Higher-low sequence broken; pulling back into the 50% retracement.
USD/CHF ground higher from Monday's 0.8277 start, extending to a week high at 0.8347 in London on Thursday, but that push above Wednesday's 0.8342 peak failed. In the NY session, Trump's Iran de-escalation drained the oil premium and knocked USD lower, breaking the rising-lows line and printing a Thursday low at 0.8307. Price now sits below EMA20 (~0.8323) and EMA50 with RSI(14) near 37, hovering around the 50% retracement of the week's advance.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83233, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the ema20 near 0.8323 would restore the higher-low structure
Failure to hold the Thu low at 0.8307 exposes the Tue low at 0.8298, near the 61.8% of the week's advance
Recovery of the week high at 0.8347 would negate Thursday's rejection
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment and inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Higher-lows sequence broken below Wed low; consolidating near 61.8%.
USD/CHF ground higher from the 0.8281 week open on hawkish FOMC minutes. A higher-lows trendline from the 0.8298 Tue low guided the move. Thursday's London push to a 0.83465 week high only briefly cleared Wednesday's 0.8342 peak. Price then slid in the NY session as Trump's Iran de-escalation drained the oil premium and USD faded, cutting through the 0.83168 wed low to a 0.83066 thu low. Price now sits around the 61.8% retracement of the Tue-to-Thu advance, below the ema20 near 0.8324, with RSI(14) back below 40.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298, 0.8281
Resistance: 0.83168, 0.8324, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close back above 0.83168 wed low and the ema20 near 0.8324 would neutralise the Thursday break
Failure to hold the 0.83066 thu low exposes the 0.8298 tue low and the 78.6% retracement
A move back through 0.83465 week high would reopen the higher-lows uptrend read
Prelim UoM sentiment and inflation expectations Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher-low sequence since Monday broken by Thursday NY drop.
USDCHF ground higher from the 0.8284 weekly open on hawkish-Fed USD demand, printing higher lows Monday to Thursday and a week high at 0.8347 into Thursday's London session, still short of the 0.8365 range top. The rejection came in NY hours as Trump's Iran de-escalation comments knocked crude and USD, driving a drop to 0.8307 (the Thu NY low) that broke the rising trendline from Tuesday's low. Price now sits below the EMA20 near 0.8327 with RSI(14) near 41, consolidating between the 38.2% and 50% retracements of the week impulse.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.83268, 0.83465, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the ema20 at 0.8327 would restore the higher-low read
Failure to hold the Thu NY low at 0.8307 exposes the 61.8% fib near 0.8304 and the Tue low at 0.8298
A break below 0.8298 brings the 0.8284 weekly open back into view
Week high at 0.8347 and the 0.8365 range top cap any recovery while the rising trendline stays broken
UMich sentiment and inflation expectations plus Collins on Fri 14:00 UTC could materially shift this read
20:03 UTC
Weekly uptrend stalled, reversing from week high · RSI 39 · price 0.83142
Higher-lows sequence broken in Thursday NY; pullback to mid-week base.
USD/CHF ground higher from the 0.8284 weekly open from Monday through Wednesday, setting a week high at 0.83465 in Thursday's London session. NY hours then saw a rejection, with a drop to the 0.83066 thu low as Trump's Iran de-escalation cooled oil and pulled the USD back from its hawkish-Fed highs. The move broke the higher-lows line and EMA(20) near 0.8327, leaving price near the 50% retracement of the week's rally around 0.8312, with RSI(14) slipping to ~39.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.8320, 0.8327, 0.83465
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.8320 broken low (38.2% fib) and ema20 near 0.8327 would restore the higher-lows grind toward the week high
Failure to hold the 0.83066 thu low exposes the 0.8298 tuesday low, then the 0.8284 weekly open
Fri 14:00 UTC UMich sentiment and inflation expectations plus Collins could materially shift this read
Fresh Iran/oil or bond-stress headlines have driven haven CHF flows and the USD pullback this week
Higher-low sequence broken after rejection at 0.8347 week high.
