USD/CHF AI Live Scan, 1-hour chart, Wednesday, 7 October 2026

Every read JAFX AI made on the USD/CHF 1-hour chart that day, newest first: trend, structure, the levels it marked and what it said to watch.

23:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening · RSI 50 · price 0.83277

Higher lows Mon–Wed; pullback testing rising trendline.

USD/CHF has put in a higher low every day since the 0.8284 week open. The leg from Friday's post-NFP 0.8227 low ran to a 0.8342 week high during NY hours Wednesday as US yields surged and the dollar firmed into the Fed minutes. After the minutes, price has eased back below EMA(20) near 0.8329 and is sitting on the rising trendline, with RSI(14) back near 50 and EMA(50) around 0.8322 just below. The 0.8317 Wed low and the fib 38.2 at 0.8298, which is also Tuesday's low, define the higher-low sequence.

Support: 0.83168, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83417, 0.8365, 0.8381

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below the rising trendline and the 0.8317 wed low breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the fib 38.2 at 0.8298
  • Acceptance above the 0.8342 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8381 16m high beyond
  • Loss of 0.8298 shifts focus to the 0.8284 week open, near the 50% retracement of the NFP-low leg
  • Fed's Waller (08:30 UTC) and US jobless claims (12:30 UTC) on Thursday could materially shift this read through yields

22:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening below week high · RSI 51 · price 0.83302

Higher lows since Monday; Wednesday chopping 0.8317–0.8342.

From Monday's 0.8277 low the pair has stepped up through a sequence of higher lows: 0.8285 Monday, 0.8298 Tuesday (tue low) and 0.8317 Wednesday (wed low). That Wednesday dip held at the 38.2% retracement of the week's leg, with USD demand tied to 24-year-high yields and $100+ Brent rather than US data. Wednesday's NY session printed a week high at 0.8342, but price has since flattened onto EMA(20) at about 0.8329 with RSI(14) back near 51, and the FOMC Minutes produced no visible H1 reaction.

Support: 0.8325, 0.8317, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365, 0.8380

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path toward the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8380 16m high as the extension marker
  • Break of the higher-low trendline near 0.8325 and the 0.8317 wed low (38.2% fib) would end the stepped higher-low read
  • Failure to hold the 0.8298 tue low would retrace more than half the week's leg and put the 61.8% fib near 0.8302 in play
  • Thu: Fed's Waller 08:30 UTC and Initial Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read; a reversal in long-end yields or Brent is the main downside risk to the USD leg

21:04 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening below week high · RSI 56 · price 0.83336

Higher lows since Monday; tight band under 0.8342.

USD/CHF has printed higher lows since Monday's 0.8284 weekly open (0.8277, Tuesday low 0.8298, then 0.8308), with Wednesday's Asia session lifting price above 0.8330 on broad USD demand tied to yields and oil. The NY session set a week high at 0.8342, and the FOMC Minutes drew a muted reaction. Price has since chopped in a 0.8318–0.8342 band, with buyers stepping in at the intraday low four times. Price holds just above EMA(20) near 0.8331 with RSI(14) in the mid-50s. The recovery leg from last Friday's 0.8227 low is intact, and its 38.2% retracement aligns with the Tuesday low.

Support: 0.8318, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83417, 0.8365, 0.8381

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8381 16m high
  • Break below the 0.8318 intraday low and the higher-lows trendline turns Wednesday's band into a lower-low test
  • Failure to hold the 0.8298 Tuesday low (38.2% of the recovery leg) ends the higher-lows sequence; weekly open at 0.8284 sits next
  • Thursday: Fed's Waller 08:30 UTC and Jobless Claims 12:30 UTC (f/c 200K) could materially shift this read

20:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum fading near the week high · RSI 58 · price 0.83348

Higher lows each day since Monday; consolidating just under the 0.8342 week high.

Since Monday's session open, USDCHF has printed a higher low every day: 0.8277 Monday, the 0.8298 tue low (near the 38.2% fib of Friday's NFP low-to-week-high impulse), then a 0.8317 higher low in London today. Broad USD demand on 24-year-high yields and $100+ Brent drove the climb. The NY-session push to the 0.8342 week high came with a weaker RSI(14) than the Asia-session high near 0.8336, a bearish divergence. Price is holding just above ema20 near 0.8331.

