USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Friday, 9 October 2026
Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.
17:04 UTC
Short-term downtrend from week high · RSI 41 · price 0.83019
Lower highs from 0.8346, pressing 0.8298 week low.
The Tuesday–Thursday advance topped at the 0.8346 week high in Thursday's London session. As easing US yields lifted CHF, the pair unwound through Thursday NY and Friday Asia, then tagged the 0.8298 week low at Friday's London open, matching Tuesday's trough. The NY-session rebound stalled at 0.8319, a lower high just short of the 50% retracement of the Thu-Fri drop. Price has since slipped back below EMA20 near 0.8308, with RSI(14) near 41.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8308, 0.8319, 0.8346
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 week low breaks the two-test floor; the 0.8245 range floor is the next reference
Recovery above the 0.8319 lower high and the lower-highs trendline would neutralise the Thu-Fri drop structure
Failure to reclaim EMA20 at 0.8308 keeps pullbacks capped beneath it
US CPI on Wed Oct 14 12:30 UTC, plus Fedspeak early next week, could materially shift this read; US yield direction is the main CHF driver
Lower highs from 0.8347 week high against a double low at 0.8298.
USDCHF has rotated inside a 0.8298–0.8347 band all week. The Tuesday-to-Thursday climb peaked at the week high during Thursday's London session, then Thursday's NY selloff carried price back to Tuesday's swing low, and Friday's London dip held there to form a double low near 0.8298. Price now sits on the EMA(20) near 0.8313 and below a flattening EMA(50), with the friday high at 0.8318 stalling near the 38.2% retracement of the decline as CHF firms on easing US yields; the UoM sentiment miss barely registered.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8347, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 double low opens the 0.8245 range floor
Close above the friday high at 0.8318 and the lower-high line brings the 50% retracement near 0.8322 and the week high at 0.8347 back into view
Week high at 0.8347, then range cap at 0.8365: area to watch for rejection or break
US yields and Fedspeak (Hammack Mon, Waller Tue) ahead of Wed US CPI could materially shift this read
0.8298–0.8347 weekly range; lower highs since Thursday's false break at the top.
USD/CHF has traded a 0.8298–0.8347 band all week. Thursday's push above the Wednesday high to the 0.8347 week high failed, and the NY-hours sell-off, as US yields eased, cut through the 0.8307 Thu NY low area. Price reached the 0.8298 week low in Asia and at Friday's London open, where buyers stepped in for a second time after Tuesday. The rebound has stalled near the 38.2% fib retracement and EMA50 around 0.8318, with price sitting on EMA20 near 0.8313 and RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8313, 0.8307, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8318, 0.8342, 0.8347
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 week low breaks the range floor and confirms a lower low
Close above the ema50 near 0.8318 and the lower highs trendline reopens the 0.8342 Wed high and 0.8347 week high
Loss of ema20 at 0.8313 puts the 0.8307 Thu NY low back in focus
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read via US yields
0.8298–0.8347 weekly range; tentative double bottom at the floor.
USD/CHF has spent the week inside a 0.8298–0.8347 range. The London-led climb on Wednesday and Thursday reached the 0.8347 week high, then was fully unwound in Thursday's NY session as easing US yields lifted the franc. Friday's London open retested the 0.8298 week low, matching Tuesday's low for a tentative double bottom, and price has since reclaimed EMA(20) near 0.8313 with RSI(14) back at 50, now pressing the 0.8318 day high where EMA(50) also sits.
Support: 0.83131, 0.82977
Resistance: 0.83184, 0.83221, 0.83465
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
H1 close above the 0.8318 day high and EMA(50) brings the 50% fib of the Thursday–Friday drop at 0.8322, then the 0.8347 week high, into play
Failure to hold the 0.8313 ema20 puts the 0.8298 week low back in focus; a close below it breaks the range floor and voids the double bottom read
12:04 UTC
Range-bound, Thu–Fri drop back to the week low · RSI 46 · price 0.83107
Range 0.8298–0.8347; lower highs since Thursday's high, week low retested.