USDCHF climbed steadily from the 0.8284 weekly open, with pullbacks to the Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday lows each holding above the prior one. A push to a 0.8347 week high early Thursday was rejected below the 0.8365 range top. The pair then dropped to 0.8307 during NY hours, the Thu low, as Trump's Iran comments cooled oil and trimmed the dollar bid. That drop broke the higher-lows trendline and left price under EMA(20) near 0.8328, with RSI(14) slipping below 40 and the move retracing past 50% of the week impulse.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.8328, 0.83465, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close back above the 0.8328 ema20 would restore the prior pullback-within-uptrend read
Failure to hold the 0.8307 Thu low exposes the 0.8298 Tue low and the 61.8% of the week impulse near 0.8304
A loss of the Tue low opens a path back toward the 0.8284 weekly open
Recovery through the 0.8347 week high would put the 0.8365 range top back in play
Fri 14:00 UTC UoM sentiment and inflation expectations plus Fed's Collins could materially shift this read
18:03 UTC
Uptrend since Monday, broken late Thursday · RSI 41 · price 0.83144
Higher-low sequence broken by NY sell-off.
USD/CHF built higher lows from Monday's 0.8277 Asia low on hawkish FOMC minutes and firmer US yields. It peaked at a 0.8347 week high in London on Thursday, just above Wednesday's 0.8342 top. That push failed: a late NY sell-off as Trump ruled out an Iran strike drove price through the rising trendline and below EMA(20) to a 0.8307 session low, between the 50% and 61.8% levels of the week impulse fib, with RSI(14) slipping to ~41.
Support: 0.83066, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8329, 0.83465, 0.8365
What it said to watch
Failure to hold the 0.8307 session low exposes the tuesday low at 0.8298 and the 61.8% fib near 0.8304
H1 recovery back above EMA(20) near 0.8329 would neutralise the rising trendline break
Close above the 0.8347 week high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment and UoM inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Higher lows Mon–Thu; NY pullback testing rising support.
USD/CHF has built higher lows every day since Monday's 0.8277 low. Most of the gains came in Asia hours, on broad USD firmness after the hawkish FOMC minutes and a bounce in US yields. Today's London push to a 0.8347 week high met rejection, and the NY session faded price back toward the 0.8321 thu low, which sits on the 38.2% fib of the week's advance. That leaves the pair below EMA(20) near 0.8332, with RSI(14) slipping to 48 and the higher-lows trendline just beneath.
Support: 0.8321, 0.8317, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8332, 0.8347, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8321 thu low and 0.8317 wed low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the 0.8298 tue low / 50% fib zone
Reclaim of ema20 at 0.8332 followed by a close above the 0.8347 week high opens the 0.8365 range top
Fed's Musalem at 17:40 UTC could materially shift US yields and this read
Fri 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations are the next scheduled USD risk
16:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near week high · RSI 55 · price 0.83354
Higher lows daily since Monday, compressing in a 0.8321–0.8347 band.
USD/CHF has printed a higher low every day since Monday's 0.8277 Asia-session low, and the higher-low trendline from Tuesday has held each dip. Hawkish FOMC minutes and firmer US yields kept USD bid, and London lifted the pair to a 0.8347 week high on Thursday. Since Wednesday the advance has compressed into a 0.8321–0.8347 band. The NY dip to the 0.8321 day low held the trendline and the 38.2% fib of the week's impulse before price reclaimed EMA(20), while RSI(14) near 55 shows momentum slowing beneath the 0.8365 range top.
Support: 0.8333, 0.8321, 0.8312
Resistance: 0.8347, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8321 day low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 50% fib at 0.8312
Close above the 0.8347 week high puts the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 17m high in play
Repeated H1 closes below EMA(20) at 0.8333 would mark the consolidation turning into a pullback
Fed's Musalem at 17:40 UTC today could shift October-hike pricing and this read
Friday 14:00 UTC Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations are the next scheduled USD risk
USD/CHF has stacked higher lows since Sunday's 0.8284 week open: 0.8277, then Tuesday's 0.8298 tue low, then two holds at the 0.8320 day low today, as the hawkish FOMC minutes and firmer US yields kept CHF soft. This morning's London push to a 0.8347 week high stalled short of the 0.8365 range top. A NY-hours drop around Kashkari's remarks then took price back below ema20 (0.8333), leaving it on the rising trendline and ema50 near 0.8327, close to the 38.2% of the week impulse fib. RSI(14) has eased to about 48 from about 60 at the high, so momentum is fading while the higher-low structure still holds.
Support: 0.8327, 0.8320, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8333, 0.83465, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8320 day low breaks the rising trendline and the higher-low sequence, exposing the 0.8298 tue low
Recovery back above ema20 at 0.8333 keeps the pullback shallow within the uptrend
Close above the 0.83465 week high reopens the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8380 17-month high
Fed's Musalem at 17:40 UTC and Friday's UoM sentiment and inflation expectations could materially shift this read
Daily higher lows and higher highs; compressing below week high.