Support: 0.8331, 0.8317, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365, 0.8381

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8381 16m high as the extension marker
  • Sustained trade below ema20 near 0.8331 would show the divergence taking effect
  • Failure to hold the 0.8317 higher low and the higher-low trendline breaks this week's sequence; the 0.8298 tue low / 38.2% fib is next
  • Fed's Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and Jobless Claims (12:30 UTC) could materially shift this read

19:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling at week high · RSI 48 · price 0.8329

Higher lows since Friday's 0.8227 low; Wednesday ranging 0.8317–0.8342.

USDCHF has built higher lows from Friday's post-payrolls 0.8227 low and Monday's dip below the 0.8284 weekly open. Each daily high has stepped up, reaching the 0.8342 week high during Wednesday's NY session as US 10y yields hit 24-year highs and Brent held above $100. Wednesday has turned two-way between the 0.8317 Wed low and the week high, with price sitting on EMA(20) just above the 0.8320 pivot and RSI(14) easing to ~48 into the FOMC Minutes reaction.

Support: 0.8320, 0.8317, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below the 0.8317 Wed low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.8298 Tue low, which sits at the 38.2% of the Fri low–week high fib
  • Failure to hold the 0.8320 pivot keeps Wednesday's range intact with EMA(20) no longer acting as support
  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
  • FOMC Minutes reaction, then Waller (Thu 08:30 UTC) and jobless claims (Thu 12:30 UTC), could materially shift this read

18:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling below week high · RSI 53 · price 0.83292

Higher lows since Friday's 0.8227 low; capped 0.8336–0.8342.

Since Friday's soft-payrolls spike to 0.8227, USD/CHF has set a higher low each day and left the 0.8284 week open behind, as the oil-driven yield surge kept the dollar bid. Wednesday's Asia-session push and the NY-hours test of the 0.8342 week high both stalled, and price is back at EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 53 and ATR(14) around 9 pips. The wed low at 0.8317 lines up with the higher-low trendline, while the tue low at 0.8298 sits on the 38.2% fib of the Friday-to-Wednesday advance.

Support: 0.8328, 0.8317, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; current ATR is small relative to that event risk
  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high
  • Failure to hold the wed low at 0.8317 breaks the higher-low trendline
  • H1 close below the tue low at 0.8298 (38.2% fib) undercuts this week's higher-low sequence

17:03 UTC

Uptrend, higher lows since Friday, momentum fading · RSI 56 · price 0.83352

Higher highs and higher lows off Friday's 0.8227 low, now pressing the week high.

Since Friday's post-payrolls low at 0.8227, USD/CHF has printed steady higher lows: 0.8298 in Tuesday's London session, then the wed low at 0.8317. The move tracks the USD bid from the yields- and oil-driven bond rout. Wednesday's Asia session carried price back through the 0.8320 pivot, and the NY session extended to a week high at 0.8342, but RSI(14) near 56 sits below its Asia-session peak, a mild bearish divergence. Price is holding just above the ema20 near 0.8329.

Support: 0.8329, 0.8317, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; a 0.8320 pivot loss would align with a dovish reaction
  • An H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
  • A close below the wed low at 0.8317 breaks the rising lows trendline and puts price back under the 0.8320 pivot
  • Failure to hold the tue low at 0.8298, which aligns with the 38.2% fib, negates the higher-low sequence

16:02 UTC

Uptrend, momentum moderating · RSI 56 · price 0.83367

Higher lows each day since Friday's 0.8227 low.

USD/CHF has printed a higher low every day since Friday's NFP-session low at 0.8227 and has held above the 0.8284 weekly open since Monday. The broad USD bid on a 5.35% US 10y and Brent above $100 lifted the pair through the 0.8320 pivot. Wednesday's London and early-NY dips found demand at the 0.8317–0.8318 swing low before a fresh week high at 0.8342, though RSI(14) near 56 shows a less forceful push than Monday's leg. The Tuesday low at 0.8298 sits on the 38.2% retracement of the Friday-to-Wednesday advance.

