Early Asia has printed a higher low at the 0.8178 asian low and is retesting the broken 0.8190 zone, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the drop from the 0.8218 swing high, RSI(14) near 59.
Support: 0.8190, 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81927, 0.82037, 0.82183
What it said to watch
Hold above the 0.8190 monthly low and a break of the 0.8193 asian high brings the 50% fib at 0.8197 and the 0.8204 ny high into play
Rejection at the 38.2% fib and loss of the 0.8178 asian low resumes the lower-high sequence toward the 0.8176 ny low
A close above the 0.8218 swing high invalidates the intraday downtrend read
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) and US midterm voting could materially shift this read
Lower highs from 0.8218 into a 0.8176–0.8178 double bottom; bounce now at the 0.8192 retest zone.
Monday's London and NY sessions sold USDCHF from 0.8232 through the 0.8190–0.8193 monthly low to 0.8176, as oil-led USD softness on Iran-diplomacy hopes weighed. The Asia session retest held at 0.8178 for a double bottom, and the 0.8186 pullback low is holding. Price is now back at 0.8192, where the old monthly low meets the fib 38.2% of the 0.8218–0.8176 leg.
Support: 0.81858, 0.81772
Resistance: 0.81925, 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8200 round number takes price back inside the NY range and opens the 0.8218 London high
Rejection at the 0.8192 monthly low, then a break of the 0.8186 pullback low, puts the double bottom at 0.8177 back in play
Failure to hold the 0.8177 double bottom confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read before London
US midterms and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC are later two-way risk
01:02 UTC
Downtrend, pausing in a tight range · RSI 55 · price 0.81881
Lower highs and lows through London/NY; early-Asia box 0.8178–0.8191.
USD/CHF slid through the 0.8190s monthly-low area during Monday's London and NY sessions. Oil-led USD softness on US-Iran diplomacy hopes drove the move, which printed the 0.8176 NY low late in the day. Early Asia is boxed between the 0.8178 Asian low and the 0.8191 range top. A spike to the range top was rejected right at the 38.2% fib of the 0.8218–0.8176 drop, and ATR(14) sits near 4.4 pips.
Support: 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.81914, 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8191 range top breaks the Asian box; the 0.8200 round number and the 0.8218 london high cap the lower-high sequence above
Failure to hold the 0.8178 asian low and the 0.8176 ny low extends the lower-low chain
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read
US midterm results and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC add two-way USD headline risk
00:46 UTC
Downtrend, stalling into a base · RSI 55 · price 0.81879
Lower highs from 0.8218; Asia session range 0.8178–0.8191 above day low.
London-led selling broke the 0.8190 prior low and extended to the 0.8176 day low late in NY, with a softer USD on the Iran-diplomacy oil slide doing the work. Early Asia session is holding a 0.8178–0.8191 range: the session low printed just above the day low, while the session high caps at the 38.2% fib of the 0.8218 london high to 0.8176 leg, with EMA50 overhead.
Support: 0.8178, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8191, 0.8204, 0.8218
What it said to watch
M15 close above the 0.8191 session high and 38.2% fib invalidates the lower-high sequence and exposes the 0.8204 ny high
Failure below the 0.8178 session low and 0.8176 day low confirms a fresh lower low
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) could materially shift this read at the London open
Lower highs and lower lows; rollover bounce capped at 0.8190, early Asia drifting back toward the lows.
London broke Monday's Asian range and the 0.8190 monthly low as oil-driven USD softness hit the dollar. NY added a leg to a 0.8176 ny low after holding inside a range capped by the 0.8204 ny range top. The rollover bounce stalled just under the old monthly low near the 38.2% fib, along the lower-highs line, and early Asia is fading back toward the 0.8178 asia low with RSI(14) near 46.
Support: 0.81778, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.82037
What it said to watch
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y) can push price through the 0.8176 ny low or back above the 0.8190 monthly low
An M15 close below the 0.8176 ny low extends the lower-low sequence
An M15 close back above the 0.8190 monthly low and the lower-highs line weakens the downtrend read, with the 0.8204 ny range top next
US midterm vote counts and JOLTS at 15:00 UTC are the next USD event risk after the Swiss data
00:16 UTC
Downtrend, momentum stalled in a tight band · RSI 49 · price 0.81824
Lower highs from 0.8218, holding 0.8176–0.8190 below broken monthly low.
USD/CHF sold off through the 0.8190 monthly low as the dollar slid with oil on US-Iran deal hopes. Price has printed lower highs since the 0.8218 rebound high and failed again just above 0.8190 late in the day. It is now drifting in a thin band between the 0.8180 range floor and 0.8190, with RSI(14) neutral near 49.
Support: 0.8180, 0.8176
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8200, 0.8218
What it said to watch
A close back above the 0.8190 monthly low breaks the lower-highs line and turns the breakdown into a false break
Failure to hold the 0.8180 range floor and the 0.8176 session low extends the lower-low sequence
Recovery above the 0.8200 round number puts the 0.8218 rebound high back in view
Swiss CPI at 07:30 UTC and overnight US midterm results could materially shift this read
Lower highs and lower lows after London broke the Asian range.
London broke the 0.8230–0.8254 Asian range lower as oil slid on US-Iran deal hopes and the dollar softened, taking USD/CHF through the 0.8190 monthly low. NY then printed lower highs down to a 0.8176 day low. The post-close bounce is holding just above the ema20 near 0.8186 but stalling under the descending line and the 0.8190 monthly low, with RSI(14) near 58 and well short of 38.2% of the swing-high fib.
Support: 0.8186, 0.81761
Resistance: 0.8190, 0.8200, 0.82183
What it said to watch
M15 close back above the 0.8190 monthly low and the descending line opens the 0.8200 round number
Failure at the 0.8186 ema20 and a break of the 0.8176 day low extends the lower-low chain
Retrace into the 0.8192–0.8197 fib zone (38.2–50% of the swing-high move) with the 0.8218 swing high capping
Swiss CPI 07:30 UTC (f/c 1.3% y/y): a hot print could materially shift this read
US midterm results overnight could reprice the USD before the Asia session ends