Each session since Monday's 0.8277 low has printed a higher low (0.8298 Tue, 0.8317 Wed, 0.8320 Thu). Wednesday's Asia-session push and Thursday's London-morning week high at 0.8347 extended the advance, backed by hawkish FOMC minutes, firmer US yields and a soft franc after SNB's Martin signalled no policy change. Price is now compressing just above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 56. Thursday's day low at 0.8320 sits on the 38.2% fib of the week advance, and the rising trendline from Monday's low runs near 0.8327.
Support: 0.83204, 0.83075, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.83465, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8347 week high exposes the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 17m high that rejected last week
Break of the rising trendline (~0.8327) and the 0.8320 day low would interrupt the higher-low sequence
Loss of the 0.8308 wed low shifts focus back toward the 0.8284 weekly open
Fed's Kashkari (14:40 UTC) and Musalem (17:40 UTC) remarks on hike pricing could materially shift this read
Iran/oil headlines or Eurozone fiscal stress can trigger a sharp haven bid in CHF
13:03 UTC
Uptrend, momentum slowing near week high · RSI 59 · price 0.83385
Higher lows daily since Monday, compressing below 0.8347.
USDCHF has climbed roughly 60 pips from Monday's 0.8277 low, posting a higher low every day. Asia sessions did most of the lifting, while NY hours stayed choppy. Broad USD strength on the hawkish FOMC minutes and SNB's Martin holding at 0% drove the move. London marked a new week high at 0.83465 today, only 5 pips above Wednesday's peak, and the pair has since settled back onto the ema20 near 0.8334. The 12:00 UTC bar dipped to 0.8330 around the jobless claims release and recovered, keeping price just above the rising trendline and the Thursday low at 0.8320.
Support: 0.8334, 0.83204, 0.83075
Resistance: 0.83465, 0.8365, 0.8380
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.83465 week high exposes the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8380 17m high
Loss of the rising trendline and the Thursday low at 0.8320, near the 38.2% fib, breaks the higher-low sequence
Break below the Wednesday low at 0.83075, near the 61.8% fib, turns the weekly advance into a deeper retracement
Fed's Kashkari (14:40 UTC) and Musalem (17:40 UTC) could shift US yields and this read
Friday's Michigan sentiment and inflation expectations (14:00 UTC) are the next scheduled USD risk
Higher highs and higher lows since Monday; compressing just below the week high.
Each day since Monday's 0.8277 low has printed a higher low: 0.8298 Tuesday, 0.8317 Wednesday and 0.8320 Thursday. Thursday's low also tagged the higher-low trendline and the 38.2% fib of the week impulse. The advance tracks broad USD strength on the hawkish FOMC minutes and SNB's Martin signalling a lower-for-longer 0% rate. London pushed a new week high at 0.8347 today before price faded back toward EMA(20), with RSI(14) holding the mid-50s and momentum flattening in a 0.8320–0.8347 band beneath the 0.8365 range top.
Support: 0.8333, 0.8320, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83465, 0.8365, 0.8380
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8347 week high exposes the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8380 17m high, where last week's reversal began
Failure to hold 0.8320 (38.2% fib, Thursday low) breaks the higher-low trendline and opens the tue low at 0.8298
Repeated H1 closes below EMA(20) at 0.8333 would confirm the momentum stall within the band
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and Kashkari at 14:40 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Friday, rising wedge under 0.8346.
USD/CHF has stepped up from Friday's 0.8227 low through a run of higher lows: 0.8298 Tuesday, 0.8317 Wednesday and the 0.8320 swing low in today's Asia session. The Monday and Wednesday legs were both made in Asia, with hawkish FOMC minutes and firm Treasury yields keeping the USD side bid. Highs are advancing more slowly, from 0.8342 Wednesday to the 0.8346 week high set in London this morning. That leaves the advance compressing into a rising wedge, with price holding just above the ema20 and RSI(14) near 56 rather than overbought.
Support: 0.8332, 0.8320, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8346, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
An H1 close below rising wedge support near 0.8325 and the 0.8320 swing low breaks the higher-low sequence
Failure to hold 0.8320 brings the weekly open at 0.8284 and the 50% fib of the week's advance back into view
A close above the 0.8346 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8382 16m high above it
US Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC and Kashkari at 14:40 UTC could materially shift this read
Renewed risk-off headlines have capped rallies before; a CHF haven bid would test the wedge base
Higher lows each session; Wednesday cap broken at London open.
USDCHF has set a higher low in every session since Friday's 0.8227 impulse low. The London open today lifted price through the 0.8339 Wednesday high, which had capped three attempts, to a week high at 0.8347. The leg tracks a firm USD after hawkish FOMC minutes and Treasury yields near 2002 highs. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50), and RSI(14) is near 61, short of overbought.