Support: 0.8318, 0.8298, 0.8284

Resistance: 0.8342, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read; the CHF haven bid on bond-market stress also caps upside
  • H1 close above the 0.8342 week high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
  • Failure to hold the 0.8318 swing low breaks the rising-lows trendline and exposes the 0.8298 Tuesday low at the 38.2% fib
  • A move back below the 0.8284 weekly open would negate the week's higher-low sequence

14:02 UTC

Uptrend, stalling below week high · RSI 57 · price 0.83321

Higher lows since Friday's NFP low, flat cap at 0.8336–0.8339.

USD/CHF has printed higher lows since Friday's soft-payrolls low at 0.8227. Tuesday's low held at 0.8298 and the pair stayed above the 0.8284 weekly open all week. Wednesday's Asia-session rally cleared the 0.8320 pivot on a firmer USD tied to yields and oil, but London and NY hours have stalled at 0.8336–0.8339 four times, topping at a 0.8339 week high. Price holds above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 57. Today's session low at 0.8317 sits on the rising trendline from Friday's low.

Support: 0.83168, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83389, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read
  • An H1 close above the 0.8339 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, then the 0.8382 16m high
  • Loss of the 0.8317 session low breaks the rising trendline and exposes the 0.8298 tuesday low
  • A move back below the 0.8284 weekly open would erase the week's higher-low sequence
  • Waller and jobless claims on Thursday are the next USD catalysts

13:03 UTC

Uptrend, steady higher lows · RSI 59 · price 0.83339

Higher lows since Friday's low, pressing week high.

USDCHF has printed higher lows each day since Friday's soft-wages low at 0.8227, opening the week at 0.8284 (weekly open) and printing a fresh week high at 0.8339 into the London-NY transition today. Price holds above EMA(20) and EMA(50) with RSI(14) near 59, and two London-hours dips toward the 0.8320 pivot found demand along the higher lows trendline. A firm USD, driven by the 10y yield back above 5.30% on higher oil, has carried the recovery leg into the FOMC Minutes.

Support: 0.8320, 0.8298, 0.8284

Resistance: 0.8339, 0.8348, 0.8381

What it said to watch

  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT, plus the 10y auction, could materially shift this read
  • H1 close below the 0.8320 pivot and today's 0.8317 low breaks the higher lows sequence
  • Loss of the tue low at 0.8298 exposes the weekly open at 0.8284 and the 38.2% of the recovery leg
  • Acceptance above the week high and the 0.8348 thu high opens the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8381 16m high

12:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum stalling below week high · RSI 53 · price 0.83231

Higher lows since Monday open; capped at 0.8336–0.8338 in London today.

USDCHF has built higher lows since Monday's open at the 0.8284 week open: 0.8277, then the 0.8298 tue low, then today's 0.8317 wed low. That has recovered most of Friday's slide to 0.8227 after the soft payrolls and wage data. An Asia-session push, helped by the yield and oil rebound, set the week high at 0.8338 early in London. Supply has capped the 0.8336–0.8338 area three times since, leaving price just under EMA(20) near 0.8325 with RSI(14) easing to the low 50s.

Support: 0.83168, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83383, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above 0.8338 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8382 16m high above
  • Close below 0.8317 wed low breaks the higher-lows trendline and puts the 23.6% retracement of the Friday low-to-week high move near 0.8312 in focus
  • Failure to hold 0.8298 tue low exposes the 0.8284 week open and undoes the week's higher-low sequence
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and today's 10-year auction could materially shift this read

11:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening near week high · RSI 58 · price 0.83251

Higher lows since Friday's 0.8227 low, retesting 0.8320 prior cap.

USDCHF has ground higher from Friday's 0.8227 low, which printed on the soft US payrolls bar, posting higher lows on Monday (0.8285) and Tuesday (0.8298) above the 0.8285 week open. Wednesday's Asia session cleared the 0.8320 prior cap on firmer USD and oil-driven Fed-hike talk, and the London open dip held 0.8319 before a 0.8338 week high. Price now sits on EMA(20) with RSI(14) easing from the low 60s, a pause rather than a break of the higher-lows line.