USD/CHF has fully unwound the Tuesday–Thursday advance. After the week high at 0.8347 in Thursday's London session, NY hours drove a 40-pip drop as US yields eased off multi-decade highs, and Friday's Asia-to-London extension retested Tuesday's week low near 0.8298. Demand stepped in again at that floor, but the bounce is pinned just under EMA(20) at 0.8312 and the lower-highs line from Thursday's high, with EMA(50) near 0.8318 and RSI(14) around 46.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8312, 0.8322, 0.8347
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 week low breaks the range base and opens the 0.8245 range floor flagged in the macro read
H1 close above the ema20 and the lower-highs line near 0.8312 eases the downside pressure. A push through the 50% retrace of the Thu–Fri drop at 0.8322 puts the 0.8347 week high back in play
US UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, during the NY session, could materially shift this read via US yields
The Wednesday-Thursday climb peaked at the 0.8347 week high in Thursday's London session. A NY-session breakdown from 0.8336 then erased the leg as US yields eased off multi-decade highs on Trump's Iran de-escalation remarks. Friday's London dip retested Tuesday's 0.8298 low, forming a double low, and demand stepped in there. Price now sits just under the ema20 (0.8312) and EMA(50) near 0.8318, with RSI(14) flat around 47 and highs still stepping lower from Thursday.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8312, 0.8336, 0.8347
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 double low breaks the week's floor and exposes the 0.8245 range floor cited in the CHF digest
Reclaiming the 0.8312 ema20 and the lower highs trendline shifts the read back to mid-range, with the 0.8336 breakdown level above
Acceptance back above 0.8336 puts the 0.8347 week high in play
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, about 3h out, could materially shift this read via US yields
Lower highs since Thursday's 0.8347 peak, pressing the 0.8298 week low.
USD/CHF climbed from Tuesday's 0.8298 low to a 0.8347 week high in Thursday's London session, then met rejection and reversed through NY as US yields eased and Iran de-escalation headlines took the safe-haven bid out of the dollar. Price now trades below EMA(20) near 0.8312 with RSI(14) around 42. A lower-high trendline from Thursday's peak is capping each bounce, while the 0.8298–0.8300 week low has held three times, including this morning's London open test. The Friday bounce has stalled near the 38.2% retracement of Thursday's drop, below the 50% fib at 0.8322.
Support: 0.8298, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8312, 0.8322, 0.8347
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8298 week low breaks the floor and exposes the 0.8245 range low
Close above the lower-high trendline and ema20 near 0.8312 eases the downside read; 50% fib of Thursday's drop at 0.8322 is next
Reclaim of the 0.8347 week high would void Thursday's rejection
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Lower highs since Thursday, base forming at 0.8298.
USD/CHF topped at the 0.8346 week high in Thursday's London session. It then dropped through the NY session as US yields slid and the safe-haven premium faded, giving back most of the Monday–Thursday rally. The lower highs have carried into Friday, and London has twice rejected the 0.8298 Friday low. Price now sits near the 61.8% retracement, just under EMA(20) at 0.8313, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8298, 0.82875
Resistance: 0.8313, 0.8317, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close above the lower-highs trendline and the 0.8317 Friday high would break the lower-high sequence that began Thursday
Failure to hold the 0.8298 Friday low exposes the 0.8288 week low and the 78.6% retracement of the Mon-Thu rally
Repeated H1 closes back above EMA(20) would shift the read toward the 0.8320 pivot and range continuation
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
08:02 UTC
Short-term downtrend after mid-week high · RSI 34 · price 0.82992
Lower highs from Thursday's 0.8347 peak; Tue–Thu range broken.
The grind higher from Monday's 0.8288 week low peaked at 0.8347 in Thursday's London session. A rejection there turned into a range break in the NY session as US yields slid and Trump's no-strike pledge on Iran drained the dollar's haven premium. Price has carved lower highs since and sits at the 0.8300 round number, below a falling EMA(20) near 0.8312. It has retraced roughly 80% of the Monday–Thursday rally, with RSI(14) near 34, weak but not stretched.