Support: 0.8339, 0.8320, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83465, 0.8365, 0.8381
What it said to watch
H1 close back below the 0.8339 wed high would mark the breakout as a false break
Loss of the 0.8320 asia low breaks the higher lows line and exposes the 0.8298 tue low
Sustained trade above the week high puts the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8381 16m high in view
US Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC and Kashkari 14:40 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows under 0.8342 week high, tight consolidation.
Since the 0.8284 weekly open, USD/CHF has stepped up through a series of higher lows at 0.8285, 0.8298, 0.8317 and 0.8320. The upside legs came mainly in Asia and NY hours, carried by hawkish FOMC minutes and multi-decade-high US yields, and peaked at the 0.8342 week high on Wednesday. Thursday's Asia session has compressed into a 0.8320–0.8337 band, with price sitting on the EMA(20) and RSI(14) flat near 53. That reads as a pause under the week high rather than extension, with Wednesday's 0.8317 dip holding the 38.2% fib of the week's leg and the tue low at 0.8298 the deeper higher-low reference.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83204, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83417, 0.8365, 0.8381
What it said to watch
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read; Musalem follows at 17:40 UTC
H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8380–0.8382 16m high
Failure to hold the thu low at 0.8320 and the higher lows trendline breaks the sequence, putting the tue low at 0.8298 in focus
Sustained trade below the ema20 with RSI under 45 would shift the consolidation toward a deeper retracement of the week's leg
Higher daily lows since Monday; compression below week high.
Since the week opened at 0.8284, USDCHF has printed a higher daily low each session: 0.8277 in Monday's Asia session, 0.8298 Tuesday and 0.8320 in today's Asia low, all along one rising trendline. The week high of 0.8342 came in NY hours Wednesday as FOMC minutes and the 5.30% 10y auction lifted yields. Since then CHF haven demand has kept price in a 0.8320–0.8336 range under a line of lower highs, with price hugging the ema20 near 0.8330 and RSI(14) flat around 52.
Support: 0.8330, 0.83204, 0.83168
Resistance: 0.8336, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8342 week high breaks the lower highs and opens the 0.8365 band top
Failure below the 0.8320 asia low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.8317 38.2% fib of the Mon-Wed impulse
Clearing the 0.8336 day high would end the run of lower highs since Wednesday
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday, compressing below week high.
USD/CHF has set a higher low every session since Monday's 0.8284 weekly open. The week high at 0.8342 printed during NY hours Wednesday as US yields pushed to 24-year highs, and price has drifted sideways since the FOMC Minutes. The pair is now compressed in a 0.8320–0.8340 band around a flattening EMA(20); RSI(14) is back near 51 after a bearish divergence into the week high, and ATR has shrunk to roughly 7 pips. The rising trendline from Monday's low lines up with Thursday's Asia low at 0.8320, with Wednesday's low at 0.8317 just beneath.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8317, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365, 0.8382
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8342 week high reopens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 16m high
Break below the 0.8320 Asia low and rising trendline ends the higher-low sequence, exposing the 0.8317 Wed low
Loss of 0.8298 (Tuesday's low and the 38.2% fib of the Friday–Wednesday rally) shifts the read to a deeper retracement
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
USD/CHF has set a higher low every session since Monday's 0.8284 weekly open: 0.8285, 0.8298, 0.8317 and then 0.8320. The bounce from Friday's 0.8227 low around the soft US jobs data was carried by 24-year-high Treasury yields and hawkish FOMC minutes. Wednesday's NY session printed the week high at 0.8342, but price has since compressed between 0.8320 and the 0.8334 intraday cap, sitting on the ema20 near 0.8329 with RSI(14) eased to the mid-40s. The higher-low line drawn from the Tuesday low at 0.8298, which aligns with the 38.2% fib of the Friday–Wednesday impulse, now runs just under the 0.8320 shelf.
Support: 0.8320, 0.8298, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8334, 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8320 higher low breaks the higher-low line and the rising-low sequence
Acceptance above the 0.8334 intraday cap and 0.8342 week high opens the path toward the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the tue low at 0.8298 (38.2% fib) exposes the 0.8284 weekly open near the 50% retracement
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows since Monday; Asian range under week high.