Support: 0.8320, 0.8298, 0.8285

Resistance: 0.8338, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 0.8320 prior cap and the higher-lows trendline puts the Tuesday low at 0.8298 back in play
  • Close above the 0.8338 week high opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8382 16m high beyond
  • Loss of the 0.8285 week open breaks the higher-low sequence from the Friday low
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the 10y auction could materially shift this read

10:03 UTC

Uptrend, momentum flattening below week high · RSI 61 · price 0.83311

Higher lows since Sunday open, tight range under 0.8338.

Since the Sunday open at 0.8284, H1 has built a sequence of higher lows (0.8277, 0.8285, 0.8298, 0.8319) and recovered most of Friday's slide to 0.8227 after the soft US wage data. Wednesday's latest leg came in the Asia session as firmer yields, oil and Middle East tension lifted the USD. London has since stalled in a 0.8319–0.8338 band under the week high, with price above EMA(20) and RSI(14) near 61 off the highs.

Support: 0.83194, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83383, 0.8365, 0.8380

What it said to watch

  • H1 close below the 0.8319 session low and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Loss of the 0.8298 tuesday low puts the weekly open at 0.8284 and the 50% fib of the friday low to week high move (0.8283) back in focus
  • Sustained break above the 0.8338 week high exposes the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8380 16m high
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10-year auction could materially shift this read

09:04 UTC

Uptrend, pressing flat cap · RSI 60 · price 0.83315

Higher lows since Monday beneath a flat 0.8336 cap.

USDCHF has built higher lows every day since the weekly open at 0.8284 (Mon 0.8277, Tue 0.8298, Wed 0.8319), recovering past the 61.8% retracement of the Thu-Fri drop as firmer yields and oil-led USD demand outweighed last week's haven bid for CHF. The Asia session pushed to the 0.8336 week high, where four hourly highs have stalled. The London open dip to the 0.8319 session low held just under EMA(20), and price is back above both EMAs with RSI(14) near 60 and no stretch.

Support: 0.83194, 0.8298, 0.82842

Resistance: 0.83364, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8336 week high breaks the flat cap and opens the 0.8365 range top, with the 0.8382 16m high beyond
  • Failure of the 0.8319 session low and the higher lows trendline near 0.8311 would end the sequence and expose the 0.8298 tue low
  • A move back below the weekly open at 0.8284 would unwind the week's recovery from the Thu-Fri drop
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction today could materially shift this read

08:02 UTC

Uptrend, grinding higher off Friday low · RSI 62 · price 0.83316

Higher lows each day since Monday; Wednesday break above 0.8326 range top.

USD/CHF has rebuilt steadily from Friday's 0.8227 post-payrolls haven low, printing higher lows each day as firm yields and oil kept USD bid. Wednesday's Asia session cleared the 0.8320 prior cap and Tuesday's 0.8326 high to a 0.8336 session high. The London-open dip to 0.8319 held the prior cap and the rising higher-lows trendline, and price is back above EMA(20) with RSI(14) near 62.

Support: 0.8320, 0.83075, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.83361, 0.8365

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 0.8320 prior cap and the higher-lows trendline (~0.8318) turns the breakout into a false break
  • Loss of the 0.8308 asia low exposes the 0.8298 tuesday low and the 23.6% fib area near 0.8310
  • Sustained trade above the 0.8336 session high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT and the US 10y auction could materially shift this read

07:04 UTC

Uptrend from Friday low, momentum cooling · RSI 54 · price 0.83251

Higher lows since Monday; week high 0.8336 capping.

USD/CHF has recovered from Friday's post-payrolls low at 0.8227 and printed higher lows since the 0.8284 weekly open, with oil- and geopolitics-driven USD demand behind the move. Wednesday's Asia push set a week high at 0.8336 before fading into the London open. Price is back retesting the 0.8320–0.8330 pivot just above the ema20 near 0.8322, with RSI(14) cooled to ~54 and the higher-lows trendline from Monday near 0.8310 above Tuesday's low at 0.8298.