Support: 0.8300, 0.82875, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.8312, 0.8320, 0.83465
What it said to watch
Hourly closes below the 0.8300 round number expose the 0.8288 week low, then the 0.8245 range floor
A recovery through the ema20 and the 0.8320 pivot (former support) would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Thursday's 0.8347 week high is the level that caps the range; only a reclaim restores the rally read
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read via US yields
Higher-low sequence broken Thursday NY; lower highs since the 0.8347 week high.
USDCHF climbed from the 0.8286 monday low along a rising line of higher lows. It set the 0.8347 week high in Thursday's London session before the Iran de-escalation and the US yield correction triggered a NY-session rejection that broke the line and the 0.8320 prior floor. Asia extended the slide to a 0.8299 friday low at the round number. Price is now back near the 61.8% retracement of the week's rally, just under ema20, with RSI(14) in the mid-40s.
Support: 0.8299, 0.8286
Resistance: 0.8313, 0.8320, 0.83465
What it said to watch
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC today could materially shift this read
An H1 close back above ema20 and the 0.8320 prior floor would neutralise the lower-high sequence
Failure to hold the 0.8299 friday low and the 0.8300 round number exposes the 0.8286 monday low
Recovery toward the 0.8347 week high would need to clear the 0.8320 prior floor first
USDCHF built higher lows from Monday's 0.8285 low, a move that ended with a rejection at the 0.8346 week high in Thursday's London session. The NY session reversal then broke the rising trendline as softer US yields and Trump's Iran pause drained USD support, and the pair has traded in a 0.8285–0.8346 range all week. Price now sits below EMA(20) near 0.8314 and the EMA50 near 0.8322, with lower highs capping each bounce, and the Asia low at 0.8299 is testing the 0.8300 handle. RSI(14) is near 38 and the 61.8% level of the weekly rally fib (0.8309) has already given way.
Support: 0.82985, 0.82854, 0.8245
Resistance: 0.83173, 0.8322, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8299 asia low and 0.8300 exposes the monday low at 0.8285
Recovery above the 0.8317 asia high and the ema50 near 0.8322 breaks the lower-highs sequence
Loss of the 0.8285 monday low puts the 0.8245 range floor in play
Week high at 0.8346 remains the cap beneath the 0.8365 range top
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations plus Fed's Collins at 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low sequence broken Thu NY; price back at week-open area.
USDCHF ground higher from Monday along a rising trendline off Tuesday's low and pushed above Wednesday's peak to a week high at 0.8346 in Thursday's London session. That push failed. A sharp NY-session drop on Thursday broke the trendline as USD softened on Trump's no-Iran-strikes remarks and the yield correction, and Asia extended the move to 0.8300, a round number sitting just above the Tuesday low at 0.8298. Price is now below EMA(20) near 0.8315, with RSI(14) near 35 and not yet oversold.
Support: 0.8300, 0.8298, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.8315, 0.83235, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close below 0.8298 (tuesday low) exposes the week low at 0.8285 and erases the week's gains
Recovery above ema20 at 0.8315 and the fib 50% retracement at 0.8323 of Thursday's decline would ease the downside read
Week high at 0.8346 is now the reference for the failed breakout above Wednesday's peak
UoM Consumer Sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Higher highs Mon–Thu, then Thursday's reversal broke the rising lows.
USDCHF climbed from Monday's 0.8285 week low to a 0.8346 week high in Thursday's London session, edging just above Wednesday's peak before rejecting through NY hours as Trump's Iran no-strike pledge drained USD haven demand and Treasury yields eased. The drop broke the rising lows trendline, and Asia extended the move to the 0.8300 round number, below the 0.8307 thu low and the 61.8% retracement of the week's advance. Price now sits under the EMA(20) near 0.8316 with RSI(14) around 33 and hourly ranges compressing near 8 pips.
Support: 0.8300, 0.8298, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8307, 0.8316, 0.8346
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the 0.8300 round number exposes the 0.8298 tue low and the 78.6% fib, then the 0.8285 week low
A recovery back above the 0.8307 thu low and the ema20 near 0.8316 would neutralise Thursday's rejection
Only a return toward the 0.8346 week high would revive the Monday–Thursday higher-highs sequence
Michigan sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC (~10h), plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Unscheduled Iran headlines or a renewed long-end bond selloff could reverse the move, given USD and CHF haven flows
Mon–Thu rising lows broken; lower lows since Thursday NY.