From the 0.8284 weekly open the pair has printed higher lows every day: Monday's London dip at 0.8285, Tuesday's NY swing low at 0.8298 (near the 38.2 fib of the 0.8227–0.8342 leg), then Wednesday's swing low at 0.8317. Broad USD demand on 24-year-high yields and the hawkish FOMC minutes carried price to a 0.8342 week high during NY hours Wednesday, but follow-through stalled. Thursday's Asian range of 0.8320–0.8334 has left price just under a flat EMA(20) and resting on the higher-low trendline, with RSI(14) back at the 50 midline.
Support: 0.83204, 0.83168, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.83344, 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8320 asian low and the 0.8317 swing low breaks the higher-low trendline sequence
H1 close above the 0.8334 asian high reopens the 0.8342 week high, with the 0.8365 range top beyond
Loss of 0.8317 exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.8298, where Tuesday's low formed
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could break the Asian range either way
Higher lows from Monday, compressing below week high.
USDCHF gapped up in Monday's Asia session from the 0.8284 weekly open and has printed higher lows since. The oil- and yield-driven USD bid carried it to a 0.8342 week high during NY hours Wednesday, and Wednesday's dips held near the 38.2% fib of the week advance (~0.8317). Since then price has compressed below a 0.8339 range top, retesting the rising higher low line at 0.8320 in Asia today, with RSI(14) flat near 52 and price sitting on EMA20 at 0.8329.
Support: 0.8329, 0.8320, 0.8298
Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8342
What it said to watch
An H1 close below the 0.8320 higher low breaks the rising line from Monday's low and exposes the 0.8298 tue low, near the 61.8% fib
Acceptance above the 0.8339 range top and the 0.8342 week high ends the consolidation read
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read
Repeated H1 closes under EMA20 at 0.8329 would mark fading momentum in the week's advance
Higher lows Mon-Wed, pulling back from 0.8342 week high.
From the 0.8284 weekly open the pair built a sequence of higher lows (Mon 0.8277, Tue low 0.8298, Wed low 0.8317), with the week high at 0.8342 printed in Wednesday's NY session as long-end US yields and hawkish Fed minutes kept USD bid. Since then price has rotated sideways and slipped below EMA(20) near 0.8328 in Thursday's Asia session, now testing the rising trendline with RSI(14) easing to the low 40s and price sitting on EMA(50). The Wed low at 0.8317 coincides with the 38.2% retracement of the weekly impulse fib, making it the first structural pivot.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8298, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8328, 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close below the 0.8317 wed low breaks the higher-low sequence and the rising trendline, exposing the 0.8298 tue low and the 0.8284 weekly open
Recovery back above EMA(20) at 0.8328 and a close through the 0.8342 week high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Waller at 08:30 UTC and US jobless claims at 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read via the yield channel
Higher lows since Monday; compressing below week high.
USDCHF has printed higher lows since Monday's 0.8284 weekly open. Wednesday's NY-session push to a 0.8342 week high came on broad USD demand as US 10y yields hit 5.35% around the hawkish FOMC minutes. Price has since compressed into a 0.8317–0.8342 band and sits flat on EMA(20) near 0.8330, with RSI(14) back to ~52 as momentum cools. The fib 38.2 retracement of the Friday-to-Wednesday advance sits at 0.8298, in line with Tuesday's low.
Support: 0.83168, 0.8298, 0.82842
Resistance: 0.83417, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
Failure to hold the 0.8317 wed low breaks the higher-lows trendline and exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.8298
A move back through the 0.8284 weekly open would unwind the week's advance
Fed's Waller at 08:30 UTC and jobless claims at 12:30 UTC could materially shift this read
Higher lows each session since Friday; tight consolidation below week high.
USDCHF has set higher lows every session since Friday's soft-payrolls spike to 0.8227. The weekly open at 0.8284 is now well behind, and Wednesday's NY session printed the week high at 0.8342 on the yields-and-oil USD bid. Momentum has cooled since: the hawkish FOMC Minutes drew a muted response, and price is flat on EMA(20) near 0.8329 with RSI(14) easing to the low 50s inside a 0.8327–0.8338 band. Beneath that, the swing low at 0.8317 and the rising line from Monday's low frame the structure, while Tuesday's low at 0.8298 lines up with the 38.2% retracement of the move.
Support: 0.8317, 0.8298, 0.8284
Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365
What it said to watch
H1 close above the 0.8342 week high reopens the 0.8365 range top
Loss of the 0.8317 swing low and the rising line exposes the tue low / 38.2% retracement at 0.8298
Close below the 0.8284 weekly open (50% retracement) unwinds the week's higher-low sequence
Waller (08:30 UTC), jobless claims (12:30 UTC) and Musalem (17:40 UTC) could shift US yields and materially change this read