Support: 0.8322, 0.8298, 0.8284

Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365, 0.8372

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8336 week high opens the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8372 thu high from last Thursday
  • Loss of the ema20 and the higher-lows trendline near 0.8310 shifts focus to the tuesday low at 0.8298, near the 38.2% retracement of the Friday low–week high leg
  • Failure to hold 0.8298 breaks the higher-low sequence and exposes the weekly open at 0.8284
  • Swiss FX reserves today and FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read

06:02 UTC

Uptrend from Friday's low, momentum firm · RSI 69 · price 0.8334

Higher lows since Friday; Asia break above the Mon–Tue cap.

Friday's soft US wage data drove the week's low at 0.8227 in the NY session. Since then the pair has printed higher lows: the Monday low at 0.8277, the Tuesday low at 0.8298 and a shallower dip in early Asia today. The 0.8326 prior cap held through Monday and Tuesday, then gave way in today's Asia session as yields and oil-driven USD demand returned. Price now sits just under the 78.6% fib of the Thursday–Friday drop, with RSI(14) near 69 and the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8375 Thursday high overhead.

Support: 0.8326, 0.8298, 0.8277

Resistance: 0.8344, 0.8365, 0.8375

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below the 0.8326 prior cap would turn the Asia breakout into a false break
  • Failure to hold the 0.8298 Tuesday low breaks the higher-low trendline sequence
  • Acceptance above the 78.6% fib at 0.8344 opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8375 Thursday high
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 GMT could materially shift this read; Swiss FX reserves due today also in focus

05:04 UTC

Uptrend, higher lows since Friday's low · RSI 66 · price 0.8335

Asia break above the 0.8298–0.8326 Mon–Tue range; recovering Thursday's drop.

Thursday's slide from the 0.8382 16m high ran into Friday's soft-payrolls low at 0.8227. Since then the pair has printed higher lows on Monday and Tuesday along the rising trendline, while Mon–Tue highs near 0.8326 capped it inside a 0.8298–0.8326 band. Wednesday's Asia session broke through that prior high and the 0.8320 cap flagged in the CHF digest, reaching an Asia high of 0.8336 on firmer yields and geopolitical USD demand. Price sits above EMA(20) near 0.8322 and the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday–Friday drop, with RSI(14) at 66 and short of overbought.

Support: 0.8326, 0.8298, 0.8284

Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below the 0.8326 prior high would turn the Asia breakout into a false break and return price to the Mon–Tue range
  • Failure to hold the 0.8298 tuesday low breaks the higher-low trendline and exposes the 0.8284 weekly open
  • Close above the 0.8336 asia high and then the 0.8365 range top opens the path toward the 0.8382 16m high and the top of the Thursday–Friday drop fib
  • FOMC Minutes, Wed 18:00 UTC, could materially shift this read via Fed October hike pricing

04:02 UTC

Recovery uptrend, higher lows since Friday · RSI 66 · price 0.83314

Higher lows; Mon–Tue range top at 0.8320–0.8326 broken in Asia.

Since Friday's payrolls-driven low at 0.8227, the pair has built higher lows through Monday's and Tuesday's London dips (0.8285, then the tue low at 0.8298). Supply capped the 0.8320–0.8326 prior cap, which sits at the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday–Friday drop, through both NY sessions. Wednesday's Asia session pushed through that cap to an asia high of 0.8336 as yields, oil and geopolitical headlines revived USD demand, with price holding above EMA(20) and EMA(50) and RSI(14) near 66.

Support: 0.8325, 0.8298, 0.8284

Resistance: 0.8336, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • An H1 close back below the 0.8325 prior cap would mark the Asia push as a false break and return price to the Mon–Tue range
  • Acceptance above the 0.8336 asia high opens the path to the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
  • A break of the higher-low trendline and the 0.8298 tue low would end the recovery structure, with the 0.8284 weekly open below
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (21:00 broker) could materially shift this read via October hike odds

03:02 UTC

Uptrend, higher lows since Friday · RSI 61 · price 0.83332

Higher lows off 0.8227; Mon–Tue range broken higher in Asia.