From Monday's 0.8285 week low, the pair ground higher on rising lows into a 0.8347 week high in London on Thursday, short of the 0.8365 range top. The rally then unwound in Thursday's NY session as USD sold off after Trump ruled out Iran strikes before the midterms. Price is now back below the 0.8313 week open and the H1 ema20 near 0.8320, near the 61.8–78.6% retrace of the week's advance, and the Asia session printed a fresh low just above the 0.8300 round number.
Support: 0.8300, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83129, 0.8320, 0.83465
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8300 round number exposes Monday's 0.8285 week low and a full retrace of the week's rally
H1 close back above the 0.8313 week open and the ema20 near 0.8320 would frame the drop as a pullback within the rising lows
Rising-lows trendline from Monday is broken; a retest from below at 0.8320–0.8330 is the area to watch for rejection
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC plus Fed's Collins could materially shift this read
Fresh Iran escalation headlines could revive the USD haven bid that faded Thursday
Double top at 0.8342/0.8347; higher-low sequence broken below 0.8320 neckline.
USD/CHF ground higher from Monday's 0.8285 week low through a run of higher lows. Thursday's London push to the 0.8347 week high could not extend beyond Wednesday's 0.8342 peak, leaving a double top, and the NY-session drop as USD faded on Trump's Iran no-strike pledge broke the rising trendline and the 0.8320 neckline. Asia has extended to the 0.8300 round number, with price below the ema20 near 0.8319, under the 61.8% fib of the week's advance, and RSI(14) near 32.
Support: 0.8300, 0.82854
Resistance: 0.83087, 0.8319, 0.8322
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.8320 neckline and ema20 negates the double top read
Loss of the 0.8300 round number exposes the 0.8285 week low
Holding back above the 0.8309 61.8% fib would show the trendline break stalling
UoM sentiment and inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Iran strike-plan headlines, could materially shift this read
Higher-low sequence broken Thursday; back to mid of week range.
USD/CHF built higher lows from Monday's 0.8285 London-session low (the week low) to a 0.8347 week high in Thursday's London session. The NY session then sold it to the 0.8307 Thursday low as Trump's no-strike pledge on Iran knocked the dollar, breaking the higher-low line and reaching the 61.8% retracement of the Mon-Thu advance. Price now sits just under EMA(20) at 0.8315, with EMA(20) rolling below EMA(50) and RSI(14) near 40 after failing to retake 50 in the Asian range; the 0.8323 area pairs EMA(50) with the 38.2% retracement.
Support: 0.8307, 0.8300, 0.8285
Resistance: 0.8315, 0.8323, 0.8347
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.8323 (ema50/38.2%) reopens the 0.8347 week high
Failure to hold the 0.8307 Thursday low exposes the 0.8300 round number and the 0.8285 week low
UoM sentiment and 1y/5y inflation expectations at 14:00 UTC, plus Fed's Collins, could materially shift this read
Follow-through on the NYT Iran strike-plan report is a two-way haven risk, since it can lift both USD and CHF
Higher lows Mon–Wed; Thursday's drop broke the rising support line.
From the week open near 0.8286, the pair stair-stepped higher through Wednesday on broad USD strength. Each session's dip held above the prior one along a rising support line from Monday's low. Thursday's push above the 0.83417 Wed high to a 0.83465 week high failed during the NY session as Trump ruled out an Iran strike and oil eased. The fade hit 0.83066, a Thu low that sits on the 61.8% retracement of the weekly move. Price now consolidates near the 50% level at 0.8314, below EMA20 at 0.8323 (also the 38.2% retracement), with RSI(14) near 39.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298, 0.82855
Resistance: 0.83228, 0.83417, 0.83465
What it said to watch
Friday's UoM sentiment and inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) plus Collins' speech could materially shift this read
H1 close below the 0.83066 Thu low breaks the 61.8% retracement and exposes the 0.8298 Tue low, then the 0.82855 week open
Reclaim of EMA20 at 0.8323 would treat Thursday's drop as a pullback within the weekly uptrend
Only a close above the 0.83465 week high would negate the false break above the Wed high