USD/CHF has carved higher lows since Friday's low at 0.8227, which came around the soft jobs report, and geopolitics-led dollar demand has lifted the pair this week. Today's Asia session pushed through the Monday–Tuesday range and the tuesday high at 0.8326, printing a new week high at 0.8336 and reclaiming the 61.8% retracement of the Thu-Fri drop. Price holds above the ema20 near 0.8320, the former cap, with RSI(14) near 61 and not yet overbought.

Support: 0.83263, 0.8320, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.83357, 0.8349, 0.8365

What it said to watch

  • An H1 close back below the tuesday high at 0.8326 and the ema20 near 0.8320 would turn the range break into a false break
  • Losing the higher-lows trendline and the tuesday low at 0.8298 breaks the sequence of higher lows since Friday
  • A close above the week high at 0.8336 brings the 78.6% fib at 0.8349 and the 0.8365 range top into view
  • FOMC Minutes at 18:00 UTC (21:00 broker) could materially shift this read; NY Fed inflation expectations and Logan come first

02:03 UTC

Recovery leg, higher lows since Friday · RSI 62 · price 0.8329

Higher lows pressing a flat 0.8325 ceiling, marginal break.

Since Friday's post-payrolls low at 0.8227, the pair has built higher lows through Monday and Tuesday. Monday's NY high and both of Tuesday's London and NY highs stalled at 0.8324–0.8326, the prior highs that line up with the 61.8% retracement of the Thursday–Friday drop. Wednesday's Asia session has edged to 0.8329, just above that ceiling and the 0.8320 former-support cap, as geopolitical demand lifts USD. Price holds above the ema20 near 0.8318 and EMA(50), with RSI(14) near 62.

Support: 0.8325, 0.8318, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.8349, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close back below 0.8325 prior highs would turn the push into a false break of the ceiling
  • Acceptance above 0.8325 opens the 78.6% fib at 0.8349, then the 0.8365 range top and the 0.8382 16m high
  • A break of the higher-lows trendline and the 0.8298 tuesday low would end the rebound structure
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

01:03 UTC

Recovery from NFP low, capped at the week high · RSI 63 · price 0.83259

Higher lows since Monday, flat cap at 0.8326.

Since Monday's open at 0.8284, USD/CHF has built higher lows off Friday's 0.8227 low, set after the soft NFP print. The 0.8326 week high sits near the 61.8% retracement of the slide from the 0.8382 16m high. That level capped Monday's NY push and two Tuesday tests in London and NY. The Asia session is back pressing the cap, with price above the ema20 near 0.8317 and the rising trendline, and RSI(14) near 63.

Support: 0.8317, 0.83075, 0.8298

Resistance: 0.83263, 0.83824

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8326 week high breaks the 61.8% cap and opens the path to the 0.8382 16m high
  • Loss of Wednesday's higher low at 0.8308 and the rising trendline breaks the higher-low sequence
  • Close below the 0.8298 tue low turns the week's structure lower
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

00:02 UTC

Recovering from last week's slide, higher lows under a flat cap · RSI 57 · price 0.83233

Rising lows into a flat 0.8320–0.8326 range top since Monday's open.

Since Monday's open at 0.8284, H1 has printed higher lows at the monday low of 0.8277, the tuesday low of 0.8298 and 0.8308 early Wednesday. Each rally stalled at a flat range top of 0.8320–0.8326, tested in Tuesday's London and NY sessions. Price is pressing that cap again in the Asia session, right at the 61.8% retracement of last Thursday–Friday's slide from the 16m high, while holding above the ema20 near 0.8316 with RSI(14) around 57 as the digest's geopolitical USD bid meets softer yields.

Support: 0.8316, 0.8298, 0.8277

Resistance: 0.8326, 0.8365, 0.8382

What it said to watch

  • H1 close above the 0.8326 range top breaks the cap and opens the 0.8365 corridor top, then the 0.8382 16m high
  • Close back below the higher lows trendline and the 0.8298 tuesday low breaks the rising-low sequence
  • Loss of the 0.8277 monday low returns the read to last week's slide
  • FOMC Minutes Wed 18:00 UTC could materially shift this read

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